Full text of U.S. Financial Data : June 4, 1998
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t-iUHARY fimtialData THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ■ First-quarter productivity growth in the nonfarm business sector was revised up to 1.1 percent from the 0.2 percent estimated in the preliminary report. Nonfarm business productivity has increased 2.1 percent over the past four quarters. ■ The current dollar value of new factory orders increased $4 billion, or 1.2 percent, in April. Shipments, in contrast, fell 0.8 percent in April. Manufacturers’ inventories increased 0.5 percent in April, after rising 0.2 percent in March. ■ Following increases of 0.4 percent in February and 0.2 percent in March, the composite index of leading economic indicators increased 0.1 percent in April. ■ Sales of new single-family homes rose 5.2 percent in April to a record rate of888,000 units. New home sales have increased in three of the last four months and are up 16.5 percent from a year earlier. ■ In real terms, the value of new construction put in place in April rose 0.8 percent, the fifth straight monthly increase. Measured from a year earlier, real construction spending has increased 3.1 percent. ■ Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased 0.4 percent in April, or 4.5 percent at an annual rate. Purchases of consumer durables rose 0.6 percent in April after falling 1 percent over the prior two months. Real PCE has increased 4.5 percent over the past 12 months. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To be added to the mailing list, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at www.stls.frb.org/fred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averoges of Doily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions 499.696 498.765 497.981 501.588 503.863 506.136 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 3 17 Apr Moy Aug Jun Sep 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Oct Nov 4 18 4 18 Feb Mor Dec 15 29 13 27 10 24 Apr Moy Jun The adjusted monetary base is the sum of Federal Reserve deposits ond vault cash held by domestic depository institutions, currency held by the public, ond on adjustment for the effect of changes in reserve requirement rotios. The monetory bose series wos recently revised to include Federal Reserve deposits used to satisfy clearing balance contracts. Data ore computed by this bank. A detailed description of the odjusted monetary base is ovoiloble from this bonk. Recent doto ore preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded annual rates of change, overage of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 6/4/97 8/27/97 11/5/97 12/3/97 12/31/97 1/28/98 2/25/98 11/5/97 5.5 12/3/97 6.5 8.3 12/31/97 6.7 8.2 10.0 1/28/98 2/25/98 6.6 7.8 8.7 7.0 6.6 7.7 8.3 6.9 6.5 4/8/98 5/6/98 5.6 5.2 6.0 5.5 5.7 5.1 4.3 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.2 2.0 0.1 6/3/98 5.9 6.4 6.3 5.4 4.9 4.6 4.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4/8/98 7.8 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Apr 20 May 4 Billions of Dollars Billions 1084.8 1076.8 1081.6 1066.5 1070.1 1071.7 Apr 20 Moy 4 Billions 643.1 634.9 638.9 623.8 626.9 627.0 M1 (left scale) 1030- TCD (right scale) 1000- 7 21 5 19 7 16 30 14 28 II 25 8 22 6 20 Aug Sep Oct Apr Moy Jun 15 29 12 26 9 23 9 23 6 20 * 18 Feb Mar Apr May Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits ot depository institutions. Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M1) To the average of four weeks ending: Compounded onnuol rotes of chonge, overage of four weeks ending: 5/26/97 8/25/97 10/27/97 11/24/97 12/22/97 1/26/98 10/27/97 11/24/97 -0.6 0.8 12/22/97 0.7 7.3 1/26/98 1.4 1.5 1.0 5.3 3.5 2/23/98 1.6 1.2 4.6 3.1 2.2 3/23/98 2.1 2.0 5.0 3.9 3.6 4/27/98 1.7 3.6 2.6 2.0 2.0 5/25/98 0.8 1.4 0.3 1.9 0.8 0.0 -0.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2/23/98 3/23/98 -0.6 4.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Mor 1 Apr 8 Moy 6 Billions of Dollars Billions 67.184 66.681 66.133 65.541 66.279 66.811 70- 2 16 JO 14 28 11 25 9 23 Apr Moy Jun 20 3 17 1 Aug Sep 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 4 18 Oct Nov Dec Feb 15 29 13 27 10 24 Mor 1997 Apr Moy Jun 1998 Adjusted reserves is the difference between the adjusted monetary base ond the currency component of Ml. The odjusted monetory base series wos recently revised: See the footnote to the monetory bose chort for o description of the change. Adjusted Reserves To the overage of two maintenance periods ending: Compounded onnuol rotes of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 5/21/97 8/13/97 10/22/97 11/19/97 12/17/97 1/14/98 10/22/97 -2.6 11/19/97 0.6 5.6 12/17/97 1.4 3.3 5.8 13.3 8.0 15.1 12.5 0.9 -3.5 -7.2 -7.2 -10.8 -20.5 1/14/98 2/25/98 2/25/98 3/25/98 -0.8 -2.7 -1.8 1.4 -2.7 4/22/98 -4.2 -3.9 -5.5 -9.5 -12.8 -20.1 -19.2 5/20/98 -2.8 -2.2 -3.0 -6.2 -8.3 -13.4 -9.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3/25/98 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Doily Figures 2.8- 2 .6 - 3.0 Compounded onnuol rotes of change, average of the four weeks ending May 18, 1998, from the four weeks ending: May Aug Nov Oec Jan Fe b Mo 19. 11. 17, 15. 12. 23, 23. 199 7 199 7 199 7 199 7 199 8 199 8 199 8 -4 -5 -3 -3 -4 -3 -8 . . . . . . . 1998 Mor 9 23 7 2 8 9 5 6 4 Moy 20 4 18 R Otio .165 .164 .164 .169 .152 .120 2.4- 2.8 2.4 _ 2 .2 - 2.2 2.0 ■ i ■ I ■ 1 ■ n i ■ ■l»l T'T i 1 i ' 1 « 1 1 ■ 1 2.0 1 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 II 26 8 22 6 20 3 17 I 15 29 12 26 9 23 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 Apr Moy Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Oec Jon Feb Mor Apr May Jun 1997 Ratio of Ml to the adjusted monetary base. 1998 Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollors 440- Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Compounded annuol rotes of chonge, overage of the four weeks ending Moy 25, 1 998, from the four weeks ending: Moy 26. 1997 Aug 25. 1997 Nov 24. 1997 Dec 22. 1997 Jon 26. 1998 Feb 23. 1998 Mar 23. 1998 Billions Apr 20 May 4 436.6 2! 5 19 Apr Moy 1997 Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.6 releose. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1998 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent Prime Rate Corporate Aaa Bonds 7.0- ■6.0 Commercial Paper 5.0- Municipal Bonds 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 Sep Oct Apr May Jun 1997 1998 Mor 13 20 27 Apr 3 10 17 24 May 1 8 15 22 29 Jun 5 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 5.51 5.50 5.52 5.52 5.49 5.49 5.48 5.49 5.48 5.49 5.49 5.50 5.50 5.58 5.58 5.59 5.58 5.56 5.57 5.58 5.60 5.58 5.59 5.60 5.59 5.59 1998 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances 5.51 5.50 5.50 5.49 5.48 5.48 5.48 5.47 5.49 5.48 5.48 5.48 5.50 Corporate Aoo Bonds Corporote Boo Bonds 6.70 6.66 6.69 6.67 6.64 6.67 6.73 6.78 6.72 6.74 6.69 6.61 6.58 7.30 7.27 7.30 7.30 7.28 7.31 7.35 7.40 7.34 7.35 7.27 7.21 7.18 Municipal Bonds •• 5.20 5.19 5.20 5.19 5.18 5.21 5.25 5.32 5.26 5.23 5.16 5.13 NA Current doto are from the Federol Reserve Board's H.15 releose, ond ore overoges of rotes available for the week ending on June 5. 1998 . Beginning September 2, 1997, the commercial paper rote reflects new source doto. which is currently available only back to the first of the yeor. • • Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipol bonds, Thursday data Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Averoges of Doily Figures Percent Percent - 7.0 30-Year Treasury Securities Federal Funds Rate •iscount Rote 3-Month Treasury Gill ~ 1 i 1 2 1998 Mar 13 20 27 Apr 3 10 24 1 8 15 22 29 Jun 5 * Moy i ■ i ■ i ■ ........................ ..... 16 JO 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 Federal Funds •• 5.45 5.47 5.43 5.60 5.48 5.47 5.37 5.40 5.35 5.49 5.60 5.45 5.63 19 Sep 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 Oct 23 3-Month Treasury Bill 7 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities 30-Yeor Treosury 4.97 5.02 5.05 5.00 4.95 4.97 4.94 4.91 4.97 5.01 5.08 4.95 4.88 5.09 5.08 5.12 5.09 5.03 5.11 5.12 5.17 5.15 5.18 5.17 5.15 5.13 5.57 5.54 5.62 5.58 5.52 5.59 5.65 5.72 5.63 5.67 5.63 5.57 5.55 5.62 5.57 5.63 5.61 5.55 5.61 5.67 5.75 5.68 5.70 5.64 5.57 5.55 5.93 5.89 5.92 5.89 5.86 5.90 5.95 6.02 5.96 5.98 5.92 5.79 Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release • Averages of rotes ovoiloble •• Seven-day overoges for week ending two days earlier thon dote shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averoges of Doily Figures Seosonolly Adjusted Billions of Dollars Apr 20 May 4 4125- Billions of Dollars Billions 4173.1 4165.0 4160.9 4156.5 4157.7 4156.4 M2 (left scale) 4050- -2925 3975 - Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non—M1 M2 Billions 3088.3 3088.2 3079.3 May 4 3090.0 3087.6 3084.7 3900- Apr 20 7 21 5 19 Apr May 16 30 14 28 II 25 8 22 6 20 Aug Sep Oct Jun Nov Apr Dec Moy -2850 Jun M2 is the sum of Ml, savings (including money morket deposit occounts). smoll time deposits and retoil money funds. Current data appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded onnual rates of change, overage of four weeks ending: To the overage of four weeks ending: 5/26/97 8/25/97 10/27/97 11/24/97 12/22/97 1/26/98 10/27/97 6.2 11/24/97 6.5 7.0 12/22/97 6.5 6.8 1/26/98 6.8 7.2 7.6 2/23/98 7.5 8.0 7.9 8.6 3/23/98 7.0 7.3 7.8 8.4 9.1 9.6 4/27/98 7.5 8.1 8.6 8.4 8.7 9.3 9.6 5/25/98 6.9 7.2 7.4 7.2 7.4 7.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2/23/98 3/23/98 7.2 7.4 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits 1060 Billions of Dollors Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Small Time Apr 20 27 4 11 18 25 1020- Moy Billions 960.2 958.7 957.5 957.1 956.5 955.5 1500 Sovings Deposits (right scale) 1460 980 1420 Small Time (left scole) 1380 Savings 1998 Apr 20 27 May 4 11 18 25 16 30 14 28 II 25 8 22 6 20 3 Aug Sep Oct Nov 13 29 12 26 9 23 Oec Feb Billions 1479.0 1476.1 1468.5 1474.8 1473.1 1465.7 6 20' 4 Mor 1997 Savings deposits and smoll time deposits ore at all depository institutions. 18 1340 1529 1300 1 Apr 1998 Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollors Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Large Time 1998 Apr 20 27 Moy 4 11 18 25 Retail Money Billions 612.9 604.7 61 1.0 618.9 622.0 616.1 1998 Apr 20 27 Moy 4 t800 Billions 649.1 653.4 653.3 658.1 658.0 663.6 11 18 25 —j------ - Retail Money Large Time Apr 3 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 23 8 22 6 20 Moy Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 13 29 12 26 9 23 9 23 6 20 4 Nov Dec Jon Feb Mor Apr Moy IS 29 1997 ,998 Lorge time depos.ts and retail money funds ore at all despository institutions. Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Retail money funds were originally colled generoi purpose ond broker/dealer money morket funds. Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Bonks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions Apr 29 Moy 6 Jun 3 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 3 17 Apr Moy Jun Jul Aug Sep 1 27 10 24 13 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 Oct Apr Nov May Jun 1998 1997 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment ond extended credit. Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Bonks in the United States Billions of Dollars Bonk Credit 22 29 May Billions of Dollars 3375 Billions 1998 Apr 15 225- Seasonally Adjusted 6 13 4201.9 4187.4 4206.1 4234.0 4230.6 4230.6 3275 Bank Credit (left scale)2'' 3175 4025 Loans & Leases Billions 3100.0 Apr 15 3925 Loans and Leases (right scale) 3095.4 3095.4 3116.1 3114.4 3105.9 3825 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 3 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 13 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Oct Nov 1997 Current data appeor in the Federoi Reserve Board’s H.8 releose. 1/ includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loons ond leases ond securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dec Jon 18 4 Feb 18 1 Mar 15 29 13 27 10 24 Apr Moy Jun 1998 Prepared by Federoi Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 2875 2775 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions 220- Moy 6 222.4 218.2 220.4 217.4 220.9 220.9 -220 - Apr Moy Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 210 5 29 13 27 10 24 Nov 1997 Note: Beginning September 2, 1997, the volue of commerciol pop Federal Reserve Board's H. 15 release for more information. source data. See the Commercial and Industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars All Bonks 1998 880- 860- Billions *f>f 15 May 6 869.8 870.8 872.0 874.1 877.3 878.3 Bonks (left scale)1/ Lorge Bonks (right scole)2/ Large Bonks 800- 98 Billions Apr 15 465.5 465.6 4652 467.4 472.9 473.0 j - 420 ■ 400 400 15 29 13 27 10 24 1997 1998 Current doto oppeor in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.8 releose 1/ Includes foreign-reloted institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered bonks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 11 Dollar s Trade - Weighted Exchange Index Averages or uany nyuies 1973=100 1973-100 Apr 29 99.6 105Jun 3 100- 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 Current dato oppeor in the Federol Reserve Board s H.10 release. Goto ore weighted overages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federol Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis