Full text of U.S. Financial Data : September 16, 1993
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s‘fi.499) ervo Bank rr, ? *Ep 2 ° m3 tiOinincial Data KKhKKM KKSIKM ItVNKol SI. KM IS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: \/ Industrial production increased at an annual rate of 2.2 percent in August, following a 5.6 percent rate of increase in July. August production was up at a 3 percent rate from December 1992, after increasing 4 percent during 1992. «/ Retail sales for August increased at an annual rate of 2.7 percent, after advancing at a 3.8 percent rate in July. Retail sales have risen at a 3.9 percent rate thus far this year, which compares with 8 percent growth during all of1992. Retail sales data are not adjusted for inflation. ✓ The consumer price index (CPI) for all urban consumers in August increased at an annual rate of 3.4 percent, after rising at a 0.8 per cent rate in July. Since December 1992, the CPI has risen at a 2.9 percent rate. The U.S. merchandise trade deficit narrowed to $10.3 billion in July from $12.1 billion in June. Thus far in 1993, the merchandise trade deficit has totaled $67 billion, up from $44 billion during the first seven months of 1992. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1993 Jul 7 Aug 4 Sep 1 Billions of Dollars Billions 4-06.2 410.9 409.1 413.4 413.7 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 36 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 1992 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: September 15, 1993 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetaiy base is federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 9/16/92 12/9/92 2/17/93 3/17/93 4/14/93 5/12/93 6/9/93 7/21/93 two maintenance periods ending: 2/17/93 3/17/93 4/14/93 5/12/93 6/9/93 7/21/93 8/18/93 9/15/93 13.2 10.3 9.6 10.1 11.1 11.0 10.8 10.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8.5 7.8 8.9 10.5 10.4 10.2 9.9 0.3 4.7 8.2 8.7 8.8 8.6 9.6 12.8 11.9 11.4 10.8 16.7 13.8 12.7 11.8 13.8 12.4 11.3 9.6 9.0 8.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars -Aug 2 9 16 23 30 Billions of Dollars 1091.3 1091.5 1095.2 1096.1 1097.6 1103.1 TCD fright scale) TCD 1993 Billion? M1 (left scale) Aug 2 9 16 23 30 Sep 6 6 20 3 17 31 H 28 12 28 9 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Jul Aug Sep Oct Feb Mar Apr May Jun 772.6 772.7 775.5 ~ 775.3 774.9 780.8 19 2 16 30 13 27 Jul Aug Sep Latest data plotted week ending: September 6, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) To the average of four weeks ending: 2/8/93 3/8/93 4/5/93 5/3/93 6/7/93 7/5/93 8/9/93 9/6/93 Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 9/7/92 12/7/92 2/8/93 3/8/93 4/5/93 5/3/93 6/7/93 7/5/93 13.6 11.6 10.6 10.5 12.6 12.0 12.2 12.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.0 4.8 5.7 9.7 9.2 9.9 10.1 2.6 5.0 11.3 10.3 11.0 11.1 6.9 14.6 12.5 12.9 12.8 19.6 15.3 14.9 14.4 17.8 16.4 15.5 10.5 11.0 13.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars 1993 Jun 23 - Jul 7 21 Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions 102.1 Aug 4 98.5 18 102.0 Sep 1 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 U 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 26 11 25 I 22 Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1993 Jun Jul Aug Sep Latest data plotted two weeks ending: September 1, 1993 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 9/2/92 11/25/92 2/3/93 3/3/93 3/31 /93 4/28/93 5/26/93 7/7/93 periods ending: 2/3/93 3/3/93 3/31/93 4/28/93 5/26/93 7/7/93 8/4/93 9/1/93 14.0 23.1 6.3 11.0 13.0 10.5 13.0 12.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19.2 -6.0 2.8 6.9 4.7 8.5 8.3 -12.3 5.6 11.8 7.1 12.2 11.4 -20.8 -6.0 -5.4 2.2 2.8 42.5 20.1 25.2 21.6 9.0 18.1 15.5 12.8 11.0 24.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.0 Ratio 3.0 Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending August 30, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Aug 31, 1992 1.1 Dec 7. 1992 -0.2 Mar 1, 1993 3.3 Apr 12, 1993 1.3 May 10. 1993 2.5 Jun 7. 1993 0.0 Jul 5, 1993 0.0 B 20 Jul 3 17 IIH 28 12 it Aug Sep Oct 1992 1993 Ratio Jun 21 Jul 5 19 Aug 2 16 30 I 23 7 21 8 11 I IS 1 15 21 1! 26 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2.653 2.651 2.640 2.662 2.645 2.653 10 21 7 21 S 19 2 It 311 U 27 ‘ May Jun Jul Aua SeD 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: August 30. 1993 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 320 310 . 300 • Billions of Dollars I----------1--------Compounded anni al rates of change, average of the fou r weeks ending September 6, 1993 from the four weeks en ding: Sep 7, 1992 1 0.7 Dec 7. 1992 1 0.7 Mar 8, 1993 1 1.1 Apr 5. 1993 1 1.1 Ma Y 3. 993 1 1.9 Ju 7, 993 1 2.4 Ju 5, 993 1 1.4 320 310 300 290 200 199. Aug Bilik2ns 2 9 6 23 0 Sep 6 270 Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 Nov 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 Dec Jan Feb Mar ______ 31C .8 31 .0 311.9 313.0 314.9 314.5 J ______ _____ 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 Apr May_ Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: September 6, 1993 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 280 270 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporati i | • ** —. X — ' . <*» x 9.0 9.0 X *\ «■ * X S_____ Mun cipal B >nda \ \ “ X Prime 1 kmk Loan R rta \ \ 5.0 N x S.O \\ / -------- W ------- . X ** N 7.0 / / 7.0 _______ l.___ s.o X V/ / V ““ x „ S.O \ s 5.0 S.O 3.0 Corrw >erckjl Pt 2.0 3 17 31 H 29 II 25 1 23 S 20 4 1! 1 15 29 1! 2S 1! 26 9 23 7 21 4 19 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 1993 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: September 17, 1993 1993 90—Day CDs 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds +* Jun 25 Jul 2 9 16 23 30 Aug 6 13 20 27 Sep 3 10 17 * 3.21 3.18 3.16 3.14 3.16 3.17 3.17 3.15 3.13 3.14 3.13 3.11 3.12 3.20 3.20 3.16 3.13 3.14 3.15 3.16 3.15 3.15 3.11 3.14 3.12 3.14 3.16 3.13 3.12 3.10 3.14 3.13 3.12 3.10 3.09 3.08 3.08 3.06 3.08 7.29 7.24 7.22 7.16 7.17 7.14 7.04 6.92 6.79 6.71 6.61 6.51 6.60 8.01 7.96 7.96 7.90 7.93 7.95 7.82 7.69 7.53 7.43 7.34 7.26 7.29 5.57 5.55 5.55 5.50 5.61 5.65 5.61 5.45 5.40 5.35 5.35 5.24 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.0 Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent 7.0 7.0 5-Year Tree* ry Sect rifles i_____ V \ •s r/ f / V \ * \/ ✓ \ / / / \ 'A \ \ / *s s ✓ 5.0 ✓ >* N 5.0 \ V 1.0 \ Fed iral Fund Rate t yv 3.0 Diecoi nt Rate \ \ s'* f 1 . w / \ 6^ V? 3.0 3-Mo nth Treaeury Bill 2.0 r ’ i ' r ri rn~n" ] 17 31 14 21 II 25 } 23 1 20 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1992 i 1 i * 1 i 1 i * 1 * 1 _r r» i r T' T'T I II 1 15 29 1! 2! 1! 21 9 23 7 21 3 11 2 II 30 13 27 10 21 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 Latest data plotted ore averages of rates available for the week ending: September 17, 1993 1993 Jun 25 Jul 2 9 16 23 30 Aug 6 13 20 27 Sep 3 10 17 ♦ Federal Funds ** 3.00 3.13 3.10 3.01 3.09 3.03 3.10 2.98 3.06 2.98 3.08 2.99 3.03 3—Month Treasury Bill 6-Month Treasury Bill *** 3.09 3.01 3.02 3.02 3.07 3.06 3.06 3.02 3.00 3.00 2.99 2.96 2.97 3.19 3.14 3.10 3.14 3.15 3.24 3.25 3.18 3.12 3.12 3.11 3.03 3.06 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 3.37 5.18 6.44 3.29 5.04 6.34 3.28 5.03 6.34 3.27 5.00 6.25 3.37 5.15 6.30 3.43 5.21 6.34 3.40 5.19 6.27 3.33 5.12 6.20 3.26 5.02 6.15 3.24 4.87 6.03 3.21 4.76 5.92 3.18 4.66 5.80 3.23 4.73 5.86 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown •** Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 2.0 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M2 1993 Aug 2 9 16 23 30 Sep 6 Billions 3527.0 3523.0 3530.7. 3529.7 3522.4 3535.1 M2 (left scale) Non-Mi M2 (right scale) Non-Mi M2 1993 Billions Aug 2 9 16 23 30 Sep 6 2435.7 2431.5 2435.5 2433.6 2424.8 2432.0 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 S 23 7 21 1 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: September 6, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) To the average of four weeks ending: 2/8/93 3/8/93 4/5/93 5/3/93 6/7/93 7/5/93 8/9/93 9/8/93 Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 9/7/92 12/7/92 2/8/93 3/8/93 4/5/93 5/3/93 6/7/93 7/5/93 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2.5 -2.2 -1.6 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.2 -1.6 -0.7 2.6 2.3 2.5 2.4 0.0 4.1 3.3 3.3 3.1 6.4 4.7 4.3 3.9 6.4 5.3 4.6 2.2 2.2 2.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1250 —,--------- ,----------Savings 1993 Billions Aug 2 1199.5 9 1204.0 1220 16 12 05.7 23 12 05.3 30 12 06.7 Sep 6 12 09.1 Billions of Dollars 120 390 1190 300 ** — - w^ /-• Ai _ « *^ “ s ^ * *•» 1100 Mon ly Mar tat (rig it seal 0 ms. « avings Dapos ta (left scale) Aug 2 9 18 23 30 Sep 6 1130 1100 r * i 21 Jul 330 Morley Ma rket 199 Billie 337 .0 336.0 — 334.4 335.5 332.1 329.9 T.M 1. .J.,, ' i ' -T-r-T-r1 T-r-r ' ■ 1 ' ~"r T ■ I1 1 ' t T"» 1 J 17 II 14 20 •»"T 12 '•26'1 ! 23 2 21 4 18 1 IS 1 IS 28 12 26 10 24 7 21 S 19 2 16 30 13 2? Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug SeD . 1992 1993 y 300 270 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Large and Small Time Deposits1/ All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Small Time 1993 Aug 2 9 16 23 30 Sep 6 Billions 817.9 815.5 814.8 813.7 812.2 811.0 Large Tima (left scale) Large Time 1993 Billions Aug 2 9 16 23 30 Sep 6 336.9 337.5 338.2 339.4 339.4 336.5 Small Tima (right scale) 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 11 1 IS 1 15 29 12 26 11 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: September 6, 1993 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From federal Keserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions Aug 11 18 25 Sep 1 • 8 15 0.593 0.268 0.254 0.356 0.856 0.231 1 IS 29 12 28 S 23 7 21 4 18 2 IS 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 IS 30 14 21 11 25 8 22 Jut Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 1993 Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Aug 11 18 25 Sep 1 ■ 8 15 0.593 0.268 0.254 0.356 0.856 — 0.231 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: September 15, 1993 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Billions of Dollars Aug 4 159.083 Sep 1 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars Not Seosonolly Adjusted 1 58.222 I 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: September 8, 1993 Commercial and Industrial Loans'7 Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks2/ Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 325 1993 Aug 4 11 18 25 Sep 1 '£ 295 I 305 Billions of Dollars I--------- 1-------- 325 ! 315 --------- 1----------1--------Compounded annu 31 rates of change, average of the four weeks ending September 1, 1993 the four weeks end Sep 2, 1992 -2 Dec 2, 1992 -4 Mar 3, 1993 -2 .7 Mar 31, 1993 -2 .3 Apr 28, 1993 1 .2 Jun 2, 1993 -1 .4 Billions 274.919 272.651 272.764 271.588 272.709 3I5 305 295 285 285 275 275 285 1 15 !! 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 1« 2 II 31 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1992 5 19 2 10 30 14 2! 11 25 8 22 May Jun Jul Auq Sep 1993 265 Latest data plotted week ending: September 1, 1993 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/ Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.4 billion „ , . Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 100 Averages of Daily Figures 115 11S1 1973=100 Aug 11 Sep 105 1 95 85 I 15 2) 12 21 9 23 Jul Aug Sep 7 21 4 11 2 If 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 If 30 14 21 11 25 8 22 Oct 1992 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: September 15, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 75