Full text of U.S. Financial Data : June 26, 1997
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7H#%l£$§ HIGHLIGHTS: 2 According to the advance report, new orders for manufactured durable goods fell $1.1 billion in May, or 0.6 percent. This decline, the second in the past three months, followed April ’s 1.9 percent rise. The value of durable goods orders, which is not adjusted for inflation, was up 2.9 percent from a year earlier. • ■ ■ The Conference Board’s index of consumer confidence measured 129.6 percent (1985=100) in June, up 1.7 percentage points from May and the seventh rise in the past eight months. 'P ■ According to the National Association of Realtors, sales of existing single-family homes were at an annual rate of 4.24 million units in May, up 4.4 percent from April’s rate and third-highest on record. Year-to-date, sales averaged 4.12 million units, slightly above the 1996 average of 4.09 million units. ■ Initial unemployment insurance claims totaled 332,000for the week ending June 21, down 14,000from the previous week. Measured on a four-week moving average basis, claims totaled 338,750 for the latest week, down 4.8 percentfrom a year earlier. ■ For the week ending June 20, the inflation-indexed 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yielded an average of 3.61 percent, while the nominal yield on 10-year Treasuries averaged 6.40 percent. The implied financial market inflation forecast over a 10-year horizon was thus 2.79 percent, the lowest since the Treasury began issuing indexed bonds the first week of February. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To be added to the mailing list, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at www.stls.frb.org/fred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions 471.853 468.541 473.391 475.322 477.816 473.709 Moy Jun Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Moy Jun The adjusted monetory bose is the sum of Federal Reserve deposits ond vault cosh held by domestic depository institutions, currency held by the public, and on adjustment for the effect of changes in reserve requirement rotios. The monetory base series wos recently revised to include Federol Reserve deposits used to satisfy clearing balance contracts. Data ore computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data ore preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded annual rotes of chonge, overage of two maintenance periods ending: To the overoge of two maintenance periods ending: 11/20/96 12/18/96 6/19/96 4.6 5.2 4.7 9/11/96 11/20/96 12/18/96 1/15/97 2/12/97 3/12/97 4.9 4.2 5.1 7.8 5.3 5.8 5.2 6.2 5.4 7.4 3.8 4.7 3.9 5.1 2.9 4.5 3.2 -0.6 5/21/97 4.3 4.9 5.1 2.9 3.4 6/18/97 4.8 4.6 5.0 4.4 4.9 3.1 3.6 1/15/97 2/12/97 3/12/97 5.7 4/23/97 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4/23/97 7.5 7.9 Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Moy 12 Jun 2 Billions of Dollars Billions 1060.5 1060.9 1064.6 1070.3 1060.9 1061.7 Billions 646.4 646.6 650.0 655.7 645.8 645.9 Moy 12 Ml (left scole) TCD (right scole) May Jun Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mor Apr May Jun Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbonk public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits ond trovelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits ond other checkable deposits ot depository institutions. Current doto appear in the Federol Reserve Boord's H.6 release. Money Stock (M1) To the overage of four weeks ending: 11/18/96 Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 6/17/96 9/16/96 11/1B/96 12/16/96 1/13/97 12/16/96 -7.2 -6.1 -5.6 1/13/97 -5.3 -4.3 2/17/97 -4.3 -2.8 0.9 1.4 3/17/97 -4.5 -3.4 -0.8 -1.0 4/14/97 -5.2 -4.6 -3.1 -3.7 -4.9 5/19/97 -5.1 -4.5 -3.3 -3.9 -4.7 6/16/97 -4.6 -3.8 -2.6 -2.9 -3.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2/17/97 3/17/97 4/14/97 0.0 -1.5 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Apr Billions 68.865 66.691 68.005 68.648 70.531 65.851 9 Moy 7 Jun 4 Moy Jun Aug Sep Feb Oct Mar Apr May Jun Adjusted reserves is the difference between the adjusted monetory base and the currency component of Ml. The adjusted monetory bose series was recently revised: See the footnote to the monetory bose chort for o description of the change. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rotes of chonge, overage of two maintenance periods ending: To the overage of two maintenance periods ending: 6/19/96 9/11/96 11/20/96 12/18/96 11/20/96 -12.3 12/18/96 -7.8 -6.9 1/15/97 -8.4 -8.2 2/12/97 3/12/97 -6.0 -4.5 6.8 -8.3 -8.1 -2.5 4/23/97 5/21/97 -10.6 -8.9 -11.2 -14.5 -9.0 -8.8 -6.0 6/18/97 -8.5 -8.4 -5.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1/15/97 2/12/97 3/12/97 4/23/97 3.3 -0.1 -9.5 -8.0 -10.3 -15.0 -9.8 -24.4 -15.6 -11.2 -9.1 -8.5 -12.9 -8.8 4.0 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Rotio Ratio Compounded annual rates of change, overage of the four weeks ending June 16, 1997, from _ the four weeks ending: Jun 17. 1996 -9.0 Sep 9, 1996 -8.1 Dec 16. 1996 -7.0 Jan 13. ------* -Feb ' “ -8. 1 Ma r -8.2 Ap r 1 997 2.232 2.234 16 30 14 28 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jon Feb 1996 Ratio of Ml to the odjusted monetary base. Mar Apr Moy Jun 1997 Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars seasonally Adjusted 415-1------------ ?------------- t~~---------- i-------------- 405- Billions of Dollars Compounded annual rob of change, overoge of the four weeks ending June 16, 1997, from the four weeks ending: Jun 1 7. 1 996 1 Sep 16 1996 Jan 13 1997 Dun i J , Feb 17. 1997 Mar 17 1997 Apr 1 4 | 1997 Billions 405.9 406.0 406.4 406.5 407.0 407.7 Moy 12 Jun 2 6 30 14 28' Aug Sep Oct 1996 Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Apr 1997 Moy Jun Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent Prime Rote Corporate Aoo Bonds Municipal Bonds Commercial Paper 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 May Jun 4 18 IS 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Corporate Baa Bonds 8.33 8.36 8.34 8.35 8.26 8.18 8.17 8.22 8.25 8.13 8.06 7.94 7.94 Municipal Bonds •• 5.88 5.88 5.87 5.87 5.77 5.71 5.67 5.66 5.67 5.60 5.52 5.48 NA 1996 1997 11 18 25 Moy 2 9 16 23 30 Jun 6 13 20 27 30-Day Commercial Poper 5.67 5.62 5.60 5.59 5.60 5.60 5.61 5.62 5.60 5.61 5.59 5.60 5.60 90-Day CDs 5.70 5.70 5.72 5.71 5.73 5.71 5.70 5.71 5.69 5.68 5.68 5.65 5.65 90-Day Bonkers' Acceptances 5.60 5.62 5.62 5.63 5.61 5.65 5.63 5.63 5.59 5.61 5.60 5.58 5.58 Corporate Aoo Bonds 7.71 7.74 7.73 7.75 7.64 7.56 7.55 7.60 7.64 7.51 7.44 7.33 7.33 Current data ore from the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release, and ore overoges of rotes available for the week ending on June 27, 1997 •• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursdoy dota N A - Not Available Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TT Selected Interest Rates Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent 30-Year Treasury Securities Federal Funds Rote Discount Rate 3-Month Treasury Bill 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 1997 Apr 4 11 18 25 Moy 2 9 16 23 30 Jun 6 13 20 27 * Federal Funds •• 5.86 5.37 5.48 5.48 5.61 5.55 5.49 5.52 5.43 5.54 5.48 5.62 5.42 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities 30-Year Treasury Securities 5.17 5.14 5.16 5.19 5.15 5.06 5.05 5.10 4.94 4.91 4.88 4.91 5.00 5.65 5.65 5.64 5.66 5.60 5.57 5.53 5.51 5.53 5.44 5.40 5.34 5.36 6.75 6.78 6.78 6.79 6.62 6.57 6.54 6.58 6.60 6.48 6.40 6.29 6.32 6.90 6.92 6.89 6.89 6.76 6.70 6.68 6.73 6.75 6.61 6.52 6.40 6.42 7.10 7.12 7.10 7.10 6.98 6.91 6.90 6.96 6.99 6.86 6.80 6.69 6.71 Current data appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.15 release. • Averages of rotes available •• Seven-doy averages for week ending two days earlier thon dote shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars May 12 Billions 3892.5 3900.5 3910.0 3909.4 3910.0 3911.1 Billions of Dollars •2850 M2 (left scole) ■2700 Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-Mi M2 Billions May 12 2832.0 2839.6 2845.4 Jun 2 2839.1 2849.1 2849.4 6 20 3 17 I May Jun 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Apr Moy Jun Feb Mor Aug Sep Oct M2 is the sum of Ml, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits ond retail money funds. Current data appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of chonge, overoge of four weeks ending: To the overoge of four weeks ending: 6/17/96 9/16/96 11/18/96 12/16/96 1/13/97 11/18/96 4.3 12/16/96 4.7 5.4 1/13/97 4.9 5.5 6.4 2/17/97 5.1 5.7 6.4 6.1 3/17/97 4.9 5.4 5.7 5.3 5.1 4/14/97 5.1 5.9 5.6 5.5 5/19/97 4.7 5.5 5.0 5.1 4.7 4.5 6/16/97 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2/17/97 3/17/97 4/14/97 4.4 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Doily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Small Time May 12 1375 Billions 949.8 951.4 952.8 954.2 955.0 1335 1295 Small Time (left scale) 1255 Savings Billions May 12 1317.0 1320.4 1323.2 1317.2 1321.8 Savings Deposits (right scale) 3 17 I 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 Aug Sep Oct 1175 18 Feb Mor Apr May Jun Sovings deposits and smoll time deposits are ot oil depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Large Time May 12 Retoil Money 1997 Billions Moy 12 565.2 568.6 570.8 Jun 2 569.1 573.1 570.9 523.1 519.6 518.4 525.2 528.8 600 Retail Money May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jon Feb Mor Apr May Jun 1996 1997 Large time deposits and retail money funds ore ot oil despository institutions. Lorge time deposits ore those issued in denominations of Si00,000 or more. Retail money funds were originally called general purpose ond broker/dealer money morket funds. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars May 21 i.o- Jun 4 Billions of Dollars Billions 0.208 0.227 0.445 0.214 0.230 0.364 1 13 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 23 9 23 Apr Moy Jun Nov Oec Aug Sep Oct Moy Jun Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit. Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Bonks in the United States1^ Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Bank Credit Billions 3907.2 Moy 7 3909.9 3911.5 3918.3 3915.7 Jun 4 3929.3 Billions of Dollars Bonk Credit (left scale) 2/ Loons Sc Leases 1997 2886.5 May 7 2891.1 2899.3 2905.5 2906.0 Jun 4 2913.3 Loans and Leases (right scale) May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1996 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loons ond leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Feb May Mar Jun 1997 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Moy 14 220- Jun 4 Billions of Dollars Billions 192.808 193.031 192.126 195.237 193.928 202.881 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 Feb Mor Apr Moy Jun Commercial and Industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Billions of Dollors All Bonks Moy 805- 7 Bonks (left scale)1/ 810.1 814.6 815.6 Lorge Banks (right scole)2/ 815.6 819.2 Lorge Bonks May 7 Jun 4 405.1 407.0 407.7 409.3 1996 Current dato appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-reloted institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 ^ Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index Averages of Daily Figures Jun 1973=100 105 4 100 100- 95 90 85 1 15 29 12 26 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 releose. Dolo ore weighted averoges of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis