Full text of U.S. Financial Data : December 1, 1994
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Si ll IE •er 1, 1994 Decei *ARY I HE I EDI ItVI. j reserve HANK of SI.KU IS nrr 0 ?= 1994 THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ According to the preliminary estimate, real GDP increased at a 3.9 percent annual rate in the third quarter, 0.5 percentage points above last month’s advance estimate. Inventory investment declined in the third quarter as real final sales (GDP less inventory accumula tion) rose at a 4.2 percent rate. ✓ Real disposable personal income rose at a strong 16.4 percent rate in October. Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) also posted a strong increase, rising at a 7 percent rate. Data revisions indicate that real PCE rose at a 3.1 percent rate over the JuneSeptember period, up from the original 2.6 percent rate. ✓ The Conference Board reported that its index of consumer confidence jumped 12.2 percentage points in October to 101.3 (1985=100). This is the largest monthly increase in nearly two years. t/ The National Association of Realtors reported that existing single family home sales rose 0.5 percent in October, the first increase in two months. On a year-to-date basis, existing home sales are up 7.3 percent over the same period last year. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Dairy f igures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions Sep 14 450.5 Oct 12 451.7 453.5 451.3 455.3 Nov 6 9 20 3 17 1 Oct Nov 1993 15 29 12 2S Dec Jan 9 23 Feb S 23 6 20 Mar Apr 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 May Jun Jul 1994 10 24 Aug 7 21 Sep 5 19 Oct 2 10 31 14 21 Nov Dec Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: November 23, 1994 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutigns at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of ail depository institutions,) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary Base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 4/27/94 5/25/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 8/17/94 9/28/94 10/26/94 11/23/94 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 11/24/93 2/16/94 4/27/94 5/25/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 8/17/94 9/28/94 10.5 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.6 8.2 7.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.5 7.0 7.3 7.2 7.0 6.7 6.2 6.2 7.0 7.0 6.7 6.3 5.8 8.7 8.1 7.4 6.8 6.1 7.7 7.0 6.4 5.6 6.3 5.8 4.9 5.3 4.4 3.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages ot Daily Hgures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1150 - 1994 Billions Oct 17 24 31 Nov 7 14 21 1148.4 1149.6 11 1143.8 1143.6 1153.0 Billions of Dollars M1 (left scale) TCD (right scale) TCD 1994 Billions Oct 17 24 31 Nov 7 14 21 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 7 21 Feb 7 21 Mar 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Apr May Jun Jul 1994 8 22 Aug 5 790.9 791.0 783.8 783.2 782.9 791.8 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Sep Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: November 21, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (M l) T .. Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 10 tne average ^/22/g.j 2/2l/94 4/18/94 5/23/94 6/20/94 7/18/94 8/22/94 9/19/94 of four weeks ending: 4/18/94 5/23/94 6/20/94 7/18/94 8/22/94 9/19/94 10/24/94 11/21/94 5.2 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.4 2.7 2.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.6 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.0 0.9 1.8 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.3 4.2 3.5 2.9 1.6 0.8 3.0 2.3 0.9 0.1 1.7 0.1 -0.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 114 1994 Billions Sop 14 28 Oct 12 26 Nov 9 23 103.8 104.1 ■ 103.4 103.7 99.0 102.7 110 106 102 98 94 6 20 Oct 3 17 I 15 29 12 21 Nov Dec Jan 1993 9 23 Feb 9 23 Mar 6 20 Apr 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 May Jun Jul Aug 1994 7 21 Sep 5 19 2 If 30 14 2! Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted two weeks ending: November 23, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 11/24/93 2/16/94 4/27/94 5/25/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 8/17/94 9/26/94 periods ending: 4/27/94 5/25/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 B/17/94 9/28/94 10/26/94 11/23/94 6.9 3.0 3.3 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.1 -0.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -6.9 -4.3 -3.3 -2.6 -1.7 -2.1 -5.2 -6.1 -3.7 -2.5 -1.1 -1.7 -5.9 3.2 2.5 2.5 1.2 -4.2 1.3 1.8 0.3 -5.8 2.0 0.0 -7.3 -0.5 -9.7 -17.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90 Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.2 , 3.0 Ratio I---------- 1----------Compounded annu 0, rates of change, average of the fou weeks ending November 21, 1994 from the four weeks end ing: _ Nov Feb May Jun Jul Aug bep 2.8 22, 14, 23, 20, 18. 15, 1993 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 -S -4 H -5 .1 .8 .9 .2 .5 -6 .5 .1 l I 1994 Ratio Sep 12 26 2.560 2.551 24 7 21 2.5 34 2.5 36 2.5 22 Nov 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 0 I II Oct 1 IS !! 11 27 11 20 7 21 7 21 0 H 1 IS 10 11 27 II 25 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: November 21, 1994 n 1 i ■ i * i ■ ' i i 1 1 1 1 ' 1 ' I 22 S 19 1 17 31 10 21 12 2S Auq Sep Oct Nov Dec 2.0 Currency Component of Ml2/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 309 309 300 ■ |---------- 1----------Compounded annu al rates of change, average of the fou weeks ending November 21, 1994 the four weeks en< ing: Nov 22. 1993 1C .5 Feb 21, 1994 .9 May 23, 1994 .3 Jun 20. 1994 .3 Jul 18, 994 .0 Aug 22, 994 -1 Sef 19, 994 .9 Billions of Dollars 300 300 - 300 330 330 320 1994 Billiem Oct 1 7 24 31 7 14 21 349 .2 350 .4 352.3 352.3 352.4 352.9 Nov 310 i 1 Oct 30 Nov 1993 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 13 27 11 25 Jun Jul 1994 S 22 5 19 Aug Sep - 1 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: November 21, 1994 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 320 310 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures -Ana Bonds- 1 IS 2) 12 26 10 24 7 21 i 18 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1993 4 18 1 IS 29 13 27 Mar Apr May 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1994 11 2S Nov 9 23 Dec Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: December 2. 1994 1994 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances 4.82 4.87 4.93 5.01 5.08 5.08 4.96 4.98 5.05 5.24 5.50 5.60 5.63 4.89 4.96 5.08 5.21 5.51 5.49 5.47 5.56 5.59 5.72 5.80 5.87 5.98 4.81 4.88 5.01 5.13 5.42 5.40 5.38 5.45 5.52 5.63 5.74 5.77 5.91 Sep 9 16 23 30 Oct 7 14 21 2B Nov 4 11 18 25 Dec 2 * Corporate Aaa Bonds 8.22 8.32 8.41 8.48 8.57 8.50 8.54 8.65 8.68 8.74 8.70 8.63 8.61 Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 8.88 8.97 9.04 9.10 9.20 9.14 9.18 9.29 9.32 9.37 9.33 9.26 9.24 6.18 6.24 6.37 6.43 6.50 6.44 6.49 6.64 6.83 6.96 7.06 7.03 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds. Thursday data N A — Not Available http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Funds Rate 1 15 29 12 21 10 24 Nov Dec 7 21 Jan 4 11 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Feb Mar Apr May Jun 8 22 Jul 5 19 2 11 31 14 28 Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: December 2. 1994 1994 Sep 9 16 23 30 Oct 7 14 21 28 Nov 4 11 18 25 Dec 2 * Federal Funds ** 4.74 4.70 4.73 4.66 5.07 4.62 4.72 4.72 4.77 4.74 5.22 5.53 5.85 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities 4.56 4.59 4.71 4.66 4.90 4.91 4.94 5.01 5.10 5.22 5.34 5.31 5.49 5.30 5.38 5.53 5.58 5.71 5.67 5.76 5.86 5.90 6.00 6.18 6.22 6.39 6.95 7.05 7.17 7.25 7.38 7.30 7.37 7.53 7.61 7.69 7.73 7.74 7.81 7.33 7.44 7.54 7.60 7.72 7.65 7.71 7.86 7.94 8.00 7.97 7.91 7.91 Long-Term Treasury Securities 7.65 7.76 7.84 7.89 7.99 7.92 7.97 8.08 8.14 8.19 8.1 S 8.10 8.07 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven—day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3520 Billions of Dollars 2500 ^ M2 ^ M2 ( left see le) 1994 Oct 17 24 . 31 Nov 7 14 21 3595 Billions 3596.6 3594.9 3584,8.. 35 87.4 35 88.2 36 05.5 2475 A A 3570 1 f V'- A 'n / > ~\ / V V /N ' / > ' V V 1 1 J -'n \ V 2425 3595 Non- M1 M2 (right cale) Nor -M1 A2 1994 Billie ns 3520 3995 2450 Oct 17 24 31 Nov 7 14 21 4 i l ' * 1 « 1 rrr i 1 i II 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 i ' i 7 21 Feb i • i » 7 21 Mar 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Apr May Jun Ju! 1994 8 22 Aug 5 2448.2 2445.3 2440.4 2443.6 2444.6 2452.5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Sep Oct Nov Dec 2400 2375 Latest data plotted week ending: November 21, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 11/22/93 2/21/94 4/18/94 5/23/94 6/20/94 7/18/94 8/22/94 9/19/94 ending: 0.0 -0.4 1 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 6 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 -0.2 00 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.1 0.8 N 2.4 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.0 0 4/16/94 5/23/94 6/20/94 7/16/94 8/22/94 9/19/94 10/24/94 11/21/94 -0.9 -0.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1934 Small Time 1994 Billions Billions Oct 17 24 31 -Nov 7 14 21 1174.9 1172.5 1166.8 1161.7 1160.1 1161.4 Oct 17 24 Nov 792.8 795.8 798.5 7 804.5 Savings Dsposit8(left scale) Small Tims (right scale) 4 18 Oct I 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 7 21 4 18 2 18 38 13 27 11 25 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 1994 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 21 12 28 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1 / rui ucpuaiiuiy iiiauiuuuna Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Large Time 1994 Billions Oct 17 24 31 Nov 7 14 21 4 18 1 Money Market 1_9£4 Billions 354.4 357.8 359.3 360.1 361.3 361.4 15 29 13 27 10 24 1993 Oct 17 Nov 7 365.1 364.6 365.8 368.1 372.1 7 21 Feb 7 21 Mar 4 18 2 18 30 13 27 11 25 Apr May Jun Jul 1994 8 22 Aug 5 19 Sep 17 31 14 28 12 28 Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: November 21, 1994 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money morket funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1994 Nov 6 2 Billions of Dollars Billions 0.335 0.271 0.430 0.204 0.197 0.224 20 Oct 3 I7 1 15 28 12 26 9 23 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1993 . 1994 . . . . . Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $1 million in the week ending July 20, 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown in the chart. Bank Loans and Credit Billions of Dollars 3350 3300 3250 I Bank 1994 “Oct 12 19 26 Nov 2 y 16 V All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 2175 Cr edit Bil lions 32 76.3 32 89.0 32 92.8 32 92.5 32 90.1 2325 B ank Cnsdrt (!e t scale 2375 r' 2325 \ 3200 \ N W /- 3150 2275 ✓ < 3100 •—^ ■s. ++ /V id lea *»» (ri< ht sea 3050 Loan s&Lec ses Billi ons 199 Oct 12 19 26 Nov 2 9 6 2324.8 2330.3 2331.3 2334.0 2333.8 2341.1 2225 2175 „ ,l , 15 29 12 26 9 23 9 23 6 20 4 18 15 2 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 ! IS 30 11 1 17 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Nov 1994 1993 Latest Wednesday data plotted : November 16, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1 / Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20 Oct 3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2125 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted 1994 Billions Oct 19 26 Nov 2 9 16 23 158.314 160.325 161.721 157.522 155.958 165.007 Nov 1993 Dec Nov Dec 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: November 23, 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars (40 1 All Ban ks 1994 fii lions (30 — Oct 12 19 26 Nov 2 9 _ 16 Biltiona of Dollars 320 AJ 6 31.3 6 35.1 6 35.2 6 35.2 6 34.8 6 39.0 310 ** ^ * v/ / r * 300 610 Lar( • Bank» (righ t scale r' " r w ✓ ^ 290 ’ 199' : Oct 2 9 26 Nov 2 9 6 * 090 Ml Ban)(M (left scale) 500 MM1 r ■t» rT l I I1 ' 1 ' 1 U / i i « i Oct i » i Billions 307.1 308.0 308.2 308.0 — 306.9 308.8 T r 1 t Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1993 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : November 16, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 280 270 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 1994 1973=100 Oct 26 t 21 3 17 1 15 29 12 2t Nov Dec 1993 9 23 Feb 3 23 Mar I 20 4 10 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 7 21 Sep Nov 2 1! 2 It 30 14 20 Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: November 30, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis w 3s M w > U £& a OS J in cv