Full text of U.S. Financial Data : August 25, 1994
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25, 1994 m % 5 m Federal Reserve B-an it FFDKKVI KISKKW IVVNkot SIIOIIS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ Manufacturers ’ new orders for durable goods decreased 4.2 percent in July after rising 1.2 percent in June. New orders for the first seven months of1994 were up 13.3 percent from the same period in 1993. Data for new orders are not adjustedfor inflation. ✓ The trade deficit for U.S. goods and services measured $9.4 billion in June, down $0.1 billion from May. The trade deficit totaled $27.4 billion in the second quarter, up $3.2 billion from the first quarter. ✓ The yield on three-month Treasury bills averaged 4.55 percent for the week ending on August 26, up 18 basis points from six weeks earlier and 155 basis points from one year earlier. ✓ The yield on long-term Treasury securities averaged 7.59 percent for the week ending August 26, down six basis points from six weeks earlier, but up 156 basis points from a year earlier. \/ The dollar’s trade-weighted index has changed little in the past six weeks, rising 0.3 percent, but it is down 5.8 percentfrom a year ago. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1994 Jun 8 22 Jul 6 20 Aug 3 17 Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions 441.7 444.2 444.1 447.4 446.7 449.' 7 21 4 II 1 15 21 13 27 10 24 ! 22 5 IS 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 0 22 6 20 3 17 3! 14 28 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: August 17, 1994 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accoynts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency hdd by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major sourc? of the adjusted monetaiy base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 8/18/93 n/io/93 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/11/94 6/22/94 two maintenance periods ending: 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/11/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 8/17/94 8.8 10.7 10.4 9.8 9.4 9.2 9.1 9.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11.8 11.0 10.0 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.8 14.9 11.6 10.1 9.6 9.4 9.1 6.8 6.5 7.0 7.3 7.3 5.5 6.6 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.6 7.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Billions of Dollars Averages or uany figures Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted 1994 M1 Billions Jul 11 18 25 Aug 1 8 15 1149.9 1152.7 ■ 1158.5 1158.9 1147.8 1148.2 M1 (left scale) TCD (right scale) Billions Jul 11 Aug 5 19 2 Jul 1 799.8 802.0 — 806.6 805.8 795.2 795.2 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1993 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: August 15, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. checks'* 9Um °* currency ky the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) To thp nvprnnp Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks endinq: of four weeks 8/16/93 11/15/93 2/14/94 3/14/94 4/lB/y4 4/lS/94 5/16/94 5/16/94 9 6/13/94 , ii/ij/sj 1/17/94 i/i//h4 £./ 14/34 O/14/34 ending: 1/17/94 2/14/94 3/14/94 4/18/94 5/16/94 6/13/94 7/18/94 8/15/94 8.6 8.3 7.8 7.1 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.5 6.0 5.4 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.1 5.5 4.6 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.8 1.2 2.1 2.6 3.0 -0.3 1.4 2.2 2.7 0.2 1.8 2.5 4.8 4.8 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 114 1994 Billions 102.8 22 6 20 Aug 3 17 Jul 110 104.2 102.0 105.2 102.5 105.0 106 102 98 94 7 21 4 II 1 15 29 13 27 Aug Sep Oct 25 8 22 6 21 3 17 31 14 21 24 6 22 5 IS 2 If 2 16 30 13 27 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: August 17, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 8/18/93 11/10/93 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/11/94 6/22/94 1.5 1.8 1.9 periods ending: 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/11/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 8/17/94 7.2 10.2 8.1 5.4 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13.0 8.8 4.5 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.7 10.5 2.1 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 -8.9 -7.2 -4.3 -3.3 -2.5 -8.4 -4.2 -3.0 -2.0 -0.5 0.0 0.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90 Money Multiplier 1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending August 15, 1 994 from the four weeks ending: Aug 16, 1993 -3.0 Nov 8, 1993 -4.0 Feb 14, 1994 -3.9 Mar 14. 1994 -4.1 Apr 11. 1994 -5.0 May 9, 1994 -3.0 Jun 20, 1994 -3.0 5 I! Jul Ratio Ratio Jul 4 Aug 1 1 11 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 C 20 3 17 31 14 1! H !! II !5 ! !3 I ?0 4 II Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 1994 2.590 2.584 2.594 2.553 13 21 12 21 Aug Sep Latest data plotted two weeks ending: August 15, 1994 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 350 I I Compounded annu al rates of change, average of the fou r weeks ending August 15, 1994 f the four weeks enc ing: Aug 16, 1993 1 3.7 Nov 15, 1993 1 3.9 Feb 14. 1994 1 3.5 Mar 14. 1994 1 3.1 Apr 18, 994 3.8 Ma> 16, 994 3.7 Jur 13, 994 3.9 340 330 Billions of Dollars 350 340 - 330 320 320 11^ Billie ns Jul 1 1 18 25 Aug 1 8 15 341 .8 342 .5 343.6 344.B 344.4 344.8 l i 1 I 1 I11 I 1 I 310 5 A II 2 II 30 13 27 II 25 I 2! ( 20 3 17 31 14 2! 14 21 II 25 I 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 21 12 20 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: August 15, 1994 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 310 300 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Loan Rate 2 11 31 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 1$ 3 17 31 14 20 11 25 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 Jul Aug Sep Oct 1993 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1 May Jun 1994 15 29 12 20 9 23 Jul Aug Sep Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: August 26, 1994 1994 Jun 3 10 17 24 Jul 1 8 15 22 29 Aug 5 12 19 26 * 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 4.37 4.32 4.34 4.36 4,47 4.53 4.55 4.44 4.46 4.45 4.54 4.74 4.80 4.52 4.43 4.46 4.52 4.71 4.78 4.78 4.65 4.70 4.68 4.79 4.86 4.88 4.44 4.38 4.39 4.46 4.64 4.72 4.69 4.59 4.61 4.61 4.71 4.80 4.79 7.96 7.85 7.94 8.02 8.11 8.18 8.17 8.06 8.05 7.96 8.12 8.07 8.15 8.61 8.51 8.63 8.73 8.80 8.87 8.86 8.75 8.74 8.64 8.79 8.73 8.81 6.09 5.96 6.04 6.16 6.28 6.27 6.22 6.22 6.22 6.16 6.25 6.22 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available *• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data NA - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Averages of Daily Figures X-\ *' 5.0 ^ Discount Rate 2 II JO 13 27 10 24 Jul Aug Sep 22 5 1) 3 17 31 14 28 11 25 11 25 0 22 8 20 3 17 1 15 2! 12 21 i 23 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 7993 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: August 26, 1994 1994 Jun 3 10 17 24 Jul 1 8 15 22 29 Aug 5 12 19 26 ♦ Federal Funds ** 3—Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 4.27 4.13 4.21 4.19 4.19 4.38 4.30 4.30 4.28 4.28 4.26 4.35 4.66 4.15 5.04 6.70 7.09 7.39 4.11 4.89 6.54 6.97 7.28 4.12 4.90 6.65 7.08 7.39 4.16 5.00 6.76 7.17 7.47 4.16 5.18 6.89 7.27 7.57 4.28 5.19 6.95 7.34 7.64 4.37 5.18 6.97 7.36 7.65 4.30 5.10 6.83 7.23 7.52 4.39 5.22 6.89 7.26 7.53 4.34 5.12 6.77 7.15 7.41 4.40 5.29 6.96 7.31 7.58 4.56 5.30 6.90 7.24 7.53 4.55 5.32 6.93 7.27 7.59 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available •* Seven—day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars }620 2500 ^ M2 ^ 1994 35S5 Billions of Dollars Jul 11 18 - Aug 251 8 15 3570 Z'* V r 6.12 (left scale) Billions 3596.2 3600.7 3606.6 36 06.7 35 89.3 35 95.4 r\ N/> \ 2475 V A- S .A / / \ • \ / / i i A \ 2450 V \ / 1 3545 2425 V t on-M1 M2 (right sea le) Nor A2 199^1 3520 3405 JTS Jul 11 18 25 Aug 1 8 15 2446.3 2448.0 2448.1 2447.8 2441.5 2447.2 I 5 1) Ju! I 2 H 30 13 17 II 25 1 22 i 20 3 17 31 14 28 II 20 II 25 0 23 t 20 4 18 I 15 2! 12 26 Aug Jul Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 May Jun Aug 2400 2375 Sep 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: August 1 5, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of Ml, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 8/16/93 11/15/93 1/17/94 2/14/94 3/14/94 4/18/94 5/16/94 6/13/94 ending: 1/17/94 2/14/94 3/14/94 4/18/94 5/16/94 6/13/94 7/18/94 8/15/94 1.9 1.7 1.6 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.6 1.4 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 0.6 2.6 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.6 3.6 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.8 2.8 2.6 2.0 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 12)5 -------- 1----------1--------Savings 1994 Billions 1255 Billions of Dollars --------- 1----------1-------- 895 Small Time 1994 Billions Jul 11 1202.6 18 1202.9 25 1201.7 Jul 11 18 25 Aug 8 11 J6.2 15 11 J4.3 8 5 Scvilig» Dap osltt(l eft seal 0 770.9 772.2 773.9 855 lit .0 111 .3 1215 rl 815 -* __ — Sr tall Tin e (rig it scale ) ^« 1175 1135 775 5 II I It 38 13 !7 II 25 I 2! I 28 3 17 31 H !8 14 28 II 25 ! 23 1 18 4 II I 15 21 12 21 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 May Jun Jul Aug 735 Sep 1994 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1 / All Depository Institutions Averages of Dally Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 400 -------- ,----------1---------Large Time 1994 Billions 333.3 339.1 341.0 Jul 11 18 25 8 15 3 10 2 3-n.2 8 15 380 *■* • **• 'N \ — t Lar( a Tims 1 1 340 7 5 II 2 11 38 13 27 II 25 I 22 I 28 3 17 31 14 21 14 21 II 15 I 23 I 20 4 II I 15 21 12 24 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1993 Mar Apr May Jun Aug Sep 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: August 15, 1994 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 380 N ~ ■> Jul 400 380 340 320 364 364 / 1----f / 4oney larkot ✓ «• s^\ 363.6 364.7 363.4 I Jul 11 18 25 In udLi 380 Billions of Dollars 1----------1-------Money Market 1994 Billions 9 320 10 Total Borrowings From federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions Jul 20 27 Aug 3 10 17 24 0.462 0.443 0.472 0.432 0.453 0.485 Billions of Dollars 7 21 4 II 1 IS 21 1] 27 ID 24 8 22 5 II 2 IS 2 18 30 13 27 11 25 I 22 8 20 3 17 31 14 21 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 1994 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $1 million in the week ending July 20, 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown in the chart. Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3275 —I--------- — Bank Cr edit 1994 fii lions 3225 “ Jul 6 3:£27.4 10 3:.43.2 Billions of Dollars 2900 2350 13 3:£38.6 20 3:£39.1 27 3:£44.3 3175 i/ Bank CnKdtt (le t scale )2/ 2300 / ✓ 3125 4* 3075 ___ s „«4 2200 s" Loan s<ScLeo ses 199 ± Bill!ons s'" 3025 LO<in* one Leaset (righ t scale Jul 6 13 20 27 Aug 3 O 2975 2925 21 4 11 Jul Aug 15 2§ 13 27 16 24 13 27 11 25 22 5 Jan 1) 2 Feb 18 2 Mar IS 30 22 Sep Oct Nov Dec Apr May 1Jun 1993 1994 Latest Wednes day data plotted : Aug ust 10, 1994 a Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2250 * 8 Jul20 2254.6 2264.3 2276.8 2281.0 2280.7 2284.4 l 14 2 3 Aug 17 3 Sep Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2150 2100 2050 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions Jul 13 151.801 153.615 149.560 Aug 3 154.226 150.545 150.105 7 21 4 II 1 15 29 13 27 10 U 8 22 5 19 2 IS 2 IS 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 S Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 17 31 H 28 Jun Aug Sep Latest data plotted week ending: August 17, 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars 625 , Billions of Dollars 325 1 All Banks 615 605 1994 Billions Jul 6 611.2 13 616.8 20 618.9 27 619.2 Aug 3 619.7 10 620.5 315 305 ■ 5)5 All kinks ( eft see 505 V * .* r * — - * ** ^ sv je Ban t» (right scale*) I"1-!"'"1 T ■ 1 ' l Jul Aug r''i 1 Sep l *“T 1993 Oct 1 "i ' i 1 1 1 1 i" i r « rnr* r-r T 1 Nov Dec Jon Feb Mar Latest Wednesday data plotted : August 10, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 205 ge 199 i Jul 6 3 >0 27 Aug 3 10 -e V — ■ >/“’ ► 575 565 ie)1/ Bariks__ Biliimi 29fJ.6 2951.7 30C ).6 300.9 300.7 301.6 275 ■I'll 1 » t Apr May 1994 Jun 265 Jul Aua y Seo H ,. _ , r. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis n 285 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1994 1973=100 Aug 3 7 21 4 II 1 15 29 1] 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 2 10 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 0 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1993 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: August 24, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis rg r co i—i CD 50 50 FI > in < m t-H K FI U\