Full text of U.S. Financial Data : July 29, 1983
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U. S'. Financial Data ^stferal Reserve Bank of St. Louis July 29,1983 itbtory----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AUG 1 1983 The income velocity of money-gross national product (GNP) divided by the money stock (Ml)—usually accelerates in periods of economic recovery. For example, in the first two quarters of the four previous periods of economic expansion, the growth of velocity ranged from a 3.3 to a 9.9 percent annual rate. In contrast, during the current economic recovery, velocity has decreased at a 2.6 percent rate. The recent movement in velocity, however, represents a substantial increase from its growth during the recession that ended last year, when velocity declined 5.5 percent. In the first quarter of the recovery, velocity continued to fall. However, in the quarter just ended, velocity showed a slight increase. The slower expansion of velocity in the first two quarters of the current recovery partly reflects the sharper growth in the money stock compared to previous recoveries. Over the last two quarters, Ml has grown at about a 14 percent rate. This is double the rate experienced in previous recoveries. Since it takes some time for total spending to fully adjust to a monetary impulse, the expansion of income has not kept pace with the rapid growth of money, and velocity, as a result, has been held down. —Norman N. Bowsher Velocity and Money (Ml) Growth First Two Quarters of Recovery!/ Period 1/1961 IV/1970 1/1975 III/1980 - III/1961 11/1971 III/1975 1/1981 IV/1982 -11/1983 Velocity 5.1% 3.3 6.4 9.9 -2.6 1/ Compounded annual rates of seasonally adjusted data. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ml 2.8% 8.6 6.9 7.4 13.8 2 ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 198 fllLLLflfeB JUN. 22 196 195.0 194 194.8 195.0 195.4 194.9 192 190 188 186 184 182 180 2 18 SO 14 28 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 OCT NOV I 19 29 12 26 JAN 8 23 9 23 FEB 6 20 4 APR MAY 18 I IS 29 13 27 10 24 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt JULY 27, 1983 THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE CONSISTS OF: ( I ) RESERVE ACCOUNTS OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AT FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS. <2) CURRENCY IN CIRCULATION (CURRENCY HELD BY THE PUBLIC AND IN THE VAULTS OF ALL DEP0SIT6RY INSTITUTIONS), AND <3 ) AN ADJUSTMENT FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIO CHANGES. THE MAJOR SOURCE OF THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE IS FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT. DATA ARE COMPUTED BY THIS BANK. A DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE IS AVAIL ABLE FROM THIS BANK. ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 7/28/82 10/27/82 12/29/82 1/26/83 3/2/83 3/30/83 4/27/83 5/25/83 8.9 10.3 8. 1 1 1.4 8.2 7.4 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 12/29/82 1/26/83 3/ 2/83 3/30/83 4/27/83 5/25/83 6/29/83 7/27/83 7.7 8.0 9.7 10.3 10.0 10.0 10.3 9.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8.7 1 1.4 12.0 11.3 1 1.2 11.4 10.3 14.7 14.7 13.0 12.4 12.5 10.9 17.0 14. 1 13. 1 13.0 11.1 11.2 10.8 1 1.3 9.3 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS ADJUSTED RESERVES AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 19S1 JUN. 15 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS B1LLLQM& 54.3 54.0 2 16 50 14 28 II 25 JUL 0 22 AUG 6 20 5 17 OCT NOV 1 IS 29 12 26 JAN 9 25 9 25 FEB 6 20 APR 4 10 MAY I 15 29 15 27 10 24 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JULY 20, 1983 ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE (RESERVE ACCOUNTS OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AT FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS PLUS CURRENCY IN CIRCULATION) LESS CURRENCY HELD BY THE NONBANK PUBLIC. ADJUSTED RESERVES COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGt 7/21/82 10/20/82 12/22/82 1/19/83 2/23/83 3/23/83 4/20/83 3/18/83 27.6 20.2 13.8 16.5 13.4 18.8 10.4 14.8 1 1.3 0.0 9.3 6.5 1 1.3 6.9 12.6 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 12/22/82 1/19/83 2/23/83 3/23/83 4/20/83 5/18/83 6/22/83 7/20/83 7.9 7.9 10. 1 12.7 11.8 10.2 11.7 10.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10.9 14.0 17.5 15.4 12.5 14.4 12.5 15.8 21.2 17.2 12.7 15. 1 12.6 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 3 4 MONEY STOCK (Ml ) AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS JUN. 15 =r JUL BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 525 B.11L IMS. 520 511.2 511.4 508.2 515 510 514.7 516. 1 505 470 Er - 465 460 455 450 445 — 2 16 30 14 28 JUL II 25 3 22 AUG 6 20 3 OCT NOV 17 I 15 29 12 26 JAN 9 23 9 23 FEB 6 20 4 APR MAY 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING-. JULY 20, 1983 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE. Ml CONSISTS OF CURRENCY HELD BY THE NONBANK PUBLIC PLUS COWCRCIAL BAW< DEMAND DEPOSITS HELD BY THE NONBANK PUBLIC (EXCLUDING THOSE HELD BY FOREIGN BANKS AND OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS) AND OTHER CHECKABLE DEPOSITS OF ALL DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS PLUS TRAVELERS’ CHECKS. MONEY STOCK (Ml ) COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 7/21/82 10/20/82 12/22/82 1/19/83 2/23/83 3/23/83 4/20/83 5/18/83 9. 1 1 1 .7 13.9 12.1 8.7 12.6 10.7 18.4 14.0 12.6 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING: 12/22/82 1/19/85 2/23/83 3/23/83 4/20/83 5/18/83 6/22/83 7/20/83 13.5 12.4 14.2 14.6 13. 1 13.5 14. 1 13.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12.3 15.4 15.9 13.4 13.9 14.7 13.6 15.7 16.4 12.5 13.4 14.5 13. 1 21.3 14.6 15.2 16. 1 14.3 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS MONEY MULTIPLIER^ CURRENCY COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK v AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED RATIO RATIO BAT ,1.Q Ml MULTIPLIER I I II LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt JULY 20, 1983 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 144 ------------ 1--------- ,----- ILL IONS OF DOLLARS —I--------- ------------ 144 COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES ---- OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING “ JULY 20. 1983 FROM ---- THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING: . - MAY 18, APR. 20, — MAR. 23, - FEB. 23, JAN. 19, — OCT. 20, _ JUL. 21 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1982 1962 7.7 9.6 9.2 10.2 10.7 10.0 CURRENCY 1331 JUN. 2 l« SO 14 28 II JUL 25 8 22 AUG 0 20 9 IT OCT NOV I 19 29 12 28 JAN 9 29 9 23 FEB BILLIONS 15 40.2 ■Ll-Llll 11 I I I I I 8 20 4 APR MAY 18 1 19 29 19 27 10 24 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt JULY 20, 1983 1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK (Ml ) TO ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE 2/ CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 5 6 YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY PERCENT PERCENT 17.0 CORPORATE Aaa BONDS PRIME BANK LOAN RATE 90 DAY 4 16 2 16 30 IS 27 AUG !0 24 8 22 3 IS 5 17 61 14 26 11 23 II 25 JAN SEP FEB 6 22 MAR 6 20 3 17 MAY JUN I 13 12 26 LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: JULY 29, 1983 1983 JUNE 3 10 17 24 JULY l 8 15 22 29 * AUG. 5 12 19 26 90 OAY CD’S 30-DAY COMMERCIAL PAPER 90-DAY BANKERS' ACCEPTANCES CORPORATE Aaa BONDS CORPORATE Baa BONDS MUNICIPAL BONDS XX 8,96 9 19 9 11 9.33 9.28 9.47 9.51 9.53 9.54 8.68 8.90 8.88 9 15 9.14 9. 13 9.15 9. 18 9. 16 8.83 9. 14 8.99 9.23 9. 15 9.33 9.44 9.44 9.43 11.76 11.77 11.66 1 1.71 11 .85 12.02 12.13 12. 17 12.24 13.40 13.41 13.31 13.34 13.39 13.42 13.41 13.36 13.36 9.78 9.69 9.38 9.38 9.36 9.55 9.54 9.44 N.A. WK BOND^UYER‘ S*AVERAGE*'iNDEX' OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONDS, THURSDAY DATA. N.A. - NOT AVAILABLE http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS SELECTED INTEREST RATES AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY PERCENT 16.0 14.0 14.0 5-Y TREASURY S FEDERAL N FUNDS RATE 3-MONTH TREASURY BILL 4 18 2 IS 50 13 27 10 24 AUG 8 22 9 18 SEP 1982 3 17 91 14 28 11 29 11 JAN FEB 29 8 22 MAR 8 20 MAY 1983 3 17 I 19 28 12 26 JUN LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDINGt JULY 29. 1983 1983 JUNE 3 10 17 24 JULY I 8 15 22 29 * AUG. 5 12 19 26 FEDERAL FUNDS KX 3-MONTH TREASURY BILL 6-MONTH TREASURY BILL*** 1-YEAR TREASURY BILL 5-YEAR TREASURY SECURITIES LONG-TERM TREASURY SECURITIES 8.77 8.84 8.84 9. 14 8.90 9.39 9.21 9.43 9.46 8.57 8.76 8.70 8.97 8.88 9.07 9. 10 9. 10 9.08 8.67 8.79 8.83 9.02 9. 14 9.20 9.26 9.37 9.31 8.68 8.85 8.77 9.02 8.98 9.27 9.39 9.33 9.37 10.51 10.61 10.49 10.71 10.80 1 1 .07 11.22 11.22 11.30 10.94 10.98 10.84 10.95 11.09 11.34 11.46 11.41 11.52 « AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE. a* SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES FOR WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS EARLIER THAN DATE SHOWN. CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE. BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.I5 RELEASE. JBWt NEW I SSUE RATE RATES ON LONG-TERM TREASURY SECURITIES ARE COMPUTED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS. TREASURY BILL YIELDS ON DISCOUNT BASIS. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BAM< OF ST. LOUIS 7 8 TOTAL CHECKABLE DEPOSITS^ AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS JUN. 15 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 375 370 366.3 366.4 363.0 368.9 369.8 370.6 365 360 355 350 345 340 335 330 325 JUL AUG OCT NOV JAN APR FEB MAY LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JULY 20, IMS 1/ DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS OTHER CHECKABLE DEPOSITS AT ALL DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS TOTAL CHECKABLE DEPOSITS COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING* 7/21/82 10/20/82 12/22/82 1/19/83 2/23/83 3/23/83 4/20/83 5/18/83 7.7 1 1.2 14.5 12.7 7.5 13.2 11.3 21.0 16.0 14.8 TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING*. 12/22/82 1/18/83 2/23/83 3/23/83 4/20/83 5/18/83 6/22/83 7/20/83 16.5 14.5 16.7 16.9 14.8 15.1 15,9 15.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 14.2 18. 1 18.2 14.8 15.3 16.3 15.2 17.0 17.6 12.5 13.7 15.4 14.0 24.2 15.3 16. 1 17.6 15.6 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS!/ ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS fllLLLQMS 689. I 691 .0 691.2 691.5 692.2 692,2 2 16 50 14 28 11 JUL 25 8 22 AUG 6 20 5 17 OCT NOV I 15 20 12 26 JAN 0 23 0 25 FEB 6 20 4 18 APR MAY I IS 20 19 27 10 24 1982 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING' JULY 20, 1983 1/ SAVINGS DEPOSITS PLUS SMALL TIME DEPOSITS PLUS LARGE TIME DEPOSITS MMDAs, MMMFs and SUPER NOWs (billions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted) MMDAs 1/ June July 15 15 22 29 6 13 20 $367.9 367.9 367.6 367.1 368.2 368.5 368.4 MMMFs 2/ $179.7 179.7 178.0 176.5 176.6 177.0 177.0 SUPER NOWs 3/ $32.0 32.0 31.7 31.4 33.1 33.1 32.9 2/ Total mutual fund at balances. V, To+f^ money marketmarket deposit accounts all depository institutions, effective 12/14/8; - HnH eUnZ1? Ill dep0Sii0ry institutions, requiring a $2,500 minimum balance and eligible to earn more than 5.25 percent, effective 1/5/83. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 9 10 SMALL TIME DEPOSITS!/ COMMERCIAL BANK SAVINGS DEPOSITS AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 460 450 =- iaaa BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 460 £ billj. 2NS. % 440 E 430 420 E 1 45 e 410 400 390 = E = V 380 370 360 350 340 330 320 310 I SMALL TIME 5EP0S 1 \ E E \ = S»- £ £ i 320 310 E 300 0 390 380 rz 370 £ 360 E 350 E 340 E 330 - v jjj 420 ILLLX XLL JJ_L 1111 111 111 XI 1 1 XI 1 XLL 1II1 111 XLL 1 1 1 1 LLLL w 300 0 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK EWJJNGt JULY 20, 1983 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS E_ im BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 190 BILLIONS 185 180 = JUL SAVINGS DEPOSITS 175 170 165 160 155 150 145 140 135 2 16 30 14 26 J! 23 $ 22 6 20 9 17 OCT NOV 19 29 12 20 JAN 9 29 FEB 9 29 0 20 4 APR MAY 10 1 13 29 19 10 24 1982 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt JULY 20, 1983 1/ COMMERCIAL BANK TIME DEPOSITS ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF LESS THAN 9100.000. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BAM OF ST. LOUIS 0 BORROWINGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES BILLIONS OF DOLLARS billions of dollars 4.5 Mi MILLIONS. JUN. 22 1715 2102 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 2 18 30 14 28 II JUL 25 8 22 AUG 6 20 3 17 OCT NOV I IS 29 12 28 9 23 9 23 8 20 4 APR MAY 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. JULY 27. 1983 BUSINESS LOANS ( COMMERCIAL AND 1/ INDUSTRIAL ) WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS 2/ SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 232 _ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES _ OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF __THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING _ JULY 20. 1983 FROM ' _ THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING; “MAY “APR. “ MAR. “ FEB. - JAN. - OCT. - JUL. 18, 20, 23, 23, 19, 20, 21, 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1982 1982 -4.2 -0.4 208 MILLIONS 204 JUN. 15 215,707 JUL. 6 200 216,124 2 16 30 14 28 JUL II 25 8 22 AUG 8 20 3 17 OCT NOV 1 13 29 12 28 JAN 9 23 9 23 6 20 J 1 1 1 I I I I I I I LLL 4 18 1 15 13 27 10 24 FEB 1982 LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. JULY 20, 1983 1/ BUSINESS LOANS INCLUDE BANKERS' ACCEPTANCES AND COMMERCIAL PAPER. 2/ BANKS WITH DOMESTIC ASSETS OF #750 MILLION OR MORE http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 11 12 LARGE TIME DEPOSITS ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 285 280 275 227.4 270 255 250 245 240 235 230 225 JUL AUG OCT APR NOV MAY LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. JULY 20, 1083 CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE. TIME DEPOSITS ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF 4100,000 OR MORE. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS