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USFinancialData August 12, 2004 Advance Edition Calendar of Releases Titles for the current week are links to their respective releases. MONDAY* TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY* FRIDAY August 10 August 11 August 12 August 13 August 9 Productivity (Q2) A: 2.9% P: 2.0% Treasury Budget (Jul) A: –$69.2B P: –$64.3B Unit Labor Costs (Q2) A: 1.9% P: 1.7% FOMC Meeting Statement Initial Claims A: 333K P: 339K International Trade (Jun) A: N/A P: –$47.0B Retail Sales (Jul) A: 0.7% P: 1.0% A: N/A PPI (Jul) P: 0.1% Business Inventories (Jun) A: 0.9% P: 0.6% Import Prices (Jul) A: 0.2% P: 0.4% FOMC Minutes (previous meeting) August 16 August 17 Housing Starts (Jul) F: N/A P: 1.87M August 18 Latest issue: Monetary Trends Building Permits (Jul) F: N/A P: 1.98M F: N/A August 19 August 20 Initial Claims F: N/A P: 338K Leading Indicators (Jul) F: N/A P: –0.1% CPI (Jul) P: 0.2% Industrial Production (Jul) F: N/A P: 0.4% Capacity Utilization (Jul) F: N/A P: 77.5 August 23 August 24 Existing Home Sales (Jul) F: N/A August 25 August 26 New Home Sales (Jul) F: N/A Initial Claims F: N/A Durable Goods (Jul) F: N/A Help Wanted Index (Jul) August 27 GDP (Q2) F: N/A Corporate Profits (Q2) DEFINITIONS: A, actual value; P, previous week’s forecast; F, current week’s forecast; K, thousand; M, million; B, billion. *The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System provides H.3, H.4.1, and H.6 releases each Thursday and H.10 and H.15 releases each Monday. Forecast data are from Thomson Financial. ©Thomson Financial, 2004. All Rights Reserved. Use, duplication, or sale of this service or the data contained herein, except as described in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Subscription Agreement, is strictly prohibited. research.stlouisfed.org Contents Page 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Adjusted Monetary Base Adjusted Reserves MZM M2 Yields on Selected Securities Yields on Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Treasury Securities Federal Funds Futures Market Equity Price Indices Crude Oil Prices Natural Gas Prices Exchange Rates Currency, Savings, and Small Time Deposits Large Time Deposits, Retail Money Funds, and Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks Bank Loans Commercial Paper Reference Tables Notes Conventions used in this publication: 1. Unless otherwise indicated, figure and table data are weekly and seasonally adjusted. 2. For pages 7, 10, 12 (top chart), 13, and 18 (top and bottom right tables), the last observation is a daily average that incorporates all available data at the time of publication, which usually includes observations for the first three trading days of the week (Monday through Wednesday). The previous observations signify that week’s average. We welcome your comments addressed to: Editor, U.S. Financial Data Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis P.O. Box 442 St. Louis, MO 63166-0442 or to: stlsFRED@stls.frb.org U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For more information on data in this publication, please visit research.stlouisfed.org/fred2 or call (314) 444-8590. To be added to our free email notification list, please visit our web site at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/usfd. updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 790 780 770 760 750 740 730 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2003 May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 08/06/03 01/07/04 10/29/03 01/07/04 02/04/04 03/03/04 03/31/04 05/12/04 06/09/04 3.0 02/04/04 4.7 4.5 03/03/04 4.5 4.2 03/31/04 4.3 4.0 6.8 3.0 05/12/04 4.4 4.2 6.2 3.9 4.2 06/09/04 4.5 4.4 6.2 4.3 4.6 8.8 5.4 07/07/04 4.7 4.6 6.2 4.7 5.1 5.7 6.2 08/04/04 5.4 5.5 7.2 6.0 6.5 7.4 8.6 10.0 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 100 98 96 94 92 90 88 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2003 Jun May Jul Aug 2004 Adjusted Reserves To the average of two maintenance periods ending: Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 08/06/03 10/29/03 01/07/04 10.0 02/04/04 7.6 9.6 03/03/04 0.3 -3.0 01/07/04 02/04/04 03/03/04 03/31/04 05/12/04 06/09/04 -22.2 03/31/04 2.7 1.2 -9.6 -12.0 05/12/04 4.5 4.2 -1.8 -1.0 18.3 06/09/04 5.8 5.9 1.7 3.2 18.6 17.2 07/07/04 4.0 3.5 -0.9 -0.2 10.4 7.3 1.2 08/04/04 3.0 2.3 -1.8 -1.4 6.8 3.7 -1.9 -11.0 Research Division 4 