Full text of U.S. Financial Data : February 9, 1995
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'SSSmpti >.$•* f jRs ■■ ■'* r-, i ;■ ■ ■;» < - - V <4 <4 iisrV<s| of St. Louis U.S. Financial Data KrSI.KYl*. ISAMvot THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: \/ Business sector productivity (output per hour) increased at a 1.7 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter of1994. For the year, business sector productivity increased 2.4 percent, up from 1.5 percent in 1993. Productivity in the manufacturing sector, on the other hand, rose 4.9percent in 1994, the largest gain since 1987. Civilian employment rose at a 0.7percent annual rate in January, while the civilian laborforce rose at a 3.8 percent rate. Accordingly, the unemployment rate jumped 0.3 percentage points to 5.7 percent. Civilian employment growth remains robust, however, running at a 3 percent rate over the past six months, up from a 1.4 percent rate over the previous six months. ✓ Total new factory orders rose 1.7 percent in December after rising 2.7percent in November. Factory orders rose 10.2 percent in 1994, the largest yearly percentage increase since 1979. Factory orders are not adjusted for inflation. The monetary aggregate figures reported in this issue incorporate new benchmark revisions and, with three exceptions, new seasonal revisions. Seasonal revisions that affect the adjusted monetary base, adjusted reserves and the money multiplier are in process. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions Nov 23 Dec 7 455.2 452.8 452.6 454.1 460.0 460.7 Jan 4 Feb 1 20 4 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr II May I 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 Jun 1993 Jul Aug Sep Billions of Dollars 19 2 Oct 16 30 14 28 Nov Dec 1994 25 I 22 Jan Feb 1995 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: February 1, 1995 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 2/2/94 4/27/94 7/6/94 8/3/94 8/31/94 9/28/94 10/26/94 12/7/94 periods ending: 7/6/94 8/3/94 8/31/94 9/28/94 10/26/94 12/7/94 1/4/95 2/1/95 8.1 8.2 8.1 7.7 7.4 6.7 6.0 7.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7.0 7.1 6.8 6.4 5.7 4.8 6.4 8.0 7.0 6.4 5.3 4.2 6.4 6.3 5.6 4.7 3.5 6.1 4.7 3.9 2.6 5.9 3.4 1.9 6.1 0.9 6.6 9.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars M1 1995 Billions Dec 26 1146.6 -Jan 2 1145.2 9 1149.6 16 1151.7 23 1149.2 30 1146.9 Billions of Dollars (left scale) TCD (right scale) TCD 1995 Billions Dec 26 784.0 Jan 2 781.4— 9 785.2 16 785.8 23 782.2 30 779.0 ( 20 Dec 1 17 il 14 28 14 1! II 25 9 2] 6 21 4 11 I Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1993 Jul IS 2) I2 28 10 24 7 21 5 I) 2 18 II 1J 27 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: January 30, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release, checks'* 5Um °f curr'ncy held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 1/31/94 5/2/94 6/27/94 8/1/94 8/29/94 10/3/94 10/31/94 11/28/94 of four weeks ending: 6/27/94 8/1/94 8/29/94 10/3/94 10/31/94 11/28/94 1/2/98 1/30/98 3.1 3.6 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3.8 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.8 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 -1.1 -1.7 -1.5 — 1.7 -0.6 -1.3 -1.1 -0.9 -0.2 -1.8 -1.2 -0.3 -0.4 0.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions of Dollars Billions Nov 23 102.5 Dec 7 98.4 Jan 4 18 103.3 Feb 1 101.6 1 15 29 12 26 Dec Jan 1993 9 23 9 23 6 20 4 18 Feb Mar Apr May 1 15 29 13 21 10 24 1 21 5 19 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 Nov Dec Jan Feb 1995 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: February 1, 1995 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 2/2/94 4/27/94 7/6/94 8/3/94 8/31/94 9/28/94 10/26/94 12/7/94 periods ending: 7/6/94 8/3/94 8/31/94 9/28/94 10/26/94 12/7/94 1/4/95 2/1/95 -1.1 -0.4 0.3 0.0 -1.1 -4.0 -5.5 -1.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2.5 -0.8 -1.1 -2.5 -6.1 -7.9 -2.6 4.5 2.1 -0.9 -6.7 -9.1 -1.8 1.3 -2.5 -8.9 -11.2 -2.7 -6.1 -12.6 -14.5 -4.0 -16.3 -17.6 -4.4 -20.7 -2.8 12.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis * Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.2 3.0 . 2.8 Ratio I Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending January 30, 1995 from the four weeks ending: Jan 31. 1994 -5.4 Apr 25, 1994 -5.5 Aug 1. 1994 -6.1 Aug 29, 1994 -5.7 Sep 26, 1994 -6.2 Oct 24, 1994 -6.0 De 5. 994 - 7.7 I 1995 3.2 Ratio Nov 21 Dec 5 2.520 2.539 Jan 2.5 24 2.5 02 2.4 92 2 ; 6 O 2.8 3.0 2.6 2.4 • 20 3 17 31 14 !8 14 M II 25 1 23 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 8 20 4 18 1 15 29 12 28 18 24 7 21 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 5 19 2 18 30 13 27 Dec Jan Feb 1993 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: January 30, 1995 2.4 1995 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending January 30, 1995 from the four weeks ending: Jan 31. 1994 9.9 May 2. 1994 9.3 Aug 1, 1994 8.9 Aug 29, 1994 9.0 Oct 3. 1994 9.4 Oct 31, 1994 9.2 Nov 28. 1994 8.6 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 Dec Jan Feb Mar 1993 25 9 23 20 4 18 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1995 Billions Dec 26 Jan 2 354.2 355.5 355.9 357.5 358.5 359.6 19 2 16 30 13 27 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: January 30, 1995 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporate Prime Bank Loan Rate Municipa Bon dr 3 17 31 H 28 Dec Jan Feb 1993 Mar Apr May 17 1 15 29 12 2$ Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct 4 II 2 Nov Dec 13 27 10 24 Jan Feb 1995 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: February 10, 1995 1994 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** Nov 18 25 Dec 2 9 16 23 30 Jan 6 13 20 27 Feb 3 10 * 5.50 5.60 5.79 6.09 6.12 6.05 6.06 5.85 5.75 5.82 5.94 6.08 6.03 5.80 5.87 6.08 6.28 6.30 6.26 6.36 6.36 6.20 6.22 6.22 6.22 6.16 5.74 5.77 5.99 6.17 6.20 6.14 6.23 6.21 6.09 6.12 6.10 6.11 6.05 8.70 8.63 8.57 8.47 8.46 8.45 8.43 8.49 8.46 8.44 8.49 8.33 8.26 9.33 9.26 9.21 9.11 9.10 9.08 9.08 9.13 9.10 9.06 9.10 8.92 8.85 7.06 7.03 6.90 6.88 6.77 6.74 6.71 6.66 6.53 6.44 6.49 6.40 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. — Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent J.O i- Percent Averages of Daily Figures -1 9.0 5-Year Treasury Securities 3-Month Treasury Bill / TederaT Funds Rate Discount Rate 3.0 ^9* 2.0 ””rT~i1 r-’ i1 r-1 r* r-*-t—'T—r—T—'T—1—r-|i—,—r-ri—T—i |—T'—i * i* 3 17 Dec 1993 31 14 28 11 25 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 Jan Feb Mar Apr May 17 1 r—r—i r-* i ri—T—t—ti—^“T-r_r^T-* !■—r-1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 Jun Jul 1994 Aug SepOct Nov 16 30 13 27 10 24 Dec Jan Feb 1995 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: February 10. 1995 1994 Nov 18 25 Dec 2 9 16 23 30 Jan 6 13 20 27 Feb 3 10 * Federal Funds ** 5.22 5.53 5.85 5.47 5.48 5.56 5.45 5.40 5.53 5.45 5.42 5.63 5.95 3—Month Treasury Bill 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5—Year Treasury Securities 5.34 5.31 5.53 5.70 5.66 5.49 5.52 5.67 5.66 5.70 5.77 5.82 5.79 6.18 6.22 6.45 6.62 6.73 6.66 6.74 6.74 6.66 6.58 6.50 6.43 6.35 7.73 7.74 7.79 7.74 7.78 7.79 7.81 7.86 7.80 7.73 7.74 7.54 7.43 10-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 7.97 8.16 7.91 8.10 7.89 8.06 7.79 7.95 7.82 7.96 7.82 7.95 7.81 7.93 7.86 7.99 7.80 7.95 7.74 7.90 7.78 7.93 7.62 7.78 7.53 7.70 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. ♦ Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 2.0 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Dec 26 Jan 2 9 16 23 Billions 3617.8 3618.0 3622.i 3628.9 3629.4 Billions of Dollars (left scale) Non-M1 M2 Non-441 M2 (right scale) 1995 Billions Dec 26 2471.2 Jan 2 2472.8 9 2473.0 16 2477.2 23 2480.2 30 2477.4 6 20 Dec 3 17 31 14 21 14 21 Jan Feb Mar 11 25 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 Apr Jul May Jun 1993 15 20 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 Aug Sep Oct Nov 19 Dec 1994 2 16 30 13 27 Jan Feb 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: January 30, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of Ml, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) T 11 of four weeks ending: 6/27/94 8/1/94 8/29/94 10/3/94 10/31/94 11/28/94 1/2/95 1/30/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 1/31/94 5/2/94 6/27/94 8/1/94 8/29/94 10/3/94 10/31/94 11/28/94 1.0 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.2 1.4 1.4 1.8 -1.2 -1.5 0.4 0.7 1.2 -1.1 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.0 2.5 4.0 4.0 2.8 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1125 Small Time Billions 1995 Dec 26 1141.5 Jan 2 1136.7 9 1133.7 16 1131.4 23 1128.3 30 1124.3 Savings Deposlts(left scale) Billions Dec 26 Jan 2 9 16 23 30 819.1 821.4 825.3 830.7 — 835.8 840.5 19 2 14 31 13 27 Small Tims (right scale) t 11 3 17 31 14 II 14 II 11 IS 1 13 t 21 4 II 1 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Ju 993 IS 29 12 !( II 24 7 21 5 1994 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1 / Billions of Dollars All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Large Time Billions of Dollars Money Market 1995 Billions 1995 Billions Dec 26 364.5 _ Jan 2 362.4. 9 359.5 16 361.6 23 365.4 30 368.4 Dec 26 Jan 2 9 16 23 30 390.8 391.2 _ 391.9 393.4 392.9 392.6 Money Market Large Time 4 20 3 17 31 14 21 14 21 II 25 Feb Mar Apr 9 23 4 10 4 II 1 IS 29 12 24 10 24 7 11 S 19 2 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 14 30 13 17 Latest data plotted week ending: January 30, 1995 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1995 Jan 4 — Feb 1 Billions of Dollars Billions 0.309 0.055 0.079 0.212 0.138 0.052 I IS 23 12 21 Dec Jan 1993 9 23 9 23 6 20 Feb Mar Apr 4 18 1 IS 29 13 27 18 24 7 21 5 19 May Jun JuS Aug Sep Oct 1994 2 16 30 14 28 Nov Dec 11 25 8 22 Jan Feb 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment, and extended cextended credit was $19 million in the week ending January 25, 1995, $1 million in the week ending July 20, 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown. All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Bank 1995 Dec 21 28 Jan 4 11 18 25 Credit Billions 3325.7' 3328.9 3334.7 3345.8 3348.3 3362.6 Billions of Dollars Bonk Credit (left scale) Loans&Leases 1995 Billions__ Loans and 1 IS 29 12 26 Dec Jan 1993 9 23 9 23 Feb Mar (right scale) 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 • Latest Wednesday data plotted : January 25, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.B release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dec 21 28 Jan 4 :1 ' 18 25 5 2378.6 2377.8 2390.4 2398.0 _ 2398.9 2412.7 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1995 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1995 1 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions 15 29 12 28 9 23 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 21 11 25 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: February 1, 1995 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars 680 I Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted I 350 All Banks Dec 21 28 Jan 4 11 18 25 647.8 646.5 648.5 653.6 657.4 661.7 Large Banka (right scale) Large Banks 1995 Billions Dec 21 314.6 28 314.6 316.6 319.4 18 321.1 25 323.4 All Banka (left scale) 1 1 ■'1 1 1 1 1 i ' i 15 II tl It » » Dec Jan Feb 1993 » ' ' 9 II Mar 11' 1 i 1 ‘i ' i 1 1 i ■ 1 i-t-i1. i ■ i l II < II I 15 I! 1] II Apr May Jun Jul 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : January 25, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 i ■ i i ■ i ■ It !♦ 7 11 5 U AugSep Oct ■ i ■ . i i ■ i I i ■ | ?50 1 It 50 U II 11 IS I Nov Dec Jan Feb 1995 „ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1995 1973=100 Jan I 15 2! Dec 4 12 25 9 23 9 23 5 20 4 II 1 15 2! 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 IS 2 16 31 14 28 11 25 1 22 Jan Feb Jun Feb Mar 1993 Apr May Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: February 8, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis >4 K < K CQ n w M > w K ►4 LO a> CNJ