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u.

Week ending: March 24, 1976

LIBRARY


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Business credit demands at large commercial banks have
continued to decline since the beginning of the year and have
decreased by $3.8 billion on a nonseasonally adjusted basis. The
prime bank loan rate, the rate at which commercial banks make
short-term loans to businesses with the highest credit rating,
was lowered by many banks on two occasions in January. Since
then it has generally remained at 6.75 percent, despite the
continued drop in business credit demands.
Demand for other types of bank loans has also been
slack. The level of outstanding consumer loans at large
commercial banks has remained around $35 billion since the
beginning of the year and the level of real estate loan demand
has also shown little change.
In response to the decrease in loan demand, commercial
banks have not been aggressively seeking deposits. Large,
negotiable certificates of deposit (CDs) have declined by about
$10 billion since the beginning of the year. Correspondingly,
the rate on 90-day CDs has, at times, dropped as low as 5
percent, the ceiling rate on savings deposits. Meanwhile, banks
have experienced a heavy inflow of time deposits other than large
CDs (net time deposits) which have increased by $12.5 billion
since early January.
With the decline in loan demand, commercial banks have
invested a slightly larger proportion of their earning assets in
securities. For example, in the most recent week 25 percent of
the earning assets of large commercial banks were in the form of
securities, compared to 22 percent one year ago. The interest
rate on three-month Treasury bills is currently 66 basis points
below its year ago level. Rates on non-Govemment securities,
such as four- to six-month prime commercial paper and bankers’
acceptances, are currently 49 and 98 basis points, respectively,
below their levels in March 1975.
Many short-term interest rates are as low as they
were in 1972 and the prime bank loan rate is at its lowest level
since early 1973. One of the reasons for the slack demand for
business loans at commercial banks is the attractiveness of other
sources of funds. For example, the interest rate on prime fourto six-month commercial paper, an alternative source of
short-term business credit, is currently 133 basis points below
the prime rate.

Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Released: March 26, 1976

MONETARY BASE

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

2


BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
126

MILLIONS

124

122

120

IIS

116

114

S 19

3 19

FEB

MAR

2 II 30 H 21 II 23

B 23

6 20

3 IT

AUG

SEP

I 13 2B 12 2S 10 24

7 21

4 1«

JAN

FEB

3 !7 SI 14 21

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. MARCH 24, 1976
THE MONETARY BASE CONSISTS OF MEMBER BANK RESERVES AT THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS AK> CURRENCY
IN CIRCULATION (CURRENCY HELD BY THE PUBLIC AfC IN THE VAULTS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS 1, ADJUSTED
FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIO CHANGES AND SHIFTS IN THE SAME TYPE OF DEPOSITS BETWEEN BANKS
WHERE DIFFERENT RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIOS APPLY. THE MAJOR SOURCES OF THE MONETARY BASE ARE
FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT AND THE GOLD STOCK. DATA ARE COMPUTED BY THIS BANK. A DETAILED DE­
SCRIPTION OF THE SOURCES AND USES OF THE MONETARY BASE IS AVAILABLE AS REPRINT NO. 31 FROM
THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS.

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENOINGt
3/26/75

6/25/75

8/27/75

6.6
6.8
6.0
7.0
7.2
5.9
6.7
7.0

4.6
3.8
5.8
6.2
4.6
5.9
6.4

4.3
7.6
7.8
5.2
6.6
7.3

9/24/75 10/22/75 11/26/75 12/24/75

1/21/76

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING.
8/27/75
9/24/75
10/22/75
11/26/75
12/24/75
1/21/76
2/25/76
3/24/76

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

7.5
7.9
4.6
6.6
7.3

11.1
5.7
7.9
8.5

1.4
6.0
7.1

4.8
6.6

12.5

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MULTIPLIERi/
FEDERAL RESERVE CRED I T 2/
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

RATIO

MULTIPLIER

19Z6
FEB.

RATIO.

11

2.461

MAR.

Ill I I I
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MARCH IT, 1976
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
118 ---------- |---------- ■--------

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
------------------------------- 11*

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
MARCH 24, 1976 FROM
— THE FOUR WEEKS EM) ING
“

JAN.

— SEP.

21

1976

24,

1975

33.0
24.2
FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT

1316

MILLIONS

14 114
M I I I I I I
S 19

5 19

FEB

MAR

21690 14 2611

25

9 28

6 20

5 17

AUG

SEP

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MARCH 24,

1976

1

15 29 12 26 10 24

7 21

4 18

JAN

FEB

5 17 51

14 28

1976
1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK (Ml) / MONETARY BASE.

2/ DEFINED TO INCLUDE HOLDINGS OF SECURITIES. LOANS. FLOAT AND "OTHER" ASSFT<> *n lllSTFn
FOR
RESERVE REQUIREMENT
RATIO CHANGES
AND SHIFTS
IN THE SAME
TYPEDF
DEPOSIT'S BETWEEN
Iy^THIS^BANK01FFERENT
RESERVE
REQUIREMENT
RATIOS APPLY.
DATA
ARE SEASONALLY
ADJuItED


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
316

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
690

B]LU QN£

685

676.7
678.4

680

678.0
681.5
681.4

675
670
665
660
655
650
645
640
635
630
625
620
615

3 IS

FEB

9

19

2 IS 90 14 2# 11

MAR

MAY

29

9 23

0 20

3 IT

1

13

29 12 26 10 24

JUN

T 21

4 16

JAN

FEB

3 17 31

14

26

1976

1975
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK END IMGi MARCH 17. 1976
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (M2 )
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS END 1NGi
3/19/75

6/18/75

8/20/75

10.7
10.2
9. 1
9. 1
8.9
8.5
9.3
9.2

6.1
6.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
8.2
8.3

4.6
6.4
6.5
6.2
8.1
8.2

9/17/75 10/15/75 11/19/75 12/17/75

1/14/76

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING i
8/20/73
9/17/75
10/15/75
11/19/75
12/17/75
1/14/76
2/18/76
3/17/76


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

4

6.1
6.4
6.0
8.3
8.3

8.3
7.2
9.7
9.5

6.0
9.9
9.6

11.1
10.3

12.9

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

0

MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1515.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
905

BILLIONS
297.3
297.9
295.8
296.8
299.2
298.7

— MAR

900

295

290

285

280

S IB

S II

FEB

MAR

2

16 90 14 26 11

MAY

29

8 29

JUN

6 20

9 17

AUC

SEP

1

19 28 12 26 10 24

7 21

4 16

JAN

FEB

9 17 91

14 26

1976
LATEST DATA PLOTTED V€£K ENDINQt MARCH 17. 1976
1
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.
THE MONEY STOCK CONSISTS OF DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS CURRENCY AND COIN HELD BY THE NOI«AM( PUBLIC.

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE.
3/19/75

6/18/75

8/20/75

7.5
7.6
5.9
5.9
5.4
5.0
5.0
4.9

5.3
2.9
3.6
3.3
2.9
3.2
3.3

1.6
3.3
2.9
2.4
2.9
3.1

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGi

9/17/75 10/15/75 11/19/75 12/17/75

1/14/76

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDINGi
8/20/75
9/17/75
10/15/75
11/19/75
12/17/75
1/14/76
2/18/76
3/17/76


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

1.2
1.2
1.0
1.9
2.3

4.0
2.9
3.5
3.7

0.9
2.5
2.9

3.0
3.4

4.8

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

5

YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES
AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PERCENT

PERCENT
0.5

10.0
9.5
CORPORATE

BONDS

9.0

8.5
'RIME BANK
PAN RATE

8.0

7.5

7.0
MUNICIPAL
6.5

6.0
COMMERCIAL PAPER
5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0
II I I

7 21

7 21

4 18

FEB

MAR

APR

2 16 30 IS 27 It 23
JUN

8 22

5 19

S IT 31 14 28 12 26
NOV

JUL

9 23

DEC

6 20

5 19

FEB

MAR

2 16 30

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDINGi MARCH 26. 1976

1978
FEB.

MAR.

APR.

PRIME
BANKERS'
ACCEPTANCES

CORPORATE
Aaa BONDS

MUNICIPAL
BONDS m

5,00
5.21
5.20
5.18
5.32
5.41
5.38
5.27

5.T5
5.25
5.28
5.25
5.3S
5.38
5.45
5.42

4.95
4.97
5.02
5.04
5.26
5.2!
5. IS
5.13

8.56
8.57
8.56
8.51
8.55
8.55
8.54
8.52

6.86
6.95
6.97
6.98
7.04
6. 88
6.92
N.A.

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.
_
_
m
BOND BUYER'S AVERAGE INDEX OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONDS. THURSDAY DATA.
met SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES OF SECONDARY MARKET RATES FOR THE WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS
EARLIER THAN DATES SHOWN.
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.9 RELEASE.
N A — MOT AVAILaBLE
* 4
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESER'^E BANK OF ST. LOUIS


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

6

6
13
20
27
5
12
19
26 X
2
9
16
23
30

90 DAY
CD’S MMX

PRIME
COMMERCIAL
PAPER
4-6 MONTH

SELECTED SHORT-TERM

AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PERCENT
8.0

INTEREST RATES
PERCENT
------ 8.0

----

THREE-MONTH TREASURY
BILL MARKET YIELD

DISCOUNT RATE

FEDERAL FUW)S RATE
I

FEB

MAR

APR

JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

3 ii Jt 14 a tz a 9 sa
OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN

s zo
FEB

s i»
MAR

i

te so

1976
LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING* MARCH 26, 1976

1976
FEB.

6
13

20
MAR.

27
5

12
19
26 x
APR.

FEDERAL
FUNDS MW

3-MONTH
TREASURY
BILLS

1-YEAR
TREASURY
BILL

3-5 YEAR
GOVERNMENT
SECURITIES

LONG-TERM
GOVERNMENT
SECURITIES

4.82
4. 73
4*70
4.80
4.95
4. 86
4.77
4.79

4.90
4.85
4.87
4.90
5.20
4,99
4.98
4 * 87

5.45
5.47
5.58
5.62
5.98
5.86
5.82
5.67

7.16
7.17
7.20
7.18
7.36
7.30
7.25
7.14

6. 93
6 96
6. 94
6. 88
6. 96
6. 91
6.89
6.82

2

9
16
23
30

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.

-ffiarwFMsra

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

™

date

****•

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

7

NET TIME DEPOSITS

ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
390 ---------- 1---------- 1-------1976
FEB.

11

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
----- ------------------------- 390

BILLIONS
379.4
380.5
380.9
382.7

3 10

3 10

FEB

MAR

2 IS 30 14 23 11

MAY

25

0 23

JUN

6 20

3 17

AUG

SEP

4 2*

JAN

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt MARCH 17. 1876
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.
SAVINGS DEPOSITS. TIME DEPOSITS OPEN ACCOUNT PLUS TIME
OF DO>OSIT OTOERTlCwJ NECOTIA0LE T»ME &RT IFI CATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN
KNOMlNATlONsVilOoloOO^ORMOREBY LARGEWEEKLY REPORTING COWCRCIAL BANCS.

m k*TT Tii*r deposits arf DEFINED ASi

NET TIME DEPOS1TS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING!
3/19/75

6/18/75

8/20/75

13.6
12.3
11.8
11.8
11.8
11.5
12.9
12.9

10.5
9.9
10.4
10.6
10.3
12.5
12.4

6.9
8.8
9.5
9.3
12.4
12.3

9/17/75 10/15/73 11/19/75 12/17/75

1/14/76

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING.
8/20/73
9/17/75
10/15/75
11/19/75
12/17/75
1/14/76
2/18/76
3/17/76

