Full text of U.S. Financial Data : November 2, 1995
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November 2,1995 RESEARCH LIBRARY 'M'Smancial Data 0V 1 # a THE FEDEKVI J m.SIKM. JZk ISWKol ST.M H IS 1995 THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ After rising at a 1.3 percent annual rate in the second quarter, real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an unexpectedly strong 4.2 percent rate, according to the advance third-quarter estimate. Real GDP has increased 3.3 percent over the past four quarters. ✓ The composite index of leading indicators declined 0.1 percent in September, following a 0.1 percent gain in August. The index of leading indicators has declined for three consecutive quarters, the first such occurrence since 1989. ✓ New construction put in place surged 0.9 percent in September, the fourth increase in the past six months. Construction spending in September was boosted by a 1.6 percent increase in residential construction, while nonresidential construction fell 0.4 percent. New construction is adjustedfor inflation. ✓ The employment cost index for total compensation ofprivate industry workers rose at a 2.3 percent rate in the third quarter, matching its smallest gain ever. Over the past four quarters, total compensation costs have increased 2.5 percent, with wages and salaries rising 2.7 percent and benefit costs rising 2 percent. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions 468.7 468.1 469.2 468.8 469.2 469.5 Sep Oct 1994 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: October 25, 1995 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, cumency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions] and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 3/29/95 4/26/95 5/24/95 6/21/95 7/19/95 8/30/95 9/27/95 10/25/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 10/26/94 1/18/95 3/29/95 4/26/95 5/24/95 6/21/95 7/19/95 8/30/95 5.8 5.9 6.2 5.3 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.4 6.7 5.2 3.9 3.8 3.5 3.3 7.1 4.2 2.3 2.6 2.4 2.3 3.1 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.6 -2.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 2.6 2.2 1.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1185 i Billions of Dollars n M1 1995 1165 Sep 18 25 |_ Oct 2 9 16 23 935 i TCD Billions 1995 Billions 1140.3 1141.1 11 32.8 11 29.1 11 31.5 11 29.8 Sep 18 25 762.6 763.1 9 6 23 75C).8 75: 2.5 75C).4 11 (left scale) 1115 / r-'—' s'~ \ VN 815 795 V\ /«S 1125 / N \ V *** V 775 r"" 'J TCD right s cale) \ 1105 755 1085 19 Sep 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1994 6 20 Mar ’ 17' Apr ...................... 1 » 8 1 ' 1 l 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 May Jun Jul Aug 1995 4 18 Sep ' i ' 16 30 13 27 Oct Nov Latest data plotted week ending: October 23, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 i3 the 9um of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 10/24/94 1/23/95 of four weeks ending: 3/20/95 4/24/95 5/22/95 6/26/95 7/24/95 8/21/95 9/25/95 10/23/95 -0.2 0.0 -0.6 -0.6 -0.7 -0.3 -0.7 -1.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -0.1 -1.1 -0.9 -1.1 -0.5 -1.0 -2.1 3/20/95 4/24/95 5/22/95 6/26/95 7/24/95 8/21/95 -1.6 -1.1 -1.3 -0.5 -1.1 -2.5 -2.1 -2.0 -0.8 -1.4 -3.1 -1.0 0.3 -0.8 -2.9 0.7 -1.0 -3.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 735 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 114 1995 Billions Aug 16 30 Sep 13 27 Oct 11 25 100.6 99.3 100.7 99.7 99.3 99.0 110 106 94 7 21 Sep 5 19 2 IS 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 8 22 5 19 3 Oct Nov 1994 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 May Jun 1995 Jul Aug Sep 18 1 Oct 15 29 Nov Latest data plotted two weeks ending: October 25. 1995 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 3/29/95 4/26/95 5/24/95 6/21/95 7/19/95 8/30/95 9/27/95 10/25/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 10/26/94 1/18/95 3/29/95 4/26/95 5/24/95 6/21/95 7/19/95 8/30/95 -4.3 -5.0 -4.5 -4.6 -4.4 -3.5 -3.0 -3.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -5.7 -4.7 -4.8 -4.5 -3.3 -2.7 -3.7 -5.0 -5.0 -4.4 -2.8 -2.0 -3.4 -3.2 -3.0 -1.4 -0.7 -2.6 -3.8 -1.5 -0.6 -2.8 0.0 0.7 -2.3 2.1 -2.2 -5.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90 Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.1 2.9 1.1 . I Compounded anni al rates of change, average of the fou r weeks ending October 23, 1995 from the four weeks en ding: Oct 24, 1994 - 5.1 Jan 16, 1995 - 5.1 Apr 24, 1995 - 4.6 May 22, 1995 - 3.3 Jun 19, 1995 - 3.5 Jul 17, 1995 - 5.8 B.5 AU I 1995 Ratio Aug 14 28 2.441 2.446 5 9 3 2.4 33 2.4 1 2.4 09 Oct 2.9 2.7 1------ „ 2.5 2.5 2.3 s Sep 19 2.3 3 17 il 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 1! 26 11 24 2 II 4 1! 1 16 30 13 27 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1994 1995 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: October 23, 1S95 Currency Component of M12/ Billions of Dollars 385 375 355 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 385 I I I Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending October 23, 1995 from the four weeks ending: Oct 24. 1994 6.0 Jan 23, 1995 5.0 Apr 24, 1995 2.8 May 22, 1995 1.5 Jun 26, 1995 2. 1 Jul 24, 1995 3.8 375 355 199, 355 Oct 345 25 2 9 16 23 1 19 Sep 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 1 20 6 20 3 17 Oct Nov Dec Feb Jan Mar Apr 1994 7 ' 1 ' 15 29 12 21 10 24 7 21 4 18 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1995 Billie 502 369.3 370.1 369.7 370.3 370.7 - 1 16 31 13 2 Nov Oct Latest data plotted week ending: October 23, 1995 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 355 345 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Prime Bank Corporate Aaa Bonds Municipal Bonds S 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Sep Oct Nov 1994 9 23 6 20 Dec Jan 3 17 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1995 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Aug Sep Oct Nov Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: November 3, 1995 1995 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 5.84 5.87 5.84 5.84 5.82 5.81 5.80 5.85 5.84 5.82 5.80 5.81 5.80 5.75 5.80 5.77 5.75 5.75 5.71 5.70 5.78 5.79 5.79 5.78 5.79 5.79 Aug 11 18 25 Sep 1 8 15 22 29 Oct 6 13 20 27 Nov 3 * 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds 5.66 5.70 5.69 5.67 5.66 5.64 5.62 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.71 5.73 5.68 7.59 7.64 7.58 7.41 7.33 7.29 7.31 7.33 7.20 7.14 7.08 7.10 7.09 Corporate Baa Bonds 8.22 8.26 8.20 8.04 7.95 7.91 7.93 7.95 7.82 7.76 7.70 7.73 7.74 Municipal Bonds ** 6.07 6.12 6.08 5.98 5.90 5.83 5.91 6.00 5.88 5.82 5.72 5.76 N.A. Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available *♦ Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent j.i Percent o.o V > 10 -Year easury SecuritI Is N ** > \ ■\ V \\ ----------------S— r “* n. ra 7.0 \— \ Fee era! Fund i Rate \ \ ✓ \ / IS r ** A //■ ✓ I 4onth f Treai 3ury Bill 6.0 “N f* — V . Die ;ount R ate K 5.0 \^. S’ r s.. 5.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 Sep Oct Nov 1994 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1995 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: November 3, 1995 1995 Aug 11 18 25 1 Sep 8 15 22 29 Oct 6 13 20 27 Nov 3 * Federal Funds ** 5.73 5.74 5.70 5.71 5.77 5.73 5.78 5.80 6.00 5.72 5.71 5.76 5.76 3—Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5—Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury 5.40 5.44 5.41 5.31 5.33 5.31 5.22 5.26 5.30 5.30 5.27 5.24 5.31 5.39 5.52 5.48 5.34 5.32 5.29 5.26 5.37 5.30 5.29 5.28 5.27 5.22 6.24 6.36 6.28 6.08 5.99 5.96 5.98 6.08 5.92 5.88 5.83 5.84 5.79 6.50 6.57 6.52 6.31 6.20 6.15 6.17 6.26 6.10 6.05 5.99 6.04 6.02 6.87 6.83 6.71 6.55 6.53 6.38 6.56 6.62 6.47 6.39 6.31 6.34 6.31 which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M2 1995 Billions Sep 18 25 Oct 2 9 16 23 3759.4 3760.4 3759.5. 3753.7 3758.2 3755.5 (left scale) ^ Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1995 Sep 18 25 Oct 2 9 16 23 5 1! 3 17 31 14 28 12 28 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 17 1 Apr 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 May Jun 1994 Jul Aug 18 2 Sep Billions 2619.1 ' 2619.3 2626.7 2624.6 2626.7 2625.7 16 30 13 27 Oct Nov 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: October 23, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 10/24/94 1/23/95 3/20/95 4/24/95 5/22/95 6/26/95 7/24/95 8/21/95 of four weeks ending: 3/20/95 4/24/95 5/22/95 6/26/95 7/24/95 8/21/95 9/25/95 10/23/95 1.1 1.7 2.2 3.5 3.7 4.2 4.4 4.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.6 2.5 4.6 4.7 5.3 5.4 4.8 4.8 7.2 6.9 7.3 7.0 6.1 9.0 8.0 8.3 7.7 6.4 9.1 9.1 8.1 6.6 7.4 6.7 5.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1995 1300 - Sep 18 25 Oct 2 9 16 23 Small Time Billions 1_995 1106.0" 1107.3 1110.3 1115.3 1112.0 1110.9 Sep 18 25 Oct 2 9 16 23 Billions 929.2 929.7 929.8 929.8 930.9 — 931.9 Small Time (right scale) Savings Deposits (left scale) 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 17 Apr 1994 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 May Jun Jul Aug 18 Sep 2 16 30 13 2 Oct Nov 1995 Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1/ All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Large Time Money Market 1995 Billions 1995 Sep 1 8 25 Oct 2 9 16 23 399.7 . 401.5 407.9 411.3 413.6 417.3 Sep 18 25 Oct 2 9 16 23 5 1! J Sep Billions 462.5 _ 462.1 464.0 464.8 466.2 467.2 II 31 11 21 12 21 9 23 f 20 ( 20 3 17 I IS 29 1! 20 11 21 7 21 4 II 1 IS 30 13 27 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Feb Mar Apr May Jun Oct 1994 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: October 23, 1995 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From l-ederal Keserve Hanks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions of Dollars Billions - Sep 27 Oct 4 Nov 7 21 5 1 19 2 18 30 14 20 11 25 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 8 20 4 10 1 15 29 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov _ 1994 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $19 million in the week ending January zo, lyyo. ana was zero in the other weeks shown. Bank Loans and Credit 1 All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Bank Credit 1995 Sep 13 20 27 Oct 4 11 18 Billions 3549.4' 3559.0 3561.8 3548.0 3552.5 3549.6 Bank Credit (left scale) Loans and Leases 'right scale) Loans&rLeases . 1995 Billions Sep 13 20 27 Oct 4 11 18 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Sep 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : October 18, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Jun 1995 Jul Aug Sep 2569.0 2580.2 2580.9 2569.5. 2577.4 2577.1 18 Oct Nov Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions Sep 20 Oct 186.995 4 189.551 190.934 193.177 7 21 5 1! 2 11 30 H 21 11 2S ! 2! t 22 S 1! 1 17 31 14 2! 12 20 ) 23 t 20 4 11 I Sep Oct Nov 1994 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: October 25. 1995 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars Billions ot Dollars Seasonally Adjusted All Banks 1995 Billions — Sep 13 ^ Oct 4 701.2 704.5 702.7 700.9 701.7 701.4 All Banks (left scale) Largs Banks (right scale) Large Banks. 1995 Billions Sep 13 20 27 Oct 4 11 18 2 21 S 19 2 11 30 14 21 II 15 I 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 21 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : October 18, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Jun 1995 1! 21 9 23 6 20 4 IS Jul Sep Aug Oct 344.9 347.3 346.9 345.6 ' 346.2 346.0 1 15 2) Nov _ .. _ „ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages ot Daily Figures 1995 1973=100 Sep 27 Oct 4 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 8 22 5 18 3 17 31 14 28 12 28 9 23 6 20 4 18 I 15 29 Sep Oct Apr Oct Nov Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar May 1994 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: November 1, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis t-4 O 35 *3 ON u