Full text of U.S. Financial Data : August 17, 1995
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EAFtCH LISRARY 'ft ■ V3 Bannk .FEDERAL a reserm: >5 ItWkot. JZT ST. 14 Ills THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ The trade deficitfor goods and services measured $11.3 billion in June, compared with a deficit of $11 billion in May. Through the first half of1995, the trade deficit measured $63.8 billion; the deficit totaled $49.9 billion on a year-to-date basis last year. ✓ Privately owned housing starts were at an annual rate of 1,380,000 units in July, 6.7 percent above the upwardly revised June rate, and the fourth consecutive increase. ✓ Industrial production rose at a 2 percent annual rate in July, the first increase in five months. Production was boosted by an unusually large increase in utility output. Manufacturing output, however, declined at a 2.9 percent rate, its fourth straight monthly decline. ✓ The consumer price index for all urban consumers (CPI-U) rose at a 2.4 percent rate in July, following a 1.6 percent rate of increase in June. Energy prices fell at a 9.7 percent rate in July, the first decline since March. ✓ Total retail sales declined at a 1.3 percent rate in July. Sales have advanced at a 7.4 percent rate since April, after falling at a 0.6 percent rate over the previous three months. Retail sales are not adjusted for inflation. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 fibr one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages or Daily Mgures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions of Dollars Billions 21 +66.7 1994 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: August 16, 1995 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions! and c jidj»ustment for reserve-• requirement ratio ratfo.changes. source of the adjuste'd adjusted monetary _____ Base is .. Federal change The . ..major .Jjor sourc_________ _____________ .-------------are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is avdfabJeCfrom'this be rom this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 1/18/95 2/15/95 3/15/95 4/12/95 5/10/95 6/21/95 7/19/95 B/16/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 8/17/9+ 11/9/9+ 1/18/95 2/15/95 3/15/95 4/12/95 5/10/95 6/21/95 5.6 6.1 6.0 5.8 6.1 5.4 4.7 4.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.8 6.4 6.0 6.+ 5.4 4.4 4.2 7.0 6.0 6.7 5.2 3.8 3.6 +.6 6.0 4.4 2.9 2.8 6.3 +.2 2.5 2.4 +.2 2.0 2.1 -0.6 0.2 -0.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1190 ~I I 1995 Jul 1170 Billions of Dollars 3 10 17 24 31 Aug 7 845 ^ TCD ^ 1995 Billions Jul Billions 3 10 17 24 51 Aug 7 1142.9 1144.1 1141.0 11 42.4 11 49.7 11 44.2 767.3 768.8 765.4 76 3.5 77 2.9 76 7.7 825 M1 (left sc :ale) A / mo V / J \ * \ 805 « \ * mo ■\ 785 v■ T 7D (rig it scale ) 'J \ \ 765 745 6 20 Jun 4 18 1 15 28 12 26 10 24 7 21 Jul Oct Aug Sep Nov 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 13 27 10 24 I 22 5 IS 3 17 31 14 28 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1995 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: August 7, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) To the average of four weeks ending: 1/9/95 2/6/95 3/6/95 4/10/95 5/8/95 6/5/95 7/10/95 8/7/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 8/8/94 11/7/94 1/9/95 2/6/95 3/6/95 4/10/95 5/8/95 6/5/95 -1.1 -0.6 -1.0 -0.5 -0.5 -1.0 —O.B -0.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.8 -0.2 0.3 0.2 -0.7 -0.4 -0.4 -0.5 0.6 0.2 -1.0 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.5 -1.8 -1.1 -0.9 0.9 -1.3 -0.6 -0.5 -3.4 -1.7 -1.2 -2.0 -1.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 114 1995 Billions May 24 100.8 -Jun 7 100.5 110 19 100.3 Aug 2 99.4 106 102 98 94 I I5 29 11 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 Feb Mar 1994 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1995 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: August 2, 1995 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of Ml. Adjusted Reserves To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 1/4/95 2/1/95 3/1/95 3/29/95 4/26/95 6/7/95 7/5/95 8/2/95 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 8/3/94 10/26/94 1/4/95 2/1/95 3/1/95 3/29/95 4/26/95 6/7/95 -4.3 -2.5 0.3 -3.0 -3.4 -2.7 -4.0 -3.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -4.6 0.6 -4.5 -5.0 -3.8 -5.3 -4.0 14.3 -0.4 -2.2 -1.2 -3.7 -2.2 -4.4 -5.4 -3.1 -5.7 -3.7 -16.4 -9.0 -10.8 -7.6 -2.0 -6.5 -3.4 -6.1 -2.2 -5.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90 Money Multiplier 1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Compounaed annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending July 31, 1995 from the four weeks ending: Aug 1, 1994 -5.1 Nov 7, 1994 -4.5 Feb 13, 1995 -3.6 Mar 13, 1995 -3.0 Apr 10, 1995 -3.0 May 8, 1995 -2.3 Jun 5. 1995 4.1 May 22 2.436 2.438 2.453 6 20 4 IB 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 2B Sep Nov Dec Jan 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: July 31, 1995 Jun Jul Aug Feb Mar Apr May 1995 Jun Jul Aug Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending August 7, 1995 from the four weeks ending: Aug 8, 1994 6.9 Nov 7, 1994 6.3 Feb 6, 1995 4.9 Mar 6, 1995 5.7 Apr 10, 1995 2.9 May 8, 1995 0.9 Jun 5, 1995 -1.6 1995 Jul 3 Aug 7 6 20 4 1B 1 15 20 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 10 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 Oct Nov Dec 16 30 13 27 13 27 10 24 Jan Feb Mar Billions 366.6 366.3 366.7 367.1 367.9 367.7 22 5 10 Apr May 1995 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: August 7, 1995 1 / Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporate 3 17 Jun I 15 21 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 11 2 IS 30 13 27 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 IS 2 16 30 14 21 11 25 Feb Mar Apr 1994 May Jun Jul Aug 1995 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: August 18, 1995 1995 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** May 26 Jun 2 9 16 23 30 Jul 7 14 21 28 Aug 4 11 18 * 6.05 6.04 6.01 6.05 6.07 6.09 6.01 5.82 5.82 5.84 5.85 5.84 5.87 6.00 5.91 5.88 5.93 5.91 5.91 5.85 5.73 5.75 5.77 5.75 5.75 5.80 5.89 5.82 5.79 5.83 5.81 5.79 5.70 5.62 5.66 5.66 5.65 5.66 5.71 7.51 7.33 7.28 7.37 7.27 7.31 7.29 7.26 7.48 7.56 7.57 7.59 7.66 8.07 7.91 7.87 7.97 7.87 7.91 7.90 7.88 8.13 8.19 8.19 8.22 8.29 5.83 5.79 5.75 5.86 5.82 5.97 5.91 5.81 5.99 5.97 6.03 6.07 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. ♦ Averages of rates available *• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N A - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures 3—Month Discount Rats 3 17 1 15 29 12 28 9 23 7 21 4 II 2 18 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1994 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1995 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: August 18, 1995 1995 May 26 Jun 2 9 16 23 30 Jul 7 14 21 28 Aug 4 11 18 * Federal Funds ** 5.99 6.02 6.03 6.02 6.00 5.95 6.21 5.81 5.72 5.75 5.83 5.73 5.74 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5—Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 5.69 5.55 5.56 5.48 5.42 5.43 5.43 5.39 5.43 5.44 5.42 5.40 5.44 5.59 5.38 5.37 5.35 5.29 5.33 5.23 5.17 5.31 5.39 5.36 5.39 5.50 6.2B 5.98 5.96 5.96 5.86 5.95 5.85 5.81 6.11 6.21 6.19 6.24 6.35 6.49 6.23 6.20 6.21 6.10 6.17 6.12 6.09 6.37 6.46 6.48 6.50 6.57 6.81 6.59 6.55 6.59 6.49 6.53 6.51 6.47 6.75 6.81 6.83 6.87 6.88 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven—day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Jul 3 10 17 24 31 Aug 7 “ Billions of Dollars Billions 3702.9 3708.1 3708.3 3718.3 3723.1 3731.9 M2 (left scale) Non-M1 M2 1995 Billions Jul M2 (right scale) 5 20 4 18 1 15 29 12 25 10 24 7 21 5 19 Aug Sep Oct Nov Aug 10 24 8 22 IS 30 13 27 2564.0 2567.3 2575.9 2573.4 7 2587.7 17 31 14 21 Apr May 1995 Dec 3 10 Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: August 7, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) To the average Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 4/10/95 5/8/95 6/5/95 11/7/94 1/9/95 2/6/95 3/6/95 8/8/94 ending: 1/9/95 2/6/95 3/6/95 4/10/95 5/8/95 6/5/95 7/10/95 8/7/95 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.8 1.0 1.7 2.6 2.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.2 1.1 2.0 2.1 2.9 4.0 4.2 0.1 2.0 2.2 3.3 4.7 4.9 1.6 2.0 3.4 5.0 5.2 4.1 5.3 6.8 6.7 5.4 7.4 7.1 9.5 8.5 8.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 340 ------- 1---------Savin 3S 1995 Bi lions “Jul 3 10 88.3 10 10 90.5 17 10 91.9 24 10 92.2 Auf Billions of Dollars 1035 1 Sm all Time 199 5 Bijlipns 993 Jul 3 918.8 0 920.3 7 921.9 24 922.3 Aug 7 10 96.6 7 92 3.0 » -»» 933 915 *■ Savin; s Depo sits (le t scale > ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ B75 ✓ 835 Sm all Tlm< (right scale) 795 «»* I 20 Jun i ■ r~^ » i ' r r i i i 1 1 1 l~r I II 1 IS 2! 12 21 II 21 7 21 S 19 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 1994 Dec ' 1 ' 1 1 1 ' 1 l ' l' 1 ' 1 rTTTT1 1 ■ i~r~ 1 l » 755 2 II JO 1J 27 11 27 10 21 I 22 S 19 1 17 31 H 21 Jan Feb Mar . Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1995 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds 1/ All Depository institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Money Market Large Time 1995 1995 Billions - Jul 3 388.5 ‘ 10 393.2 17 400.2 24 402.6 31 405.9 ■ Aug 7 407.8 Jul 3 10 17 24 31 Aug 7 Billions 436.4 437.3 439.5 445.1 446.4 — 451.1 Market i 20 4 18 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 13 27 10 24 I 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 20 Aug Sep Oct Nov Feb Dec Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: August 7, 1995 1 / Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From rederci Keserve banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions of Dollars Billions 0.220 0.245 0.710 0.242 0.257 Aug 2 Jun Jul Aug _ Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1994 May Jun Jul Aug 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $19 million in the week ending January 25, 1995, $1 million in the week ending July 20, 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown. All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Bank 1995 Jun 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 Aug 2 Billions of Dollars Credit Billions 3490.4 3489.7 3500.1 3502.5 3504.53504.5 Bank Credit (left scale) Loans and Leases (right scale) Jun Jui Aug Sep Oct Nov Loans&Leases . 1995 Billions__ Jun 28 2521.1 Jul 5 2522.9 12 2533.6 . 19 2538.3__ 26 2543.3 Aug 2 2546.2 D« 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : August 2. 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonflnandal Companies Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions Jul 5 181.872 Aug 182.609 183.243 2 183.964 182.265 Jul Aug Latest data plotted Sep 1nna 1994 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May ~* Jun Jul Aug ending: August 9, 1995 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars All Banks 1995 Billions — Jun 28 Jul 5 694.0 12 Aug 2 693.6 693.8 698.8 (right scale) 835 ■«—- . Large Banks__ 1995 Billions Jun 28 342.6 Jul 5 344.8 12 344.5 19 344.4 — 26 344.1 Aug 2 346.4 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : August 2. 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board'i 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered bonks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 199S 1973=100 Jut 12 Aug 2 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 15 30 14 20 11 25 0 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 20 12 25 9 13 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1994 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1995 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: August 16, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis co ps m < H !h $ PS > sq K H A ' in as M