Full text of U.S. Financial Data : May 12, 1994
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*-------TO3yi2;' 1994 Federal Reserve Bank U.S .Tinalncial Data 3 THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ The producer price index for finished goods decreased at a 1 percent annual rate in April, following a 2.9 percent rate of increase in March. Nevertheless, producer prices have risen at a 1.4 percent rate since September 1993, after declining at a 2.7percent rate over the previous five months. ✓ Nonfarm payroll employment grew at a 2.9 percent annual rate in April, after rising at a 5.1 percent rate in March. Nonfarm payrolls have grown by 978,000jobs over the first four months of 1994, compared to an increase of741,000 over the first four months of1993. ✓ Retail sales fell at an 8.7 percent annual rate in April after regis tering a 23.3 percent rate of increase from January to March; the initial estimate for this two-month period showed sales rising at a 12.8 percent rate. Retail sales data are not adjusted for inflation. Outstanding consumer installment credit increased at an 11.7 percent annual rate in March, following a 6.2 percent rate of increase in February. Over the six-month period ending in February, consumer credit grew at a 10.2 percent rate. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Apr 13 27 May 11 438.0 439.7 438.8 Billions of Dollars 1993 1994 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending. May 11, 1994 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reservp accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary Base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base T , Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 5/,2/93 8/4/93 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/8/93 1/5/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 10 tne average or tarn rvminfan/inrA periods ending: 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/8/93 1/5/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/11/94 11.7 10.6 10.0 9.4 11.0 10.8 10.3 10.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10.2 9.2 8.4 11.0 10.7 10.0 9.7 5.4 5.3 10.3 9.9 9.2 8.9 5.4 11.8 11.0 10.0 9.5 14.3 12.6 10.9 10.1 15.8 12.7 11.3 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Billions of Dollars Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1 1145 mo 060 1994 Qii ions - Mar 28 11 1-6.7 Apr 411 1-8.0 11 11 13.7 18 11 57.6 25 IK56.4 May 2 11.58.7 840 070 11 (left scale) % 1055 \ \ ** N* / ** 1070 4 780 _4 — r' 1045 J ‘ V./ t ■ f TCD ( ight sc ale) TCD / 1070 . 995 IS I) 1! 2f 10 24 7 21 S IS 2 If 30 13 27 11 25 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1993 T-' I ' I ' I ' 8 22 6 20 Nov Dec 1994 Billi pns Mar 28 80<1.6 11 18 25 May 2 801.6— 795.3 792.9 794.2 I I ' i ' 'i ' I 1 l 1 l i l i l * i 17 3 14 28 14 II 11 IS S 11 Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. checks'!' 'Um °f curr'ncs' hdd by lhe "°nbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) of four weeks Compounded annual rates of change, averaae of four tr 0/0/9J 8/2/93 10/4/93 11/1/93 11/29/93 1/3/94 1/31/94 2/28/94 ending: 10/4/93 11/1/93 11/29/93 1/3/94 1/31/94 2/28/94 4/4/94 5/2/94 13.7 13.0 12.6 11.7 11.1 10.5 10.1 8.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10.0 10.0 9.2 8.7 8.2 7.9 6.3 9.8 8.4 7.8 7.4 7.1 5.2 7.9 7.3 6.9 6.6 4.5 6.1 5.9 5.9 3.6 5.7 5.8 2.8 1.8 0.3 Prepared by Federai Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 760 740 770 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Feb 1 6 -Mar 2 16 30 Apr 13 27 Mar Billions of Dollars 105.5 105.9 103.4 103.0 104.2 104.9 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Feb Dec Mar Apr May 1994 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: April 27, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average Of 4/28/93 7/21/93 9/29/93 10/27/93 11/24/93 12/22/93 2/2/94 3/2/94 two maintenance periods ending: 9/29/93 10/27/93 11/24/93 12/22/93 2/2/94 3/2/94 3/30/94 4/27/94 13.2 13.1 9.5 7.1 10.8 11.5 7.7 8.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12.9 7.2 3.9 9.8 10.9 5.9 7.1 0.0 -3.4 7.9 9.8 3.2 5.2 14.6 15.8 4.6 7.1 28.0 9.1 11.3 -6.7 1.3 -6.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier 1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.0 Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending April 25, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Apr 26, 1993 -0.9 Aug 2, 1993 -2.6 Nov 8. 1993 -4.0 Dec 6, 1993 -5.5 Jan 3. 1994 -7.2 Jan 31, 1994 -5.8 Feb 28, 1994 -2.7 Ratio Feb 14 Mar 1 4 Apr 11 2.622 2.61 5 2.624 2.626 2.61 6 2.587 - 2,8 2.8 1 15 19 12 2( 19 24 7 21 5 19 2 19 31 13 27 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 11 25 S 22 6 20 3 17 II 19 21 19 21 II 25 9 21 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: April 25, 1994 Mar Apr 2.4 May 1994 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 395 335 325 Billions of Dollars 385 --------- 1--------- 1---------- — Compounded annu 3l rates of change, average of the four weeks ending ■ May 2, 1 994 from the four weeks end ng: May 3, 1993 10 .9 Aug 2, 1993 10 .9 Nov 1, 1993 11 .2 Nov 29. 1993 11 .8 Jan 3. 1 994 13 .4 Jan 31, 1 994 12 . 1 Feb 28, 1 994 10 .6 335 325 315 315 305 295 ‘■iii1 1 l 1 l ~l ■ l ■ T-T-r ■ I 15 29 12 29 Mar Apr T'T i | 199 4 Bilii ons Mar 2B Apr 4 11 18 25 May 2 33 4.0 33 3.7 334.0 334.3 335.3 336.4 - 1' 1 ' 11 29 7 21 5 19 2 19 30 1] 27 11 25 1 22 9 20 3 17 31 19 21 14 11 11 25 9 23 May Jun Aug Jul Sep Oct Nov 1993 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: May 2, 1994 1/ Ratio of Ml to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 305 295 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Loon Rato I lunlclpgl Bonds 5 IS 2 If Mar Apr 14 21 May 11 25 Jun S 23 S 20 Jul Aug 1993 3 17 1 15 29 12 2f Sep Oct Nov 10 24 Dec 7 21 4 18 Jan Feb 4 11 I 15 29 13 27 Mar Apr May 1994 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: May 13, 1994 1994 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Feb 18 25 Uar 4 11 18 25 Apr 1 8 15 22 29 May 6 13 * 3.46 3.47 3.57 3.61 3.61 3.67 3.68 3.77 3.71 3.88 3.89 4.05 4.38 3.47 3.57 3.71 3.77 3.75 3.81 3.84 3.93 3.90 4.08 4.12 4.35 4.69 3.43 3.53 3.67 3.75 3.72 3.75 3.75 3.88 3.84 4.04 4.06 4.31 4.64 Corporate Aaa Bonds 7.06 7.23 7.36 7.44 7.46 7.49 7.65 7.90 7.87 7.93 7.81 7.97 8.11 Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 7.76 7.92 8.01 8.08 8.10 8.15 8.30 8.56 8.51 8.55 8.46 8.59 8.74 5.42 5.58 5.84 5.88 5.84 5.92 6.07 6.34 6.22 6.19 6.16 6.18 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent B.O 7.0 V _______ / _____ Averages of Daily Figures u T 4 5 -Year Treoeur Securtties ✓ * 4 ✓ ✓ / ’ n. \ 5.0 5.0 /\ ---------------1 _________ N \ W / f------I ederal Fu ids Ro 0 ■V a v Aj 0 •count tote 3-Mor th 1 reosury Bili ;■ 2.0 5 IS 2 18 30 H 21 Mar Apr May 11 25 9 23 I 29 3 17 1 IS 29 12 26 10 20 7 21 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 4 10 4 II 1 15 29 13 27 Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: May 13, 1994 1994 Feb 18 25 Mar 4 11 18 25 Apr 1 8 15 22 29 May 6 13 * Federal Funds ** 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 —Year Treasury Bill 3.25 3.25 3.28 3.25 3.19 3.31 3.49 3.69 3.37 3.59 3.59 3.76 3.70 5—Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 3.27 3.70 5.40 5.95 6.40 3.35 3.82 5.60 6.15 6.59 3.47 3.95 5.74 6.29 6.72 3.52 4.09 5.85 6.40 6.80 3.52 4.11 5.91 6.45 6.83 3.49 4.15 6.00 6.52 6.90 3.50 4.21 6.19 6.72 7.07 3.60 4.49 6.47 6.97 7.31 3.57 4.46 6.47 6.93 7.28 3.73 4.64 6.60 7.03 7.33 3.85 4.72 6.56 6.96 7.24 4.04 4.96 6.76 7.16 7.42 4.24 5.22 7.01 7.41 7.62 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven—day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown **• Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1294 Mar 28 Apr 4 11 18 25 May 2 Billions 3584.5 3582.6 3595.3. 3588.7 3582.9 3581.5 Billions of Dollars M2 (left scale) Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1994 Billions Mar 28 2437.8 Apr 4 2434.6 11 2451.6 18 2451.1 25 2446.5 May 2 2442.8 I 2325 15 2* 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25 9 23 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1993 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: May 2, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) To the average of four weeks ending: 10/4/93 11/1/93 11/29/93 1/3/94 1/31/94 2/28/94 4/4/94 5/2/94 Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 5/3/93 8/2/93 10/4/93 11/1/93 11/29/93 1/3/94 1/31/94 2/28/94 3.3 2.9 3.0 2.B 2.7 2.3 2.6 2.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.2 2.0 1.9 2.8 2.5 1.4 2.3 2.2 1.8 0.7 2.0 1.9 -0.1 2.0 1.9 2.2 1.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1315 Billions of Dollars --------- 1--------- 1--------- 915 I I Savings 1994 Mar 28 Apr 4 II 1275 Small Time Billions 1221.2 1223.1 1221.6 1994 Billions Mar 28 Apr 4 11 768.8 767.7 768.0 25 121 7.0 May 2 121 7.6 25 May 2 76 7.4 76 8.7 7.3 875 -'•v mall 11 me (ritjht sea 1235 835 -» < 1195 795 ^ lavhigi Depot ta(left scale) ^ •s. ^ —— 1155 1 15 !! 1! 2f 10 24 7 21 5 1) ! If 111 IJ 27 11 25 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct „ . 1993 I 22 f 20 3 17 31 14 21 14 21 II 25 ! 23 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 755 May 1994 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1 / All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 400 380 Billions of Dollars I --------- 1---------Large Time 1994 Billions Mar 28 332.1 Apr 4 325.4 II 329.0 Mar 28 Apr 4 11 348.3 351.1 360.2 25 May 2 25 May 2 36 6.4 36 3.8 1 1 Money Market 1994 Billions 33 4.0 33 2.4 400 380 ► 300 -i— / / Mo tey Ma Itet *^ , NA *s 300 J —» /v> > P 340 340 Lap e Time 320 1 15 21 Mar I! 21 It 24 7 21 5 IS 2 It 3* 13 27 II 25 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: May 2, 1994 I 22 1 2t 3 17 31 14 21 14 21 11 25 J 23 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market fund, are general purpoee and broker/dealer. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 Prepari!d by Federa| R„erve Ba[)k of st Loui, 320 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Apr 6 13 20 27 ■May 4 11 3 0.153 0.096 0.088 0.141 0.183 0.156 I7 31 H 21 12 21 9 23 7 21 < 18 1 IS 29 13 27 10 24 I 22 S 19 2 16 2 16 31 13 27 11 25 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1993 1994 Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1994 Apr 6 13 20 27 ■May 4 11 3 17 31 14 21 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 Mar Apr May Jun Jul II 1 Aug 1993 15 29 13 27 10 24 I 22 5 Sep Oct Nov Dec Billions 0.153 0.096 0.088 0.141 0.183 — 0.156 19 2 II 2 16 31 13 27 11 25 Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: May 11,1994 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nortfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions Apr 6 May 4 Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1 Aug am Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr . r 1994 May 1 Latest data plotted week ending: May 4. 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans17 Billions of Dollars Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks2/ Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four week9 ending April 27, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Mar 23 30 Apr 6 13 20 27 283.741. 284.829' 285.378 284.338 287.666 287.567. - 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: April 27, 1994 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/ Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.4 billion „ Prepared by Federal Ressr/e Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis II 305 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 May 3 17 Mar 31 H 21 12 2$ S 23 Apr May Jun 7 21 4 II Jul Aug 1993 1 15 2S 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 IS 2 IS Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 4 2 1$ 30 13 27 11 25 Mar Apr 1994 May Latest data plotted week ending: May 11,1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis