Full text of U.S. Financial Data : November 16, 1995
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
iet.l4_L295. Federal Reserve Bank FEDERAL j iusikm; J&RXSKoi 8T. LOUIS tir THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ The consumer price index (CPI-U) rose at a 4 percent annual rate in October, nearly double the 2.1 percent pace posted over the previous five months. Excluding food and energy prices, the CPI advanced at a 3.8 percent rate in October. This core measure of inflation has risen at a 3.3 percent rate so far this year, up from a 2.8 percent rate of gain over the same period last year. t/ Industrial production fell at a 3.8 percent rate in October, after rising at a 2 percent rate in September. Production has risen at a 2.5 percent rate since April, down from a 2.9 percent rate over the previous six months. The capacity utilization rate fell 0.5 percentage points in October to 83.6 percent, the eighth decline in the past nine months. ✓ Total sales at the nation’s retailers fell at a 2.7 percent rate in October, the first decline since July. After rising at a 4.6 percent pace over the first half of this year, retail sales have since risen at a 0.6 percent rate. Sales are not adjusted for inflation. USFD will not be published next week because of the Thanksgiving holiday. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions Aug 30 Sep 13 Oct 11 Nov 7 21 Sep 8 468.1 469.1 469.2 469.4 468.2 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 22 5 Mar IS 3 Apr 17 31 May 1994 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 Jun Jul Aug Sep 18 Oct 1 1$ 29 Nov 1995 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: November 8, 1995 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 4/12/95 5/10/95 6/7/95 7/5/95 8/2/95 9/13/95 10/11/95 11/8/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 11/9/94 2/1/95 4/12/95 5/10/95 6/7/95 7/5/95 8/2/95 9/13/95 6.0 6.4 6.3 4.7 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.2 6.1 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.6 7.2 2.4 2.0 2.3 2.1 1.8 -0.7 -0.1 0.9 1.0 0.7 -2.9 -0.4 -0.1 -0.2 2.2 1.9 1.4 2.2 1.4 0.3 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Oct Billions of Dollars M1 Billions 2 9 16 23 30 Nov 6 TCD 1995 1132.2 1128.4 1130.8 . 1129.3 1129.1 1129.6 Oct Nov M1 (left scale) 2 6 Billions 753.5 750.0 749.8 748.9 750.3 (right scale) 23 6 20 6 20 3 Sep Oct Nov 1994 Dec Jan Feb Mar 17 1 Apr 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 May Jun 1995 Jul Aug 18 2 16 30 13 27 Sep Oct Nov Latest data plotted week ending: November 6, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) To the average of four weeks ending: 4/3/95 5/8/95 6/5/95 7/3/95 8/7/95 9/4/95 10/9/95 11/6/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 11/7/94 2/6/95 4/3/95 5/8/95 6/5/95 7/3/95 8/7/95 9/4/95 0.2 0.1 -0.7 -0.4 -0.3 -0.4 -1.1 -1.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -0.5 -1.8 -1.2 -0.9 -0.9 -1.9 -2.3 -2.7 -1.4 -1.0 -1.0 -2.2 -2.7 -2.2 -1.3 -1.3 -2.6 -3.2 0.8 0.2 -1.9 -2.7 -0.4 -2.9 -3.6 -4.5 -5.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Do||ars 114 1995 Billions Aug 30 — Sep 13 99.2 100.6 99.6 Oct 11 Nov 8 97.3 106 102 94 90 7 21 5 Sep 19 2 16 30 14 28 tl 25 8 22 Oct Nov 1994 Feb Dec 22 5 19 3 Mar Apr 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 May Jul Aug Sep 15 29 Oct 1995 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: November 8. 1995 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 4/12/95 5/10/95 6/7/95 7/5/95 8/2/95 9/13/95 10/11/95 11/8/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 4/12/95 5/10/95 11/9/94 2/1/95 6/7/95 7/5/95 8/2/95 9/13/95 -3.9 -2.9 -2.0 -3.9 -2.7 -2.3 -2.5 -3.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -5.0 -3.1 -5.7 -3.7 -3.0 -3.2 -4.7 3.3 -3.8 -1.0 -0.7 -1.4 -3.6 -6.9 -2.1 -1.4 -2.1 -4.5 -5.1 -2.9 -3.4 -6.0 3.2 0.8 -3.5 -2.1 -6.5 -11.