Full text of Survey of Current Business : March 1998
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MARCH 1998 ****;;• VOLUME 78 NUMBER 3 SURVEY of CURRENT BUSINESS IN THIS AGuidetoiheMPA:* Gross Product by Industry Price Measures, 1977-96 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE -"a*- ECONOMICS ANDSTATISTICS ADMINISTRATION BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS MARCH 1998 VOLUME 78 NUMBER C2 SURVEY o CURRENT BUSINESS SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS (ISSN 0039-6222). Published monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce. Editorial correspondence should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 20230. Subscriptions to the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS are maintained, and their prices set, by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress. Postmaster: Send address changes to: Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402. US^Departmeat of Commerce William M. Daley, Secretary **** Economics and Statistics Administration Lee Price, Acting Under Secretary for Economic Affairs Bureau of Economic Analysis J. Steven Laadefeld, Director Rosemary D, Marcuss, Deputy Director Robert R Parker, Chief Statistician Hugh W» Ktiox, Associate Director for Regional Economics Brent R. Moulton, AssotiateDirectorforNationallncome, Expenditure, and WealthAccounts Sumiye 0. Qkubo, Associate Director for Industry Accounts Gerald A. Pollack, Associate Director for International Economics The GPO order desk number is (202) 5121800. The subscription complaint desk number is (202) 512-1806. Subscription and single-copy prices: Periodicals: $35.00 domestic, $43.75 foreign. First-class mail: $69.00. Single copy. $11.00 domestic, $13.75 foreign. Make checks payable to the Superintendent of Documents. Periodicals postage paid at Washington, DC and at additional mailing offices. (USPS 337790). The Secretary of Commerce has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Douglas R. Fox Editor-in-Chief Managing Editor Eric B. Manning Manuscript Editor M, Gretchen Gibson Graphics Designer W, Ronnie Foster Production Editor Ernestine T. Gladden THIS isstri of the SOTVEY Went to the printer on March to, 1998, It incorporates data from the following monthly BEA news releases: U& International Trade in Goods and Services (February 19), Gross DomesticProductCFebruary^and Personal Income and Outlays (March 2), March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS TABLE OF CONTENTS (Special in this issue 17 Gross Product by Industry Price Measures, 1977-96 Price measures of gross product originating (GPO) by industry can be used to compare price changes across industries and to compute industry contributions to the change in GDP prices. For example, the largest contributors to the 2.3percent increase (annual rate) in the GDP price index in 1992-96 were the services industry group and the finance, insurance, and real estate industry group (0.7 percentage point each). Unit-cost measures by industry can be used to identify the sources of GPO price change among the cost components of GPO. For example, the labor cost per unit of real GPO declined in 1992-96 for the mining and the durable goods manufacturing industries and was unchanged for the wholesale trade industry. 26 A Guide to the NIPA'S BEA presents a compilation of information that will help users to better understand the NIPA'S. This guide provides the definitions of the major aggregates and components; discusses the measures of real output and prices; explains how production is classified and how the NIPA'S are presented; describes the statistical conventions that are used; and lists the principal source data and methods used to prepare the estimates of GDP. l\egular features 1 Business Situation The "preliminary" estimate of real GDP indicates a ^-percent increase in the fourth quarter 0/1997, 0.4 percentage point lower than the "advance" estimate; a large downward revision to net exports and smaller downward revisions to government spending and consumer spending were only partly offset by a large upward revision to business inventory investment. Despite these revisions, real GDP growth still shows an acceleration from a 3.i-percent increase in the third quarter. The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 1.4 percent, about the same pace as in the third quarter. — Continued on next page • 1'i SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 8 Federal Budget Estimates, Fiscal Year 1999 Each year, BEA prepares a "translation" of the administrations budget that puts the budget's receipts and outlays on a basis that is consistent with the framework of the NIPA'S. In the NIPA framework, the Federal current deficit would be $9.9 billion in fiscal year 1999; the administration's budget shows a $9.5 billion surplus. The difference primarily results from the difference in the treatment of government investment in fixed assets; the consumption of fixed capital that is included in the NIPA'S is greater than the investment that is excluded. l\eports and statistical presentations D-l BEA Current and Historical Data Inside back cover: BEA Information (A listing of recent BEA publications available from GPO) Back cover: Schedule of Upcoming BEA News Releases LOOKING AHEAD U.S. Transportation Satellite Account An article that presents the 1992 transportation satellite account for the United States will be published in a forthcoming issue of the SURVEY. The transportation satellite account, developed jointly by BEA and the Bureau of Transportation, is based on an expansion of the 1992 benchmark input-output accounts. It provides estimates of expenditures on transportation that supplement the existing estimates in the national economic accounts. Domestic Content of the Production of U.S. Manufacturing Affiliates of Foreign Companies. An article that compares the domestic content of output of U.S. manufacturing affiliates of foreign companies with that of other U.S. manufacturing companies will be published in a forthcoming issue of the SURVEY. The article also examines the extent to which U.S. manufacturing affiliates rely on foreign sources for their intermediate inputs and whether the affiliates' production is intended for U.S. or foreign markets. March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 This article was prepared by Larry R. Moran, Daniel Larkins, Ralph W. Morris, and Deborah Y. Sieff. BUSINESS SITUATION EAL GROSS domestic product (GDP) in^ creased 3.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 1997, according to the "preliminary" estimates of the national income and product accounts (NIPA'S) (table i and chart i); the "advance" estimate of real GDP, reported in the February "Business Situation," had shown a 4.3-percent increase.1 The downward revision was more than accounted for by a large downward revision to net exports; government spending and consumer spending were also revised down, but by much less. These downward revisions were partly offset by a large upward revision to business inventory investment. Business fixed investment was re- vised very little. (The sources of these revisions are discussed in the "Revisions" section.) The picture of the economy presented by the preliminary estimates is somewhat changed from that presented by the advance estimates. As in the advance estimates, real GDP growth accelerated in the fourth quarter, and the acceleration was i. Quarterly estimates in the NIPA'S are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates unless otherwise specified. Quarter-to-quarter dollar changes are differences between published estimates. Quarter-to-quarter percent changes are annualized and are calculated from unrounded index numbers. Real estimates are expressed in chained (1992) dollars. Price indexes are chain-type measures. Table 1.—Real Gross Domestic Product, Real Gross Domestic Purchases, and Real Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Billions of chained (1992) dollars Level Change from preceding quarter 1997 1997 IV I II Percent change from preceding quarter II III IV IV . .. 7,283.3 84.2 58.0 54.4 69.3 4.9 3.3 3.1 3.9 Less'l Exports of goods and services Plus' Imports of goods and services . .. 996.4 1,154.9 21.6 42.3 39.8 50.2 10.5 38.0 23.4 17.8 9.9 4.4 10.0 17.9 18.4 20.5 66.0 77.7 64.1 5.9 3.7 4.3 3.5 30.8 13.9 -30.1 26.5 2.1 Less1 Change in business inventories 7,428.7 102.5 74.0 14.6 6.4 Equals: Final sales to domestic purchasers 7,349.7 70.4 51.6 106.2 38.8 4.0 2.9 6.0 Personal consumption expenditures Nonresidential fixed investment Residential investment Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal State and local 4,933.5 866.6 286.7 61.7 11.3 28.1 66.8 37.5 37.3 5.3 4.1 3.3 .9 5.6 3.1 14.6 19.2 -3.5 7.4 2.7 9.7 1,274.7 456.4 -1.3 -6.8 Addendum: Final sales of domestic product 818.3 7,204.5 8.1 2.2 5.4 52.4 4.9 1.9 9.6 7.3 2.4 3.3 43.6 -1.3 4.6 82.6 r-7.9 6.6 1.3 -2.4 3.6 44.2 2.7 1.1 .4 3.1 6.6 -1.1 -2.1 2.3 1.2 1.8 3.0 2.5 -.4 -5.8 4.7 2.5 NOTE.-Ohained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-tvpe quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates usually are not additive. Chained (1992) dollar levels and residuals, which measure the extent of nonadditivity in each table, are found in NIPA tables 1.2, 1.4 and 1.6. Percent changes are calculated from unrounded data. Percent changes in major aggregates are found in NIPA table 8.1. Contributions of the major components to the quarter-to-quarter percent change in real GDP are in table 8.2. Won chains (1992)$' 100 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 80 60 40 20 0 00 lliLln PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 60 40 20 0 20 Gross domestic product Equals'. Gross domestic purchases Real Product; Change from Preceding Quarter 40 1997 I III CHART 1 0 FIXED INVESTMENT .1.11 -0.1 •20 : 40 CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES 20 0 .... M..B. M.( ... .^j...•..!.•..•..|^..,•..•..•.. -20 -40 40 20 0 -20 •40 4U 20 0 NET EXPORTS i— GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES ANC .........GROSS.JNVESTMENT •Jj | |. 1994 -0 4 ™* Mlr •..I.^JO.3^. •..—.«.... 1995• ,1996 1997 Basfcd on $ea$ona^!Iy Adjusted Annual Rates U$, Department QfCommefce, Bureau of Economtc Analysts SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Personal consumption expenditures more than accounted for by upturns in business inventory investment and in net exports.2 However, the "preliminary" estimates show a much sharper deceleration in real final sales of domestic product—GDP less the change in business inventories—than was shown by the advance estimates. According to the preliminary estimates, real final sales of domestic product increased 2.5 percent in the fourth quarter after increasing 4.7 percent in the third; the advance estimates had indicated a 3.6-percent increase in the fourth quarter. Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased 3.1 percent in the fourth quarter after increasing 5.6 percent in the third (table 2). Expenditures for durable goods slowed sharply, and expenditures for nondurable goods turned down; in contrast, expenditures for services increased somewhat more than in the third quarter. Several of the factors usually considered in analyses of PCE showed strength in the fourth quarter (chart 2). The unemployment rate fell to 4.7 percent, its lowest rate in more than 25 years. Real disposable personal income accelerated to 4.5 percent from 2.6 percent. The Index of Consumer Sentiment (prepared by the University of Michigan's Survey Research Center) slipped only slightly from its highest level in 45 years. Expenditures for durable goods increased only 1.7 percent after jumping 18.4 percent. Motor vehicles and parts decreased after increasing sharply; the downturn mainly reflected a downturn in purchases of new autos and a deceleration in purchases of new trucks, but net purchases of used cars and purchases of parts also contributed. Furniture and household equipment and "other" durable goods expenditures both increased less than in the third quarter. In furniture and household equipment, most of the slowdown was accounted for by computers. Expenditures for nondurable goods decreased i.o percent after increasing 4.3 percent. The Real gross domestic purchases—GDP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services—increased 3.5 percent in the fourth quarter after increasing 4.3 percent in the third.3 A downturn in business fixed investment and a deceleration in consumer spending more than offset a sharp upturn in business inventory investment. The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter after increasing 1.3 percent in the third. The price index for GDP increased 1.4 percent in both the third and fourth quarters. 2. NIPA table 8.2 (on page D-25 in this issue) shows the contributions of the major components to the quarter-to-quarter percent change in real GDP. 3. Gross domestic purchases is a measure of purchases by U.S. residents regardless of where the purchased goods and services are produced. Table 2.—Real Personal Consumption Expenditures [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Billions of chained (1992) dollars Percent change from preceding quarter Level Change from preceding quarter 1997 1997 1997 IV Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Motor vehicles and parts Of which: New autos New trucks Furniture and household equipment Other Services Housing Household operation Electricity and gas Other household operation Transportation Medical care Other 61.7 11.3 66.8 658.9 237.4 20.7 ^8.8 27.1 15.6 .. . . 79.4 61.2 5.4 -10.3 2.6 -.8 -5.9 -2.7 304.4 122.9 10.6 1,461.9 687.4 279.3 117.0 9.9 370.2 16.6 2,812.9 719.2 302.7 119.5 182.9 206.7 720.5 864.5 25.7 NOTE.—See note to table 1 for an explanation of chained (1992) dollar series. Chained (1992) dollar levels and residuals are found in NIPA tables 2.3, 8.5 (autos), and 8.7 (trucks). Percent changes in major aggregates are in NIPA table 8.1. 5.1 5.6 7.1 -.1 -.9 5.4 3.5 -3.7 -3.9 .1 2.3 7.3 15.9 4.9 -1.7 -7.8 -3.4 -3.3 1.4 .7 -.3 25.9 3.7 6.2 4.0 2.2 1.6 4.4 10.2 I IV III 4,933.5 . Nondurable goods Food Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil Fuel oil and coal Other II I 8.6 5.8 8.8 2.0 15.5 1.3 7.5 .1 .3 6.6 26.3 3.6 1.5 -2.1 3.5 3.0 5.4 12.6 37.3 2.8 -1.3 -2.9 3.5 3.3 1.2 -3.6 -2.1 -2.0 .8 -.5 .2 36.8 3.6 7.0 3.8 3.2 2.8 6.3 17.4 5.3 14.1 9.9 13.8 -5.6 16.1 18.6 4.7 3.3 10.9 -.5 -31.3 6.2 3.9 2.0 -5.0 -12.6 .3 4.8 4.2 8.1 IV III ' II 0.9 -5.4 5.6 -16.6 18.4 31.2 -26.6 -18.1 7.0 55.7 52.9 12.7 -5.3 6.7 -2.1 ^3.6 -4.7 4.3 .8 5.3 11.5 .4 3.1 1.7 -2.2 -13.2 25.8 4.5 4.3 -1.0 -1.2 -2.8 -.3 7.5 2.6 -17.1 .2 3.9 2.1 8.9 3.9 2.0 2.1 5.4 2.0 9.7 32.5 14.7 5.3 3.3 2.5 5.1 13.4 -6.9 8.2 6.1 3.1 6.2 13.9 7.2 5.5 3.6 8.5 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS weakness was widespread but was most pronounced in clothing and shoes and in "other" nondurable goods. Expenditures for services increased 5.4 percent after increasing 3.9 percent. Household operation accelerated, reflecting an upturn in electricity and gas. "Other" services increased more than in the third quarter; net foreign travel turned up, reflecting an increase in U.S. residents' travel abroad and a decrease in foreign residents' travel in the United States, and recreational services increased about twice as much in the fourth quarter as in the third. CHART 2 Selected Factors Affecting Consumer Spending Percent change 15 REAL DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME' 10 5 0 -5 lill ui.c-iiii I -10 Percent 10 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 2 Nonresidential fixed investment imimiiii Real private nonresidential fixed investment decreased 3.5 percent in the fourth quarter after jumping 19.2 percent in the third (table 3). Both structures and producers' durable equipment (PDE) turned down; however, the downturn in PDE was much more pronounced. Factors that affect investment spending have been generally favorable over the past four quarters: Real final sales of domestic product increased 3.2 percent; the capacity utilization rate in manufacturing increased from 81.4 to 82.1; longterm interest rates decreased—for example, the yield on high-grade corporate bonds decreased from 7.52 percent to 6.79 percent; and domestic corporate profits increased at an annual rate of 18.6 percent through the first three quarters of Index 110 CONSUMER SENTIMENT1 100 90 80 70 _L 60 1994 1995 1996 March 1998 1997 1. Disposable personal income in chained (1992) dollars: seasonally adjusted annual rates. 2. All civilian workers. seasonally adjusted. Data: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau ol Labor Statistics 3. Data: University ol Michigan's Survey Research Center. U.S. Department ol Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 3.—Real Gross Private Domestic Fixed Investment [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Percent change from preceding quarter Billions of chained (1992) dollars Level Change from preceding quarter 1997 1997 1997 Gross private domestic fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Nonresidential buildings including farm Utilities Mining exploration shafts and wells Other Producers' durable equipment Information processing and related equipment Computers and peripheral equipment Other Industrial equipment Transportation and related equipment Of which' Motor vehicles Other Residential Single-family structures Multifamily structures Other 1,149.2 866.6 194.5 145.8 28.2 13.0 7.5 679.7 324.9 248.8 131.5 126.6 139.5 120.1 110.8 286.7 138.9 21.0 127.5 NOTE.—See note to table 1 for an explanation of chained (1992) dollar series. Chained (1992) dollar levels and residuals are found in NIPA tables 5.5, 8.5 (autos), and 8.7 (trucks). Percent changes in mapr aggregates are in NIPA table 8.1. II I IV 10.3 8.1 -1.0 1.7 -2.0 -.2 -.5 9.9 11.0 13.4 2.2 -1 -2.2 3.9 3.6 2.2 0 1.6 .7 II I IV III IV III 32.4 37.9 -0.1 3.9 12.6 14.4 0 28.1 -2.4 ^3.0 37.5 -7.9 -2.2 -4.3 41 19.2 -3.5 ^t.3 4.4 -24.7 14.6 -4.7 -7.6 17.4 ^».1 -18.3 1.2 -.6 .1 3.2 3.0 -.7 .4 .4 32.7 15.5 20.3 36.0 23.6 24.4 2.9 6.7 8.5 7.1 2.1 10.8 3.0 5.4 3.0 4.9 .3 .8 4.0 1.9 -.8 -.8 3.6 -2.1 .2 -.4 2.4 -5.6 4.4 8.3 0 1.0 -7.3 .1 -1.3 6.6 3.2 1.4 2.0 -2.1 -<J3.1 11.3 6.7 23.0 24.0 48.4 17.2 32.9 7.6 -.3 9.9 -6.8 14.6 12.5 24.8 29.5 -7.0 12.1 3.3 0 7.4 7 41.1 17.6 14.4 2.3 6.7 8.3 -8.2 13.9 34.0 24.1 35.8 53.3 24.9 7.2 35.8 20.2 11.4 2.7 -10.8 2.1 -11.5 362.9 -3.3 5.6 14.6 0 3.2 -18.4 .3 ^».3 -2.3 9.7 9.8 -15.6 31.4 12.4 6.4 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1997 (profits data for the fourth quarter are not yet available). PDE decreased 3.3 percent in the fourth quarter after jumping 24.1 percent in the third. All the major components contributed to the downturn. Information processing equipment, particularly computers and peripheral equipment, increased much less than in the third quarter. Transportation equipment turned down, reflecting a downturn in aircraft. "Other" equipment, particularly agricultural equipment and farm tractors, decreased after increasing. Industrial equipment increased less than in the third quarter. Structures decreased 4.3 percent after increasing 6.7 percent. The downturn was more than accounted for by a downturn in investment in nonresidential buildings; industrial buildings, "other" buildings, commercial buildings, and hospital and institutional buildings each turned down. In addition, investment in mining exploration, shafts, and wells decreased after increasing. In contrast, investment in utilities changed little after decreasing, and investment in "other" structures increased more in the fourth quarter than in the third; the fourth-quarter increase in "other" structures was the result of the sale by the Federal Government to a private business of the Naval Petroleum Reserve at Elk Hills, California. 4 Residential investment Real residential investment increased 9.7 percent in the fourth quarter after increasing 2.7 percent in the third (table 3). The acceleration was accounted for by single-family and multifamily structures, both of which increased after decreasing. Single-family structures increased 9.8 percent after decreasing 2.3 percent, and multifamily construction increased 31.4 percent after decreasing 15.6 percent. "Other" residential investment increased 6.4 percent after increasing 12.4 percent.5 A sharp slowdown in brokers' commissions more than offset an acceleration in home improvements. The slowdown in brokers' commissions 4. The structures at the Elk Hills Naval Petroleum Reserve were sold for so.8 billion, or $3.2 billion at an annual rate. In the NIPA'S, this transaction is recorded as offsetting entries in government gross investment and in private nonresidential structures. The remaining value of the sale, which consists of land and subsoil assets, is treated as the sale of nonproduced assets and is excluded from the NIPA'S. Because GDP is measured on an accrual basis, the sale—which was closed in February 1998 but was made retroactive to October i, 1997—was recorded in the fourth quarter in the NIPA'S. 5. "Other" residential investment includes home improvements, new mobile home sales, brokers' commissions on home sales, residential equipment, and other residential structures (which consists primarily of dormitories, fraternity and sorority houses, and nurses' homes). reflected a deceleration in home sales that occurred despite a decrease in the commitment rate on 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages from 7.47 percent to 7.20 percent (chart 3). Inventory investment Real inventory investment—that is, the change in business inventories—increased $26.5 billion in the fourth quarter, as inventory accumulation picked up to $74.0 billion from $47.5 billion (table 4). In contrast, inventory investment had decreased $30.1 billion in the third quarter, as accumulation had slowed from $77.6 billion in the second quarter. Retail trade inventories increased $16.5 billion in the fourth quarter after increasing $2.8 billion in the third. Most of the step-up was accounted for by inventories of motor vehicle dealers, which increased substantially after four consecutive quarterly decreases. Inventories of other durable goods increased more than in the third quarter. Manufacturing inventories increased $22.3 billion after increasing $14.8 billion. Most of the step-up was in nondurable goods industries, largely reflecting an upturn in petroleum products and accelerations in chemicals and in food. In the durable goods industries, step-ups in other transportation equipment and in "other" durable goods were partly offset by a downturn in motor vehicle inventories. CHART 3 Selected Interest Rates Percent 12 10 Prime Rate 3-Month Treasury Bills 1994 1995 1996 Data: Federal Reserve Board U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Exports and imports Wholesale trade inventories increased $19.8 billion after increasing $14.9 billion. The step-up was mainly in nondurable goods and was more than accounted for by groceries, by apparel, and by farm products. In durable goods, a step-up in "other" durable goods was mostly offset by a downturn in motor vehicles. "Other" nonfarm inventories increased about as much as in the third quarter.6 Farm inventories increased $9.8 billion after increasing $9.5 billion. As in the third quarter, an increase in crop inventories more than offset a small decrease in livestock inventories. The ratio of real nonfarm inventories to real final sales of domestic businesses increased to 2.29 in the fourth quarter from 2.27 in the third. A different ratio, in which final sales are limited to goods and structures, increased to 4.15 from 4.10. For both measures, the fourth-quarter ratio is close to its average in recent years. Real exports of goods and services increased 10.0 percent in the fourth quarter after increasing 4.4 percent in the third (table 5). Real imports of goods and services increased 6.4 percent after increasing 14.6 percent. Real exports of goods increased 14.5 percent after increasing 3.4 percent; exports of.both agricultural and nonagricultural goods increased more than in the third quarter. Much of the step-up in nonagricultural exports was accounted for by an acceleration in nonautomotive capital goods, which reflected an upturn in exports of civilian aircraft; in contrast, computers, peripherals, and parts turned down, and "other" nonautomotive and noncomputer goods increased less than in the third quarter.7 The step-up in nonagricultural exports also reflected upturns in automotive vehicles, engines, and parts and in consumer goods except automotive and an acceleration in foods, 6. "Other" nonfarm inventories includes inventories held by the following industries: Mining; construction; public utilities; transportation; communication; finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. 7. Exports and imports of nonautomotive capital goods include both parts and equipment. However, parts are not included either in the producers' durable equipment component of business fixed investment or in the equipment component of government investment. Table 4.—Real Change in Business Inventories [Billions of chained (1992) dollars; seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Change from preceding quarter Level . 63.7 32.9 6.4 Farm Nonfarm Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Of which'. Motor vehicle dealers Other II I IV Change in business inventories . 1997 1997 1996 26.5 12.3 9.4 .9 -4.7 3.9 77.6 70.1 29.0 24.6 58.3 20.9 22.9 9.5 9.8 64.4 22.3 19.8 16.5 38.3 14.8 14.9 7.7 .6 2.8 -.6 5.7 -3.7 -2.5 13.7 74.0 47.5 7.5 5.3 IV III 8.9 I II 30.8 13.9 11.8 31.8 8.1 1.7 7.1 8.6 13.5 -.3 2.2 9.8 9.5 5.9 -40.1 2.2 -1.1 IV III -1.2 -4.8 26.5 2.0 .3 -31.8 -14.2 26.1 7.5 4.9 -9.7 -^.9 13.7 10.1 3.1 .2 -3.2 NOTE.—See note to table 1 for an explanation of chained (1992) dollar series. Chained (1992) dollar levels and residuals are in NIPA table 5.11. Table 5.—Real Exports and Imports of Goods and Services [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Billions of chained (1992) dollars Level Percent change from preceding quarter Change from preceding quarter 1997 1997 Exports of goods and services Goods .. . Agricultural goods Nonagricultural goods Services IV I II 996.4 757.0 21.6 20.0 -4.0 25.6 39.8 39.6 53.0 707.4 244.5 Imports of goods and services Goods Petroleum and products Nonpetroleum products Services 1,154.9 988.4 Addendum: Net exports of goods and services -158.5 68.6 920.1 168.0 NOTE.—See note to table 1 for an explanation of chained (1992) dollar series. Chained (1992) dollar levels and residuals are found in NIPA table 4.4. Percent changes in major aggregates are found in NIPA table 8.1. 1997 2.1 42.3 33.8 -1.8 37.0 8.4 -20.7 -.5 41.2 1.9 50.2 47.1 5.9 40.6 3.4 -10.3 10.5 6.0 2.3 3.3 4.2 38.0 34.3 1.1 33.4 4.0 -27.5 II I IV III 23.4 25.2 3.5 21.3 -.5 17.8 15.7 -.6 16.4 2.2 5.6 9.9 12.6 -27.6 17.7 3.7 17.9 16.7 -10.8 20.0 24.2 IV III 18.4 25.1 -4.2 28.2 3.2 20.5 22.9 44.5 21.1 8.9 4.4 3.4 20.6 1.9 7.2 14.6 15.4 6.3 16.2 10.1 10.0 14.5 31.6 13.0 -.8 6.4 6.6 -5.2 7.5 5.4 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 feeds, and beverages. Exports of services decreased 0.8 percent after increasing 7.2 percent, primarily reflecting a downturn in travel and a slowdown in "other private services," which includes such services as educational, financial, and telecommunications. Real imports of goods increased 6.6 percent after increasing 15.4 percent; imports of petroleum and products turned down, and imports of nonpetroleum goods slowed considerably. Much of the slowdown in nonpetroleum imports was accounted for by a slowdown in nonautomotive capital goods, particularly in computers and parts, and by a downturn in automotive vehicles, engines, and parts. Imports of services increased 5.4 percent after increasing 10.1 percent; the slowdown was primarily accounted for by downturns in "other private services," which includes such services as telecommunications and financial, and in direct defense expenditures. ing for structures. The fourth-quarter decrease was the result of the Elk Hills transaction (see footnote 4). Federal defense spending increased 1.3 percent after increasing 1.2 percent. Consumption expenditures increased after decreasing; the upswing was mostly accounted for by expenditures for durable goods, largely aircraft parts. Investment spending increased less than in the third quarter; the slowdown was attributable to spending for equipment. State and local government spending increased 1.8 percent after increasing 2.3 percent. Consumption expenditures increased less than in the third quarter, and investment spending decreased slightly after increasing, reflecting spending for structures, which decreased after no change, and spending on equipment, which decelerated. Government spending As noted earlier, the preliminary estimate of a 3.9percent increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter is 0.4 percentage point lower than the advance estimate (table 7); for 1976-97, the average revision, without regard to sign, was 0.5 percentage point from the advance estimate to the preliminary estimate. The downward revision to GDP in the fourth quarter reflected downward revisions to net exports of goods and services and to consumer spending. These revisions were partly offset by a large upward revision to inventory investment. The downward revision to net exports reflected the incorporation of newly available Census Bureau data for exports and imports of goods for December. The December data for exports was Revisions Real government consumption expenditures and gross investment increased 0.4 percent in the fourth quarter after increasing 1.1 percent in the third (table 6). Federal Government spending decreased more in the fourth quarter than in the third, and State and local government spending increased less than in the third. Federal nondefense spending decreased 8.6 percent after decreasing 5.7 percent. Consumption expenditures decreased more than in the third quarter, primarily reflecting a larger fourthquarter decrease in employee compensation. Investment spending also decreased more than in the third quarter, reflecting a downturn in spend- Table 6.—Real Government Consumption Expenditures and Real Gross Investment by Type [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Billions of chained (1992) dollars Percent change from preceding quarter Level Change from preceding quarter 1997 1997 1997 IV Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 1,274.7 Federal National defense Consumption expenditures Gross investment Nondefense Consumption expenditures Gross investment -1.3 9.6 -6.8 7.3 311.3 274.2 -9.7 ^t.1 -5.7 5.5 3.6 1.9 . State and local Consumption expenditures Gross investment NOTE.—See note to table 1 for an explanation of chained (1992) dollar series. Chained (1992) dollar levels and residuals are found in NIPA table 3.8B. Percent changes in major aggregates are in MPA table 8.1. 3.3 -1.3 .9 -.3 1.3 II I IV III 456.4 37.1 .. II I 1.3 -2.4 1.0 .6 .4 III -0.4 3.1 -5.8 6.6 -11.8 7.5 5.4 -5.8 -46.9 8.0 8.5 4.0 25.3 IV 1.1 -1.1 1.2 -.4 15.3 0.4 -2.1 1.3 .9 4.4 17.9 2.8 2.6 .2 1.7 .5 1.4 818.3 5.4 2.4 4.6 3.6 2.7 1.2 2.3 1.8 672.5 145.8 3.3 2.1 3.2 -.8 4.3 .3 3.9 -.3 2.0 6.0 1.9 2.6 .9 2.3 -.7 144.8 126.6 -2.2 -.4 -1.9 -3.2 -1.2 -2.4 4.9 1.7 29.8 -2.4 -5.7 -1.5 -8.6 -3.7 -31.1 -39.7 March 1998 • 7 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS in line with the assumption that was used for the advance estimates, but the increase in the December data for imports—the largest increase since March 1993—was much larger than BEA'S assumption. The downward revision to government spending largely reflected the Elk Hills transaction. The downward revision to consumer spending was more than accounted for by goods and reflected the incorporation of revised retail sales data for November and December. The upward revision to inventory investment mainly reflected the incorporation of revised and newly available Census Bureau inventory data. In addition, the upward revision also reflected two other revisions: A special adjustment to remove the effects of a large, one-time "write-down" in the inventories of an aircraft manufacturer, and a revision to the inventory valuation adjustment to reflect the incorporation of newly available data for November on the refiners' acquisition price of petroleum and the incorporation of revised producer price indexes for September and newly available indexes for January that are used in calculating yearend inventory values. The small downward revision to private nonresidential structures was accounted for by a downward revision to purchases of new structures that more than offset the upward revision due to the Elk Hills transaction. The downward revision to purchases of new structures reflected the incorporation of revised data for October and November and newly available data for December on the value of construction put in place. The preliminary estimates of the increases in the price indexes for gross domestic purchases and for GDP were each 1.4 percent; each was o.i percentage point lower than the advance estimate. The preliminary estimate of real disposable personal income increased 4.5 percent, 0.2 percentage point lower than the advance estimate; cur rent-dollar personal income was revised down slightly, and personal tax and nontax payments were revised up. The preliminary estimate of the personal saving rate—personal savings as a percentage of cur rent-dollar disposable personal income—was 3.8 percent, o.i percentage point lower than the advance estimate. C3 Table 7.—Revisions to Real Gross Domestic Product and Prices, Fourth Quarter 1997 [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Percent change from preceding quarter Advance estimate 4.3 Gross domestic product Less' Exports of goods and services Goods Services .. 11.3 16.0 .2 Preliminary estimate 3.9 10.0 14.5 -.8 Preliminary estimate minus advance estimate Percentage points -0.4 -7.0 -1.3 -1.5 -1.0 -2.9 -2.4 Plus' Imports of goods and services Goods Services 1.3 .5 5.7 6.4 6.6 5.4 5.1 6.1 -.3 Equ3ls\ Gross domestic purchases 3.1 3.5 .4 Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Nondurable goods Services 3.2 2.6 -.4 5.1 3.1 1.7 -.1 -.9 -.6 .3 Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential .1 -0.6 -2.7 -3.9 10.4 -1.0 5.4 0 -0.5 -^.3 -3.3 9.7 -.1 .1 -1.6 .6 -7 Change in business inventories Nonfarm . Farm Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal National defense Nondefense State and local Addenda: Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic purchases price index l GDP orice index1 Billions of chained (1992) dollars -.6 14.1 14.5 -.1 7.5 -1.5 -1.4 -2.2 1.9 -.4 .1 -.8 1.2 -.4 14.1 14.7 -.7 1.6 .7 2.9 ^3.8 .4 -2.1 1.3 -8.6 2.1 1.8 3.6 1.5 1.5 2.5 1.4 1.4 -1.2 -2.8 -1.6 -4.8 -.3 -1.1 -3.8 ^3.1 -1.3 -1.8 -.7 -20.1 -.1 -.1 1. Based on chained-type annual (1992) weights. NOTE.—The preliminary estimates for the fourth quarter of 1997 incorporate the following revised or additional major source data that were not available when the advance estimates were prepared. Personal consumption expenditures: Revised retail sales for November and December, consumers' share of new-car purchases for December, revised average unit value for domestic new autos for October through December, consumers' share of new-truck purchases for December, and residential electricity usage for October. Nonresidential fixed investment: Construction put in place for October and November (revised) and December, manufacturers' shipments of machinery and equipment for November and December (revised), and exports and imports of machinery and equipment for November (revised) and December. Residential fixed investment: Construction put in place for October and November (revised) and December. Change in business inventories: Manufacturing, retail trade, and wholesale trade inventories for November (revised) and December. Exports and imports of goods and services: Exports and imports of goods for November (revised) and December. Government consumption expenditures and gross investment: Monthly Treasury Statement detailed data for December, Department of Defense detailed financial reports for the quarter, State and local government construction put in place for October and November (revised) and December. Wages and salaries: Employment, average hourly earnings, and average weekly hours for November and December (revised). GDP prices: Detailed merchandise export and import price indexes for October through December (revised), values and quantities of petroleum imports for November (revised) and December, and housing prices for the fourth quarter. 8 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Federal Budget Estimates, Fiscal Year 1999 By Kurt S. Bersani and Ann M. Groszkiewicz HE FEDERAL Budget of the United States Government for fiscal year 1999 that was released by the President shows a $9.5 billion surplus, a turnaround from a $10.0 billion deficit in fiscal year 1998.1 The fiscal year 1999 surplus reflects the administration's proposed legislation and program changes, the economic assumptions used in making the budget projections, and the laws that have already been enacted.2 This article summarizes the proposed legislation and program changes in the administration's budget and the budget estimates. It then presents the budget receipts and outlays in the framework of the national income and product accounts, which are designed to show the composition of production and the distribution of the incomes earned in production. This framework, which differs in concept and timing from the budget, provides a means of gauging the effects of the Federal budget on aggregate measures of U.S. economic activity. T Proposed legislation and program changes The fiscal year 1999 budget presents proposed legislation that increases receipts by $12.9 billion (table i). The largest proposal is a tobacco industry settlement that would add $9.8 billion to receipts. Proposals to increase receipts both from insurance companies and from corporate-owned life insurance policy holders who borrow against their policies would total $2.3 billion: A proposed modification of the existing tax rules for life insurance annuity contracts would amount to $1.8 billion, and a proposal to repeal certain tax deductions of interest on corporate-owned life insurance policy loans would amount to $0.4 1. Estimates of the Budget of the United States Government are presented on a fiscal year basis. See Executive Office of the President, Office of Management and Budget, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1999 (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1998). 2. Estimates of the administration's proposed legislation and program changes are derived by BEA as the difference between the "current-services" estimates included in the budget and the total budget. The current-services estimates, which are based on the economic assumptions underlying the budget, are designed to show what Federal receipts and outlays would be if no changes are made to the laws that are already enacted. In concept, these estimates are neither recommended amounts nor forecasts; they form a baseline with which administration or congressional proposals can be analyzed. billion. A proposed extension of corporate environmental and excise taxes for the Hazardous Substance Superfund Trust Fund would add $1.8 billion. Table 1.—Relation of Current-Services Estimates to the Budget [Billions of dollars] Fisca year 1998 1999 1 6579 1 7298 _1 129 Research and experimentation tax credit International trade provisions Energy efficiency and the environment Education incentives Child care Other -.4 2 -8 -6 -4 -4 -3 -7 Subtotal' Tax relief (including offsets) _5 -32 Receipts Current-services estimates Plus' Propos8d legislation Tobacco settlement legislation Reserve rules for life insurance annuity contracts Reinstate environmental tax imposed on corporate income Reinstate Superfund excise taxes Replace sales-source rules with activity-based rules .. Preclude premature claiming of losses from receivables Corporate-owned life insurance rules Repeal lower-of-cost-or-market inventory accounting method Other Subtotal: Other provisions that affect receipts Equsls'. The budget Outlays Current-services estimates Plus' Program changes . National defense Income security Net interest Medicare Education, training, employment, and social services Veterans benefits and services Transportation Administration of justice Natural resources and environment General government Agriculture Commerce and housing credit Allowances ' Other Equsls' The budget Current-services surplus or deficit (—) . .. Proposed changes, receipts less outlays Administration budget surplus or deficit (—) 0 0 98 18 1 11 7 6 3 .4 4 1 4 9 o .4 16.2 1 6579 1 7427 1 6678 1 7324 o o 1 o o -.2 o o o 0 o 0 o 8 1 -44 13 _3 _2 -.2 -1 0 _3 8 -5 36 -4 -4 33 -5 1 6678 1 7332 -99 -1 -26 121 95 -100 1. Allowances include funding for emergencies, such as natural disasters, for unforeseen defense and nondefense costs, and for unanticipated nonemergency expenses of the year 2000 conversion. Source: The Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1999. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Proposed legislation that would reduce receipts consists of various tax credits and other tax changes. A proposal to extend a tax credit for certain research and experimentation expenditures through June 30, 1999, would reduce receipts by $0.8 billion. A proposal to modify international trade provisions would reduce receipts by an additional $0.6 billion. More than 90 percent of this reduction would come from extending to September 30, 2001, the provisions in the General System of Preferences (GSP) that eliminate duty on certain goods from eligible developing countries. In addition, the following proposals, none of which total more than $0.4 billion, would reduce receipts: Tax credits to businesses for purchasing energy-efficient equipment, tax credits for certain education initiatives, and increased tax credits for child care. The budget proposes program changes that would increase total outlays by a net $0.8 billion in fiscal year 1999. Among the program changes that would increase outlays, the largest is for general government, which would be augmented by $3.6 billion.3 Much of this increase would fund Internal Revenue Service improvements in customer service, electronic data collection, and communication. A proposed $3.3 billion increase in allowances would be used for emergencies—such as natural disasters—for unexpected defense expenditures, and for any unanticipated nonemergency expenses caused by the year 2000 conversion. Income security would increase by $1.3 billion, the largest portion of which is a $0.5 billion proposal to restore food stamps to legal immigrants. The budget proposes an $0.8 billion increase for the administration of justice. Programs to reduce violent crime and to control and prevent juvenile crime would each receive $0.3 billion in additional funding. Proposals to increase the number of border patrol agents and to improve wireless communication would increase funding for each by $0.1 billion. The largest proposed decreases in outlays are $4.4 billion for national defense and $1.0 billion for veterans benefits and services. The reduction in national defense spending would result primarily from the increased privatization and outsourcing of support functions, which would reduce the number of personnel associated with support activities and infrastructure. Most of the decrease in veterans benefits and services would 3. General government includes such activities as tax collection; administration of the public debt; and personnel, general property, and administrative management. March 1998 result from a proposal to reinstate restrictions on tobacco-related disability-compensation benefits. These benefits would be reduced by $0.7 billion as a result of reinstituting a policy that restricts benefits for veterans for tobacco-related disabilities that originated from tobacco use during military service. The remainder of the decrease in outlays is accounted for by other proposals, none of which amount to more than $0.5 billion. The budget estimates In the budget, receipts in fiscal year 1999 are projected to increase $84.9 billion, or 5.1 percent, to $1,742.7 billion (table 2). Receipts in 1998 are projected to be $1,657.9 billion, up 5.0 percent from 1997. The projected increase in 1999 is mostly accounted for by increases in social insurance taxes and contributions, individual income taxes, and excise taxes. Projected increases in receipts from social insurance taxes and contributions and from individual income taxes are based on administration assumptions that incomes will increase as a result of real economic growth and inflation. A projected increase in excise tax receipts is based on administration assumptions of increased economic activity in 1999 after a slowdown in 1998 and on higher aviation taxes as a result of the Tax Reform Act of 1997. Miscellaneous receipts are projected to increase $13.2 billion, $9.8 billion of which is accounted for by the proposed tobacco industry settlement. Total budget outlays in fiscal year 1999 are projected to increase $65.4 billion, or 3.9 percent, to $1,733.2 billion (table 3). Outlays in 1998 are projected to be $1,667.8 billion, up 4.2 percent from 1997. The projected increase in 1999 is mostly accounted for by increases in four areas: • Social security—An increase of $14.7 billion is accounted for by a $14.7 billion increase from current-services outlays that mainly reflects the cost-of-living adjustments Table 2.—Budget Receipts by Source [Billions of dollars] Level for fiscal year 1996 Budget receipts Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Customs duties Miscellaneous receipts /. 1997 1998 Change from preceding fiscal year 1999 1997 1998 1999 1,657.9 1,742.7 126.3 78.6 84.9 767.8 190.8 791.5 198.0 81.1 10.5 30.3 23.7 539.4 571.4 595.9 30.0 56.9 19.8 17.9 25.5 55.5 20.4 18.4 33.5 72.0 20.5 18.2 46.7 32.0 -1.4 1,453.0 1,579.3 656.4 171.8 737.5 182.3 509.4 54.0 17.2 18.7 25.5 Source: The Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1999. 2.9 2.6 -.8 0 8.5 .6 .4 8.1 7.1 24.5 16.5 .1 -.2 13.2 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS IO • March 1998 and assumptions about inflation and about the number of beneficiaries in these programs. Most of the increase in social security is accounted for by old-age and survivors insurance benefits ($12.1 billion). • Income security—An increase of $13.5 billion is accounted for by an increase of $12.3 billion in current-services outlays and of $1.3 billion in program changes. The increase is distributed over a variety of programs, including unemployment compensation, Federal employee retirement and disability, child care entitlement to States, and food stamps. • Health—An increase of $9.7 billion is accounted for by a $9.8 billion increase in current-services outlays. Most of the increase is accounted for by an increase of $6.9 billion for medicaid, reflecting assumptions about inflation and the number of beneficiaries in this program. The remaining increases are primarily accounted for by an increase in the Children's Health Insurance Program ($1.5 billion) to provide insurance for currently uninsured children and by an increase for the National Institutes of Health ($1.0 billion) for biomedical research. • Medicare—An increase of $9.1 billion is more than accounted for by a $9.4 billion increase in current-services outlays. The increase is based on the assumptions about inflation and the about number of beneficiaries in this program. Relation between budget and NIPA estimates BEA prepares estimates of the Federal sector in the framework of the national income and product accounts (NIPA'S), which may be used for such purposes as macroeconomic analyses of the impact of changes in Federal receipts and expenditures on gross domestic product and its components. BEA makes adjustments to the budget estimates to bring them into line with NIPA concepts and definitions.4 One major conceptual difference is the treatment of government investment; in the NIPA'S, the treatment of government investment in fixed assets and the cost of using these assets is symmetrical with the treatment of fixed investment in the private sector. Transfers of nonproduced assets, such as the sale of land, are excluded from the NIPA'S because they do not affect current production. The NIPA'S also exclude transactions with Puerto Rico 4. For a detailed discussion of the reconciliation, see Government Transactions, Methodology Paper No. 5 (November 1988). (This paper is available from the National Technical Information Service, accession no. PB 90-118480, and at BEA'S Web site, <http://www.bea.doc.gov>.) In addition, as part of the comprehensive NIPA revision released in January 1996, several changes were made to the definitions and classifications used to measure the Federal sector. For a discussion of these changes, see "Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: Recognition of Government Investment and Incorporation of a New Methodology for Calculating Depreciation," SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 75 (September 1995): 33-41; and "Improved Estimates of the National Income and Product Accounts for 1959-95: Results of the Comprehensive Revision," SURVEY 76 (January/February 1996): 1-31. Table 4.—Relation of Federal Government Receipts in the NIPA's to the Budget [Billions of dollars] Table 3.—Budget Outlays by Function f:iscal year [Billions of dollars] 1997 Change from preceding fiscal year Level for fiscal year 1996 Budget outlays Social security National defense Income security Net interest Medicare Health Education, training, employment, and social services Veterans benefits and services Transportation Administration of justice Natural resources and environment General science, space, and technology General government International affairs Agriculture Community and regional development Commerce and housing credit Allowances Energy Undistributed offsetting receipts 1997 1999 1997 1998 1999 1,560.5 1,601.2 1,667.8 1,733.2 40.7 66.6 65.4 349.7 265.7 226.0 241.1 174.2 119.4 365.3 270.5 230.9 244.0 190.0 123.8 381.5 264.1 239.3 242.7 198.1 131.8 396.2 265.5 252.8 241.8 207.3 141.5 15.6 4.7 4.9 2.9 15.8 4.5 16.2 -6.4 8.5 -1.3 8.1 7.9 14.7 1.4 13.5 -.9 9.1 9.7 52.0 37.0 39.6 17.5 21.6 16.7 11.9 13.5 9.2 10.7 -10.6 53.0 39.3 40.8 20.2 21.4 17.2 12.8 15.2 9.0 11.0 -14.6 55.1 43.1 41.5 22.3 23.8 17.1 12.9 14.5 10.6 11.8 3.5 2.8 -37.6 1.5 -50.0 .4 -46.4 Source: The Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1999. 1998 59.5 43.3 42.3 25.5 23.2 17.6 17.2 14.5 11.0 10.9 3.5 3.3 -1.0 ^2.5 1.0 2.3 1.2 2.6 -.2 .5 .9 1.7 -1 .3 -4.0 2.1 3.8 .8 2.1 2.5 -.1 .1 -.7 1.5 .8 18.1 -1.4 -12.4 -1.1 3.6 4.4 .2 .7 3.3 -.6 .5 4.3 0 .4 -.9 0 3.3 -1.4 3.9 Budget receipts Less' Coverage differences! Plus: Netting and grossing differences: Contributions to government employee retirement funds Taxes received from the rest of the 2 world Other3 Timing differences: Corporate income tax Federal and State unemployment insurance taxes Withheld personal income tax and social security contributions Excise taxes Other Miscellaneous4 .... Equals: Federal Government receipts, NIPA's .... 1998 1999 1 5793 1 6579 1 7427 26 27 28 71.4 72.2 73.8 -27 -27 -28 365 325 331 91 67 42 -4 o -3 69 5 -1 8 61 -1 4 o -85 -26 -23 -42 1,695.5 1,765.9 1,833.9 o o 1. Consists largely of the Federal Communication Commission Universal Service Fund receipts and contributions for social insurance by residents of U.S. territories and Puerto Rico. 2. Taxes received from the rest of the world are included in the budget and netted against expenditures (transfer payments) in the NIPA's. 3. Consists largely of proprietary receipts that are netted against outlays in the budget and classified as receipts in the NIPA's. 4. Consists largely of Treasury receipts from sales of foreign currencies to Government agenSources: The Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1999 and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. NIPA National income and product accounts SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS and the U.S. Territories, whose residents by NIPA definition are not U.S. residents, and transactions of the Federal Communication Commission Universal Service Fund, which pass through a nonprofit institution that is regulated by the Federal Communication Commission. NIPA receipts differ from budget receipts because of differences in coverage, in netting and grossing (which provide additional information on items that are recorded on a net basis in the budget), and in timing (table 4). For most years, the difference between NIPA receipts and budget receipts primarily reflects contributions to government employee retirement funds and proprietary receipts. In the budget, the contributions are included in outlays both as expenditures and as offsetting receipts and thus net to zero; in the NIPA'S, they are recorded as receipts in Table 5.—Relation of Federal Government Current Expenditures in the NIPA's to the Budget March 1998 • 11 order to provide separate detail on government retirement funds. In the budget, some proprietary receipts are netted against outlays, but in the NIPA'S, they are treated as receipts. For 1999, NIPA receipts would exceed budget receipts by $91.2 billion; contributions to government employee retirement funds would be $73.8 billion, and proprietary receipts would be $33.1 billion. NIPA current expenditures differ from budget outlays because of differences in coverage, in netting and grossing, and in timing. They also differ because of the NIPA treatment of government investment in fixed assets and because of the exclusion of financial transactions, such as loans, and the exclusion of sales of nonproduced assets (table 5).5 For most years, the difference between the NIPA and budget estimates primarily reflects the netting and grossing differences and the treatment of government investment. NIPA current expenditures includes the consumption of fixed capital, which is not recognized in [Billions of dollars] 5. Most of the proceeds of the sale of the naval petroleum reserve in Elk Hills, California, was classified as the sale of a nonproduced asset and was excluded from the NIPA'S. For more information on this sale, see the "Business Situation" in this issue. Fiscal year 1998 1997 Budget outlays Less: Coverage differences: Geographic l Financing disbursements from credit programs Other? Financial transactions: Net lending Deposit insurance Other Plus: Netting and grossing differences: Contributions to government employee retirement funds Taxes received from the rest of the 3 world 4 Other Consumption of fixed capital Timing differences: National defense consumption expenditures Other 5 Equals: Federal Government current expenditures and gross investment, NIPA's ... Less* Gross investment6 Equals: Federal Government current expenditures, NIPA's 1,601.2 1,667.8 1,733.2 95 99 103 -13.4 15 -18.3 33 -15.5 7.0 56 209 148 -.5 -3.8 -2.9 -3.4 -1.3 -4 -99 -6 -38 -2.3 714 722 73.8 -2.7 -2.7 -2.8 365 325 331 714 71 8 723 -3 1.8 -5 .6 1.1 .7 1 1 .1 1,797.4 1,836.8 1,902.3 61 2 583 585 1,736.2 1,778.5 1,843.8 -10.4 -3 1. Consists largely of transfer payments, subsidies, and grants-in-aid to residents of U.S. territories and Puerto Rico. 2. Consists of agencies not in the budget and the Federal Communication Commission Universal Service Fund payments. Also includes net purchases of silver and minor coin metal. 3. Taxes received from the rest of the world are included in the budget and netted against expenditures (transfer payments) in the NIPA's. 4. Consists largely of proprietary receipts that are netted against outlays in the budget a classified as receipts in the NIPA's. 5. Consists largely of net expenditures of foreign currencies. 6. Gross investment consists of general government and government enterprise expenditures for fixed assets; inventory investment is included in Federal Government consumption expenditures. Sources: The Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal 1999 and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. NIPA National income and product accounts Table 6.—Relation of National Defense Consumption Expenditures and Gross investment in the NIPA's to National Defense Outlays in the Budget [Billions of dollars] > Net purchases of nonproduced assets: Outer continental shelf Other Miscellaneous 1999 F iscal year 1998 1997 1999 National defense outlays in the budget 270.5 264.1 265.5 Department of Defense military Military personnel Operation and maintenance Procurement Aircraft Missiles Ships Weapons Ammunition Other Research development test and evaluation Other 2583 251 4 2527 69.7 69.7 888 927 • 91 8 47.7 43.7 45.5 147 3.7 7.1 3.5 1.2 176 370 151 136 3.3 6.6 3.0 1.1 162 144 3.2 70 2.8 12 170 359 89 Atomic energy and other defense-related activities Plus' Military assistance purchases Additional payments to military and civilian retirement funds Consumption of general government fixed capital Less: Grants-in-aid to State and local governments and net interest paid Timing difference Other differences Equals: National defense consumption expenditures and gross investment, NIPA's 12.2 2 21.6 57.1 2.7 -3 -.5 35.8 95 12.7 2 21.4 56.7 28 -5 -9 70.5 12.8 2 22.1 56.3 30 11 -10 347.4 341.1 341.1 Less: National defense gross investment1 39.9 36.3 35.4 Equals: National defense consumption expenditures. NIPA's 307.5 304.7 305.7 1. Gross investment consists of general government and government enterprise expenditures for fixed assets; inventory investment is included in Federal Government consumption expenditures. Sources: The Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1999 and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 12 • March 1998 the budget, and it excludes government investment in fixed assets, which is included in budget outlays. For 1999, NIPA current expenditures would exceed budget outlays by $110.6 billion; contributions to government employee retirement funds would be $73.8 billion, proprietary receipts would be $33.1 billion, and the consumption of fixed capital would exceed investment by $14.3 billion. In the NIPA framework, budget outlays for national defense are included in both consumption expenditures and gross investment. These outlays differ from the NIPA estimates for four principal reasons (table 6). First, some defense outlays, primarily disbursements for foreign military sales, are treated as exports in the NIPA'S. Second, NIPA expenditures are recorded on a delivery basis, and budget outlays are recorded on a cash basis; thus, in the NIPA'S, all work-in-progress except shipbuilding is included in the change-inbusiness-inventories component of gross domestic product. Third, in defense outlays, the cost of the military retirement program is measured as the cash payment from the military personnel appropriation account to the military retirement trust fund. In the NIPA'S, a payment is added to amortize the unfunded liability for military retirement benefits earned by military personnel for service before 1985, and a payment is also added to amortize the unfunded liability for civilian retirement benefits; these payments are recorded in the budget as intergovernmental Table 7—Relation of Administration Budget and NIPA Esti- mates of Federal Government Receipts and Current Expenditures [Billions of dollars] Level for fiscal year Actual 1997 Estimates 1998 1999 Administration budget: Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) 1,579.3 1,657.9 1,742.7 1,601.2 1,667.8 1,733.2 NIPA's: Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) ' 1,695.5 1,765.9 1,833.9 1,736.2 1,778.5 1,843.8 Administration budget less NIPA's: Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) -21.9 -40.7 -10.0 -12.6 9.5 -9.9 -91.2 -116.2 -108.0 -135.0 -110.7 -110.6 18.8 2.6 19.4 Change from preceding fiscal year 1998 84.8 65.4 19.5 70.4 42.3 28.1 68.0 65.3 8.2 24.3 Fiscal year 1999 NIPA estimates In the NIPA framework, the current deficit in fiscal year 1999 would decrease $2.7 billion, to $9.9 billion, after decreasing $28.1 billion in fiscal year 1998 (chart i). This slowdown is due to an acceleration in current expenditures and a deceleration in receipts. The acceleration in current expenditures is due to accelerations in grants-in-aid to State and local governments, transfer payments, and consumption expenditures. The deceleration in receipts is attributable to a deceleration in corporate profits tax accruals. In the NIPA framework, Federal current expenditures would increase $65.3 billion in fiscal year 1999 to $1,843.8 billion (chart 2). Transfer payments would increase $36.1 billion—$14.5 billion for social security and $10.0 billion for medicare (table 8). Grants-in-aid to State and local governments would increase $23.4 billion—$6.7 billion for medicaid, $5.3 billion for health care, and $6.9 for other grants programs. Nondefense CHART 1 Federal Fiscal Position, Surplus or Deficit (-) Billion $ 50 1999 78.6 66.6 11.9 -16.2 transactions. Fourth, the NIPA measure includes general government consumption of fixed capital. The differences between the budget and NIPA estimates of receipts, of outlays, and of the current surplus or deficit are summarized in table 7. Unlike the budget, which would record a surplus in 1999, the NIPA'S would record a deficit primarily because of the difference in the treatment of government investment in fixed assets; the consumption of fixed capital that is included in the NIPA'S is greater than the investment that is excluded. 2.7 16.8 .1 16.8 1. The NIPA current surplus or deficit reflects trie treatment of government investment which was introduced in January 1996. Current expenditures now include (1) consumption of fixed capital or general government in consumption expenditures, and (2) consumption of fixed capital for for government enterpnses as an expense in the calculation of the current surplus of government enterprises. Gross investment in fixed assets by general government enterprises is no longer classified as a current-account expenditure in the year the asset is purchased but is classified, instead, as an expenditure over the service life of the asset. Sources: The Budget ol the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1999 and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. NIPA National income and product accounts -350 1989 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 Fiscal Years •Estimates by OMB and BEA U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau ol Economic Analysis 97 98* 99* SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS CHART 2 Federal Government Current Expenditures, NIPA Framework Billion $ 900 Transfer Payments 800 700 600 March 1998 • consumption expenditures would increase $8.0 billion. In the NIPA framework, Federal receipts would increase $68.0 billion in fiscal year 1999 to $1,883.9 billion (chart 3): $57.5 billion of the increase is due to a higher tax base, and $10.5 billion is due to proposed legislation (table 9). The increase in total receipts reflects increases in contributions for social insurance ($30.3 billion), personal taxes ($22.7 billion), indirect business taxes 500 400 CHART 3 National Defense Consumption Expenditures Federal Government Receipts, NIPA Framework 300 Net Interest Paid^ 200 Billion $ 900 - All Other 100 - Grants-in-aid to State and local governments I 1989 90 91 92 I I 93 ! 94 I 95 800 I Personal Tax and Nontax Receipts 98* 99* 96 97 700 Fiscal Years •Estimates by BEA U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 600 500 -Contributions for Social Insurance Table 8.—Sources of Change in Federal Government Current Expenditures, NIPA Framework 400 [Billions of dollars] 300 Corporate Profits Tax Accruals^ Total current expenditures Change from preceding fiscal year 200 1997 100 64.0 Consumption expenditures National defense Pay raise and locality pay ' Other Nondefense Pay raise and locality pay1 Other 15.4 Transfer payments Social security Medicare Supplemental security income Federal employee retirement Earned income and child care credits Veterans benefits Unemployment benefits Other 35.4 14.8 16.4 Grants-in-aid to State and local governments Medicaid Education Highways Health Care Food and nutrition Other 2.1 9.4 -2.8 9.4 6.0 -4.9 6.0 1.4 5.8 2.8 1.2 -2.8 -4.2 4.7 3.6 0 1.0 4.9 1.3 3.6 28.8 15.5 7.9 .8 2.8 .4 .8 .4 .2 1999 Indirect Business Tax and Nontax Accruals ' 65.3 9.0 1.0 3.1 -2.1 8.0 2.1 5.9 36.1 14.5 10.0 1989 90 91 92 23.4 .7 1.0 5.4 0 1.2 1.5 1.1 6.4 6.7 3.5 .6 5.3 .4 6.9 8.0 -3.2 -1.7 .5 -1.0 -1.5 93 94 95 96 Fiscal Years 98* 99* Table 9.—Sources of Change in Federal Government Receipts, NIPA Framework [Billions of dollars] Change from preceding fiscal year 1997 1998 143.6 143.6 0 70.4 70.6 Personal tax and nontax receipts Due to tax bases Due to proposed legislation 88.8 88.8 27.8 27.9 Corporate profits tax accruals Due to tax bases Due to proposed legislation 13.6 13.6 Total receipts Due to tax bases Due to proposed legislation .6 3.2 1.2 0 -.3 -.8 -.4 -.7 Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Due to tax bases Due to proposed legislation 1.0 .2 7 1.2 -.3 -.1 Contributions for social insurance Due to tax bases Due to ororjosed leaislation -2.1 97 •Estimates by BEA U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of Economic Analysis .4 2.9 2.7 1.4 2.7 1.5 15.6 -1.5 1 Consists of pay raises and locality pay beginning in January 1998. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis. 42.3 2.1 Net interest paid Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises Agriculture subsidies Housing subsidies Other subsidies Less: Current surplus of government enterprises: Postal Service surplus Other surplus of government enterprises 1998 0 -.1 -.1 14.8 14.9 0 -.1 4.6 4.6 0 -.1 -.2 .1 1999 68.0 57.5 10.5 22.7 23.9 -1.2 3.1 1.4 1.7 11.9 1.9 10.0 36.7 36.7 28.0 28.0 30.3 30.3 0 0 0 Sources: The Budget ol the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1999, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. 1J 14 • March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS ($11.9 billion), and corporate profits tax accruals ($3.1 billion). The increase in contributions for social insurance reflects higher contributions for the old-age, survivors, disability, and hospital insurance programs. The increase in personal taxes reflects higher withheld income taxes, and the increase in indirect business taxes reflects the proposed tobacco settlement. Quarterly pattern.—Seasonally adjusted quarterly estimates of NIPA receipts and current expenditures that are consistent with the budget estimates of receipts and outlays for the fiscal year are shown in table 10. The NIPA estimates of receipts reflect the quarterly pattern that results from the enacted and proposed legislation and from the administration's projected quarterly pattern of wages and profits. The NIPA estimates of current expenditures reflect the quarterly pattern that results from the enacted and proposed legislation that would adjust pay for Federal Government employees and provide cost-of-living increases in social security. In the NIPA framework, the current deficit trends downward from the first quarter of 1997 through the fourth quarter of 1997 and then increases in the first quarter of 1998. The first-quarter 1998 increase reflects the following: Decreases in personal taxes, cost-of-living adjustments that increase social security (2.1 percent), and adjustments to Federal employee pay (2.8 percent). The current deficit decreases from the second quarter of 1998 through the fourth quarter of 1998, increases in the first quarter of 1999, and then decreases slightly throughout the third quarter of 1999. The first-quarter increase reflects the following: Cost-of-living adjustments that increase social security (2.2 percent), adjustments to Federal employee pay (3.1 percent), and higher grants-in-aid to State and local governments. Table 10 follows. 5| SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 • 15 Table 10.—Federal Government Receipts and Expenditures, NIPA Framework [Billions of dollars; calendar year and quarters at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fiscal year l Line Pub1997 1 2 3 4 lished 19972 1999 1998 Quarter Calendar year 2 1998 Estimated 1998 Published 1997 Estimated I II III IV I 757.3 774.4 21.2 1865 21.7 1977 21.8 198.2 23.9 1967 24.0 1974 184.0 186.5 197.7 198.2 -.1 196.8 -.1 197.5 197.0 -.1 197.1 88.2 92.2 92.4 92.3 92.8 93.1 92.9 0 0 92.3 88.2 92.2 92.4 92.3 92.8 93.1 92.5 6735 514.8 0 31 635.3 480.8 0 641 5 486.3 0 6482 492.3 0 658.6 502.0 0 6676 510.0 0 3.1 3.1 671 2 513.0 0 3.1 3.1 204.9 207.7 24.0 20.9 21.2 23^9 2l"4 191 6 24.0 1973 20.9 1840 198.3 191.6 197.4 107.5 91.3 94.9 91.3 1997 -1 1.4 185.0 197.4 95.6 23.9 21.8 221.3 21.4 23.4 1973 221.0 24.0 220.1 21.7 213.0 24.1 21.0 1850 221.4 219.3 223.9 23.4 23.9 7871 781 9 220.8 220.6 8008 7679 21.0 808.5 -1 8086 794.0 -.1 7469 206.0 7941 801.2 -.1 801 3 787.0 -.1 7744 7573 -1.3 8091 746.9 767.9 781.9 797.7 -.1 7978 807.8 785.1 -1 7852 800.8 Corporate profit tax accruals4 Federal Reserve Banks Proposed legislation Other Other corporate profit tax accruals Proposed legislation Other 12 13 14 Indirect business tax and nontax accruals7 Proposed legislation Other . 95.7 95.7 95.5 10.1 97.4 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Contributions for social insurance 3 Tax on wages and salaries (PICA) Proposed legislation Base increases January 1998 January 1999 Other Tax on self-employment earnings (SECA) Base increases Other Supplementary medical insurance Unemployment insurance Federal retirement Other 636.5 483.3 6645 508.5 0 .8 8 6948 534.0 .1 3.7 3.1 6459 490.4 483.3 507.7 530.2 490.4 0 511.8 480.8 486.3 492.3 502.0 507.0 29.4 31.1 32.6 28.8 30.4 28.5 28.6 28.8 29.1 29.9 .4 307 .7 31 9 0 288 .4 300 0 285 0 286 0 288 0 291 19.3 29.2 67.3 20.0 30.6 68.5 19.7 29.7 67.9 20.0 30.5 68.2 19.5 29.4 67.7 19.6 29.5 67.9 19.7 29.6 68.1 19.8 30.1 67.9 II I III r 0 1 29.4 19.0 28.1 67.4 9.2 92 9.1 -1 26 3.1 6 .1 0 0 96 96 9.5 96 96 9.7 0 0 23.9 807.8 815.4 823.0 -1.1 8089 -1.2 8166 8244 222.1 224.0 224.3 225.1 24.1 24.0 24.1 24.2 23.7 23.'< r 0 24.1 1981 -1.4 .3 24.0 2001 -.1 198.2 2000 1.9 198.0 1.9 198.2 200.8 1.9 198.9 100.6 9.8 100.1 9.9 100.2 101.3 90.8 90.3 10.1 90.1 10.5 90.8 675.3 516.5 0 3.1 3.1 6798 519.7 0 3.1 3.1 510.0 513.5 516.7 6900 527.7 0 5.5 3.1 2.5 522.2 6975 533.7 0 5.5 3.1 2.5 528.2 705.9 540.6 .3 5.5 3.1 2.5 534.7 30.2 30.5 30.9 31.5 31.7 32.0 295 298 19.9 30.3 68.1 30.2 20.0 30.5 68.0 305 19.8 30.1 68.1 30.8 20.7 31.6 69.0 31.1 20.8 32.2 69.5 31.4 20.9 32.8 70.0 .4 .7 9.6 9.6 9.6 20.1 30.9 68.5 96 96 96 96 1,736.2 1,778.5 1,843.8 1,752.2 1,800.5 1,730.8 1,746.0 1,752.6 1,779.4 1,789.9 1,795.7 1,799.7 1,816.6 1,844.4 1,857.5 1,872.4 Current expenditures 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Consumption expenditures National defense Pay raises and locality pay January 1998 January 1999 Other Nondefense Pay raises and locality pay January 1998 January 1999 Other 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 Transfer payments (net)3 To persons Social Security . . . Regular Benefit increases January 1998 January 1999 Medicare .. Unemployment benefits Feideral employee retirement Civilian Military Veterans benefits Railroad retirement .... .. . Military medical insurance Food stamps Black lung benefits Supplemental security income ... . Earned income and child care credits All other To rest of the world (net) Estimated 1999 IV III 1,695.5 1,765.9 1,833.9 1,724.6 1,787.3 1,675.3 1,709.3 1,741.8 1,771.8 1,768.0 1,779.6 1,790.4 1,811.0 1,821.9 1,837.4 1,855.3 Receipts Personal tax and nontax receipts3 Proposed legislation Other 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 29 II 457.5 307.5 . 307.5 150.0 459.7 3047 2.1 2.1 302.7 154.9 13 1.3 468.6 3057 5.2 2.8 24 300.5 162.9 3.4 463.9 3110 461.3 3030 458.0 3064 464.2 311 3 464.7 311 6 468.5 314.8 2.8 2.8 311.0 152.9 1.8 1.6 300.3 158.2 18 306.4 151.7 311.3 152.9 311.6 153.1 314.8 153.7 1.8 469.3 461.4 3135 3041 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 457.8 298.7 2.8 2.8 310.8 155.8 1.7 1.7 301.3 157.3 1.8 1.8 295.9 159.1 1.8 1.8 456.5 2959 2.8 2.8 293.1 160.6 1.8 1.8 463.4 2994 5.9 2.8 3.1 293.5 164.1 3.8 1.8 2.0 160.3 464.7 2993 6.0 2.8 3.2 293.3 165.4 3.9 1.8 2.1 161.5 854.2 844.0 384.6 368.5 859.4 849.2 385.7 369.6 864.5 854.4 386.8 370.6 16.0 16.1 16.1 7.8 8.3 228.7 7.8 8.3 231.2 25.5 80.1 46.1 34.0 24.2 26.3 80.3 46.4 34.0 24.8 150.0 153.6 159.6 152.9 156.4 151.7 152.9 153.1 153.7 154.1 155.5 157.3 158.8 786.3 774.1 353.0 353.0 815.1 802.8 368.5 362.8 5.7 851.2 839.0 383.0 369.1 795.5 782.3 356.7 356.7 827.6 815.3 372.5 364.9 7.7 785.9 775.5 354.2 354.2 791.4 780.5 356.0 356.0 794.5 784.5 357.5 357.5 810.3 788.5 359.0 359.0 57 78 62 817.4 806.7 369.1 361.6 7.6 7.6 822.9 812.4 371.6 364.0 7.6 7.6 828.7 818.2 374.1 366.4 7.7 7.7 841.3 823.7 375.2 367.5 7.7 7.7 206.1 214.0 224.0 210.0 220.3 204.7 208.3 211.9 215.2 217.2 219.2 221.2 223.7 7.7 8.3 226.2 20.6 73.4 43.0 30.4 21.9 21.0 76.2 44.5 31.6 22.7 23.7 79.1 46.5 32.6 24.1 22.0 73.2 42.6 30.6 22.1 23.1 76.7 44.2 32.5 22.9 22.3 73.0 42.6 30.4 22.1 22.2 73.5 42.7 30.8 22.1 21.8 73.1 42.6 30.5 22.2 21.6 73.2 42.6 30.7 22.1 22.2 76.1 43.9 32.2 22.7 22.8 76.5 44.1 32.5 22.8 23.4 77.0 44.2 32.7 22.9 24.1 77.2 44.5 32.7 23.2 24.8 79.8 45.8 34.0 23.7 8.5 2.0 19.6 1.1 26.7 21.9 19.3 12.2 8.7 1.9 18.5 1.1 27.5 22.3 20.4 12.3 14.0 8.4 1.8 19.7 1.0 27.9 25.0 21.2 12.2 77 8.2 2.1 18.7 1.1 25.6 22.6 20.1 13.3 8.5 1.9 18.7 1.1 26.6 21.7 21.4 12.3 8.2 2.1 19.8 1.1 25.5 22.6 19.9 10.5 8.2 2.1 19.0 1.1 25.5 22.6 20.0 10.8 8.2 2.0 18.2 1.1 25.7 22.6 20.2 10.0 8.2 2.0 17.7 1.1 25.6 22.6 20.3 21.8 8.4 2.0 18.6 1.1 26.7 21.7 21.0 10.6 8.5 1.9 18.5 1.1 26.6 21.7 21.3 10.4 8.5 1.8 18.4 1.0 26.5 21.7 21.6 10.5 8.4 1.8 19.1 1.0 26.5 21.7 21.7 17.6 8.2 1.8 19.5 1.0 27.0 25.5 21.9 10.2 8.1 1.8 19.7 1.0 26.9 25.5 22.0 10.2 469.0 3021 6.0 2.8 3.2 296.1 166.9 3.9 1.8 2.1 163.0 7.7 1.8 20.0 1.0 26.8 25.5 22.1 10.1 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS l6 • March 1998 Table 10.—Federal Government Receipts and Expenditures, NIPA Framework—Continued [Billions of dollars; calendar year and quarters at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fiscal year ] Line 1997 1998 Quarter Calendar year 1999 Published 19972 Estimated 1998 2 Estimated 1998 Published 1997 I II III IV I II III Estimated 1999 IV II I III 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 Grants-in-aid to State and local governments Public assistance Medicaid Cash benefits (AFDC + TANF) Social benefits Highways Education Food and nutrition Community development . Mass transit Environmental protection Health care All other 220.0 112.7 95.4 147 2.6 20.2 17.1 14.7 6.3 2.3 2.7 6.3 37.8 235.6 120.4 100.8 171 2.4 21.4 17.1 15.8 7.5 2.0 2.5 7.8 41.1 259.0 127.5 107.5 180 2.0 22.0 20.6 16.2 7.8 1.9 2.7 13.1 47.1 224.2 112.8 97.4 129 2.5 20.3 17.0 153 6.5 4.0 2.6 7.7 38.3 242.8 119.8 101.3 160 2.5 22.1 18.0 166 7.9 2.6 2.7 9.1 44.2 219.6 111.2 94.7 140 2.5 19.4 15.7 149 6.4 41 2.9 6.9 38.1 222.5 111.8 96.4 126 2.8 20.6 16.6 15 1 6.5 35 2.7 8.4 37.4 224.2 110.2 96.1 11 8 2.4 20.8 18.1 154 6.4 42 2.6 7.2 39.4 230.6 117.8 102.2 132 2.4 20.3 17.5 157 6.5 40 2.3 8.2 38.3 232.8 115.7 98.7 146 2.4 21.3 16.5 163 8.0 32 2.9 8.4 40.6 241.4 119.4 100.7 160 2.6 22.4 17.7 166 8.1 2.9 2.6 8.2 43.6 245.9 120.5 101.4 166 2.5 22.6 18.5 168 7.9 2.1 2.5 8.4 46.3 251.2 123.4 104.2 169 2.3 21.9 19.4 166 7.4 21 2.9 11.2 46.2 259.9 126.8 107.1 174 2.3 266.8 128.7 108.5 272.8 130.5 109.9 18.0 18.5 2.2 2.1 22.2 20.9 22.6 21.4 16.8 22.8 22.4 16.7 8.1 21 2.8 8.2 20 2.7 13.3 47.5 14.3 49.8 15.3 52.1 75 Net interest paid 234.2 231.0 229.3 230.2 229.6 228.9 229.8 231.2 231.0 230.6 229.7 229.0 228.9 228.6 228.4 228.3 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises Subsidies Agricultural .. Housing Other Less: Current surplus of government enterprises Postal Service Federal Housing Administration Tennessee Valley Authority Other 38.2 35.5 7.3 24.9 3.3 -2.7 -7.8 2.9 2.0 .3 37.2 36.4 8.5 24.9 3.0 -.8 -7.1 3.4 27 .3 35.7 34.5 7.7 24.5 2.3 -1.1 -7.4 3.8 28 -.3 38.4 34.2 7.6 25.6 10 -4.2 -8.6 3.3 17 -.5 39.3 34.3 8.1 25.5 6 -5.1 -9.5 3.7 17 -1.0 38.4 33.8 7.4 25.2 11 -4.7 -3.9 3.2 17 -.6 38.1 34.3 7.5 25.7 11 -3.9 -8.2 3.2 16 -.5 37.9 34.3 7.5 25.9 10 -3.6 -8.0 3.3 15 -.4 39.0 34.5 8.0 25.7 9 -4.5 -9.2 3.4 18 -.5 39.9 34.8 8.3 25.6 8 -5.1 -9.7 3.5 18 -.7 40.3 34.7 8.4 25.5 7 -5.6 -10.0 3.6 1.7 -.9 38.4 34.1 8.1 25.4 6 -4.2 -8.6 3.7 17 -1.1 38.8 33.4 7.7 25.3 4 -5.4 -9.8 3.8 17 -1.2 38.3 33.1 38.1 32.8 37.8 32.6 86 Less' Wage accruals less disbursements 87 Current surplus or deficit (— ) 5 88 89 90 91 92 93 Addenda: Gross investment6 National defense Nondefense Consumption expenditures and gross investment National defense Nondefense 165 7.8 21 2.6 7.5 7.3 7.2 25.2 25.2 25.1 -5.3 -9.6 -5.3 -9.6 -5.1 -9.5 4 3.9 17 -1.3 3 4.0 17 -1.4 3 4.0 1.8 -1.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -40.7 -12.6 -9.9 -27.7 -13.2 -55.5 -36.8 -10.8 -7.6 -21.9 -16.1 -9.3 -5.6 -22.5 -20.1 -17.2 61 2 39.9 21.3 583 36.3 22.0 585 35.4 23.1 599 39.4 20.6 56.7 34.5 22.2 581 370 21.1 61 8 39.3 22.6 61 0 40.5 20.5 589 40.8 18.1 574 35.6 21.9 56.4 34.4 22.0 55.8 33.5 22.3 571 34.5 22.6 587 358 593 359 588 355 22.9 23.3 23.4 518.7 347.4 171 3 518.0 341.1 1769 527.1 341.1 1860 523.8 350.4 1734 517.9 337.5 180.4 516.1 343.3 1728 526.1 350.6 1755 525.7 352.1 173.6 527.4 355.6 171 8 526.7 349.1 177.6 517.9 338.5 179.4 513.6 332.2 181.3 513.6 330.4 183.2 522.1 335.2 187.0 524.0 335.3 188.7 527.8 337.5 190.3 1. Fiscal year estimates are the sum of quarterly values not seasonally adjusted and are consistent with the differences between the fiscal year estimates of IBT shown in the Budget and those shown in table 10 (above) are shown below: budget proposals. 2. Published estimates, both calendar year and quarters, appear in the NIPA tables 3.2 and 3.7B elsewhere in this issue. Billions of dollars 3. Estimates of personal tax and nontax receipts, contributions for social insurance, transfer payments (net), and grants-in-aid to State and local governments for the first quarter of 1998 through the third quarter of 1999 have Fiscal year been revised to incorporate information that has become available since the release of the budgeLFor each quarter, personal taxes have been revised up $8.1 billion, and grants-in-aid have been revised up $4.6 billion. To reflect 1997 1998 1999 data on wage and salary disbursements that were not available at the time of the translation, contributions have been revised as follows: 1998:1, $3.6 billion; 1998:11, $1.0 billion; 1998:111, -$1.0 billion; 1998:IV, -$3.4 billion; 1999:1, Indirect business tax and nontax accruals: -$2.9 billion; 1999:11, -$1.4 billion; and 1999:111, $1.0 billion. The revisions to transfer payments (net) in 1998 and Budget 92.1 92.1 105.7 1999 result from a corrected quarterly pattern for medicare payments. Amount of correction 4. BEA's estimate of corporate profits tax accruals for the fourth quarter of 1997 will not be available until the 3.6 3.5 1.8 release of the final estimates of gross domestic product on March 26, 1998. The value shown is derived from the budget. Sources: The Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1998 and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. 5. See footnote 1 in table 7. AFDC Aid to families with dependent children 6. Gross investment consists of general government and government enterprise expenditures for fixed assets; FICA Federal insurance contributions act inventory investment is included in Federal Government consumption expenditures. NIPA National income and product accounts 7. The Budget of the United States Government, Analytical Perspectives, Fiscal Year 1999, "National Income SECA Self-employment contributions act and Product Accounts," page 340 contains incorrect fiscal year estimates of indirect business tax and nontax accruTANF Temporary assistance for needy families als (IBT); the IBT estimates also carried through to the budget estimates for total receipts and the deficit. The SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Gross Product by Industry Price Measures, 1977-96 By Robert E. Yuskavage Brian C. Moyer, John Sporing, and Robert A. Sylvester assisted in the preparation of the estimates and the tables. HIS ARTICLE presents annual estimates of prices and unit costs by industry group for 1977-96. The price measures of gross product originating by industry (GPO) provide insight into the sources of change in the aggregate price level by industry. For example, the relative growth rates of prices among industries can be compared, and their contributions to the aggregate (economy-wide) rate of price change can be computed. The unit-cost measures by industry can be used to identify the sources of GPO price change among the cost components of GPO—compensation of employees, indirect business taxes, and property-type income. on gross product by industry in the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, and providing them marks another step in continuing efforts by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) to make the industry accounts data more useful. Until last year, these articles dealt almost exclusively with cur rent-dollar and real GPO. In November 1997, BEA presented and discussed annual estimates of gross output and intermediate inputs by industry for the first time.1 The first part of this article discusses the measurement and interpretation of GPO prices, including the relationship of GPO prices to gross These measures of GPO prices and unit costs have not previously been included in the articles i. See Sherlene K.S. Lum and Robert E. Yuskavage, "Gross Product by Industry, 1947-96," SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 77 (November 1997): 20-34. T Gross Product Originating: Definition and Relationship to Gross Domestic Product Gross product, or gross product originating (GPO), by industry is the contribution of each private industry and of government to the Nation's output, or gross domestic product (GDP). An industry's GPO, often referred to as its "value added," is equal to its gross output (sales or receipts and other operating income, commodity taxes, and inventory change) minus its intermediate inputs (consumption of goods and services purchased from other industries or imported). For the national income and product accounts (NIPA'S), GDP is measured as the sum of expenditure components. Gross domestic income (GDI) is measured as the sum of costs incurred and incomes earned in the production of GDP. In concept, GDP and GDI should be the same; in practice, they differ because their components are estimated using largely independent and less-than-perfect source data. BEA views GDP as the more reliable measure of output because the source data underlying the estimates of expenditures are considered to be more accurate.1 The difference between GDP and GDI is the "statistical discrepancy"; it is recorded in the NIPA'S as an "income" component that reconciles GDI with GDP. Cur rent-dollar GPO by industry is measured as the sum of distributions by industry of the components of GDI. Consequently, the sum of the cur rent-dollar GPO estimates also differs from current-dollar GDP by the statistical discrepancy. In presenting the GPO estimates, the statistical discrepancy is included in the GPO of private industries because of BEA'S view that most of the measurement problems with i. For additional information on the accuracy of the two measures, see the box "Statistical Discrepancy" in Robert P. Parker and Eugene P. Seskin, "Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts," SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 77 (August 1997): 19. the components of GDI affect the GPO of private industries rather than the GPO of general government or government enterprises. Real GDP in the NIPA'S is also measured as the sum of the expenditure components. Real GPO estimates for most industries are derived using separate estimates of gross output and intermediate inputs.3 The sum of the real GPO estimates differs from real GDP by the real statistical discrepancy, which is shown as part of private-industry GPO, and by the category entitled "not allocated by industry," which is the difference between real GDP and the sum of real GPO for the detailed industries and of the statistical discrepancy. The value of the category "not allocated by industry" reflects the lack of additivity of detailed real GPO estimates that results from the formula used to calculate real output and from differences in the source data (both current dollars and prices) used to estimate industry GPO and the expenditures measure of real GDP. As with the current-dollar measures, BEA views the source data used to estimate the components of real GDP to be more reliable. In addition, the amount of detailed data available to calculate real GDP is greater than that for the gross output and intermediate inputs available to calculate real GPO. For some industries, no source data are available to measure gross output, and the resulting real GPO estimates are prepared using less reliable methodologies. 2. See "Note on Alternative Measures of Gross Product by Industry," SURVEY 77 (November 1997): 84. 3. For information about the computation of the real GPO estimates, see the box "Computation of the Chain-Type Quantity Indexes for Double-Deflated Industries" in Robert E. Yuskavage, "Improved Estimates of Gross Product by Industry, 1959-94," SURVEY 76 (August 1996): 142. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 18 • March 1998 output prices and intermediate inputs prices. The second part develops the concept of unit costs in the context of the GPO estimates, and it describes how these measures can be used to analyze changes in industry-cost structure and the return to capital. The third part discusses trends in GPO prices and unit costs by industry group for 1992-96. Tables 4 and 5 at the end of the article present industry price and unit-cost measures by industry group for 1977-96. GPO Prices The GPO price index for an industry or industry group represents the implicit price for gross output less intermediate inputs. For most industries and industry groups, the GPO price measures are chain-type Fisher price indexes computed from data on gross output and intermediate inputs. For some industries, the GPO price measures are implicit price deflators because data for gross output prices are not available. GPO can be defined as either an output measure (gross output less intermediate inputs) or as an input measure (costs incurred and incomes earned); see the box "Gross Product Originating." The measurement of the GPO price index is based on GPO'S definition as an output measure. As an output measure, GPO is the difference between the industry's gross output and its intermediate inputs. Real GPO and the GPO price index can be derived from these separate measures using the double-deflation method. In the double-deflation method, estimates of gross output and of intermediate inputs are used in the calculation of real GPO.2 As an input measure, an industry's GPO represents the value-added inputs (labor services and capital services) that are combined with the intermediate inputs (energy, materials, and purchased services) to produce the gross output of the industry. The GPO price index thus represents the implicit price paid by the industry for its value-added inputs. Changes in the GPO price index for the industries for which the double-deflation method is used primarily reflect (i) changes in the prices and quantities of the gross output of the industry, (2) changes in the prices and quantities of the intermediate inputs used by the industry, and (3) changes in the ratio of intermediate inputs to gross output. 2. For more information on the double-deflation method, see Robert E. Yuskavage, "Improved Estimates of Gross Product by Industry, 1959-94," SURVEY 76 (August 1996): 142-145. Gross output Gross output prices represent the prices received by an industry for its products. The chain-type price index for gross output is computed from detailed data for the industry on product sales, shipments, and prices. Data on cur rent-dollar product sales and shipments by industry are primarily from annual surveys by the Bureau of the Census. Detailed price indexes for manufacturing and wholesale trade are primarily producer price indexes (PPI'S) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Price indexes for farm products are from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, and price indexes for mineral products are mostly from the U.S. Department of Interior and the U.S. Department of Energy. Price indexes for selected products—including computers, semiconductors, digital telephone switching equipment, and selected equipment purchased by the U.S. Department of Defense—are from the national income and product accounts (NIPA'S). Price indexes for retail trade and for services are primarily BLS consumer price indexes (CPI'S), or they are derived from the NiPA's.3 Intermediate inputs Intermediate inputs prices represent the prices paid by an industry for its inputs of raw materials, semifinished goods, energy, and services purchased from other industries. The chain-type price index for intermediate inputs is computed from detailed data on industry product purchases and prices. Data on the commodity (product) composition of cur rent-dollar intermediate inputs by industry are obtained primarily from BEA'S input-output accounts.4 Detailed price indexes for inputs of manufactured goods are from BLS: Primarily PPI'S for domestic goods and international price indexes for imports. These indexes are supplemented by selected price indexes from the NIPA'S. Detailed price indexes for inputs of services are primarily CPI'S, or gross output implicit price deflators.5 Input-output ratio An industry's input-output (i-o) ratio is computed as its intermediate inputs divided by its 3. For a list of the sources for current-dollar product detail and price indexes for gross output, see Yuskavage, "Improved Estimates," table 8. 4. Ann M. Lawson, "Benchmark Input-Output Accounts for the U.S. Economy, 1992: Make, Use, and Supplementary Tables," SURVEY 77 (November 1997): 36-82. 5. For a list of the sources for the price indexes for intermediate inputs, see Yuskavage, "Improved Estimates," table 9. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS gross output. For an industry with one product, changes in the i-o ratio from year to year reflect shifts in the mix between intermediate inputs and value-added inputs (labor services and capital services). Such shifts may be viewed as changes in production technology that result from changes in the optimal input mix. Examples include economies of scale that result from changes in the rate of output and the contracting out of services that were once performed in-house by employees. At the GPO industry level, which approximates the two-digit Standard Industrial Classification (sic), changes in the i-o ratio may also reflect changes in the relative size of the detailed industries that the GPO industry comprises. The GPO price index can be viewed as a weighted average of gross output prices less intermediate inputs prices; thus, changes in the i-o ratio affect the GPO price index by changing the relative weights associated with these prices. Normally, this effect is small in comparison with the effects of changes in gross output prices or of changes in intermediate inputs prices.6 Relationship to NIPA prices For the NIPA'S, gross domestic product (GDP) is measured as the sum of final expenditures. GDP can also be measured as the sum of industry value added. In concept, the GDP price and quantity indexes computed from NIPA final expenditures are consistent with those computed from industry value added because both approaches exclude intermediate inputs. Consistency is maintained between the two approaches by the use of common source data for prices whenever possible. For example, the price indexes that are used for the producers' durable equipment component of NIPA final expenditures are also used for the gross output of durable goods manufacturing industries. In practice, the results of the two approaches differ because of the lack of data for gross output prices for certain private services-producing industries and because of the lack of annual data for the commodity composition of intermediate inputs by industry. In addition, the two approaches differ in the treatment of trade margins and transport costs. In the NIPA'S, final expenditures are valued in purchasers' prices which include the wholesale trade and retail trade margins and transport costs incurred as goods move 6. The direction and magnitude of the effect on the GPO price index depends on interactions among the gross output price index, the intermediate inputs price index, and the input-output ratio. through the distribution system from producers (or importers) to final users. In the industry approach, value added is valued in producers' prices. Price measures associated with trade margins and transport costs are classified in the wholesale trade, retail trade, and transportation industries.7 As a result, price measures for specific GPO industries are not necessarily comparable to price measures for related NIPA expenditure components. For example, the NIPA chain-type price index for all durable goods products may differ from the GPO price index for durable goods manufacturing. GDP prices by type of expenditure reflect the prices of goods and services purchased for final use, whether domestically produced or imported; GPO prices by industry reflect the prices of the industry's gross output net of intermediate inputs. Gross output prices from the industry approach are more comparable to NIPA final expenditure prices, but gross output prices reflect sales by an industry to all of its customers, whereas NIPA price measures reflect sales to final purchasers, including sales of imports. GPO Unit Costs GPO unit costs show the contribution of the cost components of GPO to the GPO price index. GPO measures of unit cost are computed by dividing cur rent-dollar GPO and its components by real (chained-dollar) GPO.S The resulting quotients provide the GPO chain-type price index and the part of the price index associated with each component. If the unit cost for a component grows faster than the GPO price index, then the relative importance of that component in the cost structure has increased. As an input measure, cur rent-dollar GPO is measured as the sum of costs incurred and incomes earned in production; it is equal to gross domestic income, the components of which can be grouped into categories that approximate the shares of labor and capital. The labor share of production can be approximated using compensation of employees, which consists of wage and salary accruals, employer contributions for social insurance, and other labor income (primarily employer contributions to private pension 7. In the GPO estimates, the gross output of the wholesale trade and retail trade industries primarily consists of margin, which is defined as sales minus the cost of goods sold. Because price indexes for margin are not available, sales by detailed type of business are deflated, and the margin rate is assumed to be constant. Such assumptions are not required for the deflation of NIPA final expenditures. 8. Current-dollar cost per unit of real GPO equals the GPO price index divided by 100. March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 2O • March 1998 plans and health insurance). The capital share of production (property-type income) can be approximated using the remaining components of GPO except indirect business tax and nontax liability, which is excluded because it can be viewed as a part of the pretax return to capital that accrues to government rather than to business.9 GPO unit-cost measures for compensation of employees (unit labor costs) include wage and salary accruals, employer contributions for social insurance, and other labor income. Unit-cost measures for property-type income (income per unit of gross product) include both debt-financed and equity-financed capital, including capital consumption allowances. GPO unit-cost measures do not provide information on the separate contributions of labor and capital services or of labor and capital prices to the change in GPO prices, because GPO unit-cost measures attribute changes in GPO unit prices to the components of GPO in proportion to each component's share of cur rent-dollar GPO. Thus, year-to-year changes in component shares of cur rent-dollar GPO will result in changes in the contributions of the components to GPO prices, even if the prices do not change. GPO Prices and Unit Costs for 1992-96 This part of the article presents estimates of changes in GPO prices and unit costs by industry group for 1992-96. The first section discusses differences in GPO price changes among industries, including the effects of differences in changes in gross output prices and in intermediate inputs prices. The second section discusses the contributions of GPO components to changes in the GPO price index. GPO price changes The GDP chain-type price index increased at an average annual rate of 2.5 percent in 1992-96; private industries increased 2.2 percent, and government increased 3.3 percent (table i). Among the private industry groups, the GPO price index for durable goods manufacturing declined 1.2 percent. The GPO price indexes for all the other industry groups increased; the increases ranged from 0.4 percent for electric, gas, and sanitary services to 3.8 percent for agriculture, forestry, 9. For purposes of this analysis, property-type income is defined as the sum of corporate profits, proprietors' income, rental income of persons, net interest, capital consumption allowances, business transfer payments, and the current surplus of government enterprises less subsidies. However, a substantial portion of proprietors' income represents the labor share of production. and fishing. Except for electric, gas, and sanitary services, the industry groups with GPO price changes that were less than the GDP price change (2.5 percent) were those associated with the proTable 1.—Percent Changes in Chain-Type Price Indexes by Industry Group, 1993-96 1994 1993 Gross domestic product Private industries ' Agriculture, forestry, and fishing: Gross output Intermediate inputs . . . . Gross product Mining: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Construction: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Manufacturing: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Durable goods: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Nondurable goods: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Transportation and public utilities1 Transportation l Communications: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Electric, gas, and sanitary services: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product 1995 Average annual rate of change, 1992-96 1996 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.5 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.2 26 1.9 3.7 -6 22 -35 9 17 -4 103 52 166 32 27 38 -.5 1.3 -3.9 -1.2 -5.7 .4 1.8 -.5 171 108 21.0 30 31 27 -1.9 3.2 30 3.5 3.5 30 40 4.0 32 48 2.3 28 33 27 37 10 12 1.7 .5 23 4.2 -.9 -2 -2 -4 16 2 .8 1.4 1.1 1.3 .1 1.1 12 2.1 2.2 -31 .9 .5 1.2 1.2 4.9 6.5 17 11 19 1.8 1.1 .7 1.5 2.3 3.2 .6 22 .9 -21 2.9 -7 1.0 -2.6 1.3 -.5 2.2 o -2.2 -2 18 -24 11 o -27 .8 -1 2 24 2.2 28 23 2.6 19 11 15 .6 16 19 12 12 -9 25 -2.3 27 11 26 3.7 2.1 -1 5 6 3 29 4 Wholesale trade: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product 1.8 2.3 1.6 2.7 26 2.7 2.2 3.7 1.5 0 21 1.7 27 Retail trade: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product 15 21 1.2 16 25 Finance, insurance, and real estate1 3.7 Services l Government ' Addenda: Private goods-producing industries2: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Private services-producing industries13 26 10.0 -1.1 12 11 13 14 11 29 1 26 5 25 7 2.1 4.4 4.1 36 3.6 38 32 34 35 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.3 15 1.2 2.1 12 5 23 16 .4 24 39 0 12 18 2.6 2.4 2.9 2.5 18 12 2.6 1. Gross product price index. 2. Consists of agriculture, forestry, and fishing; mining; construction; and manufacturing. 3. Consists of transportation and public utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. NOTE.—Estimates for gross output and for intermediate inputs are shown only for industry groups for which the double-deflation method is used for each detailed industry in the group. See footnote 2 in the text. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS duction and distribution of manufactured goods (manufacturing, transportation, wholesale trade, and retail trade). The GPO price changes for private servicesproducing industries (2.6 percent) exceeded the GDP price change, and the GPO price change for private goods-producing industries (1.2 percent) was less than the GDP price change. The slower growth in the GPO price index for private goodsproducing industries, compared with the growth for private services-producing industries, continues a trend that started in 1982 and continued each year except for 1989 (chart i). In 1989, the GPO price index for goods-producing industries was boosted by a relatively large increase in gross output prices for oil and gas extraction. Since 1977, GPO prices for private services-producing industries have increased faster than GDP prices; since 1992, a deceleration in GPO prices for private services-producing industries has contributed to a deceleration in GDP prices. As mentioned earlier, the GPO price index can be viewed as a weighted average of gross output prices and intermediate inputs prices for industries for which the double-deflation method is used. Changes in GPO prices are positively correlated with changes in gross output prices and negatively correlated with changes in intermediate inputs prices. GPO prices increase faster than gross output prices when gross output prices increase faster than intermediate inputs CHART 1 Chain-Type Price Indexes (1992=100) 120 i 110 100 Private goods-producing-pv' industries' 90 80 Private services-producing industries2 70 60 50 40 1977 I 79 81 83 85 I I 87 I 89 91 93 I I 95 1. Consists of agriculture, forestry, and fishing; mining; construction; and manufacturing. 2. Consists of transportation and public utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade; finance, insurance and real estate; and services. US. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis prices; conversely, GPO prices increase slower than gross output prices when gross output prices increase slower than intermediate inputs prices. In 1992-96, GPO prices increased faster than gross output prices in agriculture, forestry, and fishing, in construction, and in communications. GPO prices increased slower than gross output prices in all other industry groups. In 1996, the GPO price index for private industries increased 2.4 percent, slightly more than the 2.3-percent increase in the GDP price index. The GPO price index for manufacturing declined for the second consecutive year, as an increase in nondurable goods was more than offset by a decline in durable goods. Three of the four other industry groups for which the GPO price index either increased less than the GDP price index or decreased are at least partly involved with the distribution of goods to consumers: Transportation (0.6 percent), electric, gas, and sanitary services (0.3 percent), wholesale trade (-1.1 percent), and retail trade (0.5 percent). Among the industry groups for which the GPO price index increased more than the GDP price index, the increases were large in agriculture, forestry, and fishing (16.6 percent) and mining (21.0 percent). The increases were smaller in finance, insurance, and real estate (4.1 percent) and services (3.4 percent). Government increased 3.7 percent. Contributions to change.—GPO prices can be used to assess an industry's contribution to the change in GDP prices. Because real GDP can be viewed as the combined result of aggregate inputs of labor services and capital services, the GDP price index can be viewed as the price index for aggregate inputs of labor services and capital services. Because GPO as an input measure represents the industry's value-added inputs of labor services and capital services, the GPO price index can be used to compute contributions to GDP price change. The extent to which industries contribute to the change in the GDP price index depends on the industry's size relative to GDP as well as on the growth rates in GPO prices.10 In 1992-96, the largest contributors to the change in the GDP price index were services and finance, insurance, and real estate (0.7 percentage point each) (table 2). Government contributed 0.5 per10. For a description of the calculation of these contributions, see "Note on Computing Alternative Chained Dollar Indexes and Contributions to Growth" in I. Steven Landefeld and Robert P. Parker, "BEA'S Chain Indexes, Time Series, and Measures of Long-Term Economic Growth," SURVEY 77 (May 1997): 63. The procedure described in the note was modified to replace the chain-type quantity index with the chain-type price index. March • 21 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 22 • March 1998 centage points.11 In manufacturing, prices were unchanged, so the contribution of manufacturing prices to GDP price change was o.o percentage point; durable goods manufacturing contributed -o.i percentage point. In 1995 and 1996, the contribution of durable goods manufacturing was -0.3 percentage point. Finance, insurance, and real estate made the largest positive contribution in each of those years (0.8 percentage point). Gross output prices.—Gross output prices, which are the prices received by producers, can be viewed as a weighted average of the prices for intermediate inputs and for value-added inputs (labor services and capital services). In manufacturing, gross output prices increased only 1.1 percent in 1992-96. Gross output prices in durable goods manufacturing were unchanged, while gross output prices in nondurable goods manufacturing increased 2.3 percent. The slow growth in the prices of manufactured products, especially durable goods, together with the de11. The GPO price index for government is an implicit price deflator computed as current-dollar GPO divided by real (chained-dollar) GPO. For general government, which comprises most of government, current-dollar GPO consists of compensation of employees and consumption of fixed capital. Real consumption of fixed capital is estimated by direct deflation using price indexes from the NIPA s. Real compensation of employees is estimated by extrapolating base-year current-dollar values by an indicator of labor input. Table 2.—Contributions to Percent Change in the ChainType Price Index for Gross Domestic Product, 1993-96 1993 1994 Percent change: Gross domestic product 2.6 Percentage points: Private industries 2.2 .1 -.1 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing ... Mining 0 2.4 • 2.5 2.3 2.5 1.5 1.7 2.1 1.9 -.1 0 .3 .1 0 .3 Construction .1 .1 .2 .1 Manufacturing Durable goods Nondurable goods 2 .1 1 .1 0 -2 -.3 .1 -.1 -.3 .2 .1 0 o Transportation and public utilities Transportation Communications Electric, gas, and sanitary services 1 .1 .1 0 Wholesale trade .2 .1 .1 0 -1 .1 .1 .1 .1 0 .1 .1 -1 .1 0 .1 1 .1 0 .1 .2 .1 .1 0 0 0 0 Retail trade 1 Finance, insurance, and real estate .7 .4 .8 .8 .7 Services 7 7 .6 .7 .7 Statistical discrepancy2 Government Not allocated by Industry3 0 .4 0 0 0 0 0 Unit costs Because the GPO price index measures the change in the cost of the value-added inputs of labor services and capital services, it can be used in combination with the components of GPO to assess their contributions to the change in total value-added costs. When a component of GPO unit costs grows faster than the GPO price index, then that component's contribution to the growth in unit costs has increased. The cost per unit of real GPO for private industries increased 2.2 percent in 1992-96 (table 3). Data Availability 199296 1 1996 1995 celeration of prices for private services-producing industries, have contributed substantially to the low rate of GDP price change since 1992. Within durable goods manufacturing, gross output prices in 1992-96 declined in electronic and other electric equipment (5.7 percent) and industrial machinery and equipment (2.8 percent). The declines were primarily for products deflated with BEA'S quality-adjusted price indexes: Computers, semiconductors, and digital telephone switching equipment. Gross output price increases in the remaining industries ranged from i.o percent for instruments and related products to 4.4 percent for lumber and wood products. 0 .4 .5 .5 .5 .4 .3 -.3 .1 1. Average annual rate. 2. Equals GDP measured as the sum of expenditures less gross domestic income. 3. Equals GDP less the statistical discrepancy and the sum of GPO of the detailed industries. NOTE.—For information on the calculation of the contributions to percent change, see footnote 10 in the text. This article presents summary estimates of gross product by industry prices and unit costs. Price indexes and real GPO estimates for detailed industries for !977~96 and current-dollar GPO estimates for 1947-96 are available on the Internet on BEA'S home page at <http://www.bea.doc.gov>. They are also available online to subscribers to STAT-USA'S Economic Bulletin Board (call 202-482-1986), or to STAT-USA'S Internet site at <http://www.stat-usa.gov>. In addition, the following estimates are available from BEA on diskettes: • Gross Product by Industry, 1947-96, product number NDN-or/4, price $20.00. • Gross Output by Detailed Industry, 1977-96, product number NDN-0175, price $20.00. • Manufacturing Industry Shipments, 1977-96, product number NDN-oi/6, price $20.00. • Manufacturing Product Shipments, 1977-95, product number NDN-OI//, price $20.00. To order using Visa or MasterCard, call the BEA Order Desk at 1-800-704-0415 (outside the United States, call (202) 606-9666). To order by mail, send a check payable to "Bureau of Economic Analysis, BE53," to BEA Order Desk, Bureau of Economic Analysis, BE-53, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 20230. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Compensation of employees per unit of GPO (unit labor costs) increased 1.7 percent. Unit costs for indirect business tax and nontax liability increased 0.8 percent, and unit costs for propertytype income increased 3.2 percent. The larger increase in the unit costs for property-type income indicates that capital costs became a larger part of GPO unit costs during the period or that the return to capital per unit of gross product increased. In 1992-96, unit labor costs declined in two private industry groups: Mining and durable goods manufacturing. Unit labor costs increased in all other private industry groups except wholesale trade, which was unchanged. In agriculture, forestry, and fishing and in services, the increases in unit labor costs were larger than the increases in total unit costs. As with GPO prices, declines and relatively small increases in unit labor costs were in industry groups involved with the production and distribution of goods. In manufacturing, unit labor costs declined at an average annual rate of 1.7 percent in 1992-96, compared with a o.2-percent increase in total unit costs. Unit labor costs in durable goods manufacturing declined 3.5 percent, while total unit costs declined 1.2 percent. In wholesale trade, in retail trade, and in transportation and public utilities, the increases in unit labor costs were substantially smaller than the increases in total unit costs. In 1996, unit labor costs increased 1.9 percent in all private industries, less than the increase in total unit costs (2.4 percent). Unit labor costs increased in all private industry groups except durable goods manufacturing and wholesale trade. Durable goods manufacturing fell 3.9 percent; this fall marked the fourth consecutive year that unit labor costs fell in this industry group. Unit labor costs in manufacturing fell 1.1 percent, the third consecutive annual decline, despite an increase in nondurable goods manufacturing. In 1996, the increases in unit labor costs exceeded the increase in total unit costs in only three industries: Construction; finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. In construction, unit labor costs rose faster than total unit costs for the first time since 1992; unit property-type income increased only 0.6 percent. In finance, insurance, and real estate, unit labor costs increased considerably more than in the 2 preceding years. In services, the increase in unit labor costs was somewhat less than the increase in 1995. Tables 4 and 5 follow. £3 March 1998 • Table 3.—Percent Changes in Current-Dollar Cost Per Unit of Real Gross Product Originating for Private Industry Groups, 1993-96 1993 Total Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income 1994 1995 2.5 2.4 1.8 0.5 2.1 25 2.1 4.0 3.7 -3.5 -9.0 17.6 9.4 -6.9 -2.4 _c Mining Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income -1.9 -5.1 -5.7 -5.1 g Construction . Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Manufacturing Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Durable goods Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Nondurable goods Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Transportation and public utilities Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Wholesale trade Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Retail trade Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Finance, insurance, and real estate Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Services Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income 2.0 2.0 -1.0 2.6 — L 137 14.8 -7.9 _5 1996 Average annual rate of change, 1992-96 2.4 1.9 2.2 1.7 0 3.5 .8 3.2 16.6 6.9 1.6 23.5 21.0 3.8 6.8 4.4 2.5 2.7 -4.4 8.6 -5.8 -98 42 21 7 278 -9 6.1 35 2.0 40 3.4 48 4.5 28 3.9 37 3.5 45 70 0 5.5 0 52 43 6 22 4.6 14 .6 -2.9 -3.5 -1.1 -1.7 -4.8 -2.5 -26 12 -2.5 -52 0 36 -73 c 97 -9 44 -4 -1.7 2 47 0 -3.1 -2.7 -1.2 -1.4 -4.0 -4.7 -3.9 -3.5 0 -77 11.1 13.4 0 1.1 -42 .8 -30 6.4 1.2 17 1.1 19 28 1.9 29 -20 -1 9 24 3 3.3 -3 -4.8 -1.7 1.8 .2 o 38 70 83 3.4 34 0 45 .7 0 2.3 2.4 1.1 1.1 1.5 .9 30 11 0 24 -58 25 -8 24 27 15 4.3 -1 1 -2.8 12 0 16 0 -1.5 48 32 42 131 -24 -9 -29 56 9 51 12 -.2 1.1 -.2 1 1.2 5 .3 .7 .3 16 44 5 51 21 -44 5 14 12 15 37 5.8 21 1.2 44 1.9 41 5.3 36 3.5 28 3.2 14 2.4 -7 6.8 27 3.9 1.5 4.0 36 4.6 38 3.2 32 4.8 34 3.5 35 4.0 80 .4 37 5.4 o 3.8 1.9 36 -1.1 3.0 23 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 24 • March 1998 Table 4.—Chain-Type Price Indexes for Gross Output, Intermediate Inputs, and Gross Product by Industry Group, 1977-96 [1992=100] Gross domestic product PrivatG industries ' Agriculture, forestry, and fishing: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 47.42 50.88 55.22 60.34 66.01 70.18 73.16 75.92 78.53 80.58 83.06 86.10 89.72 93.64 97.32 100.00 102.64 105.09 107.76 110.22 48.25 52.71 56.93 61.99 67.98 72.12 74.60 77.36 79.31 81.77 84.41 86.90 90.35 94.38 97.67 100.00 102.50 104.34 106.42 108.95 9254 101 06 101 78 89.68 89.73 94.90 96.18 107.72 107.52 8918 85.87 92.96 89.52 83.42 90.95 91.89 99.49 105.05 104.32 100.86 100.00 102.64 10204 10294 11359 89.26 94.88 99.28 99.69 100.11 100.00 101.88 104.12 105.92 111.43 94.56 104.57 111.54 109.46 101.66 100.00 103.70 100.08 99.66 116.21 9490 9752 10087 8431 6277 71 86 77.48 8025 8563 88.50 106.90 115.57 106.01 104.84 7461 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Mining: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product 62 14 55.48 65.71 68 15 60.11 72.71 8582 11464 14819 151 99 14311 13848 131 96 9722 9746 70.83 87.62 105.53 109.44 107.83 107.67 106.11 88.49 90.37 96.80 137.46 186.43 189.80 173.13 163.70 152.44 103.32 102.26 Construction: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product 4854 53.05 4386 5381 5948 63.98 5476 6570 71.32 5989 71 91 77.24 6633 7719 57.44 4998 79.14 75.12 7886 80.88 76.70 8085 83.00 78.55 8247 85.13 79.65 85.56 84.08 86.75 8862 86.35 90.56 90.24 93.80 94.94 93.50 96.16 7700 80.62 71.04 8349 88.01 75.95 85.44 88.66 80.22 86.33 89.87 80.56 88.32 91.99 82.33 88.06 91.63 82.24 86.42 86.75 86.11 88.20 90.02 85.36 91.90 94.53 87.44 95.94 98.64 99.36 100.00 101.02 102.28 10464 10439 98.51 101.06 100.17 100.00 100.79 102.48 106.81 106.62 91.64 94.63 97.89 100.00 101.42 101.92 100.99 100.63 82.29 81 87 85.67 8395 88.21 87.40 8650 88.64 89.14 8850 89.98 89.24 89.24 89.69 87.89 92.35 90.56 90.30 90.85 93.53 95.60 90.37 96.76 98.69 93.79 87.67 9538 83.18 90.18 9346 83.84 95.14 89.01 99.35 99.47 100.00 100.91 102.13 10712 10967 10226 10052 10000 10051 101 75 10837 11072 93.70 97.41 100.00 101.70 10286 10484 10777 Manufacturing: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Durable goods: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Nondurable goods: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product 61 59 61.47 61.81 6821 57.51 58.08 60.02 5770 6382 6444 61 88 6864 70.35 6868 7300 76.61 7728 8281 5485 58 13 51 11 6091 5351 7746 8485 6344 8479 9376 6759 85.33 5717 6604 7067 5763 7052 85.43 93 15 7076 51.65 5430 55.73 5934 57.83 6303 62.88 6893 70.63 7725 77.20 77.48 59.05 5232 6277 60.78 5568 6376 62.12 59.96 6375 64.56 66.22 6453 70.48 71.50 7006 75.90 75.12 7706 4370 48.94 4005 4794 52.68 4484 53.71 62.46 4649 Wholesale trade: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product 6237 48.81 7076 6608 52.07 7467 Retail trade: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product 5049 4748 52.19 Finance, linsurance, and real estate Services l Government1 Transportation and public utilities1 Transportation l Communications: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Electric, gas, and sanitary services: Gross output Intermediate inputs Gross product Addenda: Private goods-producing industries2: Gross output .. Intermediate inputs Gross product Private services-producing industries J 3 5771 69.77 66.06 7610 9217 97.86 96.40 99.08 98.07 99.79 95.41 98.99 100.00 103.25 10689 111 21 11381 97.94 100.00 103.02 106.10 109.45 111.43 99.88 100.00 103.45 107.58 112.71 11582 99.22 100.00 101.12 102.42 102.55 100.05 99.80 100.00 101.07 10320 10544 10306 98.30 100.00 101.21 101.17 9803 9536 7301 87.04 9403 7373 78.50 85.91 8972 78.64 80.99 76.83 84.77 80.85 88.85 84.45 93.37 87.49 92.64 90.09 94.70 96.92 97.13 98.29 98.06 99.78 100.00 101.76 102.49 104.80 105.97 99.82 100.16 100.00 101.12 102.60 10587 10646 79.13 78.35 8035 83.58 81.07 8583 88.91 84.31 9249 92.02 86.53 96.18 91.39 88.13 9398 92.43 90.43 9414 95.84 94.42 97.02 97.59 96.70 98.29 98.59 100.00 101.26 101.92 102.86 104.78 98.77 100.00 99.50 97.32 9532 96.45 98.53 100.00 10217 10438 10740 11029 64.48 76.75 5372 75.07 88.05 95.91 97.52 97.64 89.37 102.90 109.64 110.88 108.48 6255 75.52 84.89 86.90 89.34 96.08 97.25 95.79 92.62 93.80 92.27 91.45 93.47 90.52 94.39 96.50 97.04 100.42 93.07 94.44 99.38 100.00 102.65 101.92 101.69 104.37 99.03 100.00 103.71 104.72 102.04 112.27 99.55 100.00 102.11 100.57 101 19 101 45 71.36 57.14 79.89 78.22 64.10 86.40 82.97 70.50 89.74 83.89 73.92 89.08 86.30 76.95 91.12 88.19 80.27 92.19 90.26 82.44 94.20 86.34 82.67 88.15 90.62 85.34 93.21 94.81 88.70 97.85 95.65 99.98 100.73 100.00 101.82 104.53 106.83 106.82 92.24 96.05 98.36 100.00 102.25 104.94 108.81 111.11 97.26 101.86 101.81 100.00 101.62 104.34 105.88 104.75 5376 51 02 55.30 5870 56.01 60.20 6462 62.63 65.66 6974 68.94 70.01 7383 72.70 74.28 7608 75.94 76.16 7872 80.02 77.89 80.59 82.41 79.51 80.52 83.73 78.84 85.78 85.95 85.59 86.72 88.90 85.44 90.18 92.97 88.57 93.86 96.82 92.15 38.16 41 73 44.61 48.48 53.63 57.54 62.80 66.20 71.33 78.47 81.69 83.36 87.07 92.35 97.82 100.00 103.73 105.91 110.57 115.10 3585 3878 42.33 46.54 51.36 56.30 60.45 64.12 67.55 71.45 75.35 79.87 84.00 89.65 94.33 100.00 103.55 107.47 110.90 114.64 40.92 43.72 47.09 51.48 56.92 61.73 65.40 70.23 74.38 77.29 80.65 83.83 87.20 91.40 96.08 100.00 103.07 106.29 109.87 113.98 57.48 57.22 57.91 61.94 61.42 63.08 69.36 69.77 68.99 78.56 80.54 75.56 86.30 87.95 83.37 88.33 89.06 87.31 88.96 89.92 87.41 90.57 91.80 88.38 89.80 91.41 86.91 87.08 86.49 87.67 88.99 89.68 87.96 92.47 94.05 90.15 96.58 99.45 98.02 100.64 94.47 97.71 99.53 100.00 101.54 102.76 105.18 106.46 99.98 100.00 101.20 102.97 107.03 107.56 98.84 100.00 102.08 102.46 102.48 104.86 4441 4780 51 27 55.88 61.05 65.32 69.27 72.35 75.98 79.21 82.58 85.27 88.33 96.94 100.00 102.63 10504 10808 11074 9311 1. Gross product price index. 2. Consists of agriculture, forestry, and fishing; mining; construction; and manufacturing. 3. Consists of transportation and public utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. 8914 9346 10046 11085 10245 100.00 9946 9555 9594 11236 90.31 95.55 103.24 100.64 100.00 101.31 100.09 101.91 112.95 95.67 103.74 115.93 103.70 100.00 98.14 92.52 92.09 111.46 8561 9831 93.26 97.71 100.00 101.55 103.19 10435 10571 99.13 100.00 102.08 104.60 107.67 110.49 96.88 100.00 101.24 102.36 102.43 102.99 NOTES.—Estimates for gross output and for intermediate inputs are shown only for industry groups for which the double-deflation method is used for each detailed industry in the group. See footnote 2 in the text. Estimates for 1977-56 are shown on the basis of the 1972 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC). Estimates for 1987-96 are shown on the basis of the 1987 SIC. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 • 25 Table 5.—Current-Dollar Cost Per Unit of Real Gross Product Originating by Private industry Group, 1977-96 [Dollars] Total Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Agriculture forestry and fishing Compensation of employees ... Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 0.483 0.527 0.569 0.620 0.680 0.721 0.746 0.774 0.793 0.818 0.844 0.869 0.904 0.944 0.977 1.000 1.025 1.043 1.064 1.090 .262 .288 .315 .346 .372 .397 .405 .413 .425 .442 .458 .470 .486 .511 .528 .543 .556 .559 .570 .581 047 048 .055 .219 .063 .245 .066 .258 .070 .270 .071 .289 .073 .296 .074 .301 .076 .310 .076 .323 .080 .338 .085 .348 .092 .357 .095 .362 .097 .371 .099 .386 098 .192 .049 .205 098 .174 .396 .410 962 1 069 1 156 1 060 1 048 1 077 1 075 930 909 946 1 046 1 115 1 095 1 017 1 000 1 037 1 001 .184 .212 .217 .241 .203 .213 .298 .237 .216 .222 .230 .286 .287 .304 .299 .273 .321 .292 .332 .355 051 053 054 055 764 .049 .789 .044 .669 .045 .642 .048 .667 .055 .704 .055 .773 .056 .735 .056 .661 .053 .674 .058 .658 063 .884 .067 .712 062 804 .044 .704 054 650 .049 .796 .655 603 745 Mining Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income 657 206 727 238 968 1 375 1 864 1 898 1 731 1.637 1 524 1.033 1.023 1.037 1.159 1.037 1.000 925 .356 .447 .486 .463 .439 .406 .371 .343 .324 .333 .340 .353 .318 921 304 1 115 .327 .981 .335 057 394 061 429 086 .555 208 810 .987 102 505 092 526 112 672 Construction Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income 439 303 500 344 548 386 599 428 663 489 009 127 010 147 010 152 011 160 011 .163 Manufacturing Compensation of employees ... Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property- type income Durable goods Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Nondurable goods Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Transportation and public utilities Compensation of employees ... Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Wholesale trade . . .. Compensation of employees ... Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Retail trade Compensation of employees Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Finance, insurance, and real estate Compensation of employees ... Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income Services Compensation of employees ... Indirect business tax and nontax liability Property-type income 885 430 287 246 .982 .952 751 545 767 543 786 797 .535 .538 014 193 017 207 015 014 245 015 .235 .283 351 1.061 581 618 661 759 802 806 .407 .437 .473 .530 .555 .590 .578 024 023 023 025 027 028 031 149 158 .165 155 .177 .184 .196 638 730 773 886 .565 .624 .828 .656 882 .475 686 510 015 014 .163 .015 .150 016 .148 710 .134 124 109 .292 090 107 112 .570 .574 .607 867 906 .569 .604 938 631 .652 016 285 017 018 019 .289 .291 .285 .916 .609 .946 .633 .031 .277 .538 .861 .607 854 874 .586 .585 .585 822 .823 .576 .030 .217 030 033 030 029 .206 .221 .239 .260 .892 .685 .923 .708 .909 .678 904 .220 .485 .705 .692 .900 .667 .017 .155 .019 .158 .018 .177 .017 .216 .018 .190 .019 .196 .019 .211 .705 .456 708 .448 .730 .466 .737 .466 .785 .486 .786 .473 .666 018 .715 114 .584 110 1 000 1 035 1 076 1 127 1 158 .691 .705 729 762 792 020 022 .281 .287 023 307 023 324 023 341 024 343 .979 .663 1.000 1 014 1 019 1 010 1 006 .680 .684 .664 .641 .634 .034 .280 .040 .276 .042 .278 042 040 039 038 .288 316 330 334 .938 .690 .954 .712 .983 .749 1.000 1.012 1 012 .766 .755 .725 980 691 954 664 .020 .227 .022 .220 .025 .209 .026 .208 .231 .262 024 265 023 267 .890 .508 .937 .535 .974 .561 1 000 1 017 1 029 1 048 1 078 .580 .597 .585 .574 .588 049 qor 991 999 .687 .698 535 576 634 676 .347 .361 .416 .433 035 035 033 037 038 039 045 045 045 042 153 .182 .181 .204 .210 .214 .219 .226 .049 .250 043 .151 .271 .311 .045 .338 .353 .058 .355 026 024 060 062 059 058 060 .360 .359 384 416 430 1.048 466 1.060 471 104 478 098 490 .516 .264 .557 .578 .309 .629 .334 .706 .362 .772 .396 .810 .385 .848 .395 .888 .413 .934 .431 .926 .423 .947 .427 .971 .439 .981 .451 .998 .448 1.000 1.018 1.025 286 .454 .455 .455 054 054 218 .053 .216 .056 .239 .060 .284 .067 .308 .074 .351 .077 .376 .082 .393 .086 .417 .084 .420 .087 .433 .091 .441 .095 .435 .099 .451 .101 .445 .101 .462 .467 .199 330 .536 511 838 116 1 162 .531 .325 104 708 747 .864 .493 .897 .514 .891 .527 .911 .535 .922 .523 .942 .538 .881 .507 .932 .561 .978 .579 .973 .582 1.018 1.000 1.016 1 043 1 059 1 047 .407 .799 .440 1.019 .378 .618 .597 .588 .588 .579 .604 .587 .160 .160 .156 .158 .159 .159 .185 .216 .184 .210 .180 .232 .189 .227 .185 242 235 204 .203 .167 .248 224 .182 .193 .238 213 .192 .212 .224 203 .189 .209 216 214 226 .602 .372 .657 .417 .700 .743 .457 .762 .454 .779 .457 .795 .462 .788 .466 .856 .515 .854 .523 .886 .534 .922 .564 .969 .590 1.000 1.012 438 .096 .133 .106 .134 .111 .151 .119 .166 .123 .185 .129 .192 .134 .200 .135 .187 .150 .190 .147 .184 .155 .197 .166 .192 .175 .204 .185 .206 .188 .215 .226 .575 .134 628 .662 .154 .713 .168 .785 .191 .817 .203 834 .923 .221 .978 .231 1 037 .209 .871 .210 1.000 .146 .242 .256 .089 .352 .093 .388 .098 .410 .104 .112 .482 .114 .500 .112 .119 .541 .127 .575 .140 .607 .142 .146 148 147 151 616 636 651 695 722 170 180 .522 .553 316 336 .080 .127 .087 .130 382 417 446 485 536 .086 .093 .100 .110 .121 .068 067 .067 .072 .080 228 257 279 302 334 359 388 .236 .258 009 010 114 120 514 191 441 513 177 .610 191 609 1 024 1 030 608 615 617 189 193 216 194 219 1 059 1 106 1 151 .259 .264 .278 1.024 .423 .286 .465 .319 .563 .393 .604 .422 .641 .444 .675 .465 .714 .492 .753 .529 .799 .558 .840 .589 .896 .636 .943 .673 1.000 1 036 1 075 1 109 1 146 .357 .716 .749 .773 .810 .838 .010 .127 .011 .135 .012 .144 .013 .157 .015 .168 .016 .181 .017 .193 .019 .204 .019 .205 .020 .221 .021 .231 .022 .239 .023 .247 .025 .259 027 028 029 029 260 274 271 279 NOTES.—Current-dollar cost per unit of real gross product originating (GPO) equals the GPO price index divided by 100. 193 .925 957 997 Estimates for 1977-86 are shown on the basis of the 1972 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC). Estimates for 1987-96 are shown on the basis of the 1987 SIC. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 26 March 1998 A Guide to the NIPA'S By Eugene P. Seskin and Robert P. Parker HIS GUIDE presents information on the structure, definitions, presentation, and methodologies that underlie the national income and product accounts (NIPA'S). This information is from the forthcoming publication National Income and Product Accounts of the United States, 1929-94 and includes the "Updated Summary NIPA Methodologies" that was published in the September 1997 issue of the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. The information reflects the changes that were introduced in the most recent comprehensive and annual revisions of the NIPA'S. The NIPA'S show the composition of production and the distribution of incomes earned in production. Thus, they represent a critical element of the U.S. economic accounts, which are designed to provide a consistent and comprehensive picture of the Nation's economy. The first section of this article describes the definitions and classifications underlying the NIPA'S. The second section discusses the presentation of the NIPA'S, and the third section discusses the statistical conventions used for the NIPA estimates. An appendix lists the principal source data and methods used to prepare the estimates of gross domestic product (GDP). T Definitions and Classifications Underlying the NIPA'S NIPA entries The major components of the NIPA'S are presented and defined below within the context of the Summary National Income and Product Accounts (see table A on page 28). The five summary accounts show the composition of production and the distribution of the incomes earned in production. In these accounts, production consists of the goods, services, and structures that are produced in the current period. Production, or "current production," and its related incomes do not include gains or losses from the sale of nonproduced assets, such as land, or of financial assets, such as stocks and bonds. In addition, production does not include gains or losses from holding goods in inventories. The first summary account is the National Income and Product Account: The right side shows GDP as measured by the sum of goods and services produced in the United States and sold to final users, and the left side shows GDP as measured by the incomes earned in production (gross domestic income) and the "statistical discrepancy" between the two measures. Each of the components in this summary account can be mapped to one of the other summary accounts and can, in turn, be mapped to one or more of the 142 tables that make up the full set of NIPA tables. This system of integrated, double-entry accounts provides a comprehensive and unduplicated measure of economic activity within a consistently defined framework.1 Thus, the NIPA'S—together with the industry, wealth, and regional accounts—can be used to trace the principal economic flows among the major sectors of the economy. Within the summary accounts, each entry has a counterentry, generally in another account. The parenthetical numbers that follow an entry in table A identify the counterentry by account and line number. Except for the major income and product aggregates, the entries are usually defined in the sequence in which they appear in the five-account summary. The definition of a component is not repeated for the counterentry, but a cross-reference is made to the first appearance of the definition. After the components in the five-accountsummary are defined, the following other definitions are presented: Final sales of domestic product, gross domestic purchases, final sales to domestic purchasers, population, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income, gross saving as a percentage of gross national i. For more information on the concepts underlying the accounts, see Allan H. Young and Helen Stone Tice, An Introduction to National Economic Accounting, NIPA Methodology Paper No. i (1985); and Carol S. Carson, GNP: An Overview of Source Data and Estimating Methods, NIPA Methodology Paper No. 4 (1987). For information on the availability of these papers, see the box "Information About NIPA Methodology." SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 product, U.S. residents, foreign residents, and the rest of the world. largely independent and less-than-perfect source data. This difference is termed the "statistical discrepancy" (see page 34). Major aggregates Gross national product (GNP) is the market value of the goods and services produced by labor and property supplied by U.S. residents. Because the labor and property are supplied by U.S. residents (see page 36), they may be located either in the United States or abroad. The difference between GDP and GNP is net receipts of factor income from the rest of the world. These net receipts represent income from the goods and services produced abroad using the labor and property supplied by U.S. residents less payments to the rest of the world for the goods and services Gross domestic product (GDP), the featured measure of U.S. output, is the market value of the goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States. Because the labor and property are located in the United States, the suppliers (that is, the workers and, for property, the owners) may be either U.S. residents or residents of the rest of the world. Gross domestic income (GDI) (1-34) measures output as the costs incurred and the incomes earned in the production of GDP. In theory, GDP should equal GDI, but in practice, they differ because their components are estimated using Text continues on page 30. Information About NIPA Methodology As part of each comprehensive and annual revision of the NIPA'S, BEA publishes a summary description of the principal source data and methods used to prepare the current-dollar and real estimates of gross domestic product. The most recent "Updated Summary NIPA Methodologies" was published in the September 1997 issue of the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS and is reprinted as an appendix in this article. BEA has also prepared a series of papers that discuss the concepts that underlie the NIPA'S and that present detailed descriptions of the methodologies used to prepare the NIPA estimates. Note, however, that the methodologies described in these papers are subject to periodic improvements, usually as part of the annual and comprehensive revisions of the NIPA estimates. These improvements—which consist of changes in definitions and in source data, the incorporation of new source data, and the use of new estimating methods— are described in the SURVEY. For example, two major improvements were the shift to gross domestic product as the featured measure of U.S. production and the introduction of a new treatment of government investment. Copies of the following methodology papers are available from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS). • An Introduction to National Economic Accounting, Methodology Paper No. i (1985)—NTIS accession no. PB85-24756/, $12.50 1. For information on the methodology used to prepare the national estimates of personal income, which provide the basis for the State estimates of personal income, see State Personal Income, 1959-93 (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1995). 2. See "Gross Domestic Product as a Measure of U.S. Production," SURVEY 71 (August 1991): 8; and "Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: Recognition of Government Investment and Incorporation of a New Methodology for Calculating Depreciation," SURVEY 75 (September 1995): 33-41. • Corporate Profits: Profits Before Tax, Profits Tax Liability, and Dividends, Methodology Paper No. 2 (1985)—NTIS accession no. PB85-24539/, $27.00 • Foreign Transactions, Methodology Paper No. 3 (1987)—NTIS accession no. PB88-ioo649, $27.00 • GNP: An Overview of Source Data and Estimating Methods, Methodology Paper No. 4 (1987)—NTIS accession no. PB88-134838, $24.50 • Government Transactions, Methodology Paper No. 5 (1988)—NTIS accession no. PB9o-n848o, $31.50 • Personal Consumption Expenditures, Methodology Paper No. 6 (1990)—NTIS accession no. PB90-254244, $27.00 The results of the most recent comprehensive and annual revisions are published in the following SURVEY articles. • "Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: Annual Estimates, 1993-96, and Quarterly Estimates 1993:1-1997:1" (August 1997) • "Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: BEA'S New Featured Measures of Output and Prices" (July 1995) • "Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: Recognition of Government Investment and Incorporation of a New Methodology for Calculating Depreciation" (September 1995) • "Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: New and Redesigned Tables" (October 1995) • "Improved Estimates of the National Income and Product Accounts: Results of the Comprehensive Revision" (January/February 1996) • "Completion of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts, 1929-96" (May 1997) The methodological information on the NIPA'S is also available on BEA'S Web site at <http://www.bea.doc.gov>. • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 28 • March '1998 Table A.—Summary National Income and Product Accounts, 1996 [Billions of dollars] Line Line Account 1.—National Income and Product Account 4,426.9 3,633.6 3,632.5 1.1 793.3 385.7 407.6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Compensation of employees Wage and salary accruals Disbursements (2—7) Wage accruals less disbursements (3-8 and 5-5) Supplements to wages and salaries Employer contributions for social insurance (3-16) Other labor income (2-8) 8 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (2-9). 520.3 9 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment (2-10). 146.3 735.9 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment Profits before tax Profits tax liability (3-13) Profits after tax Dividends (2-12) Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment 10 674.1 676.6 229.0 447.6 304.8 142.8 -2.5 61.8 19 Net interest (2-15) 425.1 20 National income 6,254.5 21 22 23 24 25 Business transfer payments To persons (2-19) To the rest of the world (4—9) Indirect business tax and nontax liability (3—14) Less: Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises (3-7) 33.6 26.0 7.6 604.8 25.4 26 27 28 29 30 Consumption of fixed capital (5-7) Private (5-8) Government (5-9) . . General government (5—10) Government enterprises (5-1 1 ) 830.1 682.7 147.4 125.1 22.3 Personal consumption expenditures (2-3) Durable goods Nondurable goods Services 5,207.6 634.5 1,534.7 3,038.4 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 Gross private domestic investment (5—1) Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential Change in business inventories 1,116.5 1,090.7 781.4 215.2 566.2 309.2 25.9 47 48 49 Net exports of goods and services Exports (4-1) Imports (4—4) 50 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment (3-1 and 5-2). Federal National defense Nondefense State and local 1,406.7 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 7,636.0 51 52 53 54 -94.8 870.9 965.7 520.0 352.8 167.3 886.7 7,697.6 31 Gross national income 32 Less: Receipts of factor income from the rest of the world (4-2) 33 Plus' Payments of factor income to the rest of the world (4—5) 34 Gross domestic income 35 36 37 38 39 . 234.3 232.6 7,695.9 -59.9 Statistical discrepancy (5—14) 7,636.0 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT Account 2.—Personal Income and Outlay Account 1 Personal tax and nontax payments (3-12) 2 3 4 5 Personal outlays Personal consumption expenditures (1—36) Interest paid by persons (2—17) Personal transfer payments to the rest of the world (net) (4-7) 6 Personal saving (5-4) 886.9 7 Wage and salary disbursements (1—3) 5,368.8 5,207.6 145.2 15.9 8 Other labor income (1-7) 407.6 9 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (HB). 520.3 10 11 12 13 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment (1-9) Personal dividend income Dividends (1-15) Less: Dividends received by government (3-6) 146.3 291.2 304.8 13.6 14 15 16 17 Personal interest income Net interest (1-19) Net interest paid by government (3-5) Interest paid by persons (2-4) 735.7 425.1 165.4 145.2 18 19 20 Transfer payments to persons From business (1-22) From government (3-3) . 239.6 21 PERSONAL TAXES. OUTLAYS. AND SAVING See note at end of table. 6.495.2 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance (3-17) PERSONAL INCOME 3,632.5 1,068.0 26.0 1,042.0 306.3 6.495.2 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 • 29 Table A.—Summary National Income and Product Accounts, 199&-Continued [Billions of dollars] Line Line Account 3.—Government Receipts and Expenditures Account 1 Consumption expenditures (1—50) 1,182.4 12 Personal tax and nontax payments (2—1) 886.9 2 Transfer payments 3 To persons (2-20) 4 To the rest of the world (net) (4-8) 1 0583 1 042 0 163 13 Corporate profits tax liability (1—13) 229.0 14 Indirect business tax and nontax liability (1—24) 604.8 165.4 15 16 17 Contributions for social insurance Employer (1-6) .. Personal (2-21) 692.0 385.7 306.3 5 Net interest paid (2-16) . 6 Less' Dividends received by government (2—13) 13fi 7 Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises (1-25) 25.4 8 Less' Waae accruals less disbursements (1—4) 9 Current surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts (5-12). Federal State and local -1105 1053 GOVERNMENT CURRENT EXPENDITURES ANC) SURPLUS 2,412.7 10 11 0 -5.1 GOVERNMENT RECEIPTS 2,412.7 Account 4.-—Foreign Transactions Account 1 Exports of goods and services (1-48) 8709 4 2 Receipts of factor income (1—32) 2343 0 3 Capital grants received by the United States (net) (5-13) Imports of goods and services (1^49) 965.7 5 Payments of factor income (1—33) 232.6 6 7 8 9 Transfer payments to the rest of the world (net) From persons (net) (2-5) From government (net) (3-4) From business (1-23) 10 RECEIPTS FROM THE REST OF THE WORLD 1,105.1 39.8 15.9 16.3 7.6 Net foreign investment (5-3) -132.9 PAYMENTS TO THE REST OF THE WORLD 1,105.1 Account 5.—Gross Saving and Investment Account 1 Gross private domestic investment (1-40) 2 Gross government investment (1—50) 3 Net foreign investment (4—10) 1,116.5 4 Personal saving (2—6) 2243 5 Wage accruals less disbursements (private) (1-4) -132.9 6 Undistributed corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 202.1 7 8 9 10 11 Consumption of fixed capital (1-26) Private (1-27) Government (1-28) General government (1—29) Government enterprises (1-30) 830.1 682.7 147.4 125.1 22.3 12 Government current surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts (3-9). 13 Capital grants received by the United States (net) (4—3) 14 GROSS INVESTMENT 1,207.9 NOTE.—Numbers in parentheses indicate accounts and items of counterentry in the accounts. For example, line 3 of account 1 is shown as "Disbursements (2-7)"; the counterentry is shown in account 2, line 7. Statistical discrepancy (1—35) GROSS SAVING AND STATISTICAL DISCREPANCY 239.6 1.1 -5.1 0 -59.9 1.207.9 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 3O • March 1998 Text continues from page 27. produced in the United States using the labor and property supplied by foreign residents. Factor incomes are measured as compensation of employees, corporate profits (dividends, earnings of unincorporated affiliates, and reinvested earnings of incorporated affiliates), and interest. Gross national income (GNI) (1-31) is the costs incurred and the incomes earned in the production of GNP. GNI is the sum of (i) factor incomes—compensation of employees, proprietors' income, rental income of persons, corporate profits, and net interest; (2) three nonfactor charges—business transfer payments, indirect business taxes, and the current surplus of government enterprises less government subsidy payments; and (3) consumption of fixed capital (CFG), which is the fixed capital "used up" in the production process during the accounting period. GNI and GNP also differ by the statistical discrepancy. Net domestic product (NDP) is the net market value of the goods and services attributable to labor and property located in the United States and is equal to GDP less CFG. Net national product (NNP) is the net market value of goods and services attributable to the labor and property supplied by U.S. residents and is equal to GNP less CFC. The measure of CFC used for both NDP and NNP relates only to fixed capital located in the United States. Investment in the capital is measured by private fixed investment and government gross investment. National income (1-20) is the sum of the factor incomes. It is a net factor-cost measure (net of CFC) equal to the income that originates in the production of goods and services from labor and property supplied by U.S. residents. Domestic income, also a net factor-cost measure, is the income that originates in the production of goods and services attributable to labor and property located in the United States. Personal income is the income received by persons from all sources—that is, from participation in production, from both government and business transfer payments, and from government interest (which is treated like a transfer payment). "Persons" consists of individuals, nonprofit institutions that primarily serve individuals, private noninsured welfare funds, and private trust funds. Personal income is calculated as the sum of wage and salary disbursements, other labor income, proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, personal dividend income, personal interest income, and transfer payments to persons, less personal contributions for social insurance. Disposable personal income is personal income less personal tax and nontax payments. It is the income available to persons for spending or saving. National income and product account GDP is measured as the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private domestic investment (including change in business inventories and before deduction of charges for CFC), net exports of goods and services (exports less imports), and government consumption expenditures and gross investment. GDP excludes intermediate purchases of goods and services by business. Personal consumption expenditures (1-36) is goods and services purchased by persons resident in the United States. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) consists mainly of purchases of new goods and of services by individuals from business. In addition, PCE includes purchases of new goods and of services by nonprofit institutions (including compensation of employees), net purchases of used goods by individuals and nonprofit institutions, and purchases abroad of goods and services by U.S. residents.2 PCE also includes purchases for certain goods and services provided by government agencies—primarily tuition payments for higher education, charges for medical care, and charges for water and sanitary services. Finally, PCE includes imputed purchases that keep PCE invariant to changes in the way that certain activities are carried out—for example, whether housing is rented or owned, whether financial services are explicitly charged, or whether employees are paid in cash or in kind. The following conventions are used to classify each PCE commodity: Durable goods (1-37) are commodities that can be stored or inventoried and that have an average life of at least 3 years; nondurable goods (1-38) are all other commodities that can be stored or inventoried; and services (1-39) are commodities that cannot be stored and that are consumed at the place and time of purchase. 2. Purchases of fixed assets, including residential structures by individuals and by nonprofit institutions that primarily serve individuals, are classified as gross private domestic investment. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Gross private domestic investment (1-40) consists of fixed investment (1-41) and change in business inventories (1-46). Fixed investment consists of both nonresidential (1-42) fixed investment and residential (1-45) fixed investment. It consists of purchases of fixed assets, which are commodities that will be used in a production process for more than i year, including replacements and additions to the capital stock, and it is measured before a deduction for consumption of fixed capital. It covers all investment by private businesses and by nonprofit institutions in the United States, regardless of whether the investment is owned by U.S. residents. (Purchases of the same types of equipment and structures by government agencies are included in government gross investment.) It excludes investment by U.S. residents in other countries. Nonresidential fixed investment consists of both structures (1-43) and producers' durable equipment (PDE) (1-44). Nonresidential structures consists of new construction, brokers' commissions on sales of structures, and net purchases of used structures by private business and by nonprofit institutions from government agencies. New construction also includes hotels and motels and mining exploration, shafts, and wells. Nonresidential PDE consists of private business purchases on capital account of new machinery, equipment such as furniture, and vehicles (except for personal-use portions of equipment purchased for both business and personal use, which are included in PCE), dealers' margins on sales of used equipment, and net purchases of used equipment from government agencies, from persons, and from the rest of the world. Residential fixed investment consists of private structures and of residential PDE—equipment owned by landlords and rented to tenants. Investment in structures consists of new units, improvements to existing units, mobile homes, brokers' commissions on the sale of residential property, and net purchases of used structures from government agencies. Change in business inventories (1-46) is the change in the physical volume of goods purchased by private business for use in the production of other commodities or for resale, valued in average prices of the period. It differs from the change in the book value of inventories reported by most business; the difference is the inventory valuation adjustment (described on the next page). Net exports of goods and services (1-47) is exports (1-48) less imports (1-49) of goods and services. Receipts and payments of factor income and transfer payments to the rest of the world (net) are excluded. Government consumption expenditures and gross investment (1-50) consists of net purchases of goods, services, and structures from business and from the rest of the world by general government; payments by general government to households in the form of compensation of employees; the consumption of general government fixed capital, which represents the value of the current services of fixed assets of general government; net purchases of fixed assets by government enterprises; inventory change of government enterprises; and a deduction for general government sales—primarily tuition payments for higher education and charges for medical care. Of this total, gross investment is net purchases of new and used structures and equipment by general government and government enterprises; all other transactions are consumption expenditures. Government consumption expenditures and gross investment excludes purchases by government enterprises (except for fixed assets), transfer payments, interest paid or received by government, subsidies, and transactions in financial assets and in nonproduced assets, such as land. Compensation of employees (1-1) is the income accruing to employees as remuneration for their work. It is the sum of wage and salary accruals and of supplements to wages and salaries. Wage and salary accruals (1-2) consists of the monetary remuneration of employees, including the compensation of corporate officers; commissions, tips, and bonuses; voluntary employee contributions to certain deferred compensation plans, such as 401 (k) plans; and receipts in kind that represent income. Wage and salary accruals consists of disbursements (1-3) and wage accruals less disbursements (1-4). Disbursements is wages and salaries as just defined except that retroactive wage payments are recorded when paid rather than when earned. Accruals less disbursements is the difference between wages earned, or accrued, and wages paid, or disbursed. In the NIPA'S, wages accrued is the appropriate measure for national income, and wages disbursed is the appropriate measure for personal income. Supplements to wages and salaries (1-5) consists of employer contributions for social insurance and other labor income. Employer contributions for social insurance (1-6) consists of employer payments under the following Federal and State and local government programs: Old-age, March 1998 32 • March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS survivors, and disability insurance (social security); hospital insurance; unemployment insurance; railroad retirement; government employee retirement; pension benefit guaranty; veterans life insurance; publicly administered workers' compensation; military medical insurance; and temporary disability insurance. Other labor income (1-7) consists of employer payments (including payments in kind) to private pension and profit-sharing plans, private group health and life insurance plans, privately administered workers' compensation plans, supplemental unemployment benefit plans, corporate directors' fees, and several minor categories of employee compensation, including judicial fees to jurors and witnesses, compensation of prison inmates, and marriage fees to justices of the peace. Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (1-8) is the current-production income (including income in kind) of sole proprietorships and partnerships and of tax-exempt cooperatives. The imputed net rental income of owner-occupants of farm dwellings is included; the imputed net rental income of owner-occupants of nonfarm dwellings is included in rental income of persons (described below). Proprietors' income excludes dividends and monetary interest received by nonfinancial business and rental incomes received by persons not primarily engaged in the real estate business; these incomes are included in dividends, net interest, and rental income of persons. (See "inventory valuation adjustment" and "capital consumption adjustment.") Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment (1-9) is the net currentproduction income of persons from the rental of real property except for the income of persons primarily engaged in the real estate business; the imputed net rental income of owner-occupants of nonfarm dwellings; and the royalties received by persons from patents, copyrights, and rights to natural resources. (See "capital consumption adjustment.") Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (1-10) is the net current-production income of organizations treated as corporations in the NIPA'S. These organizations consist of all entities required to file Federal corporate tax returns, including mutual financial institutions and cooperatives subject to Federal income tax; private noninsured pension funds; nonprofit institutions that primarily serve business; Federal Reserve banks; and federally sponsored credit agencies. With several differ- ences, this income is measured as receipts less expenses as defined in Federal tax law. Among these differences: Receipts exclude capital gains and dividends received, expenses exclude depletion and capital losses and losses resulting from bad debts, inventory withdrawals are valued at replacement cost, and depreciation is on a consistent accounting basis and is valued at replacement cost using depreciation profiles based on empirical evidence on used-asset prices that generally suggest a geometric pattern of price declines. Because national income is defined as the income of U.S. residents, its profits component includes income earned abroad by U.S. corporations and excludes income earned in the United States by the rest of the world. (See "inventory valuation adjustment" and "capital consumption adjustment") Profits before tax (1-12) is the income of organizations treated as corporations in the NIPA'S except that it reflects the inventory- and depreciation-accounting practices used for Federal income tax returns. It consists of profits tax liability, dividends, and undistributed corporate profits. Profits tax liability (1-13) is the sum of Federal, State, and local income taxes on all income subject to taxes; this income includes capital gains and other income excluded from profits before tax. The taxes are measured on an accrual basis, net of applicable tax credits. Profits after tax (1-14) is profits before tax less profits tax liability. It consists of dividends and undistributed corporate profits. Dividends (1-15) is payments in cash or other assets, excluding the corporations' own stock, that are made by corporations located in the United States and abroad to stockholders who are U.S. residents. The payments are measured net of dividends received by U.S. corporations. Dividends paid to State and local government social insurance funds and general government are included. Undistributed profits (1-16) is corporate profits after tax less dividends. Inventory valuation adjustment (IVA) (1-17) for corporations is the difference between the cost of inventory withdrawals as valued in the source data used to determine profits before tax and the cost of withdrawals valued at replacement cost. It is needed because inventories as reported in the source data are often charged to cost of sales (that is, withdrawn) at their acquisition (historical) cost rather than at their replacement cost (the concept underlying the NIPA'S). As prices change, companies that value inventory with- SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS drawals at acquisition cost may realize profits or losses. Inventory profits, a capital-gains-like element in profits, result from an increase in inventory prices, and inventory losses, a capitalloss-like element in profits, result from a decrease in inventory prices. In the NIPA'S, inventory profits or losses are shown as adjustments to business income (corporate profits and nonfarm proprietors' income); they are shown as the IVA with the sign reversed. No adjustment is needed to farm proprietors' income because farm inventories are measured on a current-market-cost basis. Net interest (1-19) is the interest paid by private business less the interest received by private business, plus the interest received from the rest of the world less the interest paid to the rest of the world. Interest payments on mortgage and home improvement loans and on home equity loans are counted as interest paid by business because home ownership is treated as a business in the NIPA'S. In addition to monetary interest, net interest includes imputed interest, which is paid by corporate financial business and is measured as the difference between the property income received on depositors' or policyholders' funds and the amount of property income paid out explicitly. The imputed interest paid by life insurance carriers and noninsured pension plans attributes their investment income to persons in the period it is earned. The imputed interest payments by financial intermediaries other than life insurance carriers and private noninsured pension plans to persons, governments, and to the rest of the world have imputed service charges as counterentries in GDP and in net receipts of factor income from the rest of the world; they are included in personal consumption expenditures, in government consumption expenditures and gross investment, and in exports of goods and services, respectively. Business transfer payments (1-21) consists of payments to persons (1-22) and to the rest of the world (1-23) by private business for which no current services are performed. Business transfer payments to persons consists primarily of liability payments for personal injury and of corporate gifts to nonprofit institutions. Business transfer payments to the rest of the world is nonresident taxes—taxes paid by domestic corporations to foreign governments. Indirect business tax and nontax liability (1-24) consists of (i) tax liabilities that are chargeable to business expense in the calculation of profit-type incomes and (2) certain other business liabilities to general government agencies that are treated like taxes. Indirect business taxes includes taxes on sales, property, and production. Employer contributions for social insurance are not included. Taxes on corporate incomes are not included; these taxes cannot be calculated until profits are known, and in that sense, they are not a business expense. Nontaxes includes regulatory and inspection fees, special assessments, fines and forfeitures, rents and royalties, and donations. Nontaxes generally excludes business purchases from general government agencies of goods and services that are similar to those provided by the private sector. Government receipts from the sales of such products are netted against government consumption expenditures. Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises (1-25). Subsidies is the monetary grants paid by government agencies to private business and to government enterprises at another level of government. The current surplus of government enterprises is their current operating revenue and subsidies received from other levels of government less their current expenses. In the calculation of their current surplus, no deduction is made for net interest paid. The current surplus of government enterprises is not counted as a profit-type income, and therefore, it is not counted as a factor charge. Subsidies and current surplus are shown as a combined entry because deficits incurred by some government enterprises may result from selling goods to business at below-market prices in lieu of giving them subsidies. Consumption of fixed capital (1-26) is a charge for the using up of private and government fixed capital located in the United States. It is based on studies of prices of used equipment and structures in resale markets. For general government and for nonprofit institutions that primarily serve individuals, it is recorded in government consumption expenditures and in personal consumption expenditures, respectively, as the value of the current services of the fixed capital assets owned and used by these entities. Private capital consumption allowances consists of tax-return-based depreciation charges for corporations and nonfarm proprietorships and of historical-cost depreciation (calculated by BEA using a geometric pattern of price declines) for farm proprietorships, rental income of persons, and nonprofit institutions. Private capital consumption adjustment is the difference between private capital consumption allowances and private consumption of fixed capital. March 1998 * 33 34 • March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Receipts of factor income from the rest of the world (1-32) consists of receipts by U.S. residents of interest and dividends, of reinvested earnings of foreign affiliates of U.S. corporations, and of compensation paid to U.S. residents by foreigners. Payments of factor income to the rest of the world (1-33) consists of payments to foreign residents of interest and dividends, of reinvested earnings of U.S. affiliates of foreign corporations, and of compensation paid to foreigners by U.S. residents. Statistical discrepancy (1-35) is GDP less GDI or GNP less GNI. It is recorded in the NIPA'S as an "income" component that reconciles the income and product sides of the accounts. As noted above, it arises because the two sides are estimated using independent and imperfect data.3 Personal income and outlay account Personal income is the sum of wage and salary disbursements, other labor income, proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, personal dividend income, personal interest income, and transfer payments to persons, less personal contributions for social insurance. Wage and salary disbursements (see 1-3). Other labor income (see 1-7). Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (see 1-8). Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment (see 1-9). Personal dividend income (2-11) is the dividend income of persons from all sources. It equals net dividends paid by corporations (see 1-15) less dividends received by government (2-13). Dividends received by government consists of dividends received by State and local governments, primarily by their retirement systems. Personal interest income (2-14) is the interest income (monetary and imputed) of persons from all sources. It equals net interest (see 1-19) plus net interest paid by government (2-16) plus interest paid by persons (2-17). The last item consists of all interest paid by individuals except mortgage interest, which is reflected in net rental income of persons. Transfer payments to persons is income payments to persons for which no current services 3. For additional details, see the box "The Statistical Discrepancy," in Robert P. Parker and Eugene P. Seskin, "Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts," SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 77 (August 1997): 19. are performed. It consists of business transfer payments to persons (see 1-22) and government transfer payments (2-20). Government transfer payments includes benefits from the following social insurance funds: Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance (social security); hospital insurance; supplementary medical insurance; unemployment insurance; government employee retirement; railroad retirement; pension benefit guaranty; veterans life insurance; workers' compensation; military medical insurance; and temporary disability insurance. Government transfer payments also includes benefits from certain other programs: Veterans benefits other than life insurance, food stamps, black lung, supplemental security income, public assistance (including medical care and family assistance), and educational assistance. Government payments to nonprofit institutions excluding payments for work under research and development contracts are also included. Personal contributions for social insurance (2-21) includes payments by employees, self-employed, and other individuals who participate in the following government programs: Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance (social security); hospital insurance; supplementary medical insurance; unemployment insurance; government employee retirement; railroad retirement; veterans life insurance; and temporary disability insurance. Personal tax and nontax payments (2-1) is tax payments (net of refunds) by U.S. residents that are not chargeable to business expense and certain other personal payments to government agencies (except government enterprises) that are treated like taxes. Personal taxes includes taxes on income, including realized net capital gains; on transfers of estates and gifts; and on personal property. Nontaxes includes donations and fees, fines, and forfeitures. Personal contributions for social insurance is not included. Taxes paid by U.S. residents to foreign governments and taxes paid by foreigners to the U.S. Government are both included in transfer payments. Personal outlays (2-2) is the sum of personal consumption expenditures (see 1-36), interest paid by persons (see 2-17), and personal transfer payments to the rest of the world (net) (2-5). The last item is personal remittances in cash and in kind to the rest of the world less such remittances from the rest of the world. Personal saving (2-6) is personal income less the sum of personal outlays and personal tax and nontax payments. It is the current saving of SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS individuals (including proprietors and partnerships), nonprofit institutions that primarily serve individuals, life insurance carriers, private noninsured welfare funds, and private trust funds. Personal saving may also be viewed as the sum of the net acquisition of financial assets (such as cash and deposits, securities, and the change in the net equity of individuals in life insurance and in private noninsured pension plans) and the change in physical assets less the sum of net borrowing and of consumption of fixed capital. Government receipts and expenditures account Personal tax and nontax payments (see 2-1). Corporate profits tax liability (see 1-13). Indirect business tax and nontax liability (see 1-24). Contributions for social insurance (see 1-6 and 2-21). Consumption expenditures (see 1-50). Transfer payments (3-2) is transfer payments to persons (see 2-20) and transfer payments to the rest of the world (net) (3-4). The latter consists of U.S. Government military and nonmilitary grants in cash and nonmilitary grants in kind to foreign governments and of U.S. Government transfers, mainly retirement benefits, to former residents of the United States. Net interest paid (3-5). Net interest paid by government is interest paid by government to persons, to business, and to the rest of the world (that is, to foreign businesses, governments, and persons) less interest received by government from persons, from business, and from the rest of the world. Interest paid consists of monetary interest paid on public debt and other financial obligations. Interest received consists of monetary and imputed interest received on loans and investments, including on the balances of State and local government social insurance funds. Dividends received by government (see 2-13). Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises (see 1-25). Wage accruals less disbursements (see 1-4). Current surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts (3-9) is the sum of government receipts (lines 12, 13, 14, and 15 of account 3) less the sum of government expenditures (lines i, 2, 5, 6, 7, and 8 of account 3). It may also be viewed as the sum of net acquisition of financial assets by general government and government enterprises and net government purchases of land and of rights to government-owned land including oil resources, less net borrowing. Foreign transactions account Imports of goods and services (see 1-49). Payments of factor income (see 1-33). Transfer payments to the rest of the world (see 1-23, 2-5, and 3-4). Net foreign investment (4-10) is U.S. exports of goods and services, receipts of factor income, and capital grants received by the United States (net) (see below), less imports of goods and services by the United States, payments of factor income, and transfer payments to the rest of the world (net). It may also be viewed as the acquisition of foreign assets by U.S. residents less the acquisition of U.S. assets by foreign residents. It includes the statistical discrepancy in the balance of payments accounts. Exports of goods and services (see 1-48). Receipts of factor income (see 1-32). Capital grants received by the United States (net) (4-3) is mainly the allocation of Special Drawing Rights to the United States. Gross saving and investment account Personal saving (see 2-6). Wage accruals less disbursements (see 1-4). Undistributed corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (see 1-16,1-17, and 1-18). Consumption of fixed capital (see 1-26). Government current surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts (see 3-9). Capital grants received by the United States (net) (see 4-3). Statistical discrepancy (see 1-35). Gross private domestic investment (see 1—40). Gross government investment (see 1-50). Net foreign investment (see 4-10). Other definitions Final sales of domestic product is GDP minus change in business inventories; equivalently, it is the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private domestic fixed investment, government consumption expenditures and gross investment, and net exports of goods and services. Gross domestic purchases is the market value of goods and services purchased by U.S. residents, regardless of where those goods and services were produced. It is GDP minus net exports of goods and services; equivalently, it is the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private domestic investment, and government consumption expenditures and gross investment. March 1998 • 35 36 • March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Final sales to domestic purchasers is gross domestic purchases minus change in business inventories. Population is the total population of the United States, including the Armed Forces overseas and the institutionalized population. The monthly estimate is the average of Census Bureau survey estimates for the first of the month and the first of the following month; the quarterly and annual estimates are the averages of the relevant monthly estimates. Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income (DPI), frequently referred to as "the personal saving rate," is calculated on a monthly, quarterly, and annual basis as the ratio of personal saving to DPI. Gross saving as a percentage of gross national product (GNp)y sometimes referred to as "the national saving rate," is calculated on a quarterly and annual basis as the ratio of gross saving—the sum of gross private saving, gross government saving, and capital grants received by the United States (net)—to GNP. 17.S. residents are individuals, governments, business enterprises, trusts, associations, and similar institutions that have the center of their economic interest in the United States and that reside or expect to reside in the United States for i year or more. (For example, business enterprises resident in the United States include U.S. affiliates of foreign companies.) In addition, U.S. residents include all U.S. citizens who reside outside the United States for less than i year and U.S. citizens residing abroad for i year or more who meet one of the following criteria: Owners or employees of U.S. business enterprises who reside abroad to further the enterprises' business and who intend to return within a reasonable period; U.S. Government civilian and military employees and members of their immediate families; and students who attend foreign educational institutions. Foreign residents include international institutions located in the United States, foreign nationals employed by their home Governments in the United States, and foreign affiliates of U.S. companies. The rest of the world consists of foreign residents who are transactors with U.S. residents. Real output and related measures The chain-type quantity and price indexes, in combination with the cur rent-dollar estimates, provide users with the basic data series from which all other analytical tables and presentations of the NIPA'S are derived. The chained (1992) dollar estimates provide measures to calculate the percent changes for GDP and its components that are consistent with those calculated from the chain-type quantity indexes. These estimates also provide comparisons of levels over time and reasonable approximations of the relative importance, and the contributions to growth in GDP, of most components for the years close to 1992. The chained (1992) dollar estimates are also used to compute certain key aggregates, such as per capita GDP. Quantity and price indexes Changes in cur rent-dollar GDP measure changes in the market value of the goods and services produced in the economy in a particular period. For many purposes, it is necessary to decompose these changes into quantity changes and price changes. The changes in quantities and prices in the NIPA'S are calculated using a Fisher formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent periods. For example, the 1992-93 change in real GDP uses prices for 1992 and 1993 as weights, and the 1992-93 change in prices uses quantities for 1992 and 1993 as weights.4 These annual changes are "chained" (multiplied) together to form time series of quantity and price. (For more details, see the box "Basic Formulas for Calculating ChainType Quantity and Price Indexes") Because the Fisher formula allows for the effects of changes in relative prices and in the composition of output over time, the resulting quantity or price changes are not affected by the substitution bias associated with the fixed-weighted formula previously used to calculate changes in quantities and prices.5 The Fisher formula also produces results that are not affected by the choice of base periods. 4. Because the source data available for most components of GDP are measured in dollars rather than in units, the quantities of most of the detailed components used to calculate percent changes are obtained by deflation. For deflation, quantities are approximated by real values (expressed at present with 1992 as the base period) that are calculated by dividing the current-dollar value of the component by its price index, where the price index uses 1992 as the base period. Two other methods, quantity extrapolation and direct base-year valuation, are also used to calculate the real values for a small number of the most detailed GDP components. For quantity extrapolation, the real values are obtained by extrapolating the base-year current-dollar estimates in both directions from the base period (1992) by quantity indicators; for example, the real values for mining exploration, shafts, and wells structures are extrapolated using oilwell footage drilled. For direct-base-year valuation, the real values are obtained by multiplying base-year prices by quantity data for each period; for example, the real values of natural gas inventories are calculated using quantities and prices of natural gas stocks. 5. For a discussion of the advantages of the Fisher index, see Jack E. Triplett, "Economic Theory and BEA'S Alternative Quantity and Price Indexes," SURVEY 72 (April 1992): 49-52; and J. Steven Landefeld and Robert P. Parker, "BEA'S Chain Indexes, Time Series, and Measures of Long-Term Economic Growth," SURVEY 77 (May 1997): 58-68. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS In addition, because the changes in quantities and prices calculated in this way are symmetric, the product of a quantity index and the corresponding price index equals the cur rent-dollar index.6 Chain-type quantity and price indexes that correspond to most of the cur rent-dollar output, product, and expenditure measures are presented in tables 7.1-7.14 and 7.17-7.207 Percentage changes from the preceding period for GDP and its major components and for other aggregates are presented in table 8.1. Contributions by major components to changes in real GDP are presented in table 8.2, which is discussed in more detail below. Chained-dollar measures BEA also prepares measures of real GDP and its components in a dollar-denominated form, designated "chained (1992) dollar estimates!' For GDP and most other series, these estimates are computed by multiplying the 1992 cur rent-dollar value by a corresponding quantity index number and then dividing by ioo.8 For example, if a cur rent-dollar GDP component equaled $100 in 1992 and if real output for this component increased 10 percent in 1993, then the chained (1992) dollar value of this component would be $110 ($100 x 1.10) in 1993. For analyses of changes over time in an aggregate or in a component, the percentage changes calculated from the chained-dollar estimates and from the chain-type quantity indexes are the same; any differences will be small and due to rounding. However, because the relative prices 6. For the annual estimates of NIPA aggregates that include the components "change in business inventories" and "change in Commodity Credit Corporation inventories," this relationship does not hold exactly, because of the price-data conventions used to calculate those components. In addition, for the quarterly estimates, all quarterly chain-type quantities and prices are adjusted to average to the corresponding annual estimates. For details on quarterly calculations, see the box "Basic Formulas for Calculating Chain-Type Quantity and Price Indexes." 7. Indexes are not presented for change in inventories, for net exports, and for most of the "net" series in tables 7.5, 7.7, 7.11, 7.13, and 7.20. Indexes for these series are not meaningful. 8. For change in business inventories (in tables 1.2,1.4, 1.6, 5.3, 5.11, 8.5, 8.7, and 8.9), real values are calculated as the difference between end-of-period and beginning-of-period chain-weighted stocks of inventories. The following "real" series are calculated as the current-dollar value of the series divided by an appropriate implicit price deflator: The chained-dollar values of gross national income and gross domestic income (in table 1.10), of command-basis exports of goods and services and receipts of factor income (in table 1.11), of gross and net domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business (in table 1.16), and of disposable personal income (in tables 2.1 and 2.9). For the following series, real values are calculated as the sum of, or the difference between, chained-dollar series: Net exports (in tables 1.2, 8.5, and 8.7); command-basis gross national product (in table 1.11), foreign travel and other, net (in table 2.5); net foreign travel (in table 2.7); Federal consumption expenditures for durable goods, for nondurable goods, and for Commodity Credit Corporation inventory change (in table 3.8); net investment by major type (in table 5.3); and Federal defense and nondefense net purchases of used structures (in table 5.15). used as weights for any period other than the base period differ from those used for the base period, the chained-dollar values for the detailed GDP components do not necessarily sum to the chained-dollar estimate of GDP or to any intermediate aggregate. A measure of the extent of such differences is provided in most chaineddollar tables by a "residual" line, which indicates the difference between GDP (or an other major aggregate) and the sum of the most detailed components in the table. For periods close to the base year, when there usually has not been much change in the relative prices that are used as the weights for the chaintype index, the residuals tend to be small, and the chained (1992) dollar estimates can be used to approximate the contributions to growth and to aggregate the detailed estimates. As one moves further from the base year, the residual tends to become larger, and the chaineddollar estimates become less useful for analyses of contributions to growth. In general, the use of chained-dollar estimates to calculate component shares or component contributions to real growth may be misleading for periods away from the base year. In particular, for components for which relative prices are changing rapidly, these calculations may be misleading even just a few years from the base year. To assist users in making valid comparisons across components for periods away from the base year, several changes have been made in the NIPA tables. Table 8.2 provides an accurate measure of the contributions of the major GDP components to the percentage change in real GDP for all periods. This table should be used for periods far from the base period, when the overall residual and the errors in contributions to growth become quite large. This table uses exact formulas for attributing growth to the components of GDP and of other aggregates, but the presentation is limited to the contributions to changes from the preceding year or quarter and to changes in the major components of GDP. (For details, see the box "Calculation of Component Contributions to the Change in GDP") For some analytical purposes, it may be desirable to calculate contributions to growth for more than a single quarter or year, to calculate contributions to growth for aggregates other than GDP, or to work with real estimates that are denominated in dollars. Two articles in the SURVEY provide information on how to prepare chaineddollar series with different base periods that permit the calculation of close approximations of March 1998 • 37 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 38 • March 1998 Basic Formulas for Calculating Chain-Type Quantity and Price Indexes Annual indexes This box shows the basic calculations used to prepare annual and quarterly chain-type quantity and price indexes. The formula used to calculate the annual change in real GDP and other components of output and expenditures is a Fisher index (Qf) that uses weights for 2 adjacent years (years t - 1 and t). The formula for real GDP in year t relative to its value in year t — I is where the p's and q's represent prices and quantities of detailed components in the 2 years. Because the first term in the Fisher formula is a Laspeyres quantity index (Qf), or Ofand the second term is a Paasche quantity index (Qf ), or the Fisher formula can also be expressed for year t as the geometric mean of these indexes as follows: The percent change in real GDP (or in a GDP component) from year t - I to year t is calculated as 100(Qf - 1.0). Similarly, price indexes are calculated using the Fisher formula which is the geometric mean of a Laspeyres price index (PtL) and a Paasche price index (Pf ), or The chain-type quantity index value for period t is The current-dollar change from year t - 1 to year t expressed as a ratio is equal to the product of the Fisher price and quantity indexes:1 = /?xQf. Quarterly indexes The same formulas are used to calculate the quarterly indexes for the most recent quarters, called the "tail" period; quarterly data are substituted for annual data. The tail period begins in the third quarter of the most recent complete year that is included in an annual or comprehensive NIPA revision, so the specific quarters covered change annually. Modified formulas are used to calculate the indexes for the other quarters, called the "historical" period. Quarterly quantity data are used for the quantity indexes, and quarterly price data are used for the price indexes, but the weights—prices for a quantity index and quantities for a price index—are annual data. The weights that are used for the indexes in the historical period depend on the quarter being estimated. For each quarter, the weights for the closest ^ years are used: For the first and second quarters of a year, the weights are from that year and the preceding year; while for the third and fourth quarters, the weights are from that year and the next year. All quarterly chain-type indexes for completed years that have been included in an annual or comprehensive revision are adjusted so that the quarterly indexes average to the corresponding annual index. When an additional year is completed between annual revisions, the annual index is computed as the average of the quarterly indexes, so no adjustment is required to make the quarterly and annual indexes consistent. For example, until the 1998 annual revision is released, the chain-type indexes for the year 1997 are derived by averaging the four quarterly indexes for 1997. Chained-dollar estimates The chained- dollar value (CDf ) is calculated by multiplying the index value by the base-period cur rent- dollar value (^pbtf.b) and dividing by ioo.2 For period t, CDf = Implicit price deflators The implicit price deflator (IPDf) for period t is calculated as the ratio of the current-dollar value to the corresponding chained-dollar value, multiplied by ioo, as follows: /f=/f-iXQf, JPDf : and the chain-type price index is calculated analogously. Chain-type real output and price indexes are presented with the base year (b) equal to 100; that is, /& = 100. CDf xlOO. 1. See also footnote 6 in the text. 2. For exceptions to this procedure, see footnote 8 in the text. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS contributions to real growth or of relative changes for any period.9 These articles show how to calculate a chained-dollar series for any period by using the percent changes in the chain-type indexes to compute chained-dollar series indexed to the current dollars of whatever base period is appropriate for the analysis. In addition, these articles provide a number of chained-dollar series over frequently cited time periods, such as decades and business cycles. In computing these series, different base periods were used, depending upon the time period analyzed; for example, for decades and business cycles, the midpoints of the periods were used. The presentation of detailed quantity indexes, which are accurate for all periods, has been greatly expanded in tables 7.3-7.20. The annual growth rates for major NIPA aggregates for all yearly intervals for 1970 to the present are shown each month under "Historical Tables" un9. See Landefeld and Parker, "BEA'S Chain Indexes," 63-66; and J. Steven Landefeld and Robert P. Parker, "Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: BEA'S New Featured Measures of Output and Prices," SURVEY 75 (July 1995): 31-38. March 1998 • der "National Data" in the section "BEA Current and Historical Data" in the SURVEY. Price indexes BEA'S featured aggregate price measure is the price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures the prices paid for goods and services purchased by U.S. residents. This index is derived from the prices of personal consumption expenditures (PCE), gross private domestic investment, and government consumption expenditures and gross investment. In contrast, the GDP price index measures the prices paid for goods and services produced by the U.S. economy and is derived from the prices of PCE, gross private domestic investment, net exports, and government consumption expenditures and gross investment. Thus, the two indexes differ with respect to coverage of the prices of exported and imported goods and services. Price changes in goods and services produced abroad and sold in the United States are reflected in the gross domestic purchases measure but not in the GDP measure; price changes in goods and services produced by the U.S. economy and sold abroad Calculation of Component Contributions to the Change in GDP Changes from preceding period The contributions to the change in real GDP provide a measure of the composition of GDP growth that is not affected by the nonadditivity of the GDP components. Two formulas for the contributions of components to the percent change in real GDP are used— one for years following the base year, and the other for the base year and for years preceding the base year. For years following the base year, the contribution to the percent change in real GDP in year t attributable to the quantity change in component i (C%Ai>t) C%Aiit = 100 x Pi>t * * where CDf.j is the chained-dollar GDP in year t - 1; IPDf is the implicit price deflator for GDP in year pitt is the price of component i in year t; PI is the Paasche price index for GDP in year t; and ttt is the quantity of component i in year t. For the base year and years preceding the base year, U is t,t = 100 x 2x where PtL is the Laspeyres price index for GDP in year t. Because these contributions to the percent change are additive, they can be used to calculate the contributions to subaggregates as well as the contributions of the detailed components. The formula used for the contributions for years after the base period can also be used for the most recent quarters (the "tail" period), except the quarterly results are expressed at annual rates.1 Changes over other periods Users can also prepare close approximations of contributions to real GDP growth or to the growth of other aggregates using chain-type annual-weighted indexes. In effect, users compute a chained-dollar series for a particular period using the percent changes in the chain-type annual-weighted indexes to compute chained-dollar series indexed to the current dollars of the base period appropriate for the analysis. (For references to additional information on these calculations, see footnote 9 in the text.) i. The formulas must be modified for other quarters and for the most recent year because for these periods, chained output is calculated in a slightly different manner. 39 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 40 • March 1998 are reflected in the GDP price measure but not in the gross domestic purchases price measure. For example, a change in the price of imported petroleum that is fully passed on to U.S. consumers would be fully reflected in the price index for gross domestic purchases but not in the GDP price index, because imports are subtracted in deriving GDP. Implicit price deflators BEA also prepares another price index, the implicit price deflator (IPD), which is calculated as the ratio of the cur rent-dollar value to the corresponding chained-dollar value, multiplied by 100 (see the box "Basic Formulas for Calculating Chain-Type Quantity and Price Indexes"). The values of the IPD are very close to the values of the corresponding chain-type price index for all periods.10 Implicit price deflators for GDP and its major components are presented as index numbers in table 7.1, and percentage changes from the preceding period for these measures are presented in table 8.1. Command-basis GNP and terms of trade BEA also prepares a measure of "real" output— command-basis GNP (see table 1.11). Commandbasis GNP is a measure of the goods and services produced by the U.S. economy in terms of their purchasing power. GNP and command-basis GNP differ in how their real values are prepared: In estimating real GNP, the cur rent-dollar values of the detailed components of exports of goods and services are deflated by export prices, the cur rent-dollar values of the detailed components of imports of goods and services are deflated by import prices, and the cur rent-dollar value of most factor income is deflated by the implicit price deflator for final sales to domestic purchasers. In estimating command-basis GNP, the cur rent-dollar value of the sum of exports of goods and services and of receipts of factor income is deflated by the implicit price deflator for the sum of imports of goods and services and of payments of factor income. The terms of trade is a measure of the relationship between the prices that are received by U.S. producers for exports of goods and services and the prices that are paid by U.S. purchasers for imports of goods and services. It is measured by the following ratio, with the decimal point shifted 10. The two measures of the price level differ only because of the factors cited in footnote 6. two places to the right: In the numerator, the IPD for the sum of exports of goods and services and of receipts of factor income; in the denominator, the IPD for the sum of imports of goods and services and of payments of factor income. Changes in the terms of trade reflect the interaction of several factors, including movements in exchange rates, changes in the composition of traded goods and services, and changes in producers' profit margins. For example, if the U.S. dollar depreciates against a foreign currency, a foreign manufacturer may choose to absorb this cost by reducing the profit margin on the product it sells to the United States, or it may choose to raise the price of the product and risk a loss in market share. Classifications of production In the NIPA'S, production is classified by the type of product, by the sector, by the legal form of organization, and by industry. Type of product Type of product classifications—goods (durable and nondurable), services, and structures—are presented for GDP and the components of final sales of domestic product. Goods are products that can be stored or inventoried, services are products that cannot be stored and are consumed at the place and time of their purchase, and structures are products that are usually constructed at the location where they will be used and that typically have long economic lives. If a product has characteristics of more than one of these classifications, it is classified on the basis of the dominant characteristic. Accordingly, the following products are included in goods: Restaurant meals; expenditures abroad by U.S. residents except for travel; replacement parts whose installation cost is minimal; dealers' margins on used equipment; and movable household appliances, such as refrigerators, even when they are included in the purchase price of a new home. The following products are included in services: Food (that is included in airline transportation and hospital charges), natural gas and electricity (except in exports and imports of goods and services); office supplies (that are included in current operating expense of nonprofit institutions); foreign travel by U.S. residents; expenditures in the United States by foreigners; repair services, which include the cost of parts (except replacement parts whose installation cost SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS is minimal); defense research and development; and exports and imports of certain goods, primarily military equipment purchased and sold by the Federal Government.11 The following products are included in structures: Mobile homes; certain types of installed equipment, such as elevators, heating, and air conditioning systems; brokers' commissions on sale of structures; architectural and engineering fees included in the value of structures; land development costs; and mining exploration, shafts, and wells. In personal consumption expenditures, exports, imports, and government consumption expenditures and gross investment, durable goods have an average life of at least 3 years. In fixed investment, producers' durable equipment consists of goods that have an average life of at least i year. In change in business inventories, goods held by manufacturing and trade establishments are classified as durable goods or nondurable goods in accordance with the classification of the industry of the establishment holding the inventories. Inventories held by construction establishments are classified as durable goods; inventories held by all other establishments are classified as nondurable goods. Sector In the NIPA'S, a breakdown of GDP is also shown in terms of the three sectors of the economy—business, households and institutions, and general government. Business: Production by all entities that produce goods and services for sale at a price intended at least to approximate the costs of production, corporate and noncorporate private entities organized for profit, and certain other entities that are treated as business in the NIPA'S. These entities include mutual financial institutions, private noninsured pension funds, cooperatives, nonprofit organizations (that is, entities classified as nonprofit by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) in determining income tax liability) that primarily serve business, Federal Reserve banks, federally sponsored credit agencies, and government enterprises.12 Business production also includes the services of owner-occupied housing and of buildings and equipment owned and used by nonprofit institutions that primarily serve individuals. Gross 11. These certain goods are classified as services only for exports and imports. 12. For more detail on government enterprises, see the section "Legal form of organization." product of the business sector is measured as GDP less the gross product of households and institutions and of general government.13 Households and institutions: Production by households, consisting of families and unrelated individuals, and by nonprofit institutions that primarily serve individuals. Gross product of households and institutions is measured by the compensation paid to domestic workers and to the employees of these nonprofit institutions. General government Production of all Federal Government and State and local government agencies except government enterprises. Gross product of general government is measured as the sum of the compensation of the employees of these agencies and of the consumption of fixed capital. Legal form of organization For the domestic business sector, income and its components are shown for four legal forms of organizations—corporate business, sole proprietorships and partnerships, other private business, and government enterprises (employee compensation only). Corporate business: All entities required to file Federal corporate tax returns (IRS Form 1120 series). These entities include mutual financial institutions and cooperatives subject to Federal income tax, private noninsured pension funds, nonprofit institutions that primarily serve business, Federal Reserve banks, and Federally sponsored credit agencies. Sole proprietorships: All entities that would be required to file IRS Schedule C (Profits or Loss from Business) or Schedule F (Farm Income and Expenses) if the proprietor met the filing requirements, together with owner-occupied farm housing. Partnerships: All entities required to file Federal partnership income tax returns, IRS Form 1065 (U.S. Partnership Return of Income). Other private business: All entities that would be required to report rental and royalty income on the individual income tax return in IRS Schedule E (Supplemental Income and Loss) if the individual met the filing requirements, taxexempt cooperatives, owner-occupied nonfarm housing, and buildings and equipment owned and used by nonprofit institutions that primarily serve individuals. 13. Gross product of financial and of nonfinancial corporations are also shown in the NIPA tables. They are calculated as the costs incurred and the incomes earned from production. March 1998 • 41 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 42 • March 1998 Government enterprises: Government agencies that cover a substantial proportion of their operating costs by selling goods and services to the public and that maintain their own separate accounts. A "mixed" treatment of government enterprises is used in the NIPA'S: Some types of transactions are recorded as if they were part of the business sector, and others are recorded as if they were part of the general government sector. Government enterprises are treated like other businesses and included in the NIPA business sector: (i) Their sales to final users are recorded as sales by private businesses, (2) their purchases of materials and business services are considered intermediate, and (3) their compensation payments and consumption of fixed capital are deducted in calculating their income. Within the business sector, government enterprises are classified as noncorporate businesses. Government enterprises are treated like other government agencies: (i) Their interest payments are combined with those of general government rather than those of business, (2) their investment in equipment and structures is combined with general government investment rather than with business investment in gross private domestic investment, and (3) their profit-like income, the current surplus of government enterprises (see the definition on page 33), accrues to general government. Industry Industrial distributions are presented for national income and its components, capital consumption allowances, employment and hours, and the change in business inventories and the stock of business inventories.14 The classification underlying the distributions of private activities is based on the Standard Industrial Classification (sic).15 Industrial distributions of government activities are not provided; instead, they are combined into a single category. For most series, separate estimates are shown for the activities of the Federal Government, of State and local governments, and of government enterprises. Expenditures by 14. An industrial distribution of fixed investment based on data collected from establishments is prepared as part of the procedure used to estimate capital stock. Industrial distributions of gross product are also prepared; for further information, see Sherlene K.S. Lum and Robert E. Yuskavage, "Gross Product by Industry, 1947-96," SURVEY 77 (November 1997): 20-34. 15. Office of Management and Budget, Statistical Policy Division, Standard Industrial Classification Manual, 1987 (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office (GPO), 1988); Office of Management and Budget, Statistical Policy Division, Standard Industrial Classification Manual 1972 (Washington, DC: GPO, 1972); and Bureau of the Budget, Standard Industrial Classification Manual 1942 (Washington, DC: GPO, 1942). the Federal Government and by State and local governments are also shown by type and by function. The industrial distributions for private activities are based on data collected from "establishments" or from "companies" (also called enterprises or firms). Establishments, as defined in the sic, are economic units, generally at a single physical location, where business is conducted or where services or industrial operations are performed. Companies consist of one or more establishments owned by the same legal entity or group of affiliated entities. Establishments are classified into an sic industry on the basis of their principal product or service, and companies are classified into an sic industry on the basis of the principal sic industry of all their establishments. Because large multiestablishment companies typically own establishments that are classified in different sic industries, the industrial distribution of the same economic activity on an establishment basis can differ significantly from that on a company basis. For example, employment of steel-manufacturing companies differs from employment of steel-manufacturing establishments because the employment of these companies includes the employment of establishments that are not classified in steel manufacturing and because it excludes the employment of establishments that manufacture steel but are not owned by steel-manufacturing companies. Industrial distributions on a consistent establishment or company basis are not available for all NIPA components. As a result, the industrial distribution of national income reflects a mix of establishment and company data. For the following series, the industrial distributions are based on establishment data: Compensation of employees, employment, hours, inventories, rental income of persons, farm proprietors5 income, farm net interest, and farm noncorporate capital consumption allowances. For nonfarm proprietors, industrial distributions of proprietors' income, net interest, and capital consumption allowances are based on company data; these data are regarded as being substantially the same as if they were based on establishment data because nearly all unincorporated companies own only one establishment (and the few multiestablishment companies usually own establishments in the same sic industry). For corporations, industrial distributions of profits, nonfarm net interest, and capital consumption allowances are based on company data. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS In addition, individual industry series are not fully comparable over time. Historical comparability is affected primarily by two factors. First, the composition of industries may change because of changes in the sic basis that is used for the estimates. This factor affects estimates based on establishment data and on company data. Second, historical comparability is affected because the industrial classification of the same establishment or company may change over time. This factor affects company-based estimates much more than establishment-based estimates. The classification of a company may change as a result of the following: Shifts in the level of consolidation of entities for which company reports are filed; mergers and acquisitions; and other shifts in principal activities, especially for large diversified firms. In addition to the sic industrial distributions of private activities, some NIPA tables show the following special sic groupings, the titles of which correspond to the 1987 sic: Financial industries consists of the following sic industries: Depository institutions, nondepository institutions, security and commodity brokers, insurance carriers, regulated investment companies, small business investment companies, and real estate investment trusts.16 Nonfinancial industries consists of all other private industries. Goods-producing industries consists of the following sic divisions: Agriculture, forestry, and fishing; mining; construction; and manufacturing. Distributive industries consists of the following sic divisions: Transportation (excluding the U.S. Postal Service); communications; electric, gas, and sanitary services; wholesale trade; and retail trade. Service industries consists of the rest-of-theworld sector and the following sic divisions: Finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. Presentation of the NIPA'S This section describes the release schedule for the NIPA estimates, the publication of the NIPA tables, and additional presentations of NIPA and NIPArelated estimates. 16. Regulated investment companies, small business investment companies, and real estate investment trusts are included in the sic classification "holding and other investment offices" and are not shown separately in the NIPA tables. Release schedule For gross domestic product (GDP) and most other NIPA series, quarterly estimates are released on the following schedule: "Advance" estimates are released near the end of the first month after the end of the quarter; as more detailed and more comprehensive data become available, "preliminary" and "final" estimates are released near the end of the second and third months, respectively. For gross national product, gross domestic income, national income, corporate profits, and net interest, advance estimates are not prepared, because of a lag in the availability of source data. Except for the fourth-quarter estimates, the initial estimates for these series are released with the preliminary GDP estimates, and the revised estimates are released with the final GDP estimates. For the fourth-quarter, these estimates are released only with the final GDP estimates. Monthly estimates of personal income and outlays are released near the end of the month following the reference month; estimates for the preceding 2 to 4 months are subject to revision at that time. Annual revisions of the NIPA'S are usually carried out each summer and cover the months and quarters of the most recent calendar year and of the 2 preceding years. These revisions are timed to incorporate newly available major annual source data. Comprehensive revisions are carried out at about 5-year intervals and incorporate three major types of improvements: (i) Definitional and classificational changes that update the accounts to portray more accurately the evolving U.S. economy, (2) statistical changes that update the accounts to reflect the introduction of new and improved methodologies and the incorporation of newly available and revised source data, and (3) presentational changes that update the NIPA tables to reflect the definitional, classificational, and statistical changes and to make the tables more informative. Publication of the NIPA tables Tables that present the NIPA estimates appear each month under "National Data" in the section "BEA Current and Historical Data" in the SURVEY OF CURRENT BusiNESs.17 The full set of NIPA tables consists of 142 tables that present annual, quarterly, and monthly estimates. These tables are grouped into nine categories: 17. The NIPA estimates appear first in news releases, which are available to the general public in a variety of forms (see the box "Data Availability"). March 1998 • 43 44 • March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1. National Product and Income 2. Personal Income and Outlays 3. Government Receipts, Current Expenditures, and Gross Investment 4. Foreign Transactions 5. Saving and Investment 6. Income and Employment by Industry 7. Quantity and Price Indexes 8. Supplemental Tables18 9. Seasonally Unadjusted Estimates The NIPA tables are numbered as follows: The number preceding the period is the category number, and the number following the period indicates the specific table in that category; for example, table 2.2 is the second table in the second category "Personal Income and Outlays." Most of the full set of NIPA tables are published in the issues of the SURVEY that describe the annual and comprehensive revisions (for example, see the August 1997 SURVEY); the remaining tables are published in subsequent months. In addition, a set of "Selected NIPA Tables" is published monthly in the SURVEY; this set presents the es18. In this category, the first table shows year-to-year and quarter-toquarter percent changes in the major NIPA aggregates, and the second table shows contributions of the major expenditure components to the percent change in real GDP. The other tables show the following: Selected per capita series; auto and truck output, farm and housing sector accounts; detail on several components of gross national income (consumption of fixed capital, capital consumption adjustment, business transfer payments, supplements to wages and salaries, rental income of persons, dividends, and interest); NIPA imputations and the components affected; and reconciliations of several NIPA measures with the source data (for example, tax return tabulations) from which they are derived or to which they are closely related. The last table shows fixed (1992) weighted quantity indexes for selected series. timates for the most recent six quarters and the most recent 2 years. The selected set comprises 57 tables from the first eight NIPA categories (seasonally unadjusted estimates in the ninth category are compiled only once a year and thus are not included in the selected set of tables). Because the numbering system used for the full set of tables is retained in the selected set, gaps occur in the numbering of the selected tables. A note preceding the NIPA tables indicates information on the vintage of the estimates. In general, the NIPA tables in the SURVEY present estimates for the most recent 2-4 years. Historical annual and quarterly estimates for summary NIPA series are presented annually in the SURVEY and cover the following: Current- and chained-dollar GDP for most of the components in NIPA tables 1.1 and 1.2 and for final sales of domestic product and gross national product; NIPA price indexes and implicit price deflators; and most of the major components of national income and personal income in NIPA tables 1.14 and 2.1. For example, these estimates were published as "Summary National Income and Product Series, 1929-96" in the August 1997 SURVEY. In addition, historical annual and quarterly estimates for the major NIPA aggregates are published monthly in the SURVEY. Additional presentations of NIPA and NiPA-related estimates The SURVEY also presents the following NIPA and NiPA-related estimates that do not fit neatly Data Availability The estimates from the national income and product accounts (NIPA'S) that are prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are available on three World Wide Web sites and in a variety of other media. provides summary estimates of GDP and of a few other major NIPA aggregates. Web sites • The BEA Web site at <http://www.doc.bea.gov> presents summary NIPA estimates, selected articles from the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, and the monthly news releases for gross domestic product (GDP) and for personal income and outlays. • The Web site of the Department of Commerced STAT-USA provides the monthly news releases on GDP and on personal income at the time of release, the underlying-detail NIPA tables, and the complete issues of the SURVEY; to subscribe, go to the Web site at <http://www.stat-usa.gov>. This information is also available on STAT-USA'S Economic Bulletin Board; to subscribe, call 202-482-1986. • The Federal Statistical Briefing Room at the White House Web site at <http://www.whitehouse.gov/fsbr> The NIPA estimates are published monthly in the SURVEY; to subscribe, call the Superintendent of Documents of the U.S. Government Printing Office at 202-512-1800. Other media Summary information on the estimates of GDP and of personal income is available in a recorded telephone message at the time of release. For the GDP estimates, call 202-606-5306; for the estimates of personal income and outlays, call 202-606-5303. The NIPA estimates are also available on diskettes or printouts from BEA. For a description of these products and for other information about BEA'S programs and products, see the "User's Guide to BEA Information" on the BEA Web site. To order products from BEA using Visa or MasterCard, call the Order Desk at 1-800-704-0415 (outside the United States, 202-606-9666). SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS into the system or publication schedule for the standard NIPA presentation. "Gross Domestic Product by Industry" presents current- and chained-dollar estimates of gross product, or gross product originating, by industry, which is the contribution of each industry— including government—to GDP. Estimates for GDP by industry for 1947-96 were published in the November 1997 SURVEY. "Reconciliation Tables" in appendix A of the "BEA Current and Historical Data" section presents tables that reconcile NIPA estimates with related series and that provide analytically useful extensions of the NIPA estimates. At present, tables in this section show the reconciliation of relevant NIPA series with related series in the balance of payments accounts and the reconciliation of BEA compensation with Bureau of Labor Statistics earnings. "Real Inventories, Sales, and Inventory-Sales Ratios for Manufacturing and Trade"—in the January, April, July, and October issues of the SURVEY—shows quarterly and monthly estimates for these series. Also shown are quarterly and monthly inventories for manufacturing by stage of fabrication. Historical estimates for these series, quarterly for 1977 forward, were published in the May 1996 SURVEY, and revised and new estimates for 1993-96 were published in the October 1997 SURVEY. Estimates for 1959 forward are available electronically to subscribers to STAT-USA'S Economic Bulletin Board or Internet services (see the box "Data Availability"). "Fixed Reproducible Tangible Wealth in the United States"—usually published in the September issue of the SURVEY—shows annual estimates of stocks for fixed private capital, governmentowned fixed capital, and durable goods owned by consumers. Revised estimates for 1929-95 were published in the May 1997 SURVEY and were updated to 1996 in the September 1997 SURVEY. (The publication Fixed Reproducible Tangible Wealth in the United States, 1925-94 is forthcoming and will present the estimates described above and additional estimates by industry and by type of asset for net stocks, consumption of fixed capital, investment, and average age of net stocks.) "Selected Monthly Estimates" for personal income by type of income and for the disposition of personal income, including personal consumption expenditures, appears under "National Data" in the "BEA Current and Historical Data" section of the SURVEY. These estimates are also published annually in NIPA tables 2.8-2.11, and the esti- mates for the most recent months appear in the personal-income-and-outlays news release. "Source Data and Assumptions" shows the source data and the BEA assumptions for missing key source data that are used to prepare the advance estimates of GDP. This information is available at the time of the news release and is included in the "Business Situation" article in the SURVEY that presents the advance estimates.19 Statistical Conventions Used for NIPA Estimates Most of the NIPA estimates are presented in current dollars. Changes in cur rent-dollar estimates measure the changes in the market values of goods or services that are produced or sold in the economy. For many purposes, it is necessary to decompose these changes into price and quantity components. Prices are expressed as index numbers with the base period—at present, the year 1992—equal to 100. Quantities, or "real" measures, are expressed as index numbers with the base period (1992) equal to 100; for selected series, they are also expressed in chained (1992) dollars. (For further details, see the section "Real output and related measures") Seasonal adjustment Quarterly and monthly NIPA estimates are seasonally adjusted at the detailed series level when statistically significant seasonal patterns are present. For most of the series that are seasonally adjusted by the source agency, BEA adopts the corresponding seasonal adjustment factors. Seasonal adjustment removes from the time series the average effect of variations that normally occur at about the same time and in about the same magnitude each year—for example, weather and holidays. After seasonal adjustment, cyclical and other short-term changes in the economy stand out more clearly. Annual rates Quarterly and monthly NIPA estimates in current and chained dollars are presented at annual rates, which show the value that would be registered if the rate of activity measured for a quarter or a month were maintained for a full year. Annual rates are used so that periods of different lengths—for example, quarters and years—may 19. Additional information about source data and assumptions is also available online through STAT-USA'S Economic Bulletin Board and on the Internet (see the box "Data Availability"). March 1998 • 45 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 46 • March 1998 be easily compared. These annual rates are determined simply by multiplying the estimated rate of activity by 4 (for quarterly data) or by 12 (for monthly data). it rnp \ m/n Percent changes in the estimates are also expressed at annual rates. Calculating these changes requires a variant of the compound interest formula, where r is the percent change at an annual rate; GDPt is the level of activity in the later period; GDPo is the level of activity in the earlier period; m is the yearly periodicity of the data (for example, i for annual data, 4 for quarterly, or 12 for monthly); and n is the number of periods between the earlier and later periods (that is, t - 0). Appendix Updated Summary NIPA Methodologies This appendix presents summary descriptions of the principal source data and methods used to prepare the cur rent-dollar estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) and the estimates of real GDP.20 These descriptions have been updated to reflect the methodological improvements that were introduced in the annual revision of the national income and product accounts (NIPA'S) that was released in July 199/.21 Current-dollar estimates Table i lists the components of cur rent-dollar GDP starting with the components on the product side and proceeding to those on the income side. The subcomponents, with their dollar values for 1996, are grouped according to the methodology used to prepare them. The column for the annual estimates covers the revision cycle for those estimates and notes the major differences in methodology as the estimates move through the three annual revisions to a benchmark revision.22 For example, for "most goods" in personal consumption expenditures (the first item on the product side), the 20. BEA has prepared a series of papers that provide detailed descriptions of NIPA concepts and methodologies. See the box "Information About NIPA Methodology." 21. See Parker and Seskin, "Annual Revision," 6-32. 22. For additional details on the release schedule for the NIPA estimates, see the section "Presentation of the NIPA'S" in the text. table indicates one methodology for benchmark years and another for all other years. The column for the quarterly estimates covers only the advance estimate for the current quarter—that is, the estimate prepared about a month after the end of the quarter. That estimate, rather than the preliminary or final quarterly estimate, is described because more attention focuses on the "first look" at the quarter. In addition, the column lists only the source data and methods; it does not indicate how many months of source data are available or whether the data are subject to revision by the source agency. Information on the key monthly source data appears each month in the "Business Situation" in the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. Additional information on the monthly source data used for the advance estimate is available online from the Department of Commerce's Economic Bulletin Board.23 The source data listed consist of a variety of economic measures, such as sales or receipts, wages and salaries, unit sales, housing stock, insurance premiums, expenses, interest rates, mortgage debt, and tax collections. For most components, the source data are "value data"; that is, they encompass both the quantity and price dimensions that are required for currentdollar estimates. In these cases, the methodology indicated in table i covers only the adjustment of the value data to derive estimates consistent with NIPA definitions and coverage. For those estimates not derived from value data, the table indicates the combination of data with separate quantity and price dimensions that is used to derive the required value estimate and the major adjustments needed to derive estimates consistent with NIPA definitions and coverage. On the product side, a "physical quantity times price" method is used for several components. For example, the estimate for new autos is calculated as unit sales times expenditure per auto (the average list price with options, adjusted for transportation charges, sales tax, dealer discounts, and rebates). On the income side, an "employment times earnings times hours" method and variations of a "stock of assets/liabilities times an effective interest rate" method are used for several components. Some of the source data shown in table i for the annual estimates are used as indicators to interpolate and extrapolate the levels established by source data that are more comprehensive, and all of the source data shown for the advance quar23. For additional information, see the box "Data Availability." SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS terly estimates are used to extrapolate the level of the preceding quarter. In addition, extrapolation and interpolation may be based on trends, as is the case when "judgmental trend" is listed in the table.24 Estimating methods.—Table i refers to four methods—commodity flow, retail control, perpetual inventory, and fiscal year analysis—used by BEA for estimating specific components. The commodity-flow method is used to obtain the value of final users1 purchases of goods and services (that is, commodities) for BEA'S benchmark input-output accounts. These values serve as the benchmark for the NIPA estimates of personal consumption expenditures (PCE), of producers' durable equipment (PDE), and of the commodity detail for State and local government consumption expenditures and gross investment.25 This method is also used for PDE in nonbenchmark years, but it is implemented in an abbreviated form. An even more abbreviated commodity-flow method is used for current quarterly estimates of PDE. The retail-control method is used to estimate over one-third of the value of PCE for periods other than benchmark years. This method provides the indicator series used in extrapolating and interpolating the total of "most goods" and the "control" total to which the PCE categories and residential PDE included in this group must sum. These PCE categories consist of all goods except autos and trucks, food furnished to employees, food and fuel produced and consumed on farms, standard clothing issued to military personnel, school lunches, and net foreign remittances.26 The perpetual-inventory method is used to derive estimates of fixed capital stock, which in turn form the basis for the estimates of consumption of fixed capital. This method is based on investment flows and a geometric depreciation formula; it is used instead of direct measurement of the capital stock because direct measurement is seldom statistically feasible on a comprehensive basis.27 24. For a few components, the final quarterly estimates are based on newly available source data that replace judgmental trends. 25. For additional information on the commodity-flow method, see U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Consumption Expenditures, Methodology Paper Series MP-6 (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1990): 31-34; and U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, GNP: An Overview of Source Data and Estimating Methods, Methodology Paper Series MP-4 (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1987): 16-17. 26. For additional information, see Personal Consumption Expenditures, 41-54; and GNP: An Overview, 17. 27. For additional information on the perpetual-inventory method, see U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Fixed Re- The fiscal year-analysis method provides the framework for the annual and quarterly estimates of Federal Government consumption expenditures and gross investment. The estimates of expenditures are prepared by program—that is, by activity for a group of line items or for an individual line item in the Budget of the U.S. Government. For most programs, the fiscal year analysis begins by adjusting budget outlays for coverage and for netting and grossing differences between these outlays and NIPA expenditures. The expenditures total (as adjusted) for a program is then classified by type of NIPA expenditure—for example, transfer payments and interest paid— with nondefense consumption expenditures and gross investment determined residually. When a fiscal year analysis is completed, the detailed array of NIPA expenditures by program and by type of expenditure serves as a set of control totals for the quarterly estimates.28 Balance of payments accounts.—The source data for the foreign transactions reflected in most NIPA components—such as net exports of goods and services and rest-of-the-world corporate profits— are the balance of payments accounts (BPA'S), which are also prepared by BEA.29 As noted in table i, for some NIPA components, the BPA estimates are adjusted to conform to NIPA concepts and definitions.30 Annual estimates of these adjustments and their definitions are shown in NIPA table 4.5, which was last published in the August 1997 SURVEY on page 82; summary quarterly estimates are shown in "Reconciliation Tables" in appendix A of the SURVEY. Other information.—In preparing the annual estimates of several of the income-side components, BEA adjusts the source data for various coverage and conceptual differences. For each subcomponent listed below, an annual NIPA table reconciles the value published by the source agency with the producible Tangible Wealth in the United States, 1925-89 (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, January 1993): M-2-M-15; and GNP; An Overview, 17-18. For additional information on the geometric depreciation formula, see "Improved Estimates of Fixed Reproducible Tangible Wealth, 1929-95," SURVEY 77 (May 1997): 69-92. 28. For additional information and an illustration of the fiscal year-analysis method, see U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Government Transactions* Methodology Paper Series MP-5 (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1988): 19-20. 29. See U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, The Balance of Payments of the United States: Concepts, Data Sources, and Estimating Procedures, (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1990). (The methodologies described in this publication are subject to periodic improvements, which are typically introduced as part of the annual revision of the BPA'S; these improvements are described in the SURVEY articles that cover the annual BPA revisions, most recently in "U.S. International Transactions, Revised Estimates for 1974-96," SURVEY 77 (July 1997): 43-55.) 30. These adjustments are described in U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Foreign Transactions, Methodology Paper Series MP-3 (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1987): 15-25. March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 48 • March 1998 NIPA value published by BEA and identifies the BEA adjustments. The following is a list of the subcomponents and their corresponding reconciliation tables, which were last published in the September 1997 SURVEY beginning on page 34: Wages and salaries, table 8.25; farm proprietors' income, table 8.22; nonfarm proprietors' income, table 8.21; corporate profits, table 8.23; net interest, table 8.24; and consumption of fixed capital, table 8.20. Real estimates Table 2 shows which one of three methods— deflation, quantity extrapolation, and direct baseyear valuation—is used to prepare the quantity index for each detailed product-side component of real GDP and identifies the source data with which the method is implemented.31 Deflation is used for most of the detailed components. In deflation, the quantity index is obtained by dividing the current-dollar index by an appropriate price 31. For additional information on the calculation of real GDP, see the section "Real output and related measures" in the text. index that has the base year—currently 1992— equal to 100 and then by multiplying the result by 100. The quantity-extrapolation and direct-baseyear-valuation methods are similar in that they both use explicit quantity data. In quantity extrapolation, quantity indexes are obtained by using a quantity indicator to extrapolate from the base-year value of 100 in both directions. In direct-base-year valuation, quantity indexes are obtained by multiplying the base-year price by actual quantity data for the index period and then expressing the result as an index with the base year equal to 100. The subcomponents in table 2 are the same as those shown in table i, but the detail differs to highlight the alternative methodologies used for calculating the real estimates.32 Tables i and 2 follow. £2 32. For the real estimates, the distinction between annual and quarterly methodologies is far less important than it is for the current-dollar estimates. For the relatively few cases in which the annual and quarterly source data differ, the major differences are noted in the entry. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 • 49 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Product side (GDP of $7,636.0 billion for 1996) Personal consumption expenditures ($5,207.6) Durable and nondurable goods: ($2,169.2)' Most goods (except subcomponents listed separately) ($1,821.0) New autos ($86.1) Net purchases of used autos ($55.2) New trucks ($63.7) Gasoline and oil2 ($122.6) See footnotes at end of table. Benchmark years—Commodity-flow method, starting with Same as annual for most recent year. manufacturers' shipments from Census Bureau quinquen.nial census and including an adjustment for exports and imports from Census Bureau foreign trade data. Other years—Retail-control method, using retail trade sales from Census Bureau annual survey or, for most recent year, monthly survey of retail trade. Same as annual. Physical quantity purchased times average retail price: Unit sales, information to allocate sales among consumers and other purchasers, and average list price with options, adjusted for transportation charges, sales tax, dealer discounts, and rebates, all from trade sources. Benchmark years—For net transactions, change in the For net transactions, residual based consumer stock of autos from trade sources. For dealers' on net sales by other sectors. For margin, retail sales from Census Bureau quinquennial cendealers' margin, unit sales of franchised dealers from trade source sus and margin rate from Census Bureau annual survey of and sales price from Bureau of retail trade. Other years except most recent—For net transactions, same Labor Statistics consumer price index for used cars. as benchmark years. For dealers' margin, franchised dealers' unit sales times sales price, both from trade sources, times margin rate for independent dealers from Census Bureau annual survey; independent dealers' margin from Census Bureau annual survey. Most recent year—For net transactions, same as benchmark years. For dealers' margin, for franchised dealers, unit sales and sales price from trade sources; for independent dealers, sales from Census Bureau monthly survey of retail trade. Benchmark years-Commodity-flow method, starting with Same as annual for most recent year. manufacturers' shipments from Census Bureau quinquennial census and including an adjustment for exports and imports from Census Bureau foreign trade data. Other years except most recent—Abbreviated commodity-flow method, starting with manufacturers' shipments from Census Bureau annual survey and including an adjustment for exports and imports from Census Bureau foreign trade data. Most recent year—Physical quantity purchased times average retail price: Unit sales and information to allocate sales among consumers and other purchasers from trade sources and average price based on Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index for new trucks. Benchmark years—Physical quantity purchased times average Same as annual for most recent year. retail price: Gallons consumed from the Department of Transportation, information to allocate that total among consumers and other purchasers from Federal agencies and trade sources, and average retail price from Census Bureau quinquennial census. Other years except most recent—Same as benchmark years, except average retail price from the Energy Information Administration. Most recent year—Physical quantity purchased times average retail price: Gallons consumed and average price, both from the Energy Information Administration. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 5O • March 1998 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Product side (GDP of $7,636.0 billion for 1996)—Continued Personal consumption expendituresContinued Durable and nondurable goods—Continued: Food furnished to employees (including military) ($8.7) Expenditures abroad by U.S. residents ($2.6) less personal remittances in kind to nonresidents ($1.2) Benchmark years—For commercial employees, number of em- For commercial employees, same as ployees of appropriate industries from Bureau of Labor Staannual for other years; for military tistics tabulations times BEA estimate of per capita expendpersonnel, judgmental trend. itures for food; for military personnel, outlays from the Budget of the United States prepared by the Office of Management and Budget. Other years—Same as benchmark years, except per capita expenditures for food based on Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index for food. Judgmental trend. Estimated as part of the balance of payments accounts; see entry for "exports and imports of services, net," under net exports of goods and services. Services: ($3,038.4) Nonfarm dwellings—space rent for owner-occupied and rent for tenant-occupied ($752.0) Rental value of farm dwellings ($6.1) Motor vehicle and other repair, other purchased intercity transportation, legal and funeral services, barbershops and beauty parlors, nursing homes, laundries, employment agency fees, accounting and tax return preparation services, recreation (except cable TV, casino gambling, parimutuel net receipts, and lotteries), hotels and motels, and other education and research ($508.1) See footnotes at end of table. Benchmark years—Based on data on housing stock and aver- Same as annual: For housing stock, age annual rent from Census Bureau decennial census of judgmental trend; for average rent, housing and residential finance survey, adjusted for utilities Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index for rent. billed with rent. Other years—Based on data on housing stock and average annual rent from Census Bureau biennial housing survey or on the number of households from Census Bureau monthly current population survey and Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index for rent. Benchmark years—Based on data on housing stock and aver- Judgmental trend. age annual rent from Census Bureau decennial census of housing and survey of residential finance. Other years—Based on data on net value of real farm housing stock from BEA capital stock series. For nursing homes, other education Benchmark years—Receipts and expenses from Census Bureau quinquennial census adjusted for receipts from busiand research, employment agency ness and governments. fees, and clubs and fraternal orgaOther years—Receipts for spectator sports from trade nizations, wages and salaries desources; for legitimate theaters and other education and rerived from Bureau of Labor Statissearch, tabulations of wages and salaries of employees tics monthly employment times covered by State unemployment insurance from the Bureau earnings times hours; for legitimate of Labor Statistics; for others in this group, Census Bureau theaters and motion pictures, reservice annual survey. ceipts from trade sources; for radio and TV repair, number of TV's based on stock and sales from trade source times Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index for appliance and furniture repair; for hotels and motels, rooms rented times average price per room from trade source; for others in this group, judgmental trend. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 • 51 Table 1—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other final or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Product side (GDP of $7,636.0 billion for 1996)—Continued Personal consumption expendituresContinued Services—Continued: Physicians, dentists, and other professional medical services ($357.6) Private nursery, elementary, and secondary schools, day care, welfare activities, and trade unions and professional associations ($148.6) Financial services furnished without payment by banks, credit agencies, and investment companies 3 ($169.9) Brokerage charges and investment counseling, bank service charges, intercity transportation except other, and private higher education ($148.7) Domestic services ($12.5) See footnotes at end of table. Benchmark years—For nonprofit professional services, exFor physicians and dentists, judgmental trend; for other profespenses, and for others in this group, receipts, adjusted for government consumption, all from Census Bureau quinsional medical services, wages and salaries derived from Bureau of quennial census. Other years—Receipts and revenues, adjusted for government Labor Statistics monthly employconsumption, from Census Bureau service annual survey. ment times earnings times hours. Benchmark years—For religious-affiliated schools, enrollment For political organizations and foundafrom the Department of Education times BEA estimate of tions, judgmental trend; for others average expenditures per pupil; for nursery schools and in this group, wages and salaries day care, expenditures from Bureau of Labor Statistics derived from Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly employment times consumer expenditure survey; for others in this group, receipts and expenses from Census Bureau quinquennial earnings times hours. census. Other years except most recent—For nursery schools and day care, same as benchmark years; for others in this group, annual tabulations of wages and salaries of employees covered by State unemployment insurance from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Most recent year—For nursery schools and day care, judgmental trend; for others in this group, tabulations of wages and salaries of employees covered by State unemployment insurance from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Judgmental trend. See entry for "imputed-tanks, credit agencies, and investment companies" under net interest. Years except most recent—For private higher education, expenses, and for others in this group, receipts, all from annual reports of government administrative agencies. Most recent year—For brokerage charges, bank service charges, and intercity transportation, receipts, from annual reports of government administrative agencies; for private higher education, enrollment from the Department of Education times price index for higher education from trade source. Benchmark years—For cleaning services, receipts from Census Bureau quinquennial census; for other domestic services, number of workers times weekly hours times earnings from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Other years—Number of workers times weekly hours times earnings from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. For stock brokerage charges, stock exchange transactions from trade sources; for income from sales of investment company securities, sales of open-end investment company shares from trade source; for other brokerage charges and investment counseling and for bank service charges, judgmental trend; for intercity transportation, receipts from trade sources; for private higher education, wages and salaries derived from Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly employment times earnings times hours. Judgmental trend. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Product side (GDP of $7,636.0 billion for 1996)—Continued Personal consumption expendituresContinued Services—Continued: Public higher education and Years except most recent—For lotteries, net receipts from Same as annual for most recent year. hospitals, water and Census Bureau quinquennial census and annual surveys of State and local governments, adjusted to a calendar year other sanitary services, basis from a fiscal year basis; for others in this group, reand lotteries ($157.7) ceipts from the same sources. Most recent year—Judgmental trend. Insurance, private hospitals, Years except most recent—For life insurance, expenses from For life insurance, hospitals, and relitrade sources; for medical and hospitalization insurance, religious activities, cable gious activities, wages and salaries premiums and benefits from the Health Care Financing Adderived from Bureau of Labor StaTV, utilities, and local ministration; for other insurance, premiums and benefits tistics monthly employment times transport from trade sources; for private hospitals, receipts and exearnings times hours; for electricity ($720.1) penses from Census Bureau quinquennial census (benchand gas, projected quantities based mark year), and expenses from trade sources (other on degree-day data from the Nayears); for religious activities, expenses based on contributional Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration times price based on tions and membership from trade sources; for cable TV Bureau of Labor Statistics and utilities, receipts from government agencies and trade consumer price indexes for utilities; sources; for local transport, receipts from trade source. Most recent year—For life insurance, tabulations of wages for others in this group, judgmental trend. and salaries of employees covered by State unemployment insurance from the Bureau of Labor Statistics; for insurance other than life insurance, judgmental trend; for religious activities, expenses based on population from the Census Bureau and per capita disposable personal income from BEA; for local transport, passenger trips from trade source times Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index for intracity mass transit; for others in this group, same as other years. Same as annual. Foreign travel by U.S. resi- Estimated as part of the balance of payments accounts; see entry for "exports and imports of services, net," under net dents ($54.9) less exexports of goods and services. penditures in the United States by nonresidents ($82.7) For casino gambling, receipts from Various source data. Other services: Casino State agency; for others in this gambling, and parimutuel group, judgmental trend. net receipts; other housing except hotels and motels; bridge, etc., tolls; other household operation except repairs and insurance; travel and entertainment card fees; stenographic and reproduction services; and money orders and classified advertising ($85.0) See footnotes at end of table. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 53 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Product side (GDP of $7,636.0 billion for 1996)—Continued Fixed investment ($1,090.7) Nonresidential structures: ($215.2)4 Utilities: Telecommunications ($11.9) Utilities: Other ($21.4) Mining exploration, shafts, and wells ($16.1) Industrial buildings ($32.1) Other nonfarm buildings and structures ($129.7) Farm buildings ($3.7) Nonresidential producers' durable equipment: ($566.2) Equipment, except autos ($520.9) New and used autos ($45.3) See footnotes at end of table. Value put in place from Census Bureau monthly construction survey. Same as annual. Expenditures from Federal regulatory agencies and trade sources. Benchmark years—Expenditures from Census Bureau quinquennial census. Other years—For petroleum and natural gas, physical quantity times average price: Footage drilled and cost per foot from trade sources; for other mining, expenditures from Census Bureau surveys on capital expenditures. Benchmark years, except 1992—Value put in place from Census Bureau monthly construction survey and improvements from Department of Energy commercial buildings energy consumption survey. For 1992, tabulations from Census Bureau annual capital expenditure survey, adjusted for undercoverage. Other years—Value put in place from Census Bureau monthly construction survey. Benchmark years—Value put in place from Census Bureau monthly construction survey and improvements from Department of Energy commercial buildings energy consumption survey. Other years—Value put in place from Census Bureau monthly construction survey. Expenditures for new construction from Department of Agriculture surveys. Judgmental trend. Benchmark years—Commodity-flow method, starting with manufacturers' shipments from Census Bureau quinquennial census and including an adjustment for exports and imports from Census Bureau foreign trade data. Other years—Abbreviated commodity-flow method, starting with manufacturers' shipments from Census Bureau annual survey or, for most recent year (except aircraft and trucks), monthly survey of manufactures and including an adjustment for exports and imports from Census Bureau foreign trade data. For aircraft, manufacturers' shipments from Census Bureau current industrial report, adjusted for exports and imports. For trucks, domestic and North American imports, physical quantity purchased times average retail price: Unit sales and information to allocate sales among business and other purchasers from trade sources and average price based on Bureau of Labor Statistics producer price indexes; for truck trailers, shipments from Census Bureau current industrial report. For new autos, see entry for "new autos" under personal consumption expenditures; for used autos, change in business stock of autos at least 1 year old from trade source. For petroleum and natural gas, same as annual for other years; for mining, judgmental trend. Same as annual for other years. Same as annual for other years. Value put in place from Census Bureau monthly construction survey. For trucks, see entry for "new trucks" under personal consumption expenditures; for others in this group, same as annual for other years but with less detail. For new autos, same as annual; for used autos, judgmental trend. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 54 • March 1998 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Product side (GDP of $7,636.0 billion for 1996)—Continued Fixed investment— Continued Residential5 investment: ($309.2) Permanent-site new singlefamily housing units ($159.1) Permanent-site new multifamily housing units ($20.3) Mobile homes ($12.6) Improvements ($74.4) Brokers' commissions ($36.3) Producers' durable equipment ($7.5) Change in business inventories Manufacturing and trade ($18.0) ($25.9) Other nonfarm industries ($5.0) Farm ($2.9) See footnotes at end of table. Value put in place based on phased housing starts and average construction cost from Census Bureau monthly construction survey. Value put in place from Census Bureau monthly construction survey. Benchmark years—See entry for "equipment, except autos" under nonresidential producers' durable equipment. Other years—Physical quantity shipped times price: Shipments from trade sources and average retail price from Census Bureau monthly survey. Expenditures by owner-occupants from Bureau of Labor Statistics quarterly consumer expenditure survey and by landlords from Census Bureau quarterly survey of landlords. Physical quantity times price times average commission rate: Number of single-family houses sold, mean sales price, and commission rates from Census Bureau monthly construction survey, Census Bureau biennial housing survey, and trade sources. See entry for "most goods" under personal consumption expenditures. Same as annual. Same as annual. Same as annual for other years. Judgmental trend. Same as annual. Same as annual. Benchmark years—Inventories from Census Bureau quinquen- Same as annual for most recent year. nial censuses revalued to current replacement cost, using information on the proportions of inventories reported using different accounting methods, on the commodity composition of goods held in inventory, and on the turnover period, all from Census Bureau quinquennial censuses and surveys, combined with prices, largely based on Bureau of Labor Statistics producer price indexes. (The difference between Census Bureau change in inventories and BEA change in business inventories is the IVA.) Other years except most recent—Inventories from Census Bureau annual surveys, revalued as described above. Most recent year—For retail auto dealers, quantities times average prices from trade sources; for all other, inventories from Census Bureau monthly surveys, revalued as described above. Inventories revalued to current replacement cost (except when For electric utilities, same as annual noted as physical quantity times price) as described for for most recent year; for all others, manufacturing and trade: For years except most recent, Injudgmental trend. ternal Revenue Service tabulations of business tax returns; for most recent year, Census Bureau quarterly survey of corporations for mining, monthly quantities from the Energy Information Administration combined with Bureau of Labor Statistics producer price indexes for electric utilities, and for all others, judgmental trend. Changes in physical quantities times current prices from DeJudgmental projections by BEA and partment of Agriculture surveys. the Department of Agriculture. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 • 55 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Product side (GDP of $7,636.0 billion for 1996)—Continued Net exports of goods and services For territorial adjustment, judgmental trend; for all others, same as annual. Federal national defense consumption of general government fixed capital ($57.3) Perpetual-inventory calculations at current cost, based on gross investment and on investment prices. Same as annual. Federal national defense, except consumption of general government fixed capital ($295.4) Within a control total established by fiscal year analysis: For For components of compensation, compensation, military wages from the Budget of the Unitemployment from the Department ed States prepared by the Office of Management and of Defense (military) and the BuBudget, civilian wages and benefits from the Office of Perreau of Labor Statistics (civilian); sonnel Management, and employer contributions for social for other than compensation, same insurance mainly from outlays from Monthly Treasury Stateas annual. ment; for other than compensation, by type, based mainly on data from Department of Defense reports. Perpetual-inventory calculations at current cost, based on Same as annual. gross investment and on investment prices. (-$94.8) Exports and imports of services, net ($96.6) Government consumption expenditures and gross investment For territorial adjustment and coverage of gold, judgmental trend; for all others, same as annual. Estimated as part of the balance of payments accounts: Export and import documents compiled monthly by the Census Bureau with adjustments by BEA for coverage and valuation to convert the data to a balance-of-payments basis. Adjusted for balance-of-payments coverage of U.S. territories and Puerto Rico with data from the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and the Census Bureau, and coverage of gold adjusted with data from the U.S. Geological Survey and trade sources. Estimated as part of the balance of payments accounts: For government transactions, reports by Federal agencies on their purchases and sales abroad; for most others in this group (including travel, passenger fares, other transportation, and royalties and license fees), BEA quarterly or annual surveys (supplemented with data from other sources). Adjusted for balance-of-payments coverage of U.S territories and Puerto Rico, see entry above; adjusted to include financial services furnished without payment, see entry for "imputed-4)anks, credit agencies, and investment companies" under net interest, and adjusted for NIPA treatment of military grants and labor income. Exports and imports of goods, net (-$191.5) ($1,406.7) Federal nondefense consumption of general government fixed capital ($11.2) See footnotes at end of table. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 56 • March 1998 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Product side (GDP of $7,636.0 billion for 1996)—Continued Government consumption expenditures and gross investmentContinued See footnotes at end of table. Federal nondefense, except Within a control total established by fiscal year analysis: For Commodity Credit Corporation inventory change, book valconsumption of general ues of acquisitions and physical quantities of dispositions government fixed capital from agency reports times average market prices from the ($156.1) Department of Agriculture; for financial services furnished without payment, see entry for "imputecWDanks, credit agencies, and investment companies" under net interest; for compensation, civilian wages and benefits from the Office of Personnel Management and employer contributions for social insurance mainly from outlays from Monthly Treasury Statement; for petroleum sales (Naval Petroleum Reserve), distribution and price data from the Department of Energy; for research and development, obligations from the National Science Foundation and disbursements from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration; for construction, value put in place from Census Bureau monthly construction survey; for all other, outlays from Monthly Treasury Statement. State and local compensa- For wages and salaries, tabulations of wages and salaries of employees covered by State unemployment insurance from tion of general governthe Bureau of Labor Statistics; for employer contributions ment employees, except for social insurance, tabulations from the Social Security force-account construcAdministration, other agencies administering social insurtion ($547.2) ance programs, and Census Bureau surveys of State and local government retirement funds, adjusted to a calendar year basis from a fiscal year basis; for other labor income, trade sources, Health Care Financing Administration, and Census Bureau surveys of State and local governments, adjusted to a calendar year basis from a fiscal year basis. Value of construction put in place from Census Bureau State and local structures monthly construction survey. ($128.5) See entries under personal consumption expenditures for State and local brokerage services. charges and financial services furnished without payment ($13.0) Perpetual-inventory calculations at current cost, based on State and local consumpgross investment, and on investment prices. tion of general government fixed capital ($56.6) State and local investment Years except most recent—Total expenditures from Census Bureau quinquennial censuses and annual surveys of State in equipment and conand local governments, selectively replaced with source sumption expenditures, data that are more appropriate for the NIPA's and adjusted except compensation, as follows: For coverage; for netting and grossing difconsumption of fixed ferences; to a calendar year basis from a fiscal year basis; capital, brokerage for other timing differences; to exclude interest, subsidies, charges, and financial net expenditures of government enterprises, and transfer services furnished withpayments; and to exclude compensation and structures. out payment. ($141.4) Most recent year—Judgmental trend. For components of compensation, employment from the Bureau,of Labor Statistics; for other than compensation, same as annual. For wages and salaries, derived from Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly employment times earnings from Bureau of Labor Statistics employment cost index, if available; otherwise, judgmental trend. For other compensation, judgmental trend. Same as annual. See entries under personal consumption expenditures for services. Same as annual. Same as annual for most recent year. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 • 57 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Income side (Gross national income of $7,697.6 billion for 1996) Compensation6 of employees ($4,426.9) Wage and salary accruals: Private industries ($2,991.0) Wage and salary accruals: Federal Government ($177.2) For civilians, employment from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and judgmental trend; for military personnel, employment from the Department of Defense and judgmental trend. Derived from Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly employment times earnings from Bureau of Labor Statistics employment cost index, if available, otherwise judgmental trend. For Federal programs, BEA-derived wages and salaries of employees covered by the programs; for State and local government programs, judgmental trend. Mainly tabulations of wages and salaries of employees covered by State unemployment insurance from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employer contributions for social insurance ($385.7) Years except most recent—Tabulations from the Social Security Administration and other agencies administering social insurance programs, and Census Bureau surveys of State and local government retirement funds, adjusted to a calendar year basis from a fiscal year basis. Most recent year—Census Bureau surveys of State retirement funds, adjusted to a calendar year basis from a fiscal year basis. Years except 3 most recent—Total contributions from the Judgmental trend. Health Care Financing Administration less employee contributions from the Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer expenditure survey. Three most recent years—Employer costs for employee compensation from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Years except 2 most recent—Tabulations from the DepartJudgmental trend. ment of Labor. Two most recent years—Employer costs for employee compensation from the Bureau of Labor Statistics or Internal Revenue Service tabulations of business tax returns. Years except most recent—Employer contributions from trade Judgmental trend. sources and contributions for self-insured plans from the Social Security Administration. Most recent year—Judgmental trend. Years except most recent—Group premiums and estimates of Judgmental trend. employer share from trade sources. Most recent year—Judgmental trend. Other labor income: Pension and profit-sharing ($94.8) Other labor income: Workers' compensation ($37.0) Other labor income: Group life insurance ($7.4) For most industries, wages and salaries derived from Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly employment times earnings times hours; for others, judgmental trend. Wage and salary accruals: State and local governments ($465.4) Other labor income: Group health insurance ($262.7) See footnotes at end of table. For most industries, annual tabulations of wages and salaries of employees covered by State unemployment insurance from the Bureau of Labor Statistics; for remainder, wages from a variety of sources (such as the Department of Agriculture for farms and the Railroad Retirement Board for railroad transportation), adjusted for understatement of income on tax returns and for several coverage differences. For civilians, wages from the Office of Personnel Management; for military personnel, wages from the Budget of the United States prepared by the Office of Management and Budget. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 58 • March 1998 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Income side (Gross national income of $7,697.6 billion for 1996)—Continued Proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj Farm income with IVA ($45.0) Based on Department of Agriculture data on net income, obtained by deriving gross income (cash receipts from marketing, inventory change, government payments, other cash income, and nonmoney income) and subtracting production expenses, adjusted to exclude corporate income from Internal Revenue Service tabulations of business tax returns and adjusted to a NIPA basis. Farm CCAdj (-$7.8) Nonfarm income ($455.3) See entry for "CCAdj" under consumption of fixed capital. ($520.3) Nonfarm IVA (-$0.2) Nonfarm CCAdj ($28.0) Rental income of persons with CCAdj ($146.3) See footnotes at end of table. Years except most recent—Income from Internal Revenue Same as annual for most recent year. Service tabulations of business tax returns, adjusted for understatement of income on tax returns and for several conceptual differences. Most recent year—For construction, trade, and services, indicators of activity (such as value of housing put in place); for most others, judgmental trend. See entry for "IVA" under corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj. See entry for "CCAdj" under consumption of fixed capital. Benchmark years—Derived as space rent (see entry for "nonfarm dwellings" under personal consumption expenditures) less related expenses, including maintenance and repair from Bureau of Labor Statistics quarterly consumer expenditure survey, mortgage interest, and property taxes from Census Bureau decennial survey of residential finance. Other years—Same as benchmark years, except mortgage interest, based on mortgage debt from the Federal Reserve Board times a BEA interest rate, and property taxes from Census Bureau quarterly surveys of State and local tax collections. Same as owner-occupied nonfarm housing, adjusted to cover Tenant-occupied nonfarm only rental income accruing to persons not primarily enhousing ($52.7) gaged in the real estate business. Farms owned by nonopera- Prepared in conjunction with farm proprietors' income; see entry for "farm income with IVA" under proprietors' income tor landlords with IVA and CCAdj. ($6.8) Years through 1983—Rents paid and received by business Nonfarm nonresidential and government, adjusted for expenses associated with properties property (mainly depreciation, taxes, interest, and repairs) ($15.8) from Internal Revenue Service tabulations of business tax returns, Census Bureau surveys, and the Budget of the United States prepared by the Office of Management and Budget. Other years-judgmental trend. Years except most recent—Internal Revenue Service tabulaRoyalties tions of royalties reported on individual income tax returns. ($8.3) Most recent year—Judgmental trend. See entry for "CCAdj" under consumption of fixed capital. CCAdj (-$47.0) Owner-occupied nonfarm housing ($109.7) For crops, BEA quarterly allocation of Department of Agriculture annual projections of crop output; for livestock, Department of Agriculture quarterly projections of cash receipts and inventories; for both crops and livestock, quarterly allocation of Department of Agriculture annual projections of government subsidy payments and production expenses. For owner-occupied space rent, same as annual; for depreciation, interest, and taxes, based on NIPA estimates of those components; for other expenses, judgmental trend. Same as annual. Judgmental trend. Judgmental trend. Same as annual for most recent year. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 59 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Income side (Gross national income of $7,697.6 billion for 1996)—Continued Corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj ($735.9) Net interest ($425.1) Years except most recent—Receipts less deductions from In- For some industries in transportation ternal Revenue Service tabulations of business tax returns, and some in finance, etc., adjusted for understatement of income on tax returns and judgmental trend; for others, same for several conceptual differences. as annual for most recent year. Most recent year—Profits from Census Bureau quarterly sur(Released at time of preliminary vey of corporate profits, regulatory agency reports, and estimate of GDP for the first, seccompilations of publicly available corporate financial stateond, and third quarters and of final estimate for the fourth quarter.) ments. Same as annual. (Released on same Rest-of-the-world profits be- Estimated as part of the balance of payments accounts: For direct investment income, BEA surveys; for portfolio infore tax schedule as domestic profits before tax.) come, Treasury Department surveys. Adjusted for NIPA ($95.9) coverage of U.S. territories and Puerto Rico—see entry for "exports and imports of goods, net," under net exports of goods and services. IVA The IVA on the income side (for corporations and for nonfarm Same as annual. (-$2.5) sole proprietorships and partnerships) and the IVA on the product side (described under the entry for change in business inventories) differ because the source data reflect different proportions of accounting methods (last-in, first-out (LIFO), etc.) underlying reported inventories. The incomeside IVA is based on the product-side IVA, adjusted by the relationship between non-LIFO inventories from Internal Revenue Service tabulations of business tax returns and non-LIFO inventories from the Census Bureau. See entry for "CCAdj" under consumption of fixed capital. CCAdj ($61.8) Domestic profits before tax ($580.7) Domestic monetary, net ($87.6) Rest-of-the-world monetary, net (-$76.4) See footnotes at end of table. Years except most recent—For farm interest paid, Department Derived by combining estimates of (1) of Agriculture surveys; for residential mortgage interest interest received by persons, (2) paid, Census Bureau decennial residential finance survey government interest paid and reand mortgage debt from the Federal Reserve Board times ceived, and (3) interest paid by a BEA interest rate; for most other interest paid and repersons. For (1), judgmental trend; ceived by business, Internal Revenue Service tabulations of for (2), Monthly Treasury Statement business tax returns, adjusted for misreporting on tax refor Federal and judgmental trend turns and for several conceptual differences. for State and local; for (3), Most recent year—For farm and mortgage interest paid, same consumer debt from the Federal as other years; for other interest, interest receipts and payReserve Board times BEA estiments from regulatory agencies (such as the Federal Demates of interest rates. (Released posit Insurance Corporation), from trade sources, or obon same schedule as domestic tained by applying BEA interest rates to interest-bearing profits before tax.) assets/liabilities from Federal Reserve Board flow-of-funds accounts. Estimated as part of the balance of payments accounts: For Same as annual. (Released on same direct investment income, BEA surveys; for portfolio inschedule as domestic profits before come, Treasury Department surveys. Adjusted for NIPA tax.) coverage of U.S. territories and Puerto Rico—see entry for "exports and imports of goods, net," under net exports of goods and services. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 6O • March 1998 Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Income side (Gross national income of $7,697.6 billion for 1996)—Continued Net interestContinued lmputecM)anks, credit agencies, and investment companies ($180.1) Imputed—life insurance carriers and private noninsured pension plans ($233.7) Payments to persons: For charitable contributions, for years except most recent, Internal Revenue Service tabulations of business tax returns or, for most recent year, judgmental trend; for other components (such as liability payments for personal injury), for years except most recent, information from government agency reports and trade sources or, for most recent year, judgmental trend. Payments to the rest of the world: Estimated as part of the balance of payments accounts. Business transfer payments ($33.6) Indirect business tax and nontax liability Federal Government ($95.8) ($604.8) State and local governments ($508.9) Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises Judgmental trend. For customs duties, Monthly Treasury For excise taxes, collections from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms and the Internal Revenue Service; for Statement; for most excise taxes, customs duties, receipts from Monthly Treasury Statement; derived from indicators of activity (such as gasoline production for and for nontaxes (such as fines), receipts from the Budget gasoline tax); for others in this of the United States prepared by the Office of Management group, judgmental trend. and Budget. Receipts from Census Bureau quinquennial censuses and an- Judgmental trend. nual and quarterly surveys, adjusted to a calendar year basis from a fiscal year basis. Federal Government ($37.7) For subsidies, payments by the Commodity Credit Corporation from agency reports and, for most other agencies, outlays from Monthly Treasury Statement, for current surplus, mainly reports of various agencies, such as the Postal Service, and consumption of fixed capital estimates derived with perpetual-inventory calculations at current cost, based on gross investment and on investment prices. State and local governments (-$12.3) For subsidies, limited to railroad, Census Bureau annual surveys of expenditures, adjusted to a calendar year basis from a fiscal year basis. For current surplus: For current operating receipts, mainly revenue data from Census Bureau annual surveys of State and local governments, adjusted to a calendar year basis from a fiscal year basis; for current operating expenditures, see entries (1) for "State and local investment in equipment and consumption expenditures, except compensation, consumption of fixed capital, brokerage charges, and financial services furnished without payment" and (2) for "State and local consumption of general government fixed capital" under Government consumption expenditures and gross investment. ($25.4) See footnotes at end of table. Property income earned on investment of deposits and mone- Judgmental trend. tary interest paid to depositors (and for mutual depositories, profits from Internal Revenue Service tabulations of business tax returns) from annual reports of regulatory agencies and the Federal Reserve Board. Imputed interest (financial services furnished without payment) is allocated to persons, government, and the rest of the world on the basis of deposit liabilities from the same sources. Property income earned (and for life insurance carriers, prof- Judgmental trend. (Released on same its) from Internal Revenue Service tabulations of business schedule as domestic profits before tax.) tax returns, trade sources, and the Federal Reserve Board. For subsidies, Commodity Credit Corporation reports and judgmental trend; for current surplus, judgmental trend and consumption of fixed capital estimates derived with perpetual-inventory calculations at current cost, based on gross investment and on investment prices. Judgmental trend. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 6i Table 1.—Principal Source Data and Estimating Methods Used in Preparing Estimates of Current-Dollar GDP—Continued Component (billions of dollars) Subcomponent (billions of dollars) Annual estimates: Source data and methods used to determine level for benchmark and other years or used to prepare an extrapolator or interpolator Advance quarterly estimates: Source data and methods used to prepare an extrapolator Income side (Gross national income of $7,697.6 billion for 1996)—Continued Consumption of fixed capital Government: ($147.4) ($830.1) General government ($125.1) Government enterprise ($22.3) Private: ($682.7) Capital consumption allowances ($709.9) Less: CCAdj ($27.1) Perpetual-inventory calculations at current cost, based on Same as annual. gross investment and on investment prices. Perpetual-inventory calculations at current cost, based on Same as annual. gross investment and on investment prices. Perpetual-inventory calculations at current cost, based on Same as annual. gross investment and on investment prices. Judgmental trend. Years except most recent—For depreciation of corporations and of nonfarm sole proprietorships and partnerships, Internal Revenue Service tabulations of business tax returns, adjusted for several conceptual differences; for other depreciation (including noncorporate farms, nonprofit institutions, and owner-occupied houses), perpetual-inventory calculations; for accidental damage to fixed capital, losses reported to insurance companies and government agencies. Most recent year—For depreciation of corporations and nonfarm sole proprietorships and partnerships, BEA estimates of tax-return-based depreciation; for other depreciation and accidental damage to fixed capital, same as other years. Judgmental trend. For corporations and nonfarm sole proprietorships and partnerships, the difference between tax-return-based calculations and perpetual-inventory calculations; for other (including noncorporate farms, nonprofit institutions, and owneroccupied houses), the difference between perpetual-inventory calculations at historical cost and current cost. 1. Includes $10.6 billion for food produced and consumed on farms, standard clothing issued to military personnel, and used trucks. 2. the retail-control method cited under "personal consumption expenditures (PCE) for most goods" is based on retail trade sales data that include sales of gasoline service statipns. Estimates of PCE for gasoline and oil are derived separately and are deducted from the retail-control totals (that include goods sold by gasoline service stations) to derive the estimates for "PCE for most goods." 3. Also referred to as "services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries, except life insurance carriers and private noninsured pension plans." 4. Includes $0.5 billion for brokers' commissions on sale of structures and net purchases of used structures. 5. Includes -$1.0 billion for other structures (dormitories, fraternity and sorority houses, nurses' homes, etc.) and net purchases of used structures. 6. Includes -$2.6 billion for wage and salary accruals: Rest of the world, net, and $5.7 billion for other labor income: Supplemental unemployment, directors' fees, and judicial fees. CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment IVA Inventory valuation adjustment NIPA National income and product account Source: 1996 estimates—SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, August 1997. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 62 • March 1998 Table 2.—Methodology Used in Preparing Estimates of Real GDP Deflation, using price based on— Components of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI) Other Most goods (except subcomponents listed separately). Except as noted, CPI; military clothing, PPI. Computers, BEA price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics import price indexes, and PPI. New autos Net purchases of used autos. CPI New trucks Gasoline and oil Food furnished to employees (including military). Expenditures abroad by U.S. residents less personal remittances in kind to nonresidents. CPI CPI CPI Component Personal consumption expenditures Subcomponent Extrapolation Direct valuation Durable and nondurable goods: Services: Nonfarm dwellings-space rent for owner-occupied and rent for tenant-occupied. Rental value of farm dwellings. See footnotes at end of table. Using quantity for— Used autos, in two parts: (1) Margin, unit sales from trade sources with dealer margins from Census Bureau and trade sources; (2) net transactions, net change in unit stock of autos held by consumers by year of original sale, valued by depreciated original value in base-year dollars. Foreign consumer price indexes (exchange-rate adjusted). CPI Net value of farm housing stock from BEA capital stock series. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 • Table 2.—Methodology Used in Preparing Estimates of Real GDP—Continued Deflation, using price based on— Component Personal consumption expendituresContinued Subcomponent Components of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI) Extrapolation Services—Continued: Motor vehicle and other re- Except as noted, pair, other purchased CPI; private intercity transportation, for-profit nursing homes, legal and funeral servPPI. ices, barbershops and beauty parlors, nursing homes, laundries, employment agency fees, accounting and tax return preparation services, recreation (except cable TV, casino gambling, parimutuel net receipts, and lotteries), hotels and motels, and other education and research. Except as noted, Physicians, dentists, and CPI; physiother professional medicians, PPI. cal services. Private nursery, elementary, and secondary schools, day care, welfare activities, and trade unions and professional associations. Except as noted, Public education and hosCPI; public pitals, water and other hospitals, PPI. sanitary services, and lotteries. Financial services furnished without payment by banks, credit agencies, and investment companies. l Except as noted, Brokerage charges and investment counseling, CPI. bank service charges, intercity transportation except other, and private higher education. Domestic services See footnotes at end of table. Other Using quantity for— CPI Private nonprofit nursing homes, composite index of input prices from the Health Care Financing Administration; clubs and fraternal organizations, and other education and research, BEA composite index of input prices. BEA composite indexes of input prices. Paid employee hours of relevant financial institutions. Airline transportation, BEA index based on revenue per passenger mile from the Department of Transportation and trade source, and CPI for airline fares; private higher education, BEA composite index of input prices. Stock brokerage charges, BEA orders, derived from volume data from the Securities and Exchange Commission and trade sources. Direct valuation 63 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 64 • March 1998 Table 2.—Methodology Used in Preparing Estimates of Real GDP—Continued Deflation, using price based on—Component Personal consumption expendituresContinued Subcomponent Components of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI) Except as noted, CPI; private for-profit hospitals, PPI. Foreign travel by U.S. resi- Expenditures in the United dents less expenditures States, CPI. in the United States by nonresidents. Except as noted, Other services: Casino CPI. gambling, and parimutuel net receipts; other housing except hotels and motels; bridge, etc., tolls; other household operation except repairs and insurance; travel and entertainment card fees; stenographic and reproduction services; and money orders and classified advertising. Nonresidential structures: Utilities .. Mining exploration, shafts, and wells. Nonfarm buildings and structures. Farm buildings See footnotes at end of table. Other Extrapolation Life insurance and religious activities, BEA composite indexes of input prices; private nonprofit hospitals, composite index of input prices from the Health Care Financing Administration. Foreign travel, BEA composite index of foreign consumer price indexes (exchange-rate adjusted). Auto insurance, premiums deflated by CPI; health insurance, benefits deflated by CPI. Services—Continued: Insurance, private hospitals, religious activities, cable TV, utilities, and local transport. Fixed investment Using quantity for— Gas and petroleum pipelines, PPI. Casing PPI Parimutuel net receipts, gross winnings deflated by CPI. Telecommunications, cost index from trade source; railroads, BEA price index; other, cost indexes from government agencies and trade sources. Exploration, cost index from trade source; mines, implicit price deflator for nonfarm nonresidential buildings. Buildings, BEA index based on cost index from trade source and on Census Bureau price deflator for single-family houses under construction; structures, cost indexes from government agencies. Implicit price deflator for nonfarm nonresidential buildings. Drilling, footage by geographic area from trade source. Direct valuation SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 • 65 Table 2.—Methodology Used in Preparing Estimates of Real GDP—Continued Deflation, using price based on— Component Subcomponent Fixed investmentContinued Nonresidential producers' durable equipment: Equipment, except autos, telephone and telegraph installation, and telephone switching equipment. New and used autos Components of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI) Domestic components, except as noted, PPI; imported transportation equipment, PPI. Census Bureau price deflator for single-family houses under construction. BEA price index. Additions and alterations, BEA index based on Census Bureau price deflator for single-family houses under construction and CPI component. Numbers of new and used houses sold from Census Bureau and trade sources. Brokers' commissions Used autos, in two parts: (1) Margin, unit sales from trade sources with dealer margins from Census Bureau and trade sources; (2) net transactions, net change in unit stock of autos held by business by year of original sale, valued by depreciated original value in base-year dollars. BEA price index. PPI Major replacements, CPI. CPI Direct valuation Imported components, except computers and transportation equipment, Bureau of Labor Statistics import price indexes; domestic and imported computers, BEA price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics import price indexes, and PPI. BEA cost index. Residential investment: Permanent-site new singlefamily housing units. Producers' durable equipment, See footnotes at end of table. Extrapolation New autos, CPI. Telephone and telegraph installation. Telephone switching equipment. Permanent-site new multifamily housing units. Mobile homes Improvements Other Using quantity for— SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 66 • March 1998 Table 2.—Methodology Used in Preparing Estimates of Real GDP—Continued Deflation, using price based on— Component Change in business inventories Subcomponent Nonfarm: Purchased goods, all industries. Except as noted, PPI. Nonfarm: Work-in-process and finished goods, manufacturing. Except as noted, PPI; some overhead cost items, CPI. Farm Net exports of goods and services2 Exports and imports of goods. 2 Exports and2 imports of services. See footnotes at end of table. Components of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI) Other Using quantity for— Extrapolation Crude petroleum, index from the Energy Information Administration; computers, BEA price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics import price indexes, and PPI; imported goods purchased by trade industries, Bureau of Labor Statistics import price indexes. BEA indexes of unit labor cost. Quantities and prices of stocks of coal, petroleum, and natural gas for utilities from the Energy Information Administration. Department of Agriculture average market prices.. Gold; transporBureau of Labor Statistics export and import price intation equipdexes; electric energy exment; selected agricultural ports and imports, and petroleum imports, unit-value foods, feeds, and bevindexes based on Census Bureau values and quanerages; and tities; computer and semiselected imconductor exports, BEA ports of refined petroleum, PPI. price indexes and PPI; computer and semiconductor imports, BEA price indexes and Bureau of Labor Statistics import price indexes. Military transfers and direct Travel receipts, medical redefense expenditures ceipts, and abroad, selected deflators for Federal national destudents' exfense, except consumption penditures, of fixed capital (see CPI; freight below); passenger fares, and port exBureau of Labor Statistics penditures and telecommuniexport and import price indexes; travel payments cations, PPI. and U.S. Government payments for miscellaneous services, BEA composite index of foreign consumer price indexes (exchangerate adjusted); royalties and fees, and other private services, implicit price deflator for final sales to domestic purchasers. Direct valuation Exports of financial services furnished without payment, l paid employee hours of relevant financial institutions. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 • 67 Table 2.—Methodology Used in Preparing Estimates of Real GDP—Continued Deflation, using price based on— Component Subcomponent Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal national defense consumption of general government fixed capital. Federal national defense, except consumption of general government fixed capital. Components of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI) Selected goods, PPI; utilities and communications, CPI and PPI. Other Some goods, some services, and most military structures, BEA indexes based on Department of Defense prices paid; some services, Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly earnings; computers, BEA price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics import price indexes, and PPI; nonmilitary structures, cost indexes from trade sources and government agencies. Using quantity for— Extrapolation Military compensation, fulltime equivalent employment by rank and length of service; civilian compensation, fulltime equivalent employment by grade, adjusted for change from base year in hours worked. Federal nondefense consumption of general government fixed capital. Federal nondefense, except consumption of general government fixed capital. Most goods, PPI; rent, utilities, and communications, CPI. Structures, cost indexes from trade sources and government agencies; computers, BEA price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics import price indexes, and PPI; most services, Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly earnings. Employees in education, full-time equivalent employment by education and experience, adjusted for change from base year in hours worked; other employees, full-time equivalent employment, adjusted for change from base year in hours worked. State and local compensation of general government employees. State and local structures. See footnotes at end of table. Compensation, full-time equivalent employment by grade, adjusted for change from base year in hours worked; financial services furnished without payment, l paid employee hours of relevant financial institutions. Cost indexes from trade sources and government agencies. Direct valuation Perpetual-inventory calculations, based on gross investment. Many goods, some services, and a few military structures, quantities and prices from Department of Defense reports; electricity and natural gas quantities from the Department of Energy. Perpetual-inventory calculations, based on gross investment. Net purchases of agricultural commodities by the Commodity Credit Corporation, quantities by crop from agency reports with Department of Agriculture prices; selected petroleum transactions, quantities and prices from the Department of Energy. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 68 • March 1998 Table 2.—Methodology Used in Preparing Estimates of Real GDP—Continued Deflation, using price based on— Component Government consumption expenditures and gross investmentContinued Subcomponent Components of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI) Other Direct valuation Perpetual-inventory calculations, based on gross investment. State and local consumption of general government fixed capital. Services, except as noted, and goods used in maintenance and repair, CPI; goods, except as noted, and electricity, PPI. Transportation, books, and postal services, BEA indexes based on Department of Defense prices paid; computers, BEA price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics import price indexes, and PPI. 1. Also referred to as "services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries, except life insurance carriers and private noninsured pension plans." 2. Estimates of real exports and imports of goods and services are prepared separately. Real receipts and payments of factor income from the rest of the world—the difference between GDP Extrapolation See entries under personal consumption expenditures for services. State and local brokerage charges and financial services furnished without payment. State and local investment in equipment and consumption expenditures, except compensation, consumption of fixed capital, brokerage charges, and financial services furnished without payment. Using quantity tor- and GIMP—are prepared by deflation using the implicit price deflator for final sales to domestic purchasers except for imputed interest paid to nonresidents, which is prepared by extrapolation using paid employee hours of relevant institutions. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Contents D-l BEA CURRENT AND HISTORICAL DATA National, International, and Regional Estimates This section presents an extensive selection of economic statistics prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and a much briefer selection of collateral statistics prepared by other Government agencies and private organizations. Series originating in Government agencies are not copyrighted and may be reprinted freely. Series from private sources are provided through the courtesy of the compilers and are subject to their copyrights. BEA makes its economic information available on three World Wide Web sites. The BEA Web site <http://www.bea.doc.gov> contains data, articles, and news releases from BEA'S national, international, and regional programs. The Federal Statistical Briefing Room (FSBR) on the White House Web site <http://www.whitehouse.gov/fsbr> provides summary statistics for GDP and a handful of other NIPA aggregates. The Commerce Department's STAT-USA Web site <http://www.stat-usa.gov> provides detailed databases and news releases from BEA and from other Federal Government agencies by subscription; information about sTAT-USA'S Economic Bulletin Board (EBB) and Internet services may be obtained at the Web site or by calling 202-482-1986. The tables listed below present annual, quarterly, and monthly estimates, indicated as follows: [A] Annual estimates only; [Q] quarterly estimates only; [QA] quarterly and annual estimates; [MA] monthly and annual estimates. International Data National Data A. Selected NIPA Tables: [QA] 1. National product and income 2. Personal income and outlays 3. Government receipts, current expenditures, and gross investment 4. Foreign transactions 5. Saving and investment 6. Income and employment by industry 7. Quantity and price indexes 8. Supplementary tables F. Transactions tables: D-2 D-6 D—7 D-n D-13 D-i6 D-17 D-24 B. Other NIPA and NiPA-related tables: Monthly estimates: [MA] B.i. Personal income B.2. Disposition of personal income D-27 D-27 Annual estimates: [A] B.3. GDP by industry D-28 6.4. Personal consumption expenditures by type of expenditure D-29 B.S. Private purchases of structures by type D-3O B.6. Private purchases of producers' durable equipment by type D-30 6.7. Compensation and wage and salary accruals by industry D-3i B.S. Employment by industry D-32 6.9. Wage and salary accruals and employment by industry per full-time equivalent D-33 B.io. Farm sector output, gross product, and national income D-34 B.n. Housing sector output, gross product, and national income D-34 B.12. Net stock of fixed private capital, by type... D-35 C. Historical tables: [A] C.i. Historical estimates for major NIPA aggregates C.2.-C.7. Growth rates of selected components of real GDP D. Domestic perspectives [MA, QA] D-36 D-39 D-5i D-52 D-53 D-56 G. Investment tables: G.i. International investment position of the United States [A] 0-57 G.2. USDIA: Selected items [A] D-58 G.3. Selected financial and operating data for nonbank foreign affiliates of U.S. companies [A] D-59 G.4. FDIUS: Selected items [A] D-6o G.S. Selected financial and operating data of nonbank U.S. affiliates of foreign companies [A] D-6i H. International perspectives [MA, QA] D-62 I. Charts D-64 Regional Data J. State and regional tables: J.i. Total and nonfarm personal income [QA].... D-65 J.2. Percent of personal income for selected components [A] D-66 J.3. Per capita personal income and disposable personal income [A] D-67 J.4. Gross state product [A] D-68 K. Local area table D-6p L. Charts D-7i Appendixes D~4i Appendix A: Additional information about BEA'S NIPA estimates: Statistical conventions Reconciliation tables [QA] D-73 0-74 D-43 D-49 Appendix B: Suggested reading D-75 E. Charts: Selected NIPA series Other indicators of the domestic economy F.i. U.S. international transactions in goods and services [MA] F.2. U.S. international transactions [QA] F.3. Selected U.S. international transactions, by area [Q] F.4. Private service transactions [A] SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-2 • National Data March 1998 National Data A. Selected NIPA Tables The tables in this section include the most recent estimates of gross domestic product and its components; these estimates were released on February 27,1998 and include the "preliminary" estimates for the fourth quarter of 1997 and for the year 1997. The selected set of NIPA tables shown in this section presents quarterly estimates, which are updated monthly. In most tables, the annual estimates are also shown. Most of the "annual only" NIPA tables were presented in the August 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS; tables 8.20-8.26 were presented in the September 1997 SURVEY; and the remaining "annual only" tables—tables 3.15-3.20 and 9.1-9.6—were presented in the October 1997 SURVEY. The selected NIPA tables are available on printouts or diskettes from BEA. To order NIPA subscription products using Visa or MasterCard, call the BEA Order Desk at 1-800-704-0415 (outside the United States, 202-606-9666). The news release on gross domestic product (GDP) is available at the time of release, and the selected NIPA tables are available later that day, on STAT-USA'S Economic Bulletin Board and Internet services; for information, call STAT-USA on 202-482-1986. In addition, the GDP news release is available the afternoon of the day of the release, and the selected NIPA tables are available about 2 weeks later (when the SURVEY is sent to the printer), on BEA'S Internet site <http://www.bea.doc.gov>. i. National Product and Income. Table 1.1.—Gross Domestic Product Table 1.2.—Real Gross Domestic Product [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1997 Gross domestic product 1996 1997 1996 III IV I II III 7,636.0 8,081.0 7,676.0 7,792.9 7,933.6 8,034.3 8,124.3 8,231.8 Gross domestic product 5,207.6 5,488.1 5,227.4 5,308.1 5,405.7 5,432.1 5,527.4 5,587.2 Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Nondurable goods Services 634.5 659.1 634.5 638.2 658.4 644.5 667.3 666.2 1,534.7 1,592.1 1,538.3 1,560.1 1,587.4 1,578.9 1,600.8 1,601.4 3,038.4 3,236.9 3,054.6 3,109.8 3,159.9 3,208.7 3,259.3 3,319.6 Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross private domestic investment 1,116.5 1,240.9 1,149.2 1,151.1 1,193.6 1,242.0 1,250.2 1,277.8 Gross private domestic investment Net exports of goods and services Exports Goods Services Imports Goods Services Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal National defense Nondefense State and local 1,090.7 1,172.6 1,112.0 1,119.2 1,127.5 1,160.8 1,201.3 1,200.8 781.4 845.4 798.6 807.2 811.3 836.3 872.0 861.9 215.2 229.9 217.7 227.0 227.4 226.8 232.9 232.5 ,. 566.2 309.2 615.5 327.2 580.9 313.5 580.2 312.0 583.9 316.2 609.5 324.6 639.1 329.3 629.4 338.9 25.9 68.3 37.1 31.9 66.1 81.1 48.9 77.0 -94.8 -100.8 -114.0 -88.6 -88.8 -S8.7 -111.3 -104.2 870.9 958.0 617.5 686.5 253.3 271.5 965.7 1,058.8 809.0 888.7 156.7 170.0 863.7 904.6 922.2 960.3 965.8 983.8 609.7 640.5 656.2 690.0 691.1 708.7 254.0 264.2 266.0 270.3 274.8 275.1 977.6 993.2 1,021.0 1,049.0 1,077.1 1,088.0 820.2 834.6 855.8 880.1 905.6 913.5 157.5 158.6 165.2 168.9 171.6 174.5 1,406.7 1,452.7 1,413.5 1,422.3 1,433.1 1,449.0 1,457.9 1,470.9 520.0 352.8 167.3 886.7 523.8 350.4 173.4 928.9 521.6 354.8 166.8 891.9 517.6 350.6 167.0 904.7 516.1 343.3 172.8 917.0 526.1 350.6 175.5 923.0 525.7 352.1 173.6 932.3 NOTE.—Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in table 8.1. 527.4 355.6 171.8 943.5 1996 III Personal consumption expenditures Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential Change in business inventories 1997 IV Net exports of goods and services . . . Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal National defense . Nondefense State and local . . . . Residual I II III IV 6,928.4 7,189.6 6,943.8 7,017.4 7,101.6 7,159.6 7,214.0 7,283.3 4,714.1 4,869.3 4,718.2 4,756.4 4,818.1 4,829.4 4,896.2 4,933.5 611.1 645.5 611.9 617.1 637.8 629.0 656.1 658.9 1,432.3 1,458.8 1,433.9 1,441.2 1,457.8 1,450.0 1,465.5 1,461.9 2,671.0 2,765.7 2,672.8 2,698.2 2,723.9 2,749.8 2,776.1 2,812.9 Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential Change in business inventories Exports . Goods Services Imports Goods Services 1997 IV 1,069.1 1,195.7 1,100.3 1,104.8 1,149.2 1,197.1 1,204.6 1,231.8 1,041.7 1,122.2 1,060.9 1,068.7 1,079.0 1,111.4 1,149.3 1,149.2 771.7 846.8 789.3 800.8 808.9 837.0 874.5 866.6 188.7 195.2 190.0 196.9 195.9 193.5 196.7 194.5 586.0 272.1 657.7 279.6 602.9 274.1 606.7 271.1 616.6 273.3 649.3 278.2 685.3 280.1 679.7 286.7 25.0 65.7 37.9 32.9 63.7 77.6 47.5 74.0 -114.4 -146.4 -138.9 -105.6 -126.3 -136.6 -164.1 -158.5 857.0 963.6 851,4 901.1 922.7 962.5 973.0 996.4 628.4 725.2 623.0 666.2 686.2 725.8 731.8 757.0 229.9 242.3 229.4 236.8 238.9 240.8 245.0 244.5 971.5 1,110.0 990.2 1,006.6 1,048.9 1,099.1 1,137.1 1 1549 823.1 947.7 841.7 857.5 891.3 938.4 972.7 988.4 149.0 163.5 149.3 150.0 158.4 161.8 165.8 168.0 1,257.9 1,269.7 1,261.5 1,261.8 1,260.5 1,270.1 1,273.4 1,274.7 464.2 317.8 146.1 793.7 457.0 308.7 147.9 812.7 465.7 319.4 146.0 795.9 459.6 313.6 145.7 802.3 452.8 303.9 148.5 807.7 460.1 309.4 150.2 810.1 458.8 310.3 148.0 814.7 456.4 311.3 144.8 818.3 -1.6 -4.2 -2.4 -3.8 -2.9 -3,9 -4.6 -4.8 NOTE.-Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the p current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines. Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in table 8.1; contributions to the percent change in real gross domestic product are shown in table 8.2. D-3 National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table 1.3.—Gross Domestic Product by Major Type of Product Table 1.4.—Real Gross Domestic Product by Major Type of Product [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1997 III Gross domestic product Final sales of domestic product Change in business inventories Goods Final sales Change in business inventories Durable goods Final sales Change in business inventories Nondurable goods Final sales Change in business inventories , Services Structures Addenda: Motor vehicle output Gross domestic product less motor vehicle output . 1996 1997 1996 IV 1 II 7,610.2 8,012.7 7,638.9 7,761.0 7,867.4 7,953.2 8,075.3 8,154.7 68.3 37.1 31.9 66.1 81.1 48.9 77.0 2,785.2 2,943.7 2,797.8 2,826.9 2,904.6 2,936.0 2,952.1 2,982.3 2,759.3 2,875.4 2,760.7 2,795.0 2,838.4 2,854.9 2,903.2 2,905.2 25.9 68.3 37.1 31.9 66.1 81.1 48.9 77.0 1,228.9 1,315.4 1,249.5 1,232.4 1,279.8 1,322.1 1,323.9 1,335.9 1,212.0 1,283.0 1,216.3 1,233.5 1,248.0 1,275.3 1,305.3 1,303.5 16.9 32.4 33.3 -1.1 31.8 46.8 32.5 18.6 1,556.3 1,628.3 1,548.3 1,594.5 1,624.7 1,613.9 1,628.2 1,646.3 1,547.3 1,592.4 1,544.4 1,561.5 1,590.4 1,579.6 1,597.9 1,601.7 34.4 30.3 44.6 9.0 35.9 3.9 33.0 34.3 4,187.3 4,433.1 4,208.1 4,282.7 4,338.2 4,400.1 4,462.3 4,531.9 663.6 704.1 670.1 683.3 690.8 698.2 709.8 717.6 271.4 284.3 278.7 267.2 281.4 270.4 287.4 298.1 7,364.7 7,796.7 7,397.3 7,525.8 7,652.2 7,764.0 7,836.9 7,933.7 NOTE.—Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in table 8.1. 1996 Gross domestic product Final sales of domestic product Change in business inventories Residual . Goods Final sales . ... Change in business inventories Durable goods Final sales Change in business inventories : Nondurable goods Final sales Change in business inventories Services Structures Residual Addenda: Motor vehicle output Gross domestic product less motor vehicle output 1997 IV III IV III 7,636.0 8,081.0 7,676.0 7,792.9 7,933.6 8,034.3 8,124.3 8,231.8 25.9 1997 I II III IV 6,928.4 7,189.6 6,943.8 7,017.4 7,101.6 7,159.6 7,214.0 7,283.3 6,901.0 7,119.2 6,905.0 6,981.7 7,034.1 7,077.7 7,160.3 7,204.5 25.0 2.4 65.7 37.9 .9 4.7 32.9 2.8 63.7 3.8 77.6 47.5 4.3 74.0 6.2 4.8 2,662.6 2,807.2 2,673.1 2,704.1 2,769.3 2,796.7 2,815.4 2,847.6 2,635.5 2,734.5 2,634.0 2,668.4 2,699.6 2,711.8 2,760.7 2,766.0 25.0 65.7 37.9 32.9 63.7 77.6 47.5 74.0 1,222.1 1,324.9 1,244.0 1,228.5 1,277.0 1,327.5 1,338.4 1,356.8 1,205.8 1,293.1 1,211.4 1,230.1 1,245.8 1,281.4 1,320.4 1,324.7 15.9 30.4 31.3 -.9 29.9 43.8 30.7 17.5 1,443.7 1,488.8 1,433.5 1,477.9 1,496.1 1,476.2 1,484.3 1,498.5 1,433.2 1,448.7 1,426.5 1,442.6 1,458.3 1,437.5 1,449.0 1,450.2 6.6 33.8 33.8 9.1 35.2 33.8 30.1 43.3 3,686.6 3,791.0 3,689.0 3,723.9 3,743.9 3,774.4 3,804.8 3,840.8 582.2 598.5 585.0 592.9 595.1 595.7 600.7 602.5 -4.4 -7.3 -6.0 -5.0 -5.2 -7.0 -3.5 -3.9 241.3 252.1 246.8 236.5 247.5 240.6 254.0 266.1 6,687.1 6,937.7 6,696.8 6,781.0 6,854.1 6,919.1 6,960.1 7,017.3 NOTE.-Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the p ..„ current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line following change in business inventories is the difference between gross domestic product and the sum of final sales of domestic product and of change in business inventories; the residual line following structures is the difference between gross domestic product and the sum of the detailed lines of goods, of services, and of structures. Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in table 8.1 Table 1.5.—Relation of Gross Domestic Product, Gross Domestic 0 Purchases, and Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers Table 1.6.—Relation of Real Gross Domestic Product, Real Gross Domestic Purchases, and Real Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Gross domestic product ... Less: Exports of goods and services Plus: Imports of goods and services Equals: Gross domestic 7,636.0 8,081.0 7,676.0 7,792.9 7,933.6 870.9 958.0 863.7 904.6 965.7 1,058.8 977.6 993.2 922.2 8,034.38,124.38,231.8 960.3 965.8 983.8 1,021.0 1,049.0 1,077.1 1,088.0 7,730.9 8,181.8 7,790.0 7,881.5 8,032.4 8,123.1 8,235.6 8,335.9 Less: Change in business inventories Equals: Final sales to domestic purchasers. 25.9 68.3 7,705.0 8,113.4 37.1 7,752.8 31.9 66.1 81.1 7,849.6 7,966.3 8,042.0 48.9 77.0 8,186.6 8,258.9 NOTE.—Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in table 8.1. Gross domestic product Less: Exports of goods and services Plus: Imports of goods and services Equals: Gross domestic purchases Less: Change in business inventories Equals: Final sales to domestic purchasers 6,928.4 7,189.6 6,943.8 7,017.4 7,101.6 7,159.6 7,214.0 7,283.3 857.0 963.6 971.5 1,110.0 7,037.7 25.0 7,010.2 851.4 901.1 922.7 7,254.6 37.9 32.9 63.7 7,036.4 7,082.7 7,153.1 7,364.6 7,428.7 77.6 7,204.7 47.5 7,310.9 7,349.7 Table 1.8.—Real Gross Domestic Product by Sector [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] 7,933.6 8,034.3 8,124.3 8,231.8 6,666.56,755.06,831.86,927.0 6,573.1 6,657.9 6,736.8 6,834.1 5,892.55,971.0 6,044.2 6,137.1 680.6 686.8 692.7 697.0 92.9 93.4 97.1 95.0 357.7 363.6 369.3 374.8 11.6 11.1 11.4 11.3 346.6 352.3 357.9 363.2 909.4 915.8 923.2 929.9 286.2 286.2 286.1 285.0 645.0 623.3J 629.6 637.1: 1. Gross domestic business product equals gross domestic product less gross product of households and institutions and of general government. Nonfarm product equals gross domestic business product less gross farm product. 2. Equals compensation of general government employees plus general government consumption of fixed capital as shown in table 3.7. 74.0 NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in table 8.1. Table 1.7.—Gross Domestic Product by Sector Gross domestic product 7,636.0 8,081.0 7,676.0 7,792.9 6,401.0 6,795.1 6,434.2 6,543.1 Business1 6,311.66,700.56,341.7 6,450.0 Nonfarm * 5,652.8 6,011.25,677.35,777.1 Nonfarm less housing Housing 658.8 689.3 664.4 673.0 89.4 Farm 94.6 92.5 93.0 Households and institutions ... 346.0 366.3 347.9 352.0 11.4 11.5 Private households 11.4 11.1 334.6 355.0 336.6 341.0 Nonprofit institutions 2 919.6 893.9 897.8 General government 281.4 285.8 282.1 281.1 Federal 607.6 633.7 611.8 616.7 State and local 996.4 990.2 1,006.6 1,048.9 1,099.1 1,137.1 1,154.9 7,325.3 7,075.3 7,118.4 7,220.9 7,286.9 65.7 973.0 962.5 Gross domestic product Business! NonfarmJ Nonfarm less housing Housing Farm Households and institutions ... Private households Nonprofit institutions General government2 Federal State and local Residual 6,928.4 7,189.6 6,943.8 7,017.4 5,842.9 6,092.8 5,854.9 5,928.5 7,101.6 7,159.6 7,214.0 6,009.6 6,064.4 6,114.4 5,929.7 5,983.2 6,034.0 7,283.3 6,183.0 5,766.8 6,012.5 5,779.8 5,853.3 6,103.2 5,181.4 5,418.1 5,191.3 5,261.3 5,335.3 5,388.2 5,439.2 5,509.6 585.7 595.3 588.7 592.3 594.9 595.6 595.7 594.8 75.5 79.5 74.6 74.7 79.0 80.4 79.6 79.1 311.2 320.5 312.5 314.4 316.9 319.2 321.7 324.3 10.1 9.6 310.9 9.6 307.4 9.6 309.6 9.7 312.1 777.7 301.1 775.9 779.3 10.0 9.6 302.5 304.8 778.1 776.6 781.1 240.9 535.2 236.0 543.7 241.3 537.0 238.9 537.9 238.2 539.9 778.8 237.1 542.1 9.7 314.6 779.7 236.3 545.2 232.5 547.8 -1.6 -2.1 -2.7 -3.0 -5.8 -4.8 -1.5 1. Gross domestic business product equals gross domestic product less gross product of households and institutions and of general government. Nonfarm product equals gross domestic business product less gross farm product. 2. Equals compensation of general government employees plus general government consumption of fixed capital as shown in table 3.8. NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-4 • National Data March 1998 Table 1.9.—Relation of Gross Domestic Product, Gross National Product, Net National Product, National Income, and Personal Income Table 1.10.—Relation of Real Gross Domestic Product, Real Gross National Product, and Real Net National Product [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1997 III Gross domestic product Plus: Receipts of factor income from the rest of the world Less: Payments of factor income to the rest of the world Equals: Gross national product Less: Consumption of fixed capital . Private Capital consumption allowances Less: Capital consumption adjustment Government General government Government enterprises Equals: Net national product Less: Indirect business tax and nontax liability Business transfer payments Statistical discrepancy Plus: Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises Equals: National income 1996 1997 1996 IV I II III 2343 235.4 248.8 248.2 261.6 269.4 2326 2423 2456 2625 2823 2901 7,637.7 Equals: Gross national product 830.1 682.7 867.9 716.8 835.4 687.7 845.6 697.2 855.0 705.4 863.0 712.3 871.6 720.3 881.8 729.2 709.9 750.4 715.4 725.3 736.6 745.9 754.3 764.8 27.1 33.6 27.8 28.1 31.2 33.6 34.0 35.7 147.4 151.1 147.8 148.4 149.6 150.6 151.3 152.6 125.1 127.8 125.4 125.8 126.8 127.4 128.0 129.0 22.3 23.3 22.4 22.6 22.9 23.3 23.4 23.6 604.8 6,833.6 6,950.4 7,064.2 7,150.7 7,231.9 619.4 33.6 -599 35.4 25.4 26.1 600.9 625.3 610.2 616.2 625.4 625.8 33.8 34.2 34.4 35.0 35.9 36.2 -79.5 -59.5 -64.3 24.9 26.0 26.1 -73.5 -103.2 Less: Consumption of fixed capital Private Government General government Government enterprises 6,928.4 7,189.6 1997 IV I II III IV 6,943.8 7,017.4 7,101.6 7,159.6 7,214.0 7,283.3 2142 214.8 226.0 224.6 236.3 242.5 2102 218.1 219.8 234.0 250.8 256.9 6,940.2 7,023.1 7,091.8 7,144.4 7,198.8 6,932.0 776.4 642.4 134.2 807.3 672.2 135.4 779.8 645.7 134.3 786.7 652.2 134.6 797.3 662.6 135.0 806.5 671.5 135.3 816.0 680.8 135.6 809.5 674.0 135.8 114.1 114.9 114.2 114.4 114.6 114.8 115.0 115.1 20.0 20.5 20.1 20.2 20.3 20.4 20.6 20.7 Equals: Net national product 6,155.6 6,160.4 6,236.4 6,294.5 6,338.2 6,383.3 Addenda: Gross domestic income * Gross national income2 Net domestic product 6,982.7 6,986.3 6,151.9 7,015.7 7,070.9 7,159.2 7,225.2 7,305.6 7,012.1 7,076.7 7,149.4 7,210.0 7,290.5 6,164.0 6,230.7 6,304.4 6,353.3 6,398.3 6,4^5 eiS&ii 1. Gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. 2. Grass national income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross national product. NOTE.—Except as noted in footnotes 1 and 2, chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chaineddollar estimates are usually not additive. Table 1.11.—Command-Basis Real Gross National Product 6,254.5 26.0 25.8 26.7 [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] 6,303.3 6,376.5 6,510.0 6,599.0 6,699.6 Less: Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital 7359 739.6 747.8 779.6 795.1 827.3 consumption adjustments 451.8 430.9 430.6 440.5 448.1 425.1 Net interest Contributions for social 692.0 732.1 696.8 705.1 719.5 726.9 735.0 746.9 insurance Wage accruals less 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 disbursements Plus: Personal interest income ... 735.7 768.8 742.7 749.8 757.2 766.1 772.6 779.3 Personal dividend 291.2 321.5 292.0 295.2 312.5 318.3 324.5 330.7 income Government transfer payments to persons 1,042.0 1,094.0 1,046.3 1,055.1 1,080.5 1,090.0 1,098.4 1,107.2 Business transfer 27.2 26.7 27.5 27.1 26.4 26.9 26.1 26.0 payments to persons 6,495.2 6,874.2 6,541.9 6,618.4 6,746.2 6,829.1 6,906.9 7,014.6 Equals: Personal income Addenda: Gross domestic income Gross national income Net domestic oroduct Gross domestic product Plus: Receipts of factor income from the rest of the world Less: Payments of factor income to the rest of the world 7,669.1 7,796.1 7,919.2 8,013.6 8,103.5 6,807.6 III IV 7,636.0 8,081.0 7,676.0 7,792.9 7,933.6 8,034.3 8,124.3 8,231.8 1996 1997 7,755.5 7,852.4 7,997.9 8,107.9 8,227.4 76959 7,748.5 7,855.5 7,983.6 8,087.2 8,206.7 7,697.6 6,805.9 7.213.1 6.840.6 6,947.3 7,078.5 7,171.4 7,252.6 7]350!() 6,932.0 6,940.2 7,023.1 7,091.8 7,144.4 7,198.8 Less: Exports of goods and services and receipts of factor income from the rest of the 1 071 7 world Plus: Command-basis exports of goods and services and receipts of factor income ' 1 091 1 1,066.8 1,127.6 1,147.3 1,198.9 1,216.0 Gross national product Equals: Command-basis gross 6,951.4 national product Addendum: 1018 Terms of trade2 1,090.2 1,143.4 1,171.9 1,241.7 1,261.9 6,963.6 7,038.9 7,116.4 7,187.2 7,244.8 102.2 101.4 102.1 103.6 103.8 1. Exports of goods and services and receipts of factor income deflated by the implicit price deflator for imports of goods and services and payments of factor income. 2. Ratio of the implicit price deflator for exports of goods and services and receipts of factor income to the corresponding implicit price deflator for imports with the decimal point shifted two places to the right. NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in table 8.1. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 National Data • D-5 Table 1.16.—Gross Domestic Product of Corporate Business in Current Dollars and Gross Domestic Product of Nonfinancial Corporate Business in Current and Chained Dollars Table 1.14.—National Income by Type of Income [Billions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1997 III National income Compensation of employees ... Wage and salary accruals Government Other Supplements to wages and salaries Employer contributions for social insurance Other labor income Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Farm Proprietors' income with inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment Nonfarm Proprietors' income Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Rental income of persons Capital consumption adjustment Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment Profits before tax Profits tax liability Profits after tax Dividends Undistributed profits ... Inventory valuation adjustment . Capital consumption adjustment Net interest Addenda: Corporate profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Net cash flow with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Undistributed profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Consumption of fixed capital Less: Inventory valuation adjustment Equals1 Net cash flow Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1997 1996 I IV II 1996 IV III 4,426.9 4,703.5 4,461.0 4,520.7 4,606.3 4,663.4 4,725.2 4,819.2 3,633.6 3,878.5 3,664.0 3,718.0 3,792.7 3,842.7 3,897.3 3,981.2 642.6 665.3 645.5 648.9 657.8 662.0 667.7 673.8 2,991.0 3,213.2 3,018.4 3,069.0 3,134.9 3,180.8 3,229.6 3,307.4 793.3 825.0 797.0 802.7 813.6 820.7 827.9 837.9 385.7 407.6 408.4 416.6 388.6 408.4 393.6 409.1 401.3 412.3 405.6 415.1 410.2 417.7 416.6 421.4 520.3 544.5 523.8 528.3 534.6 543.6 547.2 552.5 37.2 40.7 40.1 40.4 40.2 43.6 40.9 38.2 45.0 48.3 47.9 48.1 47.9 51.2 48.5 45.7 -7.8 -7.6 -7.8 -7.8 -7.7 -7.6 -7.5 -7.5 483.1 455.3 503.7 474.5 483.7 456.1 487.9 460.0 494.4 466.3 500.0 470.8 506.3 477.0 514.2 483.9 /q -.1 .6 .2 .5 n — .£ -.1 28.0 28.9 27.8 27.5 28.1 28.7 29.1 29.8 146.3 193.3 148.0 197.5 148.0 195.5 149.2 197.3 149.0 197.9 148.7 197.6 148.0 197.7 146.4 196.6 ^7.0 ^9.4 ^7.5 -48.1 ^8.9 ^8.9 ^9.7 -50.1 739.6 747.8 779.6 795.1 827.3 6741 6764 6766 2290 447.6 304.8 142.8 6791 6834 6800 226.0 454.0 309.1 144.9 711.9 708.4 241.2 467.2 326.8 140.3 725.7 719.8 244.5 475.3 333.0 142.3 757.1 753.4 258.2 495.2 339.1 "345.6 156.1 3.3 3.5 5.9 735.9 61.8 "sseii 5.7 69.8 425.1 231.6 447.5 305.7 141.8 -2.7 3.6 63.2 64.4 67.7 69.4 70.3 430.9 430.6 440.5 448.1 451.8 9.6 71.6 5069 5080 521 8 538.4 550.6 569.1 6543 657.8 674.6 678.9 690.2 707.9 202.1 202.3 212.6 211.5 217.6 230.0 455.5 462.0 467.4 472.6 478.0 484.5 -2.7 3.3 671 3 3.5 675.5 5.9 684.4 3.6 704.3 9.6 452.3 -2.5 6568 475.6 5.7 6605 1996 III 6,303.3 6,376.5 6,510.0 6,599.0 6,699.6 6,254.5 -2.5 1997 1997 IV I II III IV Billions of dollars Gross domestic product of corporate business Consumption of fixed capital Net domestic product Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies Domestic income Compensation of employees Wage and salary accruals Supplements to wages and salaries Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits before tax Profits tax liability .... Profits after tax Dividends Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment Net interest Gross domestic product of financial corporate business Gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business .... Consumption of fixed capital Net domestic product Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies . Domestic income Compensation of employees Wage and salary accruals Supplements to wages and salaries Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits before tax Profits tax liability Profits after tax Dividends Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment Net interest . ... 4,661.0 4,733.2 4,824.8 4,897.2 4,989.2 4,624.9 452.3 475.6 463.9 3,708.7 455.5 462.0 467.4 472.6 478.0 484.5 4,205.5 4,271.2 4,357.4 4,424.6 4,511.3 4,172.6 476.6 460.9 485.0 465.9 474.4 483.1 3,744.6 3,786.2 3,891.5 3,950.2 40282 483.0 2,926.7 3,127.2 2,951.4 2,997.9 3,056.5 3,098.2 3,142.3 3,211.9 2,433.5 2,614.3 2,456.3 2,500.7 2,550.7 2,588.0 2,627.6 2,691.0 493.2 512.9 640.0 5807 229.0 351.6 270.8 80.8 -2.5 5.7 495.1 497.3 505.8 510.2 514.7 647.8 587.4 231.6 355.7 265.6 640.3 572.5 226.0 346.5 281.6 682.2 611.0 241.2 369.8 292.7 694.4 619.1 244.5 374.5 293.6 7275 653.5 258.2 3953 292.0 90.1 64.9 77.1 80.9 1033 -2.7 3.3 3.5 5.9 3.6 63.2 64.4 67.7 69.4 70.3 142.1 145.4 148.0 152.8 157.6 158.4 492.5 495.2 513.2 525.1 536.1 543.0 61.8 69.8 413.3 71.6 396.2 401.8 406.3 410.7 415.3 420.8 3,769.7 3,818.3 3,893.4 3,950.4 4,031.0 3,739.0 421.8 3317.2 9.6 4,165.8 4,220.1 4,299.7 4,361.1 4,446.3 4,132.4 393.4 520.9 439.9 423.7 430.0 432.2 437.0 445.3 3,345.9 3,388.3 3,461.2 3,513.3 3,585.7 444.9 2,682.9 2,866.7 2,704.7 2,745.3 2,801.9 2,840.1 2,880.6 2,944.3 2,228.6 2,394.1 2,248.7 2,287.5 2,335.8 2,370.0 2,406.3 2,464.3 454.4 472.6 5458 477.2 154.8 322.4 1964 126.0 -2.5 71.1 88.5 5.7 79.7 456.0 457.8 466.0 470.1 474.2 553.3 483.4 156.8 326.6 191.8 134.8 561.7 484.4 159.0 325.5 199.4 126.1 575.4 494.5 159.4 335.1 207.0 128.2 586.7 501.5 161.8 339.8 208.1 131.7 618.2 534.2 174.1 360.1 207.7 152.4 -2.7 72.6 88.0 3.3 74.0 81.3 3.5 5.9 3.6 77.4 79.3 80.4 839 866 870 480.0 9.6 81.8 Billions of chained (1992) dollars Gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business ' ... 3,887.8 Consumption of fixed 3capital2 .... Net domestic product 374.4 3,513.5 3,913.7 3,963.5 4,022.2 4,068.9 4,146.5 402.7 376.6 381.7 396.0 402.2 408.2 3,537.1 3,581.8 3,626.2 3,666.7 3,738.3 404.2 1. Chained-dollar gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business equals the current-dollar product deflated by the implicit price deflator for goods and structures in gross domestic product. 2. Chained-dollar consumption of fixed capital of nonfinancial corporate business is calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. 3. Chained-dollar net domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business is the difference between the gross product and the consumption of fixed capital. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-6 • National Data March 1998 2. Personal Income and OutlaysTable 2.2.—Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product Table 2.1.—Personal Income and Its Disposition [Billions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rate fi 1996 1996 1997 III Personal income Wage and salary disbursements Private industries Goods-producing industries Manufacturing Distributive industries Service industries Government Other labor income Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Farm Nonfarm Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Personal dividend income ... Personal interest income Transfer payments to persons Old-age, survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits Government unemployment insurance benefits Veterans benefits Government employees retirement benefits Other transfer payments .... Family assistance 1 Other Less: Personal contributions for social insurance Less: Personal tax and nontax payments Equals: Disposable personal income Less: Personal outlays Personal consumption expenditures Interest paid by persons Personal transfer payments to the rest of the world (net) Equals: Personal saving Addenda: Disposable personal income: total, billions of 2chained (1992) dollars Per capita: Current dollars .... Chained (1992) dollars Population (mid-period, millions) Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1997 IV I II III 1996 IV 3,632.5 3,877.3 3,662.8 3,716.9 3,791.5 3,841.6 3,896.1 2,989.9 3,212.0 3,017.3 3,067.9 3,133.7 3,179.6 3,228.4 39801 3,306.3 Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods 909.1 960.2 917.2 927.8 942.9 952.8 961.4 674.7 705.9 680.1 685.6 694.1 700.3 706.0 823.3 876.2 829.0 840.6 856.8 867.0 880.8 1,257.5 1,375.5 1,271.1 1,299.5 1,334.1 1,359.8 1,386.3 642.6 665.3 645.5 648.9 657.8 662.0 667.7 983.9 723.4 900 4 1 421 9 Motor vehicles and parts Furniture and household equipment . Other 673.0 416.6 408.4 409.1 412.3 415.1 417.7 421 4 520.3 544.5 407 503.7 523.8 528.3 534.6 543.6 547.2 5525 40.1 40.4 40.2 43.6 40.9 483.7 487.9 494.4 500.0 506.3 37.2 483.1 ' 38.2 514.2 146.3 148.0 148.0 149.2 149.0 148.7 291.2 321.5 292.0 295.2 312.5 318.3 ... 14t) 4 148.0 ' 324.5 330 7 735.7 768.8 742.7 749.8 757.2 766.1 772.6 1,068.0 1,121.1 1,072.4 1,081.5 1,107.2 1,117.0 1,125.7 779 3 - ' ' 566.7 540.0 545.6 558.9 564.4 569.4 22.0 21.6 21.7 22.4 21.3 21.7 21.6 21.4 22.1 22.4 21.9 22.4 21.6 22.5 22.3 142.5 344.2 153.4 356.9 143.7 345.7 145.9 347.0 150.4 353.5 152.7 355.6 154.2 358.0 iDb.J 360 5 21.7 18.8 21.6 20.7 19.7 19.0 18.2 322.5 338.1 324.2 326.2 333.8 336.6 339.8 QA9 J 1 ^'* 323.7 308.2 311.5 318.2 321.3 324.8 886.9 988.7 897.3 922.6 955.7 979.2 0 998.0 1,021.O 330.4 59928 5,368.8 5,660.8 5,390.6 5,475.4 5,574.6 5,602.8 5,700.8 5,764.9 5,207.6 5,488.1 5,227.4 5,308.1 5,405.7 5,432.1 5,527.4 55872 145.2 154.8 147.4 150.5 151.9 153.1 155.1 *1592 15.9 17.9 15.9 16.7 17.0 17.6 18.2 239.6 224.7 254.0 220.4 215.9 247.0 208.2 Food Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil Fuel oil and coal Other Qon/iroc Semces Housing Household operation Electricity and gas Other household operation Transportation Medical care Other 1997 IV I II III IV 5,207.6 5,488.1 5,227.4 5,308.1 5,405.7 5,432.1 5,527.4 5,587.2 634.5 659.1 634.5 638.2 658.4 644.5 667.3 666.2 261.3 263.3 260.0 258.9 265.7 252.7 268.7 266.1 252.6 120.6 267.3 128.5 254.2 120.3 255.9 123.4 263.8 128.9 265.4 126.5 269.9 128.8 270.3 129.8 1,534.7 1,592.1 1,538.3 1,560.1 1,587.4 1,578.9 1,600.8 1,601.4 756.1 264.3 122.6 776.5 277.2 124.7 757.4 265.7 121.4 766.6 266.2 126.0 775.5 275.2 128.5 771.4 274.8 121.6 779.3 280.5 123.5 779.6 278.5 124.9 11.6 10.8 11.2 12.0 11.0 11.0 10.9 10.5 380.1 402.9 382.7 389.3 397.1 400.0 406.5 408.0 3,038.4 3,236.9 3,054.6 3,109.8 3,159.9 3,208.7 3,259.3 3,319.6 787.2 315.9 125.3 190.6 218.4 808.1 908.9 826.5 328.6 127.0 201.6 236.3 855.1 990.5 791.8 313.4 122.8 190.6 219.7 811.9 917.8 800.7 321.8 126.8 195.0 224.8 826.9 935.6 810.5 320.8 124.9 195.9 228.9 841.0 958.8 821.2 831.9 842.2 326.7 328.8 338.1 127.2 125.2 130.7 199.5 203.6 207.4 233.4 238.5 244.4 849.6 859.7 870.1 977.9 1,000.4 1,024.7 Table 2.3.—Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Pr0dUCt [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] 914 306.3 5,608.3 5,885.5 5,644.6 5,695.8 5,790.5 5,849.9 5,908.9 Mnnrlnrohlo nnnric 574.1 537.6 18.5 227.8 Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods ^otor venicles ar|d parts Furniture and household equipment Other Nnnriiirahla nnnric Food rinthinn anrl ohnoc Gasoline and oil Fuel oil and coal °ther Services Housing Household operation Electricity and gas Other household operation Transportation Medical care Other Residual 5,076.9 5,221.9 5,094.8 5,103.8 5,161.1 5,200.9 5,234.1 5,291.6 21,117 21,972 21,229 21,373 21,689 21,865 22,034 22,297 19,116 19,494 19,161 19,152 19,331 19,439 19,518 19,688 265.6 267.9 265.9 266.5 267.0 267.5 268.2 268.8 4.3 3.8 4.5 3.9 3.7 4.2 3.5 3.8 1. Consists of aid to families with dependent children and, beginning with 1996, assistance programs operating under the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act of 1996. 2. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. NOTE.—Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in table 8.1. III 6,495.2 6,874.2 6,541.9 6,618.4 6,746.2 6,829.1 6,906.9 7,014.6 407.6 1996 1997 4,714.1 4,869.3 4,718.2 4,756.4 4,818.1 4,829.4 4,896.2 4,933.5 611.1 645.5 611.9 617.1 637.8 629.0 656.1 658.9 231.3 233.1 229.7 228.0 233.4 223.1 238.7 237.4 269.5 113.3 296.3 121.4 272.3 113.2 276.8 116.3 287.4 121.4 292.3 119.7 301.1 121.7 304.4 122.9 1,432.3 1,458.8 1,433.9 1,441.2 1,457.8 1,450.0 1,465.5 1,461.9 689.7 267.7 114.1 689.9 277.9 116.0 687.3 270.8 114.1 689.0 270.0 114.8 10.6 10.0 10.6 10.3 351.2 366.8 352.5 358.3 694.6 277.1 114.7 9.4 363.7 688.2 273.8 116.1 689.5 281.3 116.2 10.1 10.4 363.4 370.0 687.4 279.3 117.0 9.9 370.2 2,671.0 2,765.7 2,672.8 2,698.2 2,723.9 2,749.8 2,776.1 2,812.9 700.2 289.6 117.8 171.7 194.6 688.1 799.4 713.8 295.1 116.7 178.2 202.7 712.0 842.6 701.7 285.8 114.8 170.9 195.4 689.8 800.8 704.8 291.7 117.7 173.9 197.0 697.1 808.4 708.3 288.0 113.8 174.0 199.3 704.4 824.3 712.0 294.2 117.8 176.2 200.9 708.8 834.5 715.6 295.7 115.7 179.7 203.9 714.2 847.1 719.2 302.7 119.5 182.9 206.7 720.5 864.5 -5.1 -8.1 -5.7 -6.0 -7.7 -7.5 -8.9 -6.3 NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines. March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS National Data 3. Government Receipts, Current Expenditures, and Gross Investment. Table 3.1.—Government Receipts and Current Expenditures [Billions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1997 Receipts Personal tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits tax accruals Indirect business tax and nontax accruals . Contributions for sxial insurance Current expenditures . .. Consumption expenditures Transfer payments (net) To persons . . To the rest of the world (net) Net interest paid Interest paid To persons and business To the rest of the world . .... Less; Interest received by government Less: Dividends received by government Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises Subsidies : Less: Current surplus of government enterprises . Less: Wage accruals less disbursements . .. Current surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts Social insurance funds Other : 2,412.7 886.9 2290 604.8 692.0 1997 1996 III IV I II III IV 2,426.7 2,479.0 2,526.6 2,566.8 2,616.7 988.7 619.4 732.1 897.3 231.6 600.9 696.8 922.6 226.0 625.3 705.1 955.7 241.2 .610.2 719.5 979.2 244.5 616.2 726.9 998.0 1,021.8 258.2 625.4 625.8 735.0 746.9 2,417.8 2,510.6 2,423.6 2,455.8 2,477.4 2,498.7 2,516.1 2,550.3 1,182.4 1,226.8 1,189.8 1,197.0 1,209.7 1,221.6 1,230.8 1,244.9 1,058.3 1,107.3 1,058.2 1,078.0 1,091.0 1,100.8 1,108.5 1,129.0 10420 1 0940 10463 1 0551 10805 1,090.0 1,098.4 1,107.2 ... 16.3 13.3 11.9 22.9 10.5 10.8 10.0 21.8 165.4 317.7 246.4 71 3 152.3 165.0 319.2 164.4 318.1 244.1 168.8 320.7 241.3 164.9 317.9 233.3 164.9 319.1 227.9 165.6 319.7 225.9 164.7 320.0 154.1 153.7 152.0 153.0 13.6 14.6 13.7 14.0 25.4 33.5 26.1 34.6 24.9 33.5 26.0 33.7 74.0 79.4 91.2 93.9 154.1 154.1 14.3 14.7 14.7 14.9 26.1 34.1 26.0 34.6 25.8 34.7 26.7 34.9 84.6 155.3 8.1 8.4 8.5 7.7 8.0 8.6 8.8 8.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23.2 49.2 68.1 100.6 129.9 -80.7 132.0 -63.9 135.8 -35.1 3.1 -5.1 126.6 -131.7 135.1 129.7 132.0 -126.6 -108.8 142.9 D-7 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-8 • National Data March 1998 Table 3.3—State and Local Government Receipts and Current Expenditures Table 3.2.—Federal Government Receipts and Current Expenditures [Billions of dollars] [Billions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1996 1997 III Receipts Personal tax and nontax receipts Income taxes Estate and gift taxes Nontaxes .. Corporate profits tax accruals .... Federal Reserve banks Other Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Excise taxes Customs duties Nontaxes Contributions for social insurance Current expenditures Consumption expenditures Transfer payments (net) To persons To the rest of the world (net) Grants-in-aid to State and local governments . .. Net interest paid Interest paid To persons and business To the rest of the world Less: Interest received by government Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises Subsidies Less: Current surplus of government enterprises Less: Wage accruals less disbursements Current surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts Social insurance funds Other , Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1997 IV II I III 774.4 751.1 695.7 674.8 717.5 697.2 746.9 725.0 767.9 744.1 781.9 758.5 800.8 776.7 17.5 20.6 18.4 17.7 19.3 21.1 20.7 21.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 1945 20.1 196.7 192.0 204.9 207.7 219.3 20.1 20.4 20.9 21.2 21.7 174.4 176.6 171.7 184.0 186.5 197.7 2.7 2.7 95.8 56.4 19.2 20.2 91.3 58.7 19.7 12.9 91.5 55.7 20.2 15.5 110.2 59.6 16.8 33.7 88.2 56.5 18.6 13.2 92.2 59.0 20.5 12.7 92.4 59.0 20.9 12.6 92.3 60.4 19.0 13.0 610.5 645.9 614.8 622.0 635.3 641.5 648.2 658.6 1,698.1 1,752.2 1,698.2 1,718.8 1,730.8 1,746.0 1,752.6 1,779.4 463.9 454.0 453.6 458.0 464.2 464.7 468.5 763.5 747.2 795.5 782.2 761.5 749.7 777.3 754.4 785.9 775.5 791.4 780.5 794.5 784.5 810.3 788.5 16.3 13.3 11.9 22.9 10.5 10.8 10.0 21.8 218.3 227.1 253.1 181.8 224.2 230.2 254.5 71.3 218.7 217.5 219.6 222.5 224.2 226.6 253.4 179.5 231.8 256.1 176.7 228.9 253.2 168.7 229.8 254.4 163.3 231.2 255.1 161.2 74.0 79.4 84.6 91.2 93.9 230.6 231.0 255.4 26.0 24.3 26.9 24.3 24.4 24.6 23.9 24.3 37.7 33.1 38.4 34.2 37.4 33.1 38.5 33.4 38.4 33.8 38.1 34.3 37.9 34.3 39.0 34.5 -4.6 -4.1 -4.2 -5.1 -4.7 -3.9 -5.6 -4.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -110.5 55.3 -165.8 63.7 -99.5 -77.1 -55.5 58.2 60.6 58.7 -157.8 -137.7 -114.2 -36.8 -10.8 60.4 64.4 -97.2 -75.2 1996 III 686.7 666.8 451.5 1997 1,598.6 1,641.6 1,675.3 1,709.3 1,741.8 1,587.6 2.5 1996 IV 71.3 Receipts Personal tax and nontax receipts Income taxes Nontaxes Other Corporate profits tax accruals .... Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Sales taxes Property taxes Other Contributions for social insurance Federal grants-in-aid Current expenditures Consumption expenditures Transfer payments to persons ... Net interest paid Interest paid Less: Interest received by government Less: Dividends received by government Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises Subsidies Less: Current surplus of government enterprises Less: Wage accruals less disbursements Current surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts Social insurance funds Other 1,043.4 1997 IV II I III IV 1,046.7 1,054.9 1,070.9 1,080.0 1,099.1 200.2 149.1 214.3 159.8 201.7 150.3 205.1 153.1 208.7 155.7 211.3 157.4 216.1 161.2 221.0 165.1 28.8 22.3 31.0 23.5 29.1 22.3 29.6 22.5 30.1 22.9 30.7 23.3 31.3 23.7 31.8 24.0 34.9 34.0 36.4 36.8 38.9 515.1 251.9 204.7 522.0 256.2 206.2 524.0 255.6 207.8 533.0 258.4 209.4 533.4 259.2 211.5 62.7 34.5 508.9 249.8 202.3 528.1 257.4 208.7 509.4 249.6 203.0 56.8 62.0 56.8 58.5 59.6 60.6 65.2 81.4 86.2 82.0 83.1 84.2 85.4 86.8 88.4 218.3 224.2 218.7 217.5 219.6 222.5 224.2 230.6 938.0 982.6 944.2 954.5 966.1 975.1 987.7 1,001.4 730.9 762.9 735.9 743.3 751.7 757.4 766.1 776.3 294.8 311.8 296.6 , 300.6 305.1 309.5 314.0 318.7 -61.7 -65.2 -62.2 -63.0 -64.0 -64.9 -65.6 -66.4 64.6 64.6 64.6 64.7 64.6 64.6 64.6 64.7 126.3 129.9 126.8 127.7 128.6 129.5 130.3 131.0 13.6 14.6 13.7 14.0 14.3 14.7 14.7 14.9 -12.3 .3 -12.2 .3 -12.4 .3 -12.5 .3 -12.3 .3 -12.2 .3 -12.1 .3 -12.4 .3 12.7 12.6 12.8 12.8 12.7 12.5 12.4 12.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 105.3 71.3 341 71.4 102.6 100.4 104.7 104.9 111.4 71.5 31.1 71.4 28.9 71.3 33.5 71.6 33.3 71.4 40.0 71.5 National Data • D-9 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table 3.7.—Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment by Type Table 3.8.—Real Government Consumption Expenditures and Real Gross Investment by Type [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1996 1997 III Seasonally adjusted at annual rates I II III National defense Consumption expenditures Durable goods 2 Nondurable goods Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account construction 3 Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services Gross investment Structures Equipment Nondefense Consumption expenditures Durable goods 2 Nondurable goods Commodity Credit Corporation inventory change ... Other nondurables Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account construction 3 Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services Gross investment Structures Equipment State and local Consumption expenditures Durable goods 2 Nondurable goods Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account construction3 Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services Gross investment Structures Equipment Addenda: Compensation of general government employees3 .... Federal State and local 520.0 523.8 521.6 517.6 516.1 526.1 525.7 527.4 352.8 305.7 350.4 311.0 354.8 309.3 350.6 307.6 343.3 306.4 350.6 311.3 352.1 311.6 22.3 21.0 24.7 20.6 20.6 21.9 20.5 7.9 275.6 7.2 282.9 8.5 276.1 7.2 279.8 7.6 278.2 6.8 282.7 7.2 283.9 355.6 314.8 21.1 71 286 6 135.2 135.9 135.9 134.7 136.8 136.1 135.8 134.8 57.3 83.0 47.0 57.0 90.0 39.4 57.2 83.0 45.5 57.1 87.9 42.9 57.1 84.3 37.0 57.0 89.6 39.3 56.9 91.2 40.5 6.8 6.2 6.6 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.2 57.0 94 8 40 8 63 34.5 30.7 33.1 34.3 172.8 151.7 .9 6.6 175.5 152.9 .8 6.7 173.6 153.1 .6 6.6 171.8 153.7 6 7.2 5.9 139.9 0 6.6 144.2 —.2 6.8 145.5 -.2 6.8 145.9 -.2 7.4 145.9 77.6 77.8 80.6 81.4 81.4 81.2 11.8 52.5 20.6 10.2 10.3 11.3 49.8 22.1 11.3 10.9 11.4 50.7 21.0 11.4 11.5 52.0 21.1 11.2 11.7 52.5 22.6 10.5 12.0 11.8 52.7 20.5 10.9 12.0 52.7 18.1 8.2 9.8 886.7 730.9 928.9 762.9 891.9 735.9 904.7 743.3 917.0 751.7 923.0 757.4 932.3 766.1 15.3 78.2 15.8 80.5 15.4 78.3 15.5 80.3 15.6 81.0 15.7 79.9 15.9 80.3 637.5 666.5 642.2 647.6 655.1 661.8 669.9 943.5 776.3 161 81 0 679.3 547.2 570.6 551.1 555.4 561.1 566.7 573.7 580.8 60.0 38 5 167.2 139.5 27.7 40.2 33.1 38.8 36.3 167.3 145.7 9 57 173.4 152.8 .7 6.8 166.8 144.6 .7 5.2 167.0 146.0 -.4 6.1 139.2 -.1 6.9 145.4 _c ~.<* 5£ 138.7 77.5 81.1 11.2 50.4 21.5 11.3 10.2 c s.'e 9.6 9.9 9.6 56.6 33.7 59.0 37.0 56.8 34.3 57.3 34.9 58.1 36.0 58.7 36.3 59.2 37.0 155.7 128.5 166.0 138.4 156.0 128.6 161.4 133.9 165.2 137.7 165.6 138.0 166.2 138.5 27.3 27.6 27.4 27.4 27.5 27.6 27.7 791.8 217.1 574.7 768.5 213.5 555.0 772.0 212.6 559.4 782.7 217.5 565.2 788.4 217.5 570.9 795.2 217.3 577.9 801 0 2160 5850 , , ., 1. Gross government investment consists of general government and government enterprise expenditures for fixed assets; inventory investment is included in government consumption expenditures. 2. Consumption expenditures for durable goods excludes expenditures classified as investment, except for goods transferred to foreign countries by the Federal Government. 3. Compensation of government employees engaged in new force-account construction and related expenditures for goods and services are classified as investment in structures. The compensation of all general government employees is shown in the addenda. 4. Consumption of fixed capital, or depreciation, is included in government consumption expenditures as a partial measure of the value of the services of general government fixed assets; use of depreciation assumes a zero net return on these assets. I IV II III IV Government consumption expenditures and 1,257.9 1,269.7 1,261.5 1,261.8 1,260.5 1,270.1 1,273.4 1,274.7 gross investment ! 464.2 457.0 465.7 459.6 452.8 460.1 458.8 456.4 Federal 303.9 270.3 309.4 273.9 National defense Consumption expenditures Durable goods 2 Nondurable goods Services . Compensation of general government employees, except force-account construction3 Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services . . .. Gross investment Structures Equipment 317.8 275.5 308.7 273.0 319.4 278.1 21.8 20.4 24.1 20.2 20.0 21.2 19.9 20.6 7.2 246.5 6.6 245.8 7.8 246.3 6.2 247.8 6.6 243.5 6.3 246.3 6.9 246.6 6.6 246.9 117.2 112.9 117.2 115.4 114.5 113.3 113.0 111.0 51.4 78.0 42.3 50.4 83.0 35.7 51.3 77.9 41.4 51.0 81.6 39.2 50.8 78.4 33.5 50.5 83.0 35.4 50.3 83.9 36.7 50.0 86.6 37.1 4.9 5.0 36.5 30.6 35.8 33.7 28.2 30.3 31.7 32.0 Nondefense Consumption expenditures Durable goods 2 Nondurable goods Commodity Credit Corporation inventory change ... Other nondurables Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account3 construction Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services Gross investment Structures Equipment 146.1 125.3 1.1 5.1 147.9 127.6 1.1 6.1 146.0 124.6 1.1 4.7 145.7 125.1 .s!i 148.5 127.7 1.2 6.0 150.2 128.2 1.2 6.0 148.0 127.8 1.0 5.9 144.8 126.6 1.1 6.4 5.4 119.1 -.1 6.2 120.5 -.4 5.1 118.9 -.2 5.3 119.1 0 6.0 120.6 -.2 6.1 121.1 -.2 6.1 120.9 -.2 6.6 119.2 61.3 61.2 61.7 61.4 61.6 61.9 61.5 60.0 10.8 47.4 21.0 10.0 11.1 11.3 48.5 20.3 11.0 47.2 20.6 10.0 10.7 11.1 48.3 20.8 11.2 48.6 22.2 11.3 48.7 20.3 11.5 48.5 17.9 11.9 10.8 46.7 21.6 10.0 11.9 State and local Consumption expenditures Durable goods 2 Nondurable goods .. Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account3 construction Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services Gross investment Structures Equipment 793.7 653.6 812.7 666.6 795.9 655.7 802.3 657.8 14.4 71.5 14.8 74.1 14.5 71.8 14.6 72.5 14.7 73.2 14.8 73.8 567.9 577.9 569.6 570.9 573.5 479.9 486.9 481.5 482.0 483.5 Residual 763.9 212.8 551.0 1997 1996 III IV Government consumption expenditures and 1,406.7 1,452.7 1,413.5 1,422.3 1,433.1 1,449.0 1,457.9 1,470.9 gross investment ' Federal 1997 1996 1997 IV Addenda: Compensation of general government employees3 .... rsdsrai State and local 5.6 r\ —.c. 5.0 8.8 5.4 313.6 274.4 5.4 g 5.0 4.9 310.3 273.6 311.3 274.2 9.8 9.1 9.3 6.9 11.3 13.8 11.2 11.6 807.7 810.1 661.1 664.3 814.7 668.6 818.3 672.5 14.9 74.4 15.0 75.1 576.0 579.5 582.7 485.4 488.2 490.5 52.0 37.4 53.4 39.4 52.2 37.3 52.6 37.9 52.9 38.8 53.2 39.0 53.5 39.6 53.8 40.2 140.1 112.8 146.1 117.4 140.1 112.6 144.5 116.6 146.6 118.4 145.8 117.2 146.1 117.2 145.8 116.8 27.4 28.8 27.6 28.0 28.3 28.6 29.1 29.3 -2.1 -2.9 -2.4 -2.2 -2.1 -3.1 -3.0 -3.8 661.9 178.9 483.2 664.6 174.6 490.5 664.0 179.4 484.9 662.3 177.2 485.4 663.2 176.5 487.1 664.1 175.6 489.0 666.2 175.0 491.7 664.7 171.4 494.0 NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines, excluding the lines in the addenda. See footnotes to table 3.7. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-10 • National Data March 1998 Table 3.10.—National Defense Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment Table 3.11.—Real National Defense Consumption Expenditures and Real Gross Investment [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1996 1997 III National defense consumption expenditures and gross investment ' Consumption expenditures Durable goods2 Aircraft Missiles Ships Vehicles Electronics Other durable goods Nondurable goods Petroleum products Ammunition Other nondurable goods .... Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account construction3 Military Civilian Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services Research and development Installation support Weapons support Personnel support Transportation of material Travel of persons Other Gross investment Structures Equipment Aircraft Missiles Ships Vehicles Electronics Other equipment Addendum: Compensation of general 3 government employees .... 1996 1997 IV I II III 352.8 350.4 354.8 350.6 343.3 350.6 352.1 355.6 305.7 311.0 309.3 307.6 306.4 311.3 311.6 314.8 Consumption expenditures 22.3 21.0 9.6 3.0 .7 .9 2.5 4.2 7.9 7.2 3.4 1.1 3.4 2.9 1.3 3.0 275.6 282.9 21.1 21 1 21.9 20.5 24.7 20.6 20.6 9.2 100 9.2 10.1 10.0 9.2 10.6 3.2 30 2.8 3.1 3.0 3.8 2.8 .7 .7 .6 .7 .6 1.3 g 1.2 .9 .77 .8 1.1 22.44 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.9 £3 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.4 4.8 5.0 7.2 6.8 7.1 7.2 7.6 8.5 3.0 4.1 2.5 3.1 3.0 3.0 11.55 1.1 1.1 .7 1.5 1.1 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.6 3.3 276.1 279.8 278.2 282.7 283.9 286.6 134.7 136.8 136.1 135.8 86.2 48.5 87.1 49.7 86.7 49.4 86.8 49.0 1348 134.8 86 86.33 48 48.55 57.2 83.0 57.1 87.9 57.1 84.3 57.0 89.6 56.9 91.2 57 57.00 94 94.88 24.2 28.3 5.4 18.8 26.2 26.4 25.8 25.9 27.5 26.7 25.9 27.9 30.77 30 26.7 26.7 6.7 23.5 23.5 135.2 135.9 85.8 49.4 86.7 49.1 135.9 86.3 49.5 57.3 83.0 57.0 90.0 23.5 27.4 27.5 26.8 6.3 19.0 4.7 4.3 6.8 22.4 4.4 3.8 -2.1 -1.6 47.0 39.4 6.8 40.2 9.3 4.1 6.8 .9 3.6 15.5 135.2 6.2 33.1 5.8 3.0 6.1 1.2 3.3 13.7 135.9 4.7 4.2 -2.6 45.5 6.6 38.8 7.6 4.3 6.6 .9 4.0 15.5 135.9 8.0 20.5 5.9 20.2 6.9 22.4 7.7 23.3 Nondurable goods Petroleum products Ammunition Other nondurable goods .... Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account construction3 Military Civilian Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services Research and development Installation support Weapons support Personnel support Transportation of material Travel of persons Other -1.9 -1.8 -2.0 -1.5 44.66 3.7 -1 -1.11 42.9 37.0 39.3 40.5 40.8 40.8 Gross investment 6.3 Structures .... 4.7 4.1 6.6 36.3 5.9 3.7 6.3 .8 3.2 16.3 134.7 4.5 3.9 6.3 30.7 4.7 2.9 5.6 1.0 3.3 13.2 136.8 4.2 3.9 6.2 33.1 4.0 3.4 6.7 1.3 3.4 14.3 136.1 4.1 3.7 6.2 34.3 6.8 2.9 6.4 1.3 3.3 13.5 135.8 34.5 34.5 77.55 29 2.9 55.88 11.22 33.11 140 14.0 134 g 134.8 fixed 1. Gross government investment consists of general government and government enterprise expenditures for fixed assets; inventory investment is included in government consumption expenditures. 2. Consumption expenditures for durable goods excludes expenditures classified as investment, except for goods transferred to foreign countries. 3. Compensation of government employees engaged in new force-account construction and related expenditures for goods and services are classified as investment in structures. The compensation of all general government employees is shown in the addendum. 4. Consumption of fixed capital, or depreciation, is included in government consumption expenditures as a partial measure of the value of the services of general government fixed assets; use of depreciation assumes a zero net return on these assets. Durable goods 2 Aircraft Missiles Ships Vehicles Electronics Other durable goods Equipment Aircraft Missiles Ships Vehicles Electronics Other equipment Residual Addendum: Compensation of general government employees 3 .... 317.8 308.7 275.5 273.0 20.4 21.8 9.3 9.4 3.4 3.1 .7 .8 .9 .9 2.7 2.7 4.6 3.9 7.2 6.6 3.1 2.8 1.1 1.0 3.2 2.8 246.5 245.8 1997 1996 III National defense consumption expenditures and gross investment ' 9.7 3.2 .9 1.0 2.6 5.0 1997 IV I IV II 319.4 313.6 303.9 309.4 278.1 274.4 270.3 24.1 10.2 20.2 4.0 1.2 1.1 3.0 4.6 8.9 3.1 c 20.0 8.9 2.J '.£ li 2.4 2.6 4.4 3.8 7.8 6.2 6.6 3.7 2.4 2.6 1.0 .6 1.3 3.4 3.1 2.8 246.3 247.8 243.5 III IV 310.3 311.3 273.6 274.2 21.2 19.9 20.6 9.8 8.9 9.8 3 3.2 3.0 -J .7 .6 !9 .7 .6 2.8 2.8 2.5 4.0 3.7 4.0 6.3 6.9 6.6 2.9 3.1 2.5 9 g 1.3 2.B sio 2.9 246.3 246.6 246.9 273.9 117.2 76.9 40.4 112.9 74.9 38.2 117.2 76.7 40.6 115.4 76.1 39.4 114.5 75.5 39.0 113.3 74.8 38.6 113.0 74.9 38.2 111.0 74.4 36.9 51.4 78.0 50.4 83.0 51.3 77.9 51.0 81.6 50.8 78.4 50.5 83.0 50.3 83.9 50.0 86.6 23.5 24.9 5.7 17.2 27.0 24.2 6.0 19.6 24.3 25.6 26.0 23.8 7.1 18.1 25.7 23.5 5.2 17.7 27.1 24.2 6.1 19.8 25.4 25.2 6.7 20.5 29.9 23.9 5.8 20.3 4.7 4.1 -1.9 42.3 5.6 36.5 7.1 4.4 6.1 .8 4.4 14.1 -.6 4.3 3.5 -1.4 35.7 5.0 30.6 4.9 3.0 5.4 1.0 4.5 12.3 -1.5 -1.0 4.6 3.8 -1.6 39.2 5.4 33.7 5.0 4.0 5.6 .7 4.2 14.7 -.9 4.4 3.6 -1.6 33.5 5.0 28.2 4.0 2.9 4.9 .9 4.3 11.8 -.5 4.1 3.6 -1.7 35.4 4.9 30.3 3.3 3.4 5.9 1.1 4.6 12.7 -1.3 4.0 3.4 -1.3 36.7 4.9 31.7 5.9 2.9 5.6 1.1 4.5 12.0 -.9 4.6 3.4 -1.0 37.1 5.0 32.0 6.5 2.8 5.1 1.0 4.4 12.5 -1.4 117.2 112.9 117.2 115.4 114.5 113.3 4.9 17.0 4.6 4.0 -2.3 41.4 5.4 35.8 6.4 4.5 5.9 .7 5.0 13.9 113.0 111.0 NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines, excluding the line in the addendum. See footnotes to table 3.10. National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 D-ll 4. Foreign Transactions. Table 4.1.—Foreign Transactions in the National Income and Product Accounts Table 4.2.—Real Exports and Imports of Goods and Services and Receipts and Payments of Factor Income [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1997 j 1996 III IV 1996 1997 I II III Receipts from the rest of 1,099.0 1,153.4 1,170.4 1,221.9 1,235.2 the world 1,105.1 Exports of goods and services ... 870.9 958.0 863.7 904.6 922.2 960.3 965.8 983.8 1 Goods" 617.5 686.5 609.7 640.5 656.2 690.0 691.1 708.7 481.7 415.8 438.8 455.9 486.3 485.6 499.0 Durable 421.2 Nondurable 204.8 193.9 201.6 200.3 203.7 205.4 209.7 196.3 l Services 253.3 271.5 254.0 264.2 266.0 270.3 274.8 275.1 2343 235.4 248.8 248.2 261.6 269.4 Receipts of factor income Capital grants received by the 0 0 United States (net) 0 0 0 0 0 0 Payments to the rest of 1 1051 the world 1,099.0 1,153.4 1,170.4 1,221.9 1,235.2 Imports of goods and services ... 965.7 1,058.8 977.6 993.2 1,021.0 1,049.0 1,077.1 1,088.0 l Goods 809.0 888.7 820.2 834.6 855.8 880.1 905.6 913.5 Durable 533.6 589.8 540.3 541.3 563.4 583.8 603.2 608.8 Nondurable 275.5 299.0 279.8 293.3 292.5 296.3 302.4 304.7 165.2 168.9 171.6 174.5 156.7 170.0 157.5 158.6 Services l Payments of factor income 232.6 242.3 245.6 262.5 282.3 290.1 36.9 39.4 47.4 35.2 Transfer payments (net) 35.4 36.5 49.0 39.8 18.2 16.7 18.5 17.9 15.9 17.0 17.6 From persons (net) 15.9 22.9 10.0 21.8 From government (net) . 13.3 10.5 10.8 16.3 11.9 8.7 8.7 7.8 7.7 8.3 7.7 8.1 From business 7.6 -156.4 -132.9 -148.4 -146.0 -168.9 Net foreign investment -132.9 1. Exports and imports of certain goods, primarily military equipment purchased and sold by the Federal Government, are included in services. Beginning with 1986, repairs and alterations of equipment were reclassified from goods to services. 1997 1996 III IV Exports of goods and services Goods1 Durable Nondurable Services ' Receipts of factor income Imports of goods and services Goods1 Durable Nondurable Services l Payments of factor income 857.0 628.4 463.3 169.1 229.9 214.2 971.5 823.1 569.9 253.5 149.0 210.2 1997 IV 851.4 901.1 623.0 666.2 460.8 494.0 166.4 177.0 229.4 236.8 214.8 226.0 1,110.0 990.2 1,006.6 947.7 841.7 857.5 670.9 582.6 596.6 279.8 259.4 261.6 163.5 149.3 150.0 218.1 219.8 963.6 725.2 553.4 180.6 242.3 I II III IV 922.7 686.2 517.0 176.0 238.9 224.6 1,048.9 891.3 630.8 263.3 158.4 234.0 962.5 725.8 555.8 179.2 240.8 236.3 1,099.1 938.4 660.7 280.1 161.8 250.8 973.0 731.8 559.8 181.1 245.0 242.5 1,137.1 972.7 688.5 287.2 165.8 256.9 996.4 757.0 580.8 186.1 244.5 1,154.9 988.4 703.6 288.6 168.0 1. Exports and imports of certain goods, primarily military equipment purchased and sold by the Federal Government, are included in services. Beginning with 1986, repairs and alterations of equipment are reclassified from goods to services. NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-12 • National Data March Table 4.3—Exports and Imports of Goods and Services by Type of Product Table 4.4.—Real Exports and Imports of Goods and Services by Type of Product [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1996 1997 III Exports of goods and services Exports of goods ' Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials Durable goods Nondurable goods Capital goods, except automotive Civilian aircraft, engines, and parts ..... Computers, peripherals, and parts . . . Other Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts Consumer goods, except automotive Durable goods Nondurable goods Other Durable goods Nondurable goods Exports of services l Transfers under U.S. military agency sales contracts Travel Passenger fares Other transportation Royalties and license fees Other private services Other Imports of goods and services Imports of goods l Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials, except petroleum and products Durable goods Nondurable goods Petroleum and products Capital goods, except automotive Civilian aircraft, engines, and parts Computers, peripherals, and parts Other Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts Consumer goods, except automotive Durable goods Nondurable goods Other Durable goods Nondurable goods Imports of services l Direct defense expenditures ... Travel Passenger fares Other transportation Royalties and license fees Other private services Other Addenda: Exports of agricultural goods 2 Exports of nonagricultural goods Imports of nonpetroleum goods 1996 1997 IV I II III IV 904.6 922.2 960.3 965.8 983.8 686.5 863.7 609.7 640.5 656.2 690.0 691.1 708.7 51.0 55.1 55.8 51.1 48.6 49.6 54.9 141.0 152.7 139.5 145.9 147.4 154.0 155.3 154.2 51.0 90.1 55.1 97.7 51.0 88.5 51.9 94.0 53.2 94.3 55.7 98.3 55.5 99.8 55.9 98.3 253.1 294.5 246.8 265.3 275.9 296.9 298.4 306.7 30.8 41.4 26.8 36.7 39.6 45.5 36.3 44.2 870.9 958.0 617.5 55.5 43.7 49.5 43.5 43.3 46.3 50.1 52.6 48.9 178.6 203.6 176.5 185.2 190.0 201.3 209.5 213.6 65.0 73.7 66.2 67.0 70.9 73.4 73.1 77.1 70.1 35.8 34.3 32.7 16.3 16.3 77.5 40.0 37.5 37.1 18.5 18.5 69.4 35.5 33.9 32.7 16.3 16.3 72.9 37.8 35.1 33.5 16.8 16.8 75.3 38.1 37.2 35.6 17.8 17.8 78.9 41.2 37.7 38.2 19.1 19.1 77.0 39.8 37.2 37.7 18.8 18.8 78.9 40.8 38.1 36.9 18.4 18.4 253.3 271.5 254.0 264.2 266.0 270.3 274.8 275.1 13.5 69.9 20.6 27.2 30.0 72.2 19.9 13.6 73.6 21.3 29.0 31.6 81.0 21.5 12.8 70.6 20.9 26.9 30.0 72.4 20.4 14.9 72.7 21.1 28.6 30.8 75.2 20.8 12.3 74.5 21.3 28.2 30.9 77.7 21.0 14.0 72.6 21.2 28.8 31.9 80.2 21.5 14.2 74.1 21.5 29.2 31.8 82.5 21.6 14.0 73.1 21.1 29.7 31.8 83.5 21.8 965.7 1,058.8 977.6 993.2 1,021.0 1,049.0 1,077.1 1,088.0 888.7 820.2 834.6 809.0 35.7 39.7 35.8 125.2 135.1 127.1 63.1 62.1 72.7 69.2 65.9 72.1 64.7 62.4 76.2 229.0 254.1 855.8 880.1 905.6 913.5 36.7 38.0 40.0 40.5 40.1 128.7 130.7 134.3 137.6 137.8 64.9 63.8 82.2 65.7 65.0 76.7 70.3 67.3 70.4 71.2 66.6 70.4 69.4 64.9 71.0 227.4 231.4 237.3 251.7 262.5 264.9 12.7 16.7 13.0 14.0 13.6 15.5 19.0 18.5 61.5 70.1 61.7 62.8 65.5 70.5 73.6 70.8 154.9 167.3 152.7 154.6 158.2 165.6 169.9 175.6 128.9 141.3 133.7 128.9 142.2 138.3 143.7 141.1 171.0 192.9 173.2 181.2 192.0 89.3 81.7 46.4 23.2 23.2 98.4 94.5 53.5 26.8 26.8 91.2 82.0 46.7 23.4 23.4 92.4 87.0 47.2 23.6 23.6 93.2 88.0 49.6 24.8 24.8 98.0 94.1 52.8 26.4 26.4 98.8 96.3 55.8 27.9 27.9 156.7 170.0 157.5 158.6 165.2 168.9 171.6 174.5 10.9 48.7 15.8 28.5 11.4 53.3 17.5 29.8 11.1 47.7 15.7 28.9 10.9 49.0 16.2 28.7 11.2 52.3 17.1 29.3 11.4 52.6 17.2 30.0 11.5 53.0 17.6 29.9 11.5 55.3 18.2 30.1 7.3 38.9 6.6 8.5 42.7 6.9 8.6 38.9 6.7 7.1 40.0 6.8 7.6 40.9 6.8 8.4 42.4 6.8 195.1 8.8 43.9 6.9 203.1 103.6 99.6 56.0 28.0 28.0 9.1 43.5 6.9 61.8 57.3 56.4 549.3 578.7 598.9 633.5 632.9 647.3 743.9 752.4 779.1 809.1 835.2 843.1 58.3 60.4 556.0 628.2 736.3 816.6 61.5 179.4 58.1 61.3 1. Exports and imports of certain goods, primarily military equipment purchased and sold by the Federal Government, are included in services. Beginning with 1986, repairs and alterations of equipment are reclassified from goods to services. 2. Includes parts of foods, feeds, and beverages; of nondurable industrial supplies and materials; and of nondurable nonautomotive consumer goods. Exports of goods and services Exports of goods ' Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials Durable goods Nondurable goods . Capital goods, except automotive Civilian aircraft, engines, and parts ... Computers, peripherals, and parts .... Other .. . Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts Consumer goods, except automotive .... Durable goods Nondurable goods . . Other Durable goods Nondurable goods Exports of services ' . . Transfers under U.S. military agency sales contracts Travel Passenger fares Other transportation Royalties and license fees Other private services Other Residual imports of goods and services Imports of goods l Foods, feeds and beverages Industrial supplies and materials, except petroleum and products Durable goods Nondurable goods Petroleum and products Capital goods, except automotive .... Civilian aircraft, engines, and parts ... Computers, peripherals, and parts .... Other Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts Consumer goods, except automotive .... Durable goods Nondurable goods Other Durable goods Nondurable goods . Imports of services l Direct defense expenditures Travel Passenger fares .. . Other transportation Royalties and license fees .. . Other private services Other Residual Addenda: Exports of agricultural goods2 Exports of nonagricultural goods Imports of nonpetroleum goods 857.0 963.6 628.4 725.2 44.0 43.8 121.9 132.5 44.8 77.1 48.8 83.7 310.4 388.2 27.0 97.2 35.0 62.4 67.3 34.9 32.4 31.5 15.8 15.8 70.1 73.8 38.5 35.3 36.8 18.4 18.4 145.9 203.3 242.0 229.9 242.3 12.2 62.6 18.7 25.8 27.4 67.0 16.3 12.3 64.0 20.0 27.5 28.5 74.1 16.4 -27.7 -59.1 971.5 1,110) 823.1 947.7 32.3 35.5 114.2 123.3 57.3 56.8 63.8 61.7 61.5 67.0 294.5 377.5 11.2 14.1 118.3 177.6 118.8 165.3 170.3 217.5 129.9 188.6 86.6 78.7 43,2 21.6 21.6 97.6 91.0 50.3 25.1 25.1 149.0 163.5 10.1 44.6 14.9 27.6 6.7 39.2 11.4 50.5 15.7 28.9 7.6 43.3 6.0 6.3 -22.2 -50.0 48.6 1996 1997 49.3 581.3 679.5 757.8 880.9 1997 III IV I II III IV 851.4 623.0 42.8 121.3 45.4 76.0 305.8 23.3 100.3 202.4 63.5 66.5 34.5 32.0 31.6 15.8 15.8 229.4 901.1 666.2 47.2 126.6 46.3 80.4 337.2 31.8 106.8 217.2 64.1 69.8 36.8 33.0 33.0 16.5 16.5 236.8 922.7 686.2 43.2 127.6 46.9 80.8 356.1 33.7 122.3 224.7 67.6 71.8 36.8 35.0 35.1 17.6 17.6 238.9 962.5 725.8 40.9 133.5 49.1 84.5 388.7 38.7 142.5 238.7 69.8 75.2 39.7 35.5 37.8 18.9 18.9 240.8 973.0 731.8 42.7 134.3 48.9 85.4 396.0 30.6 160.7 249.4 69.5 73.2 38.4 34.8 37.5 18.7 18.7 245.0 996.4 757.0 48.3 134.4 50.3 84.2 412.1 37.2 158.2 255.3 73.3 74.9 39.2 35.7 36.7 18.4 18.4 244.5 11.6 62.9 19.1 25.4 27.3 67.0 16.2 -29.9 990.2 841.7 32.5 13.5 64.4 18.8 26.7 28.0 69.3 16.2 -32.4 1,0065 857.5 33.2 11.1 65.3 20.7 26.5 28.0 71.4 16.3 -42.8 1,04® 891.3 34.2 12.6 63.4 19.4 27.2 28.8 73.5 16.3 -55.9 1,099 938.4 35.3 12.8 64.6 19.9 27.8 28.6 75.4 16.4 -70.3 1,1371 972.7 36.2 12.7 62.8 20.2 28.3 28.5 76.0 16.5 -67.1 1,150 988.4 36.1 116.9 58.8 58.1 67.5 298.6 11.4 121.5 179.1 123.1 167.6 88.6 78.9 43.6 21.8 21.8 149.3 10.3 43.0 15.0 28.0 7.8 39.3 6.1 -22.4 117.7 59.1 58.5 64.0 319.6 12.2 130.2 191.8 118.7 173.9 90.0 83.9 44.0 22.0 22.0 150.0 10.0 44.7 15.1 27.4 6.4 40.3 6.2 -29.1 118.3 59.1 59.2 62.2 340.3 11.7 144.4 202.8 131.0 176.5 91.5 84.9 46.4 23.2 23.2 158.4 11.0 49.1 15.7 28.1 6.9 41.4 6.3 ^7.0 123.3 61.7 61.6 68.1 369.4 13.2 165.2 214.5 127.6 187.6 97.0 90.5 49.6 24.8 24.8 161.8 11.2 49.9 15.3 28.9 7.6 42.9 6.3 -47.3 125.5 62.2 63.2 69.2 393.4 16.1 183.7 221.2 132.0 191.0 98,2 92.7 52.4 26.2 26.2 165.8 11.7 50.6 15.6 29.1 7.9 44.7 6.3 -55.9 126.0 63.9 61.9 68.6 406.8 15.5 187.9 231.4 129.1 199.4 103.6 95.8 52.8 26.4 26.4 168.0 11.5 52.3 16.1 29.5 8.1 44.1 6.3 -59.6 46.8 51.7 47.7 47.2 49.5 53.0 578.1 616.0 641.6 682.8 686.1 707.4 772.3 792.7 829.7 870.3 903.7 920.1 NOTE.-Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line following the detail for exports is the difference between the aggregate "exports of goods and services" and the sum of the detailed lines for exports of goods and export of services. The residual line following the detail for imports is the difference between the aggregate "imports of goods and services" and the detailed lines for imports of goods and imports of services. See footnotes to table 4.3. D-13 National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 5. Saving and InvestmentTable 5.1.—Gross Saving and investment [Billions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1996 1997 III Gross saving Gross private saving Personal saving Undistributed corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment . . . . Corporate consumption of fixed capital Noncorporate consumption of fixed capital : Wage accruals less disbursements Gross government saving Federal . Consumption of fixed capital Current surplus or deficit (— ) national income and product accounts State and local Consumption of fixed capital ... Current surplus or deficit (— ) national income and product accounts Capital grants received by the United States (net) Gross investment Gross private domestic investment Gross government investment Net foreign investment Statistical discrepancy Addendum: Gross savina as a Dercentaae of aross national product II I III 1,267.8 1,295.9 1,303.0 1,332.9 1,396.9 1,411.6 1,125.5 239.6 202.1 142.8 1,145.1 1,131.4 1,134.0 1,178.1 1,159.6 224.7 254.0 220.4 215.9 247.0 208.2 211.5 230.0 202.3 212.6 217.6 144.9 140.3 141.8 142.3 156.1 3.3 5.7 3.5 3.6 -2.7 5.9 -2.5 61.8 452.3 230.5 1.1 .. . 1997 IV 227.8 9.6 69.8 63.2 64.4 67.7 69.4 70.3 71.6 475.6 241.2 1.2 455.5 232.2 1.1 462.0 235.2 1.1 467.4 238.0 1.2 472.6 239.7 1.2 478.0 242.4 1.2 484.5 244.7 1.2 150.8 171.6 198.9 71.6 -5.9 71.3 15.9 71.4 218.8 347 251.9 -283 71.2 -99.5 -77.1 177.5 -55.5 182.9 77.2 1004 78.2 1047 1841 79.2 1049 0 0 0 142.3 -39.2 71.2 IV -1105 181.5 76.2 1053 79.5 0 0 1791 76.5 1026 0 71.5 -36.8 60.8 71.6 71.8 -10.8 191.1 79.7 80.8 111 4 0 0 1,216.4 1,243.5 1,268.6 1,323.4 1,308.4 1,207.9 .... 1,116.5 1,240.9 1,149.2 1,151.1 1,193.6 1,242.0 1,250.2 1,277.8 224.3 -132.9 226.0 223.6 225.3 223.3 227.4 227.1 -156.4 -132.9 -148.4 -146.0 -168.9 -59.9 -79.5 -59.5 -64.3 16.6 16.9 16.7 16.8 226.0 -73.5 -103.2 17.4 17.4 Table 5.4.—Private Fixed Investment by Type Table 5.5.—Real Private Fixed Investment by Type [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1997 1996 III Private fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Nonresidential buildings, including farm Utilities Mining exploration, shafts, and wells Other structures Producers' durable equipment . Information processing and related equipment Computers and peripheral equipment ' Other Industrial equipment Transportation and related eauiDment other..!... :.: Residential Structures Single family Multifamily Other structures Producers' durable eauiDment IV I II III 781.4 845.4 798.6 807.2 811.3 836.3 872.0 861.9 215.2 229.9 217.7 227.0 227.4 226.8 232.9 232.5 159.8 174.4 162.5 171.2 174.0 172.1 177.5 174.2 33.3 33.1 32.7 34.1 32.0 33.7 33.2 33.6 16.1 16.0 16.5 16.0 16.1 15.6 16.2 16.0 6.2 566.2 195.1 6.4 615.5 212.2 6.0 580.9 201.1 5.8 580.2 200.3 5.3 583.9 202.8 5.5 609.5 208.4 5.9 639.1 219.5 8.8 629.4 218.0 78.7 85.3 80.9 81.0 81.8 84.5 88.1 86.8 116.3 127.5 126.9 134.8 120.3 128.2 119.3 127.9 121.0 127.7 123.9 134.9 131.3 137.5 131.2 138.9 134.5 109.1 149.1 119.5 140.0 111.5 140.1 111.9 137.7 115.7 147.1 119.1 159.9 122.2 151.5 121.0 309.2 327.2 313.5 312.0 316.2 324.6 329.3 338.9 305.9 162.2 304.4 160.6 316.7 162.5 321.4 163.1 301.7 159.1 319.3 163.7 308.3 161.0 331.0 168.1 20.3 22.8 19.2 20.1 21.9 23.0 22.3 24.0 122.3 132.8 124.5 123.7 125.3 131.2 135.9 138.8 7.5 7.9 7.5 7.6 7.9 7.9 8.0 1997 7.9 1996 III IV 1,090.7 1,172.6 1,112.0 1,119.2 1,127.5 1,160.8 1,201.3 1,200.8 1. Includes new computers and peripheral equipment only. 1996 1997 Private fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Nonresidential buildings, including farm Utilities Mining exploration, shafts, and wells Other structures Producers' durable equipment Information processing and related equipment Computers and peripheral equipment! Other Industrial equipment Transportation and related eQuioment Other Residential Structures Single family Multifamily Other structures Producers' durable equipment Residual 1997 IV I II III IV 1,041.7 1,122.2 1,060.9 1,068.7 1,079.0 1,111.4 1,149.3 1,149.2 771.7 846.8 789.3 800.8 808.9 837.0 874.5 866.6 188.7 195.2 190.0 196.9 195.9 193.5 196.7 194.5 140.0 148.3 141.7 148.4 150.1 147.1 150.1 145.8 29.3 28.1 28.7 29.5 27.5 28.7 28.0 28.2 13.9 13.2 14.1 13.8 13.6 13.0 13.4 13.0 5.1 7.5 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.1 4.6 4.7 586.0 657.7 602.9 606.7 616.6 649.3 685.3 679.7 253.1 305.9 264.3 270.4 281.4 296.9 320.5 324.9 160.8 116.3 117.0 225.3 127.2 123.1 170.0 120.3 117.6 182.4 119.3 116.9 195.8 121.5 116.8 216.1 124.4 123.5 240.5 131.5 125.6 248.8 131.5 126.6 125.0 100.8 137.4 109.5 129.5 102.8 129.7 102.5 127.5 106.1 136.0 109.1 146.8 112.1 139.5 110.8 272.1 279.6 274.1 271.1 273.3 278.2 280.1 286.7 265.0 136.6 272.1 136.8 266.9 138.3 263.9 136.2 265.9 136.2 270.8 136.5 272.6 135.7 279.1 138.9 18.6 20.2 17.5 18.0 19.6 20.4 19.6 21.0 110.2 115.7 111.5 110.0 110.5 114.4 117.9 119.9 7.1 7.5 7.2 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.5 ^39.4 -75.6 -43.7 -50.3 -58.2 -70.0 -S4.6 -89.8 1. Includes new computers and peripheral equipment only. NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula ior the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-14 • National Data March 1998 Table 5.10.—Change in Business Inventories by Industry Table 5.11.—Real Change in Business Inventories by Industry [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 Change in business inventories Farm Nonfarm Change in book value Inventory valuation adjustment Manufacturing Durable goods Nondurable goods Wholesale trade Durable goods Nondurable goods Merchant wholesalers .... Durable goods Nondurable goods Nonmerchant wholesalers Durable goods Nondurable goods Retail trade Durable goods Motor vehicle dealers .... Other Nondurable goods Other Durable goods Nondurable goods 1997 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1997 1996 1996 III IV I II III IV 37.1 5.8 31.3 33.8 31.9 3.2 28.7 32.6 66.1 3.9 62.2 44.5 81.1 6.2 74.9 57.5 48.9 8.1 40.9 38.2 T™ 8.5 -2.4 -5.1 11.2 15.3 10.6 23.1 14.4 10.2 13.4 9.7 .4 .9 -7.7 3.3 21.8 4.7 2.5 11.8 .8 10.0 -12.4 2.4 18.1 -6.0 4.2 1.9 ^10.0 .5 8.1 -12.1 -3.9 13.3 6.8 6.4 10.1 -5.5 15.6 11.7 ^3.2 14.8 17.7 22.3 12.9 9.3 24.3 15.4 8.9 18.9 12.3 6.6 17.4 30.9 19.1 11.8 26.0 23.5 2.4 18.4 18.6 -.2 2.6 15.8 10.3 5.5 15.8 4.0 11.8 15.1 4.3 10.9 .3 .6 -.3 21.2 14.6 11.9 2.7 6.6 2.5 -.5 2.9 -1.6 -2.3 .8 1.1 -3.3 -5.3 2.0 4.4 4.3 .8 3.4 5.4 3.1 2.3 .6 1.4 -2.9 4.2 -.8 15.2 ,2.1 13.0 7.6 4.9 2.7 8.3 2.4 -4.0 6.4 5.9 9.8 1.8 8.0 .7 -.3 1.0 3.0 1.7 -.6 2.3 1.3 6.3 2.6 3.7 25.9 2.9 23.0 28.2 .9 .6 .3 4.1 1.9 -1.6 3.5 2.3 5.0 2.3 2.6 68.3 6.6 61.7 50.4 3.7 1.8 1.9 7.3 5.4 4.$ 2.0 9.4 1.9 7.5 61-4 23.5 1 1 .3 12 3 21-0 4.1 19.9 4.8 15 -1 1.1 "7 1 8 17.5 16.1 10 6 15 J-jj 1 u 5.5 NOTF—Estimates for nonfarm industries other than manufacturino and trade for 1986 and earlier oeriods are based on the 1972 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC). Manufacturing estimates for 1981 and earlier periods and trade estimates for 1966 and and earlier periods are based on the 1972 SIC; later estimates for these industries are based on the 1987 SIC. The resulting discontinuities are small. Change in business inventories .... Farm Nonfarm Manufacturino Durable goods Nondurable goods Wholesale trade Durable goods Nondurable goods Merchant wholesalers Durable goods Nondurable aoods Nonmerchant wholesalers Durable goods Nondurable goods Retail trade Durable goods Motor vehicle dealers Other Nondurable goods other Durable aoods Nondurable goods Residual 25.0 2.6 22.5 9.9 9.7 .4 4.0 2.4 1.6 3.2 1.8 1.3 .8 .6 .3 4.0 1.7 -1.4 3.3 2.3 4.5 2.1 2.4 -.4 1996 1997 65.7 8.0 57.8 21.7 12.8 8.9 20.6 11.3 9.1 17.1 9.6 7.4 3.5 1.7 1.8 6.9 4.9 .7 4.3 1.9 8.6 1.6 7.0 0 1997 III IV I II III IV 37.9 6.5 31.6 14.3 13.8 .8 -5.0 4.5 -9.0 -5.2 3.9 -6.7 .3 .5 -.2 20.0 13.3 10.6 2.5 6.5 2.3 -.4 2.8 -.7 32.9 6.4 26.5 12.3 6.6 5.7 9.4 -5.2 13.9 10.9 -3.0 13.3 -1.5 -2.3 .6 .9 -3.0 -4.7 1.8 4.1 3.9 .7 3.2 .5 63.7 5.3 58.3 20.9 12.3 8.5 22.9 14.8 8.1 17.8 11.8 6.0 5.1 3.0 2.1 .6 1.2 -2.5 3.9 -.7 13.7 1.8 12.0 .2 77.6 7.5 70.1 29.0 18.2 10.8 24.6 22.7 2.3 17.5 17.9 -.1 7.2 4.8 2.5 7.7 2.0 -3.7 5.9 5.8 8.9 1.5 7.5 -1.0 47.5 9.5 38.3 14.8 9.9 5.0 14.9 3.8 10.8 14.3 4.1 9.9 .6 -.3 .9 2.8 1.5 -.6 2.1 1.3 5.7 2.3 3.4 0 74.0 9.8 64.4 22.3 10.8 11.3 19.8 4.0 15.3 18.7 4.7 13.6 1.1 -.7 1.7 16.5 14.7 9.5 5.1 1.4 5.9 .9 5.2 .7 NoiE.-Chained (1992) dollar series for real cha ige in business inventories are calculated as the period-to-period change in chained-dollar end-of-period inventories. Quarterly changes in end-of-period inventories are stated at annual rates. Because the formula for the chain-typ e quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines. See no e to table 5.10. D-15 National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table 5.12.—Inventories and Domestic Final Sales of Business by Industry Table 5.13.—Real Inventories and Real Domestic Final Sales of Business by Industry [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted quarterly totals 1996 III l Inventories Farm Nonfarm Durable goods Nondurable goods Manufacturing Durable goods Nondurable goods Wholesale trade Durable goods Nondurable goods Merchant wholesalers Durable goods Nondurable goods Nonmerchant wholesalers Durable goods Nondurable goods Retail trade Durable goods Motor vehicle dealers Other Nondurable goods Other Durable goods Nondurable goods Final sales of domestic business2 ... Final sales of goods and structures of domestic business2 Ratio of inventories to final sales of domestic business Inventories to final sales Nonfarm inventories to final sales Nonfarm inventories to final sales of goods and structures 1,287.1 106.0 1,181.2 675.6 505.5 436.3 271.4 164.9 300.3 186.6 113.6 257.9 161.9 Seasonally adjusted quarterly totals 1996 1997 IV 1,294.5 102.6 1,191.9 675.2 516.7 440.3 273.7 166.6 300.8 184.9 116.0 258.6 160.7 I 1,306.1 107.2 1,198.9 684.4 514.5 443.3 277.0 166.3 306.2 188.7 117.5 263.4 163.9 II III 1,334.1 109.1 1,225.0 697.0 528.0 453.5 283.2 170.3 316.1 195.0 121.2 271.4 169.0 98.2 102.4 1,318.1 107.7 1,210.4 693.2 517.2 448.0 280.7 167.3 310.8 194.4 116.4 266.6 168.4 IV 1,342.1 108.1 1,234.0 702.8 531.2 456.8 285.5 171.4 318.6 195.1 123.6 274.3 169.4 104.8 96.0 42.4 24.8 17.6 97.9 42.3 24.1 18.1 99.5 42.8 24.9 17.9 44.2 26.1 18.2 44.7 25.9 18.8 44.4 25.6 18.8 312.5 168.8 313.0 167.7 313.3 168.7 313.2 167.7 314.7 168.0 318.0 171.3 85.5 83.3 83.9 83.9 83.6 85.1 80.9 86.7 80.7 87.3 82.9 88.4 143.6 132.1 145.3 137.7 144.6 136.1 145.6 138.3 146.7 140.7 146.7 140.5 48.7 83.4 48.9 88.8 50.0 86.2 50.5 87.9 50.8 89.9 50.9 89.6 533.1 542.6 550.0 556.2 565.2 570.8 285.9 289.9 294.1 296.1 301.1 301.9 2.41 2.22 2.39 2.20 4.13 4.11 2.37 2.18 4.08 2.37 2.18 2.36 2.17 2.35 2.16 4.09 4.07 4.09 1. Inventories are as of the end of the quarter. The quarter-to-quarter change in inventories calculated from current-dollar inventories in this table is not the current-dollar change in business inventories (CBI) component of GDP. The former is the difference between two inventory stocks, each valued at their respective end-of-quarter prices. The latter is the change in the physical volume of inventories valued at average prices of the quarter. In addition, changes calculated from this table are at quarterly rates; whereas, CBI is stated at annual rates. 2. Quarterly totals at monthly rates. Final sales of domestic business equals final sales of domestic product less gross product of households and institutions and of general government and includes a small amount of final sales by farm. 1 Inventories Farm Nonfarm Durable goods Nondurable goods Manufacturing Durable goods Nondurable goods Wholesale trade Durable goods Nondurable goods Merchant wholesalers Durable goods Nondurable goods Nonmerchant wholesalers Durable goods Nondurable goods Retail trade Durable goods Motor vehicle dealers Other Nondurable goods Other Durable goods Nondurable goods Residual Final sales of domestic business2 Final sales of goods and structures of domestic business2 .. Ratio of inventories to final sales of domestic business Inventories to final sales Nonfarm inventories to final sales Nonfarm inventories to final sales of goods and structures 1997 III IV I II III IV 1,200.7 100.9 1,099.3 634.3 464.9 406.6 259.3 147.5 280.1 179.2 101.1 240.1 155.1 1,208.9 102.5 1,105.9 634.0 471.7 409.7 260.9 148.9 282.4 177.9 104.6 242.8 154.3 1,224.8 103.8 1,120.5 641.5 478.8 414.9 264.0 151.1 288.1 181.6 106.6 247.3 157.3 1,244.2 105.7 1,138.0 652.5 485.4 422.1 268.6 153.8 294.3 187.3 107.2 251.7 161.8 1,256.1 108.0 1,147.6 656.8 490.6 425.8 271.0 155.0 298.0 188.3 109.9 255.2 162.8 1,274.6 110.5 1,163.7 664.5 499.0 431.4 273.7 157.8 303.0 189.3 113.7 259.9 164.0 85.3 39.9 24.2 15.8 88.6 39.5 23.6 16.0 90.1 40.8 24.3 16.5 90.1 42.6 25.5 17.1 92.6 42.8 25.5 17.3 96.0 43.0 25.3 17.7 292.4 153.2 292.7 152.4 292.8 152.7 294.7 153.2 295.4 153.6 299.5 157.3 75.7 77.5 74.5 78.0 73.9 79.0 73.0 80.4 72.8 81.0 75.2 82.3 138.9 120.1 140.0 121.1 139.8 124.5 141.2 126.7 141.5 128.2 141.9 129.7 42.3 77.7 42.5 78.4 42.9 81.4 43.3 83.3 43.9 84.2 44.1 85.5 .5 484.7 .7 491.1 .7 495.1 .4 498.5 .5 505.0 .6 508.7 268.2 271.8 274.5 275.6 280.0 280.6 2.48 2.27 2.46 2.25 2.47 2.26 2.50 2.28 2.49 2.27 2.51 2.29 4.10 4.07 4.08 4.13 4.10 4.15 1. Inventories are as of the end of the quarter. Quarter-to-quarter changes calculated from this table are at quarterly rates, whereas, the change in the business inventories component of GDP is stated at annual rates. 2. Quarterly totals at monthly rates. Final sales of domestic business equals final sales of domestic product less gross product of households and institutions and of general government and includes a small amount of final sales by farm. NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar inventory series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the average of the end-of-year fixed-weighted inventories for 1991 and 1992, divided by 100. Chained (1992) dollar final sales series are calculated as the product of the chain-type index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines for inventories. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-16 • National Data March 1998 6. Income and Employment by Industry. Table 6.16C.—Corporate Profits by Industry Table 6.1C.—National Income Without Capital Consumption Adjustment by Industry [Billions of dollars] [Billions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1996 1997 III National income without capital consumption adjustment Domestic industries Private industries Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Mining Construction . Manufacturing Durable goods Nondurable goods Transportation and public utilities Transportation Communications Electric, gas, and sanitary services Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, insurance, and real estate Services Government Rest of the world IV I II III 6,267.7 6,340.4 6,470.8 6,557.3 6,657.5 6,217.9 6,274.7 6,337.3 6,485.1 6,578.0 6,678.2 5,362.6 5,415.0 5,472.0 5,608.9 5,696.1 5,788.8 469 2852 1 1101 634.5 475.6 1090 46.9 1096 45.0 1108 48.2 1155 49.2 1141 48.0 286.9 291.4 298.2 302.2 307.4 1,120.8 1,122.1 1,134.6 1,160.5 1,187.8 669.7 691.2 642.7 639.4 651.0 478.1 482.8 483.6 490.8 496.6 135.5 471.5 203.0 135.2 477.2 207.6 139.0 131.9 132.0 133.3 130.6 364.8 512.3 372.4 527.7 379.3 533.0 388.7 542.6 4671 1996 137.0 4573 192.3 133.1 130.8 127.7 3491 350.6 506.8 4567 191 0 4593 1350 5037 1,095.3 1 4101 855.3 1.7 1946 1,111.5 1,116.5 1,168.9 1,185.0 1,199.2 1,423.2 1,452.9 1,481.1 1,500.1 1,523.7 859.7 -7.0 865.2 3.1 1997 1996 III 6,219.6 1056 1996 1997 876.2 881.9 889.4 -14.3 -20.7 -20.7 IV Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Domestic industries Financial . Nonfinancial Rest of the world Receipts from the rest of the world . . Less: Payments to the rest of the world Corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment Domestic industries Financial Federal Reserve banks Other Nonfinancial Manufacturing Durable goods Primary metal industries Fabricated metal products Industrial machinery and equipment Electronic and other electric equipment Motor vehicles and equipment Other Nondurable goods Food and kindred products .... Chemicals and allied products Petroleum and coal products Other Transportation and public utilities Transportation Communications Electric, gas, and sanitary services Wholesale trade Retail trade Other Rest of the world 1997 IV I II III IV 735.9 739.6 747.8 779.6 795.1 827.3 640.0 647.8 640.3 682.2 694.4 727.5 942 545.8 553.3 561.7 94.6 78.5 106.8 107.7 109.3 575.4 586.7 618.2 95.9 91.8 107.5 1327 36.7 133.4 142.6 139.9 148.3 150.5 41.6 35.0 42.5 47.5 50.6 674.1 676.4 683.4 711.9 725.7 757.1 578.2 103.5 584.6 575.8 614.5 624.9 657.2 104.0 116.5 117.5 119.4 88.1 22.0 81.5 474.7 2055 990 5.6 22.0 82.0 22.3 65.8 97.4 22.8 93.7 100.8 23.2 94.3 99.9 23.7 95.7 480.7 487.8 498.0 507.4 537.8 210.5 209.7 208.2 221.0 240.4 99.7 101.3 111.8 102.9 128.1 7.0 3.9 5.1 7.6 5.6 17.1 18.0 18.1 17.4 18.4 20.8 ?58 P56 246 240 278 325 239 25.2 -1.5 28.6 29.6 -8.3 30.6 31.4 -1.3 25.9 33.3 ^3.5 30.2 36.7 -3.2 29.8 1065 28.5 31.2 100 368 91.7 11.7 .4 30.0 107.7 109.9 106.9 109.2 112.3 28.8 342 280 282 291 315 10.0 37.3 91.2 28.9 11.9 34.9 90.5 288 299 300 12.4 37.7 91.5 10.3 40.8 89.6 12.4 40.9 90.0 130 11 4 149 164 169 44.0 38.3 37.6 40.6 37.7 34.8 44.3 47.4 506 483 903 90.6 91.9 30.8 42.4 49.5 54.9 92.4 33.4 39.8 54.1 489 33.8 42.8 49.0 55.1 94.2 95.9 91.8 107.5 97.4 100.8 99.9 360 NOTE— Estimates in this table are based on the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification. 57 9 95.3 D-I7 National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 7. Quantity and Price Indexes. Table 7.1.—Quantity and Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product [Index numbers, 1992=100] Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted 1996 Gross domestic product: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index ... Implicit price deflator Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Durable goods: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index ... Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Nondurable goods: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index ... Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Services: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index ... Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Gross private domestic investment: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Fixed investment: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index ... Chain-type price index ........ Implicit price deflator Nonresidential: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index ... Implicit price deflator Structures: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Producers' durable equipment: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Residential: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index ... Implicit price deflator 1997 1996 1997 1996 III IV I II III IV 1996 III Exports of goods and services: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator 1997 IV I II III IV 122.29 110.95 110.22 110.21 129.41 115.14 112.45 112.40 122.93 111.20 110.59 110.54 124.80 112.38 111.10 111.05 127.05 113.73 111.78 111.71 128.66 114.66 112.27 112.22 130.10 115.53 112.67 112.62 131.83 116.64 113.08 113.02 123.41 111.71 110.47 110.47 130.06 115.39 112.72 112.71 123.88 111.81 110.80 110.79 125.79 112.72 111.61 111.60 128.10 114.18 112.21 112.20 128.73 114.45 112.49 112.48 130.99 116.03 112.91 112.89 132.41 116.91 113.26 113.25 129.88 125.09 103.83 103.83 134.92 132.12 102.16 102.12 129.87 125.25 103.72 103.69 130.64 126.32 103.45 103.41 134.77 130.55 103.27 103.24 131.92 128.75 102.50 102.46 136.60 134.31 101.74 101.71 136.37 134.88 101.14 101.11 116.11 108.36 107.15 107.15 120.45 110.36 109.15 109.14 116.38 108.48 107.29 107.28 118.03 109.03 108.26 108.25 120.09 110.29 108.90 108.89 119.45 109.70 108.89 108.88 121.10 110.87 109.24 109.23 121.15 110.59 109.56 109.55 Imports of goods and services: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator 144.36 158.27 146.14 148.47 152.63 156.81 161.02 162.64 145.22 165.93 148.03 150.48 156.80 164.30 169.98 172.64 99.41 95.51 98.76 98.75 97.42 95.52 94.81 94.29 99.40 95.39 98.73 98.66 97.34 95.44 94.73 94.21 126.10 110.86 113.76 113.76 134.34 114.79 117.04 117.04 126.78 110.93 114.29 114.28 129.07 111.99 115.26 115.25 131.15 113.05 116.02 116.01 133.17 114.13 116.70 116.69 135.27 115.22 117.42 117.41 137.77 116.75 118.02 118.01 Imports of goods: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index ... Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator 148.49 163.12 150.53 153.18 157.07 161.53 166.21 167.66 151.06 173.94 154.49 157.37 163.58 172.24 178.53 181.40 98.30 93.92 97.47 97.42 96.11 93.87 93.18 92.51 98.29 93.78 97.44 97.34 96.02 93.78 93.10 92.42 141.26 135.26 104.50 104.43 156.99 151.27 104.12 103.78 145.38 139.21 104.63 104.44 145.63 139.77 104.50 104.19 151.01 145.39 104.23 103.86 157.12 151.45 104.07 103.75 158.17 152.40 104.11 103.78 161.66 155.84 104.06 103.74 Imports of services: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index ... Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator 126.23 120.06 105.13 105.13 137.01 131.75 104.02 104.00 133.13 127.64 104.31 104.30 136.09 130.41 104.37 104.36 138.23 133.58 103.49 103.48 140.60 135.35 103.90 103.88 139.22 132.97 104.70 104.70 149.67 143.25 104.51 104.49 141.94 135.42 104.85 104.82 142.86 136.41 104.75 104.73 143.91 137.73 104.52 104.49 148.17 141.86 104.47 104.45 153.34 146.70 104.55 104.52 153.27 146.69 104.51 104.49 111.31 99.54 111.83 111.83 114.95 111.84 112.54 113.40 100.47 99.83 99.85 99.74 114.47 112.07 112.76 113.74 114.42 112.04 112.71 113.69 114.66 100.50 114.14 114.09 115.37 100.77 114.54 114.49 116.39 100.86 115.44 115.39 140.07 151.53 143.15 144.69 145.43 149.90 156.30 154.50 138.33 151.79 141.48 143.54 145.00 150.03 156.75 155.35 101.26 99.86 101.21 100.82 100.31 99.93 99.73 99.47 101.26 99.83 101.18 100.80 100.29 99.91 99.71 99.46 127.22 135.89 128.66 134.16 134.40 134.05 137.65 137.45 111.51 115.36 112.32 116.40 115.79 114.39 116.26 114.98 114.09 117.84 114.58 115.30 116.11 117.23 118.44 119.58 114.09 117.80 114.55 115.26 116.07 117.19 118.40 119.54 145.67 158.34 149.45 149.27 150.23 156.80 164.42 161.93 150.77 169.22 155.10 156.09 158.63 167.05 176.32 174.87 96.62 93.62 96.38 95.65 94.72 93.88 93.27 92.61 96.62 93.58 96.36 95.63 94.70 93.86 93.25 92.60 137.10 120.64 113.64 113.64 145.07 123.95 117.03 117.04 138.97 121.51 114.37 114.36 138.33 120.18 115.10 115.10 140.16 121.17 115.68 115.68 143.90 123.36 116.65 116.65 146.01 124.19 117.57 117.56 150.23 127.10 118.21 118.20 NOTE.— Chain-type quantity and price indexes are calculated from weighted averages of the detailed output and prices used to prepare each aggregate and component. Implicit price deflators are weighted averages of the detailed price indexes used to prepare each aggregate and component and are calculated as the ratio of current- to chained- 1997 Exports of goods: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index ... Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator ...\ 136.19 134.03 101.61 101.61 149.83 150.71 99.38 99.42 135.07 141.48 144.22 150.18 151.05 153.86 133.15 140.92 144.30 150.53 152.17 155.83 101.47 100.35 99.90 99.72 99.21 98.69 101.44 ,100.39 99.95 99.77 99.26 98.74 137.63 153.00 135.89 142.75 146.26 153.78 154.02 157.95 140.05 161.63 138.85 148.48 152.94 161.76 163.11 168.73 98.27 94.61 97.89 96.06 95.55 94.99 94.35 93.54 98.27 94.66 97.86 96.14 95.63 95.07 94.43 93.62 Exports of services: Chain-type quantity index ... Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Government consumption expenditures and gross investment: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Federal: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index ... Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator National defense: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index ... Implicit price deflator Nondefense: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index ... Implicit price deflator State and local: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index ... Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator 132.81 120.51 110.21 110.21 142.35 127.04 112.04 112.05 133.14 120.28 110.70 110.70 126.89 120.29 105.50 105.49 138.49 124.14 111.55 111.56 127.76 120.90 105.69 105.68 139.43 125.27 111.29 111.30 141.70 126.25 112.23 112.24 144.05 128.46 112.12 112.14 144.23 128.20 112.49 112.51 98.49 99.21 98.79 98.03 97.75 99.64 99.56 99.88 87.92 86.56 88.21 87.04 85.76 87.14 86.89 86.44 112.03 114.73 112.05 112.74 114.10 114.46 114.71 115.67 112.02 114.61 111.99 112.62 113.98 114.34 114.58 115.55 93.87 93.25 94.41 93.29 91.37 93.29 93.70 94.63 84.56 82.15 85.00 83.44 80.86 82.33 82.58 82.84 111.02 113.65 111.16 111.94 113.14 113.46 113.62 114.37 111.02 113.50 111.07 111.80 112.99 113.31 113.47 114.23 109.90 113.93 109.58 109.72 113.52 115.31 114.04 112.84 96.01 97.16 95.93 95.69 97.54 98.71 97.27 95.11 114.47 117.33 114.25 114.72 116.44 116.87 117.30 118.70 114.47 117.26 114.23 114.66 116.39 116.82 117.24 118.65 120.51 107.88 111.71 111.71 126.25 110.46 114.31 114.30 121.22 108.17 112.07 112.07 122.96 109.04 112.77 112.76 124.63 109.78 113.54 113.52 125.44 110.10 113.95 113.94 126.70 110.73 114.44 114.43 128.24 111.22 115.32 115.30 dollar output multiplied by 100. Percent change from preceding period for items in this table are shown in table 8.1. (Contributions to the percent change in real gross domestic product are shown in table 8.2). SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-18 • National Data March 1998 Table 7.2.—Quantity and Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product, Final Sales, and Purchases Table 7.4.—Chain-Type Quantity and Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product [Index numbers, 1992=100] [Index numbers, 1992=100] Seasonally adjusted 1996 Gross domestic product: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Final sales of domestic product: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Gross domestic purchases: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Final sales to domestic purchasers: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Addenda: Chain-type price indexes for gross domestic purchases: Food Energy Gross domestic purchases less food and energy 1997 Seasonally adjusted 1997 1996 1996 III IV I II III IV 122.29 110.95 110.22 110.21 129.41 115.14 112.45 112.40 122.93 111.20 110.59 110.54 124.80 112.38 111.10 111.05 127.05 113.73 111.78 111.71 128.66 114.66 112.27 112.22 130.10 115.53 112.67 112.62 131.83 116.64 113.08 113.02 122.01 110.64 110.28 110.28 128.46 114.14 112.55 112.55 122.47 110.70 110.65 110.63 124.43 111.93 111.17 111.16 126.13 112.77 111.85 111.85 127.51 113.47 112.37 112.37 129.47 114.80 112.78 112.78 130.74 115.50 113.19 113.19 123.22 112.17 109.86 109.85 130.41 116.76 111.77 111.69 124.16 112.77 110.15 110.10 125.62 113.46 110.79 110.72 128.03 115.09 111.32 111.24 129.47 116.14 111.55 111.48 131.27 117.38 111.90 111.83 132.87 118.41 112.29 112.21 122.95 111.86 109.91 109.91 129.46 115.76 111.86 111.84 123.71 112.28 110.20 110.18 125.25 113.02 110.85 110.83 127.11 114.14 111.39 111.37 128.32 114.96 111.65 111.62 130.63 116.66 112.00 111.98 131.78 117.28 112.40 112.37 109.42 112.21 109.98 111.02 111.35 111.79 112.67 113.03 107.01 107.46 106.72 109.23 110.89 105.91 106.16 106.86 110.06 111.94 110.34 110.86 111.36 111.81 112.10 112.48 NOTE.—Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in table 8.1. Table 7.3.—Quantity and Price Indexes for Gross National Product and Command-Basis Gross National Product [Index numbers, 1992=100] Gross national product: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index . Implicit price deflator . . . . Less: Exports of goods and services and receipts of factor income: Chain-type quantity index Plus: Command-basis exports of goods and services and receipts of factor income: Chain-type quantity index Equals: Command-basis gross national product: Chain-tvoe auantitv index 12463 11227 111 06 111 01 12660 11337 111 73 111 67 12810 114.21 112.22 112.17 12954 11508 112.62 11257 12210 11081 11019 11018 12260 11095 11055 11050 13788 13724 14506 14760 154.24 156.43 14035 14023 14707 15074 159.72 16232 111.12 111.32 112.52 113.76 114.89 115.81 NOTE.—Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in table 8.1. 1996 1997 III Chain-type quantity indexes Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Motor vehicles and parts Furniture and household equipment Other Nondurable goods Food Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil Fuel oil and coal Other Services Housing Household operation Electricity and gas Other household operation Transportation Medical care Other Chain-type price indexes Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Motor vehicles and parts Furniture and household eQuioment Other Nondurable goods Food Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil Fuel oil and coal Other Services Housing Household operation Electricity and gas ... . Other household operation Transportation Medical care Other Addenda: Price indexes for persona! consumption expenditures: Food J Energy personal consumption expenditures less food and enerav 1997 IV I II III IV 111,71 115.39 111.81 112.72 114.18 114.45 116.03 116.91 125.09 132.12 125.25 126.32 130.55 128.75 134.31 134.88 111.82 112.70 111.06 110.19 112.83 107.82 115.39 114.75 142.35 122.72 108.36 104.51 118.70 107.02 97.19 110.16 110.86 108.25 116.65 110.55 121.17 123.11 106.42 112.64 156.47 131.55 110.36 104.54 123.21 108.83 91.34 115.06 114.79 110.36 118.90 109.54 125.78 128.25 110.10 118.73 143.80 122.66 108.48 104.14 120.09 107.01 96.86 110.55 110.93 108.48 115.15 107.74 120.61 123.64 106.67 112.84 146.18 125.98 109.03 104.39 119.73 107.69 94.75 112.37 151.75 131.48 110.29 105.25 122.88 107.56 86.25 114.07 111,99 108.97 117.51 110.47 122.71 124.64 107.81 113.91 113.05 109.52 116.02 106.82 122.79 126.10 108.93 116.15 154.35 129.70 109.70 104.28 121.39 108.95 92.53 113.98 114.13 110.09 118.51 110.55 124.38 127.14 109.61 117.59 159.01 160.77 131.81 133.20 110.87 110.59 104.48 104.16 124.74 123.85 109.05 109.74 95.48 91.09 116.06 116.12 115.22 116.75 110.64 111.20 119.14 121.93 108.60 112.18 126.86 129.09 129.02 130.75 110.45 111.43 119.36 121.81 110.47 112.72 110.80 111.61 112.21 112.49 112.91 113.26 103.83 102.16 103.72 103.45 103.27 102.50 101.74 101.14 112.95 112.94 113.15 113.55 113.84 113.26 112.55 112.11 93.71 106.48 107.15 109.63 98.75 107.44 108.92 108.22 90.29 105.83 109.15 112.54 99.76 107.50 108.72 109.84 93.38 106.26 107.29 110.20 98.08 106.47 105.69 108.57 92.50 91.84 106.14 106.22 108.26 108.90 111.27 111.65 98.56 99.29 109.83 112.13 116.17 116.49 108.67 109.21 113.76 112.43 109.08 106.35 111.01 112.22 117.43 113.69 117.04 115.78 111.32 108.77 113.14 116.56 120.11 117.55 114.29 112.85 109.63 106.92 111.55 112.43 117.72 114.63 115.26 113.60 110.32 107.73 112.16 114.15 118.62 115.76 116.02 114.42 111.37 109.66 112.63 114.88 119.41 116.33 90.84 89.67 88.82 105.64 105.85 105.60 108.89 109.24 109.56 112.09 113.02 113.41 100.37 99.68 99.69 104.77 106.31 106.80 108.78 104.55 105.07 110.08 109.87 110.21 116.70 117.42 118.02 115.34 116.25 117.11 111.05 111.17 111.70 107.98 108.16 109.30 113.21 113.28 113.42 116.14 116.98 118.26 119.88 120.38 120.77 117.20 118.12 118.56 109.63 112.54 110.20 111.27 111.65 112.09 113.02 113.41 106.96 108.15 106.63 109.07 111.11 106.47 107.11 107.92 110.88 113.07 111.21 111.87 112.41 112.97 113.28 113.61 1. Consists of prices for gasoline and oil, fuel oil and coal, and electricity and gas. National Data • D-19 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table 7.6.—Chain-Type Quantity and Price Indexes for Private Fixed Investment by Type [Index numbers, 1992=100] Table 7.9.—Chain-Type Quantity and Price Indexes for Exports and Imports of Goods and Services and for Receipts and Payments of Factor Income [Index numbers, 1992=100] Seasonally adjusted 1996 1997 III Chain-type quantity indexes Private fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Nonresidential buildings, including farm Utilities . Mining exploration, shafts, and wells Other structures Producers' durable equipment Information processing and related equipment Computers and peripheral equipment ' Other Industrial equipment Transportation and related equipment Other Residential Structures Single family Multifamily Other structures .... Producers' durable equipment Chain-type price indexes Private fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Nonresidential buildings, including farm Utilities Mining exploration, shafts, and wells Other structures .. Producers' durable equipment Information processing and related equipment Computers and peripheral equipment ' Other Industrial equipment Transportation and related eau foment Other Residential Structures Single family Multifamily Other structures Producers' durable equipment IV I II III 138.33 151.79 141.48 143.54 145.00 150.03 156.75 155.35 111.51 115.36 112.32 116.40 115.79 114.39 116.26 114.98 123.67 131.01 125.22 131.15 132.58 129.98 132.61 128.86 84.83 81.48 83.23 85.66 79.80 83.07 81.32 81.75 104.18 66.68 99.52 106.20 103.54 102.45 66.52 65.30 61.90 55.98 97.40 100.62 57.50 61.86 97.59 90.74 150.77 169.22 155.10 156.09 158.63 167.05 176.32 174.87 188.61 228.01 196.97 201.54 209.70 221.31 238.88 242.16 365.81 512.64 386.78 414.95 445.54 491.73 547.14 566.15 128.90 141.01 133.29 132.21 134.66 137.85 145.77 145.76 131.01 137.88 131.64 130.91 130.81 138.25 140.67 141.79 145.10 159.48 150.25 150.54 147.92 157.79 170.32 161.90 127.58 138.59 130.11 129.66 134.23 138.07 141.85 140.21 120.64 123.95 121.51 120.18 121.17 123.36 124.19 127.10 120.71 117.22 142.27 122.54 123.95 117.43 153.89 128.66 121.59 118.73 133.41 123.96 120.21 116.95 137.49 122.33 121.13 116.95 149.84 122.86 123.35 117.14 156.03 127.25 124.17 116.45 149.56 131.15 127.16 119.20 160.12 133.37 118.12 124.23 118.83 119.28 122.83 123.91 125.40 124.77 104.70 104.51 104.85 104.75 104.52 104.47 104.55 104.51 101.26 99.86 101.21 100.82 100.31 99.93 99.73 99.47 114.09 117.84 114.58 115.30 116.11 117.23 118.44 119.58 114.14 117.71 114.72 115.38 116.02 117.03 118.33 119.48 113.70 117.77 113.75 115.29 116.17 117.45 118.42 119.05 115.89 120.84 116.56 116.21 118.47 120.25 121.28 123.34 112.33 116.64 112.46 113.43 114.82 116.51 116.93 118.31 96.62 93.62 96.38 95.65 94.72 93.88 93.27 92.61 77.09 69.43 76.06 74.05 72.06 70.16 68.46 67.06 48.98 37.84 47.21 44.10 41.47 38.81 36.41 34.65 100.04 99.74 100.02 100.07 99.65 99.67 99.89 99.75 108.96 109.42 109.06 109.41 109.34 109.23 109,47 109.65 107.56 108.48 108.18 108.03 108.09 108.22 108.97 108.65 108.24 109.11 108.46 109.20 109.05 109.16 108.99 109.25 113.64 117.03 114.37 115.10 115.68 116.65 117.57 118.21 113.88 116.50 109.10 111.02 117.35 119.63 113.27 114.80 114.62 117.27 110.17 111.68 115.36 117.84 111.69 112.50 115.94 118.15 111.87 113.47 116.96 119.05 112.73 114.66 117.91 120.26 113.87 115.29 1996 IV 132.97 143.25 135.42 136.41 137.73 141.86 146.70 146.69 118.58 121.06 114.63 115.78 104.84 105.23 104.94 105.59 106.27 105.27 104.89 104.49 1. Includes new computers and peripheral equipment only. Seasonally adjusted 1997 1996 Chain-type quantity indexes Exports of1 goods and services Goods Durable Nondurable Services J .. Receipts of factor income Imports of1 goods and services Goods Durable Nondurable Services1 Payments of factor income Chain-type price indexes Exports of goods and services Goods l Durable Nondurable Services l Receipts of factor income Imports of1 goods and services Goods Durable Nondurable Services l ... Payments of factor income 134.03 140.05 153.97 114.40 120.51 1997 150.71 161.63 183.91 122.21 127.04 165.78 1997 IV I II III IV 133.15 138.85 153.17 112.57 120.28 140.92 148.48 164.19 119.77 124.14 144.30 152.94 171.81 119.12 125.27 150.53 161.76 184.74 121.23 126.25 152.17 163.11 186.07 122.57 128.46 155.83 168.73 193.04 125.92 128.20 155.79 163.87 162.90 171.33 175.83 155.36 145.22 151.06 164.50 127.78 120.06 1996 III 165.93 173.94 193.66 141.01 131.75 148.03 154.49 168.17 130.74 120.29 150.48 157.37 172.22 131.83 120.90 156.80 163.58 182.08 132.70 127.64 164.30 172.24 190.72 141.15 130.41 169.98 178.53 198.74 144.77 133.58 172.64 181.40 203.09 145.44 135.35 171.97 173.34 184.53 197.73 202.54 101.61 99.38 101.47 100.35 99.90 99.72 99.21 98.69 98.27 94.61 97.89 96.06 95.55 94.99 94.35 93.54 88.77 88.13 90.93 87.03 90.21 87.43 86.69 85.86 116.09 113.26 116.61 113.78 113.67 113.55 113.28 112.55 110.21 112.04 110.70 111.55 111.29 112.23 112.12 112.49 109.36 109.56 110.08 110.49 110.73 111.10 99.41 95.51 98.76 98.75 97.42 95.52 94.81 94.29 98.30 93.92 97.47 97.42 96.11 93.87 93.18 92.51 93.63 87.95 92.74 90.73 89.31 88.36 87.61 86.53 108.65 107.12 107.94 112.34 111.27 105.99 105.47 105.77 105.13 104.02 105.50 105.69 104.31 104.37 103.49 103.90 110.63 111.14 111.81 112.24 112.65 113.00 ment, are included in services. Beginning with 1986, repairs and alterations of equipment are reclassified from goods to services. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-20 • National Data March 1998 Table 7.10.—Chain-Type Quantity and Price Indexes for Exports and Imports of Goods and Services by Major Type of Product [Index numbers, 1992=100] Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted 1996 1997 Chain-type quantity indexes Exports of goods and services Exports of goods J Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials .. .. Durable goods .. .. Nondurable goods Capital goods, except automotive Civilian aircraft, engines, and parts Computers, peripherals, and parts Other Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts Consumer goods, except automotive -.. . . Durable goods Nondurable goods Other Durable goods Nondurable goods Exports of services l Transfers under U.S. military agency sales contracts Travel Passenger fares . . Other transportation Royalties and license fees Other private services Other Imports of goods and services Imports of goods 1 Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials, except petroleum and products Durable goods Nondurable goods Petroleum and products Capital goods, except automotive Civilian aircraft, engines, and parts Computers, peripherals, and parts Other Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts Consumer goods, except automotive Durable goods Nondurable goods Other Durable goods Nondurable goods Imports of services ' Direct defense expenditures ... Travel Passenger fares . . .. Other transportation Royalties and license fees Other private services Other Addenda: Exports of agricultural goods Exports of nonagricultural goods Imports of nonpetroleum cioods NOTE.—See footnotes to table 4.3. 1996 1997 1996 III IV I II III 134.03 150.71 133.15 140.92 144.30 150.53 152.17 140.05 161.63 138.85 148.48 152.94 161.76 163.11 109.04 108.50 106.22 117.01 107.05 101.39 105.81 116.02 126.09 115.44 120.53 121.51 127.10 127.82 121.61 1,32.52 123.20 125.69 127.44 133.28 132.87 113.07 122.71 111.36 117.81 118.39 123.86 125.15 176.29 220.49 173.67 191.52 202.24 220.74 224.90 71.59 92.88 61.81 84.26 89.29 102.57 81.03 337.98 507.42 348.56 371.25 425.35 495.59 558.72 185.57 220.87 184.71 198.17 205.08 ,217.82 227.57 132.62 149.01 135.07 136.33 143.80 148.52 147.80 130.81 131.21 130.37 109.60 109.60 109.60 143.50 145.07 141.83 127.88 127.88 127.88 129.26 129.81 128.68 109.92 109.92 109.92 135,65 138.38 132.80 114.59 114.60 114.59 139.66 138.59 140.75 122.19 122.20 122.19 146.32 149.53 142.95 131.33 131.33 131.33 142.33 144.41 140.13 130.36 130.36 130.35 120.51 127.04 120.28 124.14 125.27 126.25 128.46 111.75 114.43 112.61 108.78 136.87 134.38 109.14 112.96 116.94 120.54 115.85 142.17 148.59 109.74 106.13 114.82 114.88 107.32 136.63 134.48 108.48 124.35 117.69 113.35 112.55 139.76 139.03 108.73 101.68 119.26 124.53 111.72 139.78 143.25 109.21 115.54 115.75 116.59 114.98 143.74 147.40 109.45 117.72 117.95 119.52 117.26 142.94 151.24 109.87 145.22 165.93 148.03 150.48 156.80 164.30 169.98 151.06 173.94 154.49 157.37 163.58 172.24 178.53 116.82 128.46 117.84 120.16 123.78 127.97 131.19 138.73 146.42 131.63 123.72 149.74 157.64 142.43 129.97 142.02 150.17 134.50 130.93 142.95 150.97 135.54 123.98 143.73 150.80 137.18 120.50 149.80 157.53 142.64 132.12 152.42 158.96 146.42 134.16 219.36 281.17 222.42 238.05 253.47 275.14 293.05 88.71 112.22 90.58 96.77 92.67 105.06 127.72 373.29 537.40 383.34 410.89 455.71 521.20 579.68 197.41 241.67 199.06 213.17 225.32 238.34 245.82 129.38 141.54 134.07 129.32 142.67 138.97 143.84 134.78 135.52 133.96 124.65 124.65 124.65 153.76 152.66 154.93 145.19 145.19 145.19 136.62 138.66 134.41 125.92 125,92 125.92 141.81 140.82 142.86 127.07 127.07 127.07 143.88 143.19 144.62 133.79 133.79 133.79 152.92 151.76 154.15 143.13 143.13 143.13 155.69 153.68 157.83 151.38 151.38 151.38 120.06 131.75 120.29 120.90 127.64 130.41 133.58 72.71 115.75 141.57 108.20 131.88 156.64 107.59 82.04 130.89 148.48 113.45 150.42 172.95 112.49 74.42 111.42 142.09 109.77 154.18 157.00 108.64 72.34 115.97 143.35 107.70 126.69 161.19 109.99 79.33 127.31 149.12 110.16 135.99 165.61 111.87 81.05 129.34 144.58 113.41 149.43 171.31 112.06 84.47 131.36 147.33 114.41 156.31 178.47 113.05 110.25 111.98 106.20 117.38 108.28 107.13 112.27 143.68 167.94 142.86 152.24 158.58 168.75 169.57 153.63 178.59 156.57 160.69 168.20 176.44 183.20 Chain-type price indexes Exports of goods and 155.83 services 168.73 Exports of goods ! 119.75 Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and 127.92 materials 136.47 Durable goods 123.44 Nondurable goods Capital goods, except automotive 234.06 Civilian aircraft, engines, 98.62 and parts Computers, peripherals, and 550.01 parts Other 232.99 Automotive vehicles, engines, and parts 155.91 Consumer goods, except 145.67 automotive 147.74 Durable goods . . . 143.49 Nondurable goods 127.64 Other 127.64 . Durable goods 127.64 Nondurable goods 128.20 Exports of services! Transfers under U.S. military 116.89 agency sales contracts 114.79 Travel 121.51 Passenger fares Other transportation 119.46 142.23 Royalties and license fees 152.49 Other private services Other 110.43 Imports of goods and 172.64 services 181.40 Imports of goods ' 130.89 Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials, except petroleum 153.02 and products 163.29 Durable goods 143.46 Nondurable goods 133.09 Petroleum and products Capital goods, except 303.02 automotive Civilian aircraft, engines, 123.44 and parts Computers, peripherals, and 593.02 parts Other 257.20 Automotive vehicles, engines, 140.69 and parts Consumer goods, except 162.54 automotive Durable goods 162.00 163.14 Nondurable goods Other 152.46 Durable goods 152.46 152.46 Nondurable goods 135.35 Imports of services ' 83.30 Direct defense expenditures ... 135.56 Travel 152.88 Passenger fares Other transportation 115.82 159.97 I Royalties and license fees 176.43 Other private services Other .. 112.99 Addenda: Exports of2 agricultural 120.24 goods Exports of nonagricultural 174.84 goods Imports of nonpetroleum qoods 186.53 1996 1997 IV 101.61 99.38 98.27 94.61 1997 III IV 101.47 97.89 100.35 99.90 99.72 99.21 98.69 96.06 95.55 94.99 94.35 93.54 I II III IV 126.27 115.98 128.50 117.48 117.60 117.98 115.48 112.85 115.72 115.34 115.05 115.29 115.52 115.36 115.71 114.78 113.74 112.74 112.30 112.12 113.19 113.30 113.32 111.17" 116.78 116.78 116.58 117.06 116.81 116.48 117.03 116.80 81.56 75.84 80.68 78.60 77.42 76.31 75.28 74.36 114.01 118.34 114.97 115.70 117.81 117.63 118.82 119.09 44.97 87.85 34.07 84.09 43.23 87.16 40.46 85.25 37.77 84.49 35.06 84.28 32.64 83.96 30.81 83.61 104.25 105.12 104.24 104.53 104.92 105.15 105.21 105.21 104.27 102.71 105.95 103.61 103.61 103.61 105.05 103.70 106.50 100.76 100.81 100.81 104.39 102.86 106.05 103.38 103.42 103.42 104.53 102.92 106.27 101.61 101.65 101.65 104.80 103.38 106.32 101.12 101.16 101.16 104.86 103.75 106.05 101.12 101.17 101.17 105.18 103.77 106.72 100.38 100.42 100.42 105.35 103.90 106.91 100.44 100.48 100.48 110.21 112.04 110.70 111.55 111.29 112.23 112.12 112.49 110.18 114.97 106.25 105.63 111.02 109.27 131.28 109.83 112.38 109.73 105.69 109.62 107.95 126.05 109.65 112.89 112.16 107.16 110.14 108.43 128.28 110.56 114.09 102.75 106.69 110.55 108.78 129.06 110.84 114.62 109.52 105.73 110.79 109.16 131.79 109.69 114.78 108.05 105.06 111.15 109.36 131.76 109.63 116.41 104.67 105.05 111.57 109.78 132.49 99.41 95.51 98.76 98.75 97.42 95.52 94.81 94.29 98.30 93.92 97.47 97.42 96.11 93.87 93.18 92.51 111.29 111.60 109.86 105.61 109.41 107.81 122.10 110.72 111.93 110.06 110.71 111.37 113.17 112.05 111.15 109.62 110.07 109.26 113.99 109.60 112.06 107.25 107.97 108.70 109.99 107.49 112.85 109.35 109.86 108.95 128.60 110.46 111.36 109.66 123.38 108.90 112.51 105.41 104.18 109.65 112.95 106.47 101.73 109.38 111.42 107.46 102.58 77.78 67.34 76.05 72.32 69.65 68.05 66.63 65.04 113.54 118.16 114.47 114.99 117.21 117.65 118.63 119.13 52.01 87.18 41.39 76.98 50.65 85.15 48.16 80.62 45.26 78.03 42.64 77.23 40.00 76.79 37.64 75.88 108.57 108.84 108.64 108.67 108.67 108.50 108.90 109.29 103.45 103.06 103.87 107.43 107.43 107.43 102.27 100.85 103.81 106.44 106.44 106.44 103.37 102.90 103.89 107.08 107.08 107.08 103.14 102.61 103.72 107.24 107.24 107.24 102.67 101.84 103.57 107.05 107.05 107.05 102.38 101.00 103.89 106.36 106.36 106.36 102.14 100.57 103.84 106.34 106.34 106.34 101.89 100.00 103.94 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.13 104.02 105.50 105.69 104.31 104.37 103.49 103.90 107.97 109.23 105.58 103.29 109.42 99.25 109.36 100.30 105.69 111.73 103.23 111.02 98.63 108.92 107.94 110.96 104.56 103.32 109.62 98.93 110.20 108.89 109.53 107.13 104.57 110.14 99.08 109.96 101.94 106.66 108.68 104.33 110.55 98.61 109.04 101.45 105.58 112.91 103.88 110.79 98.98 108.74 98.05 104.74 112.86 102.65 111.15 98.34 108.61 99.75 105.76 112.48 102.05 111.57 98.59 109.27 126.61 117.53 128.81 118.80 119.38 118.84 116.80 115.11 95.65 92.44 95.04 93.91 93.31 92.75 92.22 91.47 97.16 92.75 96.32 94.93 93.92 92.98 92.43 91.64 D-21 National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table 7.11.—Chain-Type Quantity and Price Indexes for Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment by Type [Index numbers, 1992=100] Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted 1996 1997 III Chain-type quantity indexes Government consumption expenditures and gross investment1 .. Federal National defense Consumption expenditures Durable goods2 Nondurable goods Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account3 construction Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services Gross investment Structures Equipment Nondefense Consumption expenditures Durable goods 2 Nondurable goods Commodity Credit Corporation inventory change Other nondurables Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account construction3 Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services Gross investment Structures Equipment State and local Consumption expenditures Durable goods2 . . Nondurable goods Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account3 construction Consumption of general government fixed capital4 Other services Gross investment Structures Equipment Addenda: Compensation of general 3 government employees .... Federal State and local . . NOTE.—See footnotes to table 3.7. 1996 1997 1996 IV 1 II III IV 99.54 100.47 99.83 99.85 99.74 100.50 100.77 100.86 87.92 86.56 88.21 87.04 85.76 87.14 86.89 86.44 84.56 86.20 72.27 76.05 88.01 82.15 85.41 67.81 69.90 87.76 85.00 86.99 79.98 82.30 87.94 83.44 85.84 67.04 66.02 88.45 80.86 84.57 66.37 70.26 86.93 82.33 85.69 70.43 66.46 87.94 82.58 85.60 66.16 72.52 88.05 82.84 85.79 68.29 70.34 88.13 81.89 78.91 81.93 80.64 79.99 79.14 78.93 77.58 94.82 92.92 94.57 94.12 94.25 100.28 94.08 98.60 75.34 63.58 73.76 69.89 107.11 95.13 103.75 102.80 71.80 60.05 70.43 66.21 93.62 93.17 92.70 92.19 94.74 100.30 101.42 104.65 59.66 63.13 65.42 66.13 96.54 94.56 93.91 95.52 55.49 59.61 62.26 62.86 96.01 95.37 97.16 97.09 95.93 94.84 95.69 95.21 97.54 97.18 98.71 97.60 97.27 97.24 95.11 96.33 75.08 95.57 86.83 96.67 70.86 95.43 74.38 95.61 83.75 96.75 85.82 97.23 85.41 97.03 92.34 95.69 90.66 90.52 91.20 90.70 91.10 91.42 90.91 88.67 115.70 121.31 116.42 117.80 99.49 101.89 98.03 99.16 100.61 97.48 103.75 99.08 97.44 85.32 96.76 97.41 104.93 113.27 112.70 101.49 119.30 101.47 100.06 94.95 106.77 120.73 122.01 123.19 102.05 102.13 101.89 106.81 97.31 85.73 88.29 90.52 67.54 130.76 105.85 109.70 109.78 109.53 118.18 120.12 108.15 110.10 110.06 119.04 121.18 108.61 107.88 108.28 115.98 117.38 107.08 110.46 110.44 119.47 121.71 108.98 108.17 108.63 116.49 117.92 107.41 109.04 108.98 117.32 119.06 107.66 110.73 110.77 119.90 122.24 109.28 111.22 111.41 120.76 123.30 109.87 105.08 106.62 105.44 105.54 105.87 106.30 106.90 107.41 111.57 138.73 106.03 104.30 114.13 114.41 146.07 110.52 108.58 119.80 111.94 138.20 106.03 104.15 114.91 112.66 140.65 109.35 107.84 116.33 113.37 143.86 110.95 109.49 117.57 114.07 144.66 110.28 108.43 119.08 114.76 146.73 110.52 108.39 120.88 115.43 149.02 110.34 108.03 121.68 98.66 99.07 98.98 98.72 98.87 99.00 99.31 99.09 84.83 82.82 85.07 84.02 83.73 83.27 82.98 81.30 105.06 106.63 105.42 105.54 105.89 106.31 106.91 107.41 1997 1996 III Chain-type price indexes Government consumption expenditures and gross investment1 111.83 114.47 112.07 112.03 114.73 112.05 Federal 111.02 113.65 111.16 National defense Consumption expenditures 110.96 113.97 111.26 2 102.41 102.98 102.60 Durable goods 109.95 108.32 109.14 Nondurable goods 111.78 115.11 112.12 Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account3 115.40 120.33 115.87 construction Consumption of general government 111.40 113.15 '111.61 fixed capital4 106.45 108.50 106.69 Other services 111.22 111.19 110.39 Gross investment 121.50 125.43 122.21 Structures 110.07 109.41 109.00 Equipment 114.47 117.33 114.25 Nondefense 116.32 119.86 116.10 Consumption expenditures Durable goods ~ Nondurable goods . . Commodity Credit Corporation inventory change .. 112.73 111.30 113.82 Other nondurables 116.89 120.73 116.64 Services Compensation of general government employees, except force-account construction 3 126.39 132.60 125.72 Consumption of general government 104.51 104.24 104.40 fixed capital4 106.39 108.10 106.65 Other services Gross investment 102.76 101.46 102.53 113.14 116.63 113.30 Structures 92.16 86.89 91.56 Equipment 111.71 114.31 112.07 State and local 111.84 114.44 112.23 Consumption expenditures 106.39 106.80 106.32 Durable goods 2 Nondurable goods 109.36 108.70 109.07 Services 112.25 115.33 112.75 Compensation of general government employees, except force-account construction3 114.02 117.18 114.45 Consumption of general government fixed 108.74 110.56 108.85 capital4 Other services 90.09 93.80 91.97 113.71 111.34 111.14 Gross investment Structures 113.93 117.95 114.25 Equipment 99.35 95.95 99.09 Addenda: Compensation of general 3 government employees .... 115.42 119.16 115.75 Federal 119.00 124.38 119.08 State and local 114.03 117.18 114.46 1997 IV I II III IV 112.76 113.74 114.14 114.54 115.44 112.74 114.10 114.46 114.71 115.67 111.94 112.16 102.17 116.27 112.96 113.14 113.39 102.89 114.14 114.31 113.46 113.70 103.22 107.47 114.81 113.62 113.95 103.01 105.14 115.17 114.37 114.85 102.81 106.55 116.15 116.76 119.51 120.16 120.26 121.39 111.91 107.82 110.29 123.57 108.67 112.50 107.65 111.26 124.09 109.72 112.78 108.07 111.65 125.35 109.95 113.26 108.71 111.10 126.15 109.19 114.05 109.58 110.76 126.13 108.79 114.72 116.44 116.87 117.30 118.70 116.74 118.80 119.30 119.87 121.47 109.98 110.07 111.40 111.61 112.12 117.48 119.65 120.14 120.73 122.38 126.91 130.91 131.68 132.41 135.40 104.15 107.29 101.99 113.92 90.00 104.08 107.60 101.63 114.63 88.66 103.77 107.92 101.67 116.18 87.56 104.43 108.29 101.24 117.11 86.12 104.69 108.58 101.31 118.61 85.20 112.77 113.01 106.45 110.70 113.43 113.54 113.71 106.42 110.77 114.23 113.95 114.02 106.45 108.30 114.90 114.44 114.58 107.01 107.82 115.60 115.32 115.45 107.32 107.89 116.58 115.24 116.04 116.75 117.52 118.41 108.95 109.84 110.41 110.57 111.40 92.13 92.76 93.05 93.55 95.86 111.69 112.73 113.64 113.78 114.69 114.90 116.36 117.75 118.20 119.49 98.20 97.49 96.39 95.28 94.65 116.59 118.03 118.73 119.38 120.51 120.08 123.26 123.94 124.26 126.05 115.24 116.04 116.75 117.53 118.41 D-22 • National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 2998 Table 7.14.—Chain-Type Quantity and Price indexes for Gross Domestic Product by Sector Table 7.16.—Implicit Price Deflators for Inventories of Business by Industry [Index numbers, 1992=100] [Index numbers, 1992=100] Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted 1996 1996 1997 III 1996 1997 IV I II III IV III Inventories Chain-type quantity indexes Gross domestic product Business ' Nonfarm! Nonfarm less housing Housing Farm Households and institutions ... Private households Nonprofit institutions .. General government2 Federal State and local Business ^ Nonfarm1 Nonfarm less housing Households and institutions ... 107.45 107.77 107.00 106.36 106.74 106.04 106.52 106.49 106.69 106.25 106.12 105.76 108.74 109.53 107.45 106.54 107.62 106.45 97.86 117.81 113.25 114.69 116.18 117.23 118.23 118.80 113.83 115.36 116.99 118.15 119.27 109.59 108.37 109.05 109.53 109.66 109.67 98.71 92.56 92.75 98.07 99.75 98.78 12081 10951 9823 Manufacturing Durable goods Nondurable goods 107.32 107.47 106.84 106.13 106.49 105.89 104.68 104.89 104.92 104.52 104.50 104.28 111.79 111.85 110.06 108.80 109.84 108.57 111.52 114.86 111.96 112.66 113.55 114.40 115.28 11621 100.06 95.64 98.67 95.09 94.77 95.54 95.97 111.96 115.59 112.47 113.33 114.27 115.11 116.02 Wholesale Durable goods 96.28 107.22 106.53 106.26 105.62 106.08 105.17 104.14 103.90 103.91 103.80 103.56 103.06 112.38 110.90 110.16 108.61 110.27 108.66 99.34 99.79 99.63 99.43 99.58 99.72 100.01 87.79 86.02 87.94 87.08 86.80 86.40 86.12 105.65 107.33 106.00 106.18 106.56 107.00 107.61 8474 108 13 110.22 112.45 110.59 111.10 111.78 112.27 112.67 113.08 •MO 10 109.56 111.59 109.95 110.43 111.00 111.45 111.80 111.67 111.14 116.29 122.82 112.00 111.19 114.29 111.36 111.98 112.87 113.90 114.79 11559 11Q79 11544 109.46 109.11 112.48 118.34 111.46 110.96 115.80 122.39 109.76 109.40 112.88 125.11 110.21 109.82 113.63 128.16 110.88 110.47 114.42 121.56 111.29 110.83 115.32 124.35 117 19 120 8^ 119.28 122.61 117.74 NOTE.-See footnotes to table 1.7. Table 7.15.—Current-Dollar Cost and Profit Per Unit of Real Gross Domestic Product of Nonfinancial Corporate Business [Dollars] 1.063 .101 .962 1.064 1.065 1.069 1.072 1.072 .101 .101 .101 .101 .100 .963 .963 .968 .971 .972 108 853 108 855 108 855 .107 .861 107 863 .865 .690 .691 140 040 040 .101 m 141 .101 M? 107 .697 .698 .040 .143 .040 .040 .042 .102 .021 .103 .021 .104 .107 .693 142 144 0?1 .695 149 n?i 1. Equals the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. 105.03 100.15 103.26' 101.90 101.00 Nonfarm Durable goods Nondurable goods 117.52 112.93 114.35 115.92 116.98 117.94 116.82 121.16 116.92 117.71 120.19 120.74 121.11 113.53 116.55 113.93 114.64 11546 116.15 116.86 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies Domestic income Compensation of employees Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits tax liability Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Net interest 107.20 107.08 106.63 105.93 106.21 105.29 Farm 112.99 113.61 107.83 93.75 114.58 118.01 114.89 115.62 116.95 117.60 118.21 Net domestic product IV 112.70 General government2 .. Consumption of fixed capital III 119.26 113.51 117.66 114.29 115.40 115.86 116.84 118.22 111.10 114.17 111.25 111.86 112.77 113.79 114.68 Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of real gross domestic product * II 115.14 111.20 112.38 113.73 114.66 115.53 116 64 Private households Nonprofit institutions Federal State and local I 110.95 Chain-type price indexes Gross domestic product ] 1997 IV Nondurable nood<; Merchant wholesalers Durable goods Nondurable goods Nonmerchant wholesalers Durable goods Nondurable goods 107.39 104.39 112.55 106.18 102.54 111.59 106.48 104.14 110.43 106.86 102.26 113.64 106.50 104.17 110.44 104.87 102.24 108.77 105.93 104.06 109.05 103.79 102.07 106.34 106.35 103.83 110.61 104.50 101.79 108.52 105.52 103.32 109.23 103.09 101.32 105.72 Retail trade Durable goods Motor vehicle dealers Other Nondurable goods 106.85 110.22 112.94 107.50 103.39 106.96 110.06 112.57 107.52 103.80 107.01 110.48 113.16 107.79 103.44 106.28 109.42 110.90 107.83 103.08 106.53 109.38 110.89 107.76 103.64 106.16 108.93 110.26 107.47 103.36 Other Durable goods Nondurable aoods 109.96 113.73 109.34 109.15 109.74 108.39 115.20 115.15 116.40 116.50 115.80 115.50 107.36 113.22 105.81 105.46 106.73 104.83 1- Implicit price deflators are as of the end of the quarter and are consistent with the inventory stocks shown in tables 5.12 and 5.13. National Data • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table 7.17.—Chain-Type Quantity Indexes for Gross Domestic Product by Major Type of Product Table 7.18.—Chain-Type Quantity Indexes for Auto Output [Index numbers, 1992=100] [Index numbers, 1992=100] Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted 1996 1997 Gross domestic product Final sales of domestic product Change in business inventories Goods Final sales Change in business inventories Durable goods Final sales Change in business inventories Nondurable goods Final sales Change in business inventories Services Structures Addenda: Motor vehicle output .... Gross domestic product less motor vehicle output 1996 1997 1996 III IV D-23 I II 1997 1996 III III IV 110.95 115.14 111.20 112.38 113.73 114.66 115.53 116.64 110.64 114.14 110.70 111.93 112.77 113.47 114.80 115.50 114.72 120.95 115.17 116.51 119.31 120.49 121.30 122.69 113.89 118.17 113.83 115.32 116.66 117.19 119.31 119.53 127.97 138.73 130.25 128.64 133.71 139.00 140.14 142.07 124.84 133.87 125.41 127.35 128.97 132.66 136.70 137.14 105.69 108.99 104.94 108.19 109.52 108.07 108.66 109.70 106.32 107.47 105.82 107.01 108.17 106.63 107.49 107.58 108.08 111.14 108.15 109.17 109.76 110.65 111.54 112.60 113.63 116.82 114.19 115.73 116.16 116.27 117.26 117.60 117.55 122.79 120.25 115.23 120.59 117.22 123.72 129.63 110.73 114.88 110.89 112.28 113.50 114.57 115.25 116.20 Auto output Final sales Personal consumption expenditures New autos Net purchases of used autos Producers' durable equipment New autos Net purchases of used autos Net exports Exports Imports Gross government investment Change in business inventories of new and used autos New Used Addenda: Domestic1 output of new autos Sales of imported new autos2 1997 IV I II III IV 98.69 98.63 105.25 93.58 98.45 101.94 98.05 101.44 99.35 99.31 96.09 100.49 99.48 94.84 100.39 97.68 103.07 103.25 102.94 100.38 105.11 95.25 95.88 93.43 93.83 96.91 99.69 106.36 101.84 89.70 100.20 96.70 128.03 132.76 133.95 127.22 136.19 130.82 136.50 127.53 126.10 126.85 133.00 121.72 130.80 126.22 129.36 121.04 112.16 110.85 112.99 110.84 109.44 119.00 106.05 108.89 126.62 140.08 131.31 125.96 143.81 139.60 143.34 133.59 102.75 98.22 89.32 115.71 103.02 82.28 100.78 106.80 110.93 110.20 120.25 103.63 109.88 108.14 114.28 108.49 98.06 107.16 97.64 99.15 108.82 102.63 109.56 107.62 1. Consists of final sales and change in business inventories of new autos assembled in the Unite 2. Consists of personal consumption expenditures, producers' durable equipment, and gross government investment. Table 7.19.—Chain-Type Quantity Indexes for Truck Output [Index numbers, 1992=100] Truck output ' Final sales Personal consumption expenditures Producers' durable equipment Net exports Exports Imports Gross government investment Change in business inventories 1. Includes new trucks only. 144.61 147.62 157.53 141.72 146.38 152.43 147.62 157.14 172.92 156.55 144.35 152.03 150.72 147.96 158.65 168.87 121.78 123.02 118.29 120.90 119.17 11336 12605 13349 181.34 199.57 184.46 190.80 193.20 192.36 202.08 210.64 156.23 185.47 147.53 177.17 175.57 169.89 176.36 220.08 116.45 135.13 125.33 113.92 13314 13075 14562 131 04 91.90 105.16 79.52 82.80 97.68 109.59 120.72 92.66 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-24 • National Data March 1998 8. Supplementary Tables. Table 8.1.—Percent Change From Preceding Period in Selected Series [Percent] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 III Gross domestic product: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars . .. Chain-type quantity index Chain-tvoe orice index Implicit price deflator Durable goods: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Nondurable goods: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Services: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Gross private domestic investment: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Fixed investment: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Nonresidential: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Structures: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Producers' durable equipment: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Residential: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Exports of goods and services: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Exports of goods: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator . Exports of services: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index IV I II III 2.4 Implicit price deflator 3.6 1.0 2.7 2.6 6.2 4.3 1.9 1.9 7.4 4.9 2.4 2.4 5.2 3.3 1.8 1.8 4.6 3.1 1.4 1.4 5.4 3.9 1.4 1.4 5.0 2.6 2.4 2.4 5.4 3.3 2.0 2.0 3.0 .5 2.5 2.5 6.3 3.3 3.0 2.9 7.6 5.3 2.2 2.2 2.0 .9 1.0 1.0 7.2 5.6 15 4.4 3.1 1.3 1.3 4.0 1.4 2.6 2.6 5.7 2.7 2.9 2.9 7.5 7.8 -.2 -.3 8.2 8.3 -.1 -.1 8.1 9.2 -1.0 -1.0 3.9 5.6 -1.6 -1.6 3.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 6.5 35 2.9 2.9 11.1 11.8 -.4 -.6 7.5 7.7 -.2 -.2 8.2 9.7 -1.4 -1.4 -2.6 -1.9 -.6 -.7 1.6 .6 .9 .9 4.9 1.0 3.9 3.9 16.8 16.5 1.2 .3 11.6 10.1 1.4 1.3 16.1 16.5 -.3 -.3 7.3 4.8 2.3 2.3 6.8 3.5 3.3 3.3 14.2 10.0 8.4 8.7 16.9 19.1 -1.9 -1.9 10.9 -2.3 -2.3 8.5 5.9 2.4 2.4 6.4 8.3 -1.8 -1.8 5.8 9.5 ^3.4 -3.4 8.0 5.5 2.4 12.2 -3.1 -3.1 5.8 2.7 3.0 3.0 10.0 12.4 -2.2 -2.2 3.9 3.8 1.0 -4.5 5.7 5.7 -.6 1.9 -2.6 -2.4 11.2 15.4 -2.7 -<3.7 -5.3 -5.1 -3.7 7.2 5.4 1.7 2.5 4.6 .3 4.3 2.4 3.5 -1.0 -1.1 5.8 2.1 3.7 3.7 7.4 3.9 3.4 3.4 .7 1.6 -.5 -.9 2.6 3.0 -.4 -.4 4.4 5.9 13.3 14.1 -.7 -.7 7.2 4.7 2.4 2.4 6.6 3.9 2.6 2.6 15.6 17.1 -1.0 -1.3 3.0 3.9 -.9 -.9 2.1 4.1 -1.5 -1.5 -2.0 -2.0 18.2 15.3 -2.1 .7 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.8 -.5 2.6 2.6 6.7 -3.0 -3.0 -1.8 -4.3 2.6 2.6 ^3.8 -3.8 -8.2 -5.4 -3.0 -3.0 -2.1 -2.1 0# 0 6.3 3.9 2.4 2.4 17.2 17.7 -.6 -.4 12.4 12.6 -.2 -.2 6.5 3.9 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.5 .2 .1 14.7 14.4 .3 .3 11.2 18.7 23.0 -3.5 -3.5 11.1 8.0 9.9 17.6 18.4 7.4 3.4 3.4 -1.8 -1.8 -.7 -.7 21.8 30.7 -7.3 -6.9 10.2 12.6 -2.1 -2.1 222 3.1 5.7 4.3 1.3 1^3 -1.0 -4.1 5.4 3.3 2.0 2.0 2.7 3.7 -.9 15.0 18.4 -2.9 -2.9 18.2 19.2 20.4 25.5 -4.3 -4.1 17.1 13.5 i!s 12.9 14.6 -1.5 -1.5 3.9 3.9 25.1 -2.3 -2.3 6.7 3.2 3.4 1996 -.8 -.8 6.7 4.2 4.2 20.9 24.1 -2.6 -2.6 6.0 2.7 3.2 3.2 2.3 4.4 -2.0 -2.0 .6 3.4 -2.6 -2.6 6.8 7.2 -.4 -.7 1.7 -2.3 -2.3 .2 -1.0 1.2 1.2 7.6 5.4 2.1 2.1 9.1 9.3 -.2 -.2 -.2 0 -.1 -.1 -^.5 -3.5 -1.0 -1.0 -.6 Imports of goods and services: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Imports of goods: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Imports of services: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Implicit price deflator Government consumption expenditures and gross investment: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Federal: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index t National defense: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index Nondefense: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index State and local: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Chain-type price index -4.3 3.9 3.9 -5.9 -4.3 -2.8 -2.8 12.1 9.7 2.2 2.2 7.7 10.0 -2.1 -2.1 10.6 14.5 ^3.4 ^3.4 .5 -.8 1.3 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Implicit price deflator Gross domestic purchases: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Phain-tvnp nrirp inrlpy Implicit price deflator Final sales to domestic purchasers: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Imolicit orice deflator Gross national product: Current dollars Chain-type quantity index Implicit orice deflator Command-basis gross national product: Chain-type quantity index Disposable personal income: Current dollars Chained (1992) dollars 1.7 6.8 9.1 -2.2 -2.2 14.3 -3.9 -4.0 6.8 9.9 -2.8 -2.8 15.1 -4.5 -4.6 6.6 5.5 1.1 1.1 3.8 .5 3.3 3.3 2.1 -1.3 3.4 3.4 2.4 -1.5 9.6 9.9 8.5 9.7 -1.1 -1.1 3.3 .9 2.4 2.3 .7 -1.6 2.4 2.3 -.7 -2.8 3.9 3.9 2.4 2.2 1.4 -.9 2.3 2.3 3.7 1.2 2.5 2.4 4.8 1.6 3.2 3.2 1997 IV III 5.8 3.8 2.0 2.0 4.3 47 -.4 -.4 1997 IV 5.1 2.8 2.3 2.3 NOTE.—Contributions to the percent change in real gross domestic product are shown in table 8.2. 1996 1997 1996 1997 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates I II. III -.9 3.4 -.4 IV 4.3 3.1 8.1 6.5 6.8 0 -.3 11.7 17.9 -5.3 -5.3 11.4 20.5 -7.6 -7.6 11.2 14.6 -3.0 -3.0 -2.2 -2.2 7.2 7.7 -.2 -.4 10.5 16.7 -5.3 -5.3 11.8 22.9 -9.0 -9.0 12.1 15.4 -2.9 -2.9 -2.9 -2.9 4.3 1.2 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.1 .7 .7 17.9 24.2 -5.1 -5.1 1.8 2.5 .1 2.5 2.4 13.2 -4.2 -4.5 8.9 15.7 -5.6 -5.9 -1.1 3.1 3.0 -2.3 -4.2 2.1 1.9 -2.8 -4.6 2.1 1.9 -3.0 -5.2 2.5 2.3 -4.7 -7.1 2.8 2.6 .5 3.1 -.4 3.5 3.5 -1.1 -5.8 4.9 4.9 -8.0 -11.8 4.3 4.3 9.2 8.9 .2 .2 4.5 3.1 1.4 1.4 7.9 6.6 1.3 1.3 8.7 7.5 1.1 1.1 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.5 8.0 6.1 6.1 6.4 4.9 1.5 1.5 4.8 2.4 2.3 2.3 4.4 .7 3.6 3.6 5.9 3.3 2.5 2.5 5.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 5.2 2.8 2.3 2.3 5.3 3.2 2.1 2.1 2.9 .2 2.7 2.7 6.6 4.5 1.9 2.0 5.2 2.9 2.2 2.2 5.8 4.1 1.7 1.7 4.7 2.4 2.4 2.2 5.2 3.0 2.2 2.2 5.3 3.5 1.8 1.8 -1.3 -3.2 -1.0 14.6 6.4 10.1 -3.3 ^3.3 2.5 1.1 1.4 1.4 -.3 -1.1 1.3 4.1 6.4 3.5 6.6 7.0 5.4 1.6 1.6 3.6 .4 3.2 3.2 1.3 -2.1 .9 .9 3.4 3.4 1.8 1.2 .6 .6 4.0 1.3 2.7 2.7 -4.3 -5.7 ^.1 -8.6 1.5 1.5 4.9 4.9 2.6 1.2 1.5 1.5 4.1 2.3 1.7 1.7 4.9 1.8 3.1 3.1 5.6 3.0 2.5 2.5 4.4 2.5 1.9 1.9 6.3 4.7 1.5 1.5 4.0 2.5 1.5 1.5 4.8 2.5 2.4 2.3 7.9 5.9 1.9 1.9 4.6 3.7 .8 .9 5.7 4.3 1.3 1.3 5.0 3.5 1.4 1.4 4.0 1.5 2.4 2.4 5.1 2.7 2.4 2.4 6.1 4.0 2.0 2.0 3.9 2.9 .9 .9 7.4 6.0 1.3 1.3 3.6 2.1 1.4 1.4 50 2.7 2.3 2.3 31 .6 2.6 2.5 fiR 4.9 1.9 1.8 6.5 4.0 2.4 2.4 49 3.0 1,8 1.8 46 3.1 1.4 1.4 28 .8 4.4 4.5 4.0 3.2 5.2 2.7 3.7 .7 6.8 4.6 4.2 3.1 4.1 2.6 4.7 2.3 4.9 2.9 5.8 4.5 D-25 National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table 8.3.—Selected Per Capita Product and Income Series in Current and Chained Dollars Table 8.2.—Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross Domestic Product [Dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1997 Percent change at annual rate: Gross domestic product Percentage points at annual rates: Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross private domestic investment ... Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential Change in business inventories Net exports of goods and services ... Exports Goods . . Services Imports Goods Services Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal National defense Nondefense '. State and local II I IV III Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1997 1996 1996 IV III 1997 III 2.8 3.8 1.0 4.3 4.9 3.3 3.1 3.9 1.8 2.2 .4 2.2 3.6 .6 3.8 2.1 .4 .3 1.1 .4 .4 1.4 -.2 .1 .4 .3 .4 1.5 1.1 .9 1.5 -.5 -.4 1.5 1.4 .8 1.5 .1 -.2 2.1 1.1 1.6 2.3 .2 2.4 2.5 .4 1.4 1.1 .9 .1 .8 .2 0 1.0 .9 .1 .8 .1 .6 1.4 1.6 .3 1.3 -.2 .8 .4 .6 .4 .2 -.2 -.2 .6 .4 -.1 .5 .1 1.8 1.7 1.4 -.1 1.6 .3 .8 2.0 1.9 .2 1.7 .1 -1.6 0 -.4 -.1 -.3 .4 1.4 -.2 -.3 -.4 -1.3 .9 .7 .2 1.3 1.2 .2 -1.1 -1.0 -.1 -1.4 -1.2 -1.4 .2 .2 0 -1.6 -1.6 -.2 0 .1 .2 -.2 -.1 -1 0 ,? —1 -1 0 3 -.3 -.2 -.1 ,1 1.8 2.7 2.2 .4 -.8 -.8 0 -1.0 1.1 1.0 .1 -2.1 -1.7 2.0 1.9 .1 -2.5 -2.3 .3 .5 .3 .2 -1.7 -1.6 -.1 1.1 1.2 0 -.8 -.7 -.1 -.5 -.2 0 -.1 .6 .2 .1 -.4 -.3 0 4 -.4 -.6 .2 ,3 .4 .3 .1 ,1 -.1 .1 -1 .3 -.1 .1 -.2 .2 1997 1996 IV I II III IV Current dollars: Gross domestic product Gross national product Personal income Disposable personal income Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods .... Nondurable 28,752 30,168 28,869 29,243 29,715 30,030 30,295 28,759 24,457 25,663 28,843 24,604 29,254 24,835 29,662 25,268 29,952 25,525 30,218 25,756 26,099 21,117 21,972 21,229 21,373 21,689 21,865 22,034 22,297 19,608 20,488 2,389 2,461 19,660 2,386 19,919 2,395 20,247 2,466 20,303 2,409 20,612 2,488 20,788 2,479 5,944 12,084 5,786 11,488 5,854 11,669 5,945 11,836 5,901 11,993 5,969 12,154 5,958 12,351 26,840 26,116 26,333 26,599 26,760 26,901 27,099 26,102 26,354 26,562 26,704 26,844 19,494 19,161 19,152 19,331 19,439 19,518 19,688 18,178 2,410 17,745 2,301 17,848 2,316 18,046 2,389 18,051 2,351 18,258 2,447 18,356 2,452 5,446 10,325 5,393 10,052 5,408 10,125 5,460 10,202 5,420 10,278 5,465 10,352 5,439 10,466 goods 5,779 Services 11,441 Chained (1992) dollars: Gross domestic product 26,088 Gross national product 26,101 Disposable personal income 19,116 Personal consumption expenditures 17,750 2,301 Durable goods .... Nondurable aoods 5,393 10,057 Services ..... Population (mid-period, thousands) 265,579 267.868 30,628 265,887 266,491 266,987 267,545 268.171 268.770 D-26 • National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table 8.4.—Auto Output Table 8.5.—Real Auto Output [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1996 1997 III Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1997 1996 IV I II 1996 III 86.1 55.3 45.3 79.2 84.8 56.7 48.0 84.0 85.3 53.2 45.9 76.9 87.9 57.3 48.8 82.5 18.1 73.0 16.2 75.5 16.6 70.7 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.1 2.3 -.2 Change in business inventories of new and used autos New Used 81.3 55.4 47.4 79.5 90.7 53.3 50.4 81.4 87.2 50.1 47.1 75.9 -33.9 -31.4 -35.9 -51.1 -33.7 -52.1 -31.0 -28.8 -48.9 -56.7 -51.3 -48.8 -58.4 -54.9 -59.4 -54.0 Change in business inventories of new and used autos New Used Addenda: Domestic output of new autos ! Sales of imported new autos2 86.8 54.0 48.4 79.8 17.0 65.9 16.9 73.5 17.1 68.3 16.8 65.7 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.6 -5.4 -5.6 .2 .1 .7 -.6 16.6 75.0 2.3 -.9 4.3 -9.3 -1.5 .3 3.7 -9.0 -.8 .6 -.4 -.6 -1.2 .7 1.1 -.4 58.2 63.7 58.2 59.2 64.8 61.1 65.1 63.7 1. Consists of final sales and change in business inventories of new autos assembled in the United States. 2. Consists of personal consumption expenditures, producers' durable equipment, and gross government investment. Addenda: Domestic output of new autos ' Sales of imported new autos 2 1. Includes new trucks only. IV 78.2 42.1 45.1 72.0 78.7 41.8 46.8 72.4 76.7 43.2 47.2 75.9 77.0 40.2 44.9 69.5 79.6 43.1 48.0 74.7 73.7 42.4 46.1 72.1 82.3 42.0 48.1 73.9 79.4 39.7 45.0 69.1 -26.6 -25.6 -28.4 -24.6 -26.6 -25.9 -25.8 -24.2 -43.6 -50.1 -45.6 -43.4 -52.0 -48.7 -52.3 ^7.3 16.0 59.6 15.8 65.9 16.1 61.8 15.8 59.2 2.1 2.0 1.8 2.3 -4.7 -5.2 .3 0 .8 -.7 4.0 -7.9 3.6 -8.1 .5 0 .6 .6 .3 .8 15.6 67.6 17.0 65.7 15.1 67.4 15.5 62.8 1.7 2.0 2.2 .9 2.3 -.7 -1.2 -.6 0 -.5 1.5 1.9 -.3 .5 .4 2.1 -1.8 -1.0 .5 .4 110.9 110.1 120.2 103.6 109.8 108.1 114.2 108.4 .. 52.9 57.8 52.6 53.5 58.7 55.3 59.1 58.0 Table 8.7.—Real Truck Output [Billions of dollars] [Billions of chained (1992) dollars] 136.7 149.4 134.2 138.5 145.0 140.2 149.3 163? 137.4 146? 134.6 141.6 141.1 1383 1483 157.2 63.7 71.6 -4.7 65.2 78.3 -5.0 90 137 68 109 78 -63 -3? 85 102 148 134 59 61 -.7 3? -.4 -5.1 15.9 III 1. Consists of final sales and change in business inventories of new autos assembled in the United States. 2. Consists of personal consumption expenditures, producers' durable equipment, and gross government investment. NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chamed-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines, excluding the lines in the addenda. Table 8.6.—Truck Output Truck output ' Final sales Personal consumption expenditures Producers' durable equipment Net exports Exports Imports Gross government investment Change in business inventories II I IV 124.4 119.7 123.8 121.3 121.2 115.8 122.6 119.2 121.2 121.4 121.0 118.0 123.6 117.2 125.0 119.7 Residual 121.1 120.7 131.6 113.5 120.8 116.8 126.3 118.8 1997 119.9 119.9 127.9 113.7 119.7 116.8 122.1 120.9 Auto output Final sales Personal consumption expenditures New autos Net purchases of used autos Producers' durable equipment New autos Net purchases of used autos . Net exports Exports Imports Gross government investment 140.0 134.8 140.2 138.0 137.9 131.1 137.4 132.7 141.3 140.8 141.5 138.4 145.2 136.7 144.0 137.2 1996 III IV 134.6 134.9 144.5 128.7 136.4 130.2 138.1 134.9 Auto output Final sales Personal consumption expenditures New autos Net purchases of used autos Producers' durable equipment New autos Net purchases of used autos Net exports Exports Imports Gross government investment 1997 62.1 72.9 63.9 74.9 63.2 76.1 -5.4 60.1 75.5 -5.4 102 7? 100 153 81 38 18 15.7 Truck output l 121.1 131.9 118.7 122.6 127.6 1236 131 6 1448 121.7 129.0 119.0 125.3 124.2 121.9 1307 89 68 Final sales Personal consumption expenditures Producers' durable equipment Net exports Exports Imports Gross government investment 10 61 Change in business inventories -.6 3.0 Residual -.2 -.4 66.8 79.3 70.6 82.2 -67 -?4 104 13.1 17.1 15.5 55.8 56.4 637 701 -37 -4.1 8.7 10.3 124 144 6.9 6.1 1392 61.2 54.2 55.4 54.6 647 670 -5.1 -2.3 8? 134 5.2 98 121 5.5 678 675 709 739 -44 -45 -57 -17 94 9.8 98 122 142 139 155 140 64 72 61 80 57 3.6 .9 1.7 -.3 -2.9 .1 -.1 -.4 51.9 -.2 57.7 -.2 -.3 1. Includes new trucks only. NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines. National Data • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 D-27 B. Other NIPA and NiPA-Related Tables. Monthly Estimates: Tables B.i and B.2 include the most recent estimates of personal income and its components; these estimates were released on March 2, 1998 and include "preliminary" estimates for January 1998 and "revised" estimates for October-December. Table B.1.—Personal Income [Billions of dollars; monthly estimates seasonally adjusted at annual rates] 1S 97 1996 1996 Jan. Dec. 6,495.2 6,874.2 6,664.4 3,632.5 29899 909.1 6747 8233 1,257.5 6426 3,877.3 32120 960.2 7059 876.2 1,375.5 6653 3,753.7 3,1040 935.2 6904 848.9 1,319.9 6497 Other labor income 407.6 5203 372 483.1 416.6 5445 411.4 Proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj Farm . Nonfarm 503.7 Rental income of persons with CCAdj Personal dividend income 146.3 291 2 3215 Personal income Wage and salary disbursements Private industries Commodity-producing industries Manufacturing Distributive industries Service industries Government Personal interest income Transfer payments to persons Old-age, survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits Government unemployment insurance benefits Other Less' Personal contributions for social insurance 0 r 1998 1997 40.7 148.0 22.0 21.7 5327 3237 Nov.' Dec.' 7,051.6 4,006.7 3,331.2 991.4 7279 904.0 1,435.7 6755 6,800.9 6,822.8 6,863.5 6,873.1 6,912.2 6,935.5 6,970.7 7,021.5 3,822.1 3,161.2 950.3 6995 863.1 1,347.7 660.9 3,835.1 3,173 1 953.7 7003 865.0 1 ,354.5 661 9 3,867.6 3,204.5 954.5 3,870.0 3,204.6 955.5 3,916.1 3,246.2 966.6 710.0 886.4 1,393.3 669.8 3,943.6 3,271.7 975.4 717.8 893.1 1,403.1 671.9 3,990.0 3,3160 984.9 7244 904.1 1,427.0 6739 412.5 5345 399 494.6 413.9 5372 414.4 415.3 420.1 421.4 5409 5436 43.0 43.8 5515 38.5 5519 41.4 497.9 499.8 149.3 148.9 147.8 3163 3183 410.5 5322 148.5 149.3 3125 3144 751.8 Oct.' 6,788.2 3107 1 0855 548.2 Sept. Aug. 3,821.3 3,161.7 948.8 6984 864.8 1,348.1 659.7 149.1 2969 768.8 July 6,750.3 495.8 149.2 1 121 1 566.7 June 3,799.1 3,140.9 943.4 6934 857.9 1,339.6 6582 492.8 735.7 May Apr. Mar. 5298 399 490.0 1 0680 537.6 5084 3063 6,700.1 3,754.1 3,098.7 936.3 6905 847.7 1,314.6 6555 Feb. 39.4 7012 7015 872.9 1,377.1 872.2 1,376.8 6654 3,902.3 3,234.5 962.0 706.5 883.7 1,388.9 667.8 415.6 416.6 417.6 5465 5468 546.1 418.9 548.7 44.0 43.0 40.8 39.0 502.4 503.9 147.4 3224 505.3 509.6 148.2 6631 148.5 3245 3266 146.8 3286 774.3 1,129.0 570.4 776.6 3307 779.3 1,131 4 571.9 1 1328 572.7 754.3 757.0 760.4 763.4 766.0 3203 768.9 1,1055 559.5 1 1041 555.6 1 111 9 561.5 1,1146 562.4 1,1166 564.8 1 1197 565.9 1 1221 567.3 772.5 1,125.9 570.4 771.0 513.0 381 513.8 146.3 422.6 5539 38.1 515.8 146.2 Jan.* 7,092.8 4,033.3 3,353 4 994.7 7280 9133 1,445.4 6798 423.9 5581 381 520.0 3328 145.6 3349 781.9 1 1398 577.8 1 1487 582.6 784.5 22.3 5150 22.1 22.0 22.0 22.0 21.9 21.4 21.4 21.5 21.5 5284 530.2 5299 21.7 5331 21.6 534.1 5388 5405 5446 315.8 320.1 320.1 320.9 323.0 323.1 325.2 537.0 326.1 538.0 3138 5265 318.7 21.9 5319 21.4 5239 327.9 3310 3321 3361 Sept. Oct.'" | Nov.' Dec.' Jan./' 7,051.6 7,092.8 1,022.7 CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment IVA Inventory valuation adjustment Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Preliminary. Revised. Table B.2.—The Disposition of Personal Income [Monthly estimates seasonally adjusted at annual rates] 1997 1996 1996 1998 1997 Mar. Feb. Jan. Dec. May Apr. June July Aug. Billions of dollars, unless otherwise indicated Personal income Less" Personal tax and nontax payments Equals', Disposable personal income Less* Personal outlavs Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods ... Nondurable goods Services Interest paid by persons Personal transfer payments to rest of world Eouals' Personal savinos Addenda: Disposable personal income: Billions of chained (1992) dollars ' Per capita: Current dollars Chained (1992) dollars Population (thousands) Personal consumption expenditures: Billions of chained (1992) dollars Durable goods .. Nondurable goods Services Implicit price deflator 1992=100 Personal saving as percentage of disposable personal income2 6,495.2 886.9 6,874.2 988.7 6,664.4 936.8 6,700.1 942.3 5,608.3 5,368.8 5,885.5 5,660.8 5,727.6 5,505.9 5,757.8 5,565.9 5,207.6 634.5 1,534.7 3,038.4 145.2 5,488.1 659.1 1,592.1 3,236.9 154.8 5,336.4 637.4 1,564.6 3,134.5 152.8 5,396.7 661.0 1,584.5 3,151.1 152.2 6,750.3 957.7 6,788.2 967.0 6,800.9 970.4 6,822.8 6,863.5 988.9 6,873.1 991.2 6,912.2 6,935.5 6,970.7 978.3 999.3 1,003.5 1,012.1 5,792.7 5,821.2 5,830.5 5,874.5 5,592.3 5,623.5 5,913.0 5,699.3 5,932.0 5,712.6 5,740.0 5,764.6 6,022.5 5,790.2 6,070.1 5,579.5 5,881.9 5,690.4 5,958.6 5,578.5 5,409.7 659.8 1,589.0 3,160.9 151.7 5,844.5 5,592.7 7,021.5 1,024.3 5,997.2 5,410.8 654.4 1,588.6 3,167.8 151.6 5,422.0 642.9 1,577.0 3,202.1 152.7 5,422.4 643.5 1,577.1 3,201.8 152.7 5,451.9 647.0 1,582.6 3,222.3 154.0' 5,518.7 670.8 1,597.6 3,250.3 153.5 5,525.8 670.5 1,599.8 3,255.5 155.2 5,537.8 660.7 1,604.9 3,272.2 156.6 5,563.6 655.3 1,604.5 3,303.9 157.8 5,587.7 669.9 1,601.0 3,316.8 158.4 5,610.4 673.6 1,598.8 3,338.0 161.3 5,631.4 676.8 1,604.9 3,349.7 1,029.2 5,812.6 162.6 15.9 17.9 16.7 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.6 17.6 17.6 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 239.6 224.7 221.7 191.9 214.2 241.7 238.2 251.8 251.0 191.4 213.7 219.4 218.7 232.6 232.3 257.5 5,076.9 5,221.9 5,123.0 5,142.3 5,159.4 5,181.4 5,185.5 5,198.7 5,218.3 5,214.8 5,239.8 5,247.8 5,265.9 5,293.7 5,315.2 5,353.8 21,579 21,697 21,789 21,808 21,845 21,941 21,951 22,049 21,972 21,478 21,117 19,394 19,396 19,431 19,490 19,462 19,539 19,211 19,272 19,326 19,116 19,494 265,579 267,869 266,672 266,826 266,975 267,161 267,354 267,541 267,741 267,952 268,171 22,102 22,185 22,313 22,393 22,557 19,553 19,606 19,696 19,763 19,896 268,391 268,594 268,775 268,942 269,098 4,714.1 611.1 1,432.3 2,671.0 110.47 4,869.3 645.5 1,458.8 2,765.7 112.71 4,773.1 618.2 1,440.7 2,714.0 111.80 4,819.8 641.2 1,456.0 2,724.2 111.97 4,818.3 638.4 1,458.1 2,723.2 112.27 4,816.1 633.8 1,459.2 2,724.2 112.35 4,822.2 625.9 1,446.3 2,749.1 112.44 4,823.2 628.1 1,449.1 2,745.5 112.42 4,842.9 633.0 1,454.7 2,755.0 112.58 4,892.8 657.7 1,466.0 2,771.0 112.79 4,896.8 659.9 1,464.8 2,774.1 112.85 4,899.0 650.9 1,465.6 2,783.2 113.04 4.3 3.8 3.9 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.3 3.3 3.6 4,932.3 663.0 1,461.5 2,808.5 113.29 4,951.5 666.6 1,459.7 2,825.5 113.31 4,967.0 671.0 1,467.0 2,829.9 113.38 3.7 4,916.9 647.2 1,464.3 2,804.7 113.15 3.7 3.9 3.9 4.2 Percent change from preceding period Personal income current dollars Disposable personal income: Current dollars Chained (1992) dollars Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars Chained (1992) dollars . 5.6 5.8 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.6 4.7 2.3 4.9 2.9 .6 .4 .5 .4 .6 .3 .5 .4 .2 .1 .2 .3 .5 .4 .1 -.1 .5 .5 .3 .2 .4 .3 .6 .5 .4 .4 .8 .7 5.0 2.6 5.4 3.3 .6 .5 1.1 1.0 .2 0 .5 .4 1.2 1.0 .1 .1 .2 0 .5 .4 .4 .3 .4 .4 .4 .3 1. Disposable personal income in chained (1992) dollars equals the current-dollar figure divided by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. 2. Monthly estimates equal personal saving for the month as a percentage of disposable personal income for that month. 0 0 .2 .1 0 0 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. D-28 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS • National Data March 1998 Annual Estimates: Except as noted, these tables are derived from the NIPA tables published in the August 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS; they are consistent with the most recent comprehensive and annual revisions. Table B.3.—Gross Domestic Product by Industry, Current-Dollar and Real Estimates for 1994-56 Billions of dollars 1994 Gross domestic product Private industries Agriculture, forestry and fishing Farms Agricultural services, forestry and fishing Mining Metal mining Coal mining Oil and gas extraction Nonmetallic minerals except fuels Construction 1995 1996 1994 1995 iyyo 6,013.5 6,301.3 6,639.8 5,763.6 5,921.4 6,094.1 119.2 111.0 129.8 119.1 111.4 111.7 83.5 35.7 73.5 37.5 89.4 40.5 84.9 34.9 74.2 37.0 75.5 37.6 94.9 99.8 113.6 6.8 102.5 5.7 108.4 5.5 101.9 6.3 15.5 72.2 15.7 77.7 16.6 69.4 10.1 5.9 6.8 12.3 71.0 9.2 9.6 12.3 84.4 10.2 268.7 286.4 306.1 9.2 249.8 9.5 254.1 264.3 Manufacturing 1,216.1 1,286.3 1,332.1 1,193.2 1,273.7 1,323.7 731.2 749.0 671.3 785.5 Durable goods 679.2 716.8 40.7 41.4 33.6 38.4 29.8 31.6 Lumber and wood products 18.7 19.4 20.5 18.0 18.8 Furniture and fixtures 18.5 30.7 27.7 32.7 Stone clay and glass products 27.0 29.1 28.8 44.4 52.0 50.6 45.0 46.8 Primary metal industries 46.3 89.7 98.2 89.5 84.5 94.0 84.2 Fabricated metal products 142.4 150.2 164.5 186.1 131.5 Industrial machinery and equipment 122.3 Electronic and other electric equipment ... 132.9 134.0 143.8 145.8 175.6 217.4 87.3 79.3 87.4 85.1 78.0 76.1 Motor vehicles and equipment 46.9 49.7 43.8 44.5 Other transportation equipment 47.6 49.5 49.7 45.1 42.6 48.7 52.3 38.3 Instruments and related products 22.8 23.3 24.3 24.6 21.5 Miscellaneous manufacturing industries ... 22.2 522.0 543.2 541.0 Nondurable goods 536.9 569.5 583.1 118.7 122.6 120.9 106.5 112.9 Food and kindred products 109.6 17.6 24.3 23.9 Tobacco products 18.1 22.3 16.3 25.4 23.6 26.6 Textile mill products 25.4 25.5 27.3 28.5 27.3 26.6 28.3 26.9 Apparel and other textile products 28.2 45.4 57.1 52.1 59.9 47.3 Paper and allied products 51.3 90.4 77.5 74.3 Printing and publishing 85.0 78.0 86.0 142.2 155.9 157.8 131.2 138.9 Chemicals and allied products 140.6 32.2 30.2 33.8 Petroleum and coal products 30.4 30.1 27.6 49.7 45.4 48.2 50.9 44.4 46.1 Rubber and miscellaenous plastics 4.7 5.2 4.8 Leather and leather products 4.7 4.5 5.1 Transportation and public utilities Transportation Railroad transportation Local and interurban passenger transit .... Water transportation Pipelines except natural gas 598.7 219.9 24.2 11.4 95.0 10.9 51.7 4.6 622.4 228.7 24.5 12.4 97.5 10.8 54.9 5.7 645.3 235.1 25.3 13.6 92.2 11.2 63.2 5.5 584.1 214.3 25.9 11.0 88.7 10.8 51.4 4.8 593.8 216.0 27.7 12.0 87.4 11.0 49.8 5.4 608.9 220.8 31.0 12.2 80.3 10.7 59.0 5.0 1. The current-dollar statistical discrepancy equals gross domestic product (GDP) measured as the sum of expenditures less gross domestic income—that is, GDP measured as the costs incurred and profits earned in domestic production. The chained (1992) dollar statistical discrepancy equals the current-dollar discrepancy deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. 2. Equals GDP in chained (1992) dollars less the statistical discrepancy and the sum of GPO of the detailed industries. 1994 4 QQC 6,947.0 7,265.4 7,636.0 6,610.7 6,742.1 6,928.4 13.1 66.7 Billions of dollars Billions of chained (1992) dollars 1995 1996 Billions of chained (1992) dollars 1994 1995 1996 22.1 184.6 142.1 42.5 194.2 47.5 50.6 38.8 41.7 40.4 202.0 210.0 193.1 199.6 207.0 Wholesale trade 468.0 484.4 516.8 448.6 457.5 493.3 Retail trade 615.3 637.6 667.9 601.2 622.5 Transportation services Communications Telephone and telegraph Radio and television Flprtrir na^ PnH Qsnitsrv Qpn/irp^ Finance, insurance, and real estate Depository instituions Nondepository institutions Security and commodity brokers Insurance carriers Insurance agents, brokers, and services Rpgl ostate Other real estate Holdinc and other investment offices Services Hotels and other lodging places Personal services Business services Auto repair services and parking Miscellaneous repair services Motion pictures Amusement and recreation services Health services Legal services Educational services Social services Membership organizations Other services Private households Statistical discrepancy Government 23.0 24.0 21.7 23.2 24.0 191.6 144.1 200.3 149.6 176.9 137.9 178.4 136.4 181.6 141.2 648.5 1,267.6 1,361.3 1,448.5 1,196.9 1,231.1 1,258.5 207.4 229.6 247.4 197.0 193.4 192.0 36.1 39.0 33.9 49.9 32.6 35.4 79.5 78.5 90.0 83.0 81.9 92.2 108.8 126.5 136.6 91.3 105.1 110.1 50.4 45.0 47.1 41.6 42.1 43.6 802.9 842.7 886.2 758.3 775.6 793.3 607.3 642.8 673.3 573.3 587.9 596.8 195.6 199.9 212.9 185.0 187.7 196.6 -11.1 12.9 -3.2 -12.0 12.6 12.6 1,350.4 1,440.3 1,539.5 1,256.5 1,298.8 1,342.9 57.4 45.8 60.6 46.6 63.7 49.1 54.4 42.6 55.4 42.4 55.8 43.3 256.0 283.3 318.5 247.1 271.3 295.7 59.3 19.2 23.0 51.4 61.1 20.7 25.9 56.2 65.0 22.5 29.9 60.8 53.3 16.7 21.8 47.5 53.3 17.0 23.9 49.7 55.3 15.9 26.2 51.6 410.2 428.9 93.8 52.3 43.2 45.1 96.5 55.1 46.7 47.0 447.0 100.0 182.6 11.0 14.6 369.7 371.6 376.6 58.2 49.3 48.9 86.0 48.9 41.6 42.1 85.5 49.6 43.7 42.5 85.1 50.7 44.9 43.1 199.9 215.2 175.4 184.6 192.9 11.8 11.5 10.4 10.8 10.1 -28.2 -59.9 13.9 -26.3 -54.7 933.5 964.1 996.3 878.3 Federal General gvernment Government enterprises 324.9 275.2 326.2 275.5 331.5 281.4 306.9 297.1 258.4 248.1 49.7 50.7 50.2 48.6 49.0 49.7 State and local General government Government enterprises 608.6 557.5 637.9 583.4 664.7 607.6 571.3 524.2 580.3 532.2 583.4 535.2 51.1 54.5 57.1 47.1 48.0 48.2 Not allocated by industry 2 877.4 874.1 290.6 240.9 -60.4 -87.9 -101.1 NOTE—Estimates are based on the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification. The table is derived from tables 7 and 10 in "Gross Product by Industry, 1947-96" in the November 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 National Data • D-29 Table B.4.—Personal Consumption Expenditures by Type of Expenditure Billions of dollars 1994 Personal consumption expenditures Food and tobacco Food purchased for off-premise consumption (n.d.) Purchased meals and beverages ' (n d ) Food furnished to employees (including military) (n.d.) Food produced and consumed on farms (n.d.) Tobacco products (n.d.) Addenda: Food excluding alcoholic beverages (n.d.) Alcoholic beverages purchased for off-premise consumption (n.d.) Other alcoholic beverages (n.d.) Clothing, accessories, and jewelry Shoes (n.d.) Clothing and accessories except shoes2 Women's and children's (n.d.) Men.'sand boys' (n.d.) Standard clothing issued to military personnel (n. d) Cleaning, storage, and repair of clothing and shoes (s.) ... Jewelry and watches (d.) Other -MS.) 1995 1994 1996 1995 4,717.0 4,957.7 5,207.6 4,486.0 4,595.3 761.7 451.6 254.3 8.1 .5 783.8 462.2 264.1 8.4 .4 Billions of dollars Billions of chained (1992) dollars 1996 805.7 478.4 268.7 8.7 .4 735.0 434.5 245.1 7.8 5 737.9 433.4 248.7 7.9 c 4,714.1 736.5 434.7 246.6 8.0 .4 47.3 48.7 49.6 47.2 47.4 46.8 633.6 652.0 669.9 608.7 610.2 608.7 53.9 27.0 54.9 28.2 57.3 28.9 25.6 53.7 54.5 25.9 55.5 25.7 312.7 323.4 336.3 308.5 321.8 335.3 36.0 36.8 38.1 35.7 36.6 37.6 211.6 137.5 217.7 141.3 226.0 145.8 211.2 137.0 220.6 144.2 229.9 150.7 74.1 76.4 80.2 74.1 76.4 79.2 .3 11.6 37.7 15.6 .3 12.3 39.3 17.1 .3 12.3 41.6 18.1 .3 11.0 35.6 14.7 .3 11.5 36.8 16.0 .3 11.3 39.7 16.6 Personal business Brokerage charges and investment counseling (s.) Bank service charges, trust services, and safe deposit box rental (s ) Services furnished, without payment by financial intermediaries except life insurance carriers and private noninsureo pension pians (s.; .„.„...... Legal services (s ) Funeral and burial expenses (s ) Other '8 (s ) Transportation User-operated transportation New autos (d ) Net purchases of used autos (d ) Other motor vehicles (d ) Repair, greasing, washing, parking, storage, rental, and leasing (s) Gasoline and oil (n d ) 19 68.4 45.3 23.0 71.9 47.2 24.7 75.7 49.9 25.7 65.5 43.7 21.8 67.9 45.0 22.9 70.1 47.0 23.0 Housing Owner-occupied nonfarm dwellings space rent4 (s.) Tenant-occupied nonfarm dwellings rent5 (s.) Rental value of farm dwellings (s ) Other 6 (s ) 712.7 507.0 174.0 5.8 750.3 532.2 184.6 5.9 787.2 558.3 193.6 6.1 674.3 479.6 165.2 5.2 688.2 487.2 171.1 5.2 700.2 495.3 174.9 5.1 26.0 27.5 29.1 24.3 24.8 25.0 Household operation Furniture, including mattresses and bedsprings (d.) Kitchen and other household appliances * (d.) China, glassware, tableware, and8 utensils (d.) Other durable house furnishings (d.) Semidurable house furnishings9 (n.d.) Cleaning and polishing preparations, and miscellaneous household supplies and paper products (n. d) Stationery and writing supplies (n.d.) Household utilities Electricity (s.) Gas (s.) Water and other sanitary services (s.) Fuel oil and coal (n.d.) Telephone and telegraph (s.) Domestic service (s.) Other 10 (s.) ... 535.0 562.8 591.9 514.5 533.6 548.4 45.9 25.6 24.0 52.3 27.2 48.0 27.2 25.3 54.5 28.9 49.6 27.8 27.4 58.2 30.1 43.2 25.0 23.5 51.4 25.7 44.2 26.6 25.0 53.1 26.9 44.6 27.1 50.8 15.1 52.3 15.8 54.5 17.0 50.2 14.4 50.0 14.4 50.6 14.8 163.8 168.5 177.9 156.3 159.4 163.1 84.2 32.4 36.6 10.5 82.6 11.9 35.8 88.0 31.5 38.8 10.2 90.2 12.8 39.4 90.3 34.9 41.1 82.6 30.0 33.0 10.7 79.6 11.2 34.2 84.3 30.7 33.8 10.5 86.6 11.7 35.9 85.2 32.7 34.6 10.6 91.1 11.0 35.3 T '1 t rt' 1 « ariri t'n'n4'7"ri'i Barbershops, beauty parlors, and health clubs (s.) Medical care Drug preparations and sundries ' ' (n.d.) Ophthalmic products and orthopedic appliances (d.) Physicians (s.) Dentists (s.) ... Other professional services 12 (s.) Hospitals and nursing homes n ... Nonprofit (s ) Proprietary (s.) Government (s.) Nursing homes (s.) Health insurance Medical care15and hospitalization I4 (s.) Income loss (s.) Workers' compensation 16 (s.) 11.6 96.9 12.5 40.1 26.9 56.1 28.2 826.1 871.6 912.8 751.0 766.2 782.4 81.6 12.9 85.7 13.1 90.9 13.9 76.7 12.3 79.1 12:2 81.7 12.6 191.4 196.5 162.4 166.1 169.3 47.6 50.9 41.1 110.2 394.2 325.1 217.3 95.6 42.0 99.1 357.0 298.1 200.2 104.4 375.9 310.6 207.9 39.8 89.2 331.5 276.9 187.8 336.6 278.5 188.2 343.1 284.4 191.8 32.1 65.8 58.9 55.0 42.9 34.5 68.2 65.2 53.6 40.7 37.1 70.7 69.1 56.3 41.8 29.2 59.9 54.6 40.0 36.6 30.3 60.0 58.1 37.5 35.2 31.9 60.7 58.7 36.9 34.7 180.0 43.9 95.7 2.7 9.4 2.9 10.0 3.2 11.3 2.4 2.3 2.5 1.8 2.6 1.8 1. Consists of purchases (including tips) of meals and beverages from retail, service, and amusement establishments, hotels, dining and buffet cars, schools, school fraternities, institutions, clubs, and industrial lunchrooms. Includes meals and beverages consumed both on-and off-premise. 2. Includes luggage. 3. Consists of watch, clock, and jewelry repairs, costume and dress suit rental, and miscellaneous personal services. 4. Consists of rent for space and for heating and plumbing facilities, water heaters, lighting fixtures, kitchen cabinets, linoleum, storm windows and doors, window screens, and screen doors, but excludes rent for appliances and furniture and purchases of fuel and electricity. 5. Consists of space rent (see footnote 4) and rent for appliances, furnishings, and furniture. 6. Consists of transient hotels, motels, clubs, schools, and other group housing. 7. Consists of refrigerators and freezers, cooking ranges, dishwashers, laundry equipment, stoves, room air conditioners, sewing machines, vacuum cleaners, and other appliances. 8. Includes such house furnishings as floor coverings, comforters, quilts, blankets, pillows, picture frames, mirrors, art products, portable lamps, and clocks. Also includes writing equipment and hand, power, and garden tools. 9. Consists largely of textile house furnishings, including piece goods allocated to house furnishing use. Also includes lamp shades, brooms, and brushes. 10. Consists of maintenance services for appliances and house furnishings, moving and warehouse expenses, postage and express charges, premiums for fire and theft insurance on personal property less benefits and dividends, and miscellaneous household operation services. 11. Excludes drug preparations and related products dispensed by physicians, hospitals, and other medical services. 12. Consists of osteopathic physicians, chiropractors, private duty nurses, chiropodists, podiatrists, and others providing health and allied services, not elsewhere classified. 13. Consists of (1) current expenditures (including consumption of fixed capital) of nonprofit hospitals and nursing homes, and (2) payments by patients to proprietary and government hospitals and nursing homes. 14. Consists of (1) premiums, less benefits and dividends, for health, hospitalization, and accidental death and dismemberment insurance provided by commercial insurance carriers, and (2) administrative expenses (including consumption of fixed capital) of Blue Cross and Blue Shield plans and of other independent prepaid and self-insured health plans. 15. Consists of premiums, less benefits and dividends, for income loss insurance. 16. Consists of premiums, less benefits and dividends, for privately administered workers' compensation. 17. Consists of (1) operating expenses of life insurance carriers and private noninsured pension plans, and (2) premiums, less benefits and dividends, of fraternal benefit societies. Excludes expenses allocated by commercial carriers to accident and health insurance. 18. Consists of current expenditures (including consumption of fixed capital) of trade unions and professional associations, employment agency fees, money order fees, spending for classified advertisements, tax return preparation services, and other personal business services. 19. Consists of premiums, less benefits and dividends, for motor vehicle insurance. 20. Consists of baggage charges, coastal and inland waterway fares, travel agents' fees, and airport bus fares. 21. Consists of admissions to professional and amateur athletic events and to racetracks. Insurance (s.) Purchased local transportation Mass transit systems (s ) Taxicab (s ) Purchased intercity transportation Railway (s) Bus (s ) 2 Other "(sj Billions of chained (1992) dollars 1994 1995 1996 1994 1995 1996 370.4 389.1 421.1 352.1 350.7 363.6 36.2 38.8 47.2 37.8 41.8 50.0 31.6 33.9 37.3 27.5 27.8 28.9 151.5 159.8 169.9 146.5 141.9 143.9 72.6 48.8 11.1 18.5 75.4 49.1 12.2 19.9 79.9 52.2 12.8 21.8 68.1 45.3 10.1 17.1 67.9 44.0 10.5 17.6 68.5 45.2 10.4 18.7 542.2 502.6 572.3 530.1 602.2 557.7 515.3 476.6 528.0 487.8 540.3 497.7 91.2 44.1 87.1 52.4 79.4 86.2 37.5 71.4 78.2 42.1 72.5 38.3 35.8 86.1 55.3 82.1 37.9 35.1 80.6 40.8 71.7 36.2 116.4 109.4 2.6 128.7 114.4 2.8 140.1 122.6 2.9 108.5 109.8 2.4 116.5 113.1 2.4 123.3 114.1 2.5 27.5 29.4 30.9 10.1 25.6 26.0 26.2 76.8 34.5 8.9 5.9 3.0 30.7 .7 1.1 25.8 9.2 6.0 3.2 33.0 .8 1.3 27.7 6.6 3.5 34.4 .8 1.3 28.2 8.6 5.7 2.9 30.1 .7 1.1 25.5 8.5 5.5 3.0 31.7 .7 1.4 26.8 8.5 5.6 3.0 34.2 .7 1.4 28.8 3.2 3.3 4.0 2.8 2.8 3.3 Recreation Books and maps (d ) Magazines, newspapers, and sheet music (n.d.) ; Nondurable toys and sport supplies (n.d.) Wheel goods, sports and photographic equipment, boats, and pleasure aircraft (d ) Video and audio products, computing equipment, and musical instruments (d j Radio and television repair (s ) Flowers seeds and potted plants (nd.) ... Admissions to specified spectator amusements Motion picture theaters (s ) Legitimate theaters and opera, and entertainments of nonprofit institutions (except athletics) (s ) ... Spectator sports21 (s.) Clubs and fraternal organizations22 (s23) Commercial participant amusements (s.) Pari-mutuel net receipts (s ) Other 2 4 (s) 370.2 402.5 431.1 365.2 395.7 424.4 20.6 24.5 39.7 22.1 25.5 42.2 23.2 26.5 45.4 19.6 22.9 38.9 20.6 22.9 41.4 20.8 22.7 43.9 83.1 91.9 99.6 79.1 85.5 89.3 Education and research ... Higher education 25 (s ) Nursery, elementary, and secondary schools26 (s.) Other 2 7 (s) 104.7 112.2 119.6 62.2 22.8 27.2 65.2 24.0 30.3 96.8 53.1 20.4 23.4 99.4 53.7 102.7 59.0 21.4 24.4 35.6 39.1 42.0 34.8 37.7 40.3 78.5 85.2 89.7 87.4 101.8 4.5 119.5 4.5 13.2 18.2 14.4 18.9 4.5 13.4 19.0 4.9 13.9 20.2 5.1 14.9 22.1 4.2 13.4 17.8 5.6 6.0 6.3 5.2 5.4 5.4 8.2 5.2 8.7 5.5 9.3 6.4 7.7 4.9 7.9 5.0 8.0 5.5 11.8 36.2 3.3 12.7 41.5 3.3 13.0 46.2 3.5 11.2 34.1 3.1 11.5 38.0 3.1 20.8 25.0 11.8 41.1 3.1 54.0 21.7 27.2 Religious and welfare activities28 (s) 131.2 139.8 150.5 125.6 128.6 136.6 Foreign travel and other, net Foreign travel by U S residents (s ) Expenditures abroad by U. S. residents (n.d.) Less: Expenditures in the United States by nonresidents (s.) Less: Personal remittances in kind to nonresidents (n.d.) -18.3 -22.1 -26.5 -16.2 -19.5 -21.5 50.1 51.9 54.9 48.8 48.9 50.8 Residual 2.7 69.7 1.4 2.6 75.2 1.4 2.6 82.7 1.2 2.8 66.4 1.3 -5.7 2.4 69.5 2.4 73.5 1.3 1.1 -10.6 -17.8 22. Consists of dues and fees excluding insurance premiums. 23. Consists of billiard parlors; bowling alleys; dancing, riding, shooting, skating, and swimming places; amusement devices and parks; golf courses; sightseeing buses and guides; private flying operations; casino gambling; and other commercial participant amusements. 24. Consists of net receipts of lotteries and expenditures for purchases of pets and pet care services, cable TV, film processing, photographic studios, sporting and recreation camps, video cassette rentals, and recreational services, not elsewhere classified. 25. For private institutions, equals current expenditures (including consumption of fixed capital) less receiptssuch as those from meals, rooms, and entertainments—accounted for separately in consumer expenditures, and less expenditures for research and development financed under contracts or grants. For government institutions, equals student payments of tuition. 26. For private institutions, equals current expenditures (including consumption of fixed capital) less receiptssuch as those from meals, rooms, and entertainments—accounted for separately in consumer expenditures. For government institutions, equals student payments of tuition. Excludes child day care services, which are included in religious and welfare activities. 27. Consists of (1) fees paid to commercial, business, trade, and correspondence schools and for educational services, not elsewhere classified, and (2) current expenditures (including consumption of fixed capital) by research organizations and foundations for education and research. 28. For nonprofit institutions, equals current expenditures (including consumption of fixed capital) of religious, social welfare, foreign relief, and political organizations, museums, libraries, and foundations, the expenditures are net of receipts—such as those from meals, rooms, and entertainments—accounted for separately in consumer expenditures, and excludes relief payments within the United States and expenditures by foundations for education and research. For proprietary and government institutions, equals receipts from users. NOTES.—Consumer durable goods are designated (d.), nondurable goods (n.d.), and services (s.). Estimates of foreign travel by U. S. residents (line 108) expenditures were $0.3 billion in 1981. Beginning with 1984, estimates of foreign travel by U. S. residents include substantially improved estimates of U. S. residents' foreign travel and passenger fare expenditures. Estimates of expenditures in the United States by nonresidents (line 110) include, beginning with 1981, nonresidents' student and medical care expenditures in the United States. Student expenditures were $2.2 billion, and medical expenditures were $0.4 billion in 1981. Beginning with 1984, estimates of expenditures in the United States by nonresidents include substantially improved estimates of nonresidents' travel expenditures. Expenditures in the United States by nonresidents are subtracted from total personal consumption expenditures (line 110) because they are included in detailed type of expenditure estimates elsewhere in personal consumption expenditures. Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 currentdollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-30 • National Data Table B.6.—Private Purchases of Producers' Durable Equipment by Type Table B.5.—Private Purchases of Structures by Type Nonresidential New Nonresidential buildings, excluding farm Industrial . Commercial Office buildings! Other2 Religious Educational Hospital and institutional Other3 Utilities .. Railroads Telecommunications Electric light and power Gas Petroleum pipelines Farm Mining exploration, shafts, and wells Petroleum and natural gas Other Other4 Brokers' commissions on sale of structures Net purchases of used structures Residential New New housing units Permanent site Single-family structures Multifamily structures Mobile homes improvements Other5 Brokers' commissions on sale of structures Net purchases of used structures Residual 1994 1995 1996 463.6 478.4 184.5 200.6 184.3 200.2 Billions of dollars Billions of chained (1992) dollars Billions of dollars Private purchases of structures 1994 1995 1996 517.0 432.8 430.0 453.7 215.2 172.5 179.9 188.7 214.7 172.2 179.5 188.2 125.5 140.8 156.1 116.9 126.1 136.7 28.9 61.9 25.8 36.1 32.5 70.8 29.8 41.0 32.1 77.6 32.1 45.5 27.0 57.7 24.1 33.6 29.1 63.4 26.7 36.7 28.1 68.0 28.2 39.8 4.4 7.5 3.5 5.2 3.8 5.6 3.9 6.6 3.8 5.6 4.2 6.2 13.7 11.6 12.5 14.5 13.4 21.1 12.7 10.8 11.2 13.0 11.7 18.5 32.0 33.2 33.3 29.9 30.0 29.3 3.3 3.5 4.6 10.1 13.0 11.0 12.3 11.9 11.0 12.1 10.1 11.0 4.6 1.0 5.5 .9 4.7 1.0 4.2 .9 5.0 .8 9.8 4.2 .9 3.2 3.0 3.7 3.0 2.7 3.2 16.7 14.7 16.3 14.8 1.9 6.9 1.5 1.5 6.9 1.6 16.1 14.8 1.3 5.7 1.8 3.0 9.6 15.8 14.0 1.8 6.6 1.4 3.1 14.3 13.0 1.3 6.3 1.5 3.9 10.4 13.9 12.7 1.1 5.0 1.6 -1.2 -1.3 -1.3 -1.2 -1.1 -1.2 279.1 277.8 301.7 260.3 250.0 265.0 248.5 246.9 267.0 230.8 220.8 233.6 177.2 167.9 153.8 174.4 163.1 145.2 192.1 179.4 159.1 162.0 153.7 140.1 153.1 143.5 126.9 165.2 154.8 136.6 14.1 17.9 11.3 72.0 20.3 12.6 74.4 13.6 16.9 8.3 9.5 68.4 67.3 18.6 10.3 67.7 .5 .6 .3 9.3 71.0 .3 31.6 -1.0 32.1 -1.1 36.3 -1.6 30.4 -.9 .3 .4 30.3 -1.0 -.1 .5 32.7 -1.4 .3 1. Consists of office buildings, except those constructed at industrial sites and those constructed by utilities for their own use. 2. Consists of stores, restaurants, garages, service stations, warehouses, mobile structures, and other buildings used for commercial purposes. 3. Consists of hotels and motels, buildings used primarily for social and recreational activities, and buildings not elsewhere classified, such as passenger terminals, greenhouses, and animal hpspitals. 4. Consists primarily of streets, dams and reservoirs, sewer and water facilities, parks, and airfields. 5. Consists primarily of dormitories, fraternity and sorority houses, and nurses' homes. NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line and the sum of the most detailed lines. March 1998 1994 Private purchases of producers' durable equipment Nonresidential equipment 1995 1996 476.1 195.1 73.5 65.6 88.1 78.7 Industrial equipment Fabricated metal products Engines and turbines Metalworking machinery Special industry machinery, n.e.c General industrial, including materials handling, equipment Electrical transmission, distribution, and industrial apparatus 109.3 Transportation and related equipment Trucks, buses, and truck trailers Autos . . . Aircraft Ships and boats Railroad equipment 118.6 59.3 51.8 7.5 52.8 22.1 17.9 10.5 65.9 23.4 17.7 121.5 127.5 11.1 11.7 62.0 21.2 16.6 69.9 21.8 16.4 105.5 113.4 117.0 10.4 10.6 11.0 4.6 4.0 24.4 26.9 28.2 31.2 29.6 32.8 23.3 25.9 26.0 29.0 26.6 29.9 23.6 25.8 28.5 22.6 24.0 26.0 19.0 20.9 20.9 18.6 19.8 19.7 125.7 134.5 113.2 118.9 125.0 56.7 43.4 11.6 61.3 45.1 11.8 9.9 9.7 12.0 63.3 42.3 12.8 68.9 45.3 13.4 1.5 5.7 1.6 5.3 106.9 113.7 28.1 10.4 10.4 13.5 30.2 10.9 10.9 14.4 50.6 47.8 8.4 1.5 4.9 3.7 1.4 5.2 1.4 4.6 96.0 24.5 100.3 104.6 26.2 9.5 9.2 9.8 9.6 27.4 10.2 11.4 12.4 9.9 13.0 1.5 1.8 2.3 1.5 1.7 2.1 13.4 10.7 16.9 14.4 10.8 17.5 15.2 11.1 18.6 13.0 10.6 16.3 13.5 10.4 16.5 14.0 10.8 17.2 3.7 4.5 4.6 3.1 3.4 3.8 6.9 7.2 7.5 6.7 7.0 7.1 Residual Addenda: Private purchases of producers' durable equipment Less' Dealers' margin on used equipment Net purchases of used equipment from government Plus' Net sales of used equipment Net exports of used equipment Sale OT equipment scrap Equals: Private purchases of new equipment 53.7 21.2 17.3 4.0 99.9 25.6 . . 7.9 59.4 22.4 17.6 165.1 201.8 253.1 73.9 108.1 164.2 67.2 102.8 160.8 9.3 7.3 7.5 9.0 4.2 8.9 1.5 5.1 . 1996 4.8 55.0 48.0 Less: Sale of equipment scrap, excluding autos 1995 522.4 566.2 476.8 528.3 586.0 152.1 172.8 Residential equipment 1994 483.0 529.6 573.7 483.5 535.2 593.1 Information processing and related equipment Office, computing, and accounting machinery Computers and peripheral equipment ! Other Communication equipment Instruments Photocopy and related equipment Other equipment Furniture and fixtures Tractors Agricultural machinery except tractors Construction machinery, except tractors Mining and oilfield machinery Service industry machinery Electrical equipment, n e.c Billions of chained (1992) dollars -1.4 -10.3 -33.8 483.0 529.6 573.7 4.9 5.3 5.8 1.1 1.0 1.2 31 3 376 397 .6 .7 1.5 4.6 4.6 3.8 513.7 566.0 611.8 1. Includes new computers and peripheral equipment only. current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. The residual line is the difference between the first line ana the sum of the most detailed lines, n.e.c. Not elsewhere classified. D-31 National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table B.7.—Compensation and Wage and Salary Accruals by Industry [Millions of dollars] 1994 Total Domestic Industries Private industries Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Farms Agricultural services, forestry, and fishing . Mining Metal mining Coal mining Oil and gas extraction Nonmetallic minerals, except fuels Manufacturing Durable goods Lumber and wood products Stone, clay, and glass products Primary metal industries Fabricated metal products Industrial machinery and equipment ... Electronic and other electric equipment Motor vehicles and equipment Other transportation equipment Instruments and related products Miscellaneous manufacturing Nondurable qoods Textile mill products Apparel ana other textile products Printing and publishing Chemicals and allied products Petroleum and coal products Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products Transportation and public utilities Transportation Railroad transportation Local and interurban passenger transit Trucking and warehousing Water transportation Transportation by air Pipelines, except natural gas Transportation services 1995 1996 1994 1995 1996 4,012,002 4,215,434 4,426,912 3,254,030 3,442,583 3,633,641 4,014,482 4,217,968 4,429,472 3,213,814 3,392,629 3,256,510 3,445,117 3,636,201 3,574,191 2,654,320 2,822,137 2,993,607 31,915 13,309 34,476 14,163 17,527 18,606 20,313 33,678 3,358 5,974 19,539 4,807 26,378 2,187 4,993 15,606 3,592 26,843 2,518 4,884 15,628 3,813 27,644 2,707 4,739 16,240 3,958 193,746 209,279 147,425 157,684 172,234 792,034 486,844 23,018 14,927 21,564 36,102 56,398 95,407 816,853 505,167 23,802 15,443 22,129 37,261 58,594 100,891 839,754 521,750 24,832 15,754 22,920 37,888 60,161 105,182 625,496 379,616 18,495 11,986 17,054 26,841 44,496 76,720 651,750 398,272 19,401 12,584 17,706 27,990 46,794 82,191 675,067 416,061 20,459 12;964 18,548 28,866 48,553 86,528 72,726 61,771 47,367 44,806 77,181 65,047 46,243 45,579 80,895 65,911 47,105 47,745 58,302 42,384 36,861 35,960 62,681 44,886 36,172 37,013 66,179 46,377 37,186 39,158 12,758 305,190 59,381 2,768 19,274 21,352 32,236 58,652 63,653 10,769 12,997 311,686 61,042 2,949 18,956 20,996 32,936 60,387 65,393 10,834 13,357 318,004 62,422 3,014 18,744 20,379 33,661 62,308 67,538 10,738 10,517 245,880 47,614 2,062 15,840 17,442 26,230 48,193 50,743 7,796 10,854 253,478 49,527 2,215 15,697 17,322 27,058 50,087 52,582 7,837 11,243 259,006 50,746 2,268 15,544 16,816 27,672 51,718 54,411 7,791 34,133 2,972 35,322 2,871 36,478 2,722 27,527 2,433 28,784 2,369 29,803 2,237 265,575 144,649 15,346 276,517 150,664 15,313 287,023 156,924 15,525 211,840 113,626 11,249 221,770 119,110 11,271 231,072 124,815 11,422 8,911 63,763 7,757 34,424 1,126 13,322 9,374 66,914 7,843 35,714 1,051 14,455 10,101 60,838 7,895 46,492 1,007 15,066 7,292 49,750 6,238 27,189 929 10,979 7,731 52,594 6,323 28,339 869 11,983 8,381 47,040 6,429 38,220 829 12,494 34,780 14,477 37,011 15,588 39,619 16,385 20,303 21,423 23,234 32,656 2,791 6,375 19,069 4,421 32,892 3,145 6,174 18,929 4,644 182,016 29,852 12,325 1. Consists of museums, botanical, zoological gardens; engineering and management services; and services, not elsewhere classified. 2. Includes Coast Guard. 3. Beginning with 1993, includes estimates of foreign professional workers and undocumented Mexican migratory workers employed temporarily in the United States. Compensation Wage and salary accruals Compensation Communications Telephone and telegraph Radio and television Electric, gas, and sanitary services Wage and salary accruals 1994 1995 1996 1994 1995 1996 67,070 51,679 15,391 53,856 71,112 53,701 17,411 54,741 75,153 56,202 18,951 54,946 55,320 42,517 12,803 42,894 58,933 44,315 14,618 43,727 62,279 46,361 15,918 43,978 Wholesale trade 259,828 276,202 289,438 217,964 234,467 246,452 Retail trade 365,722 383,120 399,951 313,776 329,936 345,994 Finance, insurance, and real estate .... Depository institutions 310,211 77,101 21,474 53,798 70,378 324,894 80,243 21,677 59,450 72,737 350,180 83,793 25,089 68,973 75,871 260,045 62,949 18,087 46,857 58,148 273,124 65,664 18,317 51,967 60,125 296,112 69,013 21,223 60,688 63,079 29,514 41,284 16,662 31,008 42,182 17,597 32,828 44,906 18,720 25,039 34,567 14,398 26,384 35,442 15,225 28,031 37,910 16,168 Services Hotels and other lodging places Personal services Business services Auto repair, services, and parking Miscellaneous repair services Motion pictures Amusement and recreation services ... Health services Legal services Educational services Social services and membership organizations Social services Membership organizations Other services' Private households 970,992 1,051,394 1,125,269 34,231 35,886 37,676 22,439 23,495 24,609 193,888 221,473 168,265 25,924 27,830 30,388 11,247 10,222 12,103 16,837 14,426 18,956 31,264 34,526 37,235 325,041 344,680 359,179 60,452 56,886 58,333 49,079 51,755 54,601 821,544 28,966 19,383 142,292 22,053 8,709 12,224 26,179 271,678 48,407 41,294 894,648 30,557 20,405 165,300 23,824 9,650 14,399 29,150 289,564 49,761 43,697 964,556 32,322 21,518 190,526 26,212 10,455 16,289 31,764 303,790 51,905 46,503 86,121 42,375 43,746 136,059 11,035 91,565 45,862 45,703 149,531 11,821 95,877 48,350 47,527 161,263 11,457 73,364 35,109 38,255 116,205 10,790 78,346 38,282 40,064 128,432 11,563 82,749 40,766 41,983 139,316 11,207 Government Federal General government Civilian 2 Military Government enterprises State and local General government Education Other Government enterprises 800,668 258,006 208,312 123,976 84,336 49,694 542,662 506,154 265,457 240,697 36,508 825,339 258,051 207,288 123,427 83,861 50,763 567,288 529,188 279,024 250,164 38,100 855,281 264,853 212,849 125,174 87,675 52,004 590,428 551,031 292,665 258,366 39,397 602,190 173,413 139,744 84,864 54,880 33,669 428,777 399,489 207,472 192,017 29,288 622,980 175,045 140,708 84,540 56,168 34,337 447,935 417,381 217,962 199,419 30,554 642,594 177,228 142,038 85,541 56,497 35,190 465,366 433,845 228,252 205,593 31,521 -2,480 1,239 3,719 -2,534 1,323 3,857 -2,560 1,338 3,898 -2,480 1,239 3,719 -2,534 1,323 3,857 -2,560 1,338 3,898 Security and commodity brokers Insurance agents, brokers, and service Real estate Holding and other investment offices Rest of the world Receipts from the rest of the world Less: Payments to the rest of the world 3 Addenda: Households and institutions Nonfarm business 312,741 331,760 346,034 2,972,798 3,134,144 3,303,173 NOTE.—Estimates in this table are based on the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC). Compensation equals wage and salary accruals plus supplements to wages and salaries. "Supplements" are listed in table 8.15 of the August 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. D-32 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS • National Data March 1998 Table B.8.—Employment by Industry [Thousands] Full-time and part-time employment 1994 Total 1995 121,695 124,602 1996 126,992 Persons engaged in production 1994 1995 Full-time and part-time employment 118,560 121,370 123,666 Domestic industries 122,258 125,171 127,543 119,042 121,858 124,151 Private industries 100,326 103,195 105,596 100,750 103,531 105,947 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Farms .. .. Agricultural services, forestry, and fishing Mining Metal mining Oil and gas extraction Nonmetallic minerals, except fuels Construction Manufacturing Durable goods Furniture and fixtures Stone clay and glass products Primary metal industries Fabricated metal products Industrial machinery and equipment Electronic and other electric equipment Motor vehicles and equipment Other transportation equipment Instruments and related products Miscellaneous manufacturing industries Nondurable goods Food and kindred products Tobacco products Textile mill products Apparel and other textile products Paper and allied products Printing and publishing Chemicals and allied products Petroleum and coal products Rubber and miscellaneous plastics 1 pflttip anri 'ipafhpr'nrnrii"rV« Transportation and public utilities Transportation Railroad transportation Local and interurban passenger transit Truckino and warehousino Water transportation Transportation by air Pipelines except natural gas 1,936 840 1,096 2,004 868 1,136 2,069 860 1,209 3,148 1,791 1,357 3,199 1,810 1,389 3,300 1,818 1,482 606 49 113 339 105 587 52 106 321 108 583 54 99 321 109 607 49 110 345 103 590 52 103 327 108 586 54 97 327 108 5,197 5,383 5,669 6,406 6,654 6,954 18,428 10,507 776 505 535 697 1,396 2,000 1,582 900 852 860 404 7,921 1,683 43 681 982 693 1,566 1,056 147 18,592 10,722 790 512 542 708 1,443 2,069 1,626 969 817 841 405 7,870 1,688 42 664 946 692 1,570 1,039 143 18,574 10,834 801 506 547 709 1,452 2,115 1,658 967 820 855 404 7,740 1,697 42 629 874 682 1,565 1,032 139 18,445 10,584 835 515 544 693 1,390 1,996 1,573 895 850 853 440 7,861 1,654 43 676 998 686 1,551 1,039 145 18,613 10,802 857 525 550 701 1,441 2,083 1,616 952 816 834 427 7,811 1,659 42 661 952 686 1,560 1,032 142 18,577 10,911 858 521 558 707 1,446 2,100 1,653 960 819 850 439 7,666 1,664 42 631 881 677 1,536 1,024 138 954 116 978 108 981 99 951 118 967 110 971 102 6,060 3,834 233 407 1,843 179 750 17 6,175 3,962 232 420 1,916 178 778 15 6,292 4,063 224 440 1,658 177 1,119 14 6,045 3,922 220 437 1,977 175 704 17 6,176 4,048 220 431 2,054 178 731 15 6,318 4,182 212 444 1,854 174 1,050 14 1. Equals the number of full-time equivalent employees (table 6.5) plus the number of self-employed persons (table 6.7). Unpaid family workers are not included. 2. Consists of museums, botanical, zoological gardens; engineering and management services; and services, not elsewhere classified. 1994 1996 Transportation services Communications Telephone and telegraph Radio and television Wholesale trade Retail trade Depository institutions Nondepository institutions Insurance carriers Insurance agents, brokers, and service Real estate Holding and other investment offices Services Hotels and other lodging places Personal services Business services Auto repair, services, and parking Miscellaneous repair services Motion pictures Amusement and recreation services Health services Legal services Educational services Social services and membership _ ,y. . OUUdl bttlVIUia Other services* Federal General government Civilian 3 Military Government enterprises State and local General government Education Other Government enterprises Rest of the world4 405 1,293 916 377 933 1995 423 1,307 915 392 906 1996 431 1,347 936 411 882 Persons engaged in production ' 1994 392 1,192 844 348 931 1995 419 1,219 851 368 909 1996 434 1,258 873 385 878 6,235 6,475 6,558 6,324 6,559 6,589 21,159 21,867 22,256 18,897 19,476 19,866 7,021 2,068 6,926 2,023 488 543 1,522 723 1,422 255 463 554 1,497 732 1,410 247 7,051 2,018 513 582 1,503 746 1,441 248 7,251 1,973 485 592 1,468 853 1,635 245 7,216 1,937 466 622 1,449 856 1,648 238 7,315 1,923 506 648 1,447 873 1,680 238 33,684 36,442 35,186 36,544 33,627 35,048 1,712 1,276 1,754 1,300 1,791 1,317 1,549 1,725 6,352 6,935 7,484 6,538 1,075 350 458 1,421 9,318 1,059 1,132 374 506 1,519 1,205 389 553 1,593 1,338 568 498 1,264 1,587 1,776 7,109 1,362 591 543 1,327 9,568 9,809 8,677 8,903 1,056 1,063 2,141 1,184 1,860 1,173 1,915 1,480 573 583 1,420 9,168 1,147 1,986 4,760 2,534 2,226 4,351 2,563 4,504 2,689 4,623 2,772 1,788 1,815 1,851 3,193 1,246 3,254 3,439 3,572 821 819 796 21,947 5,357 4,366 18,292 18,327 4,530 3,725 18,204 4,368 3,562 1,815 794 1,984 1,741 805 1,912 1,650 806 16,590 15,655 8,542 13,631 12,754 6,635 13,797 12,910 6,770 13,836 12,945 7,113 935 6,119 877 6,140 887 6,791 6,154 891 -551 -482 -488 -485 2,024 2,075 4,478 2,328 4,637 2,454 2,150 2,183 2,877 3,049 1,284 1,281 21,932 5,720 4,748 2,648 21,976 5,560 4,573 2,026 2,547 972 987 16,212 15,295 8,220 7,075 16,416 15,485 8,389 7,096 917 931 2,100 -663 -569 1,952 2,414 991 4,661 3,867 2,052 1,625 1,805 7,664 3. Includes Coast Guard. 4. Beginning with 1993, includes estimates of foreign professional workers and undocumented Mexican migratory workers employed temporarily in the United States. NOTE.—Estimates in this table are based on the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC). SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 National Data • D-33 Table B.9.—Wage and Salary Accruals Per Full-Time Equivalent Employee and Full-Time Equivalent Employees by Industry Dollars Thousands Dollars Thousands Wages and salaries per full-t me equivalent Full-time equivalent employees Wages and salaries per full-time equivalent Full-time equivalent employees 1994 Total ' 1995 1996 1994 1995 30,131 31,032 32,121 107,996 Domestic industries 30,020 30,919 32,006 108,478 111,423 113,610 Private industries 113,125 29,432 30,314 31,378 90,186 93,096 95,406 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Farms . . Agricultural services, forestry, and fishing 17,833 17,118 18,372 18,331 17,888 18,662 18,870 18,709 18,984 1,674 720 954 1,741 744 997 1,827 757 1,070 Mining Metal mining 44,482 44,633 45,391 47,006 35,216 46,683 48,423 47,417 49,613 36,314 48,329 50,130 48,856 51,556 37,340 593 49 110 332 102 575 52 103 315 105 572 54 97 315 106 Construction 30,191 30,453 31,649 4,883 5,178 5,442 Manufacturing Durable goods Lumber and wood products Furniture and fixtures Stone clay and class products Primary metal industries Fabricated metal products Industrial machinery and equipment Electronic and other electric equipment Motor vehicles and equipment Other transportation equipment Instruments and related products Miscellaneous manufacturing industries Nondurable goods Food and kindred products Tobacco products Textile mill products Apparel and other textile products 34,725 36,724 24,400 24,312 32,299 38,788 32,455 39,063 37,277 47,516 43,674 42,506 27,317 32,032 29,157 47,953 23,642 18,169 38,292 33,259 48,932 53,766 35,852 37,751 25,131 25,068 33,345 40,100 32,954 40,093 39,005 47,248 44,712 44,810 28,192 33,226 30,163 52,738 24,002 18,828 39,558 34,543 51,200 55,190 37,165 39,030 26,162 26,085 34,799 41,003 34,072 41,761 40,279 48,410 45,683 46,451 28,902 34,516 30,681 54,000 24,950 19,877 40,935 35,791 53,344 56,457 18,013 10,337 758 493 528 692 1,371 1,964 1,564 892 844 846 385 7,676 1,633 43 670 960 685 1,449 1,037 145 18,179 10,550 772 502 531 698 1,420 2,050 1,607 950 809 826 385 7,629 1,642 42 654 920 684 1,450 1,027 142 18,164 10,660 782 497 533 704 1,425 2,072 1,643 958 814 843 389 7,504 1,654 42 623 846 676 1,445 1,020 138 29,253 21,531 29,921 22,349 30,884 23,547 941 113 962 106 965 95 37,401 31,882 51,132 19,655 28,924 37,353 38,953 54,647 38,369 32,279 51,232 20,133 29,366 37,862 39,088 57,933 39,278 32,994 53,877 20,848 30,348 38,729 36,644 59,214 5,664 3,564 220 371 1,720 167 698 17 5,780 3,690 220 384 1,791 167 725 15 5,883 3,783 212 402 1,550 166 1,043 14 r>--i minjnn Oil and gas extraction Nonmetallic minerals, except fuels Chemicals and allied products Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Transportation and public utilities Transportation Railroad transportation Local and interurban passenger transit Trucking and warehousing Water transportation Transportation by air Pipelines except natural gas 1. Full-time equivalent employees equals the number of employees on full-time schedules plus the number of employees on part-time schedules converted to a full-time basis. The number of full-time equivalent employees in each industry is the product of the total number of employees and the ratio of average weekly hours per employee for all employees to average weekly hours per employee on full-time schedules. 2. Consists of museums, botanical, zoological gardens; engineering and management services; and services, not elsewhere classified. 1994 1995 1996 29,593 46,802 50,736 37,218 46,725 30,884 49,316 52,945 40,832 48,857 31,551 50,716 54,287 42,561 50,433 Wholesale trade 36,504 37,817 39,256 5,971 6,200 6,278 Retail trade 18,130 18,300 18,821 17,307 18,029 18,383 39,282 31,921 38,647 89,937 39,610 36,447 27,456 58,767 41,698 33,935 41,070 97,499 41,494 37,854 28,308 63,971 44,629 35,926 43,224 108,760 43,593 39,648 29,780 67,933 6,620 1,972 468 521 1,468 687 1,259 245 6,550 1,935 446 533 1,449 697 1,252 238 6,635 1,921 491 558 1,447 707 1,273 238 27,886 19,585 17,337 24,554 21,943 27,216 34,434 22,904 32,780 51,497 23,637 28,987 20,117 17,915 25,942 22,454 28,134 36,639 23,680 34,098 53,107 24,263 29,935 20,733 18,518 27,713 23,074 29,204 37,706 24,509 34,624 54,984 24,895 29,461 1,479 1,118 5,795 1,005 320 355 1,143 8,288 940 1,747 30,864 1,519 1,139 6,372 1,061 343 393 1,231 8,492 937 1,801 32,222 1,559 1,162 6,875 1,136 358 432 1,296 8,774 944 1,868 19,266 17,381 21,395 43,984 13,143 19,834 17,931 22,074 45,754 14,118 20,346 18,396 22,681 47,146 14,079 3,808 2,020 1,788 2,642 821 3,950 2,135 1,815 2,807 819 4,067 2,216 1,851 2,955 796 32,921 37,205 36,138 41,357 30,237 42,404 31,456 31,323 31,269 31,380 33,396 33,992 38,641 37,774 42,611 32,262 42,655 32,466 32,330 32,195 32,479 34,446 35,300 40,574 39,876 44,739 34,241 43,660 33,634 33,514 33,611 33,408 35,377 18,292 4,661 3,867 2,052 1,815 794 13,631 12,754 6,635 6,119 877 18,327 4,530 3,725 1,984 1,741 805 13,797 12,910 6,770 6,140 887 18,204 4,368 3,562 1,912 1,650 806 13,836 12,945 6,791 6,154 891 -482 -488 -485 1996 110,935 Transportation services Communications . . Telephone and telegraph Radio and television ... Depository institutions Nondepository institutions Insurance carriers Insurance agents, brokers, and services Real estate Holding and other investment offices Services Hotels and other lodging places Personal services Business services Auto repair services and parking Miscellaneous repair services Motion pictures Amusement and recreation services Health services Legal services Educational services Social services and membership organizations Membership organizations Other services2 Private households Government Federal General government Civilian 3 Military .... Government enterprises State and local General government Education Other Government enterprises Rest of the world4 .. . .. 1994 371 1,182 838 344 918 1995 388 1,195 837 358 895 1996 396 1,228 854 374 872 3. Includes Coast Guard. 4. Beginning with 1993, includes estimates of foreign professional workers and undocumented Mexican migratory workers employed temporarily in the. United States. NOTE.-Estimates in this table are based on the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC). SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-34 • National Data Table B.11.—Housing Sector Output, Gross Product, and National Income Table B. 10.—Farm Sector Output, Gross Product, and National Income Billions of chained (1992) dollars Billions of dollars Farm output Cash receipts from farm marketings Crops Livestock Farm housing Farm products consumed on farms Other farm income Change in farm inventories Crops Livestock Less: Intermediate goods and services purchased Intermediate goods and services, other than rent Rent paid to nonoperator landlords 1995 1996 1994 1995 1996 202.9 197.9 219.9 199.4 192.0 193.1 92.8 88.1 5.8 .5 4.9 10.8 9.7 1.1 119.4 193.9 106.9 204.2 111.4 87.0 92.9 5.9 .5 5.6 -7.9 -8.2 .2 6.1 .4 6.3 2.9 4.1 -1.3 179.0 96.9 91.3 88.9 90.5 5.2 .5 4.8 11.7 9.2 1.2 5.2 .5 5.2 -9.2 -7.7 .3 5.1 .4 5.3 2.6 3.0 114.7 117.6 117.3 105.3 110.0 100.7 103.4 101.2 14.1 14.3 16.8 14.0 14.2 16.2 85.0 74.2 75.5 22.4 22.8 23.2 73.5 Less' Consumption of fixed capital 23.7 24.7 25.6 59.8 48 6.6 61.5 14.6 12.3 48.8 51 6.1 49.7 15.7 13.3 63.8 52.2 64.9 16.5 14.2 2.4 2.3 378 247 386 36.9 23.4 37.2 1.2 9.4 51.3 51 6.1 2.2 .9 9.1 62.9 Nonfarm housing Owner-occupied Tenant-occupied Farm housing Less: Intermediate goods and services consumed 1994 1995 1996 1994 1995 686.7 722.7 758.1 649.9 663.4 675.2 680.9 507.0 174.0 5.8 716.8 532.2 184.6 5.9 752.0 558.3 193.6 6.1 644.8 479.6 165.2 5.2 658.3 487.2 171.1 5.2 670.2 495.3 174.9 5.1 1996 87.6 88.5 94.1 83.1 82.1 85.3 Equals: Gross housing product Nonfarm housing Owner-occupied Tenant-occupied Farm housing 599.1 594.4 439.5 155.0 4.7 634.2 629.2 462.8 166.4 5.0 664.0 658.8 484.0 174.9 5.1 566.8 562.7 415.6 147.1 4.2 581.3 577.0 423.1 153.9 4.3 589.9 585.7 428.3 157.5 4.2 Less1 Consumption of fixed capital Capital consumption allowances Less1 CCAdj 120.5 114.8 118.2 112.2 103.6 104.6 60.9 59.6 62.8 -59.6 -55.1 -55.4 Equals: Net housing product 478.6 519.4 545.8 454.5 477.8 485.5 Less: Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments ... 112.9 116.2 119.5 Plus: Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises Equals: Housing national income Compensation of employees Proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj ... Rental income of persons with CCAdj Corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj Net interest 1.4 9.8 NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment IVA Inventory valuation adjustment Housing output L Billions of chained (1992) dollars -1.5 113.7 83.5 Equals'. Farm national income Compensation of employees Wage and salary accruals Supplements to wages and salaries Proprietors' income and corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj Proprietors' income . Corporate profits Net interest 188.5 88.4 89.9 130.6 Equals'. Gross farm product Less: Indirect business tax and nontax liability Plus: Subsidies to operators 178.2 124.4 89.4 Equals'. Net farm product Billions of dollars 1994 180.9 March 1998 20.6 20.8 22.6 386.4 424.0 448.9 7.7 17.6 96.7 8.1 8.5 25.2 27.1 104.3 115.8 4.2 5.1 5.6 260.2 281.3 292.0 1. Equals personal consumption expenditures for housing less expenditures for other housing as shown in table B.4. NOTE.—Chained (1992) dollar series are calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 1992 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. Because the formula for the chain-type quantity indexes uses weights of more than one period, the corresponding chained-dollar estimates are usually not additive. CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment IVA Inventory valuation adjustment National Data • D-35 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table B.12.-Net Stock of Fixed Private Capital, by Type [Yearend estimates] Current-cost valuation (billions of dollars) 1991 Fixed private capital 12,955.2 Private producers' durable equipment Nonresidential equipment Information processing and related equipment Office computing and accounting machinery Computers and peripheral equipment Other office equipment Communication equipment Instruments Photocopy and related equipment Other equipment Furniture and fixtures . Household furniture Other furniture Tractors Farm tractors Construction tractors Agricultural machinery except tractors Construction machinery except tractors Mining and oilfield machinery Service industry machinery Electrical equipment n e e Household appliances Other Other nonresidential equipment Residential equipment Private structures Nonresidential structures Nonresidential buildings excluding farm Industrial buildings ' Office buildingsI Commercial buildings Mobile structures Other commercial 2 Religious buildings Educational buildings Hospital and institutional buildings Other Hotels and motels Amusement and recreational buildings Other nonfarm buildings 3 Utilities Railroad Telecommunications Electric light and power Gas Petroleum pipelines . . Farm related buildings and structures Mining exploration shafts and wells Petroleum and natural gas Other mining Other nonfarm structures4 1996 15,738.6 16,503.4 1991 98.49 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 100.00 101.94 104.15 106.67 109.58 2,642.7 2,742.1 2,881.7 3,050.3 3,232.9 98.37 100.00 102.74 106.62 111.68 117.63 2,590.0 2,686.7 2,823.1 2,989.3 3,168.9 98.39 100.00 102.72 106.61 111.70 117.69 603.2 119.0 629.0 120.7 101.0 650.4 128.3 107.9 673.8 138.5 118.0 704.0 151.2 130.4 785.4 175.7 153.9 94.86 87.31 85.14 99.35 97.21 95.09 97.52 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 106.40 120.18 124.20 101.27 102.41 105.34 104.27 113.96 144.51 154.49 101.08 106.50 109.32 109.02 125.25 189.31 211.49 101.82 112.84 112.73 112.00 140.31 264.83 308.42 108.04 120.39 116.19 113.98 99.38 100.79 97.84 97.48 101.47 100.38 99.14 100.53 97.65 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 101.38 100.07 102.12 102.13 102.06 100.48 101.85 100.70 102.57 103.55 100.95 104.56 104.33 106.76 102.74 104.03 102.25 105.65 106.34 101.72 105.58 104.68 114.34 106.16 107.46 104.37 109.13 108.92 102.72 105.86 104.57 118.43 109.54 109.64 107.35 112.29 98.93 98.99 97.44 97.17 103.69 101.16 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 102.30 105.33 100.93 102.25 98.25 99.65 106.91 115.39 109.20 100.57 95.33 100.79 111.87 127.18 113.03 101.80 92.42 102.22 116.89 139.25 117.20 103.08 89.79 102.81 102.1 100.42 96.81 100.22 96.59 102.77 102.43 103.99 103.85 104.46 110.04 103.27 94.43 99.31 93.87 98.81 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 101.19 103.04 100.43 103.21 99.71 100.28 97.68 98.79 99.09 93.67 99.38 104.87 101.98 105.20 103.18 103.29 105.84 101.74 106.12 101.34 102.61 96.85 99.07 100.51 87.79 103.02 107.43 104.43 107.77 106.40 106.07 110.10 103.22 110.55 103.25 105.11 96.65 99.89 103.15 83.85 107.46 109.26 107.35 109.47 109.34 109.92 115.18 105.88 115.79 105.60 107.84 97.69 101.40 106.11 78.91 117.36 111.42 110.74 111.49 112.59 64.1 19.7 20.4 20.6 20.9 21.8 330.8 109.9 333.0 117.9 335.3 124.1 342.7 130.6 391.5 136.2 79.4 82.0 64.0 67.5 71.2 75.8 898.3 916.8 945.7 991.4 87.7 50.8 46.0 86.7 51.8 47.1 87.0 53.2 48.2 90.3 56.8 51.5 93.5 58.4 52.5 95.7 59.7 53.5 4.8 167.1 193.4 185.7 213.6 4.7 168.8 199.4 189.0 221.0 5.0 174.4 207.5 194.9 228.7 5.4 183.0 218.2 202.5 240.5 5.9 197.0 232.1 212.5 256.7 6.3 205.8 240.0 220.8 261.6 491.2 160.6 102.5 114.4 510.0 169.1 107.6 121.2 538.9 185.5 111.7 127.1 581.2 210.1 124.6 129.2 627.2 236.8 131.1 136.2 660.5 259.6 138.0 140.3 45.5 68.2 45.1 67.1 45.6 69.0 44.7 72.7 44.3 78.8 44.4 78.3 526.8 140.0 9.0 131.0 534.2 146.1 9.1 137.0 551.8 153.8 9.4 144.4 576.6 163.0 9.7 153.3 607.7 175.0 639.4 186.2 10.1 10.5 164.9 175.7 54.1 42.3 11.8 65.4 66.7 16.7 61.0 41.5 54.1 42.4 11.7 64.9 66.0 15.3 60.3 44.6 55.1 43.2 11.9 65.6 66.8 14.6 61.0 47.2 57.2 45.1 12.1 67.1 69.6 14.0 64.5 48.9 59.1 46.8 12.3 69.9 73.2 13.8 69.2 50.3 60.9 48.2 12.7 72.2 77.1 13.3 76.7 50.9 4.5 . . . 1995 15,064.5 2,519.5 318.9 101.4 . 1994 1993 14,198.8 2,570.3 99.5 19.5 Industrial equipment Fabricated metal products Engines and turbines Steam engines Internal combustion engines Metalworking machinery Special industry machinery, n.e.c General industrial, including materials handling, equipment Electrical transmission, distribution, and industrial apparatus Transportation and related equipment Trucks buses and truck trailers Autos Aircraft . Ships and boats Railroad equipment 1992 13,484.1 Chain-type quantity indexes (1992=100) 4.7 4.6 4.9 1,050.3 5.1 37.0 81.2 40.1 83.0 42.5 87.7 44.0 92.4 45.2 97.2 50.8 52.6 55.4 58.6 61.0 1,083.6 5.2 45.7 97.03 100.00 103.36 107.18 111.01 114.80 10,384.9 10,841.4 11,456.7 12,182.8 12,688.3 13,270.4 98.52 100.00 101.75 103.57 105.50 107.74 4,177.2 4,302.7 4,528.9 4,775.6 4,970.8 5,163.3 98.92 100.00 101.16 102.20 103.61 105.43 2,593.9 589.7 611.2 653.7 6.4 647.4 119.7 102.6 246.2 270.8 135.6 2,686.1 613.0 625.4 678.7 6.6 672.1 123.5 108.0 259.8 277.6 139.2 2,834.9 636.2 670.1 717.2 7.2 710.1 129.4 114.7 276.7 290.6 145.9 3,011.3 673.6 707.8 765.0 7.9 757.1 136.6 123.5 297.9 307.0 153.7 3,144.1 700.7 736.5 803.8 8.3 795.5 141.4 130.2 311.6 319.9 161.0 3,299.0 725.9 767.1 855.8 8.7 847.1 146.2 138.0 325.6 340.5 173.3 98.44 98.36 98.72 98.46 98.26 98.47 99.10 97.05 96.87 99.67 99.51 98.63 101.07 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 101.38 100.17 101.51 101.96 101.54 101.97 101.10 102.47 102.72 100.79 101.03 101.25 99.84 102.97 101.44 102.54 103.93 103.27 103.94 102.06 105.40 105.71 101.88 101.79 103.20 100.73 105.02 103.03 104.24 106.63 105.36 106.64 103.23 108.64 108.08 103.76 104.25 106.83 99.60 107.92 104.54 106.37 111.20 107.95 111.24 104.47 112.77 110.59 108.01 109.82 111.45 100.81 99.44 100.93 98.21 99.61 97.56 100.12 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.59 99.08 101.66 100.86 101.42 100.18 100.76 98.22 103.71 100.77 101.99 100.25 101.29 97.42 106.33 101.20 102.88 100.00 101.73 96.92 109.22 101.28 103.23 99.92 101.36 101.90 102.17 99.81 94.60 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 102.10 99.14 98.97 100.48 104.32 101.29 98.31 97.82 101.99 107.95 100.48 97.36 96.76 101.92 111.30 99.14 95.89 95.21 101.14 113.37 67.8 67.4 1,032.3 266.7 181.1 410.9 136.8 70.2 68.2 1,062.0 272.4 185.3 423.8 143.1 73.7 71.0 1,120.2 290.1 194.0 443.4 153.0 78.6 74.7 1,159.7 294.0 204.8 459.6 160.0 83.2 75.7 1,199.7 300.3 218.3 476.5 163.1 88.7 78.5 1,236.4 311.1 229.9 481.8 170.4 36.8 37.5 39.6 41.2 41.5 43.2 182.0 263.8 234.7 183.5 259.0 229.3 194.3 260.1 229.2 201.6 274.5 241.6 204.6 283.7 250.0 206.1 278.5 244.5 29.0 29.7 31.0 32.9 33.7 34.1 105.2 112.1 119.4 128.4 138.7 143.3 Residential structures 6,207.7 6,538.7 6,927.8 7,407.2 7,717.5 8,107.1 98.25 100.00 102.14 104.47 106.75 109.25 Housing units Permanent site 1-to-4-unit 5-or-more-unit Mobile homes Improvements Other residential 5 5,057.2 4,959.6 4,226.4 733.2 5,327.0 5,226.1 4,465.3 760.7 100.9 1,185.1 5,667.3 5,557.9 4,796.1 761.9 109.4 1,232.6 6,078.4 5,956.2 5,182.3 773.8 122.2 1,299.8 6,322.4 6,190.1 5,398.5 791.5 132.3 1,365.8 6,639.3 6,497.7 5,662.9 834.8 141.5 1,438.0 98.37 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 102.00 102.00 102.37 99.78 102.02 102.83 99.67 104.20 104.17 105.01 99.05 105.56 105.87 98.53 106.43 106.36 107.45 99.64 110.07 108.42 97.95 108.99 108.86 110.22 100.47 115.21 110.75 97.69 97.6 1,124.7 25.9 26.6 1. Consists of office buildings, except those occupied by electric and gas utility companies. 2. Consists primarily of stores, restaurants, garages, service stations, warehouses, and other buildings used for commercial purposes. 3. Consists of buildings not elsewhere classified, such as passenger terminals, greenhouses, and animal hospitals. 4. Consists primarily of streets, dams, reservoirs, sewer and water facilities, parks, and airfields. 5. Consists primarily of dormitories, fraternity and sorority houses, and nurses' homes. 27.8 29.0 29.3 n.e.c. Not elsewhere classified. 29.9 v/O.oD 98.09 99.97 99.10 97.64 100.98 D-36 • National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 C. Historical Tables. The tables in this section are derived from the "Summary National Income and Product Series" tables that were published in the August 1997 issue of the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS and from the "Selected NIPA Tables" that are published in this issue. (Changes in prices are calculated from indexes expressed to three decimal places.) Table C.1.—Historical Measures of Real Gross Domestic Product, Real Gross National Product, and Real Gross Domestic Purchases [Quarterly estimates are seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Chain-type price indexes Implicit price deflators Percent change from preceding period Percent change from preceding period Chain-type price index Implicit price deflators Final sales of Gross national Final sales of Gross domestic Gross domestic Gross domestic Gross national Gross domestic domestic Gross domestic product Gross domestic Gross domestic Gross domestic Gross national purchases product product domestic product product product product product purchases product product product Billions of chained (1992) dollars Year and quarter 1959 2,210.2 2,206.9 2,222.0 7.4 6.5 22.95 22.44 22.95 22.96 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 2,262.9 2,314.3 2,454.8 2,559.4 2,708.4 2,264.2 2,318.0 2,445.4 2,552.4 2,705.1 2,276.0 2,329.1 2,471.5 2,577.3 2,727.8 2.4 2.3 6.1 4.3 5.8 2.6 2.4 5.5 4.4 6.0 23.27 23.54 23.84 24.12 24.48 22.75 23.00 23.28 23.58 23.94 23.27 23.54 23.84 24.12 24.48 23.28 23.55 23.85 24.13 24.49 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.5 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 2,881.1 3,069.2 3,147.2 3,293.9 3,393.6 2,860.4 3,033.5 3,125.1 3,278.0 3,377.2 2,901.4 3,087.8 3,166.4 3,314.5 3,413.3 6.4 6.5 2.5 4.7 3.0 5.7 6.1 3.0 4.9 3.0 24.95 25.66 26.48 27.64 28.94 24.39 25.07 25.83 26.95 28.21 24.96 25.67 26.49 27.64 28.94 24.97 25.68 26.50 27.66 28.96 1.9 2.8 3.2 4.4 4.7 1.9 2.8 3.0 4.3 4.7 2.0 2.8 3.2 4.4 4.7 2.0 2.8 3.2 4.4 4.7 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 3,397.6 3,510.0 3,702.3 3,916.3 3,891.2 3,406.5 3,499.8 3,689.5 3,883.9 3,873.4 3,417.1 3,532.1 3,726.3 3,950.1 3,930.2 .1 3.3 5.5 5.8 -.6 .9 2.7 5.4 5.3 -.3 30.48 32.05 33.42 35.30 38.46 29.73 31.32 32.71 34.64 38.17 30.48 32.06 33.42 35.30 38.47 30.50 32.08 33.44 35.32 38.49 5.3 5.2 4.2 5.6 8.9 5.4 5.3 4.5 5.9 5.3 5.2 4.2 5.6 9.0 5.3 5.2 4.2 5.6 8.9 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 3,873.9 4,082.9 4,273.6 4,503.0 4,630.6 3,906.4 4,061.7 4,240.8 4,464.4 4,614.4 3,903.3 4,118.8 4,314.5 4,543.7 4,687.4 -.4 5.4 4.7 5.4 2.8 .9 4.0 4.4 5.3 3.4 42.09 44.55 47.42 50.88 55.22 41.72 44.15 47.18 50.65 55.22 42.09 44.55 47.43 50.89 55.23 42.11 44.58 47.46 50.92 55.26 9.4 5.8 6.5 7.3 8.5 9.4 5.8 6.5 7.3 8.5 9.4 5.9 6.5 7.3 8.5 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 4,615.0 4,720.7 4,620.3 4,803.7 5,140.1 4,641.9 4,691.6 4,651.2 4,821.2 5,061.6 4,670.8 4,769.9 4,662.0 4,844.8 5,178.0 -.3 2.3 4.0 7.0 .6 1.1 -.9 3.7 5.0 60.34 66.01 70.18 73.16 75.92 61.10 66.72 70.64 73.31 75.90 60.33 66.01 70.17 73.16 75.92 60.36 66.05 70.21 73.20 75.97 9.3 9.4 6.3 4.3 3.8 9.2 5.9 3.8 3.5 9.2 9.4 6.3 4.3 3.8 9.2 9.4 6.3 4.3 3.8 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 5,323.5 5,487.7 5,649.5 5,865.2 6,062.0 5,296.9 5,480.9 5,626.0 5,855.1 6,028.7 5,346.7 5,501.2 5,658.2 5,878.5 6,075.7 3.6 3.1 2.9 3.8 3.4 4.6 3.5 2.6 4.1 3.0 78.53 80.58 83.06 86.10 89.72 78.34 80.40 83.11 86.13 89.78 78.53 80.58 83.06 86.09 89.72 78.57 80.62 83.09 86.12 89.75 3.4 2.6 3.1 3.7 4.2 3.2 2.6 3.4 3.6 4.2 3.4 2.6 3.1 3.7 4.2 3.4 2.6 3.1 3.7 4.2 6,136.3 6,079.4 6,244.4 6,389.6 6,610.7 6,126.7 6,082.6 6,237.4 6,368.9 6,551.2 6,157.0 6,094.9 6,255.5 6,408.0 6,619.1 1.2 -.9 2.7 2.3 3.5 1.6 -.7 2.5 2.1 2.9 93.64 97.32 100.00 102.64 105.09 93.83 97.30 100.00 102.48 104.85 93.60 97.32 100.00 102.64 105.09 93.63 97.33 100.00 102.63 105.08 4.4 3.9 2.8 2.6 2.4 4.5 3.7 2.8 2.5 2.3 4.3 4.0 2.8 2.6 2.4 4.3 4.0 2.7 2.6 2.4 1995 1996 1997 6,742.1 6,928.4 7,189.6 6,712.7 6,901.0 7,119.2 6,748.7 6,932.0 2.0 2.8 3.8 2.5 2.8 3.2 107.76 110.22 112.45 107.52 109.86 111.77 107.76 110.21 112.40 107.73 110.18 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.5 2.2 1.7 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.5 2.3 1959: 1 II Ill IV 2,165.0 2,223.3 2,221.4 2,231.0 2,165.5 2,204.2 2,232.6 2,225.3 2,176.2 2,234.5 2,233.5 2,243.9 8.6 9.2 7.3 5.3 22.86 22.92 22.96 23.05 22.35 22.41 22.45 22.53 22.92 22.91 22.94 23.03 22.93 22.91 22.95 23.04 .8 1.1 .7 1.5 1.1 1.1 .7 1.5 .8 -.3 .6 1.6 .8 -.3 .6 1.6 1960' I II Ill IV 2,279.2 2,265.5 2,268.3 2,238.6 2,248.5 2,268.4 2,265.1 2,274.7 2,291.6 2,278.2 2,281.6 2,252.7 4.2 3.6 -.6 1.7 23.10 23.21 23.32 23.44 22.57 22.69 22.80 22.92 23.13 23.22 23.32 23.40 23.14 23.23 23.33 23.41 .9 2.0 2.0 2.1 .8 2.1 2.0 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.9 1.5 1.7 1.4 1961' I II Ill IV 2,251.7 2,292.0 2,332.6 2,381.0 2,277.7 2,301.1 2,320.4 2,372.8 2,266.8 2,306.3 2,347.1 2,395.9 2.4 7.4 7.3 8.6 .5 4.2 3.4 9.3 23.48 23.51 23.55 23.61 22.96 22.97 23.01 23.06 23.45 23.51 23.56 23.63 23.46 23.52 23.57 23.64 .7 .5 .7 1.1 .6 .2 .7 .9 .9 1.0 .8 1.2 .9 1.0 .8 1.2 1962: I II Ill IV 2,422.6 2,448.0 2,471.9 2,476.7 2,400.3 2,440.7 2,462.0 2,478.7 2,437.4 2,464.4 2,488.4 2,495.9 7.2 4.3 4.0 .8 4.7 6.9 3.5 2.7 23.73 23.80 23.86 23.96 23.17 23.24 23.31 23.41 23.75 23.81 23.87 23.94 23.76 23.81 23.87 23.95 2.0 1.1 1.1 1.7 1.9 1.4 1.1 1.8 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1963: 1 II Ill IV 2,508.7 2,538.1 2,586.3 2,604.6 2,492.4 2,533.8 2,578.0 2,605.3 2,526.9 2,555.5 2,604.0 2,622.9 5.3 4.8 7.8 2.9 2.2 6.8 7.2 4.3 24.03 24.07 24.11 24.26 23.48 23.53 23.58 23.72 24.00 24.07 24.12 24.29 24.01 24.08 24.13 24.30 1.2 .6 .7 2.4 1.3 .8 .9 2.5 1.1 1.1 .8 3.0 1.1 1.1 .8 3.0 1964: 1 II III IV 2,666.7 2,697.5 2,729.6 2,739.7 2,663.1 2,695.0 2,727.6 2,734.5 2,686.8 2,716.8 2,749.5 2,758.1 9.9 4.7 4.8 1.5 9.2 4.9 4.9 1.0 24.33 24.41 24.53 24.64 23.80 23.89 23.99 24.09 24.35 24.41 24.52 24.64 24.36 24.42 24.53 24.65 1.2 1.3 1.9 1.8 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.6 .9 .9 1.8 2.1 .9 .9 1.8 2.1 1965: 1 II Ill IV 2,808.9 2,846.3 2,898.8 2,970.5 2,777.2 2,826.7 2,879.8 2,957.8 2,830.0 2,868.2 2,918.9 2,988.6 6.4 7.3 7.7 24.76 24.88 25.01 25.16 24.19 24.31 24.44 24.61 24.77 24.88 25.01 25.17 24.78 24.89 25.02, j 25.1 8 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.5 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.8 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.6 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.6 1966: 1 II Ill IV 3,042.4 3,055.5 3,076.5 3,102.4 3,008.8 3,023.1 3,047.2 3,054.8 3,061.1 3,074.2 3,094.7 3,121.4 1967: 1 II Ill IV 3,127.2 3,129.5 3,154.2 3,178.0 3,085.6 3,119.0 3,134.2 3,161.5 3,145.9 3,147.7 3,174.4 3,197.5 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 . -2.1 11.2 -.3 1.7 8.9 -2.4 .5 -5.1 10.5 5.4 7.6 10.3 -1.3 11.3 10.2 9.3 5.8 6.9 7.4 9.0 10.7 1.7 2.8 3.4 7.1 1.9 3.2 1.0 25.30 25.50 25.82 26.03 24.73 24.93 25.22 25.41 25.32 25.53 25.79 26.02 25.34 25.54 25.81 26.03 2.2 3.2 5.1 3.4 1.9 3.2 4.8 3.1 2.5 3.2 4.2 3.5 2.5 3.3 4.2 3.5 3.2 .3 3.2 3.1 4.1 4.4 2.0 3.5 26.16 26.32 26.57 26.87 25.52 25.67 25.92 26.21 26.14 26.31 26.60 26.90 26.15 26.32 26.61 26.91 2.0 2.5 3.9 4.6 1.6 2.5 3.9 4.5 1.9 2.5 4.5 4.6 2.0 2.5 4.5 4.6 10.0 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 National Data • D-37 Table C.1.—Historical Measures of Real Gross Domestic Product, Real Gross National Product, and Real Gross Domestic Purchases—Continued [Quarterly estimates are seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Percent change from preceding iod Billions of chained (1992) dollars Year and quarter Gross domestic product Final sales o domestic product Chain-type price indexes Percent change from preceding period Implicit price deflators Chain-type price index Gross nationa product Gross domestic product Final sales o domestic product Implicit price deflators Gross domestic Gross domestic Gross domestic Gross nationa Gross domestic Gross domestic Gross domestic Gross national purchases product product product product purchases product product 19681 1 II Ill IV 3,236.2 3,292.1 3,316.1 3,331.2 3,225.3 3,258.0 3,303.9 3,325.1 32562 3,312.5 3,337.3 3,352.2 7.5 7. 3.0 1.8 8.3 4.1 5.8 2.6 27.19 27.50 27.75 28.12 26.52 26.80 27.06 27.43 27.21 27.49 27.75 28.12 27.22 27.50 27.76 28.13 4.8 4.5 3.7 5.5 4.9 4.2 4.0 5.5 4.7 4.1 3.8 5.5 4.8 4.1 3.8 5.5 1969: 1 II Ill IV 3,381.9 3,390.2 3,409.7 3,392.6 3,357.5 3,373.0 3,389.6 3,388.9 3,402.8 3,410.3 3,428.5 3,411.4 6.2 1.0 2.3 4.0 1.9 2.0 28.38 28.74 29.14 29.51 27.66 28.02 28.40 28.77 28.39 28.73 29.14 29.51 28.40 28.75 29.16 29.52 3.7 5.2 5.7 5.2 3.5 5.3 5.6 5.2 3.8 5.0 5.8 5.1 3.9 5.0 5.8 5.1 1970: 1 || III IV 3,386.5 3,391.6 3,423.0 3,389.4 3,397.6 3,391.9 3,421.9 3,414.8 3,406.0 3,411.9 3,442.9 3,407.4 1.( 3.'i 29.92 30.36 30.60 31.02 29.18 29.59 29.87 30.29 29.94 30.36 30.61 31.02 29.95 30.37 30.63 31.03 5.7 6.0 3.2 5.6 5.9 5.8 3.8 5.7 6.0 5.7 3.4 5.4 6.0 5.7 3.4 5.4 1971: I II Ill IV 3,481.4 3,500.9 3,523.8 3,533.8 3,458.9 3,481.2 3,509.4 3,549.5 3,503.3 3,524.3 3,544.7 3,556.0 2.3 2.6 1.1 5.3 2.6 3.3 4.7 31.50 31.93 32.25 32.53 30.75 31.18 31.52 31.81 31.50 31.93 32.27 32.54 31.52 31.94 32.29 32.55 6.3 5.7 4.1 3.5 6.2 5.7 4.5 3.7 6.4 5.5 4.4 3.3 6.4 5.5 4.4 3.3 1972: 1 II Ill IV 3,604.7 3,687.9 3,726.2 3,790.4 3,608.0 3,665.7 3,700.0 3,784.3 3,627.9 3,710.7 3,751.2 3,815.3 8.3 9.6 4.2 7.1 6.8 6.5 3.8 9.4 33.01 33.23 33.50 33.93 32.28 32.53 32.82 33.23 33.02 33.20 33.49 33.95 33.03 33.22 33.51 33.97 6.0 2.6 3.3 5.2 6.0 3.1 3.6 5.1 6.0 2.2 3.5 5.6 6.1 2.2 3.5 5.6 1973: 1 II Ill IV 3,892.2 3,919.0 3,907.1 3,947.1 3,867.0 3,884.5 3,890.9 3,893.1 3,921.5 3,950.4 3,944.1 3,984.4 9.0 1.* 34.38 34.96 35.63 36.24 33.69 34.33 34.95 35.60 34.36 34.94 35.61 36.29 34.38 34.96 35.63 36.31 5.5 6.9 7.8 7.0 5.6 7.8 7.5 7.6 5.0 6.9 7.9 7.8 5.0 6.9 7.9 7.8 1974' I II Ill IV 3,908.1 3,922.6 3,880.0 3,854.1 3,889.1 3,899.7 3,882.5 3,822.2 3,952.4 3,964.3 3,917.6 3,886.1 —t 1.1 36.98 37.79 38.93 40.14 36.55 37.59 38.71 39.84 37.01 37.79 38.96 40.13 37.03 37.81 38.98 40.15 1975: I II Ill . IV 3,800.9 3,835.2 3,907.0 3,952.5 3,848.3 3,887.9 3,922.7 3,966.7 3,827.3 3,861.8 3,936.1 3,987.9 1976: 1 || III IV 4,044.6 4,072.2 4,088.5 4,126.4 4,027.0 4,039.1 4,061.7 4,119.0 19771 1 II Ill IV 4,176.3 4,260.1 4,329.5 4,328.3 1978: I II Ill IV -2.0 I 3.7 ^3.9 11.3 11.2 2.8 -1.2 4.2 -3.9 1.5 -43 -2.6 -1.8 -6.1 8.4 9.0 12.7 13.0 11.1 11.9 12.5 12.2 8.2 8.7 12.9 12.6 8.2 8.7 12.9 12.5 3.7 7.7 4.7 2.8 4.2 3.6 4.6 41.04 41.67 42.44 43.21 40.69 41.34 42.05 42.79 41.05 41.66 42.41 43.19 41.07 41.68 42.44 43.22 9.2 6.3 7.6 7.4 8.8 6.5 7.0 7.2 9.5 6.1 7.4 7.6 9.5 6.1 7.4 7.6 4,078.8 4,107.9 4,124.8 4,163.7 9.7 2.8 1.6 3.8 6.2 1.2 2.3 5.8 43.68 44.17 44.78 45.56 43.26 43.76 44.42 45.16 43.69 44.15 44.77 45.57 43.72 44.18 44.80 45.60 4.4 4.6 5.7 7.2 4.5 4.7 6.1 6.9 4.7 4.2 5.7 7.3 4.7 4.2 5.7 7.3 4,161.4 4,228.4 4,270.0 4,303.3 4,219.4 4,302.2 4,371.2 4,365.0 4.9 8.3 6.7 -.1 4.2 6.6 4.0 3.2 46.31 47.08 47.74 48.55 45.99 46.81 47.55 48.36 46.32 47.07 47.66 48.63 46.34 47.10 47.69 48.66 6.7 6.8 5.7 7.0 7.6 7.3 6.4 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.1 8.4 6.7 6.7 5.1 8.4 4,345.5 4,510.7 4,552.1 4,603.7 4,306.0 4,474.6 4,511.6 4,565.4 4,388.6 4,546.1 4,591.1 4,649.0 7.0 8.6 7.3 7.9 6.7 8.2 7.0 8.7 6.7 8.2 7.1 8.7 1979: I II III IV 4,605.7 4,615.6 4,644.9 4,656.2 4,579.0 4,577.0 4,639.2 4,662.5 4,652.6 4,668.7 4,708.8 4,719.5 9.0 9.1 8.8 8.9 8.1 9.1 8.8 8.9 8.1 1980: 1 II Ill IV 4,679.0 4,566.6 4,562.3 4,651.9 4,675.3 4,579.0 4,637.1 4,676.1 4,743.0 4,625.6 4,617.8 4,696.6 1981: 1 || III IV 4,739.2 4,696.8 4,753.0 4,693.8 4,692.9 4,699.0 4,702.5 4,672.0 4,787.7 4,742.6 4,801.4 4,747.9 1982: 1 II Ill IV 4,615.9 4,634.9 4,612.1 4,618.3 4,655.4 4,651.2 4,616.9 4,681.3 4,658.5 4,682.9 4,651.1 4,655.6 .5 1983' I || III IV 4,663.0 4,763.6 4,849.0 4,939.2 4,719.4 4,785.3 4,860.7 4,919.5 4,700.1 4,804.4 4,891.3 4,983.5 3.9 8.9 7.4 7.7 1984- I II Ill IV 5,053.6 5,132.9 5,170.3 5,203.7 4,961.0 5,050.0 5,085.6 5,149.9 5,092.6 5,172.4 5,209.5 5,237.5 1985' I II Ill IV 5,257.3 5,283.7 5,359.6 5,393.6 5,231.7 5,261.0 5,336.9 5,358.0 1986' I II . Ill IV 5,460.8 5,466.9 5,496.3 5,526.8 1987: 1 II Ill IV 1988' I II Ill IV . . -5.4 16.1 16.6 3.7 4.6 3.4 4.9 49.39 50.43 51.32 52.37 49.19 50.22 51.11 52.08 49.42 50.41 51.27 52.35 49.45 50.44 51.30 52.39 7.1 8.6 7.3 8.4 .2 .9 2.6 1.0 1.2 -.2 5.5 2.0 53.46 54.70 55.82 56.92 53.21 54.52 55.89 57.25 53.51 54.65 55.82 56.92 53.54 54.68 55.85 56.95 8.6 9.6 8.5 8.1 2.0 1.1 -9.3 -8.0 58.25 59.59 60.93 62.57 58.89 60.41 61.77 63.33 58.18 59.55 61.01 62.59 58.22 59.58 61.05 62.64 9.7 9.6 9.3 11.2 64.19 65.35 66.65 67.85 64.96 66.15 67.27 68.48 64.15 65.37 66.65 67.87 64.20 65.42 66.69 67.91 10.7 7.4 8.2 7.4 7.5 7.0 7.3 5.7 68.85 69.71 70.69 71.46 69.42 70.17 71.10 71.85 68.86 69.72 70.66 71.44 68.91 69.77 70.70 71.47 6.0 5.1 5.7 4.5 3.3 5.7 6.4 4.9 72.12 72.84 73.50 74.19 72.33 73.03 73.65 74.24 72.08 72.83 73.48 74.19 72.12 72.87 73.52 74.24 9.6 6.4 3.0 2.6 3.4 7.4 2.9 5.2 75.00 75.62 76.25 76.82 75.04 75.65 76.19 76.71 75.02 75.58 76.25 76.81 5,280.3 5,310.8 5,378.4 5,417.5 4.2 2.0 5.9 2.6 6.5 2.3 5.9 1.6 77.64 78.25 78.80 79.44 77.38 78.02 78.58 79.37 5,410.5 5,448.4 5,518.2 5,546.6 5,481.1 5,480.1 5,510.4 5,533.1 5.1 .4 2.2 2.2 4.0 2.8 5.2 2.1 79.81 80.26 80.81 81.44 5,561.8 5,618.0 5,667.4 5,750.6 5,535.8 5,608.4 5,671.5 5,688.3 5,568.7 5,628.7 5,676.0 5,759.6 2.6 4.1 3.6 6.0 -.8 5.4 4.6 1.2 5,785.3 5,844.0 5,878.7 5,952.8 5,774.2 5,840.1 5,869.2 5,937.0 5,802.3 5,857.5 5,889.4 5,964.9 2.4 4.1 2.4 5.1 6.2 4.6 2.0 4.7 1.6 -.4 8.1 5.2 3.4 7.7 1.4 .5 .3 -3.5 4.9 -4.9 -6.5 1.7 -2.0 -2.6 -1.4 -.4 -2.9 10.2 10.4 10.2 12.0 10.7 9.3 9.2 9.7 9.2 9.7 10.5 10.2 10.8 10.2 10.8 10.7 10.3 10.4 7.8 8.0 7.5 7.8 8.0 7.5 5.6 4.4 5.4 4.3 6.0 5.1 5.5 4.4 6.0 5.1 5.5 4.4 3.7 4.1 3.7 3.8 2.7 3.9 3.4 3.2 3.7 4.2 3.7 3.9 3.7 4.2 3.7 3.9 75.06 75.63 76.29 76.85 4.4 3.3 3.4 3.0 4.4 3.3 2.9 2.7 4.5 3.1 3.5 3.0 4.5 3.1 3.6 2.9 77.63 78.25 78.76 79.45 77.67 78.29 78.80 79.49 4.3 3.2 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.3 2.9 4.1 4.4 3.3 2.6 3.5 4.3 3.2 2.6 3.5 79.77 79.97 80.60 81.25 79.81 80.22 80.84 81.45 79.85 80.26 80.88 81.49 1.9 2.2 2.8 3.2 2.0 1.0 3.2 3.3 1.8 2.1 3.1 3.1 1.8 2.1 3.1 3.0 82.11 82.68 83.35 84.08 82.07 82.74 83.44 84.19 82.09 82.68 83.33 84.09 82.12 82.71 83.36 84.12 3.3 2.8 3.3 3.6 4.1 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.2 2.9 3.2 3.7 3.2 2.9 3.2 3.7 84.69 85.56 86.67 87.46 84.81 85.68 86.58 87.44 84.67 85.56 86.66 87.44 84.69 85.59 86.69 87.47 2.9 4.2 5.3 3.7 3.0 4.2 4.3 4.0 2.7 4.3 5.2 3.7 2.8 4.3 5.2 3.7 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-38 • National Data March 1998 Table C.1.—Historical Measures of Real Gross Domestic Product, Real Gross National Product, and Real Gross Domestic Purchases—Continued [Quarterly estimates are seasonally adjusted at annual rates] Percent change from preceding period Billions of chained (1992) dollars Year and quarter Final sales of domestic product Gross national product 1989: 1 II III IV 6,011.0 6,055.6 6,088.0 6,093.5 5,970.0 6,010.9 6,063.1 6,070.8 6,023.1 6,065.5 6,101.8 6,112.3 1990: 1 II Ill IV 6,152.6 6,171.6 6,142.1 6,079.0 6,144.6 6,127.5 6,126.6 6,108.1 6,172.8 6,188.0 6,155.7 6,111.3 1991: 1 II Ill IV 6,047.5 6,074.7 6,090.1 6,105.3 6,065.4 6,095.9 6,085.4 6,083.8 6,074.3 6,086.4 6,099.2 6,119.5 1992: 1 II IV 6,175.7 6,214.2 6,260.7 6,327.1 6,175.8 6,203.8 6,249.5 6,320.7 1993: 1 II Ill IV 6,327.9 6,359.9 6,393.5 6,476.9 1994: 1 II III IV 1995: 1 II Ill IV 1996: 1 II Ill IV 1997: 1 II Ill IV ... Implicit price deflators Percent change from preceding period Chain-type price index Gross domestic product .Ill Chain-type price indexes Gross domestic Gross domestic purchases product Gross national product Gross domestic product Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic product 4.0 3.0 2.2 .4 2.2 2.8 3.5 .5 88.44 89.40 90.13 90.91 88.47 89.52 90.14 90.98 88.45 89.39 90.13 90.88 88.48 89.42 90.16 90.91 4.5 4.4 3.3 3.5 5.0 92.01 93.20 94.19 95.14 92.17 93.14 94.32 95.68 92.00 93.18 94.14 95.11 92.04 93.21 94.17 95.13 3.9 1.2 -1.1 -.1 -1.9 -4.0 -1.2 -2.1 -2.8 Gross domestic product Implicit price deflators Gross domestic Gross domestic purchases product Gross national product 4.8 4.8 2.8 3.8 4.7 4.3 3.3 3.4 4.7 4.3 3.3 3.4 4.9 5.2 4.3 4.1 5.4 4.2 5.2 5.9 5.0 5.2 4.2 4.2 5.1 5.2 4.2 4.2 1.8 1.0 1.0 2.0 -.7 -.1 96.26 97.02 97.70 98.30 96.42 96.95 97.58 98.27 96.27 97.00 97.70 98.31 96.29 97.01 97.71 98.32 4.8 3.2 2.8 2.5 3.1 2.2 2.6 2.9 5.0 3.1 2.9 2.5 4.9 3.1 2.9 2.5 6,192.0 6,225.2 6,270.3 6,334.6 4.7 2.5 3.0 4.3 6.2 1.8 3.0 4.6 99.14 99.81 100.17 100.88 99.04 99.76 100.28 100.92 99.13 99.79 100.17 100.88 99.13 99.79 100.17 100.88 3.4 2.8 1.4 2.8 3.2 2.9 2.1 2.6 3.4 2.7 1.5 2.9 3.4 2.7 1.5 2.9 6,297.3 6,344.9 6,379.3 6,453.8 6,351.3 6,375.9 6,415.3 6,489.7 .1 2.0 2.1 5.3 3.1 2.2 4.8 101.85 102.38 102.83 103.52 101.71 102.28 102.64 103.28 101.84 102.35 102.83 103.51 101.84 102.34 102.83 103.50 3.9 2.1 1.8 2.7 3.2 2.3 1.4 2.5 3.9 2.0 1.9 2.7 3.8 2.0 1.9 2.6 6,524.5 6,600.3 6,629.5 6,688.6 6,473.0 6,526.7 6,580.4 6,624.8 6,540.5 6,609.3 6,635.6 6,691.2 3.0 4.7 1.8 3.6 1.2 3.4 3.3 2.7 104.16 104.74 105.39 106.07 103.80 104.46 105.24 105.88 104.13 104.71 105.39 106.09 104.14 104.71 105.38 106.06 2.5 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.0 2.6 3.0 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.6 2.6 6,703.7 6,708.8 6,759.2 6,796.5 6,654.3 6,685.3 6,739.3 6,771.9 6,711.3 6,721.0 6,758.3 6,804.2 .9 .3 3.0 2.2 1.8 1.9 3.3 2.0 106.93 107.49 108.03 108.60 106.66 107.33 107.79 108.29 106.94 107.46 108.02 108.61 106.91 107.43 107.99 108.59 3.3 2.1 2.0 2.1 3.0 2.5 1.7 1.9 3.3 2.0 2.1 2.2 3.2 2.0 2.1 2.2 6,826.4 6,926.0 6,943.8 7,017.4 6,815.0 6,902.3 6,905.0 6,981.7 6,834.7 6,930.1 6,940.2 7,023.1 1.8 6.0 1.0 4.3 2.6 5.2 .2 4.5 109.35 109.86 110.59 111.10 109.01 109.50 110.15 110.79 109.39 109.84 110.54 111.05 109.37 109.82 110.50 111.01 2.8 1.9 2.7 1.9 2.7 1.8 2.4 2.4 2.9 1.7 2.6 1.9 2.9 1.6 2.5 1.8 7,101.6 7,159.6 7,214.0 7,283.3 7,034.1 7,077.7 7,160.3 7,204.5 7,091.8 7,144.4 7,198.8 4.9 3.3 3.1 3.9 3.0 2.5 4.7 2.5 111.78 112.27 112.67 113.08 111.32 111.55 111.90 112.29 111.71 112.22 112.62 113.02 111.67 112.17 112.57 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.9 .8 1.3 1.4 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.4 2.4 1.8 1.4 -1.5 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 National Data • D-39 Table C.2.—Real Gross Domestic Product [Average annual percent change, based on chained (1992) dollar estimates] Initial year Terminal year 1971 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.5 3.0 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.3 3.1 2.5 3.5 5.6 5.5 .. 1972 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.4 2.2 2.7 2.8 3.2 3.3 2.9 2.5 1.5 2.5 5.8 1973 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.1 1.9 2.4 2.4 2.8 2.8 2.2 1.4 -.5 -.6 1974 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.4 2.2 2.8 2.9 3.5 3.7 3.2 2.4 -.4 1975 1976 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.3 2.1 2.9 3.1 4.3 5.0 4.7 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.7 2.5 3.3 3.6 4.6 5.1 5.0 5.4 1977 1978 1979 1980 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.0 1.6 2.5 2.6 4.1 5.4 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 1.3 .6 1.6 1.2 2.8 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.1 .9 -.1 1.0 _q 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 1.3 .1 2.3 1981 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.1 2.9 .9 -2.1 1982 1983 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.4 4.8 5.5 4.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.6 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.5 5.3 7.0 1984 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.6 1985 1986 1987 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.0 3.1 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.8 3.4 3.4 2.9 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.8 3.6 3.8 1988 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.2 2.3 3.4 1989 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.0 .1 1.2 1990 1991 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.4 .9 -.9 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.5 2.7 1992 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.9 2.3 1993 3.0 2.7 2.7 3.5 1994 2.8 2.4 2.0 1995 3.3 2.8 1996 3.8 Table C.3.—Chain-Type Price Index for Gross Domestic Product [Average annual percent change] Initial year 1971 1997 1996 . . 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 4.9 51 5.2 53 5.4 56 5.7 5.8 5.9 60 6.1 6.3 6.6 69 71 7.4 75 7.3 7.0 68 6.7 6.8 7.0 63 4.9 4.2 1972 5.0 51 5.2 53 5.5 56 5.8 5.9 6.0 61 6.3 6.5 6.8 71 74 7.7 79 7.7 7.4 73 7.3 7.5 8.0 73 5.6 1973 4.9 51 5.2 53 5.5 56 5.8 5.9 6.0 61 6.3 6.6 6.9 72 76 7.9 81 8.0 7.7 76 7.7 8.1 9.2 89 1974 4.8 49 5.0 52 5.3 55 5.6 5.7 5.8 59 6.1 6.4 6.7 70 74 78 80 7.8 7.5 72 7.2 7.6 9.4 1975 4.6 47 4.8 49 5.1 52 5.4 5.5 5.6 57 5.8 6.1 6.4 68 72 76 78 7.5 7.0 65 6.1 5.8 1976 4.5 46 4.8 49 5.0 52 5.3 5.4 5.5 56 5.8 6.1 6.5 69 73 79 82 7.9 7.4 69 6.5 1977 1978 4.4 45 4.7 48 4.9 51 5.3 5.4 5.5 56 5.8 6.1 6.5 70 75 8.2 86 8.4 7.9 73 1979 4.3 44 4.5 46 4.8 49 5.1 5.2 5.3 54 5.6 5.9 6.4 69 75 84 91 8.9 8.5 4.0 41 4.3 44 4.5 47 4.8 4.9 5.0 51 5.2 5.5 6.0 66 73 83 93 9.3 1980 3.7 38 3.9 40 4.2 43 4.4 4.5 4.5 45 4.7 4.9 5.4 59 66 7.8 94 1981 3.4 3.5 3.6 36 3.7 38 4.0 4.0 3.9 39 3.9 4.1 4.4 48 53 6.3 1982 3.2 3.3 3.4 34 3.5 36 3.7 3.7 3.6 35 3.4 3.5 3.8 40 43 1983 1984 3.1 3.2 3.3 33 3.4 35 3.6 3.6 3.5 33 3.2 3.3 3.6 38 3.1 32 3.2 33 3.4 35 3.6 3.6 3.4 32 3.0 3.0 3.4 1985 3.0 31 3.2 33 3.4 35 3.6 3.6 3.4 31 2.8 2.6 1986 3.1 32 3.3 34 3.5 37 3.8 3.8 3.6 34 3.1 1987 3.1 32 3.3 34 3.6 38 4.0 4.1 3.9 37 1988 3.0 31 3.3 34 3.6 38 4.2 4.3 4.2 1989 2.9 30 3.1 32 3.4 37 4.1 4.4 1990 2.7 28 2.9 29 3.1 33 3.9 1991 2.4 25 2.6 26 2.7 28 1992 2.4 25 2.5 25 2.6 1993 2.3 24 2.5 24 1994 2.3 24 25 1995 2.2 23 1996 2.0 Table C.4.—Real Gross Domestic Purchases [Average annual percent change, based on chained (1992) dollar estimates] Initial year 1971 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 2.8 2.7 27 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 31 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.7 2.7 3.3 35 32 2.7 1.8 2.9 5.2 5.7 1972 2.7 2.6 26 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 29 2.8 2.8 2.3 2.0 2.4 2.3 3.0 31 27 2.0 .6 1.6 4.8 1973 2.6 2.5 25 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 27 2.7 2.6 2.0 1.6 2.1 20 2.7 28 22 11 -1.4 -1.5 1974 2.7 2.7 27 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.1 31 31 3.1 3.0 2.4 2.0 2.6 26 3.5 39 34 25 1975 2.9 2.9 29 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 35 3.5 3.5 2.9 2.5 3.2 34 4.8 57 59 64 1976 2.8 2.7 27 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 32 3.2 3.1 2.4 1.9 2.6 27 4.3 53 54 1977 2.6 2.6 25 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 30 2.9 2.8 1.9 1.2 1.9 18 3.7 53 1978 2.5 2.4 24 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 27 2.6 2.4 1.2 .2 .9 1 2.2 1979 2.5 2.4 24 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 28 2.7 2.5 1.0 -.4 .2 -20 1980 2.8 2.7 27 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.5 36 3.7 3.6 2.0 .4 2.4 1981 2.8 2.7 27 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.6 38 4.0 4.0 1.8 1982 3.1 3.1 31 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.7 4.2 4.4 4.7 52 5.9 6.9 5.3 -1.6 -1.3 NOTE.—to these triangles, the growth rate from one year to any other year can be found at the intersection of the column for the earlier yevar and the row for the later year; thus, growth rates from one year to the next are shown on the main diagonal. For example, from 1985 to 1995, real gross domestic product grew at an average annual rate of 2.4 percent; from 1984 to 1985, it grew 3.6 percent. 1983 3.0 2.9 29 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.6 52 6.2 8.5 1984 2.6 2.4 24 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.3 36 3.9 1985 2.4 2.3 22 2.3 2.1 1.9 18 2.5 2.9 3.0 3.0 33 1986 2.4 2.2 21 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5 2.3 2.8 2.8 2.7 1987 2.3 2.1 20 2.1 1.8 1.5 12 2.1 2.8 2.9 1988 2.3 2.0 19 1.9 1.5 1.2 .6 1.8 2.7 1989 2.2 1.9 18 1.8 1.2 .7 -.4 .8 1990 2.4 2.1 20 2.0 1.4 .6 -16 1991 3.1 2.9 29 3.2 2.9 2.8 1992 3.1 2.9 29 3.4 2.9 1993 3.2 2.9 29 3.9 1994 3.0 2.4 19 1995 3.5 2.9 1996 4.1 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-40 • National Data March 1998 Table C.5.—Chain-Type Price Index for Gross Domestic Purchases [Average annual percent change] Initial year Terminal year 1971 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 . . 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 . . . 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.8 7.0 7.3 7.7 7.9 7.7 7.3 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.4 6.8 5.2 4.5 1972 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.9 7.3 7.6 8.0 8.2 8.1 7.8 7.6 7.6 7.8 8.4 8.0 5.9 1973 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.7 7.0 7.4 7.8 8.2 8.5 8.4 8.1 7.9 8.0 8.4 9.7 10.2 1974 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.8 7.1 7.5 8.0 8.3 8.2 7.7 7.3 7.3 7.5 9.3 1975 1976 1977 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.8 6.1 6.5 7.0 7.6 8.4 9.0 9.0 8.2 7.4 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.9 6.2 6.6 7.0 7.5 8.1 8.6 8.5 7.7 7.1 6.9 4.6 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.5 6.9 7.3 7.8 8.1 7.9 7.3 6.7 6.3 5.8 1978 1979 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.9 6.4 7.0 7.7 8.7 9.6 9.8 9.0 1980 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.5 6.0 6.6 7.3 8.6 9.9 10.7 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.7 5.1 5.6 6.3 7.5 9.2 1981 1982 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.8 5.9 1983 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.8 1984 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.4 3.5 1985 1987 1986 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.2 3.0 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.1 2.9 3.2 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.4 1988 1989 1990 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.7 4.1 4.5 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.2 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.1 3.9 3.6 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.7 1991 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.8 1992 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 1993 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.3 1994 2.2 2.4 2.5 1995 1996 2.0 2.2 1.7 Table C.6.—Real Final Sales of Domestic Product [Average annual percent change, based on chained (1992) dollar estimates] Initial year 1971 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 28 2.8 28 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 30 3.1 31 3.0 3.0 3.0 29 2.7 2.6 3.0 32 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.0 28 3.4 5.3 5.4 1972 27 2.6 26 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 29 2.9 29 2.9 2.9 2.8 27 2.5 2.3 2.7 29 3.2 3.2 2.8 2.4 19 2.5 5.3 1973 26 2.5 25 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 27 2.8 28 2.7 2.7 2.6 24 2.2 2.0 2.4 26 2.9 2.8 2.2 1.5 3 -.3 1974 27 2.7 27 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 29 3.0 30 2.9 2.9 2.9 27 2.5 2.3 2.8 31 3.6 3.6 3.1 2.4 9 1975 28 2.7 27 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 30 3.1 32 3.1 3.1 3.1 29 2.7 2.5 3.1 35 4.3 4.6 4.2 4.0 1976 27 2.7 27 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 30 3.1 31 3.0 3.0 3.0 28 2.5 2.3 2.9 34 4.3 4.8 4.4 1977 1978 26 2.6 26 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.0 30 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.2 1.9 2.6 31 4.3 5.3 1979 25 2.4 24 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 21 1.5 1.0 1.7 20 3.4 1980 24 2.4 24 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 26 2.7 27 2.5 2.5 2.3 19 1.1 .3 .8 6 25 2.5 25 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 28 2.9 29 2.8 2.8 2.7 22 1.3 .1 1.1 1981 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.1 26 1.4 -.9 1982 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.3 3.7 1983 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.5 3.8 4.0 3.9 4.4 4.8 50 1984 2.7 2.6 26 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.6 4.1 4.6 1985 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.3 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.1 3.5 1987 1986 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.9 3.5 4.1 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.8 3.2 3.4 2.6 1988 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.3 2.3 3.0 1989 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.1 .4 1.6 1990 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.3 .9 -.7 1991 1992 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.1 1993 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.9 1994 2.8 2.6 2.5 1995 3.0 2.8 1996 32 Table C.7.—Real Disposable Personal Income [Average annual percent change, based on chained (1992) dollar estimates] Initial year 1971 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 . 1986 1985 1984 1983 . .. 1982 1981 1980 . 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 28 2.8 2.8 2.8 28 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.1 31 3.2 3.2 32 28 2.8 30 31 3.4 3.5 33 3.3 31 3.6 5.8 4.6 1972 27 2.7 2.7 2.7 27 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 30 3.1 3.1 31 27 2.7 29 29 3.3 3.4 30 3.0 26 3.1 7.1 1973 25 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.8 27 2.8 2.7 27 2.3 2.2 24 2.4 2.7 2.6 20 1.6 5 -.7 1974 27 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 30 3.1 3.0 31 26 2.6 28 29 3.4 3.5 30 2.8 17 1975 27 2.7 2.7 2.7 27 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.1 31 3.2 3.2 32 27 2.7 30 31 3.8 4.1 36 3.9 1976 26 2.6 2.7 2.6 26 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.1 30 3.1 3.1 31 2.5 2.5 28 29 3.7 4.2 32 1977 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.4 2.3 27 2.8 3.9 5.2 1978 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 28 1.9 1.6 19 17 2.7 1979 1980 26 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.1 30 3.2 3.2 3.3 2.0 1.6 23 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 27 2.9 2.8 28 1.6 1.3 15 6 -" 1981 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.6 1.8 .9 1982 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.6 4.1 4.4 5.0 2.8 1983 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.8 3.8 4.5 5.1 7.3 1984 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.0 2.6 3.1 3.0 1985 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.4 3.2 1986 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.3 . 2.5 2.8 1.6 1987 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.1 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.9 1988 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.3 1.9 2.0 1989 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.6 .9 1.8 1990 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.4 0 1991 1992 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.8 ' 2.4 2.3 2.4 1.9 1.7 1993 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.2 1994 2.8 2.8 3.3 1995 26 2.3 1996 29 D-41 National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 D. Domestic Perspectives. This table presents data collected from other government agencies and private organizations, as noted. Quarterly data are shown in the middle month of the quarter. Table D.1.—Domestic Perspectives 1998 1997 1996 1996 1997 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Sept. Aug. Consumer and producer prices, (seasonally adjusted) Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. ] Consumer price index for all urban consumers, 1982-84=100: All items Less food and energy Services 156.9 165.6 174.1 160.5 169.5 179.4 159.2 167.7 159.4 168.0 159.7 168.3 159.8 168.6 160.0 169.2 160.1 169.4 160.4 169.7 160.6 170.0 160.9 170.1 161.3 170.4 1767 1772 1776 1781 1785 1788 1793 1798 1800 1804 161.6 170.8 181 0 161.8 171.0 181 4 161.9 171.4 181.7 161.9 171.7 181.9 Producer price index, 1982=100: Finished goods Less food and energy Finished consumer goods Capital equipment Intermediate materials Crude materials 131.3 142.0 129.5 138.3 125.7 1138 131.8 142.5 130.2 138.3 125.6 133.0 142.4 131.6 138.5 126.3 1330 1326 1324 142.4 131.6 138.6 126.5 142.4 131.1 138.5 126.4 142.6 131.0 138.5 126.0 131 9 142.6 130.2 138.4 125.6 131 7 142.3 130.0 138.2 125.5 131 4 142.3 129.6 138.2 125.4 1109 1225 1271 1164 1074 1079 1099 1069 131 1 142.1 129.3 138.1 125.2 106.4 131 3 142.2 129.5 138.1 125.3 106.8 131 8 142.7 130.1 138.4 125.5 108.2 131 9 142.7 130.3 138.2 125.4 112.1 131 7 142.6 130.1 138.1 125.7 114.1 131 4 142.5 129.8 137.8 125.3 108.2 1305 142.3 128.7 137.7 124.5 103.3 0.51 -0.71 .52 -0.16 .48 0.68 0.63 .56 -0.26 .60 Money, interest rates, and stock prices 2 Money stock (seasonally adjusted): Percent change: M1 M2 Ratio: Gross domestic product to M1 Personal income to M2 Interest rates (percent, not seasonally adjusted): Federal funds rate Discount rate on new 91 -day Treasury bills Yield on new high-grade corporate bonds 1 0-Year U S Treasury bonds Yield on municipal bonds, 20-bond average Mortgage commitment rate Average prime rate charged by banks Index of stock prices (not seasonally adjusted): 3 500 common stocks 1941-43=10 .56 -0.19 .38 -0.19 .32 -0.36 .40 -0.63 .54 -0.38 .06 7.358 1.752 1.755 1.748 5.19 5.00 7.54 6.42 5.63 7.65 8.25 5.39 5.14 7.85 6.69 5.76 7.90 8.30 5.51 5.17 0.13 6.904 1.734 7.553 1.750 1.742 1.745 5.30 5.02 7.62 6.44 5.76 7.80 8.27 5.46 5.07 7.40 6.35 5.52 7.60 8.44 5.29 4.87 7.45 6.30 5.64 7.60 8.25 5.25 5.05 0.10 0.01 .79 .39 .35 7537 1.753 1.756 1.752 1.749 1.745 1.746 1.748 1 745 1 745 5.50 5.13 7.90 6.71 5.70 7.94 8.50 5.56 4.92 7.71 6.49 5.53 7.69 8.50 5.52 5.07 7.44 6.22 5.35 7.50 8.50 5.54 5.13 7.30 6.30 5.41 7.48 8.50 5.54 4.97 7.04 6.21 5.39 7.43 8.50 5.50 4.95 5.52 5.15 6.79 5.88 5.33 7.21 8.50 5.50 5.16 6.68 5.81 5.19 7.10 8.50 5.56 5.09 6.62 5.54 5.06 6.99 8.50 92774 93702 93892 962.37 963.36 7616 .60 7701 2 670.83 87272 74325 763 6.58 5.72 7.82 8.25 76622 79839 79216 804 6.89 5.88 8.14 8.50 76393 83309 87629 92529 690 6.03 5.38 7.29 8.50 951 16 ! Labor markets (thousands, seasonally adjusted, unless otherwise noted) Civilian labor force Labor force participation rates (percent): Males 20 and over Females 20 and over 16-19 years Of age Civilian employment Ratio, civilian employment to working-age population (percent) Persons engaged in nonagricultural activities Employees on nonagricultural payrolls Goods-producing industries Services-producing industries Average weekly hours, manufacturing (hours) Average weekly overtime hours, manufacturing (hours) Number of persons unemployed Unemployment rates (percent): Total 15 weeks and over Average duration of unemployment (weeks) Nonfarm business sector, 1992=100: Output per hour of all persons Unit labor costs Hourly compensation . See footnotes at the end of the table. 133,943 136,297 135,060 135,729 135,689 136,115 136,043 136,060 136,206 136,294 136,404 136,439 136,406 136,864 76.8 59.9 52.3 ' 77.0 60.5 51.6 768 771 769 771 771 769 770 770 769 768 768 770 60.3 52.2 60.3 51.9 60.3 52.6 60.5 52.4 60.4 52.0 60.5 51.9 60.5 51.2 60.5 51.4 60.6 51.0 60.6 51.0 60.5 50.9 60.4 51.8 126,708 129,558 127,899 128,541 128,515 129,035 129,275 129,494 129,392 63.2 63.8 63.4 63.5 63.5 63.7 63.8 63.8 63.7 129661 129,747 129,761 129,910 130,575 63.8 63.8 63.7 63.8 64.0 123,264 126,159 124,476 125,088 125,175 125,648 125,813 126,076 126,003 126,209 126,368 126,339 126,583 127,191 119,523 122,257 120,659 120,909 121,162 121,344 121,671 121,834 122,056 122,440 122,492 122,792 123,083 123,512 24,431 24,738 24,540 24,581 24,653 24,670 24,667 24,702 24,714 24,713 24,765 24,771 24,814 24,888 95,092 97,519 96,119 96,328 96,509 96,674 97,004 97,132 97,342 97,727 97,727 98,021 98,269 98,624 41.6 42.0 42.0 41.8 41.9 42.1 42.1 42.0 41.8 41.8 41.8 41.9 42.0 42.1 137,169 137,493 77.0 77.1 60.7 60.6 51.6 53.1 130,777 131,083 64.1 127,392 123,867 24,988 98,879 42.2 64.2 127,764 124,225 25,123 99,102 42.1 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 7,236 6,739 7,161 7,188 7,174 7,080 6,768 6,566 6,814 6,633 6,657 6,678 6,496 6,289 6,392 6,409 5.4 1.7 4.9 1.5 5.3 1.6 5.3 1.6 5.3 1.6 5.2 1.5 5.0 1.5 4.8 1.5 5.0 1.5 4.9 1.6 4.9 1.5 4.9 1.5 4.8 1.5 4.6 1.4 4.7 1.4 16.3 4.7 1.3 15.6 16.7 15.8 102.6 108.0 110.8 104.4 110.2 115.0 15.8 15.9 15.9 103.4 109.8 113.5 15.4 15.4 15.3 104.0 110.0 114.4 15.3 16.5 15.8 1049 110.1 115.5 15.9 16.3 15.6 1054 1109 116.9 D-42 • National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table D.1.—Domestic Perspectives—Continued 1997 1996 1996 1998 1997 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Construction (seasonally adjusted at annual rates) Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 4 Total new private construction put in place (billions of dollars) Residential . .. Nonresidential 437.1 247.2 149.4 462.1 260.1 161.5 447.0 247.9 157.4 444.4 246.7 161.0 452.0 251.4 163.7 452.7 254.0 160.5 457.6 259.9 156.5 459.9 259.7 160.0 456.9 257.3 159.2 464.3 258.8 164.5 465.2 260.0 163.4 468.8 263.8 163.3 469.6 265.7 162.0 470.3 267.5 161.4 474.7 480.1 271.0 273.8 161.7 163.3 Housing starts (thousands of units): Total 1-unit structures 1,477 1,161 1,474 1,133 1,384 1,065 1,394 1,138 1,547 1,231 1,477 1,139 1,480 1,134 1,404 1,095 1,502 1,132 1,461 1,144 1,383 1,076 1,501 1,174 1,529 1,124 1,523 1,167 1,538 1,534 1,118 1,196 757 800 794 822 826 825 764 802 812 798 816 785 857 New 1 -family houses sold (thousands of units) 765 Manufacturing and trade, inventories and sales (millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted) Inventories: Total manufacturing and trade Manufacturing Merchant wholesalers Retail trade 1,004,708 434,434 256,178 314,096 1,048,088 1,004,708 453,738 434,434 272,487 256,178 321,863 314,096 Sales: Total manufacturing and trade Manufacturing Merchant wholesalers Retail trade 8,601,158 3,735,183 2,420,679 2,445,296 9,022,064 3,948,483 2,527,294 2,546,287 727,929 316,306 204,951 206,672 777 4 1,007,618 1,011,899 1,013,376 1,017,150 1,019,025 1,026,255 1,027,787 1,030,243 1,037,172 1,040,265 1,043,460 1,048,088 435,743 437,873 438,560 441,508 443,460 444,823 446,602 448,447 449,152 452,139 454,182 453,738 257,895 258,088 259,389 258,046 259,029 264,154 262,314 264,899 268,112 268,183 270,004 272,487 313,980 315,938 315,427 317,596 316,536 317,278 318,871 316,897 319,908 319,943 319,274 321,863 737,464 319,725 207,506 210,233 747,790 322,967 211,801 213,022 745,460 322,923 210,195 212,342 746,769 326,909 209,926 209,934 742,945 323,567 210,008 209,370 750,027 328,315 210,772 210,940 757,485 332,895 211,041 213,549 752,886 330,178 208,336 214,372 762,543 335,366 213,372 213,805 759,880 334,064 212,299 213,517 757,708 332,955 210,919 213,834 764,499 337,386 212,531 214,582 Industrial production indexes and capacity utilization rates (seasonally adjusted) 2 Industrial production indexes, 1992=100: Total By industry: Durable manufactures Nondurable manufactures .... By market category: Consumer goods Capacity utilization rates (percent): Total industry Manufacturing 118.5 124.5 120.9 121.3 122.1 122.5 123.1 123.3 123.5 124.5 125.2 125.6 126.5 127.4 127.9 127.9 131.7 108.0 142.3 111.2 135.3 110.3 136.1 110.2 137.8 110.4 138.7 110.5 139.5 110.8 140.1 110.7 141.2 110.5 142.4 110.9 144.3 111.0 144.4 111.3 145.5 112.2 147.6 112.6 148.3 148.8 113.0 113.3 111.8 114.4 113.6 113.2 113.1 113.4 113.4 113.9 113.5 113.9, 114.6 114.5 115.9 116.6 116.5 116.4 82.4 81.4 82.7 81.7 82.5 81.5 82.4 81.4 82.6 81.7 82.5 81.6 82.6 81.6 82.4 81.4 82.3 81.3 82.6 81.5 82.8 81.8 82.7 81.6 83.0 81.9 83.2 82.3 Credit market borrowing (billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates)2 All sectors, by instrument: Total Open market paper U.S. government securities Municipal securities Corporate and foreign bonds ... Bank loans nee Other loans and advances Mortgages Consumer credit Sources: 1. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2. Federal Reserve Board. 1,321.0 102.6 376.5 1.3 278.4 92.6 50.2 330.6 88.8 1,041.4 199.2 186.9 23.2 1293 153.8 -41 2835 696 1,284.9 109.5 189.1 76.5 3354 126.7 67.2 322.7 578 3. Standard and Poor's, Inc. 4. Bureau of the Census, n.e.c. Not elsewhere classified. 1,255.0 1720 201.9 40.4 3419 48.7 85.9 321.4 42.7 83.3 82.3 83.0 82.1 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 National Data • D-43 E. Charts. Percent changes shown in this section are based on quarter-to-quarter changes and are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates; likewise, levels of series are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates as appropriate. SELECTED NIPA SERIES Chained (1992) dollars Dec Nov Apr Feb 28000 RE/tSROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT PER CAPITA Nov Mar JanJIyJIy Jly Mar Nov 28000 26000- -26000 24000- -24000 22000- -22000 20000- -20000 -18000 -16000 -14000 -12000 10000 I 59' I 1I '61 I I '63' I 1I '65 I '67 71' '73' '75' '77' '79' '81' '83' '85' '87 HEJ^BROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (PERCENTCHANGE) 15 - -15 -10 - 5 JuJill JllilJulJil r 0 - -5 LJ '71' LJ 67'I '69' U.& Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis LJ '73' UJ '75' I'77' '79' I.J '81' U '83' L. '85' U '87 L. LJ 91' '93' '95' '97 D-44 • National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 SELECTED NIPA SERIES Percent 60 SHAKES OF FEDERAL GOVERNMENT RECEI Persona! tax and nontax 50 - 40 - 30 - 20 - - 20 10 - 10 Percent 70 59 »' V Apr Fib ITS' I 75I IT?' Nov Mar Dec No» 'si1 ITS Janjty Jty ae '89' '91' Jy Mar Nov 97 70 SH«ffiS OF FEDERAL GOVERNMENT CURREMf EXPENDITURES 60 - -60 50 - -50 ,,__ 40 - ,N ^^j-'--^ Transfer payments ' -^. Consumption expenditures 30 20 - Grans to State and local governmlnts 40 -30 -20 -10 10 - 0 f Percent^' ~t "' Ajr Fab 63> l as> '•» [ 73> '75' "77' '79' 'ei' RABJ GOVERNMENT SURPLUS/DEFICIT( NIB^ GROSS DOM^K PRODUCT Total U.S. DSpwtMwit of Commerca, Bweau of Economic Analysis ™ National Data • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 D-45 SELECTED NIPA SERIES Percent 25 Dec Nov Apr Feb RATIO, SAVING TO GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT Nov Jan Jly Jly Mar Jly Mar Nov 25 20- 15 - Corporate and other privatesaving h10 Gross government saving 59' Percent 25 '61' ,J 63' LJ ' 6 5 ' LJ '67' '69 '71 Dec Nov Apr Feb '73' Nov 75' '77' Mar 79 '81' Jan Jly Jly '83 '85' LJ '87' LJ '89' LJ ' 9 1 ' I' 9 3 ' '95' '97 Jly Mar Nov 25 RATIO, INVESTMENT TO GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 20- -20 15- -15 Gross private domestic investment 10- Gross government investment 5- -5 -5 59' 'ei' Percent Apr Feb 60 63' 65' '67' 'eg' 7l' '73' Dec Nov Nov SHARES OF GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC FIXED INVESTMENT '75' '77' Mar '79' 'si' Jan Jly Jly 'S3 ' 89 1 8s' '91' '93' '95' 97 Jly Mar Nov 60 50- -50 Producers' durable equipment, nonresidential 40- 1-40 Residential investment 30- -30 Structures, nonresidential 20 -20 10- - 10 59'I UJ '61' Lo '63' I'65' '67' '69' 71' U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis '73' '75' '77' '79' '81' '83' '85' '87' '89' '91' '93' '95' '97 D-46 • National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 SELECTED NIPA SERIES SHARES OF NATIONAL INCOME alary Wage and salary accruals, 63.3% X^~ "^X 1996 1959 Wage and salary accruals, 58.1% Net interest, 2.5% Net interest, 6.8% Corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj, 12.2% Renta income of persons wth IVA, 4.4% Supplements to wages and salaries, 5.2% Supplements to ,n d Corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj, 11.f x , 2J0/ y _ Rental income ol persons Proprietors' income wth IVA, 2.3% with IVA and CCAdj. 8.3% Proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj, 12.3% SHARES OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY SECTOR 1959 1996 Business, 86.1% Business, 83.8% General government, 11.4' General government, 11.6% Households and institutions, 2.4% Households and institutions, 4.5% SHARES OF GROSS DOMESTIC PURCHASES 1959 Personal consumption expenditures, 62.5% 1996 Personal consumption expenditures, 67.4% Government consumption expenditures and gross investment, 18.2% Government consumption expenditures and gross investment, 22.0% Nonresidential investment, 10.0% Residential investment, 5.5% U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis Nonresidential investment, 10.4% Residential investment, 4.0% SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 National Data • D-47 SELECTED NIPA SERIES Percent Dec Nov APT Feb 60 . Nov JanJtvJIv Mar JY Mar Nov 60 SHARES OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY TYPE OF PRODUCT Output of services "*, 50 - -50 40 - -40 30 - -30 20 - -20 Output of structures 10 - -10 I 69 I [. Percent 14 Dec Nov Apr Feb EXPORTS AS SHARE OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IMPORTS AS SHARE OF GROSS DOMESTIC PURCHASES '77' '79' '73' Nov Mar JanJIyJIy 93 as Nov Jly Mar 97 14 12 - -12 10 - -10 8 . -8 6 . - 6 - 4 59' Percent 60 lei' Apr Feb '63! 'es' 'er' leg' '71' Dec Nov ITS' Nov hs '77' '79' JanJIyJlY Mar 'a 1 'as' Nov '91 > Jty Mar SHARES OF PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDmJRES BY TYPEQW>RODUCT 60 50- -50 40- -40 30- •30 20 Durable goods 10 20 10 59' '71' US. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis '73' '75' '77' D-48 • National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 SELECTED NIPA SERIES Percent ACT Feb JanJIvJIv Nov Mar Nov Jlv Mar PROFIT MARGIN, DOMESTIC NONFINANCIAL (J1WORATIONS' Ratio of corporate profitspef unit to cost and profit per unit 59' Ratio '61' '63' '65' '67' '69' 71' Dec Nov Acf Feb '73' '75' Nov '77' '79' '81' '83' JanJIvJIv Mar '85' '87' '89' '91' '93' '95' '97 Jlv Mar Nov INViNTORY/SALES RATIOS, CURRENT-DOLLAfff/5 Nonfarm inventoidB to final sales of goods and structures 4- -4 Inventories to final sales of domestic business 3- -3 Nonfarm inventories to final sales of domestic business 'Based on current-dollar estimates of inventories and sales 59' Ratio '61' '63' '65' '67' '69' '71 ' '73 ' '75 1 '77 1 '79 1 ' 81' Jan Jlv Jlv Aor Feb 'S3 1 '86' '87 1 '89 1 Nov '91 1 '93 1 '95 ' ! 97 Jlv Mar INVENTORY/SALES RATIOS, REAL' Nonfarm inventories to final sales of goods and structures 4- -4 3- Inventories ID final sales of domestic business Nonfarm inventories to final sales of domestic business 2 - -2 'Based on chained (1992) dollar eslimates of inventories and sales 1 59' m ea U I6677I 71 U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 73 * 'TB' "si' 'as' as 91 n '97 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 National Data OTHER INDICATORS OF THE DOMESTIC ECONOMY Percent Nov Mar JanJIyJIy Nov 18 JlyMar JlyMar PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PERCENT CHANGE) CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (PERCENT CHANGE) -4 - 73 75 Index. Nov Mar 130 77 79 81 83 85 I I I I I II I I I I 87 89 91 93 95 97 I 75 I I I77I I79 73 W] 81 83 85 7 89 Percent Npvjar JanJIyJIy Nov CARftCITY UTILIZATION RATE JlyMar JanJIvJIv Nov -8 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION INDEX 120- 91 93 w JlyMar 90- 11085- 10080- 90758070- 70- Manufacturing 65 60 73 W W W 8l' 871 '93! II I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 97 Hours 43 Nov Mar JanJIyJIyNov JlyMar AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, MANUFACTURING I I I I I I I 91 93 95 97 Hours c b Nov Mar JanJIvJIv Nov Jlv Mar AVERAGE WEEKLY OVERTIME HOURS, MANUFACTURING 4241 40 - 39- 38- 37 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I II I , . 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 D-49 D-50 • National Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 OTHER INDICATORS OF THE DOMESTIC ECONOMY Percent Nov Mar Percent Nov Mar JlyMar JanJIyJIyNov 12 18 10- 15- 8- 12- 6- 9- 4- 6- JanJIyJIyNov JlyMar INTEREST RATES UNEMPLOYMENT SftTE 10-Year Treasury Binds 3- u I I I 1 I I l \ \ I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 73 75 Percent Nw Mar 77 79 81 83 85 JanJIyJIyNov 87 89 91 93 95 97 JlyMar flONEY SUPPLY (PERCBfT CHANGE) 73' W Ratio 8.0 Nov Mar W W 8l' '831 85' JanJIyJIyNov sT^T W JlyMar RATIO, GDP TO M1 7.57.0- 6.56.05.55.04.5- w 'w w w y w b> w y y y^w Millions NovMar 3.0 JanJIyJIyNov JlyMar 2.5 - 4.0 73' w w y v ^ u Thousands 1000 NwMar JanJIyJIyNov '9i y y w JlyMar SALES OF NEW ON6FAMJO' HOUSES 800 2.06001.5400- 1.0- 200- 0.5- I I I I I I I ! I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 US. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis T U M I TT i i i i i i i i i i i i i i rrr 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 D-51 International Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 International Data F. Transactions TablesTable F.i includes the most recent estimates of U.S. international trade in goods and services; the estimates were released on February 19, 1998 and include "preliminary" estimates for December 1997 and "revised" estimates for November. The sources for the other tables in this section are as noted. Table F.1.—U.S. International Transactions in Goods and Services [Millions of dollars; monthly estimates seasonally adjusted} 1997 1$)96 1995 1996 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.r Dec.p 794,610 848,833 73,969 72,444 71,848 74,282 78,124 78,385 77,989 78,365 77,845 78,890 78,116 80,230 78971 80019 Goods Foods feeds snd beverages Industrial supplies and materials Capital goods, except automotive Automotive vehicles engines and parts Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive Other goods Adjustments ' 575,871 50473 146247 233,046 61828 64425 28,723 -6871 612,069 55534 147,652 252,895 65021 70,138 33,836 -13006 53,209 52,133 4398 12463 22,052 5465 6,015 3,056 -1 316 51,686 4327 12,091 21,555 5600 6,068 2,595 53,687 4272 12706 22,715 5907 6264 2,493 57,155 57,162 57,378 3929 13885 24,482 57,326 4,234 13,373 24,913 6,174 6,448 3,228 -1044 56,370 4337 13133 24,778 5844 6,400 3,010 -1 133 58,450 57,586 58,674 4426 13071 26873 5923 6406 2855 -551 56,745 3,832 13,169 24,898 6,261 6,397 3,218 -1,031 Services Travel Passenger fares Other transportation Royalties and license fees Other private services Transfers under U S military agency sales contracts2 U.S. Government miscellaneous services 218,739 63395 19125 27412 27 383 66,850 13756 818 236,764 69908 20,557 27216 29,974 73,569 14647 893 1,801 2393 2,570 6,370 20,311 5823 1,690 2349 2,574 6,426 1342 1381 21,100 6,098 1,805 2289 2,541 7,059 1,245 63 21,564 6,342 1,846 2423 2,535 7,108 1,247 63 Exports of goods and services 5012 12252 22,211 5878 6,070 3,064 -1279 20,760 6215 69 68 4181 4162 13731 24,713 6228 13507 24,971 6481 2,808 6,339 2,709 56,871 4052 13399 24,760 5935 6663 3,057 -671 -988 -697 -995 -857 20,162 5947 1,711 20,595 6243 1,797 2321 2,561 6,510 1,074 68 2,563 6,588 1 015 68 21,223 6389 1,880 2379 2,550 6,756 21,118 2291 20,969 6366 1,811 2387 2575 6,662 1 101 67 1,830 2365 2540 6,878 20,987 6027 1,801 2299 2532 6,995 1205 1252 1270 6171 64 6189 64 6251 6720 2,968 63 4681 4612 13229 25,350 6458 6752 3,021 -1 040 13095 24448 6902 6569 2623 -663 -880 21,746 6537 1,920 2428 2,528 7,022 21,780 21,385 21345 6418 6184 1819 2401 2416 1248 1261 63 1,877 2459 2531 7,168 66 2533 7,125 1 258 65 6134 1 794 2530 7147 1 259 65 896,467 959,873 81,634 83,045 83,458 84,138 85,955 86,504 87,178 86,702 87,589 87,945 89,344 89,321 87,647 90804 Goods . Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials Capital goods, except automotive Automotive vehicles engines and parts Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive Other goods Adjustments ' 749,431 33,176 181 849 221,431 123795 159905 23,387 5888 803,239 35,710 204 482 229,050 128938 171,007 26,102 7950 68,385 2,976 17562 19,330 11234 14,749 2,245 289 69,828 3,189 18698 19,581 10846 15,149 2,130 235 69,834 3,074 17944 19,466 11 763 15,117 2,224 247 70,448 3,105 17641 19,439 12113 15,256 2,465 429 72,032 3,328 17969 20,422 11 685 14927 2,244 1 456 72,689 3,358 17575 20,686 11366 16,214 2,472 73,234 3,378 17905 20,988 11 625 16079 2,361 897 72,622 3,251 17565 21,250 11 594 15716 2,355 891 73,593 3,395 17,456 21,574 12291 16,100 2,549 227 73,885 3,347 17878 22,060 11817 16,009 2,531 242 74,908 3,395 18 288 21,984 11821 16,656 2,505 259 74,929 3,304 18363 22,386 11 252 16645 2,738 242 73308 76317 3213 3516 17520 21385 11 806 16746 2,405 234 17764 22461 12210 17396 2552 417 Services Travel Passenger fares Other transportation Royalties and license fees Other private services Direct defense expenditures2 U S Government miscellaneous services 147036 46053 14,433 28249 6,503 39285 9,890 2623 156,634 48,739 15,776 28453 7,322 42796 10,861 2687 13,249 4,156 1,367 2323 589 3680 907 227 13,217 4,061 1,342 2366 604 3707 911 226 13,624 4,295 1,411 2448 588 3739 914 229 13,690 4,312 1,425 2439 598 3770 917 229 13,923 2491 2518 13,944 4,340 1,392 2546 615 3933 892 226 14,080 4,388 1,412 2478 623 4062 891 226 13,996 4,288 1,398 2,420 659 14,060 4,289 1,399 2,523 641 4104 4081 14,436 4,524 1,484 2575 651 4074 901 227 14,392 1,447 13,815 4,275 1,397 14339 4545 1,469 2476 671 4055 896 227 14487 4642 1 504 2502 680 4038 894 227 Imports of goods and services Memoranda: Balance on goods Balance on services Balance on goods and services 613 3811 922 228 609 3893 896 227 899 228 900 227 4471 1,458 2588 660 4069 919 227 -173560 -191 170 -15176 -17695 -18149 -16761 -14877 -15528 -16363 -15244 -16849 -16559 -18538 -16479 -15 723 -17643 7,104 80,130 7,094 6,538 6907 7,504 7,511 7,408 7,174 71,703 6,905 7,046 7310 7388 7046 6858 -101 857 -1 1 1 040 -7665 -10601 -1 1 61 1 -9856 -7831 -6120 -9189 -8337 -9745 -9055 -1 1 228 -9091 -8677 -10785 p Preliminary. 1. Reflects adjustments necessary to bring the Census Bureau's component data in line with the concepts and definitions used to prepare BEA's international and national accounts. 2. Contains goods mat cannot be separately identified. 4411 1019 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-52 • International Data March 1998 Table F.2.—U.S. International Transactions [Millions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted Line (Credits +; debits -) ' II 1 Exports of goods, servicss and income 1997 1996 1996 IV III I 1996 IIr \\\P II III 1997 I IV llr Ilk 1,055,233 261,665 260,424 276,672 278,315 293,478 294,545 262,335 261,979 274,545 279,521 293,868 295,597 2 Goods adjusted excluding military2 612,069 154,198 145,670 160,759 162,812 172,548 165,691 153,411 150,764 157,846 162,527 171,411 170,579 3 4 Services 3 Transfers under US military agency sales contracts4 236,764 14,647 57,121 3,961 63,564 3,572 60,669 4,022 59,841 3,190 61,652 3,727 69,075 3,740 58,736 3,961 59,322 3,572 61,656 4,022 61,725 3,190 63,328 3,727 64,410 3,740 18,183 5,282 7,142 18,556 5,319 6,999 18,605 5,511 7,043 18,977 5,571 7,140 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 . . . Travel Passenger fares Other transportation 69,908 20,557 27,216 17,165 4,769 6,788 21,041 6,104 6,763 16,898 4,916 7,229 16,421 4,976 6,873 18,428 5,302 7,029 22,696 6,513 7,193 17,356 4,952 6,805 17,659 5,237 6,716 Royalties and license fees 5 Other private services5 U S Government miscellaneous services 29,974 73,569 893 7,170 17,082 187 7,410 18,464 210 8,273 19,124 207 7,389 20,789 203 7,445 19,530 191 7,527 21,217 189 7,345 18,130 187 7,495 18,433 210 7,703 19,117 207 7,699 19,759 203 7,622 20,629 191 7,604 21,189 189 206,400 98,890 102,866 4,644 50,346 24,318 25,053 975 51,190 23,837 25,938 1,415 55,243 27,123 27,232 888 55,663 26,164 28,544 955 59,278 28,380 30,151 747 59,779 27,138 31,643 998 50,188 23,929 25,053 1,206 51,893 24,675 25,938 1,280 55,043 26,898 27,232 913 55,269 25,872 28,544 853 59,129 27,970 30,151 1,008 60,608 28,088 31,643 877 Income receipts on U S assets abroad Direct investment receipts Other private receipts U S Government receipts ... -1,163,450 -289,195 -501,489 -302,337 -300,017 ^522,999 -335,255 -289,231 -295,865 -299,493 -310,811 ^22,760 -328,549 16 Goods adjusted excluding military2 -803,239 -199,450 -205,518 -210,542 -204,876 -217,230 -225,289 -200,973 -203,257 -206,036 -212,314 -218,545 -222,128 17 18 Services3 .. Direct defense expenditures -156,634 -10,861 ^0,128 -2,747 -42,415 -2,780 -38,253 -2,727 -38,247 -2,753 ^3,073 -2,679 ^5,746 -2,700 -38,953 -2,747 -39,345 -2,780 ^39,664 -2,727 -41,238 -2,753 -41,839 -2,679 -42,492 -2,700 ^8,739 -15,776 -28,453 -13,236 -4,188 -7,222 -14,321 ^,406 -7,380 -10,690 -3,637 -7,203 -10,935 -3,947 -7,191 -14,205 -4,445 -7,514 -15,664 -4,789 -7,686 -12,099 -3,943 -7,253 -11,915 -3,920 -7,218 -12,241 -4,053 -7,166 -13,018 -4,283 -7,378 -13,003 -4,201 -7,542 -13,101 -4,281 -7,518 -7,322 ^2,796 -2,687 -1,606 -10,473 -2,154 -10,682 -1,865 -11,451 -1 ,772 -10,962 -1,758 -11,793 -1,963 -12,262 -1,684 -10,570 -2,144 -10,676 -1,770 -11,027 -1,799 -11,321 -1,847 -11,888 -1,951 -12,259 -203,577 ^32,132 -100,103 -71,342 ^9,616 -8,184 -24,600 -16,832 15 Imports of goods, services, and income 19 20 21 Travel Passenger fares Other transportation 22 23 24 Royalties and license fees 5 Other private services5 U S Government miscellaneous services 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 . .... Income payments on foreign assets in the United States Direct investment payments Other private payments US Government payments Unilateral transfers, net US Government grants4 U S Government pensions and other transfers Private remittances and other transfers6 U.S. assets abroad, net (increase/capital outflow (-)) 34 35 36 37 38 US official reserve assets net7 Gold Special drawing rights Reserve position in the International Monetary Fund Foreign currencies 39 40 41 42 U S Government assets, other than official reserve assets, net U S credits and other long-term assets Repayments on U.S. credits and other long-term assets8 U.S. foreign currency holdings and U.S. short-term assets, net 43 44 45 46 U S private assets net Direct investment Foreign securities .. U.S. claims on unaffiliated foreigners reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns U.S. claims reported by U.S. banks, not included elsewhere 47 • . .. -657 -692 -680 -53,556 -9,905 -25,158 -18,493 -53,542 -7,554 -26,135 -19,853 -686 -56,895 -8,175 -27,581 -21,139 -679 -682 -62,696 -10,561 -29,341 -22,794 -64,220 -10,992 -29,759 -23,469 -657 ^9,305 -7,873 -24,600 -16,832 -692 -680 -53,263 -9,612 -25,158 -18,493 -53,793 -7,805 -26,135 -19,853 -686 -57,259 -8,539 -27,581 -21,139 -679 -62,376 -10,241 -29,341 -22,794 -682 -63,929 -10,701 -29,759 -23,469 ^9,968 -8,122 -9,103 -12,305 -8,604 -8,623 -9,061 -8,689 -8,947 -11,926 -8,682 -8,960 -9,204 -14,933 -4,331 -20,704 -2,423 -5,499 -1,407 -5,399 -2,109 -5,700 -2,245 -1,057 -5,321 -2,252 ^,918 -2,690 -1,188 -5,225 -5,873 -2,423 -1,081 -5,185 -2,690 -1,064 -5,193 -5,499 -1,050 -5,377 -2,109 -1,083 -5,490 -2,245 -1,128 -5,587 -2,252 -1,099 -5,853 -352,444 -51,161 -78,638 -149,829 -130,316 -92,849 -103,146 -49,698 -77,542 -154,436 -127,969 -90,935 -101,564 -781 -795 -936 6,668 -523 7,489 -315 4,480 -236 -730 -623 7,489 -315 4,480 -236 -730 370 -1,280 7,578 -133 -220 -170 848 -146 72 1,055 3,353 -133 -139 848 -146 72 1,055 3,353 -133 -139 -463 -128 -183 6,824 -28 -141 -157 -128 -133 -220 -170 -268 54 ^63 -183 6,824 -28 -141 54 -157 -690 -358 -4,930 4,134 106 -1,489 870 261 162 -1,127 1,206 83 -1,238 1,045 -51 -21 -1,107 1,111 -25 -1,613 1,358 -13 482 -1,382 1,872 -8 -1,489 870 261 162 -1,127 1,206 83 -1,238 1,045 -91 -21 -1,107 1,111 -25 -1,613 1,358 -13 482 -1,382 1,872 -8 -358,422 -87,813 -108,189 -50,280 -25,097 -20,328 -86,289 -12,200 -23,206 -149,230 -26,258 -30,200 -134,775 -28,773 -14,510 -92,345 -38,573 -21,841 -102,898 -26,243 -37,995 -48,817 -23,634 -20,328 -65,193 -11,104 -23,206 -153,837 -30,865 -30,200 -132,428 -26,426 -14,510 -90,431 -36,659 -21,841 -101,316 -24,661 -37,995 -£4,234 -98,186 -5,047 192 -17,294 -33,589 -26,115 -66,657 -29,466 -62,026 -3,984 -27,947 -15,900 -22,760 -6,047 192 -17,294 -33,589 -26,115 -66,657 -29,466 -62,026 -3,984 -27,947 -15,900 -22,760 -284 -358 -284 -268 547,555 106,568 159,231 193,738 181,978 143,508 170,177 106,114 158,629 194,579 182,238 143,015 169,540 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 Foreign official assets in the United States net US Government securities ' US Treasury securities9 Other10 Other U S Government liabilities n U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks, not included elsewhere Other foreign official assets 12 . 122,354 115,634 111,253 4,381 720 4,722 1,278 13,154 -2,125 -3,383 1,258 33,097 35,418 33,564 1,854 160 -4,270 1,789 28,891 23,940 23,289 651 478 7,698 -3,225 -5,374 -1 1 ,464 -12,108 644 654 4,536 900 22,498 9,148 6,485 2,663 16 12,705 629 13,154 -2,125 ^3,383 1,258 14,198 1,285 24,089 26,689 25,472 1,217 907 -1,922 -1,585 14,198 1,285 24,089 26,689 25,472 1,217 907 -1,922 -1,585 33,097 35,418 33,564 1,854 160 -4,270 1,789 28,891 23,940 23,289 651 478 7,698 -3,225 -5,374 -1 1 ,464 -12,108 644 654 4,536 900 22,498 9,148 6,485 2,663 16 12,705 629 56 57 58 59 60 Other foreign assets in the United States net Direct investment U S Treasury securities and U S currency flows U S securities other than U S 'Treasury securities U.S. liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks, not included elsewhere 425,201 76,955 172,878 133,798 93,414 17,894 36,152 29,761 135,142 26,579 50,798 35,115 160,641 16,820 75,326 32,447 153,087 30,381 51,289 38,820 148,882 27,101 49,915 51,682 147,679 21,713 43,494 60,770 92,960 17,440 36,152 29,761 134,540 25,977 50,798 35,115 161,482 17,661 75,326 32,447 153,347 30,641 51,289 38,820 148,389 26,608 49,915 51,682 147,042 21,076 43,494 60,770 31,786 9,784 7,288 2,319 20,610 2,040 -2,912 38,960 15,210 17,387 -7,916 28,100 7,600 14,102 7,288 2,319 20,610 2,040 -2,912 38,960 15,210 17,387 -7,916 28,100 7,600 14,102 -46,927 -19,755 -30,424 -5,938 -21,356 -12,515 -17,260 -20,831 -1,076 -38,254 -7,830 -3,269 2,669 -14,297 7,059 -14,228 -1,713 -25,820 -8,560 -191,170 80,130 -111,040 2,824 ^5,252 16,993 -28,259 729 -59,848 21,149 -38,699 -2,367 -49,783 22,416 -27,367 1,701 ^2,064 21,594 -20,470 -1,232 ^4,682 18,579 -26,103 -3,418 -59,598 23,329 -36,269 -4,441 -47,562 19,783 -27,779 883 -52,493 19,977 -32,516 -1,370 -48,190 21,992 -56,198 1,250 ^9,787 20,487 -29,300 -1,990 -47,134 21,489 -25,645 -3,247 -51,549 21,918 -29,631 -3,321 -108,216 -39,968 -148,184 -27,530 -8,122 -35,652 -41,066 -9,103 -50,169 -25,666 -12,305 -37,971 -21,702 -8,604 ^30,306 -29,521 -8,623 -38,144 -40,710 -9,061 ^9,771 -26,896 -8,689 -35,585 -33,886 -8,947 -42,833 -24,948 -11,926 ^36,874 -31,290 -8,682 -39,972 -28,892 -8,960 -37,852 -32,952 -9,204 -42,156 48 61 62 63 63a Foreign assets in the United States, net (increase/capital inflow (+)) .... -204 -204 Allocations of special drawing rights Statistical discrepancy (sum of above items with sign reversed) Of which seasonal adjustment discrepancy 64 65 66 67 68 Memoranda: Balance on goods (lines 2 and 16) Balance on services (lines 3 and 17) .... Balance on goods and services (lines 64 and 65) Balance on investment income (lines 11 and 25) Balance on goods, services, and income (lines 1 and 15 or lines 66 and 69 70 Unilateral transfers net (line 29) Balance on current account (lines 1, 15, and 29 or lines 68 and 69) 13 See footnotes to table F.3. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 International Data • D-53 Table F.3.—Selected U.S. International Transactions, by Area [Millions of dollars] European Union 14 Western EuropeLine (Credits +; debits -) ' 1 Exports of goods, services and income Goods adjusted excluding military2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 1997 1997 1 Services3 .. Transfers under U.S. military agency sales contracts4 Travel Passenger fares Other transportation ';. Royalties and license fees 5 Other private services 5 U S Government miscellaneous services Income receipts on U S assets abroad Direct investment receipts Other private receipts U S Government receipts 85,940 39,866 84,666 35,404 19,651 934 21,070 879 24,110 928 4,678 1,448 1,942 5,896 1,728 2,002 7,689 2,448 2,107 17,350 566 4,247 1,375 1,557 3,711 6,896 42 3,594 7,303 41 3,542 6,026 37 23,990 12,013 11,695 282 3,540 6,990 35 25,004 12,442 12,392 170 25,152 11,931 12,946 275 21,668 10,583 10,843 242 -75,539 Imports of goods, services and income -83,405 -94,876 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Goods adjusted excluding military2 -40,901 -14,442 -1,780 ^3,057 -1,752 -2,456 -45,115 -94,109 ^2,971 -17,876 -1,594 -18,784 -1,700 -1,213 -3,890 -5,609 -2,338 -2,683 -1,196 -4,168 -293 -288 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 . .. Royalties and license fees 5 Other private services5 U.S Government miscellaneous services Income payments on foreign assets in the United States Direct investment payments Other private payments U.S. Government payments Unilateral transfers net U S Government grants4 U.S. Government pensions and other transfers Private remittances and other transfers6 ... U.S. assets abroad, net (increase/capital outflow (-)) U S official reserve assets net 7 Gold Special drawing rights Reserve position in the International Monetary Fund Foreign currencies U S Government assets other than official reserve assets net U.S credits and other long-term assets Repayments on U.S. credits and other long-term assets8 U S foreign currency holdings and U S short-term assets net U S private assets net Direct investment Foreign securities U.S. claims on unaffiliated foreigners reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns U.S. claims reported by U.S. banks, not included elsewhere Foreign assets in the United States, net (increase/capital inflow (+)) Foreign official assets in the United States, net U § Government securities U.S. Treasury securities9 Other10 Other U.S. Government liabilities11 U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks, not included elsewhere Other foreign official assets 12 Other foreign assets in the United States net Direct investment U.S Treasury securities and U S currency flows U S securities other than U S Treasury securities U.S. liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks, not included elsewhere Allocations of special drawing rights Statistical discrepancy, and transfers of funds between foreign areas, net (sum of above items with sign reversed) Memoranda: Balance on goods (lines 2 and 16) Balance on services (lines 3 and 1 7) Balance on goods and services (lines 64 and 65) Balance on investment income (lines 11 and 25) . Jalance on goods, services, and income (lines 1 and 15 or lines 66 and 67) 13 Unilateral transfers net (line 29) Balance on current account (lines 1,15, and 29 or lines 68 and 69) :3 -28,063 -6,311 -13,688 -8,064 45 -102 -281 -31,885 -8,578 -14,475 -3,832 35,089 41,155 9,554 8,149 20,391 20,776 19,722 5,347 213 5,673 108 6,393 105 9,613 109 11,386 181 7,031 2,329 1,684 1,602 358 458 2,023 379 423 2,379 566 434 8,859 150 1,937 821 687 2,536 1,008 715 3,620 1,421 757 3,405 6,417 35 22,593 10,328 12,034 231 625 2,079 12 630 2,099 11 706 2,191 12 2,014 3,217 14 8,883 3,795 5,088 9,050 3,537 5,513 9,055 3,163 5,892 2,087 3,303 17 10,047 5,557 4,354 136 —85,845 -39,192 -28,874 -31,843 -31,997 -7,578 -7,949 -3,100 -16,739 -1,350 -4,671 -5,438 -5,836 -136 -132 -100 -1,020 -1,450 -1,575 -6,567 -1,168 -1,554 -631 -565 -399 -514 -925 -578 -679 -967 -828 -920 -1,002 -511 -474 -544 -465 -454 -1,785 -23 -1,946 -23 -1,547 -1,687 -29,914 -7,311 -13,861 -8,742 -16,626 -2,666 -9,776 -4,184 -18,456 -3,247 -10,345 -4,864 -2,091 -23 -18,061 -2,422 -10,477 -5,162 -1,026 ^67 -1,679 268 350 374 390 23,784 32,449 21,434 533 -5,911 -2,529 -2,741 -1,289 -4,324 -1,035 -3,599 —995 -3,942 -5,529 -2,287 -2,136 -1,108 ^,080 -290 -252 -247 -249 -50 63 -134 -330 -201 -306 -25,574 -5,521 -12,762 -7,291 243 -17 -29,540 -7,951 -13,523 -3,066 288 -11 428 527 457 509 581 535 -44 394 ^8 422 -44 434 -63,486 -21,851 -41,951 -75,870 12 -20,810 -28,853 -34,277 -14,108 -11,745 -196 -139 -142 -196 -139 -142 157 -36 -17 -282 -249 -267 189 -227 12 227 189 141 ^35 188 -12 -62 -51 4 -15 170 ^35 204 1 t 3 S) 376 103,883 80,358 1,172 396 17 (17) R 100,364 26,390 84,582 14,755 R a 3 ;:; 18) ,8) 38 ;3 ] 1, 663 (18) (18) 8 C ) (18) 0 R 57 C8) -3,431 (8) 84, 121 <; p -31,031 12 11, 978 -2,490 -8,552 -21,261 F 267 6,104 -5, 152 2, 185 R U -157 110 231 57,025 -11,854 -16,590 ^6,275 103,122 R '3 ( ) -144 40, D75 -5,269 1,686 85,754 ( ) -186 4 -77 219 -16,139 -227 189 -227 189 1 -17 -8 -17 -3,187 -3,722 1,111 -16,329 -7,457 1,708 716 42,247 ^076 -6, 631 1, 504 (8) I8) -152 -8 -31, 035 II ,8) 18) R (18) -11,745 2,019 -19,868 -2,959 -8,044 ^,060 -2,791 -2,193 67 -7, 145 -18, 763 -16,678 -50,813 111,398 11,034 (18 -2,738 -184 -5, 337 3, 574 -20, 521 -21, 951 -8,337 -1,100 -8,431 -3,964 -2,570 -1,897 -14, 112 -14, 312 -76,023 -11,023 -2,135 -41,993 -24,612 -6,652 -2,344 -2,429 -1,879 87 -5 -34,272 -2,446 -2,013 ^2,007 -10,479 -19,674 17 -42,988 -26,620 -7,937 -1,044 -186 -29,212 -6,504 -20,218 109 -14 -21,695 -22,885 4,773 110,212 10,210 5,783 4,295 132 12 -83,447 -12,590 -3,366 4, 397 -36,856 -23,637 4 -12 -112 2,162 3,086 15 9,462 5,184 4,137 141 -5 198 -71 274 -5 -255 III" 40,599 76,476 -15,744 -1,263 -5,133 -2,102 -2,062 -32,354 -3,056 -14,827 -9,471 II'- 38,711 5,388 1,639 1,593 3,355 6,194 30 -41,220 I III" 23,597 18,686 487 22,618 10,967 11,506 145 -46,504 1997 IK 24,050 9,327 76,451 35,147 74,107 I III" -37,268 -12,697 -1,415 -2,871 -1,593 -1,932 ,8) (18) 18) 1,420 10, 38 -796 37,090 (18) (18) 13 C(.8)8 ) (8) 106 (8) (8) -I 1, 188 1 80 (18) (18) (18) 30,948 32,525 109,816 12,979 C7) 38,295 12,825 ( ) -368 17 ( ) C7) -26,837 -55,030 -58,768 -26,062 -53,546 -65,929 -41,341 -18,548 -37,270 17,111 ^6,537 -20,180 -2,256 5,209 2,953 ^,073 -1,120 45 -1,075 -5,249 3,194 -2,055 -6,881 -8,936 63 -8,873 -7,567 5,326 -2,241 -7,202 -8,443 -50 -9,493 -2,179 4,653 2,474 ^3,906 -1,433 243 -1,190 -6,073 2,942 -3,131 -6,922 -10,053 288 -9,765 -6,743 4,695 -2,048 -7,321 -9,369 268 -9,101 1,976 677 2,653 -7,743 -5,090 350 -4,740 1,378 235 1,613 -9,406 -7,793 374 -7,419 49 557 606 -9,006 -8,400 390 -3,010 -3,246 2,292 -5,844 1,676 -4,168 1,779 -2,389 110 -2,279 -4,890 3,049 -1,841 1,003 17 ( ) 17 " Preliminary. r Revised. 1. Credits, +: Exports of goods, services, and income; unilateral transfers to United States; capital inflows (increase in foreign assets (U.S. liabilities) or decrease in U.S. assets); decrease in U.S. official reserve assets; increase in foreign official assets in the United States. Debits, -: Imports of goods, services, and income; unilateral transfers to foreigners; capital outflows (decrease in foreign assets (U.S. liabilities) or increase in U.S. assets); increase in U.S. official reserve assets; decrease in foreign offical assets in the United States. 2. Excludes exports of goods under U.S. military agency sales contracts identified in Census export documents, excludes imports of goods under direct defense expenditures identified in Census import documents, and reflects various other adjustments (for valuation, coverage, and timing) of Census statistics to balance of payments basis; see table 2 in "U.S. International Transactions, Third Quarter 1997" in the January 1998 issue of the SURVEY. 1997 II' 82,285 38,645 15 Services 3 Direct defense expenditures Travel Passenger fares Other transportation 1 \\\p II'- European Union (6) 15 United Kingdom 24,223 12, (.8) 30, 29,431 18 12,560 36,81 4 18 386 41?767 5,920 13.Q 59,291 18 11,576 33,705 (U) 21, 327 21,470 «£3 18 ,8) (18) 18 112 17, 80 6, 24,361 18 31 ,238 2 M3 -4,<)52 18 -954 2,809 1,855 87 1,942 18 ii£ 3,122 7$ 12,307 -914 24,387 (18) 18 21 ,581 -838 67 -771 3. Includes some goods: Mainly military equipment in line 4; major equipment, other materials, supplies, and petroleum products purchased abroad by U.S. military agencies in line 18; and fuels purchased by airline and steamship operators in lines 7 and 21. 4. Includes transfers of goods and services under U.S. military grant programs. 5. Beginning in 1982, these lines are presented on a gross basis. The definition of exports is revised to exclude U.S. parents' payments to foreign affiliates and to include U.S. affiliates' receipts from foreign parents. The definition of imports is revised to include U.S. parents' payments to foreign affiliates and to exclude U.S. affiliates' receipts from foreign parents. 6. Beginning in 1982, the "other transfers" component includes taxes paid by U.S. private residents to foreign governments and taxes paid by private nonresidents to the U.S. Government. 7. For all areas, amounts outstanding September 30,1997, were as follows in millions of dollars: Line 34, 67,148; line 35,11,050; line 36, 9,997; line 37,14,042; line 38, 32,059. Data are preliminary. D-54 • International Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table F.3.—Selected U.S. International Transactions, by Area [Millions of dollars] Line (Credits +; debits -) ' 1 Exports of goods, services, and income Goods, adjusted, excluding military2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 Services3 Transfers under U S military agency sales contracts4 Travel Passenger fares Other transportation Royalties and license fees 5 Other private services 5 U S Government miscellaneous services Income receipts on U S assets abroad . Direct investment receipts Other private receipts U S Government receipts . .. Imports of goods, services, and income .. Goods, adjusted, excluding military2 Services3 Direct defense expenditures Travel Passenger fares Other transportation .. Royalties and license 5fees 5 . .... Other private services U S Government miscellaneous services Income payments on foreign assets in the United States Direct investment payments Other private payments US Government payments Unilateral transfers, net U S Government grants4 U S Government pensions and other transfers Private remittances and other transfers6 U.S. assets abroad, net (increase/capital outflow (-)) US official reserve assets net7 Gold Special drawing rights Reserve position in the International Monetary Fund Foreign currencies U S Government assets other than official reserve assets net U S credits and other long-term assets Repayments on U S credits and other long-term assets 8 U S foreign currency holdings and U S short-term assets net U S private assets net Direct investment Foreign securities U.S. claims on unaffiliated foreigners reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns U S claims reported by U S banks not included elsewhere Foreign assets in the United States, net (increase/capital inflow (+)) .... Foreign official assets in the United States, net U S Government securities9 U.S. Treasury securities Other10 Other U S Government liabilities ' ' U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks, not included elsewhere Other foreign official assets 12 Other foreign assets in the United States, net Direct investment U.S. Treasury securities and U.S. currency flows U S securities other than U S Treasury securities U.S. liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks, not included elsewhere Allocations of special drawing rights Statistical discrepancy, and transfers of funds between foreign areas, net (sum of above items with sign reversed) Memoranda^ Balance on goods (lines 2 and 16) Balance on services (lines 3 and 17) ... Balance on goods and services (lines 64 and 65) Balance on investment income (lines 11 and 25) Balance on goods, services, and income (lines 1 and 15 or lines 66 and 67) 13 Unilateral transfers net (line 29) Balance on current account (lines 1,15, and 29 or lines 68 and 69) n Canada 1997 1997 If -2,792 -1,864 3,403 2,110 846 80 227 22 97 36 374 10 447 302 109 36 -3,108 -2,009 -580 -722 3,108 1,811 881 96 173 20 99 42 442 9 416 247 100 69 -79 -212 -52 -30 -2 -142 -14 -348 -3 -99 I Ilk 3,205 1,749 943 61 293 30 94 33 422 10 513 262 133 118 -3,600 -2,323 -645 -100 -51 -338 -420 -96 -70 -1 -96 -66 -2 -146 -151 -15 -15 -377 -432 5 -99 8 -246 -283 -119 -321 -653 -687 -771 Japan 1997 -292 -9 -359 \V Ilk 47,188 36,823 5,448 24 1,954 327 726 343 2,056 17 4,917 2,581 2,336 49,685 39,042 5,392 22 1,907 307 768 329 2,043 16 5,251 2,793 2,458 47,024 36,795 5,011 23 1,601 226 754 351 2,052 4 5,218 2,747 2,471 -47,506 -42,004 -3,009 -18 -50,077 ^3,383 -3,781 -14 -1,270 -48,781 -41,319 -4,659 -15 -2,126 -619 -32 -8 -374 -2,803 -10,821 -7,771 -1,016 -1,610 -5,145 -66 -1,049 -24 -8,766 -1,408 -1,758 -5,600 -25 -1,051 -24 -9,583 -2,077 -1,680 -5,826 -11 -22 ^4 -23 -2 ^21 10 -2,623 49 -11,820 -18 3,547 14 49 8 -18 14 -1 3 -11,805 -2,493 -2,913 -351 -477 -454 -529 -550 -102 -7,668 -2,802 -2,627 -8,240 -2,837 -2,700 -8,491 -2,711 -2,785 ^302 -74 -565 -102 -101 -102 -111 7,117 -2,835 -4,509 681 -12,749 3,906 682 (7) 2,762 -2,552 7,813 -1,430 i'4"461 -7,503 546 33 18 1,419 -41 18 3,606 2,896 -4,360 -53 301 248 68 315 101 124 225 70 295 -653 -338 -687 -392 R IS i3 9 7,117 1,314 -276 -140 -2,211 -13,440 3,500 3,500 106 -270 |Jn n 3,224 2,034 & -1,038 18 -11,656 -961 -1,277 -5,132 -2,914 -2,428 R(i ^ «3 -11,554 -983 -1,380 -12,331 -2,563 2,300 aR .i$s -689 -659 -685 1 (18) -617 -672 -1,279 -i (.8) -1,128 -24 -220 R -1,018 -978 1 R -907 -189 -111 -1 ""-1,667 1,690 -275 -865 -182 -111 5 -31 2,243 3,708 -293 -790 -190 -982 -110 -13 38 -2,954 1,180 -257 -323 11 -28 27 12 -368 -577 -44,334 -30,803 -3,948 ^326 -5,131 -578 -577 2,284 904 1,381 -1 -38 -3,404 -12,332 -85 10,689 130 4,157 1,829 806 1,552 2,204 11 -37 ^3,134 -2,607 -748 28,675 15,702 -28 -2,815 1,044 -2,612 28,385 16,557 9,266 98 3,243 1,627 796 1,573 1,919 10 2,562 1,148 1,392 22 -41,837 -29,317 -3,754 -76 -1,329 -33 -3,738 1,057 28,710 16,448 9,753 156 3,486 1,743 774 1,445 2,135 14 2,509 1,103 1,399 7 -41,415 -30,096 -3,548 Ilk -145 -935 28 -3,749 60,431 34,444 10,671 110 4,527 1,226 981 408 3,381 38 15,316 5,634 9,562 120 -56,425 -36,046 -6,723 -85 -3,737 •- -70 -1,308 -33 -1 225 55,830 32,425 9,046 95 3,551 993 930 390 3,050 37 14,359 5,450 8,841 68 -54,841 -34,925 -6,362 -83 -3,708 I -121 -965 -330 315 3,543 979 849 362 3,019 39 12,732 4,192 8,401 139 -51,733 -32,831 -6,081 -85 -3,713 Ilk -59 -1,275 -32 -318 -328 51,153 29,516 8,905 114 II ' -925 -433 -10 I -742 -589 -352 8. Includes sales of foreign obligations to foreigners. 9. Consists of bills, certificates, marketable bonds and notes, and nonmarketable convertible and nonconvertible bonds and notes. 10. Consists of U.S. Treasury and Export-Import Bank obligations, not included elsewhere, and of debt securities of U.S. Government corporations and agencies, 11. Includes, primarily, U.S. Government liabilities associated with military agency sales contracts and other transactions arranged with or through foreign official agencies; see table 4 in "U.S. International Transactions, Third Quarter 1997" in the January 1998 issue of the SURVEY. 12. Consists of investments in U.S. corporate stocks and in debt securities of private corporations and State and local governments. Latin America and Other Western Hemisphere 1997 I 2 Eastern Europe 17 ( ) R ( io (") C7) 9,243 3,509 O7) 977 -256 7 C) -342 -161 -144 -2,197 -40,996 -2,339 -58,458 228 48 -219 3 -344 386 -10 437 10 391 1 -17,046 -4,657 -6,992 -41,224 -7,024 -11,098 -58,506 -6,771 -1,635 8 -2,680 -1,045 ^3,258 -10,150 3,534 -1,533 -2,410 -13,884 8,487 7,023 -1,576 -21,526 27,322 -15,900 ^34,200 29,406 155 1,468 26,740 67 -1,208 20,656 7"477 9,005 R (18) £3 3J3 & 192 <J3 R R 3 R R R ,13 i£2 R R -8,049 459 P) R R11 R 13,636 n 2,469 18 3,861 -6,935 18 21,689 7,600 18 7,083 B7 S B (.8) -514 (18) (.8) 24,787 R (18) .a 18 1 429 -154 -111 -1 1,670 3$ 7,402 *£} (18) 18 -293 11, 448 18 -204 2,083 8,847 -2,216 2,245 9,623 15,385 27,831 -11,346 4,641 3,118 -574 -5,181 2,439 -2,742 2,424 ^,341 1,611 -2,730 2,338 -4,524 352 -4,172 2,415 -1,757 -3,315 824 -2,491 1,911 -102 -2,627 -3,207 -2,500 684 -1,816 2,805 989 -2,700 -1,711 -1,602 1,948 346 3,660 4,006 -2,785 1,221 -13,648 6,206 -7,442 -5,262 -12,705 -66 -12,771 -12,760 5,512 -7,248 -6,204 -13,452 -25 -13,477 -15,101 6,741 -8,360 -7,299 -15,659 -11 -15,670 98 -476 81 -395 -771 ^319 -102 -392 -1,166 ^21 -466 -74 -1,859 -580 13. Conceptually, the sum of lines 70 and 62 is equal to "net foreign investment" in the national income and product accounts (NIPA's). However, the foreign transactions accpunt in the NIPA's (a) includes adjustments to the international transactions accounts for the treatment of gold, (b) includes adjustments for the different geographical treatment of transactions with U.S. territories and Puerto Rico, and (c) includes services furnished without payment by financial pension plans except life insurance carriers and private noninsured pension plans. A reconciliation of the balance on goods and services from the international accounts and the NIPA net exports appears in Appendix A of this section of the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. A reconciliation of the other foreign transactions in the two sets of accounts appears in table 4.5 of the full set of NIPA tables (published annually in the August issue of the SURVEY). D-55 International Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table F.3.—Selected U.S. International Transactions, by Area [Millions of dollars] Line (Credits +; debits -) ' 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 Exports of goods services and income Goods adjusted excluding military2 Services 3 Transfers under U S military agency sales contracts4 Travel Passenger fares Other transportation Royalties and license fees 5 Other private services 5 U S Government miscellaneous services Income receipts on U.S. assets abroad Direct investment receipts Other private receipts U S Government receipts Imports of goods services and income Goods adjusted excluding military2 Services3 . Direct defense expenditures Travel Passenger fares . . . . . . Other transportation 5 Royalties and license fees Other private services 5 U.S. Government miscellaneous services Income payments on foreign assets in the United States Direct investment payments Other private payments U S Government payments Unilateral transfers, n e t . . . US. Government grants4 . U.S. Government pensions and other transfers Private remittances and other transfers6 U.S. assets abroad, net (increase/capital outflow (-)) U.S. official reserve assets, net7 Gold Special drawing rights Reserve position in the International Monetary Fund Foreign currencies U.S. Government assets, other than official reserve assets, net U S credits and other long-term assets Repayments on U S credits and other long-term assets8 . . U.S. foreign currency holdings and U.S. short-term assets, net U.S. private assets, net Direct investment Foreign securities U.S claims on unaffiliated foreigners reported by U S nonbanking concerns U.S. claims reported by U.S. banks, not included elsewhere Foreign assets in the United States, net (increase/capita! inflow (+)) Foreign official assets in the United States, net U.S Government securities U.S. Treasury securities9 Other10 Other U S. Government liabilities ' ' U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks, not included elsewhere Other foreign official assets 12 Other foreign assets in the United States, net Direct investment ' '. U S Treasury securities and U S currency flows U.S. securities other than U.S. Treasury securities U S liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners reported by U S nonbanking concerns U.S. liabilities reported by U S. banks, not included elsewhere Allocations of special drawing rights Statistical discrepancy, and transfers of funds between foreign areas, net (sum of above items with sign reversed) Memoranda: Balance on goods (lines 2 and 16) Balance on services (lines 3 and 1 7) . . .. .. . Balance on goods and services (lines 64 and 65) Balance on investment income (lines 11 and 25) 13 Balance on goods services and income (lines 1 and 15 or lines 66 and 67) Unilateral transfers'; net (line 29) Balance on .current account (lines 1 15, and 29 or lines 68 and 69) 13 1997 5,319 6,174 6,107 2,823 1,122 35 392 100 72 141 379 3 1,374 777 597 3,095 1,293 46 480 133 79 159 393 1,786 1,169 617 3,080 1,455 56 620 147 85 162 382 3 1,572 944 628 -2,074 -1,159 -1,658 -1,169 -1,929 -1,290 -743 -567 -659 -21 -12 -325 -157 -60 -8 -8 -17 Internal onal organizations and unallocated 16 -65 -88 -19 -115 -25 -595 -1 -513 -632 -505 -2,219 -2,240 -977 -2,360 -1,011 -1,854 -14 -1,595 -11 -196 -197 -198 20 175 -6,905 -6,937 238 -2,530 -4,645 -2,818 -1,203 -7,055 ^9 -2,495 -4,511 -4,028 -1,205 -135 -20 -20 -22 -19 -9 -13 -2,026 -7 -12 -104 -1 -176 -2,423 -4,306 -3,061 -1,213 -121 -125 -121 -1,727 -16,737 -1,490 -10,535 -1,702 -9,454 32 -1 -1,092 142 1,153 -921 -1 -2,025 -104 -632 -197 -922 -57 -1,139 2,560 501 1,874 (18) I? q $ •a R 18 Q £3 128 -1,813 R 0 £3 18 -153 2,1 73 317 R el ,,8] R «fi ffl 18 -700 525 -129 -614 -390 -594 -797 59,787 38,517 14,786 2,432 3,809 607 2,232 1,036 4,588 82 6,484 3,471 2,657 356 -85,129 -70,537 -7,537 -1,811 -19 -1,563 -185 78 213 -172 59,659 39,453 13,380 2,507 3,124 492 2,250 1,033 3,894 80 6,826 3,912 2,597 317 -75,688 -61,312 -7,439 -454 443 -21 497 -12 982 -3 -16,769 -5,445 -3,665 24 -7,683 31,640 -10,406 -3,198 -2,297 123 -5,034 -9,979 -3,743 -6,789 R n 1,458 1,359 1,410 181 107 134 382 895 385 867 391 885 2,966 1,165 1,659 142 -1,019 3,043 1,164 1,745 134 3,240 1,245 1,865 130 -914 -948 -697 -572 -591 -357 -235 -247 -115 -225 -104 -233 -116 -228 -322 -342 432 -357 429 -726 422 -744 -735 -28 -27 -44 -2,115 -2,360 -2,295 -226 -112 -207 -297 -111 -218 -1,777 2,636 1,127 -1,856 -1,534 -79 -1,966 -1,236 72 1,055 -133 -139 -463 -333 -333 -340 -340 -293 -293 1,842 -1,115 -927 -828 -341 -631 -602 54 1,648 56 1,065 -417 -31 1,012 7,345 4,326 1,012 7,345 -471 -473 4,326 ^76 133 -3 521 (18) (18) (.8) 3,520 1,741 -1 6,941 4,650 ii n 12 R 18 4,402 (18) 18) ,J379 III* 4,424 (.8) 3 £! R 0 40 880 18 26,265 2,553 21,167 -11,650 IIr I -972 -56 -54 -11 56,128 36,746 12,623 1,831 2,195 359 2,230 962 4,967 79 6,760 4,087 2,357 316 -70,072 -56,021 -7,146 \\\P -1,741 -22 -1,483 -203 -130 -187 -155 -9 -16 -20 -175 -114 -61 IIr I III* II ' (18) 2,656 18 (18) 1357 (18) 17,266 9 24 18 1,450 -4,938 -6,939 -4,497 761 761 2,644 3,406 -2,115 1,291 787 787 2,701 3,488 -2,360 1,128 819 819 2,883 3,702 -2,295 1,407 -1,703 -5,028 -5,929 2,102 41,032 16,657 1,664 378 2,042 1,202 3,244 -25 3,219 1,926 726 2,652 1,864 4,516 -22 4,494 1,790 796 2,586 1,592 4,178 -19 4,159 -19,275 5,477 -13,798 -21,859 5,941 -15,918 -32,020 7,249 -24,771 -145 -111 -13,944 -3,061 -17,005 -16,029 -2,818 -18,847 14. The "European Union" includes the "European Union (6)," United Kingdom, Denmark, Ireland, Greece, Spain, and Portugal. Beginning with the first quarter of 1995, the 'European Union' also includes Austria, Finland, and Sweden. 15. The "European Union (6)" includes Belgium, France, Germany (includes the former German Democratic Republic (East Germany) beginning in the fourth quarter of 1990), Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, European Atomic Energy Community, European Coal and Steel Community, and European Investment Bank. 16. Includes, as part of international and unallocated, the estimated direct investment in foreign affiliates engaged in international shipping, in operating oil and gas drilling equipment internationally, and in petroleum trading. Also Other countries in Asia and Africa 1997 1997 I 1 Australia -571 -25,342 -3,028 -28,370 18 7,786 -73 18 4,875 includes taxes withheld; current-cost adjustments associated with U.S/ and foreign direct investment; small transactions in business services that are not reported by country; and net U.S. currency flows, for which geographic source data are not available. 17. Details not shown separately; see totals in lines 49 and 56. 18. Details not shown separately are included in line 61. NOTE.—The data in tables F.2 and F.3 are from tables 1 and 10 in "U.S. International Transactions, Third Quarter 1997" in the January 1998 issue of the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, which presents the most recent estimates from the balance of payments accounts. D-56 • International Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table FA—Private Service Transactions [Millions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted Line 1995 1996 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Exports of private services Travel (table F 2 line 5) Passenger fares (table F 2 line 6) Other transportation (table F.2, line 7) Freight Port services Other 1997 1996 II III IV I \\ r \\\P 204,165 221,224 54,588 55,540 57,427 58,332 59,410 60,481 63,395 19,125 27,412 11,420 14,810 1,184 69,908 20,557 27,216 11,161 14,691 1,364 17,356 4,952 6,805 2,823 3,639 342 17,659 5,237 6,716 2,747 3,625 343 18,183 5,282 7,142 2,941 3,861 339 18,556 5,319 6,999 2,909 3,720 370 18,605 5,511 7,043 2,919 3,747 377 18,977 '.. 5,571 7,140 2,909 3,857 374 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Royalties and license fees (table F 2 line 8) Affiliated . . U S parents' receipts U S affiliates' receipts Unaffiliated Industrial processes l Other2 27,383 21,670 20,210 1,460 5,713 3,583 2,131 29,974 23,760 21,916 1,844 6,214 3,979 2,235 7,345 5,814 5,436 378 1,531 978 554 7,495 5,929 5,505 424 1,566 1,006 560 7,703 6,091 5,445 646 1,612 1,040 573 7,699 6,033 5,761 272 1,666 1,080 587 7,622 5,915 5,460 455 1,707 1,109 598 7,604 5,869 5,383 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 Other private services (table F 2, line 9) Affiliated services U S parents' receipts . U S affiliates' receipts Unaffiliated services Education Financial services Insurance net Premiums received Losses paid Telecommunications Business professional and technical services Other unaffiliated services3 66,850 20,272 12,795 7,477 46,578 7,512 7,029 1,390 5,524 4,133 3,183 17,765 9,699 73,569 22,810 13,763 9,047 50,759 7,807 8,034 2,121 6,179 4,058 3,405 19,247 10,145 18,130 5,571 3,429 2,142 12,559 1,938 1,938 513 1,524 1,011 854 4,734 2,583 18,433 5,777 3,410 2,367 12,656 1,998 1,925 561 1,567 1,006 838 4,847 2,486 19,117 5,840 3,431 2,409 13,277 1,955 2,325 597 1,609 1,012 850 4,985 2,565 19,759 6,103 3,622 2,481 13,656 1,992 2,259 620 1,650 1,030 845 5,287 2,654 20,629 6,426 3,802 2,624 14,203 2,009 2,492 637 1,681 1,044 895 5,543 2,627 21,189 6,670 3,839 134,523 143,086 35,549 35,873 36,257 37,800 38,481 39,110 13,018 4,283 7,378 4,318 2,845 214 13,003 4,201 7,542 4,636 2,706 200 13,101 28 Imports of private services 29 30 31 32 33 34 Travel (table F2 line 19) Passenger fares (table F.2, line 20) Other transportation (table F 2 line 21) Freight Port services Other 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Royalties and license fees (table F 2 line 22) Affiliated U S parents' payments U S affiliates' payments Unaffiliated 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 Other private services (table F 2 line 23) Affiliated services U S parents' payments U S affiliates' payments Unaffiliated services Education Financial services Insurance net Premiums paid Losses recovered Telecommunications Business professional and technical services Other unaffiliated services3 55 56 57 Memoranda: Balance on goods (table F 2 line 64) Balance on private services (line 1 minus line 28) Balance on goods and private services (lines 55 and 56) 2,561 648 1,702 1,054 913 5,640 2,677 46,053 14,433 28,249 16,759 10,579 911 48,739 15,776 28,453 16,879 10,792 783 12,099 3,943 7,253 4,414 2,647 193 11,915 3,920 7,218 4,312 2,709 198 6,503 5,128 448 4,680 1,373 962 411 7,322 5,301 554 4,748 2,021 1,126 895 1,684 1,304 137 1,167 380 279 101 2,144 1,264 136 1,128 880 288 592 1,770 1,376 164 1,212 394 292 103 1,799 1,403 155 1,248 396 291 106 1,847 1,462 172 1,290 385 290 95 1,951 1,537 157 1,380 414 289 125 39,285 13,597 6,820 6,777 25,689 949 2,472 5,383 15,187 9,804 7,773 4,691 4,420 42,796 16,026 7,505 8,521 26,770 1,041 3,184 4,387 15,473 11,086 8,385 5,253 4,520 10,570 3,945 1,788 2,157 6,625 256 781 1,089 3,833 2,745 2,103 1,278 1,119 10,676 4,073 1,935 2,138 6,603 262 769 1,047 3,877 2,830 2,066 1,335 1,122 11,027 4,130 1,867 2,263 6,897 269 859 1,064 3,947 2,884 2,089 1,406 1,210 11,321 4,222 1,973 2,249 7,099 275 888 1,139 4,046 2,907 2,076 1,540 1,180 11,888 4,364 2,139 2,225 7,524 278 1,106 1,195 4,119 2,924 2,137 1,612 1,196 12,259 4,573 -173,560 -191,170 69,642 78,138 -103,918 -113,032 ^7,562 19,039 -28,523 -52,493 19,667 -32,826 -48,190 21,170 -27,020 -49,787 20,532 -29,255 ^7,134 20,929 -26,205 -51,549 21,371 -30,178 Industrial processes l p Preliminary. r Revised. 1. Patented techniques, processes, and formulas and other intangible property rights that are used in goods production 2. Copyrights, trademarks, franchises, rights to broadcast live events, and other intangible propunaffiliated services receipts (exports) include mainly expenditures of foreign govern- 2,831 14,519 2,080 12,241 4,053 7,166 4,130 2,838 199 Other 2 .... 486 1,735 1,129 607 4,281 7,518 4,570 2,749 199 2,214 2,359 7,686 285 1,147 1,232 4,168 2,936 2,157 1,648 1,217 ments and international organizations in the United States. Payments (imports) include mainly wages of foreign residents temporarily employed in the United States and Canadian and Mexican commuters in U.S. border areas. NOTE.—The data in this table are from table 3 in "U.S. International Transactions, Third Quarter 199r in ^ January 1998 issue of the SuRVEY OF CuRRENT BUSINESS) which presents the most recent estimates from the balance of Payments accounts' SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 International Data • G. Investment Tables. Table G.1.—International Investment Position of the United States at Yearend, 1995 and 1996 [Millions of dollars] Changes in position in 1996 (decrease (-)) Attributable to: Line Position 1995' Type of investment Total Price changes (b) (a) -1 2 Net international investment position of the United States: With direct investment positions at current cost (line 3 less line 24) ... With direct investment positions at market value (line 4 less line 25) 3 4 U.S. assets abroad: With direct investment positions at current cost (lines 5+10+15) With direct investment positions at market value (lines 5+10+16) 5 6 7 8 9 U S official reserve assets Gold Special drawing rights Reserve position in the International Monetary Fund Foreign currencies U.S Government assets, other than official reserve assets U S credits and other long-term assets 4 Repayable in dollars Other5 U S foreign currency holdings and U S short-term assets 15 16 U.S. private assets: With direct investment at current cost (lines 17+19+22+23) With direct investment at market value (lines 18+19+22+23) 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Direct investment abroad: At current cost At market value Foreign securities Bonds Corporate stocks U.S. claims on unaffiliated foreigners reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns. U S claims reported by U S banks not included elsewhere Foreign assets in the United States: With direct investment at current cost (lines 26+33) With direct investment at market value (lines 26+34) . ..... 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 Foreign official assets in the United States U 9 Government securities U S Treasury securities Other Other U S Government liabilities 7 U S liabilities reported by U S banks not included elsewhere Other foreign official assets 33 34 Other foreign assets: With direct investment at current cost (lines 35+37+38+39+42+43) With direct investment at market value (lines 36+37+38+39+42+43) .... 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Direct investment in the United States: At current cost At market value U S Treasury securities U S currency U S securities other than U S Treasury securities Corporate and other bonds Corporate stocks U.S. liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns. U.S. liabilities recoiled bv U.S. banks, not included elsewhere p Preliminary. r Revised. 1. Represents gains or losses on foreign-currency-denominated assets due to their revaluation at current exchange rates. 2. Includes changes in coverage, statistical discrepancies, and other adjustments to the value of assets. 3. Reflects changes in the value of the official gold stock due to fluctuations in the market price of gold. 4. Also includes paid-in capital subscriptions to international financial institutions and outstanding 1996" Exchange Other rate changes 2 changes J (c) (d) (a+b+c+d) -687,702 -195,111 -637,480 -195,111 32,038 39,063 -22,195 ^16,339 2,446 8,564 -182,822 -193,823 -870,524 -831,303 3,272,731 3,700,432 3525444 352,444 121,367 267,858 -21,849 -45,567 -3,964 9,373 447,998 584,108 3,720,729 4,284,540 176,061 101 279 11,037 14,649 49,096 -6,668 -4,581 -4,581 -4,073 -355 -15,322 96,698 -725 160,739 ^,581 ^94 -3224 -10,802 81,897 79,958 79,178 780 1,939 10 11 12 13 14 Position Valuation adjustments Capital flows 3 ^370 1,280 -7,578 -34 -1 690 796 846 -50 -1 -33 -106 (, 786 1 1 -12 13 657 796 834 -38 -139 10,312 15,435 38,294 82,554 80,754 80,012 742 1,800 3,014,773 3,442,474 358,422 358,422 125,948 272,439 -17,742 -41,460 -3,965 9,372 462,663 598,773 3,477,436 4,041,247 884,290 1,311,991 1,054,352 355,284 699,068 307,982 87,813 87,813 108,189 49,403 58,786 64,234 7,375 153,866 118,573 806 117,767 H726 -28,444 -7,675 -7,521 -3,954 9,383 86,508 222,618 219,087 42,688 176,399 61,073 970,798 1,534,609 1,273,439 397,972 875,467 369,055 768,149 98,186 -2,180 -11 95,995 864,144 3,960,433 4,337,912 547,555 547,555 89,329 228,795 346 772 -6,410 809 630,820 777,931 4,591,253 5,115,843 678,451 498,906 471,508 27,398 25,225 107,394 46,926 122,354 115,634 111,253 4,381 720 4,722 1,278 4,345 -4,333 -3,802 -1 126,698 111,301 107,451 3,850 4,722 9,956 805,149 610,207 578,959 31,248 25,944 112,116 56,882 3,281,982 3,659,461 425,201 425,201 84,984 224,450 -£,409 810 504,122 651,233 3,786,104 4,310,694 654,502 1,031,981 389,383 192,300 999,537 534,116 465,421 232,891 76,955 76,955 155,578 17,300 133,798 121,194 12,604 31,786 5,356 144,822 -14,411 -7,335 74,550 221,661 141,167 17,300 225,950 120,028 105,922 38,644 729,052 1,253,642 530,550 209,600 1,225,487 654,144 571,343 271,535 813.369 9.784 6.511 819.880 -154 -3,161 -531 -1 8,678 94,039 721 93,318 346 772 -426 -116 -1,887 -1,887 5,932 -3.273 926 719 amounts of miscellaneous claims that have been settled through international agreements to be payable to the U.S. Government over periods in excess of 1 year. Excludes World War I debts that are not being serviced. 5. Includes indebtedness that the borrower may contractually, or at its option, repay with its currency, with a third country's currency, or by delivery of materials or transfer of services. 6. Primarily U.S. Government liabilities associated with military sales contracts and other transactions arranged with or through foreign official agencies. NOTE—The data in this table are from table 1 in "International Investment Position of the United States in 1996" in the July 1997 issue of the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. D-57 D-58 • International Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table G.2.—U.S. Direct Investment Abroad: Selected Items, by Country and by Industry of Foreign Affiliate, 1994-96 [Millions of dollars] Direct investment position on a historical-cost basis All countries, all industries 1994 1995 1996 640,320 717,554 796,494 Capital outflows (inflows (-)) 1994 . 68,272 1995 85,115 1996 85,560 Income 1994 68,597 1995 87,448 1996 95,067 By country 78,018 85,441 91,587 6,760 8,435 6,875 5,873 8,812 8,642 Europe Of which: France Germany Netherlands United Kingdom 320,135 360,994 399,632 28,785 45,292 45,274 30,468 41,320 46,183 28,204 38,467 29,558 121,321 32,950 44,226 39,344 122,767 34,000 44,259 44,667 142,560 2,586 2,217 6,331 7,177 5,726 4,373 8,420 4,515 5,221 955 7,140 18,310 1,296 3,107 5,081 8,082 2,728 4,783 6,890 11,384 3,322 4,286 7,991 13,862 Latin America and Other Western Hemisphere Of which: Brazil Mexico 115,093 128,252 144,209 19,010 14,753 14,299 16,299 15,221 17,404 18,400 16,169 23,706 15,980 26,166 18,747 3,517 3,674 4,899 2,955 3,064 2,747 4,756 2,497 3,515 1,369 3,879 2,931 Canada Africa 5,606 6,383 7,568 332 873 1,221 1,395 1,861 1,963 Middle East . . . . 6,741 7,669 8,743 242 905 1,044 964 1,393 1,458 111,373 125,834 140,402 13,121 15,241 14,752 13,474 18,542 18,937 20,217 36,524 25,003 38,406 28,769 39,593 32 2,384 6,450 1,079 3,789 1,817 2,392 2,379 3,402 4,117 2,979 3,950 3,355 2,981 4,352 22 -384 2,096 124 300 480 Asia and Pacific Of which: Australia Japan International By industry 67,104 70,229 75,479 1,690 2,437 6,144 7,177 9,730 11,960 211,431 29,588 49,128 10,017 26,781 19,925 29,420 46,572 250,253 32,439 62,151 12,032 33,716 25,242 33,972 50,701 272,564 36,179 69,430 13,603 35,020 29,519 33,543 55,270 23,953 3,764 4,992 819 2,010 2,867 5,993 3,508 42,531 2,871 18,477 1,935 5,286 4,995 4,636 4,330 28,530 3,280 7,835 5,009 2,016 4,513 714 5,163 26,699 4,690 6,839 896 2,177 3,234 3,539 5,324 35,065 4,728 8,877 1,365 4,373 4,494 3,952 7,277 34,975 4,684 10,001 1,004 4,579 4,374 3,429 6,903 Wholesale trade 62,608 67,222 72,462 6,325 8,511 7,048 7,753 9,191 9,272 Bankina 26,693 28,123 32,504 1,786 714 1,329 3,785 2,889 3,767 213,175 228,744 257,213 22,982 12,109 28,985 18,302 23,757 27,797 Petroleum Manufacturing Food and Wndred products Chemicals and allied products Primary and fabricated metals Industrial machinery and equipment Electronic and other electric equipment Transportation equipment Other manufacturing Finance (except banking) insurance and real estate Services 26,734 32,769 36,673 5,613 7,702 3,644 2,796 3,815 3,997 Other industries 32,575 40,213 49,600 5,924 11,113 9,880 2,085 3,002 3,299 NOTE.—In this table, unlike in the international transactions accounts, income and capital outflows are shown without a current-cost adjustment, and income is shown net of withholding taxes, In addition, unlike in the international investment position, the direct investment position is valued at historical cost. The data in this table are from tables 17 and 18 in "U.S. Direct Investment Abroad: Detail for Historical-Cost Position and Related Capital and Income Flows, 1996" in the September 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 International Data • Table G.3.—Selected Financial and Operating Data for Nonbank Foreign Affiliates of U.S. Companies, by Country and by Industry of Affiliate, 1995 Millions of dollars Number of affiliates All countries, all industries Net income Total assets 21,318 2,815,141 2,140,438 124,675 Number of employees (thousands) 7,377.0 By country Canada Europe Of which: France Germany Italy Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Latin America and Other Western Hemisphere Of which: Brazil Mexico 2,023 246,242 231,081 8,313 918.1 .10,435 1,567,904 1,176,126 63,083 3,014.5 1,226 1,358 757 999 505 124,457 234,169 68,550 112,182 60,128 363,372 4,303 6,467 2,315 11,492 7,203 14,338 413.9 596.3 198.7 138.8 2,393 135,906 219,538 59,468 139,078 132,464 641,348 928.8 3,256 316,495 191,340 23,419 1,485.2 400 823 48,477 59,115 44,536 61,122 5,073 4,732 299.9 743.6 126.5 50.6 Africa 502 22,604 20,587 1,845 Middle East 338 30,231 21,703 2,899 73.4 4,665 614,555 492,181 24,464 1,747.6 855 1,006 81,055 280,164 63,056 211,821 2,944 4,979 258.7 414.9 99 17,110 7,421 Asia and Pacific Of which: Australia Japan International 653 11.8 By industry Petroleum 1,520 272,087 428,030 13,981 230.9 Manufacturing Food and kindred products Chemicals and allied products Primary and fabricated metals Industrial machinery and equipment Electronic and other electric equipment Transportation equipment Other manufacturing 8,023 779,339 99,571 180,964 35,266 112,921 71,483 124,721 154,413 984,868 113,166 189,096 36,862 159,205 95,395 218,333 172,811 53,795 7,064 15,695 1,227 7,611 6,443 4,406 11,348 4,376.6 554.4 591.9 195.7 529.4 846.0 697.6 961.5 538.3 764 1,942 722 1,033 855 469 2,238 Wholesale trade 4,878 206,015 367,515 15,124 Finance (except banking), insurance, and real estate . 2,742 1,229,643 108,441 30,507 191.0 Services 2,671 114,995 100,035 4,050 779.8 Other industries 1,484 213,062 151,548 7,219 1,260.4 NOTE.—The data in this table are from "U.S. Multinational Companies: Operations in 1995" in the October 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. D-59 D-60 • International Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table G.4.—Foreign Direct Investment in the United States: Selected Items, by Country of Foreign Parent and by Industry of Affiliate, 1994-96 [Millions of dollars] Direct investment position on a historical-cost basis 1994 All countries, all industries 1995 1996 Capital nflows (outflows (-)) Income 1994 1995 1996 1994 1995 1996 33,759 496,539 560,850 630,045 46,995 69,414 78,828 21,286 32,029 41,959 48,258 53,845 4,960 7,080 5,670 2,996 3,911 3,285 303,649 357,193 410,425 28,002 55,300 59,809 16,059 22,975 25,806 33,603 40,345 67,210 104,867 38,480 49,269 65,806 126,177 49,307 62,242 73,803 142,607 3,881 7,144 -3,174 8,076 4,500 10,229 -1,789 20,446 10,928 16,283 8,225 18,929 -63 2,256 4,120 7,232 1,722 1,908 5,212 11,006 2,654 2,097 6,294 9,220 26,070 25,240 24,627 4,767 -1,121 131 1,391 1,349 1,557 629 2,412 751 1,980 591 1,078 -S 1,248 -99 -470 88 2 91 81 34 -8 By country Canada Europe Of which: France Germany Netherlands United Kingdom Latin America and Other Western Hemisphere Of which: Brazil . . Mexico Africa 1,230 1,164 717 44 Middle East 6,674 6,008 6,177 161 116,956 122,986 134,255 9,061 8,080 102,999 7,833 107,933 9,747 118,116 32,290 33,888 189,459 21,411 66,028 14,320 35,196 52,504 Wholesale trade Retail trade 97 -447 ^40 -19 54 555 54 209 141 8,519 13,104 805 3,531 3,084 1,101 6,238 504 6,591 2,129 11,930 -268 985 112 3,405 -31 3,106 42,343 1,665 3,152 8,113 1,902 2,970 4,190 213,026 26,898 71,367 14,085 37,638 63,037 234,323 28,089 74,810 18,727 37,093 75,604 19,673 -1,375 10,820 1,982 3,826 4,419 27,849 5,596 11,306 312 3,986 6,648 29,112 2,439 6,880 5,280 ^35 14,548 10,788 2,134 4,643 1,165 3,063 15,886 1,709 6,202 1,273 2,316 4,386 17,262 1,780 6,247 1,060 1,739 6,436 63,792 66,393 77,937 5,785 6,453 9,799 2,611 3,863 3,548 11,857 12,743 15,008 1,532 1,207 2,140 399 544 496, Depository institutions 27,139 34,076 31,903 3,800 6,566 562 2,837 4,725 2,626 Finance except depository institutions 41,000 62,369 70,185 3,652 16,681 7,775 831 697 714 4,114 7,739 3,048 Asia and Pacific Of which: Australia Japan -66 -298 -113 By industry Petroleum Manufacturing Food and Kindred products Chemicals and allied products Primary and fabricated metals Machinery Other manufacturing Insurance 38,833 50,975 59,566 2,759 Real estate 31,613 29,704 30,118 259 Services 37,045 32,887 38,945 2,303 Other industries 23,511 24,788 29,716 5,570 NOTE.—In this table, unlike in the international transactions accounts, income and capital inflows are shown without a current-cost adjustment, and income is shown net of withholding taxes. In addition, unlike in the international investment position, the direct investment position is valued at historical cost. -216 2,237 1,913 388 -680 -623 1,946 8,618 -345 2,326 4,583 -880 705 212 1,841 62 396 1,418 The data in this table are from tables 16 and 17 in "Foreign Direct Investment in the United States: Detail for Historical-Cost Position and Related Capital and Income Flows, 1996" in the .September 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 International Data • D-61 Table G.5.—Selected Financial and Operating Data of Nonbank U.S. Affiliates of Foreign Companies, by Country of Ultimate Beneficial Owner and by Industry of Affiliate, 1995 Millions of dollars Number of affiliates Total assets 12,497 All countriGS all industries 2,383,612 Sales 1,561,879 Millions of dollars Net income 15,608 Gross product 326,955 U.S. Thousands of exports of employees goods shipped by affiliates 4,928.3 136,702 U.S. imports of goods shipped to affiliates 254,895 By country Canada 1,285 267,378 141,292 2,446 36,532 703.7 5,402 13,565 Europe Of which: France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 5,363 1,327,437 832,286 14,273 202,361 2,991.0 59,344 86,349 668 1,291 394 603 1,205 232,662 210,408 154,877 229,335 381,241 111,966 161,099 98,084 92,343 264,355 1,053 1,331 2,790 8,101 24,178 37,182 28,013 18,624 71,049 348.2 580.6 334.2 308.3 986.5 14,882 12,308 5,357 6,398 11,728 11,255 27,753 8,730 7,847 14,367 Latin America and Other Western Hemisphere Of which: Brazil Mexico 1,078 53,830 52,067 917 13,345 166.6 6,193 10,126 75 265 8,661 9,593 3,903 8,540 89 -20 213 1,798 4.3 35.6 866 661 1,310 2,182 68 (D) 10,495 414 25,516 18,121 4,212 598,404 172 3,241 77 Africa Middle East Asia and Pacific Of which: Australia Japan United States ... -137 2,393 20.8 551 723 -198 4,861 46.6 641 4,628 489,928 -5,027 62,558 954.6 63,933 138,425 37,003 519,577 22,209 418,656 -577 4,211 52,000 73.6 -3,621 758.2 877 55,519 1,110 119,942 (D) 17,690 2,851 4,904 44.9 638 1,079 345 By industry 240 104,358 131,889 2,419 30,525 105.7 9,956 19,522 Manufacturing Food and kindred products Chemicals and allied products Primary and fabricated metals Machinery . Other manufacturing 2,896 252 331 396 739 1,178 587,049 57,195 191,614 55,979 96,130 186,132 562,151 50,879 131,892 70,086 123,167 186,128 9,824 632 3,903 1,547 176 3,566 156,991 12,229 39,768 17,804 32,163 55,028 2,276.8 228.6 407.1 246.9 541.6 852.6 55,561 2,790 13,778 3,988 18,861 16,144 81,790 3,238 13,582 8,018 29,219 27,734 Wholesale trade Petroleum . 2,228 222,616 466,192 174 39,135 455.5 65,500 148,735 Retail trade 353 47,982 93,624 759 23,951 759.1 1,793 3,742 Finance except depository institutions 874 568,216 45,074 1,392 2,910 45.3 18 25 Insurance 167 514,601 88,149 3,570 8,557 148.2 0 0 Real estate 3,494 96,852 14,184 -2,283 5,574 24.9 9 1 Services 1,250 110,674 59,264 -1,975 23,753 633.0 492 690 995 131,264 101,352 1,729 35,561 479.9 3,372 389 Other industries D Suppressed to avoid disclosure of data of individual companies. NOTE.—The data in this table are from tables A1 and A2 in Foreign Direct Investment in the United States: Operations of U.S. Affiliates of Foreign Companies, Preliminary 1995 Estimates. D-62 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS • International Data March 1998 H. International PerspectivesQuarterly data in this table are shown in the middle month of the quarter. Table H.1.—International Perspectives 1998 1997 1996 1997 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Exchange rates per U.S. dollar (not seasonally adjusted) Canada (Can.$/US$) France (FFr/US$) Germany (DM/US$) Italy (L/US0) Japan (¥/US0) Mexico (Peso/US$) United Kingdom (US$/£) Addendum: Exchange value of the U.S. dollar l ... 1.3725 4.9864 1.4321 16.2945 .9396 6.4467 1.5785 1.3638 5.1158 1.5049 15.4276 1.0878 7.6004 1.5607 1.3381 5.1156 1.5118 15.1366 1.1230 7.9119 1.6623 1.3622 5.2427 1.5525 15.2844 1.1398 7.8769 1.6639 1.3494 5.4145 1.6047 15.6791 1.1791 7.8289 1.6585 1.3556 5.6536 1.6747 16.5500 1.2296 7.8023 1.6285 1.3725 5.7154 1.6946 16.9121 1.2277 7.9562 1.6096 1.3942 5.7672 1.7119 16.9452 1.2564 7.9059 1.6293 1.3804 5.7482 1.7048 16.8433 1.1919 7.9037 1.6322 1.3843 5.8293 1.7277 16.9454 1.1429 7.9498 1.6449 1.3775 6.0511 1.7939 17.4591 1.1538 7.8679 1.6694 1.3872 6.2010 1.8400 17.9712 1.1793 7.7818 1.6035 1.3872 6.0031 1.7862 17.4322 1.2089 7.7809 1.6013 1.3869 5.8954 1.7575 17.2109 1.2106 7.8708 1.6330 1.4128 5.8001 1.7323 16.9708 1.2538 8.2716 1.6889 1.4271 5.9542 1.7788 17.4386 1.2973 8.1271 1.6597 84.25 87.34 86.98 88.71 91.01 94.52 95.60 96.39 95.29 95.42 97.48 99.96 98.29 97.07 96.37 98.82 Unemployment rates (percent, seasonally adjusted) Canada France Germany Italy Japan Mexico . United Kingdom Addendum: United States 9.6 11.6 9.4 9.7 12.3 10.4 12.1 10.0 12.5 10.8 12.0 9.7 12.5 10.9 9.7 12.5 11.2 9.7 12.5 11.2 9.3 12.5 11.2 9.6 12.5 11.2 9.5 12.5 11.4 9.1 9.0 12.6 11.4 12.5 11.5 9.0 12.5 11.6 12.1 9.0 12.5 11.7 9.1 12.5 11.8 9.0 12.4 11.8 8.6 12.2 11.8 3.1 6.3 8.2 3.4 5.5 7.5 3.3 5.0 6.9 3.3 5.0 6.7 3.3 4.5 6.5 122 3.3 4.2 6.2 3.2 4.2 6.1 3.3 4.2 5.9 124 3.6 4.0 5.8 3.5 3.9 5.7 3.4 3.8 5.5 3.4 3.4 5.3 3.4 3.3 5.2 3.5 3.2 5.2 122 3.5 3.3 5.1 3.4 3.2 5.0 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.7 12.0 Consumer prices (seasonally adjusted, 1990=100) Canada France Germany (1991=100) Italy Japan . ... Mexico United Kingdom 111.8 111.6 114.8 128.1 107.0 224.5 118.2 113.5 113.8 116.5 133.2 107.1 301.7 121.1 114.5 114.2 116.7 134.4 107.3 323.0 122.0 114.5 114.4 117.0 134.4 107.5 333.3 122.4 114.8 114.7 117.6 134.9 107.5 341.9 122.4 114.9 114.9 118.1 135.1 107.5 347.6 122.9 115.2 115.0 117.9 135.4 107.4 352.0 123.2 115.2 115.0 117.9 135.6 109.1 355.8 123.9 115.3 115.2 118.4 136.0 109.2 359.0 124.4 115.5 115.2 118.6 136.0 109.6 362.2 124.9 115.5 115.0 119.2 136.0 109.5 365.3 124.9 115.7 115.3 119.3 136.1 109.3 368.6 125.7 115.6 115.5 119.0 136.2 109.7 373.2 126.3 115.7 115.5 118.9 115.5 115.7 118.9 115.3 115.7 119.1 109.9 376.2 126.5 109.7 380.4 126.5 109.6 385.7 126.9 Addendum: United States 116.6 120.0 121.5 121.8 122.0 122.3 122.4 122.5 122.5 122.7 122.9 123.1 123.5 123.7 123.8 123.9 Real gross domestic product (percent change from preceding quarter, seasonally adjusted at annual rates) Canada France Germany Italy , y Japan . . Mexico United Kingdom Addendum: United States See footnotes at the end of the table. 41 2.4 1.3 .9 0 4.3 6.0 4.2 -9 2.7 1.2 1.5 1.4 .6 3.9 5.1 2.3 2.0 2.8 4.3 2.2 2.1 1.9 3.0 1.5 -6.2 14 12 5.4 46 4.1 77 4.1 3.5 3.2 1.7 4.6 194 3.4 3.1 4.7 3.8 49 3.3 3.1 8.3 33 -10.6 39 D-63 International Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Table H.1.-international Perspectives—Continued 1998 1997 1996 1997 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Short-term, 3-month, interest rates (percent, not seasonally adjusted) Canada France Germany Italy Japan Mexico United Kingdom 7.07 6.58 4.53 10.46 1.23 48.24 6.68 Addendum: United States 5.51 3.51 3.39 3.14 6.89 3.63 3.43 3.26 6.87 .67 .59 20.15 3.10 3.20 333 336 3.19 7.36 3.26 7.43 3.41 3.40 3.23 7.13 3.29 3.48 3.17 6.83 3.22 3.43 3.14 6.88 .56 2232 .56 2237 .58 2059 .61 21 40 6.19 6.20 6.37 6.45 6.66 1940 6.95 500 514 517 513 492 507 4.43 3.94 3.31 8.82 3.00 3.47 3.19 7.41 3.08 3.44 3.23 7.25 3.11 3.35 3.14 7.23 .59 32.91 .52 28.94 .52 26.51 .53 2460 .55 21 96 6.02 6.29 6.34 6.32 5.02 5.03 4.87 5.05 3.60 3.41 3.31 6.67 3.76 3.59 3.58 6.65 3.99 3.69 3.74 6.49 4.58 369 3.74 6.08 .56 .53 .55 7.15 2051 7.20 1991 7.25 2201 7.54 1988 7.62 5.13 4.97 495 515 516 Long-term interest rates, government bond yields (percent, not seasonally adjusted) Canada . . . . France Germany Italy ... Japan Mexico United Kingdom Addendum: United States 6.48 5.79 5.80 7.15 2.44 6.81 5.82 5.70 6.95 2.57 6.99 5.69 5.70 6.76 2.38 6.74 5.39 5.40 6.93 2.40 6.92 5.80 5.60 7.55 2.27 7.09 5.93 5.70 7.37 2.36 6.90 5.96 5.60 7.02 2.55 6.63 5.67 5.60 6.82 2.37 6.30 5.50 5.40 6.38 2.12 6.30 5.65 5.50 6.53 2.01 6.19 5.55 5.50 6.10 1.88 5.94 5.80 5.50 5.90 1.62 5.76 5.66 5.50 5.81 1.73 5.85 5.45 5.30 5.44 3.21 7.54 6.51 6.10 8.85 2.98 8.24 782 761 7.55 7.54 7.20 7.46 7.65 7.16 7.13 7.04 7.08 6.80 6.50 6.61 6.36 6.57 6.44 6.20 6.30 6.58 6.42 669 6.89 6.71 6.49 6.22 6.30 6.21 603 588 581 196.0 157.0 171.2 8.36 7.66 6.80 11.79 Share price indices (not seasonally adjusted, 1990=100) Canada ... . France Germany Italy Japan Mexico United Kingdom Addendum: United States 173.0 128.0 124.9 100.0 179.0 135.0 130.0 114.0 180.0 145.0 138.9 119.0 171.0 148.0 145.8 114.0 175.0 145.0 145.7 116.0 187.0 149.0 154.4 119.0 188.0 151.0 160.2 123.0 201.0 161.0 174.8 138.0 193.0 161.0 176.4 139.0 206.0 160.0 170.2 145.0 200.0 159.0 171.5 149.0 190.0 151.0 161.5 145.0 69.0 63.0 64.0 63.0 63.0 70.0 70.0 68.0 65.0 589.5 171.0 639.7 176.0 6737 179.0 6574 182.0 6589 179.0 185.0 781 9 186.0 8889 190.0 815.3 194.0 9334 198.0 62.0 8152 57.0 577.3 170.0 68.0 6961 203.0 8725 194.0 917.2 200.0 212.0 213.0 220.0 228.0 227.0 219.0 236.0 249.0 262.0 262.0 267.0 2720 2680 275.0 130.0 103.0 102.4 154.0 118.0 115.6 176.0 125.0 121.9 95.0 63.0 96.0 74.0 99.0 72.0 389.3 147.0 554.8 167.0 159.0 195.0 1540 1. Index of weighted average exchange value of U.S. dollar against currencies of other G-10 countries. March NOTE.—All exchange rates are from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. interest rates, 1973=100. Weights are 1972-76 global trade of each of the 10 countries. Series revised as of August 1978. For unemployment rates, and GDP growth rates are from the Federal Reserve, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and description and back data, see: Index of the weighted-average exchange value of the U.S. dollar: Revision" on BEA, respectively. All other data (including U.S. consumer prices and U.S. share prices, both of which have been page 700 of the August 1978 Federal Reserve Bulletin. rebased to 1990 to facilitate comparison) are © OECD, February 1998, OECD Main Economic Indicators and are reproduced with permission of the OECD. D-64 • International Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 I. Charts_ THE U.S. IN THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY Billion $ 30 COMPONENTS OF CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE Services. 15- 0- -15 - -30- -45- -40- -60 -50 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Billion $ 50 U.S. DIRECT INVESTMENT ABROAD AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN THE U.S. Billion $ 40- 30FDIUS 20- 10- 20 -20 -10 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Billion $ 5000 Billion $ 300 EXPORTS AND IMPORTS NET INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION VALUED AT CURRENT COST 4000- 250Foreign assets in the United States 3000- 200 2000- U..S. assets abroad 150- 1000Exports __ Net investment position 100- -1000 50 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 US. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Regional Data • D-65 Regional Data J. State and Regional Tables. The tables in this section include the most recent estimates of State personal income and gross state product. The sources of these estimates are noted. The quarterly and annual State personal income estimates and the gross state product estimates are available on diskettes or CD-ROM. For information on personal income, e-mail reis.remd@bea.doc.gov; write to the Regional Economic Information System, BE-55, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 20230; or call 202-606-5360. For information on gross state product, e-mail gspread@bea.doc.gov; write to the Regional Economic Analysis Division, BE-6i, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 20230; or call 202-606-5340. Table J.1.—Quarterly Personal Income for States and Regions Mllions of dollars 1995 Area name I II Percent change ' 1996 III IV 1 II 1997 IV III I II III 1996:1111996:IV 1996:IV1997:1 1997:11997:11 1997:1^ 1997:111 1.2 1.9 1.2 1.1 412,469 119,092 27,668 193,262 32,896 25,600 13,952 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.7 .7 2.1 2.8 1.5 2.0 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 .8 1.7 .9 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.3 Mideast Delaware District of Columbia Maryland New Jersey New York Pennsylvania 1,186,541 1,194,849 1,203,961 1,216,140 1,237,524 1,251,871 1,264,426 1,280,913 1,304,447 1,311,683 1,325,982 19,842 18,424 18,573 19,208 19,552 20,252 20,735 20,806 20,858 21,170 18,823 18,097 18,444 18,299 18,787 17,999 19,046 18,980 17,979 18,011 18,629 19,128 132,435 133,396 134,073 135,171 137,621 139,245 140,748 142,657 145,585 146,772 148,279 263,035 235,873 238,211 239,921 242,202 245,984 249,308 251,460 254,430 259,568 260,234 500,818 502,971 507,122 512,336 522,825 527,239 532,396 540,159 550,752 552,885 559,445 283,700 286,012 289,126 293,099 297,938 300,941 304,145 308,691 311,954 314,925 281,013 1.3 2.4 .8 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.1 1.8 .3 1.4 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.5 .6 .2 .8 .3 .4 1.1 1.1 1.5 .8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 Great Lakes Illinois Indiana Michigan Ohio Wisconsin 1,011,205 1,016,414 1,025,335 1,037,991 1,050,678 1,067,473 1,080,212 1,088,807 1,107,241 1,118,858 1,128,709 323,827 329,728 334,795 338,706 297,953 299,874 302,507 306,538 311,898 316,298 320,221 125,000 125,260 125,840 127,120 128,813 131,434 . 133,113 134,643 136,273 137,946 139,130 228,072 227,381 229,862 232,862 235,014 238,849 241,129 242,326 246,604 246,771 247,980 247,297 249,836 252,041 254,992 257,084 261,194 264,418 265,610 270,378 273,296 275,415 124,257 112,884 114,063 115,086 116,480 117,869 119,697 121,331 122,402 126,050 127,478 .8 1.1 1.1 .5 .5 .9 1.7 1.8 1.2 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.2 .1 1.1 1.4 .9 1.2 .9 .5 .8 1.1 458,272 66,789 63,322 127,214 130,487 40,287 13,933 16,240 1.0 .8 .9 .9 1.3 1.5 0 .7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.1 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.9 1.8 .8 1.3 1.9 2.5 .9 .4 1.0 1.3 .9 1.1 1.3 .4 1,315,532 1,330,900 1,346,689 1,366,123 1,384,840 1,409,188 1,427,939 1,443,187 1,472,789 1,490,004 1,506,729 90,587 83,247 84,122 85,655 87,568 81,643 86,740 88,998 89,800 80,849 82,531 47,567 44,711 46,153 46,329 48,436 48,995 50,187 50,252 44,006 45,284 48,005 322,062 325,801 330,072 334,334 342,159 346,800 351,320 355,118 362,557 366,848 371,547 154,451 156,103 158,784 162,162 164,063 168,023 170,891 172,857 176,818 178,647 181,433 72,417 76,525 74,008 75,075 77,707 78,235 79,899 80,934 81,762 71,560 72,972 86,892 85,273 88,374 90,871 81,823 82,912 83,053 83,917 86,111 81,220 89,748 44,797 47,627 46,721 48,402 50,571 45,387 46,079 48,188 49,263 44,325 50,109 148,917 151,505 153,258 156,724 158,014 161,859 163,920 166,616 170,544 172,999 174,230 75,377 69,827 71,511 73,495 72,080 74,607 76,809 78,662 69,009 70,483 77,602 123,994 112,222 113,817 114,441 116,169 117,626 118,806 121,368 109,635 111,021 122,635 178,236 157,790 159,368 160,764 162,642 165,259 167,219 169,444 171,277 175,302 176,238 32,392 32,976 33,864 31,885 32,659 33,603 31,708 32,021 33,381 34,585 34,258 1.1 1.0 .9 1.1 1.2 .7 .9 .4 1.6 1.0 1.0 1.1 .7 2.1 1.6 1.2 2.1 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.8 2.4 1.9 2.2 2.3 .8 1.2 .9 2.4 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.0 1.0 .5 1.2 1.1 .9 .1 1.3 1.6 1.0 1.3 .9 .7 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.0 United States New England Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont Plains Iowa Kansas Minnesota Missouri Nebraska North Dakota South Dakota 361,426 104,157 24,630 168,247 28,839 23,121 12,433 396,928 58,230 55,452 108,996 114,669 34,259 11,619 13,702 Southeast Alabama Arkansas Florida Georgia Kentucky Louisiana Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Virginia West Virginia Southwest Arizona New Mexico Oklahoma Texas 6,040,235 6,102,138 6,166,454 6,242,674 6,344,946 6,446,004 6,526,017 6,602,689 6,730,234 6,813,111 6,890,952 . . Rocky Mountain Colorado Idaho Montana Utah Wyoming Far West Alaska California Hawaii Nevada Oregon Washington 366,632 105,263 24,975 170,826 29,559 23,507 12,502 401,414 58,654 55,957 110,264 116,225 34,631 11,828 13,854 370,349 106,209 24,979 173,256 29,592 23,684 12,630 405,940 59,339 56,483 111,360 117,492 35,324 11,871 14,072 375,186 107,485 25,282 175,702 30,050 23,853 12,815 411,894 60,349 56,978 113,501 118,622 36,008 12,141 14,295 379,607 109,083 25,590 177,592 30,336 23,971 13,034 422,854 62,444 58,546 116,196 121,011 36,963 12,842 14,853 388,521 111,178 26,251 182,334 31,109 24,341 13,307 430,289 436,027 63,330 64,071 59,253 59,992 118,885 120,959 122,784 124,035 37,686 38,117 13,111 . 13,347 15,239 15,505 394,993 112,912 26,669 185,678 31,584 24,743 13,407 440,502 64,608 60,546 122,079 125,633 38,681 13,338 15,617 403,164 116,058 27,068 189,306 31,984 25,105 13,643 447,509 65,608 61,519 123,362 128,408 39,335 13,507 15,769 407,102 117,258 27,371 190,836 32,533 25,330 13,773 454,004 66,547 62,694 125,624 129,378 39,833 13,758 16,170 0 568,008 85,300 30,231 60,341 392,135 576,315 86,460 30,580 61,041 398,234 584,361 88,345 31,009 61,604 403,402 592,619 89,968 31,304 62,385 408,962 603,099 92,200 31,823 63,239 415,838 613,576 93,851 32,152 64,273 423,301 623,327 95,623 32,367 65,003 430,334 630,151 96,709 32,526 65,541 435,376 645,366 99,123 33,301 67,017 445,924 656,488 100,860 33,837 67,547 454,244 665,435 102,407 34,154 68,659 460,215 1.1 1.1 .5 .8 1.2 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.4 1.7 1.8 1.6 .8 1.9 1.4 1.5 .9 1.6 1.3 172,902 89,985 21,944 15,891 35,196 9,885 174,647 90,804 22,135 16,029 35,701 9,977 177,649 92,494 22,446 16,250 36,388 10,072 180,764 93,779 22,945 16,456 37,378 10,205 183,459 95,749 23,112 16,566 37,856 10,177 187,084 97,514 23,581 16,788 38,848 10,354 190,154 99,191 23,795 17,017 39,697 10,453 192,566 100,578 23,877 17,213 40,397 10,501 196,311 102,455 24,354 17,294 41,520 10,687 199,637 104,393 24,760 17,536 42,153 10,795 202,462 105,785 25,169 17,660 42,921 10,926 1.3 1.4 .3 1.2 1.8 .5 1.9 1.9 2.0 .5 2.8 1.8 1.7 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.7 .7 1.8 1.2 1,027,694 1,040,967 1,052,169 1,061,958 1,082,884 1,101,474 1,115,412 1,131,570 1,153,406 1,175,334 1,190,893 14,894 14,615 14,731 14,789 15,574 14,500 14,548 14,590 14,826 15,055 15,384 752,421 761,430 768,728 775,160 790,291 803,573 812,716 825,321 840,004 855,514 866,436 29,902 30,067 29,716 30,169 30,549 30,837 29,352 29,669 29,633 30,150 31,095 42,207 43,050 44,032 39,055 40,255 41,286 45,490 36,893 37,503 38,351 44,799 71,934 70,580 75,735 67,167 73,336 74,683 77,505 80,046 68,155 69,323 79,098 152,252 127,361 129,663 131,544 132,832 135,771 138,424 140,830 142,401 146,261 149,703 1.4 .5 1.6 .1 2.0 1.4 1.1 1.9 1.1 1.8 1.3 2.3 2.3 2.7 1.9 2.2 1.8 .9 1.7 2.1 2.4 1.3 1.2 1.3 .8 1.5 1.2 1.7 1. Percent changes are expressed at quarterly rates and are calculated from seasonally adjusted unrounded data, It differs from the national income and product accounts (NIPA) estimate of personal income because, by definition', it omits the earnings of Federal civilian and military personnel stationed abroad and of U.S. residents employed 385,048 110,491 25,984 180,415 30,727 24,270 13,160 abroad temporarily by private U.S. firms. It can also differ from the NIPA estimate because of different data sources . Spuj* Table 1 in "Personal Income by State and Region, Third Quarter 1997" in the February 1998 issue BUSINESS. of the SuRVEY OF CuRRENT D-66 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS • Regional Data March 1998 Table J.2.—Annual Personal Income and Disposable Personal Income for States and Regions Personal income Millions of dollars Area name 1994 1995 Disposable personal income M Ilions of dollars Percent change ' 1996 1994-95 1995-96 1994 1995 Percent change ' 1996 1994-95 1i 3ao— QQR_Q£ yo 5,774,806 6,137,875 6,479,914 6.3 5.6 5,036,648 5,343,656 5,593,988 6.1 4.7 345,430 99,703 23,865 160,247 27,532 22,296 11,787 368,398 105,778 24,966 172,008 29,510 23,541 12,595 387,042 110,916 26,124 181,505 30,939 24,331 13,227 6.6 6.1 4.6 7.3 7.2 5.6 6.9 5.1 4.9 4.6 5.5 4.8 3.4 5.0 295,605 84,190 21,091 135,860 24,522 19,562 10,381 313,755 88,514 22,099 145,105 26,221 20,683 11,132 325,596 91,395 22,963 151,149 27,221 21,247 11,622 6.1 5.1 4.8 6.8 6.9 5.7 7.2 3.8 3.3 3.9 4.2 3.8 2.7 4.4 1,138,137 17,517 17,795 127,014 225,686 479,156 270,969 1,200,373 18,757 18,021 133,769 239,052 505,812 284,963 1,258,684 20,095 18,539 140,068 250,295 530,655 299,031 5.5 7.1 1.3 5.3 5.9 5.6 5.2 4.9 7.1 2.9 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.9 977,624 15,016 15,167 108,911 193,487 407,831 237,212 1,029,807 16,074 15,405 114,640 205,302 429,520 248,867 1,070,910 17,069 15,859 119,139 212,443 447,031 259,369 5.3 7.0 1.6 5.3 6.1 5.3 4.9 4.0 6.2 2.9 3.9 3.5 4.1 4.2 964,118 284,319 119,665 215,266 237,118 107,749 1,022,736 301,718 125,805 229,544 251,041 114,628 1,071,792 318,061 132,001 239,330 262,077 120,325 6.1 6.1 5.1 6.6 5.9 6.4 4.8 5.4 4.9 4.3 4.4 5.0 834,810 245,498 103,684 186,873 206,164 92,591 884,726 260,030 109,145 199,127 217,936 98,488 919,565 271,612 113,693 206,030 225,788 102,442 6.0 5.9 5.3 6.6 5.7 6.4 3.9 4.5 4.2 3.5 3.6 4.0 382,697 56,787 53,088 104,727 109,613 33,218 11,661 13,602 404,044 59,143 56,218 111,031 116,752 35,055 11,865 13,981 432,418 63,613 59,585 119,530 123,366 37,862 13,159 15,303 5.6 4.1 5.9 6.0 6.5 5.5 1.7 2.8 7.0 7.6 6.0 7.7 5.7 8.0 351,357 51,960 49,000 94,081 102,314 30,756 10,602 12,643 373,267 55,617 51,481 100,058 107,573 32,985 11,748 13,805 5.2 4.1 5.5 5.5 6.3 4.9 1.6 2.4 6.2 7.0 5.1 6.4 5.1 7.2 9.5 333,873 49,894 46,463 89,182 96,242 29,308 10,437 12,348 1,255,475 77,344 42,079 306,657 146,103 68,670 78,219 42,507 141,426 66,019 103,989 151,487 30,973 1,339,811 82,067 45,039 328,067 157,875 72,739 82,252 45,147 152,601 70,208 111,674 160,141 32,001 1,416,289 86,021 47,584 348,849 168,959 76,885 85,548 47,735 162,602 73,890 116,760 168,300 33,155 6.7 6.1 7.0 7.0 8.1 5.9 5.2 6.2 7.9 6.3 7.4 5.7 3.3 5.7 4.8 5.7 6.3 7.0 5.7 4.0 5.7 6.6 5.2 4.6 5.1 3.6 1,109,304 68,892 37,597 271,419 127,646 60,451 70,548 38,700 123,333 58,661 93,528 130,741 27,788 1,181,959 73,043 40,142 289,716 137,701 63,930 74,106 41,143 133,009 62,097 100,278 138,126 28,667 1,240,754 76,151 42,344 305,142 145,978 67,208 76,592 43,420 141,008 65,038 104,146 144,189 29,539 6.5 6.0 6.8 6.7 7.9 5.8 5.0 6.3 7.8 5.9 7.2 5.6 3.2 5.0 4.3 5.5 5.3 6.0 5.1 3.4 5.5 6.0 4.7 3.9 4.4 3.0 541,429 79,868 28,518 58,691 374,353 580,326 87,518 30,781 61,343 400,683 617,538 94,596 32,217 64,514 426,212 7.2 9.6 7.9 4.5 7.0 6.4 8.1 4.7 5.2 6.4 483,571 70,242 25,388 52,010 335,932 518,174 76,887 27,508 54,409 359,370 547,021 82,509 28,661 56,831 379,020 7.2 9.5 8.4 4.6 7.0 5.6 7.3 4.2 4.5 5.5 Rocky Mountain Colorado Idaho Montana Utah Wyoming 163,203 84,643 20,732 15,137 33,171 9,522 176,490 91,766 22,368 16,157 36,166 10,035 188,316 98,258 23,591 16,896 39,199 10,371 8.1 8.4 7.9 6.7 9.0 5.4 6.7 7.1 5.5 4.6 8.4 3.4 141,204 72,629 18,136 13,275 28,761 8,403 152,796 78,826 19,588 14,258 31,239 8,885 161,621 83,523 20,545 14,792 33,633 9,128 8.2 8.5 8.0 7.4 8.6 5.7 5.8 6.0 4.9 3.7 7.7 2.7 Far West Alaska California Hawaii Nevada ... Oregon Washinaton 984,317 14,125 722,002 28,469 34,292 63,667 121,762 1,045,697 14,563 764,435 29,593 37,951 68,806 130.350 1,107,835 14,810 807,975 30,072 41,699 73,922 139.356 6.2 3.1 5.9 3.9 5.9 1.7 5.7 1.6 9.9 7.4 6.9 860,656 12,247 632,206 24,640 29,699 54,244 107,621 911,081 12,655 665,609 25,916 32,870 58,879 115,154 955,254 12,778 695,767 26,119 35,718 62,833 122,040 5.9 3.3 5.3 5.2 4.8 1.0 4.5 .8 8.7 6.7 6.0 United States New England Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont . . . . . . Mideast Delaware . District of Columbia Maryland New Jersey New York Pennsylvania Great Lakes Illinois Indiana .... Michigan Ohio Wisconsin . Plains Iowa Kansas Minnesota Missouri Nebraska North Dakota South Dakota Southeast .. Alabama Arkansas Florida Georgia Kentucky . Louisiana Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Virginia West Virginia Southwest . Arizona New Mexico Oklahoma Texas . ... .... 10.7 8.1 7.1 10.9 10.7 8.5 7.0 10.8 9.2 1. Percent changes are calculated from unrounded data. stationed abroad and of U.S. residents employed abroad temporarily by private U.S. firms. It can NOTE.-The personal income level shown for the United States is derived as the sum of the alju» diffreor ^°NIPAH?B^^ ,h State estimates! differs from the national income and product accounts (NIPA) estimate of per^ ^J^bles 1 and ^3 in ^State^Personal Income, Rev.sed Estimates for 1958-96 in the - bUFWEY 1997 OF c CURRENT D BUSINESS. sonal income because, by definition, it omits the earnings of Federal civilian and military personnel SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Regional Data • D-67 Table J.3.—Per Capita Personal Income and Per Capita Disposable Personal Income for States and Regions, 1994-96 Per capita personal income ' Dollars Area name 1994 United States Per capita disposable personal income ' Dollars Rank in U.S. 1995 1996 1994 1996 1995 Rank in U.S. 1996 1996 19,345 20,327 21,087 22,284 25,722 17,036 22,486 21,599 19,638 17,878 23,582 27,063 17,842 23,901 22,836 20,856 19,036 24,387 27,913 18,469 24,810 23,416 21,457 19,743 1 37 3 7 18 28 € t i\ 17 22,000 21,215 26,702 21,784 24,474 22,412 19,672 23,136 22,417 27,780 22,751 25,826 23,612 20,635 24,028 23,549 29,195 23,491 26,595 24,583 21,514 6 2 4 15 24,575 26,848 22,601 24,945 23,457 23,320 7 28 16 21 22 19,346 20,922 18,032 19,699 18,579 18,211 20,394 22,054 18,828 20,877 19,574 19,228 21,084 22,928 19,466 21,474 20,209 19,854 8 32 17 21 25 22,018 20,802 21,929 24,061 21,949 21,385 18,495 19,165 23,414 22,306 23,165 25,663 23,022 22,917 20,448 20,895 30 23 11 25 27 38 37 18,325 17,616 18,221 19,504 18,244 18,030 16,315 17,051 19,147 18,276 19,114 20,388 19,234 18,763 16,526 17,331 20,211 19,503 20,015 21,482 20,075 19,966 18,255 18,849 31 23 16 22 24 38 35 20,003 18,349 17,142 21,959 20,686 17,949 18,135 15,931 19,979 18,138 20,120 23,129 16,998 21,076 19,327 18,126 23,129 21,901 18,860 18,960 16,745 21,188 19,146 21,284 24,208 17,532 22,016 20,131 18,959 24,226 22,977 19,797 19,664 17,575 22,205 19,977 21,949 25,212 18,160 39 47 20 26 42 43 50 32 40 33 14 49 17,674 16,344 15,316 19,436 18,072 15,801 16,356 14,504 17,423 16,116 18,096 19,961 15,250 18,593 17,202 16,155 20,425 19,102 16,576 17,083 15,260 18,467 16,934 19,113 20,880 15,706 19,288 17,821 16,872 21,190 19,852 17,305 17,605 15,986 19,256 17,584 19,577 21,600 16,179 39 45 19 26 42 40 50 33 41 30 14 49 Southwest Arizona New Mexico Oklahoma Texas 19,739 19,562 17,187 18,039 20,308 20,673 20,329 18,215 18,731 21,311 21,614 21,363 18,803 19,544 22,282 35 48 45 31 17,630 17,205 15,301 15,985 18,224 18,459 17,860 16,278 16,614 19,114 19,146 18,633 16,727 17,217 19,815 36 48 44 27 Rocky Mountain Colorado Idaho Montana Utah Wyoming 20,286 23,109 18,243 17,672 17,334 20,013 21,467 24,487 19,181 18,563 18,468 20,941 22,490 25,704 19,837 19,214 19,595 21,544 41 46 44 34 17,552 19,829 15,959 15,499 15,029 17,661 18,585 21,034 16,798 16,382 15,952 18,542 19,302 21,849 17,276 16,821 16,812 18,961 12 43 46 47 34 Far West Alaska California Hawaii Nevada Oregon Washington 22,867 23,487 23,022 24,278 23,422 20,575 22,755 24,052 24,170 24,217 25,095 24,748 21,851 23,927 25,173 24,398 25,346 25,404 26,011 23,074 25,187 19 13 12 9 24 15 19,994 20,364 20,158 21,012 20,285 17,530 20,112 20,955 21,002 21,087 21,978 21,435 18,698 21,138 21,706 21,050 21,826 22,065 22,280 19,612 22,057 20 13 10 9 29 11 22,180 23,348 24,426 New England Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont 26,040 30,462 19,277 26,522 24,250 22,383 20,299 27,688 32,341 20,157 28,332 25,700 23,738 21,538 28,989 33,875 21,011 29,792 26,615 24,572 22,470 Mideast Delaware District of Columbia Maryland New Jersey New York Pennsylvania 25,613 24,748 31,327 25,405 28,547 26,332 22,471 26,968 26,159 32,499 26,547 30,071 27,806 23,628 28,242 27,724 34,129 27,618 31,334 29,181 24,803 Great Lakes Illinois Indiana Michigan Ohio Wisconsin 22,342 24,230 20,811 22,692 21,368 21,192 23,575 25,590 21,702 24,066 22,547 22,379 Plains Iowa Kansas Minnesota Missouri Nebraska North Dakota South Dakota 21,005 20,049 20,819 22,904 20,779 20,435 18,229 18,783 Southeast Alabama Arkansas Florida Georgia Kentucky Louisiana Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Virginia West Virginia 1. Per capita personal income and per capita disposable personal income are computed using midyear population estimates of the Bureau of the Census. NOTE—The personal income level shown for the United States is derived as the sum of the State estimates. It differs from the national income and product accounts (NIPA) estimate of per- 3f \ 18 29 t 16 5 sonal income because, by definiton, it omits the earnings of Federal civilian and military personnel stationed abroad and of U.S. residents employed abroad temporarily by private U.S. firms. It can also differ from the NIPA estimate because of different data sources and revision schedules. Source: Tables 2 and 4 in "State Personal Income, Revised Estimates for 1958-96" in the October 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. D-68 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS • Regional Data March 1998 Table J.4.—Gross State Product for States and Regions by Industry, 1994 [Millions of dollars] State and region Rank of total gross state product Total gross state product Farms Agricultural services, forestry, and fishing |\/tanufacturin 9 Mining Federal civilian government 609,908 1,273,678 1,342,720 Federal military government local government 523,959 606,354 461,863 182,651 79,948 604,284 43,392 12,231 2200 20,245 4,336 2,776 1,605 22,743 6,381 2439 10,142 1,718 27,786 7,744 1,864 12,883 2,327 1,739 1,229 25,962 7,328 1,510 13,237 1,742 1,274 872 33,195 8,813 3,159 14,784 2,913 2,204 1,323 92,056 30,138 4,742 42,919 6,502 5,456 2,299 88,578 22,939 4,816 47,245 5,723 5,151 2,704 6,712 1,510 827 3,134 448 477 317 2,084 579 342 678 67 354 65 30,258 8,319 2528 13804 2,326 2026 1 256 2,355 4 7 111 152 428 1,653 45,626 889 428 6536 85,106 1,486 153 5676 12144 35,556 30,091 98,129 1,114 5766 24698 34,790 27,850 114,721 1,354 2,596 11,144 25,750 46,605 27,272 86,894 1,046 577 23,374 35,683 18,014 100,291 1,513 1,367 11 787 19,096 40,005 26,523 321,733 10,414 6,888 29,253 57,125 164,081 53,972 294,563 3,419 15,636 29,531 54,124 129,468 62,385 46,598 358 16,102 9956 4,186 8,443 7,553 7,278 273 1,166 16,661 11,852 183,235 5,397 1,267 11 442 36,841 70,346 57,941 832 1,804 1,087 115987 1 733 1,981 11 416 22862 54850 23,145 4,418 1,321 531 887 1,039 640 4,459 1,273 753 938 1,238 258 45,155 14,086 6493 8,584 10,583 5409 284,542 62,441 41,843 71,415 73,887 34,956 188,314 35,277 29,115 54,414 48,605 20,903 96,229 27,164 12,728 17,001 25,282 14053 90,978 31,940 1 1 ,407 16,156 22,592 8,882 77,674 26,639 8,382 16,373 18,534 7,745 97,284 27,549 12,734 19,958 25,922 11,120 179,209 63,253 18,448 36,385 41,404 19,719 198,663 66,853 21 ,325 42,288 47,899 20,298 19,212 6,357 2,725 2,814 5,225 2,091 4,025 1,686 479 527 1,032 300 94,713 25,938 11 229 22580 23,366 11 600 2,562 553 348 534 563 308 84 173 2,466 156 815 507 356 98 349 185 19,202 2700 2,402 49,443 9,775 5,638 14510 14,477 3,088 534 1,422 38,916 6,924 5,090 10440 12,540 2,944 445 534 43,306 5,388 7,444 9,564 13,476 4,559 1,496 1,378 34,207 4,718 4,545 10,061 9,406 3,147 1,255 1,076 41,979 5,966 5,956 11,134 12,493 3,488 1,291 1,652 69,161 9,632 7,831 21,869 18,734 5,937 1,673 3,487 79,879 10,090 10,003 23,882 24,172 6,724 2,302 2,706 10,786 1 ,263 1,584 5,823 1,714 588 657 88,359 16,699 10,727 24,950 27,017 6,031 979 1,956 4,102 191 1,347 306 892 587 494 288 41,575 6706 6,227 11 334 9985 4,500 1,341 1,483 1,867 882 1,256 3,420 724 1,242 1 147 200 7,841 460 315 2,735 768 442 369 287 786 363 476 737 101 21,509 1,184 382 711 752 2,941 9995 356 229 158 347 282,972 19,398 12,578 26,612 32,576 23,221 17,417 11,854 53,629 21,787 30,611 27,435 5,854 126,435 9,593 6,757 15,079 13,383 12,545 4,311 7,015 19,739 8,403 16,049 11,047 2,514 156,537 9,805 5,820 11,533 19,192 10,676 13107 4,839 33,890 13,384 14,562 16389 3,341 143,740 8,821 6,196 29,914 21 ,865 8,305 1 1 ,059 6,228 14,315 6,399 10,646 15,425 4,567 97,808 5,515 3,077 22,644 16,355 4,770 5,784 2,840 11,692 4,367 9,232 9,694 1,836 144,130 8,926 5,193 35,783 16,714 7,651 8,717 5,008 16,338 8,043 13,881 14,820 3,057 226,278 10,860 5,637 68,123 28,563 9,514 13,260 5,680 23,465 10,297 16,217 30,823 3,838 263,453 14,045 7,272 72,639 31 ,980 12,471 16,738 7,597 26,345 11,632 23,663 33,594 5,477 45,781 4,173 1,179 6,669 5,667 2,683 1,841 1,522 3,148 1,864 4,450 11,646 939 31,101 1,411 411 4,573 3,519 1,803 133,092 8,861 4,455 29,435 15085 7,387 1320 9241 3,380 60,747 3,496 1,846 14,592 6707 3,429 4476 1,855 7,078 3,473 4,677 7443 1,675 1,064 4,882 2,273 694 9,009 142 5,039 16,194 8545 10,403 14860 3,587 677,888 94,093 37,832 66189 479,774 8,347 810 564 1,591 5,381 3,541 673 178 311 2,379 39,652 1,114 2,702 3,281 32,555 28,989 5,116 1,781 2,069 20,024 105,712 13,973 5,117 11,060 75,562 61,747 11,155 4,422 6,615 39,555 43,964 2,817 695 4,445 36,007 72,514 8,345 3,672 7,281 53,216 46,743 5,677 1,645 4,051 35,369 62,877 10,034 3,551 6,663 42,630 98,977 17,115 5,130 8,203 68,529 120,958 18,155 6,595 10,788 85,419 17,331 2,538 1,791 2,500 10,502 9,967 1,200 834 1,476 6,456 62,281 9,343 4,272 6,915 41,750 198,132 99767 24,185 16862 41,657 15660 3,989 1 180 1,260 835 418 297 1,120 506 276 135 123 79 8,816 10,271 5234 1,536 758 2,151 591 24,790 12,299 4,612 1,317 5,891 670 15,011 9,779 23 43 47 35 48 7197 5102 3,030 763 3,806 215 1,583 555 2,086 455 22,017 11 014 2,181 2,152 4,008 2,662 11,869 6,341 1,456 1,049 2,532 492 19,563 10,039 2,502 1,714 4,268 1,040 29,743 16,825 3,092 2,261 5,905 1,661 37,142 20,626 3,771 3,061 8,221 1,464 7,215 3424 760 742 1,901 388 3,034 1,885 268 266 412 202 18564 8736 2,301 1,197,326 22720 875,697 36718 43,958 74366 143,867 15,306 18 11,171 282 142 1 481 2,212 10,241 356 7,189 198 178 734 1,586 10,563 4238 4,459 26 1,438 96 306 46,084 45 1 38 34 28 14 161,354 1,149 121,842 1,128 2,002 14,814 20,418 103,692 317 76,608 296 1,269 11,260 13,942 57,662 833 45,234 832 733 3,554 6,476 91,293 3,835 63,122 3,475 3,376 5,909 11,576 80,707 672 59,860 1,414 1,990 5,888 10,882 110,589 1,539 79,662 4,063 4,084 6,773 14,467 256,519 2,480 199,078 8,584 8,058 12,464 25,856 259,485 2,653 193,314 7,586 14,967 13,248 27,716 29,015 1,113 18,900 1,745 840 2,020 4,397 18,357 1,094 11,187 2,623 435 223 2,795 107,814 2535 76,691 3,442 3,358 7269 14,519 237 38 12 113 29 14 31 16 8 2 6 1,327,798 26697 48,028 132703 254945 570 994 294,431 4,504 221 0 601 479 1,399 1,805 4,012 75 13 610 864 1,221 1,229 Great Lakes . Illinois Indiana Michigan . Ohio Wisconsin 4 15 9 7 19 1,111,598 332,853 138190 240,390 274,844 125 321 11,265 3,515 Plains Iowa Kansas Minnesota Missouri Nebraska North Dakota South Dakota 29 31 20 17 36 49 46 455,013 68298 61 ,758 124641 128,216 41,357 13494 17,250 17,428 4238 2,529 2822 Southeast Alabama Arkansas Florida Georgia Kentucky Louisiana Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Virginia West Virginia 25 33 5 11 26 22 32 12 27 18 13 39 1,478,627 88,661 50,575 317,829 183042 86,485 101 101 50,587 181,521 79925 126,539 177708 34,654 20,175 1,512 2,035 3,399 Southwest Arizona New Mexico Oklahoma Texas 24 37 30 3 Rocky Mountain Colorado Idaho Montana Utah Wyoming 21 42 10 40 44 50 41 1839 1486 2,121 2302 1751 3,160 1286 1,642 2491 1074 1660 169 837 1,484 4,666 9261 5318 1038 29,222 2151 3,090 3,447 7,137 NOTE—Totals shown for the United States differ from the NIPA estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) because State data exclude the statistical discrepancy (the difference between GDP and gross domestic income), the compensation of Federal civilian and military personnel stationed abroad, and government consumption of fixed capital for military structures located abroad and fpr military equipment, except office equipment; they may also differ from the GDP estimates because of differences in revision schedules. Services 673,139 90,058 1,915 504 267 777 138 147 82 . Retail trade 66,134 18,612 4,639 30,387 6,053 4,148 2,296 35,651 1,182 280 221 296 94 56 234 Far West Alaska California . .. Hawaii Nevada Oregon Washington Total Finance, insurance, and real estate Wholesale trade 13,158 3,646 1 142 5,943 1,031 822 574 82,197 389,259 110,449 26069 186 199 29,393 23867 13282 Mideast Delaware District of Columbia Maryland New Jersey New York Pennsylvania Durable goods Transportation and Nondurapublic ble goods utilities 269,232 1,197,098 6,835,641 United States New England Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont Construction 1372 691 3911 8199 2361 3,549 1,104 358 567 2117 1734 4,346 1 447 Sources: Tables 9 and 10 in "Comprehensive Revision of Gross State Product by Industry, 1977-94" in the June 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. Regional Data • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 D-69 K. Local Area Table_ Table K.1.—Personal Income and Per Capita Personal Income by Metropolitan Area, 1993-95 Area name Millions of dollars 1993 United States ' Metropolitan portion Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical Areas Chicago-Gary-Kenosha, IL-IN-WI ... Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Cleveland-Akron OH Dallas-Fort Worth, TX Denver-Boulder-Greeley, CO Detroit-Ann Arbor-Flint, Ml Houston-Galveston-Brazoria, TX .... Los Angeles-Riverside-Orange County CA Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL Milwaukee-Racine Wl New York-No. New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT-PA Philadelphia-Wilmington-Atlantic City, PA-NJ-DE-MD Portland-Salem OR-WA Sacramento-Yolo, CA San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, CA Seattle-Tacoma-Bremerton, WA Washington-Baltimore, DC-MD-VAWV 1994 1995 5,471,129 5,739,85 6,097,977 4,627,25 4,850,244 5,162,277 935,700 843,874 889,60 Percent change 2 1994-95 Rank in Dollars 1993 1994 U.S. 1995 6.2 6.4 5.2 21,223 22,044 23,196 22,48 23,327 24,594 16,239 16,959 17,658 210,07 40,54 64,73 98,735 51,988 121,25 93,005 220,224 42,522 67,82 105,222 54,925 131,58 97,330 234,88 45,310 72,102 113,633 59,36 140,169 104,073 6.7 6.6 6.3 8.0 8.1 6.5 6.9 24,869 21,559 22,388 23,006 24,21 23,139 23,048 331,389 71,826 37,629 337,71 74,618 39,592 357,57 80,095 42,025 5.9 7.3 6.1 21,822 22,122 23,290 21,514 21,965 23,155 23,036 24,182 25,636 564,130 585,058 619,024 5.8 28,691 29,654 31,280 147,099 41,382 33,416 151,972 44,382 35,017 160,677 48,170 37,534 5.7 8.5 7.2 24,743 25,497 26,921 21,236 22,308 23,719 21,212 22,052 23,332 181,386 77,103 187,916 80,757 201,544 85,826 7.3 6.3 28,055 28,901 30,802 24,214 25,062 26,231 25,906 22,436 23,350 24,034 25,084 25,117 23,693 194,456 204,023 4.9 26,550 27,584 28,706 2,117 13,869 1,915 19,396 12,071 2,177 13,250 2,287 3,673 6,616 2,153 14,691 2,063 20,365 13,056 2,332 13,794 2,379 3,916 6,921 2,299 15,620 2,199 21,004 14,188 2,456 14,580 2,495 4,188 7,015 6.8 6.3 6.6 3.1 8.7 5.3 5.7 4.9 7.0 1.4 17,407 20,663 16,507 22,194 19,145 17,399 21,754 17,338 18,801 26,465 17,720 21,828 17,711 23,082 20,175 18,492 22,554 17,963 19,664 27,484 18,708 23,103 18,849 23,837 21,452 19,352 23,801 18,891 20,464 27,914 254 92 246 73 142 224 74 244 177 22 Anniston, AL Appleton-Oshkosh-Neenah, Wl Asneville NC Athens GA Atlanta, GA Atlantic-Cape May, NJ* Augusta-Aiken, GA-SC Austin-San Marcos, TX Bakersfield, CA 12,251 1,846 6,735 3,920 2,276 75,166 8,192 8,114 18,737 10,073 13,472 1,916 7,178 4,095 2,416 80,871 8,502 8,429 20,331 10,218 14,508 2,024 7,672 4,391 2,606 87,956 8,964 8,809 22,338 10,860 7.7 5.6 6.9 7.2 7.8 8.8 5.4 4.5 9.9 6.3 24,101 15,859 20,497 19,491 17,390 23,260 24,973 18,297 20,048 16,798 26,255 16,989 21,596 20,050 18,094 24,229 25,768 18,790 20,977 16,711 27,829 17,840 22,810 21,181 19,320 25,563 27,020 19,451 22,185 17,625 24 289 102 154 228 42 29 222 123 291 56,912 2,518 59,799 2,601 62,556 2,728 4.6 4.9 23,282 24,326 25,347 17,228 17,777 18,747 44 252 4,870 10,492 6,711 2,593 3,073 40,789 2,361 5,374 5,106 11,233 6,951 2,789 3,257 42,024 2,515 5,852 5,492 11,919 7,348 2,953 3,442 44,345 2,662 6,104 7.6 6.1 5.7 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.8 4.3 25,286 18,962 17,973 18,198 19,018 31,489 19,543 16,315 26,090 20,114 18,567 19,097 20,193 32,291 20,472 17,339 27,568 21,159 19,541 19,775 21,284 33,931 21,345 17,856 25 156 221 210 150 4 146 288 Baltimore MD* Bangor ME (NECMA) Barnstable- Yarmouth, MA (NECMA) Baton Rouge LA Beaumont- Port Arthur TX Bellinqham WA Benton Harbor Ml Beroen-Passaic NJ* Billings MT Biloxi-Gulfport-Pascagoula, MS Binghamton NY Birmingham, AL Bismarck ND Bloomington, IN Bloomington-Normal, IL Boise City, ID Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-LowellBrockton, MA-NH (NECMA) Boulder-Longmont, CO* Brazoria TX* Bremerton WA* 5,071 17,846 1,627 1,939 2,797 6,932 5,172 18,960 1,697 2,029 3,056 7,629 5,269 20,283 1,814 2,147 3,213 8,330 1.9 7.0 6.9 5.8 5.1 9.2 19,165 20,644 18,634 17,196 20,722 20,711 19,727 21,547 19,255 17,844 22,417 21,885 20,446 22,830 20,342 18,603 23,229 23,052 178 99 182 261 90 94 146,890 6,221 3,775 4,108 153,749 6,632 3,970 4,293 164,718 7,114 4,240 4,529 7.1 7.3 6.8 5.5 25,773 25,451 18,112 19,292 26,832 26,555 18,662 19,802 28,564 27,978 19,595 20,004 17 20 218 197 Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito, TX . Bryan-College Station, TX Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY Burlington, VT (NECMA) Canton-Massillon OH Casper, WY Cedar Rapids IA Champaign-Urbana IL Charleston-North Charleston, SC ... Charleston WV 3,259 1,877 24,140 3,864 7,625 1,414 3,835 3,125 8,879 5,201 3,476 1,985 25,509 4,018 8,052 1,469 4,094 3,235 9,168 5,434 3,682 2,086 26,766 4,280 8,535 1,550 4,363 3,390 9,447 5,744 5.9 5.1 4.9 6.5 6.0 5.5 6.6 4.8 3.0 5.7 11,246 14,524 20,254 21,053 19,014 22,476 21,928 18,442 16,919 20,465 11,610 15,187 21,475 21,518 20,054 22,978 23,184 19,518 17,769 21,352 11,960 15,872 22,645 22,687 21,222 24,248 24,448 20,376 18,840 22,562 313 306 109 105 152 65 61 181 247 112 26,536 3,172 8,461 1,570 193,676 3,225 34,473 2,694 50,869 28,472 3,318 8,887 1,597 202,969 3,317 36,084 2,854 53,136 30,989 3,512 9,453 1,664 216,553 3,482 38,428 3,053 56,482 8.8 5.8 6.4 4.2 6.7 5.0 6.5 7.0 6.3 21,505 22,926 19,450 20,420 25,501 16,881 21,928 14,943 22,910 22,580 23,622 20,230 20,458 26,553 17,249 22,848 15,405 23,809 24,022 24,630 21,330 21,201 28,177 18,040 24,199 16,833 25,303 71 56 147 153 19 280 66 298 46 See footnotes at the end of the table. 1994 1995 1994-95 Rank in Dollars 1993 1994 U.S. ,1995 1995 8,301 8,931 9,660 8.2 19,104 19,684 20,77 166 2,290 9,298 4,612 30,328 6,128 1,610 68,719 1,793 2,443 9,818 4,798 32,441 6,469 1,682 73,638 1,865 2,608 10,464 5,060 34,614 6,833 1,765 79,737 1,965 6.7 6.6 5.4 6.7 5.6 5.0 8.3 5.3 19,212 19,362 17,023 21,525 16,594 15,894 24,084 16,395 20,178 20,702 17,549 22,825 17,190 16,627 25,298 16,972 21,13 21,733 18,61 24,132 17,984 17,46 26,803 17,93.0 157 131 259 68 285 293 32 286 Dayton-Springfield OH 7,016 19,884 7,337 20,823 7,722 22,132 5.3 6.3 19,646 20,734 20,534 21,588 21,834 23,238 137 89 Daytona Beach, FL Decatur, AL Decatur, IL Denver, CO* Des Moines, IA Detroit Ml* Dothan AL . . Dover DE Dubuque, IA Duluth-Superior MN-WI 7,417 2,466 2,360 43,300 9,387 100,582 2,264 2,069 1,669 4,338 7,867 2,623 2,434 45,764 10,014 108,703 2,372 2,177 1,771 4,540 8,464 2,772 2,517 49,546 10,709 115,754 2,506 2,344 1,865 4,782 7.6 5.7 3.4 8.3 6.9 6.5 5.7 7.7 5.3 5.3 17,120 17,912 20,106 24,570 22,747 23,395 16,919 17,494 19,011 17,959 17,742 19,069 20,851 25,494 23,987 25,320 17,819 18,232 20,113 18,834 18,794 19,955 21,640 27,069 25,331 26,889 18,777 19,333 21,160 19,959 249 200 134 28 45 31 250 226 155 199 6,092 2,440 8,391 3,317 1,686 1,031 5,278 5,327 5,853 2,952 6,132 2,584 8,809 3,564 1,773 1,063 5,510 5,667 6,071 3,165 6,302 2,754 9,299 3,780 1,863 1,099 5,811 6,043 6,360 3,348 2.8 6.5 5.6 6.1 5.0 3.3 5.5 6.6 4.8 5.8 23,177 17,292 12,964 20,485 17,745 18,246 18,879 18,036 20,505 18,469 23,474 18,218 13,211 21,719 18,766 18,719 19,630 18,932 21,184 19,535 24,098 19,335 13,702 22,660 19,817 19,160 20,704 19,917 22,124 20,433 69 225 312 107 206 235 168 202 124 180 Fort Myers-Cape Coral, FL Fort Pierce-Port St. Lucie, FL 4,773 4,319 1,679 8,418 2,256 2,067 4,075 32,716 7,784 6,126 4,899 4,696 1,820 9,407 2,397 2,177 4,368 34,274 8,259 6,362 5,210 5,078 1,948 9,908 2,547 2,301 4,726 37,008 8,880 6,866 6.4 8.1 7.0 5.3 6.3 5.7 8.2 8.0 7.5 7.9 16,813 18,381 15,124 19,469 16,679 17,285 19,875 24,175 21,672 22,491 17,252 19,293 15,959 21,757 17,801 17,981 20,538 24,736 22,450 22,847 18,289 20,060 16,733 22,815 18,837 18,767 21,747 26,192 23,664 24,313 271 192 299 101 248 251 130 37 78 64 Fort Smith AR-OK Fort Walton Beach FL Fort Wayne IN Fort Worth-Arlington, TX* Fresno CA Gadsden, AL Gainesville, FL Galveston-Texas City, TX* Gary, IN* Glens Falls, NY 3,014 2,914 9,698 30,015 14,363 1,639 3,473 4,497 11,998 2,146 3,244 3,060 10,202 31,585 14,583 1,727 3,663 4,731 12,613 2,267 3,428 3,237 10,867 33,896 15,274 1,839 3,905 5,065 13,369 2,364 5.7 5.8 6.5 7.3 4.7 6.4 6.6 7.0 6.0 4.3 16,410 18,491 20,803 20,867 17,411 16,425 18,193 19,381 19,472 17,602 17,515 19,007 21,768 21,527 17,384 16,935 18,961 20,130 20,397 18,598 18,167 19,795 23,048 22,665 18,014 18,032 19,984 21,300 21,534 19,326 276 208 95 106 283 281 198 149 139 227 1,664 1,707 1,768 1,768 1,809 1,866 1,895 1,906 2,007 7.2 5.4 7.6 15,408 16,492 17,553 16,261 17,127 17,326 18,297 18,016 18,904 295 270 243 20,059 1,500 2,466 4,349 21,591 1,527 2,529 4,622 23,232 1,624 2,700 4,936 7.6 6.4 6.8 6.8 20,579 18,682 17,548 21,236 21,811 18,803 17,470 22,267 23,174 20,043 18,178 23,429 91 194 275 85 23,267 2,041 24,511 2,174 26,357 2,339 7.5 7.6 21,288 17,889 22,095 23,428 18,712 19,813 86 207 18,140 19,084 20,301 184 18,740 21,527 23,752 28,962 16,594 20,235 26,300 16,585 25,449 17,570 253 141 75 14 301 186 35 302 43 292 21,624 24,664 22,894 19,913 20,646 20,161 22,617 14,897 18,366 21,865 135 55 98 203 170 190 110 310 269 127 Columbia, MO Columbia, SC Columbus, GA-AL Columbus, OH Corpus Christi, TX Cumberland, MD-WV Dallas, TX* Danville VA Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA- 185,306 Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NCSC Charlottesville, VA Chattanooga, TN-GA Cheyenne, WY Chicago, IL* Chico-Paradise CA Cincinnati OH-KY-IN* . Clarksville-Hopkinsville, TN-KY Cleveland-Lorain-Elyria, OH* 1993 Colorado Springs CO Metropolitan Statistical Areas4 Abilene, TX Akron, OH* Albany, GA Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Albuquerque NM Alexandria LA Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA ... Altoona, PA Arriarillo, TX Anchorage AK Percent change2 Millions of dollars Area name 1995 27,48 23,752 24,792 25,418 26,58 26,646 24,910 Per capita .personal income 3 Personal income Per capita personal income 3 Personal income .... Dutchess County, NY* Eau Claire, Wl El Paso TX Elkhart-Goshen, IN Elmira, NY Enid OK Erie PA Eugene-Springfield OR Evansville-Henderson, IN-KY Fargo-Moorhead, ND-MN Fayetteville, NC Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR Flagstaff, AZ-UT Flint Ml* Florence AL Florence, SC Fort Collins-Loveland, CO Goldsboro, NC Grand Forks, ND-MN Grand Junction, CO Grand Rapids-Muskegon-Holland, Great Falls MT Greeley CO* Green Bay Wl Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point NC Greenville NC Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, SC .: 15,643 16,664 17,948 7.7 Hagerstown, MD* Hamilton-Middletown, OH* Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA .... Hartford, CT (NECMA) Hattiesburg, MS Hickory-Morganton-Lenoir, NC Honolulu HI Houma, LA Houston TX* Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH .... 2,156 6,076 13,179 29,959 1,525 5,602 21,675 2,759 84,734 5,123 2,296 6,438 13,751 30,762 1,635 5,945 22,254 2,963 88,628 5,341 2,382 6,882 14,533 32,169 1,761 6,286 22,901 3,126 94,768 5,566 3.8 6.9 5.7 4.6 7.7 5.7 2.9 5.5 6.9 4.2 19,679 21,753 26,813 14,937 18,527 25,150 14,808 23,571 16,188 18,162 20,377 22,546 27,587 15,773 19,402 25,602 15,807 24,214 16,865 Huntsville, AL Indianapolis, IN Iowa City, IA Jackson Ml Jackson, MS . . Jackson, TN Jacksonville FL Jacksonville NC Jamestown NY Janesville-Beloit Wl 6,547 32,605 2,042 2,715 7,410 1,678 19,606 1,962 2,385 2,831 6,784 34,440 2,206 2,887 7,981 1,829 20,630 2,030 2,503 3,018 7,091 36,402 2,321 3,055 8,594 1,963 22,209 2,149 2,595 3,247 4.5 5.7 5.2 5.8 7.7 7.3 7.7 5.9 3.7 7.6 20,818 22,605 20,612 17,779 18,190 17,693 20,401 13,474 16,763 19,580 20,711 23,583 21,926 18,936 19,355 19,032 21,234 14,005 17,635 20,635 Jersey City, NJ* Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TNVA Johnstown, PA 11,975 12,241 12,987 6.1 21,714 22,223 23,561 80 7,596 4,080 7,936 4,211 8,442 4,431 6.4 5.2 16,959 17,622 18,582 16,934 17,482 18,425 262 268 17:134 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS D-70 • Regional Data March 1998 Table K.1.—Personal Income and Per Capita Personal Income by Metropolitan Area, 1993-95—Continued Per capita personal income 3 Personal income Area name Percent change 2 M Ilions of dollars Rank in U.S. Dollars 1993 1994 1995 1993 1994 1995 1995 Jonesboro AR Joplin MO . Kalamazoo-Battle Creek, Ml Kankakee, IL* Kansas City MO-KS Kenosha Wl* Killeen-Temple, TX 1,154 2,357 8,737 1,808 36,359 2,597 4,202 1,226 2,543 9,229 1,892 38,533 2,751 4,530 1,335 2,739 9,821 2,020 41,123 2,948 4,828 8.9 7.7 6.4 6.7 6.7 7.2 6.6 15,905 16,857 19,895 18,003 22,290 19,092 15,600 16,704 17,960 20,964 18,699 23,244 19,990 15,682 17,826 19,088 22,203 19,901 24,576 21,117 16,508 290 241 122 204 58 158 303 Knoxville, TN Kokomo, IN La Crosse, WI-MN Lafayette LA Lafayette, IN Lake Charles LA Lakeland-Winter Haven FL Lancaster, PA Lansing-East Lansing, Ml Laredo TX 12,153 2,071 2,314 5,720 2,994 2,957 7,175 9,537 8,531 1,730 12,964 2,203 2,430 6,161 3,164 3,176 7,709 9,785 9,168 1,885 13,814 2,368 2,550 6,527 3,353 3,394 8,344 10,321 9,686 1,966 6.6 7.5 4.9 5.9 6.0 6.9 8.2 5.5 5.7 4.3 19,627 20,848 19,385 15,999 18,070 17,188 16,972 21,745 19,553 10,998 20,566 22,130 20,210 17,060 18,806 18,258 17,930 22,084 20,614 11,430 21,558 23,715 21,088 17,867 19,734 19,262 19,126 23,056 21,717 11,402 138 77 159 287 215 230 238 93 132 314 Las Cruces, NM Las Vegas, NV-AZ Lawrence, KS Lawton, OK Lewiston-Auburn, ME (NECMA) Lexington KY Lima OH' Lincoln NE Little Rock-North Little Rock, AR ... Longview-Marshall TX . . 2,059 21,342 1,417 1,778 1,849 8,660 2,795 4,541 10,489 3,507 2,160 23,786 1,505 1,803 1,918 9,080 2,988 4,831 11,105 3,660 2,343 26,198 1,608 1,880 2,019 9,743 3,117 5,156 11,916 3,905 8.5 6.8 4.3 5.3 7.3 4.3 6.7 7.3 6.7 13,487 21,054 16,483 15,041 17,808 20,331 17,897 20,275 19,680 17,531 13,752 21,974 17,266 15,866 18,558 21,060 19,168 21,325 20,652 18,166 14,643 22,927 18,191 16,870 19,626 22,394 20,042 22,446 21,954 19,132 311 97 274 297 217 116 195 114 126 237 199,770 20,804 4,100 3,723 5,490 9,206 3,039 4,521 2,859 8,564 201,754 21,834 4,330 3,922 5,740 9,765 3,201 4,893 3,070 8,938 213,337 23,232 4,590 4,127 6,085 10,391 3,373 5,248 3,272 9,341 5.7 6.4 6.0 5.2 6.0 6.4 5.4 7.3 6.6 4.5 21,984 21,363 18,027 18,550 18,129 23,822 17,343 10,170 18,080 19,663 22,218 22,267 18,776 19,314 18,686 25,032 18,265 10,525 18,913 20,161 23,501 23,552 19,783 20,199 19,674 26,449 19,243 10,878 19,746 20,747 82 81 209 188 216 33 231 315 213 167 21,862 3,025 39,110 23,432 3,043 40,344 25,222 3,017 43,087 7.6 -.9 6.8 20,988 22,215 23,640 15,735 15,494 15,653 19,699 20,056 21,058 79 307 160 31,640 33,779 66,474 8,495 6,992 27,308 2,390 33,117 35,519 70,555 8,967 7,139 28,058 2,528 35,087 37,698 74,901 9,469 7,449 29,635 2,708 5.9 6.1 6.2 5.6 4.3 5.6 7.1 29,967 23,263 25,026 16,811 17,379 26,720 16,395 30,997 24,422 26,197 17,614 17,537 27,089 17,304 32,507 25,906 27,436 18,429 18,122 28,187 18,444 7 38 26 266 278 18 264 5,840 2,180 2,544 5,343 23,385 77,581 6,178 2,287 2,771 5,601 25,394 80,864 6,558 2,384 3,034 6,015 27,453 85,250 6.1 4.2 9.5 7.4 8.1 5.4 18,996 18,185 17,143 31,084 22,367 29,373 19,964 19,204 18,177 31,447 23,716 30,527 21,000 20,044 19,220 32,878 25,077 32,108 162 193 234 5 50 9 52,715 54,255 57,566 6.1 32,372 33,352 35,400 3 5,907 25,439 242,044 6,264 26,568 251,831 6,615 28,089 266,669 5.6 5.7 5.9 23,761 25,157 26,436 19,497 20,277 21,374 28,163 29,227 30,896 34 144 11 Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA* Louisville, KY-IN Lubbock, TX burg, VA i, GA Madison, Wl Mansfield, OH McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX Medford-Ashland OR Melbourne-Titusville-Palm Bay, FL r Memphis, TN-AR-MS Merced, CA Miami, FL* Middlesex-Somerset-Hunterdon, NJ* Milwaukee-Waukesha, Wl* Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Mobile, AL Modesto CA Monmouth-Ocean, NJ* Monroe LA Montgomery, AL Muncie IN Myrtle Beach, SC Naples, FL Nashville, TN Nassau-Suffolk, NY* New Haven-Bridgeport-StamfordDanbury-Waterbury, CT* New London-Norwich, CT (NECMA) New Orleans LA New York NY* 1994-95 10.1 Area name 1994 1995 21,293 22,694 24,596 8.4 22,661 23,448 24,675 Rapid City, SD Reading PA Redding, CA Reno NV Richland-Kennewick-Pasco, WA .... Richmond-Petersburg, VA Riverside-San Bernardino, CA* Roanoke VA Rochester MN Rochester NY 1,564 7,698 2,909 6,933 3,388 21,378 50,578 5,017 2,608 24,339 1,645 8,020 3,007 7,506 3,605 22,540 52,250 5,207 2,667 25,451 1,760 8,455 3,146 8,110 3,699 23,940 55,477 5,575 2,784 26,703 7.0 5.4 4.6 8.0 2.6 6.2 6.2 7.1 4.4 4.9 18,181 22,268 18,319 25,189 20,220 23,600 17,584 22,045 23,141 22,372 18,991 23,008 18,785 26,448 20,691 24,587 17,892 22,753 23,574 23,386 20,176 24,139 19,558 27,866 20,618 25,851 18,685 24,378 24,720 24,566 189 67 219 23 171 41 255 62 52 59 Rockford, IL Rocky Mount NC Sacramento CA* Saginaw-Bay City-Midland, Ml St Cloud MN St. Joseph, MO St Louis MO-IL Salem OR* Salinas CA Salt Lake City-Ogden UT 6,837 2,375 30,464 7,973 2,609 1,697 56,970 5,300 7,946 20,413 7,381 2,481 31,962 8,478 2,777 1,781 59,826 5,624 7,922 22,030 7,888 2,656 34,258 8,996 2,902 1,872 63,929 6,010 8,452 23,739 6.9 19,923 21,330 7.1 17,147 17,631 7.2 21,306 22,173 6.1 19,787 21,047 4.5 16,825 17,708 5.1 17,251 18,214 6.9 22,529 23,634 6.9 17,612 18,278 6.7 22,577 23,804 7.8 17,674 18,703 22,602 18,615 23,459 22,342 18,278 19,222 25,170 19,154 25,270 19,825 111 260 84 118 272 233 48 236 47 205 San Angelo TX San Antonio TX San Diego, CA San Francisco, CA* San Jose, CA* San Luis Obispo-Atascadero-Paso Robles, CA Santa Barbara-Santa MariaLorn poc CA Santa Cruz-Watsonviile, CA* Santa Fe NM Santa Rosa CA* 1,754 25,644 56,001 55,375 43,786 1,845 27,298 57,820 56,964 45,784 1,958 29,313 61,106 60,853 49,548 6.1 7.4 5.7 6.8 8.2 19,231 20,034 23,263 36,989 31,487 232 196 88 1 10 4,216 4,361 4,645 6.5 18,970 19,444 20,490 176 9,193 5,618 2,913 9,703 9,378 5,788 3,087 10,103 9,929 6,193 3,350 10,779 5.9 7.0 8.5 6.7 24,216 24,049 22,812 23,799 25,860 26,202 24,691 25,888 40 36 53 39 Sarasota-Bradenton, FL Savannah GA Scranton-Wilkes-Barre-Hazleton, PA Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA* Sharon PA Sheboygan Wl Sherman-Denison, TX Shreveport-Bossier City LA Sioux City, IA-NE .' Sioux Falls SD 13,489 5,292 14,375 5,612 15,557 5,971 8.2 6.4 26,406 27,704 29,641 19,473 20,318 21,351 13 145 11,963 57,079 2,042 2,188 1,677 6,963 2,196 3,208 12,316 59,763 2,141 2,314 7,296 2,336 3,504 12,927 63,422 2,259 2,456 1,879 7,672 2,517 3,747 5.0 6.1 5.5 6.2 7.3 5.2 7.7 6.9 18,695 26,458 16,702 20,589 17,420 18,495 18,493 21,573 19,363 27,422 17,545 21,526 17,963 19,321 19,544 23,045 20,442 28,773 18,498 22,560 19,090 20,228 20,871 24,320 179 15 263 113 240 187 165 63 South Bend, IN Spokane, WA Springfield, IL Springfield MO Springfield, MA (NECMA) State College PA Steubenville-Weirton, OH-WV Stockton-Lodi CA Sumter SC Syracuse NY 5,126 7,409 4,145 5,243 12,124 2,247 2,326 9,115 1,463 14,898 5,399 7,849 4,381 5,640 12,566 2,333 2,420 9,385 1,549 15,544 5,741 8,271 4,554 6,053 13,264 2,475 2,521 9,924 1,645 16,171 6.3 5.4 3.9 7.3 5.6 6.1 4.2 5.7 6.2 4.0 20,215 18,932 21,311 18,562 20,321 17,403 16,519 17,826 13,811 19,745 21,150 19,788 21,657 19,556 21,080 17,977 17,278 18,085 14,557 20,676 22,350 20,575 22,426 20,616 22,342 18,957 18,079 18,874 15,387 21,592 117 173 115 172 118 242 279 245 308 136 Tacoma, WA* Tallahassee FL 12,125 4,504 12,706 4,784 13,586 5,083 6.9 6.3 19,231 19,899 20,945 18,014 18,760 19,753 163 212 Terre Haute, IN Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Toledo OH Topeka KS Trenton' NJ* Tucson AZ Tulsa OK 43,934 2,574 1,975 12,583 3,409 9,809 12,644 14,918 45,864 2,654 2,080 13,292 3,554 10,194 13,782 15,473 49,391 2,789 2,215 14,038 3,753 10,770 14,770 16,274 7.7 5.1 6.5 5.6 5.6 5.7 7.2 5.2 20,567 17,160 16,184 20,521 20,775 29,853 17,767 20,192 22,646 18,640 17,998 22,971 22,752 32,633 19,556 21,789 108 258 284 96 104 6 220 129 Tuscaloosa AL Tyler, TX Utica-Rome, NY Vallejo-Fairfield-Napa, CA* Ventura CA* Victoria, TX Vineland-Millville-Bridgeton, NJ* Visalia-Tulare-PortervUle, CA Waco TX Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV* 2,678 3,054 5,632 10,108 16,035 1,513 2,720 5,263 3,297 126,237 2,856 3,238 5,892 10,476 16,494 1,594 2,786 5,363 3,474 132,361 3,045 3,456 6,085 11,174 17,485 1,700 2,936 5,615 3,734 139,085 6.6 17,306 18,411 19,281 6.7 19,357 20,245 21,253 3.3 17,729 18,680 19,740 6.7 21,138 21,820 23,328 6.0 23,196 23,527 24,736 6.6 19,197 19,892 21,042 5.4 19,567 20,063 21,312 4.7 15,516 15,517 16,144 7.5 16,963 17,528 18,674 5.1 28,631 29,644 30,824 229 151 214 87 51 161 148 305 257 12 2,258 2,247 30,995 2,717 10,710 2,384 2,119 13,709 3,499 3,599 2,406 2,370 32,424 2,796 10,934 2,519 2,184 14,321 3,741 3,738 2,540 2,530 35,204 2,926 11,617 2,707 2,290 15,249 4,062 3,934 5.6 18,142 19,419 20,660 6.8 18,772 19,689 20,902 8.6 33,197 33,862 36,057 4.7 17,138 17,723 18,682 6.2 21,238 21,574 22,823 7.5 18,295 19,020 19,933 4.9 17,517 18,080 19,102 6.5 25,649 26,507 27,924 8.6 18,667 19,314 20,247 5.2 17,559 17,810 18,427 169 164 2 256 100 201 239 21 185 267 2,952 7,632 11,051 2,191 1,757 3,055 7,823 11,641 2,233 1,687 3,276 8,299 12,302 2,366 1,976 58,947 7,395 62,684 7,729 6.3 4.5 29,599 30,459 32,346 20,037 20,813 21,528 8 140 28,554 56,796 3,533 4,650 18,503 3,791 14,167 65,005 29,768 58,801 3,804 4,875 19,443 3,996 14,958 67,212 31,217 62,995 4,090 5,152 20,474 4,288 16,108 71,272 4.9 7.1 7.5 5.7 5.3 7.3 7.7 6.0 18,826 26,196 16,673 19,829 18,575 20,662 21,535 25,681 19,485 26,973 17,318 20,618 19,277 21,301 22,540 26,213 20,332 28,729 18,130 21,674 20,139 22,258 24,002 27,420 183 16 277 133 191 120 72 27 Orlando, FL Owensboro KY Panama City FL Parkersburg-Marietta, WV-OH Pensacola, FL Peoria-Pekin IL Philadelphia PA-NJ* Phoenix-Mesa, AZ Pine Bluff AR Pittsburgh PA 26,180 1,562 2,373 2,739 6,229 7,005 122,479 48,394 1,290 53,184 27,690 1,669 2,471 2,853 6,484 7,418 126,364 52,629 1,319 54,634 29,645 1,758 2,592 2,999 6,818 7,692 133,528 58,036 1,397 57,518 7.1 5:3 4.9 5.1 5.1 3.7 5.7 5.8 5.3 19,621 17,468 17,295 18,115 17,195 20,428 24,775 20,180 15,294 22,090 20,313 18,496 17,680 18,816 17,391 21,551 25,521 21,178 15,649 22,760 21,395 19,390 18,229 19,774 18,025 22,235 26,959 21,839 16,685 24,071 143 223 273 211 282 121 30 128 300 70 3,048 1,121 5,649 36,081 3,145 1,182 5,896 38,758 3,326 1,245 6,253 42,160 5.8 5.3 6.1 8.8 22,395 16,056 23,032 21,897 23,151 16,404 23,839 23,046 24,611 17,033 25,127 24,553 57 296 49 60 Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA Wausau, Wl West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL Wheeling, WV-OH Wichita, KS Wichita Falls, TX Williamsport, PA Wilmington-Newark, DE-MD* Wilmington NC Yakima WA 19,832 3,895 2,061 2,294 3,849 20,241 4,248 2,176 2,456 4,073 21,576 4,691 2,390 2,649 4,327 6.6 21,687 13,736 16,378 18,636 21,217 22,185 14,063 17,025 19,483 22,275 23,730 15,099 18,441 20,539 23,498 76 309 265 174 83 Yolo, CA* York PA Youngstown-Warren, OH Yuba City, CA Yuma AZ 10.4 9.9 7.9 6.2 1. The personal income level shown for the United States is derived as the sum of the county estimates; it differs from the national income and product accounts (NIPA) estimate of personal income because, by definition, it omits the earnings of Federal civilian and military personnel stationed abroad and of U.S. residents employed abroad temporarily by private U.S. firms. It can also differ from the NIPA estimate because of different data sources and revision schedules. 2. Percent change was calculated from unrounded data. 3. Per capita personal income was computed using Census Bureau midyear population estimates. Estimates for Rank in U.S. Dollars 1993 57,117 7,061 Pittsfield, MA (NECMA) Pocatello ID Portland, ME (NECMA) Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA* Providence-Warwick-Pawtucket, Rl (NECMA) Provo-Orem UT Pueblo CO Punta Gorda FL Racine Wl* Percent change2 Millions of dollars Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC ... Newark, NJ* Newburgh, NY-PA* Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Oakland, CA* Ocala, FL Odessa-Midland TX Oklahoma City OK Olympia WA* ' Omaha NE-IA Orange County CA* 10.3 Per capita personal income 3 Personal income 1J51 1994-95 7.2 6.1 5.7 5.9 17.1 1993 17,553 18,214 21,484 33,891 28,362 20,293 21,563 18,249 16,566 14,112 1994 18,247 19,055 22,114 34,745 29,439 24,435 24,587 23,461 24,533 21,246 17,757 16,939 21,730 21,540 30,964 18,761 20,823 20,864 21,727 19,317 16,569 13,228 1995 22,083 22,759 20,512 17,414 16,221 1995 54 125 103 175 294 304 1993-95 reflect county population estimates available as of March 1997. 4. Includes Metropolitan Statistical Areas, Primary Metropolitan Statistical Areas (PMSA's designated by *), and New England County Metropolitan Areas (NECMA's). The New Haven-Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury-Waterbury, CT NECMA is presented as a PMSA (part of the New York CMSA). Source: Table 1 in "Comprehensive Revision of Local Area Personal Income, 1969-95" in the September 1997 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Regional Data • D-71 L. Charts. SELECTED REGIONAL ESTIMATES SHARES OF U.S. PERSONAL INCOME BY REGION 1969 1996 Great Lakes 16.5% Great Lakes 20.8% New England 6.4% Plains 6.7% New England 6.0% Southeast 21.9% Southeast 17.3% Rocky Mountain 2.2% Southwest 9.5% Rocky Mountain 2.9% SHARES OF U.S. GROSS STATE PRODUCT BY REGION 1977 1994 Great Lakes 19.6% New England 5.2% Plains 7.5% New England 5.7% Far West 15.7% Southeast 19.6% Far West 17.5% Rocky Mountain 2.8% Rocky Mountain 2.9% AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH RATE OF PERSONAL INCOME, 1969-96 STATES WITH FASTEST GROWTH US ' ' IT!!?6 STATES WITH SLOWEST GROWTH U.S. average 8.2% North Dakota Indiana West Virginia Rhode Island Michigan Pennsylvania Illinois New York Ohio Iowa Percent US. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis Percent D-72 • Regional Data SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March SELECTED REGIONAL ESTIMATES PER CAPITA PERSONAL INCOME, 1996 i ? WA / C $25,187 / 1 / ~. / X HT ^ / $19,214 OR / n $23,074 J |D W ' /^r^/™37 / > NO $20,448 — _ MN $25,663 . " ' "' •, Wl wv ;'23'320 '20,895 / ,,'Mf • ./ \ «#« ' ' ;: r, \ , ^ *-—T—r-y—__ S52917 ur K^S^T ' J^-s CA \ KS ^*° \,,^~— $23 165 \ "X ' WV $21,363 ^ -. , Hl"^ / $25,404 ^ / / / : ^^ ^ .oflo X 5 *'4,39o .f / •-£*-?.•>. R, 24 572 OH • $24,803 $23,457 ' ^^'^ jw;/ i - TN 121940 *21.9'19 AL .-• ' , GA MOoni x ,' ' NJ CT $31,334 $33,875 DE D MD ^ $27 618$ ' -/^ $22,205^ SC _ $19,977 , , ' DC $34129 ^ \ MS $20,131 ; $22,977 '.'' ^ ^^ i /J17J75 \ LAtl'Ir"' /*19^64 ^7-:.-- - . ^ -'--.-> ^ -, •\ • f-n^ ~ ' $29,792 . • PA ^ . '--^ j'jf //'P ^ MA ; V'^7.^;:''^ 'IT'' ^ —' .-; -'l$18,16d VA ->s :. , Jf /S21.011 \ _>' 12 « $22,282 ^^~ ^ -. M0 022 TY \ / / I • IN \wj»«j22^ou ' OK .„ '? wg^ AR ; --_ ^ W8^59.' -v^-^.^ ( • :—- —t c ^ '.' «• ^L- NM "" $18 803 - \. ' ' ., W ', .' __ ; '\ $22 306 - -"•• $19,595 '~- / ', '' j22470 *"'"" .... .; ., '•-••-•; ' M NH $26,615 VT r^TTr-7 «"« • - « - • ; ,A ^,. V ' """ " ~~ States with highest levels '?$fo ** United States $24,426 . . States with lowest levels All other States ""* PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH: AVERAGE QUARTERLY PERCENT CHANGE, 1996:111-1997:111 Mr^^--— f • WilM A ——-—___ \ •- /*—> I -- / -OBW x , S-^.''" / 1 *"" ' / ^ Mf» /.. - C '' /.*•• / ,-«?,*f f. . \ - NH 1.4 \ . -1-2 ,\-v ,. -. SD1 2 "~"" WY 1.1 ' .- ; NE1 4 , ' : " " f / ^ •• NElT^ •--—-- -•,,-•;/- l W ' __. /-yL ( -. -'•' •-.i/:^^-, __ /^^^^^^^T—- - MI0.7., ' _- - , ^-.^ ' M1, OH 1.0'' "V1^.™ V ... MA1.5 C-'NY,/i,.V / U 1 J D N " V - — C^| '• if'../ f..'^ RI1.3 ^CT1.7 ^•/t.-HJl.l r4,;V-r--1 DE1, \ A>^ »" «o,3 x,.:^;^-^^ -;:; ^ V '- ^^r^oK, ' - - f -3;;x -^ o ' C -„ ; NM14 - , ^-^rJ^:^t*r Hl0 8 AR 1.1 /- I ' "' ^~V^~- —-xI -- ; :. - ~X '"•.;'/ \^ : - \ / U5 -« * " ,SC1.3 , '"\ ./ A L 1 . 1 , GA1.5 / /..I ,--A^..H - O/^^, \><"-' y- :f""^x:.\ / / 7 / / \ c^> ^ AK1.2 *S ^ 4-" , ^ ^-J^_^K_|, ^M- / > a -• ^%i ^ f*' U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis \ 4 X^ ^1.4--. >s / '., •- : ^^-^ States with largest percent change^" States with smallest percent change All other States United States 1.4% March 1998 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Appendixes • D-73 Appendix A Additional Information About BEA'S NIPA Estimates Statistical Conventions Changes in current-dollar GDP measure changes in the market value of goods and services produced in the economy in a particular period. For many purposes, it is necessary to decompose these changes into quantity and price components. To compute the quantity indexes, changes in the quantities of individual goods and services are weighted by their prices. (Quantity changes for GDP are often referred to as changes in "real GDP") For the price indexes, changes in the prices for individual goods and services are weighted by quantities produced. (In practice, the current-dollar value and price indexes for most GDP components are determined largely using data from Federal Government surveys, and the real values of these components are calculated by deflation at the most detailed level for which all the required data are available.) Except for the most recent period, the annual and quarterly changes in real GDP and prices are "chaintype" measures that are both based on the "Fisher Ideal" formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent years. For example, the 1992-93 percent change in real GDP uses prices for 1992 and 1993 as weights, and the 1992-93 percent change in price uses quantities for 1992 and 1993 as weights. Because the quantity and price index numbers calculated in this way are symmetric, the product of the index of real GDP and the index of prices equals the index of current-dollar GDP. In the most recent period, a variant of the formula is used because only i year's information is available for computing the index number weights. Accordingly, BEA uses the prices and quantities from the two adjacent quarters as weights to calculate Fisher chaintype measures for those estimates. For example, the 1996:11-1996:111 percent change in real GDP uses prices for 1996:11 and 1996:111 as weights, and the 1996:111996:111 percent change in the GDP price index uses quantities for 1996:11 and 1996:111 as weights. BEA also presents another measure, known as the "implicit price deflator," in the NIPA tables. The implicit price deflator is calculated as the ratio of currentdollar value to the corresponding chained-dollar value multiplied by 100. In addition, BEA prepares measures of real GDP and its components in a dollar-denominated form, designated "chained (1992) dollar estimates" These estimates are computed by multiplying the 1992 currentdollar value of GDP, or of a GDP component, by the corresponding quantity index number. For example, if a current-dollar GDP component equaled $100 in 1992 and if real output for this component increased by 10 percent in 1993, then the "chained (1992) dollar" value of this component in 1993 would be $110 ($100 X 1.10). Note that percentage changes in the chained (1992) dollar estimates and the percentage changes calculated from the quantity indexes are identical, except for small differences due to rounding. Because of the formula used for calculating real GDP, the chained (1992) dollar estimates for detailed GDP components do not add to the chained-dollar value of GDP or to any intermediate aggregates. A "residual" line is shown as the difference between GDP and the sum of the most detailed components shown in each table. The residual generally is small close to the base period but tends to become larger as one moves further from it. In cases where the residual is large, the table of contributions of the major components to the change in real GDP provides a better basis for determining the composition of GDP growth than the chained-dollar estimates. For quarters and months, the estimates are presented at annual rates, which show the value that would be registered if the rate of activity measured for a quarter or a month were maintained for a full year. Annual rates are used so that time periods of different lengths— for example, quarters and years— may be compared easily. These annual rates are determined simply by multiplying the estimated rate of activity by 4 (for quarterly data) or 12 (for monthly data). Percent changes in the estimates are also expressed at annual rates. Calculating these changes requires a variant of the compound interest formula: where r is the percent change at an annual rate; Xt is the level of activity in the later period; X0 is the level of activity in the earlier period; m is the yearly periodicity of the data (for example, i for annual data, 4 for quarterly, or 12 for monthly); and n is the number of periods between the earlier and later periods (that is, t - o). Quarterly and monthly NIPA estimates are seasonally adjusted, if necessary. Seasonal adjustment removes from the time series the average impact of variations that normally occur at about the same time and in about the same magnitude each year— for example, weather, holidays, and tax payment dates. After seasonal adjustment, cyclical and other short-term changes in the economy stand out more clearly. D-74 • Appendixes SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Reconciliation Tables Table 1.—Reconciliation of Changes in BEA-Derived Compensation Per Hour with BLS Average Hourly Earnings [Percent change from preceding period] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1995 1996 1997^ 1996 1997 IV II I III NP BEA-derived compensation per hour of all persons in the nonfarm business sector (less housing) . 2.5 3.8 3.8 3.4 4.3 3.2 3.8 5.2 Less: Contribution of supplements to wages and salaries per hour -.6 -.6 -.4 -.7 -.6 -.1 -.1 -.4 Plus: Contribution of wages and salaries per hour of persons in housing and in nonprofit institutions 0 -.1 -.1 0 -.4 .3 -.2 -.2 .2 .1 .1 .1 -.2 .3 .3 2.8 4.3 4.1 4.0 4.6 3.3 3.5 5.4 Less: Contribution of wages and salaries per hour of persons in government enterprises, unpaid family workers and self-employed Equals: BEA-derived wages and salaries per hour of all employees in the private nonfarm sector Less: Contribution of wages and salaries per hour of nonproduction workers in manufacturing .1 -.2 -.2 -.8 -.1 -.3 -.1 -.1 Less1 Other differences1 -.1 1.2 .5 .9 .6 .5 -.2 .5 Equals: BLS average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls 2.9 3.3 3.8 3.9 4.2 3.0 3.8 5.0 Addendum: BLS estimates of compensation per hour in the nonfarm business sector 2 2.5 3.8 3.8 3.4 4.3 3.2 3.8 5.1 p Preliminary. 1. Includes BEA use of non-BLS data and differences in detailed weighting. Annual estimates also include differences in BEA and BLS benchmark procedures; quarterly estimates also include differences in seasonal adjustment procedures. 2. These estimates differ from the BEA-derived estimates (first line) because the BLS estimates include compensation and hours of tenant-occupied housing. NoiE.-The table incorporates BLS revisions to reflect the 1996 Hours at Work Survey. BLS Bureau of Labor Statistics ^ Table 2.—Relation of Net Exports of Goods and Services and Net Receipts of Factor Income in the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA's) to Balance on Goods, Services, and Income in the Balance of Payments Accounts (BPA's) [Billions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Line 1995 1996 1996 II III 1997 IV I II III Exports of goods, services, and income, BPA's 1 Less1 Gold BPA's Statistical differences l Other items 2 3 4 Plus' Adjustment for grossing of parent/affiliate interest payments Adjustment for U S territories and Puerto Rico Services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries except life insurance carriers and private noninsured pension plans 5 6 33.3 34.0 34.1 33.6 34.9 35.4 36.5 36.0 7 14.5 15.3 14.8 15.9 16.3 16.5 17.0 17.1 Equals'. Exports of goods and services and receipts of factor income, NIPA's 8 1,041.2 1,105.1 1,092.0 1,099.0 1,153.4 1,170.4 1,221.9 1,235.2 Imports of goods, services, and income, BPA's 9 1,086.5 1,163.4 1,156.9 1,183.5 1,198.0 1,243.2 1,291.0 1,314.2 991.5 5.1 0 .9 8.0 1,055.2 6.9 0 1.1 8.7 1,049.3 1,047.9 1,098.2 1,118.1 1,175.5 1,182.4 12.5 0 1.0 7.3 5.2 0 1.5 8.4 3.7 0 1.1 8.9 6.7 .6 .8 8.6 9.3 5.6 .7 8.4 3.4 6.1 .6 9.9 Less: Gold, BPA's Statistical differences l Other items 10 11 12 Plus' Gold NIPA's Adjustment for grossing of parent/affiliate interest payments Adjustment for U.S. territories and Puerto Rico Imputed interest paid to rest of world 13 14 15 16 Equals: Imports of goods and services and payments of factor income, NIPA's 17 1,122.0 1,198.3 1,183.0 1,219.9 1,238.8 1,283.5 1,331.3 1,367.2 5.3 0 0 ^3.6 8.0 21.9 14.5 7.7 0 0 -3.8 8.7 22.4 15.3 Balance on goods, services, and income, BPA's (1-9) 18 Less: Gold (2-1 0+ 13) Statistical differences (3-1 1) l Other items (4-12) 19 20 21 ^3.8 Plus' Adjustment for U S territories and Puerto Rico (6-15) 22 11.4 11.6 Equals: Net exports of goods and services and net receipts of factor income, NIPA's (8-17) 23 -80.8 -93.2 1. Consists of statistical revisions in the NIPA's that have not yet been incorporated into the BPA's (1997:111) and statistical revisions in the BPA's that have not yet been incorporated in the NIPA's (1997:M997:III). 14.6 0 0 -3.6 7.3 22.3 14.8 6.2 0 0 -4.0 8.4 22.4 15.9 -95.0 -108.2 -107.6 -135.6 0 .9 -4.6 0 1.1 -5.7 0 1.0 11.8 -5.0 0 1.5 11.2 -91.0 -120.9 3.4 0 0 -4.2 8.9 23.4 16.3 8.7 3.0 -3.4 11.0 ^3.6 -4.7 0 0 0 -3.6 -3.9 -3.6 8.6 24.1 16.5 8.4 26.1 17.0 9.9 27.9 17.1 -99.8 -125.1 -115.5 -131.8 ^3.9 0 1.1 11.5 -5.6 4.0 .8 11.3 -5.6 9.2 .7 10.4 -3.2 10.8 .6 8.1 -85.4 -113.1 -109.4 -132.0 Appendixes • D-75 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1998 Appendix B Suggested Reading Mid-Decade Strategic Plan BEA has published the following articles in the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS on the development and implementation of its strategic plan for improving the accuracy, reliability, and relevance of the national, regional, and international accounts. "Mid-Decade Strategic Review of BEA'S Economic Accounts: Maintaining and Improving Their Performance" (February 1995)* "Mid-Decade Strategic Review of BEA'S Economic Accounts: An Update" (April 1995)* "BEA'S Mid-Decade Strategic Plan: A Progress Report" (June 1996)* Mid-Decade Strategic Review of BEA'S Economic Accounts: Background Papers (1995) presents seven background papers that evaluate the state of the U.S. economic accounts and that identify the problems and the prospects for improving the accounts. Methodology BEA has published a wealth of information about the methodology used to prepare its national, regional, and international estimates. National National income and product accounts (NIPA'S) NIPA Methodology Papers: This series documents the conceptual framework of the NIPA'S and the methodology used to prepare the estimates. An Introduction to National Economic Accounting (NIPA Methodology Paper No. i, 1985) [Also appeared in the March 1985 issue of the SURVEY] Corporate Profits: Profits Before Tax, Profits Tax Liability, and Dividends (NIPA Methodology Paper No. 2,1985) Foreign Transactions (NIPA Methodology Paper No. 3,1987) GNP: An Overview of Source Data and Estimating Methods (NIPA Methodology Paper No. 4, 1987) [Also appeared in the July 1987 issue of the SURVEY] Government Transactions (NIPA Methodology Paper No. 5,1988)* Personal Consumption Expenditures (NIPA Methodology Paper No. 6, 1990) * Items with an asterisk can be found on BEA'S Internet site at <http://www.bea.doc.gov>. The methodologies described in these papers are subject to periodic improvements that are typically introduced as part of the annual and comprehensive revisions of the NIPA'S; these improvements are described in the SURVEY articles that cover these revisions. "Annual Revision of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts": This series of SURVEY articles, the latest of which was published in the August 1997 issue,* describes the annual NIPA revisions and the improvements in methodology. The most recent comprehensive revision of the NIPA'S is described in the following series of SURVEY articles. "Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: BEA'S New Featured Measures of Output and Prices" (July 1995)* "Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: Recognition of Government Investment and Incorporation of a New Methodology for Calculating Depreciation" (September 1995)* "Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: New and Redesigned Tables" (October 1995)* "Improved Estimates of the National Income and Product Accounts for 1959-95: Results of the Comprehensive Revision" (January/February 1996)* "Completion of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts, 1929-96" (May 1997)* "Updated Summary NIPA Methodologies" (September 1997 SURVEY)* identifies the principal source data and estimating methods that are used to prepare the estimates of gross domestic product (GDP). Availability For the availability of some of these publications, see the inside back cover of this issue. See also the User's Guide to BEA Information: To request a copy, write to the Public Information Office, BE-53, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington DC 20230, call 202-606-9900, or visit BEA'S Internet site at <http://www.bea.doc.gov>. D-76 • Appendixes SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Information on the sources and methods used to prepare the national estimates of personal income, which provide the basis for the State estimates of personal income, can be found in State Personal Income, 1929-93 (1995).* "Gross Domestic Product as a Measure of U.S. Production" (August 1991 SURVEY)* briefly explains the difference between GDP and gross national product. The conceptual basis for the chain-type measures of real output and prices used in the NIPA'S is described in the following SURVEY articles. "Alternative Measures of Change in Real Output and Prices" (April 1992)* "Economic Theory and BEA'S Alternative Quantity and Price Indexes" (April 1992)* "Alternative Measures of Change in Real Output and Prices, Quarterly Estimates for 1959-92" (March 1993)* "Preview of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts: BEA'S New Featured Measures of Output and Prices" (July 1995)* "BEA'S Chain Indexes, Time Series, and Measures of Long-Term Economic Growth" (May 1997)* "Reliability and Accuracy of the Quarterly Estimates of GDP" (October 1993 SURVEY)* evaluates GDP estimates by examining the record of revisions in the quarterly estimates. "A Look at How BEA Presents the NIPA'S" (May 1996 SURVEY)* explains how to locate the NIPA estimates and some of the conventions used in their presentation. Wealth and related estimates "Improved Estimates of Fixed Reproducible Tangible Wealth, 1929-95" (May 1997 SURVEY)* describes the most recent comprehensive revision of the estimates of fixed reproducible tangible wealth. International Balance of payments accounts (BPA'S) The Balance of Payments of the United States: Concepts, Data Sources, and Estimating Procedures (1990)* describes the methodologies used in preparing the estimates in the BPA'S and of the international investment position of the United States. These methodologies are subject to periodic improvements that are typically introduced as part of the annual revisions of the BPA'S. "U.S. International Transactions, Revised Estimates": This series of SURVEY articles, the latest of which was published in the July 1997 issue,* describes the annual BPA revisions and the improvements in methodology. Direct investment The coverage, concepts, definitions, and classifications used in the benchmark surveys of U.S. direct investment abroad and of foreign direct investment in the United States are presented in the publications of the final results of the following benchmark surveys. U.S. Direct Investment Abroad: 1989 Benchmark Survey, Final Results (1992)* Foreign Direct Investment in the United States: 1992 Benchmark Survey, Final Results (1995)* The types of data on direct investment that are collected and published by BEA and the clarifications of the differences between the data sets are presented in the following SURVEY articles. "A Guide to BEA Statistics on U.S. Multinational Companies" (March 1995)* "A Guide to BEA Statistics on Foreign Direct Investment in the United States" (February 1990)* Regional Gross product by industry Personal income "Improved Estimates of Gross Product by Industry, 1959-94" (August 1996 SURVEY)* describes the most recent comprehensive revision of the estimates of gross product by industry. "Gross Product by Industry, 1947-96" (November 1997 SURVEY)* presents the most recent revision to the estimates of gross product by industry and briefly describes changes in methodology. State Personal Income, 1929-93 (1995)* includes a description of the methodology used to prepare the estimates of State personal income. [Also available on the CD-ROM "State Personal Income, 1958-96"] Local Area Personal Income, 1969-92 (1994)* includes a description of the methodology used to prepare the estimates of local area personal income. [Also available on the CD-ROM "Regional Economic Information System, 1969-95"] Input-output accounts "Benchmark Input-Output Accounts for the U.S. Economy, 1992" (November 1997 SURVEY)* describes the preparation of the 1992 input-output accounts and the concepts and methods underlying the U.S. input-output accounts. March 1998 Gross state product "Comprehensive Revision of Gross State Product by Industry, 1977-94" (June 1997 SURVEY)* summarizes the sources and methods for BEA'S estimates of gross state product. 0 ACCESSING BEA INFORMATION BEA's ECONOMIC INFORMATION ON THE INTERNET BEA web site (http://www.bea.doc.gov), access to summary estimates and other information covering all aspects of BEA's work. • Latest figures on GDP, personal income, balance of payments, and other national, regional, and international estimates • Special articles from BEA's monthly SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, featuring: presentations of new and improved data sets descriptions of source data and estimating procedures discussions of statistical research and analysis • Updates on new developments and an e-mail link to BEA STAT-USA web site (http://www.stat-usa.gov), a subscription service that offers detailed data files for BEA's national, regional, and international accounts, a complete electronic version of BEA's monthly SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, timely access to BEA news releases, as well as a host of economic statistics from other Federal agencies. BEA ESTIMATES ON CD-ROM, ON DISKETTE, AND IN PUBLICATIONS CD-ROM products • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS CD-ROMs—All the issues of the SURVEY for 1994, 1995, 1996 and selected articles back to 1987 • Regional Economic Information System (REIS) CD-ROM— Income and employment estimates for 1969-95 for over 3,100 U.S. counties, 330 metropolitan areas, and 172 BEA economic areas; gross state product estimates for 1977-92 and regional projections to 2045 State Personal Income (SPI) CD-ROM—Income and employment estimates for 1969-95 for all States Diskette products Detailed estimates that underlie the national, regional, and international accounts. Publications In addition to the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, BEA publishes comprehensive statistical volumes that also include descriptions of methodology. For more information on BEA programs and products, contact the Public Information Office of the Bureau of Economic Analysis at (202) 606-9900. Need to understand the latest GDP figures? Get details on international trade? Find top States in personal income growth? The SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS provides the broad scope and the statistical detail to keep you informed, each month, about U.S. economic conditions. The SURVEY is the journal of record for many of the headline-making economic statistics used by decision-makers worldwide in business and government. Other highlights include: "IDM MM 1997 ~ vouiME 37 mount "*Jf UUUUULJU SURVEY o/ CURRENT BUSINESS • National Income and Product Accounts • Industry-level GDP m IN THH ISSUE... Completion of the Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Account* i • International Investment Position JLi • Federal Budget Estimates ' • Gross State Product £^ BEA't Chain Indexes, Time Series, and Measures of Long-Tcrm Economic Growth Improved Estirwto of Fixed Reproducible Tangible Wealth, 1929-95 • Balance of Payments titcR **• acoNOMici «*& st«ri«nc« AMowstiuunaH ECONOMIC ANAixu* • Industry Input-Output Tables «.», DBKAft ttnifT Of COMME MmIAU or • Local Area Personal Income "BEA Current and Historical Data"— a statistical section highlighting BEA's national, regional, and international estimates — includes tables and charts ideally suited for use by economic analysts and forecasters. To keep up with the rapidly changing U.S. economy, subscribe to the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS today. Superintendent of Documents Subscriptions Order Form S3 Order Processing Code: Charge your order, m *6121 I It's Easy! 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Box 371954, Pittsburgh, PA 15250-7954 BEA INFORMATION The economic information prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is available in news releases, in publications, on computer diskettes, on CD-ROM'S, and on the Internet. For a description of these products in the free User's Guide to BEA Information* write to the Public Information Office, BE-53, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce* Washington* DC 20230, or call (202) 6069900. The User's Guide and other information are also available on BEA'S home page at httf>://www,bea,docgov» In addition, the following publications are available from the Superintendent of Documents of the Government Printing Office (GPO). To order, write to Superintendent of Documents, P.O. Box 371954, Pittsburgh, PA 15250-7954, call (202) 512-1800 or fax (202) 512-2250. Pay by check to the Superintendent of Documents or charge to a GPO deposit account, to VISA, or to MasterCard. Benchmark Input-Output Accounts of the United States, 1987, (1994) Presents summary and detailed make and use tables for industries and commodities; tables showing commodity- and industry~output-require-ments per dollar of commodity demanded; and tables showing the input-output (r-o) commodity composition of personal consumption expenditures and producers' durable equipment expenditures in the national income and product accounts. Presents concepts and methods used in the 1987 benchmark accounts; concordance beween i-o and 1987 Standard Industrial Classification codes; description of the components of the measures of output, intermediate inputs, and value added; and mathematical derivation of total requirements tables. (468 pages) $29*00, stock no. 003-010-00251-4. Regional Multipliers: A User Handbook for the Regional Input- Output Modeling System (SIMS n), Third Edition, (1997) This handbook describes the five types of RIMS n multipliers that are available for nearly 500 industries and for any county or for any group of counties. It details the information that the users need in order to effectively use the RIMS n multipliers to analyze the economic and industrial impact of public and private projects and programs on State and local areas. The handbook also includes case studies that illustrate the uses of the RIMS n multipliers and a description of the methodology that the Bureau of Economic Analysis uses to estimate the multipliers. (63 pages) $6.00, stock no, 003010-00264—6. State Personal Income, 1929-93. (1995) Presents detailed annual estimates for States and regions of personal income for 1929-93, including estimates of per capita personal income, personal income by major source, and earnings by industry. Also presents annual estimates of disposable personal income and per capita disposable personal income for 1948—93 and quarterly estimates of personal income for 1969—93. Provides information about the sources and methods used to prepare the estimates for 1987-93 and samples of all the detailed tables of personal income and employment that are available for regions, States, counties, and metropolitan areas, (444 pages) $27.00, stock no. 003-010—00257-3, Foreign Direct Investment in the United States: 1992 Benchmark Survey, Final Results, (1995) Presents detailed data on the financial structure and operations of U.S. affiliates of foreign direct investors, on the foreign direct investment position in the United States, and on the balance-of-payments transactions between U.S. affiliates and their foreign parent companies in 1992. Includes data for items, such as employment covered by collective bargaining agreements and merchandise trade by product and country of destination and origin, that are only collected in benchmark surveys. Benchmark surveys are conducted every 5 years and are BEA'S most comprehensive surveys in terms of both the number of companies covered and the amount of information gathered. The data are classified by industry of affiliate and by country of ultimate beneficial owner, and selected data are classified by State. Provides information about the coverage, the concepts and definitions, and the classifications used in the survey. (312 pages) $20,00, stock no, 003-01000259-0, Foreign Direct Investment in the United States: Operations of U.S, Affiliates of Foreign Companies. (1997) Two publications: One presents the revised estimates for 1994, and the other, the preliminary estimates for 1995 from BEA'S annual surveys of the financial structure and operations of nonbank U.S. affiliates of foreign direct investors. The estimates are presented by industry of the U.S* affiliate and by country of the ultimate beneficial owner (UBO) and for selected estimates, by industry of UBO and by State* Preliminary 1995 Estimates (108 pages) $8.50, stock no. 003-010-00268-9; Revised 1994 Estimates (108 pages) $8.50, stock no. 003-010-00267-1. Foreign Direct Investment m the United States; Establishment Data for 1992, (1997) This publication, which presents the results of a project by BEA and the Bureau of the Census, provides the most recently available data on the number, employment, payroll, and shipments or sales of foreign-owned U.S, establishments in more than 800 industries at the Standard Industrial Classification four-digit level and by State and by country of owner. Presents additional information—such as data on value added, employee benefits, hourly wage rates of production workers, and expenditures for plant and equipment—for manufacturing establishments. (364 pages) $28,00, stock no. 003-010-00265-4. Foreign Direct Investment in the United States: Establishment Data for Manufacturing, 1991. (1994) A joint effort by BEA and the Bureau of the Census. Presents the most recently available data for foreign-owned U.S. manufacturing establishments (plants) by detailed industry (up to 459 industries), by State, and by country of investor. Includes data on the number of plants, value added, shipments, employment, total employee compensation, employee benefits, the hourly wage rates of production workers, the cost of materials and energy used, inventories by stage of fabrication, and expenditures for new plant and equipment (220 pages) $14.00, stock no. 003-010-00250—6. U.S. Direct Investment Abroad: 1994 Benchmark Survey, Preliminary Results. (1997) Presents preliminary results from the latest benchmark survey of the worldwide operations of U.S. multinational companies, Contains detailed 1994 data on the operations of U.S* parent companies and their foreign affiliates in 103 tables organized by country and by industry, (140 pages) $14.00, stock no. 003-010-00263-8. U.S. Direct Investment Abroad: Operations of US, Parent Companies and Their Foreign Affiliates, Preliminary 1995 Estimates* (1997) Provides revised results for 1995 from BEA'S annual survey of the worldwide operations of U.S, multinational companies. Contains information on the financial structure and operations of U.S. parent companies and their foreign affiliates. Data are classified by country and industry of affiliate and by industry of U,S. parent, (116 pages) $9.00, stock no. 003010-00270-1. UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OCTICE SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, DC 20402 PERIODICALS POSTAGE AND BEES PAID U,$» GOVERNMENT PRINTING OBEICE OffICIAL BUSINESS USPS PUB. No* 337-790 PENALTY EOJt PRIVATE USE, $300 Schedule of Upcoming BEA News Releases Release Date Subject U.S. International Transactions, 4th quarter 1997 U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, January 1998 Gross Domestic Product, 4th quarter 1997 (final) and Corporate Profits, 4th quarter 1997 Personal Income and Outlays, February 1998 U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, February 1998 State Personal Income, 4th quarter 1997 and Per Capita Personal Income, 1997 (preliminary). Gross Domestic Product, ist quarter 1998 (advance) Mar. 12 * Mar. 19 Mar. 26 Mar. 27 ... ... Apr. 17 Apr. 27 Apr. 30 Personal Income and Outlays, March 1998 Metropolitan Area Personal Income, 1996 U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, March 1998 Gross Domestic Product, ist quarter 1998 (preliminary) and Corporate Profits, ist quarter 1998 (preliminary). Personal Income and Outlays, April 1998 May i May 4 May 20 May 28 Gross State Product, 1993-96 Foreign Investors' Spending to Acquire or Establish U.S. Businesses, 1997 U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, April 1998 U.S. International Transactions, ist quarter 1998 Gross Domestic Product, ist quarter 1998 (final) and Corporate Profits, ist quarter 1998 (revised). Personal Income and Outlays, May 1998 June 2 June 10 June 18 June 18 June 25 June 26 * Joint release by the Bureau of the Census and BEA. For information, call (202) 606-9900, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. May 29