Full text of Survey of Current Business : March 1945
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SURVEY OF URRENT USINESS UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE BUREAU OF FOREIGN AND DOMESTIC COMMERCE Survey of CURRENT BUSINESS MARCH 1945 VOLUME 25, No. 3 Statutory Functions "The Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce • • to foster, promote, and develop the foreign and domestic commerce oj the United States" [Law creating the Bureau, Aug. 23, 1912 \37 Stat. 408].] Contents Page m Department of Commerce Field Service Atlanta 3, Ga., 603 Rhodes Bldg. Boston 9, Mass., 1800 Customhouse. Buffalo 3, N. Y., 242 Federal Bldg. Charleston 3, S. C , Chamber of Commerce 13 iag. PliioaiTA A Til 9C7 T T C pAimtltAiiaa lihicago 4, ill., oo i U« 2>. vuourtnouse. Cincinnati 2, Ohio, Chamber of Commerce* Cleveland 14, Ohio, 750 Union|«Commerce Bldg. Dallas 2, Tex., Chamber of Commerce Bldg, Denver 2, Colo., 566 Customhouse. Detroit 26, Mich., 1018 New Federal Bldg. Houston 14, Tex., 603 Federal Office Bldg. Jacksonville 1, Fla., 425 Federal Bldg. Kansas City 6, Mo., 724 Dwight Bldg. Los Angeles 12, Calif., 1540 U. S. Post Office and Courthouse. Memphis 3, Tenn., 229 Federal Bldg. Minneapolis 1, Minn., 201 Federal Office Bldg. New Orleans 12, La., 408 Maritime Bldg. New York 18, N. Y., 17th Floor, 130 W. 42d St. Philadelphia 2, Pa., 1510 Chestnut St. Pittsburgh 19, Pa., 1013 New Federal Bldg. Portland 4, Oreg., Koom 313, 520 S. W. Morrison St. Richmond 19, Va., Room 2, Mezzanine, 801 E. Broad St. St. Louis 1, Mo., 107 New Federal Bldg. San Francisco 11, Calif., 307 Customhouse. Savannah, Ga., 403 U. S. Post Office and Courthouse Bldg. Seattle 4, Wash., 809 Federal Office Bldg THE BUSINESS SITUATION.... President's Budget Message. •.. HOW CAN B U S I N E S S ANA LY'ftjftliyS MARKETS ? WARTIME CHANGES IN R CONCENTRATION STATISTICAL DATA; New or Revised Series ....#^1$and 20 Monthly Business Statistics... General I n d e x . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . IHSIIIK liftck cover ..\ • * 'v i i O t C — C o n t e n t s of this publication are n o t oppjTfil^lited'and may be reprinted freely. Mention of source will be appreciated. Published by the Department of Commerce, HENRY A. WALLACE, Secretary, and issi of Foreign and Domestic Commerce, Amos E. Taylor, Director. Subscription price of CURRENT BUSINESS, $2; Foreign. $2.75 a year. Single copy, 20 cents. Price of the 1942 Make remittances only to Superintendent of Documents, U. S. Government Printing Offii the Bureau SURVEY OF I$ 50 cents. 25, D. C. The Business Situation By Division of Research and Statistics, Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce ACTIONS months have limited extent the POLICYaffected to a in recentHowever, output of some commodities. they have had little effect upon the total volume of output—which continues at a sustained pace—or upon the proportional distribution of goods as between military and other production. The recent increase of over 100,000 workers in the munitions plants with expanding schedules, together with the genereal acceleration of output in these lines resulting from bringing additional facilities into the operation and overcoming impediments to the material and component flows, is reflected in the sharp increases being reported each month in the output of critical items. This has not resulted in expansion in total munitions output, because of the reductions in required production that are prevalent over important segments, most notably in ships. Among the civilian products, actions have taken the form of arresting declines that have been under way, and of shifting the composition of output so as to get a better balanced production, or to protect the price structure. Among these actions, were the steps taken to improve the textile situation so as to procure increased amounts of some types of fabrics and end products, more particularly certain types of clothing. Under existing conditions, the general business indicators trace the expected pattern—a pattern of stability in the over-all with major shifts in output occurring only in limited areas. This general pattern is consistent with the large percentage increases reported in some lines—for example, in such expedited military programs as tires, cotton duck, critical ammunition and aircraft. No Basic Change. While the general picture is not new, it is significant that recent developments have made so little difference in the general pattern. Nor are these likely to make for much variation in the immediate future, or indeed until such a time when current successes in the major theaters of military operations are reflected in a lessening of the pressures upon the expedited portions of the military programs. The forward move of the Allied western forces to the Rhine was accompanied by announcements that adequate supplies were available at the front for supporting and extending the offensive now under way and which, under the Yalta agreements, will be coordinated with the drive from the East by the Soviet armies to produce a final decision. Meanwhile, every day that passes reduces German output and tips the balance of economic, as well as of military power, more heavily in favor of the Allies. The same is likewise true in the 630255—45 case of Japan whose industries are being gradually brought under the same kind of attack that is currently yielding large dividends in Europe. The movement in employment, potentially the most volatile element in influencing changes in output these days, was typical. While employment in nonagricultural establishments declined between December and January, it reflected primarily the post-Christmas adjustments in sales forces and usual seasonal decreases in some of the nondurable goods manufacturing industries. MuniChart 1.—Current Business Indicators (INDEX, JANUARV 1 O 1944 = 100) INCOME PAYMENTS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) f 05 . . . . . on 1 . . . . . 100 110 FREIGHT CARLOADINGS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 90 I i i I I I I i i I I I I I l I I I I i I i i I FREIGHT CARS UNLOADED FOR EXPORT & 100 120 110 - 1944 1 2 1945 Represents ingots and steel for castings. Represents daily average number of cars for class I, II, and III railroads, including switching and terminal. Sources : Income payments and manufacturers' shipments, U. S. Department of Commerce; steel production, American Iron and Steel Institute ; freight carloadings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System ; freight cars unloaded for export, Association of American Railroads. Indexes either computed or recomputed with January 1944 as base by the U. S. Department of Commerce. tions employment in January remained virtually the same as December. At the same time, the intensive recruitment for plants producing "must" programs resulted in the large increase in employment noted above. As far as manufacturers' supplies, including goods going to civilians, as a whole are concerned, they held even with January, though not so on a daily average basis. The index at the bottom of chart 1, which takes into account changes in working days, shows a drop in both durable and nondurable goods shipments. Over-all production of munitions in January differed little from previous months, with the aggregate change again the net of widely mixed movements. Aircraft, ammunition, and communication and electronic equipment experienced production gains. On the other hand, ships, guns, and combat and motor vehicles output was reduced in response to declining schedules. On the average, January production of critical items with rising programs showed an advance in output of 11 percent over December. As defined by the authorities responsible for munition production, critical items include not only types of equipment that have increasing schedules, but also some for which the demand is urgent but requirements are temporarily below previous peaks. Thus, substantial decreases were also recorded among such programs on the official critical list as tanks and heavy-trucks, but in these cases January schedules were set by the procuring agencies below December. Just as over-all statistics on production do not reveal the extent to which the urgent output needs of the procurement agencies are met, they also do not give a clear picture of the change in flow of munitions and supplies to the armed forces abroad and to the Allied fighting nations. One of the panels of chart 1 reveals the further increase in January of freight cars unloaded for export. The index for January was more than 8 percent higher than December—one-fourth more than at the beginning of last year. Weathe** Retarding Influence. Probably the most important retarding influence on productive activity in January was the weather. The industrial northeastern sector experienced this winter the heaviest snowfall in 26 years, culminating in severe transportation difficulties at the end of January. The effect was to impede railroad movements, particularly in the yards. Consequently those industrial operations closely geared to rail movements of materials and products were affected. Temporary embargoes against carloadings and movements of certain types of commodities were applied in the last week of January and the first week of SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February to the entire northeastern area for the purpose of clearing terminals. Movements of war goods was maintained but other commodities were restricted. Some passenger service was curtailed at the request of the Office of Defense Transportation. Nevertheless carloadings (seasonally adjusted) in January, as shown on the chart, were higher than in December and increased further in February. The rise followed from the fact that in most parts of the country carloadings rose, the adverse experience in the East being the most important exception. Carloading as well as ton-miles in the first two months of the year were, however, below comparable months of 1944. Among the problems created by the severe weather was a shortage of cars, the most severe of the war period, which resulted from the retarded return of empty cars. This was, however, a local situation, as can be seen from the fact that there was no significant change in car surpluses reported for the country as a whole. Steel Production Down. The decline in steel production in January resulted largely from weather conditions, a view confirmed by the sharp rise associated with improved weather in the middle of February. The industry is particularly dependent upon rail movement of products and raw materials both into and within its plants. Heavy cold-weather demand for natural gas, used in the steel industry for heat treating of rolled products, also forced some curtailment of operations. Concurrently, readjustments arising from shifts in production due to the changing composition of steel demand, also was an additional factor in reducing the rate of operation from 93 percent of rated capacity in December to less than 90 percent in the last week of January and the first week of February. The reduction in steel output in the first two months will not necessarily mean a significant decline in metal products manufacture in the first half of this year as compared with the last half of 1944. The loss of steel in January and February, as calculated from the decline since the fourth quarter in the average daily production, is less than 3 percent of the quarterly supply. Not all of this loss will be reflected in reduced final product, since manufacturers can make up part of the loss by withdrawal from inventories. With the high priorities for m i l i t a r y shipments, it is doubtful whether the decline in steel production has materially affected deliveries to plants making munitions. Moreover, with the military and export claims on steel for the second quarter still below that of the third and fourth quarters of 1944, it cannot be expected that steel use for nonmunitions will be curtailed much as compared with the last half of 1944. As a matter of fact, the loss of steel in the last 2 months as compared with the amount expected is not much larger than the reduced military and export requirements in the first half of this year. Steel available for nonmunitions use in the initial half of the year will not be much less than last year. It will, however, be less than earlier expectations based upon reduced military takings. While allocations for civilian use in the second quarter will show a drop, it will represent a spreading over from the first to the succeeding quarter of the relatively high unfilled orders for civilian use. The reduction in output has led to a rise in unfilled orders on the books of the steel mills. The lower allocations in the second quarter are designed to permit the filling of the orders carried over from preceding months. Retail Trade Strong. The flow of supplies to retailers has been sufficient to provide high retail sales for the time of the year without causing much change in the inventories held. Retail sales in January were well above those of the same month in the preceding Chart 2.—Retail Sales and Retailers9 Inventories BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 8 1943 1944 1945 P.O. 45-142 Source : U. S. Department of Commerce. year and on a seasonally adjusted basis were 6 percent above the average for the last half of 1944. While data are not yet available for February on all retail trade, the seasonally adjusted index of department store sales for February advanced over January. More striking is the ability demonstrated by retailers in obtaining goods to support current volumes of sales and at the same time maintain inventories. Chart 2 illustrates that the large volume of retail trade in 1944 resulted in no more than seasonal depletion of the dollar value of inventories. However, when related to sales, inventories are lower than a year ago. It is probable of course that the physical quantities of goods on dealers' shelves are still smaller than a year ago by reason of price increases, shifts in price lines, and upgrading of merchandise. While inventories are far from depleted, they are more broken and spotty. Many items, such as low and medium price textiles, continue to be short. On the whole, the flow of goods is adequate to maintain the consumption standards equivalent to last year, though the pressures cf purchasing power continues strong. March 1945 Potential demand of consumers as measured by income payments held up, showing on a seasonally adjusted basis, a slight rise in January over December. This rise is due in part to the active business in distribution, though it comes in part from a rise in the seasonally adjusted index of farm income. The trend of income payments has been up over the past 4 months as evident from the top panel of chart 1. Manpower Prospects Analysis of the labor situation by the War Manpower Commission and Department of Labor suggests that little change from present conditions is to be expected during the remainder of the initial half of 1945. The expected increase in the labor force resulting from the growth of the population in working ages will be adequate to meet anticipated requirements for military personnel and munitions production while maintaining the number now engaged in other activities. Labor Force Adequate. Tight spots exist in some munitions plants where schedules call for a sharp expansion in output, and these are the major areas of concern at the moment. Also, the continued high rate of turnover of labor makes for a continuous problem of new recruitment and training. The over-all picture can best be seen by a comparison of June 1C45 with June of last year, in order to avoid the complicating effects of seasonal changes in the labor force. Taking into account the increases in the population of working age and the anticipated deaths and retirements, it is expected that the labor force in June 1945 will reach 66.2 million—600,000 more than in June 1944. These additions will, however, be less than the estimated increase in the size of the armed forces over the year period, with the result that the civilian labor force in June will be slightly less than in the same month last year. The analysis referred to above indicates that this decline will appear in employment in agriculture. Changes in Munitions Employment. In terms of the immediate future, the projections envisage a rise cf 200,000 in requirements for nonagricultural employment between December 1944 and the coming June. Aside from shifts in other than munitions employment, due to seasonal and other factors, which in the net balance out, this increase reflects an estimated requirement of 200,000 additional workers in munitions industries in the first half of 1945. Two factors were considered in making the analysis—changes in schedules for individual components of munitions production, and the trend of declining labor requirements for each of these components during the past year. The most important assumption involved in making these estimates is that, aside from manpower, the munitions schedules can be met, a situation which has not prevailed in the past. In addition to delays in obtaining facilities and materials, changes in the design of products, and the adjustments of production March 1945 lines for sudden changes in required rates of output, schedules have frequently included margins to take into account anticipated slippages of production as well as to serve as an incentive to management and labor. For these and other reasons, production has from the beginning of the war not met the production schedules. This does not mean that output has not met anticipations, nor does it mean that the flow of materiel from the factories was short of military requirements. This has been covered in analysis in preceding issues. It is largely because of this relationship of schedules to production, as well as larger increases in the rate of output per worker than was allowed for in future projections