The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
Week ending: September 28, 1977 LIB Ft' Business demand for short-term credit has been rising _ a rapid rate in recent months. During the six months ending in August, business loans at all commercial banks rose at an 11.5 DEC 9 6 1979 Percent annual rate, compared to an 8.9 percent rate of increase in the previous six months and a 2 percent decline in the year ending in August 1976.* Business loans at weekly reporting large commercial banks have not expanded as rapidly as business loans at all commercial banks during the past six months. Business loans at weekly reporting banks rose at a 4.7 percent rate from the four weeks ending March 2, 1977 to the four weeks ending August 31, 1977, compared to an 8.5 percent rate in the previous six months. Commercial paper outstanding of nonfinancial corporations, another component of business short-term credit, rose at a 31.9 percent rate in the six months ending in August of this year, compared to a 2.9 percent rate of increase in the previous six months and a 2.7 percent increase in the 12 months ending in August of last year.* Growth of total loans at all commercial banks has been even more rapid than the growth of their business loans during the past year. Total loans rose at a 13.4 percent rate in the six months ending in August of this year and at an 11.6 percent rate in the previous six months. While increasing their loans at rapid rates during the past year, banks have reduced the rate at which they have been adding to their portfolios of investments, compared to the previous year when loan demand was not as strong. All commercial banks increased their investments 7.1 percent in the 12 months ending in August of this year, compared to a 10.7 percent increase in the previous year.* This strong credit demand has contributed to upward pressure on interest rates in recent months. Short-term interest rates have risen sharply since April. For instance, the 4-6 month commercial paper rate rose from an average of 4.87 percent in April to 6.30 percent in the most recent week. The commercial bank prime rate has been increased four times since April from 6.25 percent to 7.25 percent. * The data used for each month is computed by averaging the end-of-month data for the current month and the end-of-month data for the previous month. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Released: September 30, 1977 MONETARY BASE AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 132 BILLIONS AUG. 24 126.3 126.8 126.5 130 127.5 127.5 128 126 124 122 120 118 116 114 112 4 16 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 OCT NOV 8 22 5 19 2 16 JAN FEB 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 APR MAY 1976 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 1977 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 28, 1977 THE MONETARY BASE CONSISTS OF MEMBER BANK RESERVES AT THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS AND CURRENCY IN CIRCULATION (CURRENCY HELD BY THE PUBLIC AND IN THE VAULTS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS), ADJUSTED FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIO CHANGES AND SHIFTS IN THE SAME TYPE OF DEPOSITS BETWEEN BANKS WHERE DIFFERENT RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIOS APPLY. THE MAJOR SOURCES OF THE MONETARY BASE ARE FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT AND THE GOLD STOCK. DATA ARE COMPUTED BY THIS BANK. A DETAILED DE SCRIPTION OF THE MONETARY BASE IS AVAILABLE FROM THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS. MONETARY BASE COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING; TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 3/ 2/77 3/30/77 4/27/77 5/25/77 6/29/77 7/27/77 8/31/77 9/28/77 2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/29/76 12/29/76 7.2 8.0 8.4 8. 1 7.8 8. 1 8.5 8.6 8.6 9.2 8.5 8.0 8.4 9.0 9.0 3/2/77 1 1.9 9.7 8.6 9. 1 9.7 9.7 3/30/77 4/27/77 5/25/77 6/29/77 7/27/77 8.3 7.4 8.3 9.2 9.2 5.8 7.4 8.7 8.9 8.2 9.7 9.7 1 1.7 11.1 11.1 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS MULTIPLIER^ ADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT*/ AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED RATIO RATIO MULTIPLIER RATIO LI 1 I I I 1 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 21, 197T BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 112 ---- I----- 1-- BILLIONS OF DOLLARS --- ---- ---- H2 COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES __OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING - SEPTEMBER 28, 1977 FROM THE FOUR WEEKS END INGj 11.4 13.2 10.9 ADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT 10. 1 DEC. 29, 1976 10.6 9.8 9.0 1977 BILLIONS LL-l.l I I * 10 AUG 1 13 Z9 13 27 SEP OCT 10 Z4 8 22 NOV DEC 5 19 2 16 JAN FEB 2 16 30 13 27 MAR APR 1976 II 25 MAY 19- 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 28 SEP OCT LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 28, 1977 1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK ( Ml ) / MONETARY BASE. 2/ FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT CONSISTS OF FEDERAL RESERVE HOLDINGS OF SFriJRlTifc i nAwc ci n*T AND OTHER ASSETS. ADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT IS COMPUTED BYSUBTRAcfI NTAtr4arory1 DEPOSITS AT FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS FROM THIS SERIES, AW ADJUSTING THESER IFipFOR RFSERVE REQUIREMENT RATIO CHANGES AND SHIFTS IN THE SAME TYPE OF DEPOSITS BFTWFFNRA^«? WHERE DIFFERENT RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIOS APPLY. DATA ARE COMPUTED BY THIS^BANK http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 3 MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (M2) AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 800 795 BILLIONS 790 786.8 787.2 791.2 791.5 793.9 785 780 775 770 765 760 755 750 745 740 735 730 725 720 -=3 715 710 705 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 OCT 10 24 NOV 8 22 5 19 2 16 JAN FEB 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 6 22 3 17 31 6 20 M 28 12 26 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 21, 1977 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE. MONEY STOCK PLUS NET Tl ME DEPOSITS CM2) COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 9/22/76 12/22/76 2/23/77 3/23/77 4/20/77 5/18/77 6/22/77 7/20/77 12.0 11.5 11.7 11.2 10.7 11.2 10.9 10.8 9.2 10.2 9.7 9.2 10.0 9.9 9.9 11.2 10.0 9. 1 10.3 10. 1 10.0 10.5 9.2 10.7 10.3 10.2 7.3 9.8 9.6 9.6 10.9 10.2 10.1 11.9 11.2 9.3 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 2/23/77 3/23/77 4/20/77 5/18/77 6/22/77 7/20/77 8/24/77 9/21/77 4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 0 MONEY STOCK (Ml ) AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 340 ---- ,----- ,-- --- ---- ---- 340 &JLLIONS 327.5 330.5 329.7 331.5 330.4 AUG SEP OCT 1976 NOV DEC JAN FEB 6 20 MAR 3 17 3) M 28 SEP 12 26 OCT LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING! SEPTEMBER 21, 1977 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE. THE MONEY STOCK CONSISTS OF DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS CURRENCY AND COIN HELD BY THE NONBANK PUBLIC MONEY STOCK (Ml ) COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGt 9/22/76 12/22/76 5.6 5.5 6.9 7.2 6.4 7.4 7.4 7.8 4.6 7.2 7.6 6.5 7.9 7.8 8.2 2/23/77 3/23/77 4/20/77 5/18/77 5 0 8.7 8.4 9.0 8.4 8. 1 8.9 6/22/77 7/20/77 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGj 2/23/77 3/23/77 4/20/77 5/18/77 6/22/77 7/20/77 8/24/77 9/21/77 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10.4 10.0 7.5 9.3 9.0 9.3 12.8 8.4 10.4 9.8 10.1 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 5 YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY PERCENT PERCENT —i 10.0 10.0 i— CORPORATE Aaa BONDS PRIME BANK LOAN RATE COMMERCIAL PAPER 6 20 AUG 3 17 1 15 ’9 12 26 10 24 SEP 7 21 4 18 JAN FEB 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 MAR LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING; SEPTEMBER 30, 1977 1977 AUG. 5 12 19 26 SEP. 2 g 16 23 30 * OCT. 7 14 21 28 90 DAY CD'S aete* PRIME COMMERC1AL PAPER 4-6 MONTH PRIME BANKERS' ACCEPTANCES CORPORATE Aaa BONDS MUNICIPAL BONDS aSK 5.65 5.76 5.97 6.01 5.98 5.97 6.10 6.22 6.37 5.61 5.75 5.95 5.95 6.00 5.99 6.19 6.22 6.30 5.70 5.83 6.02 5.95 5.93 5.98 6. 19 6.22 6.30 8.00 8.00 7.99 7.96 7.92 7.90 7.89 7.92 7.96 5.63 5.63 5.63 5.58 5.54 5.48 5.51 5.50 N.A. aLf*BOND** BUYER' S*AVERAGE' ^NDEX* OF 20 k.JNICIPAL BONDS, THURSDAY DATA. KetSK SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES OF SECONDARY MARKET RATES Foft THE WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS EARLIER THAN DATES SHOWN CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS H.9 RELEASE. 6 N.A. - NOT AVAILABLE http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS SELECTED INTEREST RATES AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY PERCENT 8.0 -- PERCENT -- 8.0 3-5 YEAR TREASURY SECURITIES FEDERAL FUNDS RATE DISCOUNT RATE THREE-MONTH TREASURY BILL MARKET YIELD 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 JAN FEB 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 1976 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 1977 LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 30, 1977 1977 AUG. 5 12 19 26 SEP. 2 9 16 23 30 * OCT. 7 M 21 28 FEDERAL FUNDS aee 3-MONTH TREASURY BILLS 1-YEAR TREASURY BILL 3-5 YEAR TREASURY SECURITIES LONG-TERM TREASURY SECURITIES 5.80 5.70 5.94 5.99 6.02 5.97 6.05 6.10 6.35 5.35 5.47 5.56 5.53 5.56 5.65 5.86 5.90 5.92 5.83 5.94 6.07 6.02 5.98 6.04 6.14 6.15 6.21 6.86 6.90 6.97 6.89 6.84 6.86 6.93 6.93 6.99 7.53 7.54 7.52 7.45 7.40 7.41 7.45 7.47 7.49 * AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE. SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES FOR WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS EARLIER THAN DATE SHOWN. CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.9 RELEASE. RATES ON LONG-TERM TREASURY SECURITIES ARE COMPUTED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS. TREASURY BILL YIELDS ON DISCOUNT BASIS. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 7 NET TIME DEPOSITS ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS AVtKAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 470 r-------- 1-------—i ---- ----- ----Z2 470 billions 459.3 459.8 460.8 461.8 462.4 2 AUG SEP OCT 1976 NOV DEC JAN FEB 16 30 13 27 11 25 MAR APR 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 MAY , LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 21. 1977 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE. *NETLI? DEFINED AS: SAVINGS DEPOSITS, TIME DEPOSITS OPEN ACCOUNT PLUS TIUF CERTIFICATES Of DEPOSIT OTHER THAN NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OFdepositissiipiT im TIME DENOMINATIONS OF tlOO.OOO OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTINGC0ML1ERCIAL°BANKsf^SUED 'N NET TIME DEPOSITS COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 9/22/76 12/22/76 2/23/77 3/23/77 4/20/77 5/18/77 6/22/77 7/20/77 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 2/23/77 3/23/77 4/20/77 5/18/77 6/22/77 7/20/77 8/24/77 9/21/77 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 16.8 16.0 15.4 14.3 13.9 14.0 13.5 13.1 12.5 12.4 11.2 11.2 11.7 1 1.4 11.1 11.7 9.9 10.3 11.1 10.9 10.5 9. 1 9.9 11.0 10.7 10.4 9.0 10.8 10.5 10. 1 12.8 11.7 10.9 12.0 10.8 9. 1 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS --- ---- ---- 250 ---- 1----- 1-- 250 BILLIONS 242. 1 241.7 244.7 243.4 244.0 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 JAN FEB 16 2 16 30 13 27 APR 11 25 8 22 3 17 31 6 20 M 28 12 26 MAY LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 21, 1977 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE. DEMAND DEPOS T COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE , AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 9/22/76 12/22/76 2/23/77 3/23/77 4/20/77 5/18/77 6/22/77 7/20/77 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 2/23/77 3/23/77 4/20/77 5/18/77 6/22/77 7/20/77 8/24/77 9/21/77 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4.7 4.6 6.2 6.7 5.8 6.8 6.9 7.3 3.2 6.4 7.0 5.6 7.2 7.2 7.7 10.5 10.3 7. 1 9. 1 8.8 9.3 13.6 8. 1 10.3 9.7 10.1 4.2 8.2 8.0 8.8 7.5 7.6 8.6 12.0 12. 1 9.7 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS CURRENCY COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 90 ---- 1----- 1--- BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ---- ---- ---- 90 BILLIONS 85.4 85.6 86.2 1 15 29 19 27 10 21 8 22 5 19 2 JAN FEB 16 2 16 30 13 27 ll 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 3I M 28 I2 26 SEP OCT 1976 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 21, 1977 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE. CURRENCY COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 9/22/76 12/22/76 2/23/77 3/23/77 4/20/77 5/18/77 6/22/77 7/20/77 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 2/23/77 3/23/77 4/20/77 5/18/77 6/22/77 7/20/77 8/24/77 9/21/77 10 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8.6 8.3 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.9 8.9 9.0 9.3 9.8 9.5 9.2 9.7 9.6 9.6 9. 1 8.8 8.5 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.9 9. 1 10.0 9.8 9.7 7.9 9.5 9.3 9.4 10. 1 9.7 9.6 10.8 10.4 9.2 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS BORROWINGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS ALL MEMBER BANKS IN THE NATION AVERAGES OF DA ILY FIGURES BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ? s 13IL MILLIONS AUG. 24 4 18 1 1665 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 OCT NOV JAN FEB APR 1976 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 28, 1977 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 MAY 14 28 12 26 SEP OCT BUSINESS LOANS (COMMERCIAL AND BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 124 ---- -------- INDUSTRIAL) WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS --- ---- ---- 124 _ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF — THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING - SEPTEMBER 21, 1977 FROM MILLIONS AUG. 17 119,514 Li I I I HIM 2 AUG SEP 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR 1976 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 21, 1977 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MAY 25 8 22 8 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 28 SEP OCT PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 11 CERTIFICATES OF LARGE BANKS WEDNESDAY FIGURES NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis DEPOSIT COMMERCIAL BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 78 BILLIONS 64.A 64. 7 65.0 76 74 72 70 68 66 64 62 60 58 56 4 18 IS 29 13 27 OCT 10 26 NOV 8 22 3 1 JAN 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 11 23 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 M 28 12 26 FEB LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 21, 1977 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE. l«GOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF 8100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS. PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS