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Week ending: September 20r 1972 The nation's money stock has risen at a rapid 8.6 percent annual rate in the past eight months, after almost no increase during the latter part of 1971. For comparison, money grew at a trend rate of 5.9 percent from late 1966 to late 1971. Underlying the recent rapid growth of money, reserves available to support private nonbank deposits have increased at a 10.1 percent annual rate in the past eight months, compared with a 5.8 percent rate in the previous four months. . Short-term market interest rates have risen sharply in recent weeks, continuing an upward trend begun last February. Although rates have risen substantially above their lows of early this year, in general, they remain below their levels of mid-1971. Yields on three-month Treasury bills averaged 4.64 percent in the three days ending September 20, up about 75 basis points from midAugust, but still below the July 1971 rate of 5.39 percent. Yields on four- to six-month commercial paper averaged 5.13 percent in the first part of this week, up 28 basis points from mid-August, This rate averaged 5.75 percent in July 1971. Long-term interest rates have risen somewhat in recent weeks, following a downward trend since last April which apparently reflected the reduction in the rate of price increases. Seasoned Aaa Corporate bond rates averaged 7.23 percent in the first part of this week, compared with 7.30 percent last April and 7.64 percent a year ago last July. Business loans at all commercial banks registered strong gains in August. These loans increased at an 8.1 percent annual rate from December to August, despite almost no increase in June and July. For comparison, business loans increased at rates of 3.8 percent and 5.8 percent, respectively, in 1970 and 1971. Consumer and real estate loans have increased even more rapidly than business loans so far this year. On total, loans made by commercial banks have increased at a 14.5 percent rate in the first eight months of the year, compared with a 10 percent rate in 1971 and a 4.5 percent rate in 1970. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Released: September 22, 1972 MONETARY BASE v MULTIPLIER 2/ AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK BILLIONS OF DOLLARS _ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF THE FOUR I&EEKS ENDING -- SEPTEMBER 20, 1972 FROU THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING, JUL. 19 JUN. 21 -- APR. MAR. _ FEB. SEP. 1972 19 22 23 22 1972 MONETARY BASE 1972. MILLIONS LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 20, 1972 RATIO 2.9 RATIO 2.8 MULTIPLIER 2.7 2.6 2.5 RATIO 2.541 2.4 2.583 7 21 4 IB 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 B 22 5 19 JAN 2 16 I 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 50 13 27 FEB 1972 1971 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING, SEPTEMBER 13, 1972 1/ USES OF MONETARY BASE ARE MEMBER BANK RESERVES AND CURRENCY HELD BY THE PUBLIC AND NONMEMBER BANKS, ADJUSTED FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT CHANGES AND SHIFTS IN DEPOSITS. FOR A DESCRIPTION OF THE BASE SEE THE AUGUST 1968 '-REVIEW'* OF THIS BANK. 2/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK (Ml ) / MONETARY BASE. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS RESERVES AVAILABLE TO SUPPORT PRIVATE NONBANK DEPOSITS^ Y ALL MEMBER BANKS FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT^ AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 32.0 COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF _ THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING SEPTEMBER 20, 1972 FROM THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING-. JUL. 19, 1972 15.4 “ JUN. 21, 1972 11.0 MAY 17, 1972 10.2 APR. 19, 1972 9.8 ~ MAR. 22, 1972 9.8 FEB. 23, 1972 10.9 SEP. 22, 1971 8.7 _ 31.5 31.0 30.5 31 .5 31.0 30.5 30.0 29.5 RESERVES 29.5 29.0 972 28.5 AUG. BILLIONS 16 30.56 30.28 .28.5 31.44 30.48 31.08 28.0 30.82 0 84 - COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF __ THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING SEPTEMBER 20, 1972 FROM THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING: JUL. 19, 1972 -2.5 -- JUN. MAY _ APR. MAR. FEB. -- SEP. 21, 1972 17, 1972 19, 1972 22, 1972 23, 1972 22, 1971 -0.9 0.1 2.4 5.2 2.5 5.6 82 FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT _ 80 - 78 76 !97~2 AUG. MILLIONS 74 I 72 1 .1 I I I I 4 IS 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 S 22 5 19 JAN 2 16 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 SO 15 27 FEB 1972 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 20, 1972 1/ CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.9 RELEASE. 2/ I2J.NS=L2E HOLDINGS OF SECURITIES, LOANS, FLOAT AND ' 'OTHER" ASSETS. ADJUSTEO FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT CHANGES AND CHANGES IN REQUIREMENTS DUE TO SHIFTS IN DEPOSITS AMONG CLASSES OF BANKS. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 0 DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1972 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS 185.0 185.9 185.3 186. I 185.8 7 2! 4 18 JUL AUG 1 15 29 ! 3 27 10 24 OCT 8 22 NOV 5 19 2 16 JAN FEB I 15 29 12 26 10 24 1971 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 1972 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING, SEPTEMBER 13, 1972 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE. COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 9/15/71 1/12/72 2/16/72 3/15/72 4/12/72 5/10/72 6/14/72 7/12/72 1.8 3.7 4.5 4.0 4.3 5. 1 5.7 5.8 12. 1 1 1 .4 8.8 8.3 9.0 9.2 9.0 12.3 8.3 7.8 8.7 9. 1 8.9 5.2 5.7 7.3 8. 1 8.0 3.9 6.6 7.7 7.6 9.3 9.8 9.2 11.7 10.3 9.2 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 2/16/72 3/15/72 4/12/72 5/10/72 6/14/72 7/12/72 8/16/72 9/13/72 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS MONEY STOCK AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED B ! i-L ! ONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 245 billion? 240. I 240.9 240.5 241.2 242.5 241.3 240 235 230 225 5.97. TREND LINE FROM 220 7 zi 4 18 I IS 29 15 27 OCT 10 24 8 ZZ NOV 5 19 Z 16 t JAN FEB MAR IS 29 IZ 26 10 24 7 Z! 5 19 Z 16 30 13 27 APR 1971 1972 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK END INS-. SEPTEMBER 13, 1972 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE. COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 9/15/71 1/12/72 2/16/72 3/15/72 4/12/72 5/10/72 6/14/72 7/12/72 2.4 4.2 5.0 4.7 4.9 5.5 5.9 6.0 11.1 10.9 8.8 8.3 8.8 8.8 8.6 12.5 9.0 8.2 8.8 8.9 8.7 6.3 6.3 7.6 7.9 7.8 4.5 6.6 7.3 7.3 8.7 8.8 8.5 10.2 9.3 8.3 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING-. 2/16/72 3/15/72 4/12/72 5/10/72 6/14/72 7/12/72 8/16/72 9/13/72 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 6 TIME DEPOSITS ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS KCT TIME DEPOSITS* Mill 7 21 4 18 I IS 2S) 15 27 OCT 10 24 6 22 NOV S 19 2 I# JAN FEB I IS 29 II 2S Id 24 7 21 5 19 2 IS » 15 IT LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 13, 1972 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE. * NET TIME DEPOSITS ARE DEFINED AS: SAVINGS DEPOSITS, TIME DEPOSITS OPEN ACCOUNT PLUS TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT OTHER THAN NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF 8100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING C0M4ERCIAL BANKS. NET TIME DEPOSITS COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 9/15/71 1/12/72 2/16/72 3/15/72 4/12/72 5/10/72 6/14/72 17.0 17. 1 15.7 15.0 15. 1 14.9 14.2 14. 1 18.4 14.6 13.6 14.0 13.9 13.0 13.0 12. 1 11.5 12.6 12.8 1 1 .9 12.0 8.5 1 1.0 11.6 10.8 11.1 13.0 13.2 11.8 12.0 14.5 12.1 12.3 10.5 11.2 7/12/72 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS END 1NG: 2/16/72 3/15/72 4/12/72 5/10/72 6/14/72 7/12/72 8/16/72 9/13/72 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10. 1 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS MONEY STOCK PLUS TIME DEPOSITS AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 550 r=--- ----- ---- ONS OF DOLLARS ---- --- =i 550 MONEY STOCK PLUS TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS 39K 7 21 4 18 1 15 29 15 27 OCT 10 24 8 22 NOV 5 19 2 JAN FEB 18 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 15 27 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING, SEPTEMBER 13, 1972 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE. ** M* IS DEFINED AS, CURRENCY, DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (SEE PAGE 6). MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (M2) COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING, 9/15/71 1/12/72 2/16/72 3/15/72 4/12/72 5/10/72 6/14/72 7/12/72 9.5 10.5 10.2 9.8 9.9 10.2 10.0 10.0 14.5 12.6 1 1.2 11. 1 11.3 10.9 10.8 12. 1 10.3 10.4 10.8 10.4 10.4 7.6 8.8 9.6 9.4 9.5 9.0 10.0 9.7 9.7 11.5 10.5 10.4 10.4 10.3 9.4 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 2/16/72 3/15/72 4/12/72 5/10/72 6/14/72 7/12/72 8/16/72 9/13/72 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 8 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT large BILLIONS of DOLLARS 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 SEP commercial banks WEDNESDAY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED OCT NOV 8 22 5 19 2 16 JAN FEB 1 billions of dollars 15 29 12 26 10 24 5 19 2 16 30 15 27 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING*** . SEPTEMBER 13, 1972 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE. NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF 8100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONEY AND TIME DEPOSIT DATA 1972 JULY 5 12 19 26 AUG. 2 9 16 23 30 SEP. 6 13 20 27 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT BILLIONS NET TIME DEPOS1TS * 37.4 37.9 38.2 38.5 38.6 38.6 38.8 39.7 40.4 39.7 40.3 255.7 255.0 255.3 255.9 256.5 257.0 257.7 257.9 258.5 259.6 260.6 M2 m 493.7 495.8 495.0 495.4 496.2 497.2 498.6 498.4 499.8 502.2 501.9 * SEE FOOTNOTE PAGE 6. ** SEE FOOTNOTE PAGE 7. PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS SUBJECT TO RESERVE REQUIREMENTS (CREDIT PROXY ) AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BiLLIONS OF DOLLARS 405 395 385 375 CREDIT PROXY ADJUSTED 1/ 365 355 CREDIT PROXY 345 4 18 ! 15 29 13 27 10 24 OCT NOV 8 22 5 19 2 16 JAN FEB 1 13 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 3 19 2 16 50 13 27 1972 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK END INGi SEPTEMBER 13, 1972 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.9 RELEASE. V INCLUDES MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS, BANK-RELATED COMMERCIAL PAPER, EURODOLLAR BORROWINGS OF U.S. BANKS, AND CERTAIN OTHER NONDEPOSIT SOURCES. 1972 B.1U-IQNS -PfiQXY CRED1T PROXY ADJUSTED 384.0 385.7 384.3 386.0 386.9 388.2 388.2 389,8 388.7 390. 1 391.0 392.3 CRED1T AUG. 9 16 23 30 SEP. 6 13 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING SEPTEMBER 13, 1972 FROM THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING* CREDIT CREDIT PROXY PROXY A JUL. JUN. MAY APR. MAR. FEB. SEP. 12, 14, 10, 12, 15, 16, 15, 1972 1972 1972 1972 1972 1972 1971 10.6 11.0 8.7 9. 1 10.3 10,5 1 1 .7 11.9 10.7 10.0 10.3 11 .6 11.9 10.7 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES AVERAGES OF DAILY RArES ENDED FRIDAY PERCENT PERCENT 8.0 -- CORPORATE Aaa BONDS PRIME COMMERCIAL LOAN RATE MUNICIPAL DISCOUNT RATE THREE-MONTH TREASURY BILL MARKET YIELD 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 17 3! 14 JAN !! 25 10 24 JUL FEB AUG LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: SEPTEMBER 22, 1972 1972 7 14 21 28 AUG. 4 1] 18 25 SEP. 1 8 15 22 * 29 JULY I 1 CORPORATE Am BONDS 7.20 7.20 7.20 7.22 7.22 7.20 7. 19 7. 17 7. 16 7.19 7.23 7.23 3-MONTH TREASURY BILLS 3-5 YEAR GOVERNMENT SECURITIES LONG-TERM GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MUNICIPAL BONDS #* 4.05 4.03 3.92 3.93 3.79 3.85 3.89 4. 1 1 4.46 4.69 4.71 4.64 5.86 5.85 5.84 5.87 5.85 5.85 5.87 5.94 6. 1 1 6. 19 6.20 6. 13 5.61 5.59 5.56 5.54 5.51 5.48 5.53 5.56 5.62 5.66 5.68 5.68 5.43 5.44 5.41 5.35 5.32 5.24 5.22 5.32 5.38 5.39 5.38 N.A. 1______ W^BONdHuYER' SAVCTAGE 1 VnDEX' OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONDS, THURSDAY DATA. N.A. - NOT AVAILABLE http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS SELECTED SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY PERCENT PERCENT COMMERCIAL. PAPER 4-T0-6 MONTH 5.5 c FEDERAL FUNDS RATE 2 16 30 IS 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 17 3t 14 28 I JAN 25 10 24 7 21 5 IS 2 16 30 14 28 II 25 JUL FEB 8 22 AUG LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDINGt SEPTEMBER 22, 1972 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1972 JULY 7 14 21 28 AUG. 4 11 18 25 SEP. 1 8 15 22 * 29 PRIME COMMERC1AL PAPER 4-6 MONTH FEDERAL FUNDS PRIME BANKERS' ACCEPTANCES 90 DAY CD'S He* 4.88 4.88 4.88 4.80 4.73 4.70 4.85 4.88 4.95 5.09 5. 13 5.13 4.69 4.53 4.43 4.47 4.63 4.78 4.91 4.69 5. 13 4.44 4. 75 4.95 4.75 4.75 4.75 4.68 4,63 4.63 4.63 4.75 4.75 4.75 4.88 4.88 4.78 4.93 4.89 4.80 4.72 4.70 4.76 4.84 4.92 4.98 5.02 5. 1 1 * AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE. FEDERAL FUNDS uAST FIVE DAYS AVAILABLE 40K DATA ARE SECONDARY MARKET RATES, WEEKLY AVERAGES ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS EARLIER. CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.9 RELEASE. PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 12 v BORROWINGS AND FXCESS RESERVES ALL MEMBER BANKS IN THE NATION AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES billions of dollars billions of dollars 1 .2 BORROW INGS 0.8 0.4 -0.4 NET FREE RESERVES 0.8 - - 0.8 -I .2 1.2 0.8 EXCESS RESERVES — I I I I 4 18 OCT NOV 5 19 Z 10 JAN FEB I IS 29 12 26 10 24 MAR APR MAY 1972 7 21 5 10 JUN JUL 2 16 30 15 *7 AUG SEP LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING; SEPTEMBER 20, "972 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MILLIONS 1972 JULY 5 12 19 26 AUG. 2 9 16 23 30 SEP. 6 13 20 27 EXCESS RESERVES 328 223 147 79 242 130 254 40 280 835 74 246 BORROWINGS 312 227 173 172 363 287 382 348 477 838 149 719 FREE RESERVES - 16 4 26 93 121 157 128 308 197 3 223 473 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 0.4 -0.4