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Dayton & Montgomery Co. Public Library MAY 8 1970 d o c u m e n t co llection Bulletin 1 6 3 9 U.S. D E P A R T M E N T O F L A B O R B u r e a u of L a b o r Statistics technician m anpow er ForforSale by the Superintendent Digitized FRASER 1 9 6 6 - 8 0 B u ll e t in 1639 March 1970 U.S. D E P A R T M E N T O F L A B O R George P. Shultz, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR S T A T IS T IC S G e o f f r e y H . M oore, C o m m i s s i o n e r of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 20402. Price 35 cents. P r e fa c e This report presents the results of a study of engineering and science technician manpower requirements and supply conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics with the support of the National Science Foundation. It is the second major study of technician manpower undertaken by the Bureau with the assistance of the Foundation. The report was prepared by Michael F. Crowley, with the assist ance of Elinor W. Abramson, under the direction of Neal H. Rosenthal in the Bureau’s Division of Manpower and Occupational Outlook. Daniel Hecker and Annie Lefkowitz participated in the research. iii C o n ten ts Page Highlights-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Introduction--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Chapter I. Employment and outlook--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Employment, 1966 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Requirements, 1966-80----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Employment grow th--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Changing employment requirements by technician occupation-------------------------------------------------------------Changing employment requirements by industry------------------------------------------------------------------------------Replacements needs----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Supply-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Meeting manpower needs-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Chapter II. Directions for future research---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Manpower utilization -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Occupational detail--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Relationship of training to occupational specialty--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Followup studies--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ways people qualify for technician jobs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------A. Preemployment post-secondary training-----------------------------------------------------------Bachelor of technology programs-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Private schools-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------B. Upgradings---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Transfers to other fields of work------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 11 13 13 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 Table. Employment of technicians by occupational specialty, estimated 1966 and projected 1980 requirements--------- 7 Charts: 1. Estimated employment of technicians, by occupation, 1966 -------------------------------------------------------------2. Percent increase in employment requirements for technicians 1966-80, selected industries-------------------------3. New technicians, by source of training, 1965 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6 9 10 Appendixes: A. Statistical tables------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------A -l. Estimated employment of technicians, by occupation and industry, 1966 ------------------------------------A-2. Percent distribution of estimated employment of technicians, by occupation and industry, 1966 ---------A-3. Projected 1980 employment requirements for technicians, by occupation and industry---------------------A-4. Percent distribution of projected 1980 employment requirements for technicians, by occupation and industry------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------A-5. Ratio of technician to science and engineering employment, by industry, 1966 ------------------------------B. Coverage, definitions, and projection methods-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- IV 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 H ig h lig h ts However, the rate of growth will vary among manu facturing industries. The rate of growth of technicians will be fastest in machinery (87 percent) and electrical equipment (74 percent). More than 1 million new technicians will be required to meet manpower requirements resulting from employment growth and replacement needs between 1966 and 1980: 500.000 for growth, from nearly 900,000 employed in 1966 to approximately 1.4 million required in 1980, an increase of 57 percent. Among other industries, greater-than-average growth rates in technician employment requirements are expected in engineering and architectural services (90 percent) and colleges and universities (84 percent). The sources of technician manpower from which employment requirements must be met include grad uates of preemeployment technician training offered in post-secondary schools, under the Manpower Development and Training Act, and by employers; individuals with tech nician-related training obtained in 4-year college programs or in the Armed Forces; and employees who are upgraded from other occupations: 150.000 to replace those employed in 1966 who will die or retire. 375.000 to replace those employed in 1966 who will transfer to other occupations. Employment growth of technicians will vary among the different technician occupations: Physics technicians and mathematics technicians are expected to show the fastest growth rates among the technician occupational specialties, 95 percent and 91 percent, respectively. Employment requirements for engineering technicians are expected to increase about 50 percent. Graduates of preemployment technician training of fered in post-secondary schools are the type of tech nician most desired by employers. Upgrading is used to fill jobs primarily when workers are not available from other sources of training. Growth will result from many factors including: If the number of entrants to technician jobs from each source of supply were to remain at the 1965 level between 1966 and 1979 (1979 graduates will be the last ones avail able for employment in 1980), supply would be short of manpower requirements by about 300,000. If past trends in the patterns of entry to technician jobs from preemployment and technician-related training continue, about 1.2 million workers would enter technician jobs from these sources between 1966 and 1979: Increasing utilization of technicians relative to total employment, resulting from expansion of research and development activities and increasing complexity of in dustrial processes. Rapid growth of industries employing large numbers of technicians. Only about 120,000 technicians or 10 percent of all entrants would have to be upgraded to meet manpower needs, compared with 33 percent in 1965. Requirements for technicians in manufacturing are projected to increase at about the same rate of growth as that of technicians in all industries: 1 2 Graduates of preemployment post-secondary training would increase to three-fifths of all entrants between 1966 and 1979, up from about 27 percent in 1965. To achieve the continued rapid growth of preemploy ment post-secondary technician training, great efforts are needed to build new or expand existing technical institutes, junior colleges, and other post-secondary schools that train technicians; to attract students to these schools; and to assure a sufficient number of teachers to provide the training. Several data gaps become apparent in analyzing tech nician manpower requirements and supply. These gaps or problem areas can be grouped in the following subject areas: The identification of the reasons for specific utilization patterns by industry. The need for greater occupational detail. The relationship between training and entry jobs. Identification of all methods of qualifying for entry jobs. The need for statistics on occupational transfers. In tro d u c tio n Up-to-date information on future manpower require ments for, and supply of, technicians is needed by voca tional counselors, education planners, those responsible for national manpower policies and programs, and industry officials concerned with the effective utilization of their technical employees. This report presents information on projected requirements for, and supply of, technicians to 1980 and supersedes the 1975 projections published in the earlier comprehensive study of technicians conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Technician M anpower: Requirem ents, Resources, and Training N eeds, Bulletin 1512, 1966. This report provides new insights into the factors affecting the supply and demand for technicians by in corporating data that have become available since publica tion of the former report. It also uses the basic assumptions underlying the Bureau’s projections of 1980 industry man power requirements, including assumptions concerning technological change, the level of national unemployment, and the world’s political situation. (See appendix B.) In addition to presenting projections of manpower require ments and supply, this report identifies problems in tech nician manpower and indicates areas for future study and research. The projections of requirements for technicians in this study were based, in large part, on past utilization patterns of technicians relative to other workers. (See appendix B.) Therefore, the requirements projections reflect supplydemand conditions in the recent past. Should supplydemand conditions appear in the 1970’s that differ from those of the early and mid-1960’s, effects would be felt that are not reflected in this study. For example, if for an extended period of time the supply of techncians exceeds the demand, unlike the recent past, employers would most likely change their manpower utilization patterns to use more technicians than are reflected in the projections pre sented in this report. Because of the various data gaps and weaknesses en countered in the study, the projections of requirements and the different analyses of supply indicate general order of magnitude and direction and not estimates of exact numbers. Many of these data gaps and weaknesses are detailed in chapter II, Directions for Future Research. 3 Chapter E m p lo y m e n t and Technicians play a vital role in our expanding, tech nically oriented economy. These workers directly or indirectly support scientists and engineers in every phase of their work, including the designing of equipment, the devel opment of new products and processes, the production of goods, and the maintenance of machines and materials. Engineering and science technician1 jobs have a greater practical orientation and are more limited in scope than those of the professional engineer or scientist. Many technician jobs require the ability to analyze and solve engi neering and science problems and to prepare reports on experiments or tests. Some of these jobs require con siderable aptitude in mathematics; others require the ability to visualize objects in three dimensions and to sketch and draw. Sometimes, these jobs require manipulative abilities associated with the skilled crafts, but this ability is secondary to technical skills. Many technicians work in research and development under the supervision of a scientist or engineer. In research and development activities, technicians help conduct ex periments by setting up and operating complex equipment, or assisting in the design, fabrication, and assembling of experimental equipment and scientific instruments. In production operations, technicians may be engaged in quality control, inspection, and testing, or they may act as liaison between engineering and production departments. Others sell technical products, install and maintain complex machinery and equipment, or provide technical services to customers. This report classifies engineering and science tech nicians into four occupational groups according to the specialty or scientific discipline to which they are most closely related— draftsmen; engineering and physical science technicians; life science technicians; and “other technicians,” a miscellaneous group that includes computer programers and surveyors. Excluded from coverage are “technicians” who work with practitioners in the health I O u tlo o k fields caring for patients; workers in business related tech nologies and public services such as library assistants and legal secretaries; and workers classified as craftsmen such as instrument repairmen. Employment, 1966 Nearly 900,000 engineering and science technicians were employed in the United States in 1966. Engineering and physical science technicians numbered nearly 420,000— more than 45 percent of all technicians. Drafts men accounted for more than 270,000— about 3 out of every 10 technicians. Employment of life science tech nicians represented about 8 percent of the total, or about 70,000; and other technicians, about 14 percent of the total, numbered approximately 125,000. (See chart 1.) In the engineering and physical science category, the largest number (183,300) were electrical and electronic engineering technicians. Other engineering technicians, in cluding mechanical and industrial engineering, accounted for about 116,000. Physical science technicians numbered slightly over 120,000. Included in this classification were chemical technicians, about 60,000; physics technicians, more than 10,000; mathematics technicians, over 5,000; and all other physical science technicians, approximately 44,000. More than two-fifths of all technicians were employed in manufacturing in 1966, about 2 out of every 3 of w h o m worked in electrical equipment, machinery, chemicals and allied products, aircraft and parts, and fabricated metals products. The heavy concentration of technicians in these industries reflects the complexity of their products and manufacturing processes and their large research and devel opment (R&D) programs. About 75 percent of all R & D Footnotes appear on pp. 16-17. 5 6 Chart 1. E S T IM A T E D E M P L O Y M E N T OF T E C H N IC IA N S, B Y O C C U PA T IO N , 1 9 6 6 Total Employment = 886,900 N ote: B e c a u se o f rou n d in g, s u m s o f in d iv id u a l item s m ay n ot e q u a l to t a ls . S ou rce: Bureau o f Labor S t a t is t ic s . expenditures in private industry in 1966 were in these five manufacturing industries. 3 Significant numbers of technicians also are employed in private nonmanufacturing industries. In 1966, almost 100,000 technicians were employed in engineering and architectural services, 40,000 in miscellaneous business services, and about 32,000 in the communications indus tries. Nearly 165,000 technicians were government e m ployees, mainly in the Federal Government. Colleges and universities employed about 32,000 technicians. A rela tively small number (6,500) worked for nonprofit organi zations. Almost one-half of all engineering and physical science technicians were concentrated in manufacturing and re flected the large number employed in electrical equipment (64,000) and chemicals industries (24,000). About onefourth were employed in government. Communications and miscellaneous business industries employed significant numbers. Reflecting the need for drafting services throughout the goods producing sector of the economy, draftsmen also were concentrated heavily in manufacturing industries (132,500 or about one-half). A large number, about 68,000, also were employed in firms providing engineering and architectural services. Life science technicians were concentrated in govern ment and in colleges and universities; more than one-fourth were employed in each industry. The large number of life science technicians in these industries reflect large research and development programs concerned with problems such as heart disease, cancer, birth defects, and mental health. The “other technician” category generally follows the industry distribution of the technician group as a whole. Notable exceptions are contract construction and engineer ing and architectural services, which employ relatively large numbers of surveyors. Requirements, 1966-80 More than 1 million technicians will be needed between 1966 and 1980 to meet employment growth and to replace those technicians who will die, retire, or separate from the labor force for other reasons, or transfer to other occupations. Approximately 500,000 technicians, about 7 one-half of total technicians manpower needs, will result from employment growth; 375,000 will be needed to re place experienced technicians who will transfer to other fields of work; and 150,000 to replace those who will die, retire, or leave the labor force for other reasons. Employment growth. Employment requirements for technicians are expected to increase about 500,000 between 1966 and 1980, and will rise to approximately 1.4 million from the nearly 900,000 employed in 1966. (See following tabulation.) This rise represents a growth of approximately 57 percent, or an annual average increase of about 4 percent. This projected 1966-80 annual average increase is slightly slower than that shown during the 1961-66 period (about 4.5 percent), and in large part re flects the anticipated slowdown in the rate of increase of research and development activities. Growth of require ments for technicians is expected to result from continued economic growth, especially in fields where the increasing complexity of new products and processes is expected to increase the demand for highly trained personnel— for ex ample, the improvement of existing instruments and the development of complex new industrial instruments; the increasing use of numerical control in machining; the use of microcircuits; and electron beam or laser welding. Growth also will stem from an anticipated expansion of research and development activities (R&D). Never theless, the rate of growth of technicians in research and development thought the 1970’s is expected to be slower than during the late 1950’s and 1960’s because of an expected slowdown in the rate of growth of research and development expenditures. For example, from 1966 to 1980, requirements for scientists and engineers in re search and development are projected to increase about two-thirds, However, from 1957 to 1966, a shorter time span, they increased nearly three-fourths.4 Although the factors described above will increase utili zation of technicians relative to total employment, the ratio of technicians to scientists and engineers— one of the most common measures of technician utilization— is expected to approximate the 1966 level in 1980, about 63 tech nicians to every 100 scientists and engineers. This contrasts with most other recent studies of technicians, which have indicated that the ratio of technicians to scientists and engineers is expected to increase in the years ahead.5 In view of the projected rapid increases in requirements for engineers and scientists and prospective shortages of these workers, employers can be expected to attempt to utilize more effectively their high level scientific and engineering staffs by hiring more technicians for repetitive techncial functions. Increased utilization of technicians would free high level scientists and engineers for professional work and reduce the cost of trained technical manpower because technicians generally are paid less than scientists and engi neers. However, surveys conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics6 indicate that the utilization patterns of tech nicians has remained relatively constant during the 1961-66 period in private industry as a whole. Nevertheless, among individual industries, the utilization patterns have shifted.7 Among the explanations offered for the almost stable ratio of technicians to scientists and engineers in pri vate industry, as a whole, over the 1961-66 period are: (1) The supply of technicians has been inadequate to meet the Employment of technicians by occupational specialty, estimated 1966 and projected 1980 requirements 1966 employment Occupation Technicians, all occupations - - Draftsmen ---Engineering and physical science technicians-------------------------------Engineering technicians-------------------------------------------------------Chemical technicians-----------------------------------------------------------Physics technicians-------------------------------------------------------------Mathematics technicians-----------------------------------------------------Other physical science technicians----------------------------------------Life science technicians - -_ -Other technicians ---_ -- Percent increase, 1966-80 886,900 1,395,700 57.4 272,300 419,300 299,200 60,500 10,600 5,300 43,900 70,000 125,100 434,300 646,800 453,800 96,500 20,700 10,100 65,700 108,900 205,800 59.5 54.3 51.7 59.5 95.3 90.6 49.7 55.6 64.5 NOTE: Because of rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. Project 1980 requirements 8 demand; (2) many technicians have been “upgraded” to scientist and engineering positions; and (3) the practices of some industries, either voluntary or involuntary, do not utilize effectively more technicians relative to scientists and engineers. Changing employment requirements by technician occupation. Physics and mathematics technicians are ex pected to grow the fastest of all the technician specialties. Employment requirements for physics technician are expected to increase to 20,700 in 1980 from the 10,600 employed in 1966, an increase of about 95 percent. Mathe matics technicians are expected to increase from about 5,300 to slightly over 10,000, an increase of about 90 per cent. These rapid increases result from the need for tech nicians to support the rapidly increasing number of physicists and mathematicians engaged in research and development in colleges and universities, government, and in the machinery, electrical equipment, and aircraft in dustries. Requirements for engineering technicians, the largest technician specialty, are expected to grow to more than 450,000 in 1980 from the nearly 300,000 employed in 1966— an increase of about 52 percent. This rate of growth is slower than that for all technicians, but because of the relative size of this field, more persons will be needed in this technician occupation from 1966-80 than in any other. Draftsmen, life science technicians, and other tech nicians are expected to increase about three-fifths, or about the same rate as all technicians in the economy. Changing employment requirements by industry. Requirements for technicians in some industries are ex pected to increase more rapidly than the increase antici pated for all technicians in the economy (57 percent). Among the industries expected to show faster than average growth in technician employment are engineering and archi tectural services (91 percent) and colleges and universities (84 percent). (See chart 2.) Technician requirements in manufacturing industries, as a whole, are expected to increase approximately 56 per cent, about the same rate anticipated for technician growth in all industries combined. However, requirements for tech nicians in some manufacturing industries, including the machinery and electrical equipment industries, are expected to increase faster than the average for technicians in all manufacturing. Growth of technician requirements in some industries will result primarily from increases in the utilization of technicians relative to total employment. In other in dustries, growth in technician requirements will result pri marily from increases in total industry employment. For example, technician requirements in the ordnance industry are expected to increase 17 percent over the 1966-80 period, while total employment in this industry isexpected to decline slightly. In this industry, the utilization rate of technicians to total employment is expected to increase from 7.5 per 100 in 1966 to 9.0 per 100 in 1980, reflect ing, in part, the continuing complexity of modern weapons systems. In contrast, the anticipated 91-percent increase in technician requirements in engineering and architectural services is due almost entirely to expected increases in total industry employment. The utilization of technicians in this industry is expected to remain relatively constant at 37 per 100 employees between 1966 and 1968. Replacements needs. In addition to technicians re quired because of increased requirements between 1966 and 1980, many others will be needed to replace those who are expected to retire, die, or transfer to other occupations. Losses due to deaths, retirements, and other separations from the labor force are expected to number about 150,000 between 1966 and 1980. Transfers are expected to result in even greater needs than deaths and retirements if technicians continue to leave the field at the same rate as they did in the early 1960’s. These losses are expected to average about 3 percent of each year’s employment, or about 375,000 over the entire 1966-80 period. Supply Workers acquire technician training in many ways. One way is through training taken expressly to prepare for entry level technician jobs-- preemployment occupational train ing-- which is offered by post-secondary schools; employers; and government, primarily under the Manpower Development and Training Act. Workers also qualify for technician jobs in the Armed Forces or through training or experience designed to pre pare them for other types of work. For example, those who do not complete bachelor’s degree programs in engineering or science may qualify for some entry level technician jobs. Another way of qualifying for technician work is through upgrading— experience in a technician-related job, often combined with some academic training. Upgradings have been the largest single source of new entrants to tech nician jobs in recent years. (See chart 3.) In 1965,8 an esti mated 24,000 workers were upgraded to technician occupa tions. Those who are upgraded included workers in other occupations who generally have completed some academic training. Often, these workers have attended night school part time, but some are dropouts of 4-year9 and 2-year post-secondary schools; others have had military technician training.10 9 Chart 2. P E R C E N T IN C R E A S E IN E M P L O Y M E N T R E Q U I R E M E N T S F O R T E C H N IC I A N S 1 9 6 6 - 8 0 , S E L E C T E D IN D U S T R I E S 20 Percent 40 • 60 • 80 100 10 P r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y s c h o o l tr a in in g p r o v id e s t h e te c h n ic ia n s t h a t g e n e ra lly a re in g r e a te s t d e m a n d , a c c o r d in g t o in f o r m a tio n g a th e r e d b y B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s r e p r e s e n ta tiv e s in in te rv ie w s w ith o ffic ia ls o f c o m p a n ie s e m p lo y in g la rg e n u m b e r s o f te c h n ic ia n s . T h is t y p e o f t r a in in g is o f f e r e d p r im a r ily b y te c h n ic a l in s t it u t e s , j u n io r a n d c o m m u n i ty c o lle g e s , a re a v o c a tio n a l- te c h n ic a l s c h o o ls , a n d b y e x te n s io n d iv is io n s o f e n g in e e rin g c o lle g e s . T h e s e p o s t- s e c o n d a r y s c h o o ls u s u a lly o f f e r 2 y e a r s o f fu ll-tim e te c h n ic a l tr a in in g w h ic h h a s le s s t h e o r e c tic a l a n d g e n e ra l e d u c a ti o n c o n t e n t t h a n t h a t g iv e n in th e f ir s t 2 y e a r s o f a 4 -y e a r e n g in e e rin g o r sc ie n c e c u r r ic u lu m .11 I n 1 9 6 5 ,1 2 th e s e p r o g r a m s s u p p lie d a n e s tim a te d 2 0 ,0 0 0 n e w e n tr a n t s in to te c h n ic ia n o c c u p a tio n s , o r s lig h tly le s s t h a n 3 o u t o f e v e ry 1 0 n e w e n tr a n t s . T h e p r o p o r t io n o f n e w t e c h n ic ia n s t r a in e d in p o s t- s e c o n d a r y p r o g r a m s h a s b e e n ris in g sin c e th e e a rly 1 9 6 0 ’s, a n d in 1 9 6 5 t h e y w e re t h e s e c o n d la rg e s t sin g le s o u rc e o f n e w e n tr a n t s i n to te c h n ic ia n o c c u p a tio n s . C o lle g e a n d u n iv e r s ity b a c h e lo r ’s d e g re e p ro g r a m s a lso p la y a s ig n ific ia n t ro le in p r e p a r in g p e o p le f o r te c h n ic ia n o c c u p a ti o n s ; 1 3 s e v e ra l 4 - y e a r c o lle g e p r o g r a m s a re d e s ig n e d s p e c ific a lly t o t r a i n te c h n ic ia n s . A ls o , so m e o f th e w o r k d o n e b y t e c h n ic ia n s o v e rla p s th e w o r k d o n e b y s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs so t h a t sc ie n c e a n d e n g in e e rin g c u r r ic u lu m s q u a lif y s tu d e n ts fo r so m e te c h n ic ia n j o b s , p r im a r ily th o s e e m p h a s iz in g th e o r y r a th e r t h a n p r o d u c ti o n o r ie n te d o r m a n ip u la tiv e sk ills . I n 1 9 6 5 , a b o u t 10 p e r c e n t o f a ll n e w e n tr a n t s t o t e c h n ic ia n j o b s ( a b o u t 7 ,0 0 0 ) h a d a tt e n d e d 4 -y e a r c o lle g e s ; a b o u t o n e - h a lf o f th e s e e n tr a n t s h e ld a b a c h e lo r ’s d e g r e e .1 4 T h e M a n p o w e r D e v e lo p m e n t a n d T ra in in g A c t o f 1 9 6 2 (M D T A ), a s a m e n d e d , p r o v id e s te c h n ic ia n tr a in in g t h a t s tre s s e s a p p lie d te c h n ic a l c o u rs e s b u t o f f e r s little th e o r y o r g e n e ra l e d u c a tio n c o u rs e s . G r a d u a te s o f M D T A tra in in g p r o g r a m s p r o v id e d a re la tiv e ly sm a ll n u m b e r o f th e n e w t e c h n ic ia n e n tr a n t s ( a b o u t 5 ,6 0 0 ) in 1 9 6 5 . E m p lo y e r tr a in in g p r o g r a m s f o r te c h n ic ia n s u s u a lly p ro v id e c la s s ro o m tr a in in g in te g r a te d w ith e x te n s iv e o n th e - jo b tr a in in g . T e c h n ic ia n s tr a i n e d b y e m p lo y e r s r e p r e s e n te d a n e s tim a te d 2 0 p e r c e n t o f a ll n e w e n tr a n t s in 1 9 6 5 . T e c h n ic ia n t r a in in g p r o g r a m s u s u a lly a re i n itia te d b y e m p lo y e r s w h e n a s u f f ic ie n t n u m b e r o f te c h n ic ia n s tr a in e d b y o t h e r m e t h o d s a re n o t a v a ila b le . F o r e x a m p le , j u n io r a n d c o m m u n i ty c o lle g e s g e n e ra lly fu r n is h tr a in in g t o m e e t e x is tin g d e m a n d in t h e i r lo c a litie s f o r re la tiv e ly la rg e n u m b e r s o f te c h n ic ia n s . In so m e in s ta n c e s , h o w e v e r, t r a i n in g s o u rc e s m a y n o t b e p r o v id in g a n a d e q u a te s u p p ly o f t e c h n i c i a n s . F u r t h e r m o r e , e m p lo y e r s s o m e tim e s n e e d 11 s p e c ia liz e d sk ills t h a t c a n b e m e t o n ly th r o u g h t h e i r o w n t r a in in g p r o g ra m s . I n f o r m a t io n a b o u t c a re e r p a tt e r n s o f p e r s o n s s e p a r a te d f r o m th e A rm e d F o r c e s in d ic a te d t h a t in 1 9 6 5 , fe w e r th a n 2 p e r c e n t o f a ll n e w e n tr a n t s , o r a b o u t 1 ,5 0 0 , w e re h ir e d d ir e c tly a f te r s e p a r a tio n f r o m th e A r m e d F o r c e s . A lth o u g h t h e n u m b e r o f p e r s o n s s e p a r a te d f r o m t h e A r m e d F o rc e s w i t h m ilita r y te c h n ic ia n t r a in in g in a n y g iv e n y e a r is la rg e , t h e p r o p o r t io n w h o e n te r c iv ilia n te c h n ic ia n jo b s d ir e c tly is b e lie v e d t o b e sm a ll. T ra in in g re c e iv e d in th e A r m e d F o r c e s u s u a lly is le s s th e o r e tic a l t h a n t h a t g iv e n in c iv ilia n t e c h n ic a l s c h o o ls , a n d m ilita r y e q u ip m e n t u s u a lly is u n lik e th e e q u ip m e n t u s e d in th e c iv ilia n s e c to r . H o w e v e r, so m e m ili t a r y te c h n ic ia n tr a in in g m a y b e d ir e c tly a p p lic a b le t o d e fe n s e o r i e n t e d a c tiv itie s . M o s t m ilita r y te c h n ic ia n s , t h e r e f o r e , m u s t u n d e r g o a d d itio n a l t r a in in g b e f o r e t h e y c a n e n te r c iv ilia n t e c h n ic ia n jo b s . M eeting m a n p o w e r needs A p p r o x im a te ly 1 m illio n t e c h n ic ia n s ( 1 ,0 3 4 ,0 0 0 ) w ill b e r e q u ir e d o v e r t h e 1 9 6 6 - 8 0 p e r io d t o m e e t m a n p o w e r n e e d s f o r e m p lo y m e n t g r o w th a n d r e p la c e m e n t o f w o r k e r s e m p lo y e d in 1 9 6 6 w h o w ill d ie , r e tir e , o r tr a n s f e r t o o t h e r o c c u p a tio n s . H o w c a n th e s e n e e d s b e m e t f r o m th e v a rio u s s o u rc e s o f s u p p ly o f te c h n ic ia n m a n p o w e r ? I f th e n u m b e r o f e n tr a n t s t o te c h n ic ia n jo b s f r o m e a c h s o u rc e o f s u p p ly w o u ld r e m a in a t th e 1 9 6 5 le v e l b e tw e e n 1 9 6 6 a n d 1 9 7 9 ,15 a b o u t 1 m illio n p e r s o n s w o u ld e n te r o v e r t h e p e r io d . H o w e v e r, n o t a ll w h o e n te r te c h n ic ia n jo b s f r o m 1 9 6 6 to 1 9 7 9 w ill r e m a in in t h e fie ld in 1 9 8 0 . A f te r a llo w in g f o r lo s s e s f o r tr a n s f e r s , r e tir e m e n ts , o r d e a th s , o n ly a b o u t 8 0 0 ,0 0 0 o f t h e 1 m illio n n e w e n tr a n t s b e tw e e n 1 9 6 6 a n d 1 9 7 9 still w o u ld b e in t h e fie ld in 1 9 8 0 .1 6A n a d d itio n a l 3 0 0 .0 0 0 w o r k e r s w o u ld h a v e t o e n te r o v e r th e p e r io d t o o b t a i n a n e t 2 3 4 ,0 0 0 17 e n tr a n t s n e e d e d t o m e e t m a n p o w e r r e q u ir e m e n ts o f 1 ,0 3 4 ,0 0 0 . I f th is g a p b e tw e e n s u p p ly a n d d e m a n d o f 3 0 0 ,0 0 0 w o r k e r s w e re t o b e m e t b y u p g r a d in g a d d itio n a l w o r k e r s , u p g ra d in g s w o u ld in c re a s e f r o m 3 3 p e r c e n t to n e a r ly 5 0 p e r c e n t o f a ll e n tr a n t s . H o w e v e r, in te rv ie w s w i t h c o m p a n y o ff ic ia ls h a v e i n d ic a te d t h a t e m p lo y e r s m a y p r e f e r t o a d ju s t t h e i r u til i z a t io n p a tt e r n s r a th e r t h a n u p g r a d e la rg e n u m b e r s o f w o rk e rs. A s n o t e d e a rlie r, e m p lo y e r s w o u ld p r e f e r t o h a v e th e 3 0 0 .0 0 0 a d d itio n a l te c h n ic ia n s g r a d u a te f r o m p r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y s c h o o l t e c h n ic ia n tr a in in g p r o g r a m s . I t w o u ld b e p r e f e r a b le , th e r e f o r e , if th e a d d itio n a l 3 0 0 ,0 0 0 t e c h n ic ia n s t h a t w o u ld b e r e q u ir e d t o m e e t te c h n ic ia n m a n p o w e r n e e d s w e re t o c o m e f r o m th is s o u r c e . G r a d u a te s o f p r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y p ro g r a m s w o u ld t o ta l a b o u t 4 5 p e r c e n t o f all e n tr a n t s d u r in g t h e 1 9 6 6 -7 9 p e r io d , c o m p a r e d t o 2 7 p e r c e n t in 1 9 6 5 . U p g ra d in g s w o u ld t o ta l 2 6 p e r c e n t d u r in g th e 1 9 6 5 -7 9 p e r io d , c o m p a r e d w ith 3 3 p e r c e n t in 1 9 6 5 . T o o b t a i n th is n u m b e r o f g r a d u a te s , s te p s w o u ld h a v e t o b e t a k e n t o b u ild a d d itio n a l c la s s ro o m s , t o a s s u re t h a t s u f f ic ie n t n u m b e r o f te a c h e r s a re a v a ila b le , a n d t o a t t r a c t a d d itio n a l s tu d e n ts t o t h e tr a in in g p r o g r a m s . I n c re a s e s in tr a in in g o f th is m a g n itu d e a re n o t u n r e a lis tic . D u rin g th e e a rly 1 9 6 0 ’s, tr a in in g in p r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t s e c o n d a ry s c h o o l in c re a s e d a t a m u c h f a s te r r a te t h a n t h a t im p lie d b y th is in c re a s e . W h a t w o u ld b e th e s u p p ly if p a s t t r e n d s o f e n tr y f r o m p r e e e m p lo y m e n t a n d te c h n ic ia n - r e la te d tr a in in g c o n tin u e d ? I f th e sa m e p r o p o r t io n o f 4 -y e a r c o lle g e g r a d u a te s a n d d r o p o u t s c o n tin u e t o e n te r te c h n ic ia n j o b s as in th e r e c e n t p a s t, t h e n u m b e r o f n e w te c h n ic ia n s f r o m th e s e s o u rc e s w o u ld in c re a s e a b o u t f o u r - f if th s b e tw e e n 1 9 6 6 a n d 1 9 7 9 as r e f le c te d in th e rise in c o lle g e e n r o llm e n ts a n d g r a d u a te s p r o j e c t e d b y th e U .S . O ffic e o f E d u c a tio n . O v e r th e 1 9 6 6 -7 9 p e r io d , a b o u t 1 5 0 ,0 0 0 4 -y e a r c o lle g e g r a d u a te s a n d d r o p o u t s w o u ld e n te r te c h n ic ia n j o b s . I f th e t r e n d o f in c re a s e in te c h n ic ia n tr a in in g p r o g ra m s a s a p r o p o r t io n o f a ll M D T A tr a in in g c o n ti n u e d , th e n u m b e r o f te c h n ic ia n s t r a i n e d in s u c h p r o g r a m s w o u ld in c re a s e a b o u t tw o - f if th s b e tw e e n 1 9 6 6 a n d 1 9 7 9 , a n d p r o v id e a b o u t 9 5 ,0 0 0 e n tr a n t s o v e r t h a t p e r io d . T h e a n n u a l n u m b e r o f e n tr a n t s f r o m th e A rm e d F o r c e s h a s r e m a in e d re la tiv e ly c o n s t a n t d u r in g th e 1 9 6 0 ’s, a lth o u g h a s lig h t rise is e x p e c te d a t le a s t th r o u g h th e e a rly 1 9 7 0 ’s d u e t o th e in c re a s e in th e siz e o f th e A r m e d F o r c e s r e s u ltin g f r o m th e V ie t N a m W a r. B y 1 9 7 9 , h o w e v e r, e n tr a n t s f r o m th e A rm e d F o r c e s a re p r o je c te d to a p p r o x im a te 1 9 6 3 le v e ls. W h e n th e s e f a c to r s a re t a k e n in to c o n s id e r a tio n , a b o u t 2 1 ,5 0 0 p e r s o n s w o u ld e n te r te c h n ic ia n j o b s d u rin g th e 1 9 6 6 -7 9 p e r io d i f th e p a tt e r n s o f e n tr y f r o m A r m e d F o r c e s s e p a ra t io n s c o n tin u e a s d u r in g t h e e a rly t o m id - 1 9 6 0 ’s. S e v e ra l s tu d ie s in d ic a te t h a t e m p lo y e r s r e d u c e th e ir t r a in in g a c tiv itie s a s m o r e te c h n ic ia n s b e c o m e a v a ila b le f r o m p r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y p r o g ra m s . T h e r e f o r e , i f tr a in in g in p r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y p ro g r a m s w ill e x p a n d o v e r th e 1 9 6 6 -7 9 p e r io d a lo n g th e lin e s o f r e c e n t y e a rs , e m p lo y e r s m a y r e d u c e s lig h tly t h e i r te c h n ic ia n t r a i n in g a c tiv itie s . U n d e r th e s e a s s u m p tio n s , a b o u t 1 7 5 ,0 0 0 n e w te c h n ic ia n s w o u ld c o m p le te e m p lo y e r tr a in in g p r o g ra m s b e tw e e n 1 9 6 6 a n d 1 9 7 9 . H o w m a n y te c h n ic ia n e n tr a n t s c a n b e e x p e c te d t o g r a d u a te f r o m p r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y t r a in in g if p a s t p a tt e r n s o f e n tr y f r o m th is s o u rc e o f s u p p ly w e re t o 12 c o n tin u e d u r in g th e 1 9 6 6 -7 9 p e r io d ? I f ( 1 ) th e p r o p o r t io n o f h ig h s c h o o l g r a u d a te s w h o e n r o ll in th e s e p r o g ra m s w e re t o in c re a s e a s d u r in g th e e a r ly 1 9 6 0 ’s a n d ( 2 ) t h e p r o p o r t io n o f th o s e w h o e n te r te c h n ic ia n jo b s w e re t o r e m a in a b o u t th e sa m e as d u r in g th e e a rly 1 9 6 0 ’s, a b o u t 7 5 0 ,0 0 0 n e w g r a d u a te s w o u ld e n te r t e c h n ic ia n j o b s o v e r th e 1 9 6 6 -7 9 p e r io d . A s in d ic a te d a b o v e , g r e a t e f f o r t is n e e d e d t o b u ild n e w o r e x p a n d e x is tin g te c h n ic a l i n s t it u t e s , j u n io r c o lle g e s , a n d o t h e r p o s t- s e c o n d a r y s c h o o ls t h a t tr a in te c h n ic ia n s ; t o a t t r a c t s tu d e n ts t o th e p ro g r a m s ; a n d t o a s s u re a s u f f ic ie n t n u m b e r o f te a c h e r s t o p ro v id e th e tr a in in g . I n s u m m a r y , a b o u t 1 .2 m illio n w o r k e r s w o u ld e n te r te c h n ic ia n jo b s f r o m p r e e m p lo y m e n t a n d te c h n ic ia n r e la te d tr a in in g i f p a s t t r e n d s o f e n tr y c o n tin u e . P r e e m p l o y m e n t --------------------------------------------------------- 1 ,0 2 0 ,0 0 0 P o s t- s e c o n d a r y p r e e m p lo y m e n t t r a i n i n g -----------------------------------------------------------------7 5 0 ,0 0 0 E m p lo y e r t r a i n i n g -----------------------------------------------1 7 5 ,0 0 0 M D T A t r a i n i n g ----------------------------------------------------9 5 ,0 0 0 T e c h n i c i a n - r e l a t e d ---------------------------------------------------C o lle g e a n d u n iv e r s ity ( 4 -y e a r) g r a d u a te s a n d d r o p o u t s ------------------------------------A r m e d F o r c e s t r a i n i n g --------------------------------------- 1 7 1 ,5 0 0 1 5 0 ,0 0 0 2 1 ,5 0 0 T o t a l ------------------------------------------------------------- 1 ,1 9 1 ,5 0 0 H o w e v e r, a f te r lo sse s r e s u ltin g f r o m d e a th s , r e tir e m e n ts , a n d tr a n s f e r s t o o t h e r o c c u p a tio n s , o n ly a b o u t 9 3 5 ,0 0 0 o f th e s e e n tr a n t s w o u ld r e m a in in th e fie ld in 1 9 8 0 . A n a d d itio n a l 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 te c h n ic ia n s w o u ld h a v e t o b e u p g r a d e d t o o b t a i n a n e t 9 9 ,0 0 0 te c h n ic ia n s n e e d e d t o m e e t m a n p o w e r n e e d s o f 1 ,0 3 4 ,0 0 0 .18 > U p g ra d in g s o f th is m a g n itu d e w o u ld a p p r o x im a te o n ly 1 0 p e r c e n t o f a ll e n tr a n t s f o r th e p e r io d , c le a rly a v a s t im p r o v e m e n t in th e t e c h n ic ia n m a n p o w e r s itu a tio n . P ro s p e c tiv e R e la tio n s B e tw e e n R e q u ir e m e n ts fo r a n d S u p p ly o f T e c h n ic ia n s , i f P a s t P a tte r n s o f E n tr y C o n tin u e , 1 9 6 6 -8 0 R E Q U IR E M E N T S T o t a l ----------------------------------------------------------------- 1 ,0 3 4 ,0 0 0 G r o w t h --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 0 9 ,0 0 0 R e p la c e m e n ts : D e a th s a n d r e t i r e m e n t s ----------------- 1 5 0 ,0 0 0 T r a n s f e r s -------------------------------------------- 3 7 5 ,0 0 0 SU PPLY N e t e n t r a n t s -------------------------------------------------- 1 ,0 3 4 ,0 0 0 G ro s s e n tr a n t s ( 1 ,3 2 0 ,0 0 0 ) m in u s lo s e s r e s u ltin g f r o m d e a th s , r e tir e m e n ts , a n d tr a n s f e r s ( 2 8 6 ,0 0 0 ) N e t e n tr a n t s f r o m p r e e m p lo y m e n t a n d te c h n ic ia n r e la te d t r a i n i n g -------------------------------G ro s s e n tr a n t s ( 1 ,1 9 1 ,5 0 0 ) m in u s lo sse s r e s u ltin g f r o m d e a th s , r e tir e m e n ts , a n d tr a n s f e r s ( 2 5 6 ,5 0 0 ) N e t u p g ra d in g s r e q u i r e d ----------------------------------------G ro s s e n tr a n t s ( 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 ) m in u s lo sse s re s u ltin g f r o m d e a th s , r e tir e m e n ts , a n d tr a n s f e r s ( 2 1 ,0 0 0 ) 9 3 5 ,0 0 0 9 9 ,0 0 0 H o w e v e r, fa v o ra b le c o n d itio n s m a y n o t e x is t in all th e v a r io u s te c h n ic ia n s p e c ia ltie s . S o m e s p e c ia ltie s m a y h a v e s h o rta g e s b e c a u s e e m p lo y e r s h a v e in d ic a te d in c re a s in g d iffi c u lty u p g r a d in g w o r k e r s t o t e c h n ic ia n s j o b s in c e r ta in fie ld s o f te c h n o lo g y o r s p e c ia liz a tio n (e .g ., b io -m e d ic a l e q u ip m e n t te c h n o lo g y , n u c le a r m e d ic a l te c h n o lo g y , la s e r a n d e le c tro o p tic a l t e c h n o lo g y , a n d m e ta llu r g ic a l te c h n o lo g y ) a s a r e s u lt o f th e g ro w in g c o m p le x ity o f in d u s tr ia l te c h n o lo g y a n d r e s e a rc h a c tiv itie s . T h e s o u rc e s o f tr a in in g in th e s e fie ld s p r o b a b ly w ill n o t s u p p ly all th o s e w h o a re n e e d e d . A n y a s s e s s m e n t o f f u t u r e s u p p ly - d e m a n d c o n d itio n s f o r te c h n ic ia n s re v o lv e s a r o u n d th e e x te n t t o w h ic h p r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y tr a in in g c a n b e e x p a n d e d . T h e e f f o r t s u n d e r ly in g th e r a p id e x p a n s io n e x p e r ie n c e d d u rin g th e 1 9 6 0 ’s m u s t b e c o n ti n u e d t h r o u g h th e 1 9 7 0 ’s i f f u tu r e m a n p o w e r n e e d s f o r te c h n ic ia n s a re t o b e m e t. Chapter II D ire c tio n s for F u tu re a b o u t 5 3 te c h n ic ia n s p e r 1 0 0 s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs in th e m o to r v e h ic le i n d u s tr y . B y 1 9 6 6 , a b o u t 6 7 te c h n ic ia n s w e re e m p lo y e d f o r e v e ry 1 0 0 s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs . In c o n t r a s t, th e n u m b e r o f te c h n ic ia n s p e r 1 0 0 s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g i n e e r s in th e c h e m ic a ls i n d u s tr y d e c lin e d f r o m a b o u t 4 5 t o 3 9 b e tw e e n 1 9 6 1 a n d 1 9 6 6 . I n v ie w o f t h e r e p o r te d s c a r c ity o f s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g i n e e r s 20 a n d a c c o m p a n y in g e c o n o m ic f a c to r s s u c h a s h ig h a n d ris in g s a la rie s f o r s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs , r e s e a r c h is n e e d e d t o d e te r m in e w h y th e e m p lo y m e n t o f te c h n ic ia n s h a s g ro w n m o r e s lo w ly t h a n t h e e m p lo y m e n t o f s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs . T h e q u e s tio n su g g e sts m a n y a n s w e rs . (1 ) P e r h a p s e m p lo y e r s c a n n o t u s e e f fic ie n tly a la rg e r n u m b e r o f te c h n ic ia n s re la tiv e t o s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs . T o d a y ’s m a n u f a c tu r in g p ro c e s s e s a n d r e s e a rc h a n d d e v e lo p m e n t a c tiv itie s m a y d e m a n d re la tiv e ly m o r e s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g i n e e r s t h a n te c h n ic ia n s t h a n in th e p a s t. ( 2 ) P e r h a p s firm s h a v e “ u p g r a d e d ” te c h n ic ia n s t o s c ie n tis t a n d e n g in e e r j o b s , p a r tic u la r ly t o e n g in e e rin g p o s itio n s . F o r e x a m p le , th e r e p o r t e d s h o rta g e o f e n g in e e rs d u r in g th e e a rly t o m id - 1 9 6 0 ’s c o u ld h a v e r e s u lte d in th e p r o m o ti o n o f h ig h le v e l t e c h n ic ia n s t o e n g in e e rin g p o s itio n s t h a t e n ta il a g re a t d e a l o f t e c h n ic ia n le v e l w o r k . (3 ) P e r h a p s te c h n ic ia n s in c re a s in g ly a re b e in g c la s s ifie d b y e m p lo y e r s as e n g in e e r s b e c a u s e o f th e g r e a te r “ s t a tu s ” a c c o r d e d e n g in e e rs . ( 4 ) T h e g a p b e tw e e n th e s u p p ly a n d d e m a n d f o r t e c h n ic ia n s m a y h a v e b e e n g r e a te r t h a n th e g a p b e tw e e n th e s u p p ly a n d d e m a n d f o r s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs . B e c a u se th e r a tio o f te c h n ic ia n s t o s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g i n e e rs is b a s ic t o p r o je c tio n s o f te c h n ic ia n e m p lo y m e n t r e q u ir e m e n ts , a d e c re a s in g r a tio h a s a s ig n ific a n t im p a c t o n e m p lo y m e n t p r o je c tio n s . (S e e a p p e n d ix A .) T h e r e f o r e , u til i z a t io n s tu d ie s h a v e a m a jo r b e a r in g o n f u t u r e e d u c a tio n p la n s a n d p o lic ie s c o n c e r n in g te c h n ic ia n s t h a t w o u ld r e s u lt f r o m s tu d ie s o f s u p p ly a n d d e m a n d . D u r in g th e r e s e a rc h fo r th is b u lle tin a n d o t h e r s tu d ie s o f t e c h n ic ia n m a n p o w e r c o n d u c te d b y th e B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , se v e ra l d a ta g a p s h a v e b e c o m e a p p a r e n t. M a n y o f th e g a p s r e s tr ic t th e a m o u n t o f o c c u p a tio n a l d e ta il t h a t c a n b e p r e s e n te d in m a n p o w e r s tu d ie s ; o t h e r s a f fe c t th e re lia b ility o f th e d a ta t h a t a re p r e s e n te d . T h is s e c tio n p o i n ts to so m e o f th e s tu d ie s t h a t c a n b e c o n d u c te d to fill th e s e d a ta g a p s. T h e f o llo w in g a re a s a re d is c u s s e d : M a n p o w e r u til i z a tio n , o c c u p a tio n a l d e ta il, r e la tio n s h ip o f tr a in in g to o c c u p a tio n a l n e e d s , w a y s p e o p le q u a lif y f o r te c h n ic ia n j o b s , a n d t h e tr a n s f e r o f te c h n ic ia n s t o o t h e r fie ld s o f w o r k . M an po w e r u tiliza tio n O v e r th e p a s t d e c a d e , se v e ra l s tu d ie s c o n c e r n in g th e u t il i z a t io n o f te c h n ic ia n s h a v e b e e n c o n d u c t e d ; in m o s t o f t h e m , s p e c ia l e m p h a s is w a s g iv e n to th e r a tio o f te c h n ic ia n s t o s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e r s .19 N e a rly a ll s u c h s tu d ie s h a v e i n d ic a te d t h a t e m p lo y e r s e x p e c t o r p r e f e r th e r a tio o f t e c h n ic ia n s in th e f u tu r e t o in c re a s e re la tiv e t o s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs . T h is c o n c lu s io n w a s t o b e e x p e c te d in v ie w o f a r e p o r te d s h o rta g e , a n d th e lo n g le a d tim e n e e d e d t o tr a in s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs . E m p lo y e r s c o u ld s u b s ti t u te t e c h n ic ia n s t o p e r f o r m th e m o re r o u tin e ta s k s p e r f o r m e d b y th e m o r e h ig h ly t r a i n e d te c h n ic a l s ta ffs . H o w e v e r, e m p lo y m e n t s u rv e y s c o n d u c t e d b y th e B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s h a v e n o t s h o w n a n in c re a s e in th e u tiliz a tio n o f te c h n ic ia n s re la tiv e t o s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs b e tw e e n 1 9 6 1 a n d 1 9 6 6 , a p e r io d in w h ic h s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs w e re f o r th e m o s t p a r t in s h o r t s u p p ly . In f a c t , th e e m p lo y m e n t o f s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs h a s in c r e a s e d s lig h tly f a s te r t h a n th e e m p lo y m e n t o f te c h n ic ia n s sin c e 1 9 6 1 ( 2 3 .5 p e r c e n t c o m p a r e d w ith a b o u t 2 2 .0 p e r c e n t) . A m o n g in d iv id u a l in d u s tr ie s , h o w e v e r, th e tr e n d v a rie s . F o r e x a m p le , in 1 9 6 1 , th e r e w e re R esearch 13 14 O c c u p a tio n a l detail O n e o f th e m a jo r s h o r tc o m in g s o f e x is tin g te c h n ic ia n m a n p o w e r s tu d ie s o n a n a tio n a l sc a le is t h e la c k o f o c c u p a tio n a l d e ta il. F o r e x a m p le , th is r e p o r t p r e s e n ts s ta tis tic s f o r o n ly n in e o c c u p a tio n a l g r o u p s , se v e ra l o f w h ic h in c lu d e m a n y j o b tit l e s . T h e “ o t h e r e n g in e e rin g t e c h n ic ia n ” g r o u p in c lu d e s m e c h a n ic a l, a e r o n a u tic a l, c iv il, a n d o t h e r k in d s o f e n g in e e r in g te c h n ic ia n s , e a c h o f w h ic h h a s a n u m b e r o f d i f f e r e n t j o b title s . S u c h b r o a d g r o u p in g s o f m a n y d if f e r e n t t e c h n ic ia n o c c u p a tio n s m a k e s im p o s s ib le v a lid e s tim a te s o f th e e m p lo y m e n t s iz e o f t h e d if f e r e n t t e c h n ic ia n o c c u p a t io n s o r im p r o v e m e n t o f th e a n a ly s is o f s u p p ly - d e m a n d r e la tio n s h ip s . G o v e r n m e n t a g e n c ie s s h o u ld e x p a n d t h e n u m b e r o f o c c u p a tio n a l c a te g o r ie s f o r w h ic h t h e y c o lle c t te c h n ic ia n i n f o r m a t io n . T h e B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , th e N a tio n a l S c ie n c e F o u n d a t io n , a n d th e B u re a u o f th e C e n s u s c o lle c t b a s ic i n f o r m a t io n o n te c h n ic ia n e m p lo y m e n t b y o c c u p a tio n o n a n a tio n a l s c a le . T h e B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s in its a n n u a l s u rv e y s o f s c ie n tific a n d te c h n ic a l p e r s o n n e l in p r i v a te in d u s tr y c o lle c ts e m p lo y m e n t s ta tis tic s f o r se v e n c a te g o rie s ( b e f o r e 1 9 6 3 , f o r f o u r d if f e r e n t o c c u p a tio n a l c a te g o rie s ); th e B u re a u o f th e C e n s u s in th e d e c e n n ia l c e n s u s , f o u r c a te g o r ie s ; a n d t h e N a tio n a l S c ie n c e F o u n d a t io n in s u rv e y s o f c o lle g e s a n d u n iv e r s itie s a n d n o n p r o f i t o r g a n iz a tio n s , t h r e e c a te g o rie s . S o m e d a ta o n o c c u p a tio n a l d e ta il a re a v a ila b le f r o m s tu d ie s o f s p e c ific l o c a l it i e s .21 T h e s e s tu d ie s o f f e r v a rio u s p o s s ib ilitie s f o r c o lle c tin g m o r e d e ta ile d in f o r m a tio n o n a n a tio n a l s c a le . F o r e x a m p le , Technician Manpower in New York State, 22 id e n tif ie s 15 d if f e r e n t g r o u p s o f te c h n ic ia n o c c u p a tio n s . O n e o f th e k e y p r o b le m s in d e v e lo p in g m o r e d e ta ile d a n d re lia b le o c c u p a tio n a l e m p lo y m e n t s ta tis tic s is t h a t o f d e f in itio n . T h e w o r d “ te c h n i c i a n ” m e a n s m a n y th in g s t o m a n y p e o p le . S o m e s tu d ie s d e fin e t e c h n ic ia n s m o r e lib e ra lly t h a n o th e r s a n d s ta te t h a t a n e w h ig h s c h o o l g ra d u a te m a y e n te r a te c h n ic ia n j o b . O th e r s tu d ie s , in c lu d in g th o s e o f t h e B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , in d ic a te t h a t t e c h n ic ia n s a re w o r k e r s w h o m u s t h a v e tr a in in g c o m p a r a b le to t h a t o b t a i n e d in a 2 -y e a r te c h n ic a l i n s t it u t e . (S e e a p p e n d ix B .) W ith in t h e m a n y d e f in itio n s o f “ t e c h n ic ia n ,” th e w o r k e r s c o v e re d m a y in c lu d e n o t o n ly th o s e w h o s u p p o r t s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs , b u t a ls o a d v e rtis in g c o p y w r ite r s , a c tu a r ie s , c r e d it a n a ly s ts , h o te l h o u s e k e e p e r s , lib r a r y a s s is t a n ts , le g a l s e c re ta rie s , a n d P B X o p e r a to r - r e c e p tio n is ts . T o f u r t h e r c o m p lic a te th e p r o b le m , d if f e r e n t e m p lo y e r s u se d if f e r e n t t it l e s f o r in d iv id u a ls d o in g th e sa m e w o r k . O n th e o t h e r h a n d , th e sa m e d e s ig n a tio n o f t e n is u s e d t o d e s c rib e t h e w o r k o f te c h n ic ia n s d o in g d if f e r e n t j o b s . T o e lim in a te th e s e p r o b le m s , d e f in ite g u id e lin e s s h o u ld b e e s ta b lis h e d in d e v e lo p in g all s ta tis tic s o n te c h n ic ia n m a n p o w e r . I f g u id e lin e s a re n o t u s e d , th e d a ta w ill n o t b e c o m p a r a b le , a n d a n a ly s ts w ill n o t b e a b le t o b u ild u p o n th e i n f o r m a tio n c o lle c te d b y o t h e r s — a k e y r e s e a rc h o b je c tiv e . S u c h a s y s te m is n o w b e in g d e v e lo p e d a s p a r t o f a B u re a u o f th e B u d g e t c o m m i tt e e ’s w o r k o n d e v e lo p in g a s ta n d a r d o c c u p a tio n a l c la s s if ic a tio n s y s te m . R e la tio n sh ip o f tra in in g to o ccu pa tion a l specialty O n e o f th e p r im a r y g o a ls o f a m a n p o w e r s tu d y o f te c h n ic ia n r e q u ir e m e n ts a n d s u p p ly is t o a le r t e d u c a tio n a l p la n n e r s t o t h e s p e c ific o c c u p a tio n a l s p e c ia liz a tio n s fo r w h ic h t r a in in g p r o g r a m s s h o u ld b e e x p a n d e d , o r p e r h a p s , c u r ta ile d . A lth o u g h t h is s tu d y a n d o t h e r c o m p re h e n s iv e s tu d ie s o f te c h n ic ia n m a n p o w e r c le a rly in d ic a te t h a t e f f o r ts s h o u ld b e m a d e t o in c re a s e th e n u m b e r o f g r a d u a te s o f p r e e m p l o y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y t e c h n ic ia n tr a in in g p r o g ra m s , th e s p e c ific t e c h n ic ia n s p e c ia liz a tio n s in w h ic h tr a in in g s h o u ld b e c o n c e n tr a t e d a re n o t id e n tif ie d . T h u s , i m p o r t a n t i n f o r m a t io n , s u c h a s w h e th e r e m p h a s is s h o u ld b e p la c e d o n t r a in in g e le c tric a l a n d e le c tr o n ic s te c h n ic ia n s , d r a f ts m e n , life s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s , o r o t h e r sp e c ific o c c u p a tio n a l fie ld s , c a n n o t b e f o u n d in th e m o s t c o m p re h e n s iv e n a tio n a l m a n p o w e r s tu d ie s o n te c h n ic ia n s . T h o u g h g r a d u a te s o f p o s t- s e c o n d a r y te c h n ic ia n tr a in in g p r o g r a m s c u r r e n tly c o n s t it u t e le ss t h a n o n e - th ir d o f all n e w e n tr a n t s , th is t y p e w o r k e r is in g r e a te s t d e m a n d . A n y in c re a s e in tr a in in g a c tiv ity p r o d u c in g a g r o w th ra te o f g ra d u a te s o f d if f e r e n t c u r r ic u lu m s in lin e w ith c u r r e n t tr e n d s p r o b a b ly w o u ld n o t h a v e a n y ill e f f e c ts e ith e r o n th e e c o n o m y o r o n in d iv id u a l te c h n ic ia n w o r k e r s o v e r th e s h o rt r u n . F o r e x a m p le , a s t u d e n t ’s e m p lo y m e n t p r o s p e c ts w o u ld b e a f f e c te d re la tiv e ly little d u r in g th e n e x t fe w y e a r s , re g a rd le s s o f th e te c h n o lo g y s tu d ie d , b e c a u s e all w o r k e r s t r a in e d in th e s e p r o g r a m s s h o u ld h a v e e x c e lle n t j o b o p p o r t u n it i e s . H o w e v e r, f r o m th e p o i n t o f v ie w o f e m p lo y e r s a n d o t h e r s w h o a re lo o k in g f o r th e m o s t e f fic ie n t d i s tr ib u tio n o f tr a in e d m a n p o w e r , a n y in c re a s e in te c h n ic ia n tra in in g s h o u ld b e d ir e c te d to w a r d o c c u p a tio n s in s h o r te s t s u p p ly a n d th o s e e x p e c te d to b e in g r e a te s t d e m a n d in th e f u tu r e . D u rin g th is s tu d y , a n a tt e m p t w a s m a d e t o d e v e lo p e s tim a te s o f th e n e e d f o r g r a d u a te s o f p r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y c u r r ic u lu m s b y fie ld o f s tu d y . H o w e v e r, b a sic in f o r m a tio n fo r r e lia b le e s tim a te s w a s n o t f u lly a v a il a b le a n d w a s im p o s s ib le t o d e v e lo p w ith in th e s ta f f in g a n d tim e c o n f in e s o f th e s tu d y . T o d e v e lo p in f o r m a tio n o n te c h n o lo g ic a l fie ld s in w h ic h tr a in in g s h o u ld b e c o n c e n tr a t e d , s ta tis tic s a re n e e d e d 15 o n th e p r o p o r t io n o f g r a d u a te s in e a c h fie ld o f te c h n o lo g y w h o e n te r e a c h te c h n ic ia n o c c u p a ti o n , a n d a ls o o n th e p r o p o r t i o n o f n e w e n tr a n t s in e a c h fie ld w h o a re g r a d u a te s o f p r e e m p lo y m e n t p r o g r a m s . H a v in g th is ty p e o f in f o r m a tio n , a n a ly s ts c o u ld e s tim a te e m p lo y e r s ’ re la tiv e n e e d s f o r g ra d u a te s b y fie ld o f te c h n o lo g y . Followup studies. T o in c re a s e o u r k n o w le d g e o f th e t y p e o f j o b s o b t a i n e d b y g r a d u a te s , a s tu d y s h o u ld b e d o n e to f o llo w u p th e a c tiv itie s o f g r a d u a te s o f t e c h n ic ia n p r o g ra m s . T h e r e s u lts w o u ld id e n tif y t h e p r o p o r t io n o f g r a d u a t e s w h o t a k e f u r t h e r s c h o o lin g , e n te r m ilita r y a c tiv ity , o r g e t j o b s . In p a r tic u la r , th e s p e c ific o c c u p a tio n o f th o s e e n te r in g t h e la b o r fo rc e w o u ld b e id e n tif ie d so t h a t a n e s tim a te c o u ld b e m a d e o f th e e x te n t t o w h ic h n e w t e c h n ic ia n s w ill w o r k in t h e te c h n ic ia n s p e c ia liz a tio n s in w h i c h t h e y h a v e b e e n t r a i n e d . 23 G r a d u a te s o f p o s t s e c o n d a r y p r e e m p lo y m e n t t r a in in g p r o g r a m s g e n e ra lly c o m p le te o n e o f t h e fo llo w in g 1 0 c u r r ic u lu m s : A e r o n a u tic a l te c h n o lo g y , a r c h ite c tu r e a n d civ il t e c h n o lo g y , e le c tric a l t e c h n o lo g y , c h e m ic a l te c h n o lo g y , g e n e ra l e n g in e e rin g te c h n o l o g y , in d u s tr ia l te c h n o lo g y , m e c h a n ic a l t e c h n o lo g y , m e ta llu r g ic a l te c h n o lo g y , a g ric u ltu re a n d f o r e s t r y , a n d d a ta p ro c e s s in g . T h is lis t m ig h t in d ic a te t h a t g r a d u a te s o f e le c tric a l te c h n o lo g y c u r r ic u lu m s b e c o m e e le c tr o n ic o r e le c t r i c a l t e c h n i c i a n s , a n d t h a t g r a d u a te s o f c h e m ic a l te c h n o lo g y b e c o m e c h e m ic a l te c h n ic ia n s , e tc . H o w e v e r, f r o m t h e little a v a ila b le d a ta o n g r a d u a te s o f th e s e p ro g r a m s r e p o r te d b y in d iv id u a l s c h o o ls , th is a s s u m p tio n is n o t c o r r e c t . S o m e e le c tr o n ic t e c h n o lo g y g r a d u a te s b e c o m e in d u s tr ia l te c h n ic ia n s , a e r o n a u tic a l te c h n ic ia n s , o r e n te r o t h e r n o n e l e c t r o n i c te c h n ic ia n s p e c ia liz a tio n s ; so m e b e c o m e d r a f ts m e n . N o t all g r a d u a te s o f te c h n ic ia n tr a in in g p r o g r a m s w o i k a s te c h n ic ia n s . S o m e c o n tin u e t h e i r e d u c a tio n in a d v a n c e d s c h o o ls o r c o lle g e s a n d t r a i n f o r h ig h e r-le v e l o c c u p a tio n s . O th e r s a c c e p t j o b s in o c c u p a tio n s w h e re t h e y u s e o n ly p a r t o r n o n e o f t h e i r tr a in in g . S till o t h e r s e n te r th e A rm e d F o r c e s a n d a re te m p o r a r ily o u t o f th e c iv ilia n la b o r f o r c e . S o m e w o m e n g r a d u a te s b e c o m e h o u s e w iv e s a f te r c o m p le t in g a te c h n ic ia n tr a in in g p r o g r a m a n d d o n o t e n te r t h e la b o r fo r c e . W ays people q u a lify fo r technician jobs A . P r e e m p lo y m e n t P o s t- S e c o n d a r y T ra in in g P r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y te c h n ic ia n tr a in in g is a v a ila b le in se v e ra l g e n e ra l t y p e s o f in s t it u t io n s . T h e f ir s t t y p e , in s t it u t io n s o f h ig h e r e d u c a ti o n , in c lu d e p u b lic a n d p r iv a te s c h o o ls c o n f e r r in g a t le a s t th e a s s o c ia te o f a r ts d e g re e o r its e q u iv a le n t in o rg a n iz e d o c c u p a tio n a l c u r ric u lu m s . T h e s e i n s t it u t io n s a re lis te d in th e U .S . O ffic e o f E d u c a t io n ’s D ir e c to r y o f H ig h e r E d u c a tio n . A s e c o n d t y p e , a r e a v o c a tio n a l s c h o o ls , in c lu d e s p u b lic v o c a tio n a l p ro g ra m s s u p p o r t e d u n d e r p ro v is io n s o f t h e V o c a tio n a l E d u c a tio n A c t o f 1 9 6 3 . A t h ir d t y p e in c lu d e s s c h o o ls o f f e rin g 4 -y e a r b a c h e lo r o f te c h n o lo g y p r o g r a m s . A f o u r t h in c lu d e s “ p r i v a te ” s c h o o ls t h a t p r o v id e te c h n ic ia n tr a in in g p r o g ra m s w h ic h a re n o t in c lu d e d in e ith e r o f th e f ir s t tw o ty p e s a b o v e . T h e f ir s t tw o ty p e s o f p r o g r a m s h a v e b e e n c le a rly id e n tif ie d a n d p r o v id e a m a jo r p a r t o f t h e t e c h n ic ia n t r a i n in g .24 T h e l a t t e r t w o — b a c h e lo r o f te c h n o lo g y p r o g ra m s a n d p riv a te s c h o o ls — n e e d t o b e s tu d ie d t o d e te r m in e th e size a n d t y p e o f p ro g r a m s o f f e r e d . Bachelor o f technology programs. F o u r - y e a r p r o g ra m s in e n g in e e rin g te c h n o lo g y a re a re la tiv e ly r e c e n t d e v e lo p m e n t , m o s t o f th e m h a v in g b e e n e s ta b lis h e d sin c e 1 9 5 0 . In 1 9 6 8 , a b o u t 7 5 i n s t it u t io n s o f f e r e d o n e o r m o r e b a c c a la u r a te p r o g r a m s in e n g in e e rin g o r in d u s tr ia l te c h n o lo g y r e la te d t o e n g in e e rin g . T h e s e p ro g r a m s h a v e b e e n id e n tif ie d , a n d a n a tt e m p t m a d e to a sse ss th e n e e d f o r s u c h p ro g ra m s .25 L im ite d c o n ta c t s b e tw e e n B L S s t a f f m e m b e r s a n d in d u s tr y r e p r e s e n ta tiv e s h a v e in d ic a te d so m e d if f e r e n c e s in th e w a y e m p lo y e r s u tiliz e g r a d u a te s o f th e b a c h e lo r o f t e c h n o lo g y p r o g r a m . S o m e tim e s , t h e g r a d u a te s a re h ir e d as te c h n ic ia n s , a n d a t o t h e r tim e s t h e y a re h i r e d t o fill e n g i n e e rin g p o s itio n s . R e s e a r c h is n e e d e d t o d e te r m in e t o w h a t e x te n t g r a d u a te s o f b a c h e lo r o f te c h n o lo g y p r o g r a m s e n te r t e c h n ic ia n le v e l j o b s . A su rv e y o f in d iv id u a l g r a d u a te s s h o u ld b e c o n d u c t e d , w h ic h w o u ld p r o v id e i n f o r m a tio n o n a ll th e w o r k ro le s o f th e s e g ra d u a te s . Private schools. I n a d d itio n t o th o s e s c h o o ls in c lu d e d w ith in th e c a te g o r ie s t h a t h a v e tr a d itio n a lly b e e n th o u g h t o f as p r o v id in g n e w ly t r a in e d t e c h n ic ia n s a re o t h e r s w h ic h a re p r im a r ily p r iv a te ly o p e r a t e d a n d ty p ic a lly a w a rd c e r tif i c a te s u p o n c o m p le tio n o f th e p r o g r a m . T h e y a re n o t lis te d a s i n s t it u t io n s o f h ig h e r e d u c a tio n b y t h e O ffic e o f E d u c a t i o n a n d , th e r e f o r e , d o n o t fa ll in to s ta tis tic a l c o u n ts o f g r a d u a te s , e n r o llm e n ts , a n d o t h e r d a ta c o lle c te d b y th e O ffic e o f E d u c a tio n . F o r la c k o f a b e t t e r te r m , th e y a re c a lle d “ p r iv a te ” s c h o o ls in t h is r e p o r t, e v e n t h o u g h m a n y p r iv a te ly o p e r a t e d s c h o o ls a re in s t it u t io n s o f h ig h e r e d u c a t io n . N o a g e n c y — - p u b l i c o r p r iv a te — c o lle c ts d a ta o n th e e n r o llm e n ts a n d g r a d u a te s o f p r iv a te s c h o o ls . T h o u g h b e lie v e d t o b e la rg e , th e t o ta l n u m b e r o f s u c h s c h o o ls is n o t k n o w n . T h e N a tio n a l A s s o c ia tio n o f T r a d e a n d T e c h n ic a l S c h o o ls , w h ic h d o e s n o t in c lu d e all p r iv a te s c h o o ls , h a s a b o u t 1 5 0 m e m b e r s , o n ly tw o o f w h ic h a re lis te d as in s t it u t io n s o f h ig h e r e d u c a ti o n b y th e U .S . O ffic e o f E d u c a tio n . H o w e v e r, n o t a ll o f th e r e m a in in g 1 4 8 s c h o o ls o f f e r t e c h n ic ia n tr a in in g . 