8


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

10.2
10.7
10.2
13.7
13.4

11.7
10.8
14.9
14.4

10.2
16.1
15.1

18.2
16.2

19.7

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

222.-4
220.7

221.6

223.5
223.0

5 19

5 IB

FEB

MAR

2 It 90 14 » 11

6 20

3 1T

AUG

SEP

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. MARCH 17,

1976

MAY

25

9 25

JUN

1

IS 29 1Z 26 10 24

7 21

4 IS

JAN

FEB

1975

3 17 31

14 28

1976

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGi
3/19/75

6/18/75

8/20/75

6.9
7.3
5.1
5.1
4.4
3.9
3.7
3.6

4.6
1.5
2.3
1.6
1.3
1.4
1.5

0.6
2.2
1.3
0.9
1 . 1
1.3

9/17/75 10/15/75 11/19/75 12/17/75

1/14/76

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
END 1NGi
8/20/75
9/17/75
10/15/75
11/19/75
12/17/75
1/14/76
2/18/76
3/T7/76


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

-1.0
-1.3
-1 . 1
-0.4
0.0

1 .8
1.1
1.3
1.5

-1.2
0.0
0.6

0.8
1.3

2.1

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

9

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT

LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
WEDNESDAY FIGURES
NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
92
90
88

86
8-4
82
80
78
76
74
72
70
68

5 19

3 18

2 16 30 14 28 11

MAY

23

9 23

JUN

6 20

3 IT

AUG

SEP

I

13 28 12 26 10 24

1975

7 21

4 16

JAN

FEB

3 17 31

14 28

1976

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. MARCH 17, 1976
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.
NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF *100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE
WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BAH<S.

1976
FEB.

MAR.

APR.

4
1 1
18
25
3
10
17
24
31
7
14
21
28

CERTIFICATES
CERTIFICATES
OF DEPOSIT
OF DEPOSIT
NOT SEAS. ADJ.
SEAS. ADJ.
75.2
73.9
72.9
72.0
71.8
71.6
71 .5

76.7
75.8
75.3
74.8
74.3
73.5
72.9

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

10


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

BORROWINGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS

ALL MEMBER BANKS

IN THE NATION

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1970

HILIIONI

FEB. 18

5 It

3 18

FEB

MAR

Ml » 14 tl 11

MAY

29

a S3

JUN

• 20

3 17

AUG

SEP

1

13 21 12 2« 10 24

7 21

4 1*

JAN

FEB

>17 >1

14 M

LATEST DATA PLOTTED VEEK ENDING* MARCH 24. 1976

BUSINESS LOANS
(COMMERCIAL AND
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

INDUSTRIAL)

WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
150
128
126
124
122

120
118
116
114

112
110

MILLION?

108

FEB. 11

5 18

3 18

FEB

MAR

2 16 SO 14 23 11

6 20

3 17

AUG

SEP

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGi MARCH 17.

1976

MAY

25

9 23

JUN
1975

1

13 28 12 26 10 24

7 21

4 18

JAN

FEB

3 17 31

14 28

1976

* LEVELS OF BUSINESS LOANS BEGINNING JANUARY 7 ARE NOT COMPARABLE TO PREVIOUS DATA.

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

11

MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS
SUBJECT TO RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
(CREDIT PROXY )
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

-

540

E

530

520
CREDIT PROXY ADJUSTED

1/

510

500
CREDIT PROXY

BILLIONS
CREDIT
PROXY
ADJUSTED.

CREDIT
PROXY
-FEB.

508.3

516.4

508.9

516.9
515.4
514.4
515.8
516.5

506.5
507.6
508.2

5

18

5

19

2

1630

14 28

MAY

11

25

9 23

JUN

6 20

3

AUG

SEP

17

1

15 28

12

10 24

7

21

JAN

1975
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGi MARCH 17,

26

4

18

3

17 31

470

14

28

FEB
1976

1976

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS *

H.9 RELEASE.

1/ INCLUOES MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS, BANK-RELATED COAHERCIAL PAPER, EURODOLLAR BORROWINGS OF
U.S. BANKS, AND CERTAIN OTHER NONDEPOSIT SOURCES.

* DATA PRIOR TO JANUARY 7. 1976 HAVE BEEN REVISED BUT IS NOT AVAILABLE.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS