Full text of U.S. Financial Data : March 21, 1996
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21,1996 RKEA CH UBRARY THE FEDERAL j risikm: Fete X HANK of si: ixms hf.n & ft t3-'u THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: s/ Business inventories rose at a 6.8 percent annual rate in January, reversing the 4.1 percent rate of decline in December. The rise in inventories was paced by a 9.3 percent rate of increase at merchant wholesalers and an 8.9 percent rise at manufacturers. The value of business inventories, which is not adjusted for inflation, has risen 5.8 percent from a year earlier. ✓ Retail sales rebounded in February, rising 0.8 percent, after falling 0.2 percent in January. Sales at automotive dealers in February accelerated at their fastest pace in six months, increasing 2 percent. Excluding automotive sales, retail sales rose 0.4 percent in February, following a 0.2 percent decline in January. Sales are not adjusted for inflation. ✓ The consumer price index for all urban consumers (CPI-U) advanced at a 2.4 percent annual rate in February. Consumer prices rose at a 2.6percent rate between August 1995 and February 1996, down slightly from a 2.8 percent rate over the previous six-month period. ✓ Industrial production surged upward at a 16.9 percent annual rate in February, the largest increase since October 1987 and more than offsetting January’s 5.7percent decline. Industrial output has risen 1.6percent over the past 12 months. All data arc seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at http://www.stls.frb.org/ffed. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Jan Billions 471.7 472.6 471.1 470.6 472.4 472.6 3 Feb 14 Mar 13 4 Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 18 1 15 Feb 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Mar Apr Moy 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Aug Jun Sep 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 Oct The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve bonks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public ond in the voults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement rotio chonges. The major source of the adjusted monetory base is Federal Reserve credit. Data ore computed by this bonk. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary bose is available from this bonk. Recent data ore preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded onnuol rotes of change, overoge of two maintenance periods ending: To the overoge of two maintenance periods ending: 3/15/95 6/7/95 8/16/95 9/13/9510/11/95 8/16/95 2.7 9/13/95 2.6 -0.4 10/11/95 2.4 -0.1 1.5 11/8/95 2.1 -0.2 0.9 0.3 12/6/95 1.9 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.3 1/17/96 2.4 1.0 2.1 2.1 2.5 2/14/96 1.9 0.5 1.2 1.1 1.1 3/13/96 2.1 0.9 1.7 1.6 1.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11/8/95 12/6/95 1/17/96 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions 119.2 1114.3 1114.2 117.4 1129.8 123.0 1165- Billions 737.4 732.7 734.4 746.5 739.9 M1 (left scale) TCD (right scale) 2 IS JO 13 22 13 27 10 2< May Jun Aug Sep Oct 1995 1996 Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbonk public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits ond travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum ot demand deposits ond other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M1) Compounded onnuol rotes of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average of four weeks ending: 8/14/95 3/13/95 6/12/95 8/14/95 9/11/95 10/9/95 11/13/95 12/11/95 1/8/96 -0.4 9/11/95 -0.7 -0.6 10/9/95 -1.7 -2.3 -5.1 11/13/95 -2.2 -3.0 -5.2 -6.4 12/11/95 -2.3 -3.0 -4.6 -5.3 -4.2 1/8/96 -2.5 -3.2 -4.7 -5.3 -4.5 2/12/96 -2.9 -3.7 -5.0 -5.5 -5.0 -4.8 -5.7 3/11/96 -2.3 -2.8 -3.6 -3.8 -3.1 -2.4 -2.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -3.9 -1.1 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions Jan 3 Feb 14 Mar 13 4 18 1 Jan 15 1 Feb IS 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Mar Apr May Jun 5 19 2 Jul 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 17 31 14 28 13 27 Jan 1995 Feb Mor 1996 Adjusted reserves is the difference between the adjusted monetary base and the currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annuol rotes of chonge, overoge of two maintenance periods ending: 6/7/95 8/16/95 9/13/95 10/11/95 8/16/95 -6.1 9/13/95 -5.4 -5.0 10/11/95 -6.2 -6.4 11/8/95 -7.1 -7.7 -8.8 -12.3 12/6/95 -7.0 -7.5 -8.2 -10.4 1/17/96 -4.9 -4.6 Gi 3/15/95 2/14/96 -5.4 -5.2 * To the overage of two maintenance periods ending: 3/13/96 -4.1 -3.6 -2.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11/8/95 12/6/95 1/17/96 1 -2.2 2.7 1 -10.0 * * i 1 VJ **J -6.3 -4.0 -1.1 -2.8 -1.2 1.8 1.1 4.3 0.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio Ratio nrJ.i Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending March 11, 1996, from the four weeks ending: Mor Jun Sep Oct Nov Dec Jon 13. 1995 5. 1995 11, 1995 9,1995 6, 1995 4, 1995 15, 1996 Feb Mor Jon Feb 12 - Apr 1 2.362 2.9 Mor 11 IS 29 12 26 II 25 Moy Aug Sep Oct Feb Mor 1996 Ratio of M1 to odjusted monetary base. Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Compounded ___ _____ annual rotes of chonge, overage of the four weeks ending March 11, 1996, from the four weeks ending: Mor Jun Sep Oct Nov Dec Jon 13, 1 2, 11 . 9. 1 3, ' ‘ 8, 1995 1 995 1 995 1995 1 995 ‘ 1996 3. 2 . 2 . 2. 2 . Billions Feb 5 Mor 4 3727 374.2 Jon Feb Mor Apr Moy Jun Jul Aug 1995 Current dota appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sep Oct 1996 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louii 5 360 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent Prime Rate Corporate Aaa Bonds Commercial Paper Municipal Bonds 6 20 3 17 3 Feb 1995/96 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 5 15 29 13 27 10 24 19 2 16 is 29 Mor 30-Doy Commerciol Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Boa Bonds 5.83 5.63 5.59 5.57 5.51 5.42 5.28 5.29 5.28 5.30 5.31 5.37 5.43 5.53 5.44 5.45 5.39 5.36 5.23 5.15 5.13 5.14 5.16 5.19 5.31 5.33 5.46 5.37 5.36 5.32 5.28 5.14 5.06 5.05 5.07 5.09 5.11 5.23 5.26 6.76 6.75 6.86 6.80 6.81 6.82 6.87 6.86 7.13 7.20 7.21 7.42 7.45 7.43 7.42 7.52 7.45 7.47 7.46 7.50 7.50 7.77 7.86 7.90 8.10 8.14 Dec 29 Jon 5 12 19 26 Feb 2 9 16 23 Mar 1 8 15 22 Municipal Bonds •• 5.44 5.37 5.50 5.40 5.46 5.40 5.37 5.33 5.48 5.57 5.59 5.81 NA Current doto ore from the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release, and ore overages of rotes available for the week ending on March 22, 1996 . •• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursdoy dota N A - Not Avoiloble http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federol Reserve Bank of St. Louis T'W Selected Interest Rates Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent 10-Yeor Treasury Securities Federal Funds Rate Discount Rate 3-Month Treasury Bill 6 20 4 Apr 1995/96 Dec 29 Jan 5 12 19 26 Feb 2 9 16 23 Mar 1 15 22 • 18 15 29 13 27 10 24 May Federal Funds •• 5.48 5.35 5.53 5.61 5.44 5.53 5.21 5.09 5.17 5.31 5.57 5.24 5.36 Sep 8 22 5 19 2 16 1 15 29 Oct 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Yeor Treasury Securities 10-Yeor Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury 4.89 5.02 5.03 4.98 4.97 4.93 4.81 4.79 4.82 4.87 4.89 4.97 5.03 4.94 4.91 4.89 4.77 4.79 4.69 4.61 4.57 4.78 4.87 4.89 5.13 5.17 5.44 5.39 5.44 5.30 5.35 5.28 5.27 5.20 5.52 5.65 5.71 6.06 6.12 5.64 5.63 5.74 5.58 5.65 5.64 5.67 5.65 5.97 6.06 6.08 6.37 6.39 5.97 5.96 6.07 5.95 6.00 6.00 6.04 6.03 6.35 6.43 6.46 6.72 6.74 Reserve Board^s” tf l™ reieose1' Securit'M- "hich ore comP‘'>e<< *>y this Bonk, current doto appeor in the Federal • Averages of rotes available •• Seven-day averages for week ending two doys eorlier thon dote shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3700Mor 4 Billions of Dollars 3677.4 3682.3 3690.6 3698.7 3719.5 3720.1 (left scale) 3600- Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-Mi M2 )6 Billions Feb 5 Mar 2 16 30 13 27 13 27 10 24 Feb Mor Apr 8 22 5 May 19 3 17 31 14 28 II 25 9 23 6 Aug Jun Sep 20 4 18 I 4 2568.0 2576.4 2581.3 2589.7 2597.1 15 29 12 26 11 25 Oct M2 is the sum of Ml, savings (including money market deposit occounts), small time deposits ond retail money funds. Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded onnuol rotes of chonge, overoge of four weeks ending: To the overoge of four weeks ending: 3/13/95 6/12/95 8/14/95 9/11/95 10/9/95 11/13/95 12/11/95 8/14/95 6.1 9/11/95 6.0 7.0 10/9/95 5.7 6.2 4.5 11/13/95 5.2 5.2 3.6 2.8 12/11/95 5.2 5.2 3.9 3.5 3.4 1/8/96 5.2 5.2 4.2 3.9 4.0 2/12/96 5.0 5.0 4.1 3.8 3.8 4.5 4.3 3/11/96 5.5 5.6 5.0 4.9 5.2 6.1 6.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1/8/96 5.2 6.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1996 Billions 1158.6 163.4 1 168.9 1 165.3 1 174.5 1 182.3 ---------- L. Small Time Billions Feb 5 934.9 — 932.8 931.3 1055 1015 975 Small Time (right scale) 935 895 855 Savings Deposits (left scale) 815 16 JO 1J 27 1J 27 10 24 8 22 Apr Moy 5 19 Jun 14 28 II 25 9 2J 6 20 4 Aug Sep Oct 18 15 29 12 26 II 25 1995 Sovings deposits and small time deposits ore ot all depository institutions. 1996 Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars seasonally Adjusted Large Time 1996 Billions 418.8 421.2 420.8 423.1 427.4 424.8 Billions of Dollars Retail Money 1996 Feb 464.8 473.9 483.2 483.9 485.5 Retail Money Large Time 2 16 30 13 27 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 15 29 12 26 11 23* 1995 1996 Large time deposits ond retoil money funds are ot oil despository institutions. Large time deposits ore those issued m denominations of $100,000 or more. Retail money funds were originally called general purpose ond broker/dealer money market funds. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Preoored bv Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 9 775 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Bonks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions 0.015 0.016 Feb 14 0.018 4 18 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 15 5 19 2 16 50 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 Sep Oct 17 31 14 28 13 27 1995 1996 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $19 million in the week ending January 25, 1995, and was zero in the other weeks shown. Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United Statesy/ Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3illions of Dollars Bonk Credit Jan 31 Feb 7 Billions 3625.5 3624.6 3635.5 3640.7 3643.1 3618.1 Bonk Credit (left scole)2/ Loons and Leases (right scale) Loons&Leoses 1996 Jon 31 Feb 7 14 21 28 Mor 6 4 18 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 1995 Current dato appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loons and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Billions 2629.4 2629.0 2641.9 2644.0 2642.7 2638.3 1996 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk ot St. Louis 2500 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seosonolly Adjusted Billions o( Dollors Mar 4 6 Billions of Dollors Bilions 189.970 188.693 186.701 184.960 186.934 189.396 18 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 1995 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollors All Bonks Billions 726.7 F«b 7 728.0 728.8 729.8 728.5 Mar 6 725.4 Seosonolly Adjusted Billions of Dollors All Bonks (left scole)^/ Lorge Bonks (right scole)^/ Lorge Bonks .....- 320 Billions Jon 31 352.2 352'6 352.0 - 300 351.7 1995 1996 Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered bonks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Dollar s Trade - Weighted Exchange Index Averages of Daily Figures i973=100 1973=1uu 115 1973=100 Feb 14 105 95 85 75 4 18 1 15 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 1995 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 1996 Current data appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.10 release. Ooto are weighted overages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis US J a>