Full text of U.S. Financial Data : March 30, 1995
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1_____ Mar^KO, 1995 Federal f:: E-snk Till FKDIRAI kisium: HANkof SlilXH IS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ New single-family home sales in February were at an annual rate of 551,000 units, 14 percent below the January rate of641,000 units, and 20.3 percent below a year earlier. February new home sales were at their lowest rate since April 1992. ✓ Advance new orders for manufactured durable goods decreased 0.8percent in February, compared with an increase of 1.4 percent in January. The February decrease is the first since October of last year. Measured from a year earlier, durable goods orders were up 11.9 percent. ✓ The Conference Board’s index of consumer confidence rose 1.6 per centage points in March to 101 percent (1985=100), the first increase since December 1994. ✓ Initial unemployment insurance claims totaled 338,000for the week ending March 25. Measured on a four-week moving average basis, initial jobless claims have risen 6,000 over the past four weeks but are virtually unchangedfrom a year earlier. ✓ The yield on three-month Treasury bills has changed little over the past 12 weeks, averaging 5.68 percentfor the week ending March 31 (see page 7). All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions Jan 18 Billions of Dollars 459.1 460.0 461.8 462.4 462.9 464.5 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: March 29. 1995 The adjusted monetary base is the sui currency in circulation (currency helJ adjustment for reserve requirement Reserve credit. Data are computed available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: B/31/94 9/28/94 10/26/94 11 /23/94 1/4/95 2/1/95 3/1/95 3/29/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 3/30/94 6/22/94 8/31/94 7.3 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.2 6.7 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.3 6.1 6.2 6.1 6.1 5.7 4.8 6.1 6.3 6.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/28/94 10/26/94 11/23/94 5.3 4.4 5.9 6.2 5.9 3.9 6.0 6.3 6.0 1/4/95 2/1/95 6.5 6.7 6.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M1 1995 1170 - Billions Feb 13 20 27 Mar 6 13 20 1146.8 1145.5 1146.2 1147.2 1147.1 1151.1 M1 (left scale) TCD (right scale) 1995 7 21 7 21 Feb Mar 4 18 2 Apr 16 30 13 27 11 25 May Jun Jul 22 5 Aug 19 3 Sep 17 31 14 28 12 26 Oct Nov Dec Billions Feb 13 20 27 Mar 6 13 20 780.0 778.3 778.1 779.2 776.8 779.3 23 6 20 Jan Feb 6 20 3 Mar 17 Apr Latest data plotted week ending: March 20, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) T .. Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: IO the average 3/21/94 6/20/94 8/22/94 9/19/94 10/17/94 11/21/94 12/19/94 1/23/95 of four weeks ending: 8/22/94 9/19/94 10/17/94 11/21/94 12/19/94 1/23/95 2/20/95 3/20/95 2.6 2.1 1.6 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 -1.0 -1.7 -0.7 -0.6 -0.7 -0.6 -2.2 -0.7 -0.6 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.3 -0.6 -0.4 1.1 0.3 0.3 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Do||ars 114 1995 Billions Jan 4 101.6 18 102.4 Feb 1 101.0 15 103.0 Mar 1 103.6 15 102.2 110 102 9! 94 90 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar 1995 Apr Latest data plotted two weeks ending: March 15, 1995 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 8/17/94 9/14/94 10/12/94 11/9/94 12/21/94 1/18/95 2/15/95 3/15/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 3/16/94 -4.0 -3.0 -2.8 -4.5 -5.0 -3.4 -3.1 -2.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6/8/94 -3.9 -3.3 -5.8 -6.3 -3.9 -3.4 -2.0 8/17/94 0.6 -5.3 -6.3 -2.7 -2.3 -0.5 9/14/94 -9.1 -8.7 -3.9 -3.2 -1.0 10/12/94 11/9/94 -11.5 -4.6 -3.6 -0.9 12/21/94 1/18/95 0.5 0.4 2.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.2 . 2.8 Ratio 1 Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending March 13, 1995 from the four weeks ending: Mar 14. 1994 -5.2 Jun 20, 1994 -5.6 Sep 26, 1994 -6.6 Oct 24, 1994 -6.3 Nov 21, 1994 -5.9 Dec 19, 1994 -7.7 Jc n 16, 1995 -8.2 1— 1995 Jan 3.2 Ratio 2 16 2.511 2.507 Feb 1 3 27 Mar 1 3 2.4E 8 2.4“ 9 2.4' 8 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.4 7 21 Feb 7 21 4 18 2 Mar Apr 16 JO 13 27 II 25 8 22 May Jun Jul Aug 5 1S ] Sep 17 31 14 28 12 20 Oct Nov Dec 9 23 8 20 f 20 3 17 Jan Feb 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: March 13, 1995 Mar 2.4 Apr 1995 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 375 365 355 Billions of Dollars 375 1----------- 1---------- 1----------Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending March 20, 1995 from the four weeks ending: Mar 21. 1994 9.0 Jun 20. 1994 8.7 Sep 19, 1994 8.4 Oct 17. 1994 8.5 Nc v 21. 1994 7.7 De c 19. 1994 7.9 Jc n 23. 1995 7.5 365 355 345 345 1995 Feb 1 3 20 27 Mar 6 13 20 1 335 Billio OS 358 4 358 8 358.8 359.6 361.8 363.3 1 - 335 325 21 Feb 7 21 4 IS 2 16 30 13 27 Mar Apr May Jun 11 25 Jul 1994 8 22 5 19 Aug Sep 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 Oct Nov Dec Jan 6 20 6 20 3 17 Feb Mar Apr 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: March 20, 1995 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 325 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporate Aaa donds Prime Bank -Loan Rate- Municipal Bonds Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1994 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 17 3 17 31 Feb Mar 1995 Apr Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: March 31, 1995 1994 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 5.85 5.75 5.82 5.94 6.08 6.03 6.07 6.03 6.05 6.08 6.07 6.05 6.07 6.36 6.20 6.22 6.22 6.22 6.16 6.17 6.11 6.13 6.20 6.14 6.12 6.14 6.21 6.09 6.12 6.10 6.11 6.05 6.05 6.00 6.03 6.08 6.03 6.02 6.04 8.49 8.46 8.44 8.49 8.33 8.28 8.26 8.23 8.17 8.22 8.04 8.10 8.05 9.13 9.10 9.06 9.10 8.92 8.87 8.85 8.82 8.76 8.81 8.62 8.69 8.62 6.66 6.53 6.44 6.49 6.40 6.18 6.18 6.11 6.08 6.18 6.06 6.09 Jan 6 13 20 27 Feb 3 10 17 24 Mar 3 10 17 24 31 * NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available •* Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. — Not Available http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent 9.0 9.0 5- Tear T eatury Securiti M > / > i.o * ✓ X ✓ \ . ^ > /-’* ------ JL 6.0 4 r f 6.0 Federal Fund i Rate J s / r. Ji **• * -- sT * / 5.0 3-1 lonth Treat ury Bill A.v 5.0 ✓r ^ ✓y 1.0 * Discount Rate 5.0 3.0 2.0 n i ■ Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1994 Mar Apr 1995 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: March 31, 1995 1994 Jan 6 13 20 27 Feb 3 10 17 24 Mar 3 10 17 24 31 * Federal Funds ** 5.40 5.53 5.45 5.42 5.63 5.95 5.93 5.94 5.88 5.93 5.94 5.97 6.06 3—Month Treasury Bill 1-Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury 5.67 5.66 5.70 5.77 5.82 5.79 5.75 5.72 5.74 5.76 5.75 5.72 5.68 6.74 6.66 6.58 6.50 6.43 6.37 6.29 6.15 6.07 6.14 6.00 5.97 5.94 7.86 7.80 7.73 7.74 7.54 7.47 7.40 7.23 7.10 7.18 6.95 7.01 6.97 7.86 7.80 7.74 7.78 7.62 7.56 7.48 7.36 7.27 7.35 7.11 7.16 7.12 7.99 7.95 7.90 7.93 7.78 7.72 7.67 7.61 7.53 7.61 7.40 7.47 7.43 r. r-------------rrr , 1 this bank. Treasury ujm ui on a discount basis. which are computed ,by ... '1 v"- bill yields.are cicubc cauiuuiiiu 10m * Averages of rates available ♦* Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3670 ^ 1995 Feb 13 20 27 Mar 6 13 20 3645 Billions of Dollars 2545 M2 ^ Billions 3621.7 3618.8 3620.8_j 3 617.6 3 625.5 3 638.3 2520 M2 (left st ale) 2495 _ . 3620 S ✓\ / / 3595 i ✓\ / ■ \ i V / >/“ "* --n * Nor 1995 ^lon-M1 M2 (ri ght sea e) \/ 2 Billio ns Feb 13 20 27 Mar 6 13 20 l \ 3570 t r 2470 t i~'\ 2474.9 2473.3 2474.6 2470.4 2478.4 2487.2 I 3545 2445 2420 7 21 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Feb Mar Apr 1994 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: March 20, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) T ., Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: lotne average 3/2i/94 6/20/94 8/22/94 9/19/94 10/17/94 11/21/94 12/19/94 1/23/95 of four weeks ending: B/22/94 9/19/94 10/17/94 11/21/94 12/19/94 1/23/95 2/20/95 3/20/95 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.8 -0.9 -1.1 -0.2 0.7 0.5 0.6 -0.8 0.3 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.5 1.6 1.1 1.1 3.3 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages or Daily Ngures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1995 Small Time Billions 1995 13 1097.1 20 1095.5 857.2 862.5 869.0 20 27 1105.7 Billions 20 27 Mar 6 879.5 Saving# D#posits(left scale) Small Tim# (right scale) Nov 1994 Dec 1995 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1 / All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 445 I--------- 1--------Large Time 1995 420 367.9 372.1 77.0 77.7 76.7 79.1 "1 _. ** "" ** — - Ne 4* ' 392.9 27 Mar 6 13 20 ly oney M arket Billions Feb 13 i 395 370 392 387 391 390 3 6 6 4 370 345 Large Tim# 320 7 21 * 1! 2 It JO 11 27 II 25 Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1 22 Aug 5 19 3 17 31 H 21 12 26 9 23 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1994 f 21 6 20 Feb Mar 3 17 Apr 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: March 20, 1995 1/ Large time-deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by Federa| R„e[ve Bank of st ^ http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 420 395 - -v. ^ -* * „ e-* — * 345 7 21 Feb 445 Money Market 1995 Billions Feb 13 20 27 Ma r 6 13 20 Billions of Dollars 1--------- 1------- 9 320 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions Feb 22 Mar 1 Billions of Dollars 0.064 0.055 0.054 0.064 0.072 0.086 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 Feb Mar Apr May 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1994 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $19 million in the week ending January 25, 1995, $1 million in the week ending July 20, 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown. Bank Loans and Credit 3425 v All Commercial Banks in the United States ' Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 2500 ---------1-----------1 Bank Credit 1995 3375 3325 Feb 8 15 22 Mar 1 Billions 3351.2 3359.1 3366.0 3380.7 2450 B ink Cre dit (lef : scale / 2/ / 2400 15 3385.3 3275 2350 3225 2300 -+r*~ * " / Loan s&Lea ses * 1992 3175 Feb '•'V >ans ar d Leasea (rig it scale ) 3125 3075 16 Feb 16 3 Mar 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 26 Apr May Jul Jun 1994 17 3 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Latest Wednesday data plotted : March 15, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1 / Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 15 22 .Mar 1 8 15 Billie ns 2412.9 2424.1 2426.1 2441.1 2436.6 2443.6 15 i 15 29 12 2 Feb Mar Apr 1995 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2250 2200 2150 * Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars ___________________Not Seasonolly Adjusted Billions Feb 15 167.462 167.554 Mar 1 170.907 175.422 175.024. 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 15 1 15 20 12 26 Feb Mar Apr Latest data plotted week ending: March 22, 1995 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted All Banks 1995 Billions Feb 8 15 22 Mar 1 8 15 667.6 670.4. 670.6 676.3 671.9 675.6 Large Banks (right scale)' Large Banks 1995 Feb 8 15 22 Mar 1 8 15 All Banks (left scale) 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 Feb Mar Apr 11 25 8 22 May Jun 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : March 15, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 9 23 7 21 4 18 Nov Dec Jan Billions 326.2 327.7 328.6 331.4 329.4 331.7 — 270 15 1 15 2) 12 26 Feb Mar Apr _ . . Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1995 1973=100 2 IS 2 15 JO 13 27 11 25 Feb Mar Apr May 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 20 12 26 8 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Latest data plotted week ending: March 29, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis o Eh X < X Eh i-3 O en O