Full text of U.S. Financial Data : February 10, 1994
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aervs Bank 'FEB 14 m mi KKDKKVI J KI SKKW. jfilLWKot' ST. IXX IS ffSrfinancial Data THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: The Clinton Administration has proposed a budget plan showing a deficit of $165.1 billion in fiscal 1995, down from an estimated $234.8 billion in 1994. t/ The civilian unemployment rate was a seasonally adjusted 6.7 per cent in January, according to the first employment report using new survey procedures. On the old basis, the Labor Department estimates that January's rate would have been 6.3 percent, down from 6.4 percent in December. */ Sales of new, one-family houses in December rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of862,000 units from 774,000 in November. Sales for 1993 were up 9.7 percent from 1992. \/ Consumer installment credit outstanding rose at an 11.7 percent annual rate in December, following 11.3 percent in November. Credit has increasedfor seven straight months. The monetary aggregate figures reported in this issue incorporate new benchmark and seasonal revisions. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1994 Nov 24 430 -Dec 8 22 Jan 5 19 Feb 2 Billions of Dollars Billions 422.2 421.1 A r,!-, -» 422.3 424.2 428.2 431.4 2 IS 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1992 1993 1994 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: February 2, 1994 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutigns at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major soufcg of the adjusted monetaiy base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetaiy Base _ .. , Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 2/^ s/12/„ 7/7/g3 * s 8/4/93 9/15/93 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/8/93 two maintenance periods ending: 7/7/93 8/4/93 9/15/93 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/8/93 1/5/94 2/2/94 11.2 10.7 11.0 11.1 10.5 10.1 9.6 10.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11.2 11.6 11.7 10.6 10.0 9.4 10.6 10.8 11.1 9.7 9.0 8.4 10.1 12.3 10.2 9.2 8.4 10.4 8.4 7.5 6.9 9.7 5.4 5.3 9.2 5.4 10.6 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis 1 Money Stock (M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages ot uaiiy Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M1 1994 Billions Dec 27 1131.0 Jan 3 1130.0 10 1130.5 17 1133.2 24 1136.4. 31 1136.5 M1 (left scale) TCD _ 1994 Billions TCD (right scale) 7 21 Dec Dec 27 Jan 3 10 17 24 31 4 18 I 15 I 15 29 12 28 10 24 7 21 5 19 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1992 801.7 799.6 798.8 __ 800.3 802.6 801.0 2 18 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1993 Jan Feb 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: January 31, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) To the average of four weeks ending: 6/28/93 8/2/93 8/30/93 10/4/93 11/1/93 11/29/93 1/3/94 1/31/94 Compounded annual rates of chang'e, average of four weeks ending: 2/1/93 5/3/93 6/28/93 8/2/93 8/30/93 10/4/93 11/1/93 11/29/93 10.5 10.8 10.6 10.7 10.5 10.5 10.1 9.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 16.1 14.5 13.7 13.0 12.6 11.7 11.1 10.7 10.8 10.5 10.4 9.7 9.2 10.2 10.0 10.0 9.2 8.7 10.4 10.3 9.2 8.6 9.8 8.5 7.9 8.0 7.4 6.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 110 Nov 24 102.! 106 -Dec 8 100.4 22 106 101.2 5 19 Feb 2 102.2 103.9 104.1 Jan 102 98 94 90 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 20 11 25 Feb Mar Apr May Jul Jun 1993 Aug 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 2! 12 26 9 23 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: February 2, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves I o the average or two maintenance periods ending: 7/7/93 8/4/93 9/1/93 9/29/93 10/27/93 12/B/93 1/5/94 2/2/94 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 8/4/93 9/1/93 9/29/93 10/27/93 12/8/93 2/3/93 4/28/93 7/7/93 12.5 11.1 13.2 12.4 12.4 9.6 8.8 10.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11.2 14.7 13.2 13.1 9.1 8.0 10.8 15.4 12.4 12.3 6.8 5.7 9.7 16.8 15.2 7.5 6.1 10.5 9.4 2.2 1.7 7.6 0.5 0.4 7.9 -4.0 6.7 17.8 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 86 Money Multiplier1/ seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending January 31, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Feb 1, 1993 -0.6 Apr 26, 1993 0.6 Aug 2, 1993 -1.1 Aug 30, 1993 -0.6 Sep 27. 1993 -1.2 Oct 25. 1993 -0.3 Dec 6, 1993 -5.0 Ratio 2.658 2.673 2.671 2.643 7 21 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1992 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: January 31, 1994 Aug Sep 20 3 17 31 14 28 Oct 1994 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 335 325 315 o Z 2 O ■ Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending January 31, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Feb 1. 1993 10.5 May 3, 1993 10.5 Aug 2. 1993 10.3 Aua 30. 1993 10.3 t 4. 1993 9.7 v 1, 1993 0.3 v 29, 1993 1.5 i 325 315 Billions of Dollars ------------1--------------- 1------------- 1-------------- O O 335 305 305 199 4 Dec 27 32 .5 Jan 3 32 2.5 10 323.7 17 324.9 24 326.0 31 327.6 1 l '1 ■ 1 ■ M 235 285 BiJJi2112 r-i" r ■ 2 21 Dec rn-r 1 11 1 15 Jan Feb ' ~i ' i >1 ■ I I » I r Ml'1 1 15 2! 12 2S 10 20 7 21 S 1! Mar 1992 Apr May Jun ■Ml ■Ml ■Ml -f 1 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 H 20 Aug Jul Nov Dec 1993 Sep Oct Jan Feb 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: January 31, 1994 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 235 285 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures N N, * * —■ 7.0 /s «s. --------- 1 ----- 9.0 . 9.0 Corp orate Aaa Jonde "* «« x. \ N *" s' — r v— 7.0 S■ 6.0 p im« Bo L >an Rat :k\ W! *\ • ^. v' V. % V Munic pal Bor ds . —. * •** 5.0 4.0 4.0 V 3.0 3.0 Cor nmerek 1 Paper 4 18 1 15 2! 12 28 12 28 9 23 7 21 Dec Jan 1992 Feb Mar Apr May 4 18 2 18 30 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 11 25 Jun Jul 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1994 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: February 11,1994 1994 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** Nov 19 26 Dec 3 10 17 24 31 Jan 7 14 21 28 Feb 4 11 * 3.14 3.15 3.27 3.41 3.34 3.31 3.35 3.21 3.12 3.13 3.11 3.14 3.41 3.33 3.36 3.35 3.31 3.23 3.20 3.24 3.22 3.13 3.12 3.12 3.20 3.38 3.28 3.29 3.30 3.26 3.20 3.18 3.21 3.16 3.09 3.07 3.07 3.19 3.39 6.94 6.99 6.95 6.86 6.97 6.95 6.94 7.01 6.87 6.92 6.91 6.93 7.04 7.69 7.74 7.70 7.61 7.72 7.70 7.71 7.75 7.61 7.64 7.62 7.61 7.72 5.46 5.49 5.46 5.33 5.36 5.34 5.28 5.34 5.31 5.29 5.28 5.25 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available •* Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N A - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent 7.0 7.0 1_____ N \ 6.0 5-Year Tcaeur t Securi ties V \ ' 5.0 / f s. / ■ /' '\ \ / 5.0 t------- j < > __ \ 1.0 F*d«ral Fi jnde Ra b L—s } 't Z' 01 Discount Rt to ** V r, A| / 3.0 3—Mon h T ■eceury Bill 2.0 4 18 1 15 29 12 2S 12 26 Dec Jon Feb Mar 1992 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 11 25 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Feb Nov Dec Jan 1993 1994 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: February 11,1994 1994 Nov 19 26 Dec 3 10 17 24 31 Jan 7 14 21 28 Feb 4 11 * Federal Funds ** 3.03 2.98 3.09 2.92 2.94 2.99 2.99 3.00 2.98 3.13 2.97 3.17 3.20 3-Month Treasury Bill 1-Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 3.11 3.12 3.12 3.07 3.04 3.06 3.02 3.05 2.97 2.96 2.93 3.08 3.24 3.42 3.46 3.46 3.44 3.47 3.45 3.45 3.46 3.38 3.36 3.35 3.49 3.69 5.04 5.13 5.14 5.10 5.18 5.16 5.14 5.21 5.03 5.06 5.05 5.14 5.36 10—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 5.71 6.20 5.83 6.30 5.80 6.25 5.71 6.14 5.82 6.26 5.79 6.24 5.77 6.22 5.85 6.30 5.69 6.15 5.74 6.17 5.74 6.16 5.80 6.18 5.96 6.34 ... - - - - - - - -in - - Federal Reserve Board's H. 15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities rr .or - the which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown *♦* Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 2.0 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M2 1994 3560 ” Billions M2 (left scale) Dec 27 3564.1 Jan 3 3566.4 10 3567.8. 17 3575.1 24 3573.3 31 3568.4 Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1994 Billions Dec 27 2433.1 Jan 3 2436.4 10 2437.3 17 2441.9 24 2436.9 31 2431.9 7 21 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 2325 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 Nov Dec Jan 1993 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: January 31, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial bonks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) To the average Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 2/1/93 5/3/93 6/28/93 8/2/93 8/30/93 10/4/93 11/1/93 11/29/93 ending: 6/28/93 8/2/93 8/30/93 10/4/93 11/1/93 11/29/93 1/3/94 1/31/94 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4.5 3.5 3.3 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.8 1.4 1.9 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.8 2.6 2.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1250 —I-------- 1---------Savings 1994 Billions 1220 1190 Billions of Dollars 410 Dec 27 1216.8 Jan 3 1215.2 10 12 17.4 17 12 25.2 24 12 21.1 31 12 19.7 Sav *-, ■ - V ^ .** — . . /**• 350 ^N ' Mo nay Ma rkat (ri jht sea le) 1100 320 Mo ley Me rket 199 4 Sjjn ons Dec 17 1130 34 5.4 10 351.5 17 349.3 24 348.5 31 345.5 ______ I______ 1 is 21 12 20 io 24 7 21 5 1! 2 i« 3 ij 27 il 25 2I 1 10 15 1 22 i 20 3 17 31 14 2 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1992 1993 1994Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. . 290 200 . . _ ------• J/ Large and Small Time — Deposits1 All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures. Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars ----------1—■—i-------Small Time 1994 Billions Dec 27 783.4 Jan 3 781.6 10 780.8 370 >4 51 Larg (Time left sc lie) 77?J.8 77' ^.8 340 940 875 * ^ "** «■* ^ Lc rge Ti me 19 S4 m lions 310 1005 Jan 3 10 17 24 31 - _. 810 * ^ 339.3 340.7 342.5 342.6 338.3 Small ‘ Ime (ri ght see le) •» ^ ...l, 200 7 21 Deo 1992 4 1* 1 Jan 15 Feb 1 LT-'1 1 ■ T"n n r 1 TT T'T t V *'? ■ i ■ r'T'T r"t 7 1 ' 1 Ml'1 15 29 12 29 10 24 7 2 1 5 1 9 2 1i JO 13 27 11 25 I 22 S 20 J Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 17 31 14 20 Jan Feb 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: January 31, 1994 1 / Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 745 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1994 Jan 5 12 19 26 ■Feb 2 9 Billions 0.237 0.018 0.128 0.039 0.051 0.045 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 20 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1992 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1993 Jan Feb 1994 Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings From hederal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1994 Jan 5 12 19 26 Feb 2 9 Billions 0.237 — 0.018 0.128 0.039 0.051 — 0.045 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 Dec 1992 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: February 9, 1994 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1994 ______ ______ Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions 2 1$ 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 IS 30 14 28 11 25 I 22 S 20 3 17 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jui 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov 15 20 1! 21 0 23 Latest data plotted week ending: February 2. 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans'7 Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks2/ Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 325 Billions of Dollars -------------- 1---------------1--------------1--------------- -------------- J--------------,— Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four 315 305 295 1994 January 26, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Jan 27. 1993 -1.1 Apr 28. 1993 0.9 Jul 28, 1993 -1.0 Aug 25, 1993 -0.7 Sep 29. 1993 -0.1 Oct 27, 1993 0.3 Jan 29 5 12 19 26 325 Billions 278.896 277.784 278.201 280.173 279.939 315 305 295 285 285 275 275 265 ■ "T ■ T t-i-i 2 16 Deo r r ■ 1 t r i -l-r-T-r-l "'"T n "'*• t r 1 rn i 1 ' 1 w1 1 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 It 30 14 28 II 25 I 22 S 20 3 17 Jan Feb Mar 1992 Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov 1 15 28 12 26 9 23 Dec Jan Feb 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: January 26, 1994 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/ Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.4 billion D .. _ . ^ . . Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 265 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 19941973=100 Feb 2 2 1$ 30 13 27 tO 24 10 24 7 21 5 1) 2 It 30 14 28 Feb Mar 1992 Apr May Jun 1993 25 8 22 S 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 2S 9 23 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: February 9, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis SM3IA3U S3 Adtfdan 6