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Week ending: May 14, 1975
The shape of the yield curve for U. S. Government
securities has shifted marxedly over the last year (see page
At this time last year the yields on short-maturity
Treasury securities exceeded yields on long-term Government
bonds. By mid-1974 yields on Treasury bills had declined,
but there had been little change in yields on intermediate
and long-term Government securities. By the end of the year
the yield curve had changed considerably from the previous
April. Bill rates continued to fall and there were
substantial declines in yields on intermediate maturity
securities. As a result, the yield curve was reasonably
rlat out to the longer maturity area.
1Z)'

Since the end of 1974, the yield curve has
changed further. Bill rates have fallen sharply while
yields on intermediate maturities have risen. In general,
the current yield curve is steeply upward sloping out to
about two years and then rises less rapidly through the
intermediate maturity range. The exception to this pattern
is a noticeable dip in the yield curve at about the 12-year
maturity range. At the end of April 1975, this dip covered
a broader range of maturities extending back to about the 6year area. This dip has narrowed recently as the Treasury
scheduled part of its financing in the immediate area by
auctioning $1.5 billion of seven-year notes.
In April of last year, banks faced a strong
demand for credit, the prime rate rose rapidly, and banks
reduced their demand for Government securities in an attempt
to take advantage of higher yields on loans. In addition,
the Federal funds rate was rising rapidly making sales of
Federal funds a more profitable use of reserves than
purchases of short-term Government securities. Also, the
rise in the Federal funds rate made it very costly to carry
Treasury bills with borrowed reserves. This year the
situation has been reversed, with business loan demand
falling rapidly and the prime rate and Federal funds rate
both registering sharp declines.
So far this year, large commercial banks have
offset the reduction in their business loans by acquiring
intermediate-term Government securities. From the 4 weeks
ended January 1 to the 4 weeks ended flay 7, commercial and
industrial loans at weekly reporting large commercial banks,
on a nonseasonally adjusted basis, have fallen by $5.8
billion, and their holdings of Government securities have
risen $4.8 billion. Of this increase in banks' holdings of
Government debt, $4 oillion was in the 1—5 year maturity
catagory.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Released: May 16, 1975

MONETARY BASE

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

2


BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
118

MILLIONS
116

114

112

110

108

106

#20

3 17

MAR

APR

1 15 29 12 26 10 23

7 21

AUG
1974

3 18

2 16 30 13 27 11 23

SEP

NOV

6 22

DEC

5 19

3 19

FEB

MAR
1975

2 16 30 13 26

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGs MAY 14, 1975
THE MONETARY BASE CONSISTS OF MEMBER BANK RESERVES AT THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS AND CURRENCY
IN CIRCULATION (CURRENCY HELD BY THE PUBLIC AND IN THE VAULTS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS), ADJUSTED
FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIO CHANGES AW) SHIFTS IN THE SAME TYPE OF DEPOSITS BETWEEN BANKS
WHERE DIFFERENT RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIOS APPLY. THE MAJOR SOURCES OF THE MONETARY BASE ARE
FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT AND THE GOLD STOCK. DATA ARE COMPUTED BY THIS BANK. A DETAILED DE­
SCRIPTION OF THE SOURCES AND USES OF THE MONETARY BASE IS AVAILABLE AS REPRINT NO. 31 FROM
THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS.

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING)
5/15/74

8/14/74 10/18/74 11/13/74 12/11/74

1/15/75

2/12/75

3/12/75

5.6
7. 1
5.2

9.9
6.6

4.8

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDINGi
10/16/74
11/13/74
12/11/74
1/15/75
2/12/75
3/12/75
4/16/75
5/14/75

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

7.4
7.5
8.1
7.4
6.7
7.0
7.3
6.7

*
9.5
10. 1
8.5
7.3
7.7
7.9
7.0

10.0
7.4
5.8
6.7
7.2
6.1

6.9
5.0
6.3
7.0
5.8

2.2
4.7
6.0
4.7

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MULTIPLIER 1/
FEDERAL
RESERVE CREDIT*/
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

RATIO

RATIO

MULTIPLIER

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MAY 7, 1975
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

i 106
~

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF
--THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
-

MAY 14, 1975 FROM

THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING:

— MAR. 12

1975

34.1

JAN. 15
DEC. 11

1974

1975

19.5

MAY

15, 1974

15.1

FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT

12.1

1975

8 20

3 17

MAR

APR

1

15 29 12 28 10 23

7 21

3 18

AUG

SEP

2 16 30 13 27 11

NOV

25

8 22

DEC

5 19

5 19

FEB

MAR

2 16 30 13 26

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MAY 14, 1975
1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK (Ml ) / MONETARY BASE.
2/ DEFINED TO INCLUDE HOLDINGS OF SECURITIES, LOANS, FLOAT AND "OTHER11 ASSETS, ADJUSTED
FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIO CHANGES AND SHIFTS IN THE SAME TYPE OF DEPOSITS BETWEEN
BANKS WHERE DIFFERENT RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIOS APPLY.
DATA ARE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
BY THIS BANK.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Ef TED

BY FEDERAL

RESERVE

BANK

OF

ST.

LOUIS

MONEY STOCK
PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
1 ^
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
645 l------------------------------------------- ________________ ____________ ____ _________

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
-- !------T--- -1 645

BILLIONS
629.7
631.0
631.8
631.0
632.0
634.3

6 20
MAR

3 17
APR

1 15 29 12 28 10 24 7 21
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG

4 11
SEP

2 16 30 13 27 11 23

NOV

8 22

DEC

1974
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MAY 7,

3 19

5 19

FEB

MAR

2 16 30 14 28

19

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (M2)
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
5/8/74

8/7/74

5.9
6.7
7.1
6.2
6. 1
6.7
7.2
7.2

6.0
7.0
5.6
5.5
6.5
7.2
7. 1

10/9/74

11/6/74

12/4/74

5.0
4.9
6.8
7.9
7.7

2.7
5.8
7.3
7.3

1/8/75

2/5/75

8.9
9.8
9.2

10.6

3/5/75

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
END ING:
10/
11/
12/
1/
2/
3/
4/
5/

9/74
6/74
4/74
8/75
5/75
5/75
9/75
7/75

4

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

10.7
6.9
6.4
7.6
8.3
8.2

12.2

9. 4

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONEY STOCK

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

PILLION?

287.5
288.4
287.4
287.5
289.3

6 20

5 17

1

15 29 12 2« tO 24

7 21

4 16

AUG

SEP

2 15 50 13 27 11 25

NOV

5 22

DEC

5 19

5 19

FEB

MAR

2 15 50 14 25

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MAY 7, 1975
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.
THE MONEY STOCK CONSISTS OF DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS CURRENCY AM) COIN HELD BY THE NONBANK PUBLIC.

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE , AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
5/8/74
8/7/74 10/9/74 11/6/74 12/4/74
1/8/75 2/5/75
3/5/75
TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
10/ 9/74
11/ 6/74
12/ 4/74
1/ 8/75
2/ 5/75
3/ 5/75
4/ 9/75
5/ 7/75


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

3.5
4.0
4.8
3.5
2.5

3.3
4. 1
4. 1

2.4
4.2

2.3
0.9
2.4
3.5
3.6

8.4
3.5

2. 1

1.1

-0.6

3. 1
4.5
4.5

2.3

-5.0
0.0

4. 1
4. 1

2.9
3.1

2.6
5.6
5.3

11.4

9.1

7.8

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

5

YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES
AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PERCENT

PERCENT
13.5

13.5 r~

90 DAY CD

PRIME BANK ,
LOAN RATE j

COMMERCIAL PAPER

CORPORATE Aaa BONDS

IUNICIPAL
I0NDS3GK

2 16 30 13 27 It 25 8 22 6"20 3"l73114 28 14
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN
FEB MAR
1974
LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: MAY
MAR

APR

MAY

1975
MAR.

7
14
21
28
APR.
4
11
18
25
MAY
2
9
16 *
23
30

26 n25»23

JUN

PRIME
COMMERCI
90 DAY
PAPER
CD'S jo** *** 4-6 M0N1
6.38
6.26
6.07
6.06
6.16
6.38
6.35
6.25
6. 15
6.04
5.96

6.25
6.08
5.95
5.91
6.03
6.23
6.20
6.13
6.15
6.08
6.00

PRIME
BANKERS’
ACCEPTANCES
6.37
6.29
6. 1 1

6.11

6.15

6.20
6.11
6.16
6.07

6.00
5.87

CORPORATE
Am BONDS

MUNICIPAL
BONDS *6K

8.59
8.61
8.69
8.78
8.87
8.94
8.95
8.97
9.01
8.96
8.89

6.54
6.65
6.77
6.95
6.93
7.03
6.86

6.97
6.95
6.86

N. A.

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.
MSB BOND BUYER'S AVERAGE INDEX OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONDS THURSDAY DATA
***
SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES OF SECONDARY MARKET RATES FOft THE WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS
N>A.^NO^AVA^LABLpS SH0WN‘ CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.9 RELEASE.

6

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

SELECTED SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES
AVLKAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

percent

PERCENT
14.0

M.0 r—

FEDERAL FUNDS RATE

DISCOUNT RATE

m*am f?if§uRif

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL
AUG
1974

SEP

4 28 14 28 II 23

OCT

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE

1975

MAR.

7
14
21
28
APR.
4
11
18
25
MAY
2
9
16
23
30

MAR

FOR THE WEEK END INOi MAY 16

1973

FEDERAL
FUNDS JQK

3-MONTH
TREASURY
BILLS

1-YEAR
TREASURY

3-5 YEAR
GOVERNMENT
SECURITIES

LONG-TERM
GOVERNMENT
SECURITIES

5.88
5.44
5.38
5.53
5.59
5.28
5.44
5.54
5.71
5.42
5.20

5. 57
5.46
5.41
5.53
5.62
5.74
5. 44
5.66
5.51
5.41
5.02

5.69
5.62
5.66
5.81

6.86

6.67
6.67
6.75
6.83

BILL

6.20
6.48
6.30
6.49
6.36
6.13
5.79

6.88
7.05
7. 19
7.47
7.74
7.75
7.90
7.87
7.64
7.49

9 23

APR

6.88
7.05
7.03
7.08
7.09
6.98
6.91

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.

ISKaJa^^rF?5 t1KboardNof'mv^ors?¥h.EArelease.‘ER

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

than date

SH0WN-

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

7

NET TIME DEPOSITS

ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

350
BILLIONS
342.2
342.7

345

343.6
344.4
345. I

Z MAY

340
335
330
325
320
315
310
305
300

6 20

3 17

MAR

APR

1

IS 29 12 26 10 24

7 21

4 16

AUG

SEP

2 16 30 13 27 11 25

NOV

8 22

DEC

5 19

FEB

1974

5 19

2 16 30 14 28

MAR
1975

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt MAY 7, 1975
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.
* NET TIME DEPOSITS ARE DEFINED ASt SAVINGS DEPOSITS. TIME DEPOSITS OPEN ACCOUNT PLUS TIME
CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT OTHER THAN NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN
DENOMINATIONS OF 8100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.

NET TIME DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGt
TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDINGt
10/ 9/74
11/ 6/74
12/ 4/74
1/ 8/75
2/ 5/75
3/ 5/75
4/ 9/75
5/ 7/75

a

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

5/8/74

8/7/74

8.0
9.0
9.2
8.7
9.3
9.8
10.0
9.9

9.0
9.4
8.5
9.5
10.1
10.3
10.3

10/9/74

11/8/74

12/4/7 4

12.7
9.9
11.1
11.7
11.7
11.4

7.7
9.9
11.0
11.1
10.9

9.7
11.1
11.3
11.0

1/8/75

2/5/75

3/5/75

14.8
13.6
12.6

12.9
11.8

10.7

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

billions of dollars

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
-- ------ ---- 230

230 ,---- 1---- ,--billions

218.9
219.0
217.8
217.9
219.6

C 20

S 17 1

MAR

APR MAY

15 29 12 26 10 24

7 21

4 18

JUN

JUL
AUG SEP
1974
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING, MAY 7, 1975

NOV

DEC

S 19

5 19

FEB

MAR

2 16 50 14 28

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING,
10/
11/
12/
1/
2/
3/
4/
5/

9/74
6/74
4/74
8/75
5/75
5/75
9/75
7/73


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE , AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING,
5/8/74
8/7/74 10/9/74 11/6/74 12/4/74
1/8/75
2/5/75
3/5/75

2.5
2.7
3.5
2.0
0.6
1.7
: 6
2.7

0.0
2.0
-0.1
-1.8
0.0
1.5
1.8

6.5
1. 1
-1.8
0.8
2.7
2.9

-0.3
-3.7
0.0
2.4
2.7

-8.7
-2.6
1.1
1.6

0.3
4.3
4.3

1 I 9
9.5

8.0

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

9

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT

LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

WEDNESDAY FIGURES
NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
96
94
92
90
86
86
84
82
80
78
76
74

72
70
68
66

64
6 20

MAR

5 17

APR

1

15 29 12 26 10 24

7 21

AUG
1974

4 16

25

2 16 50 15 27 I

SEP

NOV

8 22

DEC

5 19

5 19

FEB

MAR

2 16 30 14 26

0

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt MAY 7, 1975
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.
NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF *100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE
WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.

1975
MAR-

6
12
19
26
APR. 2
9
16
23
30
MAY
7
14
21
28

CERTIFICATES CERTIFICATES
OF DEPOSIT
OF DEPOSIT
NOT SEAS. ADJ. SEAS. ADJ.
87,8
87.9
88.0
88.4
88. 1
87.0
85.9
85. 1
84.6
84.0

90.2
89.2
89.5
90. 1
90.2
89.4
88.8
87.9
87.2
86.5

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

10


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

BORROWINGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS
ALL MEMBER BANKS IN THE NATION
OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS
4.5 c--- ---------

e 20

9 17

MAR

APR

1

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

IS 20 12 26 10 2*

T 2t

1 tC

AUG

SEP

2 16 90 19 2T 11 23

NOV

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
-- 1------1--- =3 4.5

• 22'

9 IS

5 IS

2 16 90 14 21

OEC
1075

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING, MAY 14, 1975

BUSINESS LOANS
( COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL )

WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
136 ---- .---- ■--“ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
— OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF •
_ THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
MAY 7. 1975 FROM
— THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING.
~ MAR.
FEB.

1975

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
-- ------ ---- 136

-15. 1

— JAN.
— DEC.
NOV.
~ AUG.
— MAY

6 20 5 IT
MAR APR

I

15 28 12 26 10 24

MAY

JUN

JUL

7 21

4 IS

AUG

SEP

1974
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. MAY 7,


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2 19 90 19 27 II 29

OCT

NOV

DEC

6 22

JAN

1-U.l I

5 IS

9 IS

FEB

MAR

2 14 90 14 21

APR

MAY

1975
1975
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

11

Percent

Yields on U.S. Government Securities
Percent

10.5 I—


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

—1 10.5

June 28, 1974

December 30, 1974

Years to Maturity
Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis