View original document

The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.

FtESEytfH^blBRARY
FederJuiyeite Blnl
of St. Louis

lancial Data

-vtiuucr 13, ijjo/
'OCT 1 9 198/---------------------------------------------------------------------

THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS:
^

The Ml money stock averaged $753.5 billion for the four weeks
ending October 5 and was up at a 4.1 percent annual rate from early
February.

is

Business loans at large weekly reporting banks rose in September
after declining since January (see p. 11). In the most recent fourweek period, loans were 4.5 percent above a year earlier.

is

The yield on three-month Treasury bills rose to 6.97 percent for the
week ending October 16, their highest level since February 1986.

is

Retail sales fell at a 4.6 percent annual rate in September, but average
sales for the third quarter were up at a 9.9 percent rate from the
second quarter.

s

The U. S. merchandise trade deficit fell to $15.68 billion in August
from $16.47 billion in July. For the first eight months of the year,
the deficit rose to $114.09 billion, up from $108.71 billion for the
same period last year.

reskrm:

HANK of

views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve system.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2

ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

274

-

IfifiL

BILLIONS

“ JUL.
— AUG.
I SEP.
“

266.3

270

268.0
266.8
268.9

OCT.

262

254

250

IS 27

AUG

10 24

8 22

S 10

S 17 31

SEP

14 28 11 29 11

JAN

FEB

25

8 22

6 20

3 17

MAY

MAR

JUN

LATEST PLOTTED RESERVE MAINTENANCE PERIOD ENDINGt OCTOBER 7,

1

19 29 12 28

0 29

7 21

1987

THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE IS THE SUM OF RESERVE ACCOUNTS OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AT FEDERAL
RESERVE BANKSL_CURRENCY IN CIRCULATION (CURRENCY HELD BY THE PUBLIC AND IN THE VAULTS OF ALL
DEPOSITORY vunncnwi
----- Dniwd, INSTITUTIONS)
LAND AN _____
ADJUSTMENT FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIO CHANGES.
THE MAJOR
IREMENT
SOURCE OF DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF BASE ADJUSTE^MONETARySa DIT.
THE ADJUSTED MONETARY THE
A
DATA ARE COMPUTED BY THIS
IS AVAILABLE FROM THIS BANK.
RECENT DATA ARE PRELIMINARY.

ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,
AVERAGE OF TWO MAINTENANCE PERIODS ENDING:
10/8/86

12/31/88

3/11/87

7.1
8.3
7.5
6.2
6.2
6.5
6i2

7,5
6. 1
4.4
4.9
5.5
5.3

4/8/87

5/6/87

6/3/87

7/1/87

8/12/87

1.5
3.4
4.7
4.5

3.4
5.0
4.7

7.3
6.2

6.3

TO THE AVERAGE OF
TWO MAINTENANCE
PERIODS ENDINGt
3/11/87
4/ 8/87
5/ 6/87
6/ 3/87
7/ 1/87
8/12/87
9/ 9/87
10/ 7/87
Oi

tj, {

II.1
9.7
r, c 10. 1
9.3
8.2
7.9
8.0
7.7
> u*

8.0
5. 1
5.4
6. 1
5.7

.. $
1

'■%?*

______i____
~ I

A

l


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONEY STOCK (Ml )
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
780 _
1
II

laaz.

-

- AUG.
-SEP.
760
_

OC T.

31
7
14
21
28
5

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
780

billions

750.9
746.4
750.3
755. 1
751 5
757. 2

-

740

J

-

720

-

/

\
L

/*

V

-

t

-

-

700
-

i5i 11

1111 .ii i

4 18

AUG

111

20 13 27

SEP

OCT
1986

10 24

NOV

1111 JJ-L
8 22

DEC

5
JAN

III

till

1 1 1

1 1 1

1111

18 30 13 27 II 25 8 22
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN

FEB

.111
6 20

1111

JUL

AUG

3 17 31

111

111;

14 28 12 28

SEP

OCT

1987

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: OCTOBER 5,

1987

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.
DEPOSITS AND TRAVELERS CHECKS.

BY THE WNBANK PUBLIC, DEMAND DEPOSITS,

OTHER CHECKABLE

MONEY STOCK (Ml )
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
10/6/86

1/5/87

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:

3/2/87

4/6/87

5/4/87

6/8/87

11.7
8.0
3.7
3.4
3.4
3.7

10.2
3.6
3.3
3.3
3.6

-3.7
-2.0
-0.5
0.6

-4. 1
-1.3
0.3

7/6/87

8/3/87

2.7
3.6

4.3

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
3/
4/
5/
6/
7/
8/
9/
10/

2/87
6/87
4/87
8/87
8/87
3/87
7/87
5/87

16.0
13.6
14.7
12.7
10.2
9.4
8.7
8.5


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

1 .5
6.0
5.0
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.9

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

3

4

MONEY MULTIPLIERS
CURRENCY COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK s
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

RATIO
1987

RATIO
2.824
2.794
2.822

I

28

RATIO
3.0

8 22

Ml MULTIPLIER

8

8 17

I

OCT
1986

NOV

DEC

18 20 12 26

JAN

9 23

9 23

FEB

MAR

6 20

4 19

APR

MAY

I

18 29 13 27 10 24

JUN
1987

JUL

7 21

8 19

SEP

AUG

OCT

LATEST DATA PLOTTED TWO WEEKS ENDINGt OCTOBER 5, 1987
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
198 _—1----------- 1---------- 1--------- 1-----------_
^
194

_
_

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR *EEKS ENDING
OCTOBER 5. 1987 FROM
THE FOUR ifcEEKS ENDINGt
AUG.
JUL.
JUN.

3,
6,
8,

i i

1987
1987
1987

7.4
7.5
5.9

6,
5,

R.
N.
T.

i

190

ILL IONS OF DOLLARS
98

1987
1115

7..
I:

-

CURRE NCY

-

6,
186

“

“
182
1 aai

e. ILLIOIns

-

SIP : 4
5!

5m
4

18

AUG

1111
I

111

18 29

SEP

IS 27

111 -U. 1 1
10 24 8 22

OCT
NOV
1986

DEC

111
8

19

JAN

1 1 1
2

18

FEB

.jin .ILL 1 1 1
2

16 30 13 27

MAR

APR

11

MAY

28

1 1 1 1
8 22

JUN
1987

193.4
193.9
—
ie
Isslo
OCT.
S
195.1
1111111111111111'
8 20

JUL

17 31

AUG

14 28

SEP

12 26

OCT

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt OCTOBER 5, 1987
1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK (Ml ) TO AOJUSTED MONETARY BASE
2/ CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE,


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

178

TOTAL CHECKABLE DEPOSITS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
575

550.5
545.4
549.3
553.5
549.4
555.1

I I I I
1

19 29 IS 27

OCT

10 24

8 22

5 19

2 18

NOV

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING.

OCTOBER 5,

2 18 90 19 27 II 25
APR
MAY

8 22

8 20

9 17 91

14 28 12 28

SEP

OCT

1987

TOTAL CHECKABLE DEPOSIT8 IS THE SUM OF DEMAND DEPOSITS AND OTHER CHECKABLE DEPOSITS AT ALL
DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS.

TOTAL CHECKABLE DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
10/6/86

1/5/87

3/2/87

4/6/87

5/4/87

6/8/87

13.7
8.4
2.8
2.3
2.2
2.5

10.9
2.4
1.9
1.8
2.3

-7.0
-4.9
-3.1
-1.7

-7.5
-4.1
-2.0

7/6/87

8/3/87

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
3/
4/
5/
6/
7/
8/
9/
10/

2/87
6/87
4/87
8/87
6/87
3/87
7/87
5/87

18.3
15.4
16.9
14.2
10.9
9.8
8.9
8.6


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

-1.2
4.8
3.6
0.6
0.5
0.7
1 .1

0.8
2.1

3.1

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

5

6

YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES
AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES

PERCENT
11 .0

8.0

7.0

t

MUNIC PAL

6.0

I

15 29

12 20 10 24

7 21

5 19

NOV

DEC

2 10 30 13 27

FEB

IS 27

MAR

10 24

S 22

5

APR

1986

19

3 17 31

14 28 II

AUG

23

9 23

SEP

1987

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: OCTOBER 16, 1987.

1987
AUG.

7
M
21
28
SEP.
4
11
18
25
OCT.
2
9
16 X
23
30

90 DAY
CD'S

30-DAY
COMMERCIAL
PAPER

90-DAY
BANKERS*
ACCEPTANCES

CORPORATE
Aaa bonds

CORPORATE
Baa BONDS

MUNICIPAL
BONDS x»

6.78
6.70
6.72
6.77
7.00
7.38
7.41
7.43
7.80
8. 19
8.58

6.63
6.59
6.60
6.64
6.87
7.29
7.35
7.34
7.45
7.52
7.78

6.65
6.58
6.61
6.69
6.96
7.29
7.35
7.37
7.62
8.04
8.45

9.65
9.63
9.68
9.70
9.87
10. 15
10.28
10.25
10.34
10.48
10.63

10.84
10.76
10.77
10.82
11.00
11.23
11.40
11.42
11.49
1 1 .61
1 1.74

7.86
7.79
7.81
7.80
8.05
8.38
8.32
8.30
8.53
8.66
N. A.

NOTE: CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.I5 RELEASE.
* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE
m BOND BUYER'S AVERAGE INDEX OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONDS, THURSDAY DATA
N.A. - NOT AVAILABLE


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

SELECTED
11.0

INTEREST RATES

AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES

PERCENT

PERCENT

|—

—i 11.0

TREASURY m

ITIES

TREASURY BILL
DISCOUNT RATE

1

15 29

12 26

10 24

7 21

NOV

19

2 16 50 13 27

DEC

FEB

13 27

MAR

10 24

8 22

5 19

APR

3 17 31

14 26

AUO

II

25

9 23

SEP

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING. OCTOBER 16, 1087.

1987
AUG.

7
M
21
28
SEP.
4
11
18
25
OCT.
2
9
16 X
23
30

FEDERAL
FUNDS «x

3-MONTH
TREASURY
BILL

6-MONTH
TREASURY
BILL X6I0K

1-YEAR
TREASURY
BILL

5-YEAR
TREASURY
SECURITIES

LONG-TERM
TREASURY
SECURITIES

6.75
6.58
6.74
6.76
6.85
6.95
7.21
7.26
7.56
7.43
7.59

5.87
5.94
6.05
6.24
6.21
6.39
6.36
6.48
6.62
6.65
6.97

6. 15
6. 14
6. 12
6. 16
6.34
6.72
6.64
N. A.
6.83
6.96
7.34

6.49
6.47
6.53
6.65
6.89
7.16
7. 10
7. 14
7.30
7.50
7.64

8.30
8.24
8.30
8.41
8.69
8.96
6.94
8.97
9. 17
9.39
9.51

9.05
8.95
8.99

aSaSW.84T4.«nKS.'BJIS4W8 OP. OOVERNORS^H.,

9.43
9.72
9.69
9.81
9.92
10. if

EXCLUDING LONG-T^TREAgmY^

SECURITIES WHICH ARE COMPUTED BY THIS BANK.
* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE
EH) I MG TWO DAYS EARLIER THAN DATE SHOWN


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

7

8
COMMERCIAL BANK
SMALL TIME DEPOSITS^
LARGE TIME DEPOSITS 2/
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1SQL

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
410

BILLIONS.
365.6
366.7
367.4
370.2

SMALL TIME DEPOSITS
370

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: OCTOBER 5, 1987
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

314.3

314.0

4

18

1

15

LARGE TIME DEPOSITS

13 27 10 24

OCT

NOV

8 22

5 18

2 16

JAN

FEB

2 16 30 13 27

APR

II

25

MAY

8 22

6 20

3 17 31

14 28 12 26

SEP

OCT

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: OCTOBER 5, 1987
1/ TIME DEPOSITS ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF LESS THAN 6100,000
2/ TIME DEPOSITS ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF 6100,000 OR MORE


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

COMMERCIAL BANK
TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
875 --------- 1------------1-----

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
---------------------------- 875

BILLIONS
857.0
858. I
859.8
862.2

4

18

1

15 29 13 27 10 24
OCT
NOV

8 22

5 19

2 IS

JAN

FEB

2

16 50 15 27
25
APR
MAY

1986

8 22

8 20

5 17 51

14 28 12 26
SEP

OCT

,987

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK END I NOt OCTOBER 5,

1987

TOTAL TIME IS THE SUM OF SAVINGS DEPOSITS, SMALL TIME DEPOSITS AND LARGE TIME DEPOSITS.

TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE , AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGt
10/6/86
1/5/87
3/2/87
4/6/87
5/4/87
6/8/87
7/6/87
8/3/87
TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
5/
4/
5/
6/
7/
8/
9/
10/

2/87
6/87
4/87
8/87
6/87
3/87
7/87
5/87

5.8
6. 1
7.0
7.A
7.8
7.5
7. 1
6.9


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

7.9
9. 1
9.2
9.6
8.9
8. 1
7.8

9.9
9.8
10.2
9. 1
8. 1
7.8

11.1
11.3
9.6
8.3
7.8

10.4
8.6
7.2
6.9

8.0
6.3
6.1

4.1
A.5

4.5

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

9

10

BORROWINGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
3.0 --------- 1--------- 1--------

0

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
----- ----------------------- 3-0

748

30

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

1107
TOTAL BORROWINGS

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. OCTOBER 14, 1087
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
2.5

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
2.5 ---------1--------1--------------1----I
1987
MILLIONS
0

8

578

1

725
345

-

ADJl STMENT + Sf.ASONAL
BORR OWING!

---------

1

1.5

T.

-

530

25

1

FT

1.5

-

A

ji

j
A/ n k
ij A
A

1

V

111 -LLL -LLLL-LL-L 1111
6 20 3 17 I 15 20 12 26 10 24
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
1986

AUG

f

\I

V

1 1 1

1 1 1

7 21
JAN

4 16 4 16
FEB MAR

111

\

1

/

/
V

J'
1111

1.0

111

111

J
Ja

M il

2.0

SEP.

|

-

w

1111

I 10 20MAY 27JUN 24 6 22
15
10
APR
JUL
1987

111

1111 JJ_L

5 10
AUG

2 16 50OCT 28
14
SEP

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. OCTOBER 14, 1987


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

0.5

0.0

COMMERCIAL PAPER OF NONFINANCIAL COMPAN IES
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

100 --------- 1--------- ,-------_ SEP.

100

2

_ OCT.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

---------------

7

81,558

AUG

SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

JAN

FEB

4 18
MAR

1

18 2fi

13 27
MAY

10 24

8 22

5 10

2 18 30

14 28

JUN

1986
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt OCTOBER 7,

1987

BUSINESS LOANS u
(COMMERCIAL AND

INDUSTRIAL)

WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS 2/
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
290

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

275
I

V,

285

1

2.5
-4.1
-4.5
-3.7
-4.1
-1.8
4.5

1

]
J
1

1987
1987
1987
1987
1987
1986
1986

1

29,
1,
27,
29.
1,
3i,
i,

1

- JUL.
- JUL.
- MAY
- APR.
- APFl.
- DE( :.
- 0C1r.

290

1111

--------- 1
1— ----- 1---------_ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RA TES
_ OF CHANGE. AVERAGE 0 F
THE FOUR llfEEKS END IN G
SEPTEMBER 30, 1987 F ROM
“THE FOUR WEEfts END IN

275

-

/

-

-

1981

_

!lll

-LJ-l

AUG

SEP

XI. 1

1,

OCT

111

in i

111

111

.1 M

1 1 1 1

1 1 1

NOV

DEC

JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

1986

270,617
AUG. 26
SEP. 2
270,015
9
271,218
16
271,744
23
273,755
30
275,313
1 1 1 XI 1 1 1-LL.JII 1 1 1 1 1 1
JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

"
I
_
1'

OCT

1987

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt SEPTEMBER 30,
1/ BUSINESS LOANS INCLUDE BANKERS'

MILLIONS

1987

ACCEPTANCES AND COMMERCIAL PAPER.

2/ BANKS WITH DOMESTIC ASSETS GREATER THAN 81.4 BILLION


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

11

265