Full text of U.S. Financial Data : January 5, 1995
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| Federal Reserve Bank U5. Financial Data FEDERAL J RESEIDE RVNKot 0TSLUHJIS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ Total new factory orders rebounded strongly in November, rising 2.6 percent after falling 0.4 percent in October. Paced by a strong increase in new orders for transportation equipment, orders for durable goods rose 3.4 percent. New orders for nondurable goods rose 1.7 percent in November. Factory orders are not adjusted for inflation. ✓ Total construction spending rose 0.7percent in November, following a 0.9 percent increase in October. Over the first 11 months of 1994, new construction put in place was up 8.8 percent over the same period in 1993. Construction spending is not adjusted for inflation. ✓ The composite index of leading indicators increased 0.3 percent in November, after falling 0.1 percent in October. This index has increased in 10 of the last 11 months. ✓ New single-family home sales in November were at an annual rate of693,000 units, 2.5 percent below the October rate of 711,000, and the first decrease since last June. yf The dollar’s trade-weighted exchange index has risen 4.1 percent since the week ending October 26, after falling throughout much of 1994 (see back page). All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Mgures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions Oct 26 Nov 9 Dec 7 451.2 455.3 452.8 Jan 3 Billions of Dollars 4 454.1 17 1 15 2§ 12 21 Nov Dec Jan 1993 9 23 Feb 9 23 Mar $ 20 Apr 4 18 May 1 15 29 13 27 Jun Jul 1994 10 24 Aug 7 21 Sep 5 19 2 10 30 14 21 Oct Nov Dec 11 25 Jan 1995 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: January 4, 1995 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 1/5/94 3/30/94 6/8/94 7/6/94 8/31/94 9/28/94 11/9/94 8/3/94 periods ending: 6/8/94 7/6/94 8/3/94 8/31/94 9/28/94 11/9/94 12/7/94 1/4/95 10.6 10.1 9.9 9.6 9.1 8.2 7.9 7.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7.6 7.8 7.7 7.3 6.4 6.2 5.4 7.9 7.7 7.0 5.8 5.6 4.6 7.9 6.9 5.4 5.3 4.2 6.1 4.6 4.7 3.4 3.5 3.9 2.6 3.5 1.9 1.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars seasonally Adjusted 1994 M1 Billions Nov 21 28 5 12 19 26 Dec 1152.9 1152.01150.0 1148.4 1147.0 1147.6 M1 (left scale) TCD (right scale) TCD 1994 Billions Nov 21 28 Dec 5 12 19 26 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Nov Dec Jan 1993 7 21 Feb 7 21 Mar 4 18 2 16 30 13 2 Apr May Jun 1! Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 791.6 789.8 787.6 786.8 785.6 786.3 Dec Jan 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: December 26, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 12/27/93 3/28/94 5/23/94 6/27/94 7/25/94 8/29/94 9/26/94 10/24/94 of four weeks ending: 5/23/94 6/27/94 7/25/94 8/29/94 9/26/94 10/24/94 11/28/94 12/26/94 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.0 2.9 2.3 1.9 1.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.5 2.2 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.6 4.9 2.8 2.8 1.6 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.7 -0.7 -0.8 -0.6 -0.6 -0.8 -0.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars 1994 3 Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions 17 1 15 29 12 26 Nov Dec Jan 1993 9 23 Feb 9 23 Mar 6 20 Apr 4 1! 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 May Jun Jul Aug 1994 7 21 Sep 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Oct Nov Dec 11 25 Jan 1995 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: December 21, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 12/22/93 3/16/94 5/25/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 8/17/94 9/14/94 10/26/94 periods ending: 5/25/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 8/17/94 9/14/94 10/26/94 11/23/94 12/21/94 5.5 5.4 4.9 4.4 3.5 3.3 0.0 -1.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -4.2 -3.0 -2.2 -2.5 -1.7 -5.3 -6.7 3.2 2.5 0.9 1.2 -4.4 -6.3 1.3 -0.4 0.3 -6.1 -8.0 -1.2 0.0 -7.6 -9.5 -0.5 -10.0 -11.8 -12.4 -14.0 -24.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier V Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending December 19, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Dec Mar Jun Aug Aug Sep Oct 20, 28, 20, 1. 29. 26, 24. 1993 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 Ratio Oct 10 Nov Dec -4.9 -4.4 -3.8 -4.3 -3.0 -3.3 -1.0 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: December 19, 1994 8 22 5 19 Aug Sep 7 5 3 17 31 14 28 Oct Nov 2.545 2.534 2.536 2.522 2.542 2.536 12 26 Dec 9 23 Jan 1995 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 360 350 Billions of Dollars 360 ----------1---------- 1---------Compounded annucil rates of change, average of the four weeks ending . December 26, 1994 the four weeks end ng: Dec 27. 1993 10 .0 Mar 28, 1994 8 .5 Jun 27, 1994 7 .8 340 Aug 29, 1 994 Sep 26. 1 994 Oct 24, 1 994 350 340 7 .2 7 .3 7 .2 330 330 199 4 Nov 21 28 Dec 5 12 19 26 320 310 1 15 29 11 22 19 24 Nov Dec Jan 1993 7 21 7 21 Feb Mar 4 IS Apr 2 16 JO 13 27 11 25 ! 22 May Jun Jul Aug 1994 5 Bill] ons 35 2.9 35 3.6 353.9 353.1 353.0 353.0 19 J 1? 31 14 28 12 26 Sep Oct Nov Dec 9 23 Jan 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: December 26, 1994 1 / Ratio of Ml to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 320 310 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Loan Rate -Municipa Bonds 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 Nov Dec Jan 1993 Feb Mar Apr May 17 1 15 29 12 26 Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1995 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: January 6, 1995 1994 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Oct 14 21 28 Nov 4 11 18 25 Dec 2 9 16 23 30 Jan 6 * 5.08 4.96 4.98 5.05 5.24 5.50 5.60 5.79 6.09 6.12 6.05 6.06 5.88 5.49 5.47 5.56 5.59 5.72 5.80 5.87 6.08 6.28 6.30 6.26 6.36 6.39 5.40 5.38 5.45 5.52 5.63 5.74 5.77 5.99 6.17 6.20 6.14 6.23 6.23 8.50 8.54 8.65 8.68 8.74 8.70 8.63 8.57 8.47 8.46 8.45 8.43 8.53 9.14 9.18 9.29 9.32 9.37 9.33 9.26 9.21 9.11 9.10 9.08 9.08 9.17 Municipal Bonds +*** 6.44 6.49 6.64 6.83 6.96 7.06 7.03 6.90 6.88 6.77 6.74 6.71 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. — Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures 3-Month Treasury Bill Funds Rate D scount 5 19 3 17 31 14 21 Nov Dec Jan 1993 11 25 11 25 Feb Mar 8 22 Apr 6 20 May 17 1 15 29 12 2S Jun Jul Aug 1994 9 23 Sep 7 21 Oct 18 2 It 30 13 27 Nov Dec Jan 1995** Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: January 6, 1995 1994 Oct 14 21 28 Nov 4 11 18 25 Dec 2 9 16 23 30 Jan 6 * Federal Funds ** 4.62 4.72 4.72 4.77 4.74 5.22 5.53 5.85 5.47 5.48 5.56 5.45 5.40 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5—Year Treasury Securities 10—Year Treasury Securities 4.91 4.94 5.01 5.10 5.22 5.34 5.31 5.53 5.70 5.66 5.49 5.52 5.61 5.67 5.76 5.86 5.90 6.00 6.18 6.22 6.45 6.62 6.73 6.66 6.74 6.72 7.30 7.37 7.53 7.61 7.69 7.73 7.74 7.79 7.74 7.78 7.79 7.81 7.85 7.65 7.71 7.86 7.94 8.00 7.97 7.91 7.89 7.79 7.82 7.82 7.81 7.85 Long-Term Treasury Securities 7.92 7.97 8.08 8.14 8.19 8.16 8.10 8.06 7.95 7.96 7.95 7.93 7.98 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M2 1294 Nov 21 28 _ Dec 5 12 19 26 Billion? 3604.0 3600.1 3598.5. 3594.4 3593.5 3606.1 M2 (left scale) Non-M1 M2 1994 1 15 2! 13 27 Nov Dec 1993 10 24 7 21 Jan Feb 1 21 Mar 4 18 Apr 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 May Jun Jul 1994 8 22 Aug 5 19 Sep Billions Nov 21 28 Dec 5 12 19 26 Non-Mi M2 (right scale) 2451.1 2448.1 2448.5 2446.0 2446.5 2458.5 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Oct Nov Dec 9 23 Jan 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: December 26, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 12/27/93 3/28/94 5/23/94 6/27/94 7/25/94 8/29/94 9/26/94 10/24/94 ending: 5/23/94 6/27/94 7/25/94 8/29/94 9/26/94 10/24/94 11/28/94 12/26/94 1.9 1.2 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.5 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.5 -0.7 -0.8 -0.6 -0.2 -0.6 -0.4 0.1 -0.4 0.1 0.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1994 Billions Nov 21 28 Dec 5 12 19 26 Small Time 1994 Billions 1161.6 1158.7 1151.2 1146.2 1146.6 1144.6 Nov 21 28 5 808.8 810.8 813.3 Dec 81612 — 855 Savings Deposits(left scale) Small Time (right scale) Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1993 1! Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds17 All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Large Time 1-994 Billions Nov 21 28 Dec 5 12 19 26 Money Market 1994 Billions 359.2 360.7 361.8 364.5 366.1 364.9 Nov 21 28 Dec 5 12 19 26 370.3 370.1 370.9 374.2 — 374.5 376.6 Money Market Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Latest data plotted week ending: December 26, 1994 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Mon«y market fund, are geaeral purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by F(sdera| Reserve Bank p( s, ^ http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1995 ~ Nov 30 Dec 7 14 21 28 Jan 4 Billions of Dollars Billions 0.224 0.208 0.119 0.237 0.183 0.309 3 17 1 15 19 11 21 9 23 9 23 S 20 4 11 1 IS 19 IJ 27 10 14 ? 21 S 19 2 II 31 14 II 11 IS Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 1994 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $1 million in the week ending July 20. 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown in the chart. Bank Loans and Credit ,, All Commercial Banks in the United States / Billions of Dollars 3359 2475 --------- 1----------- — Bank Cr<sdit 1994 fill ions “ Nov 16 32 92.1 23 33 03.4 30 33 05.8 Dec 7 33 07.7 3390 3250 21 Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted 2425 B ank Cre dit (lei t scale 33 26L9 ?/ * _/ . <*“ *■ ✓ 3200 _/ 3150 2325 4 2275 ✓ 3100 A -7 -+ _ -/ 3050 / i/ / '■'v Loan s<5cLea ses 1994 Billio Nov 16 2342.2 23 2353.9 30 2355.7 ana ar d Leases (rig ht scale0 2375 1 4 2358.5 2 2380.1 2225 2175 I 3000 3 17 1 15 29 12 28 9 23 9 23 I 20 4 1! 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 S 19 2 16 30 14 20 II 25 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 1994 1995 Latest Wednesday data plotted : December 21, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities „ .L _ J . Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2125 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions 163.281 157.612 1 17 t IS 2! 12 2i S 2) 9 21 f 21 ♦ 11 1 15 2! 1! 22 11 21 7 21 5 1! 2 If JO II 21 11 25 Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Latest data plotted week ending: December 28. 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 330 (SO 1 All Ban <S 1994 Bill ions MO “ Nov 16 6; 59.4 23 6 VO.2 30 6^12.2 Dec 7 6^ H.2 030 21 320 / s'' 646i4 zrS 020 arge B anka ( right sc ale)2// ✓** 310 300 /f V (10 — x • ./ 290 w. * Lar<je Ban ks 1994 Billio __ too 590 Bankt (left s 309.8 313.8 200 309.4 310.4 310.3 14 21 cale)^ / Nov 16 23 30 LJ_ 270 -r-|—H TT i 1 TT* t" p-rPt H-' i 200 J 17 I 15 2! 12 2f I 23 ! 23 I 21 I II 1 15 2! 13 27 10 21 7 21 5 1! 2 If 30 11 II 11 25 Nov Deo Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 1994 1995 Latest Wednesday data plotted : December 21,1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks „ , . ^ J , „ „ , „ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1995 1973=100 Jan 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 Nov Dec Jan 1993 9 23 Feb 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 7 21 Sep 4 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Oct Nov Dec 11 25 Jan 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: January 4, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis W > » &S L3 «C M m > mu M ftS <35 <V