Publication
Working Papers (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago)
1975-2026
- FRB Chicago Working Papers
- Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Working Paper
- Working Paper Series
- Issues in Financial Regulation
- International Finance Discussion Papers
- Staff Memoranda
- Regional Economic Issues
- Staff Studies
- Macroeconomic Issues
- Issues in Macroeconomics
- 1970s
- 1980s
- 1990s
- 2000s
- 2010s
- 2020s
- Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI, WP 2026-07
- Neighborhood Effects and Housing Vouchers, Working Paper 2017-02
- The Decline in Intergenerational Mobility After 1980, Working Paper 2017-05
- How do Doctors Respond to Incentives? Unintended Consequences of Paying Doctors to Reduce Costs, Working Paper 2017-09
- The Effects of the 1930s HOLC "Redlining" Maps, Working Paper 2017-12
- Intergenerational Mobility in Self-Reported Health Status in the US, Working Paper 2018-02r
- Social Interventions, Health and Wellbeing : The Long-Term and Intergenerational Effects of a School Construction Program, Working Paper 2019-09r
- Weathering an Unexpected Financial Shock : The Role of Cash Grants on Household Finance and Business Survival, Working Paper 2019-10r
- Predicting Benchmarked US State Employment Data in Realtime, Working Paper 2019-11r
- Risk Premia at the ZLB : A Macroeconomic Interpretation, Working Paper 2020-01
- Monetary Policy Implementation With an Ample Supply of Reserves, Working Paper 2020-02
- Who Has the Time? Community College Students' Time-Use Response to Financial Incentives, Working Paper 2020-03
- Business Cycle Fluctuations in Mirrlees Economies : The Case of i.i.d. Shocks, Working Paper 2020-04
- Computing Equilibria of Stochastic Heterogeneous Agent Models Using Decision Rule Histories, Working Paper 2020-05
- The Signaling, Screening, and Human Capital Effects of National Board Certification : Evidence from Chicago and Kentucky High Schools, Working Paper 2020-06
- Credit Score Doctors, Working Paper 2020-07
- Adaptation and the Cost of Rising Temperature for the U.S. Economy, Working Paper 2020-08
- Bad Jobs and Low Inflation, Working Paper 2020-09r
- Using the Eye of the Storm to Predict the Wave of Covid-19 UI Claims, Working Paper 2020-10r
- What Happened to the US Economy During the 1918 Influenza Pandemic? A View Through High-Frequency Data, Working Paper 2020-11r
- Do Stay-at-Home Orders Cause People to Stay at Home? Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Consumer Behavior, Working Paper 2020-12r
- Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt : Unity is Strength (REVISED May 2020), Working Paper 2020-13
- Impacts of the Fed Corporate Credit Facilities through the Lenses of ETFs and CDX, Working Paper 2020-14
- Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume : Evidence from Covid-19 Stimulus Payments (REVISED February 2021), Working Paper 2020-15
- The Evolution of Technological Substitution in Low-Wage Labor Markets, Working Paper 2020-16
- Unexpected Supply Effects of Quantitative Easing and Tightening, Working Paper 2020-17
- The Relationship Between Race, Type of Work, and Covid-19 Infection Rates, Working Paper 2020-18
- The COVID-19 Pandemic and Asian American Employment, Working Paper 2020-19r
- Optimal Debt Dynamics, Issuance Costs, and Commitment, Working Paper 2020-20
- What Are the Financial Systemic Implications of Access and Non-Access to Federal Reserve Deposit Accounts for Central Counterparties?, Working Paper 2020-21
- Income-Driven Labor-Market Polarization, Working Paper 2020-22
- The Stable Transformation Path, Working Paper 2020-23
- The Heterogeneous Effects of Trade across Occupations : A Test of the Stolper-Samuelson Theorem, Working Paper 2020-24
- Structural Change and Global Trade, Working Paper 2020-25
- Trade Integration, Global Value Chains, and Capital Accumulation, Working Paper 2020-26r
- International Capital Flows : Private Versus Public Flows in Developing and Developed Countries, Working Paper 2020-27
- Money, Banking, and Old-School Historical Economics, Working Paper 2020-28
- Mind the Gap! Stylized Dynamic Facts and Structural Models, Working Paper 2020-29
- The Relationship between Debt and Output, Working Paper 2020-30
- Pandemic Recessions and Contact Tracing, Working Paper 2020-31
- The Pathway to Enrolling in a High-Performance High School : Understanding Barriers to Access, Working Paper 2020-32
- The Long-Run Effects of the 1930s HOLC 'Redlining' Maps on Place-Based Measures of Economic Opportunity and Socioeconomic Success, Working Paper 2020-33
- Risk-Adjusted Capital Allocation and Misallocation, Working Paper 2020-34
- The Perils of Working With Big Data and a SMALL Framework You Can Use to Avoid Them, Working Paper 2020-35r
- Risk-Taking, Capital Allocation and Optimal Monetary Policy, Working Paper 2021-01
- A Macroeconomic Model of Healthcare Saturation, Inequality and the Output-Pandemia Tradeoff, Working Paper 2021-02
- The Intergenerational Transmission of Mental and Physical Health in the United Kingdom, Working Paper 2021-03r
- The Effects of the Great Migration on Urban Renewal, Working Paper 2021-04r
- Tracking U.S. Consumers in Real Time with a New Weekly Index of Retail Trade, Working Paper 2021-05r
- The Returns to Public Library Investment, Working Paper 2021-06r
- Identifying Taste-Based Discrimination : Effect of Black Electoral Victories on Racial Prejudice and Economic Gaps, Working Paper 2021-07
- A Quantitative Analysis of Tariffs Across U.S. States, Working Paper 2021-08
- Measuring Intergenerational Income Mobility : A Synthesis of Approaches, Working Paper 2021-09
- Ownership Concentration and Performance of Deteriorating Syndicated Loans, Working Paper 2021-10
- Robust Bayesian Analysis for Econometrics, Working Paper 2021-11
- Effect of Ownership Composition on Property Prices and Rents : Evidence from Chinese Investment Boom in US Housing Markets, Working Paper 2021-12
- Capital Constraints and Risk Shifting : An Instrumental Approach, Working Paper 2021-13
- The Impact of Covid-19 Related Policy Responses on Municipal Debt Markets, Working Paper 2021-14
- A Hitchhiker's Guide to Empirical Macro Models, Working Paper 2021-15r
- Perceived Competition in Agricultural Lending : Stylized Facts and an Agenda for Future Research, Working Paper 2021-16
- New Evidence on Redlining by Federal Housing Programs in the 1930s, Working Paper 2022-01
- Heterogeneous Impacts of Sentencing Decisions, Working Paper 2022-02
- Using Consumption Data to Derive Optimal Income and Capital Tax Rates : Optimal Tax Design as Redistributional Arbitrage, Working Paper 2022-03
- A Model of Economic Activity in San Francisco During the 1918 Influenza Epidemic, Working Paper 2022-04
- Cyclical Transactions and Wealth Inequality, Working Paper 2022-05
- Financial Stability Considerations for Monetary Policy : Theoretical Mechanisms, Working Paper 2022-06
- Moral Hazard, Optimal Unemployment Insurance, and Aggregate Dynamics, Working Paper 2022-07
- Has the Willingness to Work Fallen During the Covid Pandemic?, Working Paper 2022-08
- Employee Costs of Corporate Bankruptcy, Working Paper 2022-09
- Narrative Restrictions and Proxies, Working Paper 2022-10
- Crisis Liquidity Facilities with Nonbank Counterparties : Lessons from the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility, Working Paper 2022-11
- Redistribution with Performance Pay, Working Paper 2022-12
- The Long-run Effects of the 1930s Redlining Maps on Children, Working Paper 2022-13
- Money under the Mattress : Inflation and Lending of Last Resort, Working Paper 2022-14
- Global Innovation Spillovers and Productivity : Evidence from 100 Years of World Patent Data, Working Paper 2022-15
- A Macroprudential Theory of Foreign Reserve Accumulation, Working Paper 2022-16
- Private Overborrowing Under Sovereign Risk, Working Paper 2022-17
- Generalized Compensation Principle, Working Paper 2022-18
- A Machine Learning Projection Method for Macro-Finance Models, Working Paper 2022-19
- Capital and Labor Taxes with Costly State Contingency, Working Paper 2022-20
- Optimal Procurement with Quality Concerns, Working Paper 2022-21
- Physician Practice Style for Mental Health Conditions : The Case of ADHD, Working Paper 2022-22
- Mis(sed) Diagnosis : Physician Decision-Making and ADHD, Working Paper 2022-23
- The Research University, Invention, and Industry : Evidence from German History, Working Paper 2022-24
- Universal Student Enrollment Systems : The More Policies Change, the More Enrollment Patterns Stay the Same, Working Paper 2022-25
- Estimating Nonlinear Heterogeneous Agents Models with Neural Networks, Working Paper 2022-26
- Nonbanks, Banks, and Monetary Policy : U.S. Loan-Level Evidence since the 1990s, Working Paper 2022-27
- Government Debt Management and Inflation with Real and Nominal Bonds, Working Paper 2022-28
- Destruction, Policy, and the Evolving Consequences of Washington, DC's 1968 Civil Disturbance, Working Paper 2022-29
- A Tail of Labor Supply and a Tale of Monetary Policy, Working Paper 2022-30
- Monetary Policy, Inflation Outlook, and Recession Probabilities, Working Paper 2022-31
- Seven Economic Facts About the U.S. Racial Wealth Gap, Working Paper 2022-32
- Sample Selection Models Without Exclusion Restrictions : Parameter Heterogeneity and Partial Identification, Working Paper 2022-33
- Simultaneity in Binary Outcome Models with an Application to Employment for Couples, Working Paper 2022-34
- On Speculative Frenzies and Stabilization Policy, Working Paper 2022-35
- Inflation as a Fiscal Limit, Working Paper 2022-37
- The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements, Working Paper 2022-38
- Unusual Shocks in Our Usual Models, Working Paper 2022-39
- Retirement Savings Adequacy in U.S. Defined Contribution Plans, Working Paper 2022-40
- Macro Shocks and Firm Dynamics with Oligopolistic Financial Intermediaries, Working Paper 2022-41
- Mind the Gap: The Market Price of Financial Flexibility, Working Paper 2022-42
- Who Is Afraid of Eurobonds?, Working Paper 2022-43
- Premature Deindustrialization and Industry Polarization, Working Paper 2022-44
- Optimal Unemployment Insurance Requirements, Working Paper 2022-45
- The Employment Consequences of Anti-Dumping Tariffs : Lessons from Brazil, Working Paper 2022-46
- On the Political and Economic Determinants of Redistribution : Economic Gains, Ideological Gains, or Institutions?, Working Paper 2022-47
- It's Good Weather for More Government : The Effect of Weather on Fiscal Policy, Working Paper 2022-48
- (Trade) War and Peace : How to Impose International Trade Sanctions, Working Paper 2022-49
- Set It and Forget It? Financing Retirement in an Age of Defaults, Working Paper 2022-50
- The Selection Effects of Part-Time Work : Experimental Evidence from a Large-Scale Recruitment Drive, Working Paper 2022-51
- The Expanding Landscape of Online Education : Who Engages and How They Fare, Working Paper 2022-52
- The Labor Market Consequences of Appropriate Technology, Working Paper 2022-53
- "Missing" Workers and "Missing" Jobs Since the Pandemic, Working Paper 2022-54
- Making the (Letter) Grade : The Incentive Effects of Mandatory Pass/Fail Courses, Working Paper 2022-55
- Debt Dynamics with Fixed Issuance Costs, Working Paper 2023-01
- Blockbusting and the Challenges Faced by Black Families in Building Wealth through Housing in the Postwar United States, Working Paper 2023-02
- Job-to-Job Mobility and Inflation, Working Paper 2023-03
- Societal Disruptions and Child Mental Health : Evidence from ADHD Diagnosis During the Covid-19 Pandemic, Working Paper 2023-04
- Pushing Bonds Over the Edge : Monetary Policy and Municipal Bond Liquidity, Working Paper 2023-05
- The Covid-19 Pandemic Spurred Growth in Automation : What Does this Mean for Minority Workers?, Working Paper 2023-06
- Gas, Guns, and Governments : Financial Costs of Anti-ESG Policies, Working Paper 2023-07
- One Asset Does Not Fit All : Inflation Hedging by Index and Horizon, Working Paper 2023-08
- The Labor Market Impact of Covid-19 on Asian Americans, Working Paper 2023-10
- Employment and Welfare Effects of the Quota for Disabled Workers in Brazil, Working Paper 2023-11
- How Climate Change Shapes Bank Lending : Evidence from Portfolio Reallocation, Working Paper 2023-12
- The Effects of Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs on Labor Market Activity and Credit Outcomes, Working Paper 2023-13
- Who Cares? Paid Sick Leave Mandates, Care-Giving, and Gender, Working Paper 2023-14
- Bank Branch Access : Evidence from Geolocation Data, Working Paper 2023-15
- International Diversification, Reallocation, and the Labor Share, Working Paper 2023-16
- What Does the CDS Market Imply for a U.S. Default?, Working Paper 2023-17
- The Dual U.S. Labor Market Uncovered, Working Paper 2023-18
- Should the Government Sell You Goods? : Evidence from the Milk Market in Mexico, Working Paper 2023-19
- Overborrowing, Underborrowing, and Macroprudential Policy, Working Paper 2023-20
- Women's Colleges and Economics Major Choice : Evidence from Wellesley College Applicants, Working Paper 2023-21
- Learning Monetary Policy Strategies at the Effective Lower Bound with Sudden Surprises, Working Paper 2023-22
- Preferences over the Racial Composition of Neighborhoods: Estimates and Implications, Working Paper 2023-23
- Financial Crises and the Global Supply Network : Evidence from Multinational Enterprises, Working Paper 2023-24
- A Comment on Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price Bubbles, Working Paper 2023-25
- A Robust Method for Microforecasting and Estimation of Random Effects, Working Paper 2023-26
- Aggregate Dynamics in Mirrlees Economies : The Case of Persistent Shocks, Working Paper 2023-27
- Identification Using Higher-Order Moments Restrictions, Working Paper 2023-28
- Nonbank Lenders as Global Shock Absorbers : Evidence from US Monetary Policy Spillovers, Working Paper 2023-29
- The "Privatization" of Municipal Debt, Working Paper 2023-30
- Are Friends of Schools the Enemies of Equity? : The Interplay of Public School Funding Policies and Private External Fundraising, Working Paper 2023-31
- Forecasted Treatment Effects, Working Paper 2023-32
- The Lasting Impact of Historical Residential Security Maps on Experienced Segregation, Working Paper 2023-33
- Retail Investors' Contrarian Behavior Around News, Attention, and the Momentum Effect, Working Paper 2023-34
- Charged and Almost Ready—Stylized Facts About the Emerging Market for Used BEVs, Working Paper 2023-35
- The Chicago Fed DSGE Model : Version 2, Working Paper 2023-36
- R&D Subsidy and Import Substitution : Growing in the Shadow of Protection, Working Paper 2023-37
- The Shifting Reasons for Beveridge-Curve Shifts, Working Paper 2023-38
- Immigration and the Labor Market in the Post-Pandemic Recovery, Working Paper 2023-39
- The Role of Information in Pharmaceutical Advertising: Theory and Evidence, Working Paper 2023-40
- Medicaid-ing Coverage Volatility for Displaced Workers : Evidence from the 2019 Virginia Medicaid Expansion, Working Paper 2023-41
- Robots, Tools, and Jobs : Evidence from Brazilian Labor Markets, Working Paper 2023-42
- Consumption, Wealth, and Income Inequality : A Tale of Tails, Working Paper 2023-43
- What Do Lead Banks Learn from Leveraged Loan Investors?, Working Paper 2023-44
- Occupational Switching during the Second Industrial Revolution, WP 2024-01
- Datam, Privacy Laws, and Firm Production: Evidence from the GDPR, WP 2024-02
- Racial Wealth Gains and Gaps: Nine Facts about the Disparities, WP 2024-03
- Persuasion and Dissuasion in Political Campaigns: Political Communication and Media Coverage in Senate Races, WP 2024-04
- Civil Liberties and Social Structure, WP 2024-05
- Schooling and Political Activism in the Early Civil Rights Era, WP 2024-06
- Tax Revolts and Sovereign Defaults, WP 2024-07
- Open-Ended Treasury Purchases: From Market Functioning to Financial Easing, WP 2024-08
- Downward Nominal Rigidities and Bond Premia, WP 2024-09
- Understanding Money Using Historical Evidence, WP 2024-10
- Downward Price Rigidities and Inflationary Relative Demand Shocks, WP 2024-11
- The Impact of State Paid Leave Laws on Firms and Establishments: Evidence from the First Three States, WP 2024-12
- Investment-Goods Market Power and Capital Accumulation, WP 2024-13
- Balance Sheet Policy Uncertainty and Its Aggregate Implications, WP 2024-14
- On the Mechanics of Fiscal Inflations, WP 2024-15
- Credit When You Need It, WP 2024-16
- Natural Disasters, Local Bank Market Share, and Economic Recovery, WP 2024-17
- Optimal Financial Contracting and the Effects of Firm's Size, WP 2024-18
- How Demand for New Skills Affects Wage Inequality: The Case of Software Programmers, WP 2024-19
- More Trade, Less Diffusion: Technology Transfers and the Dynamic Effects of Import Liberalization, WP 2024-20
- Intergenerational Elasticities of Housing Consumption and Income, WP 2024-21
- The Racial Dynamics of U.S. Neighborhoods and Their Housing Prices from 1950 through 1990, WP 2024-22
- Writing Style as Cultural Change, WP 2024-23
- The Public Charge Rule and Program Participation among U.S. Citizens, WP 2024-24
- The Bronx is Burning: Urban Disinvestment Effects of the Fair Access to Insurance Requirements, WP 2024-25
- Skills, Migration, and Urban Amenities Over the Life Cycle, WP 2025-01
- The Evolving Core of Usable Macroeconomics for Policymakers, WP 2025-02
- Long-Run Inflation Expectations, WP 2025-03
- Rushing to Judgment and the Banking Crisis of 2023, WP 2025-04
- A Model of Charles Ponzi, WP 2025-05
- The Dollar Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission, WP 2025-06
- The 2025 U.S. Debt Limit Through the Lens of Financial Markets, WP 2025-07
- Technology Providers and Financial Stability: Overview of Risks and Regulatory Frameworks, WP 2025-08
- Life Insurers' Private Credit Investments and Annuity Market Share Capture, WP 2025-09
- On-the-Job Search and Inflation Under the Microscope, WP 2025-10
- Artificial Intelligence in the Office and the Factory: Evidence from Administrative Software Registry Data, WP 2025-11
- www.LaborMarketUpdate.net: Real-Time Research-Based Analyses of the State of the U.S. Labor Market, WP 2025-12
- Optimal Fiscal Policy Under Endogenous Disaster Risk: How to Avoid Wars?, WP 2025-13
- Composition-Adjusted Wage Growth: A Robust Measure from Microdata, WP 2025-14
- Human Capital in a Time of Low Real Rates, WP 2025-15
- The Inherent Nonlinearity in Learning: Implications for Understanding Stock Returns, WP 2025-16
- The Decline of the Variance Risk Premium: Evidence from Traded and Synthetic Options, WP 2025-17
- Skewness and Time-Varying Second Moments in a Nonlinear Production Network: Theory and Evidence, WP 2025-18
- Computing Aggregate Fluctuations of Economies with Private Information, WP 2025-19
- An Institutional Investor in 18th-Century Britain, WP 2025-20
- Britain's Debt Restructuring, 1717-22, WP 2025-21
- Expenditures, Earnings, and Net Worth of the Comédie Française, 1723-1793, WP 2025-22
- One Fed, Many Voices: Coordinated Communication vs. Transparent Debate, WP 2025-23
- Firms and the Gender Wage Gap: A Comparison of Eleven Countries, WP 2025-24
- Joint Child Custody and Interstate Migration, WP 2025-25
- Fertility and Family Labor Supply, WP 2025-26
- Marriage, Labor Supply, and the Dynamics of the Social Safety Net, WP 2025-27
- Measuring the Impact of Property Insurance Premiums on the Mortgage Market, WP 2026-01
- Will Central Clearing Change the Market Structure of U.S. Treasury Repo to Become More Standardized and Trade on an All-to-All Basis?, WP 2026-02
- The Impact of Non-Competes on Wages and Job Tenure: New Evidence from NLSY Data, WP 2026-03
- Eliciting the Marginal Propensity to Consume in Surveys, WP 2026-04
- Job Search, Job Amenities, and the Gender Pay Gap, WP 2026-05
- Taxing Entrepreneurs and Workers: A Linear Optimization Approach for Multidimensional Screening, WP 2026-06
- Sovereign Risk with Endogenous Debt Limits, WP 2026-08
- The Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators: Bridging the Gap with Alternative Labor Data, WP 2026-09
- Making Sense of Labor-Market Indicators Amid Data Imperfections, WP 2026-10
- The Inefficient Markets Hypothesis: A Theory of Casino Capitalism, WP 2026-11
- Rethinking Automation Risk: AI Applicability and Occupational Outcomes, 2019–24, WP 2026-12
- Who’s Earning Doctorates in Economics and What Factors Contribute to Success in This Field?, WP 2026-13
- Neural Attention in Heterogeneous-Agent Economies, WP 2026-14
- Who Opened Federal Reserve Accounts After the 1980 Monetary Control Act?, WP 2026-15
- Crypto Is Coming of Age: The Case of Bitcoin’s Rising Beta, WP 2026-16
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Includes subseries titled: Issues in Financial Regulation, International Finance Discussion Papers, Staff Memoranda, Regional Economic Issues, Staff Studies, Macroeconomic Issues, and Issues in Macroeconomics. Current working papers available from https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/publication-listing?filter_series=18
1975-2026
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
- lcc: HG2401 .W67
- ddc: 332
- oclc: 21566284
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