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A APR1$me 3* Worklife Estimates: Effects of Race and Education % S?/ Cl U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics February 1986 Bulletin 2254 J iW u c * a;\Y d Git NCE cf '3 x <%> '4 ., Vh. Worklife Estimates: Effects of Race and Education U.S. Department of Labor W illiam E. Brock, Secretary Bureau of Labor Statistics Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner February 1986 Bulletin 2254 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 Preface This bulletin on new estimates of working life for men and women continues the BLS series begun in 1950, and incorporates methodological improvements intro duced in 1982. It contains, in addition to a discussion of changes in worklife expectancy since 1977—first pub lished in the March 1982 Monthly Labor Review— updated and expanded worklife tables for 1980, including the effects of race and educational attainment on worklife expectancy. The author, Shirley J. Smith, is a demographic statis tician in the Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. This bulletin is based on a paper she and Francis W. Horvath, an economist with the Bureau, presented at the 1984 annual meeting of the Population Association of America, Minneapolis, Minnesota. Robert J. Mclntire and Jeannette Montgomery, of the Data Services Group, assisted in the preparation of the tables. The text for this bulletin is reprinted from the August 1985 Monthly Labor Review, pages 23-30, and includes some data corrections. Material in this publication is in the public domain and, with appropriate credit, may be reproduced with out permission. Contents Page Revised worklife tables reflect 1979-80 experience........................................................................................ \ Technical appendix......................................................................................................................................... 31 Tables of working life: A-l Working life table for men, 1979-80 ......................................................................................... A-2 Life and worklife expectancies for men by race, 1979-80 ........................................................ A-3 Worklife expectancies for men by schooling completed, 1979-80.............................................. A-4 Working life table for women, 1979-80...................................................................................... A-5 Life and worklife expectancies for women by race, 1979-80..................................................... A-6 Worklife expectancies for women by schooling completed, 1979-80 ......................................... Rates of labor force mobility: B-l Labor force accession rates by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 ................... B-2 Total labor force separation rates by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 .................................................................................................................................. B-3 Voluntary labor force separation rates by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 .................................................................................................................................. B-4 Net labor force mobility rates by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 .................................................................................................................................. B-5 Labor force accessions per 1,000 persons alive at beginning of age interval by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80........................................................................ B-6 Total labor force separations per 1,000 persons alive at beginning of age interval by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80........................................................... B-7 Labor force accessions per 1,000 inactive persons by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 ................................................................................................................ B-8 Total labor force separations per 1,000 active persons by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 ............................................................................................... B-9 Remaining labor force accessions per person entering age interval by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 ............................................................................... B-10 Remaining voluntary labor force separations per person entering age interval by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80........................................................................ v 9 13 14 15 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Revised worklife tables reflect 1979-80 experience New worklife estimates, based on an expanded sample of individuals, provide more complete measures of labor force behavior than were previously possible; the effects of race and educational attainment on lifetime economic activity are exploredfor the first time S h ir l e y J. S m it h It is estimated that if mortality conditions and labor force entry and exit rates held constant at levels observed in 1979 to 1980, males bom during those years would work about a third longer (38.8 years) over their lifetimes than would their female counterparts (29.4 years). Whites would work considerably longer than blacks and others, with white women working more than 2 years longer and white men nearly 7 years longer than their minority counterparts. The impact of education would be seen not only in occupational choice, but also in the total length of time spent in the labor force. Although remaining in school might delay career entry, those who studied longest would also spend the most years being economically active. The Bureau of Labor Statistics has been producing worklife estimates for the U.S. population since 1950. Initially, these estimates portrayed workers as being continuously active from the time of initial labor force entry until final retirement. In 1982, after completing a major study of worklife methodology, the b l s published its first set of incrementdecrement, or multistate, working life tables for the years 1970 and 1977.1 Based on observed rates of labor force entry and exit at all ages, those tables for the first time Shirley J. Sm ith is a dem ographic statistician in the Office o f E m ploym ent and U nem ploym ent Statistics, Bureau o f Labor Statistics. This report is based on a paper she and Francis W . H orvath, an econ om ist with the Bureau, presented at the 1984 annual m eeting o f the Population A ssociation o f A m erica, M inneapolis, m n . 1 quantified the impact of midlife labor force withdrawal and reentry on worklife duration. Their publication drew re sponses from many economists involved in litigation of wrongful injury or death cases. Several such responses have been published in the Monthly Labor Review,2 and some of the refinements proposed by readers have since been im plemented in b l s worklife research.3 This analysis incorporates some of those refinements, updates the 1982 study, and presents a new set of official worklife estimates based on patterns observed during the period 1979-80. It also adds two new dimensions to the discussion, for the first time exploring how race and edu cational background affect lifetime labor force behavior. Method of the new study As was the case with previous b l s worklife estimates, the new figures have been calculated from information col lected in the Current Population Survey ( c p s ) , a nationwide monthly household survey conducted by the Bureau of the Census on behalf of the b l s . 4 Individuals are interviewed during each of 4 successive months, and again in the same 4 months of the following year. Questions focus on the labor force behavior of household members during the week preceding each interview. For the period of study, c p s records have been matched so that each person’s status at the beginning and end of a 12-month interval can be compared. Labor force transitions have been registered if labor force status changed between the two reference dates. Transition rates have been devel oped for each age, sex, race, and educational category to identify the group’s unique pattern of labor force mobility. The worklife tables for 1977 were derived from a single matched sample of about 40,000 persons, interviewed in January 1977 and again in January 1978. To provide the additional demographic detail presented below, the current study pools six matched samples focusing on individuals’ labor force status in a given month of 1979 and in the same month of 1980. Specifically, the study focuses on persons interviewed in the following months of each of the 2 years: January, March, May, July, September, and No vember. Together the six samples include nearly 255,000 matched responses.5 The multistate working life table model is extremely sen sitive to rapid changes in rates of labor force entry or with drawal. Tables based on a recessionary period, during which labor force exits increase, present a very bleak picture of lifetime labor force involvement. Conversely, those cal culated during periods of rapid recovery or expansion tend to overstate the average degree of lifetime labor force at tachment. To avoid the problems caused by the cyclical swings of the early 1980’s, the current study rests on data for a somewhat earlier but less turbulent period, 1979 to 1980. The cost of avoiding cyclical irregularities in this way is that certain secular trends may be understated. To the extent that underlying patterns of male and female labor force involvement have converged since 1980, the sex differen tials in this report may overstate those now in evidence. However, until it is possible to update the tables again, the 1979-80 period has been judged the most viable for cal culation of multistate worklife estimates. two new dimensions to the estimation of worklife: race and education. Tables are presented separately for each of these two variables. However, the combined impact of race and education has not been computed because file present matched sample is too limited to develop reliable joint probabilities. Working life tables show the combined effects of mor tality and labor force mobility rates on lifetime labor force involvement. The mortality estimates used in this report are averages of the 1979 and 1980 values released by the Na tional Center for Health Statistics.7 Tables by race incor porate the effects of sex- and race-specific mortality. Those focusing on education employ only sex-specific rates, be cause there are no comparable mortality tables by education. Of course, access to health care is apt to be correlated with schooling. If it were possible to quantify this relationship, the tables would probably show still wider discrepancies between the worklives of the less and more educated. Apart from the factors listed above, all of which affect the behavior of workers, certain properties of the data may also influence our perception of that behavior. Model as sumptions and sample design are two such factors. The b l s worklife model has changed little since 1977; it should cause no marked discontinuities.8However, the expanded sample, in which subsets are observed at six different points during the year, captures more labor force mobility than was ev ident in the earlier tables. In particular, the new sample includes two groups of persons whose labor force behavior was observed, retrospectively, in May and July of each of the 2 years. This is the period during which students and seasonal workers are most likely to report themselves as economically active. Neither worklife expectancies nor net flows appear to have changed greatly between 1977 and the end of the decade. But rates of labor force accession and separation rose noticeably. Because of modification of the sample, such differences should not be interpreted as an accurate reflection of “changes” in mobility rates. Factors affecting worklife duration In the working life tables for 1970 and 1977, worklife duration was treated as if it were a simple function of sex and age. Tables were prepared separately for men and women, giving no additional demographic or functional detail by race, educational attainment, occupation, or other charac teristics that might distinguish high from low turnover groups. In reality, labor force attachments are influenced by a variety of factors, including training, health, marital and family responsibilities, economic opportunity, and addi tional sources of income. However, it is not feasible to control for all of these factors in computing worklife ex pectancy. For example, while worklife estimates by occu pation are in particular demand, it would require development of a clustering scheme for occupations by prevailing work patterns, together with study of job changes among poten tially hundreds of occupations, to compute them. The only other approach is to assume that no such changes occur.6 Because neither of these alternatives is practical, no such estimates are computed. Nonetheless, this study does add Developments between 1977 and 1979-80 The general relationships observed in earlier worklife ta bles remained valid through the end of the 1970’s. Women continued to have higher probabilities of labor force exit and reentry than men. Consequently, men continued to have longer worklives, on average, than women. (See table 1.) Not surprisingly, the worklife expectancy of persons in the labor force was higher than that of the inactive population. The gap was small for young persons, but widened consid erably with age. Men who were in the labor force at age 50 could expect to work 4.8 years longer than other men at that age. The comparable figure for women was 4.5 years. Between 1977 and 1980, the cross-sectional participation rates of men changed very little. (See table 2.) Those of older teenagers and men above the age of 55 dropped slightly. In contrast, the activity rates of women continued to climb. There was an overall gain of more than 3 percentage points, 2 half year of life, but allocated this additional time to labor force activity and reduced nonmarket time by an average of .7 years, for a total worklife gain of 1.2 years. As a result, the sex differential in worklife continued to narrow. Whereas in 1977 the 20-year-old woman could expect to work 70.7 percent as long as her male counterpart, by 197980 the ratio had risen to 73.9 percent. The trend toward earlier retirement observed between 1970 and 1977 appeared to have leveled off in the closing years of the decade. The worklife expectancy of 65-yearold men, which had dropped from 3.1 years in 1970 to 1.9 in 1977, was 2.3 years by the end of the decade. (See table 4.) For women of a comparable age, the figure had dropped from 1.4 to 1.1 years, but stood at 1.5 years by 1979-80. The model’s insensitivity to hours of work makes it difficult to interpret these changes. They may well reflect the im permanence of many retirement decisions, and the fact that so-called retirees often resume part-time jobs for either eco nomic or social reasons.10 The new tables show little change in the proportion of persons expected to die while economically active. (See table 4.) In 1977, the figures for men and women were 27.0 percent and 9.5 percent, respectively, compared with 27.4 percent and 10.4 percent for 1979-80. Table 1. Worklife expectancy of the population, 1970 and 1977, and of all persons by labor force status in 1979-80, by sex and age [In years] S e x an d ag e W o rk life e xp e c ta n c y o f th e p o p u la tio n 19 70 19 77 W o rk life e x p e c ta n c y by cu rren t la b o r fo rc e s ta tu s , 1 9 7 9 - 8 0 T o ta l A c tiv e In a ctive 38.8 38.3 35.7 31.8 27.1 22.1 16.9 M en .................................... 3 7.8 3 7.9 3 8.8 — 16 .............................. 3 8 .7 38.5 39 .1 3 9.8 20 0 .............................. 3 7.3 3 6 .8 3 7.4 25 .............................. 3 4 .4 33 .4 3 3 .1 3 3 .5 30 .............................. 3 0 .6 2 9 .2 2 8 .9 2 9 .2 35 .............................. 26 .1 2 4 .7 2 4 .5 2 4 .8 40 .............................. 2 1 .7 20 .3 2 0 .0 2 0 .4 45 .............................. 17.4 15 .9 1 5 .7 16 .3 50 .............................. 13 .4 1 1 .7 11 .6 12 .3 55 .............................. 9 .5 7 .8 7 .8 8 .7 36 .8 . 11 8 42 60 .............................. 6 .0 4 .3 4 .4 5 .7 2 2 65 .............................. 3 .1 1.9 2 .3 4 .1 70 .............................. 1 .4 .9 1.2 3 .2 75 .............................. .6 .5 .6 1 .7 12 4 .0 W om en .................................... 2 2 .3 2 7.5 2 9 .4 — 16 .............................. 2 2 .5 2 7 .7 2 9 .3 3 0 .1 0 20 .............................. 2 1.3 2 6 .0 2 7.2 2 7.9 25 .................. 19 .0 2 3 .0 2 4 .0 2 4 .8 30 .............................. 16 .7 19 .9 20 .8 2 1.7 35 .............................. 1 4 .6 16 .8 17 .6 1 8 .6 40 .............................. 12 .3 13 .7 1 4 .3 15 .5 45 .............................. 9.9 10 .5 1 1 .1 12 .5 50 .............................. 7.5 7.5 8 .0 9 .8 55 .............................. 5 .2 4 .8 5 .2 7 .2 60 .............................. 3 .1 2.5 3 .0 5 .0 65 .............................. 1.4 1.1 1.5 3 .8 70 .............................. .5 .5 .8 3 .0 75 .............................. .1 .1 .3 1.3 29.4 28.7 26.1 22.6 19.1 15.7 12.1 8.4 5.3 2.9 1.5 .7 .3 .0 Differentials by race and education Although expansion of the data base for the present study has obscured our view of changing labor force mobility rates, this loss has been more than offset by an improved perspective on racial and educational differentials. Data users have long pressed for more focused tables, and the new estimates should meet some of their more urgent needs. Life table models derive their estimates of lifetime be havior not from panel studies but from a series of crosssectional surveys collected during a single year. Each age with the largest change occurring in the age range 25 to 54. This change in cross-sectional rates signaled shifts in the underlying patterns of labor force involvement. However, because the multistate model builds on flow data (that is, entry and exit rates) rather than stocks (activity rates), the relationship between changes in activity rates and worklife values is sometimes weak.9 During the period in question, the observed participation rate for men 16 and older edged downward from 77.7 per cent to 77.4 percent, while their worklife expectancy rose by .6 years. Worklife expectancies held steady for men aged 55 to 64, despite a modest drop in activity rates. Further, despite the observed drop in participation rates of those 65 and older, worklife expectancies for these men actually rose slightly as life expectancy increased. Among women 16 and older, whose total activity rate rose by 3.1 percentage points, worklife duration increased by 1.8 years. The fact that expectancies rose across the board indicates that women of all ages were developing a stronger bond with the job market. The relationship between lifespans and worklife expec tancies is particularly revealing. (See table 3.) Between 1977 and the end of the decade, the life expectancy of the average 20-year-old man rose by half a year. His worklife expec tancy went unchanged, the entire gain being allocated to nonmarket activity. Women of the same age also gained a Table 2. Annual average civilian labor force participation rates by sex and age, 1977 and 1980 [In percent] S e x an d ag e 19 77 19 8 0 Change, 19 7 7 -8 0 Men, total .............................. 1 6 -1 7 ........................... 1 8 -1 9 ........................... 2 0 -2 4 ........................... 2 5 -3 4 ........................... 77.7 50.3 72.5 85.7 95.4 77.4 50.1 71.3 85.9 95.2 -.3 -.2 -1 .2 .2 -.2 ........................... ........................... ........................... over .................. 95.7 91.2 74.0 20.1 95.5 91.2 72.1 19.0 -1 .9 -.9 W om en, total ........................ 1 6 -1 7 ........................... 1 8 -1 9 ........................... 2 0 -2 4 ........................... 2 5 -3 4 .......................... 48.4 42.2 60.5 66.5 59.5 51.5 43.6 61.9 68.9 65.5 3.1 1.4 1.4 2.4 6.0 59.6 55.8 41.0 8.1 65.5 59.9 41.3 8.1 5.9 4.1 .2 3 5 -4 4 4 5 -5 4 5 5 -6 4 65 and 3 5 -4 4 4 5 -5 4 5 5 -6 4 65 and 3 ........................... ........................... ........................... over .................. -.2 — — Race. Because the two components of worklife estimates, mortality and labor force behavior, are known to vary by race, the estimates themselves must also do so if appropri ately tabulated. The new tables based on 1979-80 data now allow us to quantify the lifetime relationship between race and labor force involvement. As might be expected, the impact is striking, particularly for men. Consider first the probabilities of moving into and out of the labor force. Among all men ages 16 to 64 who are outside the job market, whites are more likely to enter than are their minority counterparts. (See table 5.) Among those already in the labor force, blacks and others are the more likely to withdraw. The pool of inactive minority members is thus disproportionately large and contributes to a high incidence of labor force mobility at all ages. The result is that minority men are estimated to average 4.3 labor force entries and 3.9 withdrawals per lifetime, while white men average 3.9 entries and 3.6 withdrawals. (See table 4.) Based on the observations for the reference period, the worklife expectancy of blacks and others was nearly 7 years shorter than that of whites (32.9 years vs. 39.8 years). Minority men spent an average of just 50 per cent of their lives in labor force activity, compared with 56 percent for whites. This dilference was all the more striking because whites tended to live longer, allowing them greater potential for both a longer worklife and post-retirement lei sure. Far more blacks and others were likely to die before retirement (31.7 percent as against 26.7 percent for whites). group in the population being analyzed contributes a single year of life to the synthetic whole. It is possible to derive group-specific estimates only if the group is closed to entry and exit. If its members remain so classified for life, the experiences of older persons can be used to derive a syn thetic “ future” for the young. In the new tables, the population is subdivided by sex, race, and educational attainment. While subject to misclassification, each of these traits is normally fixed during the adult years. Sex and race are particularly stable, and beyond the mid 20’s, education—especially as classified here—is also relatively fixed. Only persons who already have some advanced training are likely to continue schooling, and at tainment levels, once achieved, cannot be lost. Because these groupings are closed, they satisfy the constraints of the model. And because they relate closely to labor force behavior, they are substantively meaningful controls. The specific categories of tabulation have been dictated by sample size and population distribution. The two racial categories displayed are white (88 percent of the sample) and blacks and others (12 percent). A separate set of tables details years of schooling completed, using the categories of less than high school (about 20 percent of the sample), high school graduate to 14 years (about 52 percent of the sample), and 15 years or more (about 28 percent). At older ages, the sample of highly educated persons is very thin, particularly for women. This has made the more conven tional cutoff of a college degree impossible to implement. Table 3. Changes In life and worklife expectancies by sex, selected years, and changes from 1977 to 1979-80 L if e e x p e c ta n c y W o rk life m o d e l, W o rk life e x p e c ta n c y A ll p e rso n s s e x , an d y e a r At A t age birth 20 A t birth In a c tiv e y e a rs P e r c e n t of (to ta l p o p u la tio n ) life s p a n a c tiv e W o rk e rs A t ag e A t ag e 20 20 R a tio of fe m a le to m a le w o rk life Fro m Fro m Fro m Fro m e x p e c ta n c ie s birth age 20 birth age 20 at age 20 M en Conventional m odel: 1900 ........................................................................................... 4 6 .3 4 2 .2 3 2 .1 3 7.8 3 9 .4 1 4 .2 4 .4 1940 ........................................................................................... 6 1.2 4 8 .6 3 8 .1 3 9 .7 4 1 .3 2 3 .1 7 .1 6 2 .3 84 .8 0 0 1950 ........................................................................................... 6 5 .5 4 8 .9 4 1 .5 4 1 .4 4 3 .1 2 4 .0 7.5 6 3 .4 8 4 .7 0 1960 ........................................................................................... 66.8 49 .6 4 1 .1 4 0 .9 4 2 .9 2 5 .7 8 .7 6 1.5 8 2 .5 0 6 9 .3 8 9 .6 In c re m e n t- d e c r e m e n t m o d e l : 1970 ........................................................................................... 6 7.1 49 .6 3 7.8 3 7.3 38.0 2 9 .4 12 .3 5 6 .3 75 .2 0 1977 ........................................................................................... 6 9 .3 5 1 .3 3 7.9 36 .8 3 7.3 3 1.5 14 .5 5 4 .7 7 1 .7 0 7 0 .0 5 1.8 3 8.8 36 .8 3 7.4 3 1.2 1 5 .0 5 5 .4 71.0 0 .7 .5 .9 .0 .1 .5 .7 - . 7 0 19 79 -8 0 ........................................................................... C h a n g e , 1 9 7 7 to 1 9 7 9 - 8 0 ............................... -.3 W om en Conventional m odel: 1900 ........................................................................................... 4 8 .3 4 3 .8 6.3 1940 ........................................................................................... 6 5 .7 5 0 .4 12 .1 ( 2) 11 .9 1950 ........................................................................................... 7 1.0 5 3 .7 1 5 .1 14 .5 1960 ........................................................................................... 73 .1 5 5 .7 2 0 .1 1 8 .6 0 4 2 .0 13 .7 5 3 .6 0 3 8 .5 13 .0 0 1 8 .4 2 3 .6 0 3 0 .0 0 3 7.3 5 5 .9 3 9 .2 2 1.3 2 7.0 3 5 .0 5 3 .0 3 7.1 2 7.5 3 3 .4 4 5 .0 Increm ent-decrem ent m odel: 1970 ........................................................................................... . 1977 ........................................................................................... 19 79 -8 0 ............................................................................ C h a n g e , 1 9 7 7 to 1 9 7 9 - 8 0 ............................... 74 .8 5 6 .7 2 2 .3 2 1.3 2 2 .1 35 4 29 8 37 6 57 1 5 8.6 2 7.5 2 6 .0 2 6 .7 4 9 .7 3 2 .6 3 5 .7 4 4 .4 7 0 .7 5 9 .1 2 9 .4 2 7.2 2 7.9 4 8 .2 3 1.9 3 7.9 4 6 .0 73 .9 .5 .5 1.9 1.2 1.2 2.2 1.6 3 .2 1 N o t applic able. 2D a ta n o t av ailable. 5 2 .4 7 7 .1 7 7 .6 4 -1 .5 - .7 Table 4. Selected worklife indices by sex, 1970, 1977, and 1979-80, and by sex, race, and years of schooling completed, 1979-80 [I n y e a r s , un le ss o t h er w is e I ndicated] M en W om en T o ta l 19 7 9 -8 0 Race In d e x an d a g e 19 70 19 77 19 7 9 -8 0 S c h o o lin g co m p le te d W h ite B la c k s an d othe rs Less than high sch ool 19 7 9 -8 0 T o ta l H ig h school to 1 4 y e a rs 15 y e a rs or m ore Race 19 70 19 77 19 7 9 -8 0 W h ite s S c h o o lin g co m p le te d B lac ks and othe rs Less than high sch ool H ig h sch ool to 1 4 y e a rs 73 .9 7 7 .6 7 7 .6 15 y e a rs or m ore Lif e exp e c ta n c y: A t b i r t h .......................................................................................... 6 7.1 69.3 70 .0 7 0 .7 6 5 .3 7 0 .0 70 .0 7 0 .0 A t ag e 2 5 ................................................................................ 4 5 .1 4 6 .8 4 7.3 4 7.9 4 3 .3 4 7.3 4 7.3 4 7.3 5 1 .9 5 3 .8 5 4 .2 5 4 .7 5 1 .0 5 4 .2 5 4 .2 5 4 .2 A t ag e 6 0 ................................................................................ 1 6 .1 17 .0 17.5 17.6 16 .5 17.5 17.5 17 .5 20 .8 2 2 .1 2 2 .4 2 2 .6 2 1.0 2 2 .4 2 2 .4 2 2 .4 A t age 6 5 ................................................................................ 13 .1 13 .9 1 4 .2 1 4 .3 13 .8 1 4 .2 1 4 .2 1 4 .2 17 .0 1 8 .3 1 8 .5 1 8 .7 1 7 .7 1 8 .5 18 .5 18 .5 74 .8 77.1 7 7 .6 7 8 .3 77.6 W o rk lif e e x p e c t a n c y :1 A t b i r t h .......................................................................................... 3 7.8 3 7.9 3 8.8 3 9.8 3 2 .9 23 4 .6 23 9 . 9 24 1 . 1 22.3 2 7.5 2 9 .4 2 9 .7 2 7.4 22 2 . 3 23 0 .1 23 4 . 9 A t ag e 2 5 ................................................................................ 3 4 .0 33 .4 3 3 .1 33 .8 2 8 .6 2 9 .2 33 .8 36 .1 19 .0 2 3 .0 2 4 .0 24 .1 2 3 .5 1 7 .9 2 4 .4 2 7.9 A t ag e 6 0 ................................................................................ 6.0 4 .3 4 .4 4 .5 3 .3 3 .3 4 .7 6.3 3 .1 2.5 3 .0 3 .0 3 .0 2 .3 3 .3 3 .5 A t a g e 6 5 ................................................................................ 3 .1 1.9 2 .3 2 .3 1.8 1.8 2.4 3 .6 1 .4 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.8 1.8 P e r c e n t o f life e c o n o m i c a l l y a c t i v e : 3 5 6 .3 5 4 .7 5 5.4 5 6 .3 5 0 .4 4 9 .4 5 7 .0 5 8 .7 2 9 .8 3 5 .7 3 7.9 3 7.9 3 7.1 2 8 .7 3 8.8 4 5 .0 F r o m a g e 2 5 ...................................................................... 76 .3 7 1 .4 70 .0 7 0 .6 66.1 6 1.7 71.5 76 .3 36.6 4 2 .8 4 4 .3 4 4 .1 46 .1 33.0 4 5 .0 5 1 .5 ............................................. 3 7.3 25 .3 2 5 .1 2 5 .6 2 0 .0 18 .9 2 6 .9 36.0 1 4 .9 1 1 .3 13 .4 13 .3 1 4 .3 1 0 .3 1 4 .7 15 .6 F r o m a g e 6 5 ...................................................................... 2 3 .7 1 3 .7 16 .2 16 .1 13 .0 12 .7 16 .9 2 5 .4 8 .2 6 .0 8 .1 8.0 8 .5 6.5 9 .7 9 .7 P e r s o n b o r n ........................................................................... 2.9 3 .0 3 .9 3 .9 4 .3 4 .3 3 .7 4 .6 4 .6 4 .5 5 .5 5 .6 5 .4 5 .8 5 .6 5 .6 P e r s o n a g e 2 5 ................................................................. 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.4 2 .8 2 .7 3 .0 3 .0 3 .1 3 .3 3 .2 2 .7 F r o m b i r t h ................................................................................ F r o m ag e 6 0 L a b o r fo rc e entries per: Exp e c te c te d du ratio n p er ent ry rem ainin g : F r o m b i r t h ................................................................................ 13 .0 12.6 9.9 1 0 .2 7 .7 8 .0 1 0 .8 8 .9 4 .8 6 .1 5 .3 5 .3 5 .1 3 .8 5 .4 6 .2 F r o m age 2 5 2 9 .4 29 .1 22 .1 2 2 .5 15 .9 1 4 .6 2 2 .5 2 5 .8 6 .8 8 .6 8 .0 8 .0 7.6 5 4 7 6 1 0 .3 A t b i r t h .......................................................................................... 2.6 2 .7 3 .6 3 .6 3 .9 4 .0 3 .6 4 .5 4 .5 4 .4 5 .4 5 .5 5 .4 5 7 5 7 4 7 A t ag e 2 5 ................................................................................ 1.6 1 .7 2 .3 2 .3 2.4 2 .7 2 .3 2.2 3 .3 3 .3 3 .8 3 .8 3 7 3 8 4 0 3 .6 P e r c e n t d y i n g w h i l e a c t i v e .................................... 3 6.3 2 7.0 2 7.4 2 6 .7 3 1 .7 2 3 .0 2 8 .6 3 4 .0 10 .8 9.5 1 0 .4 9 .7 1 4 .6 8 .0 11.2 12 .4 . .................................................. V o l u n t a r y exits rem ainin g : 1 P o p u l a t io n -b a s e d in d ex. 3 R a t i o o f w o r k l i f e t o life e x p e c t a n c y a t t h e g i v e n a g e . 2 Y e a r s o f w o r k e x p e c t e d , if t h i s le ve l o f e d u c a t i o n is a t t a i n e d . Education. The new tables reveal a clear and direct re lationship between years of schooling and duration of labor force involvement. As noted earlier, the size of the differ ential is probably understated. There has been no attempt to estimate the impact of education on health and survival. The mechanism whereby education affects worklife du ration is probably occupational selection. Although the link between schooling and occupation is imperfect, many oc cupations are closed to persons who have not met minimum educational requirements. Therefore, breaking the popula tion into three educational strata effectively breaks it into clusters of occupations for which certain levels of training may be necessary. The new tables reveal a decided employment “payoff” for time spent in school. During the prime working ages, men with 15 or more years of schooling are roughly half as likely to leave the job market, if active, as are those without high school diplomas. (See table 4.) If inactive, their probability of labor force entry is approximately twice that of the least educated group. Over a lifetime, the most educated class of men averages slightly more entries and exits than do those without high school diplomas, but most of this turnover occurs relatively early, while many indi viduals are still in school. After age 25, these men can Stated differently, although minority men could expect to spend fewer years in the labor force, their additional periods of inactivity were more likely to occur during prime working ages. The racial differentials in worklife expectancy were less distinct for women. At most ages, it was minority rather than white women who were the more likely to enter the job market, if inactive. (See table 5.) However, they were also the more likely to withdraw from economic activity. One apparent difference by race involved the childrearing years. Neither black nor white women showed strong ten dencies to withdraw from the job market to have children. However, the data pointed toward a “ fertility trough,” al though weak, in the labor force attachment of white women. Contradicting the patterns observed at other ages, white women in their 30’s showed a stronger propensity to leave the labor force than did their minority counterparts, and those 35 to 44 showed a stronger tendency to reenter. Al though the timing of midlife labor force withdrawal differed by race, estimates of lifetime entries and exits for the two groups are surprisingly similar. (See table 4.) On balance, white women averaged 2.3 more years of worklife (29.7 years vs. 27.4 years), but this is largely a reflection of their greater longevity. 5 Table 5. Rates of labor force accession and separation per 1,000 persons at risk, by sex, race, and years of schooling completed, 1979-80 M en Age T o ta l W h ite W om en Y e a rs o f sch o o lin g co m p le te d Race Race B la c k and L e s s tha n H ig h s ch ool 1 5 y e a rs o th e r h ig h sch ool to 1 4 y e a rs o r m o re T o ta l W h ite L a b o r fo rc e a c c e s s io n s p e r 1 ,0 0 0 in a c tiv e m e n Y e a r s o f s c h o o lin g 'c o m p le te d B la c k and L e s s th a n H ig h sc h o o l 1 5 y e a rs o th e r h ig h sc h o o l to 1 4 y e a rs o r m o re L a b o r fo rc e a c c e s s io n s p e r 1 ,0 0 0 In a c tiv e w o m e n 1 6 -1 9 .......................................................... 5 9 6 .1 6 2 0 .1 5 2 5 .8 527 5 5 6 4 .1 2 0 -2 4 .......................................................... 6 6 6 .4 6 7 2 .6 6 4 9 .0 5 1 1 .2 7 1 9 .2 6 8 5 .2 4 5 4 .8 4 5 7 .5 4 6 2 .1 3 2 0 .1 4 5 7 .4 5 6 8 .7 2 5 -2 9 .......................................................... 6 8 1 .4 6 9 3 .1 6 4 6 .8 4 7 7 .2 7 2 1 .9 7 8 3 .3 341 8 3 3 4 .1 3 9 7 .6 268 3 3 4 2 .7 4 2 2 .0 3 0 -3 4 .......................................................... 5 4 7 .1 5 5 8 .1 5 2 0 .6 3 3 0 .1 5 6 8 .3 8 0 2 .2 2 9 2 .3 2 8 9 .3 3 2 0 .0 2 2 9 .8 3 0 3 .3 3 1 9 .3 3 5 -3 9 .......................................................... 4 0 7 .1 4 4 4 .3 3 0 6 .9 2 7 1 .9 4 0 3 .0 7 5 7 .2 2 7 1 .3 2 7 4 .7 2 4 8 .0 1 8 5 .0 2 8 7 .3 3 3 0 .2 4 0 -4 4 .......................................................... 2 9 7 .8 3 2 7 .9 2 0 8 .7 2 3 5 .1 2 8 5 .6 5 3 9 .1 2 2 1 .7 2 2 6 .3 1 89 .1 1 4 9 .0 2 3 7 .2 2 8 7 .3 4 5 -4 9 .......................................................... 2 1 7 .7 2 1 8 .5 2 1 3 .2 1 7 2 .8 2 3 3 .2 3 5 0 .6 1 6 4 .1 1 6 3 .9 1 6 5 .1 1 3 6 .2 1 7 0 .4 1 9 9 .8 5 0 -5 4 .......................................................... 1 6 8 .8 1 7 5 .0 1 3 8 .8 1 2 3 .3 2 1 3 .3 2 6 0 .9 1 2 2 .7 1 2 0 .4 1 4 1 .7 1 0 2 .4 1 2 7 .4 1 5 5 .3 5 5 -5 9 .......................................................... 1 2 0 .9 1 2 9 .0 7 5 .1 9 3 .4 1 4 2 .8 1 7 4 .5 8 1 .1 7 9 .0 1 0 0 .3 6 7 .8 8 5 .8 9 9 .6 60 64 .......................................................... 8 8 .6 9 2 .0 6 2 .9 8 1 .4 9 3 .7 1 0 3 .8 5 6 .4 5 5 .0 6 8 .7 4 8 .4 6 4 .0 5 5 .4 65- 69 .......................................................... 7 5 .3 7 5 .1 7 6 .4 6 8 .5 7 8 .7 9 5 .6 4 1 .8 4 0 .9 5 0 .1 3 7 .7 4 7 .9 3 8 .5 7 0 -7 4 .......................................................... 5 2 .0 5 1 .8 5 4 .5 5 1 .9 5 0 .2 5 4 .0 3 3 .3 3 3 .9 2 7 .1 2 9 .7 3 8 .9 3 6 .2 3 .9 4 .2 1 .0 4 .7 3 .7 1 .2 3 .1 3 .2 2 .2 2 .6 4 .1 3 .7 75 and o ve r ............................................. 5 0 6 .0 L a b o r fo rc e s e p a ra tio n s p e r 1 ,0 0 0 a c tiv e m en 4 2 5 .4 4 0 9 .3 L a b o r fo rc e s e p a ra tio n s p e r 1 ,0 0 0 a c tiv e w o m e n 1 6 -1 9 .......................................................... 2 7 7 .6 2 6 2 .9 4 2 9 .2 2 7 7 .6 2 0 -2 4 .......................................................... 1 2 0 .8 1 1 2 .5 1 8 6 .3 1 4 3 .9 3 6 0 .5 2 2 8 .1 2 5 -2 9 .......................................................... 5 6 .6 5 2 .6 8 9 .8 9 0 .9 5 0 .9 6 0 .1 1 8 3 .8 1 8 4 .0 1 8 4 .4 3 0 0 .3 1 9 1 .9 1 5 3 .3 3 0 -3 4 .......................................................... 3 6 .7 3 3 .5 6 5 .0 5 8 .4 3 8 .8 3 0 .9 1 5 4 .5 1 5 7 .0 1 4 0 .7 2 4 7 .3 1 0 7 .5 1 7 0 .4 3 5 4 .8 3 3 5 .6 5 2 3 .2 2 2 7 .6 2 1 8 .8 2 8 9 .8 4 3 6 .5 1 9 0 .7 1 6 0 .3 1 2 1 .4 3 5 -3 9 .......................................................... 3 0 .0 2 7 .7 5 2 .0 5 2 .4 3 0 .0 2 1 .8 1 2 8 .5 1 2 9 .1 1 2 4 .8 1 9 0 .0 1 3 3 .0 9 4 .9 4 0 -4 4 .......................................................... 3 0 .8 2 8 .6 4 9 .7 5 1 .3 2 7 .3 2 5 .0 1 1 1 .2 1 0 9 .8 1 1 9 .8 1 5 7 .1 1 1 4 .4 7 8 .3 4 5 -4 9 .......................................................... 3 6 .5 3 4 .1 5 6 .1 5 0 .4 3 5 .0 2 8 .3 1 0 9 .7 1 0 9 .1 1 1 2 .8 1 4 5 .8 1 1 4 .3 7 0 .5 5 0 -5 4 ........................................................... 5 0 .1 4 8 .3 6 6 .8 6 9 .2 4 8 .4 3 6 .4 1 1 4 .7 1 1 3 .8 1 2 2 .6 1 5 3 .2 1 1 1 .6 8 6 .5 5 5 -5 9 ........................................................... 9 8 .9 9 6 .3 1 2 7 .2 1 3 3 .6 9 1 .8 7 1 .2 1 5 1 .5 1 4 9 .9 1 66 .1 1 9 2 .0 1 4 0 .0 1 3 9 .3 2 5 3 .5 2 5 2 .4 2 6 2 .8 2 7 5 .8 2 4 9 .4 6 0 -6 4 ........................................................... 2 3 2 .5 2 2 7 .5 2 9 5 .3 2 2 5 .6 1 6 0 .8 6 5 -6 9 .......................................................... 3 3 7 .9 3 3 2 .4 3 8 6 .7 4 0 5 .0 3 2 5 .2 2 4 6 .2 3 3 9 .4 3 3 3 .2 3 9 3 .9 3 5 2 .3 3 3 5 .4 3 2 2 .7 7 0 -7 4 .......................................................... 3 8 1 .8 3 8 0 .3 3 7 4 .2 4 4 3 .1 3 6 7 .6 2 7 7 .2 3 8 4 .5 3 7 7 .4 4 2 8 .0 4 1 7 .1 3 8 0 .3 3 1 7 .4 1 0 0 0 .0 1 0 0 0 .0 1 0 0 0 .0 1 0 0 0 .0 1 0 0 0 .0 1 0 0 0 .0 1000 0 1 0 0 0 .0 1 0 0 0 .0 1 0 0 0 .0 1 0 0 0 .0 1 0 0 0 .0 7 5 and ove r ............................................. 2 8 6 .5 evident in the separation rates in table 5.) Examples of this phenomenon include self-employed career professionals such as attorneys and physicians, who are reputed to remain active long after most wage and salary workers have retired. An additional effect of schooling seems to be that—among those who have “retired,” at least in terms of their principal job—the most educated are the most likely to return to work in some capacity, as reflected in accession rates. Finally, if educational attainment is positively correlated with good health and longevity, untreated health problems may dis courage economic activity among the least educated, least anticipate fewer transitions in either direction. Over a lifetime, the average man with 15 years of school ing or more can expect to work 6.5 years longer than his classmate who left high school before graduation (41.1 vs. 34.6). The same increment to education will have twice as much impact on the worklife duration of a woman, adding an average of 12.6 years to her economically active life (34.9 vs. 22.3 years). Table 6 isolates the impact of education during three periods of the worklife cycle: the early and middle phases and the preretirement years. It displays the number of years the average person can be expected to work during each such phase, by sex and years of schooling completed. At younger ages, education has a two-pronged effect on men: While failure to earn a high school diploma costs the individual about a year and a half of worklife between the ages of 20 and 39, remaining in school also imposes a cost in terms of forgone employment opportunities. However, among the group ages 40 to 59, the payoff from education is very evident. Those completing 15 years of school or more can expect to work 1 year longer than high school graduates, and 3 years longer than those who did not grad uate. Even though higher education, with its greater com pensation returns, may ease the financial strain of retirement, it seems to engender a sense of “ career commitment” in many men which holds them in the labor force. (This is 2 3 8 .6 Table 6. Worklife expectancy of the population between specific ages,1 by sex and years of schooling completed, 1979-80 Age S e x a n d y e a rs of s c h o o lin g co m p le te d 60 an d o v e r 20 to 39 4 0 to 59 M e n , t o t a l ................................................................................................ 17.6 16 .3 4 .4 L e s s t h a n h i g h s c h o o l ......................................... 16 .0 1 4 .5 3 .4 H ig h sc h o o l to 1 4 ye a rs .............................. 17 .9 16 .6 4 .7 1 5 y e a r s o r m o r e ........................................................ 17 .6 17.5 6 .3 W o m e n , t o t a l ...................................................................................... 13 .1 11.6 3 .0 L e s s t h a n h i g h s c h o o l ......................................... 9.5 8 .8 2 .3 .............................. 13 .1 11.8 3 .4 1 5 y e a r s o r m o r e ........................................................ 1 4 .0 1 4 .7 3 .5 H ig h s c h o o l to 1 4 y e a rs ’ C o m p u t e d u s i n g t h e d i f f e r e n c e in w o r k y e a r s r e m a i n i n g a t a g e s 2 0 , 4 0 , a n d 6 0 , d i v i d e d b y s u r v i v o r s t o e a c h initial a g e . 6 to examine two new dimensions of worklife behavior. It has also provided more complete measures of movement into and out of the labor force than were previously possible. During the period between 1977 and 1979-80, the worklife expectancy of adult men held relatively steady, while that of women continued to edge upward. For both sexes, there were indications that many retirement decisions were being reversed. However, because the model does not mea sure hours of labor force involvement, the workyears re maining to older persons may in fact be less “ intense” now than they were at the beginning of the decade. Race seems to have more bearing on the worklife patterns of men than of women. The tables confirmed that minority men are both more likely to leave the labor force and less likely to reenter than are whites. The racial differential for women affects timing of movement more than it does overall volume. The more important factor affecting worklife patterns of women is educational attainment. Using the categories dis played here, we find that women appear to reap twice as much “payoff” from additional schooling as do men. Their additional training appears to drive up the opportunity costs of alternative activities, encouraging longer and more con tinuous careers for those who have pursued higher education. Opportunity costs also appear to play an important role in the retirement process. For both sexes, higher education is associated with later retirement. Among the men who do retire, the most educated are most prone to reenter the work force. The swifter, more permanent retirement pattern of persons without high school diplomas may be due, in part, to health differentials by educational attainment, mentioned but not fully controlled for in this study. □ affluent groups, further widening the worklife gap associated with schooling. Thus, in the final phase of the work cycle, the most educated group remain active 1.6 years longer than high school graduates and 3 years longer than those who never finished high school. The work patterns of women vary more widely than those of men. Consequently, education has a stronger potential impact on female worklife behavior than on that of males. The new tables show this effect to be the greatest during the prime working ages. Between the ages of 20 and 39, women face fundamental tradeoffs among schooling, childrearing, and employment. The opportunity costs of childrearing increase with job skills. During this phase of life, the woman with 15 years of schooling or more is likely to work nearly a year longer than the high school graduate, and 4.5 years longer than her classmate who left high school early. The differential remains, and in fact widens, through out midlife. During the next 20 years of her life cycle, the highly educated woman is likely to work 2.9 years longer than the high school graduate, and 5.9 years longer than the nongraduate. The tables suggest that the relationship between education and retirement patterns is looser for women than for men. As with men, the most educated show the least inclination to retire early. (See table 5.) However, once they have done so, these women are less likely than men with comparable training to reverse their decision. (As ev idence, compare accession rates of the most educated men and women in table 5.) Conclusions This latest worklife study, based on a larger sample of individuals than had been used previously, has enabled us FOOTNOTEStemporarily expanded to 65,000 households in 1980, and now contains a potential of 60,000 units. 5Because many respondents appear in more than one of these monthly matches, the number of individuals included in the pooled sample is con siderably less than 255,000. 6The multistate model is equipped to deal with a variety of different “ transitions” simultaneously. It could incorporate data on moves between occupations, if those data were reliable. However, interoccupational mo bility has proven difficult to measure accurately, and the number of cat egories involved would hopelessly fragment the sample. We hope eventually to develop a few occupational clusters, characterized by unique behavioral patterns. Only in this way can the model realistically control for occupation. 7National Center for Health Statistics, Vital Statistics of the United States, 1979, vol. II, section 6, “ Life Tables,” dhhs Publication No. (phs)84-1101 (U.S. Government Printing Office, 1984); National Center for Health Statistics, Vital Statistics of the United States, 1980, vol. II, section 6, “ Life Tables,” dhhs Publication No. (phs)8 4 -1 104 (U.S. Gov ernment Printing Office, 1984); and unpublished tables from the National Center for Health Statistics, Public Health Service. 8The internal calculations of the model now begin at age 13, when by definition all persons are outside the labor force. Entries and exits at 14 and 15 are recorded to yield a more complete count of the labor force at 1See Shirley J. Smith, “ New worklife estimates reflect changing pro file of labor force,” Monthly Labor Review, March 1982, pp. 15-20; Shirley J. Smith, Tables of Working Life: The Increment-Decrement Model, Bulletin 2135 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982); and Shirley J. Smith, New Worklife Estimates, Bulletin 2157 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982). 2See David M. Nelson, “The use of worklife tables in estimates of lost earning capacity,” Monthly Labor Review, April 1983, pp. 30-31; John L. Finch, “ Worklife estimates should be consistent with known labor force participation,” Monthly Labor Review, June 1982, pp. 34-36; Kenneth J. Boudreaux, “ A further adjustment needed to estimate lost earning capacity,” Monthly Labor Review, October 1983, pp. 30-31; and George C. Alter and William E. Becker, “ Estimating lost future earnings using the new worklife tables,” Monthlv Labor Review, February 1985, pp. 39-42. 3We now estimate David Nelson’s index of median years to final re tirement. Following a suggestion by George Alter and William Becker, we also make assumptions of retirement beyond age 75 explicit. It is assumed that no one enters the labor force after age 75, and that re maining years of activity are proportional to the labor force participa tion rates of CPS respondents, age 76 to 78. 4The sample for 1979 included 56,000 potential households. It was 7 exact age 16. This increased precision has had a minor impact on estimates of worklife values at birth and in the early teens, but the effect is imper ceptible at later ages. 9Shirley J. Smith, ‘‘Labor force participation rates are not the relevant factor,” Monthly Labor Review, June 1983, pp. 36-38. 10Although it would be useful to examine changes in the labor force entry and exit rates of older persons to learn more about the retirement process, the expanded sample has rendered such comparisons impossible. It captures far more gross movement than was evident in earlier tables. For all men, the 1977 study indicated an average of 3.0 labor force entries per lifetime; the 1979-80 tables set this average at 3.9. The earlier tables indicated an average of 2.7 voluntary withdrawals, while this set shows a figure of 3.6. The picture for women is quite similar. Lifetime entries were estimated at 4.5 in 1977. With the more sensitive modified sample, the estimate for 1979-80 was 5.5. Voluntary withdrawals were estimated at 4.4 per lifetime in 1977, 5.4 at the end of the decade. 8 men, 1979-80 Expectation of active and inactive life by current labor force status Currently active in labor force Total population Active years remaining Inactive years remaining Active years remaining Inactive years remaining Active years remaining apa V. X CO CD Life expectancy Currently inactive Inactive years remaining ' e ’x •°a* < (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) 55.5 54.6 53.7 52.8 39.1 38.6 38.0 37.5 16.5 16.0 15.6 15.3 39.8 39.3 38.7 38.1 15.7 15.3 15.0 14.7 38.3 37.7 37.1 36.4 17.2 16.9 16.6 16.3 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 51.8 50.9 50.0 49.1 48.2 47.3 46.4 45.5 44.6 43.7 36.8 36.2 35.4 34.7 33.9 33.1 32.3 31.5 30.6 29.8 15.0 14.8 14.6 14.4 14.3 14.2 14.1 14.1 14.0 13.9 37.4 36.7 35.9 35.1 34.3 33.5 32.7 31.8 30.9 30.1 14.5 14.3 14.1 14.0 13.9 13.8 13.8 13.7 13.7 13.6 35.7 35.0 34.2 33.4 32.6 31.8 30.9 30.0 29.1 28.1 16.1 16.0 15.8 15.7 15.6 15.6 15.5 15.5 15.5 15.6 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 42.8 41.9 40.9 40.0 39.1 38.2 37.3 36.3 35.4 34.5 28.9 28.0 27.1 26.2 25.3 24.5 23.6 22.7 21.8 20.9 13.9 13.9 13.8 13.8 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.6 13.6 29.2 28.3 27.5 26.6 25.7 24.8 23.9 23.1 22.2 21.3 13.6 13.5 13.5 13.4 13.4 13.4 13.3 13.3 13.2 13.2 27.1 26.2 25.1 24.1 23.1 22.1 21.1 20.0 19.0 17.9 15.6 15.7 15.8 15.9 15.9 16.0 16.2 16.3 16.5 16.6 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 33.6 32.7 31.8 30.9 30.1 29.2 28.3 27.5 26.6 25.8 20.0 19.2 18.3 17.4 16.6 15.7 14.9 14.0 13.2 12.4 13.6 13.6 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.4 13.4 13.4 13.4 20.4 19.6 18.7 17.9 17.1 16.3 15.5 14.7 13.9 13.1 13.2 13.1 13.1 13.0 13.0 12.9 12.9 12.8 12.8 12.7 16.9 15.9 14.9 13.8 12.8 11.8 10.9 10.0 9.2 8.3 16.7 16.8 17.0 17.1 17.3 17.3 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.4 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 25.0 24.2 23.4 22.6 21.8 21.1 20.3 19.6 18.9 18.2 11.6 10.8 10.0 9.3 8.5 7.8 7.0 6.3 5.6 5.0 13.4 13.4 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.2 13.2 12.3 11.6 10.8 10.1 9.4 8.7 8.0 7.4 6.8 6.2 12.6 12.6 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.4 12.3 12.2 12.1 11.9 7.5 6.8 6.1 5.4 4.7 4.2 3.7 3.2 2.8 2.5 17.4 17.4 17.3 17.2 17.1 16.9 16.7 16.4 16.1 15.7 60 61 62 63 64 65 17.5 16.8 16.1 15.5 14.9 14.2 13.6 13.0 12.5 11.9 4.4 3.9 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 13.1 12.9 12.7 12.5 12.3 12.0 11.6 11.3 10.9 10.5 5.7 5.3 4.9 4.6 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.4 11.7 .11.5 11.2 10.9 10.5 10.1 9.7 9.3 8.9 8.5 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 .8 .7 .5 15.3 14.9 14.4 14.0 13.5 13.1 12.6 12.2 11.8 11.4 11.4 10.9 10.4 9.9 9.4 9.0 1.2 1.1 .9 .8 .7 .6 10.2 9.8 9.4 9.1 8.7 8.4 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.2 1.7 8.1 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.2 .4 .3 .2 .1 .1 .0 11.0 10.5 10.1 9.7 9.3 8.9 19 20 21 22 66 67 68 69 70 71 9 6 X '•'x Table A-1. Working life table for men, 1979-80— Continued Age-specific rates of transfer per 1 ,000 persons in initial status during age interval x to X+1 Probability of transition between specified states during age interval x to x+1 1 Active to active Active to inactive Labor force accession Voluntary labor force separation K mx Age Living to dead 1 Inactive to inactive Inactive to active X •pdx 'P'x V yX VK x (8) (9) (10) (11) 16 17 18 19 0.00125 .00148 .00165 .00177 0.58327 .61255 .58417 .55755 0.41547 .38597 .41418 .44068 0.24193 .22043 .17233 .14453 0.75682 .77808 .82602 .85370 0.00126 .00149 .00165 .00177 0.61987 .55491 .58722 .62430 0.36095 .31692 .24433 .20475 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 .00189 .00200 .00206 .00208 .00205 .00202 .00197 .00193 .00191 .00189 .53996 .52949 .51802 .50424 .49876 .49823 .49443 .49646 .50542 .51674 .45815 .46851 .47991 .49369 .49919 .49976 .50360 .50161 .49267 .48136 .12034 .09781 .08162 .07061 .05970 .05036 .04307 .03856 .03544 .03253 .87777 .90019 .91632 .92731 .93825 .94763 .95496 .95950 .96265 .96557 .00189 .00200 .00207 .00208 .00205 .00202 .00197 .00194 .00191 .00190 .64607 .65514 .66891 .68945 .69448 .69103 .69466 .68879 .67094 .64926 .16970 .13678 .11376 .09861 .08305 .06963 .05942 .05296 .04827 .04388 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 .00189 .00189 .00191 .00197 .00204 .00214 .00227 .00241 .00259 .00280 .53604 .55614 .57943 .60220 .60975 .62305 .64356 .66643 .68823 .69788 .46208 .44197 .41866 .39584 .38821 .37481 .35417 .33115 .30918 .29933 ,03072 .02889 .02643 .02460 .02371 .02390 .02347 .02198 .02177 .02188 .96740 .96922 .97166 .97343 .97425 .97396 .97426 .97561 .97564 .97533 .00189 .00189 .00191 .00197 .00204 .00215 .00227 .00242 .00259 .00280 .61451 .57933 .53967 .50232 .49003 .46926 .43772 .40324 .37154 .35769 .04085 .03787 .03407 .03122 .02993 .02992 .02901 .02676 .02616 .02614 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 .00303 .00330 .00361 .00396 .00436 .00479 .00528 .00582 .00643 .00711 .71431 .72803 .73243 .75201 .77257 .78558 .79375 .80000 .80836 .81562 .28266 .26867 .26396 .24403 .22307 .20963 .20098 .19418 .18521 .17727 .02185 .02300 .02398 .02400 .02365 .02427 .02573 .02686 .02844 .03011 .97512 .97371 .97241 .97204 .97199 .97094 .96900 .96732 .96513 .96278 .00303 .00330 .00362 .00397 .00437 .00481 .00529 .00584 .00645 .00714 .33453 .31567 .30956 .28301 .25565 .23861 .22795 .21966 .20878 .19928 .02585 .02702 .02812 .02783 .02711 .02762 .02918 .03039 .03206 .03385 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 .00785 .00869 .00947 .01030 .01118 .01211 .01313 .01429 .01563 .01712 .82354 .83046 .83629 .84550 .85423 .86009 .86565 .87491 .88392 .89177 .16861 .16085 .15424 .14419 .13459 .12780 .12122 .11080 .10045 .09111 .03141 .03310 .03561 .03912 .04347 .04883 .05923 .07528 .09089 .11200 .96074 .95821 .95492 .95057 .94534 .93906 .92764 .91043 .89349 .87088 .00788 .00873 .00952 .01036 .01125 .01218 .01322 .01439 .01575 .01727 .18891 .17977 .17213 .16048 .14949 .14198 .13510 .12402 .11293 .10327 .03519 .03699 .03974 .04354 .04829 .05425 .06601 .08426 .10218 .12694 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 .01875 .02046 .02227 .02414 .02612 .02820 .03043 .03293 .03577 .03893 .89889 .90128 .90159 .90324 .90474 .90426 .90424 .90565 .90603 .90693 .08236 .07825 .07615 .07262 .06914 .06754 .06533 .06142 .05820 .05414 .13982 .16430 .18554 .20784 .22803 .24122 .24690 .25232 .25232 .25343 .84143 .81523 .79220 .76802 .74585 .73058 .72267 .71475 .71191 .70764 .01893 .02068 .02252 .02444 .02647 .02860 .03090 .03348 .03642 .03970 .09453 .09103 .08975 .08671 .08356 .08239 .08005 .07554 .07167 .06679 .16048 .19114 .21867 .24817 .27559 .29425 .30255 .31033 .31072 .31262 70 71 72 73 74 75 .04238 .04603 .04979 .05359 .05750 .06161 .90871 .90957 .90948 .90651 .90943 .91349 .04891 .04440 .04073 .03990 .03307 .02478 .26038 .25865 .26201 .27557 .27980 .22977 .69724 .69532 .68820 .67084 .66270 .70850 .04330 .04711 .05106 .05507 .05920 .06357 .06062 .05505 .05070 .05028 .04179 .03037 .32276 .32073 .32619 .34723 .35356 .28162 vv (12) Mortality rates used are those of the general male population. X 10 Mortality ._ d m X (13) '14) (15) Table A-1. Working life table for men, 1979-80— Continued Stationary population living in each status at exact age x, per 100,000 persons born Number of status transfers within stationary population during age interval x to x+1 Labor force status Age Total Active Labor force entries Inactive al X \ X 'I X (17) (18) 16 17 18 19 (16) 97,823 97,700 97,555 97,394 46,923 56,660 59,926 65,085 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 97,222 97,039 96,845 96,644 96,443 96,246 96,052 95,863 95,678 95,495 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Voluntary labor force exits % Deaths by labor force status Total •td X Active atd 1X Inactive .td X (23) 50,900 41,040 37,629 32,309 (19) 28,496 21,827 20,534 18,645 18,694 18,474 15,272 13,809 123 145 161 172 65 87 103 119 58 58 58 53 69,801 73,833 77,335 80,226 82,499 84,366 85,885 87,137 87,985 88,489 27,421 23,206 19,510 16,418 13,944 11,880 10,167 8,726 7,693 7,006 16,354 13,992 12,016 10,466 8,967 7,618 6,562 5,655 4,931 4,384 12,188 10,338 8,962 8,023 6,930 5,927 5,140 4,637 4,259 3,890 183 194 200 201 198 194 189 185 183 181 136 151 163 169 171 172 171 170 169 168 48 43 37 32 26 22 19 16 14 13 95,314 95,134 94,954 94,773 94,587 94,394 94,192 93,977 93,751 93,508 88,815 88,922 88,930 88,932 88,882 88,808 88,589 88,292 88,022 87,649 6,499 6,212 6,024 5,841 5,705 5,586 5,603 5,685 5,729 5,859 3,906 3,544 3,201 2,900 2,767 2,625 2,470 2,301 2,153 2,122 3,631 3,368 3,030 2,776 2,659 2,654 2,566 2,359 2,298 2,286 180 180 181 186 193 202 214 227 243 261 168 168 170 175 181 190 201 213 228 245 12 12 11 11 12 12 13 14 15 17 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 93,247 92,963 92,658 92,324 91,957 91,556 91,118 90,637 90,109 89,530 87,241 86,767 86,152 85,493 84,768 83,997 83,141 82,166 81,125 79,961 6,006 6,196 6,506 6,831 7,189 7,559 7,977 8,471 8,984 9,569 2,041 2,005 2,064 1,984 1,885 1,853 1,875 1,917 1,937 1,971 2,249 2,336 2,413 2,369 2,288 2,308 2,412 2,481 2,582 2,685 283 306 334 366 401 439 481 528 579 637 264 285 310 338 369 402 437 477 520 566 19 21 24 28 32 37 43 51 60 71 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 88,893 88,195 87,429 86,601 85,709 84,749 83,724 82,624 81,443 80,170 78,680 77,314 75,833 74,203 72,323 70,171 67,759 64,791 60,963 56,527 10,213 10,881 11,596 12,398 13,386 14,578 15,965 17,833 20,480 23,643 1,992 2,020 2,065 2,069 2,090 2,168 2,283 2,376 2,491 2,636 2,744 2,833 2,981 3,190 3,440 3,741 4,374 5,298 6,002 6,849 698 767 828 892 959 1,026 1,099 1,181 1,273 1,373 615 669 714 759 801 840 876 905 925 932 83 98 114 134 157 186 223 276 347 441 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 78,798 77,321 75,738 74,052 72,264 70,376 68,391 66,310 64,126 61,833 51,383 45,493 39,578 34,107 29,096 24,686 21,121 18,351 16,062 14,232 27,415 31,828 36,160 39,945 43,168 45,690 47,270 47,959 48,064 47,601 2,800 3,095 3,415 3,604 3,713 3,830 3,812 3,627 3,428 3,152 7,773 8,130 8,056 7,843 7,411 6,739 5,971 5,340 4,707 4,202 1,477 1,582 1,686 1,788 1,888 1,985 2,081 2,184 2,294 2,407 917 879 830 772 712 655 610 576 552 534 561 703 857 1,016 1,176 1,330 1,471 1,607 1,742 1,874 70 71 72 73 74 75 59,426 56,908 54,288 51,585 48,821 46,013 12,649 11,107 9,756 8,528 7,439 6,298 46,777 45,801 44,532 43,057 41,382 39,715 2,806 2,486 2,220 2,123 1,695 1,176 3,834 3,346 2,982 2,772 2,428 1,654 2,518 2,619 2,703 2,764 2,807 2,835 514 491 467 440 407 373 2,004 2,128 2,236 2,325 2,400 2,462 n (20) (21) (22) for men, 1979-80— Continued Person years lived in each status during age x Person years lived in each status beyond exact age x Total *L*X Active *LaX Inactive (24) (26) 97,762 97,628 97,475 97,308 (25) 51,792 58,293 62,506 67,443 45,970 39,335 34,969 29,865 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 97,130 96,941 96,744 96,544 96,345 96,149 95,958 95,770 95,586 95,404 71,817 75,583 78,780 81,363 83,433 85,125 86,511 87,560 88,237 88,651 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 95,224 95,044 94,864 94,680 94,490 94,293 94,084 93,864 93,629 93,377 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 X 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 66 67 68 69 70 71 Active •T3X Inactive (29) 5,430,730 5,332,968 5,235,340 5,137,865 (28) 3,820,429 3,768,638 3,710,345 3,647,839 1,610,301 1,564,330 1,524,995 1,490,026 25,313 21,358 17,964 15,181 12,912 11,024 9,447 8,210 7,349 6,753 5,040,557 4,943,427 4,846,486 4,749,742 4,653,198 4,556,853 4,460,704 4,364,746 4,268,976 4,173,390 3,580,395 3,508,578 3,432,995 3,354,215 3,272,852 3,189,419 3,104,293 3,017,782 2,930,222 2,841,985 1,460,162 1,434,849 1,413,491 1,395,527 1,380,346 1,367,434 1,356,411 1,346,964 1,338,754 1,331,405 88,868 88,926 88,932 88,907 88,844 88,698 88,440 88,157 87,835 87,444 6,356 6,118 5,932 5,773 5,646 5,595 5,644 5,707 5,794 5,933 4,077,986 3,982,762 3,887,718 3,792,854 3,698,174 3,603,684 3,509,391 3,415,307 3,321,443 3,227,814 2,753,334 2,664,465 2,575,539 2,486,608 2,397,701 2,308,856 2,220,158 2,131,718 2,043,561 1,955,726 1,324,652 1,318,297 1,312,179 1,306,246 1,300,473 1,294,828 1,289,233 1,283,589 1,277,882 1,272,088 93,105 92,811 92,490 92,140 91,757 91,337 90,877 90,373 89,820 89,212 87,004 86,460 85,821 85,130 84,383 83,569 82,653 81,646 80,543 79,321 6,101 6,351 6,669 7,010 7,374 7,768 8,224 8,727 9,277 9,891 3,134,437 3,041,332 2,948,521 2,856,031 2,763,891 2,672,134 2,580,797 2,489,920 2,399,547 2,309,727 1,868,282 1,781,278 1,694,818 1,608,997 1,523,867 1,439,484 1,355,915 1,273,261 1,191,615 1,111,072 1,266,155 1,260,054 1,253,703 1,247,034 1,240,024 1,232,650 1,224,882 1,216,659 1,207,932 1,198,655 88,545 87,812 87,015 86,155 85,229 84,237 83,174 82,034 80,807 79,484 10,547 11,239 11,997 12,892 13,982 15,272 16,899 19,157 22,062 25,529 2,220,515 2,131,970 2,044,158 1,957,143 1,870,988 1,785,759 1,701,522 1,618,348 1,536,314 1,455,507 78,059 76,529 74,895 73,158 71,320 69,384 67,351 65,218 62,980 60,629 77,998 76,573 75,018 73,263 71,247 68,965 66,275 62,877 58,745 53,955 48,437 42,535 36,842 31,601 26,891 22,903 19,736 17,207 15,147 13,440 29,622 33,994 38,053 41,557 44,429 46,481 47,615 48,011 47,833 47,189 1,376,023 1,297,964 1,221,435 1,146,540 1,073,382 1,002,062 932,678 865,327 800,109 737,129 1,031,751 953,753 877,180 802,161 728,898 657,651 588,686 522,411 459,533 400,788 346,833 298,396 255,861 219,019 187,417 160,527 137,624 117,887 100,681 85,533 1,188,764 1,178,217 1,166,978 1,154,982 1,142,090 1,128,108 1,112,836 1,095,937 1,076,781 1,054,719 1,029,190 999,568 965,574 927,521 885,965 841,535 795,054 747,440 699,428 651,596 58,166 55,597 52,936 50,203 47,417 44,596 11,878 10,431 9,142 7,983 6,869 5,873 46,288 45,166 43,794 42,220 40,548 38,723 676,500 618,334 562,737 509,801 459,598 412,181 72,093 60,216 49,784 40,642 32,659 25,791 604,407 558,118 512,953 469,159 426,939 386,390 n 12 Total ‘T *x (27) "HX men by race, 1979-80 Black and other men White men Life expectancy 1 Expectation of active life by labor force status Life expectancy ’ Expectation of active life by labor force status Total Currently active Currently inactive ’e*X •eaX v * '» ax (4) '5) (6) (7) (8) 40.6 40.0 39.4 38.8 39.1 38.4 37.8 37.1 51.4 50.4 49.5 48.6 33.6 33.2 32.8 32.4 34.3 33.9 33.5 33.0 33.2 32.7 32.2 31.7 37.5 36.9 36.1 35.4 34.6 33.8 32.9 32.1 31.2 30.3 38.1 37.4 36.6 35.8 35.0 34.2 33.3 32.4 31.6 30.7 36.4 35.6 34.9 34.1 33.2 32.4 31.5 30.6 29.7 28.7 47.6 46.8 45.9 45.0 44.1 43.3 42.4 41.5 40.7 39.8 31.9 31.3 30.7 30.0 29.3 28.6 27.9 27.1 26.4 25.6 32.4 31.8 31.1 30.4 29.7 28.9 28.2 27.4 26.6 25.8 31.1 30.4 29.7 29.0 28.3 27.5 26.6 25.8 25.0 24.1 43.3 42.4 41.4 40.5 39.6 38.6 37.7 36.8 35.9 34.9 29.5 28.6 27.7 26.8 25.9 25.0 24.1 23.2 22.3 21.4 29.8 28.9 28.0 27.1 26.2 25.3 24.4 23.5 22.6 21.7 27.7 26.7 25.7 24.7 23.7 22.7 21.7 20.7 19.6 18.6 39.0 38.1 37.2 36.4 35.5 34.7 33.8 33.0 32.2 31.3 24.8 24.0 23.2 22.3 21.5 20.7 19.9 19.1 18.4 17.6 25.0 24.2 23.4 22.7 21.9 21.1 20.4 19.6 18.9 18.1 23.2 22.3 21.3 20.3 19.3 18.2 17.1 16.0 15.0 14.2 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 34.0 33.1 32.2 31.3 30.4 29.5 28.6 27.8 26.9 26.1 20.5 19.6 18.7 17.8 16.9 16.1 15.2 14.4 13.5 12.7 20.9 20.0 19.1 18.3 17.4 16.6 15.8 14.9 14.1 13.4 17.5 16.4 15.4 14.3 13.2 12.1 11.2 10.3 9.4 8.6 30.5 29.7 28.9 28.1 27.3 26.5 25.8 25.0 24.3 23.5 16.8 16.0 15.3 14.5 13.8 13.1 12.4 11.6 10.9 10.2 17.4 16.7 16.0 15.2 14.5 13.8 13.1 12.4 11.7 11.0 13.4 12.6 11.9 11.1 10.4 9.7 8.9 8.1 7.3 6.5 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 25.2 24.4 23.6 22.8 22.0 21.3 20.5 19.7 19.0 18.3 11.9 11.1 10.3 9.5 8.7 8.0 7.2 6.5 5.8 5.2 12.6 11.8 11.1 10.3 9.6 8.9 8.2 7.5 6.9 6.3 7.8 7.1 6.3 5.6 5.0 4.4 3.8 3.3 2.9 2.5 22.8 22.1 21.5 20.8 20.2 19.5 18.9 18.3 17.7 17.1 9.5 8.8 8.1 7.4 6.8 6.1 5.5 4.9 4.3 3.7 10.4 9.7 9.1 8.4 7.8 7.2 6.6 6.0 5.6 5.1 5.7 4.9 4.3 3.7 3.2 2.8 2.5 2.2 1.9 1.8 60 61 62 63 64 65 17.6 16.9 16.2 15.6 14.9 14.3 13.7 13.1 12.5 11.9 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.1 2.7 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.4 5.8 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.5 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 .8 .7 .5 16.5 15.9 15.4 14.9 14.3 13.8 13.3 12.8 12.3 11.8 3.3 2.9 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.2 4.7 4.4 4.1 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.0 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 .9 .7 .6 11.4 10.9 10.4 9.9 9.4 8.9 1.2 1.1 .9 .8 .7 .6 3.3 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.3 1.8 .4 .3 .2 .1 .1 .0 11.4 10.9 10.5 10.0 9.6 9.2 1.0 .9 .7 .6 .5 .3 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.3 1.8 1.3 .4 .3 .2 .1 .0 .0 Total Currently active *e*X •eaX a°a* (1 ) (2) (3) 16 17 18 19 56.1 55.2 54.3 53.3 39.9 39.4 38.8 38.2 20 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 52.4 51.5 50.6 49.7 48.8 47.9 47.0 46.1 45.2 44.2 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 X 21 66 67 68 69 70 71 Currently inactive in survival. 13 Table A-3. Worklife expectancies for men by schooling completed, 1979-80 (Average years remaining) Expectation of active life by schooling completed and current labor force status Age Less than high school Total Currently active High school to 14 years Currently inactive 15 years or more of schooling Currently inactive Total Currently active Currently inactive Total Currently active *eaX V , ^ x • ° ax V . (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) - _ _ _ _ - - - - - - - - •° ax X (D (2) (3) (4) 16 17 18 19 55.5 54.6 53.7 52.8 34.8 34.3 33.8 33.2 35.6 35.0 34.5 33.9 34.0 33.4 32.8 32.1 38.9 38.3 39.5 38.8 37.9 37.2 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 51.8 50.9 50.0 49.1 48.2 47.3 46.4 45.5 44.6 43.7 32.6 32.0 31.4 30.7 30.0 29.2 28.5 27.7 26.9 26.2 33.3 32.6 32.0 31.2 30.5 29.8 29.0 28.2 27.5 26.7 31.5 30.8 30.0 29.3 28.4 27.6 26.8 26.0 25.1 24.1 37.6 36.9 36.1 35.4 34.6 33.8 32.9 32.1 31.2 30.3 38.1 37.3 36.6 35.8 34.9 34.1 33.2 32.4 31.5 30.6 36.5 35.7 34.9 34.1 33.3 32.4 31.5 30.6 29.6 28.7 39.5 38.9 38.3 37.6 36.9 36.1 35.3 <•(34.5 33.6 32.8 40.2 39.6 38.9 38.2 37.4 36.6 35.8 34.9 34.0 33.2 38.5 37.8 37.1 36.4 35.6 34.8 34.0 33.1 32.2 31.3 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 42.8 41.9 40.9 40.0 39.1 38.2 37.3 36.3 35.4 34.5 25.4 24.6 23.8 23.0 22.2 21.3 20.5 19.7 18.9 18.1 25.9 25.2 24.4 23.6 22.8 22.0 21.2 20.4 19.6 18.9 23.0 22.1 21.1 20.3 19.4 18.5 17.5 16.6 15.8 14.9 29.4 28.5 27.7 26.8 25.9 25.0 24.1 23.2 22.3 21.5 29.7 28.9 28.0 27.1 26.2 25.4 24.5 23.6 22.8 21.9 27.7 26.7 25.7 24.7 23.6 22.6 21.6 20.5 19.4 18.4 31.9 31.0 30.1 29.2 28.3 27.4 26.5 25.6 24.6 23.7 32.3 31.4 30.5 29.6 28.7 27.7 26.8 25.9 25.0 24.1 30.4 29.5 28.6 27.7 26.8 25.9 24.9 23.9 22.9 21.9 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 33.6 32.7 31.8 30.9 30.1 29.2 28.3 27.5 26.6 25.8 17.3 16.5 15.7 15.0 14.2 13.4 12.6 11.9 11.1 10.4 18.1 17.3 16.6 15.8 15.1 14.3 13.6 12.9 12.1 11.4 14.0 13.1 12.2 11.3 10.3 9.5 8.7 7.9 7.1 6.4 20.6 19.7 18.8 18.0 17.1 16.3 15.4 14.6 13.7 12.9 21.0 20.2 19.3 18.5 17.6 16.8 16.0 15.1 14.3 13.5 17.3 16.3 15.4 14.5 13.5 12.6 11.7 10.9 10.1 9.3 22.8 21.9 21.0 20.1 19.2 18.4 17.5 16.6 15.8 14.9 23.2 22.3 21.4 20.5 19.7 18.8 17.9 17.1 16.3 15.4 20.9 19.8 18.8 17.6 16.5 15.5 14.5 13.5 12.5 11.5 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 25.0 24.2 23.4 22.6 21.8 21.1 20.3 19.6 18.9 18.2 9.6 8.9 8.2 7.5 6.8 6.2 5.5 4.9 4.4 3.8 10.7 10.1 9.4 8.7 8.1 7.5 6.8 6.3 5.8 5.3 5.7 5.1 4.5 4.0 3.6 3.2 2.8 2.5 2.2 2.0 12.1 11.3 10.5 9.7 9.0 8.2 7.5 6.7 6.0 5.3 12.8 12.0 11.2 10.5 9.7 9.0 8.3 7.6 7.0 6.4 8.5 7.7 6.9 6.1 5.3 4.7 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.6 14.1 13.3 12.4 11.6 10.8 10.0 9.2 8.5 7.7 7.0 14.6 13.8 13.0 12.2 11.5 10.7 10.0 9.3 8.6 8.0 10.5 9.6 8.7 7.9 7.0 6.2 5.4 4.7 4.0 3.5 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 17.5 16.8 16.1 15.5 14.9 14.2 13.6 13.0 12.5 11.9 3.3 2.9 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.1 4.9 4.5 4.2 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.0 .8 .7 .6 .5 4.7 4.1 3.6 3.2 2.8 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.5 5.9 5.5 5.1 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.6 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 .9 .7 .6 6.3 5.6 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.6 3.2 2.8 2.5 2.2 7.4 7.0 6.5 6.1 5.7 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.6 4.4 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.2 .9 .7 70 71 72 73 74 75 11.4 10.9 10.4 9.9 9.4 9.0 1.0 .9 .8 .7 .6 .5 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.6 .4 .3 .2 .1 .1 .0 1.3 1.1 1.0 .8 .7 .6 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.3 1.8 .4 .3 .2 .1 .1 .0 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.0 .9 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.2 2.7 2.2 .5 .3 .2 .1 .0 .0 X 1 Life expectancy 1 ‘e ’x Mortality rates used are those of the general male population. 14 - ^x Table A-4. Working life table for women, 1979-80 Expectation of active and inactive life by current labor force status Currently active in labor force Total population Age Life expectancy X *e'x Inactive years remaining Active years remaining Inactive years remaining *e X *e X X ae'X 'eaX '4 (D (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) 16 17 18 19 62.9 61.9 61.0 60.0 29.3 28.8 28.3 27.7 33.6 33.1 32.7 32.3 30.1 29.6 29.0 28.5 32.9 32.4 31.9 31.5 28.7 28.0 27.4 26.8 34.3 33.9 33.5 33.2 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 59.1 58.1 57.1 56.2 55.2 54.2 53.3 52.3 51.3 50.4 27.2 26.6 25.9 25.3 24.6 24.0 23.3 22.7 22.0 21.4 31.9 31.5 31.2 30.9 30.6 30.2 29.9 29.6 29.3 29.0 27.9 27.3 26.6 26.0 25.4 24.8 24.2 23.6 22.9 22.3 31.2 30.8 30.5 30.1 29.8 29.4 29.1 28.7 28.4 28.0 26.1 25.4 24.7 24.0 23.3 22.6 21.9 21.2 20.5 19.8 32.9 32.7 32.4 32.2 31.9 31.7 31.4 31.1 30.8 30.5 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 49.4 48.4 47.5 46.5 45.6 44.6 43.6 42.7 41.7 40.8 20.8 20.1 19.5 18.9 18.2 17.6 17.0 16.3 15.7 15.0 28.6 28.3 28.0 27.7 27.3 27.0 26.7 26.4 26.1 25.8 21.7 21.1 20.5 19.9 19.3 18.6 18.0 17.4 16.8 16.1 27.7 27.3 27.0 26.6 26.3 26.0 25.6 25.3 25.0 24.7 19.1 18.5 17.8 17.1 16.4 15.7 15.0 14.3 13.6 12.8 30.3 30.0 29.7 29.4 29.1 28.9 28.6 28.4 28.2 28.0 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 39.9 38.9 38.0 37.1 36.2 35.2 34.3 33.4 32.5 31.6 14.3 13.7 13.0 12.4 11.7 11.1 10.4 9.8 9.2 8.6 25.5 25.2 25.0 24.7 24.4 24.2 23.9 23.6 23.3 23.0 15.5 14.9 14.3 13.7 13.1 12.5 11.9 11.4 10.8 10.3 24.4 24.0 23.7 23.4 23.1 22.7 22.4 22.1 21.7 21.4 12.1 11.3 10.6 9.8 9.1 8.4 7.7 7.1 6.5 5.9 27.8 27.6 27.4 27.2 27.0 26.8 26.6 26.3 26.0 25.8 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 30.8 29.9 29.0 28.2 27.3 26.5 25.6 24.8 24.0 23.2 8.0 7.4 6.9 6.3 5.8 5.2 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.4 22.8 22.5 22.2 21.9 21.6 21.2 20.9 20.6 20.2 19.8 9.8 9.2 8.7 8.2 7.7 7.2 6.7 6.3 5.8 5.4 21.0 20.6 20.3 19.9 19.6 19.3 18.9 18.5 18.2 17.8 5.3 4.8 4.2 3.7 3.3 2.9 2.5 2.2 1.9 1.7 25.5 25.1 24.8 24.4 24.0 23.6 23.1 22.6 22.1 21.5 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 22.4 21.6 20.8 20.1 19.3 18.5 17.8 17.1 16.4 15.6 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 .9 19.4 19.0 18.5 18.0 17.5 17.0 16.5 15.9 15.3 14.7 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.1 17.4 16.9 16.4 15.9 15.3 14.8 14.2 13.7 13.1 12.5 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.0 .9 .7 .6 .5 .4 .4 20.9 20.3 19.7 19.1 18.4 17.8 17.2 16.5 15.9 15.3 70 71 72 73 74 75 14.9 14.3 13.6 13.0 12.3 11.7 .8 .7 .6 .5 .4 .3 14.2 13.6 13.0 12.5 11.9 11.4 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.3 1.9 1.3 12.0 11.5 11.1 10.7 10.4 10.4 .3 .2 .1 .1 .0 .0 14.7 14.1 13.5 12.9 12.3 11.7 ^ Active years remaining a Currently inactive i 15 Active years remaining Inactive years remaining Table A-4. Working life table for women, 1979-80—Continued Age-specific rates of transfer per 1,000 persons in initial status during age interval x to x+1 Probability of transition between specified states during age interval x to x+1 Age X Inactive to active Active to inactive Living to dead 1 Inactive to inactive ’ edx !p 'x (8) 0.38933 .34099 .35797 .36572 (11) 0.28459 .26841 .23074 .20738 'pa KX (10) VKx Active to active Mortality Labor force accession Voluntary labor force separation V . d mx • 02) (13) (14) (15) 0.71491 .73104 .76867 .79202 0.00050 .00056 .00059 .00060 0.58755 .49076 .50766 .51297 0.42949 .38629 .32722 .29088 KX 'maX am'X 16 17 18 19 0.00049 .00055 .00059 .00060 (9) 0.61018 .65845 .64144 .63368 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 .00061 .00061 .00063 .00063 .00065 .00065 .00066 .00067 .00069 .00071 .63680 .64831 .66119 .67430 .68760 .70299 .72078 .73299 .74023 .74635 .36259 .35107 .33818 .32506 .31175 .29636 .27856 .26634 .25907 .25293 .18972 .17552 .16608 .16070 .15478 .15125 .14873 .14524 .14177 .13723. .80967 .82387 .83330 .83866 .84458 .84810 .85061 .85408 .85754 .86205 .00061 .00062 .00063 .00064 .00065 .00065 .00066 .00068 .00070 .00072 .50129 .47689 .45252 .42966 .40690 .38210 .35450 .33561 .32427 .31449 .26230 .23842 .22223 .21241 .20202 .19501 .18928 .18302 .17744 .17063 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 .00074 .00078 .00082 .00088 .00096 .00104 .00113 .00124 .00136 .00150 .75314 .75892 .76180 .76361 .76461 .76619 .76868 .77131 .77671 .78183 .24612 .24030 .23738 .23551 .23443 .23277 .23018 .22745 .22193 .21668 .13210 .12835 .12560 .12275 .11881 .11391 .10946 .10516 .10185 .09963 .86716 .87087 .87358 .87637 .88023 .88505 .88941 .89360 .89679 .89887 .00074 .00078 .00083 .00089 .00096 .00104 .00114 .00124 .00136 .00150 .30377 .29485 .29028 .28718 .28503 .28190 .27761 .27320 .26519 .25781 .16304 .15749 .15359 .14968 .14445 .13795 .13201 .12631 .12170 .11855 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 .00164 .00181 .00199 .00219 .00241 .00264 .00289 .00317 .00348 .00383 .78829 .79888 .80930 .81786 .82627 .83618 .84626 .85365 .85986 .86586 .21006 .19931 .18870 .17995 .17133 .16118 .15085 .14318 .13666 .13031 .09588 .09400 .09349 .09227 .09170 .09184 .09282 .09341 .09416 .09540 .90248 .90419 .90452 .90554 .90589 .90552 .90429 .90342 .90236 .90077 .00165 .00181 .00200 .00219 .00241 .00264 .00289 .00318 .00349 .00383 .24844 .23403 .22018 .20879 .19779 .18505 .17231 .16294 .15506 .14749 .11339 .11037 .10908 .10706 .10587 .10544 .10603 .10630 .10684 .10798 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 .00420 .00460 .00500 .00541 .00582 .00626 .00675 .00732 .00798 .00873 .87081 .87724 .88611 .89298 .89906 .90683 .91411 .92034 .92604 .93092 .12499 .11816 .10889 .10161 .09512 .08691 .07914 .07235 .06598 .06034 .09559 .09571 .09721 .09886 .10214 .10767 .11771 .13001 .13999 .15487 .90021 .89969 .89778 .89574 .89204 .88607 .87554 .86268 .85203 .83639 .00421 .00461 .00502 .00542 .00584 .00628 .00677 .00734 .00801 .00877 .14111 .13296 .12204 .11358 .10618 .09692 .08841 .08112 .07417 .06825 .10793 .10769 .10896 .11050 .11402 .12006 .13150 .14577 .15739 .17517 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 .00957 .01045 .01135 .01224 .01316 .01414 .01524 .01653 .01807 .01983 .93455 .93696 .94034 .94323 .94441 .94589 .94766 .94926 .94989 .94944 .05588 .05259 .04831 .04452 .04243 .03997 .03710 .03421 .03205 .03073 .17659 .19807 .21678 .23010 .24102 .25100 .26416 .27815 .28106 .28043 .81384 .79148 .77187 .75765 .74582 .73486 .72059 .70532 .70088 .69974 .00962 .01050 .01141 .01232 .01325 .01424 .01536 .01667 .01823 .02003 .06387 .06080 .05638 .05230 .05015 .04750 .04441 .04128 .03876 .03719 .20187 .22900 .25298 .27029 .28486 .29829 .31624 .33566 .33990 .33941 70 71 72 73 74 75 .02178 .02388 .02614 .02857 .03121 .03411 .94908 .94821 .94677 .94515 .94350 .94430 .02915 .02791 .02709 .02629 .02530 .02157 .28233 .29093 .29783 .29908 .29590 .34984 .69590 .68520 .67604 .67235 .67289 .61603 .02201 .02416 .02648 .02898 .03170 .03470 .03536 .03409 .03330 .03240 .03120 .02752 .34250 .35533 .36601 .36866 .36488 .44644 ' Mortality rates used are those of the general female population. 16 Table A-4. Working life table for women, 1979-80—Continued Stationary population iving in each status at exact age x, per 100,000 persons born Number of status transfers within stationary population during age interval x to x+1 Labor force entries Labor force status Age Voluntary labor force exits Deaths by labor force status Total *1*X •'dx (21) Inactive •IX Active alX (16) (171 (18) (19) (20) 16 17 18 19 98,357 98,308 98,253 98,196 42,096 51,999 53,804 57,270 56,261 46,309 44,449 40,926 30,133 22,270 21,671 20,195 20,207 20,435 18,173 17,103 49 55 58 59 23 29 33 35 25 25 25 24 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 98,137 98,078 98,017 97,956 97,894 97,831 97,767 97,702 97,636 97,568 60,326 62,555 64,007 64,839 65,143 65,229 64,982 64,407 63,876 63,522 37,811 35,523 34,010 33,117 32,751 32,602 32,785 33,295 33,760 34,046 18,381 16,580 15,188 14,150 13,296 12,492 11,713 11,252 10,994 10,720 16,116 15,087 14,317 13,805 13,169 12,696 12,245 11,739 11,303 10,826 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 68 70 37 39 40 41 42 42 43 43 44 45 22 21 21 21 21 21 22 23 24 24 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 97,499 97,427 97,351 97,271 97,184 97,091 96,990 96,880 96,760 96,628 63,371 63,353 63,360 63,419 63,550 63,823 64,231 64,668 65,114 65,416 34,128 34,074 33,991 33,852 33,634 33,268 32,759 32,212 31,646 31,212 10,359 10,035 9,847 9,690 9,534 9,307 9,018 8,723 8,335 8,009 10,331 9,978 9,736 9,502 9,200 8,833 8,508 8,197 7,943 7,764 72 76 80 86 93 101 110 120 132 144 47 49 52 56 61 67 73 81 89 98 25 27 28 30 32 34 37 40 43 46 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 96,484 96,325 96,151 95,959 95,749 95,519 95,266 94,991 94,690 94,360 65,564 65,665 65,485 65,019 64,445 63,743 62,842 61,719 60,522 59,282 30,920 30,660 30,666 30,940 31,304 31,776 32,424 33,272 34,168 35,078 7,650 7,176 6,782 6,498 6,238 5,940 5,660 5,494 5,369 5,244 7,440 7,238 7,118 6,930 6,785 6,673 6,603 6,497 6,400 6,330 159 174 192 210 230 252 275 301 330 361 108 119 130 142 154 167 180 194 209 225 51 56 62 68 76 85 95 107 121 136 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 93,999 93,604 93,174 92,708 92,207 91,670 91,096 90,481 89,819 89,102 57,971 56,688 55,365 53,823 52,162 50,340 48,197 45,593 42,580 39,395 36,028 36,916 37,809 38,885 40,045 41,330 42,899 44,888 47,239 49,707 5,147 4,968 4,680 4,482 4,320 4,082 3,881 3,737 3,595 3,484 6,187 6,033 5,948 5,856 5,843 5,915 6,167 6,426 6,451 6,599 395 431 466 501 537 574 615 662 717 778 241 258 274 287 299 309 318 324 328 331 154 172 192 214 237 264 297 338 388 448 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 88,325 87,479 86,565 85,582 84,534 83,422 82,242 80,988 79,650 78,211 35,950 32,184 28,381 24,717 21,437 18,666 16,305 14,195 12,297 10,777 52,375 55,295 58,184 60,865 63,097 64,756 65,937 66,793 67,353 67,434 3,439 3,450 3,356 3,242 3,206 3,104 2,948 2,769 2,612 2,501 6,877 6,935 6,716 6,237 5,712 5,216 4,823 4,446 3,922 3,460 845 914 983 1,048 1,112 1,180 1,254 1,339 1,439 1,551 328 318 303 284 266 249 234 221 210 204 518 596 679 764 847 931 1,020 1,118 1,229 1,347 70 71 72 73 74 75 76,660 74,991 73,201 71,287 69,251 67,090 9,614 8,644 7,775 7,029 6,415 5,906 67,046 66,347 65,426 64,258 62,836 61,184 2,358 2,246 2,159 2,059 1,935 1,665 3,127 2,917 2,709 2,478 2,248 2,425 1,669 1,790 1,913 2,036 2,161 2,288 201 198 196 195 195 189 1,468 1,592 1,717 1,842 1,966 2,100 X Total V 17 Active atd X (22) Inactive ''dx (23) for women, 1979-80—Continued Person years lived in each status during age x Person years lived in each beyond exact age x Total Active Inactive Total Active *L x •L3* •Li* ' T ‘x *Tax (24) (25) (26) (27) (28) 16 17 18 19 98,333 98,281 98,225 98,166 47,048 52,902 55,537 58,798 51,285 45,379 42,688 39,368 6,188,267 6,089,934 5,991,653 5,893,428 2,880,000 2,832,952 2,780,050 2,724,513 20 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 98,107 98,047 97,986 97,925 97,862 97,799 97,735 97,669 97,603 97,534 61,440 63,281 64,423 64,991 65,185 65,105 64,695 64,141 63,700 63,447 36,667 34,766 33,563 32,934 32,677 32,694 33,040 33,528 33,903 34,087 5,795,262 5,697,155 5,599,108 5,501,122 5,403,197 5,305,335 5,207,536 5,109,801 5,012,132 4,914,529 2,665,715 2,604,275 2,540,994 2,476,572 2,411,581 2,346,395 2,281,290 2,216,595 2,152,454 2,088,754 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 97,463 97,389 97,311 97,227 97,138 97,041 96,935 96,820 96,694 96,556 63,362 63,356 63,389 63,484 63,687 64,027 64,449 64,891 65,265 65,490 34,101 34,033 33,922 33,743 33,451 33,014 32,486 31,929 31,429 31,066 4,816,995 4,719,532 4,622,143 4,524,832 4,427,605 4,330,467 4,233,426 4,136,491 4,039,671 3,942,977 2,025,307 1,961,045 1,898,588 1,835,199 1,771,715 1,708,028 1,644,001 1,579,552 1,514,661 1,449,396 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 96,404 96,238 96,055 95,854 95,634 95,392 95,129 94,840 94,525 94,180 65,614 65,575 65,252 64,732 64,094 63,293 62,281 61,120 59,902 58,627 30,790 30,663 30,803 31,122 31,540 32,099 32,848 33,720 34,623 35,553 3,846,421 3,750,017 3,653,779 3,557,724 3,461,870 3,366,236 3,270,844 3,175,715 3,080,875 2,986,350 1,383,906 1,318,291 1,252,716 1,187,465 1,122,733 1,058,638 995,346 933,065 871,945 812,043 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 93,802 93,389 92,941 92,457 91,938 91,383 90,789 90,150 89,461 88,713 57,330 56,027 54,594 52,992 51,251 49,268 46,895 44,086 40,988 37,672 36,472 37,362 38,347 39,465 40,687 42,115 43,894 46,064 48,473 51,041 2,892,170 2,798,368 2,704,979 2,612,038 2,519,581 2,427,643 2,336,260 2,245,471 2,155,321 2,065,860 753,416 696,086 640,060 585,466 532,474 481,223 431,955 385,060 340,973 299,986 60 61 62 63 64 65 87,902 87,022 86,074 85,058 83,978 82,832 81,615 80,319 78,930 77,435 34,067 30,282 26,549 23,077 20,051 17,485 15,250 13,246 11,537 10,196 53,835 56,740 59,525 61,981 63,927 65,347 66,365 67,073 67,393 67,239 1,977,147 1,889,245 1,802,223 1,716,149 1,631,091 1,547,113 1,464,281 1,382,666 1,302,347 1,223,417 262,313 228,246 197,964 171,415 148,338 128,286 110,801 95,551 82,305 70,767 75,825 74,096 72,244 70,269 68,170 65,946 9,129 8,210 7,402 6,722 6,161 5,432 66,696 65,886 64,842 63,547 62,009 60,514 1,145,982 1,070,157 996,061 923,817 853,548 785,378 60,572 51,443 43,233 35,831 29,109 22,948 X 21 22 66 67 68 69 70 71 18 Table A-5. Life and worklife expectancies for women by race, 1979-80 (Average years remaining) Black and other women White women Age Life expectancy 1 Expectation of active life by labor force status Total Currently active ’e ‘x •eaX v . (2) (3) 16 17 18 19 (1) 63.4 62.5 61.5 60.5 29.6 29.1 28.5 27.9 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 59.6 58.6 57.6 56.7 55.7 54.7 53.8 52.8 51.8 50.9 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Currently inactive Life expectancy 1 Expectation of active life by labor force status Total Currently active *e* X •°a* a* ax (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) 30.3 29.8 29.2 28.6 28.9 28.2 27.6 27.0 59.7 58.7 57.7 56.8 27.8 27.5 27.1 26.7 28.6 28.4 28.0 27.6 27.3 26.9 26.5 26.1 27.3 26.7 26.0 25.4 24.7 24.1 23.4 22.8 22.1 21.5 28.0 27.4 26.7 26.1 25.5 24.9 24.2 23.6 23.0 22.4 26.3 25.5 24.8 24.1 23.3 22.6 21.9 21.2 20.6 19.9 55.8 54.8 53.9 52.9 52.0 51.0 50.1 49.2 48.2 47.3 26.3 25.8 25.3 24.7 24.2 23.5 22.9 22.3 21.6 21.0 27.1 26.6 26.1 25.5 24.9 24.3 23.7 23.1 22.5 21.8 25.5 25.0 24.3 23.7 23.0 22.3 21.6 20.9 20.2 19.4 49.9 48.9 48.0 47.0 46.0 45.1 44.1 43.1 42.2 41.2 20.8 20.2 19.6 19.0 18.3 17.7 17.0 16.4 15.8 15.1 21.8 21.2 20.6 20.0 19.4 18.7 18.1 17.5 16.9 16.2 19.2 18.6 17.9 17.2 16.6 15.9 15.2 14.4 13.7 12.9 46.3 45.4 44.5 43.5 42.6 41.7 40.7 39.8 38.9 38.0 20.3 19.7 19.0 18.3 17.7 17.0 16.3 15.7 15.0 14.4 21.2 20.5 19.9 19.3 18.6 18.0 17.4 16.8 16.2 15.6 18.7 17.9 17.2 16.5 15.7 15.0 14.2 13.5 12.8 12.1 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 40.3 39.3 38.4 37.5 36.5 35.6 34.7 33.8 32.9 32.0 14.4 13.8 13.1 12.4 11.8 11.1 10.5 9.9 9.2 8.6 15.6 15.0 14.3 13.7 13.1 12.5 12.0 11.4 10.9 10.3 12.2 11.4 10.6 9.9 9.2 8.4 7.8 7.1 6.5 5.9 37.1 36.2 35.3 34.5 33.6 32.7 31.9 31.1 30.2 29.4 13.8 13.1 12.5 11.9 11.3 10.8 10.2 9.6 9.0 8.5 15.0 14.5 13.9 13.4 12.8 12.3 11.7 11.2 10.6 10.1 11.4 10.7 10.1 9.5 8.9 8.3 7.7 7.1 6.6 6.0 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 31.1 30.2 29.3 28.4 27.6 26.7 25.9 25.0 24.2 23.4 8.0 7.4 6.9 6.3 5.8 5.3 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.4 9.8 9.3 8.8 8.3 7.8 7.3 6.8 6.3 5.9 5.4 5.3 4.7 4.2 3.7 3.3 2.9 2.5 2.2 1.9 1.7 28.6 27.8 27.0 26.2 25.5 24.7 23.9 23.2 22.4 21.7 7.9 7.4 6.8 6.3 5.7 5.2 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.4 9.5 9.0 8.5 8.0 7.5 7.0 6.5 6.1 5.6 5.2 5.5 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.5 3.0 2.7 2.3 2.0 1.8 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 22.6 21.8 21.0 20.2 19.4 18.7 17.9 17.2 16.4 15.7 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.0 .9 5.1 4.7 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.2 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 .9 .8 .6 .5 .5 .4 21.0 20.3 19.6 19.0 18.3 17.7 17.0 16.4 15.7 15.1 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 .9 .8 4.8 4.5 4.2 3.9 3.7 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.0 .8 .7 .6 .5 .4 .3 70 71 72 73 74 75 15.0 14.3 13.6 13.0 12.3 11.7 .8 .7 .6 .5 .4 .3 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.3 .3 .2 .2 .1 .0 .0 14.5 13.9 13.4 12.9 12.3 11.8 .7 .6 .5 .5 .4 .4 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.4 .2 .2 .1 .1 .0 .0 X 1 Mortality rates used reflect racial differentials in survival. 19 Currently inactive Table A-6. Worklife expectancies for women by schooling completed, 1979-80 (Average years remaining) Expectation of active life by schooling completed and current labor force status Age Life expectancy ' High school to 14 years Less than high school V , (5) _ (6) _ •°ax V . (8) _ (9) _ •«ax a»a* (2) (3) (4) 16 17 18 19 (D 62.9 61.9 61.0 60.0 22.1 21.6 21.1 20.7 22.8 22.3 21.9 21.5 21.5 20.9 20.4 19.9 28.9 28.3 29.6 29.0 27.9 27.3 - - - 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 59.1 58.1 57.1 56.2 55.2 54.2 53.3 52.3 51.3 50.4 20.2 19.7 19.3 18.8 18.4 17.9 17.4 17.0 16.5 16.1 21.1 20.6 20.2 19.8 19.4 18.9 18.5 18.1 17.7 17.2 19.4 18.9 18.4 17.9 17.4 17.0 16.5 16.0 15.5 15.0 27.7 27.0 26.4 25.7 25.1 24.4 23.8 23.2 22.5 21.9 28.4 27.8 27.2 26.5 25.9 25.3 24.7 24.1 23.5 22.9 26.5 25.8 25.1 24.4 23.7 23.0 22.3 21.6 21.0 20.3 31.6 30.9 30.1 29.4 28.7 27.9 27.2 26.5 25.7 25.0 32.2 31.4 30.7 30.0 29.3 28.6 27.9 27.2 26.5 25.9 30.3 29.6 28.9 28.1 27.3 26.4 25.6 24.8 24.0 23.2 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 49.4 48.4 47.5 46.5 45.6 44.6 43.6 42.7 41.7 40.8 15.6 15.1 14.7 14.2 13.7 13.3 12.8 12.3 11.8 11.4 16.8 16.4 16.0 15.6 15.2 14.8 14.4 14.0 13.5 13.1 14.5 14.0 13.4 12.9 12.4 11.9 11.3 10.7 10.2 9.7 21.3 20.6 20.0 19.4 18.8 18.1 17.5 16.8 16.2 15.5 22.3 21.7 21.1 20.4 19.8 19.2 18.6 17.9 17.3 16.7 19.6 19.0 18.3 17.6 17.0 16.3 15.6 14.9 14.1 13.4 24.3 23.6 22.9 22.2 21.5 20.8 20.1 19.3 18.6 17.9 25.2 24.5 23.8 23.1 22.4 21.7 21.0 20.2 19.5 18.7 22.4 21.7 20.9 20.2 19.5 18.8 18.0 17.2 16.4 15.5 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 39.9 38.9 38.0 37.1 36.2 35.2 34.3 33.4 32.5 31.6 10.9 10.4 9.9 9.5 9.0 8.5 8.1 7.6 7.1 6.7 12.7 12.3 11.8 11.4 11.0 10.5 10.0 9.6 9.1 8.7 9.1 8.6 8.1 7.6 7.1 6.6 6.1 5.6 5.2 4.7 14.9 14.2 13.5 12.9 12.2 11.6 10.9 10.3 9.7 9.1 16.0 15.4 14.8 14.2 13.6 13.0 12.4 11.9 11.4 10.8 12.6 11.8 11.1 10.3 9.6 8.9 8.2 7.5 6.9 6.3 17.1 16.4 15.6 14.8 14.1 13.3 12.6 11.8 11.1 10.4 18.0 17.3 16.5 15.8 15.1 14.4 13.7 13.0 12.3 11.6 14.7 13.8 12.9 12.0 11.1 10.1 9.3 8.5 7.8 7.1 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 30.8 29.9 29.0 28.2 27.3 26.5 25.6 24.8 24.0 23.2 6.2 5.7 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.6 8.3 7.9 7.5 7.1 6.7 6.3 5.9 5.5 5.2 4.9 4.2 3.8 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.4 8.5 7.9 7.3 6.8 6.2 5.7 5.2 4.7 4.2 3.8 10.3 9.8 9.3 8.8 8.3 7.7 7.2 6.7 6.3 5.8 5.7 5.1 4.6 4.1 3.6 3.2 2.8 2.5 2.2 1.9 9.7 8.9 8.2 7.6 6.9 6.2 5.6 5.0 4.5 3.9 10.9 10.2 9.6 9.0 8.3 7.8 7.2 6.7 6.3 5.8 6.4 5.7 5.0 4.4 3.9 3.4 2.9 2.4 2.1 1.8 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 22.4 21.6 20.8 20.1 19.3 18.5 17.8 17.1 16.4 15.6 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 .8 .7 4.6 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.1 3.0 2.9 1.3 1.1 1.0 .9 .8 .6 .6 .5 .4 .3 3.3 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.1 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.4 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.0 .9 .7 .6 .5 .4 3.5 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.1 5.4 5.1 4.8 4.6 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.6 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 .9 .8 .7 .6 .5 .4 70 71 72 73 74 75 14.9 14.3 13.6 13.0 12.3 11.7 .6 .5 .5 .4 .3 .2 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.2 .2 .2 .1 .1 .0 .0 1.0 .9 .7 .7 .6 .5 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.1 1.5 .3 .3 .2 .1 .1 .0 1.0 .9 .8 .7 .6 .5 3.5 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.3 1.6 .3 .3 .2 .1 .1 .0 •° ax Currently inactive ’ e *x 20 Currently active Currently active Currently active 1 Mortality rates used are those of the general female population. Total Total Total X Currently inactive 15 years or more of schooling - - Currently inactive (7) _ - - - - - '° ax (10) _ - Table B-1. Labor force accession rates by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 (Annual rate per 1,000 population) Race Sex and age Total Years of schooling completed White Black and other Less than high school High school to 14 years 15 years or more d) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 229.4 127.8 60.9 34.4 24.9 21.6 21.2 23.5 29.2 44.5 54.8 42.9 3.6 223.1 120.7 57.1 32.0 23.8 20.4 19.3 23.1 29.8 44.9 54.1 42.6 3.8 277.7 176.0 89.3 54.8 36.0 30.9 35.3 27.6 24.7 39.1 60.8 45.1 .9 209.8 131.6 82.8 49.6 40.8 37.7 30.7 28.8 34.3 50.9 54.8 44.7 4.4 _ 112.3 53.0 34.6 25.2 19.6 20.7 26.0 29.5 43.9 55.9 40.9 3.3 _ 165.1 71.3 32.8 19.9 17.4 17.7 18.6 24.2 36.2 55.4 38.6 1.1 239.9 158.4 117.1 101.7 89.6 71.5 58.4 50.8 41.7 38.8 34.7 29.8 3.0 238.5 152.0 114.8 102.4 91.4 71.9 57.9 49.9 40.7 38.1 34.0 30.3 3.1 254.0 198.3 131.6 98.0 77.9 67.3 62.7 58.2 50.1 45.6 41.2 24.7 2.1 222.3 168.5 141.9 119.8 94.2 75.9 69.2 55.4 43.1 37.0 32.5 27.1 2.5 _ 153.6 120.2 106.4 94.1 74.7 60.3 52.2 42.1 42.4 38.9 34.3 3.8 _ 141.9 108.4 88.2 80.7 61.4 45.4 42.9 40.7 35.3 31.5 31.9 3.5 Men 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + Women 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + 21 Table B-2. Total labor force separation rates by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 (Annual rate per 1,000 population) Race Sex and age Total Years of schooling completed White Black and other Less than high school High school to 14 years 15 years or more (D (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 170.8 97.6 51.6 34.4 28.2 28.6 32.9 43.1 75.0 115.8 91.8 66.9 78.8 168.3 92.3 48.3 31.5 26.2 26.8 31.1 41.9 74.1 116.4 93.0 67.1 82.5 202.5 135.7 77.4 58.1 45.9 42.3 46.8 53.5 85.3 108.4 79.0 64.9 48.3 162.5 106.8 75.1 49.7 44.5 43.1 41.4 53.1 84.6 110.7 80.8 60.8 68.1 _ 90.8 47.1 36.5 28.1 25.4 31.9 42.5 72.8 120.0 94.3 68.2 85.8 _ 129.4 54.6 29.6 21.3 24.2 26.8 33.8 61.3 104.7 103.6 79.0 120.4 193.5 148.4 120.9 100.7 86.0 75.3 70.6 67.2 73.6 79.0 57.3 40.1 41.3 193.7 146.1 120.8 101.4 86.2 74.9 70.6 66.6 72.6 77.9 55.9 40.0 41.2 198.5 165.5 123.3 97.6 85.6 77.2 70.0 72.2 83.0 88.2 70.0 37.9 44.7 208.3 170.7 141.5 118.4 93.3 77.0 71.7 70.3 69.9 64.8 48.8 36.7 29.8 _ 151.5 124.5 104.1 89.4 78.4 73.9 65.9 71.2 84.3 62.9 44.8 56.9 _ 143.2 114.0 87.9 71.7 61.5 54.4 62.6 82.5 86.7 58.5 37.8 59.9 Men 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + Women 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+ 22 Table B-3. Voluntary labor force separation rates by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 (Annual rate per 1,000 population) Race Sex and age Total Years of schooling completed White Black and other Less than high school High school to 14 years 15 years or more 0) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 169.8 96.0 49.8 32.6 25.9 25.2 27.6 34.9 64.1 104.9 82.8 58.1 72.5 167.3 90.7 46.7 30.0 24.2 23.9 26.2 34.3 63.7 105.5 84.0 58.4 75.9 201.8 133.7 74.5 54.6 41.3 36.2 38.0 40.7 70.6 97.0 70.7 55.3 44.5 161.6 105.3 73.5 48.0 42.4 40.0 36.6 45.8 75.5 102.4 74.2 53.9 62.7 _ 89.1 45.3 34.7 25.8 22.0 26.6 34.1 61.4 108.2 84.7 58.9 78.9 _ 127.8 52.8 27.8 18.9 20.6 21.3 25.0 48.9 90.3 89.6 64.7 110.8 193.2 148.0 120.4 100.2 85.2 74.0 68.6 64.3 70.1 75.5 54.5 37.4 39.7 193.4 145.7 120.4 101.0 85.4 73.7 68.9 64.0 69.3 74.7 53.3 37.3 39.5 198.3 164.9 122.5 96.6 84.0 74.9 66.6 67.4 77.3 82.6 65.9 34.8 43.0 208.1 170.4 141.2 118.0 92.7 76.1 70.1 68.0 67.2 62.2 46.5 34.4 28.6 _ 151.1 124.1 103.5 88.6 77.0 71.8 62.9 67.5 80.5 59.8 41.7 54.6 _ 142.7 113.5 87.3 70.8 59.9 52.0 58.9 78.1 82.6 55.5 34.7 57.5 Men 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + Women 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + 23 Table B-4. Net labor force mobility rates by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 (Annual rate per 1,000 population) Race Sex and age Total Years of schooling completed White Black and other Less than high school High school to 14 years 15 years or more (D (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 58.6 30.1 9.3 .0 -3.3 -7.0 -11.8 -19.6 -45.9 -71.4 -37.0 -24.0 -75.2 54.8 28.4 8.8 .4 -2.4 -6.4 -11.8 -18.8 -44.3 -71.4 -39.0 -24.4 -78.6 75.2 40.2 12.0 -3.3 -9.8 -11.4 -11.5 -25.8 -60.6 -69.3 -18.1 -19.8 -47.4 47.3 24.8 7.7 .0 -3.7 -5.4 -10.7 -24.3 -50.3 -59.8 -26.0 -16.0 -63.8 _ 21.5 5.8 -1.9 -2.9 -5.8 -11.2 -16.5 -43.3 -76.1 -38.5 -27.2 -82.4 _ 35.7 16.7 3.2 -1.4 -6.7 -9.2 -15.3 -37.1 -68.5 -48.2 -40.3 -119.4 46.4 10.0 -3.8 .9 3.6 -3.8 -12.2 -16.4 -31.9 -40.2 -22.6 -10.3 -38.3 44.8 5.9 -6.0 1.0 5.3 -2.9 -12.7 -16.7 -31.8 -39.9 -21.9 -9.7 -38.1 55.4 32.8 8.3 .3 -7.7 -9.9 -7.3 -14.0 -32.9 -42.6 -28.8 -13.2 -42.6 14.0 -2.2 .3 1.4 .9 -1.2 -2.5 -14.9 -26.8 -27.9 -16.4 -9.6 -27.3 2.1 -4.3 2.4 4.6 -3.7 -13.5 -13.7 -29.1 -41.9 -23.9 -10.5 -53.0 _ -1.2 -5.6 .3 8.9 -.1 -9.0 -19.6 -41.8 -51.4 -27.0 -5.9 -56.5 Men 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + Women 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + 24 Table B-5. Labor force accessions per 1,000 persons alive at beginning of age interval by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 Years of schooling completed Race Sex and age Total White Black and other Less than high school High school to 14 years 15 years or more (D (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 914.9 635.6 302.9 171.2 123.7 107.0 104.3 115.2 141.1 211.0 253.6 190.7 3.4 889.9 600.7 284.0 159.3 118.3 101.4 95.1 113.1 144.4 213.7 250.6 189.9 3.6 1,108.0 874.4 443.1 271.5 177.9 152.0 172.2 133.2 117.3 181.9 276.6 198.0 .9 836.7 654.8 411.8 246.9 202.8 186.7 151.6 140.8 165.8 241.6 253.7 199.0 4.1 _ 558.9 263.5 172.0 125.5 97.3 102.2 127.1 142.6 208.2 258.5 182.0 3.1 _ 821.4 354.7 163.1 99.0 86.5 87.3 90.8 117.0 171.9 256.2 171.8 1.0 958.4 790.7 584.4 507.3 446.9 356.0 290.1 251.0 204.8 189.0 167.0 140.3 2.8 952.9 758.9 573.3 511.3 456.0 358.3 287.5 247.0 200.5 185.6 163.8 142.8 2.9 1,014.9 989.2 656.3 488.1 387.6 333.6 309.4 285.5 244.0 219.3 195.2 113.9 2.0 888.4 841.3 708.1 597.7 469.6 377.7 343.4 273.9 211.8 180.1 156.1 127.5 2.4 _ 766.9 600.2 531.2 469.1 371.7 299.4 257.9 207.1 206.4 187.2 161.5 3.6 708.6 540.9 440.2 402.2 305.6 225.4 212.2 199.8 171.7 151.6 149.9 3.3 Men 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + Women 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + 25 Table B-6. Total labor force separations per 1,000 persons alive at beginning of age interval by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 Race Sex and age Total Years of schooling completed White Black and other Less than high school High school to 14 years 15 years or more (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 681.1 485.8 256.6 171.3 140.3 141.8 162.4 210.9 362.8 549.8 424.6 297.5 73.7 671.3 459.3 240.3 157.1 130.3 133.1 153.4 205.4 359.0 553.5 431.3 298.8 77.1 807.9 674.4 383.8 287.8 226.5 208.0 228.4 257.6 404.9 504.1 359.1 284.8 45.2 648.2 531.5 373.7 247.1 221.2 213.5 204.4 259.6 408.8 525.4 374.0 270.4 63.7 _ 451.9 234.5 181.5 139.9 126.1 157.5 207.8 352.0 569.3 436.4 303.2 80.1 _ 643.6 271.7 147.4 105.8 119.8 132.4 165.5 296.5 497.0 479.3 351.2 112.5 773.1 740.7 603.4 502.7 429.0 374.8 350.5 332.2 361.8 384.7 275.5 188.7 39.0 773.9 729.6 603.1 506.2 429.7 372.8 350.7 329.7 357.0 380.1 269.4 188.5 38.8 793.4 825.5 614.8 486.3 425.7 382.7 345.5 354.2 403.9 423.8 331.3 174.7 42.1 832.4 852.1 706.3 590.9 465.0 383.5 355.9 347.3 343.4 315.7 234.7 172.6 28.1 _ 756.3 621.6 519.2 445.9 390.0 366.5 325.6 350.0 410.4 302.2 210.8 53.6 _ 714.8 568.9 438.6 357.6 306.2 270.2 309.1 405.3 421.9 281.4 177.9 56.5 Men 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + Women 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + 26 Table B-7. Labor force accessions per 1,000 inactive persons by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 Race Sex and age Total Years of schooling completed White Black and other Less than high school High school to 14 years 15 years or more (D (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 596.1 666.4 681.4 547.1 407.1 297.8 217.7 168.8 120.9 88.6 75.3 52.0 3.9 620.1 672.6 693.1 558.1 444.3 327.9 218.5 175.0 129.0 92.0 75.1 51.8 4.2 525.8 649.0 646.8 520.6 306.9 208.7 213.2 138.8 75.1 62.9 76.4 54.5 1.0 506.0 511.2 477.2 330.1 271.9 235.1 172.8 123.3 93.4 81.4 68.5 51.9 4.7 _ 719.6 721.9 568.3 403.0 285.6 233.2 213.3 142.8 93.7 78.7 50.2 3.7 685.2 783.3 802.2 757.2 539.1 350.6 260.9 174.5 103.8 95.6 54.0 1.2 527.5 454.8 341.8 292.3 271.3 221.7 164.1 122.7 81.1 56.4 41.8 33.3 3.1 564.1 457.5 334.1 289.3 274.7 226.3 163.9 120.4 79.0 55.0 40.9 33.9 3.2 409.3 462.1 397.6 320.0 248.0 189.1 165.1 141.7 100.3 68.7 50.1 27.1 2.2 425.4 320.1 268.3 229.8 185.0 149.0 136.2 102.4 67.8 48.4 37.7 29.7 2.6 _ 457.4 342.7 303.3 287.3 237.2 170.4 127.4 85.8 64.0 47.9 38.9 4.1 _ 568.3 422.0 319.3 330.2 287.3 199.8 155.3 99.6 55.4 38.5 36.2 3.7 Men 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + _ Women 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + 27 Table B-8. Total labor force separations per 1,000 active persons by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 Years of schooling completed Race Sex and age Total White Black and other Less than high school High school to 14 years 15 years or more (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 277.6 120.9 56.6 36.7 30.0 30.8 36.5 50.1 98.9 232.5 337.9 381.8 1,000.0 262.9 112.5 52.6 33.5 27.7 28.6 34.1 48.3 96.3 227.5 332.4 380.3 1,000.0 429.2 186.3 89.8 65.0 52.0 49.7 56.1 66.8 127.2 286.5 386.7 374.2 1,000.0 277.6 143.9 90.9 58.4 52.4 51.3 50.4 69.2 133.6 295.3 405.0 443.1 1,000.0 _ 107.6 50.9 38.8 30.0 27.3 35.0 48.4 91.8 225.6 325.2 367.6 1,000.0 _ 170.4 60.1 30.9 21.8 25.0 28.3 36.4 71.2 160.8 246.2 277.2 1,000.0 354.8 227.6 183.8 154.5 128.5 111.2 109.7 114.7 151.5 253.5 339.4 384.5 1000.0 335.6 218.8 184.0 157.0 129.1 109.8 109.1 113.8 149.9 252.4 333.2 377.4 1000.0 523.2 289.8 184.4 140.7 124.8 119.8 112.8 122.6 166.1 262.8 393.9 428.0 1000.0 436.5 360.5 300.3 247.3 190.0 157.1 145.8 153.2 192.0 275.8 352.3 417.1 1000.0 _ 228.1 191.9 160.3 133.0 114.4 114.3 111.6 140.0 249.4 335.4 380.3 1000.0 _ 190.8 153.3 121.4 94.9 78.3 70.5 86.5 139.3 238.6 322.7 317.4 1000.0 Men 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + Women 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + 28 Table B-9. Remaining labor force accessions per person entering age interval by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 Race Sex and age Total Years of schooling completed White Black and other Less than high school High school to 14 years 15 years or more (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 3.0 2.1 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.0 .9 .8 .7 .6 .4 .2 .0 2.9 2.1 1.5 1.2 1.1 .9 .9 .8 .7 .6 .4 .2 .0 3.7 2.6 1.8 1.4 1.1 1.0 .8 .7 .6 .6 .4 .2 .0 3.4 2.6 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.0 .9 .8 .6 .4 .2 .0 _ 2.0 1.5 1.2 1.1 .9 .9 .8 .7 .6 .4 .2 .0 2.2 1.4 1.1 .9 .8 .7 .7 .6 .5 .4 .2 .0 4.8 3.8 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.2 .9 .7 .5 .3 .2 .0 4.7 3.8 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.2 .9 .7 .5 .3 .2 .0 5.0 4.0 3.1 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.0 .7 .5 .3 .1 .0 5.1 4.2 3.3 2.6 2.1 1.6 1.2 .9 .6 .5 .3 .1 .0 _ 3.9 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.6 1.3 1.0 .7 .5 .4 .2 .0 _ 3.4 2.7 2.2 1.7 1.4 1.1 .8 .6 .5 .3 .2 .0 Men 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + Women 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+ 29 Table B-10. Remaining voluntary labor force separations per person entering age interval by sex, age, race, and schooling completed, 1979-80 Race Sex and age Total Years of schooling completed White Black and other Less than high school High school to 14 years 15 years or more (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 3.4 2.8 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.3 .9 .7 .1 3.4 2.7 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.0 .7 .1 3.8 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.1 .7 .5 .0 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.2 .8 .6 .1 _ 2.7 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.0 .7 .1 _ 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.2 .9 .1 5.3 4.5 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.0 .7 .5 .0 5.3 4.5 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.0 .7 .5 .0 5.3 4.5 3.7 3.1 2.7 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.1 .7 .5 .0 5.5 4.7 3.8 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.1 .8 .6 .4 .0 _ 4.7 4.0 3.4 2.9 2.4 2.1 1.7 1.5 1.2 .8 .6 .1 _ 4.3 3.6 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.2 .8 .6 .1 Men 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + Women 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75 + 30 Technical Appendix Transition probabilities (!PX). These probabilities (shown for all men and all women in columns 8-12 of tables A-l and A-4) indicate the likelihood that an individual of a given sex, age, labor force status (and—though not shown—race or educational attain ment category) will be classified in each of three possible states 1 year later: Economically active, in active, or dead. Since these outcomes exhaust all possibilities, the probabilities sum to unity. Within any demographic group for which a table has been calculated: The current set of worklife tables is an update and extension of those published in 1982 in Bulletins 2135 and 2157. The basic methodology, detailed in Bulletin 2135, has not changed. Data input. Multistate (increment-decrement) working life tables are derived from information about changes in the labor force status of individuals between two points in time, 12 months apart. The flows in question are outlined in figure 1. Using data collected by the Current Population Survey (CPS), these flows are traced separately for each sex-race and sex-educational attainment cohort.1 For the period 1979-80, responses of persons inter viewed in two successive January, March, May, July, September, or November surveys have been compared over the 1-year interval to obtain counts of the streams noted in figure 1. Surviving respondents have been classified as “ active” or “ inactive” if their status was identical at the two reference points, and as “ entrants” or “ exits” if their status changed.2 The number lost to reinterview through death has been estimated separately, using the standard mortality function qx (here denoted ’p^). The National Center for Health Statistics publishes these rates annually. Because the reference period for labor force activity spans 2 calendar years, we have employed mortality rates which are averages of those published for 1979 and 1980. Life table calculations are performed on single-yearof-age data. The reference period for events in these tables is that between two exact ages, denoted x and x+1. Survey data have a slightly different age reference: The average person claiming to be “x” years old is actually halfway between his x and x+ 1th birth days, or x + Vi years of age. Before developing the life table functions, therefore, survey data must be recentered on the appropriate age interval. The exact age counts are derived from survey values as follows. Using the example of persons economically active at age “ x” : ‘Px + 'Px + ‘Px = 1 and aP? + V x + apx = l. Where: i = economically inactive (out of labor force) a = economically active (in the labor force) d = dead = the probability that a person of a given characteristic, age x and in status 1 at the beginning of the interval, will be in status 2 exactly 1 year later, at age x+1. Differences in mortality risks associated with labor force status have not yet been adequately quantified. Therefore we have assumed those risks to be the same for all persons of a given age, whether in or out of the labor force. Thus: aPx = Where: • = all persons of given characteristics alive at the beginning of the interval. In the tables for all men, all women, and men and women by educational attainment, mortality rates have been assumed to vary by age and sex. No educational differentials have been introduced, owing to lack of data. However, the tables by race employ additional a c tiv e s(x-> /2) + a c tiv e s(x+*/2) 1This information is collected from all age groups, 14 and above, and has been processed for ages 14 through 76. 2The data set used for this analysis does not facilitate a distinction between initial and subsequent labor force entries. The subscripts refer to the age of persons at the begin ning of the 1-year interval. ‘Px= 'Px 31 Figure 1. Labor force flows for each demographic group identified in the 1979-80 working life tables S ta te at tim e 2 , a g e x + 1 S ta te at tim e 1, a g e x In la b o r f o r c e ...................................... N o t in la b o r f o r c e ............................ T o ta l In la b o r fo r c e N o t in la b o r fo r c e D ead G ro u p A G ro u p B A c tiv e s E n tran ts E x its In activ es D e a th s o f a ctiv es D e a th s o f in a ctiv e s educational attainment, born at the same time, were “ survived” until all persons had died, at each age experiencing the mortality and labor force probabili ties observed in the base population during the reference year. The stationary population at any given age x is merely cohort survivors at the beginning of the previous age, multiplied by their probability of surviving that age: information on racial differentials in mortality, so that, for instance: wm,.pd ^ om,.pd Where: wm,.pd _ tjje death rate 0f aji white males of a given age, regardless of labor force status •1* = °m,.pd _ t^e death rate 0f ajj black and other males of a given age, regardless of labor force status p 2 _ ,) . Group-specific transfer rates are used to determine how many cohort members will be active or inactive at each successive age. For instance, the number of inactives at age x is equal to the stock of inactives in the cohort 1 year earlier, plus persons leaving the labor force at any time during the interval, minus all those entering the labor force, minus inactives who died: For each group tabulated, transition probabilities are computed as row percentages from age-adjusted tables like figure 1. For instance, the probability of entering the labor force over the year’s interval beginning at age x is computed as: entrants, !pa = ---------- x Group Bx '!x = V , + (a'x - l X X - l ) - ('lx_ , X ‘m * .,) - (‘lx_, X ‘mx_ |). Rates o f transfer between statuses ^m^). These rates (which appear for total men and total women in columns 13-15 of tables A-l and A-4) denote the number of tranfers from state 1 to state 2 during the interval from exact age x to exact age x +1, per thousand cohort members age x in the stationary population. As a ratio of events to population, these rates make allowance for the fact that a single individual may change his or her status repeatedly during any year. Transfer rates are com puted from transition probabilities as follows: This function can be restated in terms of numbers who transferred between states 1 and 2, as observed only at those ages C1^): ' The number of such transfers is shown in columns 19-23 of the complete worklife tables, A-l and A-4. Remaining labor force entries (‘Ea ) and voluntary exits (aEx) per person. The average number of labor force entries and exits remaining per person of a given age is computed by summing the relevant transfer values (*ta or atx) from that age to the end of the table and dividing the total by persons alive at the beginning of that age, lx. Comparative estimates for the 12 cohorts in question are shown in tables B-9 and B-10. (1 + X X 1 + Vx) - (Vx x ipa) and so on. The probability of transition and the rate of transfer for a given age are positively related so that the higher the likelihood of changing status over a 1-year interval, the greater the rate of transfer and the larger the difference between their respective values. Expectation o f life (*ex), and working life (-ea ) for all persons aged x. The stationary population values shown in columns 16-18 of the complete tables can be read to represent a longitudinal history of a single birth cohort, showing the labor force status of survivors to each suc cessive birthday. Assuming that changes in status (i.e., deaths and labor force entries and exits) are evenly distributed throughout the year, the total number alive at mid-year The stationary population ( lx), inactive population (*lx), and stationary labor force (alx) at each exact age. These functions appear in columns 16-18 of the com plete worklife tables, A-l and A-4. They denote the number of persons of a give cohort who would remain in each labor force status at successive birthdays if 100,000 persons of the same sex and race or ultimate lx-1 X (1 - 32 aex and 'ex for years of inactivity remaining for the same two groups. ( L‘x ) should be precisely half the sum of those alive at the beginning and at the end of that interval: *t • Lx - *x + Interpretation o f w o rklife expectancy values. These tables ^x + 1 ) ----------------------- • measure movement into and out of the labor force, rather than flows into and out of employment. Hence measures of “worklife” actually include periods of unemployment. These estimates in no way control for differences in hours worked by age, sex, race, or educational attain ment. They simply summarize the number of years during which an average cohort member would be attached to the labor force (in whatever manner is characteristic for that group) if prevailing rates of mortality and labor force entry and exit remained in effect throughout his or her lifetime. It is possible to quantify the proportion of each year of life spent in the labor force (controlling for the average effects of mortality and labor force separation) by com puting the following ratio for each age group: 2 The number active or inactive at mid-year can be com puted in analagous fashion. (These values by labor force status appear in columns 24-26 of tables A-l and A-4). These figures are also referred to as the number of “per son years’’ lived by the group in any status as it passes through the given age. Summing person years (of life, inactivity, or activity) from age x to the end of the table, and dividing the result by total persons alive at exact age x, we derive average years of life, inactivity, and activity remaining to be lived by those age x. For example, the average worklife expectancy is: Pa x + lc x L a b o r fo rc e status-specific expectations o f active life (aea , ‘ex) and inactive life (aex, ‘ex). The expectancy *1 Where: functions for the population as a whole, above, were developed using a Markov chain calculation in which a specific cohort of individuals (i.e., those of a given sex, and race or educational attainment level, bom at the same time) were traced through a lifetime of labor force entries and exits to quantify total average work duration. By the same token, it is possible to follow even more specific cohorts (e.g., those with a given set of charac teristics who were in the labor force at a specific age) through their subsequent worklife experiences. The pro cedure is the same. At each age, survivors of the initial work status cohort are subjected to the transfer rates appropriate to their current age and status, to determine how many will enter the next age interval in each work status group. The resulting stationary population profile is translated into person years of activity and inactivity lived by the group in that age interval. These values are summed across ages, then averaged over persons of the relevant sex alive and in a given status at the initial age. Given the 2 sexes, 2 labor force statuses, and 60 ages of interest, this entire procedure must be repeated 240 times to develop the expectancy figures shown in columns 4-7 of tables A-l and A-4. It must be repeated another 1,200 times to provide the labor force statusspecific detail by sex and race, and by sex and education, shown. The expectancies are denoted aea (years of activity remaining to persons currently active), *ea (years of activity remaining to persons currently inactive), and 'L x __ *x x + iex = the worklife expectancy from age x to x + 1. M o d ific a tio n s o f the m odel. Treatment of the initial and terminal ages of the table has been modified slightly since the last publication to improve the precision of the estimates. Whereas the tables for 1977 recognized labor force entries to begin during age 15, the present set also rests on known entry patterns for persons age 14. This has had a very minor impact on worklife expectancies at birth, and none at all beyond the early teens. For purposes of closure, it is now assumed that no one enters the labor force after age 75, and that per son years of activity beyond that age are proportional to the labor force participation rate of CPS respond ents age 76 to 78. (Given the number of groups being tabulated, it is no longer feasible to attempt estimation of actual labor force movements beyond age 75.) This modification has had a very minor impact on worklife values. A d d itio n a l detail. This publication includes only sum mary statistics on worklife expectancy by race and education. Full tables for various groups are avail able upon request from: Division of Data Development and Users’ Services, Office of Employment and Un employment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 441 G St. NW., Washington, D.C. 20212. 33 ☆ U.S. Government Printing Office : 1986 -491-543/46271 Bureau of Labor Statistics Regional Offices Region I John F. Kennedy Federal Building Government Center Boston, Mass. 02203 Phone: (617) 223-6761 Region II Suite 3400 1515 Broadway New York, N Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 944-3121 Region III 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309 Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: (215) 596-1154 Region IV Regions VII and VIII Region V Regions IX and X 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E. Atlanta, Ga. 30367 Phone: (404) 347-4418 9th Floor Federal Office Building 230 S. 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