Full text of U.S. Financial Data : August 15, 1996
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August 15,199' Federal Reserve Bank AUG 2 0 W96 U.S. Fmancial’Data TIIE DEKVI a kisekm; 5 HAN K of ~ STlJlHlS •hiwi mwimi THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: */ Industrial production increased at a 1.7 percent annual rate in July, after surging at an 8 percent rate from March to June. July’s production was curtailed in part by a sharp drop in utilities output. ✓ Following a 2 percent rise in the first quarter, output per hour (productivity) in the business sector slowed to a 0.4 percent annual rate in the second quarter, as hours worked rose at their fastest pace in two years. ✓ The consumer price index (CPI) rose at a 3.1 percent annual rate in July, down slightly from the 3.5 percent pace that prevailed during the first half of 1996. Consumer prices are up 2.9 percent since July 1995. ✓ Producer prices for finished goods (PPI) remained unchanged in July. After rising at a 3.9 percent annual rate between October 1995 and April 1996, the PPI has since increased at a 0.3 percent rate. ✓ Retail sales advanced at a 0.8 percent annual rate in July after falling at a 6.4 percent rate in June. Sales at automotive dealers fell for the third time in the past four months; however, excluding auto sales, total sales have risen for five of the past six months. Retail sales figures are not adjusted for inflation. All data are aeasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at http://www.stls.fib.org/fred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Doily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions 474.7 474.7 477.1 477.6 478.6 479.1 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 Sep Oct 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 Aug Apr 22 5 Moy 19 3 17 31 14 28 Jun The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions ot Federal Reserve bonks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) ond an adjustment for reserve requirement rotio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetory base is Federol Reserve credit. Data ore computed by this bonk. A detailed description of the adjusted monetory base is available from this bonk. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base _ , To the average of two mointenonce periods ending: Compounded onnuol rotes of change, averoge of two maintenance periods endinq: 4 , r * 8/16/95 11/8/95 1/17/96 2/14/96 3/13/96 4/10/96 5/8/96 6/19/96 1/17/96 1.5 2/14/96 0.8 3/13/96 1.2 1.4 4/10/96 1.8 2.3 2.3 5/8/96 0.9 0.9 0.1 1.2 0.0 6/19/96 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.7 2.4 7/17/96 2.1 2.4 2.5 3.6 3.5 2.7 6.4 8/14/96 2.2 2.6 2.7 3.6 3.6 3.0 5.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.7 0.3 5.1 0.8 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions 1160Aug 5 1106.0 1102.6 1107.1 1111.3 1108.0 Aug Billions 728.9 715.1 712.5 715.9 719.3 715.3 5 Ml (left scole) 1120- TCD (right scale) .-..f 15 29 12 26 Aug Sep Oct Nov Oec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1996 Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkoble deposits and travelers checks. Total checkoble deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkoble deposits at depository institutions. Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M1) Compounded annuol rates of chonge, overage of four weeks ending: To the average of four weeks ending: 1/8/96 8/7/95 11/6/95 1/8/96 2/5/96 3/4/96 4/8/96 5/6/96 6/3/96 -4.5 2/5/96 -4.6 -4.6 3/4/96 -3.9 -3.3 4/8/96 -2.3 -0.9 1.6 5/6/96 -2.8 -1.8 -0.5 1.0 1.0 6/3/96 -2.9 -2.2 -1.3 -0.3 -0.7 -5.8 7/8/96 -2.9 -2.2 -1.5 -0.8 -1.2 -4.6 8/5/96 -3.3 -2.9 -2.5 -2.0 -2.5 -5.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2.3 4.8 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Oollors May 22 Jun 5 Jul 7 21 3 5 Billions 97.4 96.8 95.9 96.7 95.8 95.5 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 19 2 Aug Sep 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 Oct 22 5 Moy 19 3 17 31 14 28 Jun Adjusted reserves is the difference between the adjusted monetary base and the currency component of Ml. Adjusted Reserves Compounded onnuol rotes of chonge, overoge of two maintenance periods ending: To the overoge of two maintenance periods ending: 6/2/95 10/25/95 1/3/96 1/31/96 2/28/96 3/27/96 4/24/96 1/3/96 -6.5 1/31/96 -6.5 -8.7 2/28/96 -4.6 -5.1 3/27/96 -3.0 -2.6 3.6 9.0 4/24/96 -4.5 -4.8 -1.7 0.0 -3.9 6/5/96 -3.9 -3.9 -1.2 0.0 -2.3 -6.7 7/3/96 -4.4 -4.6 -2.6 -1.9 -4.1 -7.7 -4.2 7/31/96 -4.7 -4.9 -3.4 -2.9 -4.8 -7.7 -5.3 6/5/96 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.7 -9.0 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.0 2.8- Ratio 3.0 Compounded annuol rotes of chonge. overoge of the four weeks ending July 29. 1996, from the four weeks ending: J u I 31. Jon Mar May 20 Jun 3 2.8 5. 1 - 29 , 11. 2.318 -5 . 1 -6.3 1 996 -8. 2.355 2.356 2.353 2.340 1 - 1 0!3 -10.3 2.6 2.4 3 17 31 14 28 1 1 25 Sep 9 23 6 20 4 18 15 29 12 28 1 1 25 8 22 6 20 Oct Apr 1995 Ratio of Ml to adjusted monetary base. Moy 15 29 12 26 Jun 1996 Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 380- Billions of Dollars Compounded annuol rotes of chonge. overage of the four weeks ending August 5. 1996. from the four weeks ending: Aug 7. 1995 4. Nov 6. 1995 4. Feb 5. 1996 5. Mar 4. 1996 6. Apr 8. 1996 5. Moy 6. 1996 7. Jun 3. 1996 8. Aug 5 Billions 380.4 382.2 381.5 382.7 383.6 384.2 15 29 12 26 Sep Oct Moy 1995 Current data oppeor in the Federol Reserve Board's H.6 releose. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Jun 1996 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 5 2.2 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent 10.0 9.0 Prime Rate Corporate Aoo Bonds 7.0 6.0 Municipol Bonds 5.0 4.0 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 15 29 12 26 9 23 8 22 5 19 Apr 1995 1996 Moy 24 31 Jun 7 14 21 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 Aug 2 9 16 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 May 1996 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bonkers* Acceptances Corporate Aao Bonds Corporate Boo Bonds 5.36 5.38 5.42 5.43 5.46 5.50 5.49 5.45 5.44 5.40 5.43 5.39 5.38 5.35 5.36 5.42 5.48 5.47 5.49 5.49 5.57 5.54 5.51 5.52 5.41 5.39 5.27 5.30 5.34 5.40 5.39 5.40 5.43 5.47 5.45 5.44 5.44 5.33 5.31 7.53 7.61 7.67 7.78 7.74 7.66 7.62 7.73 7.61 7.62 7.55 7.35 7.34 8.20 8.27 8.34 8.47 8.44 8.36 8.32 8.42 8.32 8.34 C.27 8.08 8.07 Municipal Bonds •• 5.87 5.94 5.94 6.12 6.06 5.97 5.94 6.00 5.88 5.86 5.79 5.67 N.A. Current data ore from the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release, and ore overoges of rotes ovoiloble for the week ending on August 16, 1996 . •• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds. Thursdoy doto N A - Not Available ^ _ „ „ „ .„ Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent 10-Year Treasury Securities - 6.0 Federal Funds Rate Discount Rate 5.0- - 5.0 3-Month Treasury Bill 2 16 30 14 20 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 15 29 12 26 8 22 5 19 Apr 1996 May 24 31 Jun 7 14 21 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 Aug 2 9 16 • Federal Funds •• 5.22 5.19 5.33 5.24 5.45 5.21 5.53 5.26 5.23 5.25 5.53 5.38 5.10 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 May 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Yeor Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 5.04 5.04 5.09 5.11 5.09 5.09 5.13 5.15 5.13 5.16 5.15 5.03 5.12 5.27 5.39 5.46 5.52 5.48 5.47 5.49 5.57 5.47 5.53 5.48 5.30 5.29 6.41 6.55 6.63 6.77 6.73 6.63 6.60 6.72 6.59 6.62 6.52 6.28 6.30 6.65 6.77 6.85 6.99 6.95 6.86 6.85 6.95 6.81 6.85 6.76 6.54 6.55 6.93 7.02 7.08 7.23 7.18 7.08 7.04 7.16 7.04 7.05 6.96 6.77 6.79 Except for long-term Treasury securities, which ore computed by this Bonk, current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. • Averages of rates availoble •• Seven-doy overages for week ending two days earlier than dote shown Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Aug 5 Billions of Dollars Billions 3749.4 3753.9 3747.5 3754.0 3756.3 3766.2 M2 (left scale) ■2600 3700- ■2500 Non-Mi M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 Aug 1 14 28 II 25 9 23 6 20 4 Aug Sep 18 I 15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 Apr Oct 6 20 3 May Billions 2631.4 2647.9 2644.9 2646.9 2645.0 2658.2 5 17 1 . 15 29 12 26 Jun M2 is the sum of M1, savings (including money market deposit accounts), smoll time deposits and retoil money funds. Current dato appeor in the Federol Reserve Boord's H.6 releose. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, overage of four weeks ending: To the averoge of four weeks ending: 8/7/95 11/6/95 1/8/96 2/5/96 3/4/96 4/8/96 5/6/96 1/8/96 4.5 2/5/96 4.6 5.2 3/4/96 5.0 5.8 6.3 4/8/96 5.6 6.6 7.5 5/6/96 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.7 4.9 6/3/96 4.5 4.7 4.5 4.4 3.4 -0.2 7/8/96 4.6 4.8 4.6 4.5 3.8 1.7 2.8 8/5/96 4.4 4.5 4.2 4.1 3.5 1.8 2.5 6/3/96 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8.6 3.6 Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures 1360 1 i — ■ ----------- 1----------- !--------- Savings 1996 1320- Jul 1280 8 15 22 29 1 1055 Small Time Billion 996 Jul 1207.( 1218.' 1215.1 1212. 1210/ * ug Srrtall Tinne (rig ht see.le) 5 1015 9 32.1 1 8 15 22 Billions 928.3 928.9 929.5 930.2 975 [ _____ — 935 1200 895 — So zings 1 )eposi ts (left scale0 . : _____ L— 855 I 1080 T» i • i 1 i Aug nr * Sep 11 Oct ■i ' i ' r» i ■ Nov .............. Dec 775 Apr Sovings deposits ond small time deposits ore at all depository institutions. May Aug 1996 Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Daily Figures Large Time 1996 Billions Jul 1 447.1 8 448.9 .......... 15 452.2 22 454.9 29 452.6 5 Aug 452.5 Retail Money 1996 Billions Jul 1 496.1 8 500.8 15 499.8 22 503.9 29 503.1 ^ug 5 503.8 530 R etail K/ oney 490 450 Loreje Tim e 370 rr'l I ' l ' » !' f | 1 ' l r n i » 18 Aug Sep Oct Nov 15 29 12 26 Dec Jon Feb Mor Apr May Jul Aug 1995 1996 Large time deposits and retoil money funds ore ot oil despository institutions. Large time deposits ore those ' C d®"orn,nal,on* of % 100,000 or more. Retoil money funds were originolly colled general purpose ond broker/dealer money market funds. v w w Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federol Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions Jul 10 Aug 7 i.o- 7 21 5 0.305 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 Aug Sep Oct 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit. 19 3 17 31 14 28 1996 Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States ^ Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Bonk Credit Billions Jun 26 3672.4 Jul 3667.5 3668.9 3677.2 3675.3 3666.1 3 Bonk Credit (left scale)2/ Loans&Leases Billions 2692.8 2692.5 2691.2 2698.0 2700.0 2698.3 Loons and Leases (right scale) 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 II 23 Sep 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 Oct 1995 Current dato appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loons and leoses and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Jun 26 14 28 13 27 10 24 Apr 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28' Moy 1996 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Jul 3 Aug Billions of Dollars Billions 199.629 196.964 199.933 197.350 196.430 198.200 7 200- - 200 - 180 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 1996 Commercial and Industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollors All Banks Billions 740.4 739.9 738.0 742.4 742.6 743.3 Jun 26 Jul 3 - 400 All Bonks (left scale)1/ 700- - 360 Lorge Bonks (right scale)^/ Lorge Bonks Jun 26 Billions 361.8 360.0 361.5 361.5 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 25 8 22 6 20 1995 1996 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.8 releose. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domesticolly chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 JU 10 -100 100- 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 1995 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 1996 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.10 release. Data ore weighted overages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis x as < as CD J 0)