Full text of U.S. Financial Data : July 22, 1993
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July 22, 1993 OUL 2 0 foj Federal H I U K VI KIM KM ItWkof SI. MM IS U.S. Financial Data THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: The federal budget showed an $11.1 billion surplus in June, compared with $3.8 billion in June 1992. For the first nine months offiscal 1993, the federal budget deficit totaled $200.6 billion, down from $227.8 billion for the first nine months offiscal 1992. Privately owned housing starts stood at an annual rate of 1,254,000 units in June, unchanged from the revised May figure. For the first six months of 1993, housing starts were up 1.1 percent compared with the same period in 1992. >/ Industrial production declined at an annual rate of 2.2 percent in June after falling at a 1.1 percent rate in May. Production had increased at a 6.9percent rate during the previous seven months. s/ Manufacturing and trade inventories rose at an annual rate of 2.5 percent in May and were up 3.4 percent from May 1992. Manufacturing and trade sales increased at a 4.1 percent rate in May, up 6.4 percent from a year earlier. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions May 12 26 Jun 9 23 Jul 7 21 399.1 403.7 404.5 404.4 406.2 410.4 6 20 3 I7 1 15 29 12 26 J 23 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 Billions of Dollars 7 21 ♦ 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 H 28 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: July 21, 1993 The adjusted monetary base i3 the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions] and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base T ,, , Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: lo tne average ot 7/22/92 10/14/92 12/23/92 1/20/93 2/17/93 3/17/93 4/14/93 5/26/93 two maintenance periods ending: 12/23/92 1 /20/93 2/17/93 3/17/93 4/14/93 5/26/93 6/23/93 7/21/93 12.6 12.3 13.8 11.5 10.8 11.5 11.4 11.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9.1 12.4 9.1 8.5 9.9 9.9 10.2 17.2 9.4 8.4 10.4 10.4 10.8 9.0 7.8 10.5 10.5 10.9 0.3 6.8 7.6 8.5 11.6 11.3 11.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ; Money Stock (M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Billions of Dollars 1993 Averages ot Daily Ngures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions -Jun 7 1072.6 Jul 21 1075.3 28 1076.5 5 1077.7 .f \J TCD (right scale) 1993 Jun M1 (left scale) I II May I 15 I! 13 17 ID 11 7 II 5 II 2 If 3D H 1! Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 Oct Nov Dec II 25 8 22 8 22 5 19 3 Jan Feb Mar Billions 7 14 21 28 759.1 756.2 759.5 — 759.6 17 31 If 18 12 28 Apr May 1993 Jun Jul Latest data plotted week ending: July 12, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 7/13/92 10/12/92 12/14/92 1/11/93 2/15/93 3/15/93 4/12/93 5/10/93 of four weeks ending: 12/14/92 1/11/93 2/15/93 3/15/93 4/12/93 5/10/93 6/14/93 7/12/93 17.4 15.9 13.8 12.4 11.9 12.0 13.1 12.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13.4 10.6 9.0 8.8 9.3 11.2 11.0 5.5 4.5 5.2 6.6 9.6 9.6 2.9 4.3 6.3 9.8 9.9 4.8 7.5 11.8 11.4 10.3 14.9 13.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars lOi 1993 Billions Apr 28 - May 12 Jul 101 7 98 94 90 88 82 6 20 i 17 I 15 29 t! 21 9 23 ? 21 4 li 2 IS 90 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 S 19 2 IS 30 14 2! May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1992 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: July 7, 1993 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 12/9/92 1/6/93 2/3/93 3/3/93 3/31/93 5/12/93 6/9/93 7/7/93 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 7/8/92 19.4 15.5 15.4 22.2 8.9 12.7 15.4 11.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/30/92 13.3 13.6 24.5 4.9 10.8 14.5 10.0 12/9/92 4.9 27.4 -4.1 6.4 12.0 6.5 1/6/93 46.8 -4.1 8.9 15.3 8.3 2/3/93 -12.3 7.2 15.4 7.1 3/3/93 -14.3 0.4 -5.4 3/31/93 43.7 20.1 5/12/93 6.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1 / Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending July 5, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Jul 6, 1992 1.3 Oct 12, 1992 1.0 Jan 18. 1993 -0.7 Feb 15, 1993 2.5 Mar 15. 1993 3.1 Apr 12, 1993 2.3 May 10, 1993 5.0 4 IB I 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 Ratio Apr 26 May 10 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Oct Nov Dec 11 25 8 22 8 22 5 19 Jan 1993 Jun 7 Jul 5 2.613 2.657 2.643 2.655 2.654 17 31 14 28 12 26 May Jun Latest data plotted two weeks ending: July 5, 1993 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 320 310 • 300 Billions of Dollars 320 ----1------1-----Compounded annu r al rates of change, average of the fou weeks ending July 12, 1993 from the four weeks en< ing: Jul 13, 1992 1 .0 Oct 12, 1992 .9 Jan 11, 1993 1C .4 Feb 15. 1993 1C .9 Mar 15, 993 1 . 1 Apr 12, 993 1C .9 Ma> 10, 993 12 .7 310 300 290 290 1993 Jun 7 14 21 28 Jul 5 12 280 BillieUS 305 .3 306 .3 307.7 309.0 308.2 308.6 I 270 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 May 280 I Jun 270 Jul Latest data plotted week ending: July 12, 1993 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures 10.0 10.0 s.o 1.0 Cor, >orate Aaa Bonds 1.0 f 8.0 ’ ✓ < Muni :ipal Bo ids ✓ € S s„ **»-*.. 1 1 n"' ----------- f.O \ ‘rime E ank _oan Rc te — y -s > ■ •«*. 5.0 5.0 "----- -- V 3.0 c< mmerc al Paper 2.0 ■ Ml" 1 15 29 12 21 10 21 7 21 I 1) 2 18 JO 13 27 11 25 I 22 5 11 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1-T-T-fJ 5 19 2 10 30 U 28 II 25 9 2! Mar 1992 Apr 1993 May Jun Jul Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: July 23, 1993 1993 90-Day CDs 30—Day Commercial Paper 90—Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** Apr 30 May 7 14 21 28 Jun 4 11 18 25 Jul 2 9 16 23 * 3.08 3.06 3.07 3.12 3.16 3.21 3.25 3.17 3.21 3.18 3.16 3.14 3.15 3.10 3.08 3.09 3.11 3.15 3.18 3.20 3.18 3.20 3.20 3.16 3.13 3.13 3.04 3.03 3.04 3.07 3.12 3.16 3.21 3.13 3.16 3.13 3.12 3.10 3.12 7.40 7.37 7.41 7.48 7.46 7.39 7.38 7.32 7.29 7.24 7.22 7.16 7.14 8.15 8.13 8.18 8.28 8.27 8.16 8.13 8.06 8.01 7.96 7.96 7.89 7.89 5.75 5.71 5.69 5.77 5.73 5.67 5.68 5.61 5.57 5.55 5.55 5.50 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.0 Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent t.i 8.0 V- k a____ N \ 1.0 r ’\ /> *«» 5—Yec r Trea wry Set urities * \ ^ N. r \ i V' .* \ a" > s.' 5.1 — s 5.0 Fedoral \ Fund i Rate c✓ A V- Y y Di •count fate ’---- s '..A f\ n A jS xsv i y ■ i—Montf Tre•asury E ill 2.0 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 Oct Nov Dec Jan is Feb 5 19 Mar Apr 1993 May Jun S 23 Jul Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: July 23, 1993 1993 Apr 30 May 7 14 21 28 Jun 4 11 18 25 Jul 2 9 16 23 * Federal Funds ** 2.87 2.98 2.90 3.01 3.07 3.09 2.96 3.01 3.00 3.13 3.10 3.01 3.09 3—Month Treasury Bill 6-Month Treasury Bill ♦** 1 -Year Treasury Bill 2.91 2.87 2.91 2.99 3.06 3.06 3.10 3.05 3.09 3.01 3.02 3.02 3.05 2.95 2.98 2.99 3.10 3.19 3.22 3.30 3.19 3.19 3.14 3.10 3.14 3.15 3.12 3.11 3.14 3.26 3.39 3.44 3.46 3.33 3.37 3.29 3.28 3.27 3.32 5—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 5.14 6.62 5.05 6.55 5.10 6.58 5.28 6.72 5.36 6.71 5.29 6.62 5.32 6.60 5.19 6.51 5.18 6.44 5.04 6.34 5.03 6.34 5.00 6.25 5.08 6.24 current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown *** Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 2.0 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3550 I Billions of Dollars 2725 I M2 1993 Billions Jun 3525 ... 7 14 21 28 Jul 5 12 3518.1 3516.2 3514.4 _ 35 03.8 35 01.9 35 15.9 2625 / — -------. M2 ( eft see le) 2525 . «•* ^. •-S 1 3075 Non -M1 M2 1 2425 Nor -M1 412 1993 Billie ns Jun 7 2445.5 14 2445.6 21 2439.1 28 2427.3 Jul 5 2424.2 12 2431.2 3450 3425 '"n ^ (right scale) i 1 ' ' l ' i 1 l ' l i ' i l 1 l 1 Ml'1 4 11 I 15 » 13 27 10 14 7 21 5 1! May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 1' r ■' 2225 ■ i ' r 'I'M 2 10 30 14 21 11 25 1 22 Nov Dec Jon Feb 2325 1 2! 5 1) 3 17 31 14 21 Mar Apr May Jun 1993 12 26 Jul Latest data plotted week ending: July 12, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Tlo the .. ot average Tour weeks Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 7/13/92 10/12/92 12/14/92 1/11/93 2/15/93 3/15/93 4/12/93 5/10/93 ending: 12/14/92 1/11/93 2/15/93 3/15/93 4/12/93 5/10/93 6/14/93 7/12/93 2.6 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.6 1.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.0 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6 -0.1 1.2 0.9 -3.4 -2.6 -2.1 -1.1 0.8 0.5 -2.9 -2.1 -0.9 1.3 0.9 -0.6 0.7 3.1 2.3 1.5 4.4 3.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1993 Jun Billions 7 14 21 28 Jul 5 1199.9 1201.3 1197.7 1198.3 1198.7 12 1202.0 Money Market (right scale) Money Market 1993 Billions Jun 7 14 21 28 Jul 5 12 Savings Deposits (left scale) 4 18 1 IS 29 1] 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 IS 30 14 28 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 25 8 22 Feb Mar Apr 337.5 338.3 — 336.1 333.6 333.0 336.3 3 17 31 14 28 12 21 May Jun Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. . Large and Small Time Deposits1 > Billions of Dollars All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Small Time 1993 Jun 7 Jul 5 Billions 833.7 829.3 823.7 822.2 Large Tima (left scale) Large Time 1993 Billions — Jun 7 343.8 14 342.5 21 342.2 28 340.4 Jul 5 339.8 12 338.5 Small Time (right scale) 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 1$ 30 14 28 II 25 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Mar Apr May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: July 12, 1993 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1993 Jun 16 23 30 Jul 7 14 21 May Jun Billions 0.135 0.179 0.387 0.234 0.208 ---0.232 IS 2) 12 21 9 23 7 21 4 11 2 IS 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1992 1993 Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings Billions of Dollars From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1993 Jun 16 23 30 Jul 7 14 21 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1992 Billions 0.135 0.179 0.387 0.234 0.208 — 0.232 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: July 21,1993 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancia! Companies Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions 6 20 3 17 1 15 23 12 26 3 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Feb Mar Apr 13 2 16 30 14 28 May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: July 14. 1993 Commercial and Industrial Loans1/ _.... . Bi llons of Dollars 315 305 295 Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks2/ Seasonally Adjusted — I I Compounded anni al rates of change, average of the fou r weeks ending July 7, 1993 from the four weeks enciing: Jul 8. 1992 - 2.3 Oct 7, 1992 - 2.6 Jan 6. 1993 - 2.3 Feb 10, 1993 - 2.6 Mar 10, 1993 - 0.7 Apr 7, 1993 1.9 Billions of Dollars --------- 1-------- 325 1_99: 2 9 16 23 30 Jul 7 Billions 275.261__ 315 273.708 275.565 274.678 275.802 275.193 305 295 285 285 275 275 265 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 29 May Jun Jul 9 23 7 21 I 18 1 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 Aug Sep 1992 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1993 2 16 30 14 28 Jun Jul Latest data plotted week ending: July 7, 1993 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/Banks with domestic assets greater than 11.4 billion _ ,, _ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 265 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1_2£2 1-37.3=1,00 Jul 6 20 3 17 May Jun IS 2) 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 2 1$ 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 7 19 2 16 30 14 28 May Jun Latest data plotted week ending: July 21, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis w L2 3“ a; 05 its mJ™