Full text of U.S. Financial Data : June 1, 1995
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Nil iimiui A KI M . KM . XltVNKot (Or SLUMS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ According to the preliminary estimate, real gross domestic product (GDP) rose at a 2.7 percent annual rate in the first quarter of 1995, 0.1 percentage points below last month’s advance estimate. An upward revision in real consumer spending was more than offset by a downward revision in inventory accumulation. ✓ Real disposable personal income fell at an 11.9 percent rate in April, after rising at a 4.4 percent rate over the first three months of1995. Real personal consumption expenditures fell at a 1.2 percent rate in April, following a 2 percent rate of increase over the previous three months. ✓ Total new factory orders fell 1.9 percent in April, the largest decline since July 1994. New orders have declinedfor three consecutive months, but are still up 6.8 percent from a year earlier. Factory orders are not adjusted for inflation. ✓ New single-family home sales in April were at an annual rate of 580,000 units, 2.7percent below the March rate of596,000 units and 13.7 percent below a year earlier. ✓ According to the Conference Board, consumer confidence dropped 3 percentage points in May to 101.6 percent (1985-100), the first decrease since February. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages or Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions Mar 15 29 _ Apr 12 26 May 10 24 6 20 4 Apr Billions of Dollars 18 May 462.9 463.8 464.4 466.8 467.3 469.3 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 Jun 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1994 1995 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: May 24, 1995 The adjusted .monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions! and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary Base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 5/25/94 8/17/94 10/26/94 11/23/94 12/21/94 1/18/95 3/1/95 3/29/95 two maintenance periods ending: 10/26/94 11/23/94 12/21/94 1/18/95 3/1/95 3/29/95 4/26/95 5/24/95 6.7 6.4 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.7 5.1 5.6 6.2 5.9 5.9 6.1 3.9 5.3 6.3 5.8 5.9 6.2 5.4 6.7 6.0 6.1 6.4 8.3 6.9 6.8 7.0 6.5 6.5 6.8 5.0 5.9 7.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1190 I Billions of Dollars I 1 M1 1995 Billions Apr 17 24 1 8 15 22 Mav 1170 945 1 TCD 1995 Billions 1150.0 1149.6 1149.4 11 W.7 11 W.3 11 U.2 Apr 17 24 1 8 15 22 Mm/ 775.6 773.7 779. R 767 .3 765 .8 765 .5 925 Ml (left s< ale) A 1150 s✓ / s \ T \ 1130 '• * .. 795 • / _____ '\ s > TCD ( right s :ale) 905 v_ 'N'\ 4 \ 1110 1090 795 4 11 Apr ! 16 JO IJ 27 May Jun II 25 Jul I 22 5 Aug 1994 19 Sep 3 17 31 14 21 12 2t Oct Nov 9 Dec 23 6 Jan 20 Feb t 20 3 Mar 17 Apr 1995 I 15 29 12 2f May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 22, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 5/23/94 8/22/94 10/24/94 11/21/94 12/19/94 1/23/95 2/20/95 3/20/95 ending: 10/24/94 11/21/94 12/19/94 1/23/95 2/20/95 3/20/95 4/24/95 5/22/95 1.2 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -1.7 -0.7 -0.6 -0.7 -0.6 -0.4 -0.8 0.1 0.0 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 -0.6 1.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 -0.3 -0.8 -0.4 -0.1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.1 -1.1 0.6 -0.9 -1.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 745 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 114 1995 Billions Mar 15 29 Apr 12 26 May 10 24 102.2 100.0 100.2 100.9 100.1 100.9 106 102 98 94 90 6 20 Apr 4 18 1 May IS 29 Jun 13 27 10 24 7 Jul Sep Aug 1994 21 5 19 2 Oct 16 30 14 28 II 25 8 Nov Dec Jan 22 Feb 8 22 5 19 Mar Apr 1995 3 17 31 14 21 May Jun Latest data plotted two weeks ending: May 24. 1995 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 5/25/94 8/17/94 10/26/94 11/23/94 12/21/94 1/18/95 3/1/95 3/29/95 periods ending: 10/26/94 11/23/94 12/21/94 1/18/95 3/1/95 3/29/95 4/26/95 5/24/95 -0.7 -3.1 -4.2 -2.1 -0.1 -2.6 -2.9 -2.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -4.9 -6.3 -2.7 0.2 -3.3 -3.6 -3.4 -13.1 -4.5 0.6 -4.5 -4.8 -4.3 1.3 5.6 -2.0 -2.8 -2.5 13.0 0.7 -0.9 -0.9 -4.5 -5.0 -4.2 -15.8 -11.2 -3.8 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Money Multiplier1/ Ratio Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending May 22, 1995 from the four weeks ending: May 23, 1994 -5.8 Ratio Mar 13 Apr 10 May 8 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: May 22. 1995 2.479 2.481 2.471 2.463 2.454 2.436 May Jun 1995 Currency Component of Ml2/ Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending May 22, 1995 from the four weeks ending: May 23. 1994 9.2 Aug 22, 1994 9.1 Nov 21. 1994 9. 1 Dec 19. 1994 9.4 Jan 23, 1995 9.7 Feb 20, 1995 10.3 Mar 20, 1995 11.7 1995 Billions Apr 17 365.3 May 367.4 1 368.3 368.6 4 11 Apr 2 II 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 May Jun Jul Aug 1994 5 19 3 Sep 17 31 14 28 12 26 Oct Nov Dec 9 23 Jan 6 20 Feb fi 20 3 17 Mar Apr 1995 15 29 12 26 May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 22, 1995 1/ Ratio of M1 to adj'usted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Loan Rate I 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 11 25 Nov 9 23 Dec 6 20 3 17 3 17 31 14 28 Jan Feb Mar Apr 1995 12 26 May 9 23 Jun Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: June 2, 1995 1995 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Mar 10 17 24 31 Apr 7 14 21 28 May 5 12 19 26 Jun 2 * 6.08 6.07 6.05 6.08 6.08 6.08 6.05 6.05 6.07 6.03 6.06 6.05 6.06 6.20 6.14 6.12 6.15 6.15 6.12 6.10 6.09 6.07 6.01 6.03 6.00 5.97 6.08 6.03 6.02 6.05 6.03 6.00 5.99 5.99 5.96 5.91 5.91 5.89 5.87 Corporate Aaa Bonds 8.22 8.04 8.10 8.08 8.05 8.04 8.02 8.00 7.89 7.69 7.60 7.51 7.38 Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 8.81 8.62 8.69 8.65 8.62 8.62 8.60 8.57 8.45 8.25 8.15 8.07 7.95 6.18 6.06 6.09 6.07 6.03 6.01 5.96 6.06 6.10 5.96 5.92 5.83 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent 9.0 9.0 5-Yea 8.0 _ * ■^— N. 7.0 A t \ \ s * V- N * \* 7.0 w\ t /N Fe< leral Fund e Rate_ 0.0 // ' / A A / - /r 6.0 -------- - h 3-1 tenth Treas ury Bill \ 5.0 J r 4.0 i Oil icount 1 ate 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1994 Apr May Jun 1995 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: June 2, 1995 1995 Mar 10 17 24 31 Apr 7 14 21 28 May 5 12 19 26 Jun 2 * Federal Funds ** 5.93 5.94 5.97 6.06 6.20 5.98 6.07 5.99 6.05 6.00 6.02 5.99 6.02 3—Month Treasury Bill 1-Year Treasury Bill 5.76 5.75 5.72 5.69 5.70 5.63 5.61 5.67 5.65 5.64 5.69 5.69 5.64 6.14 6.00 5.97 5.98 5.99 5.90 5.80 5.85 5.79 5.65 5.64 5.59 5.48 5—Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Long-Term Treasury 7.18 7.35 7.61 6.95 7.11 7.40 7.01 7.16 7.47 7.01 7.15 7.45 6.96 7.12 7.41 6.89 7.08 7.38 6.78 7.03 7.36 6.81 7.03 7.33 6.70 6.93 7.21 6.41 6.66 6.96 6.40 6.59 6.89 6.28 6.49 6.81 6.08 6.30 6.66 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ’ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 2545 M2 1995 Billions Apr 17 24 1 8 15 22 _ May 3635.9 3647.1 3651.3. 3649.1 3652.5 3660.1 2520 M2 (left scale) 2495 / *\ 2470 Non-M1 M2 1995 Billions Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Apr 17 24 1 8 15 22 May 2485.9 2497.5 2501.9 2505.4 2509.2 2516.9 2445 2420 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 Apr May Jun 25 8 22 Jul Aug 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Sep Oct Nov Dec 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 Jan Feb Mar Apr 1994 15 29 12 26 May Jun 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: May 22. 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) T .. Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 10 tne average 5/23/94 8/22/94 10/24/9411/21/9412/19/94 1/23/95 2/20/95 3/20/95 of four weeks ending: 10/24/94 11/21/94 12/19/94 1 /23/95 2/20/95 3/20/95 4/24/95 5/22/95 0.2 -0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -1.0 -0.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.4 0.8 1.6 1.1 1.0 1.6 2.0 3.0 1.9 1.6 2.1 2.6 1.3 1.1 1.9 2.5 0.0 1.5 2.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages ot Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1995 Billions Apr 17 24 1 8 15 22 May Small Time 1995 Billions 1084.4" 1082.5 1078.6 1080.6 1079.9 1080.9 Apr 17 24 1 8 15 22 May 896.6 900.0 902.8 906.3 909.5 — 911.5 Savings Deposits(left scale) Small Time (right scale) 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 5 IS 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Sep Oct Nov Dec S 23 Jan 8 20 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1994 1995 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1/ All Depository Institutions Billions of Dollars 470 Billions of Dollars ---------I-----------1---------Large Time 1995 Billions Apr 17 24 1 8 15 22 445 May 420 i \— Money Market 1925 j3i)ljons 379.6 382.7 384.3 383.6 386.1 385.6 May 24 1 8 15 22 396.7 396.8 400.1 401.4 407.3 445 — 420 M oney M arket 395 470 395 — >- • , ^ ** ^ 370 mm m 370 t Large Time 345 320 18 Apr 16 30 13 27 11 25 May Jun Jul 8 22 Aug 994 5 1) 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Sep Oct Nov Dec 9 23 Jan 6 20 6 20 3 17 Feb Mar Apr 1995 345 hi i"i r i i 320 15 29 12 2 May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 22, 1995 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds ore general purpose and broker/dealer. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 Prepar<!d by Federa| Re3ervt! Bank of st ^ 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 6 1225 Billions Apr 26 May 3 0.153 0.156 0.139 0.139 0.149 0.164 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 7 21 Sep 5 Billions of Dollars 1! 2 1i 30 14 28 11 25 I 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1994 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $19 million in the week ending January 25, 1995, $1 million in the week ending July 20, 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown. Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3475 ------- 1---------- — i/ Billions of Dollars 2550 Bank Credit 1995 & lions 3425 “ 3375 Apr 12 19 26 May 3 3'M 4.9 3^1-28.0 341-35.7 3<1-37.4 2500 f r 2450 s" 17 341-40.1 kCred it (left 3325 scale) ^ / A * ' ✓ 2400 f j" 3275 2350 Loan s&Lea ses 199 5 Billi jns . / 3225 / * 3175 Apr 12 19 26 Mav 3 O 7 ✓' L sans a id Leas es (rig it seal 0 2463.1 2472.5 2482.9 2488.0 2500.7 2493.7 20 4 18 I 15 2) 13 27 10 24 7 21 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Oct Nov Dec Jan 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : May 17, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.B release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 22 8 22 Feb Mar 5 2250 I 3125 6 2300 19 3 17 31 14 21 Apr May Jun 1995 _ .. _ . , . Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2200 r Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions May 3 i M 1 Apr IS 1 May IS I! 13 27 10 21 Jun Jul Aug 1994 1 21 S Sep 19 2 If 30 If 21 11 25 Oct Nov Dec Jan B 22 8 22 5 Feb 19 3 Mar Apr 1995 II 31 H 2! May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 24, 1995 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars 705 085 1995 Billions 370 Aor 12 19 26 3 10 17 680.7 680.9 685.5 688.0 690.3 689.5 350 s _ 005 Billions of Dollars 1 1 All Banks o ____ // » 1 605 330 v arge Banks (r ight sc 310 __ / ■ Lar ge Bariks__ 199 5 BIliL2Q5 625 Apr 2 9 >6 May 3 10 17 All Banks (left scale) 605 I 505 20 Apr 4 18 May 15 29 13 27 10 24 Jun Jul Aug 994 7 21 Sep 5 19 Oct IS 30 14 28 11 25 Nov Dec Jan Latest Wednesday data plotted : May 17, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 8 22 Feb 33 3.4 337.2 339.3 339.0 340.6 340.8 I 8 22 5 19 3 17 3 14 2 Mar Apr May Jun 1995 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 270 250 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973-100 Averages of Dally Figures 1995 1973=100 Apr 26 May 3 6 20 9 Apr 18 May 1 15 29 13 27 10 29 7 21 5 19 2 Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct If 30 19 21 11 25 Nov Dec Jan 22 8 22 5 Feb 19 3 17 31 19 21 Mar Apr 1995 May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: May 31. 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis c m H PC m i—i a > PC in o-i rsj