Full text of U.S. Financial Data : November 19, 1992
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Reserve Bank I NOV 2 3 1992 ni >mi kkvi J lU SI KM IVVNKut «r SLUM IS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: i/ Industrial production increased at a 3.4 percent annual rate in October, after falling during the previous two months. Production showed little net change from May to October after making a strong gain at a 6.6 percent rate from January to May. */ Housing starts fell in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,229,000 units, compared with September’s rate of1,243,000 units. During the first 10 months of this year, 1,039,600 housing units were started, up 19.1 percent from the same period in 1991. t/ The merchandise trade deficit for September fell to $8.3 billion, a $0.6 billion decline from its August level. For the first nine months of the year, the trade deficit was $60.1 billion, up from $49.2 bil lion for the same 1991 period. Because of the holiday, the next issue ofU.S. Financial Data will be published Thursday, December 3, 1992. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) Two years (100 issues) $18 $30 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1992 Billions 16 30 Oct 14 28 Billions of Dollars 376.8 377.3 380.2 381.4 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1991 1992 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: November 11, 1992 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base f Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: i o tne average ot 11/n/Ql 2/5/92 a/ia/oo 5/13/92 6/10/92 7 /b /oo 11/13/91 o/A/qo 4/15/92 'i/n/o') R/in/oo 7/8/92 a /*» /ao a /1 c /an 8/5/92 9/16/92 two maintenance periods ending: 4/15/92 5/13/92 6/10/92 7/8/92 8/5/92 9/16/92 10/14/92 11/11/92 8.8 8.9 8.6 7.5 8.3 9.4 10.1 10.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11.0 10.0 8.0 9.2 10.5 11.3 11.4 8.0 5.2 7.7 10.0 11.1 11.4 3.1 7.1 10.1 11.5 11.7 7.4 11.2 12.6 12.6 16.1 16.5 15.7 16.9 15.7 15.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages oi Daily Ngures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1392 Oct 5 12 19 26 Nov 2 Billions of Dollars Billions. 999.8 1006.! 1005.2 1009.1 1016.9 1018.1 TCD (right M1 (left scale) TCD 1992 Billions — Oct 5 703.7 12 709.5 19 707.9 26 711.7 — Nov 2 719.6 9 720.7 2 11 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 I 20 3 17 2 IS 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 S 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 21 9 23 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1991 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: November 9. 1992 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 1 o the average 11/11/91 2/10/92 4/6/92 5/11/92 6/8/92 7/6/92 8/10/92 9/7/92 of four weeks ending: 4/6/92 5/11/92 6/8/92 7/6/92 8/10/92 9/7/92 10/12/92 11/9/92 15.9 14.7 14.0 11.8 12.2 12.7 13.8 14.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13.5 12.5 9.4 10.4 11.3 13.0 13.9 9.5 5.5 8.0 9.6 12.1 13.3 2.9 7.3 9.5 12.6 14.0 6.5 9.7 13.4 14.9 15.8 18.6 19.3 20.8 21.1 23.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars 1992 Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions Sep 2 16 30 _Oct 14 “ Nov 11 88.2 90.9 90.8 92.1 . 92.7 94.1 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 18 1 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 21 8 22 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Sep Oct Nov 1991 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1992 Jut Aug Sep Oct Nov Latest data plotted two weeks ending: November 11,1992 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 11/13/91 2/5/92 4/15/92 5/13/92 6/10/92 7/8/92 8/5/92 9/16/92 two maintenance periods ending: 4/15/92 5/13/92 6/10/92 7/8/92 8/5/92 9/16/92 10/14/92 11/11/92 18.1 16.9 16.1 11.5 12.0 12.5 14.0 15.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 27.8 23.8 15.0 15.2 15.3 17.0 18.3 10.9 0.5 4.2 7.2 10.6 13.1 -4.4 2.0 6.4 10.5 13.4 -2.2 5.1 10.5 13.9 15.9 20.1 22.4 21.8 24.2 31.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier 1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending November 9, 1992 from the four weeks ending: Nov 11, 1991 3.7 Feb 3, 1992 2.6 May 11. 1992 2.1 Jun 8, 1992 2.1 Jul 6. 1992 3.0 Aug 3, 1992 3.9 Sep 14, 1992 6.6 Ratio Aug 31 Sep 14 Oct 12 Nov 9 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 i 23 6 20 3 17 2 It 30 13 27 11 25 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1991 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: November 9, 1992 May 2.626 2.613 2.627 2.640 2.641 2.657 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 Jun 1992 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars ---------- 285 Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending November 9, 1992 from the four weeks ending: Nov 11, 1991 8.7 Feb 10, 1992 9.3 May 11, 1992 11.1 Jun 8, 1992 12.1 Jul 6. 1992 13.6 Aug 10, 1992 12.5 Sep 7, 1992 11.1 1992 Oct Billions 5 Nov 2 287.4 — 265 288.7 288.6 288.8 288.7 289.5 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 23 6 20 3 17 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 8 23 Sep Oct Nov 1991 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1992 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Latest data plotted week ending: November 9, 1992 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Prim# Bank n Rat#' II 1 IS 2! 13 27 10 21 7 21 Nov Dec Feb I 20 3 17 1 Mar Apr IS 2) 12 21 10 21 Jun Jul 7 21 Aug Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: November 20, 1992 1992 Aug 28 Sep 4 11 18 25 Oct 2 9 16 23 30 Nov 6 13 20 * 90-Day CDs 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds 3.34 3.28 3.08 3.07 3.15 3.10 3.09 3.25 3.38 3.39 3.42 3.52 3.71 3.39 3.37 3.17 3.18 3.27 3.26 3.15 3.23 3.27 3.26 3.25 3.28 3.28 3.31 3.25 3.05 3.05 3.12 3.04 3.05 3.18 3.31 3.32 3.35 3.47 3.62 7.97 7.93 7.87 7.91 7.96 7.93 7.92 7.96 8.04 8.07 8.11 8.14 8.10 Corporate Baa Bonds 8.69 8.64 8.54 8.58 8.69 8.64 8.72 8.84 8.93 8.96 9.02 9.00 8.92 Municipal Bonds ** 6.31 6.24 6.16 6.27 6.33 6.27 6.29 6.34 6.53 6.62 6.51 6.38 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds. Thursday data N A - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Averages of Daily Figures 3—Month—^ H 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 I 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: November 20, 1992 1992 Federal Funds ** 3-Month Treasury Bill 6—Month Treasury Bill *** Aug 28 Sep 4 11 18 25 Oct 2 9 16 23 30 Nov 6 13 20 * 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 3.27 3.16 3.24 3.38 5.69 7.23 3.33 3.10 3.26 3.26 5.48 7.13 3.09 2.91 2.95 3.04 5.26 6.95 3.28 2.89 2.90 3.03 5.37 7.02 3.07 2.89 2.93 3.04 5.46 7.11 3.41 2.69 2.85 2.91 5.26 7.02 3.20 2.76 2.78 2.97 5.35 7.12 3.20 2.90 2.95 3.12 5.52 7.21 3.05 2.95 3.10 3.35 5.83 7.35 2.96 2.94 3.22 3.36 5.85 7.37 3.07 3.03 3.27 3.42 5.96 7.44 2.91 3.08 3.31 3.47 6.00 7.41 2.97 3.15 3.37 3.55 6.05 7.36 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ♦* Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown *** Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars M2 1992 Billiona Oct 5 3468.5 12 3499.5 19 3496.4. 26 3497.0 Nov 2 3508.4 9 3515.0 Billions of Dollars (left scale) Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1992 Billions Oct 5 2488.7 12 2492.6 19 2491.2 26 2487.9 Nov 2 2491.5 9 2496.2 2 IB 30 14 28 11 25 8 23 B 20 3 17 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1991 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: November 9, 1992 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of Ml, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 11/11/91 2/10/92 4/6/92 5/11/92 6/8/92 7/6/92 8/10/92 9/7/92 ending: 4/8/92 5/11/92 6/8/92 7/6/92 8/10/92 9/7/92 10/12/92 11/9/92 3.5 2.9 2.3 1.7 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.8 -0.5 -1.2 -0.6 0.1 0.8 1.5 -2.1 -1.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 -0.8 0.5 1.5 2.3 2.0 2.8 3.5 3.8 4.5 5.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages oi Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1165 - Savings 1992 Billions Oct 5 1164.2 12 1170.2. 19 1171.9 26 1173.6 Nov 2 1176.0 9 1181.2 Billions of Dollars (right scale) Money Market 1992 Billions Saving* Deposits (left scale) Oct 5 342.6 ... 347.7 — 3I5 350.7 349.4 353.2 351.7 ■J 12 26 Nov 2 9 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 J 23 6 20 3 1) 2 11 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 I 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 21 > 23 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1991 1992 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. . Nov Large and Small Time Deposits17 Billions of Dollars ^ . All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures. Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1 Small 1992 Oct 5 12 19 Nov 2 9 V s mall T1 Tie (ri< ht sea «) 140 N. > \\ 410 % Ov 935 12 378.1 19 374.6 26 369.2 Nov 2 367.2 9 368.2 ______ l______ ! K Sep s* 30 14 it II 25 0 23 ( 20 3 17 I 10 30 13 27 11 25 Oet Nov 10(5 La 'ge Tim • (left scale) La rge Tirne Bill ons 350 89 D.6 88 5.8 1130 1000 n\ 19S.2 380 1 Time Billions 903.9 900.3 897.3 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1991 May 1 22 i 20 Jun Jul 3 17 31 14 20 12 20 0 23 Aug Sep Oct Nov 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: November 9, 1992 1 / Large time deposits are those issued in demoninations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 870 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 3.0 1992 2.5 2.0 Billions of Dollars 3.0 — I BL ions — Oct 1 4 21 28 Nov 4 II 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 185 112 123 084 048 088 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 1 V 0.5 V____ _ 1 II 2 II 30 11 22 Sep Oct Nov 1991 11 25 ! 2! 5 19 4 10 Dec Mar Jan Feb 1 15 20 15 27 10 24 0 2! 5 10 2 10 30 U 20 II 25 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1992 Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings l-rom hederal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1992 Billions Oct 14 0.185 28 Nov 4 11 18 Billions of Dollars 0.123 0.084 0.048 0.088 21 + IB Sep 0.112 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 ’ Oct Jun Jul 1992 Nov Nov 1991 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: November 18, 1992 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1992 Oct • Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions 7 Nov 4 4 18 2 II 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 II 4 II I 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 II 30 14 28 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1991 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 11 25 Nov 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: November 11, 1992 Commercial and Industrial Loans’7 Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks2/ Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Compounded annuol rates of change, average of the four weeks ending November 4. 1992 from the four weeks ending: Nov 6, 1991 -6.4 Feb 5, 1992 -5.9 May 6, 1992 -6.2 Jun 3, 1992 -5.8 Jul 1. 1992 -3.4 Aug 5, 1992 -0.5 Sep 2. 1992 2.6 4 18 1992 Billions Sep 30 277.484__ Oct 7 277.176 14 277.220 21 276.927 28 277.050 Nov 4 278.878. 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 1! 4 18 1 15 28 13 27 18 24 8 22 5 19 2 11 30 14 28 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1991 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 11 25 Nov 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: November 4, 1992 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/ Banks with domestic assets greater than |1.4 billion Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 105- - - - - 1973=100 - - - - -1 115 1992 1973=100 4 18 2 16 31 13 27 II 25 Sep Oct Nov Dec 22 5 19 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1992 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Latest data plotted week ending: November 18, 1992 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed usinq 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis