Full text of U.S. Financial Data : September 29, 1994
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FederaTR.?;; G»V3 Oar. U.S. Financial Data IIIHKM KISI.KM IVVNKof ST.MM IS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ According to the final estimate, real gross domestic product (GDP) rose at a revised 4.1 percent annual rate in the second quarter, up 0.3 percentage points from last month's preliminary estimate. The final estimate was boosted largely by additional inventory accumu lation. Real GDP has also increased 4.1 percent over the past four quarters. August sales of new single-family homes were at an annual rate of 703,000, 9.7percent higher than the revised July rate of641,000 and up 9 percent from August 1993. ✓ Following a 4 percent decrease in July, advance new orders for manufactured durable goods rebounded strongly in August, increasing 6 percent to $154 billion. ✓ The Conference Board’s index of consumer confidence, which averaged 100 in 1985, decreased 2 percentage points in September to 88.4, its third consecutive monthly decline. ✓ Bank reserves adjusted for reserve requirements have declined at a 2.5 percent rate from the average of the two weeks ending on February 16, 1994, to the average of the two weeks ending on September 14 (see page 4). Compared with a year earlier, however, adjusted reserves have risen 2.6 percent. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ■ 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily ngures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1994 450 “Aug 3 tt Sep 14 Billions of Dollars Billions 446.i A AG i 450.6 4 II 1 IS 21 1] !7 ID 24 I 22 S II 2 II 2 1i !0 IJ 27 II 25 II 22 6 21 3 17 11 14 21 12 21 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1993 1994 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: September 28, 1994 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depositoryinstitutionsj and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio.changes. The major source of adjusted monetary Basejs Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of g/2g/93 12/22/93 3/2/94 3/30/94 4/27/94 5/25/94 6/22/94 8/3/94 two maintenance periods ending: 3/2/94 3/30/94 4/27/94 5/25/94 6/22/94 8/3/94 8/31/94 9/28/94 10.6 9.2 9.4 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12.7 12.2 10.6 10.4 9.9 9.7 9.3 6.1 5.3 6.2 6.7 6.8 6.7 7.1 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.5 6.2 7.0 7.1 7.0 8.4 8.2 7.7 7.9 7.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages ot Daily Hgures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars M1 1994 Billions kug 15 1148.3 22 1154.2 29 1154.4 »ep 5 1155.4 12 1152.5 19 1151.2 Billions of Dollars M1 (left scale). TCO (right scale) Billions Aug 15 Sep 5 2 It Aug 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 20 3 17 31 11 20 14 28 11 25 3 23 i 20 4 10 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1993 Jun Jul 795.3 800.4 798.9 800.1 797.7 795.9 1 15 29 12 2i 10 24 Aug Sep Oct 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: September 19, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 9/20/93 12/20/93 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/16/94 5/16/94 6/20/94 7/1B/94 ending: 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/18/94 5/16/94 6/20/94 7/18/94 8/22/94 9/19/94 7.6 7.2 6.6 5.2 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.4 4.8 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.8 1.0 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.5 -0.9 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.1 0.9 1.8 2.1 2.0 4.7 4.0 3.4 3.3 2.7 2.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars m 1994 Jul 6 20 Aug 3 17 31 Sep 14 Billions 102.0 105.2 102.4 105.0 103.1 104 0 IDE 102 98 94 4 II 1 IS 25 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 U 2 IS 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 21 Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: September 14, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 7/20/94 9/15/93 12/8/93 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/11/94 6/8/94 periods ending: 2/1S/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/11/94 6/8/94 7/20/94 8/17/94 9/14/94 10.1 7.7 4.7 3.7 3.7 3.2 3.0 2.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11.4 5.5 3.8 3.8 3.1 2.9 2.4 -8.9 -7.2 -4.6 -3.3 -2.6 -2.5 -8.4 -4.5 -3.0 -2.2 -2.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90 • • Money Multiplier1/ Ratio Ratio seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending September 12. 1994 from the four weeks ending: Sep Dec Mar Apr May Jun Jul 13, 20, 14. 25, 23. 20, 18. 1993 1993 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 Ratio -3.2 -5.3 -4.2 -4.2 -3.5 -3.6 -3.5 4 Aug 1 Sep 12 22 8 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25 9 23 8 20 Aug Jul Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: September 12. 1994 May Jun 1994 Jul 2.574 2.594 2.554 2.569 2.561 15 29 12 28 II 24 Aug Sep Oct Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 355 315 335 Billions of Dollars 355 ---------1--------- 1--------Compounded annu al rates of change, average of the four weeks ending . September 19, 1994 from the four weeks end ng: Sep 20. 1993 1C .3 Dec 20. 1993 1C .9 Mar 21. 1994 .4 May 16, 1 994 Jun 20, 1 994 Jul 1B, 1 994 315 335 .1 .9 .2 325 325 199 ± Aug 15 22 29 Sep 5 12 19 315 305 2 li 31 13 27 II 15 I 21 Aug Sep Oct Nov 6 20 3 12 31 11 21 11 20 II 25 1 23 t 10 1 II Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 May Jun Jul Bill] ons 34 4.8 34 5.5 347.0 “ 347.0 346.3 346.9 1 15 2) 12 II 10 21 Aug Sep Oct 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: September 19, 1994 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 315 305 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averoges of Doily Figures Corporate Prime Bank Loan Rate Commercial 15 29 12 2$ 10 24 7 21 4 II Aug Sep Oct 1993 Nov Dec Jan Feb II I 15 29 13 27 10 24 Mar Apr May Jun 1994 2 II 30 Jul Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: September 30, 1994 1994 Jul 8 15 22 29 Aug 5 12 19 26 Sep 2 9 16 23 30 * 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90—Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 4.53 4.55 4.44 4.46 4.45 4.54 4.74 4.79 4.80 4.82 4.87 4.93 5.01 4.78 4.78 4.65 4.70 4.68 4.79 4.86 4.87 4.88 4.89 4.96 5.08 5.17 4.72 4.69 4.59 4.61 4.61 4.71 4.60 4.79 4.81 4.81 4.88 5.01 5.09 8.18 8.17 8.06 8.05 7.96 8.12 8.07 8.13 8.09 8.22 8.32 8.41 8.46 8.87 8.86 8.75 8.74 8.64 8.79 8.73 8.79 8.76 8.88 8.97 9.04 9.08 6.27 6.22 6.22 6.22 6.16 6,25 6.22 6.21 6.16 6.18 6.24 6.37 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures 3-Month -Treasury Bill Funds Rate 3.0 Discount Rate 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 16 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 16 30 14 28 Sep Oct Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: September 30, 1994 1994 Jul 8 15 22 29 Aug 5 12 19 26 Sep 2 9 16 23 30 * Federal Funds ** 4.38 4.30 4.30 4.28 4.28 4.26 4.35 4.66 4.72 4.74 4.70 4.73 4.66 3—Month Treasury Bill 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 1 0—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 4.28 4.37 4.30 4.39 4.34 4.40 4.56 4.55 4.56 4.56 4.59 4.71 4.68 5.19 6.95 7.34 7.64 5.18 6.97 7.36 7.65 5.10 6.83 7.23 7.52 5.22 6.89 7.26 7.52 5.12 6.77 7.15 7.41 5.29 6.96 7.31 7.58 5.30 6.90 7.24 7.53 5.31 6.92 7.27 7.58 5.26 6.83 7.21 7.52 5.30 6.95 7.33 7.65 5,38 7.05 7.44 7.76 5.53 7.17 7.54 7.84 5.56 7.22 7.58 7.B8 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven—day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars M2 1994 Billions Aug 15 22 29 Sep 5 12 19 3596.9 3600.5 3597.5. 3594.0 3595.3 3594.2 Billions ol Dollars M2 (left scale) M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 2 IS 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Aug Sep Oct Nov 6 20 3 17 31 14 21 14 28 11 25 S 23 S 20 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Billions Aug 15 22 29 Sep 5 12 19 2448.6 2446.3 2443.1 2438.6 2442.8 2443.0 4 18 1 15 28 12 2S II 24 Jul Jun Aug Sep Oct 1994 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: September 19, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of Ml, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 9/20/93 12/20/93 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/18/94 5/16/94 6/20/94 7/18/94 ending: 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/1B/94 5/16/94 6/20/94 7/18/94 8/22/94 9/19/94 1.4 1.9 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.5 2.3 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.2 4.7 2.8 2.2 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.9 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.6 1.4 0.5 -0.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1295 --------- 1--------- 1--------- Billions of Dollars ----------I--------- 1--------- 195 Savings 1994 1255 Small Time Billions Aug 1 5 11 94.2 22 1194.8 29 1194.3 12 11 8.9 19 11 £ 5.9 1994 Billions Aug 15 22 29 777.4 777.9 778.9 12 19 78 1.9 78 4.4 Savi ig« De >o«tt«( eft sea le) 855 815 Sim II Time (right scale) •*» ^ 1175 1135 775 —^ ! If 30 13 !7 11 25 0 22 Aug Sep Oct 1993 Nov f 20 3 17 31 14 20 14 !i 11 25 0 23 f 20 4 II I 15 29 12 21 10 24 Dec May Jun 1994 Jan Feb Mar Apr Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Jul Aug Sep 735 Oct Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1/ All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures. Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Large Time 1994 Billions Aug 1 5 22 29 -Sep 5 12 19 Money Market 1994 Billions 340.2 339.5 340.8 341.8 344.4 345.5 Aug 15 22 29 Sep 5 12 19 364.5 363.9 359.6 358.0 — 362.0 364.1 2 If 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25 9 23 i 20 4 18 1 IS 28 12 2$ 10 24 Aug Sep Oct 1993 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1994 Jul Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: September 19, 1994 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louts http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Aug 24 0.485 0.511 0.461 0.433 0.503 C.566 Sep 7 Billions of Dollars 4 18 1 15 2! 13 27 II 24 I 22 S IS 2 tS 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 I 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 21 12 26 Aug Sep . . Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1993 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $1 million in the week ending July 20. 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown in the chart. Bank Loans and Credit 3325 3275 3225 V All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 2450 -------- 1--------- — Bank Cr edit 1994 fiil ions 2400 Aug 10 17 24 31 32 46.2 32 47.3 32 62.7 32 69.1 ^3. j 14 32 60.8 2350 Beink Cr*dit (lef : scale )2/ / 3175 s 2300 ^/ ✓ 3125 2250 'w Loan stScLea ses * 3075 V 1994 Aug 10 17 24 31 Sep 7 14 /* 't/s' Li •one 3025 2975 “ an d Leas (rig it seal 0 Billie 2284.0 2284.7 2294.8 2302.4 2296.8 2294.5 4 II 1 15 21 13 27 10 2* I 22 5 19 2 It 2 It 30 13 27 11 25 I 22 t 20 3 17 31 14 21 12 2i Aug Sep Oct Nov 1993 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Latest Wednesday data plotted : September 14, 1994 Current data appear In the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis May Jun 1994 Jul Aug Sep Oct Prepared by Fedora' Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2200 2150 2100 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions Aug 17 150.105 149.180 Sep 7 148.938 148.341 155.605 I U 1 IS 2! 13 11 Aug Sep Oct 1993 II 21 ! 2! 5 I) Nov Dec Jon 2 ID 2 11 ID 1] 27 II 25 I 2! I 20 ] 17 31 II 21 1! 21 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: September 21, 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars (30 020 (ID Billions of Dollars 330 --------1---------1--------All Banks - 1994 Billions 17 24 31 Sep 7 14 621.7 623.4 622.9 624.1 623.5 /* ** 320 310 . /" / Al Banks (left s :ale)^ 300 f N / 60S * 550 /_ x 5BD -*• — f*' • v' 3e Ban ks__ Billie ns Aug 1 0 301 .0 7 302 .8 2 4 302 .7 31 302.8 Sep 7 302.2 14 302.7 1994 —1 Large Banka (right scale )2/ I 570 11 Aug 15 Sep 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 IS Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 MM 16 Feb ___ 16 30___ 13 27 Mar Apr Latest Wednesday data plotted : September 14. 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 'k 8 22 6 20 May Jun Jul 19 94 3 290 200 I 17 3 14 21 12 2 Aug Sep Oct Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 270 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1124 1973=1 PP Aug 24 Aug 1 IS 2! 13 27 10 24 Sep Oct Nov 22 5 1! 2 If 2 10 30 13 27 11 25 0 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 28 Dec Jan Feb Mar 1993 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: September 28, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis C/3 3t & X ^ 0S> *2 Ui 9! ce os CQ „ w m JIM