Full text of U.S. Financial Data : January 16, 1997
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anuary 16,1997 USSemialDafa MAY 1 5 1997 THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ■ The consumer price index for all urban consumers (CPI-U) rose at a 3.1 percent annual rate in December, matching its November increase. For the 12 months ending in December 1996, though, the CPI rose 3.3 percent, up from last year’s 2.5 percent increase and the largest since 1990. Consistent with the practice of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, price changes for 1995 and 1996 are computed from data that are not seasonally adjusted. ■ The total value of business inventories (manufacturing and trade) rose $0.7 billion in November, an increase of 0.8percent at an annual rate. Manufacturers’ inventories rose at their fastest pace since January, while retail inventories posted their largest decline in eight months. Business inventories are not adjusted for price changes. ■ After falling at a 2.9 percent annual rate in November, retail sales advanced at a 7.3 percent rate in December. Retail sales rebounded in the fourth quarter, rising at a 4.8 percent annual rate, after increasing by only 0.9 percent in the third quarter. Retail sales are not adjusted for price changes. ■ Nonfarm payroll employment rose 262,000 in December, or at a 2.6 percent annual rate. Payroll employment rose at a 1.8 percent rate in the fourth quarter, down from the 2.3 percent gain in the third quarter. For the year, payroll employment increased 2.564 million, or an average ofjust under 213,700 a month; in 1995, monthly employment gains averaged 185,250. All dates are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic Digitized forbulletin FRASER board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at http://www.stls.frb.org/fred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Ad usted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 480 Billions 463.0 463.6 465.8 466.4 466.8 464.1 470 460 450 "l ' l 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 Feb 6 20 3 17 Mar Apr IS 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Moy Jul Aug T n-T 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Sep Oct Nov Dec 440 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of Federal Reserve deposits and vault cosh held by domestic depository institutions, currency held by the public, and an adjustment for the effect of changes in reserve requirement rotios. The monetary base series was recently revised to include Federol Reserve deposits used to sotisfy clearing balance contracts. Goto ore computed by this bonk. A detoiled description of the odjusted monetary bose is ovoiloble from this bank. Recent data ore preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded onnuol rotes of chonge, overoge of two mointenonce periods ending: To the overoae of two maintenance periods ending: 6/19/96 1/17/96 4/10/96 6/19/96 7/17/96 8/14/96 9/11/96 10/9/96 11/20/96 2.0 7/17/96 2.7 2.3 8/14/96 3.3 3.4 9/11/96 3.7 4.1 7.0 7.2 10/9/96 3.5 3.7 5.6 5.3 4.3 11/20/96 3.7 3.9 5.4 5.2 4.5 3.6 12/18/96 4.1 4.4 5.8 5.7 5.3 4.8 6.1 1/15/97 3.6 3.8 4.8 4.5 4.0 3.4 3.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.9 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Dec 2 Billions of Dollars Billions 1087.! 1070.9 1073.1 1078.8 1078.9 1075.0 96/97 682.5 666.5 669.1 675.1 674.2 669.0 Ml (left scole) TCD (right scale) Feb Mor Apr Moy 1995 Aug Jun Sep Oct 1996 1997 Ml is the sum oF currency held by the nonbonk public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits ond other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve 8oord's H.6 release. Money Stock (M1) Compounded onnuol rotes of chonge, overage of four weeks ending: To the average of four weeks ending: 1/8/96 4/8/96 6/3/96 7/8/96 8/5/96 9/9/96 10/7/96 6/3/96 -1.3 7/8/96 -1.6 -4.7 8/5/96 -2.6 -5.7 -5.4 9/9/96 -3.5 -6.4 -6.6 -8.6 10/7/96 -4.6 -7.5 -8.2 -10.2 -11.0 11/4/96 -5.0 -7.7 -8.4 -10.0 -10.4 -11.4 12/9/96 -4.4 -6.6 -6.8 -7.7 -7.5 -7.0 -3.8 1/6/97 -4.2 -6.0 -6.0 -6.7 -6.3 -5.6 -2.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11/4/96 -0.1 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Oct 23 Nov 6 1 Dec 4 Jan 1 Billions 72.4 71.7 71.8 72.4 72.5 72.4 1 i 1 r1 i"i|T 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Nov Dec Jon Feb Mor Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1995 1996 1997 Adjusted reserves is the difference between the odjusted monetary base and the currency component of Ml. The odjusted monetory base series was recently revised: See the footnote to the monetary base chart for o description of the change. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rotes of chonge, overoge of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 1/3/96 3/27/96 6/5/96 7/3/96 7/31/96 8/28/96 9/25/96 6/5/96 -1.2 7/3/96 -2.9 -7.1 7/31/96 -3.6 -7.4 -9.9 8/28/96 -3.8 -7.0 -8.3 9/25/96 -4.7 -7.7 -9.2 -8.4 -8.4 11/6/96 -6.0 -9.0 -10.6 -10.4 -11.0 -13.3 12/4/96 -5.5 -8.0 -9.0 -8.6 -8.7 -9.7 -8.9 1/1/97 -4.6 -6.6 -7.0 -6.3 -5.9 -6.1 -4.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11/6/96 -6.7 3.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Rotio Compounded annuol rates of change, overage of the four weeks ending December 30, 1996, from the four weeks ending: d U II I , Jan 1, Mar 25. 1996 1996 Oct 21 Nov 4 Dec -7. 29. 1 996 1996 Aug 26. Sep 23. 1996 20 4 18 29 12 28 1 1 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 Jul 18 2 12.2 - -11.2 -10.7 1996 Apr May 15 29 12 28 9 23 7 21 4 Aug Jun 1995 Rotio of M1 to the adjusted monetary bose. Sep 18 2 18 30 13 27 Oct 1996 1997 Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Compounded annuol rotes of change, average of the four weeks ending Jonuory 6. 1997, from the four weeks ending: Jan 8. 1996 6. Apr 8. 1996 7. Jul 8. 1996 8. 390- Aug 5. 1996 8. c. i n -------1996 1996 1996 20 4 18 Dec 2 396.6 Jon 6 397.5 8 2 Apr May Jun Aug Sep 18 30 13 27 Oct 1996 Current dote appear in the Federol Reserve Boord's H.6 releose. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent Prime Rote Corporate Aao Bonds Municipal Bonds Commercial Paper 3 17 1 15 29 9 23 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 Jun 18 15 29 10 24 Moy 1997 1996/97 Oct 25 Nov 1 8 15 22 29 Dec 6 13 20 Jan 27 3 10 17 30-Doy Commercial Paper 90-Doy CDs 90-Doy Bonkers" Acceptances Corporate Aao Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds 5.36 5.37 5.38 5.39 5.40 5.42 5.53 5.57 5.73 5.88 5.71 5.43 5.44 5.40 5.39 5.38 5.37 5.38 5.38 5.40 5.42 5.44 5.50 5.45 5.42 5.45 5.31 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.28 5.29 5.30 5.33 5.39 5.40 5.34 5.34 5.33 7.39 7.28 7.18 7.08 7.05 7.06 7.10 7.21 7.28 7.22 7.29 7.42 7.39 8.07 7.96 7.86 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.79 7.90 7.97 7.91 7.99 8.11 8.08 5.75 5.70 5.67 5.60 5.55 5.54 5.57 5.66 5.67 5.66 5.70 5.71 NA Current data are from the Federal Reserve Boord's H.15 releose, and ore averages of rotes ovoiloble for the week ending on Jonuory 17, 1997 •• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursdoy doto N A. - Not Available http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent 30-Year Treasury Securities rederol Funds Rote Discount Rote 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 8 22 1996/97 Oct 25 Nov 1 8 15 22 29 Dec 6 13 20 27 Jan 3 10 17 • Federol Funds •• 5.22 5.27 5.32 5.21 5.41 5.30 5.52 5.22 5.38 5.18 5.37 5.28 5.19 3 -5.0 3-Month Treasury Bill 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 3-Month Treasury Bill 7 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Yeor Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities 30-Year Treasury Securities 5.00 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.02 4.92 4.83 4.88 4.97 5.05 5.03 5.03 5.26 5.18 5.15 5.13 5.13 5.13 5.14 5.17 5.22 5.20 5.25 5.31 5.31 6.29 6.15 6.05 5.97 5.94 5.90 5.92 6.06 6.15 6.12 6.22 6.33 6.33 6.55 6.42 6.30 6.18 6.16 6.12 6.15 6.31 6.40 6.34 6.45 6.57 6.56 6.83 6.71 6.57 6.45 6.43 6.41 6.43 6.56 6.63 6.58 6.67 6.80 6.80 Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. • Averoges of rotes available •• Seven-doy overoges for week ending two days earlier than dote shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federol Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Dec 2 Billions of Dollars Billions 3813.3 3822.5 3823.1 3831.1 2800 2750 M2 (left scale) 2700 2650 2600 Non-Mi M2 (right scale) 6 20 4 Nov 18 I Dec 15 29 12 26 II 25 8 22 6 20 Feb Mor Apr Moy 17 1 Non-Mi M2 Billions 2725.5 2751.6 2750.0 2752.3 2745.5 Jon 6 2766.7 IS 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 Jun Aug Sep Oct 18 2 16 30 13 27 Nov 2550 2500 Dec 1997 M2 is the sum ol Ml, savings (including money morket deposit occounts), smoll time deposits ond retoil money funds. Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded onnuol rotes of chonge, overoge of four weeks ending: To the overoge of four weeks ending: 1/8/96 4/8/96 6/3/96 7/8/96 8/5/96 9/9/96 10/7/96 6/3/96 4.2 7/8/96 4.2 8/5/96 3.9 1.4 3.3 9/9/96 3.9 2.1 3.6 3.1 10/7/96 3.7 2.0 3.1 2.5 3.0 11/4/96 3.9 2.5 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.7 12/9/96 4.3 3.2 4.4 4.3 4.9 5.2 6.9 1/6/97 4.6 3.7 4.9 4.9 5.6 5.9 7.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11/4/96 1.4 8.0 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Small Time 96/97 Dec 948.8 949.1 949.1 948.5 Jon 6 948.7 Small Time (left scole) Savings 96/97 Billions Dec 2 1258.6 1275.0 1273.3 1271.9 1266.7 Jon 6 1285.1 Savings Deposits (right scole) 6 20 4 18 15 29 12 26 II 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 Apr Moy 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 « Jun Aug Sep 18 2 16 30 13 27 Oct 1995 1996 Sovings deposits and smoll time deposits ore ot oil depository institutions. 1997 Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Daily Figures seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Lorge Time 96/97 Jon 6 Billions of Dollars Retoil Money Billions 486.1 488.8 491.2 495.1 96/97 Dec 2 500.8 Billions 518.0 527.5 527.5 531.8 531.6 532.9 . Retail Money Large Time Apr Moy Jun Sep Oct 1995 1996 1997 Large time deposits ond retail money funds ore at all despository institutions. Lorge time deposits ore those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Retoil money funds were originolly colled generol purpose and broker/dealer money market funds. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Bonks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions Dec 11 Jon 1 1 0.070 0.153 0.188 0.097 0.062 0.043 13 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jon 1995 1996 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment ond extended credit. 1997 Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Bonk Credit Billions Nov 27 3777.1 Dec 4 3752.7 3764.3 3763.1 3781.3 3774.4 Billions of Dollars 2880 2820 Bank Credit (left scale)2/ 2760 2700 Loons&Leoses Loans and Leases (right scale) Nov 27 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 Apr 15 29 12 26 10 24 Moy Jun 1995 1996 Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.8 releose. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loons ond leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 21 4 18 2 Sep Dec 4 Jon 1 Billions 2779.6 2761.4 2768.0 2773.8 2783.8 2786.1 2640 2580 16 30 13 27 Oct 1997 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted 3illions of Dollars Dec 4 200--Jon 1 Billions of Dollars 210 182.256 178.392 186.496 180.234 173.764 184.747 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Moy Jun 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Commercial and Industrial Loans Seosonolly Adjusted 3illions of Dollors Billions of Dollors 420 All Bonks 780- 96/97 Nov 27 Dec 4 780.0 778.5 785.3 785.7 788.1 787.0 400 All Bonks (left scale)1 / Large Banks (right scole)^/ 380 360 Large Bonks 96/97 Nov 27 383.2 382.7 382.9 382.7 340 384.7 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 Nov Dec Jan Feb 1995 6 20 3 17 Mar Apr 320 May Jun 1996 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.B releose. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domesticolly chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jon 1997 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index Averoges of Daily Figures i973=100 1973=1UU 100 Dr 11 Jon 1 95 90 85 80 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 1995 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Aug 1996 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Sep Oct 1997 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data ore weighted overages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis