Full text of U.S. Financial Data : March 24, 1994
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March 24, 1994 [to ' 2 s im ::k U.S. Financial Data THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: \/ The yield on long-term Treasury securities averaged 6.85 percent for the week ending March 25, up 67 basis points from the week ending February 4. A year ago, the long-term yield was 6.63 percent. ✓ Manufacturers’ new orders for durable goods declined 2.5 percent in February, after increasing 4.4 percent in January. Total orders for January and February were up 10.5 percent from the same period in 1993. Data for manufacturers’ orders are not adjusted for inflation. The federal budget deficit for February was $41.63 billion. Thus far in fiscal year 1994, the deficit has totaled $118.1 billion, down from $138.9 billion for the same period in 1993. ✓ The January goods and services trade deficit increased to $6.3 billion, up from $4.1 billion in December. January exports totaled $54.5 billion and imports totaled $60.8 billion. In January 1993, the goods and services trade deficit was $4.1 billion, and for all of 1993 it was $76.8 billion. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Mgures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 19 2 16 Mar 2 Feb 428.2 431.4 433.9 435.9 434.8 3 17 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Feb Billions of Dollars Mar Apr May 23 7 21 4 10 1 15 2! 13 27 10 24 Jun Aug Sep Oct Nov 22 5 19 2 IS 2 If 30 13 27 Dec Jan Feb Mar 1994 Apr Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: March 16, 1994 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve a ccounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public <jnd in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major sourc$ of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 3/17/g3 6/9/93 8/18/93 9/15/93 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/22/93 1/19/94 two maintenance periods ending: 8/18/93 9/15/93 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/22/93 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 10.5 10.7 10.8 10.1 9.2 9.7 10.6 10.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10.0 10.4 9.4 8.2 9.0 10.3 10.1 11.8 9.5 7.6 8.8 10.7 10.4 8.4 6.4 8.2 10.6 10.2 4.3 7.2 10.3 9.9 8.1 11.8 11.0 18.2 14.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages ot uany Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1994 - Feb 7 14 21 28 Mar 7 14 Billions of Dollars Billions 1135.6 1139.1 1139.2 1140.1 1140.4 1141.1 M1 (left scale) •TCD (right scale) - 1994 Feb 7 IT 21 14 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 799.4 OUZ./ 802.0 — 77ft 730 801.9 T~1 I ' r 1 IS 1 15 29 12 28 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 11 30 13 27 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1994 Apr Latest data plotted week ending: March 14, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 3/15/93 6/14/93 8/16/93 9/13/93 10/11/93 11/15/93 12/13/93 1/17/94 of four weeks ending: B/16/93 9/13/93 10/11/93 11/15/93 12/13/93 1/17/94 2/14/94 3/14/94 12.8 12.3 12.0 11.8 11.3 10.7 10.4 9.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10.2 10.2 10.3 9.8 9.2 8.9 8.4 9.8 10.1 9.5 8.6 8.3 7.8 10.5 9.5 8.5 8.1 7.5 9.1 8.0 7.7 7.0 6.5 6.6 6.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis 3 750 Billions 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions o1 Dollars no 1994 Jan Feb Billions 5 102.2 19 103.9 2 104.1 Mar 2 106 106.0 102 94 90 !6 3 17 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 3 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 Feb Mar Apr May Aug Jun Sep Oct Nov 2 IS 2 It 30 13 27 Feb Mar 1994 Dec 1993 Apr Latest data plotted two weeks ending: March 16, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of Ml. Adjusted Reserves . Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: TO the average Of 3/17/g3 6/9/93 8/18/93 9/15/93 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/22/93 1/19/94 two maintenance periods ending: B/18/93 9/15/93 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/22/93 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 10.1 10.2 10.5 9.0 6.4 8.7 10.2 8.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.9 8.1 6.3 3.2 6.6 8.9 7.4 11.6 7.1 2.0 7.2 10.2 8.1 5.3 -0.4 6.4 10.1 7.7 -5.0 4.8 9.7 6.9 7.4 13.0 8.8 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier ’/ Averages of Daily Figures Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending March 14, 1994 from the four weeks ending Mar 15, 1993 -0.4 Jun 7. 1993 -1.5 Sep 13, 1993 -2.2 1993 -2.5 1993 -3.9 Dec 20 1993 -7.6 Jan 17 1994 -8.9 2.666 Feb 14 Mar 1 4 1 15 I 15 29 12 26 10 24 Feb Mar Apr May . ~t 1 i 1 1 i 1 ' i ■ 2.643 2.634 2.622 2.615 2.624 ■ i ■ i '■ i > 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 .. 22 _6 „20 3 17 31 14 20 14 20 11 25 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 1994 L Latest data plotted two weeks ending: March 14, 1994 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 340 330 320 ■ 1 1 Compounded annu al rates of change, average of the fou weeks ending March 14, 1994 fr Dm the four weeks enc ing: Mar 15, 1993 1 . 9 Jun 14, 1993 1 .0 Sep 13, 1993 1 . 1 Oct 11, 1993 1( • 9 Nov 15, 993 1e>.0 Dec 13, 993 1*5.4 Jar 17, 994 1<>.1 Billions of Dollars 340 - 330 320 310 310 1994 Feb 7 1 2 28 Mar 7 14 290 15 Feb Billio 03 328 3 329.3 330.6 331.2 331.7 i~r i 1 f i i i f i i ■ i i i i | 15 29 12 26 10 26 7 21 5 19 2 It 30 13 17 l'l 25 8 22 6 20 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: March 14. 1994 1 / Ratio of Ml to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 300 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures 9.1 “\ •> N- 9.0 Cor >orate Aaa Bonds -- ✓ 7.0 \ 5.0 7.0 * ** / -v/ r E.O \ ✓ \ ' ** r r ”*• P ime Bo >k x/* \ ^ ►an Rat ■N. — V /-✓ ", Munic pal Bm ds 5.0 /i —. 5.0 4.0 J.O 3.0 Coi romerck I Paper 2.0 5 19 Feb 5 19 2 If ID If 21 11 25 9 23 f 20 ] 17 I 15 29 12 2f 10 24 7 21 4 10 4 II I Mar Jun Apr May Jul Aug 1993 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1994 15 19 Apr Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: March 25, 1994 1994 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** Dec 31 Jan 7 14 21 28 Feb 4 11 18 25 Mar 4 11 18 25 * 3.35 3.21 3.12 3.13 3.11 3.14 3.41 3.46 3.47 3.57 3.61 3.61 3.67 3.24 3.22 3.13 3.12 3.12 3.20 3.43 3.47 3.57 3.71 3.77 3.75 3.82 3.21 3.16 3.09 3.07 3.07 3.19 3.40 3.43 3.53 3.67 3.75 3.72 3.76 6.94 7.01 6.87 6.92 6.91 6.93 7.03 7.06 7.23 7.36 7.44 7.46 7.48 7.71 7.75 7.61 7.64 7.62 7.61 7.72 7.76 7.92 8.01 8.08 8.10 8.14 5.28 5.34 5.31 5.29 5.28 5.25 5.36 5.42 5.58 5.84 5.88 5.84 NJL Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.0 Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Treasury Securities ' y / Funds Rots 3-Month 5 1* 5 1» 2 IS 31 14 21 11 25 J 23 6 211 3 17 1 15 29 12 28 10 24 7 21 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 11 4 II Feb Mar 1994 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: March 25. 1994 1994 Dec 31 Jan 7 14 21 28 Feb 4 11 18 25 Mar 4 11 18 25 * Federal Funds **•** 3—Month Treasury Bill 1 —Year Treasury Bill 2.99 3.00 2.98 3.13 2.97 3.17 3.20 3.25 3.25 3.28 3.25 3.19 3.31 5-Year Treasury Securities 10—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 3.02 3.45 5.14 5.77 6.22 3.05 3.46 5.21 5.85 6.30 2.97 3.38 5.03 5.69 6.15 2.96 3.36 5.06 5.74 6.17 2.93 3.35 5.05 5.74 6.16 3.08 3.49 5.14 5.80 6.18 3.25 3.69 5.36 5.94 6.34 3.27 3.70 5.40 5.95 6.39 3.35 3.82 5.60 6.15 6.59 3.47 3.95 5.74 6.29 6.72 3.52 4.09 5.85 6.40 6.80 3.52 4.11 5.91 6.45 6.83 3.50 4.14 5.96 6.48 6.85 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown •** Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1994 Feb Billions of Dollars M2 Billions 7 14 21 28 Mar 7 14 3567.5 3571.8 3563.0. 3568.8 3577.6 3584.8 Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1994 Billions Feb 7 14 21 28 Mar 7 14 I 15 Feb 2431.9 2432.7 2423.8 2428.2 2437.2 2443.2 I 15 2J 12 21 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 Feb Mar Apr 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: March 14, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overniaht Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 3/15/93 6/14/93 8/16/93 9/13/93 10/11/93 11/15/93 12/13/93 1/17/94 of four weeks ending: 8/16/93 9/13/93 10/11/93 11/15/93 12/13/93 1/17/94 2/14/94 3/14/94 3.0 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.8 2.4 2.3 1.9 1.8 2.4 1.9 1.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1315 -------- 1----------1--------Savings 1994 Billions 1275 Feb 7 1220.3 14 1222.5 21 1220.4 - Billions of Dollars --------- 1---------1 ------1------- 915 Small Time 1994 Billions Feb 7 774.8 14 773.2 21 772.4 Mar 7 12:.2.3 14 12:.4.6 dar 7 14 770. 769. Small rime ( ight sc ale) 1235 835 ~^ / 1195 8. 1155 3He Savir 295 osKs(l< ft seal ') ^^, 1 15 1 IS 29 12 26 11 29 7 21 5 19 2 16 JO 13 27 11 25 6 22 6 20 3 17 31 H 28 18 2! Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar , 1993 II 15 Apr 755 1994 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds'^ All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures. Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Large Time 1994 Billions Feb 7 14 21 28 Mar 7 14 336.5 336.7 . 334.8 334.3 333.4 333.3 I 15 1 15 28 12 28 10 24 7 21 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Money Market 1994 Billions Feb 7 14 21 28 Mar 7 14 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 Jul Aug Sep 1993 9 345.2 345.4 _ 344.0 345.6 347.9 350.9 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: March 14, 1994 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. prepared „y Federa| http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Billions of Dollars Bank of s, Loui8 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1.4 199* Simons Feb 16 23 Mar 2 9 ■ 16 23 0.145 0.046 0.044 0.024 0.053 ---0.051 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 ' 3 17 3 17 31 14 21 12 2S 9 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 Feb Mar Apr May Aug Jun Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1994 0.0 Apr Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1.4 1994 Feb 16 23 Mar 2 9 16 23 Billions 0.145 — 1.2 0.046 0.044 0.024 0.053 — 1.0 0.051 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 3 17 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr Latest data plotted week ending: March 23, 1994 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinanciai Companies Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted 23 151.728 155.728 3 17 3 17 31 14 25 12 25 Feb Mar Apr May 23 7 21 4 II 1 15 25 13 17 10 24 I 22 5 15 2 10 2 10 31 13 27 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1994 Apr Latest data plotted week ending: March 16, 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans1 / Billions of Dollars 1 1 1 Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four 315 305 195 Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks2/ Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars -------- 1----------1-------1994 -Feb 2 9 16 23 Mar 2 9 March 9, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Mar 10. 1993 -0.2 Jun 9, 1993 0.3 Sep 8, 993 1.3 Oct 6. 993 1.1 Nov 10, 993 1.1 Dec 8, 993 3.3 4.5 325 Billions 281.839 280.100 280.946 279.715 281.175 280.765 315 305 295 285 215 275 275 265 14 i'l 17 1 17 3 12 24 1 23 1 21 4 11 Jul Aug Mar Apr May Jun Feb is 19 11 27 11 24 Sep 1993 Oct Nov 1 2! Dec 5 1) Jan it 11 31 13 2 Apr Feb Mar 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: March 9, 1994 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include bankers acceptances and commercial paper. 2/Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.4 billion _ „ ______ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 265 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures L224 1.973-1 OP Feb 16 3 17 3 17 31 14 28 12 21 8 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 2! 13 27 18 24 8 22 5 18 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1994 Apr Latest data plotted week ending: March 23, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis