Full text of U.S. Financial Data : November 7, 1996
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R rNqj^ber 7,-1996 ; { of St. Louis "4J‘.Si*Financial Data MDIIIVI KISIKM HANK of ions THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ After rising at a 1.4 percent annual rate over the first half of this year, output per hour in the business sector grew at a 0.4 percent rate in the third quarter. Unit labor costs, on the other hand, accelerated at a 4.1 percent annual rate in the third quarter and have risen 3.3 percent over the past four quarters. ✓ Total auto sales (domestic plus imported) were at an annual rate of 7.9 million units in October, off 8.5 percent from September and down 5.5 percent from a year earlier. ✓ Paced by a $7.1 billion rise in real public construction put in place, total construction spending rose $8.2 billion in September, or 1.7 percent. For the third quarter, however, real construction spending fell 0.7 percent, the first decline in four quarters. ✓ Nonfarm payroll employment advanced 210,000 in October after falling 35,000 in September. So far this year, payroll employment has risen at a 2.1 percent annual rate, or by an average of209,000 per month, up slightly from the 1.9 percent rate that prevailed over the first 10 months of 1995. %/ The composite index of leading indicators rose 0.1 percent in September, the eighth straight increase. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at http://www.stls.frb.org/tred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 480 Billions 460.1 460.0 460.8 460.5 462.1 458.1 470 460 450 6 20 4 Sep 18 Oct 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 Nov Dec Jon Feb 6 20 3 Mar 17 1 Apr 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 May 1995 Jun Jul Aug 4 18 2 Sep 16 30 13 27 Oct 440 Nov 1996 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of Federal Reserve deposits ond voult cosh held by domestic depository institutions, currency held by the public, ond on adjustment for the effect of changes in reserve requirement rotios. The monetary base series was recently revised to include Federal Reserve deposits used to sotisfy clearing balance contracts. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bonk. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded annual rotes of chonge, overoge of two mointenonce periods ending: To the overage of two mointenonce periods ending: 11/8/95 1/31/96 4/10/96 5/8/96 6/5/96 7/3/96 7/31/96 4/10/96 2.9 5/8/96 2.1 1.5 6/5/96 2.6 2.5 7/3/96 2.3 2.1 1.3 3.2 7/31/96 2.8 2.9 2.8 4.5 3.6 9/11/96 3.4 3.7 4.0 5.5 5.3 7.3 10/9/96 3.3 3.5 3.7 4.8 4.5 5.7 5.1 11/6/96 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.8 3.3 4.0 3.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/11/96 1.9 0.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Billions of Dollars 1087.7 1170- Oct Sep 23 7 1068.8 1078.8 Oct 7 Billions 691.2 692.2 675.9 670.6 679.5 681.9 M1 (left scale) TCD (right scale) Sep Oct Feb Mor Apr May Jun Aug Sep Oct Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbonk public, demand deposits, other checkoble deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits ot depository instill it inn* r Iirranl Hr. In nnnanr in Ik. □_ _ _ _ _ __ _ n_ _ _ _ _ lie... 7 Money Stock (M1) To the overage of four weeks ending: Compounded onnuol rates of change, overage of four weeks ending: 10/30/95 1/29/96 3/25/96 4/29/96 5/27/96 7/1/96 7/29/96 3/25/96 -0.8 4/29/96 -1.7 1.0 5/27/96 -2.2 -0.5 -5.3 7/1/96 -2.0 -0.6 -3.7 -2.8 7/29/96 -2.9 -2.2 -5.4 -5.4 -5.4 8/26/96 -3.3 -2.8 -5.6 -5.7 -5.8 -8.7 9/30/96 -3.9 -3.7 -6.2 -6.4 -6.6 -8.8 -7.8 10/28/96 -4.9 -5.1 -7.7 -8.1 -8.6 -10.8 -10.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8/26/96 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Oollors Billions 73.8 74.3 73.6 73.0 71.5 72.4 Aug 14 Sep 11 Oct 9 6 20 4 Sep 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 Feb Oct 20 3 Mar 17 1 Apr 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 May Jun Aug 4 18 2 Sep 16 30 13 27 Oct Adjusted reserves is the difference between the odjusted monetary base and the currency component of M1. The adjusted monetary base series was recently revised: See the footnote to the monetary base chart for a description of the chonge. Adjusted Reserves Compounded onnuol rotes of chonge, average of two mointenonce periods ending: To the average of two mointenonce periods ending: 10/25/95 1/17/96 3/27/96 4/24/96 5/22/96 6/19/96 7/17/96 3/27/96 1.2 4/24/96 -0.3 0.0 5/22/96 -2.7 -4.1 -12.9 6/19/96 -2.0 -2.8 -7.7 -7.5 7/17/96 -1.8 -2.4 -5.8 -5.0 1.8 8/28/96 -2.9 -3.8 -7.0 -6.7 -3.4 -6.1 9/25/96 -3.8 -4.9 -8.0 -7.9 -5.7 -8.2 -11.2 10/23/96 -5.3 -6.6 -9.8 -10.0 -8.6 -11.1 -14.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8/28/96 -17.0 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio Rotio Compounded annual rates of change, overoge of the four weeks ending October 21, 1996, from the four weeks ending: -Oct 23. 199 Jan 15. 199 -8.4 Apr 22. -11. 1 996 - 1 2 i 3 May 20. Jun 17, 1996 -14.4 4 Jul 15, Aug 26 . 18 Sep Aug 12 2.387 Sep 9 Oct 7 2.349 -15.7 16 JO 13 27 II 25 8 22 5 19 4 Oct 18 Apr Moy 1995 Rotio of M1 to the adjusted monetary base. Jun Sep Oct 1996 Currency Component of M1 Billions of Dollars Averages of Daily Figures seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Compounded onnuol rotes of change, averoge of the four weeks ending October 28, 1996, from the four weeks ending: Oct 30. 1995 5. Jan 29, 1996 6. 1996 Sep 23 Oct 7 390.8 4 18 Moy 1995 Current doto appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Jun Aug Sep Oct 1996 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 5 2.8 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent Prime Rate Corporate Aoo Bonds Municipal Bonds Commercial Paper 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 1996 Aug 16 23 30 Sep 6 13 20 27 Oct 4 11 18 25 Nov 1 8 5 15 29 12 26 10 24 8 22 5 19 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aoo Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds 5.39 5.36 5.39 5.45 5.45 5.45 5.47 5.41 5.36 5.34 5.36 5.37 5.38 5.39 5.37 5.42 5.55 5.51 5.49 5.49 5.48 5.40 5.40 5.41 5.39 5.38 5.31 5.29 5.33 5.44 5.42 5.39 5.34 5.34 5.35 5.32 5.31 5.30 5.29 7.39 7.48 7.66 7.75 7.71 7.63 7.58 7.46 7.43 7.40 7.39 7.28 7.22 8.11 8.18 8.35 8.43 8.40 8.33 8.27 8.14 8.10 8.08 8.07 7.96 7.90 Municipal Bonds •• 5.74 5.75 5.86 5.95 5.89 5.88 5.76 5.70 5.73 5.72 5.75 5.70 NA Current dota are from the Federol Reserve Board's H.15 release, and are averages of rates available for the week ending on November 8, 1996 . •• Bond Buyer's Averoge Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday doto NA - Not Available http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Averages of Daily Figiures Percent Percent 30-Year Treasury Securities Federal Funds Rote ^..... Discount Rate 3-Month Treasury Bill Sep 1996 Aug 5 Oct 16 23 30 Sep 6 13 20 27 Oct 4 11 18 25 Nov 1 8 ♦ Moy Federal Funds •• 5.10 5.18 5.21 5.39 5.16 5.22 5.34 5.40 5.14 5.22 5.22 5.27 5.32 Jun 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 Sep 22 Aug 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities 5.03 5.02 5.09 5.19 5.13 5.12 4.98 4.91 4.98 5.00 5.00 5.03 5.02 5.30 5.34 5.48 5.61 5.54 5.50 5.40 5.30 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.18 5.15 6.31 6.38 6.60 6.73 6.64 6.59 6.48 6.35 6.30 6.28 6.29 6.15 6.06 6.56 6.63 6.84 6.95 6.88 6.82 6.73 6.61 6.55 6.54 6.56 6.42 6.31 30-Year Treasury 6.77 6.84 7.03 7.11 7.07 7.01 6.95 6.85 6.83 6.83 6.83 6.71 6.63 Current dato appear In the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 releose • Averages of rotes ovoilable •• Seven-day overages for week ending two doys earlier thon dote shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 7 5.0 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Sep 23 3775- Oct 7 Billions 3759.1 3757.6 3767.3 3769.1 3778.7 3781.4 Billions of Dollors M2 (left scole) Non-Mi M2 (right scole) Non-M1 M2 )6 Billions Sep 23 2668.1 2693.5 2700.3 2700.1 Sep Feb Oct Mor Apr May Jun Aug Sep Oct M2 is the sum of Ml, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and retail money funds. Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.6 reieose. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annuol rates of change, overoge of four weeks ending: To the overoge of four weeks ending: 10/30/95 1/29/96 3/25/96 4/29/96 5/27/96 3/25/96 6.4 4/29/96 5.5 5.8 5/27/96 4.5 4.0 0.1 7/1/96 4.5 4.1 1.8 7/29/96 4.2 3.7 1.7 1.6 8/26/96 4.2 3.8 2.2 2.3 3.6 9/30/96 4.1 3.7 2.3 2.4 3.4 10/28/96 4.0 3.6 2.4 2.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7/1/96 7/29/96 8/26/96 1.8 3.2 3.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Doiiors seasonally Adjusted . 3illions of Dollars Small Time 1996 ,320- Sep 23 Billions 937.7 9-40.6 941.8 943.0 Small Time (right scale) Savings Savings Deposits (left scale) 1996 Sep 23 30 Oct 7 Billions 1226.2 1248.2 25o! 1 1 1247.1 1242.4 Sep Oct Apr May Jun Sep 815 Oct Savings deposits and small time deposits are at all depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Large Time 1996 Retail Money Billions 460.3 468.4 470.7 478.7 1996 Sep 23 30 Oct 7 —504.3 504.1 506.5 51 1.1 514.8 488.0 Retail Money Large Time May Jun 1995 1996 Large time deposits and retail money funds are at all despository institutions. Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of Si00,000 or more. Retoil money funds were originally colled general purpose and broker/dealer money market funds. Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 570 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Oct 2 Nov 6 1.O’ Billions of Dollars Billions 0.542 0.262 0.371 0.201 6 20 4 18 Sep Oct 0.186 0.135 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 Apr May 7 21 Aug 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 Sep Oct 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit. Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted 3illions of Dollars Bonk Credit 16 18 25 2 9 16 23 Billions 3686.4 3699.2 3711.8 3717.4 3712.3 3714.1 Bonk Credit (left scale)2/ Loons and Leases (right scale) 6 20 4 18 Sep Oct 1 IS 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 1995 Current doto oppeor in the Federol Reserve Boord's H.8 releose. 1/ Includes foreign-reloted institutions 2/ Includes loons ond looses ond securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Aug Moy Jun Loons&Leoses Billions 2723.0 2727.4 Oct 2 2735.0 2744.9 ._ 2744.1 23 2748.2 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 Sep Oct 1996 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not beosonoily Adjusted Billions of Doilors Sep 25 Oct 2 Billions of Dollors Batons 196.254 193.647 190.875 190.612 188.530 184.826 Sep Oct Commercial and Industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors 760- 740- Billions of Dollors All Bonks Billions Sep 18 757.3 761.8 Oct 2 763.8 764.3 767.7 768.6 All Banks (left scole)1/ Large Banks (right scole)^/ Lorge Bonks >96 Billions Sep “ 18 378.0 381.3 Oct 2 379.3 379.3 381.5 382.1 7 21 6 20 3 17 1995 13 29 1996 Current dato appear in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domesticolly chartered bonks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 11 „ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 1973=100 Od 110 2 100 90 80 70 Current dota appear in Ihe Federal Reserve Board's H.10 releose. Dolo ore weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis