Full text of U.S. Financial Data : March 3, 1994
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March 3, 1994 MR 011904' FederalWs Federal Hesorve Sank Loi ncial Data KF.IH-.RAI KISIKW IVVShol Si: I JIM IS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: Real disposable personal income fell at a 5.3 percent annual rate in January, after rising 7.6 percent in December and 5.7 percent in November. January’s decline reflected many special factors, including the California earthquake and severe winter weather. \/ New construction put in place during January decreased to an annual rate of $505.5 billion, from $511.7 billion in December. Compared with a year ago, new construction put in place was up 12 percent. Sales of new one-family homes dropped 20.1 percent in January, totaling 695,000 homes, after rising 13 percent in December. Compared with a year ago, sales of new one-family homes were up 13.9 percent. y Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 7.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 1993, according to the preliminary estimate, up sharply from the advance estimate of 5.9 percent. This is the largest quarterly increase since the first quarter of 1984, when it was 7.9 percent. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Dec 22 Billions of Dollars 422.3 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1993 1994 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: March 2, 1994 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial inst’tutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment fpr reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bonk. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 8/4/93 9/1/93 9/29/93 10/27/93 12/8/93 1/5/94 2/2/94 3/2/94 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 3/3/93 5/26/93 8/4/93 9/1/93 9/29/93 10/27/93 12/8/93 1/5/94 9.0 9.9 10.0 10.0 9.1 8.7 9.8 10.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11.4 11.2 10.9 9.4 8.9 10.3 10.9 12.7 11.7 9.2 8.4 10.4 11.3 10.2 7.6 7.0 9.6 10.7 6.4 6.0 9.4 10.8 4.5 9.2 11.0 13.2 14.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M1 1994 Billions Jan 17 1133.3 24 1136.3 31 1136.1 Feb 7 1135.8 14 1139.2. mi 21 1139.0 ms - M1 (left scale) (right scale) 1994 TCD Billions Jan 17 24 Feb 7 14 800.4 802.4 800.5 799.5 ~ 710 802.7 801.8 4 18 1 IS 1 15 23 12 25 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1994 Mar Latest data plotted week ending: February 21, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) T .. Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: ° average 2/22/93 5/24/93 7/19/93 8/23/93 9/20/93 10/18/9311/22/9312/20/93 of four weeks ending: 7/19/93 8/23/93 9/20/93 10/18/93 11/22/93 12/20/93 1/24/94 2/21/94 11.9 11.7 11.6 11.3 11.2 10.8 10.3 9.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11.7 11.5 10.9 11.0 10.4 9.7 9.3 10.9 10.2 10.4 9.8 9.0 8.6 9.7 10.2 9.4 8.5 8.1 10.0 9.0 8.1 7.7 9.2 7.9 7.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 110 1994 Billions 22 Jan 5 19 Feb 2 16 100.4 101.2 106 102.2 103.9 104.6 105.5 102 6 20 3 17 3 17 31 14 21 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 15 29 13 27 10 24 Aug Sep Oct Nov 22 5 19 2 16 2 16 30 Dec Feb 1994 Mar Latest data plotted two weeks ending: February 16, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 2/17/93 5/12/93 7/21/93 8/18/93 9/15/93 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/22/93 periods ending: 7/21/93 8/1 S/93 9/15/93 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/22/93 1/19/94 2/16/94 7.3 8.0 8.4 8.9 7.8 5.5 7.7 9.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 15.0 14.1 13.7 11.3 7.5 10.2 11.9 11.7 11.9 8.4 3.9 8.0 10.5 11.6 7.1 2.0 7.2 10.2 5.3 -0.4 6.4 10.1 -5.0 4.8 9.7 7.4 13.0 31.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1 / Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio Compounded annual rates of change average of the four weeks ending February 14, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Feb 15 1993 May 24 1993 Aug 16 1993 Sep 27 1993 Oct 25, 1993 Nov 22 1993 Dec 20 1993 < 18 r • i 1994 Ratio Dec 6 20 dan 3 17 i ■ i 2.674 2.671 2.666 2.643 i 1 15 1 15 2! 1! 21 II 21 I 21 S 19 2 16 ID 11 27 11 25 8 21 6 20 3 17 11 H 21 16 2l" Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: February 14, 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1994 Mar Currency Component of M12/ Billions of Dollars Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending February 21, 1994 from the four weeks ending: May 24, 1993 10.8 Sep 20. 1993 10.8 Nov 22, 1993 12.2 Dec 20, 1993 14.3 1994 Billions Jan 17 325.0 326.0 327.6 328.3 328.5 329.3 Feb 1994 1993 Mar Latest data plotted week ending: February 21, 1994 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporate Aoa bonds Loan Rote 19 3 17 31 14 28 11 25 11 25 18 2 16 30 13 27 1 15 29 Jul Nov Aug Dec Jan Feb 1994 Mar Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: March 4, 1994 1994 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90—Day Bankers' Acceptances Dec 10 17 24 31 Jan 7 14 21 28 Feb 4 11 18 25 Mar 4 * 3.41 3.34 3.31 3.35 3.21 3.12 3.13 3.11 3.14 3.41 3.46 3.47 3.54 3.31 3.23 3.20 3.24 3.22 3.13 3.12 3.12 3.20 3.43 3.47 3.57 3.68 3.26 3.20 3.18 3.21 3.16 3.09 3.07 3.07 3.19 3.40 3.43 3.53 3.63 Corporate Aaa Bonds 6.86 6.97 6.95 6.94 7.01 6.87 6.92 6.91 6.93 7.03 7.06 7.23 7.25 Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 7.61 7.72 7.70 7.71 7.75 7.61 7.64 7.62 7.61 7.72 7.76 7.92 7.92 5.33 5.36 5.34 5.28 5.34 5.31 5.29 5.28 5.25 5.36 5.42 5.58 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available •* Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N A - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Fund* Rat* Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: March 4, 1994 1994 Dec 10 17 24 31 Jan 7 14 21 28 Feb 4 11 18 25 Mar 4 * 3-Month Federal Treasury Funds ***** Bill 2.92 2.94 2.99 2.99 3.00 2.98 3.13 2.97 3.17 3.20 3.25 3.25 3.28 1 -Year Treasury Bill 3.07 3.04 3.06 3.02 3.05 2.97 2.96 2.93 3.08 3.25 3.27 3.35 3.44 5—Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 3.44 5.10 5.71 6.14 3.47 5.18 5.82 6.26 3.45 5.16 5.79 6.24 3.45 5.14 5.77 6.22 3.46 5.21 5.85 6.30 3.38 5.03 5.69 6.15 3.36 5.06 5.74 6.17 3.35 5.05 5.74 6.16 3.49 5.14 5.80 6.18 3.69 5.36 5.94 6.34 3.70 5.40 5.95 6.39 3.82 5.60 6.15 6.59 3.91 5.69 6.24 6.68 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown *** Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Jan 17 24 31 Feb 7 14 21 3577.5 3575.5 3570.3. 3569.5 3573.7 3564.3 Billions of Dollars M2 (left scale) Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 Jan 17 24 31 Feb 7 14 21 2444.2 2439.2 2434.2 2433.7 2434.5 2425.3 4 IB 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 10 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 20 3 17 31 14 20 14 28 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1994 Mar Latest data plotted week ending: February 21, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 2/22/93 5/24/93 7/19/93 8/23/93 9/20/93 10/18/93 11/22/93 12/20/93 ending: 7/19/93 8/23/93 9/20/93 10/18/93 11/22/93 12/20/93 1/24/94 2/21/94 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 1.9 2.3 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 1.9 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.3 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.4 1.7 2.8 2.7 1.8 2.7 1.5 0.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1994 Billions 1275 Jan 17 24 31 “Feb 7 14 21 Small Time 1994 Billions 1225.2 1221.1 1219.7 1220.2 1222.5 1220.0 Jan 17 24 31 "Feb 7 14 21 780.0 778.8 777.9 777.1 775.6 775.0 Small Time (right scale) Savings Deposits (left scale) 4 II 1 15 1 15 2! 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 18 30 13 27 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1993 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Sep 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 21 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1 / Ail Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures. Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Large 1994 Jan 17 24 31 Feb 7 14 21 Billions of Dollars Time Billions 343.2 343.2 . 339.2 336.6 336.8 334.7 Money Market 1994 Billions Jan 17 24 31 Feb 7 14 21 349.3 348.5 __ 345.5 344.9 344.9 343.3 4 II 1 15 1 15 2) 12 28 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1994 Mar Latest data plotted week ending: February 21, 1994 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funde ere general purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Jan 26 Feb 2 9 16 23 Mar 2 6 20 3 17 3 17 31 H 2! 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 0.039 0.051 0.045 0.145 0.046 ---0.044 22 5 19 2 16 2 16 30 Dec Feb 1993 Mar 1994 Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1.4 Billions of Dollars 1.4 I 1994 . 1.2 Billions 6 2 9 6 Mar 2 1.0 o!c )44 1 0.8 0.2 0.0 A VI 77 A I l\y v A- J 0.6 0.4 N_ .—. 6 20 Jan 1.0 0.8 O.S 0.4 1.2 0.039 0.051 0.045 0.145 Jan Feb VA 0.2 3 17 3 17 31 H 2! 11 28 9 23 7 21 4 10 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 1 22 3 19 1 It 1 I! 30 Feb Sep Oct Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: March 2. 1994 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted 1994 Billions Jan 19 26 Feb 2 9 16 23 154.383 154.039 159.243 154.923 155.276 151.728 8 20 3 1? 3 17 31 11 21 12 21 9 23 7 21 4 II 1 15 2) 13 27 10 24 I 22 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 19 2 II 2 IS 30 Oct Feb Mar Latest data plotted week ending: February 23. 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans'7 . _ .. Billions of Dollars Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks2/ Seasonally Adjusted --------1---------1----------1--------Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four 3I5 305 295 1 Billions of Dollars 1 325 19.9.4 February 16, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Feb 17. 1993 -0.6 May 19, 1993 0.9 . Aug 1B, 1993 0.5 Sep 15, 1993 1.4 Oct 13. 1993 1.9 Nov 17. 1993 1.7 1993 Billions Jan 12 19 26 Feb 2 9 16 278.201 280.173 279.939 281.839 280.100 280.964 315 — 305 295 285 285 275 275 265 » Jan 3 17 3 17 31 14 21 1! 2S Feb Mar Apr May 9 23 7 21 Jun Jul 1993 4 11 Aug IS 29 13 27 10 24 Sep Oct Nov 1 22 Dec 5 IS Jan 16 Feb 1994 11 3 Mar Latest data plotted week ending: February 16, 1994 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.4 billion _ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 265 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures L224 1973=190 Feb 2 6 20 3 17 ] 17 31 14 20 12 26 0 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug Sep Oct 19 2 16 2 16 30 Feb 1994 Mar Latest data plotted week ending: March 2, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis