Full text of U.S. Financial Data : May 25, 1995
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Mav25,1995 HAY 3 0 1995 RESEARCH LIBRARY fl i r¥ffal Reseva C^sf< fpy U .SI Financial Data THE FEDERAL j reserve JBllVNKof ST. KH IS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ Advance new orders for manufactured durable goods fell 4 percent in April, the third consecutive monthly decline and the largest decrease since December 1991. Compared with the same period in 1994, however, new orders for the first four months of 1995 are up 10 percent. ✓ The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing single-family homes fell 6.4 percent in April, more than offsetting the 5.8 percent increase in March. Compared with a year earlier, existing home sales have declined 17.5 percent. ✓ Initial unemployment insurance claims totaled 380,000for the week ending May 20, up 29,000from four weeks earlier. Measured on a four-week moving average basis, initial jobless claims are at their highest level since October 1992. ✓ The federal government ran a $49.7 billion surplus in April. So far in fiscal year 1995, the total deficit is $94.3 billion, down 29 percent from the $132.7 billion deficit posted for the same period in fiscal year 1994. ✓ Long-term Treasury securities yielded 6.85 percent for the week end ing May 26, the lowest reading since the week ending March 4, 1994 (see page 7). All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages or Daily Hgures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions Mar 15 462.9 463.8 464.4 466.8 Apr 12 May 10 Billions of Dollars 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Apr May Jun 22 8 22 5 19 17 31 14 28 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1994 1995 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: May 24, 1995 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 10/26/94 11/23/94 12/21/94 1/18/95 3/1/95 3/29/95 4/26/95 5/24/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 5/25/94 8/17/94 10/26/94 11/23/94 12/21/94 1/18/95 3/1/95 3/29/95 6.7 6.4 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.7 5.1 5.6 6.2 5.9 5.9 6.2 3.9 5.3 6.3 5.8 5.9 6.3 5.4 6.7 6.0 8.3 6.9 6.1 6.8 6.5 7.2 6.5 6.5 7.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1190 1 Billions of Dollars 1 1 M1 1995 Billions 1170 845 1 TCD 1995 Billions Apr 10 776.7 17 775.6 Apr 10 17 24 May 1 1150.2 1150.0 1149.6 11 *9.4 8 11 *3.7 15 11 *3.4 May 1 8 5 772 .8 767 .3 765 .9 825 Ml (left s( ale) A 1150 ✓✓ \ Vvj X/ \ • ■\^ s * 1130 • ______ 1110 785 s/ TCD ( right s :ale) 1090 805 TV s 4 \ 705 4 1! I II 13 27 II 25 Apr Way Jun Jul 1 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 21 12 2i 9 23 6 20 6 2« 3 17 I 15 29 12 29 Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1995 May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 15, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits end other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 5/16/94 8/15/94 10/17/94 11/14/94 12/12/94 1/16/95 2/13/95 3/13/95 of four weeks ending: 10/17/94 11/14/94 12/12/94 1/16/95 2/13/95 3/13/95 4/17/95 5/15/95 1.6 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2.1 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 -0.9 -0.5 -0.7 -0.3 -0.6 -0.4 -0.7 -0.2 -0.5 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.0 -0.6 -1.0 -0.2 -0.6 -1.0 0.1 -0.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 745 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars 1995 Mar Soasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Bjljlops 1 103.6 Apr 12 100.2 May 10 100.1 6 20 4 18 I 15 29 13 27 10 21 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 Mar Apr 1995 May Jun Latest data plotted two weeks ending: May 10, 1995 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves two maintenance periods ending: 10/12/94 11/9/94 12/7/94 1/4/95 2/15/95 5/15/95 4/12/95 5/10/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods endina: 5/11/94 8/3/94 10/12/94 11/9/94 12/7/94 1/4/95 2/15/95 3/15/95 0.7 -2.1 -2.2 -2.8 -1.3 -0.1 -3.0 -2.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -4.3 -3.9 -4.5 -2.0 -0.3 -4.2 -3.3 -9.6 -8.9 -3.6 -0.9 -6.1 -4.7 -5.0 0.4 2.9 -4.1 -2.7 1.5 4.5 -4.5 -2.8 9.6 -3.6 -1.7 -11.5 -6.2 -14.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1 / Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.1 . 2.9 2.7 Compounded annu a, rates of change, average of the fou r weeks ending May 8, 1995 from the four weeks enc ing: May 9, 1994 - 5.4 Aug 15, 1994 - 5.0 Nov 21. 1994 - 5.2 Dec 19, 1994 - 5.2 Jan 16, 1995 - 5.1 Feb 13, 1995 - t.9 3.9 Ratio 1 1995 _ 3.1 1 Ratio Feb 27 Mar 13 2.479 2479 Apr ' 0 4 May 8 2.4 71 2.4 63 2.4 54 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.3 r ■ i » Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: May 8, 1995 Nov Dec Jan Feb 1 Mar Apr 1995 1 1 ' 1 May ' 1 2.3 Jun Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 375 365 355 • I 1 1 Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending May 15, 1995 from the four weeks ending: May 16. 1994 9.3 Aug 15, 1994 9.1 Nov 14, 1994 9.2 Dec 12, 1994 9.3 Jar 16, 995 1 3.3 Fet 13, 995 3.8 Ma 13, 995 1 2.8 Billions of Dollars 375 - 365 355 345 345 335 199* Billie122 Apr 1 0 364 .4 4 May 1 366.6 367.4 367.1 368.3 8 15 J 325 T ■ 1 ' PT' ~~l" I 1 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1995 May J 1 335 l ■ I Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 15, 1995 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 325 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporate -Prime Loan date 4unicipai Bonds 17 31 H 28 16 30 14 28 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1995 May Jun Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: May 26, 1995 1995 Mar 3 10 17 24 31 Apr 7 14 21 May 28 5 12 19 26 * 30-Day Commercial Paper 6.05 6.08 6.07 6.05 6.08 6.08 6.08 6.05 6.05 6.07 6.03 6.06 6.05 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 8.76 8.81 8.62 8.69 8.65 8.62 8.62 8.60 8.57 8.45 8.25 8.15 8.15 6.08 6.18 6.06 6.09 6.07 6.03 6.03 6.08 6.03 8.17 6.14 6.12 6.02 8.10 6.15 6.15 6.05 6.03 6.12 6.10 6.00 8.08 8.05 8.04 6.13 6.20 6.09 6.07 6.01 6.03 6.02 5.99 5.99 5.96 5.91 5.91 5.90 8.22 8.04 8.02 8.00 7.89 7.69 7.60 7.60 6.01 5.96 6.06 6.10 5.96 5.92 N.A. Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis > Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent 9.0 9.0 5-Yea 6.0 ^ — 'x— X ✓ \ V / } X '“v<, i _X s / X^ h \ _____ 7.0 ✓ Far ieral Fund e Rate 6.0 \ “X. 6.0 \x X^« * 5.0 5.0 3H donth Treat ury Bill /r ✓ / 4 A / Dii •count f ate 3.0 '"H r Apr May Jun Jul 5 19 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1994 1995 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: May 26, 1995 1995 Mar 3 Federal Funds ** 5.88 5.93 5.94 5.97 6.06 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10—Year Treasury Securities 5.74 5.76 5.75 5.72 5.69 5.70 5.63 5.61 5.67 5.65 5.64 5.69 5.71 6.07 6.14 7.10 7.18 6.95 7.01 7.01 6.96 6.B9 6.78 6.81 6.70 6.41 6.40 6.34 7.27 7.35 7.11 7.16 7.15 7.12 7.08 7.03 7.03 6.93 May Jun Long-Term Treasury 7.53 7.61 7.40 5.97 7.47 5.98 7.45 6.20 5.99 7.41 5.98 5.90 7.38 21 6.07 5.80 7.36 28 5.99 5.85 7.33 May 5 6.05 5.79 7.21 12 6.00 5.65 6.66 6.96 6.02 19 5.64 6.59 6.89 26 * 5.99 5.61 6.55 6.85 which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. -term Treasury securities * Averages of rates available ** Seven—day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown 10 17 24 31 Apr 7 14 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.00 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars M2 1995 Billions Apr 10 3640.7 17 3635.9 24 3647.1. May 1 3651.3 8 3649.1 15 3652.4 Billions of Dollars M2 (left Non-M1 M2 1995 Billions Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Apr 10 17 24 May 1 2490.5 2485.9 2497.5 2501.9 8 2505.4 15 2509.0 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1995 May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 15, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (Including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: I o the average 5/16/94 8/15/94 10/17/94 11/14/94 12/12/94 1/16/95 2/13/95 3/13/95 of four weeks ending: 10/17/94 11/14/94 12/12/94 1/16/95 2/13/95 3/13/95 4/17/95 5/15/95 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 —1.3 -0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.1 2.8 2.2 1.6 0.2 0.6 1.3 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.4 2.1 1.8 1.6 2.0 1.2 1.2 1.8 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -0.3 4.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis > Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1995 Billions Apr 10 1082.9' 17 1084.4 24 1082.5 May 1 1078.6 8 1080.6 15 1079.8 Small 1995 Apr 10 17 24 May 1 Time Billions 892.2 — 896.6 900.0 902.8 8 906.3 — 15 909.5 Savings Deposfts(left scale) Small Time (right scale) 4 IB Apr 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 2 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb 1994 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Mar Apr 1995 May Jun Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1 / All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Large Time 1995 Billions _ Apr 10 May 1 Money Market 1995 Billions 376.3. 379.6 Apr 10 396.0 __ 17 395.6 24 396.7 May 1 396.8 8 400.1 15 401.4 383.6 386.1 Money Market Large Time 4 18 2 It 30 13 27 11 25 Apr May Jun 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 15, 1995 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds ore general purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by Federa| Reserve Bpnk of $t Lpuis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1.1 I 1995 1.2 1.4 Bj llions ~ Apr 1 9 26 May 3 1.0 Billions of Dollars 10 .107 .153 0 .156 O .139 24 O 149 1.2 1.0 o.s 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 V 0.2 .. 8 20 Apr . > s, \ A Kj V *. U 0.2 -----• ___ i ■ i 1 i ' i » r~T~r ' Li"i ' i ■ i 4 18 1 15 19 1] 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 1i 10 14 21 II 25 1 22 1 22 5 11 3 I) Jt H 21 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun „ . . 1994 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $19 million in the week ending January 25, 1995, $1 million in the week ending July 20, 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown. Bank Loans and Credit 3475 ,. All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 2550 —i—i— Bank Credit 1995 Billions 3425 Apr 3375 3406.8 3414.9 3428.0 3435.7 10 3^149! 8 r / r' 2450 ^/7 It (left 3325 / jT ' / y ✓ 2400 f • 3275 2350 • Loan s«5cLec ses 199 Billi Apr 5 2460.9 12 2463.1 19 2472.5 * 3225 -/ 3175 3125 2500 / 5 12 19 26 s / s* * L xms a id Leasles (rig ht seal 0 S'* 1 i ■ T~T~1 ■ ( 20 Apr i ■ r■mr' i » i r T 'I l ■ i ■* 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 II 5 19 May Jun Jul May 3 2488.2 10 2501.0 T~f-| ' 1 ' ' 1 ' 1i -r-T-i •T”l 1 1 T"l 1 1 ■ni 1 ' 1 r 2 11 30 H 21 II 25 1 22 8 22 2250 1 5 I! 3 17 31 H 21 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1994 1995 Latest Wednesday data plotted : May 10, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities „ ,. „ „ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2300 2200 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions Apr 12 May 3 6 20 4 18 1 15 2) 11 22 10 24 I 21 J 19 2 IS 10 H 21 11 25 8 22 1 22 S 19 2 17 31 U 21 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1995 May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 17, 1995 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars 705 605 055 —1---------- — All Ban ks 1995 Bj .lien? — Apr 5 6 75.6 12 6 80.7 19 6 80.9 26 6 85.5 May 3 6 88.0 _ 10 6 90.4 370 350 * (r ight sc 330 ale)2// 310 __ / ' * * "" „/■ - ' 1 » LrT't »l s 20 Apr 199.5 Billions Apr 5 333.6 2 336.4 9 337.2 16 339.3 — May 3 339.0 0 340.5 cale)1 / Al Bankt t (left s 605 J 585 ** y .arge B anks 045 025 Billions of Dollars l ■ 1 i ' l v r ■ o ~T~I"I i1 t-t-t-t 4 II I 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 May Jun ■ i ■ T III1 T'T"' 1 —1—•—1—1 t nr* 5 11 2 IS 30 14 21 Jul 11 25 1 22 I 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 21 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1994 1995 r 7 Latest Wednesday data plotted : May 10, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks _ .. _ J „ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 200 270 250 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures L225 1973=105 Apr 19 May 6 20 4 18 I 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 21 11 25 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 3 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 21 Feb Mar Apr 1995 May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 24, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis SB o ■L