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data MZM Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 6700 6600 6500 6400 6300 6200 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2003 May Jun Jul Aug 2004 MZM To the average of four weeks ending: Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 08/04/03 01/05/04 -2.0 02/02/04 -1.3 -1.1 03/01/04 0.0 1.0 10/27/03 01/05/04 02/02/04 03/01/04 03/29/04 05/10/04 06/07/04 5.7 03/29/04 1.3 2.8 7.5 10.0 05/10/04 2.9 4.9 9.3 11.2 12.2 06/07/04 3.7 5.7 9.7 11.3 12.0 12.3 07/05/04 3.2 4.9 7.9 8.9 8.9 8.2 4.8 08/02/04 2.6 3.8 6.1 6.6 6.2 5.1 1.5 -3.3 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data M2 Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 6400 6300 6200 6100 6000 5900 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2003 Jun May Jul Aug 2004 M2 To the average of four weeks ending: Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 08/04/03 01/05/04 -0.5 02/02/04 0.1 0.4 03/01/04 1.4 2.6 7.0 10/27/03 01/05/04 02/02/04 03/01/04 03/29/04 05/10/04 03/29/04 2.3 3.8 7.7 9.8 05/10/04 3.6 5.3 8.9 10.5 10.5 06/07/04 4.3 6.1 9.4 10.7 10.8 11.4 07/05/04 3.9 5.3 7.8 8.5 8.1 7.8 5.2 08/02/04 3.5 4.6 6.5 7.0 6.4 5.7 3.0 06/07/04 -0.9 Research Division 6 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent 7 Corporate Aaa 6 5 Prime Rate 4 3 2-Year Swap 2 1 Commercial Paper 0 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Percent 6 5 10-Year Treasury 4 3 2 Intended Federal Funds Rate || 1 Federal Funds Rate 3-Month Treasury 0 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2004 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data 10-Year Treasury Note Yield Averages of Daily Figures Percent 6 5 4 3 2 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug May Jun Jul Aug May Jun Jul Aug 2004 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Averages of Daily Figures Percent 4 3 2 1 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2004 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spread Averages of Daily Figures Percent 3 2 1 0 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2004 Research Division 8 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts Daily Data Percent 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 Oct 2004 1.6 Sep 2004 1.5 1.4 Aug 2004 1.3 1.2 1.1 Intended Target Rate 1.0 0.9 Mar Apr Jun May Jul Aug 2004 Rates on Federal Funds Futures on Selected Dates Percent 2.2 2.0 1.8 06/16/04 07/15/04 | 1.6 08/11/04 1.4 Aug 2004 Sep 2004 Oct 2004 Nov 2004 Dec 2004 Jan 2005 Contract Month Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ Composite Averages of Daily Figures Closing Price February 5, 1971 = 100 11000 2200 10250 2050 Dow Jones (left scale) 9500 1900 NASDAQ (right scale) 8750 1750 8000 1600 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Wilshire 5000 and Standard & Poor's 500 Averages of Daily Figures January 2, 1980 = 1078.29 1941-43 = 10 12000 1200 11500 1150 11000 1100 S&P* (right scale) 10500 1050 10000 1000 Wilshire** (left scale) 9500 950 9000 900 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2004 *Copyright 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Standard & Poor's including its subsidiary corporations ("S&P") is a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Reproduction of this data in any form is prohibited without S&P's prior written permission. **Source: Wilshire Associates Incorporated, www.wilshire.com Research Division 10 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Crude Oil Spot Prices West Texas Intermediate, Averages of Daily Figures Dollars per barrel 46 42 38 34 30 26 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Feb Jan Mar Apr Jun May Jul Aug 2004 Crude Oil Futures Prices West Texas Intermediate Dollars per barrel 45 44 43 42 41 08/11/2004 40 08/04/2004 39 38 Sep Nov Oct 2004 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2005 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Natural Gas Spot Prices Henry Hub, Averages of Daily Figures Dollars per million btu 10 8 6 4 2 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Feb Jan Mar Apr Jun May Jul Aug 2004 Natural Gas Futures Prices Henry Hub Dollars per million btu 7.0 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.2 08/04/2004 6.0 08/11/2004 5.8 5.6 Sep Nov Oct 2004 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2005 Research Division 12 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Trade-Weighted Exchange Rate Indexes Averages of Daily Figures March 1973=100 January 1987=100 105 125 100 120 Broad Index (right scale) 95 115 90 110 Major Index (left scale) 85 105 80 100 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Exchange Rates Averages of Daily Figures Euro/US$ Yen/US$ 1.00 124 0.95 120 0.90 116 Euro (left scale) 0.85 112 0.80 108 Japan (right scale) 0.75 104 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13 updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 690 680 670 660 650 640 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars Billions of dollars 890 3500 870 3400 Small Time (left scale) Savings (right scale) 850 3300 830 3200 810 3100 790 3000 770 2900 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Research Division 14 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 1075 1025 975 Large Time 925 875 825 Retail Money 775 725 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Total Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of dollars 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2004 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 15 updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars Billions of dollars 6700 5300 6500 5100 Bank Credit (left scale) 6300 4900 6100 4700 5900 4500 Loans and Leases (right scale) 5700 4300 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Commercial and Industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars Billions of dollars 975 500 950 475 Large Banks (right scale) 925 450 900 425 All Banks (left scale) 875 400 850 375 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Research Division 16 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 145 135 125 115 105 95 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug May Jun Jul Aug 2004 Commercial Paper of Financial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 1250 1230 1210 1190 1170 1150 Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2004 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17 updated through 08/12/04 U.S. Financial Data Interest Rates Percent 2-Year Interest Corporate Corporate Municipal Rate Swap Aaa Bonds Baa Bonds Bonds Federal Funds 3-Month Treasury Bill 2-Year Treasury Securities 5-Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities 20-Year Treasury Securities 5.13 1.02 1.03 2.57 3.88 4.74 5.49 5.01 0.99 1.06 2.54 3.83 4.68 5.41 6.80 5.03 1.01 1.16 2.65 3.91 4.74 5.47 6.08 6.84 5.10 0.99 1.25 2.75 3.98 4.80 5.52 6.01 6.78 5.05 1.01 1.30 2.84 3.97 4.75 5.46 30-Day Comm. Paper 90-Day CDs May 21 1.00 1.22 2.93 6.08 6.79 28 1.00 1.26 2.94 6.00 6.72 4 1.01 1.32 3.04 6.04 11 1.07 1.41 3.14 18 1.15 1.50 3.24 Jun Jul Aug 25 1.18 1.51 3.18 5.97 6.75 5.01 1.00 1.29 2.77 3.89 4.69 5.40 2 1.26 1.54 3.15 5.92 6.71 4.98 1.11 1.30 2.71 3.81 4.63 5.35 9 1.25 1.52 2.95 5.83 6.63 4.81 1.28 1.28 2.56 3.65 4.49 5.24 16 1.26 1.55 2.99 5.81 6.60 4.85 1.25 1.32 2.58 3.64 4.47 5.22 23 1.31 1.59 3.06 5.78 6.58 4.84 1.25 1.34 2.66 3.67 4.46 5.20 30 1.34 1.63 3.17 5.87 6.66 4.88 1.26 1.43 2.76 3.78 4.56 5.30 6 1.43 1.65 2.99 5.74 6.56 4.78 1.27 1.45 2.60 3.61 4.41 5.17 13 * 1.47 1.64 2.84 5.66 6.48 . 1.36 1.47 2.51 3.49 4.30 5.07 *Averages of rates available Money Stock and Components Reserves and Base Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted Jun Jul Aug Savings Large Time Retail Money Adjusted Monetary Base Adjusted Reserves M2 MZM Currency Small Time 21 6289.2 6615.9 676.0 792.1 3402.9 1004.5 756.9 May 12 769.048 95.246 28 6292.6 6625.6 679.9 791.4 3393.7 1011.5 755.0 26 772.802 97.061 5 6286.8 6585.5 682.4 792.7 3411.5 1013.7 749.0 12 6287.7 6580.4 684.4 792.7 3437.8 1022.4 747.3 19 6286.1 6586.1 684.9 793.5 3436.1 1033.6 739.8 26 6281.8 6590.6 685.9 794.1 3414.4 1040.9 737.6 2 6283.0 6593.0 686.2 794.7 3415.3 1036.3 735.5 Bank Loans and Credit Jun Jul Aug 9 772.482 96.316 23 774.596 95.550 7 778.294 95.595 21 783.192 94.729 4 784.858 95.213 Exchange Rates Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted Bank Credit Loans and Leases C&I Loans (All) C&I Loans (Large) Comm. Paper (nsa) Total Borrowings Broad Major Exchange Rate: Exchange Exchange Rate Index Rate Index Euro/$ Jun 30 6556.6 4623.6 877.0 431.6 117.6 0.222 2 86.9 115.5 0.820 108.5 Jul 7 6565.1 4640.6 879.3 431.7 123.7 0.224 9 86.0 114.7 0.809 108.7 14 6574.1 4646.5 881.3 433.2 126.6 0.243 16 85.9 114.6 0.808 109.0 21 6576.5 4639.2 885.4 434.1 131.0 0.240 23 86.2 114.9 0.814 109.3 28 6579.2 4682.7 886.7 433.8 133.0 0.263 30 87.6 116.0 0.829 111.2 6 87.2 115.7 0.827 110.9 13 * 86.6 115.2 0.815 110.7 Aug 4 11 . . . . . . . 131.8 0.265 . 128.3 0.239 Jul Exchange Rate: Yen/$ Aug *Averages of rates available Research Division 18 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U.S. Financial Data Definitions M1: The sum of currency held outside the vaults of depository institutions, Federal Reserve Banks, and the U.S. Treasury; travelers checks; and demand and other checkable deposits issued by financial institutions (except demand deposits due to the Treasury and depository institutions), minus cash items in process of collection and Federal Reserve float. M2: M1 plus savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts) and small-denomination (less than $100,000) time deposits issued by financial institutions; and shares in retail money market mutual funds (funds with initial investments of less than $50,000), net of retirement accounts. M3: M2 plus large-denomination ($100,000 or more) time deposits; repurchase agreements issued by depository institutions; Eurodollar deposits, specifically, dollar-denominated deposits due to nonbank U.S. addresses held at foreign offices of U.S. banks worldwide and all banking offices in Canada and the United Kingdom; and institutional money market mutual funds (funds with initial investments of $50,000 or more). Notes Cover Page: Economic forecasts are median responses from the Thomson Financial Weekly Economic Survey, which is sent out to 20 to 25 Wall Street economists each week (usually on Tuesday). These forecasts are released on Friday—at which time, Thursday’s USFD cover page will be updated. Page 3: Adjusted Monetary Base equals the sum of currency in circulation outside Federal Reserve Banks and the U.S. Treasury, deposits of depository financial institutions at Federal Reserve Banks, and an adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve requirements on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series is a spliced chain index; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a, 1996b, 2001, 2003). Page 4: Adjusted Reserves is defined as the sum of vault cash and Federal Reserve Bank deposits held by depository institutions and an adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve requirements on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series, a spliced chain index, is numerically larger than the Board of Governors’ measure, which excludes vault cash not used to satisfy statutory reserve requirements and Federal Reserve Bank deposits used to satisfy required clearing balance contracts; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a, 2001, 2003). Page 5: MZM includes the zero maturity, or immediately available, components of M3. MZM equals M2 minus small-denomination time deposits, plus institutional money market mutual funds (that is, the money market mutual funds included in M3 but excluded from M2). The label MZM, or “Money, Zero Maturity,” was coined by William Poole (1991) for this aggregate, proposed earlier by Motley (1988). Readers are cautioned that since early 1994 the level and growth of M1 have been depressed by retail sweep programs that reclassify transactions deposits (demand deposits and other checkable deposits) as savings deposits overnight, thereby reducing banks’ required reserves; see Anderson and Rasche (2001) and research.stlouisfed.org/aggreg/swdata.html. Page 7: Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.15 release, except for the Intended Federal Funds Rate. Federal Funds Rate represents seven-day averages for the week ending two days earlier than the date shown in the release. Page 8: 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield is the most Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis recently issued inflation-indexed bond of 10-year original maturity. 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spread equals the difference between the yield on the most recently issued 10-year inflationindexed bond and the unadjusted 10-Year Treasury Note Yield of similar maturity. Page 9: Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts trace through time the yield on three specific contracts. Rates on Federal Funds Futures on Selected Dates displays a single day’s snapshot of yields for contracts expiring in the months shown on the horizontal axis. Page 11: Crude Oil (West Texas intermediate) spot and futures prices are listed in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly averages of daily prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on Wednesday. Page 12: Natural Gas (Henry Hub) spot and futures prices are listed in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly averages of daily prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on Wednesday. Page 13: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 release. The Major Index comprises 7 currencies. The Broad Index comprises the Major Index plus 19 additional currencies. Further details may be found at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/summary/. Page 14: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release. Savings Deposits is the sum of money market deposit accounts and passbook and statement savings. Small Time Deposits have a minimum initial maturity of 7 days. Savings deposits and small time deposits are at all depository institutions. Page 15: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release. Large Time Deposits are deposits of $100,000 or more. Retail Money Funds are included in M2. Retail money funds were originally called general purpose and broker/ dealer money market funds. Large time deposits and retail money funds are at all depository institutions. As of January 9, 2003, Total Borrowings includes primary, secondary, and seasonal credit. Prior to that, borrowings include seasonal, adjustment, and extended credit. Page 16: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.8 release. Bank Loans and Credit include foreign-related institutions. Bank Credit includes loans and leases and securities. All Banks includes foreign-related institutions. Large Banks are domestically chartered banks (adjusted for mergers) and report on a weekly basis. Page 17: Current data appear at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/table1.htm. Page 18: Treasury Security yields are Treasury constant maturities as reported in the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System’s H.15 release. The 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the secondary market yield from the H.15 release. Federal Funds represents seven-day averages for the week ending two days earlier than the date shown in the table. Municipal Bonds represents Bond Buyer’s Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data. Sources Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Monetary aggregates and components: H.6 release. Bank credit: H.8 release. Total Borrowings: H.4.1 release. Interest rates: H.15 release. Exchange rates: H.10 release. Commercial paper: Board of Governors web site. Chicago Board of Trade Federal funds futures contract. Dow Jones Indexes Dow Jones Industrial Average. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Adjusted monetary base, adjusted reserves, and MZM. 19 U.S. Financial Data NASDAQ Stock Market, Incorporated NASDAQ Composite®. Standard & Poor’s Standard & Poor’s 500 composite index. U.S. Department of the Treasury U.S. inflation-indexed security yields. ____ and ____(2001). “Retail Sweep Programs and Bank Reserves, 1994-1999,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, January/February, pp. 51-72. ____ and ____ , with Jeffrey Loesel (2003). “A Reconstruction of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base and Reserves,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, September/October, 85(5), pp. 39-70. Wall Street Journal Oil (West Texas intermediate) and natural gas (Henry Hub) spot and futures prices. Motley, Brian (1988). “Should M2 Be Redefined?” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Review, Winter, pp. 33-51. Wilshire Associates Incorporated (www.wilshire.com) Wilshire 5000 ®. Poole, William (1991). Statement before the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, November 6, 1991. Government Printing Office, Serial No. 102-82. References Anderson, Richard G. and Robert H. Rasche (1996a). “A Revised Measure of the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, March/April, 78(2), pp. 3-13. Note: Articles from this Bank’s Review are available on the Internet at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/. ____ and ____(1996b). “Measuring the Adjusted Monetary Base in an Era of Financial Change,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, November/ December, 78(6), pp. 3-37. 20 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis