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Week ending: May 3, 1978

LIBRARY

DEC " S 197?
Interest rates have risen sharply in the past two weeks, as indicated in the
table below. The largest increases have been in short-term interest rates. The
Federal funds rate rose 49 basis points from the average of the week ending April 21
of this year to the average of rates available this week. The Federal funds rate had
fluctuated within a narrow range around 6.75 percent since the beginning of the year
(see page 7).

SELECTED INTEREST RATES
Period
(Average of
Rates for Week
Ending)

3-5 Year
Treasury
Securities

Long-Term
Treasury
Securities

6.93

7.87

8.20

6.39

7.15

8.01

8.29

+0.17

+0.22

+0.14

+0.09

3-Month
Treasury
Bills

Federal
Funds

90 Day
CD's

April 21

6.78

6.94

6.22

May 5*

7.27

7.24

Change

+0.49

+0.30

1-Year
Treasury
Bill

* Average of rates available.

From early this year until the week ending April 21 the spread between the
Federal funds rate and the discount rate remained at about 25 basis points. Member
bank borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks were about $500 million at the start of
this year and drifted downward to an average of $275 million in the four weeks ending
April 19. As the spread between the Federal funds rate and the discount rate has
widened (to about 75 basis points in the most recent week) member bank borrowings
have risen sharply, averaging $1.7 billion in the week ending May 3. This pattern is
similar to that of mid-August and mid-October of last year — when the Federal funds
rate rose sharply, the spread between the funds rate and the discount rate widened to
about 75 basis points, and member bank borrowings surged upward.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Released. May 5, 1978

MONETARY BASE

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
138 ------ 1-----,-19Z&
__MAR.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
-- ----- ------ 138

BILLIONS
133.5
133.4
133.4
134. 1
133.8
134.6

— MAY

2 16 30 13 27 11

APR

25

22

6 20

3 17 31

H 28 12 26

MAY

9 23

7 21

4 18

1

DEC

JAN

FEB

15

1

15 29 12 26 10 24

1678
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MAY 3, 1978
THE
MONETARY BASE
CONSISTS
OF MEMBER
RESERVES
FEDERAL
RESERVE ranks
AMI ADJ
rilRRFWTY
IN CIRCULATION
(CURRENCY
HELD
BY THE BANK
PUBLIC
AND IN AT
THE THE
VAULTS
OF COMMERCIAL
BAMCS)
uItfd
FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIO CHANGES AND SHIFTS IN THE SAME TYPE OFDEPOSITS BETWEEN BANKS
ccnciAp DciciwJ RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIOS APPLY. THE MAJOR SOURCES OF THE MONETARY BASE ARE
FEDERAL RESERVE
AND BASE
THE GOLD
STOCK. DATA
BY THIS BANK
BANK OFA sf!
DFTAltFn
SCRIPTION
OF THE CREDIT
MONETARY
IS AVAILABLE
FROMARE
THE COMPUTED
FEDERAL RESERVE
LOUIS?IN­

MONETARY BASE
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
5/4/77
8/3/77 10/5/77 11/2/77 11/30/77
1/4/78
2/1/78
3/1/78
TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
10/ 5/77
11/ 2/77
11/30/77
1/ 4/78
2/ 1/78
3/ 1/78
4/ 5/78
5/ 3/78

2

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

8.9
9.0
8.9
8.9
9.5
9.6
9.0
8.9

9.2
9.0
9. 1
9.9
10.0
9. 1
9.0

9.0
9.1
10.4
10.4
9.1
9.0

8.9
10.7
10.6
9.1
8.9

11.7
11.3
9.2
9.0

12.6
9.2
8.9

6.8
7.2

5.8

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MULTIPLIER*/
ADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT*/
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

RATIO

RATIO
2.9

2.8

2.8

2.8

2.7

2.7

MULTI PLIER

2.6

2.6

2.5

2.5

2.4

2.4

2.5

’

2.2
'

5JJ I 1 J1 1
-LI 1 JJ 1 J -I 1 1 -1II1

1 1 1 -LJ..J Jill

1

\

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 26, 1978

U378
. 22
APR . *5
12
i§

RATH1

MAR

2.3

a
) — 2.2
3
—LL.JL
i
Mill
1 J 1 1
J 1 1 Llli_lb

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
120 ------ ■-----,--

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
-- ----- ------ 120

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
— OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING

1978
1978

FEB.

ADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT

-- AUG.
_ MAY

137&

BILLIONS

MAR. 2!

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
1977
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MAY 3, 1978

NOV

DEC

4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24
JAN

FEB

1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK (Ml ) / MONETARY BASE.
2/ andEother^assets?^Eadjusted'federalPreserve^cred/t isLco£puted ^CsuBTRAct.J^A^J.L^T
WHERE DIFFERENT RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIOS APPLY?

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

DATaIEI COMPUTEd'bY TWSBhS?**

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

3

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET

TIME DEPOSITS (M2)

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
835

BILLIONS
MAR.

22

830

821.6
821.9
823.7

825
-3 820

827.7
829.4

-g 815
810
805
800
795
790
785
780
775
770
785
760
755
750

2 16 30 19 27

APR

11

25

8 22

6 20

3 17 31

MAY

14 28 12 26

SEP

9 23

7 21

OCT

4 18

JAN

1

15

1

15 29 12 26 10 24

FEB

1977

1978

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 26, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (M2)
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
4/27/77

7/27/77

9.2
9.4
8.8
8.3
8.5
8. 1
7.9
8. 1

9.2
8.2
7.6
8.0
7.5
7.2
7.6

9/28/77 10/26/77 11/23/77 12/28/77

1/25/78

3/1/78

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
9/28/77
10/26/77
11/23/77
12/28/77
1/25/78
3/ 1/78
3/29/78
4/26/78

4


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

7.7
6.9
7.6
7.P
6.1
7.3

5.4
6.8
6.3
6.1
6.8

7.6
6.6
6.3
7.1

7. 1
6.5
7.6

5.0
6.8

8. 1

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

0

MONEY STOCK ( Ml )
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

350

BILLIONS
341.3
341.8
344.0

345

346.4
340

335

330

325

320

315

2 16 30 13 27 11

APR

25

8 22

6 20

3 17 31

14 28 12 26

MAY

8 23

DEC

4 18

1

JAN

FEB

15

1

15 28 12 26 10 24

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 26, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.
THE MONEY STOCK CONSISTS OF DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS CURRENCY AND COIN HELD BY THE NONBANK PUBLIC.

MONEY STOCK (Mi )
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
4/27/77
7/27/77 9/28/77 10/26/77 11/23/77 12/28/77 1/25/78
3/1/78
TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
9/28/77
10/26/77
11/23/77
12/28/77
1/25/78
3/ 1/78
3/29/78
4/26/78


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

7.4
8,0
6.9
6.8
7.3
6.4
6. 1
6.9

9. 1
6.8
6.7
7.4
6.2
5.8
6.9

5.4
5.8
7.1
5.4
5.0
6.6

3.3
5.7
4. 1
3.9
5.8

8.6
5.4
4.8
7.0

4.9
4.2
7.2

1.2
5.9

9.8

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES
AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PERCENT

PERCENT

10.0 r—

—

10.0

9.5

9.5

9.0

9.0

8.5

8.5
CORPORATE

Aaa

BONDS

8.0

8.0

7.5

7.5

7.0

PRIME BANK
LOAN RATE

7.0

90 DAY CD'SJBBi

6.5

6.5

COMMERCIAL PAPER
MUNICIPAL
BONDS**

6.0

6.0

5.5

5.5

5.0

5.0

4.5

4.5

0
4 18

1

15 29 13 27 10 24

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

8 22

JUL

5 19

AUG
1977

2 16 30 14

SEP

OCT

26 11

25 © 25

NOV

DEC

6 20

5 17

3 17 31 14 28 12 26

JAN

FEB

MAR
1978

APR

MAY

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: MAY 5, 1978

1978
MAR.

3
10
17
24
31
APR.
7
14
21
28
MAY
5 X
12
19
26

90 DAY
CD’S xe&£

PRIME
COMMERCIAL
PAPER
4-6 MONTH

ACCEPTANCES

CORPORATE
Aaa BOWS

MUNICIPAL
BONDS mt

6.88
6,87
6., 83
6.84
6.86
6.95
6,99
6.94
7.14
7.24

6.80
6.79
6.79
6.80
6.80
6.83
6.85
6.86
6.91
6.99

6.80
6.80
6.80
6.76
6.80
6.85
6.84
6.92
7.06
7.16

8.49
8.48
8.45
8.45
8.48
0.53
8.56
8.57
8.59
8.60

5.63
5.58
5.58
5.59
5.69
5.76
5.74
5.79
5.89
N. A.

PRIME

BANKERS’

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.
X* BOND BUYER’S AVERAGE INDEX OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONOS, THURSDAY DATA.
*ee« SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES OF SECONDARY MARKET RATES FOR THE WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS
EARLIER THAN DATES SHOWN. CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.9 RELEASE.
N.A. - NOT AVAILABLE

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

0

SELECTED INTEREST RATES
AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PERCENT
8.5 ---

PERCENT
— 8.5

3-5 YEAR
TREASURY SECURITIES

FEDERAL FUNDS RATE

DISCOUNT RATE

y V x

'A

J_L

THREE-MONTH TREASURY
BILL MARKET YIELD

✓

J_L

4 18

1

MAR

APR

111

15 29 13 27 10 24

MAY

JUN

J_L 111

11

S 22

2 16 30 14 28 11

JUL

5 IS

AUG
19 77

SEP

I I I I

±1
OCT

25

NOV

B 23

DEC

11
_LL
6 20 3
JAN

17

JJ_14 28111
12 26

3 17 31

FEB

MAR
APR
1978
LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: MAY 5, 1978

1978
MAR.

3
10
17
24
31
APR.
7
14
21
28
MAY
5 *
12
19
26

FEDERAL
FUNDS JO*

3-MONTH
TREASURY
BILLS

1-YEAR
TREASURY
BILL

3-5 YEAR
TREASURY
SECUR1T1ES

LONG-TERM
TREASURY
SECURITIES

6.80
6.76
6.77
6.77
6.82
6.86
6.74
6.78
7.00
7.27

6.39
6.29
6.27
6.22
6.34
6.37
6.29
6.22
6.26
6.39

6.84
6.81
6.80
6.77
6.89
6.94
6.91
6.93
7.06
7.15

7.78
7.77
7.72
7.71
7.83
7.87
7.87
7.87
7.98
8.01

8. 1 1
8.09
8.06
8.06
8.16
8.21
8.23
8.20
8.27
8.29

MAY

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.

**
SSISnrflfB&Trc 1^&VI8^Sy’'8.8A&!i2k!“ TH“I MTE s™“Su%LBT:\EMWSffi,TR'6I^ISS,RE CO“,UTEO *Y ™E FE0ERAL RESEBV£ ="* 0F

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

ST- L0UIS-

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

NET TIME DEPOSITS
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
495

BILLIONS
490
485

481.9
483.0
483.0

480
475
470
465
460
455
450
445
440
435

2 16 30 13 27 11

APR

25

8 22

6 20

3 17 31

14 28 12 26

0 23

7 21

MAY

4 18

1

JAN

FEB

15

1

15 29 12 26 10 24

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 26, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE.
*NET TIME DEPOSITS ARE DEFINED AS: SAVINGS DEPOSITS, TIME DEPOSITS OPEN ACCOUNT PLUS TIME
CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT OTHER THAN NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN
DENOMINATIONS OF 6100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.

NET TIME DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
4/27/77

7/27/77

9/28/77 10/26/77 11/23/77 12/28/77

1/25/78

3/1/78

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
9/28/77
10/26/77
11/23/77
12/28/77
1/25/78
3/ 1/78
3/29/78
4/26/78

8

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

10.6
10.4
10.2

9.4
9.4
9.3
9. 1
8.9

9.3
9.2
8.2
8.4
8.4
8.3
8.1

9.2
7.6
8.0
8. 1
7.9
7.8

6.8
7.6
7.8
7.7

7.5

7.0

7.5

8.9

7.4

8,3

7.8

7.3

7.9

7.5

6.9

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
260

BILLIONS
249.8
250.3
255

253.2
253.5
255.0

250

245

240

235

2 16 30 13 27 11

APR

25

B 22

6 20

3 !7 31

14 28 12 26

9 23

4 16

1

15 29 12 26 10 24

MAY

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 26, 1976
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
4/27/77
7/27/77 9/28/77 10/26/77 11/23/77 12/28/77 1/25/78
3/1/78
TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
9/28/77
10/26/77
11/23/77
12/28/77
1/25/78
3/ 1/78
3/29/78
4/26/78


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

6.7
7.5
6.0
5.8
6.4
5.2
4.8
6.0

6.9
5.8
5.5
6.5
4.8
4.3
6.0

4.0
4.3
6.0
3.7
3.2
5.6

0.9
4. 1
1.9
1.6
4.6

7.7
3.5
2.8
6.1

2.8
2.1
6.6

-1.8
5.1

10.9

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

CURRENCY COMPONENT
OF MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
94 ------ 1-----,---

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
--- ----- ------ 94

BILLIONS
90.9
91.0
90.9
90.8
91.2
91.4

2 16 90 13 27 II 25

APR

8 22

6 20

3 17 31

MAY

14 28 12 26

SEP

OCT

0 23

7 21

4 18

DEC

JAN

I

15

1

.him

15 20 12 26 10 24

FEB
1978

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 26, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

CURRENCY

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
4/27/77

7/27/77

9/28/77 10/26/77 11/23/77 12/28/77

1/25/78

3/1/78

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
9/28/77
10/26/77
11/23/77
12/28/77
1/25/78
3/ 1/78
3/29/78
4/26/78

10


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

9.3
9.6
9.6
9.8
9.9
10.0
9.9
9.6

9.7
9.7
10.0
10.1
10.3
10.1
9.7

10.2
10.6
10.6
10.7
10.5
9.8

10.4
10.5
10.6
10.3
9.6

11.0
11.0
10.6
9.7

10.9
10.3
9.3

10.1
8.8

7.4

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

BORROWINGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS
ALL MEMBER BANKS
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
2.5

iwn
APR ..

-

MAY

1.5

5
12
19
26
3

oeo
304
172
239
809
1665

.

-

V

.

i

Ly'

V

A

-LI 1 1 -LI 1 J 1 1
9 1A *i in o
MAR

A
p

LA\r V
______

1

0.5

cn

£

111

1.0

MILLION

1111

1SZ&

_
-

BILLIONS Of DOLLARS
2.5

1

'TTTT TTTT

2.0

1

APR

MAY

1 1 1 1

1 1 1

jin

111

111 Jill

JUN

JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
1977
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MAY 3, 1978

NOV

1 1 1 J-J.,1 J .1.1
DEC

JAN

1.5

1.0

0.5

A

V

■

2.0

m i . -LULL.

=
-

IN THE NATION

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

i i 11 J 11 JJJ 1
1 15 28 12 26 10 24

FEB

MAR
1978

APR

MAY

BUSINESS LOANS

( COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL )

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
132 ------ ----- --

WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
-- ----- ------ 132

_ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF
— THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
— APRIL 26, 1978 FROM
— THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING: .
“ MAR.
— JAN.
— DEC.
— NOV.
_ OCT.
JUL.
.— APR.

MAR

1,
25,
28,
23,
26,
27,
27,

APR

1978
1978
1977
1977
1977
1977
1977

MAY

19.4
20.8
17.8
14.1
14.1
12.4
10.8

MAR. 22

.

APR.

5

'

JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
1977
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 26, 1978


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

JUN

■

4 18

DEC

JAN

Mill
1

15

1

15 28 12 26 10 24

FEB

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

11

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT
LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
WEDNESDAY FIGURES
NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
84

BILL1PDB
MAR.

82

80.5

-- APR.

81.6
81.0
80.9
81.3

80
78
76
74
72
70

68
66
64
62
60

2

16 30 13 27

APR

11

25

8 22

6 20

3 17 31

MAY

14 28 12 26

SEP

OCT

9 23

7 21

4

DEC

JAN

1977

18

1

15

1

15 29 12 26 10 24

FEB
1978

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 26, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.
NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF #100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE
WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS