View original document

The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.

Congressional Oversight Panel: Congressional Oversight Panel Releases Oversight Report on Stress Tests

External links, forms, and search boxes may not function within this collection. Url:
http://cop.senate.gov/press/releases/release-060909-report.cfm Archived: 23:15:23 Apr 01, 2011
[ hide ][ back ][ forward ]

Home

About
Us

Reports

Press

Hearings &
Testimony

Learn
More

Blog

Contact
Us

Home > Press > Congressional Oversight Panel Releases Oversight Report on Stress Tests

Congressional Oversight Panel Releases
Oversight Report on Stress Tests
June 9, 2009
For Immediate Release

Panel finds that stress test models were reasonable, but serious
concerns remain
WASHINGTON, D.C.—On June 9, 2009, the Congressional Oversight Panel released its
June Oversight Report, “Stress Testing and Shoring Up Bank Capital,” which examines the
recent stress tests conducted on America’s 19 largest bank holding companies (BHCs).
In early February, Treasury and the Federal Reserve Board announced an effort to conduct
comprehensive and simultaneous reviews of the nation’s largest BHCs—those with more
than $100 billion in assets—to determine their ability to remain well capitalized if the
recession leads to deeper than expected losses. The effort, called the Supervisory Capital
Assessment Program (SCAP), is referred to more informally as the stress tests. BHCs
found to be in need of an additional capital buffer were given six months to raise the
necessary capital. By ensuring that America’s largest banks could weather the financial
storm, stress testing aimed to restore market confidence and help put the economy back on
track.
The Panel’s report examines how effectively Treasury and the Federal Reserve conducted
the stress tests, specifically reviewing the government’s economic assumptions, their
methods of calculating bank capitalization, their release of information to the public, and
whether the stress tests should be repeated in the future. To help make these assessments
of the stress tests, the panel engaged two internationally renowned experts in risk analysis,
University of California at Berkeley Professors Eric Talley and Johan Walden, to review the
stress test methodology.
The Panel finds that, on the whole, the stress tests were based on a solidly designed
working model. However, serious concerns remain, and the Panel offers several
recommendations for consideration moving forward:
The unemployment rate climbed to 9.4% in May, bringing the average unemployment
rate for 2009 to 8.5%. If the monthly rate continues to increase, the 2009 average
may exceed the 8.9% assumed under the more adverse scenario, suggesting that the
stress tests should be repeated if that occurs.
Stress testing should also be repeated so long as banks continue to hold large amounts
of toxic assets on their books.
Between formal tests conducted by the regulators, banks should be required to run
internal stress tests and should share the results with regulators.
Regulators should have the ability to use stress tests in the future when they believe
that doing so would help to promote a healthy banking system.

http://cybercemetery.unt.edu/archive/cop/20110401231523/http://cop.senate.gov/press/releases/release-060909-report.cfm[12/15/2015 12:52:10 PM]

Congressional Oversight Panel: Congressional Oversight Panel Releases Oversight Report on Stress Tests

This report strives to provide Treasury and the Congress with the necessary context and
comparative analysis to understand the possible policy choices. The Panel hopes to assist
Congress and Treasury officials in weighing the available options as the nation grapples
with the worst financial crisis it has faced since the Great Depression.
The full report can be found at http://cop.senate.gov/documents/cop-060909-report.pdf.
The Congressional Oversight Panel was created to oversee the expenditure of the
Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) funds authorized by Congress in the Emergency
Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (EESA) and to provide recommendations on
regulatory reform.
The Panel members are: Congressman Jeb Hensarling (R-TX), Richard H. Neiman,
Superintendent of Banks for the State of New York, Damon Silvers, Associate General
Counsel of the AFL-CIO, former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu (R-NH) and Elizabeth
Warren, Leo Gottlieb Professor of Law at Harvard Law School.

What is RSS? | Privacy

http://cybercemetery.unt.edu/archive/cop/20110401231523/http://cop.senate.gov/press/releases/release-060909-report.cfm[12/15/2015 12:52:10 PM]