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1/ Averages ot Daily Mgures Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending November 6, 1995 from the four weeks ending: Ratio Aug 28 Oct 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 Nov Nov 7, 1994 -5.0 Jan 30. 1995 -4.9 May 8, 1995 -4.5 Jun 5. 1995 -2.7 Jul 3. 1995 -5.1 Jul 31, 1995 -6.4 Sep 11, 1995 -8.2 5 19 2.445 6 2.435 2.433 2.409 2.408 2.412 Sep 1 1 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: November 6. 1 995 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 May 16 30 13 27 Jun Currency Component of M12/ nvciuyca ui L*utiy riyuics Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending November 6. 1995 from the four weeks ending: Nov Feb May Jun Jul Aug Sep 7. 6, 8, 5. 3. 7, 4, 1994 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 5.6 4.5 2.2 1.5 2.7 3.5 3.3 Billions Oct Nov 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 Feb Mar Apr 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 May 1994 Jun Jul Aug 2 370.1 6 369.7 370.3 370.7 371.4 370.5 18 2 Sep 16 30 13 27 Oct Nov Latest data plotted week ending: November 6, 1995 1/ Ratio of Ml to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Prime Bank Loan Rate' Corporate Aaa Bonds -. 2 IS 30 Sep Oct Nov 1994 Dec Municipal Bonds 20 3 17 3 17 3! 14 28 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1995 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: November 17, 1995 1995 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Aug 25 Sep 1 8 15 22 29 Oct 6 13 20 27 Nov 3 10 17 * 5.84 5.84 5.82 5.81 5.80 5.85 5.84 5.82 S.80 5.81 5.80 5.81 5.81 5.77 5.75 5.75 5.71 5.70 5.78 5.79 5.79 5.78 5.79 5.77 5.74 5.75 5.69 5.67 5.66 5.64 5.62 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.71 5.73 5.67 5.64 5.65 Corporate Aaa Bonds 7.58 7.41 7.33 7.29 7.31 7.33 7.20 7.14 7.08 7.10 7.05 7.04 7.02 Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 8.20 8.04 7.95 7.91 7.93 7.95 7.82 7.76 7.70 7.73 7.70 7.71 7.69 6.08 5.98 5.90 5.83 5.91 6.00 5.88 5.82 5.72 5.76 5.70 5.68 N.A. Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. ♦ Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent 9.0 9.0 1.0 — a >» «•* ✓ V s t ✓ \ io -Year T ta sury SecurTO »s tA Fee eral Fund »Rate s > S ✓) . / 6.0 \ 6.0 ** r v, r~ f 3- lonth" / "s Treai ury Bill ** *■* N /r -A—* 5.0 / Dietsount R ate A' 7T* 3.0 i-T-i i i Sep Oct Nov '994- Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1995 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: November 17, 1995 1995 Federal Funds ** Aug 25 Sep 1 8 15 22 29 Oct 6 13 20 27 Nov 3 10 17 * r- r -----------rrr 5.70 5.71 5.77 5.73 5.78 5.80 6.00 5.72 5.71 5.76 5.76 5.71 5.74 i 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5—Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury 5.41 5.31 5.33 5.31 5.22 5.26 5.30 5.30 5.27 5.24 5.31 5.38 5.40 5.48 5.34 5.32 5.29 5.26 5.37 5.30 5.29 5.28 5.27 5.19 5.16 5.16 6.28 6.08 5.99 5.96 5.9B 6.08 5.92 5.88 5.83 5.84 5.75 5.73 5.73 6.52 6.31 6.20 6.15 6.17 6.26 6.10 6.05 5.99 6.04 5.98 5.97 5.98 6.71 6.55 6.53 6.38 6.56 6.62 6.47 6.39 6.31 6.34 6.28 6.27 6.28 ... '''“''“'owhk uuuiuo n. ivj icicusc exuiuumu ioni which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Oct Nov Billions of Dollars Billions 2 3759.3 3753.3 3757.9. 3755.4 3758.3 6 3759.1 M2 (left scale) * Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1995 Billions Oct 2 9 16 23 30 Nov 6 5 19 Sep 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 Oct Nov Dec Jan 6 20 6 20 3 17 Feb Mar Apr 1 2627.1 2624.9 2627.1 2626.1 2629.2 2629.5 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1994 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: November 6, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) To the average Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 5/8/95 6/5/95 7/3/95 11/7/94 2/6/95 4/3/95 8/7/95 9/4/95 ending: 4/3/95 5/8/95 6/5/95 7/3/95 8/7/95 9/4/95 10/9/95 11/6/95 1.9 2.2 2.9 4.0 4.3 4.7 4.5 4.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.2 3.4 5.0 5.3 5.7 5.3 4.8 5.4 7.4 7.1 7.4 6.6 5.7 9.8 8.5 8.5 7.2 6.1 8.9 8.8 7.1 5.8 7.3 5.8 4.4 5.4 3.7 1.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1995 Small Time Billions Oct 2 9 16 23 30 Nov 6 1995 1110.2* 1115.3 1112.0 1110.9 1110.81114.6 Billions Oct 2 9 16 23 30 Nov 6 930.4 930.4 931.4 932.5 933.6 — 933.9 Small Tima (right scale) Savings Deposits (left scale) 5 H 3 17 31 14 28 12 28 ! 23 f II S 21 3 17 I Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1994 Note: Savings deposits ore at all depository institutions. 15 I! 1] 2( 10 24 7 21 4 May Jun 1995 Jul Aug II Sec 2 15 31 13 27 Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1/ All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures. Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Large Time 1995 _ Oct Money Market 1995 Billions 2 Sep Oct 416.2 415.8 419.1 5 19 3 409.0 2 9 16 23 30 Nov 6 17 31 14 2B 12 26 9 23 6 20 S 20 3 17 1 Oct Nov 1994 Dec Feb Mar Apr 15 29 12 26 May Jun 24 7 21 4 Jul Aug Billions 464.0 - 535 464.8 466.2 467.2 467.6 469.2 18 2 16 30 13 27 Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: November 6. 1995 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Pr(!par(!d by Federa| R6serve Ban|< of s, ^ http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars I "I 1.2 1995 Billions of Dollars 1.2 B1 lions I.D _ Oct 11 O 0 0 0 O 18 25 Nov 1 8 239 214 154 086 j 0.6 0.6 /k K, 0.2 • l r i ' i 1 7 21 5 Sep * Ki 0.2 1 i ' ' i 1 i r 1 i Nov Dec Jan IS 2 IS 30 14 20 11 25 8 22 Oct 8 22 5 Feb Mar 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 Apr May Jun 1994 Jul Aug 6 20 4 18 1 Sep 15 29 Oct Nov 1995 . Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $19 million in the week ending January 25. 1995, and was zero in the other weeks shown. b Bank Loans and Credit ,, All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 2680 3600 ---------1 Bank Cr edit 1995 Si lions 2(20 3640 ” Sep 27 3S 60.9 Oct 4 11 18 25 Nov 1 3S 3£ 3£ 3£ 3: 47.4 51.6 50.0 61.3 59.4 Ba rik Creidit 2/ (left scale’ > /" 2560 d 4 3420 ✓ — 2500 / 2440 - 33(0 r 3300 Loan i and Leases * right s cale) Loar s&Lec3ses Bill ons 199 5 —r* Sep 27 2580.4 Oct 4 2569.2 11 2576.6 18 2577.2__ 25 2580.4 Nov 1 2589.5 L.I.mI „ s 3240 3190 ✓ V 7 11 Sep » t ■ r l ' 1 i ■ i 1 1 1 1 i ■ rr 5 19 2 If 30 14 If II IS 9 12 1 21 S 19 3 Oct Apr Nov Dec 1994 Jan Feb Mar „ « T'T- 1 i < Latest Wednesday data plotted : November 1, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1 / Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Includes loons and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Jun 2320 2260 ■ i ■ i"~ —1—>—1—' l * T* 17 31 14 2f 12 26 9 23 f 20 4 II May 2360 Jul Aug Sep Oct I IS 19 Nov 1995 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions 1 21 Sep 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 28 9 23 6 20 4 18 Oct Nov 1994 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1995 Jul Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: November 8, 1995 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted All Banks 1995 - Sep 27 Oct 4 11 18 25 _ Nov 1 Billions 701.5 All Banka (left scale) 703.9 Large Banka (right scale) Large Banks__ 7in 1 qqc, 1995 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : November 1, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Jun 1995 Jul Auq Q;ni___ Billions Sep 27 Oct 4 347.1 345.8 6 20 SeD Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973-100 1973-100 Averages of Daily Figures 1225 1973=100 Oct 11 Nov 1 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 M 28 11 25 8 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 H 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 Sep Oct Nov 1994 Dec Feb Mar Apr Jul May Aug Sep 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: November 15, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis