Full text of U.S. Financial Data : September 1, 1994
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September 1, 1994 RESEARCH LIBRARY pick raf&es of. S^inJk rtTi a hie KKIIEKAI. A KI SI KM ZllVMio! «r si. mi is THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ New factory orders for manufactured goods fell 2.3 percent in July, following a 0.8percent increase in June. Despite July’s decline, the largest since December 1991, factory orders have increased 9.1 percent since July 1993. / The composite index of leading indicators was unchanged in July. The change in sensitive materials prices was the largest positive contributor; this component posted its largest monthly gain since March 1974. ✓ Sales of new one-family homes in July were at an annual rate of 664,000, 8.3 percent above the revised June rate, and 2.6 percent above the rate in July 1993. ✓ Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at a revised 3.8 percent annual rate in the second quarter, 0.1 percentage points above July’s advance estimate. Real GDP rose at a 3.3 percent rate in the first quarter. ✓ Real personal income rose at a 1.9 percent annual rate in July, while real personal consumption expenditures fell at a 2.4 percent rate. Since December 1993, real personal income and spending have risen at 2.6 percent and 2.3 percent annual rates, respectively. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions of Dollars Billions Jun 22 Jul 20 447.4 17 449.6 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 1994 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: August 31, 1994 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major sourcg of the adjusted monetaiv base is federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 2/2/94 3/2/94 3/30/94 4/27/94 5/25/94 7/6/94 8/3/94 8/31/94 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 3/2/94 3/30/94 4/27/94 5/25/94 7/6/94 9/1/93 11/24/93 2/2/94 9.6 10.6 9.4 9.5 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13.1 10.5 10.5 9.4 9.2 9.2 9.1 8.9 9.5 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 6.1 5.3 6.3 6.8 7.1 7.1 7.6 7.9 8.0 6.4 7.1 7.5 8.6 8.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • • Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Billions of Dollars Averages or Daily Ngures Seasonally Adjusted M1 1994 Billions Jul 18 1152.7 25 1158.5 ■ Aug 1 1158.9 8 1147.9 15 1148.4 22 1154.3 Billions of Dollars M1 (left scale) TCD (right scale) TCD 1994 Jul 18 25 Aug 1 8 15 22 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 Jul Aug 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 Sep Oct 1993 Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jul Billions 802.0 806.6 — 805.8 795.2 795.4 800.7 15 29 12 28 Aug Sep Latest data plotted week ending: August 22, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 8/23/93 11/22/93 1/24/94 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/25/94 5/23/94 6/20/94 of four weeks ending: 1/24/94 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/25/94 5/23/94 6/20/94 7/25/94 8/22/94 8.5 8.1 7.7 6.5 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.0 5.7 4.4 3.8 3.9 4.1 3.8 5.3 3.2 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.1 2.0 1.6 2.3 3.0 2.7 0.2 1.5 2.6 2.3 2.5 3.6 3.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars m 1994 Jun Billions 8 102.8 22 104.2 118 102.0 20 105.2 Aug 3 102.5 17 105.1 106 102 96 7 21 4 II I IS 29 II 27 10 2( I 22 S 19 2 19 2 It 19 I] 27 II 20 I 22 t 20 1 17 31 It 21 Jul Aug Sep Oct 1993 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Jun Jul Aug Sep Latest data plotted two weeks ending: August 17, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of Ml. Adjusted Reserves T .. , Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 10 the average of a/la/g3 n/io/g3 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/11/94 6/22/94 two maintenance periods ending: 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/11/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 6/17/94 7.2 10.2 8.1 5.4 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13.0 8.8 4.5 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.7 10.5 2.1 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 -8.9 -7.2 -4.3 -3.3 -2.5 -8.4 -4.2 -3.0 -2.0 -0.5 0.0 0.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90 Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.0 Ratio 1 Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending August 15, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Aug 16, 1993 -3.0 Nov 22 " 1993 -4.6 Feb 28, 1994 -3.6 Mar 28 1994 Apr 25 1994 -4.1 May 23 1994 -3.0 Jun 20 1994 -3.0 5 13 3.0 T 1994 Ratio Jun 6 20 Jul 4 18 Aug 1 15 2.590 2.584 2.583 2.574 2.594 2.554 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 12 26 ‘ Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: August 15, 1994 Mar Apr May Jun 1994 Jul Auq Sep Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 350 340 330 Billions of Dollars 330 -------- 1----------1--------- — Compounded annu al rates of change, average of the fou weeks ending August 22, 1994 f the four weeks enc ing: Aug 23, 1993 1 . 6 Nov 22, 1993 1 3.9 Feb 21, 1994 1 3.2 . Mar 21. 1994 3.7 Apr 25, 994 3.8 Ma> 23, 994 3.5 Jur 20, 994 3.4 340 330 320 320 310 300 1 994 Billie ns Jul 1 8 25 1 8 15 22 342 .5 343 .6 344.8 344.4 344.7 345.4 Aug H' T ' 1 i ' L|~r~i r ' l ■ i 5 1) 2 If 30 13 17 Jul Aug ' Sep i "t l r~ »-i ■ ' i ■ Jan Feb tfrf '' 1 1 1 T-n ■ LP'I > 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 4 18 I 15 29 12 26 Oct 1993 Nov Dec Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: August 22, 1994 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 310 300 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporate Loon Rato 2 If 30 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 1! 3 17 31 14 20 11 25 11 25 8 22 f 20 3 17 1 15 2) 12 2f 0 23 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: September 2, 1994 1994 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** Jun 10 17 24 Jul 1 8 15 22 29 Aug 5 12 19 26 Sep 2 ♦ 4.32 4.34 4.36 4.47 4.53 4.55 4.44 4.46 4.45 4.54 4.74 4.79 4.80 4.43 4.46 4.52 4.71 4.78 4.78 4.65 4.70 4.68 4.79 4.86 4.87 4.88 4.38 4.39 4.46 4.64 4.72 4.69 4.59 4.61 4.61 4.71 4.80 4.79 4.80 7.85 7.94 8.02 8.11 8.18 8.17 8.06 8.05 7.96 8.12 8.07 8.13 8.10 8.51 8.63 8.73 8.80 8.87 8.86 8.75 8.74 8.64 8.79 8.73 8.79 8.77 5.96 6.04 6.16 6.28 6.27 6.22 6.22 6.22 6.16 6.25 6.22 6.21 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. » Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures 5—Year 5.0 Funds Discount Rots 2 If 3d 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 11 25 11 25 Jul Aug Sep Oct 1993 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 22 8 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 28 9 23 Apr May 1994 Jun Jul Aug Sep Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: September 2. 1994 1994 Jun 10 17 24 Jul 1 B 15 22 29 Aug 5 12 19 26 Sep 2 * Federal Funds ♦* 4.13 4.21 4.19 4.19 4.38 4.30 4.30 4.28 4.28 4.26 4.35 4.66 4.72 3—Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 4.11 4.12 4.16 4.16 4.28 4.37 4.30 4.39 4.34 4.40 4.56 4.55 4.57 4.89 6.54 6.97 7.28 4.90 6.65 7.08 7.39 5.00 6.76 7.17 7.47 5.18 6.89 7.27 7.57 5.19 6.95 7.34 7.64 5.18 6.97 7.36 7.65 5.10 6.83 7.23 7.52 5.22 6.89 7.26 7.52 5.12 6.77 7.15 7.41 5.29 6.96 7.31 7.58 5.30 6.90 7.24 7.53 5.31 6.92 7.27 7.58 5.26 6.84 7.21 7.52 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3620 ~ 2500 I M2 1994 Billions Jul 18 25 Auq 1 8 15 22 3555 Billions of Dollars 12 (left scale) 3600.7 3606.6 3606.6 35 89.4 35 95.4 35 98.9 2075 r. 3530 / / \ • \ * Vh\ A- \ /N A A\ i i / ✓ * / ** -» i 3505 2025 V i on-M1 M2 (right sea le) Nor -M1 KK2 1994 Billiens 3520 Jul 18 25 1 8 15 22 Aug 3095 2050 V As, \\"- 5 19 Jul 2448.0 2448.1 2447.7 2441.5 2447.0 2444.6 ___I___I__ 2 16 30 13 27 II 25 1 22 i 20 3 17 31 10 21 10 21 11 25 8 13 1 11 0 11 I 15 11 12 2l" Aug Dec Apr Sep Oct 1993 Nov Jqn Feb Mar May 1994 Jun Jul Aug 2000 2375 Sep Latest data plotted week ending: August 22, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 8/23/93 11/22/93 1/24/94 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/25/94 5/23/94 6/20/94 ending: 1/24/94 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/25/94 5/23/94 6/20/94 7/25/94 8/22/94 2.1 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.9 1.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.0 1.8 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.4 2.2 1.9 1.4 1.7 1.4 4.0 3.1 2.2 2.3 1.8 2.4 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.1 1.2 0.7 1.3 0.6 1.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1215 -------- 1----------1--------Savings 1994 Billions ms Billions of Dollars I----------1------- 895 Small Time 1994 BiHions Jul 18 1202.9 25 1201.7 1 1199.7 Jul 18 25 1 s 5 Aug Aug 15 11 94.2 22 11 94.6 2 Savi igt Dop o«R«(l sft seal =) 772.2 773.9 774.7 77e .0 — 111 .3 111 .8 ms 815 * _ Sr tall Tlir • (rigtit scale ) > _ _ ^_s ins 1135 775 5 19 2 16 31 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 21 14 21 II 25 9 23 6 20 4 II 1 15 29 12 26 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1993 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions Mar Apr May 1994 Jun Jul Aug 735 Sep Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1 ^ All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 400 -------- 1----------1--------Large Time 1994 Billions Jul 18 339.1 25 341.0 Aug 1 339.4 380 15 3 ii!s 22 3 W.7 — ** ✓ 320 i »T7m< > > 340 7 5 11 2 18 30 13 27 11 2S 8 22 8 21 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 28 1 23 6 20 4 18 I 15 21 12 26 Jul Aug Sep Oct 1993 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Jun Jul Aug Sep Latest data plotted week ending: August 22, 1994 1 / Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 380 380 “ La r( ------------------- > j>ino» 310 364 363 \ \ S_ / \* -s /'L > «*» _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _k _ _ / 15 22 ~t— i i Market 4oney S-'N -'s' 364.7 363.4 363.1 I Jul 18 25 1 Aug 3(0 ✓ Billions of Dollars 1 1 Money Market LS£4 BiHions 320 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Jul 27 Aug 3 0.443 0.472 17 0.453 31 0.511 7 21 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Billions of Dollars 22 5 19 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1993 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $1 million in the week ending July 20, 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown in the chart. Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banka in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3275 3225 3I75 —1---------Bank Cr edit 1994 fii lions “Jul 13 32.38.7 20 32.39.2 27 32 44.3 Aug 3 32.39.8 1/ Billions of Dollars 2400 2350 &ank Onsd'it (le t scale 17 32 44.2 2300 )z/ ✓ ** ✓ 3I25 2250 '/\y p 3075 2200 3025 Loan s&Lea ses 199 4 Billi ans Jul 13 2264.3 20 2276.8 27 2281.0 Auq 3 2280.8 0 2284.2 7 2285.2 Lo«ins anc Leases (righ t scale 2975 2925 7 71 Jul 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Aug Sep Oct 1993 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Latest Wednesday data plotted : August 17, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Apr May 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 21 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 Q ...... id D . . . • Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2150 2100 2050 Commercial Paper of Nonfinanciai Companies Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Jul 20 27 Aug 3 10 17 24 153.615 149.560 154.226 150.545 150.105 148.284 Jul Billions of Dollars _Not Seasonally Adjusted Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Jun 20 3 17 31 14 21 Jul Aug Sep Latest data plotted week ending: August 24, 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars All Banks 1994 Billions Jul 13 20 27 Aug 3 10 17 616.8 • 618.8 619.1 619.7 620.3 622.2 Ail Banka (left scale) . Large Banks__ 1994 Billions Jul 13 20 27 Aug 3 10 17 Larga Banks (right scale) 1993 Latest Wednesday data plotted : August 17, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 299.8 300.7 301.0 300.8 ~ 301.4 303.2 1994 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1994 1973=100 Jul 27 Aug 3 7 21 4 1! 1 IS 2) 13 27 ID 24 I 22 5 11 2 It 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Aug Sep Oct 1993 Nov Dec Jan Feb War Apr May 1994 22 ( 20 3 17 31 14 28 Jun Jul Aug Sep Latest data plotted week ending: August 31, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis m. o H id H J O a c as rj m