Full text of U.S. Financial Data : December 22, 1994
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yonc * 7 22, 1994 ■set | '( of St. Louis FI I »lmi: KM a kfmk\f: XltWkul fw st. mi ls U.S. Financial Data ■ THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ The final third-quarter estimate shows that real gross domestic product (GDP) rose at a 4 percent annual rate, up 0.1 percentage points from last month’s preliminary estimate. The fixed-weighted price index for gross domestic purchases (prices paid by U.S. residents) rose at a 3.5 percent rate in the third quarter after rising at a 2.9 percent rate over the first half of 1994. ✓ The trade deficit for goods and services measured $10.1 billion in October, following a revised $9.4 billion deficit in September. For the first 10 months in 1994, the trade deficit measured $90.5 billion, compared with $63.7 billion for the same period in 1993. ✓ Privately owned housing starts in November were at an annual rate of1,540,000 units, up 6.9 percent from October. Total housing starts have risen 9.5 percent since November 1993. 1/ Corporate Aaa bonds yielded 8.45 percent for the week ending December 23, down 29 basis points from six weeks ago, but up 150 basis points from one year ago (see page 6). USFD will not be published next week because of the Christmas holiday. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages or uaiiy Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted 1994 Billions Oct 12 451.7 453.5 451.2 455.3 452.8 452.3 _ Nov 9 Dec 7 S 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 29 9 23 9 23 8 20 1 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 10 30 14 28 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1993 1994 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: December 21. 1994 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base T .. . Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: I o the average of 12/22/93 3/16/94 5/25/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 8/17/94 9/14/94 10/26/94 two maintenance periods ending: 5/25/94 8/22/94 7/20/94 8/17/94 9/14/94 10/26/94 11/23/94 12/21/94 10.6 10.4 10.1 9.7 9.3 8.7 8.1 7.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.6 7.1 7.0 6.B 6.5 6.0 5.2 8.7 8.1 7.4 6.8 6.1 5.0 7.7 6.9 6.4 5.6 4.4 6.1 5.8 4.9 3.6 5.3 4.4 2.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages ot Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1150 - 1994 Billions Nov 7 14 21 28 Dec 5 12 1143.8 1143.5 1152.9 1152.0 1150.2 1148.3 Billions of Dollars M1 (left scale) TCD (right scale) 1994 TCD Billions Nov 7 14 21 28 Dec 5 12 4 II 1 Oct 783.2 782.8 791.6 789.8 787.8 786.7 15 21 13 27 18 24 7 21 7 21 4 18 2 II 30 13 27 11 25 I 22 5 IS 3 17 31 14 21 12 21 Nov 1993 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1994 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: December 12, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) To the average Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 12/13/93 3/14/94 5/9/94 6/13/94 7/11/94 8/15/94 9/12/94 10/10/94 ending: 5/9/94 6/13/94 7/11/94 8/15/94 9/12/94 10/10/94 11/14/94 12/12/94 3.0 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.4 2.8 2.0 2.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.4 2.1 2.5 2.2 1.6 0.6 1.2 5.1 4.7 3.7 2.6 1.1 1.8 4.3 3.1 1.7 0.2 1.1 2.4 0.8 -0.8 0.5 -1.1 -2.5 -0.5 -3.9 -0.8 0.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars 1994 Ssasonolly Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions Nov 9 23 102.6 Dec 7 Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1994 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted two weeks ending; December 7, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 12/8/93 3/2/94 5/11/94 6/8/94 7/6/94 8/3/94 8/31/94 10/12/94 two maintenance periods ending: 5/11/94 6/8/94 7/6/94 8/3/94 8/31/94 10/12/94 11/9/94 12/7/94 3.8 3.8 2.4 3.2 3.1 2.4 -0.4 -0.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -7.2 -6.9 -4.2 -3.2 -2.9 -6.0 -5.9 -1.3 2.1 2.2 1.1 -3.8 -4.0 1.3 1.7 0.6 -5.2 -5.1 5.8 2.5 -5.0 -5.0 0.0 -8.7 -7.9 -12.8 -10.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • • Money Multiplier1/ Ratio seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending December 5, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Dec 6, 1993 -5.0 Mar 14, 1994 -4.6 Jun 6, 1994 -4.3 Jul 18, 1994 -4.7 Aug 15, 1994 -5.3 Sep 12, 1994 -5.3 Oct 10. 1994 -4.3 4 !8 1 15 29 13 27 Ratio Sep 26 2.551 Oct 10 2.545 2.534 _ 2.536 2.522 2.542 Nov 7 Dec 10 24 7 21 7 21 5 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: December 5, 1994 Jun Jul 1994 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 360 350 360 Billions of Dollars 360 -------- 1--------- 1---------Compounded annu al rates of change, average of the fou weeks ending . December 12. 1994 the four weeks end ng: Dec 13, 1993 1C .3 Mar 14, 1994 .3 Jun 13, 1994 .8 Au< 15, Sep 12. Oct 10. 994 994 994 350 340 .2 .2 .5 330 330 320 310 ~T 1 1 4 1! Oct BillieiJ13 Nov 7 14 21 28 Dec 5 12 352 .3 352 .4 352.9 353.6 353.9 353.1 'I'M *T T I '■ T'"T ■ I ■' r-'-i *rrW ■ I M I 1 994 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 7 21 4 1! 2 11 30 13 27 11 23 8 22 S 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 28 Nov 1993 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1994 Aug Sep Oct Nov 320 310 Dec Latest data plotted week ending: December 12, 1994 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averoges of Doily Figures Corporate Aaa donda Loan Rate 1 IS 2! 12 21 Oct Nov 1993 II 1 15 2! 12 27 10 24 I 22 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1994 2 11 30 14 21 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: December 23, 1 994 1994 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** Sep 30 Oct 7 14 21 28 Nov 4 11 18 25 Dec 2 9 16 23 * 5.01 5.08 5.08 4.96 4.98 5.05 5.24 5.50 5.60 5.79 6.09 6.12 6.07 5.21 5.51 5.49 5.47 5.56 5.59 5.72 5.80 5.87 6.08 6.28 6.30 6.26 5.13 5.42 5.40 5.38 5.45 5.52 5.63 5.74 5.77 5.99 6.17 6.20 6.13 8.48 8.57 8.50 8.54 8.65 8.68 8.74 8.70 8.63 8.57 8.47 8.46 8.45 9.10 9.20 9.14 9.18 9.29 9.32 9.37 9.33 9.26 9.21 9.11 9.10 9.08 6.43 6.50 6.44 6.49 6.64 6.83 6.96 7.06 7.03 6.90 6.88 6.77 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.1S release. * Averages of rates available Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures ✓^ \ Discount Rate I 15 2! 12 25 10 24 7 21 4 18 4 IS 1 15 29 13 11 10 21 Nov 1993 Dec Jan Sep 30 Oct 7 14 21 28 Nov 4 11 18 25 Dec 2 9 16 23 + Federal Funds ** Mar 3-Month Treasury Bill Apr May 22 5 19 2 15 30 14 28 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: December 23, 1994 1994 Feb 1—Year Treasury Bill 5—Year Treasury Securities 10—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 4.66 5.07 4.62 4.72 4.72 4.77 4.74 5.22 5.53 5.85 5.47 5.48 5.56 4.66 5.58 7.25 7.60 7.89 4.90 5.71 7.38 7.72 7.99 4.91 5.67 7.30 7.65 7.92 4.94 5.76 7.37 7.71 7.97 5.01 5.86 7.53 7.86 8.08 5.10 5.90 7.61 7.94 8.14 5.22 6.00 7.69 8.00 8.19 5.34 6.18 7.73 7.97 8.16 5.31 6.22 7.74 7.91 8.10 5.53 6.45 7.79 7.89 8.06 5.70 6.62 7.74 7.79 7.95 5.66 6.73 7.78 7.82 7.96 5.48 6.62 7.76 7.81 7.94 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 2500 M2 1994 Billions Nov 7 14 21 28 Dec 5 12 M2 (left scale) 3585.6 3586.3 3603.6. 3599.8 3598.3 3593.9 2475 2450 / 'I 2425 Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1994 Billions Nov 7 14 21 28 Dec 5 12 4 II 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 Feb 1993 7 21 4 18 2 18 30 13 27 11 25 Mar Apr May Jun 1994 8 22 Aug 5 2441.8 2442.8 2450.7 2447.8 2448.1 2445.6 II 3 17 31 14 21 12 21 Sep Oct Nov Dec 2400 2375 Latest data plotted week ending: December 12, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of Ml, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 12/13/93 3/14/94 5/9/94 6/13/94 7/11/94 8/15/94 9/12/94 10/10/94 ending: 5/9/94 6/13/94 7/11/94 8/15/94 9/12/94 10/10/94 11/14/94 12/12/94 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.7 1.