Full text of U.S. Financial Data : September 5, 1996
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Federal Pic T liAlS THE FEDERAL j reserve / li VNKol «r STUOl IS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ The real value of total construction spending (public and private) fell 1.9 percent in July, the largest drop in five months. Measured from a year earlier, construction spending is off 0.6 percent, paced by a 6.5 percent decline in non-residential spending. Manufacturing activity increased modestly in August according to the National Association of Purchasing Managers. Measuring 52.6 percent, the NAPM index rose above 50 percent for the fourth time in the past five months, a level that generally indicates an expanding manufacturing sector. The index of leading economic indicators advanced 0.2 percent in July, following a 0.5 percent increase in June. The index has increased for six consecutive months. ✓ Total new factory orders for manufactured goods rose $5.5 billion in July, or by 1.8 percent, the seventh increase in the past nine months. The nominal value offactory orders is up 8.2 percent from a year earlier. ✓ After falling at a 5.1 percent annual rate in June, real personal consumption expenditures fell at a 0.5 percent rate in July. These declines largely reflect reductions in purchases of motor vehicles. Real PCE has increased 2.1 percent over the past year. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at http://www.stls.frb.org/fred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions 474.7 Jun 19 Aug 14 481.3 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Aug Sep 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 Apr Oct Moy 19 3 Jun 17 31 14 28 11 25 Aug Sep The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve occounts of finoncial institutions at Federal Reserve bonks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the voults of oil depository institutions) ond on adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the odjusted monetory bose is Federol Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bonk. A detailed description of the odjusted monetory bose is available from this bank. Recent dato ore preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded onnuol rotes of chonge, overoge of two mointenonce periods ending: To the overoge of two mointenonce periods ending: 8/30/95 11/22/95 1/31/96 2/28/96 3/27/96 4/24/96 1/31/96 0.9 2/28/96 0.8 1.9 3/27/96 1.6 3.0 3.5 4/24/96 1.3 2.2 1.9 5/22/96 1.0 1.6 1.0 1.3 -1.4 7/3/96 1.7 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.0 3.2 7/31/96 2.1 2.9 3.1 3.6 2.9 4.1 8/28/96 2.4 3.3 3.6 4.1 3.6 4.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5/22/96 7/3/96 2.8 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis w Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Jul 22 Billions of Dollars Billions 1106.9 1111.1 1107.9 1099.4 1096.3 1099.2 Jul 22 Aug 5 Billions 715.7 719.1 715.3 706.7 703.0 704.9 - 790 M1 (left scale) 1120TCD (right scale) ■710 15 29 12 26 9 25 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Aug Sep M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits ond travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits ond other checkable deposits ot depository institutions. Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M1) To the overoge of four weeks ending: Compounded annual rotes of change, average of four weeks ending: 8/28/95 11/27/95 1/29/96 2/26/96 3/25/96 1/29/96 -5.0 2/26/96 -4.7 -4.4 3/25/96 -2.4 -0.3 4/29/96 -2.8 -1.5 1.0 2.8 5/27/96 -J.1 -2.1 -0.5 0.3 -5.4 6/24/96 -2.8 -1.7 -0.3 0.3 -3.6 7/29/96 -3.5 -2.9 -2.2 -2.1 -5.4 8/26/96 -3.8 -3.4 -2.8 -2.8 -5.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4/29/96 5/27/96 6/24/96 5.2 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonolly Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollors Jun 19 Jul 3 . Aug 14 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Aug Sep Feb Oct Mar Apr Moy Jun Aug Sep Adjusted reserves is the difference between the odjusted monetary base ond the currency component of Ml. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annuol rotes of chonge, overage of two mointenonce periods ending: two*moin?enonce 8/J0/95 11/22/95 1/31/96 2/28/96 3/27/96 4/24/96 5/22/96 7/3/96 periods ending: 1/31/96 -8.2 2/28/96 -5.9 1.5 3/27/96 -3.9 3.3 4/24/96 -5.4 -0.5 0.0 -3.9 5/22/96 -6.6 -3.1 -4.3 -8.2 -16.0 7/3/96 -5.1 -1.7 -1.9 -4.1 -7.7 -4.2 7/31/96 -5.5 -2.5 -3.1 -5.0 -8.0 -5.6 8/28/96 -5.0 -2.1 -2.5 -4.1 -6.4 -4.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9.0 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Rotio Rotio Compounded annual rotes of change, overage of the four weeks ending August 26, 1996, from the four weeks ending: -Aug 28. Nov Feb Mar Apr 20, 26, 25 , 22. 3 1995 1996 1996 1996 1996 1 996 2. -6.4 -8 . 5 -10.0 -11.1 17 3 I M 28 II 25 9 23 6 Sep 1.302 Aug 12 -6.3 20 15 29 12 26 9 23 Oct Feb Mar Apr 1995 Rotio of Ml to odjusted monetory base. May Jun Aug Sep 1996 Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending August 26, 1996, from the four weeks ending: Aug 28 Nov 27 1 995 Feb 6.3 — 1 996 r cU 2 C6 U . Mor 25, 1996 Apr 29, 1996 May 27. 1 996 Jun 24, 1 996 1996 Jul 22 Aug Billions 5 384.3 384.8 3 17 31 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 4 Sep 18 1 15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 Oct 20 3 May 71 15 29 12 26 9 23 Jun 1995 Current doto appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 5 3*0 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent Prime Rote Corporate Aoa Bonds Commercial Paper Municipal Bonds 5.0 5.0-...... 4.0 7 21 4 18 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 15 29 12 26 10 24 Jun 14 21 28 5 Jul 12 19 26 2 Aug 9 16 23 30 Sep 6 21 5 19 2 16 30 1996 1995 1996 7 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds 5.43 5.46 5.50 5.49 5.45 5.44 5.40 5.43 5.39 5.39 5.36 5.39 5.44 5.48 5.47 5.49 5.49 5.57 5.54 5.51 5.52 5.41 5.39 5.37 5.42 5.54 5.40 5.39 5.40 5.43 5.47 5.45 5.44 5.44 5.33 5.31 5.29 5.33 5.42 7.78 7.74 7.66 7.62 7.73 7.61 7.62 7.55 7.35 7.39 7.48 7.66 7.72 8.47 8.44 8.36 8.32 8.42 8.32 8.34 8.27 8.08 8.11 8.18 8.35 8.30 Municipal Bonds •• 6.12 6.06 5.97 5.94 6.00 5.88 5.86 5.79 5.67 5.74 5.75 5.86 N.A. Current doto ore from the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release, ond ore overoges of rotes ovoiloble for the week ending on September 6, 1996 . •• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursdoy data NA - Not Avoiloble D .. c . Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent 10-Year Treasury Securities Federal Funds Rate Discount Rate 3-Month Treasury Bill 4.0- IS 29 12 26 10 24 Sep 1996 Jun 14 21 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 Aug 2 9 16 23 30 Sep 6 • S 19 2 16 to 13 27 Oct Federol Funds •• 5.24 5.45 5.21 5.53 5.26 5.23 5.25 5.53 5.38 5.10 5.18 5.21 5.39 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury 5.11 5.09 5.09 5.13 5.15 5.13 5.16 5.15 5.03 5.03 5.02 5.09 5.18 5.52 5.48 5.47 5.49 5.57 5.47 5.53 5.48 5.30 5.30 5.34 5.48 5.61 6.77 6.73 6.63 6.60 6.72 6.59 6.62 6.52 6.28 6.31 6.38 6.60 6.73 6.99 6.95 6.86 6.85 6.95 6.81 6.85 6.76 6.54 6.56 6.63 6.84 6.93 7.23 7.18 7.04 7.16 7.04 7.05 6.96 6.77 6.80 6.87 7.07 7.15 Rucree Boor1?s H 15 Je'eoM^ “curili“- which °,e comput'd t>y this Bonk, current dolo appeor in the Federal • Averages of rotes ovoilable •• Seven-day overoges for week ending two doys earlier than dote shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averoges of Doily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Jul 22 3750' Aug 5 Billions of Dollars Billions 3753.4 3755.9 3765.2 3764.0 3765.0 3767.5 M2 (left scale) ■2625 • 2525 Non-M1 M2 Billions Jul 22 2646.5 2644.8 2657.3 2664.6 2668.7 2668.3 Non-M1 M2 (right scole) Aug Sep Feb Oct Mor Apr Moy -2475 Jun M2 is the sum of Ml, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and retail money funds. Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) o? /our'weeks' Compounded annual rotes of change, overoge of four weeks ending: 8/28/95 11/27/95 1/29/96 2/26/96 3/25/96 4/29/96 5/27/96 6/24/96 ending: 1/29/96 4.5 2/26/96 4.5 5.3 3/25/96 5.7 7.2 4/29/96 5.1 6.0 6.1 7.1 5/27/96 4.4 4.8 4.2 4.3 0.4 6/24/96 4.5 4.9 4.5 4.6 2.0 7/29/96 4.2 4.5 4.0 4.0 1.9 1.9 8/26/96 4.3 4.5 4.1 4.1 2.4 2.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8.8 1.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures 1360 Savings 1996 Billions Jul 22 1212.fi 132029 1210.9 Aug 5 1221.7 12 1225.C 19 1225.fi 26 1223.C Small Tim e 1996 B llions Jul 22 29.9 29 S 30.8 Aug 5 31.8 12 32.8 19 34.0 2C 34.8 .... Snrtall Tin '* 1015 (ricjht sc<Die) 1240 -— 1200 1160 855 saving s Dep DSitS ( eft SC ole) 815 1080 17 31 14 28 11 25 9 Jul Aug Sep 23 6204 Oct Nov 18 Dec 15 29 12 26 11 25 Jon Feb 8 Mor 22 Apr 6 1 1 I' r-p" 1 n'i i iV n 15 29 12 26 9 23 20 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1995 Savings deposits and small time deposits ore at all depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Doily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Large Time 1996 Jul 22 29 Aug 5 Retail Money 1996 Jul 22 451.0 447.9 446.8 449.6 454.8 458.0 Aug 5 Billions 503.9 503.1 . 503.8 506.7 509.2 510.5 Retail Money Large Time 3 Sep Oct Apr 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 May 1995 1996 Large time deposits and retail money funds are ot oil despository institutions. Lorge time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Retoil money funds were originally colled generol purpose and broker/dealer money morket funds. Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 775 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollors Billions of Dollars Billions Jul 31 Aug 7 0.306 0.325 0.372 Sep 5 — 4 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 Aug Sep Oct 17 31 14 28 11 25 Aug Sep 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 May Jun 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit. 1996 Bank Loans and Credit All Billions of Dollors Bonk Credit >6 Billions 17 3678.1 3676.2 24 31 3664.9 7 3670.1 14 3666.2 21 3670.4 Commercial Banks in the United States’^ Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Bonk Credit (left scale)2/ Loons ond Looses (right scale) Loons&Leoses Billions 17 2698.7 2700.7 2697.1 Aug 7 2695.9 2695.7 2705.5 Jul 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 1995 Current data appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loons and leases ond securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17 31 14 28 11 25 1996 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Jul 24 Billions of Dollars 220 Billions 197.350 196.430 198.200 197.455 196.050 191.810 200 180- 180 5 160 19 14 28 11 25 Apr 1995 May 1996 Commercial and Industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Billions of Dollars 420 All Banks 740- 720- Jul 17 Aug 7 Billions 744.0 744.5 743.7 400 All Bonks (left scale) 740.7 745.8 380 360 Large Banks (right scole)^/ 660- Lorge Banks Billions 340 362.0 320 Aug 7 364.1 300 1995 Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domesticolly chartered bonks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1996 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dollar's Trade - Weighted Exchange Index Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 1973=100 Jd 31 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 1995 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 11 25 1996 Current data appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.10 release. Oato ore weighted overages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis >< DA < ca J DA eft