Full text of U.S. Financial Data : October 29, 1992
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r!29J 39921Y \ of 8t. Louis U.S. Financial Data THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: t/ Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at a 2.7percent annual rate in the third quarter of this year, finally surpassing its pre-recession peak, which was reached in the second quarter of 1990. The real GDP has expanded for six consecutive quarters, although the rate of increase has been a relatively slow 1.8 percent. %/ Prices, as measured by the implicit price deflator for GDP, rose at a 2 percent annual rate in the third quarter, marking a 2.5 percent increase from a year earlier. \/ Real disposable personal income advanced at a 2.3 percent annual rate in September, following a 0.5 percent rate of decline in August. During the past year, real disposable income has expanded 2 per cent, compared with a 0.1 percent increase from September 1990 to September 1991. The federal budget registered a $290.2 billion deficit for fiscal year 1992, up from a $268.7 billion deficit in 1991. Outlays rose 4.5 percent in 1992, and receipts increased 3.5 percent. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) Two years (100 issues) $18 $30 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1992 Billions Aug 19 Sep 2 372.2 371.4 376.9 377.4 380.3 Oct 14 4 1! Sep Billions of Dollars 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 IS 30 14 28 11 25 Oct Jun Nov Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1991 Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: October 28, 1992 The adjusted .monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutigns at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 10/30/91 1/22/92 4/1/92 4/29/92 5/27/92 6/24/92 7/22/92 9/2/92 two maintenance periods ending: 4/1/92 4/29/92 5/27/92 6/24/92 7/22/92 9/2/92 9/30/92 10/28/92 9.3 9.5 9.3 8.3 7.8 9.2 10.1 10.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12.4 11.4 9.5 8.6 10.3 11.4 11.7 9.2 6.6 5.8 9.1 10.8 11.2 4.6 4.3 8.7 10.8 11.3 2.5 9.0 11.5 12.0 12.1 14.5 14.5 19.2 17.7 17.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • • Money Stock (M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars seasonally Adjusted M1 1992 Billions Sop 14 986.3 ‘ 21 991.8 28 992.0 Oct 5 1000.7 12 1007.8 . 19 1005.9 TCD (right scale) 1192 TCD Billions Sep 14 21 28 Oct 5 12 19 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1992 Jul Aug Sep 892.3 697.1 696.8 704^6 710.4 708.7 Oct Nov Latest data plotted week ending: October 19, 1 992 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. r Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 10/21/91 1/20/92 3/16/92 4/20/92 5/18/92 6/22/92 7/20/92 8/17/92 of four weeks ending: 3/16/92 4/20/92 5/18/92 6/22/92 7/20/92 8/17/92 9/21/92 10/19/92 17.9 14.8 14.7 13.1 12.1 12.7 13.3 14.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 16.8 16.2 13.3 11.7 12.6 13.5 14.5 7.6 6.3 5.7 7.9 9.9 11.6 8.3 6.8 9.5 11.5 13.4 3.8 8.2 11.0 13.3 10.8 13.8 16.1 18.6 20.3 21.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Ssasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions Aug 5 Sep 2 4 18 2 18 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Latest data plotted two weeks ending: October 14. 1992 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 10/16/91 1/8/92 3/18/92 4/15/92 5/13/92 6/10/92 7/8/92 8/19/92 periods ending: 3/18/92 4/15/92 5/13/92 6/10/92 7/8/92 8/19/92 9/16/92 10/14/92 22.0 19.2 18.0 17.2 12.9 13.9 13.7 14.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 26.3 22.7 20.5 13.7 14.9 14.4 16.0 7.7 8.8 1.5 6.4 7.0 10.0 10.9 0.5 6.8 7.5 10.9 -4.4 5.6 6.7 10.8 3.6 5.6 10.8 16.5 20.6 20.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending October 12, 1992 from the four weeks ending: Oct 14, 1991 3.2 Jan 20, 1992 2.4 Apr 13, 1992 1.2 May 25, 1992 0.9 Jun 22. 1992 0.7 Jul 20, 1992 1.5 Aug 17, 1992 3.5 Aug 3 Sep 14 Oct 12 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Api 1991 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: October 12, 1992 Jul Aug Sep 2^642 — Oct 2.9 Nov 1992 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 295 J85 275 Billions of Dollars ---------1----------1--------- — Compounded annu al rates of change, average of the fou r weeks ending October 1 9, 1992 :rom the four weeks enc ing: Oct 21. 1991 J.O Jan 20, 1992 i.7 Apr 20, 1992 1 .4 May 18, 1992 151.1 Jun 22, 1992 1C . 9 Jul 20. 1992 1f . 9 Au< 295 285 275 199.2 2(5 255 1 1 1 Sep Oct Nov 1991 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1992 1 ' 1 ' Jul Biliions ^ Sep 14 21 28 Oct 5 12 19 I 1 i 1 ■ i 1 r» i Aug Sep 28 5.7 — 28 5.4 28 B.7 28 7.4 28 3.7 28 3.6 ' Oct m "t ■' 1 Nov Latest data plotted week ending: October 19, 1992 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 265 255 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporate Municipal Bond* Prime Bank -Loan Rate- 15 29 12 26 18 1 15 29 13 27 ID 21 7 21 6 20 Nov Dec Jan Feb May Mar Jun Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: October 30, 1992 1992 90-Day CDs 30-Day Commercial Paper 90—Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds 7 14 21 28 Sep 4 11 18 25 Oct 2 9 16 23 30 * 3.32 3.28 3.28 3.34 3.28 3.08 3.07 3.15 3.10 3.09 3.25 3.38 3.40 3.39 3.35 3.37 3.39 3.37 3.17 3.18 3.27 3.26 3.15 3.23 3.27 3.27 3.28 3.25 3.26 3.31 3.25 3.05 3.05 3.12 3.04 3.05 3.18 3.31 3.31 7.99 7.93 7.91 7.97 7.93 7.87 7.91 7.96 7.93 7.92 7.96 8.04 8.08 Aug Corporate Baa Bonds 8.68 8.62 8.62 8.69 8.64 8.54 8.58 8.69 8.64 8.72 8.84 8.93 8.96 Municipal Bonds ** 6.06 6.05 6.21 6.31 6.24 6.16 6.27 6.33 6.27 6.29 6.34 6.53 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent 9.0 V/ *• s ■ » *»» 6.0 \ 7.0 ury Seci jrftiea / / * 1 __ /-V ✓ ^ > ___ Z 7.0 / / — y ----------- 8.0 9.0 1 \ L 6.0 N / / \^/i * 1^r> Fed eral ^Fund i Rate > ✓ L. N 1 /\A T ■eatury Bill ‘ . v \VV “nr 3.0 OlKO jnt Rob 2.0 • i »* n i » m ' i 'MM1 I'M T' 1 ' r»"i » 'Ml T'T ' 1 1 r 1 1 1 ■i 1 i ' T-r-| i Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Aug Sep Jul 1991 1992 Latest data plotted are overages of rates available for the week ending: October 30, 1992 1992 Aug 7 14 28 Sep 4 18 25 Oct 2 16 23 30 * Federal Funds ** 3.33 3.24 3.33 3.27 3.33 3.09 3.28 3.07 3.41 3.20 3.20 3.05 2.96 \ * Oct Nov 3—Month Treasury Bill 6—Month Treasury Bill *** 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury 3.16 3.11 3.07 3.16 3.10 2.91 2.89 2.89 2.69 2.76 2.90 2.95 2.93 3.30 3.19 3.18 3.24 3.26 2.95 2.90 2.93 2.85 2.78 2.95 3.10 3.22 3.39 3.28 3.26 3.38 3.26 3.04 3.03 3.04 2.91 2.97 3.12 3.35 3.35 5.69 5.53 5.48 5.69 5.48 5.26 5.37 5.46 5.26 5.35 5.52 5.83 5.86 7.18 7.08 7.11 7.13 6.95 7.02 7.12 7.21 7.38 * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown *•* Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M2 1992 Billions Sep 14 21 28 Oct 5 12 19 3480.4 3479.4 3477.3. 3485.8 3496.0 3491.0 (left scale) Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Billions Sep 14 21 28 Oct 5 12 19 2494.1 2487.6 2485.3 2485.1 2488.2 2485.1 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 3 17 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Sep 1992 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1992 1991 Latest data plotted week ending: October 19, 1992 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) _ Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 10 the average 10/21/gi 1/20/92 3/16/92 4/20/92 5/18/92 6/22/92 7/20/92 8/17/92 of four weeks ending: 3/16/92 4/20/92 5/18/92 6/22/92 7/20/92 8/17/92 9/21/92 10/19/92 4.7 3.2 2.9 2.2 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3.5 2.8 1.8 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 -1.1 -1.3 -1.8 -1.0 -0.1 0.4 -0.6 -1.5 -0.5 0.4 0.9 -2.5 -0.8 0.4 1.0 -0.3 1.2 1.8 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1190 I----------1--------Savings 1992 Billions 1145 _ 415 Sep 14 1158.4 21 1162.5 Oct 1100 Billions of Dollars 190 28 11 53.0 5 11 54.0 12 11'70.0 19 ir71.6 *" "* N — -. Mon iy Mark rt (rig it scale ) ^ 5(5 k-' '-N. \ ■“ s 1055 Savin pDep osits (1 eft sea e) Sep 1010 Oct 965 r■ i ■ / ' i ■ r •2"! ' n i ■ i 540 Mo ney Me rket 199 2 Bill!one 4 21 28 34 i.6 342.3 — 344.1 5 341.2 12 19 346.1 349.1 515 ______I______ I______ i « i » r» i » Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct • , 1992 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. r ^ Nov Large and Small Time Deposits1 / All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars ♦75 Billions of Dollars 1140 Sep 14 21 Small Time (right scale) Large Time (left scale) Large Time 1992 Billions -Sep 14 21 28 Oct 5 12 19 1 c'1 Sep n 915.0 911.5 381.4 379.8 376.1 375.5 377.7 373.7 II !5 n !1 5 11 1 ,J ! 11 311 13 11 " 25 1 22 t 20 ] 17 51 11 II UK 9 H Oct Nov 1991 Dec Jon Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1992 Aug Sep Oct Nov r Latest data plotted week ending: October 19, 1992 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in demoninations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1992 Billions of Dollars Billions _ Sep 23 Oct 7 0.218 0.299 0.184 0.185 0.112 0.123 4 18 2 If 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Sep Oct Nov 1991 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1992 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 2.5 2.0 Billions of Dollars 2.5 -------- 1----------1--------1992 Billions Sep 23 0.218 7 14 21 28 0. 184 0. 185 0. 112 0. 123 Oct 2.0 t.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 4 11 Sep 2 1C JO 1J 17 11 !! 8 !! 5 1! 4 11 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 Oct Apr Jun Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1991 May Jul 5 19 2 IS 30 14 28 11 25 Aug Sep Oct Nov 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: October 28, 1992 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1992 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions Sep 16 145.680 143.691 136.704 Oct 7 145.223 143.113 145.986 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Latest data plotted week ending: October 21. 1992 Commercial and Industrial Loans'7 Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks2/ Billions of Dollars 380 300 380 320 „ I I Compounded annt al rates of change, average of the fou r weeks ending October 14, 1992 From the four weeks enc ing: Oct 16, 1991 - 7.1 Jan 15, 1992 - 5.7 Apr 15, 992 - 7.9 May 13, 992 - 7.4 Jun 17, 992 - 5.8 Jul 15, 992 - 3.5 ----------1------1992 380 Billions P1 9 6 23 30 Oct 7 14 275.005__ 276.862 276.249 277.484 277.176 277.267 340 320 300 300 280 280 280 ~T1 1 Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr 1991 May Jun ■ i i r~ » I ■ L| 1 ■ I1 1 ' i 22 5 19 2 IS 30 14 28 11 25 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: October 14, 1992 1 / Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/ Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.4 billion „ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 260 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 >100 Averages of Daily Figures 105 1992 1973=100 Sep 23 85 85 4 II 2 If 31 13 27 11 25 I 22 5 19 4 II 1 15 2) 13 27 Sep Oct Nov Dec 1991 Jan Feb Mar Apr May 10 24 I 22 5 IS 2 16 30 14 21 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 11 25 Nov 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: October 28, 1992 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 75