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.3 1.6 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.4 -0.1 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 -0.5 0.2 0.9 0.2 -0.5 0.4 -1.2 -1.6 -0.2 -1.8 0.0 0.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1994 Billions Nov 7 14 21 28 Dec 5 12 Small Time 1994 Billions 1161.8 1160.2 1161.5 1158.71151.2 1146.1 Nov 7 14 21 28 Dec 5 12 801.8 804.7 806.8 808!7 — 855 811.3 814.1 » DeposHs(left scale) Small Time (right scale) 4 II Oct I 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 7 21 4 18 2 18 30 13 27 11 25 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 1994 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. 22 5 I9 3 17 31 14 28 12 25 Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1 / All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Large 1994 Nov 7 14 21 28 Dec 5 12 Billions of Dollars Time Billions 357.9 359.0 359.2 360.8 361.7 364.6 Money Market 1994 Billions Nov 7 14 21 28 Dec 5 12 366.6 368.1 372.1 371.8 — 372.7 375.9 Large Time » 18 I 15 2! 13 27 10 24 Nov Dec 1993 7 21 Feb 7 21 Mar 8 IS 2 If 10 11 27 11 25 8 22 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: December 12, 1994 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 1! 1 17 II 14 21 12 !f Sep Oct Nov Dec Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Nov 16 0.204 0.197 0.224 0.208 Dec 7 Billions of Dollars 0.237 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1993 1994 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $1 million in the week ending July 20, 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown in the chart. Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Bank 1994 Nov 2 9 16 23 30 Dec 7 Credit Billions 3292.9' 3284.3 3292.0 3303.4 3306.53306.7 20 Oct Billions of Dollars Bank Credit (left scale) Loans and Leases (right scale) 6 1 Loans&Leases 1994 Billions__ Nov 2 2334.4 9 2333.8 16 2342.5 . 23 2354.2__ 30 2356.4 Dec 7 2358.6 3 17 1 15 29 12 2fi 9 23 § 23 S 20 4 18 1 IS 29 1] 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 IS 30 14 28 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1993 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : December 7, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancia) Companies Billions ot Dollars 1994 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions 157.522 155.958 165.007 Dec 7 164.725 163.281 i M 1 II I 15 20 I! !t ! 21 ) 21 S JO 4 1! I IS 20 1] 27 IS M 7 !1 S I! 2 IS 18 14 !l Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1994 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: December 14. 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars 650 All Bar 64V 630 330 ks 1994 Bi lions "Nov 2 6 35.4 9 6 35.3 16 6 39.3 23 6 40.1 Dec 7 320 mm ^ m 641.2 (20 Lori • BankJ (rigt t scale (10 /’ (00 _ )2/ 310 •y 300 / \/ * 200 J Lar ge Ba iks 199 - 300 «)1/ All B<ink* (1 eft u. 300 Billions of Dollars -----------1------------- — seal Nov 2 9 16 23 O Dec 7 Billi 308.4 307.6 309.2 310.3 310.2 309.2 200 270 T-''T ' r'T' i1 Tf l r 1 ■ 1 •3T'Hd rr 'll 1 « o f 2(0 * 26 3 17 1 15 2! 1! !l S 2i 0 !1 S IS 4 11 1 IS 2! 11 27 IS 24 7 21 5 1! 2 IS 10 14 21 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1993 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : December 7. 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.B release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973-100 Averages of Daily Figures 1973-100 1994 1973-100 I 20 Oct 3 17 1 15 2! 12 21 Nov Dec Jan 1993 i 23 1 23 t 21 4 II 1 15 21 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 I! Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 2 It 31 14 21 Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: December 21. 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ss PC M n PC > CQ W M QJ J lO 05 CM