16 I d e n ti f i c a ti o n o f th e n u m b e r o f te c h n ic ia n s tr a in e d in p r iv a te s c h o o ls w o u ld s h e d so m e lig h t o n a k e y a s p e c t o f te c h n ic ia n s u p p ly — u p g ra d in g s . I f p riv a te p o s t- s e c o n d a r y s c h o o ls p r o v id e a s ig n ific a n t s o u rc e o f n e w te c h n ic ia n s , t h e n u p g r a d in g s a re g re a tly o v e r - re p r e s e n te d in th e s u p p ly e s tim a te s p r e s e n te d in th is a n d p r e v io u s t e c h n ic ia n m a n p o w e r s tu d ie s b e c a u s e th e n u m b e r o f u p g ra d in g s w a s e s ti m a te d a s t h e re s id u a l o f a ll o t h e r e n tr a n t s a n d t o ta l e n tr a n t s . M u c h m o r e s h o u ld b e k n o w n a b o u t p r iv a te s c h o o ls b e f o r e th e i r c o n tr i b u t io n t o th e s u p p ly o f n e w te c h n ic ia n s c a n b e a sse ss e d . P ro g ra m s s h o u ld b e e s ta b lis h e d t o c o lle c t d a ta o n th e n u m b e r o f fu ll- a n d p a r t- tim e s t u d e n ts in p r i v a te s c h o o ls , th e n u m b e r o f g r a d u a te s , th e e m p lo y m e n t s ta tu s a n d fie ld o f w o r k o f b o t h g r a d u a te s a n d d r o p o u t s , th e e m p lo y m e n t s t a tu s o f p a r t- tim e s tu d e n ts , a n d th e s o u r c e s o f s t u d e n t f in a n c ia l a s s is ta n c e . T h e la s t tw o ite m s a re i m p o r t a n t t o d e te r m in e th e p o r t io n o f s t u d e n ts in th e s e p ro g r a m s w h o p a r tic ip a te in “ c o m p a n y tr a in in g ” p ro g ra m s . B . U p g ra d in g s A n a tio n a l s tu d y is n e e d e d t o id e n tif y th e tr a in in g a n d w o r k e x p e r ie n c e in a d d it i o n t o f o r m a l p r e e m p lo y m e n t p o s t- s e c o n d a r y t r a in in g t h a t q u a lifie s w o r k e r s fo r t e c h n ic ia n jo b s . E s tim a te d u p g r a d in g s e a c h y e a r a re s u b je c t t o a w id e ra n g e o f e r r o r s b e c a u s e o f th e m e t h o d u s e d f o r t h e i r d e v e l o p m e n t . I n 1 9 6 2 , o v e r 5 0 p e r c e n t o r a b o u t 4 5 ,0 0 0 n e w e n tr a n t s to te c h n ic ia n s o c c u p a tio n s w e re e s tim a te d to h a v e b e e n u p g r a d e d f r o m th e e x is tin g la b o r f o r c e , c o m p a r e d w ith o n e - th ir d o r a b o u t 2 4 ,0 0 0 in 1 9 6 5 . P r e lim in a r y r e s e a r c h h a s i n d ic a te d , h o w e v e r, t h a t w o r k e r s w h o a re u p g r a d e d m a y h a v e o b ta in e d a s ig n ific a n t a m o u n t o f p o s t- s e c o n d a r y te c h n ic ia n tr a in in g . T h u s , m o re i n f o r m a tio n s h o u ld b e k n o w n a b o u t th e ir e d u c a tio n a l q u a li f ic a tio n s . O n e s tu d y 26 h a s in d ic a te d t h a t s o m e e m p lo y e rs h ire n e a rly o n e - h a lf o f t h e i r te c h n ic ia n s f r o m o t h e r firm s , b u t n o t k n o w n is th e n u m b e r w h o a re n e w e n tr a n t s to th e te c h n ic ia n w o r k f o r c e — w o r k e r s in o t h e r o c c u p a tio n s b e in g u p g r a d e d to te c h n ic ia n j o b s , a n d w o r k e r s r e tu r n in g to te c h n ic ia n jo b s a f te r “ t r y in g o u t ” w o r k in a n o th e r jo b . T h e y c o u ld b e te c h n ic ia n s w h o o n ly c h a n g e th e ir e m p lo y m e n t a n d th e r e f o r e , a re n o t a d d itio n s t o th e te c h n ic ia n w o rk fo r c e . Tran sfers to o th e r fields o f w o rk I n a d d itio n t o f o llo w u p s tu d ie s o n th e p o s t- tr a in in g w o r k a n d s tu d y a c tiv itie s o f t e c h n ic ia n g r a d u a te s d ire c tly a f te r g r a d u a tio n , m o r e re s e a rc h s h o u ld b e u n d e r ta k e n a b o u t th e e m p lo y m e n t o f g r a d u a te s a f te r th e ir te c h n ic ia n tra in in g . T h e in f o r m a tio n d is c lo s e d b y f o llo w u p s tu d ie s o n th e p r o p o r t io n o f g r a d u a te s w h o r e m a in in te c h n ic ia n o c c u p a tio n s fo r se v e ra l y e a r s w o u ld b e i m p o r t a n t in d e v e lo p in g e s ti m a te s o f th e f u tu r e s u p p ly o f te c h n ic ia n m a n p o w e r . O n ly v e ry lim ite d d a ta a re a v a ila b le o n th e n u m b e r o f t e c h n ic ia n s w h o tr a n s f e r t o o t h e r fie ld s o f w o r k e a c h y e a r. A s a r e s u lt, e s tim a te s o f f u tu r e r e q u ir e m e n ts a ris in g fro m th e s e tr a n s f e r s c a n b e o n ly a p p r o x im a tio n s . A d m itte d ly , th e c o lle c tio n o f d a ta o n te c h n ic ia n s w h o tr a n s f e r o u t o f te c h n ic ia n s p e c ia liz a tio n s w o u ld b e v e ry d if f ic u lt. H o w e v e r, a n a t t e m p t w a s m a d e in th e P o s tc e n s a l S u rv e y o f P r o f e s sio n a l a n d T e c h n ic a l P e r s o n n e l, w h ic h p r o v id e s s o m e u s e fu l in f o r m a tio n o n tr a n s f e r s b e tw e e n 1 9 6 0 a n d 1 9 6 2 . T h is s tu d y h a s b e e n u s e d t o e s tim a te tr a n s f e r s in th is rep o rt. S tu d ie s o f tr a n s f e r s c a n b e c o n d u c t e d in c o n n e c tio n w ith th e 1 9 7 0 C e n su s. ------ FO O TN O TE S ------1 The word “technician” is used interchangeably throughout this report with “engineering and science technicians.” 2 See appendix table A-l for data on employment of tech nicians by occupation and industry in 1966. 3 See Reviews o f Data on Science Resources, Research, and Development in Industry, 1966, National Science Foundation, Washington, D.C., 20550, NSF 68-5. 4 See Employment o f Scientists and Engineers in the United States, 1950-66, prepared jointly by the National Science Founda tion and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, NSF 68-30. 5 See, for example, Demand for Engineers and Tech nicians— 1966, Engineering Manpower Commission, New York, N.Y., 1966. 6 Occupational Employment Statistics 1960-66 (BLS Bulletin 1579, 1968). 7 See ch. II, Directions for Future Research, for more infor mation on the utilization of technicians. 8 The employment estimates for technicians in this study are early year estimates because most of the surveys underlying the estimates collected data on January employment. (See appendix B.) Because the number of upgradings is determined by developing a residual of total entrants minus entrants from all other sources of training, 1965 was the latest year for which estimates of upgradings could be developed at the time this study was prepared. A 1967 employment estimate was not available to develop estimates of growth between 1966 and 1967 which is necessary to estimate total entrants. 9 Dropouts from curriculums other than science or engineer ing because science and engineering dropouts who enter technician jobs are counted as part of entrants from technician-related training. 17 10 Because of the method of deriving the number of upgrad ings, the residual of total entrants and entrants from all other sources of training (appendix B), the upgradings totals probably include some students who have completed preemployment training programs in private technical schools that either are not considered institutions of higher education by the U.S. Office of Education or do not participate in Federal programs under the Vocational Educa tional Act of 1963. These graduates would not be included in esti mates of preemployment training because they are not included in any statistics collected on graduates. See Guide to Organized Occu pational Curriculums in Higher Education, U.S. Department of Health, Education and Welfare, Office of Education, OE-54012-62, Circular No. 771; and Education Directory 1966-67 Pt. 3, Higher Education, U.S. Department of Health, Education and Welfare, Office of Education. 11 Graduates of preemployment training offered in 4-year Bachelor of Technology programs are counted as entrants from regular bachelor’s degree programs because data are lacking to spe cifically separate these graduates from the data on degrees granted that are published by the U.S. Office of Education. The Engineering Manpower Commission of the Engineers Joint Council, however, has initiated the collection of statistics on 4-year bachelor’s degree pro grams in technology (Degrees in Engineering and Industrial Tech nology, 1967-68). See ch. II, Direction for Future Research, p. 13. 12 Data on these and all other types of training presented here are for 1965 so that they are comparable to the latest estimates that could be developed for upgradings. 13 The supply data do not consider new bachelor’s degree re cipients who are doing technician work upon entry into professional fields because these workers are not counted in the employment estimates that serve as the base for the requirements projections. 14 See p. 15 for information concerning bachelor’s degree programs in technology. 15 Graduates of training programs in 1979 will be the last available for employment in early 1980, the target year of the projections. 16 Estimated losses for deaths and retirements were based on age specific separation rates developed by BLS based on the work life experience of all workers, and a transfer rate of 3 percent a year, primarily based on data in the Postcensal Survey o f Professional and Technical Personnel. For an explanation and illustration of the methods used to develop net supply estimates, see “Projections of Manpower Supply in a Specific Occupation,” by Neal Rosenthal, Monthly Labor Review, November 1966. 17 66,000 of the 300,000 gross entrants would be lost to em ployment between 1966 and 1979 because of retirements, deaths, and transfers to other occupations. 18 21,000 of the 120,000 new entrants would be lost to em ployment between 1966 and 1979 because of retirements, deaths, and transfers to other occupations. 19 See, for example, Technicians for Connecticut Industries, State Department of Education, Hartford, Connecticut, Bulletin No. 82; Technician Manpower in New York State, New York State De partment of Labor, Division of Research and Statistics, 1964; William J. Torpey, “Needs for Technicians,” Journal o f Engineering Education, The American Society for Engineering Education, JulyAugust 1964; and Demand for Engineers, Physical Scientists, and Technicians— 1966, op. cit., footnote 5. 20 See, for example, the semiannual reports entitled The Job Market for Engineers, Scientists, and Technicians, published by the U.S. Department of Labor, Manpower Administration. 21 Most of these studies are conducted by State agencies. Some are conducted by local school systems, colleges and universi ties, and private consultant firms. 22 Op. cit., footnote 19. 23 Such a study can be done on a national scale, similar to the study of graduates of 4-year college programs in 1958 conducted by the Bureau of Social Science Research in 1960 under the sponsor ship of the National Science Foundation and published in 1963 under the title, Two Years After the College Degree: Work and Further Study Patterns (NSF 63-26). 24 See ch. Ill, Technician Manpower: Requirements, Re sources and Training Needs (BLS Bulletin 1512, 1966), pp. 33-42. 25 See Baccalaurate Programs in Engineering Technology: A Study o f Their Emergency and o f Some Characteristics o f Their Content, a background paper developed by Dr. Jesse Defore for the information of the participants in an Inventory Conference on Engi neering Technology Education, Jan. 22-23, 1968, sponsored by the American Society of Engineering Education and supported by the National Science Foundation. 26 A Survey o f Technical Needs o f Industry and Implications for Curriculum Development in Higher Education — 1966. Eckhard A. Jacobsen, Northern Illinois University, De Kalb, 111. 27 See also Technician Manpower: Requirements, Resources and Training Needs, p. 52, op. cit., footnote 24. A p p e n d ix A S ta tistic a l T a b l e s I n th e fo llo w in g ta b le s , a b s o lu te fig u re s u s u a lly a re r o u n d e d , a n d p e r c e n ta g e s s h o w n t o o n e d e c im a l p la c e . P r e s e n t a t i o n o f th e fig u re s in th is f o r m s h o u ld n o t b e c o n s tr u e d a s in d ic a tin g t h a t t h e y h a v e e x a c tly th is d e g re e o f p r e c is io n . S in c e all to ta ls a n d p e r c e n ta g e s w e re c a lc u la te d o n th e b a s is o f u n r o u n d e d fig u re s , t h e y d o n o t a lw a y s c o r r e s p o n d e x a c tly w i t h th o s e in d ic a te d b y r o u n d e d fig u re s o n t h e ta b le s . 19 T a b le A -1. E stim a te d e m p lo y m e n t of tech n icia n s, by o c cu p a tio n an d industry, 1 9 6 6 E n g i n e e r i n g and p h y s ic a l s c i e n c e t e c h n ic ia n s Ind ustry D rafts T otal te c h n ic ia n s men T otal E n g i n e e r i n g te c h n ic ia n s E lec O ther T otal t r o n ic T otal P h y s i c a l s c i e n c e t e c h n ic ia n s e C h e m ic a l P h y s i c s Mm aath t ic s O ther A ll science oth er te c h n ic ia n s t e c h n ic ia n s A ll i n d u s t r i e s ------------------------------- 8 8 6 ,9 0 0 2 7 2 ,3 0 0 4 1 9 ,3 0 0 2 9 9 ,2 0 0 1 8 3 ,3 0 0 1 1 5 ,9 0 0 1 2 0 ,3 0 0 6 0 ,5 0 0 1 0 ,6 0 0 5, 300 4 3 ,9 0 0 7 0 ,0 0 0 1 2 5 ,1 0 0 M i n i n g ------------------------------------------------------P e t r o l e u m e x t r a c t i o n ----------------------O ther m i n i n g -------------------------------------- 1 0 ,2 0 0 6, 700 3, 500 3, 600 3, 100 500 3, 000 1 ,7 0 0 1, 300 1, 700 1 ,0 0 0 700 900 700 200 800 300 500 1, 300 700 600 300 100 200 - - 1, 000 600 400 - 3, 600 1 ,9 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 C on tract c o n s t r u c t i o n --------------------------- 3 4 ,6 0 0 21, 000 6 ,4 0 0 6, 100 5, 300 800 300 200 M a n u f a c t u r in g ----------------------------------------O r d n a n c e --------------------------------------------F o o d ----------------------------------------------------T e x t ile and a p p a r e l -------------------------L u m b e r and f u r n i t u r e ---------------------P a p e r -------------------------------------------------C h e m ic a ls -----------------------------------------P e t r o l e u m r e f i n i n g --------------------------R u b b e r ------------------------------------------------Stone, c la y , and g l a s s -------------------P r i m a r y m e t a l s --------------------------------F a b r ic a t e d m e t a l s ---------------------------M a c h i n e r y -----------------------------------------E l e c t r i c a l e q u i p m e n t ----------------------M o to r v e h i c l e s ---------------------------------A i r c r a f t ---------------------------------------------O ther t r a n s p o r ta t io n e q u ip m e n t — P r o f e s s i o n a l and s c i e n t if ic i n s t r u m e n t --------------------------------------M is c e l la n e o u s m a n u f a c t u r i n g -------- 3 8 5 ,7 0 0 1 9 ,3 0 0 4, 300 3, 100 6, 700 6, 100 3 8 ,3 0 0 5, 800 5, 000 5, 600 1 7 ,6 0 0 2 4 ,7 0 0 6 7 ,4 0 0 1 0 0 ,9 0 0 1 5 ,7 0 0 3 4 ,4 0 0 6, 200 1 3 2 ,5 0 0 4, 200 700 500 5, 200 1 ,2 0 0 3 ,7 0 0 700 1, 300 2 ,4 0 0 4, 700 1 6 ,6 0 0 3 5 ,6 0 0 2 7 ,6 0 0 6, 100 9 ,9 0 0 4, 500 2 0 2 ,3 0 0 1 3 ,9 0 0 1 ,5 0 0 1, 300 900 3, 700 2 4 ,4 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 2, 800 2, 100 9, 000 6, 300 2 4 ,7 0 0 6 4 ,1 0 0 8 ,600 2 1 ,6 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 1 4 6 ,9 0 0 11, 100 500 500 800 2, 100 6, 900 1 ,9 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 4, 300 5, 000 2 0,80 0 5 5,40 0 7, 100 1 8 ,1 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 8 9 ,6 0 0 8, 700 300 400 300 400 1, 300 300 200 400 1 ,8 0 0 900 1 1 ,6 0 0 4 6 ,6 0 0 100 9, 000 1 ,2 0 0 5 7 ,3 0 0 2, 400 200 100 500 1 ,7 0 0 5, 600 1, 600 1, 200 1, 000 2, 500 4, 100 9, 200 8, 800 7, 000 9, 100 200 5 5,40 0 2, 800 1, 000 800 100 1, 600 1 7 ,5 0 0 1, 600 1 ,4 0 0 700 4, 7 00 1, 300 3, 900 8, 700 1 ,5 0 0 3, 500 300 3 4 ,5 0 0 1, 100 900 700 100 1, 200 1 5 ,4 0 0 1, 300 1, 100 500 1 ,2 0 0 500 1, 700 3, 700 600 1, 300 100 2 0 ,2 0 0 4, 400 6, 000 1 ,6 0 0 10, 000 2, 200 7, 000 1, 200 5, 600 500 1 ,4 0 0 700 3, 000 1, 000 5 9 ,0 0 0 4 , 700 2, 800 2 0 ,8 0 0 10, 900 1 9 ,8 0 0 9, 700 1 ,8 0 0 400 1, 100 3 8 ,0 0 0 1, 300 1, 100 1 7 ,7 0 0 9, 300 8, 600 2 6,80 0 700 1, 100 9 ,8 0 0 9, 300 5 ,9 0 0 1 1 ,2 0 0 600 7, 900 6 ,4 0 0 4 0 , 100 1 ,5 0 0 1 ,2 0 0 1 8 ,3 0 0 9, 300 9 ,800 O ther in d u s t r ie s -----------------------------------M is c e l la n e o u s b u s i n e s s s e r v i c e s ------------------------------------------M e d ic a l and d e n tal l a b o r a t o r ie s — N on p r o fit i n s t i t u t i o n s ----------------------E n g in e e r in g and a r c h it e c t u r a l s e r v i c e s ------------------------------------------O ther n o n m a n u f a c t u r in g ----------------- 2 0 0 ,7 0 0 8 5 ,0 0 0 5 2 ,7 0 0 3 5 ,9 0 0 2 9,90 0 3 9 ,9 0 0 1 8 ,5 0 0 6, 500 10, 800 600 2 2 ,4 0 0 2 ,400 1 1 ,5 0 0 900 1 0 ,2 0 0 300 9 7,80 0 3 8 ,0 0 0 68, 100 5 ,5 0 0 8, 500 1 9 ,4 0 0 7, 600 15, 900 G o v e r n m e n t --------------------------------------------F e d e r a l -----------------------------------------------S t a t e ----------------------------------------------------L o c a l ---------------------------------------------------- 1 6 4 ,9 0 0 8 3,80 0 5 6 ,5 0 0 2 4,60 0 19, 100 3, 900 6, 900 8, 300 107, 000 63, 500 3 4 ,9 0 0 8, 600 C o lle g e s and u n i v e r s i t i e s -------------------- 3 1 ,8 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 7 ,8 0 0 T r a n s p o r t a tio n , c o m m u n ic a tio n , and pu b lic u t ilit ie s -----------------------------R a ilr o a d s ------------------------------------------O ther t r a n s p o r t a t i o n -----------------------T e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n s -----------------------R adio and t e l e v i s i o n -----------------------P u b lic u t ilit ie s ---------------------------------- - 100 300 1 ,4 0 0 100 4 00 - 100 300 500 100 300 - 2, 200 900 300 100 - 500 - 2, 100 200 100 600 1 ,2 0 0 800 200 600 200 200 700 100 100 500 6, 000 1 7 ,0 0 0 8 ,4 0 0 2, 200 400 300 100 1, 600 1, 300 600 1 0 ,9 0 0 1 ,5 0 0 5, 200 700 1 ,6 0 0 300 700 200 4 , 000 1 5 ,4 0 0 3, 600 500 900 3, 700 300 2, 200 100 200 6 8,50 0 3 3 ,6 0 0 2 7,50 0 7 ,4 0 0 28 ,9 0 0 1 7 ,7 0 0 1 0 ,1 0 0 1, 100 3 9 ,6 0 0 1 5 ,9 0 0 1 7 ,4 0 0 6, 300 3 8 ,5 0 0 2 9,90 0 7 ,400 1 ,2 0 0 1 3 ,5 0 0 9, 200 3 ,4 0 0 900 2, 100 1 ,9 0 0 200 5 ,700 2, 800 - 2, 700 4, 100 600 100 1 5 ,1 0 0 800 100 100 300 1 ,5 0 0 200 200 200 3, 500 600 1 ,6 0 0 3, 100 700 1, 500 200 N O T E : B e c a u s e of r oun din g, s u m s of in divid ual i t e m s m a y not eq u a l to t a ls . _ - 100 500 100 100 - 1, 700 300 - - - 100 - - _ - 7, 200 5 ,4 0 0 200 700 100 200 100 - 45,40 0 1, 000 1 ,4 0 0 1, 300 600 1, 100 6, 500 1 ,6 0 0 900 1 ,0 0 0 3 ,9 0 0 1 ,6 0 0 7, 000 9, 000 1 ,0 0 0 2, 800 400 300 100 3, 800 500 - 100 3, 600 100 - 9 ,2 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 1 ,2 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 1 ,6 0 0 3, 600 4 ,8 0 0 2 5,70 0 3 7 ,4 0 0 3 ,4 0 0 300 800 1 6 ,8 0 0 3, 100 5, 900 1 ,7 0 0 400 100 600 400 700 100 4, 900 2 1 ,1 0 0 8, 300 2, 900 2, 900 - 1, 000 800 200 - 21, 100 1 7 ,0 0 0 3 ,8 0 0 300 1 9 ,5 0 0 1 4 ,5 0 0 4, 000 1 ,0 0 0 1 9 ,0 0 0 1, 600 10, 700 6, 700 1 ,2 0 0 500 1 ,2 0 0 1 9 ,3 0 0 3, 300 - - T able A -2. P e r c e n t distribution o f e s t im a te d e m p l o y m e n t o f t e c h n ic ia n s , b y o c c u p a t io n a n d in d u stry, 1 9 6 6 E n g i n e e r i n g and p h y s i c a l s c i e n c e te c h n ic ia n s Ind ustry T otal D rafts te c h n ic ia n s men T otal E n g i n e e r i n g te c h n ic ia n s E lec T otal O ther t r o n ic s T otal P h y s i c a l s c i e n c e t e c h n ic ia n s e C h e m ic a l P h y s i c s Mm aa th tics A ll i n d u s t r i e s ------------------------------- 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 M ining ------------------------------------------------------P e t r o l e u m e x t r a c t i o n ----------------------O ther m i n i n g -------------------------------------- 1. 2 .8 .4 1. 3 1. 1 .2 0. 7 .4 .3 0. 6 .3 .2 0. 5 .4 .1 0. 7 .3 .4 1. 1 .6 .5 0. 5 .2 .3 C o n tr a c t c o n s t r u c t i o n --------------------------- 3. 9 7. 7 1. 5 2. 0 2. 9 .7 .2 .3 M an u fac tu r in g ----------------------------------------O r d n a n c e --------------------------------------------F o o d ----------------------------------------------------T e x tile and a p p a r e l -------------------------L u m b e r and fu r n itu r e --------------------P a p e r -------------------------------------------------C h e m i c a l s -----------------------------------------P e t r o l e u m r e f i n i n g --------------------------R u b b e r ------------------------------------------------S ton e , c la y , and g l a s s -------------------P r i m a r y m a t e l s -------------------------------F a b r ic a t e d m e t a l s ---------------------------M a c h i n e r y -----------------------------------------E l e c t r i c a l e q u i p m e n t ----------------------M otor v e h i c l e s ---------------------------------A i r c r a f t ---------------------------------------------O th e r tr a n sp o r t a t io n e q u ip m e n t — P r o f e s s i o n a l and s c i e n t if ic in s t r u m e n t s -----------------------------------M i s c e l l a n e o u s m a n u f a c t u r i n g ------- 43. 5 2. 2 .5 .3 .8 .7 4. 3 .7 .6 .6 2. 0 2. 8 7. 6 1 1 .4 1. 8 3. 9 .7 48. 7 1. 5 .3 .2 1. 9 .4 1 .4 .3 .5 .9 1. 7 6. 1 13. 1 10. 1 2. 2 3. 6 1. 7 48. 2 3. 3 .4 .3 .2 .9 5. 8 .8 .7 .5 2. 1 1. 5 5.9 15. 3 2. 1 5. 2 .4 49. 1 3. 7 .2 .2 .3 .7 2. 3 .6 .5 .5 1 .4 1. 7 7. 0 18. 5 2. 3 6. 0 .5 48. 9 4. 7 .2 .2 .2 .2 .7 .2 .1 .2 1. 0 .5 6. 3 25. 4 .1 4. 9 .7 49. 4 2. 1 .2 .1 .4 1. 5 4. 8 1 .4 1. 0 .9 2. 2 3. 5 7. 9 7. 6 6. 0 7. 9 .2 46. 1 2. 3 .8 .7 .1 1. 3 14. 5 1 .3 1. 2 .6 3. 9 1. 1 3. 2 7. 2 1. 2 2. 9 .2 2. 3 .5 2. 2 .6 2. 4 .5 2. 3 .4 3. 1 .3 1. 2 .6 6. 7 .5 .3 2. 3 1. 2 2. 2 3. 6 .7 .1 .4 2. 4 9. 6 .4 .3 4. 4 2. 2 2. 3 12. 7 .4 .4 5 .9 3. 1 2. 9 14. 6 .4 .6 5. 3 5. 1 3. 2 O ther in d u s t r ie s -----------------------------------M iscellaenou s b u sin ess s e r v i c e s ------------------------------------------M e d ic a l and d e n ta l la b o r a t o r ie s — N o n p r o fit o r g a n i z a t i o n s -----------------E n g i n e e r i n g and a r c h it e c t u r a l s e r v i c e s ------------------------------------------O th e r n o n m a n u f a c t u r i n g ----------------- 22. 6 31. 2 12. 6 12. 0 4. 5 2. 1 .7 4. 0 .2 5. 3 .6 11. 0 4. 3 25. 0 2. 0 2. 0 4. 6 G o v e r n m e n t --------------------------------------------F e d e r a l ----- ------------------------------------S t a t e ----------------------------------------------------L o c a l ---------------------------------------------------- 18. 6 9 .4 6 .4 2. 8 7. 0 1 .4 2. 5 3. 0 C o lle g e s and u n i v e r s i t i e s -------------------- 3. 6 .5 T r a n s p o r t a tio n , c o m m u n ic a tio n , and p u b lic u t ilit ie s -----------------------------R a ilr o a d s ------------------------------------------O ther t r a n s p o r t a t i o n -----------------------T e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n s -----------------------Radio and t e l e v i s i o n -----------------------P u b lic u t ilit ie s ---------------------------------- 25. 15. 8. 2. 5 1 3 1 1. 9 . - 100. 0 _ - 100. 0 100. 0 _ * 100. 0 2. 3 1. 4 .9 1. 9 7. 9 .3 1. 0 .1 5. 1 .1 .1 .3 .1 - 5. 8 36. 3 .8 1. 1 1. 0 .5 .9 5. 2 1. 3 .7 .8 3. 1 1. 3 5. 6 7. 2 .8 2. 2 .3 .4 .1 3. 0 .4 57. 0 1. 8 1 .5 1. 2 .2 2. 0 25. 5 2. 1 1. 8 .8 2. 0 .8 2. 8 6. 1 1 .0 2. 1 .2 38. 7 5. 7 .9 4. 7 .9 .9 .9 2. 8 3. 2 .9 3. 8 - 32. 1 5. 7 1 .9 1 .9 5. 7 9 .4 1. 9 5. 7 - 34. 4 1. 8 .2 2. 3 .7 3. 4 .5 .5 .5 8. 0 1 .4 3. 6 7. 1 1. 6 3. 4 .5 2. 5 .8 3. 6 1. 5 3. 8 .9 - 1. 1 - 9. 7 .5 6. 8 2. 3 1. 7 .2 .1 .5 1. 0 1. 3 .3 1. 0 7. 5 5. 7 1. 9 1. 6 .2 .2 1. 1 16. 3 5. 2 14. 1 13. 9 1. 9 1 .9 20. 8 30. 2 3. 8 .3 5. 6 .2 1. 1 .5 9. 1 1. 2 8. 6 1. 2 15. 1 2. 8 13. 2 3. 8 2. 5 5. 3 2. 2 8. 4 3. 1 .4 .7 3. 1 .5 3. 6 .9 1 .9 9 2 2 5 15. 8 9. 7 5. 5 .6 34. 2 13. 7 15. 0 5 .4 .7 1. 0 .2 27. 4 2 7.4 11. 3 22. 11. 9. 2. N O T E : B e c a u s e of roun din g, s u m s of in divid ual i t e m s m a y not eq u a l t o t a ls . 100. 0 O ther 32. 24. 6. 1. 0 9 2 0 4. 7 22. 15. 5. 1. 3 2 6 5 4. 6 A ll L ife o th e r science t e c h n ic ia n s t e c h n ic ia n s . 2. 9 1. 5 1 .4 7. 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 4 1 0 1 3 9 10. 9 36. 7 29. 9 7. 7 .7 1. 1 24. 0 4. 4 4. 7 1. 4 .3 1. 9 11. 3 .9 1. 6 .1 7. 0 16. 9 6. 6 18. 9 15. 1 3. 8 9 .4 48. 1 38. 7 8. 7 .7 27. 9 20. 7 20. 0 1 .4 15. 2 1. 3 8. 6 5. 4 2. 7 27. 6 2. 6 T ab le A -3. P r o je c te d 1 9 8 0 e m p lo y m e n t r eq u ire m en ts for te c h n ic ia n s, by o c c u p a tio n and industry !o E n g i n e e r i n g and p h y s i c a l s c i e n c e te c h n ic ia n s In d u stry Total te c h n ic ia n s D rafts men T otal E n g in e e r in g t e c h n ic ia n s T otal P h y s i c a l s c i e n c e t e c h n ic ia n s M a th e C h e m ic a l P h ysics m a tics A ll i n d u s t r i e s ------------------------------------------------ 1 .395 .700 4 3 4 .3 0 0 6 4 6 .8 0 0 45 3 .8 0 0 1 9 3 ,0 0 0 9 6 .5 0 0 M i n i n g ----------------------------------------------------------------------P e t r o l e u m e x t r a c t i o n --------------------------------------O th e r m i n i n g ------------------------------------------------------ 1 0 ,8 0 0 6 ,8 0 0 4, 000 3 ,7 0 0 3, 200 500 3 ,3 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 1 ,6 0 0 1 ,8 0 0 1, 000 800 1 ,5 0 0 700 800 4 00 100 300 C o n tr a c t c o n s t r u c t i o n -------------------------------------------- 5 0 ,9 0 0 3 0 ,9 0 0 9 ,5 0 0 9, 000 500 400 M a n u fa c tu r in g --------------------------------------------------------O r d n a n c e ------------------------------------------------------------F o o d ---------------------------------------------------------------------T e x t ile and a p p a r e l -----------------------------------------L u m b e r and f u r n i t u r e -------------------------------------P a p e r ------------------------------------------------------------------C h e m ic a ls ----------------------------------------------------------P e t r o l e u m r e f i n i n g ------------------------------------------R u b b e r -----------------------------------------------------------------S to n e , c la y , and g l a s s ------------------------------------P r i m a r y m e t a l s ------------------------------------------------F a b r ic a t e d m e t a l s --------------------------------------------M a c h i n e r y ----------------------------------------------------------E l e c t r i c a l e q u i p m e n t --------------------------------------M o to r v e h i c l e s -------------------------------------------------A i r c r a f t --------------------------------------------------------------O th e r t r a n s p o r ta t io n e q u i p m e n t -------------------P r o f e s s i o n a l and s c i e n t if ic i n s t r u m e n t s ----------------------------------------------------M i s c e l l a n e o u s m a n u f a c t u r i n g ------------------------ 6 0 2 ,8 0 0 2 2 ,6 0 0 5 ,7 0 0 4, 000 9 ,6 0 0 9, 300 5 4 ,0 0 0 6 ,2 0 0 7 ,6 0 0 8 ,4 0 0 2 3 ,1 0 0 3 5 ,2 0 0 1 2 5 ,7 0 0 1 7 5 ,5 0 0 19, 600 4 7 ,0 0 0 9 ,5 0 0 2 1 0 ,9 0 0 4 ,600 800 600 7 ,4 0 0 1 ,8 0 0 5 ,2 0 0 800 2, 000 3 ,8 0 0 6, 100 2 3 ,6 0 0 6 6 ,3 0 0 4 8 ,1 0 0 7 ,6 0 0 1 3 ,5 0 0 6 ,5 0 0 3 1 3 ,7 0 0 1 6 ,5 0 0 1 ,9 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 1, 300 5 ,6 0 0 3 4,40 0 3 ,7 0 0 4 , 200 3 2 ,1 0 0 1 1 ,8 0 0 9, 300 4 6 ,1 0 0 1 1 1 ,5 0 0 1 0 ,8 0 0 2 9,50 0 2 ,4 0 0 2 3 0 ,5 0 0 1 2 ,0 0 0 600 600 1, 100 3, 100 9, 600 2, 100 2, 200 2, 200 5 ,6 0 0 7, 100 3 8,80 0 96 ,7 0 0 8, 800 24 ,6 0 0 2, 000 8 3 ,2 0 0 4 , 500 1, 300 1, 100 200 2, 500 2 4,80 0 1, 600 2, 000 900 6, 200 2 ,2 0 0 7, 300 1 4 ,8 0 0 2, 000 4 ,9 0 0 4 00 50 ,9 0 0 2, 000 1, 200 1 ,0 0 0 200 1 ,8 0 0 2 2 ,0 0 0 1, 300 1 ,6 0 0 600 1 ,5 0 0 900 3, 000 6 ,400 800 1 ,6 0 0 100 3 4 ,1 0 0 5 ,7 0 0 10, 100 2, 100 1 7 ,0 0 0 2 ,9 0 0 1 1 ,8 0 0 1 ,6 0 0 5, 200 1, 300 3 ,7 0 0 1 ,2 0 0 T r a n s p o r t a tio n , c o m m u n ic a tio n , and p u b lic u t ilit ie s ---------------------------------------------R a ilr o a d s -----------------------------------------------------------O th e r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n ----------------------------------------T e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n s ----------------------------------------R ad io and t e l e v i s i o n ----------------------------------------P u b lic u t ilit ie s ---------------------------------------------------- 80, 000 4, 200 4, 000 33, 100 1 5 ,0 0 0 2 3 ,7 0 0 1 1 ,6 0 0 1 ,6 0 0 600 1 ,8 0 0 7 ,6 0 0 5 6 ,8 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 2 9,10 0 1 2 ,8 0 0 1 1 ,8 0 0 54 ,2 0 0 1 ,2 0 0 1 ,6 0 0 28 ,3 0 0 1 2 ,8 0 0 1 0 ,3 0 0 2 ,6 0 0 200 100 8 00 1 ,5 0 0 900 200 700 O th e r i n d u s t r ie s ----------------------------------------------------M is c e l la n e o u s b u s i n e s s s e r v i c e s ----------------M e d ic a l and den tal l a b o r a t o r i e s -------------------N o n p r o fit i n s t i t u t i o n s ---------------------------------------E n g in e e r in g and a r c h it e c t u r a l s e r v i c e s -----O th e r n o n m a n u f a c t u r in g ---------------------------------- 342, 000 6 0 ,9 0 0 2 6 ,8 0 0 13, 000 1 8 6 ,5 0 0 5 4 ,8 0 0 1 4 6 ,5 0 0 1 5 ,5 0 0 1, 300 1 2 2 ,0 0 0 7 ,7 0 0 8 3 ,4 0 0 3 4 ,6 0 0 4 ,7 0 0 1 5 ,5 0 0 2 8,60 0 54 ,4 0 0 1 6 ,5 0 0 1 ,9 0 0 1 3 ,6 0 0 22 ,4 0 0 2 9 ,0 0 0 1 8 ,1 0 0 2 ,8 0 0 1 ,9 0 0 6, 200 1 4 ,8 0 0 8, 900 1, 100 700 4 , 100 G o v e r n m e n t ------------------------------------------------------------F e d e r a l ---------------------------------------------------------------S t a t e ---------------------------------------------------------------------L o c a l -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2 5 0 ,7 0 0 122, 000 9 2 ,5 0 0 3 6 ,2 0 0 2 8 ,6 0 0 5 ,4 0 0 11, 300 1 1 ,9 0 0 1 6 1 ,2 0 0 92 ,4 0 0 5 6,00 0 1 2 ,8 0 0 1 0 0 ,7 0 0 4 6 ,2 0 0 4 3 ,9 0 0 1 0 ,6 0 0 6 0 ,5 0 0 4 6 ,2 0 0 1 2 ,1 0 0 2, 200 2 2 ,1 0 0 1 4 ,8 0 0 5, 600 1 ,7 0 0 C o lle g e s and u n i v e r s i t i e s ------------------------------------- 5 8 ,5 0 0 2, 100 1 8 ,9 0 0 3, 200 1 5 ,7 0 0 7, 000 - N O T E : B e c a u s e of roun din g, s u m s o f in divid ual it e m s m a y not e q u al t o t a ls . 2 0.70 0 _ L ife All science oth e r t e c h n ic ia n s te c h n ic ia n s O ther 1 0 .1 0 0 6 5.70 0 1 0 8 .9 0 0 2 0 5 .8 0 0 - - - - 100 1, 100 600 500 - 3 ,8 0 0 1 ,9 0 0 1 ,9 0 0 - 2 2,70 0 1 ,0 0 0 100 100 500 2, 100 200 300 300 4 ,7 0 0 900 3, 000 5 ,4 0 0 900 2, 100 300 7, 900 300 1, 100 200 5, 100 200 300 100 - 70, 300 1 ,2 0 0 1 ,9 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 900 1 ,7 0 0 9, 300 1 ,7 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 1 ,5 0 0 5 ,2 0 0 2, 300 13, 100 1 5 ,6 0 0 1 ,2 0 0 3 ,9 0 0 600 600 100 100 - 800 - 600 - 6 ,4 0 0 700 - 800 - 600 900 100 200 - - 200 600 1 1 ,6 0 0 1 ,2 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 2, 200 2 ,2 0 0 4, 300 2, 800 1 ,2 0 0 600 200 800 6, 500 1, 000 - 200 600 100 100 - 200 600 2, 200 200 600 - 3, 800 2 ,7 0 0 500 300 300 5, 000 5, 000 - 5 ,4 0 0 . 3, 100 500 - 100 200 700 800 100 600 _ - 1 0 ,6 0 0 7, 600 5, 300 600 700 1, 000 3 8 ,9 0 0 1, 600 2 4 ,4 0 0 6, 200 200 6, 500 7 3 ,2 0 0 9 ,2 0 0 2 ,4 0 0 800 4 8 ,8 0 0 12, 000 2, 100 1 ,6 0 0 400 100 3 1 ,3 0 0 24,80 0 6, 100 400 3 0 ,5 0 0 2 1 ,9 0 0 7, 000 1, 600 3 0 ,4 0 0 2, 300 1 8 ,2 0 0 9 ,9 0 0 1, 200 2, 100 3 1 ,6 0 0 5, 900 _ _ T ab le A -4. industry P e r c e n t distribu tion o f p r o je cte d 1 9 8 0 e m p l o y m e n t r e q u ir e m e n ts for t e c h n ic ia n s , by o c c u p a tio n a n d E n g i n e e r i n g and p h y s ic a l s c i e n c e te c h n ic ia n s Ind ustry Total te c h n ic ia n s D rafts men T otal E n g in e e r in g t e c h n ic ia n s T otal P h y s i c a l s c i e n c e t e c h n ic ia n s M a th e C h e m ic a l P h ysics m a t ic s A ll i n d u s t r i e s ----------------------------------------------- 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 M i n i n g ----------------------------------------------------------------------P e t r o l e u m e x t r a c t i o n --------------------------------------O th e r m i n i n g ------------------------------------------------------ 0. 8 .5 .3 0.9 .7 .1 0. 5 .3 .2 0 .4 .2 .2 0. 8 .4 .4 0 .4 .1 .3 C o n tr a c t c o n s t r u c t i o n ------------------------------------------- 3. 6 7. 1 1. 5 2. 0 .3 .4 M a n u f a c t u r i n g --------------------------------------------------------O r d n a n c e ------------------------------------------------------------F o o d --------------------------------------------------------------------T e x t ile and a p p a r e l -----------------------------------------L u m b e r and f u r n i t u r e -------------------------------------P a p e r ------------------------------------------------------------------C h e m ic a ls ---------------------------------------------------------P e t r o l e u m r e f i n i n g ------------------------------------------R u b b e r ----------------------------------------------------------------S to n e , c la y , and g l a s s -----------------------------------P r i m a r y m e t a l s ------------------------------------------------F a b r ic a t e d m e t a l s -------------------------------------------M a c h i n e r y ---------------------------------------------------------E l e c t r i c a l e q u i p m e n t --------------------------------------M o to r v e h i c l e s -------------------------------------------------A i r c r a f t --------------------------------------------------------------O th e r t r a n s p o r ta t io n e q u i p m e n t -------------------P r o f e s s i o n a l and s c i e n t if ic i n s t r u m e n t s ----------------------------------------------------M i s c e l l a n e o u s m a n u f a c t u r i n g ------------------------ 43. 2 1. 6 .4 .3 .7 .7 3 .9 .4 .5 .6 1.7 2. 5 9. 0 12. 6 1 .4 3 .4 .7 48. 6 1. 1 .1 1 .7 .4 1 .2 .2 .5 .9 1 .4 5 .4 15. 3 11. 1 1. 7 3. 1 1. 5 48. 5 2. 6 .3 .3 .2 .9 5. 3 .6 .6 .5 1 .8 1 .4 7. 1 17. 2 1. 7 4. 6 .4 50. 8 2. 6 .1 .1 .2 .7 2. 1 .5 .5 .5 1. 2 1. 6 8. 6 2 1 .3 1 .9 5. 4 .4 43. 1 2. 3 .7 .6 .1 1. 3 12. 8 .8 1. 0 .5 3. 2 1. 1 3. 8 7. 7 1. 0 2. 5 .2 2. 4 .4 2. 3 .5 2. 6 .4 2. 6 .4 T r a n s p o r t a tio n , c o m m u n ic a tio n , and p u b lic u t i l i t i e s ---------------------------------------------R a ilr o a d s -----------------------------------------------------------O th e r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n ---------------------------------------T e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n s ---------------------------------------R adio and t e l e v i s i o n ---------------------------------------P u b lic u t ilit ie s -------------------------------------------------- 5. 7 .3 .3 2. 4 1. 1 1.7 2. 7 .4 .1 .4 1. 7 8. 8 .2 .3 4. 5 2. 0 1. 8 O th e r i n d u s t r i e s ----------------------------------------------------M i s c e l l a n e o u s b u s i n e s s s e r v i c e s ----------------M e d ic a l and d e n ta l l a b o r a t o r i e s -------------------N o n p r o fit i n s t i t u t i o n s --------------------------------------E n g in e e r in g and a r c h it e c t u r a l s e r v i c e s -----O th e r n o n m a n u f a c t u r i n g --------------------------------- 24. 5 4.4 1 .9 .9 1 3 .4 3 .9 33. 7 3. 6 .3 2. 8 1. 8 G o v e r n m e n t ------------------------------------------------------------F e d e r a l ---------------------------------------------------------------S tate T-_ ____ , , L o c a l -------------------------------------------------------------------- 18. 8. 6. 2. 0 7 6 6 6. 6 1. 2 2. 6 2. 7 4. 2 .5 C o lle g e s and u n i v e r s i t i e s ------------------------------------ _ 100. 0 1 .8 .9 .9 34. 6 1. 5 .2 .2 .8 3. 2 .3 .5 .5 7. 2 1 .4 4. 6 8. 2 1. 3 3. 2 .5 7. 3 .3 1. 0 .2 4. 7 .2 .3 .1 " 5. 2 34. 2 .6 .9 .8 .4 .8 4. 5 .8 .7 .7 2. 5 1. 1 6 .4 7. 6 .6 1. 9 .3 1. 2 - .6 - 3. 1 .3 7. 9 5. 9 2. 0 1 .4 .2 .3 .9 5. 6 .6 .8 1. 1 1. 1 2. 1 27. 7 1 1 .9 5 .9 2. 0 7 .9 11. 6 8. 1 .9 1. 1 1. 5 35. 7 1. 5 2 2.4 5. 7 .2 6. 0 35. 6 4. 5 1. 2 .4 23. 7 5. 8 20. 8 15. 8 4‘. 0 1. 0 47. 6 37. 7 9. 3 .6 28. 0 20. 1 6 .4 1. 5 14. 8 1. 1 8. 8 4. 8 1 1 .9 3. 2 29. 0 2 .9 1. 0 52. 7 2. 1 1. 2 1 .0 .2 1. 9 22. 8 1. 3 1. 7 .6 1. 6 .9 3. 1 6. 6 .8 1. 7 .1 2. 7 .7 3. 8 1. 2 2. 9 1. 0 1 1 .9 .3 .4 6. 2 2. 8 2. 3 1. 3 .1 .1 .4 .8 .9 .2 .7 - 12. 9 5. 3 .7 2 .4 4 .4 12. 0 3. 6 .4 3. 0 4. 9 15. 0 9 .4 1 .5 1. 0 3. 2 15. 3 9. 2 1. 1 .7 4. 2 24. 14. 8. 2. 22. 10. 9. 2. 31. 23. 6. 1. 3 9 3 1 22. 9 15. 3 5. 8 1. 8 8. 1 7. 3 2 .9 2 2 7 3 .7 24. 2 24. 2 26. 1 100. 0 - 31 .4 4. 8 1. 0 2. 9 .5 .5 1. 0 2. 9 10. 6 1 .0 2. 9 " 9 3 7 0 100. 0 1. 7 .9 .8 - 1 8 .4 13. 0 2. 4 1 .4 1 .4 100. 0 _ - N O T E : B e c a u s e of r oun din g, s u m s of in divid ual i t e m s m a y no t e q u al to t a ls . 100. 0 O ther All L ife othe r scien ce te c h n ic ia n s te c h n ic ia n s 30. 7 5. 0 1. 0 2. 0 6 .9 7. 9 1. 0 5. 9 “ 1. 0 - T ab le A -5. R atio of tech n ician Ind ustry A ll i n d u s t r i e s ----------------------------------------M in ing ----------------------------------------------------------------P e t r o l e u m e x t r a c t i o n --------------------------------O th e r m in in g ----------------------------------------------C o n tr a c t c o n s t r u c t i o n ------------------------------------M a n u f a c t u r i n g --------------------------------------------------O r d n a n c e ------------------------------------------------------F o o d --------------------------------------------------------------T e x tile and a p p a r e l -----------------------------------L u m b e r and fu r n itu r e ------------------------------P a p e r ------------------------------------------------------------C h e m ic a ls ---------------------------------------------------P e t r o l e u m r e f i n i n g ------------------------------------R u b b e r ----------------------------------------------------------S tone, c la y , and g l a s s -----------------------------P r i m a r y m e t a l s -----------------------------------------F a b r ic a t e d m e t a l s -------------------------------------M a c h i n e r y ---------------------------------------------------E l e c t r i c a l e q u i p m e n t --------------------------------M o to r v e h i c l e s -------------------------------------------A i r c r a f t -------------------------------------------------------O ther t r a n s p o r ta t io n e q u i p m e n t ------------P r o f e s s i o n a l and s c i e n t i f i c in s t r u m e n ts M i s c e l l a n e o u s m a n u f a c t u r i n g ------------------ io to s c i e n c e an d e n g in e e r in g e m p lo y m e n t , by industry, 1 9 6 6 A v e r a g e n u m b e r of te c h n ic ia n s p e r 100 s c i e n t i s t s and en ein eers 63 35 30 48 67 58 32 36 48 168 42 39 42 45 53 64 82 83 70 67 113 57 66 I n d u str y A v e r a g e n u m b e r of te c h n ic ia n s p e r 100 s c i e n t i s t s and en ein eers T r a n s p o r t a tio n , c o m m u n ic a t io n , and pu b lic u t i l i t i e s ------------------------------------------------------------R a ilr o a d s -----------------------------------------------------------------O th e r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n ----------------------- -------------------T e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n s ---------------------------------------------R ad io and t e l e v i s i o n --------------------------------------------P u b lic u t i l i t i e s -------------------------------------------------------- 108 104 52 171 214 73 O th e r i n d u s t r i e s ----------------------------------------- --------------M i s c e l l a n e o u s b u s i n e s s s e r v i c e s ----------------------M e d ic a l and d e n ta l l a b o r a t o r i e s -------------------------N o n p r o fit i n s t i t u t i o n s --------------------------------------------E n g i n e e r i n g and a r c h it e c t u a l s e r v i c e s -----------------------------------------------------------------O th e r n o n m a n u f a c t u r in g --------- --------------------------- 97 70 1, 321 44 G o v e r n m e n t ------------------------------------------------------------------F e d e r a l ---------------------------------------------------------------------S tate ---------------------------------------------------------------------------L o c a l -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 75 63 109 73 C o lle g e s and u n i v e r s i t i e s ------------------------------------------ 18 105 91 A p p en d ix B C o v e r a g e , D e f in it io n s , a n d P r o j e c t i o n M e t h o d s c a u s e a d ju s tm e n ts w e re m a d e t o in c lu d e th o s e te c h n i c ia n s in frim s b e lo w a m in im u m s p e c ific s iz e t h a t w e re e x c lu d e d f r o m th e s u rv e y . In t o ta l , a d ju s tm e n ts f o r th e s e “ c u to f f s ” w e re m a d e in 1 0 o f th e 31 in d u s tr y g r o u p s fo r w h ic h s e p a r a te e s tim a te s w e re d e v e lo p e d in th is s tu d y . T h e f o llo w in g t a b u l a ti o n sh o w s th e in d u s tr ie s f o r w h ic h a d ju s t m e n ts w e re m a d e . T h e m o s t c u r r e n t e m p lo y m e n t d a ta o n te c h n ic ia n s e m p lo y e d in S ta te g o v e r n m e n ts a t th e tim e th is s tu d y w a s p r e p a r e d w e re c o lle c te d f o r 1 9 6 4 b y th e B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s . T h e m o s t c u r r e n t d a ta f o r lo c a l g o v e r n m e n ts is Coverage and definitions T h e d e f in itio n o f te c h n ic ia n s u s e d in th is r e p o r t is th e s a m e u s e d in t h e p e r io d ic s u rv e y s o f s c ie n tif ic a n d te c h n ic a l p e r s o n n e l in p riv a te in d u s t r y , a n d S ta te a n d lo c a l g o v e rn m e n ts c o n d u c t e d b y t h e B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s . T e c h n ic ia n s a re : P e rs o n s a c tu a lly e n g a g e d in te c h n ic a l w o r k a t a le v e l w h ic h r e q u ire s k n o w le d g e o f p h y s ic a l, life , e n g in e e rin g , o r m a th e m a tic a l s c ie n c e s c o m p a r a b le t o k n o w le d g e a c q u ir e d th r o u g h te c h n ic a l i n s t it u t e , j u n io r c o lle g e , o r o t h e r fo r m a l p o s t- h ig h s c h o o l tra in in g le s s e x te n s iv e t h a n 4 -y e a r c o lle g e tr a in in g , o r th r o u g h e q u iv a le n t o n - th e - jo b tr a in in g o r e x p e r ie n c e . A ll p e r s o n s w o r k in g a s d r a f ts m e n a n d s u rv e y o rs a re c o n s id e re d t o b e te c h n ic ia n s . Number of employees in smallest size of Industry firm sampled Food and kindred products-------------------------------10 Textile mill products and apparel: Textile mill products 1----------------------------------50 Apparel1 ---------------------------------------------------- 100 Paper and allied products---------------------------------10 Rubber and miscellaenous plastics products---------10 Stone, clay, glass, and concrete products: Hydraulic cement1---------------------------------------10 Stone, clay, and glass products1--------------------4 Lumber and furniture---------------------------------------50 Contract construction--------------------------------------4 Miscellaneous manufacturing: Tabacco manufactures1---------------------------------50 Printing, publishing, and allied industries1-------- 100 Miscellaneous manufacturing industries1 ---------10 Mining, except petroleum---------------------------------10 Other transportation services: Local passenger transportation1----------------------- 100 Trucking1------------- j ------------------------------------10 Water transportation -----------------------------------10 Air transportation!----j---------------------------------- 100 Pipeline transportation---------------------------------50 1 A separate employment estimate was not developed for this industry. E x c lu d e d f r o m c o v e ra g e a re : ( 1 ) T e c h n ic ia n s w h o w o r k w i t h p h y s ic ia n s , d e n tis ts , a n d o t h e r p r a c t it i o n e r s in t h e h e a l t h fie ld s w h o a re e n g a g e d in p a ti e n t c a re ; ( 2 ) w o r k e r s w h o fa ll in th e “ s p e c tr u m o f m id d le le v e l m a n p o w e r ” in b u s in e s s — r e la te d te c h n o lo g ie s a n d p u b lic se rv ic e s s u c h as lib ra ry a s s is ta n ts a n d le g a l s e c re ta rie s ; a n d (3 ) w o r k e r s c la s s ifie d as c r a f ts m e n s u c h a s i n s tr u m e n t r e p a ir m e n a n d m e c h a n ic s . Methodology Estimates of 1966 employment. T h e e s tim a te s o f t o ta l t e c h n ic ia n e m p lo y m e n t in th is r e p o r t w e re d e riv e d b y a g g re g a tin g s e p a r a te e s tim a te s m a d e f o r e a c h o f th e six s e c to r s o f th e e c o n o m y f o r w h ic h te c h n ic ia n e m p lo y m e n t d a ta a re c o ll e c t e d — p riv a te i n d u s t r y , t h e F e d e r a l G o v e r n m e n t , S ta te g o v e r n m e n ts , lo c a l g o v e r n m e n ts , n o n p r o f i t o r g a n iz a t i o n s ,2 a n d c o lle g e s a n d u n iv e rs itie s . 3 F o r th e p r iv a te in d u s t r y s e c to r , a s u rv e y o f s c ie n tific a n d te c h n ic ia l p e r s o n n e l (S P T ) w a s c o n d u c t e d in 1 9 6 6 b y th e B u r e a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s . P u b lis h e d d a ta f r o m th is s u rv e y d if f e r s lig h tly f r o m e s tim a te s u s e d in th is s tu d y b e Footnotes appear on p. 28. 25 26 fo r 1 9 6 3 , w h ic h a ls o w e re c o lle c te d b y th e B u re a u . T h e d a ta o n te c h n ic ia n s e m p lo y e d in c o lle g e s a n d u n iv e r s itie s a re f o r 1 9 6 5 f r o m a s u rv e y c o n d u c te d b y th e N a tio n a l S c ie n c e F o u n d a t io n (N S F ) a s w e re d a ta o n th o s e e m p lo y e d in n o n p r o f i t o r g a n iz a tio n s . T e c h n ic ia n e m p lo y m e n t in th e F e d e r a l G o v e r n m e n t in 1 9 6 6 w a s o b ta in e d f r o m th e U .S . C ivil S e rv ic e C o m m is s io n . I n s e c to r s w h e re 1 9 6 6 s u rv e y r e s u lts w e re n o t a v a ila b le , a d ju s tm e n ts t o a v a ila b le d a ta w e re m a d e t o p la c e all s e c to rs o n a c o m p a r a b le tim e b a s is . F o r e x a m p le , e s tim a te s o f e m p l o y m e n t o f te c h n ic ia n s in S ta te g o v e r n m e n ts in 1 9 6 6 w e re b a s e d o n a t r e n d a n a ly s is o f in f o r m a tio n in th e B L S s u rv e y s o f s c ie n tific a n d te c h n ic a l p e r s o n n e l in S ta te g o v e r n m e n ts in 1 9 5 9 , 1 9 6 2 , a n d 1 9 6 4 ,4 a u g m e n te d b y a n a n a ly s is o f th e h is to r ic a l r a tio s o f t e c h n ic ia n s t o s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs in t h is s e c to r . T h e s c ie n tis t a n d e n g in e e r e s tim a te s u s e d in th e a n a ly s is w e re o b t a i n e d f r o m a s tu d y p r e p a r e d b y th e N S F a n d t h e B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s .5 T h e k n o w le d g e g a in e d f r o m t h a t s tu d y a lso w a s i n c o r p o r a te d in th e d e v e lo p m e n t o f te c h n ic ia n e s tim a te s . T h is sa m e g e n e ra l m e t h o d o lo g y w a s f o llo w e d t o d e v e lo p te c h n ic ia n e m p lo y m e n t e s tim a te s f o r th e lo c a l g o v e r n m e n t, c o lle g e s a n d u n iv e r s ity , a n d n o n p r o f i t o r g a n iz a tio n s e c to rs . Occupational distributions. N in e s e p a r a te o c c u p a tio n a l c a te g o rie s f o r te c h n ic ia n s a re s h o w n in th is r e p o r t f o r 1 9 6 6 . T h e y a re a s f o llo w s : ( 1 ) D r a f ts m e n , ( 2 ) e le c tr ic a l a n d e le c tr o n ic e n g in e e rin g te c h n ic ia n s , ( 3 ) o t h e r e n g in e e r in g te c h n ic ia n s , ( 4 ) c h e m ic a l te c h n ic ia n s , ( 5 ) p h y s ic s te c h n ic ia n s , ( 6 ) m a th e m a tic s te c h n ic ia n s , ( 7 ) o t h e r p h y s ic a l s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s , ( 8 ) life s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s , a n d ( 9 ) a ll o t h e r te c h n ic ia n s . H o w e v e r, e a c h o f th e v a r io u s s u rv e y s u s e d to d e v e lo p th e 1 9 6 6 e m p lo y m e n t e s tim a te s d id n o t p r o v id e th is d e g re e o f o c c u p a tio n a l d e ta il. I n s u rv e y s o f p r iv a te i n d u s tr y c o n d u c te d b y B L S , se v e n d if f e r e n t c a te g o r ie s a re d e ta ile d ; o n ly th r e e c a te g o r ie s a re p r e s e n te d in th e c o lle g e a n d u n iv e r s ity s u rv e y s . T h e o c c u p a tio n a l d e ta il a v a ila b le in th e d if f e r e n t in d u s tr y s e c to r s s u rv e y s is s h o w n b e lo w : P riv a te in d u s tr y : D r a f ts m e n , s u rv e y o rs , e le c tric a l a n d e le c tr o n ic t e c h n ic ia n s , o t h e r e n g in e e rin g a n d p h y s ic a l s c ie n c e t e c h n ic ia n s , b io lo g ic a l a n d a g r ic u ltu r a l te c h n ic ia n s , m e d ic a l a n d d e n ta l te c h n ic ia n s , o t h e r te c h n ic ia n s . F e d e r a l G o v e r n m e n t: A b o u t 3 5 j o b t it l e s u s e d b y th e U .S . C iv il S e rv ic e C o m m is s io n , s u c h a s d r a f ts m e n , e le c tr o n ic s e n g in e e rin g te c h n ic ia n s , m a th e m a tic s te c h n ic ia n s , b io lo g ic a l t e c h n ic ia n s . 6 S ta te a n d lo c a l g o v e r n m e n t: D r a f ts m e n , s u rv e y o rs , e n g in e e rin g te c h n ic ia n s , p h y s ic a l s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s , b io lo g ic a l te c h n i c i a n s ,7 m e d ic a l a n d d e n ta l te c h n ic ia n s , o t h e r te c h n ic ia n s . N o n p r o f i t o r g a n iz a tio n s E n g in e e rin g a n d p h y s ic a l s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s , life s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s , o t h e r te c h n ic ia n s . C o lle g e s a n d u n iv e r s itie s : E n g in e e rin g a n d p h y s ic a l s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s , life s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s , o t h e r te c h n ic ia n s . In d e v e lo p in g a c o m p a r a b le c la s s ific a tio n o f o c c u p a tio n a l s p e c ia ltie s f o r e a c h o f th e six i n d u s t r y s e c to rs , th e o c c u p a tio n a l c la s s ific a tio n f o r d r a f ts m e n , life s c ie n c e t e c h n ic ia n s , a n d a ll o t h e r t e c h n ic ia n s w e re s im ila r, a n d to ta ls w e re r e a d ily a v a ila b le f r o m t h e s u rv e y d a ta . H o w e v e r, f o r th e la rg e s t p o r t i o n o f a ll te c h n ic ia n s , “ e n g in e e rin g a n d p h y s ic a l s c ie n c e t e c h n ic ia n s ,” a n e m p l o y m e n t d i s tr ib u tio n f o r th e f o llo w in g o c c u p a tio n a l c a te g o r ie s h a d t o b e d e riv e d : 1. E n g in e e rin g te c h n ic ia n s a . E le c tr ic a l a n d e le c tr o n ic te c h n ic ia n s b . O th e r e n g in e e rin g t e c h n ic ia n s 2 . C h e m ic a l te c h n ic ia n s 3 . P h y s ic s te c h n ic ia n s 4 . M a th e m a tic s te c h n ic ia n s 5 . A ll o t h e r p h y s ic a l s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s T h e b r e a k d o w n o f th e e n g in e e rin g a n d p h y s ic a l sc ie n c e g r o u p b y m o r e d e ta ile d o c c u p a tio n a l c la s s ific a tio n s w a s b a s e d o n in f o r m a tio n f r o m a p o s tc e n s a l su rv e y .8 H o w e v e r, th e p o s tc e n s a l s u rv e y d id n o t a llo w f o r a d i s t r ib u t i o n o f te c h n ic ia n s b y in d u s tr y o f e m p lo y m e n t. T o d e v e lo p e s ti m a te s o f e m p lo y m e n t in th e m o r e d e ta ile d o c c u p a tio n a l c la s s ific a tio n s b y i n d u s t r y , it w a s n e c e s s a ry t o u s e a s ta tis tic a l a n a ly s is s u g g e s te d b y B u re a u s ta tis tic ia n s w h ic h in v o lv e d r e la tin g th e p o s tc e n s a l d a ta t o e s tim a te d e m p lo y m e n t o f all e n g in e e rin g a n d sc ie n c e t e c h n ic ia n s in e a c h i n d u s t r y . ( S e e Technician Manpower: Requirements, Resources and Training Needs, C h a p te r II, f o r a d d itio n a l i n f o r m a tio n .) Projecting technician manpower requirements. In g e n e ra l, a th r e e - p h a s e m e t h o d w a s u s e d t o p r o j e c t te c h n ic ia n m a n p o w e r r e q u ir e m e n ts . In th e f ir s t p h a s e , p r o j e c t io n s w e re d e v e lo p e d o f e m p l o y m e n t r e q u ir e m e n ts f o r w a g e a n d s a la ry w o r k e r s b y in d u s tr y a s p a r t o f t h e B u re a u ’s p r o g r a m o f p r o je c tin g 27 in d u s t r y m a n p o w e r r e q u ir e m e n ts f o r th e e n tir e e c o n o m y . T h e s e p r o je c tio n s w e re b a s e d o n g e n e ra l a s s u m p tio n s c o n c e r n in g th e n a tu r e a n d c o m p o s itio n o f th e e c o n o m y in 1 9 8 0 . T h e m a jo r a s s u m p tio n s u n d e r ly in g th e s e p r o je c tio n s in c lu d e : A n a tio n a l u n e m p lo y m e n t r a te o f 3 p e r c e n t; a c o n ti n u a ti o n o f h ig h r a te s o f e c o n o m ic g r o w th ; c o n tin u in g g r o w t h o f r e s e a rc h a n d d e v e lo p m e n t (R & D ) e x p e n d itu r e s , a lth o u g h a t a s lo w e r r a te o f g r o w th t h a n s h o w n in th e la te 1 9 5 0 ’s a n d e a rly 1 9 6 0 ’s; a le v e l o f d e fe n s e a n d s p a c e a c tiv i tie s in t h e ta r g e t y e a r a p p r o x im a tin g th o s e o f 1 9 6 3 , s o m e w h a t h ig h e r t h a n t h e lev e ls b e f o r e th e V ie t N a m b u ild u p ; a n d s c ie n tific a n d te c h n o lo g ic a l a d v a n c e s in r e c e n t y e a r s w ill c o n tin u e a t a b o u t th e sa m e r a te . T h e s e c o n d p h a s e o f t h e p r o j e c t io n m e t h o d d e v e lo p e d t h e r a ti o o f s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs t o t o t a l w a g e a n d sa la ry w o r k e r e m p l o y m e n t , b y d e ta ile d in d u s tr y s e c to r a n d fo r e a c h y e a r f r o m 1 9 5 0 -6 6 . T h e s e r a tio s w e re d e riv e d f ro m p u b lis h e d d a ta o n s c ie n c e a n d e n g in e e rin g e m p lo y m e n t b y i n d u s t r y 9 a n d h is to r ic a l B L S w a g e a n d sa la ry w o r k e r e m p l o y m e n t d a t a .10 T h e r a ti o o f s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs to w a g e a n d s a la ry w o r k e r s in e a c h in d u s tr y w a s p r o je c te d t o 1 9 8 0 o n t h e b a s is o f th e p a s t t r e n d a n d a p p lie d t o th e 1 9 8 0 e s tim a te s o f w a g e a n d s a la ry w o r k e r e m p lo y m e n t r e q u ir e m e n t s , b y i n d u s t r y , t o y ie ld f ir s t a p p r o x im a tio n s o f s c ie n tis t a n d e n g in e e r m a n p o w e r r e q u ir e m e n ts . T h e s e f ir s t a p p r o x im a tio n s w e re e x a m in e d f o r r e a s o n a b le n e s s a n d c o n s is te n c y b a s e d o n f a c to r s s u c h a s a n a n a ly s is o f t r e n d s in R & D a n d d e fe n s e a c tiv itie s b y i n d u s tr y , a n d th e le v e ls o f s u c h a c tiv itie s a s s u m e d in th e in d u s tr y e m p lo y m e n t p r o je c tio n s . T h e t h ir d p h a s e d e v e lo p e d r a tio s o f te c h n ic ia n e m p lo y m e n t in e a c h o c c u p a tio n a l s p e c ia lty t o e m p lo y m e n t o f s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs in r e la te d o c c u p a tio n a l s p e c ia ltie s f o r 1 9 6 6 a n d f o r as m a n y e a rlie r y e a r s a s w a s p o s s ib le fro m a v a ila b le d a ta . T h e y w e re d e v e lo p e d f o r e ig h t o c c u p a tio n a l c a te g o r ie s a n d f o r e a c h m a jo r in d u s tr y s e c to r a n d f o r 3 0 in d u s tr ie s w ith in th e p r iv a te s e c to r . P r o je c te d 1 9 8 0 e m p lo y m e n t r e q u ir e m e n ts w e re n o t d e v e lo p e d e ith e r fo r e le c tr o n ic a n d e le c tr ic a l e n g in e e rin g te c h n ic ia n s o r o t h e r e n g in e e rin g t e c h n ic ia n s b e c a u s e o n ly 1 9 6 6 e m p lo y m e n t a n d n o tr e n d d a ta w e re a v a ila b le fo r th e s e o c c u p a tio n a l c la s s ific a tio n s . T h e f o llo w in g lis t d e ta ils th e t e c h n ic ia n s p e c ia litie s , a n d s p e c ific s c ie n tif ic a n d e n g in e e rin g o c c u p a tio n s t o w h ic h t h e y w e re r e la te d . T h e r a tio s o f te c h n ic ia n s t o s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs , b y o c c u p a tio n a l s p e c ia lty a n d in d u s tr y , th e n w e re p r o je c te d t o 1 9 8 0 . T h e p r o je c te d r a tio s w e re b a s e d p r im a r ily o n p a s t t r e n d s b u t w e re a d ju s te d t o r e f le c t f a c to r s e x p e c te d t o in flu e n c e th e u til i z a t io n o f te c h n ic ia n s r e la tiv e t o s c ie n c e a n d e n g in e e rin g m a n p o w e r in th e f u t u r e , s u c h as th e f u n c tio n a l d i s t r ib u t i o n o f s c ie n tis t a n d e n g in e e r e m p l o y m e n t .11 T e c h n ic ia n o c c u p a tio n S c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs D r a f ts m e n E n g in e e rin g te c h n ic ia n s L ife s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s M a th e m a tic s te c h n ic ia n s C h e m ic a l te c h n ic ia n s P h y s ic s te c h n ic ia n s O th e r p h y s ic a l s c ie n c e te c h n ic ia n s E n g in e e rs E n g in e e rs L ife s c ie n tis ts M a th e m a tic ia n s C h e m is ts P h y s ic is ts A ll o t h e r te c h n ic ia n s A ll s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs A ll s c ie n tis ts a n d e n g in e e rs E s tim a te s o f d e a t h a n d r e tir e m e n t lo s s e s t o th e o c c u p a t io n w e re d e v e lo p e d b y a p p ly in g a p p r o p r ia te s e p a r a tio n r a te s t o th e age d is tr ib u tio n o f th e o c c u p a tio n . S e p a r a tio n r a te s r e s u ltin g f r o m r e ti r e m e n ts a n d d e a th s w e re d e v e lo p e d f r o m a s e rie s o f t a b le s o f w o r k in g life p r e p a r e d b y th e U .S . D e p a r tm e n t o f L a b o r 12 w h ic h fo llo w s t h r o u g h su c c e ssiv e a g e s th e e x p e r ie n c e o f a n in itia l c o h o r t o f 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 b ir th s . T r a n s fe r s o u t o f th e o c c u p a tio n m a y b e m e a s u r e d e ith e r b y f o llo w u p s o f p e r s o n s c o m p le tin g tra in in g f o r a n o c c u p a ti o n o r b y f o llo w u p s o f a la rg e g ro u p o f in d iv id u a ls c u r r e n tly e m p lo y e d in a n o c c u p a ti o n .13 F o r te c h n ic ia n s , t h e tr a n s f e r r a te w a s d e v e lo p e d p r im a r ily u s in g t h e l a t t e r m e t h o d .14 Estimating supply o f technician manpower. In e a c h o f t h e d if f e r e n t a n a ly s e s o f s u p p ly in t h is s tu d y , e s tim a te s o f th e n u m b e r o f w o r k e r s w h o w o u ld e n te r te c h n ic ia n o c c u p a t io n s d u r in g th e 1 9 6 6 -7 9 p e r io d u n d e r th e s ta te d a s s u m p t io n s w e re d e v e lo p e d s e p a r a te ly f o r e a c h o f t h e fo llo w in g s o u r c e s o f e n t r y : P r e e m p lo y m e n t tr a in in g in p o s t s e c o n d a r y o c c u p a tio n a l c u r r ic u lu m s , e m p lo y e r tr a in in g p r o g ra m s , a n d tr a in in g p ro g r a m s p r o v id e d u n d e r th e M a n p o w e r D e v e lo p m e n t a n d T ra in in g A c t; te c h n ic ia n - r e la te d tr a in in g in n a tu r a l sc ie n c e a n d e n g in e e rin g b a c h e lo r ’s d e g re e c u r ric u lu m s in c o lle g e s a n d u n iv e r s itie s o r in th e A rm e d F o r c e s ; a n d w o r k e r s u p g r a d e d f r o m o t h e r o c c u p a tio n s . F o r e a c h s o u rc e o f s u p p ly ( e x c e p t u p g ra d in g s ), t h e b a sic t e c h n iq u e u s e d t o e s tim a te s u p p ly in v o lv e d th e fo llo w in g : T h e d e v e lo p m e n t o f e s tim a te s f o r e a c h y e a r f r o m 1 9 6 6 t o 1 9 7 9 o f ( 1 ) t h e n u m b e r o f p e r s o n s c o m p le tin g th e tr a in in g , a n d t h e p r o p o r t io n o f th o s e w h o c o m p le te th e tr a in in g w h o w ill e n te r te c h n ic ia n e m p lo y m e n t; a n d ( 2 ) t h e n u m b e r o f n e w e n tr a n t s d u r in g 1 9 6 6 -7 9 p e r io d w h o w ill le a v e th e o c c u p a t i o n b y 1 9 8 0 b e c a u s e o f d e a th , r e ti r e m e n t, o r tr a n s f e r to a n o th e r o c c u p a tio n . T h e l a t t e r e s tim a te s w e re d e d u c te d f r o m t h e t o t a l n u m b e r o f n e w e n tr a n t s d u rin g th e 1 9 6 6 -7 9 p e r io d t o d e v e lo p n e t s u p p ly in 1 9 8 0 . E s tim a te s o f th e n u m b e r o f w o r k e r s t o b e u p g r a d e d w e re e s tim a te d as th e d if f e r e n c e b e tw e e n t o ta l r e q u ir e m e n ts f o r te c h n ic ia n s a n d p r o je c te d e n tr a n t s f r o m a ll o t h e r s o u r c e s .15 28 — FOOTNOTES— 1 See Technical Education in the Junior College, N ew Pro grams fo r N ew Jobs, Norman C. Harris, American Association of Junior Colleges, 1964. 2 The nonprofit sector includes philanthropic foundations; voluntary health agencies; independent nonprofit institutions; cer tain Federal contract research centers; professional and technical societies; and science museums, zoological and botanical gardens, and arboritums. 3 Data are collected for early year employment in most of these surveys and, therefore, the estimates of current employment and projected 1980 requirements are early year estimates. 4 E m ploym en t o f Scientific and Technical Personnel in State Governm ent Agencies, R eport on a 1959 Survey, National Science Foundation, NSF 61-17, 1961; E m ploym en t o f Scientific and Tech nical Personnel in State G overnm ent Agencies, 1962, (BLS Bulletin 1412), June 1964; E m ploym en t o f Scientific, Professional, and Technical Personnel in S tate Governm ents, January 1964 (BLS Bulle tin 1557), 1967. 5 E m ploym en t o f Scientists and Engineers in the United States — 1950-1966, National Science Foundation, NSF 68-30. 6 See O ccupations o f Federal White-Collar Workers, O ctober 31, 1966, U.S. Civil Service Commission, 1968. 7 Included with agricultural technicians in local government surveys. 8 Postcensal Survey of Professional and Technical Personnel. See Technician M anpower: Requirem ents, R esources and Training N eeds for more information on the postcensal survey. 9 E m ploym ent o f Scientists and Engineers 1950-66, op. cit., footnote 4. 10 E m ploym en t and Earnings Statistics fo r the U nited States, 1909-68 (BLS Bulletin 1312-6), August 1968. 11 The ratio of technicians to scientists and engineers differs among functions, as was illustrated by a study of the aerospace industry conducted by the Stanford Research Institute, The In dustry - G overnm ent A erospace Relationship, Vol. II— Supporting R e s e a rc h , prepared for Aerospace Industries Association of America, Inc., by Stanford Research Institute, Menlo Park, Cali fornia, 1963. For a more detailed explanation of the method used to project technician manpowr requirements, see Technician Man pow er: R equirem ents, Resources, and Training Needs, ch. IV, pp. 43-57. 12 The Length o f Working Life fo r Males, 1900-1960 (U.S. Department of Labor, Manpower Administration, 1963), Man power Report 8. 13 The first method is illustrated in Two Years A fter the Col lege D egree— Work and Further S tu dy Patterns. The second method is illustrated in the Postcensal Survey o f Professional and Technical Personnel. 14 For a more detailed explanation of the methods used to estimate losses to an occupation, see “Projections of Manpower Supply in a Specific Occupation,” op. cit., footnote 16. 15 For a more detailed explanation of the method used to estimate technician supply, see ch. V in Technician Man pow er: Requirem ents, Resources, and Training Needs, op. cit., pp. 58-77, footnote 11. * U. S. G O V E R N M E N T P R I N T I N G O F F I C E : 1970 O - 378-623 U.S. DEPA R TM EN T OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS W A S H IN G T O N , D .C . 20212 OFFICIAL BUSINESS POSTAGE AND FEES PAID U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR r ~ THIRD CLASS MAIL