Full text of U.S. Financial Data : April 27, 1995
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-V }*»=, -■ ^7 sat, THE FEDERAL j kisikm JZ DAN K of : fir ST. LOUIS THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ Advance new orders for manufactured durable goods increased 0.6percent in March, compared with a 0.7percent decrease in February. Excluding defense, new orders rose 0.4 percent last month. Data for new orders are not adjusted for inflation. ✓ The employment cost index for total compensation of private industry workers increased at a 2.3 percent annual rate from December 1994 to March 1995, its smallest rate of increase since the index began in 1980. Benefits increased at a 0.6percent rate over the same period, the slowest pace since March 1987. t/ The Conference Board’s index of consumer confidence rose 5.3 per centage points in April to 105.5percent (1985=100), its highest level since May 1990. ✓ According to the National Association of Realtors, sales of existing single-family homes increased 5.8 percent in March, only the second increase in the last 12 months. ✓ Commercial and industrial loans at all banks rose at a 14 percent rate from the average of the four weeks ending on February 1 to the average of the four weeks ending on April 12 (see page 11). All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions Feb 15 Mar 1 461.8 462.4 462.9 463.8 464.4 _Apr 12 2 16 Mar Billions of Dollars 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 I 15 1 15 29 12 26 II 24 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 1995 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: April 26, 1995 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 4/27/94 7/20/94 9/28/94 10/26/94 11/23/94 12/21/94 2/1/95 3/1/95 periods ending: 9/28/94 10/26/94 11/23/94 12/21/94 2/1/95 3/1/95 3/29/95 4/26/95 6.7 6.5 6.3 5.9 6.4 6.4 6.2 6.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.0 5.7 5.2 6.0 6.2 5.9 6.0 5.3 4.5 5.9 6.2 5.8 5.9 3.9 6.0 6.3 5.8 6.0 6.5 6.7 6.0 6.1 8.3 6.9 6.9 5.5 5.9 5.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1190 I Billions of Dollars 045 I M1 1995 Billions 1170 Mar 13 1147.1 27 3 10 17 Apr 1150 11 50.0 11 44.7 11 50.0 11 50.4 / • •» y 025 Ml left sc jle) •»» 5- w* 805 \ h N 1130 785 N TCD (right see le) S / 1110 705 TCD 199 5 3 20 27 Apr 3 10 17 ] 1090 1070 Bill! 2HS Mar .. Mar . .. Apr . .. May .. __ Jun l ■ l A Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1994 77 5.8 778.6 — 777.0 771.6 776.7 776.1 725 i ' i Feb Mar Apr May 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: April 17, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Ml's the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers cnecks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (M1) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 4/18/94 7/18/94 9/19/94 10/17/94 11/14/94 12/19/94 1/16/95 of four weeks ending: 9/19/94 10/17/94 11/14/94 12/19/94 1/16/95 2/20/95 3/20/95 4/17/95 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.1 -0.9 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -2.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.6 -0.3 -0.5 -0.6 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 2/20/95 -0.8 -0.4 -0.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 745 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1995 Feb Billions 1 15 Mar 1 15 29 Apr 12 101.0 103.0 103.6 102.2 100.1 100.3 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Mar Billions of Dollars Apr May Jun 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Jul Aug Sep Oct 23 7 21 4 18 1 IS 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 Nov Dec Jan Feb 1994 Mar Apr May 1995 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: April 12. 1995 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 4/13/94 7/6/94 9/14/94 10/12/94 n/9/94 12/7/94 1/18/95 2/15/95 two maintenance periods ending: 9/14/94 10/12/94 11/9/94 12/7/94 1/18/95 2/15/95 3/15/95 4/12/95 -1.1 -1.2 -3.3 -3.2 -2.4 -2.2 -1.0 -3.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.4 -3.6 -3.4 -2.1 -1.9 -0.4 -3.8 -9.1 -6.9 -3.9 -3.2 -1.0 -5.3 -9.6 -4.6 -3.6 -0.9 -5.9 0.5 0.4 2.9 -3.9 1.5 4.5 -4.2 5.9 -7.4 -10.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Ratio Ratio 3.1 Compounded annual 1 rates of change, average of the four weeks ending April 10, 1995 from the four weeks ending: Apr 11, 1994 -5.5 Jul 18, 1994 -5.6 Oct 10, 1994 -5.8 Nov 21, 1994 -5.2 Dec 19, 1994 -6.3 Jan 16, 1995 -6.2 2.! 2.7 3.1 1 1995 Ratio Jan 30 Feb 13 2.497 2.488 Mar 2.4 79 2.4 81 2.4 71 3 27 Apr 0 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.9 2.5 v 1 i Mar ' i 1 Mill1 Apr May Jun Jul 22 Aug s 19 i 17 J1 14 18 12 26 Sep Oct Nov Dec 9 23 6 2D 6 20 3 17 1 IS 19 Jan Feb Mar Apr Mav 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: April 10, 1995 2.3 1995 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 375 365 355 Billions of Dollars I--------- 1----------1--------Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending April 17, 1995 from the four weeks ending: Apr 18, 1994 9.2 Jul 18, 1994 8.9 Oct 17, 1994 9.2 Nov 14, 1994 8.8 De c 19, 1994 9.1 Ja n 16, 1995 1 0.0 Fe b 20, 1995 1 0.2 375 365 355 345 345 133. Mar 335 Millone 3 27 Apr 3 10 17 T"1 1 ■ i ■ 325 Mar Apr May Jun 11 21 6 12 5 19 i 17 31 14 28 12 26 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1994 36 .7 3.3 36 4.1 36 4.0 36 1.3 36 5.3 I ■ r~~T~r' 325 ! 23 8 28 8 20 3 17 I IS 29 Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1995 H y Latest data plotted week ending: April 17, 1995 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 335 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporate .Loon Rote. 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 B 22 5 19 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 16 30 14 28 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 17 31 14 28 Mar Apr May 1995 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: April 28, 1995 1995 Feb 3 10 17 24 Mar 3 10 17 24 31 Apr 7 14 21 28 ♦ 30—Day Commercial Paper 90—Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances 6.08 6.03 6.07 6.03 6.05 6.08 6.07 6.05 6.08 6.08 6.08 6.05 6.04 6.22 6.16 6.17 6.11 6.13 6.20 6.14 6.12 6.15 6.15 6.12 6.10 6.08 6.11 6.05 6.05 6.00 6.03 6.08 6.03 6.02 6.05 6.03 6.00 5.99 5.98 Corporate Aaa Bonds 8.33 8.28 8.26 8.23 8.17 8.22 8.04 8.10 8.08 8.05 8.04 8.02 7.99 Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds *** 8.92 8.87 8.85 8.82 8.76 8.81 8.62 8.69 8.65 8.62 8.62 8.60 8.56 6.40 6.18 6.18 6.11 6.0B 6.18 6.06 6.09 6.07 6.03 6.01 5.96 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent 9.0 9.0 8.0 * 5- Year reaeury Securit e» V / V e.o / / % S* ✓ \ >.^ U >6 ----- A- Fed eral Fund i Rate) Vs f 6.0 ►A. ^ -s /> 5.0 ArJ rh 3-Mon h T easury Bill /■/ '“7 /W . // ' / uj 5.0 V'" « ✓ A /-* Dl count 1 late 3.0 2.0 9 II I 15 29 13 27 Mar Apr May 10 24 I 22 S I! ! 16 30 14 2! It 25 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 9 23 6 20 Dec Jan t-1 1994 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: April 28, 1995 1995 Feb 3 10 17 24 Mar 3 10 17 24 31 Apr 7 14 21 28 * Federal Funds ** 5.63 5.95 5.93 5.94 5.88 5.93 5.94 5.97 6.06 6.20 5.98 6.07 5.99 r 3 17 3 17 31 U 28 12 26 Feb Mar Apr May 1995 3—Month Treasury Bill 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 10—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury 5.82 5.79 5.75 5.72 5.74 5.76 5.75 5.72 5.69 5.70 5.63 5.61 5.65 6.43 6.37 6.29 6.15 6.07 6.14 6.00 5.97 5.98 5.99 5.90 5.80 5.82 7.54 7.47 7.40 7.23 7.10 7.18 6.95 7.01 7.01 6.96 6.89 6.78 6.7B 7.62 7.56 7.48 7.36 7.27 7.35 7.11 7.16 7.15 7.12 7.08 7.03 7.01 7.78 7.72 7.67 7.61 7.53 7.61 7.40 7.47 7.45 7.41 7.38 7.36 7.32 which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 2.0 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3870 ^ 1995 Billions 3835 Mar 13 20 27 Apr 3 10 17 3626.8 3639.0 3641.8 3 534.6 3 541.8 3 537.9 Billions of Dollars 2545 M2 ^ 2520 M 2 (left scale) 3620 A i i .A 3595 / A / s’ \ 2470 f' !'' S ? 2495 "\ /** >. > 1 f > No n-M1 M2 199 Billi ons Mar 13 2479.7 20 2488.2 27 2491.8 Apr 3 2489.9 10 2491.8 17 2487.5 ______ I______ I_____ Non-U 1 M2 (1 ight sc lie) 3570 3585 2445 2420 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: April 17, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1. overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) To th* o\ omn Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: loine average 4/1B/94 7/18/94 9/19/94 10/17/9411/14/9412/19/94 1/16/95 2/20/95 of four weeks ending: 9/19/94 10/17/94 11/14/94 12/19/94 1/16/95 2/20/95 3/20/95 4/17/95 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.1 -0.6 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.0 -1.3 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.8 1.3 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.5 2.8 1.9 1.7 2.2 1.4 1.4 2.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars --------1--------- 1---------Savings 1995 Billions mo 1260 Mar 13 20 27 Apr 3 Billions of Dollars --------- \-------- 1030 Srr all Time 199 5 Billions 995 Mar 3 874.7 — 20 879.0 27 882.4 Apr 3 887.3 1098.1 1095.7 1092.9 1084.4 17 1C 84.8 17 1220 89 6.2 955 915 Sovinc » Depc slt»(lefi scale e-' HOD 875 \ N ✓ N 1140 835 _->mall T1 me (ri jht sea e) 1100 1060 '■ i ' <* 795 *|'~r ■ \ ~t~r"i ■'~l ' 1 ■ ■ i ■ 1 • M1 '■ 1 ' 1 ~r'i t r ■T? ' r Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct . . 1994 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Nov Dec Jan Feb 755 T ¥' 1 » Mar 1995 Apr May Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1/ All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Large Time 13H5 _ Mar 13 20 27 Apr 3 10 17 Money Market Billions 1995 376.4. 378.7 378.5 374.6 377.3 ------380.8 Mar 13 20 27 Apr 3 10 17 Billions 391.6 _ 390.4 393.4 394.8 396.5 396.1 Large Time Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Latest data plotted week ending: April 17, 1995 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Manay market funds are general purpase and broker/dealer Preportld by Federo| http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 Mar Apr May Bpnk pf g, Uuis 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1995 Billions Mar 22 0.072 0.086 0.082 0.070 0.107 0.153 Apr 5 Billions of Dollars 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1994 Apr May 1995 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $19 million in the week ending January 25, 1995, $1 million in the week; ending July 20, 1994 and was zero in the other weeks shown. 1 Bank Loans and Credit , All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars / Billions of Dollars 2500 3425 --------1-------Bank Cre dit 1995 fill! ons 3375 - Mar 8 33 15 22 29 Apr 5 12 3325 - y- 33 35.8 33 36.6 33 32.7 34 37.3 34 4.5 Ban Credi . (left / / cale)^ / / 2400 V 1 a Apr ✓ 3125 Billions Mar 8 2436.9 15 2442.3 22 2448.3 u ans ar d Leas es (rig it seal 0 * 3175 s&Le 3ses_ 1995 ✓* ✓ o 4 3225 2350 _i _______ 3275 2450 — 2250 5 2460.2 12 2461.9 I 16 30 13 27 11 25 I 22 6 20 3 17 31 H 21 12 26 ! 23 7 21 * 11 I 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 26 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Latest Wednesday data plotted : April 12, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1995 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2200 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1995 Apr Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions 5 2 li 30 13 27 II 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 2! I! 26 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct ) 23 7 21 4 II I IS I Nov Dec Jan Feb IS 29 12 29 10 24 1994 Latest data plotted week ending: April 19, 1995 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars 685 605 1 1 All Banks 1995 Billions Mar 8 671.5 15 675.1 22 6‘'5.5 29 6‘ '5.3 Apr 5 6“ '7.3 12 6£J2.5 Billions of Dollars 350 / // Large Biinks (r ght sc -- — mt 330 He)2/ /-« 045 310 _ '✓ ^■ 250 o o 585 Al Banks (left s 'o ' 605 Lar ge Ba nks U2.5 fiiiiJ one Mar 8 32 9.4 1.7 __ 270 22 33 1.5 29 33 1.3 Apr 5 33 3.6 12 33 6.3 / r Mar -T rH Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Latest Wednesday data plotted : April 12. 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Dec Jan Feb ' ' J' ' J l Mar 1995 l Apr n-T'i May Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 250 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1995 1973=100 Mar 22 Apr 5 82.4 2 IS 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 IS 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1995 Latest data plotted week ending: April 26, 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis B O M X a, k Bi