Full text of U.S. Financial Data : May 2, 1996
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1996Federal Reserve FEDERAL RESERVE IJANKol ST. LOUIS 1 a IQj THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ Real gross domestic product (GDP) advanced at a surprisingly strong 2.8 percent annual rate in the first quarter, after rising at only a 0.5 percent rate in the previous quarter. First-quarter real GDP growth was boosted by a marked acceleration in the growth ofpersonal consumption expenditures and nonresidential fixed investment. Measured from four quarters earlier, real GDP has increased 1.8 percent. ✓ The employment cost index for total compensation by private industry workers rose at a 2.9 percent annual rate in the first quarter, down modestly from a 3.2 percent rate of gain in the fourth quarter. Wages and salaries rose at a 4.6 percent annual rate in the first quarter — the largest increase in almost six years — while benefit costs fell at a 0.9 percent rate. */ After falling 1.7 percent in February, real construction spending rose 3 percent in March. The value of real construction spending rose at a 4.2 percent annual rate between September 1995 and March 1996, up briskly from the 1.2 percent pace that prevailed over the previous six months. / The index of leading economic indicators rose 0.2 percent in March to 101.7 percent (1987=100). This was the third increase in the past four months. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at http://www.stls.frb.org/fred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Billions of Dollars Billions 470.4 Feb 14 Mar 13 475.0 Apr 10 472.9 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Mar Apr May 5 19 2 Jun 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 Aug Sep Oct Nov Oec Feb 1995 Mar Apr May 1996 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve bonks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the voulls of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The mojor source of the odjusted mohetory base is Federal Reserve credit. Doto are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetory base is available from this bonk. Recent doto are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the overoge of two maintenance periods ending: Compounded annual rates of change, overoge of two maintenance periods endinq: , , , , . 4/26/95 7/19/95 9/27/95 10/25/95 11/22/95 12/20/95 1/17/96 2/28/96 9/27/95 1.6 10/25/95 1.9 2.3 11/22/95 1.1 0.9 -0.3 12/20/95 1.6 1.7 1.6 1/17/96 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.3 2/28/96 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.6 1.9 0.6 3/27/96 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.7 3.0 2.3 4/24/96 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.2 2.2 1.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.6 4.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averoges of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions Mor 18 Apr 1 1165- 825 Billions 1130.2 1126.4 1127.6 1125.2 1124.7 1125.0 Mor 18 746.0 741.8 742.8 740.1 740.7 740.3 805 (left scale) 785 765 TCD (right scale) 745 6 to 3 11 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 Apr May Jun 7 21 Aug « 18 2 16 JO 13 27 11 25 Sep Oct 8 22 5 19 4 18 I 15 29 13 27 Feb Mar Apr May 725 1995 Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbonk public, demand deposits, other checkoble deposits and travelers checks. Totol checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkoble deposits ot depository institutions. Current data appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M1) To the average of four weeks ending: Compounded onnuol rotes of change, average of four weeks ending: . . 4/24/95 7/24/95 9/25/95 10/23/95 11/20/95 12/25/95 1/22/96 9/25/95 -1.9 10/25/95 -3.1 11/20/95 -3.2 -4.1 -6.6 12/25/95 -3.4 -4.2 -5.8 -4.0 1/22/96 -3.3 -4.0 -5.2 -3.8 -4.0 2/19/96 -3.7 -4.4 -5.5 -4.5 -4.8 3/25/96 -2.2 -2.2 -2.4 -1.0 -0.5 1.1 4/22/96 -2.2 -2.3 -2.4 -1.2 -0.8 2/19/96 0.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -4.3 -5.0 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 Adjusted Reserves Seasonolly Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollors Billions 97.6 98.0 97.5 99.5 97.0 97.5 114 110 106 102 98 94 90 Apr May Jun Aug Sep Oct Feb Mar Apr May Adjusted reserves is the difference between the adjusted monetary base and the currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the overage of two mointenonce periods ending: Compounded onnual rotes of change, overage of two mointenonce periods ending: 4/26/95 7/19/95 9/27/95 10/25/95 11/22/95 12/20/95 1/17/96 9/27/95 -3.5 10/25/95 -3.1 -2.9 11/22/95 -6.4 -8.4 -14.1 12/20/95 -4.9 -5.8 -7.6 -10.6 1/17/96 -4.3 -4.7 -5.4 -6.8 2/28/96 -3.8 -4.0 -4.2 -4.9 1.9 0.0 3/27/96 -2.8 -2.6 -2.2 -2.4 3.6 2.7 3.2 4/24/96 -3.8 -3.9 -4.0 -4.4 0.0 -1.5 -2.3 2/28/96 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4.1 -3.3 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Daily Figures 3.0 2.8- Seasonally Adjusted Ratio Ratio Compounded annual rates of change, overage of the four weeks ending April 22, 1996, from the four weeks ending: Apr 24 . 1995 -J . JuI 17, Oct 23. Nov ‘ 6 20 3 Mar 1995 1995 1995 1995 1996 1 996 20, 17 Apr 1 Feb 12 26 Mar 11 25 Apr 8 8 -5.8 -2.6 -3. 1 -2 0 -0 . 5 2.2 22 15 29 12 26 10 24 May Jun Jul .375 2 .367 2 .389 2 .376 .381 2 .379 7 21 Aug 4 18 2 Sep 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 Oct Nov Dec 22 5 Jon 1995 Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base. 19 4 Feb 18 i Mor r 3. o ■2.8 15 29 13 27* Apr May 1996 Currency Component of M1 Billions of Dollars Averages of Daily Figures seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Compounded annual rotes of change, overage of the four weeks ending April 22. 1996, from the four weeks ending: Apr 24. 1 995 3 . Jul 24 , 1 995 3 . Nov Dec 20'. 199 2 5. 19. 199 Billions Mor 18 Apr Sep Oct 1995 Current data appeor in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ■360 1 Apr May 1996 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent Prime Rate Corporate Aaa Bonds Municipal Bonds 5.0- 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 1 5 29 12 26 10 24 1996 1996 Feb 9 16 23 1 Mar 8 15 22 29 5 Apr 12 19 26 3 Moy 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Boa Bonds 5.28 5.29 5.28 5.30 5.31 5.37 5.44 5.48 5.42 5.42 5.39 5.38 5.39 5.15 5.13 5.14 5.16 5.19 5.31 5.33 5.34 5.34 5.39 5.36 5.34 5.35 5.06 5.05 5.07 5.09 5.11 5.23 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.31 5.28 5.26 5.28 6.87 6.86 7.13 7.20 7.21 7.42 7.41 7.39 7.41 7.60 7.50 7.48 7.56 7.50 7.50 7.77 7.86 7.90 8.10 8.10 8.09 8.12 8.30 8.19 8.16 8.24 Municipal Bonds ** 5.37 5.33 5.48 5.57 5.59 5.81 5.86 5.90 5.86 6.03 5.94 5.91 N.A. Current doto ore from the Federol Reseve Board's H.15 release, and ore overages of rates ovoiloble for the week ending on May 3, 1996 . " •• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday doto N.A. - Not Avoiloble http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Averoges of Doily Figures Percent Percent - 7.0 10-Year Treasury Securities Federal Funds Rate Discount Rate 5.0- 3-Month Treasury Bill -4.0 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 Apr May 23 Jun 7 21 4 18 Aug 15 29 13 27 10 24 Sep 8 22 5 19 2 16 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 Oct Apr Moy 1996 1996 Feb 9 16 23 Mor 1 8 15 22 29 Apr 5 12 19 26 May 3 • Federol Funds ** 5.21 5.09 5.17 5.31 5.57 5.24 5.36 5.22 5.30 5.08 5.24 5.24 5.30 3-Month Treosury Bill 7 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treosury Securities 10-Year Treosury Securities Long-Term Treosury Securities 4.81 4.79 4.82 4.87 4.89 4.97 5.00 5.00 5.01 4.97 4.85 4.96 5.00 4.61 4.57 4.78 4.87 4.89 5.13 5.15 5.13 5.18 5.31 5.21 5.21 5.30 5.27 5.20 5.52 5.65 5.71 6.06 6.08 6.08 6.14 6.42 6.32 6.31 6.37 5.67 5.65 5.97 6.06 6.08 6.37 6.36 6.32 6.35 6.60 6.52 6.53 6.64 6.04 6.03 6.35 6.43 6.46 6.72 6.72 6.70 6.74 6.96 6.88 6.88 6.96 Except for long-term Treasury securities, which ore computed by this Bonk, current doto appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.15 release. • Averoges of rotes ovoiloble •• Seven-day overages for week ending two days earlier than dote shown Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Billions 3730.5 3721.7 3726.7 3737.2 3741.0 3731.0 Mor 18 Apr 1 Billions of Dollars M2 (left scale) Non-Mi M2 (right scale) Non-Mi M2 )6 Billions 2600.3 Mor 18 Apr 1 2612.0 2616.3 2606.0 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 May Jun 7 21 Aug 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 II 25 8 22 Sep Oct 5 19 4 18 I 15 29 13 27 Feb Mor Apr May 1996 M2 is the sum of Ml, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and retail money funds. Current dato appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.6 releose. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average of four weeks ending: 4/24/95 7/24/95 9/25/95 10/23/95 11/20/95 12/25/95 9/25/95 6.0 4.8 11/20/95 5.6 4.3 2.6 12/25/95 5.5 4.5 3.6 4.0 1/22/96 5.7 4.9 4.4 5.0 6.1 2/19/96 5.3 4.5 3.9 4.2 4.7 3/25/96 6.0 5.6 5.5 6.0 6.8 7.4 4/22/96 5.9 5.4 5.3 5.7 6.3 2/19/96 6.7 10/23/95 1/22/96 6.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1996 Billions of Dollars Savings 1300 ~ Mor 18 1055 Small Time Billions 1 183.! 1180. 1996 Mar 18 Billions 927.3 926.5 925.9 926.1 925.1 924.2 1184. 1196. 1197.; 1015 975 Small Time (right scale) 935 895 855 Savings Deposits (left scale) 815 3 17 I IS 79 12 26 10 24 Apr Moy Jun 7 21 Aug 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Sep Oct S 19 4 18 1 15 29 13 2? Apr 1995 Sovings deposits ond small time deposits ore at all depository institutions. Moy 1996 Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Doily Figures seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Large Time Billions of Dollars Retail Money 1996 Mar 18 488.7 489.2 489.7 493.9 Billions Mar 18 429.4 430.6 431.4 430.8 433.1 . Retail Money Large Time 6 22 S Aug Sep 19 4 18 1 15 29 13 27* Oct 1995 1996 Large time deposits and retail money funds ore at all despository institutions. Large time deposits ore those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Retail money funds were originally colled general purpose and broker/dealer money market funds. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 775 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Mor 27 Apr 1 3 May Billions of Dollars Billions 0.023 0.040 0.053 0.028 0.215 0.085 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Apr Moy 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 Sep Jun 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 Oct Apr 1995 Borrowings include seosonal. adjustment and extended credit. Moy 1996 Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Bonk Credit Billions of Dollars 2800 Billions 3629.7 Mar 13 2740 3632.2 Apr 3640.6 3631.6 3645.2 3646.9 3 Bank Credit (left scale)2/ 2680 2620 2560 Loans and Leases (right scale) Loons&Leoses Apr 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Apr Moy 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 Jun 1995 Current doto oppeor in the Federol Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 Billions 2649.8 2654.6 2657.9 2667.6 2669.5 2672.1 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 Apr Moy 1996 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 2500 2440 2380 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Mor 20 Apr 3 Billions of Dollars Billions 198.690 193.575 194.159 194.739 203.140 207.071 200- - 200 - 180 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 1995 Commercial and Industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Ail Banks Apr 720- 3 Billions 725.1 727.7 729.1 730.4 732.4 733.2 - 400 All Bonks (left scale)1/ Large Banks Large Banks (right scale)^/ 1996 Mor 13 Apr 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 1995 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 3 Billions 351.5 352.8 355.0 355.6 14 28 13 27 10 24 1996 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 1973=100 1973=100 Uar 27 - 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 1996 1995 Current data appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.10 releose. Doto are weighted overages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis cs < cs Q M J a 100