Full text of U.S. Financial Data : March 7, 1996
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RESEARCH LIBRARY FEDERAL j risi RAN K.rm of : ST. LOUS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ The composite index of leading economic indicators fell 0.5 per cent in January, the fourth decline in the last five months. Six of the 11 components made negative contributions, while five contributed positively. ✓ Business sector productivity (output per hour) was unchanged in the fourth quarter of 1995, following an annual rate of increase of 1.6 percent in the third quarter. Productivity increased 0.9 percent in 1995, up slightly from the 0.8 percent gain posted in 1994. Unit labor costs, on the other hand, advanced at a 3 percent rate in the fourth quarter and rose 2.5 percent for all of 1995— the largest increase in four years. ✓ After advancing at a brisk 7 percent annual rate in December, real disposable personal income fell at a 0.4 percent rate in January. Real personal consumption expenditures, reflecting a large drop in durable goods purchases, fell at a 9.1 percent rate in January after rising at a 9.5 percent pace between October and December. ✓ New orders for manufactured goods rose 0.5 percent in January, fol lowing a 1.7 percent surge in December. Total factory orders rose at a 12 percent annual rate between July 1995 and January 1996 after falling at a 5.1 percent rate over the prior six-month period. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at http://www.stls.frb.org/fred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions 469.1 471.7 472.6 471.1 470.6 472.4 4 18 1 15 Feb 5 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Mar Apr May Jun 5 19 Aug 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 Sep Oct 1995 1996 The odjusted monetary bose is the sum of reserve occounts of finonciol institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of oil depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The mojor source of the adjusted monetary bose is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary bose is available from this bank. Recent doto ore preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded onnuol rotes of change, overoge of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 3/1/95 5/24/95 8/2/95 8/30/95 9/27/95 10/25/95 11/22/95 8/2/95 2.5 8/30/95 2.8 9/27/95 2.6 0.4 2.8 10/25/95 2.4 0.5 2.2 1.3 11/22/95 1.8 0.0 0.9 -0.2 1/3/96 2.1 0.7 1.7 1.1 1.0 1.0 1/31/96 2.3 1.0 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.9 3.9 2/28/96 2.0 0.8 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 2.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1/3/96 0.1 -1.0 1.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averoges of Doily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Jon 22 Feb 5 1165- Billions of Dollars Billions 1117.3 1114.7 1119.2 1114.1 1114.0 1117.1 Jon 22 Feb 5 Billions 735.2 732.1 737.4 732.5 732.1 734.1 Ml (left scale) TCD (right scale) 1105- 2 IS 30 13 27 13 27 10 23 8 22 5 19 3 Feb Mar Apr May Jun 17 31 II 28 II 25 9 23 6 Aug Sep Oct 20 I 18 1 15 29 12 26 11 25 1995 1996 Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits ond other checkable deposits ot depository institutions. Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M1) To the average of four weeks ending: Compounded annual rates of chonge, overoge of four weeks endinq: 2/27/95 5/29/95 7/24/95 8/28/95 9/25/95 10/23/95 11/27/95 12/25/95 7/24/95 -0.6 8/28/95 -0.7 -0.8 9/25/95 -0.9 -1.2 10/23/95 -2.0 -2.9 -4.3 -6.3 11/27/95 -2.2 -2.9 -3.9 -5.0 -6.1 12/25/95 -2.5 -3.3 -4.2 -5.1 -5.9 -4.1 1/29/96 -2.7 -3.5 -4.3 -5.1 -5.6 -4.4 2/26/96 -2.8 -3.5 -4.2 -4.8 -5.2 -4.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -1.8 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonolly Adjusted Billions of Dollars Dec 20 Jon 3 Billions of Dollors Billions 96.1 98.4 Feb 14 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 Feb Mor Sep Oct Apr Moy Jun 1995 1996 Adjusted reserves is the difference between the adjusted monetory base ond the currency component of Ml. Adjusted Reserves Compounded onnuol rotes of chonge, overoge of two maintenance periods ending: two maintenance periods ending: 8/2/95 3/1/95 5/24/95 8/2/95 8/30/95 9/27/95 10/25/95 11/22/95 1/3/96 -7.6 8/30/95 -5.7 -3.6 9/27/95 -5.5 -3.7 0.7 10/25/95 -6.3 -5.3 -3.8 -8.1 11/22/95 -8.0 -7.9 -8.5 -12.7 -16.9 1/3/96 -6.7 -6.2 -5.8 -8.1 -9.3 -8.1 1/31/96 -5.2 -4.3 -3.2 -4.7 -4.8 -2.6 6.0 2/28/96 -4.7 -3.7 -2.6 -3.8 -3.7 -1.7 4.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.9 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 2.9- Ratio Compounded onnual rates of change, averoge of the four weeks ending Februory 26, 1996, from the four weeks ending: Feb 27, 1995 -4 . 7 May 22. 1995 -4.5 Aug 28 . 1 995 -6.0 Sep 25. 1995 -6.4 Oct 23. 1995 -5.4 Nov 20. 1995 -6.6 1996 Jon ' “ ' 95/96 Dec 18 Jon 1 2.394 2.383 2.375 2.369 Feb 12 2.362 6 20 4 May Jun Aug Sep 18 15 29 12 26 II 25' Oct 1995 1996 Ratio of Ml to adjusted monetary base. Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures beasonolly Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Compounded annual rates of change, overage of the four weeks ending February 26. 1996. from the four weeks ending: Feb 27. 1 995 4 . Moy 29. 1995 2. Aug 28. 1995 2. Sep 25. 1995 2. Oct 23. 1995 2. Nov 2 7. 1 995 1 . Dec 25. 1995 0. ____ Jon 22 Feb Apr Moy 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Boord’s H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 Billions 373.2 373.6 372.9 372.6 373.0 374.1 1996 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent Prime Rote Corporate Aoa Bonds Commercial Paper Municipal Bonds 6 20 3 17 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 Jon Feb Mor Apr Moy Jun Jul 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 1 2 16 1 15 29 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jon Feb Mar 1995 1995/96 Dec 15 22 29 Jon 5 12 19 26 Feb 2 9 16 23 Mor 1 8 1996 30-Doy Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Doy Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aoa Bonds Corporate Bao Bonds 5.87 5.83 5.83 5.63 5.59 5.57 5.51 5.42 5.28 5.29 5.28 5.30 5.31 5.67 5.60 5.53 5.44 5.45 5.39 5.36 5.23 5.15 5.13 5.14 5.16 5.16 5.57 5.49 5.46 5.37 5.36 5.32 5.28 5.14 5.06 5.05 5.07 5.09 5.08 6.83 6.87 6.76 6.75 6.86 6.80 6.81 6.82 6.87 6.86 7.13 7.20 7.12 7.50 7.54 7.43 7.42 7.52 7.45 7.47 7.46 7.50 7.50 7.77 7.86 7.80 Municipal Bonds •• 5.51 5.51 5.44 5.37 5.50 5.40 5.46 5.40 5.37 5.33 5.48 5.57 N.A. Current doto ore from the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release, and ore overages of rotes avoiloble for the week ending on Morch 8, 1996 . •• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available _ _ _ „ ,_ Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent -8.0 10-Yeor Federal Funds Rate Treasury Securities Discount Rate -5.0 3—Month Treasury Bill 3 17 3 1995/96 Dec 15 22 29 5 Jon 12 19 26 Feb 2 9 16 23 1 Mor 8 • 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 Federal Funds •• 5.73 5.90 5.48 5.35 5.53 5.61 5.44 5.53 5.21 5.09 5.17 5.31 5.57 4 18 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 15 29 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 5.26 5.02 4.89 5.02 5.03 4.98 4.97 4.93 4.81 4.79 4.82 4.87 4.93 5.06 5.01 4.94 4.91 4.89 4.77 4.79 4.69 4.61 4.57 4.78 4.87 4.90 5.55 5.56 5.44 5.39 5.44 5.30 5.35 5.28 5.27 5.20 5.52 5.65 5.60 5.73 5.78 5.64 5.63 5.74 5.58 5.65 5.64 5.67 5.65 5.97 6.06 5.98 6.05 6.10 5.97 5.96 6.07 5.95 6.00 6.00 6.04 6.03 6.35 6.43 6.37 Except for long-term Treasury securities, which ore computed by this Bonk, current doto appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.15 release. • Averages of rotes ovoiloble •• Seven-doy overages for week ending two days earlier than dote shown Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Jon 22 3700" Feb 5 Billions of Dollars Billions 3685.7 3680.4 3687.9 3692.8 3701.0 3709.0 M2 (left scale) Non-Mi M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 Billions Jon 22 2568.4 2565.7 2568.7 Feb 5 2578.7 2587.0 2591.9 2 16 30 13 27 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 II 25 9 23 6 20 4 Feb Mar Apr May Aug Jun Sep 18 1 15 29 12 26 11 25 Oct Feb Mor M2 is the sum of Ml, savings (including money market deposit accounts), smoll time deposits ond retoil money funds. Current doto oppeor in the Federol Reserve Board's H.6 releose. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average of four weeks ending: 2/27/95 5/29/95 7/24/95 8/28/95 9/25/95 10/23/95 11/27/95 12/25/95 7/24/95 5.8 8/28/95 6.0 9/25/95 5.8 7.3 5.9 10/23/95 5.4 6.4 4.9 3.8 11/27/95 5.1 5.8 4.4 3.5 3.0 12/25/95 5.1 5.7 4.6 3.9 3.6 1/29/96 5.2 5.8 4.9 4.4 4.3 4.8 2/26/96 5.1 5.5 4.7 4.3 4.2 4.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8.1 4.1 Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1996 Billions 152.8 Feb 5 Feb 168.9 165.2 1260- 1055 Small Time 1996 Jan 22 5 Billions 934.7 934.6 934.9 1015 933.6 932.8 975 Small Time (right scale) 935 895 855 Savings Deposits (left scale) 815 2 16 30 \3 27 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 Apr May 19 3 17 31 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 4 Jun Aug Sep 18 15 29 12 26 II 25 Oct 1996 Sovings deposits and small time deposits are at oil depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Large Time 1996 Billions Jan 22 420.5 420.7 Feb 5 426.0 428.3 428.0 430.3 Billions of Dollars Retoil Money 1996 “■“* Jan 22 478.9 478.3 475.2 480.8 484.5 493.9 Retail Money Large Time Feb Mor May Jun 1995 1996 Large time deposits and retail money funds ore at all despository institutions. Large time deposits ore those issued in denominations of Si00,000 or more. Retail money funds were originolly colled general purpose and broker/deoler money market funds. Prepared bv Federol Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 775 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averoges of Doily Figures Billions of Dollars Jan 31 Feb 7 Mar Billions of Dollars Billions 0.015 0.034 0.015 0.016 0.077 0.018 6 0.8- 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 May Jun 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 1995 1996 Borrowings include seosonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit wos $19 million in the week ending January 25, 1995, and was zero in the other weeks shown. Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States'^ Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3600- Bank Credit Billions 3619.8 Jan 17 3628.7 3623.4 3622.9 Feb 7 3633.7 3638.6 Billions of Dollars Bonk Credit (left scale)2/ Loons and Leases (right scale) Loons&Leoses 1996 Billions Jan 17 2633.2 2636.9 2629.2 Feb 7 2629.1 2641.9 2644.4 H------- i 1 i 1 i 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 May 7 21 Jun 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ includes foreign-reloted institutions 2/ Includes loons and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17 31 14 28 13 27 1996 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Jon 24 Feb Billions of Dollars 210 Billions 184.726 186.711 189.970 188.693 186.701 184.960 7 190 170 4 18 150 1 i 1 f 17 31 14 28 13 27 3 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars All Banks 1996 Jon 17 725.0 726.8 726.7 Feb 7 728.2 Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 400 380 All Bonks (left scale)1/ 729.9 360 340 Large Bonks (right scale)2/ Large Bonks 1996 Billions Jan 17 351.6 " 352.5 353.6 Feb 7 352.4 352.0 352.4 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 1995 Current data appear in the Federol Reserve Board’s H.8 releose. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered bonks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 22 6 20 3 - 320 ‘ 300 17 31 14 28 13 27 1996 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 280 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 1973=100 Feb 7 Uor 6 4 18 1 15 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 Current doto appear in the Federol Reserve Boord's H.10 releose. Dota are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis