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Week ending: October 9r 1974

LIBRARY

JUN 0 8 1979


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

In recent months the monetary base has
continued to grow, although at a considerably reduced
rate compared to previous periods. For example, the
base has risen at about a 6 percent rate over the last
four months compared to about a 10 percent rate over
the period from early October of last year to early May
of this year.
In recent weeks the amount of business loans
at large commercial banks has stabilized at a very high
level following the rapid growth from December to early
September. As the monetary base has continued to grow
and the amount of business loans has leveled off, banks
have become less aggressive in bidding for large
certificates of deposits. Consequently, the market
rate on 90-day CDs has fallen from about 12.5 percent
to about 10.28 percent recently. Also the outstanding
volume of large CDs has increased much more slowly in
the last month, compared to its very rapid increase
from late March to late August.
The slackening in the growth of demand for
business loans and the continued growth of the monetary
base has resulted in a reduction in the prime bank loan
rate from 12 percent to 11.75 percent at most large
commercial banks. Other short-term interest rates have
also continued to decline in the last week. The yield
on prime 4-6 month commercial paper averaged 9.88
percent recently, compared to 11.63 percent one month
ago. Although rates on 3-raonth Treasury bills nave
risen somewhat in the past week, they still remain over
200 basis points below their average yields of a month
ago.

Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Released. October 77, 1974

MONETARY BASE

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
112 r------------ i----------- 1-----

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

---- -------- ----------

MILLIONS

1

15 28 12 26 10 24

7 21
NOV

5 18
DEC

2 15 30 15 27 13 27
FEB
MAR
APR

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK END I NIG ■ OCTOBER 9,

•

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDINGi
3/ 8/74
4/10/74
5/ 8/74
6/12/74
7/10/74
8/ 7/74
9/11/74
10/ 9/74


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

1/9/74

3/6/74

4/10/74

DEP0S1TS-

5/8/74

8 25

PUBLIC AND N0M4EMBER
F0R A DESCRIPTION

6/12/74

7/10/74

:1

9.1
8.3
7.6
7. 1
7.0

6. 1
5.9
5.7
5.8

8/7/74

•' i *

..
11.3
9.2
8.6
8. 1
7.5
7.4

14 28 11 23
AUG
SEP

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGi

■

7.6
8.9
8.2
7.9
7.6
7.3
7.2

5 17 51

held by the

' •' j - 9.0
9.1
9.7
9. 1
8.8
8.5
8.2
8.0

5 18

1974

BANK reserves and currency
BASESSEE THE AUGUST•REVIEW^^H^BAWr8

10/10/73

22

6.0
5.8
5.9

i -• ■ i ’

5.4
5.6

5.7

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOU IS

112

MULTIPLIER^
FEDERAL RESERVE CRED I T 2/
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

RATIO

RATIO

MULTIPLIER

■LSI-1
sep:

BAH Q

2§

I

ii. 1111
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK EHJINGi OCTOBER 2,

1974

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
iOQ--------------,---------- t------

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

---- -------- ----------

100

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
OCTOBER 9, 1974 FROM
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDINGi
AUG.
JUL.
JUN.
MAY
APR.
JAN.
OCT.

7,
10,
12,
8,
10,
9,
30,

1974
1974
1974
1974
3974
1974
1973

12.8
10.0
10.1
11.5
11.9
9.6
9.9

FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT

iaZl

1

IS

AUG

29 1Z 29 10 24 7 21

5 19

2 16 30 13 27 13 27 10

SEP

DEC

JAN

OCT

NOV

FEB

MAR

APR

24

8 22

3 19

3 17 31

MILLIONS

14 26 11

AUG

23

9 23

SEP

1973
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGi OCTOBER 9,

1974

1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK (Ml) / MONETARY BASE.
2/

T0 INCLUDE HOLDINGS OF SECURITIES. LOANS. FLOAT AND •'OTHER"

classes oPbanksP" dataware-*seasonally aSju1tedA8vEthisDban<? shifts


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

A<y?PT<5

An ilicTrn cno

in dep6sits

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

3

DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
billions of

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

dollars

billions of dollars

225 r

214.2
215.2
214.6
214.8
214.0
214.9

1

13 29 12 28 10 24

7 21

3 19

NOV

DEC

2 10 30 13 27

13 27

10 24

8 22

3 19

3 17 31

M 26 11 25

AUG

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGi OCTOBER 2,

0 23

SEP

1974

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE ,

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS END 1NG>

10/3/73

1/2/74

2/27/74

4/3/74

5/1/74

6/5/74

5.9
6.3
6.2
6.2
6.3
5.5
5.1
4.4

3.5
3.8
4.4
4.8
3.9
3.6
2.9

6.8
6.7
6.7
5.1
4.4
3.5

5.9
6.2
4.2
3.6
2.6

6.7
4.0
3.3
2. 1

2.5
2.1
0.9

7/3/74

7/31/74

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
END 1NGi
2/27/74
4/ 3/74
5/ 1/74
6/ 5/74
7/ 3/74
7/31/74
9/ 4/74
10/ 2/74

4

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

0.0
-0.9

-0.5

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONEY STOCK

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS

DOLLARS

of

BILLIONS
279.8
280.9

280.6
_

OCT

280.8
280.0
280.8
6.77. TREND LINE
FROM 1ST QUARTER '70
TO 2ND QUARTER '74

1

15 29 12 26 10 24

7 21
NOV

5 19

2 16 30 13 27

DEC

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. OCTOBER 2,

13 27 10 24

MAR

8 22

5 10

3 17 31

APR

14 28 11

AUG

25

9 23

SEP

1974

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE.

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE ,

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGi

10/3/73

1/2/74

2/27/74

4/3/74

5/1/74

0/5/74

7/3/74

7/31/74

7.0
7.4
7.4
7.2
7.2
6.5
6.2
5.6

5.1
5.6
5.8
6.0
5.1
5.0
4.3

8.1
7.5
7.5
5.9
5.6
4.7

6.9
7.0
5.1
4.9
4.0

6.9
4.4
4.3
3.4

3. 1
3.5
2.4

1.9
1.0

1.9

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING.
2/27/74
4/ 3/74
5/ 1/74
6/ 5/74
7/ 3/74
7/31/74
9/ 4/74
10/ 2/74


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES
AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PERCENT

PERCENT
13.5
13.0

90 DAY CD
12.5

12.0
11.5

11.0
10.5
COMMERCIAL PAPER

RIME BANK
OAN RATE

10.0
9.5
9.0
8.5

CORPORATE Aaa BONDS

8.0
7.5
7.0
6.5

6.0
5.5
5.0

MUNICIPAL
BONDSMW

4.5

3 17 31

14 26 12 23

9 23

7 21

DEC

«

4 1

JAN

0
1

15

FEB

1

15 29 12 26 10 24

1973

7 21

JUN

5 19

JUL

2 10 30 13 27

1974

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING. OCTOBER 11,

1974
AUG.

SEP.

OCT.

2
9
16
23
30
6
13
20
27
4
11 X
18
25

11 25

90 DAY
CD'S MOW

PRIME
COMMERCIAL
PAPER
4-6 MONTH

11.99
12.05
12.11
12.24
12.48
12.30
12.00
11.89
11.16
10.87
10.28

11.23
11.48
11.63
11.80
11.85
1 1.72
11.63
11.25
10.58
10.18
9.88

PRIME
BANKERS'
ACCEPTANCES
12.00
12.00
12.08
12.16
12. 10
11.79
11.46
10.95
10.36
9,79
9.55

1974

CORPORATE
Aaa BONDS

MUNICIPAL
BONDS MW

8.86
8.93
8.98
9.03
9.08
9.13
9.20
9.29
9.32
9.37
9.40

6.70
6.58
6.6!
6.73
6.91
6.88
6.79
6.76
6.62
6.68
N. A.

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.
MW BOND BUYER'S AVERAGE INDEX OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONDS. THURSDAY DATA.
MOW SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES OF SECONDARY MARKET RATES FOR THE WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS
EARLIER THAN DATES SHOWN.
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.9 RELEASE.
N.A. - NOT AVAILABLE


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

SELECTED SHORT-TERM

INTEREST RATES

AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PERCENT

PERCENT
M.O
13.5
13.0
12.5

12.0
11.5

11.0
10.5

FEDERAL FUNDS RATE

10.0
9.5
9.0
8.5

THREE-MONTH TREASURY
BILL MARKET YIELD

8.0
7.5

DISCOUNT RATE

7.0
6.5

3

17 31

14 28

SEP

12 26

9 23

OCT

7 21
DEC

4 18

JAN

1

13

1

IS 29 12 26 10 2

5 19

2 16 30 13 27 11 23

FEB

SEP

0

OCT

1973
LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDINGi OCTOBER 11,

1974
AUG.

SEP.

OCT.

2
9
16
23
30
6
13
20
27
4
11 X
18
25

FEDERAL
FUNDS xx

3-MONTH
TREASURY
BILLS

3-5 YEAR
GOVERNMENT
SECURITIES

LONG-TERM
GOVERNMENT
SECURITIES

12.29
12.09
12.02
12.23
11.84
11.64
11.48
11.41
11.12
11.04
10.43

7.84
8.75
8.75
9.29
9.37
9.34
9.10
7.64
6.81
6.64
6.92

8.55
8.59
8.58
8.69
8.69
8.61
8.52
8.35
8.14
8. 13
7.93

7.24
7.31
7.35
7.30
7.36
7.33
7.31
7.31
7.27
7.31
7.27

1974

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.
mt SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES FOR WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS EARLIER THAN DATE SHOWN.
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS 1 H.9 RELEASE.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

7

TIME DEPOSITS
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS

NET TIME DEPOSITS*

1

15 29 12 26 10 24

7 21
NOV

S 18

2 16 SO 13 27

DEC

FEB

13 27 10 24

8 22

3 19

3 17 31

MAR

14 28 11 23
AUG
SEP

9 23

1974

1973
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. OCTOBER 2,

1974

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’

H.6 RELEASE.

* NET TIME DEPOSITS ARE DEFINED AS. SAVINGS DEPOSITS. TIME DEPOSITS OPEN ACCOUNT PLUS TIME
CERT IFI CATES OF DEPOSIT OTHER THAN NEGOTIABLE TIME dERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN
DENOMINATIONS OF *100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.

NET TIME DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,
10/3/73

1/2/74

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING.

2/27/74

4/3/74

3/1/74

7.3
7.2
8.4
8.7
8.7
8.0

7.5
9. 1
9.4
9.2
8.2

9.4
9.7
9.4
8.2

6/5/74

7/3/74

7/31/74

9.5
7.4

6.1

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING.
2/27/74
4/ 3/74
5/ 1/74
6/ 3/74
7/ 3/74
7/31/74
9/ 4/74
10/ 2/74


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

14.5
12.9
12.3
11.5
1 1.6
11.5
11.2
10.6

12.4
11.4
10.3
10.7
10.6
10.4
9.6

11.5
10.5
8.6

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONEY STOCK PLUS TIME DEPOSITS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BSLLiONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

MONEY STOCK PLUS TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS **■

1

15 29 12 2« tO 24

7 21

3 19

NOV

DEC

2 16 30 13 27

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. OCTOBER 2,

13 27 10

MAR

6 22

5 19

3 17 31

M 26 II 23

AUG

APR

9 23

SEP

1974

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE.
3BK M2 IS DEFINED AS. CURRENCY, DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (SEE PAGE 8).

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS 1 M2 >
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGs

10/3/73

1/2/74

2/27/74

4/3/74

5/1/74

8/5/74

7/3/74

7/31/74

10.9
10.3
10.0
9.5
9.5
9.1
8.8
8.2

8.9
8.7
8.2
8.5
8.0
7.8
7.1

7.8
7.3
8.0
7.3
7.2
6.4

7.2
8. 1
7.3
7. 1
6.2

8. 1
7.0
6.9
5.8

7.4
7.1
5.6

5.7
4.3

4. 1

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING.
2/27/74
4/ 3/74
5/ 1/74
8/ 5/74
7/ 3/74
7/31/74
9/ 4/74
10/ 2/74


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

*'

#~r

-• •-’^'CeRINP*CATES?'OF DEPOSIT
LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS -

BILLIONS Of DOLLARS
92

T-- ----

90

WEDNESDAY FIGURES
NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
1
1

1—----|

92
—

...

90

-

88
86

88

-

f

-

80
78

~

-

-----

—

84
—

_L_

32

-

—

80

-

/

76

72
70
88

-

j

_

/

- /

74
72
__

70
—

68

-

64

B

0

AUG

SEP

OCT
1973

1 1 1

l l 1 JJ_LL 1 I 1

1 1 1

111 _LL11 JJJ JJJJ _i_LL J_LL JIM T

NOV

DEC

MAR

APR

JAN

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. OCTOBER 2.

MAY

JUN
1974

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

1974

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE.
donations of

*100.000

BILLIONS
CERTIFICATES
NET TIME
OF DEPOSIT
DEPOSITS*

ms

SIekly^orti^CcomIcrciAPaANKsf °S!T ,SSUED ,N

1974
AUG.

7
14
21
28
SEP.
4
1 1
18
25
OCT.
2
9
16
23
30

CERTIFICATES
OF DEPOSIT
NOT SfcAS. ADJ.
86.0
86.9
87.8
88.4
88. 4
88.9
88. 1
89. 1
89.6

84.9
84.7
84.6
84.3
85.0
85.9
85.8
86.5
86.5

320.5
321.5
321.3
322.0
322.2
322. 1
322.5
322.2
323.3

or more by large

m

501.5
602.7
602. 4
60! .8
603. 1
002.7
603.2
602.1
604.1

i

SEE FOOTNOTE PAGE 8
SEE FOOTNOTE PAGE 9
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST.

10

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

76

-

66

Jill. _LLL -Mil

78

-

)
T
1

~
-

-

/

...

74

86

i
|

84
82

—

CIS

66
64
0

■!

.1 p ■:;

i;.H

0 rj

BORROW INGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS

- ........ '

'ALL MEMBER BANKS

1371

IN THE NAT I ON

AVERAGES OF DA I LY F I 6URES

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
4.5

MILLIONS

AUG. 28
SEP.
4
11
18
25
OCT.
2

4.0

3533
3906
3085
2921
3531
3218
2245

3.5
3.0
2.5

2.0

BORROWINGS

1.5

1.0
1

13 28 12 26 10 24

7 21

5 19

NOV

DEC

2 16 30 13 27

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGi OCTOBER 9.

13 27

10 24

• 22

3 19

3 17 31

MAR

14 28 11 23

AUG

9 23

0.5

SEP

1974

BUSINESS LOANS
( COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL )

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
134 --------------.----------- .----—
—
—
_

WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
----------------- -------------- 134

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
OCTOBER 2, 1974 FROM
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING.
13.0
21.5

20.8
_

MAY

19.2
24.5
24.6
18.8

'
BUSINESS LOANS

AUG. 21

| | OCT.
1

13 29 12 26 10 24

7 21

3 19

NOV

DEC

2 16 30 13 27 13 27 10 24

FEB

MAR

OCTOBER 2,

1974

6 22

3 19

3 17 31

128,490
14 26 11

25

9 23

APR
1974

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

11

FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS
P. O. BOX 442
ST. LOUIS. MISSOURI 63166

FIRST CLASS MAIL
U. S. POSTAGE

PAID
RETURN POSTAGE GUARANTEED

PERMIT

FIRST CLASS (HAIL

MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS
SUBJECT TO RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
(CREDIT PROXY )
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
505

- COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,
r AVERAGE OF THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
- OCTOBER 2, 1974 FROM THE FOUR
- WEEKS EICINGi
CREDIT
CREDIT
PROXY
=
proxy
Aeuusra.

495

= JUL

CREDIT PROXY ADJUSTED

485

1/

APR

475

10.0

465

455

CREDIT
■PROXY

CREDIT
PROXY
ADJUSTED.
445

CREDIT PROXY ~
489.2

435

479.9

1

13 29

12

26

10 24

7 21

3

NOV

DEC

19

2

16 30

13 27

13 27

10 24

• 22

1/

12

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

19

3

IT 31

14 26

AUG

1973

11

23

9 23

SEP

1974

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENOINGi OCTOBER 2,
CURRENT DATA APPEAR

3

1974

IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’

H.9 RELEASE.

INCLUDES MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS, BATK-RELATED COMMERCIAL PAPER, EURODOLLAR BORROWINGS OF
U.S. BANKS, AND CERTAIN OTHER NONDEPOSIT SOURCES.
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS