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Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Consumer Choice and Merchant
Acceptance of Payment Media
Wilko Bolt and Sujit Chakravorti

WP 2008-11

Consumer Choice and Merchant Acceptance of Payment Media
Wilko Bolt

Sujit Chakravorti∗

November 26, 2008

Abstract
We study the ability of banks and merchants to influence the consumer’s payment
instrument choice. Consumers participate in payment card networks to insure themselves against three types of shocks— income, theft, and their merchant match. Merchants choose which payment instruments to accept based on their production costs and
increased profit opportunities. Our key results can be summarized as follows. The structure of prices is determined by the level of the bank’s cost to provide payment services
including the level of aggregate credit loss, the probability of theft, and the timing of
income flows. We also identify equilibria where the bank finds it profitable to offer one or
both payment cards. Our model predicts that when merchants are restricted to charging
a uniform price for goods that they sell, the bank benefits while consumers and merchants are worse off. Finally, we compare welfare-maximizing price structures to those
that result from the bank’s profit-maximizing price structure.
Key Words: Retail Financial Services, Network Effects, Social Welfare, Multihoming,
Payment Card Networks

JEL Codes: L11, G21, D53

∗
Bolt can be reached at w.bolt@dnb.nl and Chakravorti can be reached at sujit.chakravorti@chi.frb.org.
We thank Gadi Barlevy, Jeff Campbell, Anneke Kosse, Cyril Monnet, Derek Neal, Henri Pages, and seminar
participants at the Market for Retail Financial Services: Development, Integration, and Economic Effects
held at the Czech National Bank, the Payment Economics III conference held at the Federal Reserve Bank
of Atlanta, Workshop on Payment Economics at the Bank of Canada, De Nederlandsche Bank, the European
Central Bank, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, the Riksbank, and the University of Granada. The views
expressed are those of the authors and do not represent the views of De Nederlandsche Bank, the Federal
Reserve Bank of Chicago or the Federal Reserve System.

1

Introduction

Over the last two decades, consumer usage and merchant acceptance of payment cards have
increased in advanced economies while cash and check usage has declined (Amromin and
Chakravorti, 2009, and Humphrey, 2004). Many observers argue that movement away from
paper-based payment instruments to electronic ones such as payment cards has increased
overall payment system efficiency. However, policymakers in various jurisdictions have questioned the pricing of payment card services.1

The U.S. Congress is considering legislation

that would grant antitrust immunity to merchants to collectively negotiate fees with payment
providers.

The European Commission prohibited MasterCard from imposing interchange

fees, the fee that the merchant’s bank pays the cardholder’s bank, for cross-border European
payment card transactions. Some public authorities around the world have removed restrictions by payment networks that prevent merchants from setting prices for goods and services
based on the payment instrument used.
We construct a model in the spirit of Diamond and Dybvig (1983) that analyzes the
pricing decision of banks in the provision of payment instruments to maximize profits in a
two-sided market. A market is said to be two-sided if two distinct sets of end-users are unable
to negotiate prices and the prices charged to each end-user affects the allocation of goods or
services (Armstrong, 2005 and Rochet and Tirole, 2006). Our model differs from the existing
literature in the following ways. For the most part, the recent payment card literature has
used a reduced form approach when considering the costs and benefits of payment cards.2 In
our model, consumers participate in non-cash payment networks to insure themselves from
three types of shocks– income, theft, and the type of merchant that they are matched to.
In other words, consumers benefit from consumption in states of the world that would not
be possible without payment cards. Consumers are willing to pay a fixed fee as long as
their expected utility when they participate in a card network is at least as great as their
expected utility if they only use cash. Furthermore, acceptance of payment cards may increase
merchant profits resulting from increased sales. Merchants trade off increased profits against
additional payment costs in the forms of merchant card fees. Ultimately, optimal bank fees
1

Bradford and Hayashi (2008) provide a summary of scrutiny of public authorities and courts in various
countries.
2
Chakravorti and Emmons (2003), Chakravorti and To (2007), and McAndrews and Wang (2006) are
notable exceptions.

1

are functions of the probability of getting mugged, the timing of consumer income flows,
merchant costs and pass-through, bank payment processing costs, and the level of aggregate
credit loss.
Our main results can be summarized as follows. We derive conditions when merchants
accept one, two, or three payment instruments based on their costs and their ability to pass
on payment processing costs to consumers. The bank fully extracts consumer surplus before
the bank levies merchant fees. Merchant inability to pass on payment cost increases bank
profit, since cost absorption by merchants leads to lower goods prices and higher consumer
revenues. Depending on card processing and default costs, banks may have an incentive to
simultaneously supply debit and credit cards. For relatively low credit card costs, the bank
would refrain from supplying debit cards and only offer credit card services. The bank’s profitmaximizing merchant fees are equal to or higher than the socially optimal fees for debit cards
and are always higher for credit cards. A social planner internalises the positive network
effects of increased merchant acceptance by setting lower merchant fees.
maximizing price structures may result in negative bank profit.

Some welfare-

In these cases, the social

planner always sets zero fixed fees for consumers to fully maximize additional consumption
and merchant sales in the economy. However, if bank profits are restricted to be zero, different
price structures emerge where both consumers and merchants pay positive fees. Finally, bank
profit is higher when merchants are restricted from setting instrument-contingent pricing.
In the next section, we briefly summarize the payment card literature. In section 3, we
describe the environment, agents, and payment technologies. We consider economies with
debit and credit cards in sections 4 and 5, respectively. We explore an economy where all
three instruments exist in section 6 and conclude in section 7.

2

Literature Review

Payment card networks consist of three types of players–consumers, merchants, and financial
institutions– that participate in a payment network. Consumers establish relationships with
financial institutions so that they can make payments that access funds from their accounts or
utilize credit facilities. They may be charged fixed fees in addition to finance charges if they
borrow for an extended period of time. For consumers to use payment cards, merchants must

2

accept them.

Merchants establish relationships with financial institutions to convert card

payments into bank deposits and are generally charged per-transaction fees. Generally, the
merchant’s bank, the acquirer, pays an interchange fee to the cardholder’s bank, the issuer.
The underlying payment fee structure is determined by the interrelated bilateral relationships
among the players, their bargaining power, and the ability of the network to maximize profits
for its members.
The payment card literature can be separated into four strands.3 The first strand focuses
on the interchange fee and whether the payment providers’ profit-maximizing fee is lower or
higher than the socially optimal interchange fee. The second strand focuses on the ability
of merchants to separate card and cash users by using instrument-contingent prices.

The

third strand considers the effect of platform competition on the structure of prices.

The

fourth strand considers the role of credit and its benefits to consumers and merchants. Some
research incorporates multiple strands but none to date has been able to include all four.
While most of the payment card literature started a decade or so ago, Baxter (1983) began the theoretical literature on payment cards. In his model, consumers are homogenous,
merchants are perfectly competitive, and issuers and acquirers operate in competitive markets. He found that the interchange fee balances the demands of consumers and merchants
and improves consumer and merchant welfare. Research that built upon Baxter relaxed
the assumptions of competitive markets for consumption goods and payment services and
introduced strategic interactions among consumers and merchants.

Schamalensee (2002)

considers an environment where issuers and acquirers have market power and finds that the
profit-maximizing interchange fee may be the same as the socially optimal one. Rochet and
Tirole introduce merchant competition and consumer heterogeneity and find that business
stealing may result in the profit-maximizing interchange fee being higher than the socially
optimal one.

Wright (2004) finds that introducing merchant heterogeneity results in the

profit-maximizing interchange fee being potentially above or below the socially optimally
one.
For the most part, these models ignore the ability of merchants to steer consumers by
imposing instrument-contingent pricing. Carlton and Frankel (1995) argue that if merchants
are able to set instrument-contingent pricing, the interchange fee would be neutral.
3

For a review of the literature, see Bolt and Chakravorti (2008).

3

The

interchange fee is said to be neutral if a change in the fee does not change the quantity
of consumer purchases and the level of merchant and bank profits.

Several authors have

formalized this result. Gans and King (2003) find that if payment separation is achieved,
the interchange fee is neutral.

Payment separation occurs in competitive markets where

merchants separate into cash and card stores or if monopolist merchants impose instrumentcontingent pricing. Schwartz and Vincent (2006) find that uniform prices harm cash users
and merchants, and may worsen overall consumer welfare. A key assumption in this strand
of the literature is that if there is pass-through of payment processing fees, merchants are
able to fully pass on their payment processing costs.
The payment card literature has also considered competition among payment networks.
Rochet and Tirole (2003) and Guthrie and Wright (2007) find that network competition does
not necessarily improve the structure of prices. Chakravorti and Rosen (2006) confirm this
result but also find cases where the reduction in the total price improves overall welfare even
when the resulting price structure is welfare dominated by the price structure when only one
network exists.
The models discussed so far did not consider an increase in total consumption resulting from payment card adoption.

Chakravorti and Emmons (2003) and Chakravorti and

To (2007) focus on a key aspect of certain types of payment cards–the extension of credit.4
They construct models where aggregate consumption increases because credit cards enable
consumers without funds to purchase goods benefitting both consumers and merchants.
Chakravorti and Emmons find that illiquid consumers are willing to finance the payment
card network. They also find that payment separation improves welfare by eliminating subsidies to convenience users–those that do not need credit to make purchases. Chakravorti and
To demonstrate that merchants are willing to bear the cost of higher credit risk if their sales
increase. However, these models do not endogenously solve for the optimal price structure
between the two types of end-users.
In this article, we combine elements of all four strands of the literature by stressing price
structure in an environment where two types of payment cards may improve consumer and
merchant welfare. Specifically, debit cards offer consumers protection against theft. While
4

While the most common form of payment cards that extend credit are credit cards, debit card issuers in
some countries allow their customers to access overdraft facilities. Generally, when debit card users access
overdraft facilities, they bear almost all of the cost of the credit extension.

4

credit cards offer theft protection, they also insure against income shocks unlike debit cards.
We study the ability of merchants to steer consumers by imposing instrument-contingent
pricing to achieve an equilibrium where they can separate consumers into those that have
funds from those that do not.

3

A Model of Payment Cards

3.1

Environment and Agents

There are three types of agents– consumers, merchants, and a monopolist bank. In our
model, we have combined the issuer and acquirer into one entity so as to abstract from the
interchange fee decision between issuers and acquirers.5 All agents are risk neutral.6

A

continuum of ex ante identical consumers reside on a line segment from 0 to 1. A continuum
of monopolist merchants reside on a line segment from 0 to 1 differentiated by the type of
good and the cost that they face to serve each customer.
Consumers are subject to three shocks. First, consumers either receive income, I, in
the morning with probability, φ1 , or at night with probability, φ2 , or no income at all with
probability, 1 − φ1 − φ2 , where φ1 + φ2 ≤ 1. These probabilities are given exogenously.
Second, before leaving home, each consumer is randomly matched to a merchant selling a
unique good. Third, a cash-carrying consumer may also be mugged in transit to the merchant
with probability 1 − ρ resulting in complete loss of income (and consumption).7
Consumers maximize expected utility. For computational ease, we make the following
assumptions about consumers. First, we assume a linear utility function u(x) = x. Second,
consumers only have positive utility when consuming goods sold by the merchant they are
matched to. Third, each consumer spends all her income during the day because she receives
no utility from unused income after that.
Merchant heterogeneity is based on the type of good that they sell and their cost. Each
merchant faces a unique exogenously given cost, γi . Merchant costs are uniformly distributed
5
A four-party network is mathematically equivalent to a three-party network when issuing or acquiring is
perfectly competitive. In that case, the optimal interchange fee is directly derived from the optimal consumer
and merchant fee (e.g. Bolt, 2006).
6
Our qualitative results would not change if consumers and merchants were risk averse. In fact, consumers
and merchants would be willing to pay more to participate in payment card networks.
7
He, Huang, and Wright (2005) construct a search model of money and banking that endogenizes the
probability of theft.

5

on a line segment from 0 to 1.8 Although merchants face different costs, each merchant sells
its good at pm . For convenience, this price is set to 1. We make this assumption to capture
merchant pricing power heterogeneity in the economy in a tractable model.

In other words,

this assumption reflects that different merchants have different mark-ups across the economy.
The per customer (expected) profit of merchant i when accepting cash, Πim , is:
Πim = φ1 ρ(1 − γi )I.
In a cash-only economy, consumers cannot consume if they are mugged on the way to
the merchant or if their income arrives at night.9 In figure 1, the probability tree for the
cash economy is diagrammed. As a benchmark, in a cash-only environment, the expected
consumption of a consumer is:
ūC
m = E[u(I)] = φ1 ρI,
and the average merchant profit is:

i
Π̄M
m = E[Πm ] =

φ1 ρI
.
2

The bank makes no profit in a cash-only economy, Π̄B
m = 0.
Expected total welfare is derived by summing up expected consumer utility, expected
merchant profits and expected bank profits. Specifically, in a cash-only environment, total
welfare is given by:
M
B
Wm = ūC
m + Π̄m + Π̄m =

3.2

3φ1 ρI
.
2

Alternative Payment Technologies

The monopolist bank provides two types of payment instruments– debit cards and credit
cards.10 Debit cards offer consumers protection from theft and credit cards offer protection
against theft and income shocks. The supply of debit and credit card services by the bank
8

We would expect our results to be robust to different distributions of merchant costs.
We do not model the role of a central bank in providing fiat money and the implications on price level.
An alternative interpretation of cash in our model is to assume that consumers receive income in the form of
a good that merchants consume.
10
On average, the bank is endowed φ2 I per consumer to lend to consumers during the day.
9

6

Figure 1: Probability tree for cash
jjTTTTTT
φ1jjjjjjj
TT1T−
1
TTφ
TTTT
jj
j
j
j
TTT
jjjj
Income
No
Income
uII
ρ uuuu IIII1 − ρ
II
uu
II
uu
I
uu
Buy
No Buy
No Buy

increases the additional states of the world where consumption occurs. For convenience, we
assume that the bank charges non-negative payment fees to consumers and merchants.11
Consumers that choose to participate in a debit or credit card network sign fully enforceable contracts where their incomes are directly deposited into their bank accounts when
realized. The bank provides access to cash at no charge, but charges consumers membership
fees to use debit cards, Fdc ≥ 0, and credit cards, Fcc ≥ 0, that are deducted from their
payroll deposits upon arrival.12 We denote FT as the total fixed fee charged to consumers
for participation in both networks. The bank sets merchant per-transaction fees, fdc ≥ 0 and
fcc ≥ 0, for debit and credit card transactions, respectively.13 In reality, different merchants
face different fees for payment services.

For convenience, we only consider one fee for all

merchants.14
To maintain tractability and still capture some key characteristics of payments cards, we
make the following assumptions about merchant pricing. First, for time consistency reasons,
merchants cannot charge higher prices than those they posted when consumers made their
decision to join one or more payment networks. Second, we assume that all merchants will
post the same price for their goods given the payment instrument used to make the purchase.
11

Our model is able to consider negative fees in a straightforward way. However, allowing negative fees
makes the analysis more complex without gaining additional insight. Note, that negative merchant fees do
not increase merchant acceptance any further, so that bank profits will only decrease for larger negative fees.
Therefore, allowing negative fees will not affect optimal pricing. Only when the pass-through parameter gets
very close or equal to zero, the optimal pricing characterization changes.
12
Clearly, the bank can use a strategy to price cash as well. We ignore this aspect primarily because of the
complexity of solving a model with six different prices for payment services. However, banks generally do not
charge for cash withdrawals from their own automated teller machines in advanced economies.
13
This fee structure captures what we observe in many countries. Generally, consumers do not pay pertransaction fees when using their payment cards, but merchants generally do pay the bulk of their payment
service fees on a per-transaction basis.
14
However, different merchant fees based on differences in costs would enable greater extraction of merchant
surplus while ensuring the largest network.

7

Merchants set pdc for goods purchased with a debit card and set pcc for goods purchased with
a credit card. Each merchant is unable to fully endogenize the cost of payment processing
in terms of the price for its good.

In reality, merchants would set prices based on the fee

it faces and the demand elasticity of its own customers. However, given our focus to derive
payment service fees in a tractable model, we introduce a merchant pricing rule that captures
the ability of merchants to pass on payment processing costs to consumers, albeit imperfectly.
Note that many merchants do not set instrument-contingent pricing but may set one uniform
price. We will consider such merchant pricing later in the paper.
In our model, we consider an exogenous parameter, λj , to capture a continuum of passthrough from none to complete.15 By separating market power from pass through, we are
able to consider industries where profit margins are slim but payment cards are accepted,
e.g. discount airlines that often impose credit card surcharges in jurisdictions where they are
allowed to do so. We consider the following pricing rule. Let us consider two polar cases– the
merchant is unable to pass any payment costs to consumers, pdc = pcc = pm = 1, or is able
to pass on all of its cost to consumers, pj = 1/(1 − fj ), j = dc, cc. The level of pass-through
is determined exogenously by λj ∈ [0, 1]. Thus, pj is given by:
pj (fj ) =

1
,
1 − fj (1 − λj )

j = dc, cc.

(1)

When λj = 1, merchants cannot pass on any payment processing costs in the form of higher
prices to consumers. When λj = 0, merchants are able to pass on all payment processing
costs to consumers.16

If there is complete pass-through of payment costs to merchants in

the form of higher prices, the balance of prices does not matter. We assume that merchants
are not able to increase their prices beyond the recovery of payment processing costs. For
reference, we list the exogenous and endogenous variables that appear in our model in table 1.
When participating in payment networks, consumers that received their income in the
morning have less disposable income to spend at merchants than in the cash-only economy.
Given our assumption of atomistic merchants and no collusion, merchants affect the level
of the consumer’s fixed fee. In other words, if all consumers participate in payment card
15
16

The parameter λj can also be interpreted as the bargaining power between consumers and merchants.
See Weyl (2008) for a discussion on the ability to pass through costs in a two-sided market.

8

Table 1: Variables in the Model
Exogenous variables:
I
Income for consumer
φ1
Probability of receiving income before shopping
φ2
Probability of receiving income after shopping
ρ
Probability of not getting robbed when carrying cash
γi
Merchant-specific cost
pm Price for good if paying by cash
λdc Proportion of debit card merchant fee absorbed by merchants
λcc Proportion of credit card merchant fee absorbed by merchants
cdc Bank’s per-transaction cost to process debit card transaction
ccc Bank’s per-transaction cost to process debit card transaction
Endogenous variables:
α
Proportion of merchants accepting debit cards
β
Proportion of merchants accepting credit cards
pdc Price of good if paying with debit card
pcc Price of good if paying with credit card
Fdc Fixed consumer fee for debit card
Fcd Fixed consumer fee for credit card
fdc Per-transaction merchant fee for debit card
fcc Per-transaction merchant fee for credit card
networks, aggregate consumer disposable income has also decreased and cash-only merchants
would receive less revenue as well. However, there is a tradeoff between a lower level of
disposable income and the probability of no sale if the consumer is mugged or does not have
funds.
The timing of events is depicted in figure 2.

In the early morning, the bank posts its

prices for payment services, merchants announce their acceptance of payment products and
their prices, and consumers choose which payment networks to participate in. Next, some
consumers realize their income and are matched with a specific merchant. Consumers decide
which payment instrument to use before leaving home based on the merchant acceptance
and their prices. During the day, consumers go shopping. At night, consumers that did not
receive income in the morning may receive income and pay back their credit card obligations.
The bank faces losses from credit card consumers that never receive income.

9

Figure 2: Timing of events

matched to
merchant
6
“early”
income
arrives
6
s

chooses
payment
instrument
and shops
6

arrives at
shop, and
makes
purchase
6

payback of
credit card
obligations
6
“late”
income
arrives
6

DAY

NIGHT

?
- Bank sets fees
- Merchants choose to
accept and set prices
- Consumers choose
networks

4

s

?
- Bank incurs credit losses
and realizes total profits

Cash and Debit Cards

In this section, we will limit our analysis to an economy with cash and debit cards. When
compared to cash, debit cards are more secure for consumers to carry than cash because cashcarrying consumers have some probability of being mugged. We endogenously determine the
proportion of merchants that accepts debit cards and denote it as α. Because debit cards
may not be accepted by all merchants, consumers must use cash for some purchases. In
figure 3, we diagram additional states of nature when consumption occurs when debit cards
exist. Consumers can consume in an additional α(1 − ρ) states of nature.
Consumers are willing to participate in a debit card network if the fixed fee, Fdc , is less
than or equal to the expected utility from additional consumption.

In other words, the

following inequality must be satisfied:
¶
µ
α
(I − Fdc ).
ρφ1 I ≤ φ1 (1 − α)ρ +
pdc
max , that consumers are willing to pay
This inequality yields the maximum debit card fee, Fdc

as a function of exogenous parameters, ρ, φ1 , and I, and endogenous parameters, α and
pdc . Given that consumers must commit to the membership fee before being matched to a
merchant, all consumers purchasing from stores that accept debit cards will always use their

10

Figure 3: Probability tree for debit cards
jjTTTTTT
φ1jjjjjjj
TT1T−
1
TTφ
TTTT
jj
j
j
j
TTT
jjjj
Income
No
Income
I
uu IIII1 − α
u
u
αuu
II
II
u
II
uu
u
u
Debit
CashIonly
uI
ρ uuuu IIII1 − ρ
II
u
u
II
uu
I
uu
Buy
Buy
No Buy
No Buy

debit cards and leave home without cash, because they face a positive probability of being
mugged when carrying cash.
Merchants must make at least as much profit from accepting debit cards than only accepting cash. The merchant i’s (expected) profit from accepting debit cards, Πidc , is:
Πidc

µ
¶
γi
= φ1 (1 − fdc ) −
(I − Fdc ).
pdc

Note that by accepting debit cards merchants attract additional sales because of safe transit
of consumers. Moreover, merchants can increase their goods price from pm to pdc to offset
their cost.
Merchants accept debit cards only when Πim ≤ Πidc .17 This inequality yields a threshold
cost γdc , below which merchants accept debit cards for payment. Note that cash-only merchants are strictly worse off because consumers that arrive at their stores have less disposible
income. Having substituted debit card pricing rule (1) in γdc , the proportion of merchants
willing to accept debit cards is:

α(fdc ) = P r[γi ≤ γdc ] = γdc =

1 − fdc − ρ
.
1 − fdc (1 − λdc ) − ρ

(2)

As the degree of pass-through increases, more and more merchants are able to accept debit
cards. We observe that α(fdc , ρ, λdc ) ∈ [0, 1] if and only if fdc ∈ [0, 1 − ρ] and λdc > 0. Note
that if merchants are able to fully pass on costs to consumers (λdc = 0), all merchants will
17

Our model does not capture business stealing incentives as a driver for card acceptance. See Rochet and
Tirole (2003) and Wirght (2004).

11

accept debit cards (α = 1), regardless of the fee.
max , is:18
Lemma 1 The maximum debit card fixed fee, Fdc

max
Fdc
(fdc )

µ
= 1−

ρ
1 − fdc

¶
I.

(3)

max , that consumers are willing to pay
Equation (3) expresses the highest fixed fee, Fdc

given the probability of not getting mugged, ρ, and the merchant fee, fdc . The probability
of getting mugged must be greater than or equal to the merchant fee.

Furthermore, the

consumer fee internalizes the network effect that consumers are willing to pay higher fees
when more merchants accept the card. However, this effect is dampened by a potential
decrease in purchasing power depending on the degree to which merchants increase their
price for debit card purchases. Merchant acceptance of debit cards is higher when fdc is
lower except when there is full pass-through. However, with full pass-through, consumers
pay all of the merchants processing costs and must be compensated with a lower fixed fee.
Now, we solve the bank’s profit maximization problem for the consumer and merchant
fees. The bank maximizes its expected per-consumer profit:
ΠB
dc (Fdc , fdc , α) = φ1 (α(fdc − cdc )(I − Fdc )) + (φ1 + φ2 )Fdc .

(4)

Note that the bank only makes money when debit cards are accepted and used, i.e. α > 0.
A fraction (1 − φ1 − φ2 ) of fixed fee revenue is lost, because some consumers never receive
income. Thus, the bank is able to capture fees from consumers receiving income at night
max (f ) and α(f ) in
even though these consumers are unable to consume. Substituting Fdc
dc
dc

(4), the bank’s profit function for given values of fd ≥ 0 becomes:

ΠB
dc (fd ) =

 ³
´

 (1−fdc −ρ)((1−(1+cdc )ρ−fdc (1−λdc −ρ))φ1 +(1−fdc (1−λdc )−ρ)φ2 ) I, fdc ∈ [0, 1 − ρ],
(1−fdc )(1−fdc (1−λdc )−ρ)



0,

fdc > 1 − ρ.
(5)

Notice that for merchant fees larger than the probability of getting mugged (1 − ρ), there
is no merchant acceptance (α = 0) resulting in consumers not willing to pay for debit cards
18

All proofs of lemmas and propositions are in the appendix.

12

max = 0. Hence, bank profits are zero for large merchant fees. For f
Fdc
dc ∈ [0, 1 − ρ], let us
∗ (c , ρ, φ , φ , λ ) as the merchant fee such that dΠB (f )/df = 0. The following
denote fdc
1 2 dc
dc
dc
dc dc

proposition characterizes the profit-maximizing fee.
∗ that maximizes ΠB (f ) is given by:
Proposition 1 The debit card merchant fee fdc
D dc

∗
fdc
=



 f ∗ (cdc , ρ, φ1 , φ2 , λdc )
dc

iff cdc ≤ cdc ≤ c̄dc ,


 0

iff 0 ≤ cdc < cdc ,

where
cdc =

(1 − ρ)φ2
(1 − ρ)(λdc (φ1 + φ2 ) + ρφ1 )
and c̄dc =
.
(λdc + ρ − 1)φ1
ρφ1

∗ , decreases and will
When the processing cost, cdc , decreases, the optimal merchant fee, fdc
∗ = 0 at c = c . At this point, merchant acceptance is complete.19
hit the zero boundary fdc
cd
dc
∗ results in a debit
Depending on the bank’s per-transaction processing cost, the optimal fee fdc
∗ ), and an optimal merchant acceptance, α∗ (f ∗ ). In turn, the consumer’s
card price, p∗dc (fdc
dc
max (f ∗ ).
fixed debit card fee follows from Fdc
dc

Our model identifies three ranges of fees. When the cost of providing payment services is
sufficiently low, consumers pay all of the payment processing costs (i.e. a corner solution). As
the bank cost rises and consumers are unable to bear the full cost, merchants pay a positive
fee (i.e. an interior solution). However, if the bank cost is too high, neither consumers nor
merchants are willing to pay for debit cards.
Our result is in contrast to earlier models that focused on interchange fees and ignored
fixed fees. However, we feel that our result has empirical support. For example, in 2007 in the
Netherlands, 25 million debit cards were issued carrying an annual fixed fee for consumers
around 7.50 euros, accounting for 180 million euros revenue for debit card issuers.

On

the other hand, given 1.8 billion debit card transactions in 2007 and a merchant fee of
about 5 euro cents per transaction, revenues amounted to 90 million euros for debit card
acquirers. In other words, consumers pay twice as much in aggregate debit card fees than
merchants. Furthermore, often, debit card fees are bundled into the total price of services
19

Lowering merchant fees even further would not increase merchant acceptance, but would reduce bank
profits. Hence, zero merchant fees would still yield maximum bank profits, even when negative fees (“rebates”)
were allowed.

13

tied to transactions accounts that might include implicit fees such as forgone interest. While
inexact, one proxy for deciphering a market-based debit card fee would be to look at the fees
imposed on bank-issued prepaid cards that have similar characteristics to debit cards. These
fees can range from 5% to 15% of the value of the card while the merchant interchange fee is
usually below 1% and often a minimal fixed fee.

4.1

Debit Card Equilibria

∗ = 0 for low bank costs,
Figure 4 shows the two different cases. The left panel shows that fdc

which then induces full merchant acceptance α∗ (0) = 1, a debit card goods price p∗dc (0) = 1,
max (0) = (1 − ρ)I. For a higher bank cost, the optimal debit
and a fixed debit card fee of Fdc

card fee is an interior solution inducing incomplete merchant acceptance α∗ < 1 and p∗dc > 1.
Note that when no income arrives at night (i.e. φ2 = 0), increasing the net cost of providing
debit cards results in the optimal merchant debit card fee being always larger than zero,
∗ > 0, for strictly positive processing costs c > 0.
fdc
dc

First, let us consider when λdc > 0. In equilibrium, parameter values determine the
proportion of what the bank charges merchants and consumers. The maximum fdc is bounded
from above by 1 − ρ. Consumers’ willingness to pay increases as more merchants accept
cards. Given the two-sided nature of our model, the network effect results in asymmetric
price structure in the sense that the bank extracts surplus first from consumers and then
from merchants.
The ability of merchants to pass on costs to consumers affects bank profits.
Proposition 2 As the ability of merchants to pass on costs to consumers decreases, the
bank’s maximum profits increase. That is,
∗
ΠB
dc (fdc )
> 0.
dλdc

As λdc approaches 1, the bank is able to set a higher Fdc because of an increase in
the consumer’s purchasing power from a lower pdc . However, α decreases even though fdc
decreases resulting from the merchant’s absorption of fdc rising faster than the reduction in
fdc .
Now, let us consider the special case of full pass-through, λdc = 0. Given our pricing
14

Figure 4: Bank debit card profits
300

300

200

200

100

100

0.005

-0.020 -0.015 -0.010 -0.005

0.010

0.015

0.005

-0.020 -0.015 -0.010 -0.005

-100

0.010

0.015

-100

∗
∗
Note: In left panel, cdc = 0 and fdc
= 0; in right panel, 0 < cdc ≤ c̄dc and fdc
∈ (0, 1 − ρ]. Other
parameter values: ρ = 0.99, φ1 = 0.98, φ2 = 0, λdc = 0.5, and I = 30000. These values yield: cdc = 0
and c̄dc = 0.015.

rule (1), full pass-through induces α = 1. In other words, the bank is unable to extract any
surplus from merchants.

Consumers bear the full cost of the debit card network. When

λdc = 0 resulting in pdc = 1/(1 − fdc ), the bank’s optimal merchant fee is zero.20 For λdc close
to zero, however, and for small enough processing cost, the bank’s optimal fee is zero. As
pass-through increases, consumers need to be compensated with lower fixed fees because their
purchasing power falls. To achieve that, the bank sets the merchant fee as low as possible,
thus lowering goods prices while generating a strong network effect, so that consumers are
max = (1 − ρ)I.
willing to join the debit card network by paying Fdc

At first glance, one might conclude that bank profits are independent of the price structure. However, this is not the case. The bank faces a real resource cost only when transactions
are processed and this cost is based on the transaction size. As Fdc increases, consumers are
left with less disposable income but higher purchasing power resulting in a lower transaction
cost while maintaining their cash-only consumption level.

4.2

Debit Card Welfare

In this section, we compare the social planner’s welfare maximizing consumer and merchant
fees to the bank profit-maximizing fees. We define total welfare as the sum of expected utility,
20

With λdc = 0, the bank would want to set a merchant fee below 0, and the price structure would not
matter anymore. In other words, the price structure is neutral.

15

or profits, of the three types of agents, the consumer, the merchant, and the bank or:
M
B
Wdc (Fdc , fdc , α, pdc ) = ūC
dc + Π̄dc + Π̄dc .

If debit cards are introduced, expected total welfare may increase. Consumers expected
utility is given by:

µ
¶
α
ūC
=
φ
(1
−
α)ρ
+
(I − Fdc ).
1
dc
pdc

Average merchant profits are given by:
Π̄M
dc =

¶
¶
µ
µ
α
(1 − α)
φ1 α 1 − fdc −
+ φ1 ρ(1 − α)
(I − Fdc ).
2pdc
2

The expected bank’s profit is:
Π̄B
dc = φ1 α(fdc − cdc )(I − Fdc ) + (φ1 + φ2 )Fdc .
If the social planner is able to only set bank fees, it should maximize total welfare Wdc
under the merchant’s participation constraint:21

α(fdc ) = γdc =

1 − fdc − ρ
.
1 − fdc (1 − λdc ) − ρ

That is, substituting the pricing rule pdc (fdc ), the social planner maximzes:
max

fdc ,Fdc

Wdc (Fdc , fdc , α(fdc ), pdc (fdc )).

Let us denote fdSW (cdc , ρ, λdc ) = 0 the fee such that ∂Wdc /∂fdc = 0.
Proposition 3 Social welfare Wdc (Fdc , fdc ) in a debit card system is characterized by:

SW
Fdc
= 0,

SW
fdc
=



 f SW (cdc , ρ, λdc )
d



0

21

sw
if csw
dc ≤ cdc ≤ cdc

if cdc < csw
dc

,

If a social planner wants to achieve a first best solution, it should allocate payment terminals to merchants,
depending on their cost type in addition to imposing the fee structure. However, such a strategy would require
the planner to know the merchants’ costs functions. Given the difficulty in implementing such a plan, we
only consider the second best strategy.

16

where
csw
dc =

(1 − ρ)(1 + λdc )
and csw
dc = (1 − ρ)(1 + λdc ).
2λdc

Note that Fdc = 0 in a social optimum to ensure that all income is used to generate profits
for merchants and consumption for consumers. The socially optimal consumer fee is far away
from the bank profit-maximizing consumer fee. The zero fee for consumers prevents leakage.
In other words, consumer income spent on fees does not generate additional consumption for
consumers and additional sales for merchants. However, our model does not capture social
benefits of positive bank profit in the long run. For example, if the bank uses these profits
to improve the system, social welfare in may increase in the future offsetting any reduction
in the current period. Such analysis is beyond the scope of this article. We encourage future
research to explore this issue.
In terms of merchant pricing, we observe that the characterization of (second-best) social
welfare is similar to profit maximization. For low enough processing costs, merchant fees
SW ) = 1. When costs
are set to zero and merchant acceptance is complete, αSW = α(fdc

become larger, merchants start to support the debit card network and acceptance decreases,
αSW < 1.

For extremely high bank costs, merchant fees become too high to sustain any

card acceptance, αSW = 0, and only cash is used.
Proposition 4 Socially optimal debit card merchant fees are equal to or lower than profit
maximizing merchant fees for sufficiently small processing costs. That is,
i)

SW = f ∗ = 0
fdc
dc

ii)

SW
fdc

=0<

∗
fdc

if cdc ≤ cdc ,
if cdc < cdc ≤

(1−ρ)(1+λdc )
.
2λdc

.

Socially optimal consumer fixed fees are always set to zero, and thus lower than profit maxiSW = 0 < F̄ ∗ .
mizing consumer fixed fees. That is, Fdc
dc

The following table illustrates our results. We observe that for high processing costs the
cash-only economy dominates the debit card economy when the bank maximizes its profits.
17

Table 2: Welfare comparison of debit card outcomes

Cash

low cost: cdc = 0.005
(best)
Social
Zero Profit
Opt
Profit
Max
0.000
0.001 0.003
0.000
0.003 0.007
1.000
0.906 0.795
1.000
1.000 1.001

high cost: cdc = 0.015
(best)
Social
Zero Profit
Opt
Profit
Max
0.005
0.010 0.008
0.000
0.000 0.002
0.536
0.007 0.211
1.001
1.002 1.002

fdc
Fdc
α
pdc

-

ūC
dc
Π̄M
dc
Π̄B
dc

(0.970)
(0.485)
(0.000)

0.980
0.490
-0.005

0.975
0.487
0.000

0.970
0.484
0.005

0.975
0.486
-0.005

0.970
0.485
0.000

0.970
0.484
0.000

Wdc

(1.455)

1.465

1.463

1.460

1.456

1.455

1.454

Note: Parameter values set to ρ = 0.99, φ1 = 0.98, φ2 = 0, λdc = 0.75, and I = 1.

We also observe that socially optimal pricing leads to negative profits for the bank. This is a
straightforward finding for a market with (two-sided) network effects (see Hermalin and Katz,
2004, and Bolt and Tieman, 2008). Under “Ramsey” pricing, where the bank just breaks even,
different socially optimal price structures may arise. Obviously, a fixed consumer fee of zero
and a merchant per-transaction fee equal to processing costs (i.e. Fdc = 0, fdc = cdc ) is one
max
option to guarantee zero profits. Another option is to set the fixed fee to its maximum Fdc

and to solve for the corresponding merchant fee that yields zero profits. In welfare terms,
these different (Fdc , fdc ) combinations with zero profits trigger a tradeoff between merchant
acceptance and the level of the fixed fee. A lower fixed fee gives more expected consumer
utility, but induces also a higher merchant fee with lower acceptance, decreasing expected
merchant’s benefits. This tradeoff is influenced by the real resource cost of processing cards
as is shown in Table 2. With low processing cost, social optimal price structure pushes for
high acceptance, requiring a relatively high fixed fee in a balanced budget situation (see zeroprofit column in Table 2 with low cost). For high processing cost, more weight is given to a
low fixed fee and acceptance is kept minimal as to avoid the real resource cost of processing
(see zero-profit column in Table 2 with high cost).

18

Figure 5: Probability tree for credit cards
jjTTTTTT
φ1jjjjjjj
TT1T−
1
TTφ
TTTT
jj
j
j
j
TTT
jjjj
Income
No
Income
uII
uII
1 − β uuuu IIIIβ
β uuuu IIII1 − β
II
II
uu
uu
II
II
uu
uu
I
I
uu
uu
Credit
Credit
Cash
CashIonly
uI
ρ uuuu IIII1 − ρ
II
u
u
II
uu
I
uu
Buy
No Buy
Buy
Buy
No Buy

5

Cash and Credit Cards

In addition to being as secure as debit cards, credit cards allow consumption when consumers
have not received income before they go shopping if merchants accept them.

Merchants

benefit from making sales to those without funds. An endogenously-determined proportion
of β merchants accepts credit cards. Figure 5 shows the probability tree corresponding to an
economy with credit card consumption. Consumers are able to consume in β(1−ρ)+β(1−φ1 )
additional states of nature when participating in a credit card network than when only making
cash purchases.
Consumers are willing to hold a credit card if their expected consumption from participating in a credit card network is greater than not participating. Their credit card participation
constraint is:

¶
µ
β
ρφ1 I ≤ φ1 (1 − β)ρ +
(I − Fcc )
pcc

max that consumers are willing
Solving (as an equality) yields the maximum credit card fee Fcc

to pay.
The merchant’s (expected) profit from accepting credit cards, Πicc , is:
Πicc

µ
¶
γi
= (1 − fcc ) −
(I − Fcc ).
pcc

Merchants must make at least as much profit from accepting credit cards as accepting only
cash.22
22

Furthermore, as in the debit card case, all consumers purchasing from stores that

As in the debit card case, consumers have less disposable income to spend at merchants than in the

19

accept credit cards will always use their credit cards to reduce their probability of being
mugged.

These conditions imply a threshold value of merchant cost, γcc , below which

merchants will accept credit cards. This threshold value γcc determines merchant’s acceptance
of credit cards. Substituting the pricing rule, pcc (fcc ), yields:
β(fcc ) = P r[γi ≤ γcc ] = γcc =

1 − fcc − ρφ1
.
1 − fcc (1 − λcc ) − ρφ1

(6)

We observe that β(fcc ) ∈ [0, 1] if and only if fcc ∈ [0, 1 − ρφ1 ] and λcc > 0. With full
pass-through, λcc = 0, merchant acceptance is complete, β(fcc ) = 1 for all fcc .
max , is:
Lemma 2 The maximum credit card fixed fee, Fcc

max
Fcc
(fcc )

µ
= 1−

ρφ1
1 − fcc

¶
I.

(7)

max (f ) = 0 when f
Note that Fcc
cc
cc = 1 − ρφ1 . Furthermore, a consumer is willing to

pay more for a credit card than a debit card, all else equal, because credit cards offer more
benefits, namely consumption in no income states when matched with a credit card accepting
merchant.
The bank maximizes its profits:
ΠB
cc (Fcc , fcc , β) = β(fcc − ccc )(I − Fcc ) + (φ1 + φ2 )Fcc − β(1 − φ1 − φ2 )(I − Fcc ).

(8)

When issuing credit cards, the bank faces a certain aggregate loss from consumers that never
receive income. Note if income always arrives, i.e. φ2 = 1 − φ1 , there is no credit loss.
max (f ) into bank profit function (8), yields:
Substituting β = β(fcc ) and Fcc = Fcc
cc

ΠB
cc (fcc ) =

 ³
´

 (1−fcc −ρφ1 )((1−(1+ccc )ρ−fcc (1−λcc −ρ))φ1 +(1−fcc (1−λcc ))φ2 ) I, fcc ∈ [0, 1 − ρφ1 ],
(1−fcc )(1−fcc (1−λcc )−ρφ1 )



0,

fcc > 1 − ρφ1 .
(9)

Similar to debit cards, observe that the function ΠB
cc (fcc ) is continuous in fcc ≥ 0, and that
cash-only economy. Given our assumption of atomistic merchants and no collusion, merchants are unable to
internalize the loss in disposable income from the consumer’s fixed fee in an economy with credit cards. If
merchants could do so, their participation threshold would occur at a lower fee. Note that the social planner
is able to internalize this effect.

20

∗ , lies between 0 and 1 − ρφ for sufficiently small
the profit maximizing credit card fee, fcc
1
∗ (c , ρ, φ , φ , λ ), that satisfies dΠB /df = 0. The
processing costs. Denote this fee by fcc
cc
1 2 cc
cc
cc

following proposition characterizes the profit-maximizing credit card fee.
∗ that maximizes ΠB (f ) is given by:
Proposition 5 The credit card fee fcc
cc cc

∗
fcc
=



 f ∗ (ccc , ρ, φ1 , φ2 , λcc )
cc

iff ccc ≤ ccc ≤ c̄cc ,


 0

iff 0 ≤ ccc < ccc ,

where

ccc =

−λcc (1 − φ1 − φ2 )
(1 − ρ)λcc (φ1 + φ2 ) + ρφ1 ((1 − ρ)φ1 + φ2 )
.
and c̄cc =
λcc + ρφ1 − 1
ρφ1

Unlike the debit card case, the bank has two types of costs– per-transaction cost to
operate the system and credit losses from consumers who make credit card purchases but do
not receive income in the night. Once the bank has fully extracted surplus from consumers,
it attempts to capture surplus from merchants to fund the loss if possible to do so. Notice
that if the probability of safely reaching the store with income is sufficiently high, the bank
∗ > 0 for all c
will always capture some surplus from the merchants, that is, fcc
cc ≥ 0, if

ρφ1 > 1 − λcc .

5.1

Credit Card Equilibria

M ), consumer
Three sources contribute to credit card bank profits: merchant revenue (Rcc
C ), and total costs (C T ) which is the sum of total processing costs and default
revenue (Rcc
cc

losses. The bank’s profit function can be described as:
C
M
T
ΠB
cc = Rcc + Rcc + Ccc ,

21

Figure 6: Bank credit card profits and default probability
aL j2 =0: Hmaximum default lossL

bL j2 =1-j1 : Hzero default lossL

PB
1000

PB
1000
RC

RC
500

500
RM

0.005

0.010

PCB
RM

0.015

0.020

0.025

0.030

fc

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.020

0.025

0.030

fc

PCB
CT
-500

-500

-1000

-1000

CT

Note: Given parameter values ρ = 0.99, φ1 = 0.98, ccc = 0.015, λcc = 0.5, and I = 30000, in panel a)
∗
∗
= 0.007 for φ2 = 0.02. The cut off value that
we calculate fcc
= 0.021 for φ2 = 0, and in panel b) fcc
∗
yields fcc = ccc is φ̄2 = 0.008.

where
M
max
Rcc
= β(fcc )(I − Fcc
),
C
max
Rcc
= (φ1 + φ2 )Fcc
,
T
max
Ccc
= −β(ccc + (1 − φ1 − φ2 ))(I − Fcc
).

Figure 6 shows the bank profit and its components for the two polar cases: φ2 = 0 and
φ2 = 1 − φ1 .

Given a sufficiently large ccc , merchant share of payment costs increases as

credit risk goes up. As a result, we conclude that merchants pay a greater share of the
total price when default losses can no longer be extracted from consumers. In other words,
as additional benefits to merchants increase and the ability of consumers to pay decreases,
merchants carry a larger share of the cost.
∗ = c for
Proposition 6 For sufficiently large ccc , there exists φ̄2 ∈ [0, 1 − φ1 ] such that fcc
cc

φ2 = φ̄2 .
Regarding comparative statics, if φ2 < φ̄2 then lowering fees to the cost level, fcc = ccc ,
increases merchant acceptance and reduces goods prices pcc . This allows a higher fixed credit
card fee for consumers. But the bank loses on the merchant side by lowering merchant fees,
and suffers more default losses as credit card acceptance gets more widespread. These latter
22

effects dominate resulting in lower bank profit. The reverse case, when φ2 > φ̄2 , raising fees
to fcc = ccc induces lower merchant acceptance and higher goods prices. This leads to lower
fixed fees, but also to lower default losses. On net, the bank’s profit decreases.
Similar to the debit card case, when λcc = 1 (pcc = pm = 1) bank profit is higher. The
inability of merchants to pass any processing costs to consumers results in lower merchant
acceptance and lower goods prices. This induces higher fixed fees and lower default losses,
yielding higher bank profits. In other words, the bank extracts rents from both consumers
and merchants. Full pass-through, on the other hand, with λcc = 0 and pcc = 1/(1 − fcc )
∗ = 0 (where non-negativity binds). As in the debit
corresponds to a corner solution with fcc

card case, this perverse effect results from the bank transferring rents from the consumer to
the merchant so that transaction dollar volume decreases.

5.2

Credit Card Welfare

Credit cards may improve on debit cards because they allow consumption when income has
not arrived yet. Total welfare for credit can be written as:
M
B
Wcc (Fcc , fcc , β, pcc ) = ūC
cc + Π̄cc + Π̄cc .

But they are costly in terms of real processing cost and default loss. A social planner must
trade off increased benefits against increased costs of all parties involved. Consumers expected
utility is given by:
ūC
cc

¶
µ
β
= φ1 ρ(1 − β) +
(I − Fcc ).
pcc

Total average merchant profits are given by:
Π̄M
dc

µ µ
¶
¶
β
(1 − β)
= β 1 − fcc −
+ φ1 ρ(1 − β)
(I − Fcc ).
2pcc
2

Expected bank profit is given by:
Π̄B
cc = β(fcc − ccc )(I − Fcc ) + (φ1 + φ2 )Fcc − β(1 − φ1 − φ2 )(I − Fcc ).
Since credit cards increase consumption possibilities, social welfare is higher than in the

23

Table 3: Welfare comparison of credit card outcomes

Cash

low cost: ccc = 0.005

high cost: ccc = 0.015

Profit
Max
0.013
0.017
0.626
1.003

Social
Opt
0.000
0.000
0.991
1.000

Profit
Max
0.019
0.011
0.434
1.005

fcc
Fcc
β
pc

-

Social
Opt
0.000
0.000
1.000
1.000

ūC
dc
Π̄M
dc
Π̄B
dc

(0.970)
(0.485)
(0.000)

1.000
0.500
-0.025

0.970
0.482
0.009

1.000
0.500
-0.035

0.970
0.482
0.004

Wcc

(1.455)

1.475

1.461

1.465

1.456

Note: Parameter values set to ρ = 0.99, φ1 = 0.98, φ2 = 0, λcc = 0.75, and I = 1.

debit card case (all else being equal), which can be seen from the next table. Observe that
for φ1 = 1 and φ2 = 0 (and λcc = λdd ) the above mentioned proposition is the same as in the
debit card case. In our model, all else being equal, without income uncertainty (and default
loss) credit cards completely reduce to debit cards. Similar to the social optimal debit card
fees, the planner sets consumer fees to zero and extracts from merchants for high processing
costs.23 That is:
Proposition 7 With credit cards, socially optimal merchant fees are lower than profit maximizing merchant fees for sufficiently small processing costs. That is, if φ1 ρ > 1 − λcc then:

SW = 0 < f ∗
fcc
cc

for 0 < ccc ≤ csw
cc .

Socially optimal consumer fixed fees are always set to zero, and thus lower than profit maxiSW = 0 < F max .
mizing fixed fees. That is, Fcc
cc

Table 3 illustrate these findings. The extra functionality of credit cards, insurance against
negative income shocks, becomes obsolete if all consumers receive income in the morning.
However, when φ1 < 1, credit cards become useful for consumers and merchants, and banks
23

Similar to the debit card case, the planner could implement a first best solution by setting fees and
allocating acceptance terminals. However, as described above this is difficult to implement.

24

may make a profit supplying credit cards. Possible cost differentials (ccc vs. cdc ) and/or cost
absorption differentials (λcc vs. λdc ) will determine whether banks prefer to supply credit
cards or debit cards.
Figure 7 compares credit card and debit card profits when φ1 < 1 and φ2 = 0. In panel
(a) all other parameters are equal, and naturally, maximum credit card profits are higher
than maximum debit card profits. When credit card cost increase relative to debit card cost,
credit card profits will go down, and for large enough cost differentials, banks would opt for
supplying debit cards. This is depicted in panel (b) where the cost differential is large enough
to yield the same level of bank profit, although credit card fees for the retailer are higher.
Welfare comparison shows that socially optimal debit card merchant fees coincide with profit
maximizing debit card merchant fees for small processing cost. This is generally not the case
with credit cards, which almost always generate higher profit maximizing fees.

6

Full Multihoming

In this section, we will consider the case when the bank provides both debit and credit cards
simultaneously.

Unlike the previous two cases, when cards always dominated cash, con-

sumers may not choose the same payment instrument in all income states when all payment
instruments are accepted. If consumers are multihoming, they consider the benefits of each
card before going to the store including any price differences based on the payment instrument used. By differentiating debit card and credit card purchase prices, merchants may be
able to steer some consumers to the low-cost payment instrument. However, when merchants
are unable to price differentiate and post one price, consumers do not face any price inducements in the store, and are assumed to opt for the instrument with the greatest functionality,
regardless of whether they have income or not.24

6.1

Instrument-Contingent Pricing

Let us now consider the case when consumers hold both debit and credit cards, and merchants
are able to price differentiate between cash, debit and credit cards. Note that all merchants
post the same prices based on the payment instrument used.
24

First, we analyze the case

In reality, consumers may be given rewards to use more costly payment instruments. We do not consider
these inducements.

25

Figure 7: Bank credit card and debit card profits
150

150
PCB

100

100
PCB

PBD
50

50

PBD

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.020

0.025

-50

0.030

f, PB

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.020

0.025

0.030

f, PB

-50

Note: Parameter values set equal to ρ = 0.99, φ1 = 0.98, φ2 = 0, λcc = λdc = 0.5, and I = 30000. In
panel a) we set cdc = ccc = 0.010, in panel b) ccc = 0.017 and cdc = 0.010.

when pdc < pcc . The different possibilities are shown in Figure 8, note that we assume that
the optimal merchant fee to accept debit cards is lower than the optimal merchant fee to
accept credit cards because of underlying exgenous parameters such as bank processing costs
and theft and the pass-through parameter of debit and credit cards being close to each other.
This results in credit acceptance being smaller than debit card acceptance (α ≥ β).25 The
following inequality must be satisfied for consumers already holding debit cards, to hold credit
cards:
φ1 [(1 − α)ρ(I − Fdc ) + α(I − Fdc )/pdc ] ≤
φ1 [(1 − α)ρ(I − Fdc − Fcc ) + α(I − Fdc − Fcc )/pdc ] +
(1 − φ1 )β(I − Fdc − Fcc )/pcc .
Because consumers pay a lower price when using their debit cards (pdc < pcc ), they will use
credit cards only when they have not yet received their income. The inequality yields the
max (F ) that consumers are willing to pay, given that they have
maximum credit card fee Fcc
dc

already joined the debit card network.
Consumers will multihome when each payment instrument yields benefits greater than
the cost to participate. The maximum total card fee FTmax under full multihoming is given by:

max
max
max
FTmax = Fdc
+ Fcc
(Fdc
)=

β(1 − φ1 )pdc + (pcc /pdc )φ1 α(1 − pdc ρ)
I.
β(1 − φ1 )pdc + (pcc /pdc )φ1 (α(1 − pdc ρ) + pdc ρ)

25

(10)

Observe that pdc < pcc and α ≥ β imply restrictions on the optimal merchant fees, that must hold (ex
post) in equilibrium.

26

Figure 8: Probability tree for multihoming (pd < pc )
jjTTTTTT
φ1jjjjjjj
TT1T−
1
TTφ
TTTT
jj
j
j
j
TTT
j
j
jj
Income
No
Income
uIIII
uIIII
u
u
u
u
β
IIα
II1 − β
1 − αuu
u
u
II
II
u
uu
u
I
II
u
u
II
u
u
I
uu
uu
Debit or Credit
Credit
Cash or Debit
CashIonly
uI
ρ uuuu IIII1 − ρ
II
u
u
II
uu
I
uu
Cash Buy
No Buy DC Buy
CC Buy
No Buy

When consumers multihome, only the total fixed fee matters and not the fee attributed
to each card. Consumers are willing to spend up to FTmax in return for participating in both
the debit and credit card networks.
Merchant’s acceptance of cards is determined by threshold costs γdc for debit cards and
γcc for credit cards. On the margin, the merchant has to trade off the benefits of accepting
debit and credit cards to accepting cash only. As shown in sections 4 and 5, the proportion
of merchants willing to accept debit cards is:
1 − fdc − ρ
,
1 − fdc (1 − λdc ) − ρ

(11)

1 − fcc − ρφ1
.
1 − fcc (1 − λcc ) − ρφ1

(12)

α(fdc ) =
and to accept credit cards is:

β(fcc ) =

Substituting price rules (1), and acceptance rules (11) and (12) in fixed total fee (10)
yields the maximum total card fee as a function of only the merchant card fees and other
exogenous variables.
Lemma 3 The maximum total card fee, FTmax , is:

FTmax (fdc , fcc ) = κI,

(13)

27

where κ =
φ1 2 ρ2 + φ1 (fdc φ1 + fcc (φ1 − 2)(λcc − 1) − 2)ρ + (fcc (φ1 − 1) − fdc φ1 + 1)(fcc (λcc − 1) + 1)
.
(fcc (φ1 − 1) − fdc φ1 + 1)(fcc (λcc − 1) + 1) + φ1 (fdc φ1 + fcc (φ1 − 1)(λcc − 1) − 1)ρ

As in the previous cases, note that the maximum card fee does not depend on φ2 and the
pass-through parameter for debit λdc . The bank’s problem is to maximize profits by setting
fees for debit and credit cards. When merchants charge more for goods that are purchased
by credit cards than debit cards, the bank’s profit function is:
ΠB
mh (FT , fdc , fcc , α, β) = (φ1 α(fdc − cdc ) + (1 − φ1 )β(fcc − ccc ))(I − FT )+

(14)

(φ1 + φ2 ) FT − (1 − φ1 − φ2 )β(I − FT ).
Under multihoming the bank can always replicate the debit card equilibrium by setting
∗,
high credit card fees to drive these cards out. In particular, setting fcc = 1 − ρφ1 , fdc = fdc
max , yields ΠB = ΠB . Hence, given the exogenous parameters, in a multihoming
FTmax = Fdc
mh
dc

equilibrium, the bank can never be worse off than in a debit card equilibrium. Substituting
∗∗ and f ∗∗ the profit-maximizing fees
FTmax (fdc , fcc ), α(fdc ), β(fcc ) into (14), let us denote fdc
cc
26
of ΠB
mh (fdc , fcc ) in de multihoming case.

Lemma 4 All else being equal, optimal multihoming profits dominate optimal bank profits in
the debit card equilibrium. That is,
∗∗ ∗∗
B
∗
ΠB
mh (fdc , fcc ) ≥ Πdc (fdc ).

While “debit card only” equilibria are nested within the multihoming environment, “credit
card only” equilibria are not. When α ≥ β, high debit card merchant fees also drives out
credit cards.
For a given cost level cdc , there exists a c0cc > cdc such that optimal bank profits across
0
∗
B
∗
debit cards and credit cards are the same, that is ΠB
cc (fcc ) = Πdc (fdc ) for ccc = ccc . This must

be the case, since—all else being equal—credit cards widen consumption possibilities from
26

∗∗
∗∗
The model is too complex to analytically solve for fdc
and fcc
. Numerical approximations are reported in
R
R
table 4 which are based on analytical expressions for the two Euler “reaction functions” fdc
(fcc ) and fcc
(fdc ).

28

Table 4: Comparison of profit-maximizing outcomes
high cost: ccc = 0.017 > c∗cc
Debit
only
0.006

∗
fdc
∗
fcc
α∗
β∗
p∗dc
p∗cc

Bank profit
breakout:
Consumer revenue
Merchant revenue
Default loss
Processing cost

Credit
only

Debit
only
0.006

1.011

Multihoming
0.006
0.024
0.592
0.325
1.003
1.012

51.46

52.00

52.13

124.24
100.44
0.00
-173.22

217.09
262.23
-232.24
-195.08

315.84
104.42
-192.81
-175.32

0.023
0.592
0.390
1.003
ΠB
RC
RM
C def
C proc

low cost: ccc = 0.015 < c∗cc
Credit
only

1.011

Multihoming
0.006
0.023
0.592
0.392
1.003
1.011

51.46

74.51

52.51

124.24
100.44
0.00
-173.22

259.38
282.79
-267.24
-200.43

355.12
104.89
-232.17
-175.33

0.021
0.592
0.449
1.003

Note: Parameter values set to cdc = 0.01, ρ = 0.99, φ1 = 0.98, φ2 = 0, λcc = λdc = 0.5, and I = 30000.

which the bank can extract some surplus. For ccc ≥ c0cc , the debit card equilibrium yields
higher bank profits. Since optimal multihoming profits are higher than optimal debit card
profits, there must exist a cdc ≤ c00cc ≤ c0cc such that optimal multihoming bank profits (just)
dominate both debit card only and credit card only profits. Hence, for ccc ≥ c00cc , the bank
maximizes profits by issuing credit cards in addition to debit cards. On the other hand, for
credit card processing cost ccc < c00cc , a credit card only environment would be preferred by the
bank, because the relatively high markup on credit cards would be profitable in all income
states. The next proposition summarizes these findings. Table 4 illustrates both situations.
Proposition 8 All else being equal, there exists a c00cc > cdc such that for ccc > c00cc optimal
multihoming profits dominate optimal debit card and credit card profits when only one type
of card exists. That is,
© B ∗
ª
∗∗ ∗∗
B
∗
ΠB
mh (fd , fc ) ≥ max Πdc (fdc ), Πcc (fcc ) .
This result may provide as some guidance on the evolution of debit and credit cards in
various parts of the world.

In the United States, credit cards along with signature-based

debit cards were highly promoted over PIN-based debit cards. However, in other parts of the
world, PIN-based debit cards are primarily used and credit cards are not used domestically,
29

e.g. the Netherlands. In other cases, one card serves as debit cards but allows for payment
at the end of the month, e.g. France.

6.2

Uniform Pricing

Now, let us consider merchants that are only able to post one price. Unlike before, prices
for goods were uniform across merchants for a given payment instrument. When merchants
post one price, we assume that their new one price is the average of the prices weighted by
the probability that consumers would use each instrument that they accept. For example, if
there is equal probability of a consumer using a debit card or a credit card, the uniform price
would be:
pu = .5pdc + .5pcc
In this economy, all credit card accepting merchants post the same price which is different
from the uniform price of debit card accepting merchants. Cash-only merchants post price,
pm .
Let’s assume that credit cards are preferred to debit cards when pdc = pcc at merchants accepting both debit and credit cards.27 In this case, pu = pcc for merchants that accept credit
cards since all consumers would use their credit cards even though all consumers would be
better off if consumers receiving income the morning used their debit cards because pu would
be lower. The consumer’s participation constraint becomes:

φ1 [(1 − α)ρ(I − Fdc ) + α(I − Fdc )/pdc ] ≤
φ1 [(1 − α)ρ(I − Fdc − Fcc ) + (α − β)(I − Fdc − Fcc )/pdc +
β(I − Fdc − Fcc )/pcc ] + (1 − φ1 )β(I − Fdc − Fcc )/pcc .
If pdc = pcc and all merchants accepting debit cards also accept credit cards, consumers
would never choose to participate in both networks and not multihome. If there is a sufficient
mass of merchants that do not accept credit cards, there may be an incentive to hold debit
cards.
The maximum total fee FTmax
under full multihoming and uniform prices pdc = pcc at
u
27

We rule out the possiblity that pd > pc . However, there are examples of payment card prices being lower
than cash, see Benoit (2002) and National Public Radio (2006).

30

merchants that accept debit and credit cards is given by:

FTmax
=
u

β(1 − φ1 ) + φ1 α(1 − pdc ρ)
I.
β(1 − φ1 ) + φ1 (α(1 − pdc ρ) + pdc ρ)

(15)

Similar to the cases when merchants issued only one card, merchants choose to accept
payment cards if by doing so their profits increase. A key feature of our model is the ability
to set different prices based on the payment instrument used to purchase goods. However,
there may be regulatory, contractual, and other reasons why we seldom see a menu of prices.28
Now, we consider the case when merchants cannot charge different prices. If merchants charge
the same price regardless of the type of payment instrument used, bank profits become:
ΠB
mhu = (φ1 (α − β)(fdc − cdc ) + β(fcc − ccc ))(I − FT )+

(16)

(φ1 + φ2 ) FT − (1 − φ1 − φ2 )β(I − FT ).
The bank prefers uniform pricing to merchants’ steering of consumers by applying differential pricing. To see this, we assume that consumers are atomistic and cannot collude.
Suppose each consumer receives additional benefit, ², when using credit cards instead of debit
cards when there is a uniform price. Because each consumer selects the card that offers them
the greatest benefits, they all face the higher uniform price where no debit card transactions
occur. In other words, consumers are in a prisoner’s dilemma where the sum of their individual actions result in a worse allocation. The increase in the uniform price when one consumer
defects is marginal. Merchants are worse off because they must pay higher processing costs
when some consumers could have used less expensive payment instruments and cannot offer
price incentives to steer consumers away from credit cards that do not need the extension of
credit.
Proposition 9 When merchants set one price regardless of the type of instrument used, the
bank earns greater profits if revenue from credit cards are higher than debit cards and the
default risk is sufficiently low than when merchants steer consumers through price incentives.
Our result is consistent with other results when only one payment instrument is considered. The main intuition here is that merchants prefer to separate consumers by those that
28

See Chakravorti and Shah (2003), Barron, Staten, and Umbeck (1992), IMA Market Development (2000),
and Katz (2001) for more discussion about merchant pricing based on payment instrument.

31

have funds and those that do not whereas the bank prefers to entice consumers to the more
profitable payment network. Some cost studies suggest that credit card transactions require
more real resources suggesting that there is a potential welfare gain from encouraging less
costly payment instruments assuming that consumer utility is unchanged.

However, lack

of incentives such as lower prices charged by merchants to use certain payment instruments
over others may encourage less efficient payment instruments.

7

Conclusion

We construct a model of payment instrument choice and acceptance where consumers and
merchants benefit from greater consumption and sales that arise from transactions that would
not occur in a cash-only economy.

We incorporate insurance motives into the payments

context that are well established in the banking literature as justification for why financial
institutions play a critical role in the economy. We derive the equilibrium fees from parameter values that support debit and credit cards. In our model, the bank will fully extract
from consumers before capturing surplus from merchants. Merchants pay for payment services when the bank cost to operate the system is sufficiently high, merchants are unable to
sufficiently pass on their payment processing costs, consumer credit risk is too high, or some
combination of these factors.
We compare welfare-maximizing fee structures to profit-maximizing ones and find that
they differ on the allocation of fees to consumers.

A social planner prefers zero consumer

fees whereas the bank prefers to fully extract consumers. However, the optimal merchant fee
for the social planner may be the same as the profit-maximizing one. There are cases when
the social optimal fee results in negative bank profits. If a zero condition for bank profit is
imposed, the social optimal fee structure can vary.
Furthermore, we study consumer and merchant multihoming where consumers and merchants participate in multiple payment networks. Differences in merchant acceptance across
payment instruments and prices along with insurance against theft and no income states determine when consumers carry multiple payment instruments. When both types of payment
instruments are available, merchants would prefer the ability to separate liquid consumers
from illiquid ones whereas the bank may have incentives to entice all consumers to use their

32

credit cards in stores that accept both types of cards.
Given the current complexity of the model, we have left out key features of the payment
card market.

First, we have not considered long-term credit.

Such an extension would

require a model that considers credit cycles. Second, we ignore competition among banks in
the provision of services that could put downward pressure on prices. Others have found that
competition would occur on the consumer side and put upward pressure on merchant fees.
Third, we assume that all consumers multihome. In reality, not all consumers multihome
and the uniform price may not be equal to the price of the most expensive instrument for
the merchant to accept. We leave these extensions for future research.

33

References
[1] Amromin, Gene and Sujit Chakravorti (2009), “Whither Loose Change?: The Diminishing Demand for Small Denomination Currency,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,
forthcoming.
[2] Armstrong, Mark (2006), “Competition in Two-Sided Markets,” Rand Journal of Economics, 37 (3), 668-691.
[3] Barron, John M., Michael E. Staten and John Umbeck (1992), “Discounts for Cash in
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[4] Bolt, Wilko (2006), “Retail Payments in the Netherlands: Facts and Theory,” De
Economist, 154 (3), 345-372.
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Report,” Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, 4th Quarter, 15-27.
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[7] Bradford, Terri and Fumiko Hayashi (2008), “Developments in Interchange Fees in the
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[8] Carlton, Dennis W. and Alan S. Frankel (1995), “The Antitrust Economics of Payment
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Markets: The Case of Payment Networks,” Review of Network Economics 5 (1), 2006,
118-142.
[11] Chakravorti, Sujit and Alpa Shah (2003), “Underlying Incentives in Credit Card Networks,” The Antitrust Bulletin, Spring, 48 (1), 53-75.

34

[12] Chakravorti, Sujit and Ted To (2007), “A Theory of Credit Cards,” International Journal
of Industrial Organization 25 (3), 583-595.
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and Liquidity, Journal of Political Economy 91, 401-19.
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Equilibrium,” International Economic Review, 46, 637-670.
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exchange an electronic message?” Rand Journal of Economics, 35, 423-448.
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Journal of Economics and Business, 56 (3), 211–225.
[18] IMA Market Development AB (2000), Study Regarding the Effects of the Abolition of
the Non-Discrimination Rule in Sweden, IMA Market Development AB: Frodingsvagen.
[19] Katz, Michael L. (2001), Reform of Credit Card Schemes in Australia II, Sydney, Australia: Reserve Bank of Australia.
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[25] Wright, Julian (2003), “Optimal Card Payment Systems,” European Economic Review,
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Journal of Industrial Economics, 52, 1-26.

36

Appendix
Proof of Proposition 1 :
First, when extending ΠB
dc (fdc ) to allow for negative merchant fees fdc < 0 (so that by
definition acceptance α = 1), it easy to verify that the profit function ΠB
dc (fdc ) is continuous
in fdc . For large enough λdc we calculate that ∂ΠB
(f
)/∂f
=
0
when
fd < 0. Second,
dc
dc dc
non-negative profit exists for small enough processing cost. That is, for cdc = 0, ΠB
dc (0) =
(1 − ρ)(φ1 + φ2 )I > 0. Third, for small enough cdc = 0, the optimal fee that maximizes bank
profit lies between 0 and 1 − ρ. Solving ∂ΠB
dc (fdc )/∂fdc = 0 yields two possible outcomes
corresponding to a minimum and a maximum. Verifying the second-order conditions yields
the profit-maximizing merchant fee:
(1 − ρ)((1 − λdc )(cdc φ1 + φ2 ) − λdc φ1 )
+
((1 − λdc )cdc − λdc (2 − λdc − ρ))φ1 + (1 − λdc )2 φ2

∗
fdc
(cdc , ρ, φ1 , φ2 , λdc ) =

p

(1 − ρ)φ1 λdc (1 − cdc (1 − λdc ) − ρ)(ρ(cdc φ1 + φ2 ) − λdc (φ1 + φ2 ))
.
((1 − λdc )cdc − λdc (2 − λdc − ρ))φ1 + (1 − λdc )2 φ2

∗ (c , ρ, φ , φ , λ ) = 0 for c
∗
Solving fdc
1 2 dc
dc
dc yields cdc , and solving fdc (cdc , ρ, φ1 , φ2 , λdc ) =
∗ = 0, else if c 5 c 5 c̄ then 0 < f ∗ 5 1−ρ.
1−ρ gives c̄dc . Hence, if 0 5 cdc 5 cdc then fdc
dc
dc
dc
dc
ρφ1
Fourth, as long as λdc = λ =1- φ1 +φ2 , it holds that cdc 5 c̄dc . If 0 < λdc < λdc one can
∗ = 0 yields the global maximum, independent
always find a small enough cdc such that fdc
of λdc . Fifth, if λdc = 0 then only cdc = 0 and φ2 = 0 are consistent with constant profits
ΠB
dc = (1 − ρ)φ1 I, independent of fdc . Otherwise, for λdc = 0, profits are decreasing in fdc
and approach (φ2 + (1 − ρ)φ1 ) I for fdc → −∞.

Proof of Proposition 2 :
∗
B
Applying the envelope theorem dΠB
dc (fdc (cdc , ρ, φ1 , φ2 , λdc ), λdc )/dλdc = ∂Πdc (fdc , λdc )/∂λdc
yields:
∂ΠB
dc (fdc , λdc )/∂λdc =

fdc (cdc − fdc )(1 − fdc − ρ)ρφ1
I = 0,
(1 − fdc )(1 − fdc (1 − λdc ) − ρ)2

∗ (c , ρ, φ , φ , λ ) 5 c
since it is straightforward to verify that fdc
1 2 dc
dc
dc for large enough ρ and
small enough cdc .

Proof of Proposition 3 :
First note that there is no card usage for fdc ≥ 1 − ρ, and thus debit card welfare is equal
to cash welfare in that price region. Second, we can verify that ∂Wdc (Fdc , fd )/∂Fdc 5 0
for sufficiently large ρ, so that the social planner wants to set Fdc = 0 (assuming it cannot
tax economic agents to finance negative fixed fees). Third, for small enough cdc = 0, nonnegative debit card welfare exists, in particular Wdc (0, 0) = 3φ1 I/2 > 0 for cdc = 0, and
solving ∂Wdc (Fdc , fd )/∂fdc = 0 yields the socially optimal merchant fee
SW
fdc
(cdc , ρ, λdc ) =

(1 − ρ)(1 − 2λdc )
+
1 − λdc (3 − 2λdc )
p

λdc (1 − ρ)(1 − 2λdc )(2cdc (1 − λdc ) − (1 − ρ)(2 − λdc ))
.
1 − λdc (3 − 2λdc )
37

SW (c , ρ, λ ) = 0 for c
SW = (1 − ρ)(1 + λ )/2λ , and solving
Solving fdc
cc
cc
dc
dc
dc yields cdc
SW
SW
fdc (cdc , ρ, φ1 , φ2 , λdc ) = 1 − ρ gives c̄dc = (1 − ρ)(1 + λcc ). Hence, if 0 5 cdc 5 cSW
dc then
SW = 0, else if cSW 5 c
SW then 0 < f SW 5 1 − ρ. Fourth, as long as λ
fdc
5
c̄
=
1/2, it
dc
dc
dc
dc
dc
SW
holds that cdc 5 c̄dc . If 0 5 λdc < 1/2 and cdc 5 c̄dc , then fdc = 0 yields maximum social
welfare (3/2 − cdc )φ1 I, independent of λdc

Proof of Proposition 4:
For λdc = 1/2 and sufficiently large ρ, we can show that cdc 5 cSW
dc which proves the propoSW = 0 5 f ∗ .
sition. For λdc < 1/2 and cdc 5 c̄dc , it holds fdc
dc
Proof of Proposition 5 :
First, when extending ΠB
cc (fcc ) to allow for negative merchant fees fcc < 0 (so that by
definition acceptance β = 1), it easy to verify that the profit function ΠB
cc (fcc ) is continuous
B
in fcc . For large enough λcc we calculate that ∂Πcc (fcc )/∂fcc = 0 when fcc < 0. Second,
non-negative profit exists for small enough processing cost. That is for ccc = 0, ΠB
cc (0) =
((1 − ρ)φ1 + φ2 )I > 0. Third, for small enough ccc = 0, the optimal fee that maximizes
profits lies between 0 and 1 − ρφ1 . Solving ∂ΠB
cc (fcc )/∂fcc = 0 yields two possible outcomes
corresponding to a minimum and a maximum. Verifying the second-order conditions yields
the profit-maximizing merchant fee:
∗
fcc
(ccc , ρ, φ1 , φ2 , λcc ) =

(1 − ρ)φ1 (λcc − (1 − λcc )ccc )
−
λcc (1 − (λcc + ρ − 1)φ1 + (1 − λcc )φ2 ) − (1 − λcc )ccc

p
λcc (1 − ρφ1 )((1 − λcc )ccc − (1 − ρ)φ1 − φ2 − λcc (1 − φ1 − φ2 ))(ρφ1 ccc − λcc (φ1 + φ2 )))
.
λcc (1 − (λcc + ρ − 1)φ1 + (1 − λcc )φ2 ) − (1 − λcc )ccc
∗ (c , ρ, φ , φ , λ ) = 0 for c
∗
Solving fcc
cc
1 2 cc
cc yields ccc , and solving fcc (ccc , ρ, φ1 , φ2 , λcc ) =
1 − ρφ1 gives c̄cc . As long as λcc = λcc =1-ρφ1 , it holds that ccc < 0 5 c̄cc and thus
∗ 5 1 − ρφ for 0 5 c 5 c̄ . Fourth, if λ < λ
0 < fcc
1
cc
cc
cc
cc then one can always find a small
∗ > 0 yields the global maximum. Fifth, if λ = 0 then only c = 0
enough ccc such that fcc
cc
cc
is consistent with constant profits ΠB
cc = (φ2 + (1 − ρ)φ1 )I, independent of fcc . Otherwise,
for ccc > 0 and λcc = 0, profits are decreasing in fcc and approach (φ2 + (1 − ρ)φ1 ) I for
fcc → −∞.

Proof of Proposition 6 :
∗ = c for φ yields:
Solving fcc
cc
2

φ2 =

λcc (1 − ρφ1 )(1 − φ1 ) − ccc (1 − ρφ1 + λcc )(1 − ρφ1 )
+
λcc (1 − ρφ1 − (1 − λcc )c2cc )
c2cc (2(1 − ρφ1 ) − λcc ((1 − ρφ1 − φ1 ) + φ1 λcc )) − c3cc (1 − λcc )
.
λcc (1 − ρφ1 − (1 − λcc )c2cc )

We can show that φ2 = 1 − φ1 when ccc = 0 and there exists e
ccc > 0 such that φ2 = 0
and dφ2 /dccc < 0. Thus, for 0 5 ccc 5 e
ccc we have 0 5 φ2 5 1 − φ1 .
Proof of Proposition 7 :
First note that there is no card usage for fcc ≥ 1 − ρφ1 , and thus credit card welfare is equal
to cash welfare in that price region. Second, we can verify that ∂Wcc (Fcc , fc )/∂Fcc 5 0 for
sufficiently large φ1 , so that the social planner wants to set Fcc = 0 (assuming it cannot
38

tax economic agents to finance negative fixed fees). Third, for small enough ccc = 0, nonnegative debit card welfare exists, in particular Wcc (0, 0) = 3I/2 > 0 for ccc = 0, and solving
∂Wcc (Fcc , fcc )/∂fcc = 0 yields the socially optimal merchant fee
SW
fcc
(ccc , ρ, λcc ) =

(1 − ρφ1 )(1 − 2λcc )
+
1 − λcc (3 − 2λcc )

p
λcc (1 − ρφ1 )(1 − 2λcc )(2ccc (1 − λcc ) − λcc (1 − (2 − ρ)φ1 − 2φ2 ) − 2((1 − ρ)φ1 + φ2 ))
.
1 − λcc (3 − 2λcc )
SW (c , ρ, λ ) = 0 for c yields cSW = ((1 − λ ) − (2 − ρ)φ λ − ρφ )/2λ + φ ,
Solving fcc
cc
cc
1 cc
1
cc
2
dc
dc
cc
SW (c , ρ, φ , φ , λ ) = 1 − ρ gives c̄SW = λ (1 − ρφ ) + (1 − ρ)φ + φ . If
and solving fcc
cc
1 2 dc
cc
1
1
2
cc
SW
λcc ≥ 1 − ρφ1 and 1 − φ1 − φ2 close to zero then ccc < 0 5 cSW
cc . Hence, when 0 5 ccc 5 ccc
SW
SW
SW
∗
it holds that fdc = 0 < fcc . Fourth, as long as λcc = 1/2, we find that ccc 5 c̄cc . If
SW = 0 yields maxmum social welfare (3/2 − c )I,
0 5 λdc < 1/2 and ccc 5 c̄SW
cc
cc , then fcc
independent of λcc .

39

Working Paper Series
A series of research studies on regional economic issues relating to the Seventh Federal
Reserve District, and on financial and economic topics.
Firm-Specific Capital, Nominal Rigidities and the Business Cycle
David Altig, Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum and Jesper Linde

WP-05-01

Do Returns to Schooling Differ by Race and Ethnicity?
Lisa Barrow and Cecilia Elena Rouse

WP-05-02

Derivatives and Systemic Risk: Netting, Collateral, and Closeout
Robert R. Bliss and George G. Kaufman

WP-05-03

Risk Overhang and Loan Portfolio Decisions
Robert DeYoung, Anne Gron and Andrew Winton

WP-05-04

Characterizations in a random record model with a non-identically distributed initial record
Gadi Barlevy and H. N. Nagaraja

WP-05-05

Price discovery in a market under stress: the U.S. Treasury market in fall 1998
Craig H. Furfine and Eli M. Remolona

WP-05-06

Politics and Efficiency of Separating Capital and Ordinary Government Budgets
Marco Bassetto with Thomas J. Sargent

WP-05-07

Rigid Prices: Evidence from U.S. Scanner Data
Jeffrey R. Campbell and Benjamin Eden

WP-05-08

Entrepreneurship, Frictions, and Wealth
Marco Cagetti and Mariacristina De Nardi

WP-05-09

Wealth inequality: data and models
Marco Cagetti and Mariacristina De Nardi

WP-05-10

What Determines Bilateral Trade Flows?
Marianne Baxter and Michael A. Kouparitsas

WP-05-11

Intergenerational Economic Mobility in the U.S., 1940 to 2000
Daniel Aaronson and Bhashkar Mazumder

WP-05-12

Differential Mortality, Uncertain Medical Expenses, and the Saving of Elderly Singles
Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French, and John Bailey Jones

WP-05-13

Fixed Term Employment Contracts in an Equilibrium Search Model
Fernando Alvarez and Marcelo Veracierto

WP-05-14

1

Working Paper Series (continued)
Causality, Causality, Causality: The View of Education Inputs and Outputs from Economics
Lisa Barrow and Cecilia Elena Rouse

WP-05-15

Competition in Large Markets
Jeffrey R. Campbell

WP-05-16

Why Do Firms Go Public? Evidence from the Banking Industry
Richard J. Rosen, Scott B. Smart and Chad J. Zutter

WP-05-17

Clustering of Auto Supplier Plants in the U.S.: GMM Spatial Logit for Large Samples
Thomas Klier and Daniel P. McMillen

WP-05-18

Why are Immigrants’ Incarceration Rates So Low?
Evidence on Selective Immigration, Deterrence, and Deportation
Kristin F. Butcher and Anne Morrison Piehl

WP-05-19

Constructing the Chicago Fed Income Based Economic Index – Consumer Price Index:
Inflation Experiences by Demographic Group: 1983-2005
Leslie McGranahan and Anna Paulson

WP-05-20

Universal Access, Cost Recovery, and Payment Services
Sujit Chakravorti, Jeffery W. Gunther, and Robert R. Moore

WP-05-21

Supplier Switching and Outsourcing
Yukako Ono and Victor Stango

WP-05-22

Do Enclaves Matter in Immigrants’ Self-Employment Decision?
Maude Toussaint-Comeau

WP-05-23

The Changing Pattern of Wage Growth for Low Skilled Workers
Eric French, Bhashkar Mazumder and Christopher Taber

WP-05-24

U.S. Corporate and Bank Insolvency Regimes: An Economic Comparison and Evaluation
Robert R. Bliss and George G. Kaufman

WP-06-01

Redistribution, Taxes, and the Median Voter
Marco Bassetto and Jess Benhabib

WP-06-02

Identification of Search Models with Initial Condition Problems
Gadi Barlevy and H. N. Nagaraja

WP-06-03

Tax Riots
Marco Bassetto and Christopher Phelan

WP-06-04

The Tradeoff between Mortgage Prepayments and Tax-Deferred Retirement Savings
Gene Amromin, Jennifer Huang,and Clemens Sialm

WP-06-05

2

Working Paper Series (continued)
Why are safeguards needed in a trade agreement?
Meredith A. Crowley

WP-06-06

Taxation, Entrepreneurship, and Wealth
Marco Cagetti and Mariacristina De Nardi

WP-06-07

A New Social Compact: How University Engagement Can Fuel Innovation
Laura Melle, Larry Isaak, and Richard Mattoon

WP-06-08

Mergers and Risk
Craig H. Furfine and Richard J. Rosen

WP-06-09

Two Flaws in Business Cycle Accounting
Lawrence J. Christiano and Joshua M. Davis

WP-06-10

Do Consumers Choose the Right Credit Contracts?
Sumit Agarwal, Souphala Chomsisengphet, Chunlin Liu, and Nicholas S. Souleles

WP-06-11

Chronicles of a Deflation Unforetold
François R. Velde

WP-06-12

Female Offenders Use of Social Welfare Programs Before and After Jail and Prison:
Does Prison Cause Welfare Dependency?
Kristin F. Butcher and Robert J. LaLonde
Eat or Be Eaten: A Theory of Mergers and Firm Size
Gary Gorton, Matthias Kahl, and Richard Rosen
Do Bonds Span Volatility Risk in the U.S. Treasury Market?
A Specification Test for Affine Term Structure Models
Torben G. Andersen and Luca Benzoni

WP-06-13

WP-06-14

WP-06-15

Transforming Payment Choices by Doubling Fees on the Illinois Tollway
Gene Amromin, Carrie Jankowski, and Richard D. Porter

WP-06-16

How Did the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut Affect Stock Prices?
Gene Amromin, Paul Harrison, and Steven Sharpe

WP-06-17

Will Writing and Bequest Motives: Early 20th Century Irish Evidence
Leslie McGranahan

WP-06-18

How Professional Forecasters View Shocks to GDP
Spencer D. Krane

WP-06-19

Evolving Agglomeration in the U.S. auto supplier industry
Thomas Klier and Daniel P. McMillen

WP-06-20

3

Working Paper Series (continued)
Mortality, Mass-Layoffs, and Career Outcomes: An Analysis using Administrative Data
Daniel Sullivan and Till von Wachter
The Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures:
Tying One’s Hand through the WTO.
Meredith A. Crowley

WP-06-21

WP-06-22

How Did Schooling Laws Improve Long-Term Health and Lower Mortality?
Bhashkar Mazumder

WP-06-23

Manufacturing Plants’ Use of Temporary Workers: An Analysis Using Census Micro Data
Yukako Ono and Daniel Sullivan

WP-06-24

What Can We Learn about Financial Access from U.S. Immigrants?
Una Okonkwo Osili and Anna Paulson

WP-06-25

Bank Imputed Interest Rates: Unbiased Estimates of Offered Rates?
Evren Ors and Tara Rice

WP-06-26

Welfare Implications of the Transition to High Household Debt
Jeffrey R. Campbell and Zvi Hercowitz

WP-06-27

Last-In First-Out Oligopoly Dynamics
Jaap H. Abbring and Jeffrey R. Campbell

WP-06-28

Oligopoly Dynamics with Barriers to Entry
Jaap H. Abbring and Jeffrey R. Campbell

WP-06-29

Risk Taking and the Quality of Informal Insurance: Gambling and Remittances in Thailand
Douglas L. Miller and Anna L. Paulson

WP-07-01

Fast Micro and Slow Macro: Can Aggregation Explain the Persistence of Inflation?
Filippo Altissimo, Benoît Mojon, and Paolo Zaffaroni

WP-07-02

Assessing a Decade of Interstate Bank Branching
Christian Johnson and Tara Rice

WP-07-03

Debit Card and Cash Usage: A Cross-Country Analysis
Gene Amromin and Sujit Chakravorti

WP-07-04

The Age of Reason: Financial Decisions Over the Lifecycle
Sumit Agarwal, John C. Driscoll, Xavier Gabaix, and David Laibson

WP-07-05

Information Acquisition in Financial Markets: a Correction
Gadi Barlevy and Pietro Veronesi

WP-07-06

Monetary Policy, Output Composition and the Great Moderation
Benoît Mojon

WP-07-07

4

Working Paper Series (continued)
Estate Taxation, Entrepreneurship, and Wealth
Marco Cagetti and Mariacristina De Nardi

WP-07-08

Conflict of Interest and Certification in the U.S. IPO Market
Luca Benzoni and Carola Schenone

WP-07-09

The Reaction of Consumer Spending and Debt to Tax Rebates –
Evidence from Consumer Credit Data
Sumit Agarwal, Chunlin Liu, and Nicholas S. Souleles

WP-07-10

Portfolio Choice over the Life-Cycle when the Stock and Labor Markets are Cointegrated
Luca Benzoni, Pierre Collin-Dufresne, and Robert S. Goldstein

WP-07-11

Nonparametric Analysis of Intergenerational Income Mobility
with Application to the United States
Debopam Bhattacharya and Bhashkar Mazumder

WP-07-12

How the Credit Channel Works: Differentiating the Bank Lending Channel
and the Balance Sheet Channel
Lamont K. Black and Richard J. Rosen

WP-07-13

Labor Market Transitions and Self-Employment
Ellen R. Rissman

WP-07-14

First-Time Home Buyers and Residential Investment Volatility
Jonas D.M. Fisher and Martin Gervais

WP-07-15

Establishments Dynamics and Matching Frictions in Classical Competitive Equilibrium
Marcelo Veracierto

WP-07-16

Technology’s Edge: The Educational Benefits of Computer-Aided Instruction
Lisa Barrow, Lisa Markman, and Cecilia Elena Rouse

WP-07-17

The Widow’s Offering: Inheritance, Family Structure, and the Charitable Gifts of Women
Leslie McGranahan

WP-07-18

Demand Volatility and the Lag between the Growth of Temporary
and Permanent Employment
Sainan Jin, Yukako Ono, and Qinghua Zhang

WP-07-19

A Conversation with 590 Nascent Entrepreneurs
Jeffrey R. Campbell and Mariacristina De Nardi

WP-07-20

Cyclical Dumping and US Antidumping Protection: 1980-2001
Meredith A. Crowley

WP-07-21

The Effects of Maternal Fasting During Ramadan on Birth and Adult Outcomes
Douglas Almond and Bhashkar Mazumder

WP-07-22

5

Working Paper Series (continued)
The Consumption Response to Minimum Wage Increases
Daniel Aaronson, Sumit Agarwal, and Eric French

WP-07-23

The Impact of Mexican Immigrants on U.S. Wage Structure
Maude Toussaint-Comeau

WP-07-24

A Leverage-based Model of Speculative Bubbles
Gadi Barlevy

WP-08-01

Displacement, Asymmetric Information and Heterogeneous Human Capital
Luojia Hu and Christopher Taber

WP-08-02

BankCaR (Bank Capital-at-Risk): A credit risk model for US commercial bank charge-offs
Jon Frye and Eduard Pelz

WP-08-03

Bank Lending, Financing Constraints and SME Investment
Santiago Carbó-Valverde, Francisco Rodríguez-Fernández, and Gregory F. Udell

WP-08-04

Global Inflation
Matteo Ciccarelli and Benoît Mojon

WP-08-05

Scale and the Origins of Structural Change
Francisco J. Buera and Joseph P. Kaboski

WP-08-06

Inventories, Lumpy Trade, and Large Devaluations
George Alessandria, Joseph P. Kaboski, and Virgiliu Midrigan

WP-08-07

School Vouchers and Student Achievement: Recent Evidence, Remaining Questions
Cecilia Elena Rouse and Lisa Barrow

WP-08-08

Does It Pay to Read Your Junk Mail? Evidence of the Effect of Advertising on
Home Equity Credit Choices
Sumit Agarwal and Brent W. Ambrose

WP-08-09

The Choice between Arm’s-Length and Relationship Debt: Evidence from eLoans
Sumit Agarwal and Robert Hauswald

WP-08-10

Consumer Choice and Merchant Acceptance of Payment Media
Wilko Bolt and Sujit Chakravorti

WP-08-11

6