Favara, Giovanni , Lewis, Kurt F. and Suárez, Gustavo A. "Memo: Probability of Recession Implied by Credit Market Sentiment," in United States. Federal Open Market Committee. "Meeting, March 15-16, 2016," Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes, Transcripts, and Other Documents (March 15-16, 2016) : 1-8. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/677/item/527291/toc/619014 , accessed on May 1, 2024.