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Week ending: January 2, 1980

IRARV

»8 m

Growth rates of the monetary aggregates have
fluctuated markedly during the past year. From the four weeks
ending December 27, 1978, to the four weeks ending December 26,
1979, Ml and M2 grew at rates of 5.3 and 8.2 percent,
respectively. As the table below illustrates, however, after
growing at an annual rate of only 2.0 percent during the first four
months of 1979, Ml increased sharply at a 9.6 percent rate during
the next five months. Recently, Ml growth has slowed to a 2.8
percent rate. M2 exhibited similar variability in its growth during
the year.
Fluctuations in the growth rates of Ml and M2 in 1979
were associated with changes in the growth rates of the adjusted
monetary base (reserves plus currency in circulation). During the
first four months of 1979, the base grew at a 5.7 percent rate.
Base growth then accelerated to a 10.6 percent rate over the next
five months, before slowing to a 7.3 percent rate during the last
three months of 1979.
The slowing in the growth of the monetary aggregates
over the past three months coincides with a change in operating
procedures adopted by the Federal Reserve on October 6, 1979.
The new procedures place more emphasis on controlling bank
reserves—a major component of the monetary base—and less
emphasis on controlling short-term movements in the federal funds
rate.

Period*

GROWTH RATES OF MONETARY AGGREGATES
(Compounded Annual Rates)
Adjusted
Monetary
Ml
M2
Base

12/27/78 to 12/26/79

5.3 %

8.2 %

8.2 %

12/27/78 to 4/25/79

2.0

4.6

5.7

4/25/79 to 9/26/79

9.6

11.8

10.6

9/26/79 to 12/26/79

2.8

7.0

7.3

♦Four-week averages ending these dates.

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Released: January 4, 1980

2

ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
160 ------------- 1---------- ,-----1980
_

JAN.

15 29

BILLIONS
153. 1
153.1
153.7
153.6
154.4
154.8

DEC.

1

LLIONS OF DOLLARS
-|---------- ----------- *-i 160

13 27

NOV
DEC
1978

10 24

7 21

7 21

4

JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

18

2

18 30

13 27 II

25

8 22

5 19

JUN
JUL
1979

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 2,

3

17 31

OCT

14 28

NOV

12 26

DEC

9 23

JAN
1980

I960

THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE CONSISTS OF: 11) MEMBER BANK RESERVES AT THE FEDERAL RESERVE
BANKS, (2) CURRENCY IN CIRCULATION (CURRENCY HELD BY THE PUBLIC AND IN THE VAULTS OF
COMMERCIAL BANKS), AND (3) AN ADJUSTMENT FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIO CHANGES.
THE
MAJOR SOURCE OF THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE IS FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT.
DATA ARE COMPUTED
BY THIS BANK.
A DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE IS AVAILABLE FROM
THIS BANK.

DATA DO NOT INCLUDE REGULATION K RESERVES OF EDGE ACT CORPORATIONS.
ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
1/3/79

4/4/79

5/30/79

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:

7/4/79

8/1/79

9/5/79

11.5
11.6
1 1.9
9.6
9.7

12.7
12.7
9.7
9.8

12.3
8.2
8.8

10/3/79 10/31/79

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
5/30/79
7/ 4/79
8/ 1/79
9/ 5/79
10/ 3/79
10/31/79
12/ 5/79
1/ 2/80

5. 1
6.6
6.9
7.8
8.2
8.6
7.9
8. 1


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

9.2
9.2
10. 1
10.4
10.7
9.4
9.6

11.2
12.0
12.0
12. 1
10.2
10.2

6.7
7.9

5.8

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST.

LOUIS

MULTIPLIER!/
ADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CRED I T */
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

RATIO

RATIO
2.9

2.9

2.7

MULT IP LIER

iii
NOV.
DEC.

a RATIC
U5 2.476
lift

—i 11 ■1.11.1

111 -U.I,

111

1111 .111

LATEST QA*A PLOTTED WEEK ENDING-. DECEMBER 26,

1 1 1

1 1 1 1

12 2.472
19 2.472
26 2.472
Mill 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Lllll

111

1979

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
138
136
134

1

130

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
138

1----------

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RAT ES
-----OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
~ JANUARY 2. 1980 FROM
-----THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
-

132

1

2.3

OCT.
OCT.
— SEP.
_
AUG.
JUL.

31,
3,
5,
1,
4,

_

31

JAN

1979
1979
1979
1979
1979
1979

136

9.0
12.1
12.0
12.8
12.8

AD- USTED

'EDERA L RES LRVE Cf EDIT

134

7* zr

132
130

9.5
-

, r
-

\. r

-

-

is*

ia

-

NOV.
DEC.

-

BILL'ONj ~
28
133.9
j||_

JAN.
s

1 1 1 1

1 1 1

NOV
DEC
1978

..in i

JAN

111

FEB

111

111

7 21

4

MAR

APR

iiii

1 1 1

111

18

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 2,

-LI 11.
23

JUN JUL
1979

111

8 22

AUG

1 1 1 1
3

17 31

OCT

i i i 1 i i i 1 i i i i‘
H 28

NOV

DEC

JAN
1980

1980

1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK ( Ml ) / ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE
2/

^s*~computed
SERVEIREOu!rEMENTARAT^OECHANGESKS DATA ARESC0MPUTe6 BY°THISUBANK? ^ SERlES F0R RE~


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

3

4

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (M2)
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
965 p=---------- 1---------- 1------

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
---------------------------- =1 965

BILLIONS
944.6
943.7
945.0
946.5
949.5

11 I 1 I I
30

13 27

II

I I I I

25

JUN
JUL
1979

1978
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: DECEMBER 26,

1980

1979

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (M2)
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,
12/27/78

3/28/79

5/23/79

5. 1
6.7
7.5
8. 1
8.6
8.7
8.5
8.2

11.7
12.0
1 1.9
12.1
1 1.8
1 1 .0
10.4

13.5
12.8
12.9
12.4
11.2
10.3

6/27/79

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:

7/25/79

8/29/79

12.2
1 1.6
10. 1
9. 1

11.5
9.5
8.3

9/26/79 10/24/79

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
5/23/79
6/27/79
7/25/79
8/29/79
9/26/79
10/24/79
11/28/79
12/26/79


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

12.3
12.5
11.9
10.6
9.7

7.9
7.0

5.6

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST.

LOUIS

MONEY STOCK ( Ml )
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
390 c—r n
P

1979

H NOV.
- DEC.
-

21
28
5
12
19

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
390

■

BILL 1 ONS
380.0
378.8
379.1
380.1
379.7

/

% K7^
2

_

/H
~

2

1111

+-------2
\f

----------J
2
~

Vi

'Vs.

2

2

355

l l

355

l l

S
-11.1, 1

1 1 1

.LI 1 1

1 1 1

111 J.J 1

JAN

FEB

MAR

1111
2

NOV
DEC
1978

APR

-LLL III

16 30

13 27

11

lLLLL

.1.11 -LIU.

25

MAY

JUN
JUL
1979
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING; DECEMBER 26, 1979

3

AUG

SEP

17 31

OCT

in
14 28

NOV

III

MIL

12 26

DEC

B 23

JAN
1980

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.
THE MONEY STOCK CONSISTS OF DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS CURRENCY AND COIN HELD BY THE NONBANK PUBLIC

MONEY STOCK ( Ml
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE ,

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING-.

12/27/78

3/28/79

5/23/79

6/27/79

7/25/79

8/29/79

2.5
4.7
5.2
5.6
6.2
6. 1
5.5
5.3

1 1 .6
10.9
10.2
10.4
9.6
8.3
7.8

12.0
10.5
10.7
9.6
7.9
7.3

8.2
9.3
8.2
6.5
6.0

9.5
8.0
5.9
5.5

4.8

9/26/79 10/24/79

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
5/23/79
6/27/79
7/25/79
8/29/79
9/26/79
10/24/79
11/28/79
12/26/79


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2.8

2.0

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST.

5

LOUIS

6

YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES
AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PERCENT
16.5 rr

PERCENT
16.5

16.0

13.5
13.0
12.5
PRIME BANK
LOAN RATE
11.5

COMMERCIAL PAPER
I 1 .0

10.5

90 DAY CD'S

CORPORATE Aaa

MUNICIPAL

I

IS 29

12 26

J 25

9 25

6 20

4

18

1

15 29

13 27

10 24

7 21

5

19

2

16 30

14 28 11

DEC
1978

1979

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 4,

1980
NOV.

DEC.

JAN.

2
9
I6
23
30
7
14
21
28
4 IK

90 DAY
CD'S
14.45
14.53
14.09
13.95
12.96
13.09
13.63
13.56
13.43
13.35

PRIME
COMMERCIAL
PAPER kx***

PRIME
BANKERS'
ACCEPTANCES

14.18
14. 18
13.70
l3.-!4
12.58
12.79
13.29
13.41
13. 18
13.00

14.11
14.20
13.72
13.46
12.62
12.83
13.58
13.47
13.42
12.75

25

JAN
1980

1980

CORPORATE
Aaa BONDS

MUN1C1 PAL
BONDS X*

10.73
10 83
10.75
10.83
10.63
10.58
10.70
10.79
10.87
10.85

7.26
7.27
7.31
7.38
7.26
7 17
7.26
7.22
7.23
N. A.

18
25
-

■

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.
** BOND BUYER'S AVERAGE INDEX OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONDSr THURSDAY DATA.
&BK DATA ARE 4-*J0NTH COMMERCIAL PAPER RATES.
N.A. - NOT AVAILABLE


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

SELECTED

INTEREST RATES

AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY
16.0

PERCENT
16.0

15.5

15.5
15.0

14.5

14.5

14.0

14.0
13.5
13.0

12.5

12.5

12.0

12.0

I I .5

I 1.5
FEDERAL FUNDS RATE

I I .0
10.5
10.0
DISCOUNT
RATE

9.5
9.0
TREASUf

THREEBILL I

ITIES

8.5
8.0
7.5

I I I I
S

JAN

FEB

APR

10

2

IS 50

1979

NOV.

DEC.

JAN.

2
9
16
23
30
7
14
21
28
4 *
1 1
18
25

II

25

1980

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 4,

1980

14 28

MAY

1978

1980

FEDERAL
FUNDS »<*

3-MONTH
TREASURY
BILL

6-MONTH
TREASURY
BILL X»M

1-YEAR
TREASURY
BILL

3-5 YEAR
TREASURY
SECURITIES

LONG-TERM
TREASURY
SECURITIES

15.61
13.77
13.30
13. 10
12.46
13.77
13.79
13.90
13.61
14.04

12.07
12.25
11.90
11.77
11.26
1 1 .75
12.34
12.06
11.99
12.11

12. 19
12.09
11.95
12.04
11.02
11.77
11.77
12.00
11.85
11.88

11.65
11.66
11.12
5 1.25
10.74
10.86
11.10
10.85
10.86
10.91

11.43
11.36
10.97
11.08
10.42
10.33
10.49
10.45
10.55
10.52

10.36
10.47
10.34
10.31
9.97
9.97
10. 14
10.08
10. 13
10. 12

X AVERAGES Of RATES AVAILABLE.
mm SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES FOR WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS EARLIER THAN DATE SHOWN.
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.8 RELEASE,
jun NFW 153 UF RATE
RATES ON LONG-TERM TREASURY SECURITIES ARE COMPUTED 8Y THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS.
TREASURY BILL YIELDS ON DISCOUNT BASIS.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED UY FEDERAL RESERVE tiAF* OF ST

7

LOUIS

0

8

NET TIME DEPOSITS

ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
580
575

564.6
564.8

570

566.3
567.2
567.8

565
560
555
550
545
540
535
530
525
520
515
510
505
I I I I

1

15 29 13 27

10 24

7 21

FEB

4

MAR

18

2

16 30 13 27

APR

JUN

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: DECEMBER 26,

11

25

8 22

5

19

3

JUL

17 31

14 28

NOV

12 26

9 23

DEC

1979

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.
* NET TIME DEPOSITS ARE DEFINED AS: SAVINGS DEPOSITS, TIME DEPOSITS OPEN ACCOUNT PLUS TIME
CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT OTHER THAN NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN
DENOMINATIONS OF 8100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COfcMERCIAL BANKS.

NET TIME DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING-.
12/27/78

3/28/79

5/23/79

6.9
8. 1
9.2
9.9
10.3
10.6
10.6
10.2

1 1.8
12.9
13.2
13.2
13.3
12.9
12. 1

14.7
14.6
14.3
14.3
13.5
12.5

6/27/79

7/25/79

8/29/79

9/26/79 10/24/79

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
END 1NG:
5/23/79
6/27/79
7/25/79
8/29/79
9/26/79
10/24/79
11/28/79
12/26/79


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

15.2
14.7
14.6
13.5
12.3

13.9
14.0
12.9
11.5

13.8
12.4
10.7

11.9
10.0

8.1

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST.

LOUIS

DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS

of

dollars

BILL IONS
272.9
273.6
274.0
273.6
275.2

i I I I I
NOV

DEC

1980

1979
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING:

DECEMBER 26,

1979

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE ,

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:

12/27/78

3/28/79

5/23/79

6/27/79

7/25/79

8/29/79

0.3
3.2
3.9
4. 1
4.8
4.7
4.0
4.0

12.7
11.7
10.2
10.3
9.4
7.8
7.4

12.9
10. 1
10.3
9.0
7.0
6.6

6.6
8.0
6.9
4.9
4.8

7.7
6.4
4. 1
4. 1

7.2
3.7
3.8

9/26/79 10/24/79

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
5/23/79
6/27/79
7/25/79
8/29/79
9/26/79
10/24/79
11/28/79
12/26/79


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

0.6
1.6

0.8

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST.

9

LOUIS

10

CURRENCY COMPONENT
OF MONEY STOCK
billions of

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

dollars

billions of dollars

BILLIONS
105.9
105.9
105.6
106. I
106.1
106.5

1

15 2D

13 27

10 24

7 21

FEB

3

MAR

JUN

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: DECEMBER 26.

17 51

14 28

NOV

JUL

12 26

9 23

DEC

1979

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.

CURRENCY
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE .

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:

12/27/78

3/28/79

5/23/79

6/27/79

7/25/79

8/29/79

8.6
8.8
8.9
9.8
10.3
10.0
9.6
9.0

8.3
8.5
10.0
10.7
10.3
9.7
8.9

9.5
1 1.5
12.2
11.4
10.4
9.3

12.6
13.2
1 1 .9
10.6
9.3

15.0
12.7
10.8
9.3

11.2
9.2
7.6

9/26/79 10/24/79

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
5/23/79
6/27/79
7/25/79
8/29/79
9/26/79
10/24/79
11/28/79
12/26/79

.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

6.8
5.5

4.5

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST.

LOUIS

BORROWINGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS
ALL MEMBER BANKS IN THE NATION
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
'980

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
4.0

MILLIONS

NOV.

20

DEC.

5

3.5
3.0
2.5

~ JAN.

I 2.0
1.5
I .0
I 0.5
LLJ II 1 I I 1
1

15

29

13

27

10 24

L-LLL! 1 1
2

16 30

13

27

11

25

8 22

NOV
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 2,

DEC

1980

BUSINESS LOANS

(COMMERCIAL AND
3 ILL IONS OF DOLLARS

INDUSTRIAL)

WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
158

_COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF
'
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
DECEMBER 26, 1979 FROM '
THE FOUR WE^KS ENDING:
— OCT.
— SEP.
_ AUG.
—_JUL.
_ JUN.
__ MAR.
DEC.

24,
26,
29,
25,
27,
28,
27,

1979
1979
1979
1979
1979
1979
1978

156
154
152

-2.0
-0.2

150
148

17.3

146
1 44
142
140
138
136
MILLIONS

134
132

NOV. 21

DEC.

15 20

13 27

10 24

7 21

5

11II 1 I 1 I I I I I I I
4

18

2

16 30 13 27

11

JUN
JUL
1979
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: DECEMBER 26,


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

150,756
149,659
151,190
150,329
152,247
153,058

25

8 22

3

17 31

NOV

DEC

1979
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

11

130
128
126
0

12
CERT IF I CATES OF DEPOSIT
LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
WEDNESDAY FIGURES
NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
112

BILLIONS

I 10
108
106

104
102
100

86
84
82

I

15 29 13 27 10 24

4 18

7 21

FEB

MAR

2 18 30 13 27 II

APR

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt DECEMBER 28,

JUN

25

8 22

JUL

5 19

3 17 31

14 28 12 26

NOV

9 23

DEC

1979

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE.
NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF 8100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE
WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.


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