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L *?. 3 ; YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT AND MINIMUM WAGES BULLETIN 1657 U. S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Bureau of Labor Statistics 1970 KAISSOOW sVlM t souxh^ S ; c; urR,,»< 'COLL c,toR 'f COPX S, offosn°w YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT AND MINIMUM WAGES BULLETIN 1657 U. S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR George P. Shultz, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Geoffrey H. Moore, Commissioner 1970 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 20402 — Price $1.50 Contents Page i Chapter I. Introduction____________________________________ II 1 Evaluations of Past Experience Chapter II. Experience of the past: the National minimum___ Chapter III. Changes in the Federal minimum wage and the em ployment of young men, 1966-67 ____________________________ III 55 Hiring Standards and Placement of Youth Chapter IV. Survey of hiring requirements and youth employ ment _____________________________________________________ Chapter V. Employment service local office experience in serving teenagers during June 1969 ________________________________ IV 68 78 Expectations and Earnings Chapter VI. Wage expectations_____________________________ Chapter VII. Teenage earnings and family incom e___________ V 30 99 104 The Use of Differential Minimum Wages Chapter VIII. Study of full-time student and learner certification under the Fair Labor Standards A c t_________________________ 107 Chapter IX. State experience with the minimum wage differen tial rates for youth and their effect on employment__________ 121 VI Foreign Experience Chapter X. Youth wage rate schemes in Western Europe and Canada and their effect on youth unemployment______________ Chapter XI. Youth employment and wages in postwar Japan__ 135 163 VII Chapter XII. Summary and conclusions 180 iii Foreword In April 1969, the Secretary of Labor requested the Bureau of Labor Statistics to take the lead in Departmental efforts to study the relationship between minimum wage levels and the youth unemployment problem. The Secretary stated that he “would expect the study to draw upon ex perience throughout the free world; to develop insights through the use of regression analysis with respect to past relationships; to review the experiences and problem of industries employing young people; and to explore such factors as the attitudes of youth, including inner-city youth, toward entry wages.” Special thanks are due the authors of the various chapters: Karl Egge, Thomas W. Gavett, Melvin Goldberg, Harvey R. Hamel, Hyman B. Kaitz, Juliet F. Kidney, Andrew I. Kohen, Solomon B. Levine, John W. Piercey, Norman J. Samuels, Clara F. Schloss, John R. Shea, Gerald G. Somers, Irvin F. Wingeard, Fred A. Zeller. Further information on the authors is given at the beginning of each chapter. In addition, acknowledgement is due Philip Arnow, Director of the Office of Policy Planning and Re search in the Department of Labor, John P. Gould, Special Assistant to the Secretary for Economic Affairs, Neal Q. Herrick, Director of the Office of Planning in the Wage and Labor Standards Administration, and Howard Rosen and Stuart H. Garfinkle of the Office of Manpower Re search in the Manpower Administration for their valued aid and counsel. The Office of Manpower Research was especially helpful in developing and financing the study by the Center for Human Resource Research at the Ohio State University. Within the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the sub stantial help of Sophia C. Travis, of the Office of Manpower and Em ployment Statistics, and Matilda R. Sugg, formerly with the Office of Foreign Labor and Trade, should also be recognized. Thomas W. Gavett, Assistant Commissioner, Office of Wage and Industrial Relations, directed the study, and the results owe much to his energy and initiative. — G e o f f r e y H. M oore Commissioner of Labor Statistics IV CHAPTER I Introduction In the 20-year span between 1948 and 1968, the unemployment rate of youths 16-19 years old 1 increased from 9.2 percent to 12.7 percent. While the unemployment rate of teenagers has always been high compared with that for adults, the ratio of the teenage unemployment rate relative to that of persons age 25 and over has increased from 3.2 percent in 1948 to 5.5 percent in 1968. During those 20 years, the size of the teenage population and labor force has changed signifi cantly, but not smoothly over time. The low birth rates during the Great Depression, fol lowed by unusually high birth rates after World War II, have placed severe pressures upon the economy to cope with these irregular growth patterns. Compounding the effects of irregular growth in the teenage population has been the need to adjust to major shifts in the industrial composi tion of employment for teenagers. The move ment of jobs and people from farm to city has affected teenagers even more than adults. An increasing proportion of teenagers has been en rolled in school, with an attendant increase in the number of young people entering and leav ing the labor market and an increasing number Prepared by Thomas W. Gavett. The author wishes to acknowledge the valuable help of Sophia Travis, Susan Holland, Patricia Smith, Arthur Sackley, and Douglas Fridrich of the BLS staff. Sylvia Weissbrodt prepared the sections on Federal and State law. Footnotes appear on p. 16. Appendix tables appear on pp. 17-29. seeking short-term or part-time employment opportunities. Military manpower requirements have been erratic during the last two decades. The Korean war and the Viet Nam war have placed their demands on youth; uncertainties of the draft have compounded problems of youth employment. The concern over teenage unemployment is not solely a concern over wasted human re sources, though that surely is present. Unem ployment of teenagers represents, in a sense, failures and difficulties in adjusting to the life of work—problems, to be sure, which are not unique to those teenagers who are unemployed. What effects this experience may have on the future careers of teenagers is uncertain, but it is unlikely to be helpful. The relationship be tween unemployment among teenagers and so cial discontent and disorder is another concern present if less frequently voiced. No single factor explains the high rates of unemployment experienced by youth. Imperfect mechanisms for finding out about the world of work and the existence of jobs, uneven changes in population, changes in the composition of de mand, legal restrictions upon the employment of youth, as well as general economic condi tions, have all played a part. One factor that may contribute to the adverse employment experience of youth is the effects of legal minimum wages—the central concern of this study. Since the Fair Labor Standards Act was passed in 1938, the law has been amended periodically to increase the basic minimum under the law from the 25-cent minimum origi nally set in 1938 to $1.60 in 1968. Coverage 1 2 under the law, originally fairly restricted, was not basically changed until the 1960’s. While the minimum wage has been increased and cover age extended during the period that has wit nessed increased unemployment of teenagers, causal relationship has been proved. The effects of the level and coverage of the minimum wage upon youth employment and unemployment in the past requires more careful analysis, not for historical reasons alone, but rather for what implications experience may have for the fu ture. Analytic framework Although a substantial amount of informa tion is available on the labor force experience of youth and on developments in minimum wage legislation, many questions about the relation ship between minimum Wages and the problem of youth unemployment are still to be answered. The following are the issues to which this study has been directed. P a s t e f f e c t s . Have changes in the FLSA had a significant direct effect upon wages paid to teenagers? Have increases in the level of minimum wages and coverage of the law in duced employers to lay off teenagers or avoid hiring teenagers, or to prefer older, more ex perienced workers ? Wages have generally been increasing and we know that minimum wage legislation has had an impact on wages of some workers. Little evidence has been available, however, on the effect of minimum wages on wages paid to teenagers separate from the con sequence of general economic developments. The employment or the unemployment rate of teenagers can be affected by the growth of the relative size of the teenage labor force, the pro portion of teenagers enrolled in school, and other factors. Minimum wage effect on employ ment and unemployment must be separated from these other developments. E m p l o y e r h ir in g p r a c t ic e s . More informa tion is needed about current employer hiring practices. Do employers frequently stipulate a minimum age or educational requirement that excludes some or all teenagers ? Do employers avoid teenagers because they are “unreliable,” or because of legal restrictions on the hiring of teenagers, or because they must pay “too high” a wage? If minimum wage laws have any im pact on employer decisions, we might expect to find that employers have raised age or educa tion hiring requirements as a consequence of recent changes in the law. Further, if there is an effect, differences would exist in employment patterns and hiring practices among employers who are roughly similar—the same area, the same industry, about the same size—but differ with respect to coverage under the law. E x p e c t a t io n s . If young people are looking for and expect to get a wage which is substantially above rates actually paid in the market, the legal minimum would not be a significant factor in explaining unemployment problems of youth. Neither would a lower legal minimum for youth be an effective measure for increasing employ ment of youth if they are unwilling to accept work at that level. Whether or not wage expec tations of youth are affected by the level of the minimum wage requires investigation. Some basis for evaluation of the “reasonableness” of wage expectations would be to compare differ ent teenage groups. Do unemployed teenagers, for example, have wage expectations which are roughly comparable to wages actually received by employed teenagers? Also relevant to know would be whether employed teenagers actually receive wages that are as high as they had ex pected when they looked for a job or whether they had to adjust expectations down to reality. Further, what effect does the experience of being unemployed or of having had a job in the past have on wage expectations of youth? A d v e r se e f f e c t s o f a y o u t h d i f f e r e n t i a l m in im u m . A lower minimum wage for youth were put into effect, and if total employment and total earnings of youth increased, would there be other, undesired effects? Information is needed on the contribution teenagers make to family income, whether the contribution is im portant to the family or not, whether or not the family would suffer if the teenager’s wage rate was lower. Of greater concern is the question of whether youth differential wage would mean a shift of employment opportunities away from other 3 Where wages of youth are substantially below those of adults (whether due to a differential youth minima or other factors), are youth un employment rates proportionately lower? Does foreign experience indicate there would need to be a substantial difference in minimum wages E f f e c t s of e x is t in g d if f e r e n t ia l s u n d er between teenagers and adults to have any sig F e d e r a l l a w . Under present regulations, pay nificant effects on youth employment? Given ments below the Federal minimum are permit differences in custom and institutions, to what ted in the case of students and learners. About extent is foreign experience transferable to the 6,000 establishments have been granted certifi United States? cates to authorize payment of lower wages, but indications are that firms have not fully utilized Changes in the labor force status of youth these exemptions. Does the inability of employ P o p u l a t io n a n d la b o r f o r c e . The population ers to utilize fully exemptions granted reflect of teenagers has not increased gradually in the unwillingness of teenagers to work at lower period World War II. Rather, the effects wages, or employers' unwillingness to employ of low since birth rates during the depression and teenagers? Information on the extent of utiliza major increases that rate during and after tion would also be of interest in assessing the the Second Worldin War have resulted in great effectiveness of this method of creating a spe imbalance in the labor market. cial minimum wage for youth. The civilian noninstitutional population of persons 16- to 19-years old—the group of teen E x p e r ie n c e i n t h e s t a t e s . A number of agers relevant for labor market analysis—in States which have minimum wages exempt creased 62 percent between 1948 and 1968. (See young people or have a separate minimum for table 1.1.) By the late 1940's and early 1950's, the young. Although States generally have minhowever, the effect of depressed birth rates in imums below the Federal, their experience is the 1930's could easily be seen. Teenage popula relevant since they have in the past, and still do, tion decreased from about 8,500,000 in 1948 to cover some industries or establishments exempt 7,900,000 in 1951, teenagers in the latter year from the Federal law. Whether or not differ had been born in the period of especially low ences in the level of minimum wages among the birth rates. By 1956, this 7-percent decrease in States, or differences in treatment of youth teenage population had been offset. In subse under State minimum wage laws, explains dif quent years the effect of increased birth rates ferences in employment experience of youth in during the 1940's began to be felt. In the 5 the various States requires further exploration. years between 1955 and 1960, the teenage popu F o r eig n e x p e r i e n c e . Other nations have not lation increased 22 percent, compared with a had the same experience with youth in the labor 3-percent increase during the preceding 5 years. force as the United States, and other nations do In the following 5 years, this group increased not have comparable systems of minimum wage another 27 percent as the children born in 1946 laws. Basic information on relative rates of un and 1947 reached the age of entrance to the employment for youth, the nature of the legal labor market. Only in the last few years has the effects of minimum wages, and the structure of wages in other countries is needed. An examination of rapid increases in birth rates during the forties the relationship between wages and youth un —an increase from 19.4 live births per 1,000 employment in other countries would provide population in 1940 to a peak of 26.6 in 1947— relevant insights for the United States. Where ceased to dramatically effect the rate of growth youth unemployment rates are relatively low, is of the teenage population. Growth in the years the situation attributable to a differential mini between 1965 and 1970 will be only 12 percent. mum wage for youth or to other factors such as In the decade of the seventies, teenage popula placement methods and customs of work? tion will increase only 10 percent in the first 5 groups to teenagers. Would a youth differential expand opportunities for teenagers only as a consequence of redistributing unemployment to older workers? If so, which group of older workers would be disadvantaged ? 4 Table 1.1 Population, labor force, employment, unemployment, and school enrollment 16- to 19-year olds, both sexes, all races, annual averages [In thousands] Percent change, year to year Year Civilian noninstitutional population 1948_____________ 1949_____________ 1950_____________ 1951_____________ 1952_____________ 1953_____________ 1954_____________ 1955____ ________ 1956________ ____ 1957............... . 1958_____________ 1959_____________ 1960_____________ 1961_____________ 1962_____________ 1963_____________ 1964_____________ 1965_____________ 1966_____________ 1967_____________ 1968_____________ 8,451 8,216 8,145 7,868 7,924 8,014 8,224 8,365 8,434 8,613 8,986 9,619 10,188 10,513 10,653 11,371 12,113 12,931 13,593 13,482 13,698 Civilian labor force 4,435 4,289 4,216 4,105 4,063 4,026 3,976 4,093 4,296 4,276 4,260 4,492 4,840 4,935 4,915 5,138 5,390 5,910 6,557 6,519 6,618 Employed 4,028 3,712 3,703 3,767 3,718 3,719 3,475 3,643 3,818 3,780 3,582 3,838 4,129 4,107 4,195 4,255 4,516 5,036 5,721 5,682 5,780 Unem* ployed 407 575 513 336 345 307 501 450 478 496 678 654 711 828 720 883 872 874 836 838 839 School enroll ment 1 4,152 3,884 4,101 4,099 4,158 4,360 4,675 4,686 4,935 5,148 5,594 6,119 6,416 6,494 6,886 7,765 8,378 8,983 9,303 9,289 9,870 Civilian noninstitutional population -2 .8 -.9 -3 .4 .7 1.1 2.6 1.7 .8 2.1 4.3 7.0 5.9 3.2 1.3 6.7 6.5 6.8 5.1 -.8 1.6 Civilian labor force -3 .3 -1 .7 -2 .6 - 1.0 -.9 -1 .2 2.9 5.0 -.5 -.4 5.4 7.7 2.0 -.4 4.5 4.9 9.6 10.9 -.6 1.5 Employed -7 .8 -.2 1.7 -1 .3 -6 .6 4.8 4.8 - 1.0 -5 .2 7.1 7.6 -.5 2.1 1.4 6.1 11.5 13.6 -.7 1.7 Unem ployed 41.3 -1 0 .8 -3 4 .5 2.7 -1 1 .0 63.2 -1 0 .2 6.2 3.8 36.7 -3 .5 8.7 16.5 -1 3 .0 22.6 -1 .2 .2 -4 .3 .2 .1 School enroll ment -6 .5 5.6 1.4 4.9 7.2 .2 5.3 4.3 8.7 9.4 4.9 1.2 6.0 12.8 7.9 7.2 3.6 -.2 6.3 Civilian labor force partici pation rate 52.5 52.2 51.8 52.2 51.3 50.2 48.3 48.9 51.0 49.6 47.4 46.7 47.5 46.9 46.1 45.2 44.5 45.7 48.2 48.4 48.3 1Total school population in month of October years and 2 percent in the last. Changes in the size of the teenage civilian labor force reflect population changes, though moderated to some extent by a decline in the labor force participation rate of teenagers. The increasing proportion of teenagers enrolled in school is the most important reason for that decline in participation rates. In fact, the par ticipation rate of teenagers enrolled in school has increased in the last 20 years, while it has declined somewhat for those not in school.2 However, the participation rate is much lower for those enrolled in school, and the substantial increase in the proportion of teenagers enrolled has brought the overall participation rate down from about 53 percent in 1948 to 48 percent in 1968.3 In the past two decades the number and pro portion of youths enrolled in school has in creased substantially. The proportion of 16 and 17 year-olds in school rose by one-third, to 90 percent of their population in October 1968, while the percentages for the 18-19 year olds and 20-24 year olds more than doubled to 50 percent and 21 percent, respectively. (See tables A3, A4, and A5.) A somewhat greater proportion of white than teenagers of other races are in school. However, among persons 20-24 years old, a much larger percentage of the whites than others attend school, 22 percent and 14 percent, respectively. Historically, the proportion of girls 18-24 years old enrolled in school (mainly at the col lege level) has been below that for men. The rate of increase between 1947 and 1968 was greater for women than for men, but they still had not reached the high level for men. E m p l o y m e n t a n d u n e m p l o y m e n t . Despite the substantial 49-percent increase in the teen age civilian labor force between 1948 and 1968, compared with an increase of 30 percent for all persons, the economy has absorbed an imposing number of teenagers. Employment of teenagers has increased by 1.8 million, or about 44 per cent, compared with an overall increase in em ployment of 30 percent. The rapid growth in demand for teenagers was not, however, ade quate to absorb the available supply. The unemployment rate for teenagers has al ways been high relative to that of adults. The casual methods teenagers use to find jobs, their frequent entrance to and exit from the labor market, and the limited horizon of their jobsearch activities are major contributing factors. In every year during the postwar period, the unemployment rate of teenagers has been sig nificantly higher than that of persons 25 and 5 over, ranging from about 170 percent higher in 1954 to 450 percent higher in 1968. General economic conditions affect teenagers as they do other workers. The recessions of 1949, 1954, 1958, and 1961 brought marked in creases in the unemployment rate of teenagers. (See table A6.) Since teenage unemployment rates are always higher than those of adults, the story of what has happened to the relative position of teenagers in the United States is better revealed by relating the teenage rates to the rate for persons 25 and over. From 1948 to 1962, the ratio of the teenage jobless rate to that for persons 25 and over fluc tuated between 2.7 and 3.5. Beginning in 1963 the divergence increased markedly. In that year, when the teenage jobless rate rose to 17 percent, the ratio increased to 4 to 1. Since 1963, the gap has continued to widen, reaching a peak of 5.5 to 1 in 1968. (See table 1.2.) In 1963, the relative position of teenagers began to deteriorate markedly as persons born in 1947 entered the labor force. Not surprising is the fact that as they “graduated” to the 20- to 24-year age group in the last 2 years, the rela tive position of that age group has begun to deteriorate. (See table A ll.) C olor -s e x -a g e d i f f e r e n c e s . Population and labor force patterns were similar for white and Negro 4 youth and for males and females in the 16-17 and 18-19 age groups in the period after World War II. Each color-sex group was afTable 1.2. Ratio of unemployment rates, 16 to 19 years, to rate for 25 years and over, annual averages Year 1948__________ 1949__________ 1950__________ 1951__________ 1952__________ 1953............. 1954__________ 1955............. 1956__________ 1957._________ 1958__________ 1959__________ 1960._________ 1961__________ 1962__________ 1963._________ 1964............. 1965__________ 1966__________ 1967__________ 1968__________ Total 3.17 2.79 2.77 2.93 3.54 3.17 2.68 3.06 3.36 3.41 2.84 3.32 3.27 3.11 3.34 4.00 4.26 4.63 4.92 4.92 5.52 All others White Ma,e Female 3.63 2.98 3.02 3.38 4.05 3.43 3.07 3.41 3.58 3.88 3.05 3.56 3.56 3.29 3.59 4.30 4.79 5.04 5.32 6.15 6.44 2.44 2.51 2.38 2.13 2.67 2.67 2.15 2.49 2.87 2.72 2.51 2.81 2.96 2.81 3.04 3.51 3.61 3.93 4.27 3.65 4.38 Total Male Female Total Male Female 3.30 2.89 2.95 3.00 3.77 3.41 2.88 3.25 3.48 3.42 2.82 3.36 3.46 3.19 3.50 4.08 4.35 4.62 4.87 4.58 5.24 3.77 3.09 3.26 3.64 4.40 3.76 3.44 3.77 3.89 4.11 3.14 3.78 3.68 3.41 3.81 4.54 4.90 5.16 5.25 5.63 5.94 2.27 2.13 1.80 2.19 1.98 2.00 1.57 1.70 2.21 2.71 2.25 2.63 2.64 2.39 2.37 3.33 3.52 4.24 4.84 6.43 6.91 2.41 2.54 2.48 2.00 2.68 2.76 2.12 2.46 2.77 2.64 2.40 2.73 3.02 2.79 2.98 3.43 3.55 3.89 4.03 3.35 4.17 2.49 2.35 1.96 2.44 2.33 2.26 1.91 2.08 2.66 2.98 2.63 3.00 2.89 2.66 2.84 3.70 3.79 4.49 5.18 5.57 6.23 2.44 2.84 2.23 2.82 2.98 2.89 2.64 2.78 3.30 3.61 3.42 3.74 3.40 3.14 3.60 4.28 4.21 4.95 5.59 4.93 5.63 fected by erratic changes in birth rates, each had higher unemployment rates than adults, each had substantially higher rates during re cessions, and, beginning in 1963, each experi enced a material deterioration in its position relative to adults in the same color-sex group. Despite these similarities in experience of various groups of teenagers, notable contrasts appear in employment and unemployment de velopments among youths. From 1955 to 1963, no significant or sustained increases in Negro youth employment took place, while employ ment rose 600,000, or 19 percent, for white youth. During this period, the Negro teenager unemployment rate about doubled, compared with a rise of one-half for the white teenage rate. Although employment has increased for Negro youth since 1963, their unemployment has also continued to edge up. In contrast, the number of unemployed white 16-19 year-olds has declined since 1963. In the early 1950’s the Negro teenage rate averaged about one-quarter higher than the white rate. Beginning in the mid-1950’s, the jobless rate of Negro relative to white teenag ers began to further deteriorate, becoming al most double the rate of whites. The economic resurgence since 1964 brought the unemploy ment rate of white teenagers down to 11 from 15 percent, but the Negro rate failed to show comparable improvement. As a consequence, Negro teenage jobless rates ran about 125 per cent higher than the rate for whites during the last 3 years. If we look at white-Negro unemployment rates among teenage males and females sepa rately, we find that the jobless rate is higher for both Negro men and women. In 1968, for exam ple, the rate for Negro teenage males was about 120 percent higher than the rate for whites, and it was almost 140 percent higher for females. (See table A12.) Relative to white teenagers, Negro females have always been worse off than Negro males. In the last two decades, both male and female Negro teenagers have slipped rela tive to whites. The Negro male teenager has slipped even more than the female. His jobless rate, relative to whites, has about doubled; hers has increased about two-thirds. While the Negro male’s relative position has deteriorated more than that of the Negro female, the jobless 6 rate for Negro females still is, in absolute terms or relative to whites, much higher than that of the Negro male. During the 1950’s, the unemployment rate for all teenage males ran about 10 percent higher than the rate for females. Since 1963, however, the situation has been reversed, and the teenage male’s unemployment rate is about 10 percent lower than the female rate. The relative deterio ration in the position of females compared with males has occurred primarily among white fem ales. (See table A12.) The experience of 16-17 and 18-19 year age categories differ from one another. The younger group still heavily represent those in secondary schools in most months of the year and are more apt to be subject to legal or workconnected restrictions. The 18-19 year-olds are largely out of secondary schools, but the boys are subject to draft calls. In the last 20 years, the unemployment rates for 16-17 year-olds has been consistently higher than that of the older teenage group, and the postwar increase in rates was sharper for 16-17 year-olds. The increase in unemployment rates for teenage girls, previously noted, was sharpest in the 18-19 age group. (See tables A7 and A8.) Unemployment rates for Negro 16-17 and 18-19 year-olds closely followed the pattern of their combined total. In both 2-year age groups, the rates for Negroes rose more than that for whites between 1948 and 1963 and declined less afterward. In 1967 and 1968, the Negro rates were about 30 percent for 16-17 year-olds and 23 percent for 18-19 year-olds, both rates more than double those for comparable white age groups. P o v er ty a r e a s . In the poverty neighborhoods5 of the Nation’s 100 largest cities, the teenage unemployment rate was 20 percent in 1968, sub stantially above the national average of 12.7 percent. Only 100,000 unemployed 16-19 yearolds, one-eighth of the U.S. total, lived in these poverty neighborhoods. However, Negro youngsters were a disproportionately large concentration. About one-third of all unem ployed Negro 16-19 year-olds lived in these 100 poverty neighborhoods; the comparable propor tion was only one-fifteenth for white teenagers. These data underscore the widespread nature of the unemployment problem for Negro youth. Negro 16-19 year-olds outside the poverty areas had almost as high an unemployment rate as those in poverty neighborhoods. On the other hand, the poverty area rates for white teenag ers were about 30 percent higher than for whites in the other neighborhoods of large cit ies. Moreover, the employment situation for white youngsters in the poverty areas was much better than for Negro youngsters outside poverty neighborhoods. D u r a t io n m ent. and s e a s o n a l it y of u n em plo y While unemployment rates of young per sons are substantially higher than those for older workers, the duration of unemployment is much shorter. About 55 percent of the teenag ers were unemployed less than 5 weeks during the year, compared with 43 percent of those over age 24.6 Conversely, less than 20 percent of young persons had been unemployed 15 weeks or more during the year compared with 25 percent of persons age 25 and over. Among those who were unemployed, relatively more teenage girls had been jobless for less than 5 weeks compared with males. Unemployment was not only more frequent among Negro than white youths, but relatively more Negroes had been unemployed a total of 15 weeks or more during the year. About 16 percent of the white, but 25 percent of Negro teenagers had been unemployed that long during 1967. The monthly data on teenage unemployment indicate much the same story as the annual work experience data. In 1968, about 63 percent of all unemployed 16-19 year-olds had been seeking work for less than 5 weeks. (See table A17.) Another 28 percent had been jobless 5 to 14 weeks, and the remaining 9 percent had sought work for 15 weeks or longer. The pro portions are not comparable to data from the annual work experience survey, since the latter includes all persons who had been in the labor force anytime during the year—not just the current month—and reports total length of un employment during the year—not just the length of a current spell of unemployment. Almost 75 percent of total teenage unemploy ment in 1968 arose because of entrance or 7 reentrance into the labor force. The largest group of jobless teenagers—330,000 or 39 per cent of the total—were new entrants, persons who had never held a full-time civilian job for 2 weeks or longer. A higher proportion of girls (47 percent) than boys (32 percent) were new entrants. Another 280,000 unemployed 16-19 year-olds (34 percent of the total) were reen tering the labor force—most of them after at tending school. Just over 25 percent of all teenage jobseekers in 1968 were persons who began seeking work immediately after losing or leaving a job. Ap proximately 130,000 (15 percent of all unem ployed teenagers) were seeking work because they had lost their last jobs. Another 100,000 (12 percent of the total) had left their previous jobs and immediately began to look for other employment. During the 1968 school year, teenage jobless ness ranged from about 600, to 775,000, but in June and July it soared to 1.6 and 1.3 million, respectively. (See table A18.) For the entire year, teenage unemployment averaged 840,000, or about 140,000 above the school-year average; virtually all of this difference is accounted for by the summertime increase in those seeking full-time employment. During the school months, an average of 335,000 16-19 year-olds were seeking full-time work; this figure rose to an average of 900,000 for the 3 summer months. In contrast, the number of teenagers seeking part-time jobs was about the same (360,000) during the school year and the sum mer months. Approximately 43 percent of all unemployed teenagers in 1968 were seeking part-time jobs. During the school year this proportion was up to 53 percent. A larger proportion of teenage boys (58 percent) than girls (47 percent) was looking for part-time work during the school months. School enrollment rates are higher for boys and, therefore, they have a greater need to find part-time jobs after school and on the weekends. In the last 20 years, there has been no signifi cant change in the composition of youth unem ployment in the summertime or in the school year. The teenage level during the school year (the 9 months excluding June, July, and Au gust) remained between 86 and 91 percent of the annual average unemployment level throughout the 1948-66 period. Changes in un employment definitions introduced in January 1967 tended to lower the school-year average unemployment level moderately for youth. Con siderably more variation appeared between the June-July unemployment averages (the two high months) and that for the entire year (ranging from about 137 to 169), but no trend is apparent. (See table A19.) Between 1963 and 1966, the proportion of un employed teenagers seeking part-time jobs rose steadily—from 31.4 to 36.1 percent. (See table A20.) This shift resulted from a drop in the number looking for full-time work while the number seeking part-time jobs remained con stant. The substantial rise in school enrollment rates for teenagers since the early 1960,s has been reflected in a rapid increase in part-time employment. For example, from 1963 to 1966, voluntary part-time employment for 16-19 year-olds rose by about 45 percent, while the increase in full-time employment was 25 per cent. In 1966, 41 percent of all employed teenag ers were voluntarily working part time; only 3 years earlier the proportion had been 37 per cent. As would be expected, the proportions working and seeking part-time employment are substantially higher during the school months than for the entire year. Unemployment rates for teenagers seeking full- and part-time work both declined over the 1963-66 period. However, the full-time rate dropped more—from 18.7 to 13.7 percent—and the gap between the full- and part-time rates narrowed somewhat. School-year unemploy ment rates followed the same pattern as the full-year rates. However, the rate for teenagers seeking part-time work was moderately lower during the school months than for the entire year. Changes in concepts make comparisons between 1966 and 1967 impossible, and the overall teenage unemployment picture and its full-time, part-time composition did not change between 1967 and 1968. The composition of teenage employment E m p l o y m e n t b y I n d u s t r y . The most striking change in the industrial composition of employ- 8 for a longer period, as noted below.) Among the 16-19 year-old group, employment is heavily concentrated in retail trade, services, and man ufacturing. In 1968 these three industries em ployed 75 percent of all working 16-19 yearolds. Between 1963 and 1968, the proportion of 16-19 year-olds employed in education and other professional services rose from 9.3 to 12.5 percent, and the proportion in public adminis tration also increase (1.8 to 2.8 percent). Over the same 1963-68 period, the proportion in pri vate household employment declined from 10 to 7.2 percent. (See table 1.3.) In 1968, teenagers made up 7.5 percent of total nonagricultural employment, but they con stituted substantially larger proportions in three industries—retail trade (16 percent), en tertainment and recreational services (22 per cent) and private households (20 percent). Em ployment in private households and small retail trade and service establishments is generally not covered by the Federal minimum wage. Hence, all of the teenagers working as domes tics and babysitters, and many of them em ployed as camp counselors, waiters, waitresses, and sales clerks are exempt from minimum wage provisions. On the other hand, there are ment of teenagers has been the shift out of agriculture. In the late 1940’s, about 20 percent of all employed teenagers worked in agricul ture ; in the 1966-68 period the proportion was down to 7 percent. (See table A21.) Agricul ture, however, still employs a sizable proportion (about 11 percent) of all 16-19 year-old boys. m terms of absolute numbers, teenage em ployment in agriculture fell from about 750,000 in 1948 to 400,000 in 1968. Despite this drop, teenagers have maintained their share of total out the postwar period. In the nonagricultural agricultural employment—10 percent through out the post-war period. In the nonagricultural sector, youth employment fluctuated around the 3 million mark from the late 1940’s until 1959. In 1959 and 1960 teenage employment in non agricultural industries began to rise strongly, reaching 5.4 million in 1968. During the 1966-68 period teenagers were about 7.5 per cent of all nonagricultural workers, up from about 5.5 to 6.0 percent during the 1950’s and early 1960’s. Data on the distribution of 16-19 year-old teenagers among nonagricultural industries are not available except for recent years. (Materi als for the 14-19 year-old group are available Table 1.3. Employed 16-19 year olds by nonagricultural industries, annual average, 1963 and 1968 Industry T o ta l.,-____________ __________________________ 1Not available separately; included under "other professional.' Industrial distribu tion of employed teens Percent of total employed in industry Total Mining___ __________________________________________ Construction................. ................... ............................................. Manufacturing________________________________________ Durables_________________ ____ ___________________ Nondurables______________________________________ Transportation................ ....... _ ______________________ Railroads____ ____________________________________ Other transportation_______________________________ Other utilities__________________________ ________ Trade_______ ___________ _________________________ Wholesale________________________________________ Retail________________ ________________________ Finance____ _________________________________________ Service, __________________________________________ Business and repairs____________ _____ _____ _______ Personal, except private households__________________ Entertainment_______ ____ ______________ _________ _ Medical, except hospitals_______ _______________ ____ Hospitals_____________ _______ ______________ _____ Welfare and religion_______________________________ Education_____________________________ ____ ______ Other professional_________________________________ Forest and fisheries______ _____ ________ __________ Private household_________ _______ ____ ____ ___________ Public administration____________ ____ ______ ______ ____ 1963 1968 Industrial distribu tion of employed teens Male Female Percent of total employed in industry Total Male Female 100.0 7.5 4.0 3.4 100.0 6 .0 3.2 2 .8 0 .2 2.5 5.1 4.8 4.1 5.8 4.3 2.3 4.8 3.2 2.9 3.6 2.3 1.5 2.7 0.4 .3 4.7 3.7 3.5 0.2 1 .6 1 .2 2.2 2 .1 18.8 8.5 10.3 4.0 2 .6 2 .1 1 .0 .8 1.5 2.3 35.5 2.5 33.0 5.6 19.6 3.1 4.1 4.0 3.1 5.1 3.3 .9 3.0 4.7 10.5 3.9 4.3 18.5 9.3 9.2 4.1 .2 1.4 2.4 36.4 2 .2 34.2 4.4 2 2 .0 2.7 3.8 2 .8 1 .6 3.3 .7 5.6 1.3 .1 7.2 2 .8 1 .8 3.5 6 .1 13.9 4.7 15.9 6.6 7.0 6.5 8.3 2 2 .2 5.9 7.0 5.3 5.5 5.3 6.6 19.8 3.5 2.1 8.5 3.3 9.6 1.3 3.1 4.7 3.0 15.2 1 .0 2 .1 2 .2 2.2 2.5 5.5 3.5 1.5 .2 .3 4.0 5.4 1.4 6 .2 5.2 3.9 1 .8 5.2 7.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 3.3 2.9 1.1 16.3 2 .0 2 .8 0) C1) <9 3.6 i5.7 .3 10 .0 1 .8 12 .0 6 .8 5.4 6 .1 6.3 18.7 O) <9 0) 3.6 1 4 .5 9.3 16.5 1.9 1.4 3.2 1.7 .7 1.9 1 .6 .2 2 .2 .7 3.0 4.0 1.7 6.5 2.7 7.3 1.3 2.5 4.3 2.4 13.3 O) 0) <9 1.5 1 1.1 8.5 3.3 .6 1.2 4.6 5.5 2.9 1.7 3.9 5.2 (9 <9 <9 2 .1 13.3 .8 13.2 1.3 9 few teenagers (less than 5 percent of total em ployment) in mining, construction, durable goods manufacturing, and transportation, where minimum wage coverage is almost uni versal. Some perspective on the changes that have occurred in the industrial distribution of em ployment can be gained from the decennial cen sus, though here we include the 14-19 teenage group. After standardizing for changes in the size of the population groups over time, the movement of teenagers out of agriculture is, again, striking. Between 1940 and 1960, the net employment shift out of agriculture among 14-17 year-old boys was about 44 per cent compared with 25 percent for 18-19 yearolds and only 8 percent for all men.7 Among young girls, the shift out of agricul ture was smaller (19 percent for those 14-17 and 4 percent for those 18-19), but the shift out of private household employment was substan tial (about 18 percent during the two decades compared with 10 percent for all women). Al most all of the movement out of household em ployment occurred between 1940 and 1950 as the economy moved from the last years of the depression through World War II and the im mediate postwar periods of expanded job op portunities. Among males, retail trade was particularly affected by the employment shifts. Between 1940 and 1960, the net shift into retail trade was 20 percent for 14-17 year olds and 10 per cent for those 18-19; for all males, there was a slight (0.2) shift out of retail trade. Services and manufacturing also absorbed a dispropor tionate number of young males. A large number of 14-17 year-old teenage girls were also absorbed into retail trade (a net employment shift of 28 percent between 1940 and 1960), and also an appreciable number shifted into services, especially professional and related services (7 percent). Among the older teenage girls, the important sectors of expand ing employment opportunity were finance, in surance, real estate (9.3 percent net shift) and services (6.6 percent). E m p l o y m e n t b y o c c u p a t io n . Teenage employ ment is concentrated primarily in four occupa tions—clerical workers (1.3 million), opera tives, service workers except private household workers (together 1.0 million each), and non farm laborers (800,000). In 1968, these occupa tions included 72 percent of total teenage em ployment, up from 67 percent in 1963. (See table A25.) Between 1963 and 1968, the proportion of teenagers in two low-skilled occupations, farm laborers and private household workers, fell from 17 to 12 percent. There are sharp differ ences in the teenage occupational distribution by sex. Approximately 2.1 million, or 84 per cent, of the girls employed in 1968 worked in clerical, sales, or service jobs. On the other hand, 2.6 million, or 80 percent, of the employed 16-19 year-old boys were in blue-collar, miscel laneous service, or farm laboring jobs. Many teenagers work in the lowest skill occu pations. In 1968, When 16-19 year-olds made up 7.6 percent of total employment, they were roughly 20 percent of all private household workers, farm laborers, and nonfarm laborers. On the other hand, few teenagers are among the skilled craftsmen (2.5 percent) and profes sional and technical workers (1.7 percent). Not surprisingly, youth employment in the manage rial occupations (both farm and nonfarm) is almost nonexistent. Persons under age 20 constituted about 11 percent of the total number of persons on active military duty last year, the lowest percentage in the period since World War II. (See table 1.4.) While the number of young people in active mil itary duty has been higher during war periods, the proportion of military personnel under age 20 has generally been lower during war. The proportion of 18 to 19 year-old men in the Armed Forces has declined since the 1950's. During the early 1950's, when persons born in the depression were in the 18 to 19 group, about 23 percent of the males were in the Armed Forces, compared with 13 percent the last 5 years as the relatively large number of persons born during the 1940's came of age.8 Military service Since June 1948, the military draft has been in continuous existence in the United States.9 During the late 1940's, military personnel on 10 Table 1.4. Military personnel on active duty, inductees, and First Enlistments, 1947-68 [In thousands] Year 18-19 year old male popula tion as of July 1 1947__________ 12,277 1948__________ i 2,254 1949__________ 2,268 1950__________ 2,214 1951__........... 2,125 1952__________ 2,071 1953__________ 2,111 1954__________ 2,148 1955__________ 2,136 1956__________ 2,193 1957__________ 2,264 1958__________ 2,296 1959__________ 2,376 1960__________ 2,530 1961__________ 2,807 1962__________ 2,889 1963__________ 2,815 1964__________ 2,805 3,305 1965____ _____ 1966__________ 3,696 1967__________ 3,592 1968__________ 3,584 Military person nel on active duty as of July 1 1,561 1,462 1,610 1,481 3,279 3,661 3,590 3,331 2,964 2,835 2,823 2,656 2,553 2,531 2,549 2,860 2,749 2,748 2,698 3,140 3,449 3,593 Military First induc enlist tees in ments year in year ending ending June 30 June 30 (2> <2> (2> ( 2) 587 379 564 265 215 137 180 127 111 90 60 158 74 151 103 340 299 340 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) (2> 630 510 343 329 440 371 303 271 309 324 360 385 328 345 318 548 483 513 Military person nel under age 20 on active duty as of July 1 536 355 417 266 464 490 464 455 545 575 590 435 407 427 423 453 379 355 374 493 668 403 Military person nel under age 20 as percent of all military person nel 34.3 24.3 25,9 18,0 14.2 13.4 12.9 13.7 18.4 20.3 20.9 16.4 15.9 16.9 16.6 15.8 13.8 12.9 13.9 15.7 19.4 11.2 Military person nel under age 20 as percent of male popula tion 18-19 23.5 15.7 18,4 12,0 2 1 .8 23.7 2 2 .0 21.1 25.5 26.2 26.1 18.9 17.1 16.9 15.1 15.7 13.5 12.7 11.3 13.3 18.6 11 .2 1 Excludes Alaska and Hawaii. 2 Not available. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Current Population Report, Series P-25, U.S. Department of Defense, Office of the Secretary, Annual Report, Selected Manpower Statistics, Bureau of the Census, Statistical Abstract. active duty averaged about 1.5 million; the number rose to about 3.5 million during the Ko rean war. From the mid-lDSO's to the mid1960’s, slightly more than 2.5 million were on active duty; the number again approached 3.5 million in the last 3 years as a consequence of the Viet Nam war. Inductions into the military service reached a peak during the Korean war—587,000 were drafted in 1951, then gradually dropped to a low of 60,000 in 1961, and rose again in the last 3 years to an average of about 325,000 induc tees. Enlistments into the armed forces have roughly paralleled draft calls. Since the mid-lOSO's, the age of persons drafted has been on the average in the low 20’s. According to U.S. Department of Defense data, the average age of inductees was slightly more than 22 from 1956 through 1966, but in the last few years, average age has been closer to 20. (See table A26.) Persons enlisting in the Armed Forces for the first time have generally been younger than inductees. Their average age had been about 18 and one-half years from 1956 to 1964, but in the last 3 years has averaged slightly more than 19 years of age. (See table A26.) According to available evidence, military service has not posed any greater burden upon the young today than was true during the Ko rean war. In fact, the burden is smaller relative to the size of their population. The uncertainty of when or whether young men would be drafted has frequenlty been cited, however, as a reason for employment problems in the civilian labor market. A supplement to the Current Population Sur vey in October and November 1964 provides some information on this problem.10 The sur vey covered civilian males, 16- to 34-years old. About 15 percent of those who had not entered the military and were not attending school full time claimed that they had been told by an em ployer that they could not be hired because they might be drafted. Males in the 19-21 year-age group reported a negative employer response more frequently than others, though among males classified 1-A, the proportion reporting a negative experience continued to increase through the 22-25 yearold group. (The latter had, of course, a longer exposure to the labor market and, hence, a greater possibility of a negative experience.) Those who had not completed high school re ported a negative experience less frequently (8 percent) and those who had some college train ing but had not graduated reported a negative experience most often (25 percent). This pat tern held true when standardized for age as well as for all age groups combined. The overall proportion of'veterans reporting a similar experience before entering the service was about the same, though veterans who were college graduates and who entered the service in their twenties reported a negative experience more frequently than their counterparts who had not entered the m ilitary. A substantial minority (about 30 percent) of the group covered by the survey expressed the belief that uncertainty over whether they would be drafted had caused them difficulties. The question asked however, did not specify employ ment problems as distinct from school or per sonal problems. 11 In general, the survey only indicates that about 15 percent of the group had been refused employment due to the possibility of the draft, and that the problem was more common among the better educated and among the most “draftable”—those classified 1-A and 19 years of age or over. A 1964 survey of 190 local public employment offices providing special placement services for high school graduates and dropouts indicated that 26 percent of the offices contacted reported no employer discrimination on the basis of mili tary status and 61 percent reported that less than 25 percent of the employers in the area discriminated. Twenty-seven percent of the offices reported that the draft had no significant effects on the ability of young men to find work; only 12 percent reported a great effect. Similar results were reported in a survey of offices per forming regular Employment Service functions.11 Whether or not the results of these surveys conducted in 1964 would hold true in the recent years of higher draft calls and greater involve ment in Viet Nam is uncertain. The Fair Labor Standards Act The Fair Labor Standards Act was signed July 25, 1938, and became effective on October 24 of that year. The law provided for an initial minimum wage of 25 cents, required payment of time and one-half for hours in ex cess of 44 a week, and set 16 as the minimum age for general employment in establishments producing goods for shipment or delivery in in terstate commerce. If each occupation was de clared hazardous by the Secretary of Labor, the minimum age for employment was 18. Employ ment of 14- and 15-year olds was permitted out side school hours in a few occupations. The original act provided for increases in the basic minimum to 30 cents in 1939 and to 40 cents in 1945, and required payment of pre mium overtime rates after 42 hours in 1939 and 40 hours in 1940. Special industry committees, could recommend rates above the 30-cent limit, but not more than 40 cents, prior to 1945. H is t o r y . Table 1.5. Minimum wage and maximum hours levels under the Federal Fair Labor Standards Act Minimum wage Maximum hours Effective date covered October 24,1938.... .......... October 24, 1939__ ___ _ _ October 24, 1940................. October 24, 1945..______ $0.25 .30 .75 March 1,1956__________ 1.0 0 September 3, September 3, September 3, September 3, 1961__ ____ 1963........... 1964. ____ 1965_______ 1.15 1.25 1967________ 1968________ 1969. . _____ 1970 ............. 1971 _ _ 1:40 1.60 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 44 42 40 Enactment date i June 1938 .40 January 25, 1950________ February February February February February newly covered newly covered covered V1 October 1949 August 1955 $1.0 0 May 1961 44 42 40, 1.15 1.25, 1.0 0 1.15 1.30 2 1.45 21.60 -X - 2 44 2 40 242 September 1966 1An amendment enacted June 26, 1940, authorized special industry committees to recommend rates above the then 30-cent legal minimum, but not above 40 cents, permitting those industries to reach the 40-cent minimum rate before October 24, 1945, when that rate would become effective, generally, for all covered employment. The industry committees were predominantly in the apparel and textiles industries. 2 Not applicable to newly covered farm workers. Initially, coverage of the law was re stricted. Government, agriculture, and retail trade were virtually excluded, as well as most of the service industry and more than half of con struction. The law also contained many exemp tions for workers based on the industries or oc cupations in which they were employed. In ad dition, it excluded establishments not engaged in interstate commerce or in the production of goods for commerce or activities necessary for such operations. In all, about half of the nonsupervisory workers in the private Sector were covered by the law. (See table 1.5.) Though the law was, practically nullified by inflation and rapidly rising money wages dur ing and immediately after World War II, the basic minimum under the law was not changed until 1950 when the minimum was raised to 75 cents. Although coverage provisions were amended to incorporate clarifications of the lan guage and to include only those workers “closely related and directly essential” rather than those “necessary” to the production of goods for in terstate commerce, the coverage changes were negligible. In 1956, the minimum wage became $1 an hour, but coverage was not changed. Prior to the 1960’s, increases in the number of persons covered by the law was attributable to employment growth or shifts of employment from sectors not covered by the law to others, 12 such as the shift out of agriculture; changes in the law itself were not important. In 1961, Congress substantially expanded coverage by including all employees of an enter prise that had some employees engaged in inter state commerce or the production of goods for interstate commerce. Dollar volume tests were established as a basis for enterprise coverage. As a consequence, the number of persons cov ered in retail trade, construction, and public transit increased substantially. The proportion of nonsupervisory employees covered by the law had been increased to about 60 percent from 50 percent. The 1961 amendments also increased the basic minimum to $1.15 in 1961 and to $1.25 in 1963. Newly covered workers were granted a minimum wage of $1, which was raised in two steps to $1.25 by September 1965. Even more extensive than the 1961 amend ments, the 1966 amendments to the law brought a half-million workers on large farms under coverage of the law. Also hospitals and schools, whether public or private; nursing homes; laundries; and many hotels, motels, and res taurants were brought under coverage. Fur ther, the enterprise sales test was dropped from the $1 million under the 1961 amendments to $500,000 in 1967 and to $250,000 in 1969. As a consequence, nonsupervisory workers subject to the law increased from approximately 60 per cent in the private sector under the 1961 amendments to over 75 percent.11 In addition to the extensions of coverage, the 1966 amendments raised the minimum wage to $1.40 in 1967 and $1.60 in 1968 for workers previously covered and set a minimum of $1 for newly covered workers effective February 1, 1967, to be raised by 15-cent intervals each year until $1.60 is reached in 1971. (The minimum wage for agricultural workers stopped at the $1.30 reached in 1969.) M i n i m u m w a g e s a n d e a r n in g s o f w o r k e r s . While the basic minimum wage has increased more than six fold since 1938, during the same period, a substantial increase has taken place in money wage levels. In manufacturing, where monthly records on earnings extending far back in time, the minimum wage was about 41 per cent of average hourly earnings when the law first became effective in October 1938. (See table A28.) The following year the minimum wage rose to about 48 percent of average hourly earnings. By the time of the scheduled increase in the minimum to 40 cents in 1945, increases in average hourly wages had made the new mini mum relatively no more meaningful than the original 25 cents. The changes in the basic mini mum after the 1940’s have kept the minimum at about 50 to 55 percent of average hourly earn ings in manufacturing in the month when the change was effective. Table 1.6. Proportion of earnings covered by the Federal minimum wage, 1947-681 Basic minimum wage as a percent o f2 Year 1947________ 1948________ 1949________ 1950 e_______ 1951________ 1952........ . 1953________ 1954........ . 1955________ 1956 3______ 1957________ 1958________ 1959________ 1960________ 1961 s_______ 1962________ 1963 «_______ 1964________ 1965________ 1966................ 1967e_______ 1968 e_______ Average hourly earnings private nonfarm Total compen sation per man-hour private nonfarm 35.4 32.7 31.4 56.2 51.7 49.3 46.6 45.5 43.4 53.2 52.9 51.3 49.5 47.8 49.1 51.8 51.9 53.0 51.0 48.8 53.8 55.6 31.3 28.7 27.9 49.6 45.5 43.1 40.8 39.5 38.1 46.0 43.4 41.9 40.1 38.5 40.9 43.1 42.9 43.3 41.8 39.5 41.5 44.0 Minimum wages as a Minimum wages as a percent of average percent of average hourly earnings hourly earnings weighted by industry weighted by industry teenage employment total employment and proportion of and proportion total employment covered 8 private nonfarm covered * private nonfarm 20.3 19.1 18.0 32.3 30.1 28.4 26.9 25.8 24.8 30.7 29.8 28.3 27.3 26.2 28.3 32.8 32.5 33.4 32.5 31.5 39.2 42.6 <6) (») <8> (6) (6) (6) (6) 18.2 17.6 21.0 20.2 18.4 18.1 17.8 21.0 27.7 27.1 27.7 27.1 26.7 36.9 40.1 1 In years when the minimum wage changed, the rate used in the calculations was weighted by the number of months it was in effect. For example in 1968, $1.40 was in effect 1 month and $1.60 for 11 months, a weighted average rate of $1.58. 2 The basic minimum refers to the single rate provided under law prior to 1961 and, since 1961, to the rate applicable to previously covered workers. 3 Calculated, as follows: e [i [(m • -) +on • -)I where: E=payroll employment. A HE— average hourly earnings. MP=basic minimum wage. MN— minimum wage for newly covered workers. disproportion of nonsupervisory employees covered by the basic minimum, disproportion of nonsupervisory employees covered by the rate applicable to newly covered workers. ismajor industry division (wholesale and retail trade treated as separate divisions). tstotal private nonfarm economy. 4 Calculations are the same as in footnote 3 except that employment data refer to the 14-19 age group only. Employment data are not strictly comparable to that for all workers since it comes from household rather than payroll records and because govern ment employment not classified as public administration is included in the other divi sions; private households were excluded. 6 Not available. 6 Denotes years when basic minimum wage was changed. There were also changes for newly covered workers in 1964 and 1965. 13 As in manufacturing, minimum wages have, in the year the change was effective, averaged slightly over 50 percent of average hourly earn ings in the private nonfarm sector as a whole in the postwar period. The constant rise in money wages in the intervening years, however, con stituted a partial repeal of the effective mini mum wage level. The 75-cent minimum effective in 1950, for example, was 56 percent of average hourly earnings. The rapid rise in wages during and after the Korean war brought the percen tage down to 43 in 1955. (See table 1.6.) The comparison between the basic minimum wage and average hourly earnings both over states and understates what has happened to the legal minimum compared with actual earn ings. The comparison is overstated in that it does not take into consideration the increasing importance of supplements to compensation, such as pensions, health insurance plans, and so forth. Studies indicate that low-wage firms and industries pay out less in the form of fringe benefits than do high-wage firms and industries. Only legally required payments such as social security and unemployment compensation are common in low-wage sectors. Since workers paid at or near the legal mini mum rate are less likely to receive fringe bene fits, comparisons are more properly made to total compensation (including fringes) per man-hour rather than earnings alone. In the private nonfarm economy, the minimum wage was 44 percent of total compensation per man hours in 1968 compared with 49.6 percent in 1950 when the 75-cent minimum was made effective, a decline of 11.3 percent in the pro portion. When the comparison was restricted to earnings alone, the comparable figures indi cated a more modest decline of 1.1 percent. The comparisons between minimum wages and average hourly earnings or total compensa tion per man-hour understates minimum wage developments in that they take no note of the significant expansions of coverage that occurred in 1961 and 1967. Nor do previous comparisons note that, since 1961, two minimum wage rates have been applicable to different groups of workers. When applicable minimum wages are com puted as a percent of average hourly earnings in each major industry division and weighted by the proportion of workers covered by the applicable minimum and the employment in the industry division, we find a substantial rise in the effectiveness of minimum wage laws. The method of calculation can be illustrated with the following hypothetical example. Sup pose there are only two industry divisions in the country and the following facts are known: Proportion of total employ- A verage m ent in all earn ings Indus industries hourly try (In percent) A . . . ___ 40 B ___ ___ 60 Total . 100 P roportion of nonsupervisory work force in industry covered by — ---------------------------------------------------------------------- $1.60 m inimum $2.50 3.50 60 90 $1.30 M iniNo mum m inimum (In percent) 20 10 20 .................. Total 100 100 The minimum wage as a percent of earnings weighted by coverage and industry employment would be: = .464 or 46.4 percent. Measured this way, minimum wages effectively rose from about 32 percent of earnings in 1950 to 43 in 1968 after taking coverage and all ap plicable minimums into account—a 32-percent increase in the proportion compared with a 1percent decline when coverage was ignored and only the basic minimum wage considered. If total compensation were considered, as well as coverage, the estimated effective in crease in the proportion between 1950 and 1968 would have been about 18 percent.12 M in i m u m w a g e s a n d d is t r ib u t io n o f t e e n a g e A disproportionately large num ber of teenagers are employed in the trades and services which have been especially affected by the 1961 and 1966 amendments to the law. We have no exact information on the number of teenagers who work in establishments covered by the FLSA or on the relationship between their wage rates and the level of the minimum wage. An approximation of the effects of expansion in coverage can be made, however, if we com pute, as before, minimum wages as a percen- em plo ym en t. 14 tage of average hourly earnings in each major division and weight by the proportion of work ers covered by the applicable minimums, but use the proportion of teenage employment in each division rather than the proportion of total employment. The significant comparison is between the data using teenage and that using total employ ment. Averaging the years 1954 to 1960, teen age employment weights give us an estimate of minimum wages as a percentage of earnings of approximately 19 percent compared with about 28 percent when total employment is used. While the teenage employment weights yield a figure about 68 percent as large for 1954-60, it rose to about 82 percent for 1961-66 and 94 percent for 1967-68. The estimates are not precise: they do not take into consideration the shift of teenagers out of agriculture and they do not account for the proportion of teenagers employed in small establishments not covered by FLSA. The only important point, however, is that percent changes in coverage under the law are apt to have had more influence on teenagers than on older, workers. Federal law The basic Federal law governing the employ ment of children and youth is contained in the FLSA and in the orders and regulations issued under that law. Minors under the age of 16sare subject to Federal restrictions on occupations and time pe riods for work. In general, the FLSA sets a basic minimum age of 16 for employment, but permits 14- and 15-year olds to work outside school hours in certain occupations and under restricted conditions with respect to maximum working hours and nightwork as set forth in Child Labor Regulation 3. In agricultural em ployment, minors under 16 may not be em ployed during school hours or at any time in an occupation declared hazardous by the Secretary of Labor. Two other Federal laws govern the employ ment of minors under 16. The Walsh-Healey Public Contracts Act includes a prohibition on the employment of minors under 16 in work performed under a U.S. Government contract in excess of $10,000. The Sugar Act deals with the cultivation or harvesting of sugarbeets or su garcane. To qualify for maximum Federal bene fits under this law, producers may not employ children under 14, or permit those of 14 or 15 to work more than 8 hours a day. On reaching his 16th birthday, a youth is re leased from all Federal restraints on his em ployment except for an 18-year employment age in nonagricultural occupations declared particu larly hazardous by the Secretary of Labor under FLSA, and except for any indirect effect of the age certification program. Although there is no Federal requirement for proof-of-age cer tificates or work permits for minors of any age, under a cooperative program between the De partment of Labor and the States, as set forth in Child Labor Regulation 1, State certificates are accepted as proof of age under FLSA, and employers are urged to obtain an age certificate for every minor claiming to be under 18 before employing him in any occupation, and for every minor claiming to be 18 or 19 before em ploying him in a nonagricultural occupation de clared hazardous. The Secretary has issued 17 hazardous occu pations orders establishing an 18-year mini mum for employment in occupations involving: Manufacture or storage of explosives Occupations of motor-vehicle driver and outsider helper Coal mining Logging and sawmilling Power-driven woodworking machines* Exposure to radioactive substances and to ionizing radiation Operation of elevators and other power-driven hoisting apparatus Power-driven metal forming, punching, and shear ing machines* Mining, other than coal Slaughtering, meat-packing or processing, or rend ering* Power-driven bakery machines Power-driven paper-products machines* Manufacture of brick, tile, and kindred products Circular saws, band saws, and guillotine shears* Wrecking, demolition, and shipbreaking Roofing* Excavation* * Apprentices and student-learners are exempted under specified conditions. 15 FLSA does not preempt State jurisdiction in the regulation of child and youth employment; on the contrary the act specifically preserves State law, thus permitting dual coverage. Whenever both Federal and State law apply to the same employment, the higher (more strin gent) standard must be observed, whether Fed eral or State. State law Every State has a child labor law, its initial enactment having predated the Federal law by several decades. Youth employment is also af fected by State compulsory school attendance laws and by specific provisions in other types of State laws, primarily those dealing with alco holic beverage control, hours and nightwork regulated by orders issued under minimum wage programs in a few States, double-award requirements under workmen's compensation, mining, occupational licensing, and restrictions on women's working hours. Broadly speaking, the child labor laws fall into a pattern for this age group, although con siderable variation exists among State. The most common standards relate to employment certificate (or work permit) requirements; min imum employment ages during and outside school hours, as well as in manufacturing, in nonmanufacturing, and in hazardous or detri mental occupations; maximum daily and weekly hours and days per week; and restrictions on nightwork. Many of the State provisions are less restrictive than comparable Federal re quirements. Several States also have special provisions regulating employment in agricul ture, street trades, messenger work, or public performances. About one-fourth of the States do not impose any general restraints on employment once the youth has attained age 16. But in the other States protective restrictions or requirements of one or more types are in effect. These deal with employment- or age-certificate require ments, prohibitions on hazardous work, and limitations on maximum hours and/or night work. About a third of the States have re straints of all such types. Most prevalent are limitations on maximum working hours, which are distinctively State in origin for this age group, without Federal equivalents. Twenty-seven States, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico have hours limits for boys and girls; three, for girls only. In 11 other States girls of 16 and 17 are subject to hours restrictions by virtue of laws applicable to fem ales as such. The most common limitation is an 8-hour day, 48-hour week, and a 6-day week. In a number of States more restrictive provisions apply to those attending school. Similarly without Federal equivalents are the State nightwork restrictions, in effect in 20 States, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico for boys and girls, and in three for girls only. The mandatory quitting time is often later for boys than for girls, or for those not attending school, or on nights preceding nonschool days or during school vacation. Although the most common curfew is 10 p.m., a few laws have earlier cur fews for girls, and several have later ones for boys and girls or for boys only. Employment certificates are required by 20 States, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico. In most of these jurisdictions the minor is re quired to obtain a prior promise of employment from the employer, and in 12 he must also pre sent a certificate of physical fitness. Less com plex procedures are in effect in six other States, where only age certificates are mandatory. Twenty-four States and Puerto Rico have es tablished an 18-year entrance age in a consider able number of hazardous occupations, as speci fied by law and/or regulation. State lists of such occupations are usually less restrictive than the Federal counterparts, but a few are more restrictive or bar certain employment that presents a moral or emotional hazard rather than a physical danger. The workmen's compensation laws of a third of the States provide for the payment of extra compensation (usually double) to a minor who is injured while illegally employed. Under most of these laws, the employer is specifically liable for the additional compensation; it is not insur able. While not in itself a restriction on lawful employment, this type of requirement might af fect employer practices. 16 There is no Federal law governing compul sory school attendance; this is a matter regu lated by State law. All States but one have com pulsory school attendance laws. Attendance is usually required between the ages of 7 and 16, but eight States have statewide full-time at tendance requirements until age 17 and four others until age 18. However, in most of these latter States children of 14, 15, or 16 may be excused for purposes of employment. Even in States which require attendance only until the age of 16, many permit children below this age to be exempted from further attendance under a variety of circumstances related to employ ment, economic need, educational attainment, uneducability, discipline, handicap, or other particular conditions. State restraints generally cease when the youth reaches his 18th birthday, except for the age provisions in Alcoholic Beverage Control Laws, which usually establish age 21 as the minimum in occupations involving the selling or serving of alcoholic beverages or ages 18 to 21 in places that sell or serve such beverages. Hours or other types of age restrictions exist in only a very few States or affect only individual occupations of a special nature. -F O O T N O T E S1In this study, the terms “teenager” and “youth” are used interchangeably. Unless otherwise stated, both terms refer to the 16-19 age group. 2See S ta tis tic s on M an po w er, a supplement to the Manpower Report of the President, U.S. Department of Labor, 1969, P. 33. 3 Significantly, in October 1968, a majority of both employed and unemployed teenagers for the first time, were enrolled in school. See table A-29. 4Data refer to Negro and other races. Negroes con stitute over 90 percent of the total in this group. 5Poverty neighborhoods include the lowest quartile of census tracts (based on 1960 Census data) in SMSA’s of 250,000 inhabitants or more, ranked in terms of income, education, skills, housing, and broken families. See table A-13. 9 See tables A-14, A-15, and A-16, Data on work ex perience of the population in 1968 were not available at the time this report was written. 7 See table A-24. Net employment shift between two time periods for any group is : Et — ^-L , where E = employment, i = industrv, Et t = total, and the prime (') represents the later time period. 8 The comparison given in the last column of table 1.4 is not strictly proper. Seventeen year-old males can enlist with parents’ permission as is true of girls under age 21. As of March 1969, fewer than 40,000 women of all ages were in the Armed Forces. 9The World War II draft act expired March 31, 1947 and the draft was reinstated June 24, 1948. No persons were drafted, however, from late 1945 to 1948. 10The results of the study, financed by the Depart ment of Defense, were included in appendix D of the manuscript, M eetin g O u r M ilita ry M a n p o w er N e e d s , U.S. Department of Defense. 11 See table A-27 for detailed estimates for 1969. 12Historical data on total compensation per man-hour by industry division is not currently available. An ap proximate calculation can be made from the materials in table 1.6. For 1968, for example, minimum wages as a percent of compensation weighted by coverage would be (44.0/55.6) (42.6) = 33.7: Appendix Tables Table A -1 . Population, labor force, employment, unemployment, and school enrollment 16- to 19-year olds, both sexes, white, annual averages [In thousands] Civilian labor force partici pation rate Percent change, year to year Year Civilian noninstitutional population 1955...................... 1956_____________ 1957_____________ 1958_____________ 1959......................... 1960................ ......... 1961_______ _____ 1962_____________ 1963_______ _____ 1964______ .. 1965......... ............. . 1966_____________ 1967_____________ 1968_____________ 7,293 7,346 7,505 7,844 8,432 8,924 9,212 9,344 9,979 10,618 11,320 11,863 11,683 11,841 Civilian labor force 3,597 3,771 3,774 3,759 4,000 4,276 4,361 4,354 4,558 4,784 5,265 5,828 5,748 5,839 Employed 3,226 3,387 3,373 3,217 3,475 3,701 3,692 3,774 3,850 4,076 4,562 5,176 5,113 5,195 Unem ployed 371 384 401 542 525 575 669 580 708 708 703 651 635 644 School enroll ment 1 (2) <2) <2) ( 2) 5,442 5,694 5,777 6,172 6,872 7,415 7,921 8,177 8,107 8,599 Civilian noninstitutional population .7 2.2 4.5 7.5 5.8 3,2 1.4 6.8 6.4 6.6 4.8 -1 .5 1.4 Civilian labor force 4.8 .1 -.4 6.4 6.9 2.0 -.2 4.7 5.0 10.1 10.7 -1 .4 1.6 Employed 4.9 -.4 -4 .6 8.0 6.5 -.2 2.2 2.0 5.9 11.9 13.5 -1 .2 1.6 Unem ployed 3.5 4.4 35.2 -3 .1 9.5 16.3 -1 3 .3 22.1 -.7 -7 .4 -2 .5 1.4 School enroll ment 49.3 51.3 50.3 47.9 47.4 47.9 47.3 46.6 45.7 45.1 46.5 49.1 49.2 49.3 <2) ( 2) <2) ( 2) 4.6 1.5 6.8 11.3 7.9 6.8 3.2 -.9 6.1 1Total school population in month of October. 2 Not available. 17 18 Table A -2 . Population, labor force, employment, unemployment, and school enrollment 16- to 19-year olds, both sexes, Negroes and other races, annual averages [In thousands] Percent change, year to year Year Civilian noninstitutional population 1955_____________ 1956_____________ 1957____________ 1958_____________ 1959_____________ 1960_____________ 1961_____________ 1962_____________ 1963_____________ 1964_____________ 1965_____________ 1966_______ _____ 1967_____________ 1968_____________ 1,072 1,087 1,108 1,143 1,188 1,263 1,301 1,309 1,392 1,496 1,610 1,731 1,801 1,858 Civilian labor force Unem ployed Employed 495 527 503 504 491 566 572 561 579 606 644 729 771 779 417 431 407 366 363 428 414 420 403 441 475 544 569 585 School enroll ment 1 78 96 96 138 128 138 158 141 176 165 169 185 204 195 ( 2) <2> ( 2) ( 2) 676 722 717 714 893 963 1,062 1,126 1,182 1,271 Civilian noninstitutional population Civilian labor force 6 .5 -4 .6 1.4 1.9 3.2 3.9 6.3 3.0 .6 6.3 7.5 7.6 7.5 15.3 1.1 -1 .9 3.2 4 .7 6 .3 13.2 5 .8 4 .0 23.1 43.8 -7 .2 7 .8 14.5 -1 0 .8 24.8 -6 .3 2 .4 9 .5 10.3 -4 .4 3 .4 -5 .6 - 1 0 .1 - .8 17.9 -3 .3 1 .4 -4 .0 9 .4 7 .7 14.5 4 .6 .2 -2 .6 1.0 3.2 Unem ployed Employed 2.8 Civilian labor force partici pation rate School enroll ment 46.2 48 .5 45 .4 44.1 41 .3 4 4 .8 4 4 .0 4 2 .9 41 .6 40 .5 40.0 42.1 42 .8 4 1 .9 ( 2) 6 .8 - .7 -.4 25.1 7 .8 10.3 6 .0 5 .0 7 .5 1Total school population in month of October. 2 Not available. Table A -3 . School enrollment as percent of population all persons 16- to 24-years old, by age and sex October of 1947, 1957, and 1965-68 16 to 19 years 16 and 18 and 17 years 19 years Total ALL PERSONS, BOTH SEXES 1968__________________ 1967__________________ 1966__________________ 1965_______ __________ 1957__________________ 1947__________________ 71.2 69.3 68.2 67.8 59.2 46.5 90.2 88.8 88.5 87.4 80.5 67.6 50.3 47.6 47.2 46.3 34.9 24.3 21.4 22.0 19.9 19.0 14.0 10.2 MALE 1968__________________ 1967__________________ 1966__________________ 1965__________________ 1957__________________ 1947__________________ 77.3 75.3 74.6 72.9 65.5 50.8 91.7 90.9 89.9 88.0 82.8 67.6 60.4 56.3 57.8 55.6 43.3 31.4 30.5 30.6 29.2 27.6 21.3 17.0 FEMALE 1968__________________ 1967__________________ 1966__________________ 1965__________________ 1957__________________ 1947__________________ 1 Not available. 65.4 63.6 62.1 62.8 53.6 42.5 88.7 86.7 87.1 86.9 78.1 67.5 41.2 40.3 37.7 37.7 28.1 18.5 14.3 15.1 12.4 11.8 8.2 3.9 22 to 20 and 21 years 24 years 31.2 33.3 29.9 27.6 O) O) 45.0 44.3 41.4 37.6 O) O) 21.5 24.9 20.9 19.5 O) O) 20 to 24 years 16 to 19 years 20 to 24 years Year and sex Total Table A -4 . School enrollment as percent of population white person 16- to 24-years old, by age and sex, October of 1947, 1957, 1965-68 13.8 13.6 13.2 13.2 (0 <9 20.4 21.0 21.3 21.1 0) (0 8.3 7.4 6.6 6.5 <9 (9 Year and sex WHITE PERSONS, BOTH SEXES ____ 1968________ 1967__________________ 1966__________________ 1965 1957 1947 _____ ____ Total 71.8 69.9 68 .8 68.3 16 and 18 and 17 years 19 years Total 50.9 48.3 48 .2 47.1 34.6 24.8 22.4 22.9 21.3 20.2 14.7 10.5 61.4 57.1 59.0 56.6 4 4 .0 32.6 32 .5 32.2 31.6 29.8 22 .9 17.4 41 .3 40.9 38.6 38.3 27 .0 18.3 14.6 15.4 12.9 12.2 8 .3 4 .1 90.8 89.4 89.0 87.8 _______________ _______________ __________ <9 <l> _______________ _______________ _____________ _______________ 78.0 76.0 75.3 73.6 92.1 91.4 90.3 88.6 MALE 1968 1967 1966 1965__________________ 1957 1947__________________ FEMALE 1968__________________ 1967__________________ 1966__________________ 1965__________________ 1957__________________ 1947__________________ 1 Not available. (0 0 0 ) ) 65 .8 64.2 62.6 63 .0 (0 (0 <9 0 0 ) ) 89.4 87 .4 87.6 87 .0 <9 <9 20 and 22 to 21 years 24 years 32.8 34 .8 32 .2 29.4 0 0 ) ) 47 .8 4 6 .9 4 4 .9 39.9 <9 0 ) 14.5 14.1 14.0 14.1 0 21 .9 22 .0 23 .0 23.3 <9 0 22.3 25.6 22.3 20 .9 0) <9 ) <9 ) 8.2 7 .4 6 .3 6.6 (9 h 19 Table A -5 . School enrollment as percent of population, Negroes and other races 16- to 24-years old, by age and sex, October of 1947, 1957 and 1965-68 Table A -7 . Unemployment rates, 16 to 17 year olds, annual averages, by color and sex All other White 16 to 19 years Year 20 to 24 years Total Male Female Year and sex Total 16 and 18 and 17 years 19 years Total 20 and 22 to 21 years 24 years NEGROES AND OTHER RACES, BOTH SEXES 1968__________________ 1967__________________ 1966__________________ 1965__________________ 1957__________________ 1947__________________ 67.7 65.2 64.0 64.3 0) <0 86.8 85.1 85.4 84.6 0) (0 46.8 42.8 40.0 40.1 36.7 20.2 14.0 15.3 10.2 10.2 8.8 6.9 MALE 1968____________ ____ _ 1967__________________ 1966_______ _____ ____ 1965__________________ 1957__________________ 1947_______ __________ 72.5 71.0 69.7 67.4 0) 0) 88.9 88.0 87.2 83.3 0) (0 53.7 50.6 49.1 47.5 38.5 20.7 16.3 18.7 12.3 11.7 10.3 12.3 63.2 59.9 58.8 61.5 84.7 82.3 83.7 85.9 40.6 36.0 31.9 33.5 35.1 19.9 12.3 12.6 8.6 8.9 7.6 2.5 FEMALE 1968__________ ____ 1967............. .......... .......... 1966_________________ 1965_________________ 1957__________________ 1947__________________ 0) 0) 0) <9 20.2 22.4 14.2 15.5 (9 <9 25.6 26.4 17.4 21.6 (9 (9 9.2 10.0 7.5 6.3 (9 (9 9.4 13.1 8.6 4.5 (9 <9 16.3 19.3 11.6 10.4 (9 (9 1948__________ 1949__________ 1950__________ 1951__________ 1952__________ 1953__________ 1954__________ 1955__________ 1956__________ 1957__________ 1958__________ 1959.................... 1960__________ 1961__________ 1962__________ 1963__________ 1964__________ 1965__________ 1966__________ 1967__________ 1968__________ 10.0 14.0 13.6 9.6 10.0 8.7 13.5 12.3 12.3 12.5 16.4 15.3 15.5 18.3 16.2 19.3 17.8 16.5 14.8 14.7 14.7 10.1 13.7 13.3 9.4 10.5 8.8 13.9 12.5 11.7 12.4 16.3 15.8 15.5 18.3 15.9 18.8 17.1 16.1 13.7 14.5 13.9 9.8 14.4 14.2 10.0 9.1 8.5 12.7 12.0 13.2 12.6 16.6 14.4 15.4 18.3 16.8 20.3 18.8 17.2 16.6 14.8 15.9 Total Male Female Total Male Female 10.0 13.5 13.6 9.6 10.3 8.7 13.2 12.0 11.5 11.9 15.2 14.4 14.6 16.7 15.3 17.9 16.5 14.8 13.3 12.8 12.9 10.2 13.4 13.4 9.5 10.9 8.9 14.0 12.2 11.2 11.9 14.9 15.0 14.6 16.5 15.1 17.8 16.1 14.7 12.5 12.7 12.3 9.4 15.8 12.1 8.7 8.0 8.3 13.4 14.8 15.7 16.3 27.1 22.3 22.7 31.0 21.9 27.0 25.9 27.1 22.5 28.9 26.6 9.6 13.6 13.8 9.6 9.3 8.3 12.0 11.6 12.1 11.9 15.6 13.3 14.5 17.0 15.6 18.1 17.1 15.0 14.5 12.9 13.9 10.2 17.3 14.1 10.3 7.4 8.8 15.4 15.0 18.0 17.0 26.5 23.0 23.7 31.0 23.9 31.8 29.5 31.1 26.9 29.9 29.5 11.8 20.3 17.6 13.0 6.3 10.3 19.1 15.4 22.0 18.3 25.4 25.8 25.7 31.1 27.8 40.1 36.5 37.8 34.8 32.0 33.7 9.1 7.5 6.5 7.8 (9 (9 1 Not available. Table A -6 . Unemployment rates, 16- to 19-year olds, annual averages, by color and sex All other White Year 1948__________ 1949__________ 1950.............. 1951__________ 1952__________ 1953__________ 1954__________ 1955__________ 1956__________ 1957__________ 1958__________ 1959............. 1960__________ 1961__________ 1962__________ 1963__________ 1964__________ 1965__________ 1966__________ 1967................. 1968__________ Total Male Female 16-19 16-19 16-19 9.2 13.4 12.2 8.2 8.5 7.6 12.6 11.0 11.1 11.6 15.9 14.6 14.7 16.8 14.7 17.2 16.2 14.8 12.8 12.8 12.7 9.8 14.3 12.7 8.1 8.9 7.9 13.5 11.6 11.1 12.4 17.1 15.3 15.3 17.1 14.7 17.2 15.8 14.1 11.7 12.3 11.6 8.3 12.3 11.4 8.3 8.0 7.2 11.4 10.2 11.2 10.6 14.3 13.5 13.9 16.3 14.6 17.2 16.6 15.7 14.1 13.5 14.0 Table A -8 . Unemployment rates, 18 to 19 year-olds, annual averages, by color and sex White Year Total Female Total Male Female Total 16-19 16-19 16-19 16-19 16-19 16-19 8.9 13.0 11.8 7.8 8.3 7.5 12.1 10.4 10.1 10.6 14.4 13.1 13.5 15.3 13.3 15.5 14.8 13.4 11.2 11.0 11.0 9.8 13.9 12.4 8.0 8.8 7.9 13.4 11.3 10.5 11.5 15.7 14.0 14.0 15.7 13.7 15.9 14.7 12.9 10.5 10.7 10.1 7.7 11.7 10.9 7.6 7.5 6.9 10.4 9.1 9.7 9.5 12.7 12.0 12.7 14.8 12.8 15.1 14.9 14.0 12.1 11.4 12.1 11.2 16.9 15.3 11.0 10.5 8.8 16.6 15.6 18.1 19.1 27.4 26.1 24.3 27.7 25.3 30.3 27.3 26.5 25.4 26.2 24.9 10.0 16.6 15.1 9.2 9.1 8.2 14.4 13.4 15.0 18.4 26.8 25.2 24.0 26.8 22.0 27.3 24.3 23.3 21.3 23.8 22.1 13.4 17.6 15.6 14.1 12.8 10.1 20.6 19.2 22.8 20.2 28.4 27.7 24.8 29.2 30.2 34.7 31.6 31.7 31.3 29 6 28.7 1948__________ 1949__________ 1950__________ 1951__________ 1952__________ 1953__________ 1954__________ 1955__________ 1956__________ 1957__________ 1958__________ 1959__________ 1960__________ 1961__________ 1962__________ 1963__________ 1964__________ 1965__________ 1966__________ 1967__________ 1968__________ 8.6 13.0 11.2 7.1 7.3 6.8 12.0 10.0 10.2 10.9 15.5 14.0 14.1 15.8 13.6 15.6 14.9 13.5 11.3 11.6 11.2 All other Male Female 9.6 14.6 12.3 7.0 7.4 7.2 13.2 10.8 10.4 12.3 17.8 14.9 15.0 16.3 13.8 15.9 14.6 12.4 10.2 10.5 9.7 7.4 11.2 9.8 7.2 7.3 6.4 10.5 9.1 9.9 9.4 12.9 12.9 13.0 15.1 13.5 15.2 15.1 14.8 12.6 12.7 12.9 Total Male Female Total 8.2 12.6 10.7 6.6 6.6 6.6 11.3 9.2 9.0 9.5 13.9 12.1 12.6 14.4 12.0 13.7 13.3 12.3 9.7 9.8 9.6 9.5 14.2 11.7 6.7 7.0 7.1 13.0 10.4 9.7 11.2 16.5 13.0 13.5 15.1 12.7 14.2 13.4 11.4 8.9 9.0 8.2 6.7 10.7 9.4 6.5 6.2 6.0 9.4 7.7 8.3 7.9 11.0 11.1 11.5 13.6 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.4 10.7 10.6 11.0 12.0 16.7 16.3 11.6 12.9 8.8 17.2 16.3 18.4 20.5 24.7 28.1 24.9 25.6 25.9 29.5 25.7 22.4 24.3 23.9 22.4 Male Female 10.5 17.1 17.7 9.6 10.0 8.1 14.7 12.9 14.9 20.0 26.7 27.2 25.1 23.9 21.8 27.4 23.1 20.2 20.5 20.1 19.0 14.6 15.9 14.1 15.1 16.8 9.9 21.6 21.4 23.4 21.3 30.0 29.9 24.5 28.2 31.2 31.9 29.2 27.8 29.2 28.3 26.2 20 Table A -1 1. Ratio of unemployment rates, 20 to 24 years, to rate for 25 years and over, annual averages, by sex and color Table A -9 . Unemployment rates, 20-24 years old, annual averages, by color and sex All other White Year Total Male Female 1948__________ 6.2 1949.,..........— 9.3 1950__________ 7.7 1951,____ _____ 4.1 1952,_________ 4.6 1953__________ 4.7 1954__________ 9.2 1955__________ 7.0 1956__________ 6.6 1957__________ 7.1 1958...... ...........11.2 1959__________ 8.5 1960__________ 8.7 1961__________ 10.4 1962— ............... . 9.0 1963...... .......... . 8.8 1964__________ 8.3 1965.................... 6.7 1966__________ 5.3 1967__________ 5.7 1968__________ 5.8 6.9 10.4 8.1 3.9 4.6 5.0 10.7 7.7 6.9 7.8 12.7 8.7 8.9 10.8 8.9 8.8 8.1 6.4 4.6 4.6 5.1 4.8 7.3 6.9 4.4 4.5 4.3 7.3 6.1 6.3 6.0 8.9 8.1 8.3 9.8 9.1 8.9 8.6 7.3 6.3 7.0 6.7 5.6 8.7 7.1 3.8 4.1 4.3 8.3 6.2 5.7 6.3 9.9 7.3 7.9 9.4 7.9 7.7 7.3 6.1 4.6 5.0 5.2 Male Female Total Male Female 6.4 9.8 7.7 3.6 4.3 4.5 9.8 7.0 6.1 7.1 11.7 7.5 8.3 10.0 8.0 7.8 7.4 5.9 4.1 4.2 4.6 11.7 15.8 12.6 6.7 7.9 8.1 16.9 12.4 12.0 12.7 19.5 16.3 13.1 15.3 14.6 15.5 12.6 9.3 7.9 8.0 8.3 4.2 6.7 6.1 3.9 3.8 4.1 6.4 5.1 5.1 5.1 7.4 6.7 7.2 8.4 77 7.4 7.1 6.3 5.3 6.0 5.9 11.1 14.4 12.8 7.6 9.2 7.0 15.2 12.7 13.1 12.5 19.4 15.7 14.0 16.9 16.0 16.8 15.0 11.1 9.9 10.6 10.1 10.2 12.5 13.0 8.8 10.7 5.5 13.2 13.0 14.8 12.2 18.9 14.9 15.3 19.5 18.2 18.7 18.3 13.7 12.6 13.8 12.3 Table A-10. Unemployment rates, 25 years and over, annual averages, by color and sex Total 2.9 4.8 4.4 2.8 2.4 2.4 4.7 3.6 3.3 3.4 5.6 4.4 4.5 5.4 4.4 4.3 3.8 3.2 2.6 2.6 2.3 Total 1948__________ 1949,............... 1950__________ 1951__________ 1952__________ 1953__________ 1954__________ 1955__________ 1956__________ 1957__________ 1958__________ 1959__________ 1960__________ 1961__________ 1962__________ 1963__________ 1964__________ 1965__________ 1966__________ 1967__________ 1968__________ 2.14 1.94 1.75 1.46 1.92 1.96 1.96 1.94 2.00 2.09 2.00 1.93 1.93 1.93 2.05 2.05 2.18 2.09 2.04 2.19 2.52 Male Female 2.56 2.17 1.93 1.63 2.09 2.17 2.43 2.26 2.23 2.44 2.27 2.02 2.07 2.08 2.17 2.20 2.45 2.29 2.09 2.30 2.83 1.41 1.49 1.44 1.13 1.50 1.59 1.38 1.49 1.62 1.54 1.56 1.69 1.77 1.69 1.90 1.82 1.87 1.83 1.91 1.89 2.09 Total Male Female Total Male Female 2.07 1.93 1.78 1.46 1.86 1.95 1.98 1.94 1.97 2.03 1.94 1.87 2.03 1.96 2.08 2.03 2.15 2.10 2.00 2.08 2.48 2.46 2.18 2.03 1.64 2.15 2.14 2.51 2.33 2.26 2.54 2.34 2.03 2.18 2.17 2.22 2.23 2.47 2.36 2.05 2.21 2.71 2.66 2.03 1.50 1.60 1.72 1.98 1.84 1.57 1.76 1.87 1.64 1.70 1.44 1.37 1.57 1.89 1.83 1.69 1.80 2.16 2.59 1.31 1.46 1.39 1.03 1.36 1.64 1.31 1.38 1.46 1.42 1.40 1.52 1.71 1.58 1.79 1.68 1.69 1.75 1.77 1.76 2.03 2.47 2.00 1.64 1.69 2.04 1.79 1.75 1.69 1.93 1.95 1.87 1.80 1.67 1.63 1.80 2.05 2.08 1.88 2.02 2.26 2.53 1.85 2.02 1.86 1.76 2.49 1.57 1.69 1.88 2.14 2.18 2.28 2.01 2.10 2.10 2.17 2.31 2.44 2.14 2.25 2.30 2.41 Table A -1 2. Ratios of Negro/white and male/female unemployment rates, 16-19 year-olds, annual averages [Ratios of unemployment rates] Male Female Total 1948__________ 1949_________ _ 1950__________ 1951__________ 1952__________ 1953__________ 1954__________ 1955__________ 1956__________ 1957__________ 1958__________ 1959__________ 1960__________ 1961__________ 1962__________ 1963__________ 1964__________ 1965__________ 1966__________ 1967__________ 1968__________ Year All other White Year All other White Total 2.7 4.8 4.2 2.4 2.2 2.3 4.4 3.4 3.1 3.2 5.6 4.3 4.3 5.2 4.1 4.0 3.3 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.8 3.4 4.9 4.8 3.9 3.0 2.7 5.3 4.1 3.9 3.9 5.7 4.8 4.7 5.8 4.8 4.9 4.6 4.0 3.3 3.7 3.2 2.7 4.5 4.0 2.6 2.2 2.2 4.2 3.2 2.9 3.1 5.1 3.9 3.9 4.8 3.8 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.3 2.4 2.1 Male Female Total 2.6 4.5 3.8 2.2 2.0 2.1 3.9 3.0 2.7 2.8 5.0 3.7 3.8 4.6 3.6 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.9 1.7 3.2 4.6 4.4 3.8 2.8 2.5 4.9 3.7 3.5 3.6 5.3 4.4 4.2 5.3 4.3 4.4 4.2 3.6 3.0 3.4 2.9 4.5 7.2 7.8 4.5 4.5 3.9 8.7 7.5 6.8 6.4 10.4 8.7 8.4 10.4 8.9 8.2 7.2 5.9 4.9 4.7 4.0 Male Female 4.4 7.8 8.4 4.2 4.6 4.1 9.2 7.9 6.8 6.8 11.9 9.6 9.1 11.2 9.3 8.2 6.9 5.5 4.4 3.7 3.2 Negro/White 1 Year Total 5.5 6.2 7.0 5.0 4.3 3.5 7.8 6.9 6.9 5.6 8.3 7.4 7.3 9.3 8.4 8.1 7.5 6.4 5.6 6.0 5.1 Male 1948................. .................. 1.26 1949__________________ 1.30 1950__________________ . 1.30 1951__________________ 1.41 1952__________________ 1.27 1.17 1953__________________ 1954__________________ 1.37 1955__________________ 1.50 1956__________________ 1.79 1957__________________ 1.80 1.90 1958__________________ 1.99 1959__________________ 1.80 1960__________________ 1961__________________ 1.81 1962__________________ 1.90 1963__________________ 2.02 1964__________________ 1.84 1965__________________ 1.98 1966________ ____ ____ 2.27 1967__________________ 2.38 1968__________________ 2.16 1 Data on Negroes include other races. 1.02 1.19 1.22 1.15 1.03 1.04 1.07 1.19 1.43 1.60 1.71 1.80 1.71 1.71 1.61 1.72 1.65 1.81 2.03 2.22 2.19 Male/Female Female 1.74 1.50 1.43 1.86 1.71 1.46 1.98 2.11 2.35 2.13 2.24 2.31 1.95 1.97 2.36 2.30 2.12 2.26 2.59 2.60 2.37 Total 1.18 1.16 1.11 .98 1.13 1.10 1.18 1.14 .99 1.17 1.20 1.13 1.10 1.05 1.01 1.00 .95 .90 .83 .91 .83 White Nonwhite 1.27 1.19 1.14 1.05 1.17 1.14 1.29 1.24 1.08 1.21 1.24 1.17 1.10 1.06 1.07 1.05 .99 .92 .87 .94 .84 0.75 .94 .97 .65 .71 .81 .70 .70 .66 .91 .94 .91 .97 .92 .73 .79 .77 .74 .68 .80 .77 21 Table A-13. Teenage unemployment by sex and color in U.S., SMSA’s of 250,000 or more inhabitants, poverty and other neighborhoods.of these SMSA’s, annual averages, 1968 Unemployment (in thousands) SMSA's of 250,000 or more Age, sex, and color U.S. total Total Total, 16-19,___________________________________ Male____ ____________________________________ ______ Female____ ______ ___________________________ _______ White, 16-19____ _______________________________ Male_____ __________________________________________ Female______________________________________________ Negro and other races, 16-19______________________ Male________________________________________________ Female_______________________ ____ _________________ Table A-14. Unemployment rates 838 426 412 644 328 316 195 98 96 474 242 232 351 178 173 123 64 59 Poverty neighbor hoods 107 57 50 43 24 19 64 32 32 SMSA’s of 250,000 or more Other neighbor hoods 367 185 181 308 154 154 59 32 28 U.S. total Poverty neighbor hoods Total 12.7 11.6 14.0 11.0 10.1 12.1 25.0 22.1 28.8 13.4 12.7 14.1 11.4 10.9 12.0 25.9 24.3 28.0 20.0 18.8 21.4 14.3 14.3 14.3 27.3 24.7 30.7 Other neighbor hoods 12.2 11.6 12.9 11.1 10.5 11.8 24.5 23.8 25.4 Incidence of unemployment in 1967 for persons 16- to 24-years old, by age and sex, all persons Percent distribution by weeks of unemployment Total with unemployment during 1967 Age and sex Number Total, 16 years and over__________________________ 16 to 24 years_________ ______________ _____________ 16 and 17 years_________ ______ __________________ 18 and 19 years______________________________________ 20 to 24 years__________________ ______ _______________ 25 years and over__________ __________________________ Percent of total working or looking for work 15 weeks or more Total Less than 5 weeks 5 to 14 weeks Total 15 to 26 weeks 27 weeks or more 11,564 4,501 947 1,373 2,181 7,063 12.9 21.8 22.0 26.5 19.5 10.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 46.6 53.0 54.6 55.1 51.0 42.6 30.7 27.7 26.4 28.3 28.0 32.6 22.6 19.2 19.0 16.6 21.0 24.8 14.0 11.7 10.3 9.8 13.6 15.4 8.6 7.5 8.7 6.8 7.4 9.4 6,655 2,444 579 672 1,193 4,211 12.6 22.9 23.3 26.1 21.2 10.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 43.4 49.0 50.6 50.3 47.5 40.2 32.8 29.0 25.9 30.4 29.8 35.1 23.7 22.0 23.5 19.3 22.7 24.7 15.2 13.6 12.6 12.1 15.0 16.2 8.5 8.3 10.9 7.3 7.7 8.5 4,909 2,057 368 701 988 2,852 13.4 20.6 20.4 26.8 17.7 10.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 51.0 57.8 60.9 59.6 55.3 46.1 27.8 26.3 27.2 26.4 25.8 29.0 21.2 16.0 12.0 14.0 18.9 24.9 12.3 9.5 6.8 7.6 11.8 14.4 8.9 6.5 5.2 6.4 7.1 10.6 MEN Total, 16 years and over__________________________ 16 to 24 years________________________________________ 16 and 17 years_____________________________________ 18 and 19 years________ __________________________ 20 to 24 years_______ ________________________ ______ 25 years and o ve r,,,______ __________________ _______ WOMEN Total, 16 years and over__________________________ 16 to 24 years________________________________________ 16 and 17 years___ ___ ____________________ _____ 18 and 19 years______ _______ ___________ ____ _______ 20 to 24 years_____________________ ________ ______ 25 years and over_______ __________ ____ 22 Table A-15. Incidence of unemployment in 1967 for persons 16- to 24-years old, by age and sex, white persons Total with unemployment during 1967 Age and sex Number Total, 16 years and over______ ______ _____________ 16 to 24 years____________________________ ____ _______ 16 and 17 years_________________________________ _____ 18 and 19 years_____ ____ ____________________________ 20 to 24 years______ ____ ______________ ______________ 25 years and over___________ _________________________ Percent of total working or looking for work Percent distribution by weeks of unemployment 15 weeks or more Total Less than 5 weeks 5 to 14 weeks Total 15 to 26 weeks 27 weeks or more 9,576 3,714 779 1,130 1,805 5,862 12.1 20.5 20.8 25.0 18.4 9.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 48.3 55.7 57.0 57.7 53.8 43.7 30.6 27.1 24.8 27.7 27.6 32.9 21.1 17.3 18.2 14.6 18.6 23.4 13.1 10.5 9.4 8.6 12.1 14.7 8.0 6.8 8.9 6.0 6.4 8.7 5,595 2,024 474 550 1,000 3,571 11.8 21.7 21.8 24.7 20.2 9.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 45.1 51.7 52.3 51.8 51.3 41.3 33.1 28.9 25.1 30.7 29.6 35.5 21.8 19.5 22.6 17.5 19.1 23.2 14.2 11.8 11.6 10.9 12.4 15.5 7.7 7.7 11.0 6.5 6.7 7.7 3,981 1,690 305 580 805 2,291 12.5 19.3 19.3 25.3 16.5 9.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 52.9 60.4 64.3 63.3 56.9 47.4 27.1 24.9 24.3 24.8 25.2 28.7 20.0 14.7 11.5 11.9 17.9 23.9 11.5 8.9 5.9 6.4 11.8 13.5 8.4 5.8 5.6 5.5 6.1 10.4 MEN Total, 16 years and over........ ...................... ................... 16 to 24 years_______ _____ __________________________ _ 16 and 17 years__________ ____ ___________________ ____ 18 and 19 years__________________ _____ ___ _______ ___ 20 to 24 years_____ ______ _________________ _______ ___ 25 years and over___ _____ ____ ______________ _______ WOMEN Total, 16 years and over____ ____ ________ _________ 16 to 24 years___________________ _________ ___ ____ ___ 16 and 17 years________________________________ _____ _ 18 and 19 years_________ _____ _______________ ____ ___ 20 to 24 years. _____________ _____ ______ ___________ 25 years and over________________________ _____ _______ Table A-16. races Incidence of unemployment in 1967 for persons 16- to 24-years old, by age and sex, Negroes and other Total with unemployment during 1967 Age and sex Number Total, 16 years and over_______________ __________ 16 to 24 years--------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------16 and 17 years................................................ .......... ................ 18 and 19 years________ ________________ _______ ____ 20 to 24 years............................ ............ ....................... .............. 25 years and over____________ ______ __________________ Percent of total working or looking for work Percent distribution by weeks of unemployment 15 weeks or more Total Less than 5 weeks 5 to 14 weeks Total 15 to 26 weeks 27 weeks or more 1,988 787 168 243 376 1,201 19.6 30.6 31.0 36.5 27.5 15.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 38.5 40.5 43.5 42.8 37.8 37.1 31.2 31.0 33.9 31.3 29.5 31.4 30.3 28.5 22.6 25.9 32.7 31.5 18.5 17.7 14.9 15.2 20.5 19.1 11.8 10.8 7.7 10.7 12.2 12.4 1,060 420 105 122 193 640 19.6 31.1 33.0 35.0 28.3 15.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 34.9 36.2 42.9 43.4 28.0 34.1 31.4 29.8 29.5 28.7 30.6 32.5 33.7 34.0 27.6 27.9 41.4 33.4 20.9 22.4 17.1 17.2 28.5 20.0 12.7 11.7 10.5 10.7 13.0 13.4 928 367 63 121 183 561 19.7 29.9 28.1 38.3 26.6 16.1 100.0 100.0 O) 100.0 100.0 100.0 42.6 45.5 31.0 32.4 O) 33.9 28.4 30.1 26.4 22.1 15.7 12.3 10.7 9.8 MEN Total, 16 years and over___ _______ _____ __________ 16 to 24 years_____ ____ ____ _________________ ____ ___ 16 and 17 years..................................................... ..................... 18 and 19 years................ ............................ ............................. 20 to 24 years________________ ____ ___________________ 25 years and over.................................... ............... ................... WOMEN Total, 16 years and over........ ...................... ......... ......... 16 to 24 years_______ _______ _________________________ 16 and 17 years________________ _____________________ 18 and 19 years_______ _______ ___________________ ____ 20 to 24 years______ ________ __________________ _______ 25 years and over.................. ..................................................... 1 Percent not shown where base is less than 75,000. C1) 42.1 48.1 40.6 O) 24.0 23.5 29.2 O) 13.2 12.0 18.0 O) 10.7 11.5 11.2 23 Table A-17. Unemployed 16-19 year olds, by reasons for unemployment, duration, sex, and color, 1968 annual averages [in thousands] Both races White All other Reasons and duration Total Total_______________________________________________________________ Less than 5 weeks____ __ ______ ____ _____ ____________ _______ ____ 5-14 weeks________________________ _______ _______ _ ____________ _ ___ 15 weeks and over__________________ _______ ___________ _____________ _ _ Lost Last Job________________________________ _____________________ Less than 5 weeks_____ _______ ________________________________ _____ 5-14 weeks______ ______________________________________________________ 15 weeks and over________________________________ ______ ______________ Left Last Job_________ ____ ___________________________________________ Less than 5 weeks__________________________________________________________ 5-14 weeks__________________ _ _________ _________ ___________ _______ 15 weeks and over_____ ___________________ ___________________________ Re-entrance Labor Force, __ _ ________________________________________ _ _ __ _ __________ _________________ Less than 5 weeks___________ _ 5-14 weeks.__ __________________ _______ ______________ _______________ ________ _________________ 15 weeks and over.._______ _____ _ _______ Never Worked Before_____________ _______ _______ ____ ___________ Less than 5 weeks___________ __ ________________________ _________________ 5-14 weeks___________ __________ _____ ______________ ______ ___________ ________ ___________ _ _____________ 15 weeks and over___ ___________ Table A-18. Male 839 528 236 76 130 84 36 11 97 66 25 7 281 174 83 23 330 205 91 33 Female 427 264 127 36 84 55 23 6 51 34 14 4 153 89 52 11 138 86 38 14 Total 412 264 109 40 46 29 13 5 46 32 11 3 128 85 31 12 192 119 53 19 Male 644 415 174 56 100 65 25 9 74 51 18 5 214 135 62 17 256 163 67 26 Female 328 205 95 28 64 42 17 5 38 26 9 3 119 69 40 10 107 68 28 11 316 210 79 28 36 23 8 4 36 25 9 2 95 66 22 7 149 95 39 15 Total 194 113 62 20 30 18 10 3 23 14 6 2 67 38 21 8 74 42 24 8 Male 98 59 32 8 20 12 6 2 13 8 3 1 34 20 12 2 31 18 10 3 Female 96 54 30 12 10 6 4 1 10 6 3 1 33 18 9 6 43 24 14 5 Unemployed Teenagers seeking full- or part-time employment, by sex, monthly, 1968 [in thousands] Both sexes Month January_______________________________ February____ _____ _____ _ ___ ___ __ March_________________________________ April__________________ ____________ May_____ _ _ __ . . . . . . ____________ J u n e ..____________ ________________ __ July____ ______________________________ August________ . . . ______ __________ _. September_______________ ________ October________ _________ _ _ ___ _ November,. ___ ___________ _ _ __ _ December. __ ____________________ Total Male Full time Part time Part time as Per cent of Total Total Full time Part time 650 769 722 619 616 1,598 1,302 823 741 723 776 727 335 367 366 313 371 1,200 969 546 362 325 307 257 314 402 356 307 245 398 334 276 379 399 469 471 48.4 52.3 49.3 49.5 39.8 24.9 25.6 33.6 51.2 55.1 60.4 64.7 385 417 400 320 292 778 627 396 339 368 385 410 175 191 174 134 174 594 472 259 138 142 133 140 Annual average_________________________ 838 476 362 43.2 426 School year average (excludes June-August)... 705 334 371 52.6 369 Female Part time as Per cent of Total 209 226 227 187 118 184 155 137 201 227 251 270 54.4 54.2 56.7 58.3 40.3 23.6 24.8 34.5 59.2 61.6 65.3 65.8 227 199 156 213 Total Full time Part time Part time as Per cent of Total 265 352 322 299 324 820 675 427 402 355 391 317 160 176 193 179 196 606 496 287 223 183 174 117 105 176 129 120 127 214 178 140 179 172 217 201 39.6 50.1 40.2 40.1 39.4 26.1 26.4 32.8 44.4 48.4 55.5 63.2 46.7 412 249 163 39.6 57.7 336 178 158 47.0 24 Table A-19. Levels and rates of 16-19 year-old unemployment, annual averages, school year averages, June-July averages, 1948-68 [levels in thousands] Year Annual average 1948___ ____________________________________________ 1949___________ ______ __________________ _____ ______ 1950__________________ ____ ________________________ 1951___________ ____ ____________________________ ___ 1952____ ___________________________________________ 1953,_______________________________________________ 1954_______ ____ _________ _____ _____________________ 1955________________________________________________ 1956__________ ____ _____ ___________________________ 1957___________ ____ _________ ________ ______________ 1958_____________ ____________ ______ _______________ 1959___________ ____ ________________________________ 1960__________________ ____ _____ ____ ______ ____ _ 1961________________________________________________ 1962____ ________________________ ____ _____________ 1963________________________________________________ 1964________________________________________________ 1965___ _______________ _____ _______________________ 1966___________________ ____ ________________________ 1967 2_______ _______________________________________ 1968 2_______ _____________ ____ _________ __________ School year average 1 School year as percent of annual average 350 500 468 292 304 279 456 404 411 434 592 574 623 717 649 776 770 776 723 721 705 85.6 86.8 91.2 86.9 88.1 90.9 91.0 89.8 86.0 87.3 87.3 87.8 87.5 86.6 90.0 87.8 88.3 88.8 86.4 86.1 84.1 409 576 513 336 345 307 501 450 478 497 678 654 712 828 721 884 872 874 837 837 838 1 Excludes June, July, August. 2 Historical data not comparable with 1967-68 data. Change in unemployment definitions introduced in 1967 excluded from the unemployed June-July average June-July average as percent of annual average 660 886 748 533 535 439 688 653 803 791 1,075 990 1,104 1,312 1,065 1,405 1,340 1,367 1,376 1,334 1,450 161.4 153.8 145.8 158.6 155.1 143.0 137.3 145.1 169.0 159.2 158.6 151.4 155.1 158.5 147.7 158.9 153.7 156.4 164.4 159.4 173.0 Unemployment rates Unemployed (in thousands) Total Percent seeking Total Seeking Seeking part-time work full-time part-time work work Seeking full-time work Seeking part-time work FULL YEARS 1963 i_______ 1964________ 1965________ 1966________ <2) 1967________ 1968________ 904 872 874 837 <2) 838 839 622 574 564 535 <2> 482 476 284 299 312 302 <2> 356 362 31.4 34.3 35.7 36.1 <2> 42.5 43.2 17.3 16.2 14.8 12.8 ( 2) 12.8 12.7 18.7 17.6 15.9 13.7 <2) 13.2 13.0 791 771 776 723 <2) 721 705 511 474 458 420 <2> 353 334 281 297 318 303 ( 2) 368 371 35.5 38.5 41.0 41.9 (2> 51.0 52.6 16.7 15.7 14.4 12.3 ( 2) 12.2 11.8 19.3 18.2 16.1 14.0 <2) 12.7 12.1 15.0 14.0 13.2 11.4 <2) 12.4 12.3 SCHOOL YEARS 1963 i ______ 1964________ 1965________ 1966________ <2) 1967________ 1968________ Annual average 9.2 13.4 12.2 8.2 8.5 7.6 12.6 11.0 11.1 11.6 15.9 14.6 14.7 16.8 14.7 17.2 16.2 14.8 12.8 12.8 12.7 School year average i 8.5 12.4 11.9 7.6 8.0 7.4 12.2 10.6 10.4 11.0 15.0 13.9 14.1 16.0 14.5 16.6 15.7 14.4 12.2 12.2 11.8 June-July average 12.2 17.5 14.9 10.9 10.9 9.1 14.6 13.4 15.0 14.8 20.4 17.6 17.6 20.5 16.9 21.4 19.4 18.2 16.2 15.8 16.9 those people unable to accept work during the survey week. This change reduced the levels and rates of teenage unemployment in the spring, especially in April and May. Table A-20. Average levels and rates of unemployment 16-19 year olds, by whether seeking full- or part-time work, 1963-68 Years Unemployment Rates 13.4 12.9 12.5 10.5 ( 2) 11.8 11.5 1 Excludes January 1963, first month when data was collected on whether seeking full- or part-time work. 2 Break in series; 1967-68 data not comparable with that for earlier years. January 1967 change in definitions reduced teenage unemployment in the spring, especially in April and May, when many students were looking for full-time jobs to begin when the school year ended. 25 Table A-21. Employed 16-19 year olds in agriculture and nonagriculture industries, by sex, 1948-68 Both sexes Male Employed 16-19 year olds as percent of total employment in: Female Year Total employed Agriculture Nonagriculture Total employed Agriculture Non agriculture Total employed Agriculture Non agriculture All industries Agriculture 4,028 3,712 3,703 3,767 3,718 3,719 3,475 3,643 3,818 3,780 3,582 3,838 4,129 4,107 4,195 4,255 4,516 5,036 5,721 5,682 5,780 734 765 704 638 634 619 584 578 553 541 509 529 566 528 482 461 463 439 410 405 394 3,292 2,947 2,999 3,129 3,085 3,101 2,891 3,064 3,265 3,237 3,073 3,309 3,563 3,580 3,713 3,794 4,053 4,597 5,311 5,277 5,385 2,344 2,124 2,186 2,156 2,107 2,136 1,985 2,095 2,164 2,115 2,012 2,198 2,361 2,315 2,362 2,406 2,587 2,918 3,253 3,186 3,254 604 642 613 534 529 518 491 483 459 458 437 443 471 449 413 381 388 373 349 343 341 1,740 1,482 1,573 1,622 1,578 1,618 1,494 1,612 1,705 1,657 1,575 1,755 1,890 1,866 1,949 2,025 2,199 2,545 2,904 2,843 2,914 1,682 1,588 1,517 1,611 1,612 1,584 1,490 1,547 1,654 1,663 1,570 1,640 1,768 1,793 1,833 1,849 1,929 2,118 2,468 2,496 2,525 130 123 91 104 105 101 93 95 94 83 72 86 95 79 69 80 75 66 61 62 54 1,552 1,465 1,426 1,507 1,507 1,483 1,397 1,452 1,560 1,580 1,498 1,554 1,673 1,714 1,764 1,769 1,854 2,052 2,407 2,435 2,472 6.9 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 5.8 5.9 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.9 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.5 7.1 7.8 7.6 7.6 9.6 10.0 9.8 9.5 9.8 9.9 9.4 9.0 8.8 9.1 9.1 9.5 10.4 10.2 9.7 9.8 10.2 10.1 10.3 1948____________ 1949____________ 1950____________ 1951____________ 1952____________ 1953____________ 1954____________ 1955____________ 1956____________ 1957____________ 1958____________ 1959____________ 1960____________ 1961____________ 1962____________ 1963____________ 1964____________ 1965____________ 1966____________ 1967__________ 1968____________ Non agriculture it).5 10.3 6.5 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.5 5.7 5.6 5.3 5.6 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.3 6.9 7.7 7.5 7.5 Table A-22. Employed persons as percent of total employment in group by industry division, selected age groups and sex, 1940, 1950, and 1960 Male Industry division Total___________________ _ ________ _________________________________ Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries______________________ ______ ___________ ___ Mining________________________________________________ ___________ _____ Construction, ____________________________ __ ___________________________ Manufacturing___ ____ . . . ... . . . . . __________________ ____ Transportation, communication, and other public utilities.. _ . . . . . . . . _____ Wholesale and retail trade______ ____ _ . . __ ______________________________ Wholesale trade... _____________________________ ______________ ______ Retail trade___________________________________________________________ Finance, insurance, and real estate_____ _____ _________________________________ _________ _ _ _ . . . __ ______ Business and repair services... _ _ __ Personal services.._____ _____________ ________ ________ ________________ . Entertainment and recreation services________ . . . _________________________ Professional and related services__________ ________ __________________________ Public administrations_________ ______________________________ ___________ Industry not reported_______________________ _________________ ______________ 1950 2 1960 i 1940 3 Total 14-17 18-19 Total 14-17 18-19 Total 14-17 18-19 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 9.0 1.4 8.4 30.2 8.5 17.0 4.1 13.0 3.4 2.9 2.5 .8 6.9 5.3 3.6 19.4 .2 2.9 19.8 1.6 33.8 1.8 32.0 .7 2.5 5.0 3.4 3.3 .4 7.2 11.9 .7 6.8 25.5 3.8 29.2 3.1 26.1 1.8 3.4 2.8 1.6 5.4 1.4 5.5 15.8 2.2 8.3 27.1 9.2 17.0 3.9 13.2 2.8 2.8 2.9 .9 5.0 4.6 1.3 42.3 .4 2.9 17.1 1.9 20.9 1.4 19.5 .5 1.5 3.1 4.1 1.5 .4 3.6 24.6 1.5 6.6 26.3 5.0 22.0 3.1 18.9 1.6 2.6 2.7 1.9 2.5 1.0 1.8 23.5 2.7 5.9 24.2 8.1 16.2 3.0 13.2 3.0 2.3 3.3 .9 4.3 4.2 1.3 63.0 .4 1.6 11.5 1.6 13.0 .8 12.2 .3 1.0 2.1 1.7 .7 .2 2.7 36.4 1.6 3.5 21.5 3.4 18.1 2.0 16.1 1.2 2.0 2.6 1.7 1.3 4.3 2.3 Female Total____ ____ _____ _______ ________ _________________________________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries__________ ____________________________ Mining_______________ _ _ ___________ ___ _____ __________ _____ Construction. . . . _ . __ ___. . . _____ _ . . . . _ . . . . . ____ Manufacturing.. _ . . . . . . ___. . . . . . _ . . ________ . . Transportation, communication, and other public utilities.. . . . ._ ___________ ___ Wholesale and retail trade___________________________________________________ Wholesale trade______ __________________ _ . _________________________ Retail trade.. __________ . . _____ ________ . ______ _. ______ Finance, insurance, and real estate._ _____ . . . _ ____ _ ______ . _____ Business and repair services___ ______ _ . . . . . . __ ._ . . . _________ ___ Personal services____ ____ . . . _ _ . . . _________ . . . __________ Entertainment and recreation services__ . . . _. ______ . . . . . . . . . ______ Professional and related services__________________ . . . . ____________________ Public administrations__ _____ ____ . . . . . _ ______ _______ ______ . . Industry not reported______ ._ _ _____ _ . . . . . . . . . ____ __________ _. 2.0 .2 .7 20.8 3.6 20.8 2.1 18.6 5.8 1.6 13.1 .7 21.5 4.3 4.8 4.1 <4) .3 7.9 1.8 34.9 1.1 33.8 3.6 1.0 25.0 2.4 10.1 .4 8.5 1.3 .1 .7 18.5 5.8 22.7 2.5 20.3 13.0 1.8 8.9 1.0 17.7 2.7 5.9 3.8 .1 .6 23.2 4.4 22.6 2.4 20.1 5.0 1.2 14.8 .9 17.3 4.2 2.0 12.5 ( 4) .2 11.0 1.8 32.9 1.1 31.7 2.5 .5 23.5 3.2 6.4 .4 5.1 3.0 .1 .5 22.0 6.9 26.9 2.9 23.9 10.6 1.3 9.2 1.3 13.8 2.2 2.0 4.4 .1 .3 20.8 3.1 18.2 1.6 16.6 4.1 .7 25.8 .7 16.6 3.0 2.1 23.4 ( 4) .1 13.0 .7 11.3 .7 10.7 .9 .2 42.3 .9 3.3 .2 3.6 5.3 .1 .3 23.6 2.5 20.0 1.6 18.3 3.7 .7 27.7 1.0 11.0 1.2 3.0 1 I960 Census of Population— Vol. I, Characteristics of the Population; Pt. 1, U.S. Summary, table 212. 2 1950 Census of Population— Vol. II, Characteristics of the Population; Pt. 1, U.S. Summary, table 132. 3 1940 Census of Population— Vol. Ill, The Labor Force, Pt. 1, U.S. Summary, table 80. 4 Less than 0.05 percent. 26 Table A-23. Employed Persons as Percent of Industry Employment, by Industry Division, Selected Age Groups and Sex, 1940, 1950, and 1960 Male Industry division 14-17 18-19 100.0 3.0 2.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 eT s" .3 1.0 2.0 .6 6.0 1.3 7.5 .6 2.6 6.1 13.0 1.4 .2 SuT 1.3 2.2 2.2 1.2 4.6 2.1 5.4 1.4 3.1 3.0 5.5 2.1 .7 Total Total_________________ _______ _________ ____ _______ ____________ ____ Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries____ ________________________ ____________ Construction____________________________________ _____ ____ ____ ____________ Manufacturing__________ _ ________ ___________________________ _________ Transportation, communication, and other public utilities_____ _____ _______________ Wholesale and retail trade__________________________ ____________ ____________ Wholesale trade______________ . . _____________________________ _______ Retail trade_______________________________________________ ____________ Finance, insurance, and real estate____________________________________________ Business and repair services_______________ ________________________________ Personal services_______ ______ _ _ _____________________________________ _ Entertainment and recreation services________________________________ _____ ____ Professional and related services____________________________ ________ _________ Public administrations_______________ _____ __________________ _______________ 1950 2 1960 i Total 1940 3 Total 14-17 18-19 14-17 18-19 100.0 2.2 2.7 100.0 1.9 3.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 tu T .4 .8 1.4 .5 2.7 .8 3.3 .4 1.1 2.4 9.1 .7 .2 4~2~ 1.8 2.2 2.6 1.5 3.4 2.1 3.8 1.5 2.3 2.5 5.2 1.4 .6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 s T .3 .5 .9 .4 1.5 .5 1.8 .2 .8 1.2 3.5 .3 .1 sT o 2.0 1.9 2.9 1.3 3.6 2.1 4.0 1.3 2.8 2.6 6.1 1.0 3.4 2.5 5.5 100.0 2.0 6.3 8.4 4.4 5.2 4.9 5.3 8.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10.9 Female Total___________________________________________ ____________________ 100.0 Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries____________________________________________ _ Mining_________________________ ______________ ____________________ ____ _ Construction_____________________________________________ ____ _____________ Manufacturing_______________________ _____________________________ _______ Transportation, communication, and other public utilities__________________________ Wholesale and retail trade____________________________________________________ Wholesale trade__________ __________ ________________________ ______ Retail trade________________________________________________ ____ ______ Finance, insurance, and real estate____ ____ _ . . . . . _______________ ____ ____ Business and repair services.__ . . . . . . _______ _ _______ _____________ Personal services____________ ________ ______ _________________________ . Entertainment and recreation services__________________________________________ Professional and related services.. ___________________________________________ Public administrations ._ ______________________________________ ______ ____ _ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 3.2 6.8 .6 1.5 1.2 1.6 5.5 1.6 5.9 2.0 1.9 6.2 10.5 1.5 .3 4.8 100.0 3.1 3.9 4.5 4.3 7.6 5.3 5.6 5.2 10.7 5.3 3.3 6.2 3.9 3.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 .6 1.0 1.2 1.0 3.7 1.2 4.0 1.3 1.1 4.0 8.9 11.9 6.2 3.5 8.4 3.1 3.0 .9 6.6 6.8 6.6 4.4 .6 .9 1.3 .5 1.3 .8 1.3 .4 .7 3.3 2.4 .4 .1 7.7 4.1 6.4 7.2 5.0 6.9 6.3 7.0 5.7 6.5 6.8 9.0 4.2 2.5 Table A-24. Net employment shifts, employed persons, by industry division, selected age groups and sex, 1940-60 United States Males Industry division Total 14-17 18-19 1940-50 1950-60 1940-60 1940-50 1950-60 1940-60 1940-50 1950-60 1940-60 Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries______ _______ __________________ ___ Mining_________________________ _______ _ _ __________________________ Construction.,____________________________ _ _____________________________ Manufacturing____________ _____________ _ _______________________________ Transportation, communication, and other public utilities____ __________ __________ Wholesale and retail trade.._ j ______ '____________ _______ _________ ____ ____ Wholesale trade. _ ____________________________ ____ _____________ ______ Retail trade____________ _______________________ _______________ ______ Finance, insurance, and real estate________________ ___________________ ____ Services (except private households)________ . . . ____________________ _______ Business and repair services.____ ________ _________ _______________ Personal services (except private households). __ ______ ___ ________________ __ ____________ Entertainment and recreation services. . . . _ . _________ Professional and related services _ _ _ ______ _ ________________ ............... ... ............ ...... ... Private households__ . Public administrations____ _________________ _______________________________ Industry not reported____ ______________ ______ ____ _________________________ -7 .7 - .5 2.4 2.9 1.1 .8 .9 - .2 1.1 .5 -.1 .7 - .3 .4 -6 .8 - .8 .1 3.1 -.7 .2 - .2 .6 1.6 - .3 - .1 1.9 -.1 .7 2.3 -1 4 .5 -1 .3 2.5 6.0 .4 .8 1.1 -.2 .4 2.7 .6 - .4 -.1 2.6 - .4 1.1 2.3 -2 0 .7 -2 2 .9 -.2 1.3 5.6 .3 7.9 .6 7.3 7.3 4.3 .5 .6 2.4 .8 .4 .2 .9 2.7 - .3 12.9 .4 12.5 .2 2.2 1.0 .1 -.7 1.8 1.7 3.6 20.8 1.0 19.8 .4 6.5 1.5 .7 1.7 2.6 2.1 .2 4.5 -1 1 .8 - .1 3.1 4.8 1.6 3.9 1.1 2.8 .4 2.3 .6 .3 .2 1.2 - .2 -3 .3 - .5 -1 2 .7 - .8 .2 -.8 -1 .2 7.2 -4 3 .6 - .2 1.3 8.3 7.2 .2 3.3 .8 -.1 -.3 2.9 .2 .4 3.7 -2 4 .5 -.9 3.3 4.0 .4 11.1 1.1 10.0 .6 5.6 1.4 .2 -.1 4.1 -2 .9 3.2 Females Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries____________ _ _____________ _____ __________ Mining.. _ _ _ ______ _________ _ ________ Construction_________ ____________ _____________ __ _____ _ . . . _____ Manufacturing . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _______ Transportation, communication, and other public utilities _ _ _ _ _ _____ Wholesale and retail trade___________ ___________________________ __________ Wholesale trade _ _ . . . _ __ .... _ ______ Retail trade... __ _____________ _________ ______ _________ ________ Finance, insurance, and real estate_____ _ _ ________ _____________ . _ Services (except private households)______ ________ ______ _ _________ _______ Business and repair services-._____ _ _________ __ . . . ____ ____ _______ Personal services (except private households)______________ ________ _____ _ Entertainment and recreation services _ _ __ _____ Professional and related services__________ ___________ _ ________ _______ Private households______________________________________________________ . . . Public administrations............................ . . . . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _________________ Industry not reported__________ ____________ _________________________ -0 .6 .3 2. 4 1.3 4.4 .8 3.5 .9 -.2 .5 -1 .6 .2 .7 -9 .4 1.2 -.1 -1 .8 .1 .1 -2 .4 -.8 -1 .8 - .3 -1 .5 .8 3.6 .4 -.8 -.2 4.2 -.9 .1 2.8 -2 .4 .1 .4 .5 2.6 .5 2.0 1.7 3.4 .9 -2 .4 4.9 -1 0 .3 1.3 2.7 -1 0 .9 -8 .4 -1 9 .3 -2 .3 -1 .7 -4 .0 .1 -2 .0 1.1 21.6 .4 21.0 1.6 13.8 .3 8.1 2.3 3.1 -2 6 .9 .2 1.5 .1 -3 .1 .2 -5 .1 1.1 23.6 .4 23.1 2.7 9.7 .8 .6 1.5 6.8 -1 7 .9 .2 4.9 .2 -1 .6 4.4 6.9 1.3 5.6 6.9 2.6 .6 -1 .1 .3 2.8 -1 7 .4 .2 -3 .5 -1 .1 -4 .2 -.4 -3 .6 2.4 4.0 .5 -.1 -.3 3.9 -.2 .5 3.9 .4 -5 .1 3.3 2.7 .9 2.0 9.3 6.6 1.1 -1 .2 2.0 2.1 1.1 -4 .1 .5 -7 .5 -.8 3.7 9.0 3.4 - 1.0 1.0 6.7 -1 7 .6 1.5 2.9 28 Table A-25. Employed 16-19 year olds, by occupation and sex, annual averages, 1963 and 1968 Occupation 1968 1968 1963 1963 (in thousands) Percent of total employed (in thousands) Percent of total employed Both Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Female Male Both sexes Male Female Total____________ _____ - _______ 5,780 3,254 2,525 7.6 6.8 9.1 4,252 2,405 1,847 6.2 5.3 7.9 White collar________ ___________________ Professional and technical_____ ______ Manager, Officials and Proprietors______ Clerical_____ _ ___________ ________ Sales workers_________________ _____ 2,039 178 35 1,333 493 647 94 26 300 226 1,392 84 9 1,032 267 5.7 1.7 .5 10.4 10.6 3.4 1.5 .4 8.8 8.3 8.5 2.2 .7 11.0 13.9 1,484 111 34 958 381 503 57 27 214 205 981 54 7 744 176 4.9 1.3 .5 9.3 8.7 2.9 1.1 .4 6.8 7.8 7.6 1.8 .6 10.4 10.3 Blue Collar_______ ____________________ Craftsmen_________ _______________ Operatives__________________________ Nonfarm laborers___ _______________ 2,076 252 1,049 775 1,810 242 813 756 265 11 236 19 7.5 2.5 7.5 21.8 7.9 2.5 8.4 22.0 5.6 3.4 5.5 15.1 1,413 150 713 550 1,235 144 554 537 178 6 159 13 5.7 1.7 5.7 15.5 5.8 1.7 6.1 15.5 4.6 2.5 4.5 13.8 Service workers,, ______________________ Private households___________________ Other______ _______ ______ ________ 1,307 324 984 488 9 478 820 314 506 13.9 18,8 12.9 14.8 25,7 14.6 13.5 18,6 11.5 927 311 616 312 11 301 615 300 315 10.3 13,5 9.2 9.9 18.3 9.7 10.5 13.4 8.7 Farm workers________ _________________ Farmers and farm managers Farm laborers and foremen,__ ________ 358 14 344 310 13 296 48 10.3 .7 22.4 10.8 .7 28.6 8.2 47 9.3 428 19 409 355 17 338 73 2 71 9.3 .8 18.4 9.5 .8 22.7 8.4 1.5 9.7 Table A-26. Mean age at entrance into armed services1 Enlistees DOD Fiscal year 1957....... ............ ............... .................. 1958__________________ _________ 1959__________ _________________ 1960.................. ................... ............... 1961___ ______________ _________ 1962.................. .................................... 1963_________ ____ ______ _____ 1964..................................................... 1965____________________________ 1966........................ ........................ 1967....... .............................................. 1968____ _______ _____ __________ 1 Inductees DOD 22.4 22.6 22.4 18.6 18.5 18.5 18.4 18.6 18.7 18.7 18.9 18.7 19.4 19.2 19.3 22.7 23.1 23.0 23.1 22.4 21.5 20.2 20.3 20.3 DOD data are weighted averages of months. Source: Department of Defense. Table A-27. Estimates of the status of nonsupervisory employees under the minimum wage provisions of the FLSA as of February 1, 19691 Percent of nonsupervisory employees covered by FLSA Employees covered by FLSA Industry Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries_____________________ Mining___ _ ___ ______________ _____________ _ _____________ , _ Contract construction____________ Manufacturing,_ _________________ _________________ Transportation, communications, utilities_______ _ _ _ __ Wholesale trade,,, ______ 4. Retail trade_____________________ ____ ______________ Finance, insurance, real estate_________________________ Services (excluding domestic service)__ __ ____________ Domestic service _ _ _ _ ____ __ ____________ Government,,, _ ________ Private economy, excluding agriculture and domestic service,. Private economy_____________________________________ Number of nonsupervisory employees 1,327 558 3,312 18,081 4,026 3,392 9,574 2,963 7,893 2,380 ( 2) 49,799 53,506 Covered by 1966 amendments 617 553 3,277 17,495 3,952 2.576 5,566 2,215 5.576 19 553 2,679 17,425 3,847 2,450 3,158 2,215 1,869 598 70 105 126 2,408 2,742 41,210 41,827 34,194 34,213 2', 742 7,016 7,614 1 Estimates based on employment data for 1968. All employees are included except academic administrative personnel and teachers in ele mentary and secondary schools and executive, administrative, and profes sional workers in all other industries. Estimates for agriculture include data from a survey conducted by the Department of Agriculture as of May 1968. May data do not vary markedly from annual average data. Covered prior to 1966 amendments Total number covered Total covered Covered prior to 1966 46.5 99.1 98.9 96.8 98.2 75.9 58.1 74.8 70.6 598 3,709 82.8 78.2 2 Not available. 45.1 1.4 99.1 80.9 96.4 95.6 72.2 33.0 74.8 23.7 0 ( 2) Covered by 1966 amendments 0 18.1 .4 2 .6 3.7 25.2 0 47.0 0 0 ( 2) 68.7 63.9 ( 2) 14.1 14.2 Source: Minimum W age and Maximum Hours Standards under th e Fair Labor Standards Act (U.S. Department of Labor, Wage and Hour and Public Contracts Divisions, Jan. 14, 1969), pp. 28-29. 29 Table A-28. Basic Federal minimum wage as percent of average hourly earnings in manufacturing in month basic minimum became effective Effective date October 1938________________________________________ October 1939______ _____ . _ _ _ _ _ ___________ __ October 1945 ............................................. ....................... January 1950_____ ____ ____ ________ _ ___ .________ March 1956_________________________________________ September 1961 __ __________ ________ _ __________ _ September 1963_________________________________ ___ February 1967— _________________ __ __________ _ February 1968______ ______ _____ ______ ________ _____ Table A-29. Percent of Employed and Unemployed 16 to 19 Year Olds Enrolled in School, October 1953 to 1968 [Numbers in thousands] Percent Employed 40.6 47.6 41.1 53.8 52.1 49.6 51.0 50.2 54.4 Unemployed Enrolled in school Year Total Number 1953__________________ 1954__________________ 1955__________________ 1956__________________ 1957__________________ 1958__________________ 1959__________________ 1960__________________ 1961__________________ 1962__________________ 1963__________________ 1964__________________ 1965__________ _______ 1966__________________ 1967________ _____ ____ 1968__________________ 3,517 3,439 3,802 3,789 3,784 3,643 3,791 4,035 4,001 4,076 4,293 4,433 5,228 5,523 5,300 5,517 Enrolled in school Total 1,000 1,205 1,389 1,485 1,534 1,572 1,656 1,703 1,607 1,741 2,066 2,135 2,571 2,870 2,852 3,116 Percent of total 28.4 35.0 36.5 39.2 40.5 43.2 43.7 42.2 40.2 42.7 48.1 48.2 49.2 52.0 53.8 56.5 Number 236 340 330 294 357 545 564 621 664 559 725 684 723 660 828 725 52 79 103 106 111 142 164 189 206 198 268 269 315 282 403 382 Percent of total 22.0 23.2 31.2 36.1 31.1 26.1 29.1 30.4 31.0 35.4 37.0 39.3 43.6 42.7 48.7 52.7 CHAPTER II Experience of the Past: The National Minimum Past Studies1 In addition to studies included in this volume, there are a number of published (Brozen, Burns, Folk, Thurow) and unpublished (Barth, Easley-Fearn, Kosters-Welch, Moore, Scully) studies on the relationship between the national minimum wage and youth unemployment. These studies provide no consensus. Brozen, Burns, Easley-Fearn, Kosters-Welch, Moore, and Scully concluded that disemployment effects from minimum wages were demonstrable Barth, Folk, and Thurow concluded they were not. Studies have also been made of the effects of State minimum wage laws on the employ ment of youth by Kalachek and Katz.2 S t u d ie s f in d in g MINIMUM. adverse e f f e c t s of n a t io n a l The B ro zen study relies upon changes in the unemployment rates before and after changes in the Federal minimum. In the eight instances when the Federal minimum was changed, the seasonally adjusted unemploy ment rate of 16-19 year olds was lower the month before the change than the month the change became effective in six instances, higher in one case, and the same in the other. If, in stead, comparisons are made (which Brozen did not) between the unemployment rate 2 months before the change and 1 month after, the rate rose in only three cases, dropped in four, and remained the same in one case. This raises some question about the meaningfulness of the change in rates between two adjacent months. Prepared by Hyman B. Kaitz, Chief, Division of Statistical Standards, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Text footnotes begin on p. 45. Appendixes follow. 30 Brozen’s article also provided data on changes in unemployment rates for the 12 months before and the 12 months after a change. In this comparison, the unemployment rate for teenagers dropped in four of the six cases where data are available, rose in one, and remained the same in the other. This is only slightly different from the record for the overall unemployment rate, which dropped in five of the six cases and remained the same in the other. Brozen also noted that the ratio of teenage unemployment rates to the overall unemploy ment rate rose in the average of 12 months after, compared with the average of 12 months before, minimum wage changes in six instances reposted. The B u rn s study is based on unpublished re gressions relating the unemployment rate of teenagers, to the unemployment rate of adult males (a proxy measure for general business conditions) and to the minimum wage as a per cent of average hourly earnings in manufactur ing. He found a significant relationship between minimum wages and the unemployment rate of teenagers, especially so in the case of Negro teenagers. Regressions using one- and twoquarter lags did not materially improve the fit of the equations in this analysis. The forecasting ability of the equation for white teenagers has been examined in some ad ditional detail. For the period, 1954-1 (first quarter) through 1965-11 (second quarter), it has an adjusted R2 of 0.359 and a Durbin-Watson co-efficient of 0.352. The patterns of resid- 31 uals show that white teenage unemployment is over-estimated from 1954-1 through 1959-1, and under-estimated from 1959-11 through 1965-11 with only two exceptions in the latter period. These patterns indicate that significant varia bles have very likely been excluded from this equation. Since this equation was based on orig inal data through 1965-11, it was subsequently examined for its forecasting ability through 1968-1V. Though it correctly predicted the direction of change, the equation continued to underestimate the actual white teenage unem ployment rate, although by less than it had be tween 1963 and 1965. Clearly other important influences were at work. The E a sley-F ea rn study is similar to the F olk study discussed below. They related the unem ployment rate of teenagers in various age-sexcolor-school enrollment groups to the unemploy ment rate of adults, the proportion of teenagers in the labor force, and a set of dummy variables for each statutory minimum wage level applica ble to a particular period of time. Some of the regression analyses also include dummy varia bles for the extensions of coverage effective in 1961 and 1967. The results indicated that both the level and coverage of the minimum wage laws had significant adverse effects on the un employment of teenagers, especially so in the case of Negro teenagers. The K o sters-W elch study, using quarterly data for the period 1954 through 1968, separate projected total employment from actual total employment, the difference being transitional employment. Using a nonlinear relationship, the authors regressed the employment of differ ent sex-color groups of teenagers against pro jected employment, transitional employment and the minimum wage. The measure of the minimum wage used was the minimum wage as percent of average hourly earnings in manufac turing times the estimated coverage of the Fed eral law. The authors found that increases in the effective minimum wage would decrease the teenage share of total employment and also make teenage employment more sensitive to cyclical variations. The M oore study had an elaborate model which included not only the unemployment rate of adult males and the relative magnitude of the minimum wage (as did Burns), but also (in one regression) the relative size of the teenage labor force and the proportion of workers (not only teenage) covered by the minimum wage. The model also included a complex lag struc ture. The lag structure, as fitted, suggested that minimum wage effects were not fully realized for 2 years. The lag structure was constructed so that minimum wages had no effect immedi ately but gradually increased. Moore found a significant adverse relationship between mini mum wages and teenage unemployment rates. Effects upon Negroes were greater than those upon white, and for females greater than for male teenagers. The S cu lly paper related teenage unemploy ment rates to these of adult males (as did Burns and Moore) and added a series of quasi-dummy variables for periods when the minimum wage was raised. No other variables were included. The minimum wage variable was significant in four out of five instances but, as Scully noted, the results do not support the conclusion that all the effects associated with the minimum wage variable was attributable to the minimum wage. The studies reviewed above can be criticized on the grounds that crude measures of the mini mum wage were used or relevant variables were not considered in many of the analyses. Brozen looked only at the “before” and “after” situa tion, which actually presents a mixed picture, and considered the effects of no other develop ments. Scully and Easley-Fearn used dummy or quasi-dummy variables representing changes (or levels) of the minimum wage, but no viable measure of the relative level. Burns used a mea sure of minimum wages not especially relevant to the teenage group and did not consider addi tional variables other than the adult unemploy ment rate. The analyses by Moore and KostersWelch are more sophisticated but generally con sider the effects of few additional variables. S t u d ie s f in d in g no adverse e f f e c t s of n a t io n a l m in im u m . F o lk used data from the Oc tober Current Population Surveys for 1948 to 1966 to relate the unemployment rate and the labor force participation rate of different agesex-groups of young people, classified by school 32 enrollment status, to the unemployment rate of adult males and a time variable. A simple dummy variable was also included for those years when the minimum wage was signifi cantly increase. Folk did not find the minimum wage variable significant, and in 11 out of 16 regressions the signs of the regression coeffi cients were contrary to theoretical expectations. T h u ro w related employment of disadvan taged to comparable advantaged groups in a so phisticated model which included minimum wage as a percent of average hourly earnings as an explanatory variable. His model provides a test of the deterioration in the employment po sition of teenagers relative to adults and of white relative to other teenagers, but not a test of absolute employment effects nor of relative unemployment effects. Minimum wages proved to be an insignificant variable, and parts of Thurow’s analysis contradict findings in Brozen’s and Moore’s analysis.3 The B a rth model relates employment (not un employment) levels of various teenage groups to the employment level of adults, a trend varia ble, and a dummy variable (or variables) repre senting periods when the minimum wage was raised. While structurally similar to the Scully model (which used unemployment rather than employment), Barth found the minimum wage variable freqn ntly insignificant and, where sig nificant, only occasionally indicating the direc tion of change that economic theory would sug gest. The Folk and Barth studies, like Scully and Easley-Fearn, used dummy variables, which are fairly crude measures of minimum wage. Folk had included a trend variable which may have picked up some minimum wage effects. Thurow used stepwise regression methods which have the danger of discarding relevant variables on purely statistical grounds. Thurow, Barth and the Rosters—Walsh study differ from other studies since they concentrated on measures of employment rather than unemployment. S t u d ie s of S ta te m in im u m wage l a w s . An additional approach to the evaluation of the ef fects of minimum wages is through a cross-sec tion analysis of State minimum wage laws. K alachek ran a number of regressions relating teenage employment to the availability of unem ployed adult labor, the ratio of teenage to total employment, a measure of the flexibility of rela tive wages, the occupational and industrial com position of employment, and other control vari ables (proportion of teenagers in school, pro portion married, income of married males, and Negro proportion of the teenage population), as well as a dummy variable for the presence of a State minimum wage law. Applying his analy sis to data for the 75 largest s m s a ’ s drawn from the 1960 Census of Population, Kalachek found that the proxy variable for the minimum wage either had the wrong sign or was statistically insignificant in his analyses. K a tz also analyzed the 1960 census data for male teenagers in 67 metropolitan areas. Unlike Kalachek, Katz used estimated hourly earnings, rather than weekly earnings. Further, the study used a model with separate equation for labor demand, teenagers’ demand for schooling, and the labor force participation of students and of nonstudents. The preliminary findings of the study indicate that the demand for teenage labor was elastic and that minimum wage laws had a substantial effect on teenage wages and, hence, that extending minimum wage coverage to the other States would have curbed employ ment opportunities of teenagers in those areas. In fact, however, the difference in the rate of employment between the two groups of metro politan areas was very modest, though other factors may have offset the greater differences expected due to minimum wage coverage alone. The author speculated that, to the degree the extensions of coverage of the Federal law in 1961 and 1966 into the trade and service sectors increased teenagers’ wages relative to those for adults, it may have reduced teenage employ ment. Because a minimum wage might also dis courage teenage labor force participation, the author notes, it would not necessarily cause higher unemployment rates. New studies: an introduction The basic intent of this chapter is to develop relevant quantitative relations between teenage 33 unemployment and minimum wage rates in order to discern whether and by how much the latter affect the former. Section 3 of this chap ter includes an analysis of quarterly data from 1954 through 1968. A separate investigation using annual data for 1948 through 1968 is pre sented in section 4, with conclusions based on all available materials in section 5. A more ex tensive discussion of the labor force data used can be found in the appendix A to this chapter. The work underlying the rest of this chapter contains a number of new elements not pre viously considered. In the course of this work it became clear that the study of the effect of min imum wage on teenage unemployment could only be made within a more comprehensive ef fort to establish the determinants of teenage labor force behavior. However, it was also evi dent that neither time nor resources was availa ble for a comprehensive review and the mate rial presented here does not exhaust the possi bility for research by others. In fact, several problems which were uncovered in the present study need to be dealt with at greater length in future work. A considerable amount of the analysis in this chapter is concerned with unemployment ratios rather than unemployment rates. It is impor tant to note the distinction here in order to avoid later confusion. The unemployment ratio is the percentage of the civilian noninstitutional population which is unemployed, while the unemployment rate is the percentage of the civilian labor force which is unemployed. Given the civilian labor force participation rate (the percentage of the civilian noninstitutional pop ulation which is in the labor force), the rela tionship among these various quantities may be expressed as follows: _ 100 (unemployment ratio) unemployment rate = ——---- ----------- —----:--------labor force participation rate Unemployment ratios were the primary varia bles in the analysis because they were consi dered to be conceptually and analytically supe rior to the unemployment rates for reasons dis cussed later in this section. Results for unem ployment ratios are then translated into results for unemployment rates, since the letter are more widely used and understood. Quarterly data, 1954-68 The equations representing the labor force behavior of teenagers are all linear in the varia bles discussed below, and were fitted by least squares. The general form is : Y — bo -J- bi Xi -f- b2X2 -J- • • • ~b bk Xk Limited investigation of comparable equations which are linear in the logarithms of the varia bles was undertaken, but yielded substantially similar results and are only briefly mentioned. All data were seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, except for population ratios, school enrollment, and minimum wage variables. The historical period upon which the regression equations were based was from the first quarter of 1954 through the fourth quarter of 1968 (60 observations). Policy variables The policy variables are those which reflect government laws and programs and therefore, key to the entire analysis. The discussion is lim ited to those representing the effects over the year of the Fair Labor Standards Act and its amendments, and of Federal manpower pro grams in recent years. M in im u m wage v a r ia b le . The quantification of the effect of minimum wage provisions of the act has been attempted in various forms by var ious analysts. The simplest of these is a “dummy” variable which has the value of one after a change in the minimum wage, and of zero prior to the change. Because this variable allows for no gradation, it cannot pick up change over several time periods. Ordinarily, a dummy variable is used only when quantifying a known effect is otherwise not possible. A second simple variable which has been used to represent the minimum wage is the actual dollar value of the minimum rate, but a dollar variable is deficient by itself. Some account must be taken of changing wage levels over the years. For example, the impact of a $1.60 mini mum would have been quite different in 1960 than it was in 1968. 34 Others have modified this variable by taking it as a ratio to a wage rate level, such as aver age hourly earnings in manufacturing. This variable is clearly superior to the two previous versions. Nevertheless, it still can be considered only a first approximation for various reasons. As the f l s a has been amended over the year, both the minimum rate(s) has (have) changed and the coverage provisions have changed. The impact upon the labor market behavior of young people should take the detailed configu rations of these provisions into account. For one thing, a coverage variable needs to be added to the equations. In addition, the average hourly earnings rates need to be calculated for those industries and parts of industries covered by the f l s a and used in the denominator of the minimum rate variable, while the numerator should be a weighted combination of the various minimums in effect. While this minimum wage variable is an im provement over those previously used, it still falls short of what is wanted. More desirable is a weighted average wage rate offered to youth. In those industries covered by the f l s a this would be either the minimum rate or the actual rate offered if it were above the minimum. In the uncovered industries and firms, it would be the actual wage offered. These rates would be weighted by the number of jobs held by and offered to youth. The minimum wage variable actually used falls short of this goal. Ratios of minimum wage rates to average hourly earnings were computed by industry and combined into an index in which the weight for an industry ratio was the proportion of the industry covered by f l s a times the ratio of the number of young people employed in the industry to total youth employment. The explicit allowance for youth employment probably does not add much infor mation content to this variable because of the slow change in its industrial composition. This minimum wage variable combines both mini mum and coverage effects, and no further al lowance is made for the latter. grams to create job or training opportunities for a considerable number of young people. Es timates are available of the number of people of various ages who have enrolled in the major programs and how they would be classified under the definition of the labor force survey. For example, those groups within the Neigh borhood Youth Corps would be counted as “em ployed ;” enrollees in the Institutional Training Program would be called “unemployed,” and Job Corps enrollees are classified as “not in the labor force.” Having the various enrollment figures for the major programs and knowing how these enroll ees are classified by labor force status gives us some of the information we need. Also needed is data about what these people would have been doing in the absence of these programs. For example, can it be assumed that all those classi fied as “employed” under the Manpower Pro grams would have, in the absence of these pro grams, been unemployed ? A study of these pro grams by Malcolm Cohen assumed that “enroll ees would have continued at their previous em ployment status during their participation in the Federal manpower program if there had been no program.”4 This assumption, plus some others, resulted in estimates of increases to teenage employment of several hundred thou sand. Whether or not the assumptions are real istic, clearly some effect is present which must be covered by regression equations. No assump tions have been made about direct quantitative measures for these program effects and there fore, included four dummy variables have been included, one for each of the years 1965 through 1968, in all of the regression equations. The re sults are discussed in the section on the regres sion equations themselves. There is some possibility of interaction be tween the dummy variable for 1967 and 1968 and the increase in the minimum wage variable for those years. However, no such interaction exists for the dummy variables in 1965 and 1966. Moreover, if the dummy variables exhibit some progression in pattern from 1965-66 to M a n po w er program v a r ia b l e s . Since 1965, the 1967-68, the presumption is that something Federal Government has developed and main other than the minimum wage effect is being tained a number of significant manpower pro measured. 35 Dependent variables The analysis examines the effects of mini mum wage provisions on unemployment and employment patterns of young people. Never theless, adjustments by employers to changes in their labor costs may take place in one or more of a variety of ways, i.e., price changes, profit changes, and productivity changes. A compre hensive study of the subject might well give more insights into the adjustment mechanisms involved. Efforts will first be directed at the study of teenage unemployment ratios in the following categories: M ale F em ale W h ite A ll O th er W h ite A ll O th er 16-17 year olds___ 18-19 year olds___ X X X X X X X X Subsequently the same equations for all 16-19 year olds combined will be examined. Various studies have shown that young peo ple have a high labor force elasticity to changes in employment. Roughly, when employment rises by 10, unemployment falls by only six; this is an indication that additional people are drawn into the ranks of the employed from out of the labor force. These magnitudes are about the same for both young men and women. Con versely, when employment falls by 10, unem ployment rises by six, so that presumably four people leave the labor force. Consequently, the unemployment rates (ratio of unemployment to labor force) will exhibit behavior combining the effects of both numerator and denominator. Equations using these rates as dependent varia bles therefore, will be somewhat more difficult to interpret. In place of these rates, as indicated earlier, unemployment ratios (unemployment to civilian noninstitutional population) are used. Since the population estimates in the denomina tor change rather slowly and exogenously, the behavior of the ratio will reflect more clearly the behavior of the numerator. These ratios lend themselves more readily to projection work as well. Also, the implication for unemployment rates can be and is derived. Two other ratios for the relevant age-sexcolor groups are used as dependent variables. These are the employment and labor force par ticipation ratios. Changes in employer hiring practices should affect both the employment and the unemployment ratios. Equations using these two as dependent variables (and with the same set of independent variables) then can be sim ply added to obtain the corresponding equations with labor force participation rates as the de pendent variable. This has been done, and the results are presented later in this chapter. The separate categories of white and other races, or of male and female, used for the analy sis need no explicit justification. The age cate gories of 16-17 and 18-19 year olds are consi dered to be significant because of the different influences to which these groups are subject. The younger group might be expected, other things equal, to be lower paid, and hence their employment more influenced by the minimum wage. This group most generally need work permits for jobs, and may be subject to other work-connected restrictions or requirements as well. In particular, they still heavily represent those in secondary schools in most months of the year. A large proportion of the 18-19 year olds are out of school, but the boys are subject to draft call. Since both age groups are influenced strongly by the school year, the seasonal patterns of em ployment and unemployment between the sum mer and winter months are very marked. The question is whether the use of seasonally ad justed data for these groups for all periods of the year in the same regression equation may affect the analysis in some detrimental fashion. The increasing rates of school enrollment over the years have an effect on the seasonal pat terns of labor force activity. Since our methods of seasonal adjustment allow for changing pat terns of seasonality, we may perhaps be remov ing, via seasonal adjustment, some aspects of labor force behavior which should have been re tained. This suggests that some other labor force models be examined separately for the in school and out-of-school youth, and possibly with not-seasonally adjusted data. Limited in vestigation of this (not reported on here) does not appear to yield any new insights, however. Two other approaches have not been exam ined because of time and staff limitations. One of these uses as the dependent variable the ratio 36 of teenage white to all other unemployment, by sex and age possibly or the ratios of these to adult unemployment, as the dependent variable. Another would incorporate some measure of the duration of teenage unemployment to pick up an additional dimension. Independent variables A r m e d F o r c e s . This is the ratio of male Armed Forces 16-19 years old to the population for the same category. This variable is present only in the equations for males, because it is assume that minimal substitution of young women for young men takes place in the labor market. However, the withdrawal of some young men from civilian life into military service presum ably has some effect on prospects for those who remain. The variable is unlikely to be successful in reflecting the negative effect on employment opportunities for young men waiting to be called by the draft. It is also deficient in not reflecting the current number of 16-19 year olds in the Armed Forces at all times, since the variable is updated at intervals with no back ward revisions. The Armed Forces data thereby contain some short term time movements which are essentially statistical artifacts. A g r ic u l t u r a l e m p l o y m e n t . T wo variables were constructed, one for white and the other for all other youth. They are ratios of agricul tural employment of the 16-19 year olds to the relevant population totals. The purpose of this variable is to reflect the gradual shift from rural to urban activities. In the rural areas, young people may be either unpaid or paid fam ily workers, but the nature of the labor market is quite different from that in urban areas where the personal element in the worker-em ployer relationship is less. Interrelationship with other factors, such as school attendance, and distance from home to work, are also pre sent. Since the data for youth agricultural em ployment are quite scarce no further detailed categories by sex or age were used because of their substantial irregular movement. Data for Negro5 youth were so irregular in fact that only annual averages were used. U n e m p l o y m e n t r a t e o f a d u l t m a l e s . Some measure of the level of economic activity must be included in these equations since youth em ployment and unemployment patterns are influ enced by the general course of economic activ ity. As will be seen below, this variable has the most important single influence on the employ ment and unemployment ratios of the young. The unemployment rate of adult males does not have the complex characteristics of that for young people discussed earlier since the labor force denominator (the adult male labor force) is relatively insensitive to changing economic conditions. The regression equations include measures of both relative demand and relative supply. The ratio of the particular agesex-color population the adult population for the same sex is a measure of relative supply. During the latter part of the postwar period these variables manifested upward trends re flecting the early postwar “baby boom.” If at that time the available jobs for young people did not expand rapidly enough, an associated increase in youth unemployment would be ex pected. On the other hand, the result might also be an increase in the “discouragement” effect with more youth remaining out of the labor force. Unfortunately, population measures for the young, in particular Negroes, are somewhat deficient as described in the appendix on char acteristics of the labor force data, and therefore may not exercise their proper role in these equations. P o p u l a t io n r a t io s . S c h o o l e n r o l l m e n t r a t io s . This factor is an other supply-oriented variable although varia tions in it reflect variations in demand as well. Eight measures of the variable are used, one for each age-sex-color category. The ratios are available for October of each year; these esti mates are used for four successive quarters starting with the last calendar quarter of each year. Consequently, they do not reflect enroll ment changes during the school year. In addi tion, these data, based on a single calendar month are subject to somewhat higher sampling errors than the quarterly or annual data used elsewhere. 37 The equations The results for the 24 regression equations are presented in tables 2.1 to 2.7. The symbols in the tables are identified as follows: E = civilian employment ratio to population for the indicated category U = unemployment ratio to population for the indicated category L = civilian labor force participation rate for the indicate category AF = ratio of male Armed Forces, 16-19 years old, to male population, 16-19 A(W) = agricultural employment ratio to popula tion, white, 16-19 year old A (NW) = agricultural employment ratio to popu lation, Negro, 16-19 year old UR =: adult male unemployment rate P = ratio of population of indicated category to corresponding adult (20 years and older) population of same sex S = school enrollment rate for indicated category WW = minimum wage variable Di = variable reflecting factors peculiar to the year 1965 D2 = variable reflecting factors peculiar to the year 1966 D3 = variable reflecting factors peculiar to the year 1967 D4 = variable reflecting factors peculiar to the year 1968 R2 = coefficient of multiple determination adjusted for degree of freedom S.E. = standard error of estimate of the dependent variable O = standard deviation of the dependent variable D-W = Durbin-Watson coefficient T = ratio of a coefficient to its standard error Table 2.1. Employment equations: white ' Variable Male 16-17 Male 18-19 Female 16-17 Employment equations: Negroes and Male 16-17 Coef ficient T Coef ficient T Coef ficient T T Independent: Constant. __ 16.719 AF______ .088 .7 A (W )____ 1.695 2.4 UR_______ -1.616 2.2 P.......... .... -28.769 1.0 S ____________ .339 1.6 WW______ - .102 .1 3.159 1.4 Di_______ 8.723 3.1 D2_______ 5.675 2.2 D3_______ 5.310 1.9 D4_______ Coef ficient T 53.831 -.0 1 3 1.473 -.7 5 0 -3.372 -.4 2 2 4.515 3.266 4.247 -1.668 .218 .1 2.4 1.1 .1 3.6 1.9 1.2 .9 .3 0 .783 2.656 5.651 1.724 R 2 ___________ S.E______ 0________ D-W_____ Female 1 Coef ficient Coef ficient 9 T T 11.840 .967 -.4 9 5 -12.560 .051 .829 .816 4.887 4.684 4.668 .690 3.586 6.373 1.106 -17.630 2.0 1.0 .6 .6 .7 .6 2.9 2.9 2.7 .953 -1.454 87.203 -.0 3 8 .002 -7.757 -10.613 -8.798 -9.829 1.5 2.3 1.8 .3 0 2.8 2.3 1.6 1.7 .252 3.134 3.588 1.140 .660 1.905 3.234 1.346 As noted earlier, the labor force equations may be derived as the simple sum of the corre sponding employment and unemployment equa tions. The statistical significance is evaluated more easily for the unemployment equations than for the employment equations. In the former set, the Durbin-Watson coefficients indicate the presence of little, if any, positive serial correla tion in the residuals. However, still present are the problems of errors in the independent varia bles and of declining sampling errors over the years, which affect all of the findings to some Unemployment equations: white Male 16-17 Female 18-19 Coef ficient Female 16-17 Dependent E Variable Coef ficient Male 18-19 Variable Table 2.3. T Coef ficient T Male 18-19 Coef ficient T Female 16-17 Female 18-19 Coef ficient Coef ficient T T Dependent U Dependent Independent: 92.276 Constant. .197 3.2 AF A(W) - .458 .5 -1.513 4.9 UR P.............. . -1.037 .7 S................ - .443 1.4 -2.782 2.9 WW. . . Di 2.051 2.1 3.999 3.2 d2 6.749 5.9 Ds 8.080 6.2 d4 R2 S.E 0 D-W Table 2.2. other races . . .817 1.371 3.168 .960 78.764 .060 .655 -2.250 -1.057 - .102 -2.012 - .518 .359 2.025 2.688 56.429 .6 .9 8.3 .6 .6 2.0 .4 .2 1.4 1.9 .795 1.318 2.884 1.480 - .882 -1.423 -3.855 - .048 -2.208 - .411 - .761 3.743 4.617 27.780 .8 4.8 2.2 .2 2.3 .4 .6 3.3 3.7 .653 1.359 2.285 .967 2.380 - .479 2.535 -.0 3 0 .147 -1.227 1.705 1.740 2.432 3.3 1.8 1.5 .2 .2 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.7 .563 1.382 2.070 1.370 Independent: Constant... AF_______ A (W)......... U R ........... P________ S________ WW______ Di_______ D2_______ Ds_______ D4_______ R 2 ___________ S.E______ 0________ D-W_____ 2.358 .015 .5 .227 .5 .458 3.2 1.093 1.6 - .058 .4 .305 .7 -.001 0 -.3 3 4 .6 - .174 .3 .9 -.5 3 9 .332 .631 .764 1.671 14.489 - .019 - .903 1.290 -2.050 .017 - .042 .761 .819 .513 .000 .4 2.8 10.4 2.4 .2 .1 1.3 .9 .8 0 .8 8 8 .606 1.792 1.979 4.120 10.560 - .317 .7 .170 1.4 .445 .8 - .009 .1 - .105 .3 - .480 1.2 -.3 4 5 .7 - .197 .4 .156 .3 .284 .575 .673 1.880 -1.195 .336 .552 - .060 - .525 - .035 -1.391 - .718 -.1 3 0 3.7 2.8 .8 1.0 1.3 .1 1.7 1.1 .2 .667 .619 1.055 1.676 38 Table 2.6. Table 2.4. Unemployment equations: Negroes and other races Male 16-17 Male 18-19 Female 16-17 Female 18-19 Coef ficient Coef ficient Labor force equations: Negroes and other races Variable Coefficient T Coef ficient T T 33.428 -.1 1 5 -.8 6 0 1.082 -25.362 .291 -4.386 -2.229 -2.978 3.165 2.981 .493 1.634 2.272 1.845 R2___......... .7 2.0 2.2 .9 3.6 2.7 1.2 .9 .8 .7 .569 2.449 3.692 1.351 -.3 1 8 .278 2.691 -.0 6 2 1.111 .733 1.113 -1.471 -1.578 1.0 .8 .2 1.0 1.3 .7 1.0 1.3 1.3 .511 1.312 1.856 1.674 Female 16-17 Female 18-19 Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Dependent 23.541 7.830 Male 18-19 T Dependent U Independent: 32.257 Constant. AF_______ .145 1.8 A (NW)___ -1.324 3.1 UR_______ .460 1.0 P________ -24.698 1.4 S________ .091 .7 WW______ -3.323 3.0 Di_______ 2.081 1.5 -.0 9 7 .1 D2_______ 5.134 3.2 D3 _______ D4....... — 3.945 2.2 Male 16-17 Variable -.7 4 0 .370 -11.449 -.1 0 6 1.118 -2.444 -1.048 -1.091 -3.099 2.0 1.1 .4 1.5 .9 1.6 .4 .4 .9 Independent: Constant......... AF_________ A (NW)_____ UR_________ P__________ S__________ WW________ Di_________ D2-------------- -d 3_________ d 4_________ 48.976 .233 .371 -1.156 -53.467 .430 -3.425 5.240 8.626 10.809 9.255 87.258 - .128 .613 .332 -28.734 -.1 3 1 .129 1.037 1.269 1.497 3.199 19.670 5.911 .649 -.2 1 7 -9.869 .213 -1.084 75.754 -.1 4 4 1.120 10.201 -11.661 -9.889 -12.928 -.011 1.940 1.549 6.000 3.213 3.090 .493 1.740 2.420 2.205 ployment. Thus, increases in the minimum wage variable should reduce employment among teen agers; four of the eight coefficients have the extent. In the case of the employment equa expected negative sign. In the same way, in tions, the Durbin-Watson coefficients generally creases in the minimum wage are expected to indicate the presence of some positive serial increase unemployment of teenagers. The re sults are that only 3 of 8 coefficients have the correlation, whose nature, discussed in the ap expected sign. There may be some indi pendix on the characteristics of labor force cation forpositive the male year olds to behave as data, is different from that for which modified expected; 3 of the 16-17 4 signs are correct. estimation techniques have been developed. Consequently, the significance of the coefficients 2. The wrong signs in the employment equa in these equations cannot be readily assessed, tions are not amenable to easy explanation, al but is probably overstated. though possibly relevant variables have been The results for the coefficients of the mini omitted, the relationships improperly specified, mum wage variable are summarized below: or deficiencies in the basic data have not been overcome. However, some possibility exists that 1. Only 7 of the 16 coefficients have the sign adverse employment effects for 16-17 year olds usually expected under the hypothesis that the may act to improve employment opportunities minimum wage affects employment and unem- for 18-19 year olds. This may help explain the large positive coefficient for all other males 18-19, but the statistical significance of the lat Table 2.5. Labor force equations: white ter is unknown. The other positive coefficients S.E....... . 0 ________ D-W_____ Male 16-17 Male 18-19 Female 16-17 Female 18-19 Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Variables Dependent L Independent: Constant... . AF______ A__________ UR_________ P S_____ WW________ D,_________ d 2_________ Da________ d 4._ ____ Table 2.7. Coefficient of minimum wage on variables in employment and unemployment ratio equation Age group Category 94.634 .212 -.231 -1.055 .056 - .501 -2.477 2.050 3.665 6.575 7.541 93.253 .041 -.2 4 8 -.9 6 0 -3.107 - .085 -2.054 .243 1.178 2.538 2.688 60.549 38.340 -1.199 -1.253 -3.410 - .057 -2.313 - .891 -1.106 3.546 4.773 1.185 - .143 3.087 -.0 9 0 -.3 7 8 -1.262 .314 1.022 2.302 Employment equation Unemployment equation Coefficient White males______ ... White females________ All other males___ ____ All other females__ 16-17 18-19 16-17 18-19 16-17 18-19 16-17 18-19 -2.782 -2.012 -2.208 .147 - .102 4.515 .829 .002 T-ratio 2.9 2.0 2.3 .2 .1 1.9 .7 0 Coefficient .305 -.0 4 2 -.1 0 5 -.5 2 5 -3.323 -4.386 1.111 1.118 T-ratio .7 .1 .3 1.3 3.0 2.7 1.3 .9 39 creased by 25 percent for all groups. For the third quarter of 1969, the value of WW equals 3.78. An increase of 25 percent in this figure would yield an added 0.945. Multiplying this in crement by the employment ratio coefficients of WW in the preceding table 2.7 and weighting the eight categories by their average 1968 civil ian noninstitutional population values, the esti mated drop is 182,000 in teenage employment. The same procedure applied to the unemploy ment ratio equations yields a net decrease of 34,000 for all teenagers. The two changes yield a net decrease in the teenage labor force of 216,000, compared with a total teenage civilian labor force in 1968 of 6,619,000, or a little over 3 percent. As already indicated, the labor force findings are contrary to simple economic theory. If the Category White All other minimum wage rises and if this causes an in Male, 16-17 .......................... —2.477 —3.425 Male, 18-19 .......................... —2.054 .129 crease in wages offered to youth economic Female, 16-17 ...................... —2.313 1.940 theory says that the supply of teenage labor Female, 18-19 ...................... — .378 1.120 should also rise, since wages are more attrac Under consideration is whether an increase tive. If, by supply of labor is meant those who in minimum wage contracts labor force activ are working or who want a job, this may well ity, either working or looking for work. The be the case. On the other hand, if supply of evidence is inconsistent with basic economic labor is interpreted as those who are counted as theory: all of the white groups have a negative employed or unemployed in the labor force sur coefficient, plus the all other males, 16-17. The vey, the problem is again one of measurement. coefficients for the remaining three groups are The finding that an increase in the minimum positive, influenced largely by positive coeffi wage variable shrinks the measured labor force cients in the employment equations. The equa is not inconsistent with the hypothesis that it tions for the all other categories are subject to also increases the potential labor force. Since difficulties of interpretation in general. The our results are single equation results, esti cause may be partly the thin data base, and mates of the coefficients may be subject to bias, partly the lack of a good model of Negro behav because certain other relationships are excluded ior. Inquiries are necessary about the effect of from consideration. This point is discussed fur minimum wages on employment. The answer ther at the end of this chapter. must consider the complexity of labor force be A cross-section analysis of six groups of male havior, particularly with respect to “potential” teenagers, using area data from the 1960 unemployment. Census,7 came up with a similar finding: when 5. These equations contain implications for labor force participation rates of male teenag changes in minimum wage rates. Since the im ers were correlated against their weekly earn plications (in terms of the coefficients of the ings (the use of hourly earnings was rejected minimum wage variable) are not very reliable because of data problems) in the presence of statistically, they should be considered with other variables, negative coefficients were found great reservations. The estimates in the follow in all six equations. In other words, the areas ing paragraph are subject to these reservations with the higher teenage earnings had lower and can only be considered as reasonable, but teenage labor force participation rates. Since not as definitely established. this result was somewhat disconcerting, Suppose that minimum wage rates were in Bowen and Finegan examined it at some length. are clearly insignificant. With respect to unem ployment, the situation is actually somewhat more complex. 3. If employment opportunities decrease, does this necessarily result in an increase in unemployment? Our labor force data indicate that a considerable number of teenagers want a job but have not looked for one, and are there fore counted as not in the labor force. Conceiva bly a decrease in job opportunities could be as sociated not with an increase in measured un employment, but with an increase in “potential” unemployment, for which no count exists.6 4. The coefficients of the minimum wage vari able in the eight labor force equations also are useful: 40 of eight labor force participation rates are re duced when enrollment rates rise. The Armed Forces variable seems to play a role only in the case of employment of white males, 16-17 years old. The coefficient here is positive, suggesting that increasing the propor tion of 16-19 years olds in the Armed Forces may give the 16-17 year olds a competitive advantage compared with the 18-19 year olds. The agricultural employment variable has six out of eight positive coefficients in the employ ment equations, and seven out of eight negative coefficients in the unemployment equations. Since agricultural employment as a percent of population has been falling, this suggest that along with the movement from rural to urban Changes in unemployment rates activities has come a decline in the employment Age-sex White All other Males 16-17 ................................... + 1.2 —6.0 ratios and an increase in the unemployment Males 18-19 ................................... + .2 —6.6 ratios. On balance, the white labor force par Females 16-17 ............................... + .6 + 1.8 ticipation rates have fallen, except for white Females 18-19 ............................... — .9 + 1.7 females 18-19 years old, while labor force par The net effect for all eight groups is a de ticipation rates for all others have risen slight crease in the unemployment rate of 0.1 percen ly. The movement from employment to unem tage points, or essentially no change. No de ployment is not inconsistent with the expecta tailed analysis by group is attempted to avoid tions. reading significance into results which may in 7. A separate discussion is needed for the some instances not support this effort; never four dummy variables for the years 1965, 1966, theless, increases in unemployment rates may 1967, and 1968. Initially the use of single dum be consistent with decreases in the number of mies for the 2-year period, 1967-68, in these equations was explored, on the grounds that the people classified as unemployed. change in the labor force questionnaire in 1967 6. While the other variables in these equa might cause the employment and unemployment tions are not of primary concern they were in data to exhibit somewhat different patterns cluded on a priori grounds that they influenced than in earlier years. The coefficients of these the labor force behavior of teenagers, so exami dummies, particularly for some of the employ nation of their performance is worthwhile. ment equations, indicated something was The population variable behaves fairly well at work other than just a that change in the ques in accord with expectations. If the population of tionnaire. A comparison of results obtained teenagers rises relative to the population of during the year 1966 with the old and new ques adults, increasing difficulty in maintaining a tionnaire confirmed this impression that other given employment ratio for the younger group influences were present. The paper by Cohen8 estimated that almost may be expected. Six of the coefficients in the 400,000 young people, 16-21 years of age, were eight employment equations support this prem ise. In five of the eight groups there is also an covered by Federal Manpower Programs in indication of a drop in the labor force participa 1967 and would be counted as “employed” tion rates. Overall, the effects are somewhat under the definitions of the labor force ques tionnaire. There is question, therefore, as to mixed. The school enrollment rates play a generally whether these youths should not have been similar role. As enrollment rates rise, most em picked up in some way by the regression equa ployment and unemployment ratios fall. Seven tions. Cohen estimated that the bulk of these They eventually concluded that the source of the apparent contradiction with economic theory was in the use of the measured labor force as the labor supply, a conclusion which is consistent with the results and material pre sented in this chapter. Some additional results are given on the ef fects of an increase in minimum wages on the unemployment rates. As already noted, only three of the eight unemployment ratios rise if the minimum wage is increased. On the other hand, five of the eight unemployment rates rise under the same conditions. Specifically, under the assumption of a 25-percent increase in the minimum wage, the following is found: 41 employed young people would have been unem ployed in the absence of these programs. Quant ities of these magnitudes should clearly affect the regression equations for the years since 1965. The four dummy variables were therefore designed to try to measure the effects of these manpower programs as well as any other influ ences present. Cohen does not consider the ef fects of other manpower programs, such as the Job Corps, whose enrollees are classified as being out of the labor force or any other influ ence which also affect our estimates of the dummy variables. The effects of these dummy variables are measured in percentage points of the civilian noninstitutional population. When they are multiplied by the corresponding population fig ures and then aggregated across age-sex-color groups, we get the following results: Category Employment effects of dummy variable (16-19 year olds) ... Cohen estimates of Manpower Program effects (16-21 year olds) .................. ... 1965 1966 1967 1968 (N um bers in thousands) 3 240 426 544 143 309 372 t1) 1 Not available. The bulk of those employed were in the Neighborhood Youth Corps. James Tucker9 shows that three times as many 16-17 year olds were enrolled in NYC as 18-19 year olds. For the 8 years combined, 1966-68, the employment increments in the dummy variables show a fiveto-one ratio between the 16-17 and 18-19 year olds, a not unreasonable correspondence. Despite the fact that some individual dum mies (seven out of 32) had negative signs, the aggregate estimates for all teenagers, are not much different from the independent estimates of Cohen, although one must make allowances for his broader age coverage (16-21 years). A similar comparison between Cohen’s esti mates and those based on the regression equa tion dummies may be made for unemployment effects. This comparison is contained in the tab ulation : Category Unemployment effects of dummy variable (16-19 year o ld s) Cohen estimates of Manpower Program effects (16-21 year olds) ....................... 1 Not available. 1965 1966 1967 1968 (N um bers in thousands) —1 —97 —50 —191 5 —237 —17 0) The differences between these two independ ent estimates are large, compared with those for the employment effects. The estimates of the unemployment effects from the regression equa tions are consistent with the idea developed ear lier that shifts in and out of employment are associated with shifts in and out of unemploy ment, and also in and out of the “not in labor force” category. The Cohen estimates provide for no labor force adjustment mechanism of this kind, as exhibited through our measure ment procedures. The parallel between the finding in this study and for the minimum wage variable is of some interest. Both the dummies and the minimum wage variable pick up employment effects, but no particular unemployment effects. These find ings plus the evidence presented throughout this chapter support the hypothesis that a labor force adjustment mechanism is at work which tends to limit the impact on unemployment lev els of various factors. However, the employ ment effects are associated with low DurbinWatson coefficients, affecting their significance. The danger in this as well as in other ana lyses in passing subtly from speculation, proba bility, and tentative evaluation to a discussion of apparently objective and uncontested facts. The material presented in this chapter has many tentative aspects, and more than the usual number of caveats are discussed. The sta tistical result contain many plausible elements. However, some objective facts are present. FLSA changes took effect in February 1967 and in February 1968. At the same time, Federal Manpower Programs were operating in high gear. Clearly the two phenomena were working somewhat at odds, with the increase in mini mum wage rate and coverage operating, to some extent, to depress job opportunities for the young, while the manpower programs were working to increase them. Since the manpower programs were quite substantial and covered hundreds of thousands of youngsters, if the an alyses had ignored these programs, they would have improperly underestimated the influence of the f l s a changes. 42 8. In the preceding analysis eight separate age-sex-color groups were analyzed in order to detect any differential patterns among them, with some limited success. In the process of fragmenting the data, the Bureau ran the risk of increased errors in the variables, and de creased significance of results. Also effectively ignored were any substitution effects among these groups. Some added perspectives can be attained by fitting the same equations to all eight groups combined. This has been done both with and without the four dummy variables, with the results indicated in table 2.8. These equations again indicate a negative co efficient for the minimum wage variable in the employment coefficient when the dummies are included, but a positive coefficient when the dummies are excluded. The problem is clearly pinpointed in the patterns of the variables in the last several years, particularly 1967-68. As indicated earlier, a reasonable assumption is that positive employment effects are being picked up from the manpower programs in these years. The employment effects as meas ured through this single equation are greater than from the eight separate equations. Another hypothesis must be considered as well with re spect to the single equation. The adult male unemployment rate for the last 4 years were: 1965, 3.2; 1966, 2.5; 1967, 2.3; 1968, 2.2. As labor market conditions tighten, the adult unemployment rate falls. It is reasonable to as sume that it is harder to bring this rate down Table 2.8. from 3.0 to 2.0 than it was from 4.0 to 3.0, and so on. As the rate falls, it approaches some fric tional limit with increasing difficulty, and labor market pressures are increasingly transmitted to other groups with higher proportions of mar ginal workers, such as women and teenagers. The equations are expressed in linear form. Can they be transformed so that they will rec ognize this nonlinearity effect in very tight labor market conditions ? The simplest way is to transform the equa tions given earlier into logarithmic form, ex cept for the dummy variables. This has been done, and the results have been converted into employment and unemployment effects with the results shown in table 2.9. The logarithmic results are taken as better representations of the manpower program ef fects. These estimates may be compared with those derived earlier for the eight separate cat egories of teenagers. The latter estimates have picked up some of the presumed nonlinearity through the separate equations and are thus closer to those based on the logarithmic form. The peculiar decline in the unemployment ef fects for 1967-68 undoubtedly reflect the effects of the change in the questionnaire in 1967 which reduced measured teenage unemploy ment. These summary equations are not otherwise analyzed here, since they are generally consist ent with the equations discussed earlier. The unemployment equations have negative coeffi cients for the minimum wage variable in both the linear and logarithmic forms, whether or not the dummy variables are included. Equations for all 16-19 year olds combined Employment ratio equations Unemployment ratio equations Table 2.9. effects Nonlinear employment and unemployment Variable Coef ficient Tratio Coef ficient Tratio Coef ficient Tratio Coef ficient [Numbers in thousands] Tratio Effects Constant______ AF__________ A_____ ______ UR__________ P___________ S___________ WW__________ D,___________ D2___________ D3.............. . D4___________ R2___________ 87.084 .096 -.5 3 0 -1.303 .359 -.6 5 2 -1.654 .102 2.431 4.298 5.427 .856 1.4 .6 5.6 .3 3.8 2.3 .1 2.2 4.9 5.9 51.690 .110 1.357 -1.303 2.051 -.5 7 8 .677 .730 1.4 1.2 4.3 1.5 3.3 1.1 .728 .056 -.3 1 2 .557 .702 -.0 2 8 -.4 2 4 -.5 1 4 -1.226 -.5 5 5 -.3 9 2 .739 1.8 .7 5.4 1.3 .4 1.3 1.4 2.5 1.4 1.0 1.415 .028 -.3 6 2 .622 -.0 1 3 .070 -.1 8 8 .723 1.0 .9 6.1 .03 1.2 .9 1965 1966 1967 +331 +311 +579 +420 +744 +457 1968 Employment: Linear equation___________ ____ ___ Logarithmic equation,,, _____ ______ Difference reflecting labor market tight- +13 +5 +8 +20 + 159 +287 Unemployment: Linear equation________ _________ Logarithmic equation____ __________ Difference reflecting labor market tight- -6 6 -3 1 -167 -8 8 -7 5 -3 2 -3 4 -6 -3 5 -7 9 -4 3 -2 8 43 Annual data, 1948-6810 An analysis of annual data for 1948 to 1968 was conducted separately from the analysis of quarterly data for 1954 to 1968. Data for var ious age-sex-color groups among teenagers are generally not available for the longer time pe riod ; hence, the analysis of annual data is lim ited in that it deals only with the 16 to 19-year age group as a whole. The annual data however, do, allow determi nation of whether the relationships found in the shorter time period hold true for the post war era as a whole. Second, since no attempt was made to use precisely the same variables in both the analysis of quarterly and of annual data, some evaluation could be made of the ef fects of slightly different measures of a phe nomenon or the exclusion or inclusion of differ ent variables. T h e V a r i a b l e s . Regressions were run using as alternative, dependent variables the employ ment, unemployment, and labor force ratios (i.e., dividing by population) and also the un employment rates (dividing by labor force) for all 16-19 year olds. The independent variables used differed from those in the analysis of quarterly data primar ily in detail, rather than concept. Among the independent variables used (with differences from the analysis of quarterly data given in parenthesis) were: UA = unemployment rate of persons age 25 and over (quarterly: adult male unemployment rate) P 1625 = ratio of teenage population to that of adults age 25 and over (quarterly: adults 20 years and over) Af = ratio of armed forces under age 20 to male population age 18 to 19 (quarterly: male armed forces 16-19 years old, to male population 16-19 years old) S = ratio of school enrollment to population, 16-19 years old (quarterly: same for appropriate age category) In addition, the analysis of annual data used two different measures of minimum wage ef fects. The first—labeled WW—as in the analy sis of quarterly data, was the minimum wage as a percent of average hourly earnings in the in dustry division weighted by the proportion of workers in the industry covered by the applica ble minimums and the proportion of all teenag ers employed in that industry division (see table 1.6 in chapter 1). An alternative proce dure was to use two variables: one a measure of the basic minimum wage as a percent of aver age hourly earnings in the private nonfarm economy (M /A H E); and the other, the percent of nonsupervisory workers in the private non farm economy covered by the Federal minimum wage law. The relationship between the two dif ferent measures of minimum wage effect is, of course, quite strong (R2 = .978). Unlike the analysis of quarterly data, the ratio of agriculture employment to population was not used, nor were dummy variables used for particular years. T h e E q u a t i o n s . The results of regressing the included independent variables on the teenage ratios and the unemployment rate for the pe riod 1948 to 1968 are given in table 2.10. Only the adult unemployment rate clearly bears the expected relationships with the dependent var iables; that is, the employment and unemploy ment of teenagers is affected by general busi ness conditions as measured by the adult unem ployment rate. The minimum wage variables, as in the anal ysis of quarterly data, do not fare especially well. The single measure of minimum wage level and coverage (WW) has the expected sign Table 2.10. De pendent variable R2 Constant L /P____ .839 E/P____ .908 U/P____ .928 U/L......... .940 L /P____ E /P......... U /P .._ „ U/L......... Teenage regressions annual data, 1948-68 .841 .915 .924 .941 57.3 62.0 -4 .5 -9 .9 64.6 68.2 -3 .7 -1 0 .3 U P16 23 Af S - .3 6 (1 .1 ) -1 .4 1 (4 .3 ) 1.04 (10.5) 2.17 (9 .6 ) - .3 8 (1 .2 ) -1 .4 0 (4 .4 ) 1.01 (9.9) 2.11 (9.5) 1.03 (1 .7 ) .44 (0 .7 ) .59 (3 .1 ) .83 (1.9) .68 (1 .6 ) .27 (0.6) .40 (3.0) .56 (1.9) .18 (1 .8 ) .14 (1 .4 ) .04 (1.2) .001 (0.01) .14 (1 .7 ) .13 (1.4) .02 (0 .6 ) - .03 (0 .5 ) - .4 9 (5 .1 ) - .4 9 (4 .9 ) - .0 0 4 (0.1) .13 (1.9) - .4 5 (6 .2 ) - .4 7 (6.5) .03 (1.1) .18 (3 .5 ) M / Cover AHE age WW .08 (1 .5 ) .06 (1 .0 ) .02 (1 .4 ) .02 (0.6) .06 (1 .0 ) .08 (1 .1 ) -.0 1 (0 .7 ) -.0 5 (1 .0 ) .12 (1 .9 ) .12 (1.8) .002 (0.1) -.0 3 (0.7) 44 Table 2.11. Regressions on teenage unemployment rate annual data, 1948-68 Equa tion num ber R2 Con stant U 2 3 4 5 6 .547 .702 .925 .895 .929 .940 -1 .6 - 1 5 .1 -9 .4 -8 .9 - 1 3 .3 -9 .9 7 8 9 10 .758 .898 .899 .941 -2 .3 -8 .6 - 1 2 .5 - 1 0 .3 1.96 (4 .7 ) 2.55 (6 .6 ) 2.25 (11.5) 2.36 (11.5) 2.38 (11 .4) 2 17 (9.6) 2.55 (7 .7 ) 2.45 (11.4) 2.56 (10.7) 2.11 (9 .5 ) 1 P 16 15 1.29 (7 .2 ) 1.24 (9.1) 1.53 (6.4) .83 (1.9) 1.05 (5.1) 1.26 (4 .4 ) .56 (1.9) Af .08 (1 .4 ) .0007 (0.01) .08 (1 .1 ) - .03 (0 .5 ) S .13 (1.9) .18 (3.5) M/ AHE Cover age .15 (2 .3 ) .08 (1.5) .08 (3.0) .22 (3 .2 ) - .0 6 (1 .1 ) .08 (3.0) .02 (0.6) - .0 6 (1.3) - .05 (1 .0 ) WW .25 (5.1) .06 (1.2) .05 (1 .1 ) - .0 3 (0.7) only in the regression on the unemployment ratio ( H ). In no case is it statistically signifi cant. In the alternative measures of minimum wage effect, the measure of the relative level of the minimum wage (M/AHE) has the correct sign in the case of the regression on unemploy ment rates and ratio, but is not statistically sig nificant. The measure of coverage has the wrong sign and, in each case, is not significant. Some further understanding of these result can be seen in the additional regressions on the teenage unemployment rate—some omitting certain of the variables in the first set of regres sions—presented in table 2.11. A study which would include only the adult unemployment rate and the relative level of the minimum wage (M/AHE) would find, as in equation 1, that both are significant variables. However, in com paring equations 1 and 2, the fit of the regres sion is materially improved by adding a mea sure of coverage. (The variable WW in equa tion 7 makes the results of that equation most nearly comparable to equation 2.) Not only is the fit of the equation worse when coverage is omitted, but there is good reason to believe that the omission of a measure of coverage brings about an overstatement of the effect of the rela tive level of the minimum wage. The size of the regression coefficient on M/AHE is cut in half when a coverage variable is added. When the relative size of the teenage popula tion is added to the regressions (equations 3 and 8), certain striking changes occur. The cov erage variable is no longer significant and, in fact, reverses signs. The joint effect of mini mum wage level and coverage is drastically re duced and no longer statistically significant. This certainly raises the legitimate question of whether or not the population and the cover age factors should be included in the same re gression. There are two purely statistical tests of relative unimportance. When both variables are included in the same regression (equation 3), the population variable clearly dominates the result. If as an alternative test, comparison is made between the regressions using the adult unemployment rate and the minimum wage var iables—but not population— (equations 2 and 7) and the regression using the adult unemploy ment rate and the population variable—but not minimum wages— (equation 4), the latter does a much better job of explaining variation in the teenage unemployment rate. On statistical grounds, therefore, there is lit tle reason to exclude the population variable in deference to the minimum wage coverage fac tor. While this may seem to downgrade the im portance of minimum wage coverage, it rather reflects the fact that only two major changes in minimum wage coverage have been made since the law was originally passed. This limited ex perience is too meager to adequately separate out the effects of coverage changes from other developments, especially changes that have oc curred in the teenage population. The addition of a school enrollment variable (equations 6 and 10) materially reduces the level and significance of the minimum wage level measure (M/AHE) and causes the joint effect of level and coverage (WW) to have the wrong sign. Changes in the regression coeffi cients of the other independent variables in those equations indicate that multicollinearity within the independent variable set compounds problems of appropriately separating out the effects of each independent variable. Conclusions The most important—and at the same time discouraging—conclusion to emerge from avail- 45 able analyses is that they do not permit confi dent conclusions about the effect of minimum wage laws upon the employment experience of teenagers. Apparently any measure of the effects of minimum wage laws upon teenage employment or unemployment is highly sensitive to the vari ables included in the analysis, the measure of minimum wage used, and the specification of the equation. When all variables that have a legitimate claim to consideration are included, the measures of minimum wage not infre quently have the wrong sign and/or are not statistically significant at conventional levels. This is generally true whether one looks at quarterly or annual data, at data for the entire postwar period or more limited time segments, or at data for teenagers as a whole, or teenag ers compartmentalized into various sex-colorage groups. From all this, it should not be concluded that minimum wage laws have no effect. Rather, the fact is that time series analysis does not permit an adequate separation of various, nominally independent, factors affecting teenage employ ment problems. While confident conclusions cannot be drawn, the data and equations do suggest certain addi tional, if highly tentative, conclusions: There is some basis for the conclusion that the extensions of coverage of the minimum wage law in the 1960’s have had more of an effect upon changes in the teenage unemploy ment rate than changes in the relative level of the minimum wage. The close historic relation ship that did exist between the changes in coverage and the growth in the relative size of the teenage population prevent any firm state ment. There is some basis for the inference that the affect of Federal manpower programs and the Federal minimum wage have tended to offset each other. The analysis of quarterly data indi cates that increases in employment attributed to the manpower programs have been offset to some degree, by decreases in employment at tributed to the minimum wage. These results were not found uniformly, however, among all sex-color-age groups within the teenage popula tion. Some evidence supports the hypothesis that minimum wages have had greater adverse ef fects upon 16 to 17 year olds than upon 18 to 19 year olds. The regressions summarized in table 2.7 indicate, for example, that the adverse effect on employment for white males 16 to 17 years old is greater than for white males 18 to 19. The pattern of relative disadvantage holds true in six of the eight cases. However, the quality of the evidence does not meet high standards. In general, the most important factor ex plaining changes in teenage employment and unemployment has been general business condi tions as measured by the adult unemployment rate. The role of other variables remains clouded by the interrelationships among them. Although hints of adverse effects of minimum wages show up in available data, no firm state ment can be made about the magnitude of such effects. -F O O T N O T E S1 This section was written by Thomas W. Gavett, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2 Yale Brozen, “ The Effect of Statutory Minimum Wage Increases on Teen-Age Employment,” Jou rn a l of L a w and E conom ics (April 1969), pp. 109-122. Arthur F. Burns, The M an ag em en t of P ro sp e rity (Columbia University Press, 1966), pp. 45-48. Hugh Folk, “ The Problem of Youth Unemployment,” in The T ra n sitio n fro m School to W ork (Princeton University, 1968), pp. 76-107, Lester C. Thurow, “ The Determinants of the Occupational Distribution of Negroes,” in Gerald Somers, ed. E d u ca tio n an d T ra in in g o f D isa d v a n ta g ed M in o rities (Wisconsin University Press, 1969) pp. 187205. Peter S. Barth, “The Minimum Wage and Teenage Unemployment” (Ohio State University, 1969) un published manuscript. James E. Easley and Robert M. Fearn, “Minimum Wages and Unemployment of Teen agers” (North Carolina State University, 1969) un published manuscript. Marvin Rosters and Finis Welch, “The Distributional Incidence of Cyclical Fluctuations and the Minimum Wage” (Council of Economic Ad visors and NBER, 1970). Thomas G. Moore, “The Effect of Minimum Wages on 46 Employment” (Council of Economic Advisers). Gerald W. Scully, “ The Impact of Minimum Wages on the Unemployment Rates of Minority Group Labor” (Ohio University). Edward Kalachek, “Determinants of Teenage Em ployment,” J ou rn a l o f H u m an R esou rces (Winter 1968), pp. 3-21. Arnold Katz, “ State Minimum Wage Laws and Male Teenage Workers, 1960.” (University of Pittsburgh, 1970), a report prepared for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Since Thurow used stepwise regression methods, the sign of rejected variables is, of course, unknown. It should be noted that Thurow’s investigation was not primarily concerned with the issue of minimum wages. 3 4 Malcolm Cohen, “The Direct Effects of Federal Man power Programs in Reducing Unemployment,” Jou rn a l of H u m an R esou rces (Fall 1969), pp. 491-507. Includes other minorities. See the appendix on characteristics of the labor force for further discussion of these points. Bowen and Finegan, op. cit., p. 432. Op. cit. “The First 50,000 NYC Enrollees,” M o n th ly L a b o r R evie w (December 1965), p. 1442. This section was written by Thomas W. Gavett, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 5 6 7 8 9 10 APPENDIX A Characteristics of the Labor Force Data The basic data in this analysis have been drawn from the labor force survey conducted by the Bureau of the Census for the last 25 years. The sample used for this survey is a rather complicated one; several features are of interest in the present study. 1. Population estimates of various age-sex-color groups which are used for control purposes in the estimating procedure are independently made by aging the corresponding groups in the most recent decennial census. They necessarily reflect imperfections in the Census data. The most important of these, for purposes of this discussion, is the differential undercount of the population, which most severely affects the population estimates for young Negro males. At the time of the 1960 decennial census, 15-19 year-old Negro males were estimated to be subject to an undercount of 13 percent. Five years after the date of the census,, the 15-19 year-olds are those who had been 10-14 years old at the time of the census. This group is subject to an undercount, of about 5 percent in the census. The official population estimates for the 15-19 year-old category therefore show a somewhat higher rate of increase during intercensal years than was believed actually took place. The greatest divergence between “actual” and measured rates of growth for this group take place in the early years of the decade. From then on these two rates of increase converge. Since all of the regression equations contain variables based on the population estimates of the various cate gories of teenagers, these variables, particularly for Negro males, are necessarily somewhat defective. Improved time series of population data adjusted for these estimated undercounts are not yet available in the kind of age detail needed. 47 2. Estimates of all of the variables in the regression equations are sub ject to errors, but the labor force data in particular are subject to known amounts and kinds of sampling error. This has several implications for estimation methods. a. The quarterly unemployment ratios used for the dependent varia bles currently have sampling errors of about 10 percent for each of the detailed eight age-sex-color groups we have examined. This is part of the basic “noise” of the equations which exist separately from the errors in fitting these equations. The employment ratios have sampling errors about half this size. b. Among the independent variables, similar sampling errors exist in the adult male unemployment rate and the school enrollment rate. The latter, which are based on data for a single month, have somewhat larger sampling errors. The presence of errors in the independent variables vitiates the results derived from the use of ordinary least squares in fitting the equations. They do not affect the forecasting power of these equations, since forecasting by use of error-free independent variables cannot be done, but errors affect the tests of significance and bias the estimates of the coefficients of the variables. c. A particular problem exists with respect to the dependent varia bles, the employment and unemployment ratios. The labor force sample has three-fourths of the households in common between adjacent months, one-half in common between 2 months with 1 month between, and onefourth in common between 2 months with 2 months between them. For individuals with stable characteristics, these patterns are reflected in serial correlation of sampling errors with an unusual and hitherto un studied pattern, as far as regression estimation methods are concerned. The employment ratios represent somewhat stable characteristics and the equations with these variables we should have, therefore, low Durbin-Watson coefficients. As already seen, this is the case for every one of the eight groups. The unemployment ratios represent far less stable characteristics and the Durbin-Watson coefficient for these equations should fall within some respectable region (somewhere near 2.0), and they do. These characteristics of labor force data are worth noting since they suggest that basic work needs to be done in developing appropriate estima tion techniques for equations which include them. The ordinary type of correction for serial correlation is inappropriate in this study. d. One final comment must be made about the nature of the sampling errors, particularly in the dependent variables in the equations. Over the postwar years the labor force sample has been improved on a number of occasions. This has been accomplished in more obvious ways by several increases in the size of the sample itself. Less obvious improvements were made in the internal estimation techniques and in ways of updating the universe of households. The net effect of the various changes which have taken place has been to reduce gradually the sampling error in the data. The data for the earlier years are therefore subject to higher sampling error than are those for the later years. This should be, and often is, reflected in diminishing disturbance values over time in the equations. This in turn suggest a weighted estimation procedure be used in fitting 48 these equations. Unfortunately, the appropriate values of the weights could not be developed in time for tlvs analysis so a standard procedure was used which gave equal weights to all of the observations. 3. This section on the quality of the labor force data must note another source of indeterminacy. Sample households are contacted for successive months of data and then dropped. They re-enter the sample eight months later for another four-months period. Labor force analysts directly concerned with the current population survey have long noted that households first interviewed tend to have higher unemployment levels than those which had also been interviewed in earlier months. The reason for this consistent pattern has never been fully understood, although it has been explored. Possibly, second and subsequent visits may introduce a “learning” effect. In any case, a slight change in the interview situation, or in the treatment of the data affects the results.1 In 1967 a modified questionnaire was introduced for the current popula tion survey. During the preceding year, data were collected for two independent household samples using both the old and the new ques tionnaires. These data indicated that unemployment rates for teenagers were reduced slightly in the next questionnaire and had developed a new seasonal pattern. Employment ratios for teenagers were slightly higher although this was not a statistically substantial result. An unusual problem arose in this connection. The basic analysis was carried on with seasonally adjusted data. Because unemployment data for 1967 and 1968 have seasonal patterns which differ markedly from those in earlier years for young people, ordinary computer techniques of seasonal adjustment based on continuity of patterns for a number of years could not be used. The method which was used (not described here) necessarily gave much weight to the patterns evident in 1967 and 1968 for seasonally adjusting these two years. Coincidently, basic changes took place in the minimum wage in February 1967 and February 1968. If the changes in the minimum wage affected the unemployment levels for teenagers after the two Februaries, these effects may be partly erased through reliance largely on the data for these two years to develop appro priate adjustments for seasonality. However, to the extent that the effects of minimum wages are always present (as our basic models posit) then the equations should pick up something in 1967 and 1968 as a whole, if there is something to be discerned. The indeterminacies attached to labor force data, particularly for young people, and which are not given by sampling error measures, have come to light recently in comparisons with a new source of data, a National Longitudinal Study of the educational and labor market experience of male youth 14-24 years of age by an Ohio State University group, under the direction of Herbert S. Parnes.2 More detailed comparisons are made in the report cited, but they con tain many puzzling elements. One important ingredient must be con sidered. In the CPS, data for all members of the household over 16 years of age are obtained from a single responsible household respondent. After the first interview, many of the subsequent contacts are made by tele phone. In the LGS, all contacts are made with the individual who is in 49 Table 2.12. Ratio of LGS to CPS estimates October 1966 Sex and age WHITE MALES: 16-17___________________________________________________________ 18-19___________________________________________________________ ALL OTHER MALES: 16-17___________________________________________________________ 18-19___________________________________________________________ Labor force participation Employment ratio 1.42 1.24 1.84 1.31 1.39 1.24 1.83 1.31 Unemployment Unemployment rate ratio 1.67 1.29 1.87 1.39 1.19 1.04 1.01 1.06 the sample. Parnes does not conclude that the LGS data are more accurate than the CPS, but that they are definitely different from each other. The important point for our purposes is that the teenagers, many of whom have marginal attachment in the labor force, will have their responses affected significantly by the structure of the survey instrument and procedures. To what extent a different approach, such as that of Parnes, would have yielded times series with significantly different characteristics than the CPS, and a different set of conclusions about the effects of minimum wage must remain an unanswered question. But labor force measures reflect the real world through a glass somewhat im perfectly. Measured unemployment vs. potential A study of the possible effects of minimum wage rates on the unem ployment rates of youth must be viewed within a broad context. As already noted, this study primarily considers the employment and labor force ratios of youth. The lack of employment opportunities for youth is not solely reflected in unemployment but also in withdrawal from the labor force. Hence, reduction of employment opportunities for youth may be only imperfectly transmitted to increases in unemployment. The complexity of the picture is partly indicated by the following material. In 1968 the average number of male unemployed, 16-19 years old, was 427,000. At the same time, the average number of males of the same ages who were neither working nor seeking work was 3,002,000. Although some of this group did not seek work because of more attrac tive alternative ways of spending their time, as many as 569,000 of them would have taken jobs. This number is larger than the number who, through some overt expression of seeking work, had been counted among the unemployed. Some 42,000 of the 569,000 did not seek work because they thought they could not find it. Most of the 569,000 did not seek work because they were attending school, and the kind of work they could engage in would have to be available during the off school hours. However, they did not test the labor market and we do not know whether jobs were available on their term. Consequently, though some jobs may not have been avail able for teenagers because employers would have had to offer them higher wage rates than they were prepared to pay, others were not available because employers could not or chose not to restructure their jobs to fit the hours desired. On the other hand, if they could have attracted prospec- 50 Table 2.13. Average Labor Force Status of 11-19-Year-Old Males and Females in 1969 [In thousands] Status Males Females Total noninstitutional civilian population.......................................................... Civilian labor force................................................................................................................... Employed............................................................................................................................ Unemployed....................................................................................................................... 6,703 3,681 3,254 427 7,243 2,938 2,526 412 Want jobs Not in labor force: Total.................................................................................................................................. In sch ool............................................................................................................................ Ill health, disability_____________ ____________ ________________ _________ Home responsibilities__________________________________________________ Think cannot get work _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Want no job at present _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ All other reasons_____ ______ __________________________________________ 569 475 9 1 42 42 Do not want jobs 2,453 2,038 25 15 354 Want jobs 652 425 16 79 67 65 Do not want jobs 3,653 2,325 26 678 397 Source: Special Labor Force Report No. 110, Monthly Labor Review, July 1969. tive employees with the use of lower wage rates, they might have been willing to do some of the necessary job restructuring. The background data for 16-19 year old males and females are sum marized in table 2.13. The questions on reasons for not in labor force have only been asked since 1967; therefore, such data for other years in the postwar period are unfortunately, not available. Nevertheless, a number of other analyses of postwar patterns of varia tions in labor force status for various age-sex-color groups show that reductions in employment flow both to unemployment and out of the labor force. In the same way employment increases draw upon the pool of unemployed and those out of the labor force. Some people who evidence no work-seeking behavior when disemployed during less prosperous times, and therefore are counted among those not in the labor force, have been labeled the “disguised” or “hidden” unemployed.3 These analyses, which are necessarily indirect in nature, are supported by the new evidence of the last two years on reasons for not being in the labor force. Clearly, although work with the established categories of labor force status is necessary, we must also bear in mind that our measured un employment does not represent the dimensions of need and desire for a job. This will be discussed again below in another connection. Effects of prosperity and affluence and changing social climate In another way the present analysis, as well as those of previous researchers, is deficient. The labor market for youth is thought of in an oversimplified way. There are counts of the number of young who are employed or unemployed, but no corresponding counts of the number of job vacancies for young workers which remain unfilled for one reason or another. From the statements, both voluntary and solicited, of individual employers and others, such jobs exist, are known to exist. During the post-World II years, for which labor force data are available, this country 51 has steadily maintained its economic progress and both individuals and households have increased their standards of living. At the same time, and at least partly fueled by these trends, as many see it, a pattern of rising expectations has developed, particularly for the young.4 Many jobs, such as bootblacks, messenger, stockboy, etc., which had been filled largely from the ranks of young workers in the past, have moved down in relative status, even though some of them may offer wage rates at or above the legal minimum. Apart from the various analyses of the effects of minimum wages on labor force participation, other studies have been made in recent years on the effects of welfare payments on incentives to participate in the labor force. The results of these studies, as in the case of minimum wage analyses, have been mixed. However, they have at least raised the pos sibility that the presence of increased earned or unearned incomes has a dampening effect on labor force participation. For the purpose of this chapter this hypothesis can be modified to cover the case of teenagers: Does the amount of income of other family members, whether earned or unearned, have a negative impact on the labor force participation rate of teenagers? This can be manifested through both reduced employment and unemployment as a result of reduced job search. Real family income is not explicitly included among the variables in the present analysis, but its effects are present. Since the influence of this omitted factor on employment and unemployment is sometimes in the same and sometimes in an opposite direction to that for the minimum wage variable, analysis of the behavior of both the employment and unemployment ratios may therefore be somewhat inconclusive. However, school enrollment rates which have been included in the analysis, and which have risen steadily throughout the period under study, may act as a partial proxy for family income effects. As in the previous section, some new information casts light on this problem in data which have been collected since 1967. These are sum marized in table 2.14. About 10 percent of the unemployment of each sex-color group consists of those who said they left their job. Another 20 percent of males and 10 percent of females (white and others) lost their jobs, while the balance of 70 percent males and 80 percent females were looking for a job but had previously been out of the labor force, whether or not they had ever worked at an earlier time. In other words, some indication exists of volunTable 2.14. Color Reasons for Unemployment, 1968 Averages 16-19 Year Olds, by Sex and [Thousands] White Reasons for Unemployment Male Job Leavers______________________ _____________________________ ___________________ Job Losers_____________________________________ ______ ______________________________ Entrants and Reentrants______________________________ •____________ _________________ Total_______ ____________________ ____________________ _________________________ 41 71 229 341 Negro Female 34 36 238 308 W alt 12 22 69 103 Female 9 12 76 97 52 tary disemployment among the young, which may well be related to the economic status of the family. --------- FOOTNOTES--------1 Robert Pearl and Joseph Waksberg, “Effects of Repeated Household Interviews in the Current Population Survey,” paper presented before the 47th National Con ference of the American Marketing Association, June 17, 1964. 2 In appendix E of their report, “Career Thresholds: A longitudinal study of the educational and labor market experienced of male youth, 14-24 years of age” Volume I Center for Human Resource Research (The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, 1969). They compare their data (LGS) with CPS data and find that for the white and Negro male groups, 16-17 and 18-19 years of age, their survey (also conducted by the Bureau of the Census) uncovers both higher unemployment and employment ratios than does the CPS. On the other hand, the unemployment rates are very sim ilar. There are some small differences in tim ing between the two surveys, but the differences in results are larger than can be accounted for by known factors including sampling error. Table 2.12 summarizes some of this information. * Thomas Demberg and Kenneth Strand, “Hidden Unemployment 1953-62: A Quantitative Analysis by Age and Sex,” American Economic Review (March 1966), pp. 71-95; Alfred Telia, “Labor Force Sensitivity to Employment by Age, Sex,” Industrial Relations (February 1965), pp. 69-83; Sophia Cooper and Denis Johnston, “Labor Force Projections for 1970-80,” (BLS Special Labor Force Report No. 49, 1965). 4 W illiam G. Bowen and T. Aldridge Finegan in their mammoth book, The Economics of Labor Force Participation (Princeton University Press, 1969), p. 460, discuss a byproduct phenomenon—the “hippie” movement and its impact on labor force behavior for which they could not find any isolated effects in the data available through 1966. APPENDIX B Single Equation Biases in Findings The equations in this analysis are of the form: aD + aiAF + a*A + a s U R -f a«P + a5S + a«WW + other variables = b<> +biA F + baA + b»UR -f bd? + b5S + b6WW + other variables E = U and L = c 0 + CiAF + CaA -f- caUR + cj? + c5S + c«WW + other variables. In these single equation formulations, the assumption is that the inde pendent variables are independent in economic terms, but that any covariation among them is taken care of in the statistical derivation of the coefficients as “net” coefficients; in other words, each coefficient represents the influence of that variable if all other variables are held constant. This analytical framework has yielded coefficients for the minimum wage variable which are not in accord with economic theory, without 53 further qualifications. One source of the apparent contradiction has been identified tentatively as the deficiency in our process of measuring un employment. The present discussion is concerned with the possibility that the mini mum wage coefficients may be biased because they are derived from single equations, although they should have been estimated within the framework of a simultaneous equation model, with the appropriate inter dependencies among the variables explicitly exhibited. In the absence of such a simultaneous model, a limited examination was made of some implicit internal relationships among selected variables, based on our earlier findings. Through this exploration we can see whether the minimum wage relationships are more in accord with simple economic theory even through the exploration does not obviate the problem of simultaneity bias in the estimation. This analysis was confined to the equation results for all teenagers combined. First, let us specify that the adult male unemployment rate is affected by the minimum wage variable in accord with economic theory. As the minimum wage rises, the supply of adult male labor rises, but the demand falls. It may be shown that the adult male unemployment rate will thereby rise. In fact we find that UR' = (1 - UR) n s -n d) WW where UR' is the derivative of UR with respect to WW, ns and nd are the supply and demand elasticities. UR is less than one, WW is positive, ns is positive, and nd is negative, so that UR' is positive. The derivative of the teenage unemployment rate with respect to the minimum wage variable is ( d( U \/d VL ) WW = (LU' - U L')/L2 = _1_ L where U' and 1/ are partial derivatives with respect to WW. From our single equations we find that U' = be + bsUR' L ' — Ce -f* C s U R ' By combining these expressions and using the coefficients from our equations plus 1968 values for the variables in these expressions, we find that the adult unemployment rate elasticity with respect to minimum wages would have to be about one third in order to lift the corresponding teenage unemployment rate elasticity just over zero.1 Moreover, the teenage elasticity will always be less than the adult elasticity in the positive range, a finding contrary to expectation. Consequently, this exploration has not provided a wholly satisfactory answer to our original puzzle. It must be emphasized, however, that there results are not defini tive, since they are still based on single equation ordinary least squares estimates which are subject to simultaneity bias. In this analysis we have ignored the possibility that other “inde pendent” variables may be affected by the minimum wage. Let us con sider that school enrollment may be so affected. I am inclined to think 54 that the elasticity with respect to the minimum wage variable should be positive, although an argument can be made for a negative elasticity. If an increase in the minimum shrinks the number of jobs held by teen agers and increases the number looking for work, there should be more incentive for teens to stay in school, since there is less likelihood of their finding a job. In any event we can investigate the relationship between this elasticity and that for the teenage unemployment rate without prejudicing our case. Here we find U' = b6 + bsS', and L' = c6 + c6S'. Our computations yield the following result: nu = —.1044 + .6593 n, where and n, are elasticities. no l l This equation implies that if school enrollment has a negative elasticity, the teenage unemployment elasticity will also be negative. On the other hand, when ns is about .15, the teenage unemployment elasticity is zero, and as n8 increases in the positive direction, the teenage unemployment rate elasticity also increases, but is never more than two thirds the former. Again, this result is difficult to accept. It would appear reasonable to expect a small elasticity for the school variable than for the teenage unemployment rate variable, but we find the opposite. These two investigations have confined themselves to the relation ships of single variables to the minimum wage. Not only should other variables such as AF and A be included, but they should be all con sidered within a simultaneous framework which brings us back to a simultaneous equation model. At any rate while our original problem has not been easily resolved in the terms of this further analysis, the analysis does suggest that single equation bias may exist. This is not the only technical problem which we must face in additional research on minimum wages. All of these problems should offer a stimulus and a challenge to the students in this field. -FOOTNOTES1 The equation is nu l = .1044 + .3188nuB. CHAPTER III Changes in the Federal Minimum Wage and the Employment of Young Men, 1966-67 The 1966 Amendments to the Fair Labor Standards Act increased Federal statutory min imum wage rates effective February 1,1967, for some 32.3 million workers previously covered, and extended protection to an additional 9.1 million employees for the first time. The U.S. Department of Labor estimates that when the amendments became effective in 1967, almost 3.7 million employees covered prior to that time were earning less than the new minimum of $1.40 an hour. An additional 953,000 workers, or one-tenth of the newly covered, were earning less than $1, the new minimum for this latter group. Extension of the act affected workers in certain industries much more than in others. Hospitals, nursing homes, laundries, and estab lishments in retail trade employed nearly half of the newly covered and about three-tenths of those earning less than $1 an hour.1 Prompted by the predictions of economic theory that statutory wage minimums will, at This chapter was prepared by Karl Egge, Andrew I. Kohen, John R. Shea, and Frederick A. Zeller, of the Center for Human Resource Research, The Ohio State University. This preliminary report was prepared under a contract with the Manpower Administration, U.S. Department of Labor, under the authority of the Man power Development and Training Act. Researchers undertaking such projects are encouraged to express their own judgment. Interpretations or viewpoints stated in this document, therefore, do not necessarily represent the official position or policy of the Depart ment of Labor. Footnotes begin on p. 62, tables on p. 63. least temporarily, affect the amount of labor de manded, a number of attempts have been made to gage the effect of increases in minimum wages on employment opportunities. Because jobless rates among Negroes and others and white teenagers have remained high or have in creased in recent years despite low and declin ing overall unemployment rates, recent studies have sometimes focused specifically on the effect of minimum wages on teenage employment. That is, attempts have been made to test the assertion that statutory wage minimums price teenagers out of the labor market, causing ei ther high unemployment rates or abnormally low participation rates. This chapter examines the labor force expe rience of a national sample of young men inter viewed in the fall of 1966 and again one year later to test the assertion. These youth consti tute one of the four population samples consti tuting the National Longitudinal Studies being carried out by The Ohio State University Cen ter for Human Resource Research in coopera tion with the U.S. Bureau of the Census, under contracts with the Manpower Administration of the U.S. Department of Labor. A representa tive sample of slightly more than 5,000 male youth 14-24 2 years of age in the noninstitutional civilian population was interviewed for the first time in October and November 1966 with a far more ambitious aim than that under 55 56 consideration here: To study the labor market adjustment of young men over a 5-year period.3 Fortuitously, the first of the six scheduled an nual interviews was conducted shortly before the 1967 minimum wage increase went into ef fect and the second about nine months after the effective date. Our objective is more modest, that is, to ascer tain whether young men whose wages in 1966 were below the new minimums were more likely than those already earning at least that much to suffer a deterioration (or a lesser expansion) in employment opportunities between 1966 and 1967. In the light of some of the assertions that have been made about the connection between the minimum wage law and the recent behavior Research question of teenage unemployment rates, this seems to In recent years a significant expansion in the be an important question in its own right. number of young people in the labor force has Basically, the method of analysis in this re been witnessed, stemming from the “baby port involves comparing the 1966-67 employ boom” of the late forties and fifties. Despite low ment experience of young men who had differ overall unemployment rates, joblessness among ent wage rates levels in 1966; less than $1, white and Negro and other youth had remained $1-1.39, $1.40 and more. The limits of these high—with unemployment rates experienced by wage categories were selected in the light of the them in each age group being about double provisions of the 1966 Amendments to the Fair those for whites. Furthermore, as measured by Labor Standards Act. The lowest category in the current population survey, between October cludes all of those young men whose wage rate 1966 and October 1967, unemployment rates prior to February 1, 1967, was below the mini rose substantially for male youth enrolled in mum established for those persons newly school and slightly for those not enrolled (table brought under the coverage of the act at that 3.1). time. Although we cannot be certain that all the High rates of unemployment among young youth in this category were directly affected by people have added to the controversy over the the law, we do know that none of the directly wisdom of statutory wage minimums. It is affected male youth within the age limits of the argued by some that young people tend to be study are outside the category. Similarly, all inexperienced and that many may be priced out employed youth whose wage rates prior to Feb of the market. Their potential contribution to ruary 1, 1967, were directly affected by the in the economy (marginal productivity) may be crease in the minimum rate from $1.25 to $1.40, less than the minimum wage. To the extent that are included in the middle category. However, this is true, some young people may remain there also may be some in that category in types openly unemployed or may withdraw from the of work not previously covered by the law and labor force through frustration and end up thus unaffected by the increase. Finally, no one among the “disguised unemployed.” in the top category was directly affected by the We do not propose to make a definitive test of amendments since all of them were already re conventional wage theory. For one thing, the ceiving more than the new minimum. ceteris p a rib u s assumptions of the theory make Our strategy is to compare the 1966-67 em a definitive test extremely difficult, if not impos ployment experience of those who were poten sible, to design. The theory makes no unambi tially affected by the law (those earning less guous prediction about the effects of an increase than $1 and between $1 and $1.39 in 1966), in the minimum wage on the employment op with that of the group that could not have been portunities for p a rtic u la r groups of persons directly affected (those earning more than (for example, teenage males). At least theoreti cally, there are opportunities for complex sub $1.40). If the change between 1966 and 1967 stitutions of various types of workers for others was more unfavorable for the lower wage group so that an increase in the minimum wage for than for the higher wage groups, this would be some workers might reflect itself in adverse em consistent with (although not proof of) an ad ployment effects on other groups of workers. verse employment effect of the minimum wage 57 changes. If not, it would make claims of serious adverse effects of the minimum wage on em ployment opportunities for youth more difficult to support. Three different types of measures were used to compare the relationship between the 1966 and 1967 employment experience of the youth: 1. The labor force participation rate and the un employment rate during the survey week4 of 1966 compared with those prevailing during the survey week of 1967. 2. For those em p lo yed in 1966, the rate of dis employment—that is, movement into unem ployment and/or out of the labor force—between the survey week of 1966 and the survey week of 1967. 3. Change in mean number of weeks unemployed and mean number of weeks out of the labor force between the 12-month period preceding the 1966 interview and the 12-month period pre ceding the 1967 interview. Limitations of the data and the analysis The interview schedules used in 1966 and 1967 were not designed specifically for a special study of the effect of minimum wage standards. Had the longitudinal study been addressed spe cifically to the minimum wage issue, different variables and questions doubtlessly would have been included in the interview schedules and, ultimately, in the analysis. Nonetheless, the two surveys have produced types of data for a na tional sample of male youth that, to the best of our knowledge, are unique in that they permit employment experience prior and subsequent to a change in the minimum wage to be related to the wages that the employed youth earned prior to the change. Moreover, additional data permit the youth to be classified according to color, age, educational attainment, industry, occupation, extent of labor market knowledge, unemploy ment level in the local area, and region. These characteristics are important since it is conceiv able that adverse employment effects, even if not generally discernible, will be manifested among certain groups that have special labor market disadvantages. Although the data afford a basis for some unique analysis, their limitations must be kept in mind in interpreting the findings. First, our wage data are not in all instances wage rates, but are frequently average hourly earnings.6 Moreover, for large numbers of students—espe cially those who reported their earnings on a daily basis—it was impossible to calculate an hourly rate, and these are excluded from the analysis. Second, since the analysis uses wage rate as a major control, it is confined to those youth who have at some time worked for pay. Any effect of a minimum wage in limiting employment op portunities for youth entering the labor market for the first time would not be reflected in the data. Although the tabulated wage rate reflects the wage as of the autumn of 1966 for those respondents who were employed at the time of the first survey, for others with work experi ence it reflects the earnings of their most recent job. Third, there has been some attrition in our sample between the 1966 and 1967 surveys, al though it has been remarkably small, especially in view of the age-sex characteristics of the group. Of those interviewed in 1966, 5.3 percent had entered the Armed Forces by the following year and an additional 3 percent were not inter viewed for other reasons, making an attrition rate of slightly over 8 percent. Tabulations that would permit an analysis of the characteristics of the nonrespondents are not yet available. Fourth, although the timing of the surveys relative to the date of the effective change in the minimum wage was fortunate for purposes of this study, it was by no means perfect. The 12-month period prior to the 1967 interviews, which is being used to represent the situation after the increase in minimum wages, actually includes at least two months, and possibly three, prior to the effective date of the amendments.6 Finally, and probably most important, our sample is really too small to permit reliable esti mates to be made for many of the categories of youth, once all of the necessary controls are in troduced. For instance, in comparing employ ment experience in 1966 with that of 1967, it does not make much sense to combine persons who have been in school both years with those who have been out of school both years or with those whose enrollment status has changed be- 58 tween the two years. Consequently, in most of the analysis we examine only two groups: Those who were enrolled in school both years and those enrolled neither year. Even within these relatively large groups, however, when we have controlled for color, age, and educational attainment, we are frequently reduced to pain fully small cell sizes. As an arbitrary rule, we have decided not to use any percentages based on fewer than 25 sample cases. The incidence of low wages Before examining the relation between 1966 wage rate level and comparative labor market experience in 1966 and 1967, the characteristics of youth in three wage categories will be com pared. Table 3.2 shows that there is a pro nounced positive association between hourly rate of pay and age. Although 62 percent of the youth earning less than $1 an hour were 15-17 years of age, only 8 percent of those earning $1.40 or more were within that age bracket. The relationship is more consistent among those enrolled in school in both 1966 and 1967 than among those out of school both years. Neverthe less, even in the latter case, the age differences among the wage groups are quite striking. For example, 20 percent of those earning less than $1 an hour were under 20 years of age, while the comparable proportion of those earning $1.40 an hour or more was 12 percent. Sample size is too small to explore color dif ferences in wage rates for all age-school enroll ment categories. Table 3.3, however, shows the relationship for the two groups on which most of the subsequent analysis in this report will focus: 15-17 year olds who were enrolled in school both years and 20-25 year olds who were out of school both years. As would have been anticipated, there are clear differences in the color distributions of the three wage-rate groups among the out-of-school youth. Whites, who constitute 85 precent of all of the youth in this category, make up only 58 percent of those earning under $1 an hour, 71 percent of those with wage rates of $1-$1.39 an hour, but 88 percent of those earning over $1.40 an hour. In contrast, no such difference prevails among those in school. The proportions of whites and blacks within each wage category are virtually identical with their proportions in the total group. If the large number of cases for which no wage information is available (about 30 percent of the white and 28 percent of the Negroes and others) are distributed similarly for the two color groups—and there is no rea son to suppose that they are not—this means that at least among 15-17-year-olds enrolled in school both before and after the increase in the minimum wage, Negroes and others were no more likely than whites to be directly affected by the new rate. A positive relationship between wage and ed ucational attainment is pronounced among youth in their early twenties who are out of school and is discernible even among the rela tively narrow age range of young students (table 3.4). Among the latter, the proportion of the high-wage group who had attained at least a high school diploma was three times the pro portion of the low-wage group (22 percent ver sus 7 percent). In the case of the out-of-school group, those with less than a high school educa tion constituted two-thirds of the lowest wage group; three-fifths of those earning between $1 and $1.39 an hour; but only one-third of those earning $1.40 an hour or more. Young men with some college made up one-fifth of those earning $1.40 an hour or more and much smaller pro portions of those earning less. We are per plexed that there should be as many as 8 per cent of those earning between $1 and $1.39 who have had some college work. The very small numbers with 16 years or more of school may well be in various kinds of internship programs, but we have not been able to think of an equally plausible explanation for those with 13-15 years of schooling. Analysis of results Of the more than 9.5 million young men rep resented by our sample who were between the ages of 15 and 25 in 1967 and for whom we have wage data, 36 percent had hourly rates of pay under $1.40, including about 10 percent whose rates were under $1. However, those earning under $1.40 were quite unevenly rep- 59 resented among youth with different demo graphic characteristics. They constituted 58 percent of those enrolled in school in both 1966 and 1967 but only 16 percent of those out of school both years. They were 79 percent of the 15-17 year olds but only 43 percent of the 18 and 19 year olds, and 16 percent of the 20-25 year olds. Finally, they constituted 28 percent of the whites but 35 percent of the Negroes and others. The groups whose wage rates in 1966 were below the minimums that became effective in 1967 included large numbers of individuals with above-average susceptibility to unemployment and above-average rates of movement into and out of the labor force under any circumstances —students, the youngest group of teenagers, those with the least education, and Negroes and others. This has important implications for por tions of the analysis that follows. When we con sider disemployment rates—that is, proportions of employed youth in the survey week of 1966 who were unemployed or out of the labor force in 1967—we shall have to keep in mind that low-wage workers would be expected, irrespec tive of the changes in the minimum wage law, to show higher disemployment rates than higher-wage workers for the reasons that have been discussed above. A counteracting influence obtains not only the analysis of disemployment rates but also with respect to other measures of labor market experience. This is because the total sample has aged a year between 1966 and 1967. Since an additional year of age probably has a greater effect on the employability of the younger than of the older members of the sample, and since the younger are disproportionately represented among the low-wage workers, this factor tends to impart a bias against finding an adverse em ployment effect of the minimum wage. Relation between 1966 wage rate and comparative 1966—67 employment experience A l l y o u t h w i t h w o r k e x p e r i e n c e . Table 3.5 classifies all youth with work experience accord ing to the wage rate of the job they held at the time of the 1966 survey or, if not working then, their last job before the 1966 survey week.7 For each wage-rate category several measures are presented, each of which is designed to compare an aspect of labor market experience prior to and following the effective date of the changes in the minimum wage law.8 Column II shows the algebraic change in the average number of weeks of unemployment during the 12-month period preceding the 1967 survey from the average number of weeks in the comparable pe riod prior to the 1966 survey. A negative sign, in other words, means a decline in number of weeks unemployed between 1966 and 1967. Col umn III presents the analogous measure for number of weeks out of the labor force. Column V shows the number of individuals who were employed at the time of the 1966 sur vey. The disemployment rate, shown in Column VI, is the percent of the number employed at the time of the 1966 survey who were not em ployed at the time of the 1967 survey (those unemployed or out of the labor force). Column VII presents a component of Column VI—the percent of those employed in the 1966 survey week who were unemployed in the 1967 survey week. Column IV is included to aid in the inter pretation of the disemployment rates. It shows the proportion of the total number of persons with work experience who were not working at the time of the survey in 1966. The fact that this proportion is higher for low-wage than for high-wage workers suggests that the disemploy ment rate for those employed in 1966 should be expected to be higher for low-wage than for high-wage workers, even in the absence of a change ini the minimum wage law. In interpreting table 3.5 and subsequent ones similar to it, our purpose is to ascertain whether the low-wage groups had a relatively less favorable experience after the minimum wage changes became effective than the highwage groups; if so, we would regard this as evidence consistent with an adverse employ ment effect of the change in the law. The criterion for deciding whether the com parative changes in average number of weeks unemployed (or out of the labor force) indicate an unfavorable experience for the low-wage group relative to the high-wage group is quite straightforward: If the algebraic differences 60 show a greater increase (smaller decrease) for the low-wage group, then the inference is that its experience was unfavorable. Because of the ambiguities in the disemployment rates, we use a somewhat more complicated criterion for drawing the analogous inference on the basis of these rates. If the comparison of the following two ratios indicates that the disemployment ratio is significantly greater than the nonem ployment ratio, we conclude that the low-wage group did suffer in relation to their better-paid counterparts: (1) (2) disemployment rate of low-wage group disemployment rate of high-wage group = disemployment ratio 1966 nonemployment rate of low-wage group 1966 nonemploymnet rate of high-wage group = 1966 nonemployment ratio It is clear from the data in table 3.5 that the mean number of weeks of unemployment and mean number of weeks out of the labor force decreased between 1965-66 and 1966-67 ir respective of 1966 wage level. Moreover, con trary to what one would expect if the change in the minimum wage law had an adverse employ ment effect, decreases for those who earned less than $1.40 an hour are actually greater than for those who earned $1.40 an hour or more. On the other hand, the data that focus only on those who were em p lo yed in the 1966 survey week point in the opposite direction. As table 3.7 indicates, low-wage workers who were em ployed in the 1966 survey week were more likely than their higher-wage counterparts to be unemployed or out of the labor force by the time of the 1967 survey. This would be expected for reasons that have previously been ex plained; but it is also true that the disemploy ment rates relative to the 1966 nonemployment rates are generally more unfavorable for the low-wage than the high-wage workers. No ready explanation for the seemingly con flicting trends produced by the two measures is available. Each measure has certain advan tages. Those based on weeks of unemployment and weeks out of the labor force have the merit of covering a longer time span and of taking into account all of the youth with work experi ence, while the “disemployment rates” consider only those who were employed in 1966 and are based on comparisons involving only two indi vidual weeks. On the other hand, because the current labor force and employment status of respondents is based on a series of questions asked about activity during the week preceding the interview, while the year’s work experience data are based on the recall of the respondent and do not involve careful probes for each of the 52 weeks under consideration, the survey week data probably have greater validity. Youth classified by school enrollment status In any case, the categories shown in table 3.5 are probably too gross for meaningful analysis. In an attempt to focus on reasonably homoge neous subgroups of young men, we have di rected our attention to two groups: (1) Those 15-17 years of age in 1967 who were attending school in both 1966 and 1967; and (2) those 20-25 years of age in 1967 who were not en rolled in school in either year. The size of the sample has made it impossible to study other groups. Table 3.8 presents the labor force participa tion rates and unemployment rates in the 1966 and 1967, survey weeks for each of these two groups. The unemployment rates are generally higher in 1967 than in 1966 for the student group, and the labor force participation rates are lower. These facts in and of themselves might be construed to be evidence of an adverse employment effect of the minimum wage change. It might be argued, for example, that the higher minimum wages for these low-pro ductivity students curtailed employment oppor tunities for them during a period when the gen eral demand for labor was rising, resulting in higher unemployment for this group of teenag ers and the withdrawal of some of them from the labor force. However, the increases in unemployment and the decreases in labor force participation are generally at least as large for high-wage as for low-wage workers. We find only two instances in table 3.8 in which a low-wage group suffered relative to a high-wage group. Among Negro and other teenagers who were students in 1966 61 and 1967, the unemployment rate of the lowest wage category rose by 11.9 percentage points while unemployment of those in the middle wage group actually decreased by 1.2 percen tage points. Among young white men 20-25 years of age who were out of school both years, the unemployment rate of those in the $1-$1.39 wage bracket rose, while the corresponding rate for their counterparts earning $1.40 or more fell. The latter comparison is somewhat atten uated by the observation that the labor force participation rate of the high-wage group fell and that of the low-wage group was constant. In other words the reduced unemployment rate of the high-wage group may be partly attribut able to the less employable members of the group leaving the labor force. Table 3.9 contains the same kinds of data for the 15- to 17-year-old students and those 20-25 years old not enrolled in either year that have already been examined in table 3.5 for the total age cohort.9 Using the four measures of comparative labor force and employment experience among teenage students, there is no instance in which they consistently point to a low-wage group suf fering relative to a high-wage group. Among Negroes and others, those earning less than $1 an hour in 1966 had a smaller decrease in aver age number of weeks out of the labor force and experienced relatively (and absolutely) higher disemployment rates than those earning be tween $1 and $1.39 an hour (table 3.9). How ever, the former group also had a slightly larger decline in average number of weeks un employed. Among the out-of-school youth 20-25 years of age, the implications of our measures are similarly inconsistent, with one exception. That is, the comparison between Negroes and others in the middle wage group and the high est wage group indicates that the former suf fered relative to the latter.10 Those in the $1-$1.39 wage category experienced a greater increase (by 2.4 weeks) in mean number of weeks unemployed; an increase (as compared to a decrease for those earning $1.40 or more) in mean weeks out of the labor force; and a sub stantially higher (more than twice) rate of dis employment. Selected categories of “disadvantaged” youth Even though the evidence presented thus far points to no generally adverse effect of the 1967 changes in Federal minimum wages on the em ployment opportunities of young men, is it pos sible that particular categories of youth, who may be presumed to suffer special competitive disadvantages in the labor market, were unfa vorably affected? In an attempt to answer this question, we examined the record for groups of young men within the age categories referred to above who might, on a priori grounds, be most vulnerable to the impact of a minimum wage: Those with 11 or fewer years of education; those with no formal occupational training; those exhibiting the least knowledge of the labor market;11 those residing in the South; those residing in Primary Sampling Units where the 1967 unemployment rate was greater than 5.1 percent; those in the industries of wholesale and retail trade, and five service in dustries (medical, health, education, entertain ment and recreation, and personal) ; and those in the occupation groups of clerical/sales, oper ative, nonfarm labor, service. The rationale for having selected these par ticular subgroups is, in most cases, self-evident. The industry and occupation categories were chosen on the basis of their relatively greater likelihood of having been affected by the ex tended coverage of the minimum wage law. Res idents of the South were chosen because of our belief that young men in this region, on the average, have lower productivity than their counterparts in other regions—largely as a re sult of their lower average educational attain ment. For each of the aforementioned categories, tabulations were prepared identical to those shown in table 3.8. In many of these tables, cell sizes are so small for particular categories of youth as to preclude any analysis; and in vir tually none of them were numbers large enough to permit confident conclusions. Nevertheless, each was studied carefully for any evidence, however slight, of adverse employment effects using the same criteria that have been applied in all the preceding analyses. The following 62 comparisons controlling for color and the afore mentioned characteristics were made: (1) Those earning less than $1 versus those earning $1-$1.39; (2) those earning $1-$1.39 versus those earning $1.40 or more; and (3) those earning less than $1 verus those earning $1.40 or more. The only groups within which the data were to any degree consistent with an adverse employment effect are those shown in tables 3.10 and 3.11. As will be noted, even here the record is in most cases by no means clear. Among students 15-17 years of age, the groups for whom the several measures most consistently point to the possibility of an unfa vorable employment affect of the minimum wage changes are (1) blacks exhibiting the least amount of labor market information; and (2) youth employed as service workers, ir respective of color. For the former, the ratio of the disemployment rates as between low-wage and high-wage workers is more than twice the ratio of their 1966 nonemployment rates; and the changes in the average-weeks measures also indicate a less favorable experience for those earning less than $1 than for those in the higher-wage category (table 3.10). Among young men in their early twenties, we are unable to single out any groups of whites for whom the size of the sample permits state ments about the lower-wage category and for whom the measures are consistent. However, among Negroes and others, the following char acteristics seem to be associated with an ad verse impact of the minimum wage changes: Absence of occupational training; employment as an operative; employment in the whoelsale/ retail trade industry; little knowledge of the world of work; and resident in the South (table 3.11). Obviously, these characteristics are not mutually exclusive, and interaction among them probably serves to increase the likelihood of an individual having been adversely affected by the new minimum wage level. Conclusion Given the limitations of our data and the in herent difficulties in testing the wage-employ ment relationship empirically, it is hardly sur prising that we are unable to state a completely confident and definitive conclusion about what effects, if any, the changes in the Fair Labor Standards Act that became effective February 1, 1967, had on employment opportunities for male youth. Despite the limitations of the data, however, they have the very real advantage of permitting the “before and after” experience of the youth to be related to the wage they were earning before the new minimums became effective. We have been able to ask* therefore, whether those youth whose marginal productivity (as mea sured by their rate of pay) was lower than the newly established minimum had relatively less favorable employment experiences after the minimum wage changes than those whose wages already had been above the minimums. One would expect these low productivity youngsters to be among the first to feel what ever restriction of employment opportunities the minimum wage created. The fact that we have been unable to find in our data any general tendency for the foregoing relationship, leads to the conclusion that if the minimum wage increases did indeed create un employment among youth, the effect was not a pronounced one. Even when the analysis was focused on those subgroups of young men who might, on a priori grounds, be expected to be most vulnerable to the impact of the minimum wage, only a small number of such subgroups showed any evidence of adversity. In stating even this cautious conclusion, however, we must acknowledge that our data are confined to youth who have had some work experience; they tell us nothing about those entering the labor mar ket for the first time. ,FOOTNOTES- 1 Jack I. Karlin, “ Economic Effects of the 1966 Changes in the FLSA ,” M on th ly L a b o r R evie w (June 1967), p. 21. The present report deals exclusively with the impact of the increases which went into effect in February 1967. 2 The age criterion for inclusion in the sample was an attained age of 14-24 as of April 1966. Since this study deals with comparisons of labor force behavior between the 1966 and 1967 interview dates, we will use the 1967 ages of the sample (15-25) hereafter in this 63 7 report, except those for table 3.1, which are based on U.S. Department of Labor data. Results of the initial survey and the methodology employed in collecting the data are presented by Herbert S. Parnes, Robert C. Miljus, Ruth S. Spitz, and Asso ciates in C a reer T h resh o ld s: A L o n g itu d in a l S tu d y of Similar tabulations for 15-19-year-olds are pre sented in table 3.6. 3 8 th e E d u ca tio n a l an d L a b o r M a rk et E x p erien ce of M ale Y o u th , 1U-%U Y e a rs o f A g e f Volume I (Columbus, Ohio: Center for Human Resource Research, The Ohio State University, February 1969) appendix B. By “survey week” we refer to activity in the calendar week preceding the time of the interview. Hourly rate of pay was computed in the following manner: Employed respondents were asked, “How much do you usually earn at this job before deductions?” Responses in terms of an hourly rate were coded as received. Responses in terms of a weekly figure were di vided by the number of hours usually worked per week in the past 12 months in the case of those who had been out of school for at least 12 months and by number of hours worked during the survey week in the case of those who had been students during the past 12 months. Responses in terms of biweekly, semimonthly, monthly, or annual figures were converted first to weekly data by dividing by the appropriate factor for example, 2.2 for semimonthly and 52 for annual) and then treated the same as a weekly wage. Interviewing for the 1967 survey began during the week of October 23 and was completed by the end of November. 4 6 8 In no cases were any tests of significance attempted with respect to the data presented in this report. Thus, we do not know if any of the differences which are reported are statistically significant. However, the dif ferences which are reported in the remainder of this report are at least large enough to be of some interest. 9 The only difference is that for the 20 to 25-year-old age group only one disemployment rate is shown, viz., the proportion of those employed in the 1966 survey week who were u n em ployed in the 1967 survey week. The reason for the different treatment of the two age groups in this respect is that we believe that the stimuli which induce movement out of the labor force and movement into unemployment are quite similar for young students, but that different sets of factors are operative in the two types of movement in the case of the older nonstudents. In other words we are more willing to conceive of discouraged workers and dis guised unemployment among teenage students than among men in their early twenties who are out of school. 10 Although analogous inferences can be drawn from the data on the total age cohort, it is clear from examining the data for whites that the inferences apply only to Negroes and others. 11 For a complete description and explanation of this measure, see Herbert S. Parnes, et. al., op. cit., pp. 120- 121. Table 3.1. Civilian Labor force Participation Rates and Unemployment Rates, October 1966 and October 1967: Men 14-24 Years of Age, by School Enrollment Status School enrollment status and age Labor force participation rate Unemploy ment rate 1967 1966 1967 1966 10,471 3,738 3,235 1,636 1,862 5,889 66 323 1,272 4,228 31.9 16.6 38.5 37.5 46.7 93.7 33.8 17.2 40.9 40.1 49.5 92.6 7.1 6 .6 9 .2 8.1 3 .2 5 .2 11.1 13.5 14.2 11.3 4 .9 6 .2 73.5 88.6 97.7 75.5 87.9 96.3 19.4 8 .4 3 .3 20.5 10.7 4 .0 16,360 3,804 3,558 2,908 6,090 54.1 16.9 42.0 59.1 82.8 55.0 17.4 44.1 61.0 82.0 5 .9 6 .6 11.0 8 .3 3 .3 8.1 14.0 15.2 10.9 4.1 Population (thousands) 1966 Enrolled, total.................. ........... 10,278 14-15............................................................. 3,640 3,130 16-17........................................................1 8 - 1 9 - ................... .................................... 1,841 20-24.............................. ............................. 1,667 Not enrolled, total..................... 5,781 47 14-15............................................................. 351 16-17............................................................ 18-19............................................................. 1,346 20-24............................................................. 4,037 Enrolled and not enrolled, total............................................. 16,059 14-15............................................................. 3,687 16-17............................................................. 3,481 18-19............................................................. 3,187 20-24............................................................. 5,704 1967 Sources: U.S. Department ef Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. (BLS Special Labor Force Report 87, 1967) Employment o f Scheot Ape Youth, October 1966. p. A-5 . U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau ef Labor Statistics (BLS Special Labor Force Report 98, 1968) Empieymeftt of Scheel A§e Youth, pp. 36, A -5. 64 Table 3.2. Age, by school enrollment status and 1966 hourly rate of pay: Men 15-25 years of age with work experience Enrolled both years Age Less than $1.00 $1.40 or more $1.00 to $1.39 Not enrolled either year Less than $1.00 Total * or average $1.40 or more $1.00 to $1.39 Total i Total * or average Less than $1.00 $1.00 to $1.39 $1.40 or more Total* or average Total percent____________ 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Total number (thousands). 593 1,644 1,611 5,608 230 526 3,896 5,024 918 2,553 6,142 12,168 15-17________________________ 18-19________________________ 20-25________________________ 86 11 2 68 22 10 27 29 44 53 22 25 8 12 79 6 26 68 1 11 88 3 13 84 62 13 25 50 26 24 8 17 74 28 20 52 1 Total includes respondents for whom 1966 hourly rate of pay was not ascertained. Note: Because of rounding, sums of individual items may not equal total. i Total includes respondents who changed their school enrollment status between 1966 and 1967. Table 3.4. Highest year of school completed, by 1966 hourly rate of pay: Men 15-17 years of age enrolled in school in 1966 and 1967 with work experience and men 20-25 years of age not enrolled in school in 1966 and 1967 with work experience Table 3.3. Color, by 1966 hourly rate of pay: Men 15-17 years of age enrolled in school in 1966 and 1967 with work experience, and men 20-25 years of age not enrolled in school in 1966 and 1967 with work experience 15-17 years old, enrolled * 20-25 years old, not enrolled 15-17 years old, enrolled Color Less $1.00 $1.40 Less $1.00 $1.40 or to or Total1 than to Total1 than $1.00 $1.39 more $1.00 $1.39 more Total percent— 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Total number (thousands). _ 510 1,124 438 2,971 182 358 3,428 4,196 90 10 89 11 58 42 Whites Negroes and others___ 89 11 88 12 71 29 88 12 Highest year of school completed 85 15 Less $1.00 $1.40 Total i Less $1.00 $1.40 Total * than to or or than or or to $1.00 $1.39 more average $1.00 $1.39 more average Total percent— 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Total number (thousands).. 510 1,124 438 2,971 182 358 3,428 4,196 78 21 1 0 89 11 0 0 66 32 0 2 11 or le s s .................... 12__________________ 13-15_______________ 16 or more__________ i Total includes respondents for whom 1966 hourly rate of pay was not ascertained. 20-25 years old, not enrolled 93 6 1 0 90 10 0 0 60 32 7 1 34 46 12 8 36 46 11 7 1 Total includes respondents for whom 1966 hourly rate of pay was not ascertained Table 3.5. Change in mean number of weeks unemployed, change in mean number of weeks out of the labor force, 1966 nonemployment rate, and disemployment rates, by 1 966 hourly rate of pay: Men 15-25 years of age with work experience Hourly rate of pay (dollars) Total number (thousands) ■ Less than $1.00______ ____ _____________________________ $1.00-$1.39____________________________________________ $1.40 or more__________________________________________ Total or average •_______________________________________ 918 2,553 6,142 12,168 Change in mean weeks unemployed 1 (weeks) II III -1 .4 -2 .1 -0 .3 -1 .1 1 Mean number of weeks unemployed during the 12 months preceding the 1967 survey minus the mean number of weeks unemployed during the 12 months preceding the 1966 survey. * Mean number of weeks out of the labor force during the 12 months preceding the 1967 survey minus the mean number of weeks out the labor force during the 12 months preceding the 1966 survey. Change in mean weeks out* (weeks) -3 .5 -3 .1 -2 .4 -2 .4 1966 Non employment rate * (percent) (thousands) IV V 25.6 31.9 14.4 28.9 Total number employed 683 1,739 5,057 8,653 Dis employment rate 4 (percent) Disemployment rate (into unemployment only) 8 (percent) VI V II 19.6 33.2 8.2 13.2 4.3 7.6 2.5 3.4 * Proportion of all those with work experience not employed during the survey week in 1966. 4 Proportion of those employed during the 1966 survey week who were either unem ployed or out of the labor force during the 1967 survey week. 8 Proportion of those employed during the 1966 survey week who were unemployed during the 1967 survey week. •Total includes 2,554 for whom 1966 hourly rate of pay was not ascertained. 65 Table 3.6. Change in mean number of weeks unemployed, change in mean number of weeks out of the labor force, 1966 nonemployment rate, and disemployment rates, by comparative school enrollment status 1966-67 and 1966 hourly rate of pay: Men 15-19 years of age with work experience Comparative school enrollment status and hourly rate of pay (dollars) Total number (thousands) Change in mean weeks unemployed 1 (weeks) Change in mean weeks out2 (weeks) 1966 Non employment rate 8 (percent) Total number employed 1966 (thousands) Dis employment rate 4 (percent) Disemployment rate (into unemployment only) 5 (percent) 1 II III IV V VI VII In school: 1966 and 1967 3...................................................... ........... Less than $1.00...................................... ............................ $1.00-1.39............................................... ............... .......... $1.40 or more..................................................................... Out of school: 1966 and 1967 3.......................... ...................................... Less than $1.00........................... ..................... .................. $1.00-1.39..................... ............. .............. ......................... $1.40 or more____ ______ _____ ________ ___________ Total or average 2 8.......... .................... ................................ . Less than $1.00...______________________ _____ ___ $1.00-1.39............................................. .......... .......... $1.40 or more___________ _____ __________________ 4,211 578 1,478 903 -2 .5 -1 .0 -3 .0 -1 .6 -2 .5 -3 .4 -3 .0 -3 .9 50.3 30.7 42.3 39.4 2,092 400 852 548 33.4 26.6 34.9 34.7 827 47 168 468 5,854 688 1,941 1,591 +0.5 +2.6 +2.4 -0 .3 -1 .9 -1 .3 -2 .3 - 1.0 -8 .8 -1 1 .9 -8 .8 -8 .2 -4 .1 -4 .6 -3 .9 -5 .5 14.8 8.8 17.9 4.9 43.4 28.2 37.6 26.8 706 43 140 444 3,311 492 1,210 1,165 12.0 14.9 11.9 11.4 25.8 25.6 28.2 22.5 1 For a definition of these measures, see the footnotes to table 3.5. 3 Includes persons for whom 1966 hourly rate of pay was not ascertained. Disemployment ratios Less than $1.00/$1.40 or more______ _____ $1.00 to $1.39/$1.40 or more........................... To unem ployment or out of labor force To unem ployment only 2.39 4.05 1.72 3.04 7.3 7.9 5.8 1.8 6.7 5.5 6.5 5.3 6.5 6.4 8 Totals include young men who were enrolled one year but not the other. Table 3.7. Disemployment and nonemployment ratios: Men 15-25 years of age employed during the 1966 survey week Hourly rate of pay (dollars) 7.5 6.5 1966 non employment ratios 1.78 2.22 Table 3.8. Survey week labor force participation rates and unemployment rates by 1967 age and 1966 hourly rate of pay: Men 15-17 years of age enrolled in school in 1966 and 1967 with work experience and men 20-25 years of age not enrolled in school in 1966 and 1967 with work experience, by color Age, school enrollment status, color, 1966 hourly rate of pay Age 15-17, enrolled both years: Whites: Less than $1.00___................. $1.00-$1.39________________ $1.40 or more_____________ Negroes: Less than $1.00____________ $1.00-$) .39_____ __________ $1.40 or more........................... Age 20-25, not enrolled either year: Whites: Less than $1.00____________ $1.0O-$1.39________________ $1.40 or more_____________ Negroes: Less than $1.00____________ $1.00—$1.39_____ __________ $1.40 or more........................... 1 Of youth with work experience. Total number (thou sands) Labor force participation rate 1 Unemployment rate 1 1966 1966 1967 1967 456 995 394 54 129 44 74.4 68.7 74.0 86.3 56.7 78.2 66.7 64 .0 67.9 68.1 51.6 68.0 6 .7 12.8 7 .8 7 .0 23.1 2 .7 11.3 17.5 12.5 18.9 21.9 20 .9 105 254 3,024 77 104 404 100.0 98.3 99.4 98.5 98.7 95.2 100.0 98 .3 98.9 100.0 98.9 96.1 11.9 0.0 1.3 3.1 7 .4 1 .9 3 .8 0 .7 1.0 3.1 9 .1 5 .3 66 Table 3.9. Change in mean number of weeks unemployed, change in mean number of weeks out of the labor force, 1966 nonemployment rate, and disemployment rates, by 1966 hourly rate of pay: Men 15-17 years of age enrolled in school in 1966 and 1967 with work experience, and men 20-25 years of age not enrolled in school in 1966 and 1967 with work experience, by color Age 15-17 enrolled both years 1966 hourly rate of pay Total number (thousands) Change in mean weeks unem ployed 1 (weeks) Change in mean weeks o u t1 (weeks) 1966 non employment rate 1 (percent) Total number emj)toyed (thousands) Dis Dis employment employment rate (into unem rate 1 (percent) ployment only)1 (percent) Whites Less than $1.00...................................... ...................................................................... $1.00-$1.39.............................. ..................................................................................... $1.40 or more..................... _......................................................................................... 456 995 394 -0 .2 -3 .0 -1 .0 -4 .5 -3 .3 -8 .1 30.5 40.0 31.8 316 596 269 25.7 35.6 35.6 5.7 7.8 9.7 44 57 34 38.6 32.5 29.3 13.0 360 653 303 27.2 35.4 35.0 6.4 7.8 9.9 Negroes Less than $1.00............................................. ................................................................ $1.00-$1.39........................................................................... .......................................... $1.40 or more................................................................................................................. 54 129 44 -2 .5 -2 .1 -2 .3 -2 .4 -6 .6 -.8 19.7 56.3 23.9 12.0 8.0 Total Less than $1.00............ ............. ................................... _............................................. $1.00-$1.39................... ............................................____............................................. $1.40 or more......................................... _..................................................................... 510 1,124 438 -0 .4 -2 .9 -1 .2 -4 .3 -3 .6 -7 .4 29.4 41.9 30.8 Age 20-25 not enrolled either year Whites Less than $1.00............ ....................... ......................................................................... $1.00-$1.39................................................................................................... ................. $1.40 or more................................................................... ............................................. 105 254 3,024 -2 .0 .4 .5 -2 .3 -.5 -.9 11.9 1.7 2.0 93 249 2,964 0.0 .6 1.0 4.5 8.6 6.9 73 95 378 3.2 8.6 3.1 8.8 3.9 2.5 166 344 3,342 1.2 2.6 1.2 Negroes Less than $1.00.......................................................... ............................................. .. $1.00-$1.39__________________________ _________________ ______________ $1.40 or more________________________________________________________ 77 104 404 .7 3.6 1.2 1.2 .5 — .9 Total Less than $1.00_____ __________________ ___________ __________ _______ $1.00—$1.39____________________ ____ __________________________ _____ $1.40 or more......................... ................................... ............................................... 1 For a definition of these measures, see the footnote to Table 3.5. 182 358 -0 .8 3,428 .6 1.2 -0 .9 — .3 -.9 67 Table 3.10. Change in mean number of weeks unemployed, change in mean number of weeks out of labor force, 1966 nonemployment rate, and disemployment rates, for selected subgroups by 1966 hourly rate of pay: Men 15-17 years of age enrolled in school in 1966 and 1967 with work experience Selected subgroup and 1966 hourly rate of pay Total number (thousands) Those with 11 years or less of education: Whites: Less than $1.00.............................. ............................................. $1.00—$1.39.................................................................................... Blacks: Less than $1.00............................................................................ $1.00—$1.39................................................................................. Blacks with little knowledge of world of work: Less than $1.00....................... ............... ............... ............. $1.00—$1.39................................................................................... Blacks residing in the South: Less than $1.00_____________________________________ $1.00—$1.39___________________ _____ ____________ _ Service workers (W hites and Blacks): Less than $1.00............................................................................ $1.00—$1.39................................................................................ Change in mean weeks unemployed 1 (w eeks) 421 875 53 122 31 71 38 Change in mean weeks out of labor force 1 (w eeks) 1966 employment rate 1 (percent) -5 .4 -3 .9 -3 .4 -6 .9 -3 .4 -7 .4 -1 .2 31.3 38.9 18.9 55.4 18.9 50.4 10.3 61.1 39.5 44.3 + 0 .3 -3 .0 -2 .6 -2 .3 0 .0 -4 .4 -3 .9 -1 .4 -2 .9 -4 .7 68 118 191 -2 .2 -3 .7 -7 .5 Total number employed 1966 (thousands) 289 534 43 55 25 35 34 26 72 106 Dis employment rate 1 (percent) 25.4 34.4 39.5 33.6 36.3 33.5 40.3 35.4 17.9 27.3 Dis employment rate (into unemployment only) 1 (percent) 4 .9 7.7 20.3 8 .2 17.7 10.1 12.0 8 .9 6.9 3.5 1 For a definition of these measures, see the footnote to Table 3.5. Table 3.11. Change in mean number of weeks unemployed, change in mean number of weeks out of labor force, 1966 nonemployment rate, and disemployment rate, by selected characteristics and 1966 hourly rate of pay: Negro men 20-25 years of age not enrolled in school in 1966 and 1967 with work experience Selected characteristic and 1966 hourly rate of pay Those with no training: $1.00—$1.39.............................................................................. $1.40 or more............................. ...................... ..................... Operatives: $1.00—$1.39.................................................................. .......... $1.40 or more__________________________ __________ Wholesale and retail trade employees: $1.00—$1.39__________ _________________________ $1.40 or more______________________________________ Those with little knowledge of the world of work: Less than $1.00______ ______________ ____ ______ ____ $1.00—$1.39________ _____ ________ _____ _____ ______ $1.40 or more_______________ ___________ ___________ Those residing in the South: $1.00-$1.39_________________ ____ _________________ $1.40 or more_________ ________________ ___________ 1 For a definition of these measures, see footnote to Table 3.5. Total number (thousands) Change in mean weeks unemployed 1 (weeks) Change in mean weeks out of labor force 1 (weeks) 1966 nonemployment rate * (percent) Total number employed in 1966 (thousands) Disemployment rate (into unemployment only) 1 (percent) 81 217 +3.4 +1.2 -0 .2 +0.4 9.6 8.3 73 199 7.7 3.6 42 159 +3.2 +1.2 -0 .2 +1.2 6.2 6.9 39 142 7.9 2.8 30 79 +3.7 +1.5 0.0 -5 .5 10.0 10.1 27 71 14.8 4.2 43 62 158 -0 .2 +3.2 +1.4 +2.8 -0 .7 +2.2 0.0 6.5 7.8 43 57 145 5.4 2.1 0.8 90 192 +2.4 +0.3 +2.4 +0.3 6.8 5.6 83 182 6.2 2.9 CHAPTER IV Survey of Hiring Requirements and Youth Employment The establishment of an absolute minimum wage rate by an exogenous source changes ex isting conditions in the labor market. In terms of the demand for labor (a summation of the demand of individual establishments), shifts can be expected depending on the degree to which the minimum wage affects costs to the employer and the degree to which employers can adjust their labor and capital inputs to offset cost increases. One of the probable ad justments is to increase the quality of labor commensurate with the increase in costs, that is, to obtain more productive employees by rais ing hiring standards. A special survey was de signed to examine this aspect of minimum wage effects, particularly as it influences the employ ment of teenagers. Those under 20 years of age usually vie for beginning or entry level jobs and the existence of hiring qualifications (many of them necessary) have a restrictive influence on the labor market. Any raising of hiring re quirements further restricts job opportunities for teenagers. The survey was conducted in 10 metropolitan areas selected to meet several criteria: Large and small areas; high and low teenage unem ployment rates relative to total unemployment; low and high wage areas; and the presence or absence of State minimum wage laws. Two of This chapter was prepared by Norman J. Samuels, Office of Wages and Industrial Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Text tables begin on p. 75. 68 the areas, Atlanta and Detroit, were selected because of the availability of pertinent eco nomic data from the Urban Employment sur veys. The other four large areas were Baltimore and Cleveland (in which the average 1968 un employment rates for teenagers were among the highest relative to total unemployment in the area), and Milwaukee and Los Angeles (in which relative teenage unemployment rates were among the lowest). The four small areas were selected on the basis of wage level (for manufacturing) and State minimum wage law, as follows: State minimum No State minimum Low wage_____________ ________ Lewiston-Auburn, Maine............. El Paso, Tex. High wage_____________________ Battle Creek, Mich......................... Galveston, Tex. The distribution of the cities chosen also pro vided wide regional representation. The survey was conducted by mail question naire with telephone followups to nonrespon dents following two mail requests, and to estab lishments for clarification of responses. Ap proximately 8,000 establishments were included in the sample of which about 5,000 provided data. The total universe of establishments in the 10 cities approximated 240,000. Larger samples were taken of small retail establish ments to prepare separate estimates for those with sales of $200,000 to $300,000 that were covered and not covered by the Fair Labor Standards Act sales size test. The survey focused on what the lowest age and education qualifications for a beginning job 69 were; whether these qualifications had been changed since 1966 (the last major revision of the Fair Labor Standards A ct); and the rea son (s) for such change (among which was whether the minimum wage was a reason for raising qualifications). Additionally, the survey inquired into the number of teenagers employed and whether that number was different from the number employed in 1966; the attitudes of employers with respect to teenagers as employ ees compared with other workers in similar jobs; the relative importance of various factors as influences on employers’ decisions to hire teenagers; and, finally, the lowest wage rates currently paid to teenage employees. Because so many teenagers are employed on a part-time basis (outside of school hours and other limiting factors), data were collected sep arately for full- and part-time employment. The data were further divided between office and nonoffice jobs because these are jobs often with different qualifications and, to some extent, probably represent differences by sex. In the text and tables that follow, certain shorthand terms have been used for conveni ence. These are (1) type of work—office or non office; work schedule—full-time or part-time; and, coverage—status under the Fair Labor Standards Act. Major findings 1. The majority of establishments had no age or education qualifications for beginning jobs. 2. Few employers raised either age or educa tion qualifications between 1966 and 1969. The highest proportion was 7.7 percent in El Paso for full-time nonoffice jobs. Even for those employers who now had an age qualification of 20 years or more, fewer than 10 percent in most cases had raised age qualifications. 3. Among the establishments that raised standards, the most common reason given was the increased costs of training and hiring. The minimum wage was cited as the second most common reason although fewer than half the establishments did so in eight of the ten cities for full-time and part-time officer workers; in six cities for full-time nonoffice workers; and in five cities for part-time office workers. Except for part-time employees in Detroit, all the re maining instances of majority reporting came from the four small cities. 4. Of the factors affecting employers’ deci sions to hire teenagers, the following were most frequently given: (a) legal restrictions on hir ing youth for hazardous jobs, (b) the military draft, and (c) undependability and lack of training. 5. Among the small retail stores where, pre sumably, the only differentiating factor was coverage under the Fair Labor Standards Act, the employment of teenagers in the spring of 1969 did not appear to be significantly affected by the law. In 4 of the 6 cities a larger propor tion of covered stores employed youth than non covered stores. Considering the small numbers involved (particularly in the small cities), the findings did not provide a consistency to war rant a positive conclusion of difference. 6. The number of teenagers employed in the small retail stores was about the same in 1969 as in 1966 for the vast majority of the stores. Some covered stores in seven of the ten cities reported higher youth employment as did some noncovered stores in eight cities. Lower employ ment was reported by some covered stores in three cities and by noncovered stores in five ci ties. Minimum age and education requirements for beginning jobs Although the majority of establishments had no age or education requirements for a begin ning job, employers in more instances had some such requirement for full-time nonoffice jobs than for full- or part-time office jobs. To some extent these differences were due to State laws barring anyone under 21 years of age from em ployment where liquor is sold; there are usually a large number of such establishments in our cities. In most cities a larger proportion of es tablishments covered than those not covered had some age or education requirement. The survey results summarized in table 4.1 indicate widely varying proportions of estab lishments without age or education require- 70 ments among the cities. Yet, there is also a mea sure of consistency: 1. In a majority of establishments in Detroit, Cleveland, Auburn, and Galveston, youth seek ing full-time office jobs in covered establish ments faced no age or education requirements for employment, whereas they did in the other six cities. Among the noncovered establish ments, only in Atlanta did the majority have some requirement for a beginning job. 2. For part-time office work, the majority of establishments in all cities had no age or educa tion requirements, regardless of coverage. 3. Teenagers seeking nonoffice jobs were likely to find some age or education requirement for employment in a majority of covered estab lishments in all cities except Cleveland and in noncovered establishments) in half the cities. 4. For part-time nonoffice jobs, requirements were less likely to be found: A majority of cov ered establishments in 7 of the 10 cities not having any requirements and a majority of noncovered establishments in 6 of the 10 cities. In virtually all cities, minimum education re quirements were more frequently required for office workers than for nonoffice workers, whereas minimum age requirements were less frequently required. These findings were fairly consistent with respect to coverage or work schedule. Table 4.2 indicates these differences for full-time workers in covered establishments. On the other hand, minimum age requirements were more frequently found than minimum ed ucation requirements for either type of,job. Where minimum education requirements ex isted, high school was usually the qualification noted. In the covered sector, about 50 percent more establishments reported high school as the minimum qualification for office workers than for Uonoffice. (However, as indicated above, more establishments had education require ments for office than for nonoffice workers.) In the noncovered sector, high school was reported as the minimum qualification by approximately the same proportion of establishments for office and nonoffice full-time workers, but by half as many part-time office workers as for part-time nonoffice workers (table 4.3). Lowest hourly rates currently paid for a beginning job Establishments employing part-time nonoffice workers under 18 years of age reported the low est average minimum hourly rates of pay. In covered establishments the lowest minimum ranged from an average of $1.51 in El Paso to $1.79 in Los Angeles. In the noncovered estab lishments the range was from $1.12 in El Paso to $1.71 in Baltimore (table 4.4). The median difference in city averages between covered and noncovered lowest minimum rates paid was 18.5 cents. For those under 18 years of age, a full-time nonoffice job generally paid more for a begin ning than the part-time jobs. In fact, the differ ences in covered establishments ranged from 6 cents an hour in El Paso to 63 cents an hour in Detroit. (It must be noted in attempting to evaluate these data that differences are due not only to the varying industrial composition among cities but also to the degree establish ments were actually employing teenagers under 18 years old at the time of the survey.) The median city average minimum rate was $1.92 for those under 18 and $2.08 for those 18 and 19 years old in covered establishments. In noncov ered work places the respective medians were $1.67 and $1.72. Among the small areas (Battle Creek, Lewis ton-Auburn, Galveston, and El Paso), the aver age minimums for full-time nonoffice workers in covered establishments were higher in the higher wage areas than in the lower wage areas (tables 4.5 and 4.6). Among the noncovered es tablishments, the differences were between ci ties in States with and without State minimum wage laws. The average minimum hourly rate paid for full-time office workers in all cities except At lanta and El Paso was lower than the city aver age for full-time nonoffice workers in covered establishments. In noncovered employment the opposite was true, only in Baltimore did office workers average less than nonoffice workers (the difference was one cent). (See table 4.7.) The proportion of establishments in which the lowest minimum wage paid was less than $1.60 an hour varied widely among cities, but 71 even more widely within cities for type of work and work schedule, and between covered and noncovered establishments. Generally, a larger proportion of establishments paid less than $1.60 for nonoffice than for office work, and for part-time than for full-time work. The largest differences appeared to reflect the presence or absence of FLSA coverage. Los Angeles was the only city where nonoffice workers in uncovered employment earning less than $1.60 were in a small minority of establishments. Yet even in that city, 21 percent of those establishments paid part-time workers $1.60 an hour. The next lowest percentage of such establishments was Atlanta with 41 percent and in all other cities these were the majority of establishments. In the covered sector the largest proportion of es tablishments in which the rate was below $1.60 for part-time nonoffice work was 47 percent in Battle Creek (table 4.8). There did not appear to be any pattern associated with the high or low wage classification of a city—similar per centages being reported for different types of work and work schedules for cities with differ ent general wage levels. Raising hiring standards between 1966 and 1969 The Federal minimum wage was raised and coverage extended between 1966 and 1969. If we assume that employers will adjust to in creased wage costs by increasing the value of output per unit of labor input, one of the possi ble methods is to improve the quality of labor by raising hiring standards for entry into em ployment. Age and education are assumed to have a direct relationship to ability to learn and perform efficiently. The survey asked employers whether their minimum age or education re quirements had been raised since 1966. The re sults are summarized in table 4.9 below. The largest percent of establishments in any city that raised hiring standards was 7.7 per cent in El Paso for nonoffice workers. Taking the largest proportion of establishments that raised standards for any group of workers in each city, the proportion of establishments that did not raise standards ranged between 92.3 percent in El Paso and 97.3 percent in Milwau kee. A few establishments in each city reported lower standards in 1969 than in 1966. It was earlier established that the majority of establishments had no age or education require ments in 1969. To put the data about raising standards in better perspective, table 4.10 indi cates the proportion of establishments which raised their age requirements since 1966 and whose age requirement is now 20 years or more for a full-time job. These are the establishments which now would exclude all teenagers. No pattern of a consistent relationship exists between raising these standards and coverage under FLSA. Neither is there a pattern asso ciated with city characteristics. Reasons for raising minimum hiring standards Whenever an employer reported in the survey that he raised age or education standards for any group, he was requested to indicate from a list of reasons which one(s) was important to that action. The most common reason given for raising hiring standards was increased costs of training and hiring. The second most common reason was the minimum wage. Those who raised standards citing the mini mum wage as a reason (whether the only rea son or one of several), represented fewer than 1 percent of the establishments in 3 out of every 5 cases (there are 40 possible cases—10 cities and 4 employee groups). The largest percentage (4.2) of employers citing the minimum wage was in El Paso raising standards for full time nonoffice employees (table 4.11). The data indicate that in the aggregate few employers raised minimum qualifications be cause of statutory minimum wages. Perhaps more analytically significant is the proportion of those who actually raised standards that cited the minimum wage as a reason. Table 4.12 provides that compilation. The influence of the minimum wage in chang ing hiring standards is relevant to the situa tions in which decisions were made by employ ers to change standards. The minimum wage did not influence large numbers to revise their hiring standards but for those that did, large proportions cited the minimum wage as a rea- 72 son for doing so. From table 4.12 there emerges a difference between the large and small cities although some exceptions can be seen. Again, some caution must be used in interpretation due to the very small numbers involved in the smaller cities. legal restrictions on hiring for hazardous work. The minimum wage was nearly always the weakest factor; in all but two cities (and only for those under 18 years of age), the majority of employers who considered the minimum wage very important did in fact employ teen agers (table 4.14). Factors affecting decisions to hire teenagers Whether an employer does or does not have established qualifications for entry level jobs, his decisions to actually hire is influenced by a number of factors real or assumed. The survey listed nine specific factors and asked employers to indicate for each whether the factor was very important, important, or unimportant in affect ing his decision to hire teenagers. The factors listed were (1) Believe teenagers not as depend able as other workers; (2) Believe not as well trained as other workers; (3) Can hire adults for the same wage; (4) Legal minimum wage; (5) Military draft; (6) Paper work to get work permits; (7) Legal restrictions on hiring youth for hazardous jobs; (8) Legal restrictions on hours of work, and (9) Insurance costs and availability of insurance. In no city except El Paso did the majority of employers consider any one of the factors im portant in their hiring decisions. Where employers did indicate that these fac tors were influential, the most important factor in all cities affecting employer’s decisions to hire teenagers under 18 years old was legal re strictions on hiring youth for hazardous jobs. In El Paso and Detroit, training deficiencies were also cited as very important. For 18- and 19-year-olds, some employers in half the cities reported the military draft, and in the other five cities they cited undependabil ity and lack of training as the very important factors in their hiring decisions. In no city did as many as one-third of the employers consider the minimum wage as a very important factor for hiring those under or over 18 years of age. (See table 4.13.) Apparently, insurance costs and availability was the strongest factor; those employers who indicated that it was very important actually employed the fewest teenagers. The other most effective factors were training deficiencies and Change in teenage employment, 1966-69 Between 1966 and 1969, relatively few estab lishments reported a change in teenage employ ment. The largest proportion of establishments reporting such a change was 21 percent in De troit, nearly equally divided between the num ber that had higher teenage employment and the number that had lower teenage employment in 1969. In all but two cities, teenage employ ment was higher in a larger proportion of es tablishments than lower. In each city, at least half the establishments that reported lower teenage employment did not notw employ any teenagers. (See table 4.15.) Employers’ comparison of teenagers with other workers Employers’ attitudes about teenagers as em ployees were explored in the survey by a ques tion which asked, “Have you found that.teen agers generally are about as good as other work ers in similar jobs?” They could respond by checking (1) better, (2) worse, (3) about the same, or (4) don’t know. All employers did not have experience with the employment of teen agers so that a fairly large proportion of “don’t know” responses were received. The answers were, perhaps not surprisingly, fairly consist ent among the cities studied. On the average about 4 percent thought teenagers were better, 17 percent thought they were worse, 42 percent about the same, and 37 percent didn’t know. (See table 4.16.) Those that had lower teenage employment were more likely to think teenagers were worse employees than those that had higher employ ment. About one-third of the employers who had lower teenage employment thought teen agers worse employees than others. The propor tion varied from 22 percent in Detroit to 56 73 percent in Lewiston-Auburn. Among those that had higher teenage employment than in 1966, the proportion of employers who thought teen agers were worse employees ranged from 7 per cent in El Paso to 34 percent in Detroit. Small retail trade establishment Among the problems associated with evaluat ing the foregoing data, particularly with re spect to differences due to FLSA coverage, the major one is the different industrial structures of cities and of the minimum wage coverage within cities. To offset these problems, special samples were selected of small retail trade es tablishments, and data for those with sales of between $200,000 and $300,000 were tabulated separately. These establishments were further divided between those with sales under $250,000 and $250,000 or more. Thus, examina tion of a very homogenous group of employers was possible with coverage under FLSA as the only (major) differentiating factor. Although there were variations within cities, overall the proportion of small retail establish ments that employed teenagers was not differ ent from all establishments. (See table 4.17.) In five of the cities, a larger proportion of small retailers employed teenagers; in one city an equal proportion; and in four cities a smaller proportion. Among the small retail stores, a larger pro portion of covered stores employed teenagers in four cities and a smaller proportion in six cities. The number of teenagers employed was about the same as in 1966 for the vast majority of small retail stores (as it was for all establish ments) . Some covered stores in 7 of the 10 cities (ranging from 2 percent in Baltimore to 25 per cent in Detroit) reported higher teenage em ployment in 1969 than in 1966; in three of the same cities smaller proportions also reported lower teenage employment. Among the noncovered stores, some in 8 of the cities (all but Cleveland and El Paso) reported higher teenage employment, and in half the cities some re ported lower employment. (See table 4.18.) Employers’ attitudes about teenagers as workers have a real influence on their willing ness to hire and probably on the wages they are willing to pay. When the data for the small re tail stores were tabulated for these attitudes, interesting differences were revealed between covered and noncovered stores. In all but 3 cities, none of the covered stores reported they thought teenagers were better workers; among the noncovered stores, in only 3 cities was this true. Conversely, in 6 of the 10 cities, a larger proportion of covered stores than noncovered thought teenagers were worse employees than others in similar work. Among the employers who thought teenagers worse, only in Detroit did any who were covered by FLSA report lower employment since 1966, and only in De troit, Los Angeles, and El Paso did any noncov ered employers report lower employment. NOTE For each of the ten areas covered in the survey of employer hiring requirements (Atlanta, Detroit, Cleveland, Baltimore, Milwaukee, Los Angeles, Battle Creek, Auburn, Galveston, El Paso), the following tabulations are available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on request. Table 1. Percent of Covered and Noncovered Establishments by Age and Education Qualifications for Full- and Part-Time Office and Nonoffice Employees, Spring 1969 Table 2. Percent of Covered and Noncovered Establishments by Lowest Hourly Wage Rate Paid for a Beginning Job by Age Qualification for Full- and Part-Time Office and Nonoffice Employees, Spring 1969 74 Table 3. Percent of Covered and Noncovered Establishments by Lowest Hourly Rate Paid for a Beginning Job by Educational Qualification for Full- and Part-Time Office and Nonoffice Employees, Spring 1969 Table 4. Percent of Covered and Noncovered Establishments by Changes in Age Qualifications Since 1966 and Current Age Qualification by Fulland Part-Time Office and Nonoffice Employees, Spring 1969 Table 5. Percent of Covered and Noncovered Establishments by Change in Education Qualification Since 1966 and Current Qualification for Fulland Part-Time Employees, Spring 1969 Table 6. Number of Covered and Noncovered Establishments Which Raised Either Age or Education Qualifications Since 1966 by Reason for Change and Relative Importance for Full- and Part-Time Office and Non office Employees, Spring 1969 Table 7. Number of Covered and Noncovered Establishments Which L o w ere d Either Age or Education Qualifications Since 1966 by Reason for Change and Relative Importance for Full- and Part-Time Office and Nonoffice Employees, Spring 1969 Table 8. Percent of Covered and Noncovered Establishments by Factors Affecting Employment of Teenagers and Their Relative Importance for Selected Age Groups, Spring 1969 Table 9. Percent of Covered and Noncovered Establishments by Factors Affecting Employment of Teenagers Considered Very Important and the Proportion of Teenagers Employed in These Establishments for Selected Age Groups, Spring 1969 Table 10. Percent of Covered and Uncovered Small Retail Establish ments 1 by the Percent of Full- and Part-Time Employees of Selected Age Groups in These Establishments, Spring 1969 Table 11. Percent of Establishments by the Change in Teenage Employ ment Between 1966 and 1969 and the Percent Employed in 1969, Spring 1969 Table 12. Percent of Establishments by Change in Teenage Employment Between 1966 and 1969 and Evaluation of Teenagers Compared with Other Employees in Similar Jobs, Spring 1969 75 Table 4.1. Proportion of establishments with no age or education requirements for beginning jobs, by city, type of job, work schedule, and FLSA coverage Table 4.3. Percent of covered and noncovered establish ments reporting high school as the minimum education qualification, by city, type of work, and work schedule [In percent] Office Office City City Full-time Part-time Full-time Full-time Atlanta.............. Detroit_______ Cleveland_____ Baltimore_____ Milwaukee........ Los Angeles___ Battle Creek___ Auburn_______ Galveston_____ El Paso.............. Not Covered Not Covered Not Covered Not covered covered covered covered 35 55 55 34 49 38 40 51 52 45 48 74 59 71 74 87 78 58 73 64 89 71 41 41 51 30 46 33 25 37 45 38 66 68 86 65 58 79 70 67 81 64 53 70 60 70 86 84 62 86 52 37 51 40 51 39 38 52 56 38 58 59 64 51 58 46 41 47 61 52 Atlanta.......... . Detroit....... ....... Cleveland.......... Baltimore_____ Milwaukee........ Los Angeles___ Battle Creek___ Auburn_______ Galveston_____ El Paso_______ 69 49 52 50 50 40 46 48 70 55 Table 4.2. Percent of covered establishments with mini mum education and minimum age requirements, by city for full-time office and nonoffice jobs Education Atlanta............... ................. Detroit................................. Cleveland.................... ......... Baltimore............................ Milwaukee_______ ______ Los Angeles________ ____ Battle Creek____ ____ ___ Auburn..................... .......... Galveston............................ El Paso................................. 57 43 45 60 41 51 50 38 39 48 Part-time Office 30 33 39 47 34 32 39 32 24 41 20 2126 1713 101610 282829 3622 201819 15 28 29 24 29 22 22 24 1219 20 1188 273219 231616 20 33 30 22 26 19 3217 12 32 23 23 23 23 19 19 29 24 25 35 27 33 29 26 City Nonoffice 64 46 45 66 61 61 49 48 55 Covered Atlanta____ ____________________________ Detroit_________________ _____ __________ Cleveland___ _ ___ ....................................... Baltimore________ _________ _____ _______ Milwaukee__________ ____ ______ ______ _______ Los Angeles___________________ Battle Creek___________ ________________ Auburn_______ ________________________ Galveston,__ _________ ____ _________ El Paso_______________ _____ ________ 60 60 48 70 55 66 51 15 25 17 32 26 26 26 14 228 Table 4.4. Average hourly minimum rate paid in estab lishments employing those under 18 years old for part-time nonoffice jobs, by coverage Age Nonoffice Full-time Not Covered Not Covered Not Covered Not covered covered covered covered 49 40 43 54 39 47 44 35 37 43 City Office Part-time Part-time Covered Covered Nonoffice Nonoffice 76 65 55 63 Not covered $1.64 1.72 1.78 1.65 $1.54 1.53 1.40 1.71 1.36 1.64 1.35 1.42 1.61 1.68 1.79 1.61 1.60 1.74 1.51 1.12 Table 4.5. Average minimum hourly rates paid for full-time nonoffice jobs in four small cites, by city general wage level, State minimum wages, age, and coverage Without State minimum With ta 3 minimum City Under 18 Battle Creek (high wage).............................................................. Lewiston (low wage) _ _ Galveston (high wage).________________________________ El Paso (low wage)...................................................................... $1.91 1.79 18-19 1.88 $2.10 Under 18 1.66 $1.51 Not covered Covered Not covered Covered 18-19 Under 18 18-19 $1.79 1.59 $1.93 1.57 $1.97 1.67 Under 18 $1.34 1.31 18-19 $1.4 1.3 76 Table 4.6. Ratio of average minimum hourly rates paid for full-time nonoffice jobs in noncovered establishments to covered establishments, by city general wage level and State minimum wage Table 4.9. Percent of establishments that raised hiring standards between 1966 and 1969, by city, type of work, and work schedule Office [Inpercent] Nonoffice City Full-time With State minimum Without State minimum City Ratio of noncovered to covered Under 18 18-19 79 93 Battle Creek (H ig h w age) Lew iston (L o w w age) Galveston (H ig h w a g e ) ... Ratio of noncovered to covered Under 18 16-19 85 85 69 83 . El Paso (Low wage)_______________ 71 83 Table 4.7. Average minimum hourly rate paid for full-time work, by city and coverage Covered establishments Noncovered establishments City Office Atlanta. __ _____________ Detroit__ ______ _ __ Cleveland_______________ Baltimore___ _ _______ Milwaukee.. ___________ Los Angeles._ __________ Battle Creek_____________ Auburn____________ __ . . . Galveston. _ ____________ El Paso__________________ Nonoffice $2.02 2.10 1.99 1.85 2.09 2.13 1.85 1.71 1.77 1.66 Office $1.85 2.40 2.30 1.90 2.26 2.20 2.14 1.82 1.95 1.63 2.9 2.0 3.0 4.6 2.0 3.7 1.7 3.7 3.2 6.1 $1.77 1.89 1.78 1.81 1.76 1.99 1.66 1.65 1.38 1.38 Table 4.8. Percent of establishments in which the mini mum hourly rate paid was less than $1.60 an hour, by city, type of work, work schedule, and coverage 1.2 1.4 1.2 2.3 1.0 2.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 3.3 Office Office Covered Atlanta__________________ Detroit___________________ Cleveland Baltimore Milwaukee Los Angeles______________ Battle Creek______________ Auburn__________________ Galveston El Paso Full time Part- Full time Parttime Full time Parttime Full time Not covered 1 4 11 9 7 9 1 6 5 13 Full-time Parttime Atlanta__________________ Detroit___________________ Clevelan d _ Atlanta______ Detroit________ Cleveland____ Baltimore_____ Milwaukee____ Los Angeles___ Battle Creek___ Auburn___ ___ Galveston_____ El Paso_______ 3 10 13 10 5 1 11 5 9 11 4 21 13 9 13 3 19 8 11 12 10 13 10 8 7 3 21 9 19 20 15 25 18 16 28 9 47 22 32 26 1 10 3 20 16 1 26 10 19 29 10 36 25 22 36 10 31 12 37 31 24 37 26 41 46 4 49 21 57 49 41 51 65 56 59 21 71 62 61 71 1.8 2.0 2.5 2.9 2.7 2.0 3.5 2.8 2.6 3.7 Nonoffice 7 11 1 6 9 12 0 33 21 8 Office Nonoffice Office 5.7 3.0 3.6 4.0 2.0 3.0 3.5 4.9 3.0 7.7 Covered Not covered 29 3 7 11 10 4 2 4 0 14 3 4 7 5 9 4 0 0 8 7 Table 4.11. Percent of all establishments citing the minimum wage as a reason for raising age or education requirements, by city, type of work, and work schedule Not covered Nonoffice Part-time City Nonoffice City City Full-time Table 4.10. Percent of establishments with minimum age qualifications of 20 years or more for full-time work that raised age qualifications since 1966, by city, type of work, and coverage Nonoffice $1.95 2.00 2.06 1.80 1.95 2.15 1.78 1.74 1.73 1.59 Covered Atlanta__________________ Detroit___________________ Cleveland________________ Baltimore________________ Milwaukee_______________ Los Angeles______________ Battle Creek______________ Auburn__________________ Galveston________________ El Paso__________________ Part-time Baltimore________________ Milwaukee _ _ _ Los Angeles______________ Battle Creek______________ Auburn__________________ Galveston________________ El Paso__________________ 1 Less than .05 percent. Part-time 0.5 .1 0.3 .8 1.0 (i) 1.0 O) .9 .6 .6 1.7 1.3 .9 .4 .2 1.0 .2 1.6 Full-time 0.5 .8 .6 1.4 .8 .9 1.8 3.1 2.3 4.2 Part-time 0.5 1.2 .7 .9 .1 .4 1.8 1.6 1.8 2.2 77 Table 4.12. Percent of establishments that raised age or education requirements which cited the minimum wage as a reason, by city, type of work, and work schedule Office Table 4.15. Percent of establishments by change in teenage employment, 1966-69, by city Change in teenage employment City Nonoffice City Higher Full-time Atlanta________ _______ _ Detroit........ ......................... Cleveland_______________ Baltimore_____ _________ Milwaukee______________ Los Angeles_____________ Battle Creek____________ Auburn_________________ Galveston______________ El Paso................................ Part-time 8 26 25 57 17 5 6 6 28 75 20 48 2145 16 58 16 53 21 27 60 28 31 37 16 35 40 30 51 63 76 54 39 40 Lower Part-time Full-time 20 51 57 69 59 Atlanta____________________________ Detroit______________ ______________ Cleveland.. Baltimore____ ___________________ __ Milwaukee_______________ _____ ____ Los Angeles________________________ Battle Creek_______________ ____ ____ Auburn____ ___ ___________________ Galveston_____ _____ _______________ El Paso_______ ___________ ________ 10.9 10.5 7.2 9.1 16.1 7.6 11.8 6.6 3.7 5.0 Same 6.1 8.0 5.2 83.0 78.6 87.3 82.9 78.7 87.5 80.2 87.8 90.1 90.6 10.9 5.5 5.9 7.6 5.6 6.2 4.4 Table 4.16. Percent of establishments by attitude about teenagers as employees, by city Table, 4.13. Proportion of covered establishments re porting the minimum wage as a factor in decision to hire teenagers, by city, and age group 18 and 19 Under 18 City Very Important Not Very Not Important important important important important Atlanta.................... Detroit__________ Cleveland................ Baltimore________ Milwaukee.............. Los Angeles............ Battle Creek........... Auburn............ ....... Galveston________ El Paso.................... 14 16 1010 118 23 20 19 31 21 24 201716 14 23 28 24 25 65 60 73 70 73 78 54 52 57 44 119 896 13 9 13 13 25 18 18 16 18 1111 19 31 20 28 73 71 75 73 81 83 67 56 67 47 City Better Worse 2 63 2 4 Atlanta_________________ Detroit_________________ Cleveland_______________ Baltimore_______________ Milwaukee________ _____ Los Angeles....................... Battle Creek_______ _____ Auburn________________ Galveston_______________ El Paso_________________ 4 Same 18 1216 16 15 20 19 22 20 15 4 4 7 5 Percent of teenagers employed Under 18 years Atlanta___________________ ____________________ Detroit_________ _______________________________ Cleveland________ ____ ______ _____________ ___ Baltimore_____________________ ________________ Milwaukee_____________________________________ Los Angeles______ _______________ __ Battle Creek____________________ ______________ Auburn________ _____ __________________________ Galveston............................................ ............................... El Paso.......................................................................... .. 49 61 70 60 62 48 85 79 51 52 36 36 43 39 41 40 35 30 31 39 Small retail trade establishments All estab lishments All City 43 46 42 41 37 35 43 47 46 42 Table 4.17. Percent of establishments employing teen agers, small retail stores by FLSA coverage, and all establishments, by city City Table 4.14. Covered establishments reporting the mini mum wage as a very important factor and the proportion of teenagers employed, by age Do not know Atlanta............... .................. Detroit______ ___________ Cleveland_______________ Baltimore........... .................. Milwaukee______________ Los Angeles__________ _ Battle Creek__ _________ Auburn.. _ ___________ Galveston_______________ El Paso_______ ____ ____ 52 48 47 47 55 44 49 56 40 43 Covered 44 61 47 65 39 48 54 59 37 38 Not covered 37 75 33 67 42 43 44 50 32 46 46 57 54 64 37 52 54 71 39 34 18 and 19 years 51 50 73 61 63 50 68 66 53 55 Table 4.18. Percent of small retail trade establishments reporting higher and lower teenage employment, by coverage and city Higher Lower City Covered Atlanta................................. Detroit.................................. Cleveland............................. Baltimore............................. Milwaukee............................ Los Angeles.......................... Battle Creek......................... Auburn........... ..................... Galveston............... .............. 1Paso Not covered 25 7 2 17 1019 4 33 4 3 26 114 13 4 Covered 10 10 8 Not covered 28 89 2 14 CHAPTER V Employment Service Local Office Experience in Serving Teenagers During June 1969 During June 1969, the Office of Technical Support (OTS), U.S. Training and Employ ment Service, Manpower Administration, con ducted a survey of Employment Service (ES) local office experience in serving teenag ers as part of the overall study of the relation ship between teenage employment and mini mum wages. Responses to many questions were based on the judgment of the local office man ager and his staff as a result of their experience and knowledge acquired in helping teenagers find jobs. In some areas, replies to some ques tions were supplied by only the Youth Oppor tunity Center offices. The data obtained on local office activity re lated to the June 1969 reporting period while other information is based on recollections and experience of local office staff for longer periods of time such as fiscal year 1969. The areas cov ered by this study consist of 22 SMSAs 1 and the Battle Creek, Mich., labor area. Ten of the areas were those in which the BLS conducted its employer surveys; 13 additional SMSAs were selected in such a manner that different size areas would be represented from all regions of the United States. This chapter was prepared by Irvin F.O. Wingeard, Office of Technical Support. The author would like to express his appreciation to Julia Mash, Robert Ains worth, and Philip Goldstein for their aid in the de velopment of this study. Text footnotes begin on p. 86. 78 Summary Not one of the local offices of the Employment Service (ES) cited the recent hike in the mini mum wage or the extension of coverage under the Federal Fair Labor Standards Act as re sponsible for the change between June 1966 and June 1969 in the total number of nonfarm job openings available to teenagers, or which speci fied a minimum age of 16-19 years of age or 20 years old and over. Only about one-fourth of the 104 ES local offices in the 19 areas responding to this question reported that since June 1966 there had been a decrease in the proportion of openings which were available to teenagers or which specified a minimum age of 16-19 years of age, or that there had been an increase in the share of openings which specified a minimum age of 20 years old and over. The most important reasons given by the ES local offices reporting such changes were of an administrative nature, for example, phasing out Youth Employment Service locations, transfer of youth job orders to Youth Opportunity Cen ters, installation of Job Bank operations, Com munity Action Agencies assuming responsibil ity for youth placement, and inception of NAB-JOBS and government training and hir ing programs. The reasons rated as most prominent among the difficulties encountered by ES local offices in 79 placing teenagers were (a) “legal restrictions on hours of work, hazardous work, or other working conditions” and “employers' hiring specifications with respect to age exclude teen agers” 16-17 year olds on full-time and parttime jobs, (b) “uncertainty over the draft makes employers reluctant to hire teenagers” 18-19-year-old males for full-time jobs; (c) “high labor turnover among teenagers,” “em ployers believe teenagers are not reliable,” and “hiring specifications of employers with respect to education and experience are so high that most teenagers are excluded” for full-time and part-time jobs for both 16-17 and 18-19 yearolds; and (d) “Unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages usually offered for jobs they are qualified to take” for 18-19 year-olds for both full-time and* part-time jobs. The level of the minimum wage was not rated as an important reason for ES local office diffi culty in placing teenagers in either full-time or part-time year-round jobs during fiscal year 1969. However, this reason was somewhat more important for part-time work than it was for full-time jobs. This reason ranked near the low est in importance for 16-19 year-olds for full time jobs and about midway in order of import ance for part-time jobs. It was mentioned in only two areas (Balti more and Nashville) as one of the reasons given by employers for not wanting to hire teenagers for full-time and part-time year-round jobs. A third area (Atlanta) also cited this as one em ployer reason for reluctance to hire teenagers for part-time year-round jobs. In all three areas, however, this reason ranked no higher than third or fourth in importance. Teenagers received better than one-fourth of the 71,000 nonfarm placements made in the 23 surveyed areas during June 1969—about the same proportion that teenagers represented in the active file of applicants at the end of June. The industrial, service (excluding domestic), and clerical categories were the three occupa tional groups in which teenagers were most fre quently placed in full-time and part-time yearround work during fiscal year 1969. In the areas reporting on the reasons given by employers for not wanting to hire teenagers for full-time year-round jobs, the consensus of the ES local offices was that the following three reasons were the most important: a. Teenagers lack appropriate training, experience, and/or education for the jobs available. b. Legal restrictions on the hours of work, hazard ous work, or other working conditions for teen agers. c. Teenagers are not reliable and/or are iWnature. These reasons also were cited as the most im portant for part-time year-round jobs but the rank order of importance was reversed. Uncertainty over the draft was the fourth most important reason for not hiring teenagers for full-time work, whereas the inability to work hours needed by employers because of school or other reasons was the fourth most im portant reason teenagers could not get parttime jobs. About 43 percent of the ES offices were of the opinion that employers would hire appreciably more 16-17-year-olds if it were legally possible to pay such youngsters a wage below the Fed eral minimum. However, only 25 percent of the offices believed this to be true for 18-19-yearold youth. Among the offices which thought employers would hire appreciably more teenagers under a lower minimum wage, 90 percent believed that a reduction of less than 40 cents in the mini mum wage would be necessary to achieve this end. Moreover, these offices were about equally divided between 20-39 cents and less than 20 cents as the required reduction. These offices also believed that employment of teenagers would most likely increase in the service (ex cluding domestic service), sales, clerical, and in dustrial occupational groups in the order of im portance given, and that the retail trade; serv ice (excluding private households) ; wholesale trade; and finance, insurance, and real estate industries would be most important in the order given, as sources of additional teenage employ ment. About two-fifths of the ES offices were of the opinion that lowering the Federal minimum wage for teenagers would have an appreciably adverse effect on the hiring of other groups of workers for full-time and part-time jobs in the retail trade and service (excluding private 80 households) industries. Concerning the other five industry groups, the offices were over whelmingly of the opinion that the lowering of the minimum wage for teenagers would not have an appreciably adverse effect on the hiring of other workers. The offices which indicated that the lowering of the minimum wage for teenagers would have an adverse effect on the hiring of other workers believed that the service (excluding domestic service), sales, industrial, and clerical occupa tional groups would be most likely affected. These offices also were of the opinion that the following groups of workers would be most ad versely affected in the order given: Negro women, 40-64 years old; Negro men, 40-64 years old; white men 40-64 years old; white women, 40-64 years old; and Negro men, 20-24 years old. Minorities other than Negroes were cited in a few areas as likely to be adversely affected. Job openings received during month of June 1969 Over 100,000 nonagricultural job openings were received in June 1969 by local offices of the Employment Service in the 23 areas surveyed. About 60 percent of those openings had no min imum age specified while nearly 40 percent did. Of those openings with a minimum age specifi cation, 45 percent precluded the referral of teenagers since the minimum age designated was 20 years old or older. Of the total nonagricultural openings re ceived, 55 percent were available to teenagers. These openings consisted of those jobs which specified an age minimum within the 16- to 19year-old age interval plus 55 percent openings which had no minimum age specification but were considered by the local offices to be availa ble to teenagers. The percent of openings avail able to teenagers varied widely from area to area, ranging from 7 percent in Baltimore to 99 percent in Wichita. The variation depends, in part on the legal prohibitions against employ ment of teenagers on some jobs or work shifts, or the nature of the industry and occupational mix of the openings in the area. It is likely, for example, that an area abounding in extractive and primary industries would receive more or ders stipulating a minimum age of 20 years old or more. In 4 of the 23 areas reporting, the sum of the total openings available to teenagers was 25 percent or less of the total openings received; in three areas it ranged from 25-50 percent; in 10 areas, from 50-75 percent; and in the remain ing six areas, 75 percent or more of all openings received during the month of June 1969 were available to teenagers. Job openings unfilled at the end of June 1969 Of the 63,400 nonagricultural job openings remaining unfilled at the end of June 1969, in 20 areas, 53 percent had no minimum age desig nation. Of the 47 percent which did have a minimum age specified, nearly 60 percent were unavailable to teenagers because the minimum acceptable age specified was 20 years old or older. Over 40 percent of all of the unfilled non agricultural job openings were available to teenagers, including all those for which appli cants in the 16- to 19-age group were acceptable plus those with no minimum age specification which were considered by the local offices as available to teenagers. Twenty areas reported unfilled openings at the end of June. In four areas the openings available to teenagers did not exceed 25 percent of the total unfilled openings fin six areas they ranged from 25-50 percent; in seven areas, from 50-75 percent; and in three areas, from 75-100 percent. Change in the share of job openings available to teenagers since June 1966 About one-fourth of the 104 ES offices in 19 areas reported that the proportion of nonagri cultural openings received by the offices which specified a minimum age of 20 years old or older had increased since June 1966. This was prior to the recent increase and coverage extension in the Federal minimum wage. More than twothirds of the offices reported no change in the share of such openings and less than one-tenth reported a decrease. Correspondingly, about one-fourth of the local offices indicated that since June 1966 there had been a decrease in the proportion of openings received which were available to teenagers, as well as in the share of 81 such openings which specified a minimum age crease in the percent of openings specifying a within the 16- to 19-year-old age interval. One- minimum age of 20 years or older were changes sixth of the offices stated that an increase had of an administrative nature, for example, phas occurred in the share of such openings since ing out of Youth Employment Service locations June 1966 and nearly three-fifths reported no since 1966, referral of youth job orders to change. Youth Opportunity Centers (YOC’s), the Job In only two of the 19 areas reporting were Bank Operation, and an upward surge in the the local offices unanimous in indicating an in economy which caused an increase in hiring of crease in the proportion of openings with a older college youths. Other reasons mentioned minimum age specification of 20 years old or were Job Opportunities in the Business Sector older since June 1966. In only one area was —National Alliance of Businessmen (JOBSthere unanimity that there had been a decrease NAB) operations, apprehension about insur in the share of openings available to teenagers ance risks with regard to hazardous jobs caus and in the fraction of openings designating a ing employers to demand older workers, and minimum age within the 16- to 19-year-old age government training and hiring programs. In the opinion of the local offices, the most interval. On the other hand, in 10 areas the offices important reasons for a decrease in the percent were unanimous in reporting that a decrease or of openings for teenagers were discontinuance no change had occurred since June 1966 in the of Youth Employment Service outstations and share of the openings specifying an age mini direct referrals to YOC’s. Other frequently mum of 20 years old or more. Moreover, in mentioned reasons were community agencies seven areas there was corresponding unanimity assuming placement services for youth, employ among the officers to the effect that there was ers’ beliefs that young workers are unstable, either no change or an increase in the percent teenagers getting their own jobs through ave of openings available to teenagers, and in the nues other than the employment service, proportion of openings specifying a minimum younger teenagers lack adequate transporta acceptable age within the 16- to 19-age interval. tion, and decline in demand for seasonal nonIn the remaining areas there were mixed agricultural workers. views among the offices concerning the changes which occurred since June 1966 in the shares of Nonagricultural placements made during June the job openings which fell into the three cate 1969 gories referred to above. In such areas, how ever, only about one-third of the offices indi Around 71,000 nonagricultural placements cated an increase in the proportion of openings were made during June 1969 by the ES offices restricted to applicants 20 years of age or older, the 23 surveyed areas. This is 14 percent of and a like fraction of the offices reported a de in the nonagricultural placements made during crease in the share of openings available to month by all ES offices throughout the teenagers and in the percent of openings speci that country. fying a minimum age within the 16- to 19-age Teenagers got more than one-fourth of the interval. nonagricultural made in the sur Of the offices experiencing a change in total veyed areas. Thisplacements is about the same proportion job openings specifying ages 16-19, total open of teenage applicants in the active file. Slightly ings available to teenagers, or openings for the more than three-fifths of the teenage place 20 years of age or older groups, not one cited ments were received by 18- to 19-year-old the increase in the minimum wage under the youths which is in line with their proportion in FLSA since 1966 as responsible for the change. the active file. Male teenagers fared much bet The reasons given by the local offices for the ter than female teenagers since they received changes in the openings for the above men about three-fifths of the placements but only constituted slightly more than half of the teen tioned groups were somewhat general. The most important reasons cited for the in age applicants. 82 Ltis Angeles made about 25 percent of the total nonagricultural placements in the 23 sur veyed areas, but only 18 percent of its place ments were received by teenagers. The propor tion of placements going to teenagers ranged from about 20 percent in the six areas of Buf falo, Hartford, Los Angeles, Milwaukee, New Orleans, and Salt Lake City to 50 percent in Cleveland. In eight areas the teenage proportion of placements exceeded 30 percent. (See table 5.2.) Most important occupational groups in which teenagers were placed The local offices were asked to rank in order of importance the three most important occupa tional groups in which teenagers were placed. The rank order for both full-time and part-time work was as follows: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Industrial Service, excluding domestic Clerical Sales Domestic service Farming, fishery, forestry, and related occupa tions 7. Professional, technical, managerial Of the 109 offices responding in 21 areas, 70 percent ranked the industrial occupations as most important for the placement of youngsters in full-time jobs. In nine of the areas, local offices were unanimous in their opinion. These areas were Lewiston-Auburn, Detroit, Battle Creek, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Milwaukee, Wich ita, El Paso, Galveston-Texas City, and Seattle. With the exception of one area, at least one of fice in all areas indicated industrial occupations as most important. Salt Lake City was the dis senting area with its one responding office nam ing domestic service occupations as most im portant. (See table 5.3.) Of the 69 offices responding in 19 areas, 48 percent ranked the industrial occupations as the most important for placement of youngsters in part-time jobs during fiscal year 1969. In five of the areas local offices were unanimous in their opinion. The five areas were Lewiston-Auburn, Detroit, Wichita, El Paso, and Galveston-Texas City. (See table 5.4.) Most frequent reasons given by employers for not wanting to hire teenagers as reported by em ployment service local offices F u l l -t im e y ea r -round j o b s . The consensus of local offices in 16 areas reporting on the reasons given by employers for not wanting to hire teenagers 16-19 years of age in year-round full-time employment was that “teenagers lack appropriate training, experience, and/or educa tion for the jobs available.” (See table 5.5.) The minimum wage was cited by only two areas, Baltimore and Nashville. This reason was the fourth most important mentioned in Nashville along with “teenagers are not reliable and/or are immature/’ “high labor turnover for teenagers,” “union contract provisions,” and the “unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages for jobs they are qualified to take.” Although Baltimore reported the minimum wage as being one reason for not hiring 16-19 year-old youngsters, it was considered the least important reason in that area along with “State laws require too much paperwork.” Overall, however, the “unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages usually offered for jobs which are open to them” received a higher ranking than the minimum wage. The second most frequently mentioned reason was “legal restrictions on the hours of work, hazardous work, or other working conditions of teenagers.” Third, and of nearly equal import ance, was “teenagers are not reliable and/or are immature.” “Uncertainty over the draft” was the fourth most important reason—this, of course, was only relevant to boys. No impedi ment to employment was frequently mentioned in specific reference to girls although two areas, Buffalo and Seattle, cited “impending mar riages, including pregnancy” as important. This reason, however, was not considered of prime importance in these two areas. Some other less frequently mentioned reasons for not hiring teenagers included: “high labor turnover among teenagers;” “insurance prob lem s including increased cost of insurance or employers unable to obtain insurance covering teenage employment;” “the high cost of hiring and training teenagers;” “employers prefer 83 more experienced, mature, and/or older per reasons listed on a questionnaire as very impor sons ;” and “the inability of teenagers to work tant ; important; or unimportant, irrelevant, or not true. The consensus was that the level of the regular! hours because of school.” minimum wage has not been an important rea son for the difficulty in placing teenagers in P art -t im e y ea r -round jo b s . The reasons given by employers in 14 areas for not wanting either full-time or part-time jobs. However, the to hire teenagers for part-time year-round level of the minimum wage was considered a jobs were, in declining order of importance, more important deterrent for hiring teenagers “teenagers are not reliable and/or are im in full-time jobs than in part-time. (See tables mature;” “legal restrictions on hours or type of 5.7 to 5.10.) Overall, when compared to the relative im work;” and “teenagers lack training, experi ence, and/or education.” These reasons are the portance given other reasons, the “level of the same as those cited as impediments to full-time minimum wage has caused employers to seek employment except that their rank order of im older, more experienced workers for jobs” rea portance is reversed. “The inability to work son ranked near the bottom for both the 16-17 hours needed by employers because of school or and 18-19-year-olds for full-time jobs and other reasons” was found to be the fourth most about mid-way for part-time jobs. Not one area was of the unanimous opinion that this reason frequently listed reason. (See table 5.6.) As was reported with respect to full-time was very important as a deterrent in placing year-round employment, only a few areas—At 18- to 19-year-old youngsters on full-time or lanta, Baltimore, and Nashville—indicated that part-time jobs. For the 16-17 year-olds, the one the minimum wage was a barrier to employ office reporting in the Salt Lake City area and ment. Baltimore and Nashville stated the mini both offices reporting in the Galveston-Texas mum wage was important although Baltimore City area were of the opinion that the level of placed it in fifth place. As with full-time work, the minimum wage was very important for “teenage unwillingness to accept current wages full-time placements; only the two offices in the for jobs they are qualified to take” received a Galveston-Texas City area were of this opinion much higher ranking overall for part-time than for part-time jobs. did “minimum wage impediments” to their em There was general agreement that for yearployment. round full-time and part-time jobs, two reasons Six areas—Atlanta, Birmingham, Cleveland, rated high in importance for both age groups: Galveston, Oklahoma City, and Seattle—said “employers believe teenagers are not reliable” that the most frequent barrier to teenage em and “high labor turnover among teenagers.” ployment is that they are not reliable and/or However, the most important reason cited for are immature. “Legal restrictions” were given the olds was “legal restrictions on as most important for five areas—Battle Creek, hours16-17-year of work, hazardous work, or other work Buffalo, Detroit, Los Angeles, and Nashville. ing conditions for teenagers”—this was true Two areas, El Paso and Milwaukee, mentioned for both full-time and part-time work. For as most important “teenagers' lack of training, those 18-19 years of age, “uncertainty over the experience, and/or education.” The remaining draft makes employers reluctant to hire teenag area, Baltimore, indicated the leading impedi ment was “teenagers' inability to work hours ers” was the most important reason cited for needed by employers because of school or other full-time jobs; whereas for part-time jobs the reasons.” most important reason was “high labor turn over. . . .” Other reasons given a high rating in import Local office reasons for difficulty in placing ance for the 16-17 year-olds for both full-time teenagers on jobs and part-time jobs were: “employers' hiring specifications with respect to age exclude teen Based on their experience during fiscal year 1969, local offices were asked to rate each of 12 agers,” and “hiring specifications of employers 84 with respect to education and experience are so high that most teenagers are excluded/’ For the 18-19 year-olds, “unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages usually offered for jobs they are qualified to take” and “hiring specifications of employers with respect to education and experi ence . . . ” were other reasons rated high for both full-time and part-time work. Only a few reasons were mentioned by the local offices that did not appear on the question naire. For both the 16-17 and 18-19 year-olds, one office in the Atlanta area was of the opinion that “transportation” was very important and one office in the Cleveland area mentioned “ina bility to pass company tests” as a very impor tant reason for the difficulty in placing teenag ers in both full-time and part-time jobs. Two offices in the Oklahoma City area cited “poor appearance” as very important for both full time and part-time placement, and one office was of the opinion that “immaturity” was very im portant for both age groups but only for full time jobs. In the Los Angeles area, four offices were of the opinion that “lack of child care” and “transportation” were very important for only the 16-17-year-olds for both full-time and parttime jobs. One office in the Buffalo area named “baby-sitting problems” as very important for only the 18-19-year-olds for both full-time and part-time jobs. Effect on employment of lowering minimum wage for teenagers Of 91 offices in 21 areas, 43 percent were of the opinion that employers would hire apprecia bly more 16- to 17 year-old boys and girls if payment of a wage below the Federal minimum were legally possible ($1.60 an hour in most industries and $1.30 an hour in newly covered retail and service industries). However, only 26 percent of the offices believed this to be true for 18- and 19-year-old youths of either sex. (See table 5.11.) In five of the 21 areas local offices (21) were unanimous in their opinion that employers would hire appreciably more 16- to 17-year-old boys and girls under the given circumstances. The five areas were Charlotte, Detroit, Galve ston, New Orleans, and Wichita. Although the offices in four of these five areas persisted in this view regarding the 18- to 19-year-old boys and girls, the 12 offices in the Detroit area took a contrary stand with respect to the older teen agers. The 7 of the 21 areas, local offices (21) were unanimous in their view that a lowering of the Federal minimum wage would not result in the hiring of appreciably more teenagers of either sex or of either age group. These seven areas were Battle Creek, Cleveland, Denver, El Paso, Milwaukee, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Nash ville. Among the offices which thought employers would hire appreciably more teenagers under a lower minimum wage, 90 percent believed that a reduction of less than 40 cents in the mini mum wage would be necessary to achieve this end. Moreover, those offices were about equally divided between 20-39 cents and less than 20 cents as the required reduction. This finding was applicable to 18- to 19-year-old youths, as well as the 16- to 17 year-olds, and was held irrespective of whether the Federal minimum was $1.60 or $1.30 an hour. Within the group of offices which held the view that employers would hire appreciably more teenagers at a lower minimum wage, it was believed that employment of 16-17 yearolds would most likely increase in the following occupational groups which are ranked in order of importance: service (excluding domestic service) sales, clerical, and industrial occupa tions. For the 18-19-year-olds, the offices be lieved that increased employment opportunities would occur most likely in the same four occu pational groups, but there was little distinction in the order of importance of these groups. The other occupational groups, although mentioned by a few offices, were relatively unimportant as a source of increased jobs for either the 16-17 or 18-19 age groups. Offices which believed an appreciable increase in teenage employment would accompany a lowering of the minimum wage, thought that re ta il trade would be the most important indus try as a source of additional teenage employ ment followed closely by the service industry, excluding private households. Wholesale trade 85 and finance, insurance, and real estate was the third most important industry group in this re spect. The manufacturing, construction, all other and government industry groups were mentioned as possibilities by some few local offices but were relatively unimportant as po tential job sources for Teenagers. Government was the least important of all. There was little difference in this industrial pattern between the 16-17 and 18- to 19-year-old age groups. Adverse effects of lowering Federal minimum wage for teenagers on other groups of workers The local offices were asked to respond either “yes” or “no” as to whether or not lowering of the Federal minimum wage for teenagers would in their judgment have an appreciable adverse effect on the hiring of other groups of workers in each of the following seven industry groups: M anufacturing Wholesale trade; finance, insurance, and real estate Retail trade Construction Government Services, except private households All other industries In 5 of the 7 groups, the local offices re sponding were overwhelmingly of the opinion that there would be no appreciable adverse ef fects. Local office opinion was closely divided over two of the seven industrial groups. Of 91 offices responding in 21 areas, 46 percent indi cated that other groups of workers would be adversely affected for full-time hiring in retail trade; 42 percent gave the same response for part-time workers in retail trade. Forty-three percent of the offices indicated that other groups of workers would be adversely affected for full-time hiring in services, excluding pri vate households; 38 percent of the offices gave the same response for part-time hiring in serv ices. (See tables 5.12 and 5.13.) Those offices indicating that lowering the minimum wage would have an adverse effect on full-time hiring of nonteenage persons, indi cated that the occupational groups most likely to be affected would be service (excluding do mestic) and sales, both ranked about equal in importance. Next important, and about equally so, would be the industrial and clerical groups. The hiring of workers in the domestic service, farm, and professional groups would be rela tively unaffected, professional the least affected of all. For part-time hiring, the relative import ance of the other occupational groups affected would be about the same as that for full-time with one exception—farm was ranked last in importance below the professional group. (See tables 5.14 and 5.15.) Local officers indicated that hiring of some groups of individuals, other than teenagers, possessing certain demographic characteristics would likely be more adversely affected than would other groups. The group ranked highest in order of importance of being affected by a lowering of the Federal minimum wage for teenagers was female Negroes 45-64 years of age. Next in importance were Negro men 45-64 years of age, followed in descending order of rank importance by white males 45-64 years of age, white females 45-64 years of age, and Negro males 20-64 years of age. (See table 5.16.) Only a few offices responded that groups other than Negroes and whites would be af fected. These groups were: male and female Mexican-Americans under 65 years of age in the Los Angeles area; Puerto Rican men 25-44 years of age in Hartford, Conn, area, and male and female Cubans 45-64 years of age in the New Orleans area. New applications for work filed during June 1969 About 183,000 applicants filed new applica tions for work during June 1969 at the ES local offices in the 23 areas covered in the survey. This was about 15 percent of 1,237,000 new work applications received during that month at all ES local offices in the United States. Owing to the usual influx of youths into the labor market at this time of the year, teenagers filed about 40 percent, or 71,000, of the new work applications in the 23 surveyed areas dur ing June. Almost 60 percent of these teenager applications were filed by 18- to 19-year-old youths, with the remaining 40 percent being 86 About 404,000 active applications for work were on file at the end of June 1969 in the ES local offices in the 23 surveyed areas. This amounted to about 15 percent of the more than 3 million active work applications on file at the same time in all Employment Service local offices in the Nation. Teenagers constituted about 25 percent, or 103,000, of the applicants with active applica tions on file at the end of June in the 20 re sponding areas. As customary during June, this was considerably smaller than the 40 percent teenage share of the new applications filed dur ing that month. In all other respects, however, the distribution of teenager active applications on file by sex and age was virtually identical to that for the new applications filed by teenagers. Los Angeles, however, had an even larger share of the active applications on file than it had new applications filed—32 percent versus about 25 percent. As in the case of new applica tions filed, however, Los Angeles fell about 10 percentage points under the average for all areas in the proportion of teenagers in the ac tive file. The proportion of teenagers in the ac tive file varied from 15 percent in Los Angles to 53 percent in Minneapolis-St. Paul, but in 13 of the 20 areas reporting this information it was at least 25 percent. (See table 5.18.) 1 The SMSA’s included Los Angeles, Calif.; LewistonAuburn, Maine; Hartford, Conn.; Buffalo, N.Y.; New ark, N .J.; Baltimore, Md.; Atlanta, Ga.; Birmingham, Ala.; Charlotte, N.C.;. Nashville, Tenn.; Cleveland, Ohio; Detroit, Mich.; Milwaukee, Wis.; MinneapolisSt. Paul, Minn.; El Paso, Tex.; Galveston-Texas City, Tex.; New Orleans, La.; Oklahoma City, Okla.; Wichita, Kans.; Denver, Colo.; Salt Lake City, Utah; and Seattle, Wash. The 23 areas surveyed included close to 14.3 million persons, or about 17 percent of the national labor force in June 1969. The average unemployment rate in the 23 areas was 4.0 percent (577,000). This was very close to the national rate of unemployment of 4.1 percent at the time (not seasonally adjusted). A wide variations in the rate of unemployment existed among the areas. It ranged from 2.4 percent in Cleveland to 5.8 percent in New Orleans. (See table 5.1.) filed by 16-17-year olds. Among the male teen agers, however, a slightly greater proportion (45 percent) of the new applications were from 16-17-year olds than from the female teenagers (40 percent). Slightly more than one-half of the teenager applications were filed by males. About 25 percent of all the new applications filed in the 23 surveyed areas, combined, were filed in Los Angles, the largest area surveyed. In that area, however, only 30 percent of the new applications were filed by teenagers. The proportion of new applications filed by teen agers ranged from 27 percent in Seattle to 52 percent in El Paso, but in 15 of the 23 areas it was above 40 percent. (See table 5.17.) Active applications for work on file at the end of June 1969 87 Table 5.1. Estimated work force and unemployment in surveyed areas mid-June 1969 [In thousands] Unemployment Region and Area 1 Work force Number Region 1: Hartford, Conn.................... .......................... Lewiston-Auburn, Maine 2________ ______ Region II: Buffalo, N.Y.................................................... Newark, N.J................................................... Region III: Baltimore, Md.2......... ............ ...................... Region IV: Atlanta, Ga.2___............... ........... ........... . Birmingham, Ala____________ ___ ____ Charlotte, N.C________ ________________ Nashville, Tenn_______________________ Region V: Battle Creek, Mich.2...................... .............. . Cleveland, Ohio 2........................................... Detroit, Mich.2________________________ Milwaukee, Wis.2_________ ______ ______ Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.............. ............ Region V I: El Paso, Tex.2_________________________ Galveston-Texas City, Tex.2........................... New Orleans, La______ ______ ________ Oklahoma City, Okla.................................... Region VII: Wichita, Kans________________________ _ Region VIII: Denver, Colo____________ ___________ Salt Lake City, Utah___________ ________ Region IX: Los Angeles, Calif.2......... ............................. Region X : Seattle, Wash............... ................................. Rate 358.7 33.6 13.3 1.9 3.7 5.7 573.2 913.4 21.9 38.7 3.8 4.2 908.3 21.8 13.8 29.7 3.3 8.9 8.3 3.3 4.6 4.3 3.2 69.9 968.5 1,715.7 640.2 863.9 3.4 23.6 82.0 22.5 4.9 2.4 4.8 3.5 123.3 61.6 436.5 291.4 5.9 3.2 25.4 11.5 4.8 5.2 5.8 3.9 171.5 529.1 217.6 22.2 11.1 4.2 5.1 3,346.5 150.7 4.5 674.5 25.8 3.8 669.2 302.8 205.8 258.0 22.6 2.6 4.9 8.4 1 2 The Roman numerals I through X designate the regional subdivisions of the country through which the Department of Labor administers its programs. Areas also covered by BLS employer study. Table 5.2. Nonagricultural placements made during June 1969, by employment service local offices in selected areas Total nonagricultural placements Female Both sexes Region and Area 1. II. III. IV. V. VI. VII. VIII. IX . X. Hartford, Conn.............................................. ...................................... .................... ............... Lewiston-Auburn, Maine............................................................. ...................... ................ Buffalo, N.Y..................................................................................................... ......................... Newark, N.J..................................... ............. ............................... ...................................... Baltimore, Md________________ ______ ____ ______ ______ ___________________ Atlanta, Ga____________ ______ _____________ ______________________________ Birmingham, Ala.................................................................................................................... Charlotte, N.C............................................... .................... ...................................................... Nashville, Tenn________________ ___________________________________________ Battle Creek, Mich______ _________________________________________________ Cleveland, Ohio.......................................... ............................. .......................................... Detroit, Mich______________________ _____ ______ _____ _____________ ________ Milwaukee, Wis_____________ _____ ____ _____ _______________________________ Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn_____ _____________ ____ ______ __________ ______ El Paso, Tex________________________________________ ______________ _______ Galveston-Texas City, Tex_____ ______________________ ______ ____________ _ New Orleans, La......................................................................................................... ........... Oklahoma City, Okla_____ _________________________________________________ Wichita, Kans_______________________________________________ ______________ Denver, Colo_____ _____ _________________________________________ ______ Salt Lake City, Utah_______ ________________________________________________ Los Angeles, Calif__________ ______________________ ________________________ Seattle, Wash.............................................. ............... ............................................................. Total, all areas..................................................................................... ...................... i Information not available. Total All ages Teenagers 1,143 295 2,800 3,906 3,686 3,709 1,752 925 1,543 271 3,239 5,531 1,284 3,961 2,353 816 2,480 4,022 1,369 5,188 1,486 18,278 1,078 71,115 202 100 531 907 1,359 1,427 589 331 392 118 1,618 1,268 226 1,657 661 177 459 1,175 316 1,501 268 3,249 250 18,781 16-17 years 54 28 146 254 413 675 162 144 124 47 866 189 76 714 349 43 57 652 O) 522 0) 1,047 68 6,630 18-19 years 148 72 385 653 946 752 427 187 268 71 752 1,079 150 943 312 134 402 523 0) 979 0) 2,202 182 11,567 Total All ages Teenagers 422 106 1,528 2,327 1,672 1,802 795 413 518 121 1,197 2,399 486 1,729 1,310 325 972 1,355 361 1,411 408 7,166 372 2 28,834 83 44 186 415 595 602 194 134 169 48 711 429 86 858 233 45 164 533 0) 408 73 1,263 87 7,360 16-17 years 26 11 48 115 182 263 51 59 45 15 383 66 32 369 97 9 30 300 0) 142 0) 457 18 2,718 18-19 years 57 33 138 300 413 339 143 75 124 33 328 363 54 489 136 36 134 233 72 266 0) 806 69 4,641 2To preserve comparability with female "Teenagers" column, "Total, all ages" does not include figures for the Wichita area for which teenager data were not reported. 88 Table 5.3. Rank importance of the\ occupational group in which teenagers were placed in full-time year-round jobs most frequently during fiscal year 1969, by employment service local offices [Rating scale: Most important = 3; second most important = 2; third most important = 1 ]1 Table 5.4. Rank importance of the occupational group in which teenagers were placed in part-time year-round jobs most frequently during fiscal year 1969, by employment service local offices [Rating scale: Most important = 3; second most important = 2 ; third most important = 1] 89 Table 5.5. Rank importance of most frequent reasons given by employers for not hiring teenagers in full-time yearround jobs as reported by employment service local offices [Ranking scale: First rank = 3; second rank = 2; third rank = 1] V. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10 11.. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21 22.. 0.00 1.10 0.73 0.10 0.00 0.18 0.00 1.08 0.34 1.36 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.30 2.73 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.0.0011 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.05 0.27 0.0.0401 0.18 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.07 0.16 0.08 Battle Creek, Mich. Nashville, Tenn. Birmingham, Ala. 0.40 2.00 0.00 1.00 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.29 0.20 0.00 1.50 3.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.57 0.60 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.43 2.00 2.00 0.50 2.00 0.71 0.60 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 1.29 1.20 1.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.92 1.33 0.33 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.33 2.25 2.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 1.67 0.33 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.33 2.00 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.67 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 Los Angles, Calif. 0.04 0.86 X. Oklahoma City, Okla. El Paso, Tex. 0.73 Atlanta, Ga. 0.93 Baltimore, Md. reluctant to hire teenagers.................. .......... Level of the minimum wage has caused em ployers to seek older, more experienced workers for jobs_______________________ Legal restrictions on hours of work, hazard ous work, or other working conditions, for teenagers__________ __________________ Unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages usually offered for jobs they are qualified to take______________________________ Employer fear of higher cost of workmen’s compensation, other insurance, or insurance not covering teenagers____________ _____ Employers believe teenagers are not reliable and/or are im m ature._______ _________ High labor turnover among teenagers........ . State laws require too much paper work such as work permits_______________________ High cost of hiring and training teenagers... Union contract provisions....... ............ .......... Teenagers lack training, experience, and/or education______________________ _____ _ Teenagers lack transportation to jobs______ Unwillingness of teenagers to accept jobs within their skill range__________________ Physical requirements____ _____________ Teenagers are more subject to injury on the job__________________________ _____ Impending marriages, including pregnancy.. Teenagers show lack of initiative_________ Teenagers have too much absenteeism____ Employers prefer more experienced, mature, or older persons_______________________ Teenager's inability to work hours needed for jobs because of school or other reasons____ Inappropriate teenage dress........ .......... ....... Productivity vs. cost____________________ ^ Buffalo, N.Y. Average, all areas 1. Uncertainty over the draft makes employers 2. IX. New Orleans, La. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn. 0.50 Reason Galveston-Texas City, Tex. Milwaukee, Wis. VI. Detroit, Mich. IV. III. Cleveland, Ohio II. Seattle, Wash. Region and area 1.25 0.60 0.75 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.25 3.00 0.25 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.80 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.75 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.75 1.75 0.50 0.63 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.25 0.50 0.63 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90 Table 5.6. Rank importance of most frequent reasons given by employers for not hiring teenagers in part-time yearround jobs as reported by employment service local offices [Ranking scale: First rank = 3; second rank = 2; third rank = 1] Region and area 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 89.. 10 . 11 . 12 . 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21 22.. 23. teenagers_________________________________________ Level of the minimum wage has caused employers to seek older, more experienced workers for jobs........................ . Legal restrictions on hours of work, hazardous work, or other working conditions for teenagers_________________ Unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages usually offered for jobs they are qualified to take_____________________ Employers hiring specifications with respect to age exclude teenagers_________________________________________ Employer fear of higher cost of workmen's compensation, other insurance, or insurance not covering teenagers........... Employers believe teenagers are not reliable and/or are immature_________________________________________ High labor turnover among teenagers________ __________ State laws require too much paper work such as work permits__________________________________________ High cost of hiring and training teenagers_______________ Union contract provisions___ ____ ____________________ Teenagers lack training, experience, and/or education____ Teenagers lack transportation to jobs-----------------------------------Unwillingness of teenagers to accept jobs within their skill range____________________________________________ Physical requirements______________________________ Impending marriages, including pregnancy______________ Teenagers show lack of initiative_______________ ______ Teenagers have too much absenteeism_________________ Employers prefer more experienced, mature, or older persons__________________________________________ Teenagers’ inability to work hours needed for jobs because of school or other reasons__________________ ________ _ Inappropriate teenage dress____________________ ______ Productivity vs. cost________________________________ Minimum wage has caused employers to hire older youth in preference to 16-18 year olds________________________ 24. Available supply of older, part-time workers____________ 25. Scarcity of part-time jobs___________________ ____ ___ 0.28 0.06 1.12 0.26 0.08 0.26 1.62 0.26 0.15 0.17 0.06 0.70 0.08 0.0.0011 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.07 0.53 0.02 0.07 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.60 0.40 1.80 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 1.50 3.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 2.00 0.50 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.50 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 El Paso, Tex. Milwaukee, Wis. Detroit, Mich. Cleveland, Ohio Battle Creek, Mich. Nashville, Tenn. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.33 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 Birmingham, Ala. 0.22 0.00 1.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.00 1.11 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.00 Atlanta, Ga. Baltimore, Md. 1. Uncertainty over the draft makes employers reluctant to hire Buffalo, N.Y. Average, all areas Reason 2. IX. VI. 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25 2.00 1.33 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.33 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.75 1.67 1.00 0.00 3.00 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.17 2.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 1.25 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.50 X. Seattle, Wash. V. Los Angeles, Calif. IV. Oklahoma City, Okla. III. Galveston-Texas City, Tex. II. 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.13 0.75 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.25 0.00 3.00 0.63 2.00 1.20 0.75 0.50 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 91 Table 5.7. Rank importance of reasons for difficulty in placing teenagers 16-17 years of age on full-time year-round jobs based on local office experience during fiscal year 1969 [Rating scale: Very important = 3; important = 2; unimportant, irrelevant, or not true = 1] Region and area 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12 makes employers reluctant to hire teenagers__________ Level of the minimum wage has caused employers to seek older, mere experienced workers for jobs.......... .......... Legal restrictions on hours of work, hazardous work, or other working conditions for teenagers________________ Unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages usually offered for jobs they are qualified to take___________ Hiring specifications of em ployers with respect to edu cation and experience are so high that most teenagers are excluded_________________ Employers' hiring specifica tions with respect to age exclude teenagers_________ Employer fear of higher cost of workmen’s compensation and other insurance when teenagers are employed____ Employers believe teenagers are not reliable__________ High labor turnover among teenagers________________ State laws require too much paper work such as work permits___________ . . . High cost of hiring and train ing teenagers_______ _____ Union contract provisions___ IX. Salt Lake City, Utah VIII. Denver, Colo. Wichita, Kans. Detroit, Mich. 2.50 Cleveland, Ohio 1.80 Battle Creek, Mich. 1.25 Nashville, Tenn. 1.40 1 Baltimore, Md. Newark, N.J. Birmingham, Ala. 2. Atlanta, Ga. 1. Uncertainty over the draft Buffalo, N.Y. | Average, all areas Reason VII. | Oklahoma City, Okla. VI. El Paso, Tex. V. Galveston-Texas City, Tex. IV. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn. III. II. X. i t I 3 i 1.77 1.20 1.00 1.29 1.80 2.00 2.00 2.75 2.90 3.00 2.14 2.80 2.50 1.79 1.50 1.00 1.71 1.80 1.50 1.00 1.00 1.40 1.00 1.00 3.00 2.00 1.20 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.75 2.00 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 1.40 2.00 1.00 3.00 1.62 1.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 2.83 2.67 3.00 2.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 2.00 2.87 2.80 1.75 1.00 2.20 2.25 1.00 2.00 2.00 1.80 2.00 3.00 2.00 1.50 2.20 2.75 2.00 1.32 2.19 2.20 3.00 1.86 2.20 2.21 2.00 2.00 2.60 2.00 1.00 2.14 1.60 2.54 2.40 3.00 2.29 2.60 2.50 2.31 2.30 3.00 2.29 2.40 1.75 2.28 2.44 1.85 1.65 1.63 2.20 2.00 1.29 1.80 1.80 1.00 2.00 2.40 1.20 1.00 1.43 2.20 2.50 2.50 1.50 1.75 1.50 2.00 2.20 2.00 2.00 1.00 2.40 3.00 2.75 3.00 3.00 2.67 2.00 2.00 1.80 3.00 2.75 3.00 1.80 3.00 3.00 3.00 1.00 2.40 3.00 2.25 1.00 3.00 2.25 2.00 3.00 3.00 2.60 3.00 2.25 1.00 2.80 2.17 1.33 3.00 2.00 2.60 2.00 1.50 2.00 1.80 2.75 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.20 2.00 1.75 1.00 2.20 1.00 1.33 2.00 1.00 1.60 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.60 1.58 1.00 1.00 2.00 1.40 3.00 3.00 3.00 1.00 3.00 2.37 3.00 3.00 2.25 2.20 2.00 1.00 2.00 2.50 1.80 3.00 3.00 2.37 2.40 3.00 3.00 2.37 2.40 2.00 2.00 1.00 2.00 3.06 1.00 1.87 1.87 2.37 2.20 2.00 2.00 92 Table 5.8. Rank importance of reasons for difficulty in placing teenagers 18-19 years of age on full-time year-round jobs based on local office experience during fiscal year 1969 [Rating scale: Very important = 3; important = 2; unimportant, irrelevant, or not true = 1] IV. VI. Nashville, Tenn. Battle Creek, Mich. Cleveland, Ohio Detroit, Mich. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn. El Paso, Tex. Galveston-Texas City, Tex. Wichita, Kans. Denver, Colo. Salt Lake City, Utah Los Angeles, Calif. 1.00 2.43 2.20 3.00 2.50 2.00 2.80 2.00 2.00 3.00 3.00 2.60 3.00 3.00 2.00 2.25 2.40 1.54 1.36 1.00 1.29 1.60 2.00 2.25 1.00 1.80 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 1.40 2.00 2.00 2.00 1.75 1.20 1.41 1.73 2.00 1.29 1.20 1.50 2.00 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.40 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.62 1.40 2.10 1.91 1.00 2.00 2.20 1.50 2.25 2.00 2.60 2.25 2.33 2.00 3.00 2.20 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.25 2.40 1.95 2.09 3.00 1.57 1.80 1.00 2.00 1.00 2.20 1.83 1.67 2.00 2.00 2.40 2.00 3.00 2.00 2.12 1.40 1.56 1.82 1.00 1.14 1.20 1.25 1.75 2.00 1.80 1.75 1.33 2.00 1.00 1.20 2.00 1.50 2.00 1.50 1.80 | Oklahoma City, Okla. 1 Birmingham, Ala. X. Atlanta, Ga. IX. 2.54 ! Average, all areas VIII. 2.44 Reason 1. Uncertainty over the draft makes employers reluctant to hire teenagers.. _____ 2. Level of the minimum wage has caused employers to seek older, more experienced workers for jobs___________ 3. Legal restrictions on hours of work, hazardous work, or other working conditions for teenagers________________ 4. Unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages usually offered for jobs they are qualified to take________ _ 5. Hiring specifications of em ployers with respect to edu cation and experience are so high that most teenagers are excluded_________ ____ 6. Employers' hiring specifica tions with respect to age exclude teenagers_________ 7. Employer fear of higher cost of workmen's compensation and other insurance when teenagers are employed____ 8. Employers believe teenagers are not reliable. __ _______ 9. High labor turnover among teenagers________________ 10. State laws require too much paper work such as work permits___ ____________ 11. High cost of hiring and train ing teenagers ____________ 12. Union contract provisions___ VII. Baltimore, Md. V. Newark, N.J. III. Buffalo, N.Y. II. Seattle, Wash. Region and area 1.59 1.45 1.00 1.29 1.20 2.25 1.75 1.00 1.80 1.17 1.33 2.00 1.00 1.80 3.00 3.00 1.00 1.62 1.00 2.10 2.09 3.00 1.86 2.00 2.00 2.00 1.00 2.80 1.00 1.33 2.00 2.00 2.80 3.00 3.00 2.00 2.12 1.80 2.14 2.27 3.00 2.00 2.00 1.75 2.00 1.00 2.60 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.60 2.00 2.00 3.00 2.12 2.20 1.07 1.09 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.20 1.00 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.20 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.20 1.58 1.40 2.00 1.36 1.00 1.00 1.57 1.14 1.40 1.20 1.50 1.25 1.75 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.20 1.40 1.00 1.25 1.33 1.33 2.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 1.80 1.00 2.00 2.00 2.50 3.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 1.62 1.40 1.60 93 Table 5.9. Rank importance of reasons for difficulty in placing teenagers 16-17 years of age on part-time year-round jobs based on local office experience during fiscal year 1969 [Rating scale: Very important = 3; important = 2; unimportant, irrelevant, or not true = 1] IV. Birmingham, Ala. Nashville, Tenn. Battle Creek, Mich. Cleveland, Ohio Detroit, Mich. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn. El Paso, Tex. Galveston-Texas City, Tex. Oklahoma City, Okla. Wichita, Kans. Denver, Colo. Salt Lake City, Utah Los Angeles, Calif. X. Atlanta, Ga. IX. Baltimore, Md. VIII. 1.25 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.66 2.12 1.00 2.00 1.60 1.75 2.00 2.00 1.75 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 1.40 2.00 1.50 2.00 2.75 1.00 2.71 3.00 2.00 2.67 2.80 2.50 3.00 3.00 3.00 2.75 2.67 3.00 2.00 2.80 3.00 3.00 2.00 2.87 2.80 1.64 1.25 1.00 1.33 1.80 1.50 1.33 1.00 2.00 2.00 1.00 2.00 2.00 1.60 2.00 3.00 1.00 1.50 2.20 1.96 1.50 3.00 1.33 1.80 2.25 2.33 3.00 1.75 3.00 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.40 3.00 1.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.23 2.50 2.00 1.67 2.60 2.25 2.00 3.00 2.00 3.00 2.33 2.00 2.00 1.80 2.00 3.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.09 1.75 1.00 2.33 1.60 2.25 2.67 3.00 2.00 3.00 2.67 2.00 1.00 2.40 3.00 1.00 2.00 2.50 1.40 2.30 2.25 3.00 2.00 2.60 2.25 1.67 1.00 2.75 2.17 2.00 2.00 3.00 2.40 2.00 3.00 3.00 2.12 2.20 2.22 2.12 3.00 2.00 2.20 1.75 1.67 1.00 2.75 2.17 1.33 3.00 2.00 2.40 2.00 3.00 3.00 2.25 2.40 1.59 2.00 2.00 1.33 1.80 1.00 1.00 2.00 1.75 2.83 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.20 2.00 1.00 2.00 1.75 2.00 1.57 1.72 1.37 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.67 1.67 2.20 1.80 1.50 1.50 1.67 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.25 1.25 1.00 1.58 1.33 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 1.60 1.40 2.00 3.00 1.00 3.00 2.00 O) 1.87 2.12 1.80 2.00 i 1 i Data not reported. VII. 1.18 Reason 1. Uncertainty over the draft makes employers reluctant to hire teenagers__________ 2. Level of the minimum wage has caused employers to seek older, more experienced workers for jobs................. 3. Legal restrictions on hours of work, hazardous work, or other working conditions for teenagers_____ ___________ 4. Unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages usually offered for jobs they are qualified to take___ _______ 5. Hiring specifications of em ployers with respect to edu cation and experience are so high that most teenagers are excluded_________________ 6. Employers’ hiring specifica tions with respect to age exclude teenagers_________ 7. Employer fear of higher cost of workmen's compensation and other insurance when teenagers are employed____ 8. Employers believe teenagers are not reliable..................... . 9. High labor turnover among teenagers,.............................. 10. State laws require too much paper work such as work permits. ____ ___________ 11. High cost of hiring and train ing teenagers...... ............ ....... 12. Union contract provisions___ VI. Newark, N.J. V. Buffalo, N.Y. III. Average, all areas II. Seattle, Wash. Region and area 94 Table 5.10. Rank importance of reasons for difficulty in placing teenagers 18-19 years of age on part-time year-round jobs based on local office experience during fiscal year 1969 [Rating scale: Very important — 3; important = 2; unimportant, irrelevant, or not true = 1] II. V. IV. VI. VII. VIII. IX. X. Oklahoma City, Okla. Wichita, Kans. ^ Denver, Colo. ^ Salt Lake City, Utah Los Angeles, Calif. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Data not reported. ! Galveston-Texas City, Tex. Detroit, Mich. 1.00 1.67 1.40 1.00 1.33 2.00 2.00 1.00 1.33 3.00 1.00 1.40 2.00 1.50 1.00 1.50 1.00 1.52 1.33 1.00 1.33 1.40 1.25 2.67 1.00 1.75 1.00 1.33 1.00 2.00 1.40 2.00 2.00 2.00 1.75 1.20 1.45 1.89 2.00 1.33 1.20 1.25 3.00 1.00 2.25 1.00 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.20 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.40 1.87 1.56 1.00 1.67 2.20 1.75 1.67 2.00 2.50 2.00 1.33 2.00 2.00 1.80 2.00 2.00 2.00 1.87 2.40 1.54 1.44 3.00 1.33 1.60 1.00 2.33 1.00 2.00 1.75 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.40 2.00 2.00 1.00 1.75 1.20 1.47 1.67 1.00 1.00 1.20 1.00 2.67 2.00 1.75 1.75 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.20 2.00 1.00 2.00 1.37 1.60 El Paso, Tex. Cleveland, Ohio 1.56 ^ Battle Creek, Mich. i Nashville, Tenn. 2. Uncertainty over the draft makes employers reluctant to hire teenagers__________ Level of the minimum wage has caused employers to seek older, more experienced workers for jobs___________ Legal restrictions on hours of work, hazardous work, or other working conditions for teenagers________________ Unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages usually offered for jobs they are qualified to take___________ Hiring specifications of em ployers with respect to edu cation and experience are so high that most teenagers are excluded_________________ Employers' hiring specifica tions with respect to age exclude teenagers________ Employer fear of higher cost of workmen’s compensation and other insurance when teenagers are employed____ Employers believe teenagers are not reliable___________ High labor turnover among teenagers______ __________ State laws require too much paper work such as work permits_________________ High cost of hiring and train ing teenagers_____________ Union contract provisions___ Atlanta, Ga. ' Birmingham, Ala. 1. * Baltimore, Md. | Newark, N.J. 1.48 ' Average, all areas Buffalo, N.Y. Reason * Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn. | III. Seattle, Wash. Region and area 1.48 1.44 1.00 1.33 1.20 2.00 2.00 1.00 2.00 1.25 1.33 2.00 1.00 1.60 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.50 1.50 1.95 2.00 3.00 1.67 2.00 2.00 1.67 1.00 2.75 1.00 1.33 1.00 2.00 2.40 3.00 3.00 2.00 1.75 1.60 2.01 2.00 3.00 1.67 1.80 1.75 1.33 1.00 2.75 2.00 1.33 2.00 2.00 2.40 2.00 3.00 2.00 2.00 2.20 1.05 1.11 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.20 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.00 1.41 1.38 1.67 1.22 1.00 1.00 1.33 1.67 1.20 1.20 1.25 1.25 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.25 1.25 1.00 1.25 1.33 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.60 1.00 2.00 2.00 0.50 3.00 2.00 O) 2.00 1.75 1.20 1.60 95 Table 5.11. Employment service local offices expressing the view that employers in their areas would hire appre ciably 1 more teenagers than they now do if it were legally possible to pay teenagers a wage below the Federal minimum wage Number of local offices responding Expressing view thaU employers would hirtr appreciably more teenagers Total 18-19 years old 16-17 years old Male Female Male Female Total, all areas.............................. 91 39 39 24 1. Hartford, Conn......................................... Lewiston-Auburn, Maine.................... . II. Buffalo, N.Y.......................................................... Newark, N J ............................................. III. Baltimore, Md.......................................... IV. Atlanta, Ga............................................... Birmingham, Ala...................................... Charlotte, N.C.......................................... Nashville, Tenn........................................ V. Battle Creek, Mich................................... Cleveland, Ohio....... ............................... Detroit, Mich............................................ Milwaukee, Wis........................................ Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn..................... VI. El Paso, Tex............................................. Galveston-Texas City, Tex....................... New Orleans, La..................................... Oklahoma City, Okla________________ VII. Wichita, Kans................... ....................... VIII. Denver, Colo........................................ Salt Lake City, Utah................................ IX. Los Angeles, Calif.................................... X. Seattle, Wash........................................... 5 1 1 1 1 5 6 5 6 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 <2) 10 <2) 7 4 4 2 4 1 5 12 3 3 3 2 4 5 1 2 1 8 5 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 2 1 2 2 4 1 1 2 4 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 3 3 1 3 1 23 0 1Appreciably was defined as meaning an increase of more than 3 percent in the num ber of teenagers hired during the past year. 2 Information not available. Table 5.12. Number of employment service local offices indicating that a lower Federal minimum wage would have an appreciably adverse effect on the full-time hiring of other groups of workers, by industrial groups Number of local offices indicating adverse effect by industry Region and area Total, all areas_____________ 1. Hartford, Conn.............. ...................... II. Buffalo, N.Y_________ ____________ Newark, N.J___ _____ ____________ III. Baltimore, Md_______ ____________ IV. Atlanta, G a .......................................... Birmingham, Ala................................... Charlotte, N.C....................................... Nashville, Tenn..................................... V. Battle Creek, Mich................................ Cleveland, Ohio..................................... Detroit, Mich......................................... Milwaukee, Wis..................................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn................. VI. El Paso, Tex.......................................... Galveston-Texas City, Tex.................... Oklahoma City, Okla............................. VII. Wichita, Kans........................................ VIII. Denver, Colo......................................... Salt Lake City, Utah............................. IX. Los Angeles, Calif................................. X. Seattle, Wash........................................ 1 Failed to respond. Total number of local offices responding 91 4 11 2 7 6 4 2 4 1 5 12 3 3 3 2 5 1 2 1 8 5 Wholesale Manufacturing trade; finance, insurance and real estate 11 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 2 0 20 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Retail trade 42 3 8 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 2 5 1 0 1 5 1 Construction 6 (i) 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 Government 17 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Services except private households 39 3 7 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 2 1 1 2 1 5 1 All other industries € 1 C C cc c 1 cc cc( ( ( ( ] 1 ( ( ( 96 Table 5.13. Number of employment service local offices indicating that a lower Federal minimum wage would have an appreciably adverse effect on the part-time hiring of other groups of workers, by industrial groups Number of local offices indicating adverse effect by industry Region and area Total number of local offices responding Total, all areas........................... • 1. Hartford, Conn...................................... W II. Buffalo, N.Y.......................................... Newark, N J .......................................... III. Baltimore, Md....................................... IV. Atlanta, Ga............................................ Birmingham, Ala.................................. Charlotte, N.C....................................... Nashville, Tenn..................................... V. Battle Creek, Mich................................ Cleveland, Ohio..................................... Detroit, Mich......................................... Milwaukee, Wis................................. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn................. VI. El Paso, Tex............... ........................... Galveston-Texas City, Tex................ Oklahoma City, Okla______________ VII. Wichita, Kans____________________ VIII. Denver, Colo____ ________ _______ _ Salt Lake City, Utah_______________ IX. Los Angeles, Calif________________ X. Seattle, Wash____________________ Wholesale Manufacturing trade; finance, insurance and real estate 91 4 11 2 7 6 4 2 4 1 5 12 3 3 3 2 5 1 2 1 8 5 9 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 2 0 Retail trade 20 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 Construction 38 3 5 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 2 5 1 1 0 5 1 6 0) Services except private households Government 16 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 All other industries 35 3 4 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 2 1 1 2 1 5 1 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 Failed to respond. Table 5.14. Rank importance of the occupational groups in which hiring of other groups of workers for full-time yearround jobs would be adversely affected by lowering minimu m wage for teenagers as reported by employment service local offices [Ranking scale: First rank = 3; second rank = 2; third rank = 1] Region and area IV VIII Newark, N J. Birmingham, Ala. Charlotte, N.C. Detroit, Mich. Galveston-Texas City, Tex. New Orleans, La. Wichita, Kans. Denver, Colo. Salt Lake City, Utah Los Angeles, Calif. IX Buffalo, N.Y. VII 0.03 0.81 1.85 0.34 1.86 0.08 0.87 0.00 1.42 2.50 0.00 1.75 0.33 0.00 0.00 1.50 2.00 0.60 0.90 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 1.00 3.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 1.17 1.00 0.67 1.50 0.67 0.67 0.00 1.00 3.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 2.00 3.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 0.00 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.40 2.50 0.20 1.50 0.00 0.20 Occupational group Professional, technical, managerial______________________________ Clerical____________________________________ _____________ Sales__________________________ _____ ___________ ________ Domestic service___________________ __________________________ Service, excluding domestic___________________________________ Farming, fishery, forestry, and related occupations_________________ Industrial___________________________________________________ VI Hartford, Conn. V Average, all areas II X Seattle, Wash. 1 0.00 0.00 2.00 1.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 97 Table 5.15. Rank importance of the occupational groups in which hiring of other groups of workers for part-time year-round jobs would be adversely affected by lowering minimum wage for teenagers as reported by employment service local offices [Ranking scale: First rank = 3; second rank = 2; third rank = 1] Region and area IX Newark, N J. Charlotte, N.C. Detroit, Mich. Galveston-Texas City, Tex. Wichita, Hans. Denver, Colo. Salt Lake City, Utah Los Angeles, Calif. VIII Buffalo, N.Y. VII 0.21 0.55 1.69 0.36 2.02 0.09 0.89 0.00 1.42 2.50 0.00 1.75 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.87 1.87 1.00 1.37 0.00 0.87 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 2.29 0.14 1.00 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.00 1.00 3.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 0.00 2.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.67 2.25 0.33 2.00 0.00 0.75 Occupational group Professional, technical, managerial_______ _____ _______________ _________ ____ Clerical________________________________________________ ____ ___________ Sales____ __________________ ___________________ _______ ______________ Domestic service__________________ ________________________ _________ Service, excluding domestic_______ _____________ _______ __________________ Farming, fishery, forestry, and related occupations______________________________ Industrial_______ ____________________________________________ ______ VI Hartford, Conn. V X Seattle, Wash. IV II Average, all areas 1 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 Table 5.16. Rank importance of the sex, age, and race combinations of other workers who would be most adversely affected by lowering minimum wage for teenagers as reported by employment service local offices [Rating scale: First rank = 3; second rank = 2; third rank = 1] Males Average, all areas_____________________ 1. Hartford, Conn_____________________________ II. Buffalo, N .Y.___ __________________________ Newark, N J ___________ _______ ________ IV. Atlanta, Ga_____ ____________________ ___ Birmingham, Ala_____ ______________________ V. Detroit, Mich___________________ ________ VI Galveston-Texas City, Tex____________________ Oklahoma City, Okla________________________ VIII. Denver, Colo_____ _______________________ Salt Lake City, Utah_________________________ IX. Los Angeles, Calif__________________________ X. Seattle, Wash______________________________ White, by age group Negro, by age group White, by age group Negro, by age group 20-24 25-44 45-64 65+ 20-24 25-44 45-64 65+ 20-24 25-44 45-64 65+ 20-24 25-44 45-64 65+ 0.10 0.60 0.20 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.56 1.20 0.50 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.83 0.00 0.13 0.60 0.60 0.09 0.92 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.60 0.50 2.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.67 0.30 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.85 0.00 0.30 0.00 0.75 2.00 3.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 3.00 0.17 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.02 0.06 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.66 0.41 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.40 1.10 0.60 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 1.50 2.00 0.18 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.80 0.20 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.33 0.75 0.75 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 ;§§§: Region and area Females 0. 0. 0. 0.00 0.00 98 Table 5.17. New applications for work filed during June IM S at employment service local offices in selected areas New appMntttews Both sexes Female Region and area Total 16-17 years All ages Total, all areas____ ________ _______________ 1. Hartford, Conn__ _______________________________ Lewiston-Auburn, Maine_________________________ II. Buffalo, N.Y____________________ _____ __________ Newark, N.J_______________ ____ ______________ III. Baltimore, Md_________________________________ IV. Atlanta, Ga____________________________________ Birmingham, Ala_____________________________ Charlotte, N.C__________________________________ Nashville, Tenn_________________________________ V. Battle Creek, Mich___ _ _ _____________ _______ Cleveland, Ohio________________________________ Detroit, Mich___________________________________ Milwaukee, Wis_________________________________ Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn________________________ VI. El Paso, Texas_______ __ _ ___ ____________ ___ Galveston-Texas City, Tex___ _ ________ _ _______ New Orleans, La.. _____________________________ Oklahoma City, Okla_______ _______ __________ VII. Wichita, Kans___________________________________ VIII. Denver, Colo____________________________________ Salt Lake City, Utah______________________________ IX. Los Angeles, Calif__________ _____________________ X. Seattle, Wash__________________________________ Teenagers 182,87$ 5,117 657 6,737 9,777 13,862 6,471 2,441 2,968 914 6,161 26,423 5,*6 12,144 3,721 2,076 5,292 4,713 2,488 16,232 3,533 42,278 6,772 16-17 years AM ages 78,982 2,496 321 3,663 2,806 8,838 2,614 2,788 982 1,476 %,m Total 11-19 years 3,546 6,138 2,393 5,118 1,132 29,786 1,559 221 1,408 1,294 3,715 1,158 1,296 489 817 138 1,702 1,577 1,351 1,874 1,065 1.630 2,243 1,913 4,692 l,32l 13,677 1,849 1,291 (o 1,079 (O 6,711 588 m m m m 38,909 848 100 1,654 1,601 3,115 1,464 1,488 ‘ 413 659 264 1,844 5,361 1,042 3,935 177 477 1,424 912 (0 3,613 0) 6,367 1,288 18-19 years Teenagers 33,640 1,20$ 153 1,553 1,444 3,631 1,506 1,296 433 660 185 1,709 3,449 1,138 2,526 777 393 972 1,237 319 1,942 <9 6,182 946 86,981 2,787 317 3,238 4,788 16,564 3,771 3,138 1,237 1,486 3*8 3,214 9,202 2,430 4,812 1,544 815 2,744 2,334 1,062 4,234 1,614 18,548 2,888 14,016 771 98 695 636 1,860 686 547 225 330 45 803 799 645 808 388 171 129 522 0) 446 (0 3,135 277 19,698 435 55 858 808 1,771 820 749 208 330 140 906 2,641 485 1,718 389 222 833 715 (0 1,496 403 3,047 669 1 Information not available. Table 5.18. Active applications f*r work en file at the eiHl ef Jwie 1SSI at eiffeyiMwt service lecal offices in selected areas Art* Mi Beth 9**M Region and area Female Total AM ages Total, all areas____________________________ i. ii. m i. IV. v. VI. VII. V III. IX. X. Hartford, Conn_________ ______________ ______ Lewiston-Auburn, Maine___________ _ _______ Buffalo, N.Y____________________________________ Newark, N.J________ __ _ ___ _ ___ ________ _ Baltimore, Md____________ ____________________ Atlanta, Ga_________________ __________________ Birmingham, Ala________________________ ________ Charlotte, N.C____________ _____ ______ __________ Nashville, Tenn_____________ _____ _____ _________ Battle Creek, Mich_________ _______ ________ _____ Cleveland, Ohio... _______________ _____________ Detroit, Mich______________ _____________________ Milwaukee, Wis_________________ ______________ Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn_______________________ El Paso, Tex______________ __________________ Galveston-Texas City, Tex.. _ _ ________________ New Orleans, La .________ ____________________ Oklahoma City, Okla____ _ _______ ______ Wichita, Kans_______ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Denver, Colo_________ _____ ________ _________ Salt Lake City, Utah______ __ _______ _______ _ Los Angeles, Calif_______________________ ______ Seattle, Wash___ _______ __________________ Teenagers Tetsl 18-11 years AM ag»s Teenagers 16-17 years 18-19 years 2404,380 188,448 44,186 57,«4 2 181,763 56,649 21,474 28,375 10,284 2,948 16,819 36,217 31,421 13,759 18,929 5,589 4,771 1,978 16,491 38,149 18,542 16,932 9,565 6,068 11,721 9,211 6,422 17,181 6,170 131,192 18,084 1,849 1,298 6,g o 0) 437 3,49* 3,581 e> 1,1*3 2 ,i* 602 944 359 1,884 2,671 4,27* 5,629 2,148 832 173 1.957 V) 853 3,2*4 4,OH 0) 2,955 3,961 685 378 272 3,284 7,096 2,486 3,386 2,181 977 1,872 1,337 0) 8,841 4,232 1,136 9,128 19,884 15,717 1,288 is, m 3,008 2,568 817 7,763 23,486 7,281 7,047 3,813 2,200 5,603 4,963 2,805 6,331 3,210 56,886 7,838 800 696 3,883 4,084 (i) 2,454 3,143 865 $49 (i) 230 2,070 1,805 (!) 1,198 1,297 383 341 184 841 1,321 2,469 2,684 809 294 100 804 ) 666 (i) 3,713 265 (i) 466 1,813 2,289 (i) 1,256 1,846 482 308 125 1,556 3,790 1,009 1,687 1,015 467 1,181 784 i,m 0> 4,418 e ,g ? 1,87 m 831 5,168 9,687 6,742 9,815 4,329 1,898 2,845 3,294 ) 7,844 ) 19,277 3,106 1 Information not available. 2To preserve comparability with “ Teenagers" column, “ Total aH ages" does net 16-17 years 0 0 & 0 ) 8,368 638 l1 } 19,921 2,476 2,397 5,111 3,478 4,371 1,824 761 1,281 1,588 r% (l) 8,606 1,436 0 (0 2,237 (!) 4,893 1,171 ineMe figures far Baltimore, Salt Lake City, and Wichita areas for which teenager Beta were net reported. CHAPTER VI Wage Expectations the same age-sex-color group, with comparable school status, educational attainment, and abili ties ; located in the same area; and looking for or holding comparable jobs in the same indus try. Available tabulations permit only more lim ited comparisons.* Wages received by employed young men, the wage required by those unemployed to accept employment, and the wage required to induce persons outside the labor force to enter are National Longitudinal Studies given in table 6.1. Although these comparisons Tabulations from the Longitudinal Studies 1 control for age and color alone, a few interest provide data for young men as of the October ing facts emerge. 1967 survey week. At the time, the minimum Both wages earned and wage expectations in wage of $1.40 for previously covered workers crease with age for both racial groups and are and $1 for newly covered workers had been in higher for white# than for other races. Con effect about 9 months. trary to the hypothesis of unreasonable expec The test of “realism” that can be imposed is tations, the average wage expected by unem based upon a comparison of wage expectations ployed young men is, within any age-color of persons unemployed or out of the labor force group, lower than that for the employed. How with wages actually received by those who are ever, the proportion of unemployed teenage employed. If expectations are realistic, the rate males willing to accept employment at a wage of pay an unemployed person would require to below $1.40 an hour was less than the propor accept employment should be no more than that tion of employed teenagers actually receiving received by comparable individuals who are em less than $1.40, except among Negroes and ployed. other races 16-17 years old. The tendency for Ideally, comparisons should be exact. That is, wage for most unemployed teenage comparisons should be made among persons in groupsexpectations to fall in the $1.40-$1.99 range to a greater extent than is true of wages received by This chapter was prepared by Harley R. Hamel and employed teenagers suggests the possibility that Melvin Goldberg, of the Office of Manpower and Em expectations may be affected by the level of the ployment, and Thomas W. Gavett of the Office of minimum wage. Wages and Industrial Relations, Bureau of Labor Sta tistics. The second based on the national longitudinal We can refine the analysis by restricting the materials was written by Gavett and the section on the comparison to those teenagers enrolled in UES data by Hamel and Goldberg. school.3 See table 6.2. Among the 15- to 17Footnotes begin on p. 101, tables on p. 101. Do teenagers have unrealistic expectations about how much they can earn ? Is the problem of teenage unemployment attributable to the unwillingness of teenagers to accept available employment at prevailing wages? Some evi dence relevant to those questions is available from the National Longitudinal Studies and the Urban Employment Surveys. 99 100 year-old group, wage expectations and wage levels received are about the same. Among the 18- to 19-year-old group, however, wage expec tations among unemployed whites are above the wage levels received by those employed. For Ne groes and other races in that age group, aver age expectations and wages received are almost the same. Both white and other 18-19-year-olds who are unemployed are less willing to take low wage jobs. Whether this group, which includes males finishing high school or in college, has unreasonable expectations or whether there are other factors that explain this peculiar result is unknown. More surprising than the differences between the employed and unemployed teenagers is the fact that teenagers outside the labor force could be drawn into employment at a lower wage, on the average, than that which employed teenag ers receive or that which unemployed teenagers expect. One might speculate that other consid erations are included—those out of the labor force are more likely to be students and poten tially interested in a part-time job at a conven ient location—but available tabulations do not permit any finer comparisons. What conclusions can be drawn ?4 The com parisons made are limited since some relevant factors could not be held constant. It seems, however, that the average wage expected by the unemployed teenager is below that received by those employed. The unemployed teenager ap pears, however, slightly disinclined to accept the lowest wage jobs compared, at least, with his employed counterpart. However, there are large numbers of teenagers, both unemployed and out of the labor force, who did indicate a willingness to accept low-wage employment—at least if the right job came along. The data on expected and actual earnings refer to the 12-month period July 1968-June 1969. Information on wage expectations was collected from employed and unemployed teen agers (16-19 years old) in each area who looked for work at any time during the year. Those who did look for work were asked the following question, “The last time you looked for a job, what was the lowest pay you would have accepted ?” The majority of the teenage residents of all six CEP areas are Negro and other races. The proportions are as follows: Chicago, 98 per cent; Detroit, 83 percent; Atlanta, 82 percent; New York City, 69 percent; Houston, 60 per cent; and Los Angeles, 52 percent. Nearly half the teenage residents of the Los Angeles area and about one-fifth of the Houston area popula tion are of Mexican descent and nearly one-fifth of the New York City teenagers are Puerto Rican. Urban Employment Surveys The data from the National Longitudinal Studies refer to young males throughout the country in 1967. Some insight into wage expec tations of male and female teenagers in differ ent areas of the country, especially those lo cated in poverty areas, is available from the Urban Employment Survey, a survey of resi dents of Concentrated Employment Program areas in six large cities.5 Findings from the CEP areas of all six cities suggest that wage demands of both currently unemployed teenag ers and employed teenagers (when they last sought work)6 are not generally unreasonable relative to actual wage rates. However, the data also suggest that the wage expectations of a small proportion of unemployed male teenagers in the New York and Chicago areas were un realistic in terms of the actual wages being paid to employed teens. A detailed look at two of the six cities, showing somewhat different results, follows. Chicago Data from the UES for the Chicago poverty area (covering the period July 1968-June 1969) show that the median wage expected by both jobless teenage boys and girls was not unrealis tic. Jobless teens were seeking about the same level of hourly earnings ($1.70) as the actual wages earned by employed teenagers in the area ($1.77). However, the proportion of all cur rently jobless teens (25 percent) who were will ing to accept less than $1.60 an hour was smaller than the proportion of employed teen agers (41 percent) who were actually earning 101 these low wage rates. Thus about 16 percent of all unemployed teenagers appeared to be seek ing wages higher than employed teens were ac tually receiving. Teenage girls generally set lower sights in their wage expectations than teenage boys. The average wage expectation of unemployed girls was $1.66 compared with $1.81 for unemployed boys. Neither of these averages were substan tially different from the average wages actually being earned by employed teens. One out of every three unemployed teenage girls was willing to accept less than $1.60, somewhat less than the proportion of teenage girls (46 percent) who were actually earning that amount. There was little difference be tween the wage expectations of currently unem ployed girls and that of employed girls when they last sought work; one out of every three in each group was willing to accept less than $1.60. Teenage boys appeared to be less realistic about their wage expectations than girls. Only about 14 percent of the unemployed youth were expecting less than $1.60, whereas about 36 per cent of the employed youth were actually earn ing that amount. Thus, about 25 percent of the unemployed boys were apparently seeking wages higher than the going wage. This does not mean that jobless teenagers, especially boys, were expecting high wage rates. Only one-fourth of the jobless boys and onetenth of the jobless girls expected to earn $2.00 an hour or more; a significantly greater propor tion of the employed teens were actually earn ing those wage rates—nearly one-half of the boys and nearly one-third of the girls. Atlanta Atlanta UES results more consistently indi cate that wage expectations of teenagers were not unrealistic in terms of prevailing wages. Unemployed teenagers in Atlanta were actually willing to accept the same or lower wages than their employed counterparts were already re ceiving. One out of every three unemployed teenage boys and two out of every three teenage girls expected to receive less than $1.60 an hour; roughly the same proportion of boys and even fewer of the girls (55 percent) actually earned that wage during the July 1968-June 1969 period. For both boys and girls, the pro portion of unemployed teenagers willing to ac cept jobs at under $1.60 was greater than the proportion of employed teenagers who had been willing to accept such wages the last time they looked for work. The fact that there is little difference between the wage expectations of most jobless youth and the wages actually being paid to employed teen agers suggests that wage demands of most teen agers were not unreasonable in these poverty areas. Rather, it appears that wage expecta tions of most teenagers are heavily influenced by current wage rates. Although many other factors such as job skills, experience, and edu cational background have to be taken into ac count to draw definitive conclusions, it nonethe less appears that only a very small proportion of the teenagers in these areas had high wage demands. Evidently, the majority of poverty areas teens, like most new and inexperienced workers, realistically adjust their wage expec tations during their search for employment. -FOOTNOTES1The longitudinal studies are briefly described in chapter 3 of this study. The wage data are not always strictly wage rates; note the comments on page 57 of chapter 3. The basic tabulations for this section were prepared by the Ohio State University group. They are not responsible, however, for the analysis or conclusions in this section. 2Even if the universe of teenagers were covered by a survey, the number of factors which should be held constant, including interaction terms, would be almost impossible. 3Data do not permit a comparison of those not enrolled in school. 4The study of “ Out-of-School Youth,” BLS Special Labor Force Report 47, 1964, should be mentioned. It indicates that in February 1963, earnings expectations among the unemployed were lower than earnings re ceived by employed youth. The study controlled for 102 sex and school status and provides data for those 16-21 —no finer age breaks are available. This sheds no light, however, on the expectations of persons out of the labor force. 5 The cities are Atlanta, Chicago, Detroit, Houston, Los Angeles, and New York City. CEP refers to target areas in which the Department of Labor has combined separate manpower programs to concentrate the impact of these programs in specific neighborhoods. 6 For purposes of simplicity in the remainder of this section, wage expectations of employed teenagers when they last sought work will generally be described simply as “the expected wage of employed teenagers.” See previous note. Table 6.1. Rate of pay required to accept employment, those unemployed in 1967, rate of pay required to enter labor force, those out of labor force in 1967, 1967 hourly rate of pay, those employed in 1967, by age: men 15-25 years of age, by color Table 6.2. Rate of pay required to accept employment, those unemployed in 1967, 1967 hourly rate of pay, those employed in 1967, by age and color: men 15-19 years of age enrolled in school Hourly pay requirements liourly pay requirements Age and 1967 labor force status Total number (thou sands) Less than $1.40 $1.40 to $1.99 $2.00 to $2.99 $3.00 or more Mean pay required or earned Age and 1967 labor force status Total number (thou sands) Less than $1.40 $1.40 to $1.99 $2.00 to $2.99 $3.00 or more Mean pay required or earned Whites Whites Age 15-17: Out of labor force___ Unemployed________ Employed__________ Age 18-19: Out of labor force___ Unemployed________ Employed____ _____ Age 20-25: Out of labor force___ Unemployed________ Employed____ _____ 808 400 1,968 51.1 43.0 47.5 44.5 50.9 37.9 3.9 4.8 9.9 196 141 1,493 13.8 18.0 25.2 57.2 46.1 33.6 23.0 29.7 30.9 .0 6.0 6.2 10.3 23.6 13.3 5.4 30.9 38.0 15.8 19.2 21.7 42.0 26.2 27.1 36.8 140 121 4,848 0.5 4.7 $1.32 1.35 1.59 2.08 2.25 2.78 1 161 99 297 64.8 58.8 51.6 30.5 33.5 35.6 42 212 O) O) O) 26 41 670 21.5 15.7 14.0 48.9 36.3 33.4 29.6 43.9 37.7 19 28.8 37.6 48.1 29.8 3.3 7.7 9.4 20.5 22.3 1.30 .0 $1.30 1.53 O) O) 2.6 1.61 10.3 1.75 .0 1.89 4.1 2.2.14 01 14.9 1.3 3.4 Not available. Note: Percent distributions exclude respondents willing to accept any wage offered. Totals for “out of the labor force" exclude persons who were unwilling to accept a job regardless of wage. 0.0 353 1,655 47.5 51.1 51.1 37.7 1.4 7.1 4.1 23.8 37.9 46.6 37.4 21.4 19.6 5.0 612 111 1.69 1.76 1.93 All others Age 15-17: Out of labor force___ Unemployed________ Employed.................... Age 18-19: Out of labor force___ Unemployed________ Employed.................... Age 20-25: Out of labor force___ Unemployed________ Employed__________ Age 15-17: Unemployed.......... . Employed ................... Age 18-19: Unemployed_______ Employed__________ $1.32 1.55 1.73 8.2 1.68 All others Age 15-17: Unemployed._____ Employed .......... ....... Age 18-19: Unemployed________ Employed__________ 0.0 79 207 62.8 59.7 32.0 31.2 5.2 6.3 2.9 $1.23 1.40 25 62 39.2 60.1 52.5 13.5 4.1 21.3 4.1 5.1 1.49 1.50 103 Table 6.3. Expected and actual wages of employed and unemployed 16-19 year-olds in CEP areas, July 1968-June 1969 period accumulated Atlanta Wage level Both sexes..................... . Percent distribution. Less than $1.60. $1.60-1.99......... $2.00 and over. Median wage........... Boys............................... Percent distribution. Less than $1.60. $1.60-1.99____ $2.00 and over. Median wage.......... Girls________________ Percent distribution. Less than $1.60. $1.60-1.99____ $2.00 and over. Median wage........... Expected wage of unemployed 600 100:0 50.0 50.0 $1.45 300 100.0 33.3 66.7 $1.68 300 100. 0 66.7 33.3 $1.23 Actual wage of employed Chicago Expected wage of employed when they last sought work 2,100.1000 42.9 1,600 33.3 23.8 $1.69 56.3 6.3 $1.63 40.0 30.0 $1.75 1,100.1000 54.5 900 100. 0 22.2 66.7 11.1 $1.69 700 100.0 57.1 27.3 18.2 $1.53 $1.53 1,100.0000 30.0 100. 0 37.5 42.9 Expected wage of unemployed 1,600 100.0 25.0 56.3 18.8 $1.70 700 100.0 14.3 57.1 28.6 $1.81 900 100.0 33.3 55.5 11.1 $1.66 Detroit Both sexes___________ Percent distribution. Less than $1.60. $1.60-1.99........ $2.00 and over. Median wage........... Boys________________ Percent distribution. Less than $1.60. $1.60-1.99____ $2.00 and over. Median wage.......... Girls________________ Percent distribution. Less than $1.60. $1.60-1.99____ $2.00 and over. Median wage.......... 100. 0 47.1 100.0 38.7 100.0 36.8 3,100 1,900 35.3 17.6 $1.64 19.4 41.9 $1.81 26.3 36.8 $1.72 33.3 33.3 $1.79 100.0 33.3 11.1 55.6 1,800 $2.25 800 100.0 62.5 1,300 100.0 46.2 37.5 30.8 23.1 $1.68 $1.53 1,100.0 000 20.0 30.0 50.0 $2.00 900 100. 0 55.6 22.2 22.2 $1.53 1,100.0 100 72.7 27.3 $1.24 400 100.0 50.0 50.0 $1.60 700 100.0 85.7 14.3 $1.17 New York City Both sexes____ ______ Percent distribution. Less than $1.60 $1.60-1.99____ $2.00 and over. Median wage_____ Percent distribution. Less than $1.60 $1.60-1.99____ $2.00 and over. Median wage.......... Girls________________ Percent distribution Less than $1.60 $1.60-1.99____ $2.00 and over. Median wage.......... Note: Medians based on detailed wage rate intervals, not shown. 100.0 33.3 44.4 22.2 $1.76 2,100.2000 27.3 3,600 50.0 22.7 $1.79 100. 0 42.9 100.0 33.0 100. 0 36.8 5,700 23.9 43.1 $1.81 43.9 19.3 $1.70 100.0 40.0 5,900 3,000 25.4 37.3 $1.74 43.3 16.7 $1.69 100.0 28.0 22.0 50.0 1,400 5,000 35.7 21.4 $1.68 $2.00 100.0 30.4 4,900 2,300 20.4 38.8 $1.77 39.1 30.4 $1.73 2,500 100.0 36.0 1,200 100.0 25.0 16.0 48.0 $1.88 25.0 50.0 $2.00 2,400 100.0 45.8 1,100 100.0 36.4 25.0 29.2 $1.68 54.5 9.1 $1.66 100.0 53.6 2,000 100.0 60.0 25.0 21.4 $1.55 $1.45 2,800 40.0 100.0 47.4 1,200 100.0 50.0 26.3 26.3 $1.62 $1.60 1,900 900 100.0 66.7 22.2 11.1 $1.38 50.0 800 100.0 75.0 25.0 $1.30 Los Angeles 10,900 100. 0 37.3 100.0 40.8 Expected wage of employed when they last sought work Houston 1.700 900 100.0 33.3 Actual wage of employed 100.0 33.3 44.4 22.2 $1.71 2,700 2,100.0 000 30.0 500 100.0 80.0 20.0 $1.69 300 100.0 25.0 45.0 $1.83 44.4 $1.86 1,700 600 100.0 66.7 33.3 $1.71 100.0 25.0 25.0 50.0 $2.00 33.3 66.7 $2.08 800 100. 0 37.5 300 100.0 33.3 25.0 37.5 $1.75 $1.68 200 100.0 100.0 $1.68 900 100.0 11.1 44.4 66.7 CHAPTER VII Teenage Earnings and Family Income How much do teenagers earn? Are they major contributors to family income? Retabula tion of materials from the February and March 1967 supplements to the Current Population Survey provide some pertinent data.1 In 1966, about 40 percent of all 16-19-yearolds had no wage and salary income, either be cause they were not employed or because their only employment was as unpaid family work ers or in self-employment (table 7.1). Of those who were employed sometime during the year, 73 percent earned less than $1,000 a year. Less than 10 percent of all teenagers were members of poor families—those with incomes below $3,000 a year. Almost 38 percent were members of families with incomes of $5,000 to $10,000 a year, and about 41 percent were in families with incomes of $10,000 or more. As might be expected, the teenager's contri bution to family income was directly propor tional to his total wage and salary income. Among teenagers earning $500-$l,000, for ex ample, the median teenager's earnings as a per cent of total family income was 7.5 percent (using the midpoint of reported ranges). The median percentage contribution rose to 22.5 percent among those teenagers earning $2,000 to $3,000, and to 35 percent among those earn ing over $4,000 a year (table 7.2). This chanter was prepared by Thomas W. Gavett, Office of Wages and Industrial Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics. The basic tabulations for this chapter were prepared by Robert L. Stein, assisted by Rowena Lipscomb, in the Office of the Chief Economist. Footnoes appear on p. 105, tables on p. 106. 104 More relevant is the difference in percent contributions of teenager's earnings to family income among families at various income levels.2 As shown in table 7.3, the relative im portance of teenager's earnings is inversely proportionate to family income. Among families with an income of less than $3,000 a year, about 65 percent of the teenagers contributed less than 5 percent to family income, either because the teenagers had no earnings or insignificant earnings relative to family income (the latter was more likely to be true among higher income families). The proportion of teenagers contrib uting little to family income rose to about 69 percent among families with incomes of $10,000-$15,000 and to 77 percent among fami lies with income of $15,000 or more a year. Conversely, among families with incomes of less than $3,000 a year, 13 percent of the teenagers contributed 25 percent or more of family income compared with 4 percent of the teenagers in families with incomes of $10,000 or more. A larger proportion of male than female teenagers were major contributors to family in come among both poor and prosperous families. The proportion of male teenagers contributing 25 percent or more of family income was about twice as large among families with incomes of less than $3,000 (about 17 percent of the men and 8 percent of the women). Among families with incomes of $10,000 or more, 4 percent of the male but only 3 percent of the female teenagers contributed 25 percent of family income. It is also consistently true that a larger proportion of female teenagers are minor (less than 5 per cent) contributors to family income. Even if 105 minor contributors are excluded, male teenag ers are more frequently major contributors to family income. Younger teenagers (16-17 year-olds) contri bute much less to family income than those 1819 years old. Only 9 percent of the younger teenagers in low-income families contributed 25 percent or more of family income compared with 26 percent of the older teenagers. In fam ilies receiving $10,000 or more, less than 1 per cent contributed 25 percent of family income compared with 11 percent for the older teen agers. Similarly, the proportion of minor con tributors (less than 5 percent of family in come) was about 40 percent greater among 16to 17 year-olds in poor families and 63 percent greater in families receiving $10,000 or more. Teenagers are more likely to be major contri butors to families headed by a woman than to husband-wife families. Although 13 percent of all 16-19 year-olds in families with incomes below $3,000 contributed 25 percent or more of family income, the proportion was 15 percent among families headed by a woman and less than 10 percent among husband-wife families. The differences are more striking among fami lies receiving $10,000 or more. For all teenag ers, 4 percent were major contributors 3 per cent in husband-wife families, and 16 percent in the relatively small number of families headed by women receiving $10,000 or more in income. Only 4 percent of all 16-19 year-olds worked full-time year-round.3 About 40 percent of all such teenagers contributed 25 percent or more of total family income. Apparently, most of the teenagers in this small group are 18-19 years old and members of families with annual in comes of $10,000 or more. The information collected in the FebruaryMarch 1967 supplements to the Current Popula tion Survey did not permit calculation of an hourly wage rate. Hence, we do not know whether teenagers' annual wage and salary earnings were low primarily due to short hours and few weeks of work or also to low wage rates. The number of full-time year-round teen agers is too few to draw meaningful infer ences about wage rates from these statistics. The few general conclusions are obvious. Over 90 percent of all teenagers are not mem bers of poor families. Over 80 percent earned little (less than $1,000) or nothing and conse quently contributed less than 10 percent to fam ily income. Less than 6 percent of all teenagers contributed a significant share (25 percent or more) to family income. When working, about 75 percent usually work part time, and ex tremely few work full-time year-round. Except in a minority of cases (but these are important), it is difficult to argue that the earn ings of teenagers are important to the family. More likely, the teenager's earnings provide some financial independence from the family— earnings gained while learning about the world of work.4 1The February supplement provided information on the number of weeks worked in 1966 and whether the individual usually worked full or part time. The March supplement provided information on wage and salary and on other forms of income for each individual and, by aggregation, all individuals in the family. Data for this study were derived from the person-family tape in the BLS microtape library. 2The tabulations relate each teenager’s earnings to family income. Tabulations are not available to cover cases where two teenagers or more contributed to the same family’s income. 3Year-round means 50-52 weeks, and full-time means the individual usually worked 35 hours a week or more when he worked. The data include unpaid family workers and the self-employed. 4See also “ Unemployment in the American Family,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , October 1968 (Special Labor Force Report No. 99), which was based on the same supplements to the Current Population Survey. 106 Table 7.1. Distribution of 16-19 year-olds, by wage and salary income and total family income, 1966 [In thousands] Total family income Wage and salary Total income Less $2,000 $3,000 $5,000 $7,000 $10,000 $15,000 or than to to to to to $2,000 $2,999 $4,999 $6,999 $9,999 $14,999 more 571 545 285 189 227 154 87 143 91 188 66 66 64 80 46 13 14 41 31 29 38 2,816 3,214 1,800 346 226 33 267 188 54 620 456 155 812 519 216 1,137 830 391 7 19 55 109 27 44 46 Totals... 12,105 614 1 1 0 00 211 9 6 31 0 10 11 00 01 60 543 1,355 1,763 1,189702 505 N one.,,............ 4,855 $1 to $499......... 3,661 $500 to $999___ 1,639 $1,000 to $1,499............ 760 $1,500 to $1,999............ 377 $2,000 to $2,999............ 429 $3,000 to $3,999............ $4,000 to 90 $4,999............ 83 $5,000 or more.. Table 7.2. Distribution of 16-19 year-olds, by wage and salary earnings and percent of total family income contributed by the teenager Percent of family income Wage and salary income Total Less than 5 N o n e ..................................... ...................................... ....................... $1 to $499_________ _____________________ ____ — _________ $500 to $999_________________________________________ ____ _ $1,000 to $1,499___ ___________________________ _______ _____ $1,500 to $1,999_____________________________ _____ _________ $2,000 to $2,999_____________________ ______ „ _____ _________ $3,000 to $3,999_____________________ ____ — _______________ $4,000 to $4,999___ ________________ ____ ___________________ $5,000 or more__________________________ _____ ________ _ Totals____ ____ _________ _______ _____ _______________ 100. 0 100. 0 100.0 81.1 100. 0 27.1 100. 00 3.4.3 100. 100. 0 100. 00 .0..02 100. 100.0 .0 100.0 68.5 1014.9to 1519.9to 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.3 12.7 46.9 13.5 5.6 29.7 15.6 35.8 11.2 29.5 27.4 3.1 1.0.0 14.1 1.0.0 27.0 11.1 1.2 .0 .0 6.7 6.0 4.2 12.9 5 to 9.9 2024.9to 2529.9to 3039.9to 4049.9to 5074.9to 0.0.7 0.0.3 0.0.4 0.0.1 0.0.3 3.0 1.3 1.0 1.8.5 1.5.7 6.6 3.6 1.8 13.6 5.1 6.4 3.2 1.9 19.0 11.7 11.0 13.0 6.8 5.6 21.6 13.5 28.8 5.8 14.6 16.9 31.5 14.6 11.2 3.7 9.9 25.9 28.4 25.9 2.6 1.4 2.0 1.1 0.9 75 or more 0.0.2 4 .3 1.6 1.4 4.3 4.5 4.9 0.4 Note: Because of rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. Table 7.3. Distribution of 16-19 year-olds, by total family income and percent of total family income contributed by the teenager Percent of fam ily income Total family income $0 to $1,999.......... ........................................................................................................... $2,000 to $2,999____________ _______ ________________________________ $3,000 to $4,999_________ _______ ________ ____________________________ $5,000 to $6,999___________________ ______ — .................... ............................. $7,000 to $9,999____ _____________ ___________ _________________________ $10,000 to $14,999........... ......................................................- _________________ $15,000 or more................................................................................................ ........... Totals_______ ______ ____________ ___________ ___________ _______ Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Note: Because of rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. Less than 5 64.7 64.9 64.5 66.8 67.6 68.5 77.0 68.5 5 to 9 .9 6.1 8.2 12.2 14.4 13.8 13.8 12.8 12.9 10 to 14.9 4.6 8 .2 7 .0 5.5 7.3 5 .8 3 .9 6 .0 15 to 19.9 5.1 6.1 3 .8 5 .2 3.5 5.1 2 .0 4 .2 20 to 24.9 4.3 2 .8 3 .5 2 .8 2.3 2 .6 1 .8 2 .6 25 to 29.9 30 to 39.9 40 to 49.9 50 to 74.9 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.3 3.8 1.9 2 .8 2 .0 2.2 1.8 1.7 2 .2 1.8 1.3 1.1 .7 4 .4 2 .2 1.9 .8 .6 .3 3 .4 1 .7 .9 .1 .1 .0 1.4 2 .0 1.1 0 .9 0 .4 1.1 .9 .4 .0 75 or more .0 CHAPTER VIII Study of Full-time Student and Learner Certification Programs Under the Fair Labor Standards Act This chapter provides information on a sur vey of establishments which applied for and re ceived certificates to employ learners and full time students at subminimum rates under the Fair Labor Standards Act. The analysis is in tended to help determined whether submini mum wage rates encourage the employment of teenagers, and the extent to which employers used or failed to use certificates. A discussion of the scope and method of the survey and a list of reference tables appear in the appendix. Highlights of the study Authorization to employ full-time students at subminimum rates was underutilized. Only 42 percent of the 36 million man-hours authorized at 85 percent of the satutory minimum wage were used. One-fifth of the 4,615 establishments did not use their authorizations. All but 2 per cent of the full-time student man-hours were used to employ teenagers. This chapter was prepared by Clara F. Schloss, formerly of the Office of Research and Legislative Analysis, Wage and Hour and Public Contracts Divi sions. Peyton K. Elder was responsible for the analysis, Maurice Berk for the tabulations, and William L. Cato for the data processing. Footnotes and tables begin on p. 112. Establishments in the South used a smaller proportion of their man-hours than did estab lishments in the rest of the Nation. The wage incentive to employ full-time students at mini mum rates is less in the South where prevailing wages tend to cluster around the minimum wage. Of the 15 million man-hours used to employ full-time students at subminimum rates, almost a fourth were by establishments of the S.S.Kresge Co. (over 2 million) and the G.C.Murphy and Morgan Lindsey Co. (almost 1.4 million). Establishments in 11 enterprises, including the Kresge and Murphy chains, used half of all man-hours. The most frequently cited reason given for not using or not fully utilizing the certificates was that the establishments were completely staffed. Other reasons more commonly cited in order of importance were: Recordkeeping was too burdensome, full-time students were not willing to work at subminimum wages, limita tions spelled out in the certificates, and full time students were unsatisfactory workers. Only one-third of the 264,000 man-months which had been authorized for the employment of learners were used. Of the over 84,000 manmonths used to employ learners, almost onethird were used to employ teenagers. Almost all 107 108 schools and colleges that employ students in school-operated shops to assist then in defray ing their college expenses. The 1961 Amendments to the Fair Labor Learner and full-time student subminimum wage Standards Act covered large numbers of work provisions and regulations ers who had been traditionally outside the scope of the act. The newly covered employees were Section 14 of the Fair Labor Standards Act primarily in large retail and service enter as originally enacted in 1938 authorized the em prises. The 1961 amendments expanded section ployment of learners at minimum wages less 14 to include provisions for the employment of than those required for regular workers. In en full-time students at subminimum wages in the acting this provision, Congress intended to pro newly covered retail trade and service establish tect the welfare of experienced workers while ments in occupations in which they ordinarily encouraging the employment of untrained and were employed under certificates granted pur inexperienced persons. suant to regulations of the Administrator of the In October 1938, the Administrator of the Wage and Hour and Public Contracts Divisions. Wage and Hour and Public Contracts Divisions The regulations issued to implement this provi issued regulations governing the issuance of sion established age limits of 14 through 18, a certificates to employers whose employees were full-time student minimum rate of 85 percent of subject to the minimum wage provisions of the statutory minimum wage rate, and proce FLSA. Congress intended to use subminimum dures to determine the maximum number of rates to employ learners in occupations involv full-time student man-hours an establishment ing enough skill to necessitate an appreciable could use. The hours authorized were based on training period. A certificate would limit the the number of full-time student man-hours number of learners to replacements and those which an establishment or similar establish needed to expand production. Certificates which ment used during designated periods before the would lower or depress the working standards 1961 amendments. of experienced workers could not be issued. The 1966 Amendments to the Fair Labor These regulations have remained largely un Standards Act extended minimum wage protec changed since 1938 except that subminimum tion to employees previously outside the scope rates have been raised from time to time as the of the act, including a large number in retail minimum wage has increased. During the May trade, service enterprises, and for the first time 1, 1968 to April 30, 1969 survey, the statutory extended coverage to employees on large farms. minimum wage was $1.60 an hour while the The amendments also incorporated, in large part, the regulations applicable to full-time stu learner rates ranged from $1.45 to $1,575. Regulations were adopted in August 1940 dents, which had been issued after the 1961 governing the issuance of special certificates for amendments, except that the upper age limit the employment of student-learners at submini was specifically excluded. The provisions of the mum rates if it could be shown that the stu revised section 14 also applied to newly covered dents were engaged in a bona fide vocational farm workers. For employees in retail trade training program. The student-learner certifi and service activities subject to the minimum cation program was designed to encourage wage before the 1966 amendments, the full-time part-time vocational training programs by ac student subminimum rate applicable during the survey period was $1.36 an hour, or 85 percent credited institutions. Regulations were adopted later providing for of the $1.60 an hour minimum wage otherwise the issuance of special certificates to employ applicable. The subminimum rate for full-time student workers at subminimum wages. These students in the three newly covered areas was certificates are issued primarily to Seventh Day 85 percent of $1.15, or $.978 an hour, from the Adventist schools and to other denominational beginning of the survey period in May 1, 1968, of the 799 establishments holding learner cer tificates expressed a willingness to employ teen agers. 109 until January 31, 1969, and 85 percent of $1.30 or $1,105 an hour thereafter. History of the certification programs L e a r n e r s . The number of learner certifi cates in effect and the estimated number of learners authorized has varied. During the first 5 years after enactment of the Fair Labor Standards Act, employers requested and were granted substantial numbers of certificates. For example, 3,790 learner certificates were in effect and 50,152 learners were authorized at the end of fiscal year 1942. As the $.40 an hour mini mum wage, which was fully applicable to cov ered workers in 1944, became less meaningful, fewer employers requested certificates. At the end of fiscal year 1949, only 20 learner certifi cates were in effect. At the end of fiscal 1950, shortly after the minimum wage was increased to $.75 an hour, the program reached a peak in certificates granted and learners authorized. Over 4,900 certificates were in effect and an es timate 73,351 learners were authorized. Since then, the overall trend in the volume of certifi cates has been downward. Temporary increases in the number of certificates and learners au thorized have occurred at the end of the fiscal years coincident with the effective dates of in creases in the minimum wage to $1 in 1956, $1.15 in 1961, and $1.25 in 1963. No similar spurts occurred in 1967 and 1968 following the $1.40 and $1.60 rates. At the end of the 1969 fiscal year only 889 certificates were in effect and an estimated 20,726 learners were author ized. S t u d e n t -l e a r n e r s . The student-learner certi fication program also expanded after the statutory minimum wage was increased in 1950, 1956, and 1961. Unlike the learner pro gram, however, during the 1960’s the studentlearner certification program has expanded from 4,577 student learners authorized in fiscal year 1962 to 9,460 in fiscal year 1968, and 9,686 in the first three quarters of fiscal year 1969. S t u d e n t -w o r k e r s . The student-worker certi fication program has followed a different pattern. The number of student-worker certifi cates and the number of student-workers au thorized increases slightly through the 1940’s and 1950’s until 1960, a year before the enact ment of the 1961 amendments to the Fair Labor Standards Act, when 38 certificates were granted and 1,412 student-workers were au thorized. Since 1960 the number of certificates declined to 19 in the first three quarters of 1969. The number of student-workers author ized declined to 1,146 in fiscal 1968 but in creased to 1,374 in the first three quarters of fiscal 1969. F u l l -t im e s t u d e n t s . Since the full-time student certification program was implemented in 1962, the long-term trend has been an overall increase; a significant expansion occurred in the number of certificates applied for and in effect following the 1966 amendments when the extent of coverage of the statutory minimum wage to which the full-time student minimum wages apply was broadly extended. At the end of the first fiscal year after the implementation of the 1961 amendments, 2, 344 full-time certif icates were in effect. At the end of the fiscal year just before the implementation of the 1966 amendments, 2,579 certificates were in effect while 4,147 certificates were in effect a year later following these amendments. By June 30, 1969, the number of full-time student certifi cates in effect had increased to 5,028. S u m m a r y . Trend data on certification activi ties, particularly as they relate to learners and full-time students, do not necessarily reflect trends in usage. Over the years, several studies have been made to determine the extent to which learner certificates actually have been used. These studies and the present study indi cate that use is not determined by the request ing and obtaining of learner and full-time cer tificates. Full-time student certificates A number of measures designed to show the extent to which the full time student certification program is used indi cates marked underutilization. For example, 21 E st a b l is h m e n t s . 110 percent of the 4,615 establishments did not use them during the May 1, 1968 to April 30, 1969 survey period. Of the remaining establishments which used at least part of the authorization, one-tenth percent used it as much as 95 percent. Regions varied in their use of full-time stu dent certificates. In the South, about 25 percent of the establishments made no use of the certifi cates though 45 percent of the total had been granted to them. Outside the South, only about 17 percent of the establishments made no use of the certificates though 55 percent of the total had been granted to them. Certificates were used fully in only 10 percent of the southern establishment compared with 14 percent outside the South. Establishments using full-time students cer tificates varied by type of business. Variety and department stores constituted three-fifths of the establishments with certificates but one-fourth did not use their authorizations. About onethird of the apparel stores, which had been au thorized almost a tenth of the certificates, did not use their certificates. However, among food stores, which constituted a fourth of all estab lishments with certificates, less than a tenth of the establishments did not use the authoriza tions. The remaining types of businesses, which made up about 7 percent of all establishments with certificates, included 60 hospitals and nursing homes, all of which used at least some of their authorization, 60 restaurants, about half of which did not use their authorization, 68 drug stores, a tenth of which did not use their authorization, and 93 farms, about a sixth of which did not use their authorization. M a n - h o u r s . The extent of underutilization is further confirmed by comparing the full-time student man-hours authorized with the num ber of man-hours used. During the survey pe riod, certificates authorizing almost 36 million man-hours of full-time student employment were available to employers. Of these, 21 per cent or 7.4 million full-time student man-hours were authorized to be used by establishments which made no use of the certificates. About 72 percent of the man-hours were authorized to be used by establishments which used some but not all of the hours authorized. Only 7 percent of the man-hours were allocated to establishments which fully utilized their authorized man-hours. Overall, only 42 percent of the full-time stu dent man-hours authorized were used. By re gion—Wage and Hour and Public Contracts Di visions jurisdictions—the proportion ranged from 32 percent in the Atlanta region to 61 percent in New York region (table 8.2). Regions varied in the extent of utilization of full-time student man-hours at subminimum wages. The South, with two-fifths of the 36 mil lion man-hours were authorized, used only onethird. In the remainder of the United States, almost half were used. One explanation for the lower rate of utilization in the South may be that the smaller differential between the wage authorized for full-time students—85 percent of the minimum wage—and prevailing wages. In the South there appears to be less incentive for employers to use full-time students at submini mum rates if more mature workers are availa ble. Two of the 11 types of businesses for which data were tabulated separately had almost 90 percent of the 36 million full-time student man-hours authorized—variety and department stores made up 62 percent and food stores 26 percent. Together these stores also had about 90 percent of the 15 million full-time student man-hours used. Although variety and depart ment stores were the largest users of full-time student man-hours, food stores used 51 percent of man-hours authorized, compared with 38 percent for variety and department stores (table 8.3). Only 8 percent of the full-time student man hours authorized for use by food stores were allocated to establishments which did not use any of them compared with 26 percent in vari ety and department stores. More significant than the regional or type of business data are special tabulations of man hours authorized and used by specific enter prises and establishments. Two large variety store chains made significant use of the full time student program. Establishments of the S.S. Kresge Co. were granted 19 percent of the 36 million man-hours authorized for the em ployment of students at subminimum wages. Of Ill the 15 million man-hours actually utilized dur ing the year, the Kresge stores used 14 percent. Establishments of another major retail store chain, G. C. Murphy and Morgan Lindsey were granted 8 percent of the authorized man-hours and used 9 percent of all man-hours utilized. Together, these two chains used 23 percent of all man-hours utilized. Furthermore, 11 enter prises, including the Kresge and Murphy chains, used 49 percent of the man-hours uti lized by all establishments which were granted certificates. Also, of the 21 million full-time stu dent man-hours authorized but not used, the Kresge and Murphy enterprises constituted 30 percent. Although the Kresge chain was the biggest user of authorized full-time student man-hours, 179 establishments or 27 percent of the 671 Kresge stores which were granted certificates did not use their authorization. One hundred and five of these nonusers were K-Mark dis count stores. Overall, Kresge stores used only 30 percent of their 6.8 million authorized man hours. The Murphy chain, although using fewer man-hours than Kresge, was more likely to use the man-hours it was authorized. Almost half of the 2.8 million authorized man-hours were used to employ full-time students at subminimum wage rates by stores in the Murphy chain and only 35 stores or about 10 percent of Murphy’s 363 establishments with certificates did not use any of the man-hours authorized. (See table 8.4.) Reasons for less than full utilization of the 4,163 establishments which did not utilize or did not fully utilize their certificates 27 percent of the over 8,000 responses indicated that the establishments were fully staffed or were not in a position to add workers. Among the other reasons given, four were of almost equal significance. About 11 percent of the reasons found teenagers unwilling to work at subminimum wages. A special tabulation indi cates that about 300 of these 868 establishments which cited this reason went ahead and em ployed the teenagers at the regular minimum wage. Almost as many of the responses blamed underutilization on the unsatisfactory work performance of teenagers, burdensome record keeping and restrictions in the certificates. Regional variations for underutilization were not particularly marked. However, establish ments in the South tended to cite fully staffed and burdensome recordkeeping more frequently than did establishments outside the South, while other sections found students unwilling to work at subminimum wages more frequently than did establishments in the South. When the reasons for not utilizing or not fully utilizing full-time certificates are classified by type of business, sharp differences show up. For example, food stores, hospitals, nursing homes, and “other retail” stores were far more likely than other businesses to cite “fully staffed” as a reason for underutilization. Res taurants and drug stores were more likely to blame the unwillingness of full-time students to work at subminimum wages. Apparel stores were more likely to state that underutilization was due to burdensome recordkeeping, certifi cates restrictions, and delays in the verification of employees’ student status by their schools. Tabulations designed to compare the relative importance of the reasons by degree of utiliza tion provide some observable results. As ex pected, establishments with higher rates of uti lization more frequently cited fully staffed as a reason for less than full utilization. Not ex pected was that these establishments more fre quently reported that full-time students were unsatisfactory. Establishments with no utiliza tion for less than 20 percent of their authorized man-hours used were more likely to cite burden some recordkeeping and company policy to pay the regular minimum wage. U t il iz a t io n o f f u l l -t i m e s t u d e n t c e r t if i c a t e s to e m p l o y t e e n a g e r s . Special tabula tions by age group showed that full-time stu dent certificates were used almost exclusively to employ teenagers. Before the 1966 amendments, full-time student regulations limited the use of the certificates to teenagers 14 to 19 years of age. The 1966 amendments specifically removed the upper limit but workers 20 years of age and over still constituted only 2 percent of all full time student man-hours used. 112 Learners1 Of the 863 learner certifi cates granted to 799 establishments 2 in the 50 States, only 6 percent were not used at all dur ing the survey period. The proportion not used was consistently low whether on a regional or on an industry basis. Although 94 percent of the certificates were used, three-quarters either were not used or used to less than half of their potential. E st a b l is h m e n t s . Even though most certificates were used to some extent, overall, only 32 per cent of the almost 264,000 man-months which were authorized for the employment of learners at subminimum wages in the 50 States actually were used. Regions varied but were not particu larly marked; establishments in the South used a larger proportion of the authorized manmonths than did those outside the South. How ever, since 73 percent of the man-months au thorized were allocated to the South, that re gion used about 64,000 or 76 percent of the total learner man-hours at subminimum wages. (See table 8.7.) Reasons for less than full utilization of the 790 establishments in the 50 States which did not use or did not use fully their learner au thorization, 28 percent of 1,462 responses give as their reason that establishments were fully staffed and did not require additional workers, also, that experienced workers were available. M a n -m o n t h s . The certificates state that employers may not hire learners at subminimum wages if experi enced workers are available. One-fifth of the establishments said that learners were not willing to work at submini mum wages. In addition, temporary operational problems, the finding that learners were not satisfactory workers, and that the work was undesirable each constituted fewer than a tenth of all responses. U t iliz a t io n of l e a r n e r c e r t if ic a t e s to e m Most establishments with learner certificates used their certificates to em ploys teenager, 90-percent of the 765 establish ments utilized their certificates to employ teen agers and an additional 7 percent, would have hired teenagers if they had been available. Despite the expressed willingness of employ ers to hire youths 16 to 19 years of age as learn ers, teenagers represented only 31 percent of all the learner man-months utilized. Establish ments in the South utilized a lower proportion of teenagers than did establishments outside the South. ploy teen a g ers. ------- F O O T N O T E S ------1Although student-worker and student-learner certi ficates are authorized under the learner provision of section 14, they were not included in the survey because of the small number of teenagers involved. 2Some establishments were granted both normal labor turnover certificates and plant expansion certificates. Table 8.1. Percent distribution of establishments with certificates authorizing the employment of full-time students at wages below the statutory minimum, by degree of utilization and industry [Data relate to certificates in effect on Aprif 30,1969, and reflect utilization during the period May 1, 1968 to April 30, 1969] Degree of utilization Absolute number.......................... 0 Total.................................. ................... ......................... 1-9____________________ 10-19............................... 20-29................................... . 30-39..................................... 40-49 ____ 50-59______________ ____ 60-69 ........................ ........... 70-79 ___ 80-89 ........ ......................... 90-99.......................... .......... ......................................... 100 United States 4,615 100 215 67 88 8 897 6 7 Variety and department Food stores stores 2,843 100 24 5 886 8 7 88 7 5 4 1,142 1009 4 4 7 1011 10 10 108 89 Apparel stores . Drug stores Restaurant 307 100 33 119 7 7 7 5 63 5 3 5 68 10010 643 1 4 100 55 82 3 18 4 9 3 34 2 60 3 3 3 3 3 17 Other retail stores 34 1003 123 3 6 69 15 9 9 26 Hotels and motels 2 10050 Hospitals 34 100 26 100 3 50 669 6 3 26 6 15 129 Note: Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Degree of utilization is the relationship of man-hours utilized to man-hours authorized. Nursing homes 4 4 124 88 23 4 15 19 Other serv ice estab Agriculture lishments 6 100 93 10016 33 3 4 5 17 17 13 17 17 08 8 9 10 16 113 Table 8.2. Numerical distribution of man-hours for which the employment of full-time students was authorized at rates below the statutory minimum and the number and percent of full-time student man-hours utilized, by region Table 8.3. Numerical distribution of man-hours for which the employment of full-time students was authorized at rates below the statutory minimum and the number and percent of full-time student man-hours utilized, by industry [Data relate to certificates in effect on April 30, 1969, and reflect utilization during the survey May 1, 1968 to.April 30,1969] [Data relate to certificates in effect on April 30, 1969, and reflect utilization during the period May 1,1968 to April 30,1969] Number of man-hours authorized Number of man-hours utilized United States................................... 35,787,183 Atlanta.................................... ................... 4,661,058 Birmingham........ ...................................... 1,857,650 Boston........................................ ............... 950,250 Chicago........ ....................... .................. 8,573,793 Dallas......................................................... 5,633,198 Kansas City......... ....................................... 5,337,218 Nashville.... .......................................... . 2,668,002 New York City................................ .......... 1,049,698 Philadelphia________ _______________ 3,263,080 San Francisco............................. ............... 1,793,236 15,014,347 1,485,175 691,847 411,394 3,845,362 2,125,573 2,683,483 878,694 636,784 1,429,877 826,158 Region Number o f man-hours authorized Number of man-hours utilized United States_______ _____ _________ 35,787,183 Variety and department stores........................ 22,350,953 Food stores_______________________________ 9,308,993 Apparel stores____________________________ 1,653,830 Drug stores_______________________________ 338,196 Restaurants_______________________________ 502,677 Other retail stores________ ______ ______ 234,521 Hotels and m otels___________________ _____ 9,864 Hospitals__________________•_______________ 378,850 Nursing hom es_________________ __________ 97,436 Other service establishm ents........._............. 31,229 Agriculture............... ............................................... 880,634 15,014,347 8,484,506 4,742,669 475,708 180,149 227,099 105,137 6,000 234,849 67,424 22,004 468,802 Percent of utilization 42 32 37 43 45 38 50 33 61 44 46 Note: Regions refer to WHPC jurisdictions. (S ee Technical notes for definition.) Industry Percent of utilization 42 38 51 29 53 45 45 61 62 69 70 53 Table 8.4. Multiunit enterprises with 10 establishments or more: Number of establishments, and number and percent of full-time student man-hours authorized and utilized, ranked by number of man-hours used [Data relate to certificates in effect on April 30,1969, and reflect utilization during the period May 1,1968 to April 30,1969] Enterprise name Number of establishmemts Hours authorized Hours used Percent of utilization in firm Cumulative percent of hours used Percent of total hours used Total, all enterprises......... ..................................... ................................ 4,615 35,787,183 15,014,347 42 100 100 S. S. Kresge Co.................................................................................................... G. C. Murphy and Morgan Lindsey...................... ............. ......... .................... W. T. Grant..____________________ _______ ______________ _______ _ McCrory- McLellan-G reen............................................................... ..................... T G & Y Stores........................ ....................................... ................... .............. F. W. Woolworth........................................................................... ...................... Handy-Andy................................................. ................... ................ ............ . Rose's................ .................................................................................................. J. S. Dillon & Sons.................................. ................................................ H & B___________ ___________________ ___________________________ ____________________ Lerner Shops_____________ _______________ _ J. J. Newberry Co________ __ ____ __________________________ ____ _____________________ Neisner Brothers Inc____ _ Pigglv Wiggly . . . ___________________ . . . Minyard Food______________________ ______________________________ Younker Bros____ _____________ _____ ______________________________ Arden-Mayfair...................................................................................................... Bishop-Stoddard Cafeteria_____________________ __ _ ____ _______ Buckwalls_______________________________________________________ S. H. Kress____ _____________ _______ _____ _______________________ Scott Stores_____ ______ ______ _______________ ____________ _____ Sterling Stores_______________________________ ______ _____ ________ Big Bear..____ _____________ ____ ___________ ___________ ______ _ Edwards Inc_______ ______________________________________________ Boogaart Supermarket Inc__________________________________________ Raylass Department Stores, Inc______________________________________ A. J. Bayless Markets______ _____________________ _____ ______ _____ Minimax_________________________________________________________ ____ _ _____ Tom Thumb Stores City Market________ ______________ _____________ ______________ Herbergers___________________________________________ ____ ___________ Basha's_________________________________________________________ Sure Way Food Stores_________ ______ ______ ______ _________________ Eagle Food Centers, May Drugs _ _____________________________ Meyer Inc _ _ ____________________________ Red River Co., Piggly Wiggly.. _ _ _ __________________________ Spurgeon___ ________________________________ _____ ____________ Gold blatt Bros____ ______ _________________________________________ Byrd Foods______________________________________________________ Shaner’s Food________________________________________ ____________ Crest Stores____________ _____________ ________________ ___________ Autry-Greer & Sons______________ _____________ ____________ ___ Eagle Stores_____________________________________________________ Furrs Super Market__________ _____________ _______________ ________ Dixieland Food-Piggly Wiggly______ _________________ ____ ___ _____ _ Kuhn's Variety........................ ............................................................................ Mason's Stores......................... ........................................................................... Eat'n Park Restaurant— ............. ............................. ........................................ 671 363 187 313 219 220 37 144 59 114 231 69 92 51 20 21 26 10 46 111 45 28 17 16 20 26 48 16 32 10 10 14 11 30 22 18 35 20 10 17 10 13 10 42 18 14 15 32 6,843,757 2,804,148 1,502,514 1,679,831 1,496,525 1,350,382 892,258 1,720,002 596,940 614,993 1,122,452 406,545 689,185 345,011 309,574 251,056 407,462 138,869 210,575 595,002 160,063 156,153 118,676 143,903 174,594 115,483 595,112 91,239 202,351 76,612 53,649 74,234 108,347 52,610 417,525 82,555 53,382 500,287 58,869 84,099 65,394 47,390 32,878 360,421 50,283 42,631 87,880 114,489 2,078,242 1,377,761 631,644 609,835 564,858 526,938 504,866 368,502 327,673 257,060 218,361 212,580 190,807 189,422 167,154 182,531 161,253 131,737 112,123 103,956 93,025 69,709 69,484 69,413 65,608 54,325 53,978 53,247 51,490 48,632 45,942 45,648 37,066 35,084 33,996 31,232 30,562 29,250 28,755 28,565 26,992 20,602 20,055 15,216 13,299 12,162 95 0 30 49 42 36 40 39 57 21 58 42 19 52 28 55 54 65 40 95 53 17 58 45 59 48 38 47 9 58 25 63 14 9 4 4 14 23 27 31 35 39 42 45 47 48 50 51 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 59 60 61 61 61 62 62 63 63 63 64 64 64 65 65 65 65 65 1 Less than 0.5 percent. 86 8 38 57 6 49 61 34 67 34 41 43 61 4 (i) (O 26 29 4 (i) (i) (i) (i) 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) (0 (i) (i) ( 1) (i) O) ( 1) (i) O) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) 66 66 66 66 66 66 67 0 67 67 67 67 Note: The enterprise name shown is the one which appeared on the application for a certificate. 114 Table 8.5. Numerical distribution of establishments not utilizing or not fully utilizing full-time student certificates by degree of utilization and reasons for less than full utilization of certificates [Data relate to certificates in effect on April 30,1969, and reflect utilization during the period May 1,1968 to April 30,1969] Reasons for not utilizing or not fully utilizing certificates Number of estab Number lishments of estab not uti lishments lizing or with cer not fully Fully tificates utilizing staffed certifi cates Degree of utilization Certifi cate restric tions Full-time students unwilling Record to work keeping at submini mum wages Full-time students unsatis factoryworkers Prefer to hire regular workers Company Tem Delay in policy Legal porary Selfschool Union to pay restric opera imposed verifica restric mini tions tional restric tion of tions mum problems tions student wages status Other reasons Total............................... 4,615 4,163 2,168 799 881 868 788 600 504 396 356 332 223 120 39 Less than 20 percent............... 20 percent to 49 percent... 50 percent or more............ 1,484 1,085 2,046 1,484 1,085 1,594 564 641 963 321 198 280 425 212 244 339 211 318 199 236 353 243 151 206 282 98 124 111 114 171 189 82 85 49 78 205 136 50 37 80 36 4 14 12 13 Table 8.6. Percent distribution of certificates authorizing the employment of learners at wages below the statutory minimum, by degree of utilization and industry [Data relate to certificates in effect on April 30,1969, and reflect utilization during the period May 1,1968 to April 30,1969] Certificates classified according to degree of utilization Percent of certificates authorized U.S. Total Single pants Women's apparel Sportswear Absolute number............................ Total..................................... 863 100 452 100 238 100 35 100 0............................................. 1-9......................................... 10-19........................................ 20-29....................................... 30-39........................................ 40-49........................................ 50-59........................................ 60-69....................................... 70-79....................................... 80-89....................................... 90-99....................................... 100........................................... 6 11 16 17 14 12 8 6 4 3 2 1 5 12 17 19 13 14 8 5 3 2 2 6 13 16 15 16 11 8 4 3 3 3 2 20 26 29 9 9 3 3 (i) Other apparel Knitted wear 4 100 Hosiery 24 100 47 100 7 2 14 22 8 10 14 10 7 2 5 4 4 21 13 17 17 4 8 8 4 2 4 13 4 17 11 11 19 11 4 2 2 25 25 3 25 25 Table 8.7. Numerical distribution of man-months for which the employment of learners was authorized at rates below the statutory minimum and the number and percent of learner man-months utilized, by region [Data relate to certificates in effect on April 30, 1969, and reflect utilization during the period May 1,1968 to April 30,1969] All regions except Caribbean_____ Number of man-hours authorized Cigar 59 100 1 Less than 0.5 percent. Region Glove Number of man-hours utilized Percent of utilization 263,661 84,427 32 Atlanta......................................................... Birmingham................................................ Boston......................................................... Chicago........................................................ Dallas.......................................................... Kansas City................................................. Nashville..................................................... New York City............................................. Philadelphia _ __ _____ ____ _ San Francisco.............................................. 76,270 51,407 4,653 11,975 10,928 11,594 54,919 606 39,451 1,858 23,633 18,285 1,295 4,743 5,500 3,875 17,053 106 9,102 835 31 36 28 40 50 33 31 17 23 45 Caribbean......................................... 15,348 3,867 25 Note: Regions refer to WHPC jurisdictions (see Technical notes for definition). Industries In Caribbean 4 100 50 50 69 100 9 9 26 19 12 7 12 3 3 1 115 Table 8.8. Numerical distribution of establishments not utilizing or not fully utilizing learner certificates by degree of utilization and reasons for less than full utilization of certificates [Data relate to certificates in effect on April 30,1969, and reflect utilization during the period May 1,1968 to April 30,1969] Number of estab Number lishments Degree of of estab not uti utilization lishments lizing or Total with cer not fully (dupli tificates utilizing cated) certifi cates Total. _ Under 20 percent.. 20 percent to 49 percent.. 50 percent and over. Reasons for not utilizing or not ful ly utilizing learner certificates Fully staffed Learners not willing to work at spe cial rates Tem Learners Company Experi porary Work No pro Selfpolicy Certifi not satis undesir Season motional imposed to pay enced opera cate oppor restric workers tional factory able mini restric ality available problems workers tunities tions mum tions wage Legal restric tions Union restric tions Other reasons 856 847 1,594 453 292 332 155 111 110 34 25 23 14 13 6 4 22 290 290 536 135 115 118 49 35 44 4 7 5 7 4 1 1 11 383 383 732 219 120 146 76 50 50 20 13 13 6 5 4 2 8 183 174 326 99 57 68 30 26 16 10 5 5 1 4 1 1 3 APPENDIX A. Technical Notes Scope and method The study includes information for all establishments holding full time student or learner certificates on April 30, 1969, which had been in effect at least three months, or which had been in effect for less than three months if the firm had had a certificate at any time subsequent to April 30, 1968. Data for each certificated establishment were collected by the regional staff of the Wage and Hour and Public Contracts Divisions. Approxi mately 3,600 of the more than 4,600 establishments holding full-time stu dent certificates are parts of large multi unit enterprises. For many of these enterprises, survey data were obtained from records maintained in the central or regional offices of the enterprises. Where central office rec ords were not available or were incomplete, the data were obtained from the individual establishments. Full-time student man-hours and learner man-months authorized and utilized are based on survey findings. For purposes of this survey, full utilization of full-time student or learner certificates is defined as utilization of 95 percent or more of the man-hours or man-months author ized by the certificates. Degree of utilization is the ratio of man-hours or man-months utilized to man-hours or man-months authorized. A number of establishments furnished more than one reason for not utilizing or not fully utilizing the man-hours or man-months allowed by the certificates. As all of the reasons given were tabulated, the number of reasons exceeds the total count of establishments with certificates. 116 F u l l -t im e s t u d e n t s . A total of 1,246 establishments which held full-time student certificates at some time between May 1, 1968, and April 30, 1969, were not within the scope of this survey for the following reasons: 693 certificates expired during the survey period and renewal of the certificates was not requested: 441 original certificates which became effective after January 31, 1969, were ex cluded because of insufficient experience under the certificate; 73 establishments holding certificates were found to be exempt from the FLSA under section 13(a) (2); 36 establishments holding certificates went out of business during the survey period, and; 3 certificates expired and renewal was denied. Learners. A total of 245 establishments which held 253 learner certifi cates at some time between May 1,1968, and April 30,1969, were excluded from the survey for the following reasons: 169 certificates expired during the survey period and renewal of the certificates was not requested; 17 original certificates which became effective after January 31, 1969, were ex cluded because of insufficient experience under the certificate; 13 certificates were held by plants which went out of business during the survey period; 50 certificates expired and renewal was denied because of lack of utilization; and 4 certificates expired and renewal was denied for other reasons. Tabulations Data have been tabulated by industry, type of certificate, degree of utilization and by Wage and Hour and Public Contracts region (RO) and district office ( do) area. The jurisdictional areas are defined as follows: Atlanta RO: Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina Birmingham RO: Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi Boston RO: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont Chicago RO: Cleveland DO-Ohio Detroit DO-Michigan Chicago-Other-Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota, and Wisconsin Dallas RO: Dallas DO-North Texas Houston DO-South Texas Oklahoma City DO-New Mexico and Oklahoma Kansas City RO: Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming Nashville RO: Kentucky, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia New York City RO: New Jersey and New York Philadelphia RO: Philadelphia DO-East Pennsylvania, Delaware, District of Columbia, and Maryland Pittsburgh DO-Central and West Pennsylvania San Francisco RO: Los Angeles DO-Arizona and South California San Francisco DO-Alaska, North California, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Oregon, and Washington Caribbean Office: Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands and Panama Canal Zone References The technical terms used in this report are defined in the appropriate parts of Title 29 of The Code of Federal Regulations: (1) Part 519— Employment of Full-Time Students at Special Minimum Wages; (2) Part 520—Employment of Student Learners; (3) Part 522—Employment of Learners; and (4) Part 527—Employment of Student Workers. APPENDIX B. The following supplementary tables from the study of full-time students and learner certification programs are available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on request. List of tables: Full-Time Students Numerical distribution of man-hours for which the employment of full-time students was authorized at wages below the statutory minimum, by extent of utilization of certificates and by: 1. Area 2. Industry 3. Type of certificate Percent distribution of man-hours for which the employment of full-time students was authorized at wages below the statutory minimum, by extent of utilization of certificates and by: 4. Area 5. Industry 6. Type of certificate Numerical distribution of establishments with certificates au thorizing the employment of full-time students at wages below the statutory minimum, by extent of utilization and by: 7. Area 8. Industry 9. Type of certificate 118 APPENDIX B.— continued List of tables—continued Percent distribution of establishments with certificates author izing the employment of full-time students at wages below the statutory minimum, by extent of utilization and by: 10. Area 11. Industry 12. Type of certificate Numerical distribution of man-hours for which the employment of full-time students was authorized at wages below the sta tutory minimum, by degree of utilization and by: 13. Industry Percent distribution of man-hours for which the employment of full-time students was authorized at wages below the statutory minimum, by degree of utilization and by: 14. Industry Numerical distribution of establishments with certificates au thorizing the employment of full-time students at wages below the statutory minimum, by degree of utilization and by: 15. Industry Percent distribution of establishments with certificates author izing the employment of full-time students at wages below the statutory minimum, by degree of utilization and by: 16. Industry Numerical distribution of establishments utilizing certificates to employ full-time students, by degree of utilization and by: 17. Industry and age Percent distribution of establishments utilizing certificates to employ full-time students, by degree of utilization and by: 18. Industry and age Numerical distribution of establishments not utilizing or not fully utilizing full-time student certificates by reasons for less than full utilization of certificates and by: 19. Area 20. Industry 21. Degree of utilization Percent distribution of establishments not utilizing or not fully utilizing full-time student certificates, by reasons for less than full utilization of certificates and by: 22. Area 23. Industry 24. Degree of utilization Learners Numerical distribution of man-months for which the employ- 119 APPENDIX B. — continued List of tables—continued ment of learners was authorized at wages below the statutory minimum, by extent of utilization of certificates and by: 25. Area 26. Industry 27. Type of certificate Percent distribution of man-months for which the employment of learners was authorized at wages below the statutory minimum, by extent of utilization of certificates and by: 28. Area 29. Industry 30. Type of certificate Numerical distribution of certificates authorizing the employ ment of learners at wages below the statutory minimum, by extent of utilization of certificates and by: 31. Area 32. Industry 33. Type of certificate Percent distribution of certificates authorizing the employment of learners at wages below the statutory minimum, by extent of utilization of certificates and by: 34. Area 35. Industry 36. Type of certificate Numerical distribution of man-months for which the employ ment of learners was authorized at wages below the statutory minimum, by degree of utilization and by: 37. Industry Percent distribution of man-months for which the employment of learners was authorized at wages below the statutory min imum, by degree of utilization and by: 38. Industry Numerical distribution of certificates authorizing the employ ment of learners at wages below the statutory minimum, by degree of utilization and by: 39. Industry Percent distribution of certificates authorizing the employment of learners at wages below the statutory minimum, by degree of utilization and by: 40. Industry Numerical distribution of man-months utilized to employ learn ers at wages below the statutory minimum, classified by per cent of man-months utilized in the employment of teenagers and by: 41. Industry 120 APPENDIX B. — continued List of tables-continued Percent distribution of man-months utilized to employ learners at wages below the statutory minimum, classified by percent of man-months utilized in the employment of teenagers and by: 42. Industry Numerical distribution of establishments not utilizing or not fully utilizing learner certificates, by reasons for less than full utilization of certificates and by: 43. Area 44. Industry 45. Degree of utilization Percent distribution of establishments not utilizing or not fully utilizing learner certificates by reasons for less than full utilization of certificates and by: 46. Area 47. Industry 48. Degree of utilization Numerical distribution of establishments which utilized learner certificates but did not utilize teenage learners, by reasons for not employing teenage learners and by: 49. Area 50. Industry 51. Degree of utilization Percent distribution of establishments which utilized learner certificates but did not utilize teenage learners, by reasons for not employing teenage learners and by: 52. Area 53. Industry 54. Degree of utilization CHAPTER IX State Experience With Minimum Wage Differential Rates for Youth and Their Effect on Youth Employment This study of State experience with minimum wage differential rates for youth was under taken as part of the response to the Secretary of Labor's request for an evaluation of the ef fect of minimum wage legislation on youth em ployment in 1969. In their minimum wage laws, a number of States have provided for lower rates for minors than are required for adults, and State experience with the effect of these differentials might offer some clues to the desir ability of providing differentials based on age in Federal minimum wage legislation.1 As defined for the overall study, “youth" consists of persons 16 to 19 years old. However, those State minimum wage laws which have an age differential ordinarily use 18 years of age as the cutoff point after which youth differen tials do not apply. Therefore, investigation for this report tended to concentrate on the age group under 18 years of age, usually the 16 and 17 year olds, extended in some instances to cover the employment situation of 14 and 15 year olds. Thus, emphasis was placed on en trance into the labor market rather than on the employment experience of the older teenager over a period of time. This chapter was prepared by Juliet F. Kidney, Of fice of the Chief Economist, Bureau of Labor Statis tics. William Barron of the same Office made substan tial contributions to the development of materials for this section. Footnotes appear on p. 131. Very little “hard data” are available. This lack concerns all aspects of the problem, includ ing wages actually paid to youth; the number and percent covered by the State minimum wage; where youth are employed; and area dif ferences in employment and wages within a State. As a consequence, most of the following discussion is based upon individual experience, impressions, and opinions—gained, however, from persons closely involved with many aspects of youth employment. Information on actual experience with mini mum wage differential rates was obtained mostly by the Regional Offices of the Bureau of Labor Statistics in interviews with knowledgea ble persons in selected States in June 1969. Per sons interviewed included State officials con cerned with the administration of minimum wage and child labor legislation, representa tives of State Employment Services, staff mem bers of Federal employment programs, repre sentatives of vocational training and coopera tive-work programs of the schools, academi cians, officials of labor unions and employer as sociations, and personnel officers of those indus tries in which youth are chiefly employed (de partment stores, drug and grocery stores, banks and insurance companies, and other services). Time and resources did not allow careful study of each State, but each type of differential (age, 121 122 student, learner) was given some attention; one State, Illinois where the minimum wage law is inoperative, also was included. Although it might have been desirable to look at each State experience in relation to its economic and social climate, such information was not available. Within this framework, the study shows sub stantial agreement across the country on the effect of State minimum wage laws and various types of differential rates on youth employment. Information on other factors which affect em ployment of teenagers, used interchangeably in this report with youth, was developed as a by product and is included. Summary All but 13 States established minimum rates for adults. This total does not include Texas which has enacted minimum wage legislation effective February 1970. Most of these States also establish a differential rate for youth on the basis of age, education, or work experience, or exempt them entirely. The amount of the dif ferential may be as little as 5 cents or as high as $l!05. Somewhat more than half of the provi sions establishing a differential for youth pro vide for a rate which is from 75 to 85 percent of the corresponding adult minimum. On the basis of State experience, lower mini mum wage rates for youth than for adults do not resolve the paradox of high youth unem ployment in an inflationary economy character ized by high wages and tight labor markets. A major reason has been that, except for a few rural, agricultural, and resort areas, the differ ential wage rates for minors, students, and learners are sufficiently below the prevailing wage level as to present little inducement to youth growing up in an affluent society to work for minimum wages. For a number of young people, particularly those in ghetto areas, who are looking primarily for full-time jobs, wage and status expectations are not satisfied by an unskilled job, even that which pays the Federal minimum rate of $1.60 an hour. This attitude may be less prevalent among students in search of part-time and temporary jobs, but the opin ion was expressed that the Federal minimum wage establishes a psychological “floor” for wage aspirations of youth. In most States the high unemployment rate for those under 18 is attributed to safety and hour restrictions imposed by child labor laws, the youth attitudes toward work described above, and the lack of vocational training and preparation for entrance into the world of work. Other factors, such as “red tape” in get ting work certificates and employer assump tions as to lack of responsibility and dependa bility of young people, were important. There was also some feeling that employers often assume that it is illegal to hire youth under 18. In some cases, this attitude is consi dered to be a smokescreen to hide prejudice against hiring young people, particularly from the ghetto areas. State minimum wage legislation As of August 1969, 38 jurisdictions (36 States, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico) have laws which establish minimum wage rates. In addition, in May 1969, Texas passed a minimum wage law which became effective Feb ruary 1, 1970. Three States, Illinois, Kansas, and Louisiana, have laws which are inoperative, and 10 States have no legislation on this sub ject. Of the 38 jurisdictions which have active minimum wage legislation, 10 use an industry wage board procedure exclusively to set rates for specific industries, 18 have statutory mini mum rates, and the remaining 10 jurisdictions have both types. (See appendix A.) The last group consists of States where the industry wage board procedure was used for many years and was retained when the jurisdictions adopted statutory minimums. Thus, under some of the laws, wage boards have the power to es tablish a minimum wage for categories of work ers not covered by the statutory rates. In February 1969, an estimated 3.5 million workers2 were covered by State minimum wage laws only, compared with the 44.6 million em ployees covered by the Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA). An estimated 8.2 million nonsupervisory employees in the private sector were not covered by either the FLSA or State laws.3 123 Most of these exempt employees are engaged in executive, administrative or professional oc cupations, domestic service, or agriculture, or are government employees, outside salesmen, or taxicab operators. Some States exempt the small employer from minimum wage coverage; the most common exemption are that of employ ers who hire fewer than four persons. In seven States the legislation covers only women and minors (usuallyunder 18). In States which use the wage order procedure exclusively, coverage is most frequently ex tended to workers in beauty service occupa tions, laundry, dry cleaning and dyeing, manu facturing, public housekeeping, (ordinarily in cluding restaurants and hotels) and retail trade. Some States also cover agriculture, proc essing of agriculture products, and amusement and recreation activities. Youth differentials and exemptions Three major criteria—age, education, and ex perience—are used to establish differential min imum wages affecting youth in State minimum wage laws. The most obvious method of differ entiating is by a specific rate (s), lower than the adult rate, for persons under a certain age. Dif ferentials, including exemption, also may be specified for “students” and for “learners” or apprentices, with or without age specifications. In most States, “learners,” in actual usage, seems to apply primarily to those under 18. Other types of differentials occur in the form of exemptions. A State specifically may exempt all persons under a specified age, or certain occupa tions, such as domestic service, agricultural jobs, babysitting, golf caddying, etc., in which large numbers of youth ordinarily are em ployed. Differentials based on age The laws of 11 jurisdictions specifically pro vide for differential wage rates for youth less than 18 years of age across the board or in at least one industry: (1) California, (2) Connec ticut, (3) District of Columbia, (4) Minnesota, (5) Nevada, (6) New Hampshire, (7) New Jersey, (8) New York, (9) Oregon, (10) Wash ington, and, (11) Wisconsin. California and New York limit to 10 percent of the total number of employees the number of youth who may be employed at the differential rate in any one establishment. In Connecticut, a differential rate for minors is established for the first 200 hours of employment “to prevent curtailment of employment opportunities . . .” and “to provide a reasonable period during which training for adjustment to employment conditions may be accomplished.” The District of Columbia established a differential rate in the retail trade industry effective July 6, 1969, and also has a wage differential for part-time workers less than 16 years of age in all wage orders except retail trade. The youth differen tial provision in Minnesota relates solely to the amusement industry. Nevada establishes a 15cent differential for minors. New Hampshire stipulates that minors can be paid 75 percent of the applicable minimum. In New Jersey, Ore gon, and Washington, youth under 18 are ex empt from the prevailing statutory rate for adults but in certain industries are covered by wage orders which provide differential pay rates. Wisconsin establishes a 20-cent differen tial for minors in covered industries. In addition, Texas has adopted minimum wage legislation effective February 1, 1970, which will exempt dropouts under 20 from ei ther school or vocational training.4 Differentials based an educational status The minimum wage laws of almost half of the jurisdictions (22) make specific provision for students.5 Some of these provisions are lim ited to young persons, but others apply to stu dents of any age. Seven States exempt students wherever they are working: Arizona—students under 21. Maryland—regularly enrolled students working not more than 20 hours a week. Nebraska—those regularly enrolled in primary or secondary school, who work after school or dur ing vacation. New Mexico—those in primary or secondary schools; colleges and universities. Texas—students less than 20 years old.® Vermont—all students. West Virginia—students of any recognized school or college. 124 In Ohio students working part time are ex empt from the minimum rates set by the State’s Retail Trade Wage Order. In Rhode Island, students are exempt, except in the instance of four wage orders covering specific services and retail trade, which provide for differential rates. Fourteen jurisdictions provide lower rates for students either in the statute or upon appli cation by the employer. Most cases have an age cutoff. They are: (1) Arkansas, (2) California, (3) Colorado, (4) Delaware, (5) District of Columbia, (6) Hawaii, (7) Maine, (8) New Jersey, (9) New York, (10) Oklahoma, (11) Oregon, (12) Pennsylvania, (13) Rhode Island, and (14) Utah. Differentials based on experience All States except Indiana, Texas, West Vir ginia, and Wyoming permit the payment of lower rates to learners or apprentices. Although these provisions relate to inexperienced persons regardless of age, most State officials who ad minister State laws see learner provisions as having special importance for youth, many of whom lack experience and job training. More than half of the State laws which have provisions for learners and apprentices stipu late a differential rate in the law or wage order. (See appendix A.) The remaining States stipu late that special rates can be obtained by apply ing to the appropriate State agency. In many cases, lower rates for learners result from de liberations between State, employer, and em ployee representatives. Most States specify, or reserve the right to establish, the proportion of learners to the total number of employees, who can be hired by an establishment at the differential rate and the length of time for which the differential is in effect. This varies from 1 month to almost a year; the normal learning period is from 1 to 3 months. Exemptions The following jurisdictions exclude minors under a certain age from minimum wage cover age: Alaska—persons under 18 who are working part time (less than 30 hours). Indiana, Michigan, Oklahoma, Wyoming—persons under 18. South Dakota—persons under 17. Many State laws exempt industries and occu pations in which young people are likely to be employed, such as newsboys, shoeshine boys, caddies, carhops, ushers, and babysitters. Em ployees of summer camps and resort institu tions frequently are exempt. Not included among the 22 States mentioned above are the States such as Indiana and Wash ington, which exempt students who work at school, and those States which have special provisions which affect students, such as Wyo ming’s exemption of part-time workers from minimum wage coverage. Level of minimums and differentials The basic minimum wage rates currently in effect for adults range from 52 cents an hour in the Laundry and Dry Cleaning Industry Wage Order promulgated by Arizona in 1948 to $2.10 per hour in Alaska. More than half of the States which establish minimum wage rates have adult rates which are 30 cents or more below the Federal minimum of $1.60. Among the 11 States which specify differen tial rates for minors under 18, the amount of the differential is usually between 20 and 40 cents an hour. The minimum rate for youth ranges from 48 percent (Oregon) 94 percent (Minnesota) of the adult rate. (See appendix B.) For learners, most of the specified differen tials are between 15 and 40 cents. Rates for learners range from 52 percent (Oregon) to 95 percent (Minnesota) of basic adult minimum rates. Only one student differential is as little as 15 cents; more than half the student differentials range between 30 and 60 cents less than the adult minimum. Student rates as a percent of basic adult rates range from 34 percent (Rhode Island) to 91 percent (District of Columbia). In summary, more than half of the provi sions establishing a differential for youth pro vide for a rate which is from 75 to 85 percent of 125 the corresponding adult minimum. However, as a percentage of basic adult minimum wage rates, wage rates applicable to youth range from 34 percent stipulated in the Rhode Island Public Housekeeping Wage Order to 95 percent in the Minnesota Personal Service and Public Housekeeping Wage Orders. youth (and adults as well). A representative of an employer association believed that the “con stant raising” of the minimum wage forecloses the labor market to a larger and larger number of marginal workers. He maintained that even though inflation has decreased the impact of the minimum rates set by statute in 1968, these still deter employment of youth, and that the 30-cent differential for youth in the wage orders is eco State experience with factors affecting youth nomically important to the employer, especially employment the marginal firm. A representative of the Although attention was centered originally Coastal Area Farm Placement Office in Califor on the 11 jurisdictions which provide for pay nia stated that the minimum, which applies in ment of lower minimum wages to youth, defined California only to women ($1.65) and minors as persons under 18 years of age, reports on the ($1.35), resulted in such large increases in experience of States with other forms of differ wage payments that apricots are now sent to ential treatment indicate that in 1969 the type commercial drying yards for the slicing, pit ex of differential makes little impact on youth em traction, and drying formerly done on the ployment. Consequently, the description of farms; thus several hundred women and teen State experience is not confined to types of dif agers are cut out of summer employment. In this case, the youth differential appears to have ferential rates in the State laws. been of no value for retaining younger workers. A representative of the Retail Clerks Interna Impact of minimum wage differentials tional Association said about the February 1, In nearly all of the States covered by the 1968 wage orders, “every nickel or dime for box study, differential minimum wage rates applica boys decreases the number of them and the ble to youth, including exemptions, appear to closer you get to the journeymen rate the more have little impact on the employment of youth likely the employer is to hire an adult.” In Maine, where students working part time in 1969. The report on Massachusetts states, with regard to learners that “The minimum must be paid 75 percent ($1.12) of the adult wage was not considered a relevant factor by minimum rate ($1.50), State officials “believe anyone interviewed . . . Employers in all areas there would be considerable teenage unemploy report that they would not expect any teenage ment without this reduced rate.” However, applicants if they offered starting wages less since 1967 when students were brought under than the minimum wage.” Similar consensus oc the minimum wage law and employers said they curred in most of the other 25 jurisdictions in would not be able to hire them, student employ which investigation was made. In Colorado, ment increased. Michigan, North Carolina, and Oregon, how In Nevada, there is a $.15 youth dif ever, there was some indication that without ferential underwhere the adult rate of $1.30 and a exemption or differentials for youth under 18, total of 37.5 cents differential for girls under 18 youth unemployment might be higher in small for a 3-month probationary period, the Labor towns, rural, and tourist areas. Commissioner believes that more youngsters, In three States it was stated or implied, that the State minimum wage law has some adverse particularly in the smaller communities, are effects on youth employment—or would have hired because of these differentials. The report without differentials—but even in these States also stated that “some employers claim they are other factors were given equal or greater unwilling to hire youth because of the high min weight. California seemed to produce the imum rates, even with the youth differential, strongest and most numerous opinions—the ef but there appears to be no concrete evidence of fect of minimum wage on the employment of this.” 126 Several States indicated that the Federal minimum wage of $1.60 inhibits youth employ ment, whereas the lower State rate, even with out significant youth differentials, as in Idaho and Nebraska, does not have this effect. In those States which claim that differential rates for youth have little or no effect on youth employment, what evidence supports this assertion? How can the high youth unemploy ment rates, especially in the ghetto areas of the inner cities, be explained ? The argument has several sides. First, in most places, particularly in urban areas, a tight labor market and an inflationary economy have pushed the entry wage rate up to or beyond the Federal minimum of $1.60 per hour and thus well above most State minimums for adults, to say nothing of lower youth differential rates. As a result, there are few or no “takers” for those jobs which offer entry rates below the “going rate;” the lower wages have no mean ing. Secondly a number of other factors such as employer and youth attitudes, legislation, etc., directly inhibit employment of youth, especially those under 18 years of age. Another reason for lack of effectiveness of the differentials, is, of course, the exemption in a number of States of certain occupations and of smaller establish ments from coverage by the minimum wage law; thus many teenagers automatically are eliminated from coverage. However, freedom from the requirement of paying a minimum wage does not automatically cause the employer to hire a teenager—“other factors” conspire to prevent employment. Determination of actual wages paid to youth and the extent to which they surpass the mini mums is almost impossible without surveys giv ing a frequency distribution of wages. Lacking these, reliance was placed on the opinions of those concerned with the placement of teenag ers in jobs. Most major industrial States in the East and Middle West reported situations simi lar to the following: In New Jersey, entry rates for both full- and part-time, summer, and per manent jobs for teenagers were at or above $1.60, the Federal minimum rate. One large de partment store in Newark paid $1.56 to teenag ers, 16 to 18 years old, for clerical, stock, and material movement jobs, and stated “that peo ple doing the same job should be paid the same rate regardless of age.” f Insurance companies hired students for summer employment at “starting rates well in excess of Federal and State minimums.” Small department stores of fering jobs at the learner rate of $.90 an hour were unable to find workers. In summary, “youth differential rates, which are allowable in mercantile, beauty culture, and laundry, clean ing and dyeing occupations, ($.85 to $1.35 per hour) were described as being of little signifi cance in terms of impact on wages received by youth.” In Colorado, which has rates ranging from $.65 to $1 for students and learners (the adult rate is $1.25), inexperienced young workers in Denver were receiving $1.35 in hospitals, $1.55 in wholesale trade, and $1.15 to $1.30 in res taurants and “drive-ins.” For part-time work after school, boys were receiving $1.25 to $2 an hour. Rates were lower in the mountain and farming areas but still above the allowable min imums. In Ohio, a tabulation of wages paid by 54 food service and lodging establishments not covered by the FLSA showed that “few estab lishment minimums [for different occupations] were concentrated near the State minimums; thirty-six, in fact, had minimum rates of $1 to $1.24; 14 of $1.25 or more.” State minimums range from $.55 to $.75 per hour ($.80 per hour for 30 hours or less a week for women and mi nors, with a $.15 differential to each rate for learners. A corollary indication of the effectiveness of youth differential rates is found in the extent to which employers apply for permission to use these rates. A survey was made by the New York State Department of Labor in May 1968 of the utilization of youth rate certificates, one year after the youth rate ($1.35; adult rate of $1.60) was enacted. Of the establishments with certificates (77 percent were retail stores and 11 percent were restaurants), only 55 percent used them. Of these, 20 percent paid the youth rate to only “some” of the eligible youths. “Some increased the youth rate to the regular minimum shortly after the hiring date.” Thir ty-seven percent of all the establishments re- 127 ceiving certificates did not use them; they paid no one less than $1.50 because “they could not find youths willing to work for $1.25 an hour.” In New England, where, in every State, learners' certificates may be granted to employ ers on application, the BLS Regional Office re ported, there appears to be little use made of the reduced rate [since] there would be great difficulty getting people to work at wages lower than the minimum State rate . . . With the general exception of Maine, the entry wage of all inexperienced workers into most occupations is usually $1.60 to $1.80 per hour . . . Too many jobs are available at higher wages, and even the opportunity for some training does not seem to provide much incentive . . . In New Hampshire, where an employer can pay anyone under 18 years of age 75 percent of the minimum wage, State officials believe that most youth seekings work “find employment at wages around the adult minimum ($1.60).” Except for Maine, this same situation appeared to prevail throughout New England for students doing part-time work. In Hawaii, the use of differential rates for students has been limited—only 27 certificates issued to retail trade employers, although it was suggested that the increase in the adult mini mum from $1.25 to $1.60 on July 1, 1969, might cause increased recourse to this rate. In Idaho, only 85 learner permits were in effect at the time of the survey. Similar situations for utili zation of learner and student rates prevailed in Delaware, the District of Columbia, Washing ton, Oregon, and others. In the District, the re cently promulgated wage order for retail trade set an adult minimum hourly rate at $1.80 and a youth (under 18) rate at $1.60; both rates are to increase on July 1, 1970, to $2 and $1.80. Although there has been considerable outcry by District merchants, particularly department stores, to the extent of taking the increase into court, it is too soon to evaluate experience under this order. Some department store execu tives have stated that: The increase will add to inflationary pressures already existent in the community, strike a harsh blow to the competitive stance of D.C. retailers who are already struggling with a decline in busi ness, reduce service to D.C. residents through re duced shopping hours, reduce employment oppor tunities for youth, hard-core unemployed, and the handicapped, discourage new businesses from com ing into the city, and drive small retailers out of business. Nevertheless, when asked if the 20-cent differ ential might not encourage employment of teen agers, the same persons indicated that they would not hire them because of lack of skill, work attitudes, and so fourth. On the other hand, the personnel director of a leading drug chain indicated that: In view of the high cost of living and the attitudes of young people toward wages and work, the in crease in the minimum wage would not affect their employment. Our experience indicates that * lower rate would only increase job dissatisfaction and job turnover, and this chain will therefore not take advantage of the differential. Only token use has been made of a provision in all District of Columbia wage orders (other than retail trade) which allows payment of $1.45 per hour to workers under 16 who work less than 36 hours a week. Most of the learner provisions establish time limits to the training period at the reduced wage in a particular establishment or in an oc cupation. When this period is relatively Short, employers tend to ignore the differential. For example, in Connecticut where the time limit is 200 hours (5 weeks) and the differential is $.35 or a savings of $84 for the period, the personnel director of a major department store said the savings were outweighted by the expense of re programming the automated recordkeeping and payroll system at the end of the training period (assuming youth would accept the lower wage). In Washington, many employers do not “bother” filling out the form for the special per mit to hire at a lower rate for 480 hours because the savings of $120 over the full period and the lesser amounts for shorter periods are not suf ficiently great to warrant the bother. The Commissioner of Labor in Utah did not believe the learner/student differentials have increased youth employment but instead dis courage young workers who complain of dis crimination by these rates. Staff of the State Employment Service concurred but believed “wages received by youngsters would be lower without the State minimum.” 128 Other factors affecting the employment of youth Without exception, factors other than mini mum wage legislation were cited as of signifi cantly greater importance in the inhibition of youth employment. The principal ones are: Child labor laws, attitudes and conduct of youth, their lack of training and experience, employer attitudes, and economic conditions. Other causes include “red tape” involved in get ting differential rates or work certificates, union restrictions, and problems of transporta tion. labor l a w .7 All the major industrial States and some of the more rural, agricultural States included in the study cited various as pects of child labor laws as major restrictions on the employment of persons under 18 years of age and particularly of those under 16 years. Every State has a child labor law. These laws generally establish a minimum age at which a child may legally take a job, either for full-time work if he is legally out of school or for work outside school hours and during the vacation periods. Almost half the States set a minimum age of 16 for work in manufacturing establish ments. Most of the States set a minimum age of 14 for nonmanufacturing and nonhazardous employment ' vtside school hours. All but 5 States require an employer to get an employ ment certificate before employing a worker under 16. About half the States require such certificates for minors of 16 and 17 as well. Additional legislative safeguards for children are found in the limitation of daily and weekly hours for young workers and the restriction of employment during certain night hours. Most State laws allow a maximum 8-hour day and a 48-hour week or less for minors under 16; in fewer States, for those under 18. When children under 16 attend school and work outside school hours, almost half the States limit the number of hours such children may work or specify a maximum for the total number of daily hours spent in school and work. Thirty States and the District of Columbia prohibit night work after 6 p.m. or 7 p.m. for children of both sexes under 16 in all or most occupations. C h ild Limitations on hours worked appear to affect employment of minors under 18 in restaurants and “drive-ins,” theaters and other places of amusement and recreation, and retail trade es tablishments, particularly in suburban shop ping centers. The employment of minors under 18 on swing shifts in manufacturing establish ments also is inhibited. Employers who said they would otherwise hire minors find that the limit on the number of hours they can work creates problems because of the necessity to make exceptions. In the District of Columbia where girls under 18 years and boys under 16 cannot work after 7 p.m., retail trade employers stated that this was an important factor re stricting the hiring of youth, particularly part time. Twenty-four States have no night work prohibition for minors 16 and 17 years old, and in several of these States hours limitations may be used as an excuse when the employer does not want to cite other reasons. Fifty-one jurisdictions prohibit the employ ment of minors under 18, or under 16, in cer tain hazardous occupations and over two-thirds of these jurisdictions have given authority to the administrative agencies to declare other oc cupations hazardous. Many laws prohibit work in or about mines or quarries, on power-driven machinery, and the cleaning of machinery in motion. The Fair Labor Standards Act also pro hibits employment of children under 18 in cer tain hazardous occupations. These are incorpo rated in many State laws. Safety regulations on employment in hazard ous occupations although cited most frequently as preventing employment in manufacturing and construction, also affect service stations, department stores, and agriculture. In some States, the regulation that a youth under 16 or under 18 may not operate a gas pump prevents, in effect, the employment of young men in any capacity in service stations. The personnel man ager of a large department store in New Jersey stated that his company prefers not to hire mi nors under 18, partly because management is unable to keep a tight control over them to en sure that child labor laws are being obeyed. One 129 regulation keeps minors from riding in freight elevators; the regulation is widely posted, but enforcement is difficult and the store has been fined on numerous occasions. In Illinois, it is claimed that many manufacturers will not hire those under 18 even though they could legally do many jobs. Thus, they eliminate possible legal liabilities arising from unwitting exposure of minors to hazardous machinery. For exam ple, a transfer by a foreman, of a 17 year old from a bakery shipping department (nonhazardous) to a clean-up job in the mixing depart ment, would violate the FLSA. Related to safety is the question of insurance. In some States, liability insurance rates are double for youth under 18 years of age and employers are unwill ing to pay the higher premiums. However, a number of times the insurance risk was not greater for the younger group and employers have used safety restrictions and hours limita tions as an excuse, for not hiring teenagers. Although most States appear cognizant of the necessity for some regulation of working condi tions, they also indicate a real need to over-haul these long-standing provisions in the light of technological changes, advances in safety mea sures, and developments in the operation of re tail, restaurant, and service establishments.8 Y outh a t t it u d e s . In almost every State in which interviews were held, the attitude of the young worker was cited as a significant factor contributing to his unemployment. His wage ex pectations are unduly high and his concern about status eliminates many jobs from his con sideration. Many teenagers will not accept even the Federal minimum of $1.60 an hour for un skilled work; they prefer no work to acceptance of a “demeaning” wage for “menial” work. In the State of Washington, the teenager is concerned about losing prestige with his peers by working for a “low wage;” unemployment has more status. In Boston, Mass., despite con sistently high rates of youth unemployment, “there is an abundance of unfilled jobs for which almost any youth could qualify. These jobs pay $1.60 an hour but even the $2 jobs are unfilled.” In Detroit, “many will not take less than $1.60—many kids may have unrealistic ideas as to what their labor is worth to an em ployer.” In Minnesota, “a reduced wage wouldn’t excite kids looking for full-time work. Many expect $2 an hour, and a few feel $2.50 is the magic number.” The New Jersey report states that minimum wage jobs do not appear to provide sufficient motivation for many young sters to leave the ranks of the unemployed. In States scattered across the country, except for several mid-Western agricultural States, various officials are concerned about the lack of job orientation or motivation among unem ployed youth, particularly school dropouts who ask first about the wage and then about the type of work. This situation seems to be most acute with the ghetto youth, especially the Negro teenagers who have the highest rate of unem ployment. In Boston, as elsewhere, “the Negro youngster is seeking new identity and self pride. If a job does not pay $2.50 to $3 an hour, at least it should call for wearing a shirt and tie.” In major cities this study, the majority of youth who apply to the Youth Employment Op portunity Centers are dropouts or youth over 18 looking for full-time work. A high proportion are Negro. A good share of the jobs available through the Centers are in the service occupa tions (messengers, porters, etc.) or domestic work, which require little or no experience or education. However, these jobs are looked on as menial and low-paying. In urban New Jersey and New York City, domestic work pays $2 an hour or more plus carfare and meals, but the young Negro girl considers such a job as “slave status” and prefers a factory or clerical job even though it may pay less. Some students looking for part-time jobs after school and summer employment are less insistent on high wages; they are not willing, however, in the urban and suburban areas to accept a wage below the Federal minimum of $1.60 an hour. Lower wages are more accepta ble in rural, small-town and resort areas. E m p lo y e r a t t it u d e s . These attitudes of unem ployed teenagers have little appeal for the aver age employer. A number said flatly that they will not hire anyone under 18, ostensibly in 130 many instances, because of the safety and hours restrictions of the child labor laws. However, these reasons would be less important if the em ployer “could get a kid who is willing to work.” States labor and employment service officials, personnel directors, and employers in nearly every State cited the following as reasons for not hiring the younger teenager and, in some cases, those over 18, as well: “ Absenteeism is high and so is labor turnover” “Difficult to get kids to stick to the job” “ Stay only a few days” “ Don’t even show after referral” “Long hair” “Less dependable than adult” “Lack sense of responsibility” L ack of e d u c a t io n , t r a in in g , an d e x p e r ie n c e . An almost universal reason given by employers, and others, for not hiring teenagers looking for full-time jobs was the general lack of education and training. Experience seemed to be second ary at least for the under 18 age group. Em ployers in the District of Columbia cited lack of skills and lack of “knowledge of the world of work” as the greatest factors affecting the em ployment of young people. “The majority are ill-equipped in both education and the psycho logical sense to enter the labor force in a mean ingful and rewarding fashion.” In North Da kota, most jobs require some skill, and the “kids don’t have it.” In a number of States, employ ment blamed the school system, as in California where an employer association representative summed it up, as follows: Today’s youth are dumped on the labor market without any orientation. Kids don’t know how to look for a job. Youth are less productive, less pre pared in reading and arithmetic. High school grad uation is no longer any guarantee of ability to read and write. Employers also complain of extensive misrepre sentation of qualifications and work experience. A few voices suggested that employers might use these arguments—irresponsibility and lack of training—to disguise a general unwillingness to hire teenagers, and particularly the Negro ghetto resident. Most of these complaints, as well as those listed in the preceding section, were directed against applicants for full-time work; more fa vorable attitudes were voiced toward students as part-time workers and those in vocational training and cooperative work programs. Ot h e r fa c to r s . Several other factors were cited as having an unfavorable impact on the employment of youth. In about half the States covered by the survey, the complexities, or “red tape,” involved in getting work certificates for young people, or employer permits to hire stu dents and learners at reduced rates, were suf ficiently frustrating to cause some employers not to hire anyone under 18 (especially when the learner period is short) and some teenagers not to apply. For example, in North Carolina the BLS Regional office reported. The young jobseeker often feels it is too much trouble going through all the red tape . . . a trip to secure the forms, then trips for the health ex amination, school record, employment and birth certificates, and return trips to the issuing agency to secure a worker’s permit. Quite frequently, the youth are frustrated to the extent that they aban don the idea of employment. The overall feeling, however, is that procedures for securing a work permit should be made simpler for both the em ployer and the minor. In Pennsylvania There is a great deal of red tape involved before an employer can get permission to hire youth at the differential rate. Employers must apply in writing for permission to hire at $1 an hour. They must also submit a training program which is subject to inspection by the Bureau of Labor Standards. In addition, all minors under 18 years of age must have an employment certificate signed by the par ent or guardian, the minor, and the employer. This certificate must also designate the job for which the minor is being hired and the employer must obtain a new certificate every time the minor changes jobs. In about an equal number of States, employers found no problems with the relatively simple systems in effect. Some went further, as in Ore gon where one employer said the “work permit procedure was a help in his operations, reliev ing the company of a lot of investigative work by providing such information as proof of age and authority to work in his type of establish ment.” 131 For the teenager living in the “inner city,” the cost of transportation to suburban concen trations of industry may make the holding of a job an economic impossibility. This was cited as an unemployment factor in most of the large metropolitan areas. Union barriers to employment of youth under 18 appear to be significant, primarily for retail grocery trade and construction. However, in these industries, the limitations on night work and the ban on hazardous occupations, respec tively, seem to be of greater importance. In a few States, it was suggested that elimination of Social Security and Unemployment Insurance payments for part time and summer employees would encourage employers to hire more teen agers. Conclusions The report for the State of Pennsylvania sums up youth unemployment in the following terms: In general, there seems to be some sort of stand off. The youth in the labor force are unwilling to accept work at either the State or Federal mini mum wage levels and hardly anyone can be per suaded to work at the State youth differential wage. The employer is also unwilling to pay more than the minimum wage or differential unless he can hire someone who is skilled or at least had some type of vocational training. All people inter viewed agreed that there is growing pressure on the employer to hire at more than the minimum wage. However, they also agreed that the employer is reluctant to do so because of the quality of the workers he is receiving. and in New England In most of New England, employers did not usually find young people the ideal employee in terms of turnover, absenteeism, and motivation. Neverthe less, they seemed willing to employ all they could get. The high statistics rate of unemployment of teenagers seems paradoxical to many employers and employment agents as the job vacancies, par ticularly in the metropolitan areas, exceed the number of applicants. The jobs that go unfilled usually pay the minimum wage, require no skill, and perhaps appear to be dead-end to the young sters. Experience with ghetto youths further ac cented the fact that the youngsters were often seeking wages higher than the minimum wage, particularly when the job was not appealing. . . . The general conclusion of this brief study then is that unemployment among youth in the New Eng land region cannot be considered in the traditional sense of a simple unemployment model. The youth labor supply function seems to include variables at least as significant as the wage. Hinted at were such elements as the affluence of society, the exist ing welfare system, the moribund Protestant ethic, and the vastly different frame of reference with which many youngsters view work as part of their life. -F O O T N O T E S1 The Fair Labor Standards Act allows differential rates to be paid to learners, apprentices, messengers, handicapped workers, and full-time students employed in retail or service establishments or in agriculture if special certificates first are obtained from the U.S. De partment of Labor. 2Estimates of employees covered by State minimum wage laws only are for those States having minimum wage laws or orders enacted or revised from 1962 to December 1, 1968. For further information, see U.S. Department of Labor, M in im u m W age and M axim u m H ou rs S ta n d a rd s U n der th e F a ir L abor S ta n d a rd s A c t — su b m itte d to the C on gress —1969. 3Data on coverage in Puerto Rico and Texas are not included. 4This exemption does not apply to youth employed in agriculture who are paid on a piece rate basis. 5Provisions relating to cooperative education pro grams are not included. For information on States which have such programs, see appendix B. 6Law effective February 1, 1970. See footnote 4 page 266. 7 For a detailed description of child labor laws in the States, see Bureau of Labor Standards Bulletin 158 (revised), S ta te C h ild L a b o r S ta n d a rd s , U.S. Depart ment of Labor, 1965. 8 Some States are taking another look at their safety regulations. In Oregon, the laws were revised recently to allow minors to operate farm tractors and to act as helpers on trucks, thus creating additional jobs for youth. Officials in Connecticut have looked more closely at the occupations and industries presumed to be dan gerous and found that a considerable number could be eliminated from the prohibited list. 132 APPENDIX A Type of differential provisions in States minimum wage laws, 1969 Type of law establishing rate State Type of differential Comments Minors (under 18 unless otherwise specified) Learners Students Alabama___________ None_________ Alaska......................... Statute............... Exempts part time workers._____ Arizona____________ Wage order........ Exempt....................... Arkansas___ _______ California............... . Lower rate by application 12___ Specific rate Statute_______ Wage order____ Specific rate Colorado..................... Wage order____ Connecticut____ ____ Statute....... ....... Specific rate Wage order____ Specific rate Statute............ Wage order____ Specific rate _ . ____ _____ Specific rate Delaware___________ District of Columbia.. . Florida....... ............ . Georgia____________ None___ _____ Hawaii_____________ Statute_______ Idaho....... ............ ....... Statute_______ Illinois___ _________ Wage boards— inoperative. Indiana...... ................. Statute_______ Exempt. Iowa_____ _________ None................. Kansas_____________ Wage boards— inoperative. Kentucky____ ______ Wage order____ Louisiana___________ Wage boards— inoperative. Maine______ _______ Statute .. Maryland..................... Statute_______ Massachusetts_______ Statute ( 4) Wage order . ._ Michigan_____ _____ Statute. _ . . Exempt.......... _ Minnesota__________ Wage order. . . Specific rate.. _ __ ___ _____ Statute _ __ Statute Wage order __ New Jersey___ _____ St ,tute_______ Wage order___ New Mexico________ Statute _ __ New York__________ Statute _ ___ Wage order___ North Carolina....... . Statute ___ North Dakota_______ Wage order Ohio___ ___________ Wage order . . . No minimum rates have been specified. __ No minimum rates have been specified. Specific rate 2 . _ Exempt.......... ....... ) 0 Exempt . . . Exempt................ Specific rate. West Virginia_____ .. ........... ___ Specific rate. _______ Specific rate _______ Exempts those under 16, over 65.. _____ __ _ Lower rate by application Specific rate Exempt Specific rate Specific rate 0) Lower rate by application. o <2> _ Specific rate. ______ Specific rate 2_ _ _ _ _ _ _ Exempt___ Specific rate........... . . . _____ "Otherwise provided by law” __ Lower rate by application_____ Specific rate________________ "Otherwise provided by law” __ Specific rate________________ Specific rate________________ Lower rate by application_____ Specific rate___ ____________ Specific rate.. ____________ Lower rate by application____ Specific rate...................... ......... Specific rate__________ _____ Lower rate by application........... No provisions have been made for learners. Minors covered by wage orders only. Law applies to women and minors only. Minors covered by wage order only. Lower rate by application....... . Lower rate by application_____ Exempt 5. Specific rate................. ............ Specific rate__________ _____ Effective January 1, 1970. Law applies to women and minors only. Exempt...................................... Lower rate by application........... Exempt................................... . Specific rate________________ Statute ___ Wage order___ Statute___ _ Exempt Wage order___ -Specific rate Statute _ __ ____ _ .. Wisconsin. ________ Wage order____ Specific rate _ ________ ____ _ Statute Minors covered by wage orders only. Persons engaged in on-thejob training are exempt. Lower rate by application........... Law applies to women and minors only. Lower rate by application_____ <2) Specific rate________________ Exempt___ ______ __________ Exempt____________________ 0) Exempt permits or exemptions for those in co-operative education programs. 3*1Special Students working for the school or college they are attending are exempt. Indiana exempts trainees in embalming. No minimum rates have been specified. Lower rate by application_____ Specific rate________________ Lower rate by application . Specific rate........................... . Lower rate by application____ Specific rate____ ____________ Law applies to women and minors only. Specific rates for minors in amusement and recrea tion only. Specific rate_______________ Specific rate______________ Exempt12 Wyoming _____ . . . .......... ... 1 Vermont___________ _ _ _ _______ _____ Statute............ Exempt___ Statute __ Exempt Specific rate Wage order Pennsylvania________ Statute Puerto Rico______ . . Statute . .. Wage order Rhode Island........ ....... Statute _ .. Wage order___ South Carolina............. N one................ South Dakota_______ Statute ___ Exempts those under 17 ennessee.................. Texas__________ . . . Statute ___ Exempt if a “dropout” 5 Utah______________ Wage order____ Virginia____________ Washington.................. ( s) ( 2) Specific rate___________ ____ Specific rate. . Specific rate Oklahoma__________ Oregon____________ Lower rate by application_____ Lower rate by application____ Specific rate 1 Mississippi................... Missouri___________ Montana______ None....... .......... Nebraska___________ Statute _ ___ Nevada. _ ______ _ New Hampshire ___ (0 Lower rate by application Specific rate _ _ Lower rate by application Specific r a t e . . - . ...... ................ Law applies to women and minors only. Lower rate by application Specific rate. ._ __ _ __ Law applies to women and minors only. Specificrate.. Law appl ies to women and minors only. Lower rate by application Specific rate__ ___ _ _____ Lower rate by application....... . Specific rate..................... ........ 4 Massachusetts exempts those under 17 employed in agriculture. 5 If not employed in agriculture and paid on a piece rate basis. 133 APPENDIX B Basic adult minimum wage rates and specified1 differential rates by State, June 1969 Basic adult minimum wage Differential State Rate per hour Legal authority 2 _ __ General _ General. . . ._ Florida ___ Georgia _ ____ Hawaii _ _________ General _____ Illinois General___ _ _ Kansas Kentucky |onisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts General. __ _____ ______ _ __ _____ ___ General.......... ... _ ...... .......... . _ __ General.......... ... . . . ___ General Agriculture _ _ Wage order: Mercantile_________ ________ Others........................ _ _ __ Michigan General Minnesota_____ _____ Wage order: Amusement................ .......... Personal service Public housekeeping Retail________. . . Laundry Others Mississippi _ __ Montana Nebraska General General___ ____ ____ Nevada_____ New Hampshire____ _ General......................... New lersey General _ __ Mercantile . New York ________ _ _ _ 90 90 91 Learners.................... Effective 9/10/54 Learners............... Effective 9/12/48 Learners................... Effective 8/10/54 1.65 1.35 .30 82 Minors; students; learners. 1.1.6010 1.00-.60 .90 1.25 .25-.40 ..3520 80-60 82 78 .20 .15 89 91 1.25 1.80 1.60 1.60 1.45 None None $1.40 1.10—.95 .65-.55 1.125 1.04 1.60 1.60 1.25 .90 .85 « .85, .80, .75 . 00-.90 ‘ 1.00-.80 s.85-.70 e.85-.70 1.15 .75 .95-.85 .95-.75 .70-.60 61 6 1.1.3000 1.05 1.60 1.50 1.1..850200 _ Wage order: Hotel............................... .......... 1.60 1.15 1..925 20 < 1.35-1.25 1.25 1.60 1.30 1.60 See footnotes at end of table. 1.00 1.25 None 1.25 None None * .75-.65 None 1.50 1.30 1.60 1.50 General _ __ _ _ __ Agriculture, service employees___ General______________________ North Carolina General . ______ North Dakota______ _ Wage order: Dry cleaning__________ _____ Laundry............. ..................... . Manufacturing___ _______ _ Mercantile_________________ Professional, technical, clerical_ Public housekeeping: Chambermaid..._______ Waiter; kitchen help______ Telephone.................................. Comments» $.06 .05 .05 Wage order: Beauty culture. . _____ Laundry, dry cleaning, dyeing New Mexico Applicable to $.54 .47 .50 *1.25-1.00 ____________ _______ General______________________ Youth minimum rate as a percent of adult minimum .60 .52 .55 1.00 _____ __ _ _____ Colorado____________ Wage order: Beauty service ___________ Others........ .......................... . Connecticut_________ General___ __ . . . _______ ___ Delaware _ __ General District of Columbia___ Wage order: Retail trade........................ ......... Others __ _ . . . ____ _____ Amount of differential None $2.10 _ __ Alabama__ Alaska_____ ___ ____ General........................................... Arizona................ ......... Wage order: Dry cleaning __ _ Laundry _ _ Arkansas.„ California Rate per hour 1.25 1..9000 1.25 1.1.4500 1..9000 1.25-1.00 1.20 1.35 1.20 1.35 .90 .80 1.15 .75 1.30 .75 .65 1.00-.75 Learners............ ....... Students; learners.._ Minors;learners___ Minors;learners___ Students............ ....... Students............... Part-time workers under 16. Lower rate for under 16 years. .30-.45 79-68 .25 80 .10 87-85 .375 .26 75 80 Students__________ Under 19 years. Learners................... .70 .75 56 53 Learners............ ....... Learners................... .10, .05, .00 .05 .05 .15-.10 88-94 95-94 95-94 82-86 Minors................ . Learners__________ Learners__ _______ Learners................. .15 .125 .40 8888 75 Learners____ _____ Learners................... Effective 2/17/57 Effective 4/22/61 Effective 7/8/59 Effective 1/14/57 Effective 1/14/57 Minors___________ Learners............ ....... Girls 18 and under. Minors__________ Minors exempt from statute; covered by wage order s only. .15-.25 .25 .30 .50 .65 90-83 83 80 67 57 Minors___________ Minors __________ Learners__________ Minors _____ Students; learners... .25 .40 84 75 Minors . _ ______ Learners__________ .25 .40 84 75 Minors __________ Students____ _____ .15 90 89 92 75 90 Learners _ ___ _ Learners __ __ _ Learners _ _ Learners.. ____ _ Learners__________ .25 .25 .25 75 72 80-75 ...111000 .25 As of 1961 and 1962. Learners Learners__________ Effective 6/28/66 Learners._ _____ 134 APPENDIX B Basic adult minimum wage rates and specified1 differential rates by State, June 1969— Continued Differential Basic adult minimum wage State Legal authority 2 Ohio.............................. Oklahoma___ _______ Oregon_____________ Wage order: Cleaning, dyeing __ _ Food and 1edging Laundry____w__r____________ Retail trade________________ General___________ ____ _____ General_______ ________ ____ Wage order: Amusement, recreation Beauty shops____ Canning, freezing, processing,._ Homes for the aged, child care agencies. Hospitals, nursing homes Pennsylvania________ Rhode Island________ 1.1.2500 1.1.2500 1 1.25 1.2$ 1.25 .2$ 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 Minors...................... ................ 11.2$ .2$ 1.25 Office........ ............................ . Personal service_____ _____ _ Preparing poultry, etc____ . . . Public housekeeping_________ Telephone and telegraph______ General. _ ........................ ... General. _ ........................ Wage order: Laundry, dry cleaning________ Public housekeeping______ . . Restaurant and hotel_________ Retai 1trade________________ General.......... ... _ __ Wage order: Hotel, motel, tourist place, restaurant. Other... __________________ Virginia____ ________ Washington_________ General........................................... Wage order: General amusement, recreation.. Health care______________ ._ Laundry, dry cleaning_______ Manufacturing______________ Mercantile_________________ Public housekeeping_________ Theatrical, amusement_______ West Virginia________ Wisconsin___________ Wyoming___________ $ .91 ' 4.75-.S§ Laundry, cleaning, and dyeing.. Manufacturing_______ ____ _ Mercantile_____________ ____ South Carolina............ . South Dakota................ General Tennessee...... .......... . Texas____ __________ General. _ Utah.......... .................. General. . Vermont____________ Rate per hour Others______________________ General. _. _________________ General______ ______ ____ _ __ General_____ ____ ______ ___ Rate per hour $ .75 *.60-.40 .85 1.00 1 66 41.40-.06 1.40 M 1.00 .60 1.15 1..8500 6.7S-.65 1.00 6.0$-.75 .80 1.00 l.oe .85 .66 1..7500 .15 .15 .15 .25 83 80- 73 85 80 Applicable to Comments 1 Learners__ ____ Effective 1/2/63 Learners__________ Effective 2/1/65 Learners................. Learners................... .10 .65 .25 .40 .50-.60 .25 .40-.50 .45 .25 .25 .40 .6$ 48 92 80 08 60-52 80 68-60 64 80 80 68 48 80 60 60 Minors___________ Minors...................... Minors __ ........... Minors__ __ ____ Learners.......... ......... Minors................ ..... Learners.................... Minors___________ Minors___________ M m ors.._____. . . Students; learners... Minors _ . . All industries not otherwise covered. Learners . __ _. Minors...... ............ . Minors___________ Minors................. . Minors___________ Students;learners... .75 .85 .75 1.00 .25 .59 .50 .40 .50 .30 60 77 1.30 .55 .77-.57 .95-,85 .30 1.05 .83-1.03 .65-.75 81 34 48-36 59-53 Students___ Students........ Students___ Students___ _ .13-.78 1.0S-.9Q ..1202 81-78 91-90 Students Learners_______ _ 1.15-.75 .25-.10 82-88 Learners........ .......... 1.25 .1$ 89 Learners___ _____ 68 (without meals). om 1.00 1.00 1.1.06 1.0000 1.60 1.00 1.1.6060 1.30 1.30 1 Rates for students and learners may also be set upon application by employer. (S ee appendix A.) 2 Legislation (statute, wage order, or combination thereof) establishes same basic rate; wage orders are specified by name only where provisions vary among them; only those wage orders are included which establish differential rates. $ Youth minimum rate as a percent of adult minimum Minors exempt from statute; covered by wage orders only. 1.25 1.25 1.30 i.ee 1.60 .S0 1.60 1.60 Hone 1.06 Hen# 1.25 1.15-1.00 1.15-1.06 1.06 Amount of differential Minors exempt from statute; covered by wage orders only. 1.1.0200 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.90 1.25 1.00 1.25 1.1.2500 1.10 ..3500 ..3500 .60 .35 ..3566 78 63 75 78 78 78 63 78 63 78 63 78 Minors....................... Learners 7................. Minors 7 Minors._ Minors._ Minors.. _ Learners 7__............. Minors. _ Learners 7 _______ Minors Learners 7________ Minors .29 85 Minors .40 .35 .35 .36 3 Effctive date given for laws which establish an adult minimum of less than $1.00. 4 Rate varies by occupation or industry. 8 Rate varies by zone. 6 Rate varies by degree ef experience. 7 Applies to minors during first 48 hours of employment. CHAPTER X Youth Wage Rate Schemes in Western Europe and Canada and Their Effect on Youth Unemployment Modern industrialized countries have had varying degrees of success in coping with youth unemployment. Some such as the United King dom, Japan, Germany and The Netherlands have been quite successful. Others have more or less serious problems. A study of the relative successes and failures in this area is difficult be cause statistics are often deficient and not many useful studies have been made about the princi pal causes of unemployment among young peo ple. The most successful countries, in terms of maintaining low unemployment rates for teen agers, have not bothered to analyze the cause of their success. John W. Piercey, management consultant, prepared this chapter under contract for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Officials of governments, trade unions, em ployer organizations and foundations were interviewed in Canada (also the provinces of Quebec and Ontario), the United Kingdom, France and The Netherlands. Materials and views also were solicited by letter and telephone from people in seven provinces in Canada and from various individuals in the United Kingdom and France. The U.S. Labor Attaches and their staffs were most helpful in the countries visited. Appreciation is also due the foreign labor attaches assigned to Wash ington from the above countries and to various U.S. Department of Labor officials. Views expressed in this study are solely the responsibility of the author. Footnotes begin on p. 148, tables on p. 149. This study reviews unemployment among youth1 in three countries—the United Kingdom, France, and Canada. Shorter evaluations of the subject are made for West Germany and The Netherlands. Government, labor, and employer representatives were interviewed in all but West Germany. An attempt has been made to evaluate the status of youth employment, the factors contributing to the levels of unemploy ment, and in particular, the effect of the schemes of lower wage rates for young people. The general situation for each country can be briefly described as follows: In the United Kingdom, unemployment of both youth and adults is around 2 to 2.5 percent (table 10.1). There are good counselling and placement services and a large apprenticeship program. Youth enter employment at about 80 percent of adult earnings and, by steps, reach adult wages commonly at age 21 for men and 18 for girls. Unemployment data in France are not cur rent but adult unemployment is low and youth unemployment high—probably about 10 percent in early 1968. Counselling and placement serv ices are widely criticized as inadequate, and participation in apprenticeship programs is about half that of the United Kingdom. Youth 135 136 enter employment at about 70 percent of adult earnings at age 16 and reach the adult rate at 18. In Canada, adult unemployment was under 5 percent and youth unemployment just under 11 percent in 1968. There are the usual employ ment services available to youth but no special ized services except for students. The appren ticeship program is proportionally larger than that of the United States, but much smaller than most European programs. The rates for youth are not much below the minimums set for adults and have a brief duration. There is com pulsory schooling to age 16 and adult rates are effective at 17 or 18. The German and Dutch scenes are similar to the British—low unemployment for both adults and youth; good counselling and placement services, large apprenticeship systems and heavy abatements from adults rates, though smaller abatements in the German case. Canada, France, and The Netherlands— have statutory minimum wages. In Canada and France the minimum wage laws provide lower rates for youth. In all of the five countries but Canada, collective bargaining, in effect, also sets minimum wages by branch of industry. In these four European countries a system of lower minimum rates are included in the collec tive bargaining contracts. Thus youth rate schemes are in two structures: in statutory minimum wage laws and in collective bargain ing. Of the five countries only France has youth rate schemes both in collective bargaining and in the statutory minimum wage law. The United Kingdom has a type of quasi-collective bargaining in Wage Councils for the unorgan ized trades, which also set minimum rates for youth. The apprenticeship programs—which are a system of lower rates in themselves—have spe cial relevance to our study for (1) where they are large they provide employment security to a good portion of the young people in the labor force and(2) they provide for rates substan tially under adult wages and thus tend to deter mine the youth rate schemes outside of appren ticeships. Table 10.2 shows that the United Kingdom has double and Germany three times the relative number of apprentices as France. Apparently, where the mass of youth are in volved in apprenticeships, unemployment of youth will be low. What are the abatements in wages for youth ? In Canada the reductions are small—perhaps averaging 20 percent—and the duration for the individual is only a year or so. The reductions in the United Kingdom and The Netherlands are large and extend over about six years. In France the reductions are only 20 to 30 percent and, considering the compulsory school age of 16, are in effect about 2 years. The German youth rates are moderate but the apprentice ship program is, in effect, the system of reduced earnings for youth. Although there are many other factors—es pecially the machinery of assisting youth to find jobs—certainly the size of the apprenticeship programs and the extent of the application of the youth rate schemes have a definite correla tion with the rate of employment of youth in the countries considered. Youth unemployment levels result from a combination of factors. The number of youth in the population is very important. Here again West Germany and the United Kingdom have the advantage over the United States, Canada, and France. The machinery for helping youth make the transition from school to work is weak in France and strong in the United King dom and Germany. Indirect evidence exists that systems of lower rates for youth are essential to the achievement of full employment for youth. In some Canadian provinces—particularly in Quebec—the Minis try of Labour officials were quite positive that the lower rates were useful in placing youth in some kinds of employment and in some areas. In British Columbia the rate system was felt to be of no value in the present labour market. Government officials in Canada as well as other countries believed that the lower rates were nec essary and useful. Fearing that they might depress wages in al ready low-paying industries, trade union leaders in Canada were rather negative about youth rates. In the United Kingdom, trade unionists saw some possible abuses but in general thought the youth rates justified by the various liabili- 137 ties to the employer in youth labor. They felt that nonapprenticed youth must be paid rates that were similar to those of apprentices. Youth wage rates in France, according to a French trade unionist, are a means of exploiting youth who often produced more on the job and were paid much less. French labor-management con tracts have interesting examples of exceptions to youth rates when the youth’s training or productivity justify higher pay or when the youth is performing “adult’s” work. Except for Canada, where some provinces have recently adopted youth rates, youth rates have not been consciously considered as a means of counteracting unemployment among young people. In Europe, the system simply derived from a time when boys and girls went to work before they were physically grown and lacked skills and experience. It was natural to “pay a boy a boy’s wage.” Apprenticeships set the pat tern. Has the youth rate system a future in view of the rapid social and educational changes ? Youth now enter the labor market at a later age because of constantly rising compulsory school age requirements. With better diets they are healthier and stronger. They are better schooled and trained than their elders and may enter a firm now with training more appropriate for today’s technology than older workers. Added to these factors are the rising expectations and ambitions of young people. Do these changes make a youth differential rate system an anachronism? Some British respondents, in deed, saw the system disappearing in time. In any case some felt that there was need to rede fine “youth” and that the age of 26, 23, or even 21 was no longer a proper boundary between youth and adult. To what extent have youth rates, which are permissive and not manadatory on the em ployer, become traditional and universally ap plied where they are no longer justified? Can ada, where youth rates are rather new, does not have that problem and the lower rates are ap plied only in certain kinds of employment. Data on earnings of youth in the United Kingdom do not indicate many exceptions to universal appli cation of youth rates. Perhaps a country adopt ing a youth rate system for the first time would not tend to apply lower rates universally simply because the rate system existed in law. The experience in the United Kingdom British experience is especially valuable be cause the United Kingdom has been successful in providing full employment for young people (table 10.3) and because the system of lower rates for young workers is widely applied. The United Kingdom has only occasionally made labor force surveys; hence, data are based on administrative statistics such as registration at employment exchanges. Even if unemploy ment is understated, all evidence points to a very low rate of unemployment for adults as well as youth. Labor supply-demand is healthy as shown by the Monthly Statement on the Employment Sit uation for Young Persons issued by the General Youth Employment Executive of the Depart ment of Employment and Productivity which shows substantially more vacancies than un employed 15- to 18-year-old youths (table 10.4). Some regions varied in supply-demand but only in the Northern, Wales, and Scotland re gions were the number of unemployed and the vacancies nearly in balance. Girls were in a more favorable position than boys in all re gions. Those interviewed for this study stated that youth was much in demand in most communi ties and occupations. This demand was attri buted to numerous factors: (1) no social secu rity taxes for youth under 16, (2) preferen tially low rates on boys and girls in the Selec tive Employment Tax of 1966; (3) employers desire to protect their future labor supply; (4) the lower wage scales for youth both under the Wage Councils and in regular collective bar gaining; (5) the very extensive apprenticeship schemes with their lower wages; and (6) the new post-war attitude toward young people which places a higher priority on their role in society. Unlike France, the birthrate after the war did not put pressures on the labor market. From 1950 to 1956 there was a lower level of births—an age group which would now be com ing into the labor force.2 138 Extension of the school leaving age has had a moderate effect on the number of youth en tering the labor force. After the war compul sory schooling was extended to age 15, but the planned advance to age 16 has had to be de ferred until 1972-73 for budgetary reasons. Britain thus differs from France and other modern nations in this regard. Schooling beyond the compulsory age is lim ited to a relatively small percentage of youths. Although 91 percent of the 11-14 year olds and 57 percent of 15 year olds were enrolled in school, the proportion dropped to 24 percent at age 16, 12 percent at age 17, and 4 percent at age 18. In 1965-66, 509,000 left school to enter full time employment. This included 328,000 who were 15 years of age, 122,000 who were 16, 35,000 who were 17 and 24,000 who were 18 years of age or over. Most British youth enter fulltime employment by the age of 16. The po tential expansion of education to higher age lev els offers Britian a cushion to counteract unem ployment of youth in future years. Although the quantity of youth available to the labor market is expanding only moderately, the quality is unquestionably higher due to the extensive educational reforms underway in the post-war period. This improvement has two as pects: changes in the regular schools, and im provement and intensification of education and training for those at work. Training for industry has been the domain of industry, largely implemented through appren ticeship. The present apprenticeship system was organized in the Victorian age after the Elizabethan apprenticeship code had fallen into disuse. Unions and employers adopted a com pact based on 5 years of apprenticeship before the youth entered a skill and joined the union. Concomitantly training courses were developed in schools and technical colleges. These two sys tems had little coordination until recent changes.3 In the post-war period a number of studies focused on the inadequacies of the apprentice ship system, particularly its content, method, and organization. Boys and girls not entering apprenticeship needed training in new technolo gies and skills. A 1962 Government white paper said: At present, training for industry in this country is primarily the responsibility of individual firms, through Government, local education authorities, and other agencies such as the City and Guilds of London Institute are helping. A serious weakness in our present arrangements is that the amount and quantity of industrial training are left to the un-coordinated decisions of a large number of in dividual firms. The Government has therefore de cided that the time has come to strengthen and improve the existing partnership between industry, the Government and the educational authorities in the provision of industrial training.4 As a result of a series of studies, the In dustrial Training Act of 1964 was adopted. Its purposes are: to ensure an adequate supply of properly trained men and women at all levels of industry; to improve the quality and efficiency of industrial training; and to share the cost of training more evenly among firms. Industrial training boards have been established for 26 branches of industry covering 15 million work ers. A steady expansion of training programs and released-time attendance at government-op erated colleges has been developed for youth not included in apprenticeships. In 1968, 12 percent of the boys and 14 percent of the girls entering employment were in programs providing for planned training, often for outside school at tendance one day a week.5 The apprenticeship program remains a major channel for employment and training. Of the 256.000 boys who entered employment in 1968, 110.000 or 43 percent obtained apprenticeships. Only 7.4 percent of the girls were apprenticed. The Official Handbook for 1969 gives the num ber of apprentices as 112,000 for the construc tion trades and 800,000 for other employment, a total of 912,000. A comparable number in the United States in relation to population would be about three million. Although U.S. apprentice ships are restricted largely to areas such as con struction and printing, they are found in almost every kind of occupation and industry in Brit ain including agriculture, basic manufacturing, distributive trades, and insurance. 139 Though prevalent, the apprenticeship system has been widely criticized. Gregoire points out that no real supplementary training was being given a large proportion of apprentices.6 The training has often been called obsolete for the higher technology in today’s industry. Trade unionists interviewed thought in general that the training in many industries and occupations was too long. The trend is toward shorter terms of apprenticeship but most are still 5 years. The extent of the apprenticeship system de termines the level of young people’s wages. Var ious government, labor, and management repre sentatives were unanimous in stating that to pay adult wages to nonapprenticed youth would be impractical; but to pay standard low rates, such as 30 percent of adult wages for a 15year-old, to youth in apprenticeship programs would discourage youth from accepting appren ticeships. One of the principal factors contributing to high employment of youth in Britian is the ad ministrative structure for channeling youth into jobs. The main structure for aiding youth seeking employment is the Youth Employment Service, created under the Employment and Training Act of 1948. Its functions are: (1) To inform young people, their parents, and their schools about employment and careers; (2) to give vocational guidance to young people in their later years at school; (3) to help young people find suitable employment and employers to find suitable workers; and (4) to follow-up the progress of young people in employment and give further help and advice when needed. Although the Central Youth Executive oper ates under the Ministry of Labour, 500 youth employment offices are established at the local level by the school authorities.7 (If the school authorities fail to do so, the Ministry of Labour establishes the local structure.) This responsi bility for the schools is based on the principle that adequate guidance at the transitional stage from school to work (needs to be based upon a thorough knowledge both of the youth and of the field of employment. Although children from the more affluent (families do not usually avail themselves of this service, as many as 85 percent of school leavers get counselling and up to 40 or 50 percent are placed on their first job through this service. System of lower rates for youth The United Kingdom does not have a uniform national minimum wage system, although the Department of Employment and Productivity has made a study for possible adoption of such a scheme.8 Minimum wages are, however, estab lished by two kinds of agreements: (1) collec tive bargaining agreements which cover 14.5 million workers, and (2) agreements negotiated under the Wages Council System by labor, man agement, and public members for unorganized workers in 57 branches of industry and repre senting 3.5 million workers.9 In nearly all cases, both kinds of agreements provide for a scale of reduced wages for youth. The agreements set forth step increases by age, over a span of several years, until the adult wage is received. Boys and girls usually have separate schedules. The provisions for the youth rates vary as to age at which the adult wage is received, the number of years of step increases and the rate, or percentage of adult rate, at each step. Samples are given of the scale of youth rates for both the wages council system and regular labor management contracts in appendix I of this chapter. Youth rates commonly start at about 30 percent of adult rates at age 15 and reach the adult wage at 21 years of age for men and at 18 for women. This does not mean the women may surpass the men in earnings for women may earn only 70 to 90 percent as much as men. There is some tendency for the age for achieving adult earnings to be reduced. Re cently, for example it was reduced from 24 to 21 for shop assistants. The extent to which young people (age 20 and under) on lower wages are doing what might be called “youth” work rather than work normally assigned to adults is not known. Some contracts, however, do accept the principle that all doing adult work should be paid adult wages. Contracts for the cement and the rubber indus tries, for example, provide: “Juveniles em ployed on recognized adult work shall be paid 140 as adults.” The contract between the Union of Shop, Distributive and Allied Workers and the Retail Co-Operative Movement gave the follow ing scale for skilled butchery assistants, those having completed their apprenticeships and having passed the Craftsman’s Certificate Ex amination or the Meat Trades Diploma Exam ination: (rate pre month in shillings) A g e ___________ 18 Rate __________ 183/6 19 201/6 20 221 21 273/6 In this case, skilled operatives are paid substan tially less for no reason except age. Certainly a large part of the youth receiving lower wages are doing work equal to that of an adult. Some are doing boy’s and girl’s work— such as messenger boys and helpers. The employer must consider certain liabilities in hiring youth. Child protection laws limit overtime, weekly hours, night work, continuous work, and so forth. A special study commission recently has recommended some mitigation of such restrictions both for youth and women, os tensibly to improve their earning potentiali ties.10 Increasingly youth accept employment under agreement for a planned training program under which young people are paid while they attend college one day a week. In discussions with various management, labor, and government officials in Britain, there was an assumption that boys and girls are not worth as much on the job as adults. They are not as strong physically, have less stability, are more prone to accidents, are less experienced, and lack the judgement and reliability of adults. Some saw youth rates as a prolonged “learner’s rate” for the period when the youth is maturing and gaining all the physical, emotional, and attitudinal qualities of adulthood. Most respondents admitted that youth rates —even though modified gradually—extend to an age level which no longer can be character ized as “youth.” Some saw the system disap pearing in a squeeze between a drop in the age of applying the adult wage and the rise in the school-leaving age. Other justifications for youth rates have a broader context. One is the need of youth for less income compared with adults. Another, given by a trade unionist, was that without the gradual steps to an adult wage youth would have nothing to look forward to, nothing to whet his ambitions. The minimum rates for youth are substan tially below those for adults but are they uni versally applied in practice or, as some officials suggested, are youth often paid at rates higher than these minimums? The half-yearly survey of earnings made by the Department of Em ployment and Productivity would indicate that youth rates are widely applied.11 In the October 1968 report of hourly earnings in manufactur ing industries, men over 21 were making ap proximately double the earnings of men under 21, and the same held true in other occupations. The differences for women and girls were less pronounced because women have substantially lower earnings. The disparity is even greater in weekly earnings as child labor laws limit over time earnings. (See appendix II for hourly and weekly earnings by age.) Conclusions of British experience An evaluation of the usefulness of the youth rate system in counteracting unemployment is difficult. A number of officials interviewed thought that youth rates had nothing to do with the high employment rate. However these officials conceded that fewer youth would be em ployed if they had to be paid at adult rates. One said that an employer might well say: “This job is worth so much to me—if I can hire a worker at that price I will do so—otherwise the job can remain vacant.” An official of the Transport and General Workers Union said larger employ ers commonly take on far more young workers than are needed because a young worker at age 15 can normally be employed for about one-third the wage of a man. The employer may take on youth generously as he is building up and training a future labor supply. Most indus tries and areas compete for young people. How ever several trade unionists commented about demoralizing effect on the attitude of young workers when there was not sufficient work to keep them usefully employed. Although it is impossible to evaluate the fac tors making for full employment of youth, 141 from 1962 and preliminary data from the 1968 census. Otherwise only administrative statistics and studies of limited scope are available to es timate the rate of unemployment for the 15-19 age group. Such an estimate would place youth unemployment at about the 10 percent level. Among factors which affect the level of youth unemployment is demography. Unlike the United Kingdom, the postwar baby boom has boosted the youth segment of French popula tion (table 10.6) significantly. This trend would have been greater without the advance in the compulsory school attendance age to 16. Table 10.7 shows the distribution of youth aged The experience in France 15-24 among various activities. The data in the last line of that table raises the question as to The United Kingdom and France are alike in whether unemployment of youth has not been many ways—size of population, level of in seriously understated. Possibly a good part of dustrial development, and development of edu the inactive youth are unemployed by generally cation. Although both have a low level of adult accepted standards. If half are unemployed, the unemployment, youth unemployment is low in of unemployment of this age group would the United Kingdom and rather high in France. rate be over 12 percent.12 France like the United Kingdom has a system Estimates of youth unemployment vary of lower rates for youth. The structure and ap widely. One study by the Social and Economic plication of these rates are different. France Council (SEC) suggested that as many as has a statutory minimum wage—Salaire Mini 500,000 youth under 18 were unemployed. In mum Inter-professional Garanti (SMIG) — another study the SEC said the figure might be which was established in 1950. SMIG probably anywhere from 170,000 to 400,000. Norbert does not affect more than 10 percent of the Alise, head of the youth section of the French labor force, primarily those in the unorganized sectors of the economy such as small textiles Confederation of Democratic Trade Unions and woodworking manufacturing and retail (CFDT) places the current figure at 350,000. trade. The rest have minimum rates set under Officials in France indicate the following collective bargaining, as do other European other causes of unemployment: countries; minimums under collective bargain Young immigrants—many from Italy—have ing are also “contracted rates.” Under both a language handicap. They lack general educa SMIG and the private sector agreements, there tion and vocational training for modern indus is a system of reduced rates for youth under 18. Rural youth lack general education, voca The SMIG system is very simple and provides try. tional training, and mobility. They are willing for percentage reductions from adult wages by to relocate, but are restricted by lack of infor steps from 14 to 18 years; no special considera mation jobs, difficulty in finding housing, tion are made for zones, sex, or occupations. and lackabout of government to facilitate mov The provisions in regular collective bargaining ing. Family and friends help pressure them to stay contracts are similar but more consideration is home; when 19, men enter the military given in applying the abatements to such factors as seniority, competence, and equal pay for services.13 Employers are reluctant to hire youth who have not completed their military equal work. Because no labor force surveys have been service. For this reason, the draft age may be published since 1964, France lacks adequate sta lowered to 18 years and shortened from 16 to 12 tistics (table 10.5). There are the census figures months. cheapness of this factor of production appears to be a major reason for its full utilization. None of those interviewed thought that in to day’s full employment, young people were tak ing jobs away from adults to any significant extent. Obviously this would tend to be the case if there were considerable unemployment. Nor was the practice of laying off a youth when he reaches the age to receive adult wages seen as more than a very rare occurrence. This practice too might be different in a recession. Today, youth often leave an employer when the appren ticeship or other planned training is completed. 142 The rapid change in production methods and technology has caused additional hindrances to employment. A decline in some trades and an expansion in others have caused a drop in de mand, especially for the poorly trained. Agri culture, the source of jobs for rural youth in the past, needs fewer workers. The metal industry, a traditional place of youth employment, now requires less handwork and more experienced workers. Between 1948 and 1966, youth employ ment declined from 3.8 to 2.6 percent of total employment in metal industries though employ ment increased. Textiles and clothing, another employer of youth, have declined and employed fewer workers. Transportation, the one bright exception to employment decline hires youth without “qualifications” and is not affected by limitations imposed by child protection laws. Location has much to do with unemployment. “In certain departments, the figures on youth unemployment reach alarming proportions: 30-40 percent in the North, Pas de Calais, la Loire and la Marne, and 46 percent in Haut Rhin.”14 Youth’s interests and ambitions are incom patible with job opportunities. Thirty percent of the young people wanted the 3 percent cleri cal jobs available; 9 percent wanted the 6 per cent commerce jobs available; and 12 percent wanted the 5 percent metal industry jobs avail able. Thus, in the absence of career guidance, youths base their job goals on circumstances rather than reality.15 Bureaux de Placement, the employment serv ice, employs only 8 officials for each 100,000 population, compared with 37 in the United Kingdom and 59 in Germany, and places only one in four young adults who bother to apply. A study by L’Union Nationale des Associations Familiales (L’NAF) reported that the 257 young people in the study sought jobs in the following ways: friends, 13 percent; family, 37 percent; employment service, 12 percent; news papers, 30 percent; and other methods, 8 per cent. Among employers covered in the study: 61 percent said the employment service would not refer suitable candidates; 20 percent said work ers ignored the service; and 48 percent said the service was inefficient. The L’NAF study con cluded: “It is reasonable to suppose that the young hesitate to waste time in long and fastid ious administrative formalities with so little chance of success.”16 Alise of the CFDT said that trade unions have demanded that employment services be im proved and that a special youth employment office be set up to service young people. He indi cates the present difficulty lies in a lack of coop eration between the schools and employment service. Because of limited work experience, un employment compensation is available to few youth. Only 4 percent of those under 18 have drawn such benefits. France has recognized its educational defi ciency in preparing youth for the needs of a modern economy and has restructured its sys tem. Compulsory schooling has been advanced to age 16; class will be de-emphasized; every youth will receive the education he needs. All children finishing the lower school at about age 11 will attend a 4-year secondary school. A vo cational course has been designed for those re sisting traditional subjects. Adult evening classes will enable older work ers to advance in their jobs. According to the Ministry of Social Affairs, L’UNEDIC, and LTNDEC, only 50 percent of the young workers studied had at least three years of vocational study; 25 percent had from three to six months; and 25 percent lacked any training. Forty-five percent were without a general diploma; 50 percent possessed a Certificat d’Etudes Premier Cycle du Second Degre (primary school, nor mally finished at age 12) ; and 6 percent the Brevet d’Etudes Premaires Elementaries (sec ondary school finished at age 16). Over 70 per cent had no technical training. A number of training programs which were originated for other groups, such as adults and Algerians who repatriated, have been used on an ad hoc basis to train youth, usually after military service. A new program has been pro posed which would place 50,000 young unem ployed through established training centers. Training and evaluation of abilities would be emphasized rather than placement through training as is done with the manpower develop ment and training programs in the United States. 143 After the “spring rebellion’’ of 1968, employ ers feared the infiltration into their firms of revolutionists who might disrupt production and were afraid to hire youth, according to M. Guillen, an official of the Metal Industry Feder ation. Some writers discussing youth unemploy ment have indicated that the social measures promulgated by the government after the re volts may have hurt youth employment. To pay for these measures and to protect the Franc, economic action was imposed which caused some retrenchment in all hiring. By using a formula and taking into account the number of adults and other factors, CFDT, the trade union federation, has suggested that employers be assigned quotas of young people to employ. Employers might argue that this radi cal view is premature because of the serious deficiencies in education, training, counseling, and placement. French system of lower rates for youth The similarities of the British and French youth wage schemes are more in form than in application. The French scheme is less universal and has less impact in earnings and time re quired for a youth to reach the adult wage. In the United Kingdom, youth start at about onethird of the adult wage; it takes six years to reach the adult wage level. Although rates are provided in the French scheme for 14-15 year olds, school attendance is required to 16. As adult wages are paid at 18, youth rates are effectively limited to 16 and 17 year olds. The statutory minimum wage rates for youth are set as a percentage of SMIG rates for adults as follows: 50 percent at age 14, 60 percent at age 15, 70 percent at age 16 and 80 percent at age 18. The wages of far more youth are affected by labor-management contracts than by SMIG. Ex cerpts are given from contracts in a variety of industries in appendix III. Some industries fol low the SMIG pattern quite closely; others have modifications. Where piece rates are in effect and youth are assigned to adult jobs, young workers will be paid as adults (textiles, baby buggies). Some contracts provide that if youths have “professional” training they will be paid as adults. Others indicate that the full reduc tions will not be implemented if the young worker justifies higher pay by his “productiv eness.” The drug industry provides that “if quality and quantity are equal to that of adults, the pay will be equal.” In the absence of any comprehensive study, there is no way of judging the extent to which individual employers apply, modify or waive re ductions. Rate differentials for youths are per missive, not required. Comparison of earnings of youth and adults would be valuable, but data on earnings are not current. Studies of earnings from 1964 data give some indication of compar ative earnings for youth. A study of low in comes by the Institute National de la Statistique gives the percentage of each age group making less than 5,000 francs annually: all ages, 16.7 percent; 14-17 age group, 86.7 per cent; 18-20 age group, 37.9 percent; and 31-40 age group (which had the highest earnings), 7.7 percent. The same study gives annual earn ings for various age groups of workers: less than age 18, 3,015 francs; 18-20, 5,616; 31-40, 9,405; all ages, 8,208 francs. Earnings in white-collar occupations were slightly higher than in “worker” categories but ratios between age groups remained about the same.17 In another study, Conditions of Life and Em ployment of Young Workers,18 average monthly earnings in 1964 for youth were as follows: 15-19 age group, 419 francs; 20-24 age group, 541; both age groups together, 488 francs. Av erage earnings for all ages were 872 francs, about double that for youth. Youth earn sub stantially less than adult workers—undoubtedly in part due to the abatements in rates under SMIG and under collective bargaining. Conclusions of French experience In the absence of more complete and current statistics and other pertinent information, an evaluation of the usefulness of the youth rate scheme must be based on plausible rather than completely verifiable facts. Compared with its adult unemployment rate France ranks rather high among the nations which have serious youth unemployment. Contributing causes in- 144 elude: sheer numbers, the backwardness of youth services—vocational training, counsell ing, career guidance, placement—the interfer ence of military conscription, attitudes of em ployers toward youth, rapid changes in the structure and distribution of industry, and changing technology. If the lower rates for youth did not exist, youth unemployment would be even more seri ous. France demonstrates that more is involved in achieving full employment than cheapness of youth labor. The one big difference between France and Germany, is the apprenticeship schemes which are several times larger in Ger many than in France. In the United Kingdom and Germany, youth can choose security as ap prentices even though these schemes may be de ficient to prepare him for modern technology. France plans an educational reform which may therefore prepare her youth for modern econ omy. But while she is trying to realize these visions, her youth are suffering burdensome un employment and frustration. The Canadian experience Many similarities exist between the culture and economy of Canada and the United States. Both countries have high standards of living, unions that are linked closely, and similar edu cational systems, labor training and apprentice ship programs, labor laws, and unemployment rates. In recent years Canada has had slightly more unemployment. There are differences too. Canada has no ra cial or ghetto problem if one excepts the rather dissimilar and much smaller problem of the In dian. Canadian cities are not as large, so urban decay is not so serious; nor are homes far from new industries. Canada has no compulsory mili tary service to absorb part of its youth man power. Finally, in labor and manpower ques tions the provinces are far more important in relation to the Federal Government than our States are to our Federal Government. Both countries have a statutory minimum wage system at both State or Provincial and Federal levels. In the United States the Federal minimum wage is predominant; in Canada the reverse is true. Unlike the United States the Canadians have adopted at both levels of gov ernment a lower schedule of minimum wages for young people. Unemployment has been rising in recent years. Not only is the rate higher, but the ex tent of both long-term unemployment and un deremployment among youth is more pro nounced. The long-term unemployment rate of the 14-19 age group is approximately double that of the 25-44 age group.19 Underemploy ment is serious too, but exact figures delineating voluntary from involuntary underemployment are not available. Female unemployment in Canada is lower in all age categories. Although unemployment among young people is high relative to adults, some Canadians do not consider the problem urgent. Canadians think that the present rates indicate the normal restiveness of young people in finding their way—slowly and fitfully—into the world of work. Indicating that necessity and deter mination are useful prods to successful job seeking, one official noted that young workers who marry early are seldom unemployed. The Canadians are concerned very much about student unemployment. This concern is based upon the particular educational structure in Canada: (1) Canadian Colleges have a 5month summer vacation, from April to Septem ber—thus the students are on the labor market about half the year, and (2) the fantastic in crease in college enrollment, much of the influx is youth from lower or middle income homes who must support themselves. In 1958-59 there were 94,994 college students; in 1967-68 there were 305,000 or a yearly rate of increase of 12 to 15 percent. A national campaign, similar to our Youth Opportunity Campaign, financed by the Federal Government and calling on coopera tion of business, is underway. The Canadian Congress of Labor (CCL) has no youth section and the labor movement has given little atten tion to this problem. The one active and con cerned group seems to be the Jeunesse Ouvriere Catholique (JOC), the youth section of the Catholic trade union movement. The system of lower minimum rates for youth A system of minimum wages under law is in 145 effect in all the provinces and in the Federal jurisdiction. Under these laws there is in all cases a schedule of lower rates for young work ers, students, learners or for certain categories such as newsboys and messenger. A summary of these rates in comparison to adult minimum rates is given in appendix IV. Unlike the United States, the proportion of workers under the Federal jurisdiction, 600,000 or less than 10 percent of the labor force, is relatively small. In the Federal jurisdiction, the reductions only apply to those under 17 years of age and to industries in which child labor laws restrict participation. Because most people leave school at age 16, there is in effect only a one-year application. As a result Federal officials estimate that not more than 3,000 youth earn rates paid youth or learners and students. The differential of only 25 cents (the adult rate is $1.25, youth $1) would have little impact in any case. In view of these factors, one can say that the youth rates under the Federal ju risdiction have little significance. The youth rate systems in the provinces have a varied history and structure. Some date back several decades: British Columbia to 1919; oth ers, very recent; and Newfoundland to 1968— too recent to evaluate its effectiveness. The pur pose of the youth rates varies but all rationales, whether verbal or written, have a common theme. An official of the Saskatchewan Depart ment of Labor suggested: “to encourage and integrate the young person, the student and the inexperienced into the labor force.” Unlike most apprenticeship schemes, the rates in the provinces and in the Federal juris diction are given in absolute terms rather than as percentages of adult rates. There are no steps by age. The differentials are not large, usually about 20 cents under the minimum rate for adults; some instances are as great as 40 cents and one as small as 5 cents. The common age for attaining the adult rate is 18; in Sas katchewan it is 17. Thus youth rates exist within rather narrow limits—both as to amount and as to duration. Typically a youth would work below the adult minimums for about a year. In some areas and occupations the demand for labor is such that employers do not offer youth less than adults. An official of the Minis try of Labour of British Columbia in a letter to the author said: “It should be pointed out that in affluent times such as are being experienced at present, minimum wage rates do not have much effect since employers find they have to pay more than those rates in order to obtain employees.” All provincial officials interviewed indicated that youth rates are useful in counteracting un employment and in introducing young people into working life. In a letter submitting data for this study, Laureat Beaulieu, member of the Canadian Commission for Minimum Wages, said: “I would rely on the information provided by our own inspectors to the effect that in the majority of establishments where youth under 18 were hired, it was mostly due to the differ ences in rates.” None of the Provincial officials could supply statistical evidence about the effect of the youth rates. These officials did think the rates were helpful, except in areas and occupations where the labor market was tight and where employ ers were perfectly willing to pay the full adult wages, even when these were substantially above the adult minimums. In the United States the minimum wage of $1.60 is about 56 percent of average hourly earnings; in Canada the differences are greater. For a 40 hour week, typical weekly earnings in January 1969 ranged from a low of $60.62 in personal services to a high of $127.82 in trans portation.21 Consequently, employers may hire far below average earnings without resorting to youth rates. Sectors in which youth rates were imple mented included: service trades, retail stores, hotels and restaurants, rural factories such as those making wooden articles, textiles, and clo thing. Disadvantages and criticisms of Canadian youth rate system In this study, government, labor, and man agement officials were queried about the possi ble unfavorable side-effects of the youth rate system. Nearly all the government officials— 146 both Federal and Provincial—said they could observe no abuses or disadvantages, though some reported criticisms by unionists and oth ers. In Quebec and Nova Scotia, the officials said the lower rates for youth might cause some displacement of older workers or family heads in favor of youth. A number remarked that the youth might be laid off when he reached the adult wage. The attitude of trade union leaders range from negative to passive. In general those inter viewed doubted that the youth rates have any usefulness in introducing youth into working life. Some mentioned that the lower youth rates might pull down the general level of pay in un organized trades. Officials of the Canadian Con gress of Labor (CCL) and of the Ontario Fed eration of Labor thought the system would only assist youth in finding jobs in the service and marginally profitable industries. The CCL has passed no resolutions on the subject but officials interviewed were personally against the scheme. According to Labor Ministry officials in Quebec, the Young Catholic Workers (JOC) ap proved the adoption of the scheme in that prov ince in 1965 but continued to criticize the level of the youth and adult minimums. When asked whether youth should receive less pay than an adult for work of equal value, trade unions and others usually answer “no.” Most assumed, however, that in general youth do not perform wotik of equal value to an adult because youth lack training, experience, and the disciplines of working steadily and effectively. Conclusions of Canadian experience It is difficult to measure the effectiveness of the system of youth rates in Canada when no statistics are available on the number of youth working under them. No one in Canada from whom information was obtained in this study thought that the youth rate system was vital in counteracting youth unemployment but many felt it had some usefulness in particular occupations and labor markets. The impact of the youth rates are limited by the relatively small difference with adult mini mums and the rather large difference between the latter and average earnings. The short span in which they would apply—between the school leaving age and the incidence of the adult wage —further limits their impact. The schemes for learners, youths, appren tices, and students undoubtedly help ease young people into the labor market. Unless ac companied with a general plan affecting educa tion, vocational guidance, training, mobility and other factors, the youth rates, taken alone, do not play a major role in youth employment in Canada. West Germany Unemployment among young people of West Germany is so low as to be negligible; all age groups have low rates of unemployment. Labor market data for May 31, 1969 showed the unemployment rate as 0.6 percent—a total of 123,000 jobless, while there were 800,000 registered job vacancies. This report showed a total of 4,554 unemployed below the age of 20, barely 3.7 percent of the total jobless. Duration of unemployment is not a problem either. A report from the Federal Employment Service for September 1968 showed that 65 per cent of the male and 61 percent of the female unemployed under 20 years of age had been un employed for less than a month. Consisting al most entirely of frictional unemployment or the unemployables, unemployment in West Ger many approaches the irreducible minimum. The above data are based on registrations rather than a labor force survey, so it does not account for hidden unemployment. Officials, however, believe hidden unemployment is very limited. Germany has effective machinery for chan neling youth into the working life. As in the United Kingdom, counselling is well provided for. About 84 percent of all school graduates were assisted by the government-sponsored service in 1965-66. Unquestionably a major factor in the full em ployment of youth in West Germany is the ex tensive apprenticeship program. About 80 per cent of all German youth become apprenticed— a proportion even higher than in Great Britain 147 —employment is guaranteed as well as train ing and opportunity for future employment. Approximately 1,400,000 youth are apprentices in West Germany. that some employers short change apprentices in their training while exploiting them as cheap labor. The unions have not been satisfied with legislation to eliminate these evils. The youth rate system in West Germany Conclusions of West German experience West Germany has no minimum wage legisla tion but labor-management agreements have the practical effect of setting minimum wages. The negotiations establish regional industry wide wages and working conditions. A review of selected collective agreements in major in dustrial sectors shows that as a general rule “standard rates”—that is adult rates—are paid at age 21 for blue-collar workers and at 25 for white-collar workers. Younger workers have re duced rates graduated according to age. How ever, variations by industry exist; for example, workers under 16 are paid 60 percent of adult wages in the metal industry and 70 percent in the chemical industry. In food processing, youth wages amount to 80-90 percent of the adult wage and in retail trade, 75 percent. According to Federal Labor Ministry officials, the youth rates were meant to reflect lower efficiency and productivity of the inexpe rienced young workers and the step increases by age to compensate for their gradual im provement in skill and efficiency. The lower rates for youth are not seen as a tool for coun teracting unemployment. Surveys of earnings of adults and youth show a remarkable correlation with the rate system. In a survey by the Federal Statistical Office in 1962, average hourly earnings for male workers over age 18 were reported to be DM 3.57; for male workers under 18, DM 2.58—a differ ential of 30 percent. Average hourly earnings of female workers over age 18 were DM 2.62; those under 18, DM 1.83—also a differential of 30 percent. A very large part of youth who work for less than adult rates are in the apprenticeship pro gram. Youth are normally apprenticed for 3 to 3.5 years, beginning at about one-third the adult wage rate. The employer is supposed to provide training and observe child protective legislation. The trade unions often have charged The German system is more moderate than the British and Dutch systems in the amount of the abatements in youth earnings and in their duration. The lower rates seem to be tailored to compensate for the genuine lower productivity of youth labor more than the other systems, and to equalize the attractiveness of adult and youth labor in the marketplace. Does the youth rate system serve any purpose? Probably not with the present heavy demand for labor. When the demand for labor was less, the 30 percent differential for youth labor helped ease young workers into jobs. The Netherlands The Netherlands is a good example of a small nation determined to maintain full employment for adults and youth. Close labor-management cooperation made possible a high degree of so cial and economic policy coordination. Wage re straint, coupled with a high investment rate, made possible post-war reconstruction and in dustrial expansion. The government has fol lowed an active labor market policy to stimulate employment by channeling new industries to areas of labor surplus and by relocation of workers to areas of high demand. Standby pub lic works absorbed much of the redundant labor. These policies have resulted in rather full em ployment throughout the post-war period al though both youth and adult employment have been affected somewhat by the business cycle. At times there has been concern about the level of youth joblessness. In 1967 and 1968, youth unemployment, reaching a peak of 4.2 percent in January 1968, was higher than that for adults. In recent months youth unemployment has tended to be lower than that for adults. For example, in April 1969 adult unemployment was 1.4 percent; youth unemployment, 0.9 per- 148 cent. At times youth unemployment has been high in the building trades because wages are relatively high in that occupation and attract more youth than can be absorbed. Youth rate system in the Netherlands The Netherlands first adopted a minimum wage system in 1966, but it does not provide for youth rates. Youth rates are established under collective bargaining for each branch of indus try. Unlike the United Kingdom, these rates are equal for male and female. As in the United Kingdom, they tend to follow the rates set for apprenticeships. The rates normally begin at about 25 to 30 percent of adult rates at age 14 and reach 100 percent of adult earnings at age 23. At age 16 the rates are usually at about 40 percent and at age 20 about 80 percent of adult rates. Some contracts pay the adult rate at ages 21 or 22 for some categories of workers, though officials report no general tendency to lower the age for the achievement of the adult rate. Be cause youths now are required to attend school to age 16, few youth work below the 40 percent level. Although earnings for various age groups are 1 The terms “youth” and “teenagers” are used inter changeably and include all 16-19 year olds, unless other wise stated. 2 Department of Education and Science. S ta tis tic s of E d u ca tio n Sch ools (London, HMSO, 1967), p. 77. See also Joseph S. Zeisel “Comparison of British and U.S. Unemployment Rates,” M o n th ly L a b o r R evie w (May 1962), pp. 489-501. 8 Roger Gregoire, V o catio n al E du ca tion . Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (Paris, 1967), p. 82. 4 Quoted in ibid., p. 84-85. 5 Ministry of Labour, In d u stria l T ra in in g A c t. (Lon don, 1964); Department of Employment and Productiv ity, C en tra l T ra in in g Council. T h ird R e p o rt to the S ec r e ta r y o f S ta te (London, 1969); The Schools Council, S o c ie ty an d th e Y ou n g School L e a v e r , Working Paper No. 11. (London, 1967). 0 Gregoire, op. cit., p. 37. TMinistry of Labour, Central Youth Employment Executive, T he Y o u th E m p lo y m en t S ervice (London, HMSO, 1969). 8 Department of Employment and Productivity. A not available, those interviewed believe that the contract rates are followed closely by employers. Holland has the Germanic tradition of discipline and control of the young by their elders, although the strong revolts of urban youth in recent years may begin to change this practice. Unquestionably, the justification for the lower rates for youth is based in part on the concept of “social need”. As in other countries, however, youths not only are less skilled and experienced, but also are covered by protective child legislation and must be trained. Conclusions of experience in the Netherlands Although there are certain inherent liabilities to hiring youth there is little doubt that the employer obtains youth labor at bargain rates. That this experience aids in youths’ introduc tion to the world of work is without question. An official of the Social and Economic Council indicated there was active competition for youth labor. The newspapers are full of glamor ous ads, and firms carry on active recruitment campaigns in the schools. Youth are in demand but the extent to which lower rates are the magnet is not clear. W age, A n In q u iry. (London, HMSO, 1969.) 9 C. W . Guillebaud, The W ages C ouncil S y s te m in G rea t B rita in . (London, HMSO, 1962) ; and Depart ment of Employment and Productivity, W ages C oun cils. (London.) 10 Confederation of British Industry, P a y m e n t of A d u lt R a te o f W age (1969) ; Department of Employ ment and Productivity, Employment Productivity Gazette (April, 1969) ; Department of Productivity, The F a cto ries A c t o f 1961 (London, HMSO, 1962). 11E m p lo y m en t an d P ro d u c tiv ity G a zette (London, February 1969), p. 123 and (May 1969), p. 140. 12 Marie-Therese Join-Lambert. “Approche Statistique du Probleme de Vemploi des Jeunes”, Recherche Sociale (Paris, March-April 1969). N a tio n a l M in im u m 13E tu d e S u r L e C hom age D es Jeunes A llo ca ta ire s D u R egim e D ’A ssu ra n ce-C hom age, Bulletin de Liaison, UNEDIC (Paris, December 1967). 14 Alise of Confederation Francaise Democratique Du Travail (CFDT), D o ssier S itu a tio n de U E m p lo i D es Jeunes (Paris, March 1968). 15Join-Lambert, op. c it . 149 18 L'Union Nationale des Associations Familiales. U E m p lo i D es Jeu n es (Paris, 1967.) 17 Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, Etudes et Conjuncture (July 1966), pp. 14 and 34. 18 Institut National d’Etudes Demographiques. C on dition s de V ie e t D 'E m p lo i des Jeu n es T ra veilleu rs (Presses Universitaires de France, 1968), p. 24. 19 Dominon Bureau Statistics, Unemployment in Can ada (Ottawa, 1968), p. 23. 20Letter to the Author. 21 Dominion Bureau of Statistics, E m p lo y m en t an d A v e ra g e W eek ly W a g es an d S a la rie s (Ottawa, 1969), p. Table 10.3. Unemployment rates in the United Kingdom Unemployment rate Date All ages April 1961.................................... April 1961.................................... July 1 9 6 6 .................................. January 1967.......................... July 1967...................................... January 1968.............................. July 1968...................................... January 1969............................... 1.7 1 .3 1.1 2 .2 2 .0 2 .6 2 .2 2 .5 Youth-adult ratio 25 and over 15-19 1 .6 1 .4 1.1 2.1 2 .0 2 .5 2 .2 2 .5 2 .3 .9 1.1 2 .6 2 .2 2 .6 2 .0 2 .3 1.44 .64 1.00 1.24 1.10 1.04 .91 .92 Source: First line from census data, all others from registrations as employment service offices. Table 10.4. Unemployment and vacancies for 15-18 year old youth, April 1968 and 1969, United Kingdom 8. Boys Date Table 10.1. Unemployment rates and the youth-adult unemployment ratio for selected countries Country Youth unemployment rate Unemployment rate, all ages Youth-adult unemployment ratio 1 Total Girls Unemployed Vacancies Unemployed Vacancies Unemployed Vacancies April 1969___ April 1968— 17,955 17,108 43,581 42,357 8,985 10,301 53,679 50,291 26,940 27,409 97,260 92,658 Source: "Monthly Statem ent on the Employment Situation for Young Persons,” Department of Employment and Productivity, Mid-April 1969. 1960-64 1967-68 1960-64 1967-68 1960-64 1967-68 Germany (1961-67)............... Canada *(1962-66)............... Netherlands (I960)............... United Kingdom..................... (1961-67).............................. Sweden (1964-67)................. France (1960).......................... Belgium (1960)....................... Italy (1961-67)........................ United States (1 9 6 0 -6 8 )... 4 0 .3 6 .9 0 .9 • 1 .3 4 1.7 1.7 2 .1 2 .5 3 .4 5 .5 1.1 4 .0 • 2 .0 2 .6 3 .5 3 .6 4 0 .3 14.4 1 .4 • 0 .9 4 2 .3 3 .9 6 .6 4 .0 9 .3 • 1 4 .7 1.1 9 .7 • 2 .2 6.1 11.4 * 1 2 .7 4 1 .0 2 .4 1 .8 • 0 .6 4 1 .4 2 .6 4 .4 1 .7 4 .9 3 .3 1.0 2 .6 • 1 .1 2 .9 Table 10.2. Number of apprentices and labor force in five countries C a n a d a ____________ . ... France_______________ ______ ______ West Germany________________ ____ United Kingdom....................... ............... United States........................................ Labor force (thousands) Apprentices (thousands) 8,061 19,995 26,262 24,770 82,270 45 350 1,400 912 240 Source: Labor departments of the various countries. Unemployment rate Date 5 .7 5 .5 1 Ratio of Youth unemployment rate to adult unemployment rate for adults 25 and over. Data from labor force surveys except as noted. Data not strictly comparible amoung countries. a Ostry, Sylvia, Unemployment in Canada, 1968, males only, ratio: youth/all ages. • Labor Ministry data from unemployment insurance records. 4 Census data for 1961. « Youth unemployment data relate to 16-19 year-olds. Country Table 10.5. Unemployment rates in France for selected age groups and year Number of apprentices per thousand in labor force 5 .6 17.5 53.3 36.8 2 .9 All ages October 1960............................... October 1962............................... October 1964............................... 2.1 2 .2 2 .0 14-19 25 and over 6 .6 6 .5 6 .3 1 .5 1 .7 1 .4 Youth-adult ratio 14—1 9 / 25 and over 4 .4 0 3.82 4 .5 0 Table 10.6. Population of 15-24 year olds in France, selected years Year 1775................................................................................................. 1886................................................................................................. 1926................................................................................................. 1962................................................................................................. 1965................................................................................................. 1967................................................................................................. 1970 (e st)....................................................................................... Numbers (m illions) 4 .5 6 .5 6 .8 6 .2 7 .0 7 .7 8 .3 Percentage of total population 18.0 17.0 16.9 12.7 14.3 15.5 16.7 Source: P. Clere, “Croissance du chomage chez les Jeunes?" Economic et Humanisme, January-February, 1969. 150 Table 10.7. Distribution of 15-24 year olds in France by activity, 1962 and 1968 Classification In school____________________________________________ Military service_____________________________________ Apprentices_________________________________________ Unemployed________________________________________ Employed___________________________________________ Neither working nor in school_______________________ Source: 1962 and 1968 Census Data. 1962 1.940.000 530.000 360.000 57,000 2.600.000 720.000 1968 2,900,000 300,060 350.000 170.000 3,500,900 740.000 Table 10.1. Unemployment rates— Canada 12 Month averages in percentages Age grew# AH a g e s ................................................... ................ 1 4 -1 9 ..................................................................... 20-24................... ...................................... ............... 1967 1966 3 .6 8 .2 4 .2 1968 4.1 9 .3 5 .0 4 .8 10.8 6 .3 Source: Dominion Bureau of Statistics, Special Surveys Division, Labor Force Surveys (Ottawa, 1968). 151 APPENDIX A Youth rates of pay in the agreement between the National Union of Railwaymen and the British Railways Board. (March 1969). No rate was given for nonapprenticed males. Rates of Pay The pay structure to recognize the introduction of these features in Stage I is :— Adult Male Staff Railway Shopmen Category 1 2607Railway Shopmen Category 2 2707Railway Shopmen Category 3 2807Railway Shopmen Category 4 300/(London Allowance 18/- per week) Apprentices Apprentices will continue to receive the percentage of the skilled (Category 4) rate (300/-) on the basis agreed in R.Sh.N.C. Min. No. 1,270-16.1.58, namely:— Percentage of New rate of pay Category 4 rate Age 15 27% 82/6 16 105/35 17 42% 127/6 50 150/18 19 60 180/20 70 210/(London Allowance 97- per week) Adult Female Staff A revised pay structure for Adult Female Workshop Staff engaged on work appropriate to women, will be:— Railway Shopwoman Category 1 2057Railway Shopwoman Category 2 2157Railway Shopwoman Category 3 225/(London Allowance 18/- per week) Section VI, page 23 gives the Category definitions and Assimilation Chart. Junior Female Staff The rates of pay of Junior Female Workshop Staff will continue to be calculated on the basis of a percentage of the highest Adult Female rate of pay (225/-), namely:— Percentage of Shopwoman*8 New rate Category 8 rate of pay of pay Age 79/35 15 45 101/6 16 124/17 55 152/67% 18 19 77% 174/6 87% 197/20 (London Allowance 9 /- per week) 152 Example of a Wage Order negotiated in the retail food industry and approved by the Ministry of Labour. These rates are minimum rates en forceable by the Labour Inspectorate. 1967 No. 745. Wages Councils Column 1 Column 2 London area per week Male Clerk grade 1, aged 23 years or over............................................. Clerk grade 1, age under 23 years, clerk grade II, shop assistant, stockman or orderman, canvasser, van sales man, cashier or central warehouse worker: 22 years or over,........................................................................ .. 21 and under 22 years.................................................................... 20 and under 21 years..................................................................... 19 and under 20 years.................................................................... 18 and under 19 years.................................................................... 17 and under 18 years.................................................................... 16 and under 17 years................................................................... under 16 years________ ___________ _____________________ All other workers (other than transport workers). 22 years or over....................... ........................................................ 21 and under 22 years................................................................... 20 and under 21 years............................................................... 19 and under 20 years............................................................. .. 18 and under 19 years............................................. ...................... 17 and under 18 years.................................................................... 16 and under 17 years................................................................... under 16 y e a r s,........................................ ....................................... Female Provincial A area per week Provincial B area per week Male Male Female Female s. d. 230 0 s. d. 174 6 s. d. 222 6 s. d. 168 0 s. d. 208 6 s. d. 156 6 224 206 171 160 147 121 113 105 218 204 170 159 146 120 112 104 170 157 133 127 120 99 94 88 164 155 132 126 119 98 93 87 216 200 166 155 142 115 107 100 210 198 165 154 141 114 106 99 163 150 126 120 113 92 87 81 157 148 125 119 112 91 86 80 202 186 153 143 130 106 99 93 200 184 152 142 129 105 98 92 152 140 119 113 106 86 80 74 149 138 118 112 105 85 79 73 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 6 0 6 6 6 0 6 0 0 0 6 6 6 0 6 0 0 6 0 0 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 6 6 6 6 6 0 6 0 0 0 6 6 6 0 6 0 0 6 0 6 0 6 6 6 0 6 0 6 0 6 6 6 0 0 6 6 6 0 0 6 6 0 6 6 6 0 0 6 6 Youth rates as shown in the Wage Order negotiated in the Wages Council in the Aerated Waters Industry, 1968: FEMALE WORKERS—GENERAL MINIMUM TIME RATES The general minimum time rates applicable to all female workers (other than driver-salesmen, delivery workers and mates) are as follows:— Per week of 42% hours Age s. d. 155 0 19 years or o v er____ 130 0 18 and under 19 years 115 6 17 and under 18 years 96 6 16 and under 17 years 80 6 under 16 y ears______ MALE WORKERS—GENERAL MINIMUM TIME RATES The general minimum time rates applicable to all male workers (other than driver-salesmen, delivery workers and mates) are as follows:— Per week of 42% hours Age s. d. 210 0 21 years or o v er ____ 20 and under 21 years 171 6 155 0 19 and under 20 years 136 0 18 and under 19 years 115 6 17 and under 18 years 16 and under 17 years 96 6 80 6 under 16 yea rs______ 153 Youth rates as shown in the Wage Order negotiated in the Wages Council for the shirtmaking industry, 1966: ALL OTHER MALE WORKERS BEING AGED Age 21 years or o v er-----20 and under 21 years 19 and under 20 years 18 and under 19 years 17 and tinder 18 years 16 and under 17 years under 16 y ears______ 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 3% 11 6K 2te 9% 5 Example of youth rates in 1968 contract between the General Dis tributive Workers and the Retail Co-operative Movement. Figures are in shillings. Above the age of 21 bonuses are given based on average weekly sales, ranging from 12 to 50 shillings a week. Note the skills required for butchery assistants, and their abatement in earnings. Part I.—WEEKLY RATES OF WAGES Clause (a) MALE SHOP ASSISTANTS—ALL DEPARTMENTS (except Hairdressers and Cafe Workers) AND WAREHOUSE WORKERS Age _____________________ 15 17 20 21 16 18 19 Metropolitan ____________ 121/6 132/- 149/6 177/- 194/6 210/6 258/Provincial “A” ___________ 116/- 126/6 144/- 171/6 189/- 205/- 245/6 Provincial “B” ___________ 114/- 124/6 142/- 169/6 187/- 203/- 236/SKILLED BUTCHERY ASSISTANTS The following rates of wages shall apply to a skilled Butchery Assistant who has (a) served for three years as an indentured Apprentice in the Retail Meat Trade; or (b) passed the Craftsman’s Certificate Examination or the Meat Trades Diploma Ex amination of the Institute of Meat or an examination of a body of comparable standing in the same subjects which the National Joint Apprenticeship Council for the Retail Meat Trade shall consider to be of the same standard. This Council has recognized the Co-operative Education Department Courses, therefore, these rates will apply to skilled Butchery Assistants who have succeeded in gaining the Co-operative certificate. Age ______________________________________________ 18 19 20 21 Metropolitan _____________________________________ 183/6 201/6 221/- 273/6 Provincial “A” ____________________________________ 177/- 195/- 213/6 258/6 Provincial “B’ ____________________________________ 172/6 190/6 2tiQ/- 249/6 Clause (b) FEMALE SHOP ASSISTANTS—ALL DEPARTMENTS Age Metropolitan Provincial “A” Provincial “B” . (except Hairdressers and Cafe Workers) . 15 102/6 97/95/- 16 114/6 109/107/- 17 127/121/6 119/6 18 144/138/6 136/6 (h) m a l e p a c k e r s , p o r t e r s , c l e a n e r s , l if t CELLARMEN 15 17 Age ------------16 18 121/6 132/- 149/6 177/Metropolitan 116/- 126/6 144/- 171/6 Provincial “A” 114/- 124/6 142/- 169/6 Provincial “B” Clause 19 157/151/6 149/6 20 169/163/6 161/6 21 191/181/6 176/6 a tten d a n ts, and 19 194/6 189/187/- 20 240/6 205/203/- 21 252/239/6 23U76 154 (i) FEMALE PACKERS, CLEANERS, LIFT ATTENDANTS, AND WAREHOUSE WORKERS 17 18 20 21 Age ___________________ 15 16 19 Metropolitan ___________ 102/6 114/6 127/- 144/- 157/- 169/- 185/6 Provincial “A” __________ 97/- 109/- 121/6 138/6 151/6 163/6 176/Provincial “B” __________ 95/- 107/- 119/6 136/6 149/6 161/6 171/Clause The examples below from the rubber and cement industries provide youth scales but stipulate that those who do adult’s work will be paid adult rates. The contract from the rubber industry has the unusual feature of giving separate scales by age for bonuses for shift and night work. Rubber Manufacturing Industry, 1968 PERCENTAGE SCALE OF LABOUR RATES FOR YOUTHS YOUTHS’ LABOUR RATES. i.e., Percentage of basic hourly rate for able-bodied adult male general labourers. Age Per Hour Y ear8 (percent) 1 5 _____________________________________________________ 45 1 6 _____________________________________________________ 50 1 7 _____________________________________________________ 55 1 8 _____________________________________________________ 65 1 9 _____________________________________________________ 75 2 0 _____________________________________________________ 90 1. In ascertaining the actual wages rates for youths, the percentage calculations will be taken to the nearest l/10th of Id higher. 2. Youths who do adults’ full work will be paid adults’ rates. 3. See rule 8 (v and vi) regarding youths employed on rotating shifts. Cement Manufacturing Industry, 1968 Clause 3: Minimum Weekly Wages (a) The minimum basic weekly wages payable to all workers to whom this Agree ment applies shall be as follows:— Men & Youths Women & Girls Min. Wkly Wage Min.Wkly Wage Age Group 21 years and over_____________________ £13 0 0 £9 15 0 20 y e a r s_______________________________ £11 10 0 £9 0 0 19 y e a r s______________________________ £10 5 0 £8 10 0 18 y e a r s_______________________________ £9 5 0 £7 15 0 17 y e a r s _____________________—________ £7 10 0 £6 15 0 16 y e a r s______________________________ £6 10 0 £6 0 0 15 y e a r s _______________________________ £5 10 0 £5 5 0 Clause 4: Factory Wage Negotiations— Subject to Clause 3 above, the wage rates and systems of payment for all workers, including earnings for skill, responsibility and productivity shall be determined at local level and any increases made shall relate to increases in productivity or efficiency or to changes in job evaluation or similar assessments. Juveniles employed on recognized adult work shall be paid as adults. 155 Youth rates and apprentices rates in England and Scotland negotiated in the National Joint Council for the Building Industry, 1967 (1) Craftsmen and Laborers z Rate per Hour London, Scotland, and Liverpool District Grade A Craftsmen__________________________________________ 7s. 9d.__________7s. 7%d. Labourers---------------------------------------------------------------6s. 7%d.----------- 6s. 6d. (3) Young M&le Labourers Percent of Age Labourer's rate 1 5 _____________ _ —3 3 % 16 _____________________4 5 _____ 1 7 ___________________ 6 6 % ___ 18 ___________________ 100 (4) Apprentices A. England and Wales Percent of Age Craftsman's rate 15 ____________ 2 5 ______ 16 _________________ 33% ___ 17 ___________ 5 0 ______ 18 _-_____________ 6 2 % ___ 10__________________ 7 5 _____ 2 0 _______________ 87% ___ Rate per hour London, Scotland, and Liverpool District Grade A -2s. 2%d. 2s. 2d. .3s. 0d. 2s. ll% d. 4s. 5d. 4s. 4d. 6s. 7%d. 6s. 6d. Rate per hour London and Liverpool District Grade A Is. 11 %d________Is. lid . 2s. 7d___________ 2s. 6%d. 3s. 10 %d________3s. lOd. 4s. 10%d_________ 4s. 9%d. 5s. lOd___________ 5s. 9d. 6s. 9%d_________ 6s. 8%d. R. Scotland (a) Apprenticeships entered into prior to 1st June, 1065 Percent of Craftsman’s Apprenticeship year rate 1st -------------_____ 25______ 2d _________ -------- 33%-----3d __________ _____ 50______ 4th _________ --------- 66% ------_____ 75______ 5th ______— (6) Apprenticeships entered into on and after 1st Junet 1965. Percent Apprenticeship of Craftsman's year rate 1st _ -33% 2d —. _50— 3d __ - 66 % 4th _ _80— Rate per hour — Is. lid . — 2s. 6%d. — 3s. lOd. — 6s. Id. — 6s. 9d. Rate per hour — 2s. 6%d. — 3s. lOd. — 6s. Id. — 6s. l%d. 156 APPENDIX B Hourly and weekly earnings of youth and adults in the United Kingdom, October 1968 Industry group (hourly rates) Men Youths Women (18 years and and over) Girls (21 years boys (under and (under 18 years) over) 21 years) Full-time Part-time All manufacturing industries................ Mining and quarrying (except coal)___ Construction......... ............................... Gas, electricity and water.......... .......... Transport ana communication (except railways, etc.)___________ ______ Certain miscellaneous services............ Public administration............................ d. 111.4 123.6 127.5 121.4 125.7 144.6 119.6 111.0 107.5 114.7 117.2 115.8 140.0 121.2 123.8 106.5 114.8 113.1 115.2 104.3 95.9 d. 64.4 70.2 70.9 56.7 59.6 66.0 60.7 65.5 62.7 63.3 71.7 58.0 64.6 67.6 62.4 71.7 62.1 62.9 d. 67.4 68.6 70.4 74.0 67.9 82.9 69.3 70.4 66.0 70.6 69.6 77.3 71.4 67 .8 71.1 65.6 61.9 76.6 65.8 50.1 61.5 85.6 59.2 67.7 d. 64.6 64.7 65.0 71.7 56.5 72.6 65.3 66.3 61.6 65.9 64.5 68.4 67 .9 67.1 67 .0 62.7 68.5 67.0 57.1 60.6 All the above, including manufacturing industries........................................... 118.9 61.4 70.8 66.2 Food, drink and tobacco....................... Chemicals and allied industries............ Metal manufacture.............................. . Engineering and electrical goods.......... Shipbuilding and marine engineering.. Vehicles................................................ Metal goods not elsewhere specified__ Textiles........... ................................. Leather, leather goods and fu r........... Clothing and footwear.......................... Bricks, pottery, glass, cement, etc___ Timber, furniture, etc________ ____ _ Paper, printing and publishing............. Other manufacturing industries........... d. 47 .9 46.9 45.6 47 .6 47.8 44.3 51.4 41 .6 46.5 44.3 44.1 42 .9 46.1 47 .0 39.6 46 Men Youths Women (18 years and and over) Girls (21 years boys (under (under and 18 years) over) 21 years) Full-time Part-time Industry group (weekly rates) Food, drink and tobacco........................... Chemicals and allied industries______ Metal manufacture___________________ Engineering and electrical goods_____ Shipbuilding and marine engineering. Vehicles_____ ________________________ Metal goods not elsewhere specified— Textiles______ _____________ __________ Leather, leather goods and fur_______ Clothing and footwear________________ Bricks, pottery, glass cem ent, etc____ Timber, furniture, etc_____ __________ Paper, printing and publishing.............. Other manufacturing industries______ All manufacturing industries......... ......... Mining and quarrying (except c o a l)... Construction.............................................. Gas, electricity and water____________ Transport and communication (except railways, e tc .)_______ _____________ Certain m iscellaneous services________ Public adm inistration............................... All the above, including manufactur ing industries_______ _______________ Source: Employment’and Productivity Gazette, February 1969. These data were obtained from returns furnished by about 50,000 establishm ents s. 441 472 487 461 478 528 459 426 408 405 467 443 539 471 472 453 457 413 483 387 349 d. 11 11 8 6 7 11 5 7 4 5 8 1 0 9 4 6 5 11 11 10 5 459 11 s. 229 240 242 193 198 222 209 230 221 213 252 202 228 237 214 266 228 216 240 174 207 d. 0 5 4 4 1 2 9 4 11 9 11 6 5 3 10 11 2 5 7 1 2 214 6 s. 219 220 223 236 215 266 218 223 208 219 216 244 223 217 226 220 201 237 311 192 224 d. 1 1 6 10 1 8 9 5 5 6 11 1 10 6 3 10 1 7 10 0 5 225 11 s. 115 115 114 127 94 127 115 119 116 130 112 121 121 123 d. 8 11 3 4 2 7 4 4 0 1 10 11 8 0 121 2 90" 4 119 4 116 9 101 11 97 0 s. d. 156 10 152 6 145 8 154 0 151 5 141 9 165 4 136 9 149 1 143 8 142 4 141 5 148 2 152 1 118 7 151 4 133 2 134 11 138 0 employing over 6 million manual workers. Administrative, technical, and clerical workers and salaried persons generally were excluded. Median Quartiles and Deciles of Composite Hourly Earnings by Age, September 1968 Sex and age Lowest decile Lower quartile Median Upper quartile Highest decile As percentage of the median Lowest decile Shillings per hour FULL-TIME MALES 15-17................................................................................. 18-20..................................... ........................................... 21-24................................................................ ............... 25-29............................................................................... 30-39................................................................................. 40-49.............................................................................. 50-59....................... .................................................... 6 0 - 6 4 ..........................................................................65 and over..................................................................... FULL-TIME FEMALES 15-17................................................................................. 18-20................................................................................. 21-24................................................................................. 25-29................................................................................ 30-39................................................................................ 40-49................................................................................ 50-59................................................................................. 60-64................................................................................. 65 and over.................................................................... 2 .4 4 .4 6 .8 7 .2 7 .6 7.5 7 .0 6 .6 4 .9 2 .4 3 .7 4 .7 4 .8 4 .5 4 .5 4 .4 4 .0 3 .8 Source: Department of Employment and Productivity. 2 .8 5 .2 7 .8 8 .5 8 .9 8 .8 8 .2 7 .6 6 .5 2 .8 4 .4 5 .6 5.7 5 .3 5 .2 5 .0 4 .8 4 .4 3 .5 6 .4 9 .2 10.4 11.2 11.0 10.1 9.1 8.1 3 .5 5 .2 6 .7 7.3 6 .9 6 .4 6 .3 6 .2 5 .7 Lower quartile Upper quartile Highest decile Percent 4 .3 7 .7 11.0 13.0 14.7 14.4 13.3 11.7 10.2 4 .3 6.1 8.1 9 .2 9 .2 8 .7 8 .8 9.1 8 .0 5 .3 9 .2 13.1 16.3 19.8 20.7 19.0 16.1 14.0 5 .2 7 .4 10.4 12.6 12.7 12.3 12.9 13.7 10.3 68.1 69.6 73.5 69.5 68.1 67.7 69.9 72.9 60.6 70.0 71.2 70.5 65.4 65.7 70.0 69.7 64.3 66.4 Standard error of median Shillings 80.7 81.4 84.3 81.7 79.8 79.5 81.4 83.3 80.3 121.4 121.6 119.7 124.6 131.7 130.9 131.8 128.7 126.2 81.1 84.5 83.7 78.4 77.7 80.8 80.0 77.0 76.7 123.1 117.8 121.2 126.5 134.3 135.3 140.1 145.5 141.0 152.4 144.7 142.8 156.8 177.3 188.4 188.4 177.5 172.2 150.0 142.5 155.5 172.8 185.6 191.7 205.7 220.5 181.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0 .2 0 .2 Percent 0 .9 0 .6 0 .5 0 .5 0 .5 0 .5 0 .5 0 .7 1 .8 0 .8 0 .6 0 .7 1 .2 1.0 0 .8 0 .9 2 .6 3 .5 APPENDIX C Pay Schemes for Young Workers for Various Industries in France The pay for those under 18 when productiveness is less than that of adults is fixed in proportion to the pay rate of the same job category: Age Percent Age Percent 14 to 15 years_________________________________ 50 15 to 16 years_________________________________ 60 16 to 17 years_________________________________ 70 17 to 18 years_________________________________ 80 However, without regard to age, those over 16 with at least 6 months in the firm, the percent will be advanced to : 16 to 17 years________________________________ 80 17 to 18 years________________________________ 90 Trucking and materials Minimum rates of pay for those under 18 are fixed in relation to the minimum rates of adult employees in the same category and step in class of the employee, as follows: Age Percent 14 to 15 years_________________________________ 15 to 16 years_________________________________ 16 to 17 years_________________________________ 17 to 18 years_________________________________ 60 75 85 90 Insurance societies The minimum pay of young under 18 will be fixed in relation to the pay of adults in the same job category, as follows: Age Percent 14 to 15 years_________________________________ 50 15 to 16 years_________________________________ 60 16 to 17 years_________________________________ 70 17 to 18 years_________________________________ 80 The reductions do not apply to those with a diploma (cerified d’Apti tude au Profesoral del’Ensergnemens Secondaire), and those who have passed the examination of the building trades center. Construction—Seine region To take account of effective work and productiveness, the guaranteed rate for young workers is calculated as a percent of the guaranteed rate for workers over 18 in the same job category, as follows: At hiring in: A range of 50 percent to 80 percent for those 14-18. After 1 year’s experience—a range of 75 percent to 80 percent, for those 15-18. After 2 years’ experience—a range of 85 percent to 90 percent for those 16-18. After 3 years’ experience—95 percent for those 17-18. However, by application of the principle “to equal work, equal pay,” the work of young workers of both sexes ought to be paid by reference to the adult occupying the same job taking into consideration their work and their productivity. Transport sector When work performed by youths is equivalent in amount and quality to the work performed by adults, the young worker will be paid according to their job category, rank, or employment under the same conditions as adults. The pay to youth on piece rates when the conditions, quality, and production are the same will be determined in the same way as pay for adults. When the work of youth is not equal in amount and quality, the pay will be calculated in a percentage of the production of the adult of that job category, rank and position. The output will be computed as a fraction of the base. However, the percentage of pay for the young paid on time rates should correspond, under the rule of minimum guarantee, to the percentage of work which they accomplish in comparison to adult workers. Textile industry I. The pay for young people for work ordinarily performed by adults will be set in relation to the work they accomplish compared to that of adults in quality and quantity. II. In connection with the above, the minimum pay for those under 18 should not be reduced more than: Age Percent 14 to 15 years — 15 to 16 years __ 16 to 17 years — 17 to 171/2 years 171/2 to 18 years 50 . 40 . 30 . 20 . 10 Chemical industry In case of payment by time, the pay of young workers under 18 not under apprenticeship should have the hourly pay for adults of the same job category with reductions not greater than: Age 14 to 15 years________________________________ 15 to 16 years________________________________ 16 to 17 years________________________________ 17 to 18 years______,___ ______________________ Percent 50 60 70 80 159 In all cases where the young worker under 18 is paid by the job, unit or productivity under conditions where the productivity is equal for work normally assigned to adults, the young worker is paid on the same rates as that of adults. Games and baby carriages I. The pay provisions for those under 18 doing work normally as signed to adults will be set in relation to the work accomplished in quality and quantity compared to the work of adults. If quality and quantity are equal to that of adults, the pay will also be equal. II. In accordance with the above, the pay of those under 18 will be the minimum for the job category, or employment to which they are assigned, in accordance with the reduction corresponding to their age and their seniority in the enterprise. Pharmaceutical industry The young workers employed in production and not under apprentice ship have the same guarantee of the minimum pay of the job category where they are assigned in accordance with the reductions corresponding to their ages and their experience in the firm. The pay of those under 18 will not be reduced, in relation to adult pay, more than: under 16 years—at hiring in 30 percent, after 1 year— 20 percent, 16-18 years—at hiring in 20 percent after 1 year—10 percent. Air transport After 18 years of age, young professional workers or specialists will be considered as adults and receive the pay of their category on condition they show sufficient professional capacity. However, the young workers who, at the end of their apprenticeship, have made progress in the firm not sufficient to justify professional capacity in quality of production to receive an adult salary of their cate gory will receive a salary corresponding to their progress and for which the rates are shown in the annex. Metal industry For employees with previous training: (percentage of adult earnings) 1st year—50 percent, 2d year—60 percent, 3d year—80 percent. And for the employee with professional training: 1st year—80 percent, 2d year—90 percent. Plastic industry Source: Information from files of American Labor Attache in Paris. 160 APPENDIX D Minimum Wage Rates in Canada (From draft of section of publication Labor Standards in Canada, Department of Labor, Ottawa, 1968) The minimum rates set for young workers and for students in the various provinces are as follows: Alberta .Workers under 18: 15 cents less than adult rate Students employed part- 55 cents, if under time: 17 65 cents, if over 17 British Columbia____Bicycle-riders and foot- 50 cents messengers employed ex clusively on delivery (no age specified) : Manitoba---------------- Workers under 18: $1.00 Newfoundland_____ Workers 16-19 years: 70 cents (males) 50 cents (females) Nova Scotia________Workers 14-18 years: 1 Zone I 95 cents (males) 70 cents (females) Zone II 80 cents (males) 55 cents (females) Ontario____________ Persons under 18 em- 90 cents ployed as messengers, de livery boys, news vendors, pin setters, shoe shine boys, golf caddies or in the professional shop at a golf course, in a municipal public library, or in an 1 Unless the Minimum Wage Board gives express approval, not more than 25 per cent of an employer’s total working force may be underage employees (14-18 years). In a hotel, restaurant, motel or tourist resort from June 15 to September 15, however, up to 60 percent of the employees may be underage workers. 161 Ontario— (continued) amusement or refresh ment booth at a fair or ex hibition held by an agri cultural association: Students employed parttime (not more than 28 hours in a week), or em ployed from May 15 to September 15 or during Christmas or Easter vaca tions : If student required to work more than 28 hours in a week in the period May 15-September 15: Prince Edward Island ___________Students (female) who work a minimum of 28 hours in a week or who work full-time from May 15 to September 15 or dur ing Christmas and Easter vacations: Quebec_____________Workers under 18: General Hotel trade establishments Service establishments $1.00 90 cents during first month of employment 5 cents less than regular min imum rate Zone I, $1.05 Zone II, 95 cents Zone I, 95 cents Zone II, 90 cents Zone I, 85 cents Zone II, 80 cents Students and messengers 80 cents under 18 employed by mu nicipal corporations and school boards: Workers under 18 em Zone I, 90 cents Zone II, 85 cents ployed in sawmills: Workers under 18 em Zone I, 95 cents ployed in woodworking Zone II, 90 cents plants: Saskatchewan ______Workers under 17: Ten cities— 95 cents Rest of province —90 cents 162 Provincial minimum rates for adult workers Establishment Province Factories— shops— offices Newfoundland. Prince Edward Island. Nova Scotia. New Brunswick. Quebec................. Ontario............. Manitoba.......... Saskatchewan. Alberta................... British Columbia. Workers 19 and over: 850 (wom en) $1.10 (m en) Men over 18: $1.10 Women: 850, increasing to 950 on July 1 ,196 9. Workers 18 and over: Men: $1.15, Zone I $1.05, Zone II Women: 900, Zone I 800, Zone II Workers 18 and over: $1.25, Zone I.......................................... $1.15, Zone II*..................................... $1.30......................................................... Workers 18 and over: $1.25 Workers 17 and over: $1.05, 10 cities and 5-mile radius 950, rest of province. Workers 18 and over: Hotels— restaurants Same Same Same Same $1.05, Zone I $1, Zone II $1.15, increasing to $1.30 on October 1,1969. Same Same Same Same CHAPTER XI Youth Employment and Wages in Japan The relatively high unemployment rates for youth in the United States have given rise to speculation concerning the effects of our statu tory system of “undifferentiated” minimum wages on youth unemployment. Theoretical analysis leads to the conclusion that workers with low marginal productivity can command only correspondingly low wages in the labor market. If employers are forced to pay such workers wages as high as those received by more experienced—and presumably more pro ductive—workers, employers will bypass the less productive in favor of the more productive employees. Since young workers, especially those who have failed to complete high school, are likely to be the least experienced and least productive, theoretically it follows a minimum wage set above their low levels of marginal productivity will lead to high rates of unemployment among youth. In Japan, high rates of overall employment and intense demapd for new school graduates are accompanied by a well publicized system of employment. Japanese wage rates are set at relatively low levels for new entrants to the labor force and rise markedly with sen iority. These significant wage differentials This chapter was prepared by Solomon B. Levine and Gerald G. Somers, of the University of Wisconsin, under contract for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Views expressed in this study are solely the responsi bility of the authors. Footnotes and tables begin on p. 177. arise not from formal minimum wage legisla tion, but from the “natural” development of a dual wage structure and the so-called n en ko system of permanent employment. Nonetheless, it is reasonable to speculate that there will be a causal relationship between youth-age wage differentials and the employ ment of young workers in Japan. The purpose of this paper is to examine the recent patterns and trends in Japan of unemployment and wage differentials, with special emphasis on comparison between the experience of young workers and the total work force. Efforts are made to explain the employment experience of Japanese youth in the light of labor market institutions and be havior, mobility patterns, employment (in cluding education and training) practices, and employer-employee relations as well as through an analysis of wage differentials and wage-employment relationships. The Japanese labor market The relationship between differentials in wage and unemployment rates in Japan can be assessed only against the background of the traditions and recent labor market devel opments. Japan’s labor market structure has been discussed in detail elsewhere, and is re counted here only briefly.1 The most notable features are dual structure of employment in large and small enterprises, the lifetime com mitment system for permanent employees of large firms, and the resulting consequences 163 164 for the mobility of labor, hiring practices, training policies, wages and employment. The dual structure of employment is seen in the sharp contrast which exists between large and small firms. The differences are most notable in conditions of employment, wages, bonuses and fringe benefits, and they are made possible primarily because the large firms have adopted advanced productive techniques whereas the small firms are tech nically backward. The large firms also enjoy the advantages of group affiliations, financial connections, and favorable distributor rela tionships. The advantageous status of the large firms is furthered through their cost-saving relationship with smaller companies. Fre quently, the “master company” has made a direct investment in a smaller affiliate and controls its management. In other instances, a subcontract relationship is established in which an unaffiliated smaller firm may de liver almost all of its output for completion or distribution by a larger company. In such cases, the status and success of the larger enterprises are enhanced by the perpetuation of low wages and limited welfare benefits in the dependent smaller firms. The nature of these differentials as related to age is dis cussed in further detail later. In spite of the prominence given to the role of large firms and powerful combination of firms in Japan, about half of all nonagricultural workers in the private sector are still employed in establishments with less than 30 employees and the relatively large establish ments, employing 500 or more workers, have only one tenth of the total. This breakdown is shown in table 11.1. Marked differences exist between large and small enterprises, arising because of dis tinctions in hiring patterns, training, promo tion, tenure and wage determination. In the large firms, these have come to be placed under the general heading of nenko seid o , the lifetime commitment system in which wages and benefits of the employee advance prima rily on the basis of years of service. Large firms compete for the best junior and senior high school graduates, and these become per manent employees to be trained, promoted, and retained in employment until they retire. Monetary compensation and other benefits for those 18 and under began at about half the rate for these 20-24, with some differen tial based on education, and rise steadily and progressively with age and years of experi ence in the establishment. (See below.) The origins of these paternal relationships and mutual loyalties are found in the traditions of family attachments in Japan and other cultural characteristics; but the nen ko sys tem became firmly entrenched only after the 1930's. The persistence of the lifetime commit ment system, in spite of recent pressures of economic and technological change, can be explained by its advantages for employers and employees. Whereas management obtains a devoted and permanently committed work force, whose wages rise with experience, training and skill, the employee finds com plete employment security, a status highly valued in the conditions of labor surplus under which the system arose. However the nenko system has distinct limitations in coverage. The smaller estab lishments are unable to compete for the best middle school and high school graduates, and they become a refuge for older and other workers whose productive potential makes them less attractive to the large companies. They are given no lifetime commitment, and their mobility rates are substantially above those of workers in the large companies. Their wages were also traditionally well below those older workers covered by the nen ko system, although in recent years the competition for new entrants into the work force has been such as to raise the beginning wages in small firms to the level of, and in some cases even above, similar workers in major firms. The over-all average compen sation in small firms, however, remains sig nificantly below that of the large. Limits to the nenko system even in large companies should be noted. This sytem must be supplemented by other arrangements which permit flexibility in the expansion and 165 contraction of the work force as economic gives to the internal labor market. Because of and technological conditions require. In many the restricted mobility of young workers, large establishments a status structure of once they have become permanent employees employment has emerged. In addition to the of a large firm, the company is able to make hard core of permanent employees, tempo substantial investments in their training and rary workers are added as required, and development. There is no established occupa these workers are hired on the understanding tional structure in most Japanese firms. Inex that they have limited tenure. Their wages perienced new entrants, hired at relatively and welfare payments are considerably below low wages to become permanent workers, those of the permanent work force. Addi simply progress from one task to another as tional groups, with even lower status and their training, newly acquired skills, and ex more casual attachments, are frequently uti perience permit. Only in the smaller estab lized by large companies. They include day lishments does significant hiring take place laborers, subcontract workers and part-time at virtually all levels and ages. Temporary employees. The subcontract workers may be and contract workers, even in the large firms, provided by an affiliated small company and and employees in smaller establishments ex they may work temporarily in the master perience relatively high turnover rates. company or in home establishments. They are Rather than disrupt this labor market employed by the contractor rather than by structure, collective bargaining has accommo the establishment in which they work, as in dated itself to it. Unions have focused their the case of temporary help services in the attention on the permanent employees in United States. Although these workers large establishments, and most have sought usually perform relatively unskilled mainte to strengthen the tenure-wage relationship nance work, they are sometimes found in the as a prime objective rather than to reduce same jobs as the more permanently employed the absolute differentials within the firm or workers. However, the subcontract workers between firms. receive substantially lower pay than the com Marked labor shortages, resulting from the panies' own employees and their compensa unusual economic growth of the past few tion is even below that of most temporary years, have joined with substantial technol employees. Moreover, employers in the large ogical progress and structural shifts of in companies enjoy further savings because the dustry in affecting the nenko s y s te m . Because subcontract workers do not receive the gener of the competition for labor, wage differen ous and comprehensive welfare payments en tials between large and small firms have nar joyed by permanent employees. Mobility has increased, especially Thus, the widely herald lifetime commit rowed. among workers in small firms and in the ment system in Japan covers only the perma movement from rural to industrial cen nent employees of large firms. Since compa ters. Within some largeareas firms, there has been nies with fewer than 100 employees are un a growth in the number of workers who are likely to have the nenko system, it has been outside the nenko system, such as temporary variously estimated that between 30 and 40 percent of the nonagricultural employees in auto workers and subcontract workers in private enterprise work under the nenko shipbuilding. Employers in large firms have system.2 Accordingly, wage differentials in talked increasingly of establishing types of Japan exist not only between large and small job evaluation and merit-rating systems enterprises but also between permanent em which tie compensation directly to occupa ployees of large firms and others who work tions and skills rather than to age and length as temporary or subcontract labor in the of service. Despite these pressures, the basic structure of the nenko system remains one of same firms. One important consequence of the nenko permanent employees in large establish system in large firms is the significance it ments. 166 Minimum wage legislation and administration In light of the longstanding dualism in the labor markets, the Japanese Government has approached the fixing of minimum wages with considerable caution. Prior to the allied occupation of Japan, there was no legislation for the setting of wage minimums although labor controls during World War II moved toward guaranteeing minimum living stand ards for industrial workers based on age. Adoption of Japan’s new Constitution in November 1946 (promulgated April 1, 1947) under the guidance of the Occupation, however, signaled the government’s inten tion to develop a minimum wage system as part of a broad range of labor reforms. Arti cle 25 provided that “all people shall have the right to maintain the minimum standards of wholesome and cultured living,” and “in all spheres of life, the State shall use its endeav ors for the promotion and extension of social welfare and security, and of public health.” Until after the laws was amended in 1968, the inter-enterprise agreement by far was the procedure most generally used to set min imum wages. By June 1962, of the 870 mini mum wages that had been set, 867 derived from such agreements among employers. For the most part, the coverage applied to work ers in the small enterprises, reaching 1.9 mil lion workers in more than 116,000 enter prises by November 1962. Ninety-five per cent of these workers were covered by inter enterprise agreements, with the most numer ous groups in textiles, machinery manufac turing, food processing, lumber and wood, ce ramics, and services—industries noted for their large numbers of small firms. Minimum wage coverage rose to more than 2.5 million workers by August 1963 and to about 3.0 mil lion by February 1964 with similar predomi nance of inter-enterprise agreements and concentration in the small enterprise sectors.3 In general, it appeared that employ ers only were fixing minimum wages, proba bly with the aim of regulating competition among themselves for increasingly scarce labor, especially new school graduates. There were, however, certain notable ex ceptions to the inter-enterprise agreement procedures. In December 1942, the Minister of Labor upon the recommendation of the Central Wage Council set a flat minimum of 16.000 per month4 for all underground coal miners. This was a rare case of an industry wide determination, but was adopted as part of the overall government policy to stabilize a rapidly declining industry. Still another major instance occurred in September 1963 with the setting of a minimum wage based upon a union-management agreement in the cotton spinning industry. Here, a minimum of 346 per day was established for all per manently employed 15-year olds and over, ex tending the collective bargaining coverage from 97,000 employees in 103 enterprises to 112.000 employees in 136 enterprises.5 Passage of the Labor Standards Law fol lowed almost immediately with its enabling provision for the fixing of minimum wages. In the law’s original version, article 1 stated “working conditions must be that which should meet the need of the worker who lives life worthy of a human b e i n g a n d article 2, “the standard of working condition fixed by this Law is minimum.” The act, however, did not Specify any minimum wage rates. Rather, in article 28, it provided that “when the competent office considers it neces sary it can fix minimum wages for the worker employed in certain enterprises or in certain occupations,” and in article 29 it called for the establishment of central and local wage councils for the purpose of “inves tigating matters concerning wages” before a minimum wage is officially set by the compe tent minister. This procedure was rarely used despite pressure from organized labor to bring about the enactment of a uniform nationwide mini mum. Actually, not until 1959, after consi derable debate and agitation, did the govern ment take further legislative steps to estab lish minimum wages. One notable exception occurred in 1956 when a minimum wage in the packinghouse industry was not based upon an inter-enterprise agreement among the em ployers concerned. This technique became a model for other employer groups and was 167 adopted as the chief procedural means for tion basis with gradual extensions over increas setting wage minimums in the Minimum ingly wider regions. In October 1964, the Coun Wages Law enacted April 15, 1959. This law cil announced selection of 88 such industrial and occupational groups for direct fixing of remained unamended until 1968. Enactment of the 1959 law came at the point minimum wages, although it should be noted of transition from labor surplus to labor shor that the proposal envisioned differential mini tage in the rapidly growing Japanese economy. mums by area and “level” of enterprise. The The new act did not specify any minimum rates plan aimed at a broadening of coverage to about but instead concentrated upon procedures for 5 million workers and a rise in the lowest mini setting them. Article 3 stiplated that “minimum mums to above Y360 per day. In February wages shall be fixed taking into consideration 1966, the Central Council called for rates to be the cost of living of workers, wages of kindred lifted to between Y410 and Y520 per day.7 During 1966, deliberations over revising the workers and normal capacity of industries to pay wages.” Clearly, given the structure of the 1959 law intensified. Increasingly, criticism was Japanese labor markets, differentials in mini leveled at the Japanese law, utilizing inter-en mum wages were intended. The Minister of terprise agreements as heavily as it did, that it Labor or the chief of a prefectural labor stand was not in compliance with the tripartite provi ards office was authorized to fix minimum sions of Convention 26 of the ILO on the fixing wages, following one of four methods: Recogni of minimum wages. By this time the Japanese tion of an inter-enterprise agreement among Government had indicated its intention of rati employers; extension of such inter-enterprise fying the convention. Moreover, the failure to agreements to similar workers within a speci move toward a uniform nationwide minimum fied region, extension of a union-management prompted S oh yd, Japan’s largest labor federa collective bargaining agreement to similar tion, to withdraw its representatives from the workers within a specified region; and, direct then proceeding tripartite deliberations over re setting for low paid workers in a specific indus vising the law. In May 1967, the Central Coun try, occupation, or region following investiga cil, even with the S oh yd representatives absent, tion and deliberation of an equally tripartite recommended abolition of the inter-enterprise minimum wage council (established at the cen agreement procedures and the exclusive use of tral and local levels). determinations by tripartite wage councils. Under the procedures of the 1959 law, mini Within a few days, the Minister of Labor sub mum rates rose slowly and were far from uni mitted to the National Diet an amendment bill form from one wage setting to another. Begin to this effect. S oh yd resumed its participation in ning in 1960-61, the minimums hovered around the deliberations in September 1967. Y200 per day. By June 1962, they tended to fall The amendments to the Minimum Wages in the Y200 to Y300 per day range, and by Feb Law were adopted on June 16, 1968. While the ruary 1964 had risen to Y300 to Y400 per day. principal change provided for primary use of This upward trend has since continued, an occa the tripartite wage councils, inter-enterprise sional rate reaching as high as Y600 per day.6 The heavy reliance upon inter-enterprise agreements were permitted to continue until agreements and the lack of uniformity in the June 1970. The Central Council also has contin minimums set came under increasing criticism ued its reexamination of the law with the aim almost from the inception of the 1959 law. In of proposing additional amendments. As yet, 1962, the Minister of Labor and Central Wage however, it is too early to judge what results Council reported their dissatisfaction with the the 1968 revisions will produce. Japan’s experience to date with minimum results, pointing especially to the “unevenness” of the rates established. In its report of August wage legislation does not indicate that the 1963, the Central Council proposed that by 1966 array of minimum rates which have been estab all minimum wages should be set on only an lished have seriously affected wage structures. industry-by-industry or occupation-by-occupa It may be argued indeed that the low rates set 168 and the differentials permitted may have ac tually held back the compression of wages gen erated by labor market shortages. In turn, it is dubious that the minimums have had any per ceptible effect upon the unemployment level of the labor force as a whole or any group within the labor force in particular. Intra-enterprise employment practices Youth-age wage differentials and a steady supply of job opportunities for young workers, especially those entering the labor force upon completion of school are sustained under the n en ko system of permanent employment. Al though neglecting the operations of “external” labor markets in the analysis of wage differen tials in Japan is inappropriate, the nenko sys tem gives special prominence to the role of “in ternal” labor markets, particularly for workers who become “regular” employees in the largescale enterprises and the government opera tions. The n en ko system is an idealized type of employment practice. Rarely is lifetime or ca reer-long tenure e x p lic itly guaranteed. Labor analysts have debated the real meaning of nen ko and are ip disagreement over its origins. There is wide agreement, however, that the in stitution was widely implanted among modern firms as the result of the strict labor controls during Japan’s militaristic period of the late 1930’s and early 1940’s, although it can be traced back to the 1920’s and in some cases much earlier for white-collar and key manual workers. The immediate post-surrender years of near economic chaos and almost universal insecurity in Japan witnessed the entrenchment of n enko as the work forces of most large enter prises and government agencies formed labor unions to protect their members against dis charges, discrimination, and the ravages of in flation. However, n en k o , is also compatible with tra ditional values derived from paternalism, familyism, and reciprocal obligations between su perior and subordinate carried over from the agrarian society of Tokugawa feudalism. On the other hand, in view of the existence of open labor markets and independent mobile workers during the first decades of the Meiji Era, nenko may also be considered a relatively new social innovation designed to help advance Japan’s “forced march” toward economic moderniza tion. Whatever the reasons for n en ko , the sys tem has long meant a major emphasis in Japan upon “bringing workers up from the young” in the modern sectors. At least until recently, moreover, it had strong attractions for the em ployer in paying relatively low wages to young single workers, in incurring low costs for work er migration, housing, and welfare, in securing workers probably most adaptable to fast changing technologies and industrial environ ments, in training workers for skills specific to the enterprise, and in assuring a high degree of docility in the work force. In recruiting new labor, especially workers who are likely to become permanent employees of an enterprise, employers usually seek new school graduates as the first priority. In the large firm, there tends to be little shopping around for skilled workers from other firms or in the open labor market, at least until the sup ply of new school graduates is virtually ex hausted. The increase of compulsory years of schooling from six to nine years soon after World II, and the recent trend of increasing proportions of junior high graduates going on to high school and of high school graduates en tering institutions of higher education, have made successful recruitment among the age groups (15-19) increasingly difficult. These teenagers have been the traditional sources of new labor for the large firms. At the same time, on the demand side, the rapid growth in indus trialization, complex technical changes, and the increases in the size of firms have generated stiff competition among employers to recruit the younger worker. N en k o thrived best under con ditions of ample supplies of young labor, a rela tively large agricultural sector, a dual economic structure, and a less than pervasive adoption of modern technologies. In its ideal form, the n enko system provided a single port of entry for permanent workers: Unskilled, apprentice-like jobs at the bottom of an enterprises’ work hierarchy. Likewise, there was one port of exit: retirement—usually at the age of 55. The retirement system alone assured 169 a steady supply of job opportunities for the young, as long as firms maintained the age bal ance of their work forces and enjoyed steady or growing output. In 1965, for example, among manufacturing firms with 500 employees or more, workers not previously employed consti tuted 70 percent of all new employees. Sixty-two percent were new school graduates.8 Workers who do become permanent employ ees under n enko enjoy a wide variety of benefits not available in small companies of for the tem porary, casual, subcontract, or part-time worker in the large enterprises. These benefits also grow with length of service. They include semi-annual bonuses (in some cases as high as 3 months' pay), membership in enterprise-based social insurance schemes, company housing at low rentals, housing loans, medical care, recrea tion and bathing facilities, nurseries, company stores, discounts, dining rooms, cultural pro grams, ceremonial gifts, and so forth. Of major importance are generous lump-sum retirement allowances and, in a growing number of cases, monthly pensions. Upon retirement, some work ers may be reemployed with the firm or provided employment with a subsidiary company or sub contractor. There are occasions when enterprises find it necessary even to reduce their permanent work forces. In such instances, the usual approach, after reducing the recruitment of new school graduates, is to call for “volunteers,” often with the inducement of extra-large severance pay ments. In most cases, those who voluntarily quit are older workers. For at least a decade there has been considerable controversy in Japan over the viability of the nenko system under conditions of rapid economic growth and technological and structural change. In histori cal perspective, however, nenko has grown to include manual as well as nonmanual workers. As small firms get larger, moreover, there ap pears to be a tendency for nenko systems to set in. Modifications through use of job classifica tion, job evaluation, merit rating, wage incen tives, and other techniques directly related to worker productiveness have made only minor inroads into the system so far. Despite the re cent narrowing of the age-youth differentials, remains a tenacious institution that pro vides the employer a large degree of flexibility in utilizing his work force and the wrorker in the system a large measure of career-long security. From the employers side, moreover, it is not at all clear that under present conditions open labor markets will assure greater productivity or lower costs. Should Japan develop alterna tive means for assuring job security, the insti tution might deteriorate far more rapidly than now seems to be the case. If nenko raises questions of social equity, they reside less in the realm of job opportuni ties than in the area of income opportunities in the later stage of the worker's career. Those who enter non-nenko systems run greater risks of unemployment and underemployment and the leveling off or dropping of wage income at an earlier age than those in the system. Yet, with Japan's rapid economic growth and rise in youth wages, the small enterprise sectors offer attractions to numerous new school graduates. Small firms with fewer than 100 employees far outnumber the large, comprising 90 percent of all firms in manufacturing. These are made up in large measure of family concerns which provide considerable inducement to family members to remain within the household. Their work settings contrast sharply with the large enterprises, often offering wide latitude in the pace and type of work. In the medium-size category (from 30 to 500 employees), moreover, there has long been a tradition of worker mobil ity and the marketing of skills achieved inde pendently on one’s own. While employment in this sector entails risks, there are also chances for scoring large successes and achieving a high degree of personal freedom.9 Thus, it is useful to emphasize that, while the nenko system has received major attention in the analysis of Japanese industrial relations systems, in actuality there is a wide range of employment practices in Japan. The “mix” under conditions of rapid economic growth ap pears to pose few problems in the hiring of youth. A major outcome may be to shift em ployment and wage problems to older workers instead. nenko 170 Youth wages and collective bargaining As a result of the postwar labor reforms, the unionization of workers and union-management bargaining in Japan have become firmly en trenched institutions.10 At present, union mem bership numbers about 11 million workers dis tributed among more than 56,000 “unit” unions (the closest equivalent to local unions in the United States).11 About 35 percent of the wage and salary earners eligible to become union members are organized. However, unionism is found primarily in the large public and private enterprises. About two-thirds of the organized workers are in enterprises that employ 500 workers or more. In firms with fewer than 30 workers, union membership is less than 1 pecent of the total. Furthermore, close to 90 per cent of all the unions are organized on an enter prise-basis and usually include all regular em ployees, manual and nonmanual, outside of the managerial personnel. The remaining 10 per cent of the unions are made up of industrial, craft, regional, or miscellaneous groupings. Except for public workers in central govern ment enterprises, seamen, some textile workers, and a few small other groups, collective bar gaining in Japan as in United States, tends to be decentralized at the enterprise or plan level. However, the major federations, particularly S oh yo an d C h u ritsu ro ren , and some of the na tional industrial union organizations, attempt to coordinate the bargaining activities of the enterprise-level unions. This is most notable in the case of the “seasonal struggles” over annual “base ups,” or general wage increases, in the spring and over the amount of bonus in early summer and year's end. However, for repre sentatives of the central federations or national industrial union organizations to participate di rectly and formally in the enterprise-level nego tiations is rare. This is also essentially true of employer associations. Collective bargaining coverage extends to about 80 percent of the or ganized workers and about two-thirds of all the unions, the remainder either being excluded as civil servants by law or having failed to enter negotiations. It is likely that as many as onehalf the agreements contain no provisions other than those already stipulated by law.12 Especially at the time of the “Spring Strug gle,” youth wages receive close attention in collective bargaining. April 1 marks the begin ning of Japan's fiscal year; March is the month of school graduation and, thus, for new hiring commitments to be made. Therefore, in most instances, spring has also become the time for bargaining over base-ups, starting rates, and new collective bargaining agreements. However, wage minimums or even starting rates for new school graduates do not tend to take the center of the collective bargaining stage. Far more important are the general wage increases for the enterprise union membership as an entity. The reason for this is not hard to find. As previously mentioned, enterprise-level unions cater to their entire membership and therefore seek to prevent major upsets in the wage and benefit structures that apply to their respective members. Although the national labor centers have advocated the principle of equal pay for equal work and higher and uni form minimums for all workers, these issues do not appear to be pursued as immediate demands in the enterprise-level negotiations. Rather, since the new starting rates have their greatest impact in terms of their effect upon the whole wage curve, a principal focus is to maintain the “equity” of established wage differentials. Thus, bargaining over starting rates is essen tially an integral part of the negotiations over general base-ups. While there have been specific minimum wage agreements between unions and managements, as for example in the cotton spinning industry already cited, for the most part these have been special cases in which the preponderance of the workers are young and female. With the development of the shortage of new school graduates in recent years, the rise of ed ucational levels, and the inculcation of demo cratic ideas, young workers in many cases have exerted pressure upon their unions and man agements to grant wage increases based on their higher abilities and greater skills. This pressure has been difficult to resist, especially with the disproportionately large increase of young workers in the work forces of the large 171 unionized firms. The development of merit rat ing, job evaluation, and separate promotion tracks for ability and for seniority in many firms has in part been a response to this pres sure, and in most cases has not been met by outright union resistance. Yet, it is not all that clear that the young workers 4'want theirs now.” As they gain sen iority, they appear increasingly content with the nenko system and with gradual change in the enterprise wage structure. If there is dissat isfaction among the young workers regarding their wages managements and unions probably fear more the dissatisfaction of senior workers that would be generated by too rapid flattening of nenko wage curves. Both parties share the common interest in maintaining a delicate bal ance between young and old. Despite the increase in young members, it should also be remembered that present-day union leadership emerged at the time of Japan’s greatest economic security. Many of the enter prise union leaders today gained their positions by securing employment tenure for workers who in the 1930’s and World War II were re cruited into large companies from small firms and therefore, were not fully entitled at the time to the benefits of the nenko system. To them this accomplishment was an important measure of egalitarianism within the Japanese context, although founded paradoxically on maintaining age and length of service differen tials in wages and benefits. Moreover, in the early years of collective bar gaining in postwar Japan, unions were by and large successful in obtaining agreements from employers to base wages upon the needs of the worker and his dependents. This idea has its antecedents during the war as part of the sys tem of war-time labor controls, but its imple mentation has been almost entirely in the hands of government officials and enterprise manage ments. Given the dire economic conditions in the years immediately following surrender, the new union organizations, especially in the electrical manufacturing industry, took the leadership in developing an elaborate formula for monthly wage rates based on the estimated living requirements of workers of different ages with additional assumptions of family size and responsibilities. After 1950, when the unions were placed on the defensive largely as the re sult of changes in occupation and government labor policy, these wage formulas were aban doned or revised but were readily converted to place stress upon length of service in an enter prise with annual periodical wage advances vir tually assured to the permanent workers. In a sense, the age-based wages were an attempt to establish a uniform system of differential minimums in Japan. They gave way instead to a compartmentalized collection of enterprise-cen tered wage hierarchies based mainly on length of service. The primary concern of the enterprise unions with the regular work forces of their respective enterprises probably generates less than enthu siastic support for a nationwide system of mini mum wage rates. In part, this accounts for the position of D om ex , Japan’s second largest labor federation and right socialist rival of the more radically inclined S oh yo. D o m ei has been will ing to go along with the government’s policy of differential minimums although in general it protests against the low levels that are set. Even S o h yo , although more vigorous in its in sistence upon a high uniform nationwide mini mum, is believed to temper its demands in view of the lack of strong support from enterprise union affiliates. As in the United States, it is an unsettled question in Japan as to whether unionism on the whole has affected the general level of wages other than would be expected from labor market pressures under conditions of rapid eco nomic growth. There is some evidence that wages in the large unionized enterprises are higher than they might have been, although even in this case managements may have sacri ficed profits through the device of the nenko system in order to assure work force stability and employer-employee harmony over the long run. If this is so, then it is probably correct to conclude that youth wages have been no more affected by collective bargaining than has the whole wage structure, and, despite the shortage of new school graduates, possibly even less so. 172 Wage structure Analysis of the history of wage differentials in Japan since the early years of the 20th Cen tury indicates that until quite recently there has been little overall narrowing by economic sec tor, industry, region, occupation, sex, size of firm, or age.13 While these differentials have more or less narrowed and widened with cycli cal changes in general economic activity, their long-run persistence has been attributed largely to the dualism of the Japanese economy which only in the 1960’s has shown signs of disappear ing. Here, the focus is upon the differentials by age although they are closely intertwined with other types of differentials, especially size of enterprise. Japan’s wage structure as a whole experi enced a widening of differentials by age in the larger firms and a narrowing in the smaller firms from 1954 to 1960. After 1961, age differ entials have lessened regardless of size. In the smaller firms, young workers have gained more rapidly on older workers than in the larger firms. Tables 11.2 and 11.3 provide data for male workers in manufacturing which show these trends. Moreover, until the early 1960’s, starting wages for new school graduates and for workers in the 18-19-year-old bracket tended to be higher in the larger firms com pared with the smaller ones, but in the last sev eral years they have been evened up or slightly reversed. Thus, except for the very small enter prise (with less than 5 workers), Japan has developed fairly uniform wage rates for young workers, even in the absence of specific mini mum wage legislation. The behavior of age differentials since the early 1950’s reflects the changes, discussed more fully below, in labor force distribution by age among the various sectors of the Japanese economy. The growing demand for young work ers relative to their supply appears especially high in manufacturing and commerce, whereas shifts by older workers tended to concentrate in industries such as road transport and construc tion. One explanation for the less rapid narrow ing of age differentials within the large firms is that the growing employment of wage and sal ary workers flowed increasingly into enter prises where the n enko systems are most firmly entrenched. Employment in Japan rose from 39 to 47 million between 1955 and 1965, but nonagricultural wage and salary workers grew by more than 11 million in the period, for 46 to 62 percent of the total labor force.14 At the same time, the proportion of the labor force employed in firms with fewer than 10 workers dropped from over 40 percent to barely 30 percent.15 Whereas 55 percent of the new junior high school graduates and 50 percent of the new sen ior high school graduates entered small firms in the mid-1950’s, these figures had fallen to 30 and 20 percent, respectively, a decade later.15 It is evident from the statistical data that older workers in the smaller firms have experi enced a greater loss in their relative position on the age scale than older workers in the larger firms. In 1954, male workers age 18-19 in man ufacturing firms with 10-29 employees received about half the monthly contract wages of the male workers in the 40- to 50-year-old category. The fraction for the same year in firms with 1,000 workers, or more was only one-third. By 1966, these proportions were about three-fifths and almost one-third, respectively. This out come supports the contention that in Japan the incidence of economic hardship has fallen more heavily upon older than upon the younger work ers. Also the disparities by size of firm are probably even greater in view of the fact that young workers in firms of all sizes and senior workers in the small firms receive few of the money and nonmoney benefits received by the older employees of the large-scale enterprises. The compression of the age differentials, es pecially in the small firms, probably has been due not only to the dwindling supplies of new school leavers but also to an increase in the sup ply of older workers from the declining to the rapid fall of agricultural employment, the re duced role of small enterprise, increased longev ity, greater availability of retired workers and housewives for work, and the shift from selfemployment and unpaid family work to wage and salary employment are the main factors that appear to account for the increased supply. Large employers have an increasing number of employed workers of this type, particularly as the supply of junior high graduates has fallen, 173 but they are reluctant to place such older work ers in the nenko system. Rather, as mentioned, the status of these employees is likely to be as temporary, casual, subcontract, or part-time workers in the enterprise. If they do enter the nenko escalator (which is occurring with in creasing frequency), they usually do so at a wage level below their age and length of service counterparts who have initially been hired di rectly upon school graduation. Only a small proportion is likely to “catch up.” Increasing employment of workers who have this “half way” status probably has contributed to the narrowing of the age differentials. As seen from the statistical data, male workers in the 50-60 age bracket employed in manufacturing firms with fewer than 500 employees fare worse than their coworkers in the 40-50 age group and no better than those in the 30-35 age group. This has not been the case for firms with 1,000 work ers, or more. Once beyond the age of 60, how ever, senior workers in any size firm do not do as well as even the 25-30-year-olds, although they do better than the 15-24 age group. The importance of length of service coupled with age in the same firm until retirement is seen in table 11.4. Here, in 1954, the indexes for men in manufacturing show a rise in basic wages of 5 and a half times between workers under 18 years of age with 1 year of service and workers 40-49-year-olds with 30 years or more of service on the average. By 1966, this differ ence had dropped to about 4 times, although it is of interest to note that whereas, in 1954 workers in the 50-59 age bracket with at least 30 years of service were not earning as much as those in the 40-49 age group, in 1966 they were actually ahead. When broken down by firm size, the length of-service factor plays a far stronger role the larger the enterprise. In sum, the evidence suggests that as in the past, age differentials in Japan have been nar rowing under conditions of rapid economic growth and structural change, they have not been narrowing so fast as to dissipate still siz able differences according to age and length of service. One may conclude that these two fac tors, along with size of firm, far more than oth ers remain the major determinants of an indi vidual worker’s wage. Beneath the two factors is a complex of values inherited from the dis tant past. These values appear to be changing only slowly toward rewarding workers directly for their productive contributions determined by the external marketplace. In the meantime, the almost universal result is a relatively low wage for the young worker, probably below or no more than the value of his marginal produc tivity. No doubt this increases the attractive ness for enterprises of recruiting young work ers into their work forces, making heavy invest ments in their training, and providing induce ments for them to remain in their organizations for the duration of their careers. Employment and unemployment Japan’s unparalleled economic expansion since the mid-1950’s is undoubtedly the major factor that explains exceptionally low levels of unemployment not only for the total Labor force but also for youth. Utilizing concepts, definitions, and survey techniques similar to those used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the United States, the Japanese Government has reported unemployment rates for the total labor force in the 1960’s of approximately 1 percent—about half the level of a decade earlier. While the in stitutions and practices in the Japanese labor market tend to protect permanent workers against unemployment, the high degree of “full” employment recently observed for Japan must be explained mainly by economic factors. Otherwise, one would expect relatively high rates of unemployment, and considerable under in agriculture), close to 6 million were selfemployed, family workers, and subcontract, temporary, and part-time employees, as well as those forced to accept work in technologically backward and often unstable small firms. In 1967, of the 40 million persons employed in nonagricultural work (an additional 10 million are in agriculture), close to six million were selfemployed and another 3.5 million were family workers. Of about 30 million nonagricultural wage and salary earners, 1.6 million are tempo rary employees and 1.2 million casual day laborers.17 As seen in table 11.5, officially reported un employment rates since 1961 among young 174 workers (15-19 years old) have been consist ently, but moderately, higher than the rates for the total labor force—of the order of 25 to al most 100 percent more. Following revisions in 1967 of the survey techniques and other proce dures for estimating employment and unem ployment, the Japan Ministry of Labor has in dicated that unemployment rates for both the total labor force and for young workers have actually been higher than previously estimated. The revised figures give the overall unemploy ment rate since 1963 as between 1.1 and 1.3 percent and for 1967 only the unemployment rate in the 15-19 year-old group as 2.1 percent.18 Unfortunately, unemployment data by age categories for earlier and later years based on the revisions are not available. In the teenage group, however, there are no significant differences in unemployment rates by sex. In addition to the high economic demand for workers in general, the supply of youth has been falling. Although the 15-19 year-old pop ulation grew from 8.5 million to almost 11.2 million from 1961 to 1967, the rate of increase tapered off rapidly and it appears that an abso lute decline has set in since 1967 reflecting the sharp drop in Japanese birth rates beginning in the early 1950’s. The numbers of 15-19 year olds participating in the labor force fall almost continuously from 1961 to 1965—from 4.3 mil lion to 3.8 million—after which there was a re covery in 1967 to 4.5 million. Thus, there has been slight decline in the 15-19 year old partici pation rate—explained mainly by a much higher proportion of junior high graduates who go on to high schools and get a higher education rather than enter the job market. Actually, there has been a drastic decline in junior high graduates immediately entering the labor force at the usual age of 15, but their participation has been shifted to the high school graduation level of 18 years of age. The increased quality of the young workers, as measured by educa tion, has assured them of greater starting wages than new junior high graduates within the established nenko systems. No doubt, higher starting wages and a career on a more elevated nenko wage curve have been an important inducement for young workers to continue in school. The postwar reforms of the educational system, initiated by the Allied Oc cupation, opened much wider opportunities than has existed for young people to go to adv anced schooling. Before 1945, the youth were channeled early, around the age of 10 or 12, into a multiple track system, each tier of which led to fairly distinct occupational levels. The re forms abolished much of this system, and, while they substituted stiff examinations for pupils to advance from compulsory education, to the best high schools and universities, the reforms opened the way to a larger array of newly cre ated schools at the secondary and higher levels of education. Regular attendance at school, rather than performance, appears sufficient to assure graduation. The schools, moreover, in co operation with the public employment offices and employers, are important in recruitment and placement of graduates. In March 1963, there were 2.7 job openings through the public employment offices for every new school gradu ate who filed a job application. By March 1967, the ratio had risen to 3.2.19 One reason for the higher unemployment ratio for youth than the total labor force proba bly is their greater mobility especially as the result of voluntary separation. While voluntary quits have been growing for the labor force as a whole during the past several years, the rise has been more marked for the 15-19 year-old group. Since only about 60 percent of the Japanese labor force are classed as “employees” rather than self-employed or family workers (each of which constitutes 20 percent), underemploy ment may be a more serious factor than unem ployment among young workers. Unfortunately, there is no reliable measure of differentials in underemployment between youths and adults al though government officials have expressed con cern that many youths are employed in dead end or unproductive jobs. One faltering ap proach to this question is seen in table 11.6, based on data gathered in the 1968 triennial “Employment Status Survey.” In this survey, workers are asked whether they have a job and, if so, whether they are seeking an additional or new job, are relatively dissatisfied with their current job and, perhaps, are “underemployed.” Although there are hazards in considering “dissatisfied” job holders as “underemployed,” 175 the percentage of young workers in this cate gory was significantly greater than the percen tage in this category in the total work force (2.8 vs. 1.6). The proportion of the young un employed to total unemployment rates are pre sented in table 11.5. Young people always show greater propensities for mobility, and without some measure of their productivity relative to wages, the desire to seek other work cannot be adopted as a definitive measure of their under employment. Nonetheless, given their low wages, the expressed desire for other work, cou pled with an actual search, may be viewed as a useful supplement to the “totally unemployed” statistics in appraising the relative economic status of young workers in Japan. The numbers “without a job but wishing to work and seeking work” presented in the triennial survey data of table 11.6, substantially exceed the “totally unemployed” presented in the monthly labor force surveys (table 11.5). Here, too, the proportion of young people (1519 years) in this category (relative to the labor force 15-19 years of age) is approximately dou ble that of the total labor force in this category. This might be construed as a measure of “dis guised unemployment” since it probably reveals longer-term wishes and job search activity. The lower levels of unemployment presented in table 11.5 are geared to work and job search activi ties in a particular survey week. The data in table 11.6 include persons wishing and seeking part-time work as well as full-time work. The data are indicative of the volatility of employment that still exists as the Japanese economy moves rapidly away from its dualistic structure. In the wake of this development are probably fast opening (and closing) job oppor tunities and still a sizable proportion of under employment. In 1966, 8 million of the employed labor force worked less than 35 hours per week on the average. At least one-fourth of these were employed from 1 to 14 hours per week.20 It is seen, then, that unemployment rates among Japanese youth have been consistently higher than those for the total work force; and that there may also be greater underemploy ment and disguised unemployment among workers in the 15-19 age category. Given the rapid expansion and “full employment” of the Japanese economy, however, all of these meas ures are relatively low. Conclusions Each nation in the course of modern eco nomic growth will develop its own institutional and economic patterns that may not be replica ble elsewhere. Thus, the attempt to “transfer” practices or policies from one country to another is not likely to succeed except in the roughest outlines. Yet, the examination and analysis of foreign patterns are useful in yielding insights not only about another nation but also about one’s own nation. The Japanese case appears instructive in this sense with regard to youth employment and wages. The following points merit special emphasis: First, Japan’s experience with modern indus trialization and rapid economic growth has not avoided problems of underemployment and un derdevelopment. A very high growth rate coupled with major structural shifts in Japan’s economy has probably been overriding in keep ing unemployment rates of virtually all groups comparatively low. It is not at all certain that underemployment and dissatisfaction in Japa nese labor markets have been dispelled as eas ily. Second, in spite of marked wage differentials in relation to age, youth unemployment rates still exceed the average for the total labor force, and youth probably experience more underem ployment and have less productive jobs than their older counterparts. Third, youth have been “advantaged” in em ployment by several major institutional fac tors: The nen ko system, extensive on-the-job training, based on low-mobility rates, and rap idly changing technologies requiring higher lev els of training and education. Should the Japa nese economy continue to grow at its present high rate and its structure become increasingly modernized, Japanese youth are likely to enjoy more favorable employment prospects than their parents and grandparents did regardless of the wage structure. 176 Fourth, the incidence of economic hardship in Japan—through unemployment, underemploy ment, and relatively low income—probably falls more heavily on older than on younger workers. Japan has two major groups of senior workers: the permanent workers in the large enterprises who enjoy steady advancement until retire ment, and the categories of nonpermanent workers in both the large and small enterprise sectors and in agriculture. Thus, it is by no means universal that age and seniority com mand rewards in Japan. The outcome depends on one's organizational attachment, established early in the worker's career. As a result, em ployment and income problems of the older and retired worker are more important to Japan's policymakers than the problems of the eco nomic status of youth. For example, the oppor tunities for attractive employment for Japanese workers over 55 are relatively few. However, a fuller examination of this question would re quire a detailed analysis of social security pro visions, hiring practices of older workers, and family economic ties. What is the significance of these results for American policy? The relatively high rates of unemployment among American youth have been too widely discussed to require recounting here. The gap between youth unemployment rates and those for the total population is greater in the U. S. than in Japan; and all un employment rates are at much higher levels here. Wage differentials based on age may con tribute to lower youth unemployment rates in Japan, relative to the U. S., but the persistence of higher rates of Japanese youth unemploy ment and underemployment relative to the total Japanese work force raises questions concern ing the overall significance of the wage impact. Giving statistical precision to the various fac tors which affect employment, unemployment and underemployment among Japanese youth has not been possible. On the basis of our exam ination, however, it appears reasonable to con clude that wage differentials are less important factors than rapid economic growth, structural and technological shifts, national full employ ment, relatively low mobility rates, and the re lative shortage of young workers. A similar confluence of these factors in the American economy might well have similar effects on youth employment regardless of the wage struc ture. In the Japanese case, the role of these fac tors obscures the importance of the wage dif ferentials for employment and unemployment. In appraising Japanese experience for pur poses of American policy, however, it is espe cially important to note that wage differentials for youth in Japan result not from legislative fiat but from an institutional complex of much broader dimensions and greater flexibility. The United States could not expect to adopt one component of the n enko system without adopt ing other components and hope to achieve re sults similar to Japan. When wages are as low as those accepted by new workers in Japan, the distinctions between employment, underemploy ment and unemployment become blurred. Many American youth would prefer to remain “unem ployed" than accept such relatively low wages. Many of those who accepted this low-income employment would be in an “underemployed" status, with consequences for public policy as serious as those arising from outright unem ployment. Even in Japan, wage rates for youth have been among the most rapidly rising wage categories in recent years. Why, then, are entering Japanese workers still willing to accept a low starting wage, in many cases an “exploitative" wage, below their current marginal productivity? They view their starting wage as part of a total income package, lasting until age 55, in which low starting wages are offset by high final wages which might greatly exceed their productivity at later stages. In other words, the nenko system pro vides a life-time income matching lifetime prod uctivity, and it is viewed as such by young Jap anese workers. Without the rewards of age, the “exploitation" of youth would be unacceptable. This view of wages derives from long-estab lished cultural values and social relations as well as economic forces. Employers in Japan are willing to accept this system and make lifetime commitments because low rates of labor mobility make extensive onthe-job training a sound investment, thereby permitting a growth of skills to parallel an in- 177 creases in wages. And the “early” retirement system permits the employer to terminate a worker at the point at which the system be comes excessively costly. Is the United States prepared to adopt the other essential components of the Japanese sys tem at the same time as it reduces youth wages relative to the average minimum wage? If not, youth may not “accept” such a structure of dif ferentials. And yet, given mobility rates and other labor market traditions in the United States, employers, workers over 55, and public opinion are not likely to accept the n en ko sys tem as a totality. -F O O T N O T E S1 See, for example, Koji Taira, “The Dynamics of Japanese Wage Differentials, 1881-1959” (unpublished Ph. D. Dissertation, Standord University, 1961); and Solomon B. Levine, “ Labor Markets and Collective Bar gaining in Japan,” in W. W. Lockwood (ed.), The S ta te an d E conom ic E n te rp rise in J a p a n (Princeton, N.J., Princeton University Press, 1965). 2 Gerald G. Somers and Masumi Tsuda; “Job Vacan cies and Structural Change in Japanese Labor Mar kets,” in The M ea su rem en t an d In te rp re ta tio n o f Job V acan cies. National Bureau of Economic Research, (New York, 1966), pp. 204-205. 3J a p a n L a b o r B u lletin (Japan Institute of Labor, Tokyo), September 1962, February 1963, December 1963. 4360 yen = US$1 (had been 4.267=:$! before 1941; since 1949 360 y = $ l). 5Ibid., February 1963 and November 1963. 6 Ibid., September 1962 and May 1964. 7 Ibid., October 1963, December 1964, and April 1966. 8S u rv e y o f E m p lo y m en t T ren ds fo r 1965, Japan Min istry of Labor. 9Hideaki Okamoto, “Enterprises in Japan: A Socio logical Prospective,” J a p a n L a b o r B u lletin , July 1967. 10 See Solomon B. Levine, In d u stria l R ela tio n s in P o stw a r J a p a n U rban a (University of Illinois Press, 1958). 11J a p a n L a b o r B u lletin , March 1969. 12 Y e a r B ook of L abor S ta tis tic s , 1967, Japan Minis try of Labor, Tokyo, 1968; Alice H. Cook, Japanese Trade Unionism (Ithaca Cornell University, 1966), pp. 53-56. 13 See Taira, op. cit. 14J a p a n S ta tis tic a l Y earboo k, 1966, Office of the Prime Minister, Tokyo, 1967. 15 Bureau of Statistics, Office of the Prime Minister. 16 Bureau of Employment Security, Japan Ministry of Labor. 17 Y e a r B ook o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , 1967. 18J a p a n L a b o r B u lletin , J u ly 1969; Y e a r B ook o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , 1967. 19 Y e a r B ook o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , 1965 an d 1967. 20 Y e a r B ook o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , 1967, p. 13. Table 11.1. Size of establishments and workers in private non-agricultural industry in Japan, June 1966 Size of Establishment (number of workers) 1 1 2^4 59 10 19 20 29 30 99 100-499 500 999 000 or more Total (number) ______________ _______ ____ __________________ ______________ ______ __________________ ____________ - ________________ _____________________ _______________ ______ ___________ __ _____________ - Number of Establishments 1,104,480 1,981,780 609,132 290,936 98,897 123,403 27,741 1,957 1,066 4,239,392 Number of Employees 1,104,480 5,171,471 3,914,287 3,881,419 2,348,330 6,088,628 5,159,758 1,331,346 2,256,772 31,256,491 i Private establishments only. ,, L Source: Year Book of Labor Statistics, 1967. Japan Ministry of Labour, pp. 15-18. 178 Table 11.2. Monthly contract cash earnings in Yen for male workers in manufacturing by age and size of enterprise, selected years 1954-66 [Index: Age Group 20-24=100] Size: number of employees Average earnings Y 1954 19,179 1,000or more IL__ _ 1966 1961 26,461 39,700 100-499 ____ 10-29 ____ J 18 and under 20-24 18-19 35-39 30-34 25-29 50-59 40-49 60 and over Years 1954 1961 1966 1954 1961 1966 14,264 19,695 32,500 10,302 17,154 32,200 Index Y 6,350 8,369 15,600 5,351 8,611 15,600 5,022 9,237 110.7 16,500 150.5 159.7 143.3 126.8 121.4 116.5 114.1 111.8 Index Y Index 49.8 9,120 50.4 12,973 56.3 47.6 8,049 53.0 12,245 55.9 20,500 55.6 6,883 60.2 11,874 56.7 21,700 21,100 Y 71.5 12,747 78.2 16,574 76.2 27,700 71.5 11,252 75.4 16,226 73.5 27,900 76.2 9,031 77.3 15,346 74.6 29,100 Index Y Index Y Index 100.0022,603 17,430 136.7 20,939 136.7 30,203 100. 34,500 124.5 42,000 100. 0 14,866 132.1 17,402 100. 0 21,337 131.6 25,014 100.0034,900 100. 125.1 39,600 124.0 12,999 100. 00 11,197 100. 18,701 121.9 20,223 100.034,800 119.6 37,100 Y Index Index Y 184.4 25,889 210. 1 39,307 179.8 55,200 164.3 23,507 182.0 34,792 151.6 49,800 154.7 18,736 154.3 27,693 141.9 41,600 143.9 13,379 131.7 21,472 127.5 37,100 166.5 19,305 170.8 28,888 149.1 43,200 148.1 13,201 139.9 21,478 127.5 36,900 Y Index 203.1 25,861 237.0 39,882 199.3 58,600 171.6 17,950 178.1 26,257 154.8 39,600 146.2 12,366 140.0 19,117 126.8 33,800 Y Index 202.9 13,348 240.5 20,836 29,600 159.5 13,733 161.8 20.066 141.9 30,800 136.9 10,032 128.3 16,093 116.2 29,100 211.6 104.7 126.0 106.9 122.0 123.7 110.4 111.1 104.9 100.0 Source: RODO HAKUSHO (Labor White Paper), 1967. Japan Ministry of Labor, pp. 254-55. Table 11.3. Monthly contract cash earnings in Yen by age in Japanese manufacturing enterprises with less than five employees, selected years, 1958-66 Age 1961 1958 Under 18________ ____ _____________ 18-19______________________________ 20-24\ 25-29/--------------------------------------------------------30-341--------------------------------------------------------35-39/--------------------------------------------------------40-49______________________________ 50 and over____ ______ _____ _____ 3,615 4,641 Average.,_________________ _________ 7,272 Source: p. 259. 9,584 9,045 / 1 / \ 1966 6,474 7,732 10,317 12,858 13,360 12,384 12,136 11,937 13,546 16,651 21,338 26,289 26,203 23,823 22,155 21,413 11,043 22,651 RODO HAKUSHO (Labor White Paper), 1967. Japan Ministry of Labo Table 11.4. Wage differential indexes for male workers in Japanese manufacturing by age, length of service, and size of firm, selected years 1954-661 Age Under 1 8 ... ________________ Under 18_____________________ 1 8 -1 9 ....___________________ 20-24________________ ____ 25-29______ ____ _____________ 30-34________________________ 35-39_______________________ 40-49________________________ 50-59______ _____ ___________ 60 or over_____ ___ __________ 1 Length of service (years 21 3-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-29 30 or over do. do. 1,000employees or more All enterprises 1954 124.3 145.0 190.1 286.6 413.3 515.9 570.6 607.8 586.8 317.7 1961 116.1 129.2 166.9 225.6 306.1 393.4 443.4 556.6 532.2 262.6 1966 109.5 111.7 145.6 199.3 251.1 304.1 358.5 419.7 437.4 257.1 Male elementary and junior high school graduates with less than one year's service = 100. 1954 121.2 136.5 176.6 265.7 373.9 475.5 561.4 600.0 612.8 383.7 1961 109.2 116.2 168.5 229.5 327.1 413.5 518.4 659.6 641.8 501.6 30-99 employees 1966 106.2 113.1 140.7 186.9 255.9 315.2 375.2 466.9 488.3 228.8 1954 124.8 144.1 198.0 266.9 329.0 412.2 478.5 453.0 389.2 343.0 1961 117.6 132.0 164.4 221.8 283.6 312.0 367.4 365.7 331.0 249.4 1966 114.9 124.3 152.7 209.5 264.9 294.6 295.3 295.3 299.3 267.6 Source: RODO HAKUSHO (Labor White Paper), 1967. Japan Ministry of Labor, pp. 256-57. 179 Table 11.5. Employment status of total labor force and youth in Japan, 1961-67 Table 11.6. Youth and total workers seeking additional or new work in Japan as of July 1, 1968 [In thousands] In thousands] Labor force Employed Unemployed Total 15-19 years Employment status Year Total Total 1961............... 1962............... 1963............... 1964............... 1965......... 1966_______ 19671______ 45,620 46,140 46,520 47,100 47,870 48,910 49,780 15-19 years 4,250 4,260 4,080 3,820 3,920 4,360 4,510 Total 45,180 45,740 46,130 46,730 47,480 48,470 49,350 15-19 years 4,200 4,200 4,020 3,770 3,860 4,300 4,150 Num ber 440 400 400 370 390 440 440 Per cent 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 Num ber Per cent 60 60 60 40 60 60 0.9 1Figures for 1967 are preliminary. Source: Year Book of Labour Statistics, 1965,1967. Japan Ministry of Labor. Number Percent Number Percent 15-19 years 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.4 With a job........... ........... ................................. Seeking additional job..........................___ Seeking change of job.................... .......... 4,906 459 805 Without a job but wishing to work,................ Seeking work____ __________________ Not seeking........................................ ....... 8,018 3,255 4,763 21 100.0 0.6 2.8 100.0 1,278 563 44.1 100.9 0.9 1.6 100.0 40.6 3,895 59.4 715 109 55.9 Source: 1968 Employment Status Survey. Bureau of Statistics, Office of the Prime Minister, Japan. CHAPTER XII Summary and Conclusions Over the past 20 years, unemployment among youths age 16-19 has been higher than that for adults. Since 1948, teenage1 unemployment rates have varied from a low of 7.6 percent in the last year of the Korean War (1953) to a high of 17.2 percent in 1963. By contrast, the unemployment rate for adults over age 24 ranged from a low of 2.3 percent in 1968 to 5.6 percent in 1958. As might be expected, there is a similarity between fluctuations in the unemployment rates for teenagers and for adults, because general business conditions affect the employment of all groups within the population. Yet the unem ployment rate of teenagers has, in the 1960’s, increased relative to the rate for adults. Although, between the recession of the early 1960’s and the full employment of the last few years, the unemployment rate for both adults and teenagers has decreased, the relative dec line was much smaller for teenagers than for adults. The adult rate dropped from almost 5 percent in the first 4 years of the decade to 2.5 percent in the last 3 years; for teenagers, from about 16 percent to 13 percent. Thus, from 1948 to 1962, the teenage rate was 3 times the adult rate; but in the last few years it was 5 times as high (table 12.1 and chart 2). Many developments of the last 20 years could have contributed to the persistently high rates of unemployment for teenagers and the increase relative to adults in the 1960’s. A substantial growth in the size of the teenage population re lative to adults—from about 9 percent in the Footnotes appear on p. 189. 180 mid-1950’s to 13 percent in the last few years —has compounded problems of job placement. The proportion of teenagers enrolled in school has increased from 50 to 70 percent. While school takes some teenagers out of the labor market, an increasing proportion of those en rolled in school are also in the labor market seeking jobs—jobs that fit in with the require ments of school attendance with respect to loca tion, hours, and so on. The movement of families from farm to city and the decline in farm employment has also meant that a smaller proportion of teenagers are employed in agriculture—a decrease from 18 percent in 1948 to 7 percent last year. Many teenagers had been employed on family farms; now they must compete in the urban labor market. Potentially compounding all these de velopments has been the effect of the military draft and its attendant uncertainties. Another development of major significance to policymakers is the Federal minimum wage. According to economic theory, a wage set higher than the rate normally prevailing in the market will mean that some workers will not be able to find jobs. Probably those workers who are less productive—either because they are un trained or inexperienced or have inadequate tools to work with—will have special employ ment problems. A legal minimum wage might, therefore, help explain the unemployment prob lems of some teenagers. In 1950, the Federal minimum wage under the Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA) was 75 cents an hour. In the years following, the mini- 181 Table 12.1. Teenage unemployment rates and ratios Unemployment rates, 16- to 19-year-olds Ratio of unemployment rates, 16 to 19 years, to rate for 25 years and over Total Total Year 1948________ 1949________ 1950________ 1951_______ 1952________ 1953________ 1954________ 1955________ 1956________ 1957________ 1958________ 1959________ 1960________ 1961________ 1962...... . 1963________ 1964________ 1965________ 1966________ 1967________ 1968________ 9.2 13.4 12.2 8.2 8.5 7.6 12.6 11.0 11.1 11.6 15.9 14.6 14.7 16.8 14.7 17.2 16.2 14.8 12.8 12.8 12.7 White All others 8.9 13.0 11.8 7.8 8.3 7.5 12.1 10.4 10.1 10.6 14.4 13.1 13.5 15.3 13.3 15.5 14.8 13.4 11.2 11.0 11.0 11.2 16.9 15.3 11.0 10.5 8.8 16.6 15.6 18.1 19.1 27.4 26.1 24.3 27.7 25.3 30.3 27.3 26.5 25.4 26.2 24.9 3.17 2.79 2.77 2.93 3.54 3.17 2.68 3.06 3.36 3.41 2.84 3.32 3.27 3.11 3.34 4.00 4.26 4.63 4.92 4.92 5.52 White 3.30 2.89 2.95 3.00 3.77 3.41 2.88 3.25 3.48 3.42 2.82 3.36 3.46 3.19 3.50 4.08 4.35 4.62 4.87 4.58 5.24 All others 2.49 2.35 1.96 2.44 2.33 2.26 1.91 2.08 2.66 2.98 2.63 3.00 2.89 2.66 2.84 3.70 3.79 4.49 5.18 5.57 6.23 Note: For more detail, see chapter 1. mum was raised until, at the end of 1969, it stands at $1.60 for most workers covered by the law.2 Of course, prevailing market wages have been increasing at the same time. Relative to average hourly earnings, the minimum wage in 1968, as indicated in chart 1, was not much dif ferent from its relative level in 1950. Perhaps more significant have been the ex pansions of coverage under FLSA into the re tail trade and service sectors in the 1960’s. Trade and service industries employ dispropor tionately large numbers of teenagers. Further, there are many low wage sectors in those two industry divisions. In 1968, for example, aver age hourly earnings were $2.16 in retail trade compared with $3.01 in manufacturing and $2.85 for the private nonfarm economy. In examining past relationships between min imum wages and the high unemployment rates of youth, certain general questions must be in vestigated: (1) Have changes in the level of minimum wages and coverage of minimum wage laws contributed to the problem of youth unemployment? (2) Do employers avoid hiring teenagers because the wage that must be paid them is not low enough to offset the disadvan tages of inexperience or lack of maturity, or are other reasons more important in inhibiting their employment? (3) Do teenagers expect wages so high that minimum wage rates are irrelevant or are their expectations high due to the minimum wage ? In addition to questions concerning past ex perience, two others require examination: (4) Regardless of whether or not the legal mini mum wage has significantly contributed to the problem of youth unemployment, would a dif ferential minimum wage for youth reduce that problem in the future? (5) Would any signifi cant problems be caused by a youth differential, such as reduced family incomes or a shift in the incidence of unemployment from teenagers to other groups ? The evidence from time series Studies of the relationship between minimum wages and teenage unemployment rates com pleted over the past several years have not ar rived at a uniform set of conclusions. The econ ometric analysis undertaken for this report used several approaches to analyze data. Basi cally, quarterly data for 1954 through 1968 were examined for different sex-color-age groups within the teenage population. Varia tions in the proportion of teenagers employed and the proportion unemployed were compared Chart 1. Coverage of minimum wage law and changes in minimum rates as a percentage of average hourly wages. Coverage (in percent) Minumum wage/AHE ■ **■ ■ ■ S a ili.k 65 90 Minimum wage as percent of . average hourly earnings Percent of nonsupervisory workers in private nonfarm economy covered by FLSA 1948 56 60 Year 50 1968 ■ 182 Table 12.2. Proportion of earnings covered by the Fed eral minimum wage. Minimum Minimum wages as a wages as a percent of average hourly percent of average hourly earnings earnings Total weighed by compensa weighted by industrty teen tion per industry total age employ man-hour, employment ment and and proportion private population of nonfarm covered, pri total employ vate nonfarm ment covered private nonfarm Basic minimum wage as a percent of Basic minimum Year 1947______ _ 1948__________ 1949_____ _ 1950__________ 1951__________ 1952__________ 1953__________ 1954_____ 1955____ ______ 1956__________ 1957__________ 1958__________ 1959....... ....... 1960...... 1961__________ 1962__________ 1963__________ 1964.... ....... 1965__________ 1966__________ 1967__________ 1968__________ effective at end of year Average hourly earnings, private nonfarm $0.40 35.4 32.7 31.4 56.2 51.7 49.3 46.6 45.5 43.4 53.2 52.9 51.3 49.5 47.8 49.1 51.8 51.9 53.0 51.0 .75 1.00 1.15 1.25 48.8 1.40 1.60 53.8 55.6 31.3 27.7 27.9 49.6 45.5 43.1 40.8 39.5 38.1 46.0 43.4 41.9 40.1 38.5 40.9 43.1 42.9 43.3 41.8 39.5 41.5 44.0 20.3 19.1 18.0 32.3 30.1 28.4 26.9 25.8 24.8 30.7 29.8 28.3 27.3 26.2 28.3 32.8 32.5 33.4 32.5 31.5 39.2 42.6 18.2 17.6 21.0 20.2 18.4 18.1 17.8 21.0 27.7 27.1 27.7 27.1 26.7 36.9 40.1 Note: For explanations, see table 1.6 in chapter 1. Dashes indicate data not available with variations in the minimum wage, control ling other relevant variables. These variables included the adult unemployment rate, the pro portion of teenagers employed in agriculture, the relative size of the teenage population, the school enrollment rate, and the relative size of the Armed Forces. A similar analysis of the employment experience of teenagers as a whole through a more extended period, 1948 to 1968, used annual data. These analyses concluded that it was not pos sible to adequately separate out the effects of minimum wage changes from other develop ments. A demonstrable relationship exists be tween minimum wages and youth unemploy ment rates if other variables are exclu ded from the analysis, but when other variables such as population and school enrollment changes are taken into account, the effect of changes in the minimum wage upon teenage unemployment be comes obscure. The study indicated that extensions of cover age of the minimum wage had more of an effect than changes in the relative level of the mini mum wage; that Federal manpower programs which produce employment for teenagers may have offset, to some degree, the disemployment effects of minimum wage legislation; and that minimum wage legislation may have had greater adverse effects upon 16- and 17-year-old than upon 18- and 19-year-old youth. The analysis concluded on the cautious note that, “While there are hints of adverse effects of minimum wages in available data, no firm statements can be made about the magnitude of such effects.” Another survey undertaken for this report differs significantly in approach from other re cent studies. Its analysis traces the employment experience of an identical group of young males, 15 to 25 years of age, during a time when the Federal minimum wage was increased from $1.25 in 1966 to $1.40 in 1967 and coverage was expanded significantly. For the teenagers, as well as for older groups, the analysis showed mixed results. Those teenagers already earning $1.40 or more in 1966 were not directly affected by the new minimum. If the minimum wage had any effects, it would be expected to lead to more time unemployed or more time spent out of the labor force by the low wage teenagers. Con trary to this expectation, table 12.3 shows that the average number of weeks low wage teen agers were unemployed not only declined beChart 2. Fluctuations in adult and teenage unemploy ment rates, 1948—68 GW. . . * , * MM ' . : Teenage rate "i'< „ * ■ * ■ * .5 * * * Adult rate **■ 183 Table 12.3. Change in labor force status, 1966-67, men 15-19 years of age with work experience in 1966 Hourly rate of pay (dollars) in 1966 Total or average 5__ Less than $1.00_________ $1.00-1.39____ ________ $1.40 or more__________ Total number with work experi ence in 1966 (thou sands) Change in mean weeks unem ployed 1 (weeks) 5,854 -1 .9 -4 .1 3,311 6.5 19.3 1,591 -1 .3 -2 .3 - 1.0 -4 .6 -3 .9 -5 .5 1,1,165 210 5.3 6.5 6.4 20.3 21.7 16.1 688 1,941 Change Total in mean number weeks employ ed in out of labor 1966 force 2 survey (weeks) week (thou sands) 492 Disem Disem ploy ploy ment ment rate rate (into (out of unem labor force)4 ploy ment)3 (per (per cent) cent) 1Mean number of weeks unemployed during the 12 months preceding the 1967 survey minus the mean number of weeks unemployed during the 12 months preceding the 1966 survey. 2Mean number of weeks out of the labor force during the 12 months preceding the 1967 survey minus the mean number of weeks out of the labor force during the 12 months preceding the 1966 survey. 1Proportion of those employed during the 1966 survey week who were unemployed during the 1967 survey week. 4Proportion of those employed during the 1966 survey week who were out of the labor force during the 1967 survey week. 6Total includes young men not classified by wage rate. Note: For further discussion, see chapter 3. tween 1966 and 1967 but declined more than among high wage teenagers. On the other hand, the average number of weeks spent out of the labor force fell less among low wage than high wage teenagers, a result that is in line with expectations. Looking at only those teenagers who were employed during the 1966 survey week, a greater proportion of low wage than high wage employees were out of the labor force a year later. However, the proportion of low wage em ployees who were unemployed a year later is in one case ($1 to $1.39) about the same and in another case (less than $1) below the propor tion of high wage employees who were unem ployed a year later.3 The analysis is, as the authors note, biased against finding adverse employment effects be cause the sample had “aged” 1 year between survey periods, thus increasing the employabil ity of the group; further, the data tell nothing about youth entering the labor force for the first time during this period. There was some evidence of adverse employment effects among 15- to 17-year-old students who were Negroes and had limited labor market information and among those students employed as service workers. There was, however, no evidence of a general tendency for the minimum wage in crease of 1967 to create relatively more unem ployment among low wage young workers. As the analysis concludes, “If the minimum wage increases did indeed create unemployment among youth, the effect was not a pronounced one.” The employers’ response In the survey of employer hiring standards in 10 cities, included in chapter 4, the most fre quently cited consideration affecting employer decisions to employ teenagers under age 18 was restrictions on employment of teenagers in haz ardous occupations. Chapter 9, dealing with ex perience under State minimum wage laws, also stresses hazardous work restrictions as well as restrictions on hours of work, the cumbersome machinery of work certificates, union restric tions, and problems of transportation as factors curbing the employment of teenagers. The un certainty of the military draft was the reason most frequently cited by employers in weighing their decision to hire 18- and 19-year-olds, a problem underscored in the study of experience in local public employment offices in 23 areas (chapter 5). The belief that teenagers are un willing to work for low wages is not uncommon among employers. (See further discussion below.) The extent to which the legal authority to pay a wage lower than the minimum would offset such problems is uncertain. Among the small number of establishments which raised age or educational hiring require ments between 1966 and 1969 in the 10-cities survey of hiring standards, the reason most fre quently cited by employers for doing so was higher costs of training and hiring teenagers. Experience under State laws and experience of the public employment offices also indicate lack of education and training to be an important reason for employers not hiring teenagers for full-time jobs. Dissatisfaction with teenagers’ absenteeism, unreliability, and performance on the job is common. In principle, the lower quality of teenage labor could be offset, in the employer’s calcula tions, by paying them a lower wage. However, under the Fair Labor Standards Act, establish ments holding full-time student certificates have the legal authority to hire youth at 85 per cent of the minimum wage. As reported in the 184 Table 12.4. Numerical distribution of establishments not utilizing or not fully utilizing full-time student certificates by degree of utilization and reasons for less than full utilization of certificates [Data relate to certificates in effect on April 30,1969, and reflect utilization during the period May 1,1968 to April 30,1969] Reasons for not utilizing or not fully utilizing certificates Degree of utilization Total......... .................... Less than 20 percent.............. 20 percent to 49 percent... 50 percent or more______ Number of estab Number lishments of estab not uti lishments lizing or with cer not fully Fully tificates utilizing staffed certifi cates 4,615 4,163 1,484 1,085 2,046 1,484 1,085 1,594 Full-time students unwilling Record to work keeping at submini mum wages Certifi cate restric tions 2,168 564' 641 963 868 212 211 244 318 799 881 321 198 280 425 339 study of utilization of that authority (chapter 8), only 10 percent used the certificate author ity fully, and 55 percent used less than half of their authorized man-hours. Seventeen percent of the establishments holding such certificates claimed they had not fully used it because stu dents were unsatisfactory workers (table 12.4). Apparently for some employers at least a 15percent “discount” was not enough to offset the poorer quality of student help. All this does not mean that wages—and the legal minimum wage in particular—are ever ir relevant. Although local employment service Table 12.5. Rank importance of reasons for difficulty in placing teenagers based on local office experience during fiscal year 1969, average, all areas [Rating Scale: Very important = 3; Important = 2; Unimportant, irrelevant, or not true = 1] Full-time jobs Reason 1. Level of the minimum wage has caused employers to seek older, more experi enced workers for jobs_____________ 2. Unwillingness of teenagers to accept wages usually offered for jobs they are qualified to take___________ _______ 3. Uncertainty over the draft makes em ployers reluctant to hire teenagers____ 4. Legal restrictions on hours of work, hazardous work, or other working con ditions for teenagers____ ___________ 5. Hiring specifications of employers with respect to education and experience are so high that most teenagers are excluded_________________________ . Employers? hiring specifications with respect to age exclude teenagers.......... 7. Employer fear of higher cost of work man’s compensation and other insur ance when teenagers are employed___ . Employers believe teenagers are not reliable______________ ___________ 9. High labor turnover among teenagers___ 10. State laws require too much paper work, such as work permits.............. .............. 11. High cost of hiring and training teenagers. 12. Union contract provisions.._____ ______ 6 8 16-17 years 18-19 1.77 1.54 Part-time jobs 16-17 years 18-19 years 1.66 1.52 1.79 2.10 1.64 1.87 1.32 2.44 1.18 1.48 2.75 1.41 2.71 1.45 2.28 1.95 1.96 1.54 2.44 1.56 2.23 1.47 2.19 1.59 2.09 1.48 2.54 2.31 2.10 2.30 2.1.9501B 2.14 2.22 1.85 1.65 1.63 1.07 1.58 1.40 1.59 1.57 1.72 1.05 1.41 1.38 Full-time students unsatis factoryworkers Prefer to hire regular workers Company Tem Delay in porary Selfschool Union Legal policy to pay restric opera imposed verifica restric mini tional restric tion of tions tions mum problems tions student wages status 788 600 504 199 236 353 243 151 206 282 98 124 Other reasons 396 356 332 223 120 39 171 189 82 85 49 78 205 136 50 37 80 36 4 13 111 114 12 14 offices generally said minimum wages were not an inportant reason for the difficulty in placing teenagers in full-time jobs, minimum wages were cited as a problem more frequently in the case of 16- to 17-year-olds (table 12.5). The mini mum wage was the second most common reason for employers raising hiring standards between 1966 and 1969, though such companies repre sented less than 5 percent of all employers in every city covered and less than 1 percent in most cities. The relatively tight labor market for adults in the last 3 years, however, probably kept most employers from raising their hiring standards. A minority of employers covered in the survey of hiring standards did consider the minimum wage an important factor affecting their decision to hire teenagers (table 12.6). Em ployers located in small towns cited the mini mum wage more frequently than employers lo cated in large cities and more frequently with reference to 16- to 17-year-olds than 18- to 19year-olds. Further, employers—as did the pub lic employment offices—cited the minimum wage as an important factor more frequently in the case of younger teenagers. A modest num ber of establishments did apply for full-time student and learner certificates under the FLSA, though less than half the authorized time was actually used. The evidence suggests, therefore, that some employers would be willing to hire more teenag ers at lower wage rates. However, legal restric tions on the employment of youth and appre hension over the quality of teenagers as employ ees are probably even more important impedi ments to the employment of youth. 185 Expectations of youth Throughout the Nation, a commonplace belief among employers and others is that young workers expect unduly high wages and are dis inclined to accept low status (frequently equated to low wage) jobs. Close to 20 percent of the employers holding full-time student cer tificates under FLSA claimed they did not fully utilize the authority because students were un willing to work at subminimum rates. Certainly there is much anecdotal material on the alleged unreasonableness of teenagers. However, a 1967 survey of young men throughout the Nation indicated that the a v e r age wage expected by unemployed teenagers was less than the average wage actually earned by those who were employed (table 12.7). Fur ther, large numbers of teenagers, both unem ployed and out of the labor force, did indicate they would accept jobs at less than the $1.40 legal minimum in 1967. Findings from the Urban Employment Sur vey (UES), a survey of residents of selected poverty areas of six large cities, suggest that average earnings expectations of currently un employed teenagers did not exceed average hourly earnings actually received by employed teenagers. In the July 1968-June 1969 survey period, the median wage expected by unem ployed teenage boys and girls was less than the wage actually received by those employed. Table 12.6. Percentage of establishments covered by FLSA reporting the minimum wage as a factor in the deci sion to hire teenagers, by city and age group Under 18 18 and 19 City Impor tant tant Atlanta..______________ Detroit________ ____ _ Cleveland_____________ Baltimore______ _______ Milwaukee_____________ Los Angeles................. . Battle Creek__________ _ Auburn____ ___________ Galveston....... ................... El Paso....... ................... . 6 Unweighted average: Targe areas______ 4 small areas_______ 14 16 21 2016 31 14 23 28 24 25 65 60 73 70 73 78 54 52 57 44 11.5 23.2 18.7 25.0 69.8 51.8 1010 118 23 20 19 24 17 Note: For further discussion, see chapter 4. Not impor tant Very impor tant Impor tant Not tant 13 13 25 1111 19 31 2028 3 7 71 75 73 81 83 67 56 67 47 8.7 16.0 15.3 24.5 76.0 59.3 1199 9 68 13 18 18 16 18 Table 12.7. Rate of pay required to induce youth to ac cept employment or to enter labor force, and hourly rate of pay for those employed, by age and color, 1967 Age and 1967 labor force status Total number (thousands) Less $1.40 $2.00 $3.00 than to to or $1.40 $1.99 $2.99 more Mean pay required or earned Whites Age 15-17: Out of labor force___ Unemployed________ Employed____ _____ Age 18-19: Out of labor force___ Unemployed. ___ Employed__________ 808 400 1,968 51.1 43.0 47.5 44.5 50.9 37.9 3.9 4.8 9.9 196 141 1,493 13.8 18.0 25.2 57.2 46.1 33.6 23.0 29.7 30.9 .0 6.0 6.2 10.3 0.5 4.7 $1.32 1.35 1.59 1.69 1.76 1.93 All others Age 15-17: Out of labor force___ Unemployed________ Employed____ _____ 161 99 297 Out of labor force___ Unemployed________ Employed_______ _ 21242 A «a IQ IQ. Age i<$—i y . .0 64.8 58.8 51.6 30.5 33.5 35.6 3.3 7.7 9.4 3.4 $1.30 1.30 1.53 28.8 37.6 48.1 29.8 20.5 22.3 10.3 2.6 1.61 1.75 19 1.3 Note: For further discussion, see chapter 6. Dashes indicate data not available. The reported proportion of unemployed young men willing to accept employment in 1967 at wages below the Federal minimum was less, however, than the proportion of teenagers actually employed at lower wages. The same was true of teenagers, especially the males, in the Chicago and New York poverty areas in 1968-69. These bits of evidence lend some sup port to the supposition that the unemployment of some teenagers can be attributed to high wage expectations. The average duration of unemployment for teenagers is short. While this is partially attrib utable to their ability to withdraw from the labor force, it suggests also that high wage or status expectations of teenagers are not endur ing. The available evidence indicates that teenag ers are knowledgeable about prevailing wage levels and adjust their expectations according to differences in levels between areas and over time. There is some evidence that unemployed teenagers are disinclined to accept the lower wage jobs. Minimum wages may be a factor influencing these expectations. These expecta tions contribute, at least in the short run, to unemployment problems, but do not appear to be a major obstacle to reducing teenage unem ployment. 186 A youth differential Whether or not the minimum wage has been a significant factor in causing youth unemploy ment, the question of the effects of a youth dif ferential is a different issue. There has been only limited experience with these differentials in the United States. They currently exist in Federal minimum wage legislation in the form of the certification programs under FLSA and also in a variety of forms in State laws. In other countries—in Western Europe, Canada, and Japan (chapters 10 and 11)—youth differen tials exist by law, contract, or customs to a much greater extent than in the United States. The certification programs cover a limited number of workers and establishments. Em ployer interest in the certification programs has increased at times of minimum wage law changes, though trend data on issuance of cer tificates do not necessarily measure usage. The study of these programs points out that the au thority to hire young workers at rates below the minimum does not automatically mean the op portunity will or can be fully used by employers to increase employment of youth; the modest abatement of rates provided in those programs was, by itself, inadequate. The full-time student certification rates were less meaningful in the South where wage levels are generally low, the student rate thus providing a smaller incentive to hire youth. Table 12.8. Unemployment rates and the youth-adult unemployment ratio for selected countries Countries Unemploy ment rate, all ages Youth unemploy ment rate Youth-adult unemployment ratio 1 1960-64 1967-68 1960-64 1967-68 1960-64 1967-68 Germany (1961-67)______ Canada (1962-66)2 _____ Netherlands (1960)._ United Kingdom (1961-67). Sweden (1964-67)______ France (1960)__________ Belgium (1960)_________ Italy (1961-67) ___ United States <1960-68)__ Japan (1962)6__________ 46.9 0.3 0.3 1.1 414.4 1.1 4 2.4 1.0 4.0 9.7 0.9 1.4 1.8 331.3 2.0 30.9 32.2 1.7 430.6 1.4 2.3 43.9 1.7 6.1 2.6 2.6 4.4 2.2.51 6.6 4.0 1.7 3.4 11.4 3.5 9.3 4.9 5.5 514.7 s 12.7 3.3 3.6 0.9 1.4 1.6 3 1.0 2.6 3 1.1 2.9 5.7 5.5 1Ratio of youth unemployment rate to adult unemployment rate for adults 25 and over. Data from labor force surveys except as noted. Data not strictly comparable among countries. 2Ostry, Sylvia, Uuemployment in Canada, 1968, males only, ratio: youth-all ages. 3Labor Ministry data from unemployment insurance records. ^Census data for 1961. 6Youth unemployment data relate to 16- to 19-year-olds. 8Levine and Somers, Youth Employment and Wages in Postwar Japan. Ratio: youthall ages. Differential rates in State minimum wage laws—commonly 80 percent of the adult rate— have had limited effects on unemployment rates. State laws are not relevant where the Federal law applies if the State minimum is below the Federal. In a number of States, small establish ments and certain occupations where teenagers are employed are exempt from State law. Fur ther, entry wage rates in some areas are far above the State minimums. Over 40 percent of the local employment serv ice offices believed employers would hire appre ciably more 16- and 17-year-old teenagers if it were possible to pay less than the Federal mini mum, but only 26 percent of the offices believed this would be true of 18- and 19-year-olds. About 90 percent of those offices which believed it would make a difference thought the reduc tion in the minimum wage that would be neces sary would not exceed 40 cents. The studies of the certification program, State experience, and the survey of local em ployment offices suggest that if a youth differ ential is to be meaningful, it would need to be a fairly substantial differential—perhaps at least 20 percent below the adult rate—and that the relationship of the adult minimum to average wage levels could not be far below the historic ratio. The evidence from abroad indicates that low wages for youth are an inducement to employ ers to seek young workers eagerly. The rela tively low youth unemployment rates abroad (table 12.8) are partially a reflection of the fact of low wages for youth. In the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and Japan, young workers start work at about one-third the adult rate. In the United States in 1967, 15- to 17-year-old boys received a wage which averaged about 60 percent of the average wage paid those 20 to 25 years old. Much of this difference reflects a dif ferent mix of jobs and job status in the two age groups. One element of the Japanese experience—low wages for youth—cannot be divorced from other parts of Japanese institutions. For exam ple, the nenko system with its virtual lifetime guarantee of employment within the firm and high wages in later years offsets low wages in youth. 187 Low wage rates for youth in Europe cannot be separated from the extensive apprenticeship programs in Britain, Germany, and the Nether lands. These programs help to channel children from school to work. Moreover, the nenko sys tem in Japan and the apprenticeship system in Europe are undergoing change, or at least at tack, with possible ramifications for youth dif ferentials in those countries. In the Soviet Union, young workers by law have a shorter workday, a longer annual vaca tion, and higher wage rates than adults doing the same type of work—just the opposite of ex perience in western Europe and Japan. The 16and 17-year-old works 7 hours a day and 5 days a week; 15-year-old apprentices work 5 hours a day. The young worker gets the same daily or monthly basic pay that an adult gets for work ing 8 hours a day at the same type of work. There have been reports in the Soviet press that many managers of establishments have been re luctant to hire young workers because of the extra cost involved. To combat this practice by employers, a joint party-government decree of February 2, 1966, established quotas of jobs for youth, the size of the quotas varying among branches of the national economy.4 In the United States, the overwhelming pro portion of teenagers belong to a part-time, part-year labor force. Almost three-fourths of the teenagers are enrolled in school. Experience in foreign countries having institutions differ ent from those in the United States has a lim ited application to American teenagers who are much less likely to be looking for a “perma nent” job. The employment advantage of a youth differ ential would be restricted by the fact that many teenagers are available for only part-time em ployment and have a limited geographic mobil ity. It would also be restricted by American wage-setting institutions which emphasize a wage for a job, not an age-wage relationship, and further limited by legal restrictions on the employment of youth. The effects of differential rates The analysis of the relationship betwen teen age earnings and family income (chapter 7) points out that very few teenagers contribute a significant share of family income. Since 73 percent of the teenagers who worked in 1966 earned less than $1,000 per year, their low earnings are more affected by the number of hours of work they find than by the wage rate. Wages paid teenagers are, of course, not solely dependent on the minimum wage. Reports from abroad do not indicate that adult employment has been affected adversely by lower minimum rates for teenagers. How ever, the European countries and Japan have had very low overall levels of unemployment. Thus, experience abroad does not provide a clear test of the effects of introducing a system of youth differentials. Past experience in the United States is no sure guide, since differential rates for youth have been used to only a limited extent. Youth differentials are common in most State laws with no apparent evidence of adverse ef fects. State minimum wage levels are not, how ever, always meaningful relative to prevailing wage levels. About 40 percent of the local em ployment service offices believed that a lower Federal minimum wage for teenagers would have adverse effects on employment of other groups; this was, however, only an informed judgment. Available materials do not permit any firm conclusions about adverse effects of a youth differential minimum wage. Conclusions 1. Increases in the level and coverage of the Federal minimum wage may have contributed to the employment problems of teenagers, but it is difficult to disentangle such effects from nu merous other influences. Prior to the 1960% relatively few teenagers were employed in establishments covered by the Fair Labor Standards Act. Prior to 1966, agri culture (where teenagers are employed as fam ily workers) was totally exempt; domestic serv ice still is. Services and trade were generally excluded from the law prior to 1961, and even now small establishments are exempt. The longrun rise in the unemployment rate of teenag ers relative to that of adults—especially marked since 1962—appears to have been associated 188 with many factors. Compounding problems have been the increase in the relative size of the teenage population, the increase in the propor tion of youth enrolled in school, and the shift of employment out of agriculture. Although neither of the latter two factors may explain much of the relative rise in teenage unemploy ment, they do mean that one easy-access labor market, namely, the family farm, is available to a smaller proportion of youth and that the types of employment sought by teenagers (outside school hours) cover a restricted range of exist ing employment opportunities. The increase in the number of teenagers in school has, on the other hand, taken some of them out of the labor force. The magnitude of the employment effects of minimum wage legislation probably has been small, as the studies included in this report underline, and, consequently, difficult to meas ure precisely. It should be kept in mind, how ever, that (1) many teenagers have, until very recent years, been employed in sectors of the economy not covered by FLSA, (2) minimum wage levels have not been markedly high rela tive to prevailing wage levels, judging by his torical ratios, and (3) the importance of min imum wages, in the periods between Congres sional action, has been partially offset by in creases in money wages, tending to make any disemployment effects a shortrun phenomenon. Also, as the econometric study included in this report points out, adverse employment effects of the minimum wage may have been, in recent years, offset by Federal manpower programs. The high unemployment rates of teenagers have not brought about a drop in the relative wage paid teenagers and, hence, an increase in their employment opportunities. Certainly, a legal minimum wage, on its face, means wages are inflexible downward. Because minimum wages have been periodically increased to main tain about the same level of parity with average earnings, any tendency for the spread between lower and higher rates to increase has been offset, except in the short run. Not all sectors of the economy have been cov ered by FLSA; other labor market institutions, including union contracts, have also affected wage levels and wage rigidity. Unlike Britain, France, or Japan, American wage-setting insti tutions have generally developed the practice of setting a wage rate for a job regardless of who holds the job. In other countries a young clerk, for example, may receive less than an adult doing the same work in the same company sim ply because he is young, but this has not been the practice in the United States. Rather, any wage differences associated with age are usually attributable to young people holding different types of jobs than adults. Longevity or seniority increases are less impor tant than occupational wage differentials; fur ther, longevity increases are a function of length of service on a particular job, not chron ological age p er sc. A company’s demand for workers to do a particular job within the com pany is limited. Except to the degree that al most all persons holding a particular job in a company are teenagers, the nature of American wage setting institutions would reduce (but not eliminate) the possibility of a relative decline in wages paid teenagers even if there were no minimum wage legislation. A cautionary note should be added. If the minimum wage as a percent of average hourly earnings was more than the 50-percent range prevailing in the postwar period or if coverage was extended to new areas, past experience would not serve as an accurate guide to future employment effects. 2. Employer attitudes—as reflected in both the survey of employers and the response of the public employment offices—experience under the certification programs, and experience in other countries suggest that a substantial dif ferential between youth and adult rates would increase the employment of teenagers. The in centive of a large differential would help to overcome the apprehensions employers have in dicated over the quality of teenagers as employ ees. The evidence indicates the differential would especially affect the decisions of employ ers to hire 16- and 17-year-old teenagers and particularly employers located outside the large urban centers. The effect of a youth differential would de pend on the size of the difference between the youth and adult minimums, the relation of the adult minimum to the current average hourly 189 earnings of rank-and-file workers, and the sim plicity of the regulations. Even then, the effect of the difference would be restricted by condi tions unique to the American scene. If a youth differential were instituted in the 1970’s, it would be difficult to evaluate its effects without better data, especially frequency distri butions of wages of workers in the American economy along with demographic information on the workers. The effects of a youth differen tial must be separated from other develop ments. During the coming decade, the teenage population will increase 12 percent, compared with 40 percent in the 1960’s. Assuming no major decline in economic activity, this slower rate of growth, alone, should help ease problems of absorbing teenagers into the employed labor force. 1 Throughout the study, the terms “youth,” “teen agers,” and “young people” have been used interchange ably. Unless otherwise specified, the terms refer to 16to 19-year-olds. 2 See table 12.2 for some additional detail. 3More sophisticated statements of tests and further data can be found in chapter 3. If columns 2 and 3 of table 3 are added, the expected adverse pattern appears. This is not true, however, when data are controlled by school enrollment status. See table 3.6 in chapter 3. 4 S o v etsk ie p ro fso y u zy [Soviet Trade Unions], No. 12 (June 1967), p. 47. ☆ U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1970 0 - 3 7 6 - 9 0 0 There is more under the cover too o f the new MONTHLY LABOR :• REVIEW • Authoritative analysis of prices, labor force trends, earnings, productivity, unit labor costs, and collective bargaining developments by the professional staff of the Bureau of Labor Statistics • Plus articles, book reviews, and other contributions by outstanding outside contributors. Authors who have appeared in recent issues of the Review include David L. Cole, Dudley Dillard, A. Ross Eckler, William Haber, Theodore W . Kheel, Richard A. Lester, David A. Morse, and Philip Taft. To enter your trial subscription to the Monthly Labor Review, use the coupon below. FOR USE OF SUPT. DOCS To: S u p e rin te n d e n t o f D o c u m e n ts U.S. G o v e r n m e n t P rin tin g O f f ic e ________ Enclosed_________ W a s h in g to n , D. 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