that previous halfyearly forecasts of munitions employment requirements have always been in excess of the eventual employment attained. But, even aside from this factor, the estimated increased requirements are relatively small compared with the number now engaged in munitions and even smaller compared with the supply available. Moreover, the total stated requirements in munitions employment estimated for June is 300,000 below the number employed in munitions industries in the same month last year. The above considerations deal only with net change. The rapidly shifting schedules of munitions output present many difficult problems of transferring employees from one industry to another in order to meet requirements. While schedules calling for decreasing production, primarily shipbuilding, will release about 200,000 workers, the increasing segments of the munitions program have a stated requirement of 400,000 additional workers. Illustrative of the degree of shifting that is going on is the change thus far in 1945. From the beginning of the year until the middle of February employment in plants engaged in the production of the more urgent munitions items increased by 110,000. This was offset by declines in other segments so that employment in all munitions plants remained stable. Thus, new hiring in munitions plants with rapidly rising schedules of output will encompass much larger numbers than are indicated by the figures on net change. The channeling of workers released from industries with declining production schedules, to the plants and areas requiring large accessions contain many problems of administration which involve not only decisions on the control of manpower but the coordination of production scheduling in such a fashion as to facilitate the most efficient use of the available labor supply. Requirements of the Armed Forces. The largest demand on the labor force in the first half of this year will be the inductions into the armed forces. Here again the problem is one of total number of inductees that will be drawn in rather than the net change in the strength of the armed forces. This is illustrated in the accompanying chart on accessions to and reparations from the armed forces. The SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS distance between the top line which represents accessions and the bottom line on separations measures for each month the change in the size of the military personnel. Thus the slow down in the rate of growth in our armed strength since the last quarter of 1942 can be seen in the diminishing gap between the two lines. The most rapid expansion took place in the second half of 1942. The subsequent decline in the rate of growth was dominated by the Army's more gradual expansion to its planned strength, which was reached by about the same time as D-day in Europe. Subsequently, the emphasis shifted to securing young men who could be quickly trained and used in combat to replace casualties or separations from the Army for other reasons. The continuation of a net increase in the size of the armed services after the middle of last year came mainly in response to the Chart 3.—The Armed Forces: Accessions and Separations x MILLIONS OF PERSONS 2.0 $A 1.5 - I1 $ \ \ 1 1.0 - .5 - ACCESSIONS V \ \ SEPARATIONS ^—v 1 1 1 1 • 1 1943 , 1. . . 1 1 , 1 1944 D D. 44-706 1 Data are total for the quarter. Sources : U. S. War and Navy Departments. rise in the size of the Navy. Present plans of the Navy call for a further increase from its present strength of 3.8 to 4.0 millions by June. A projection of the two lines on the chart to the middle of this year would show a small rise in the lower line and a somewhat larger increase in the accessions line to take care of the planned expansion in naval personnel. The total gross accessions, however, for the first half of this year will be about the same as the last half of last year—approximately 900,000. In terms of the population, there are still large manpower reserves for the armed forces. Close to 800,000 men are in class 1-A, over bV2 million are in deferred classes, and over 50,000 youths are becoming 18 years of age each month. After deducting an estimated percentage of these that will, on the basis of present standards, be rejected for general military service for physical and other reasons, there will remain at the middle of the year about 4.5 million mer in the ages 18 to 37 capable of entering military service. 3 The size of the reserve naturally narrows down when limited to the younger age groups, as can be seen from the table: Number of men Immediately available (class I-A) 1 for {In millions) induction 0.8 Deferred * 5. 7 In industry and Government Age 18-25 Age 26-29 Age 30-37 In agriculture Age 18-25 Age 26-29 Age 30-37 New registrants from those coming 18 years of age, January to June 2 4.2 .1 .8 3.3 1.5 .3 .3 .8 Total .6 3 7< ! 1 As of January 1, 1945. 2 No adjustment is made for enlistment of 17-year-old males. 3 Detail does not necessarily add to total because of rounding. Source: National Headquarters, Selective Service System, except for estimate of additions between January and June, which is from U. S. Department of Commerce. Adding those in the under 30 ages to the number immediately available for induction provides 2.3 million men. Adjustment for estimated rejections for general military service would leave approximately 1.8 million men under 30 years of age fit for military service at the middle of the year, from which the 900,000 are to be drawn, if limited solely to those already in 1-A and those under 30 years of age. This would leave half of the number for essential civilian occupations, and more if some persons over 30 were inducted. Although the over-all changes in manpower requirements are not very large and the supply is adequate to meet requirements, the gross inductions into the armed forces and the recruitment of labor for the expanding munitions plants none the less mean real problems of adjustment. To minimize the effect of withdrawals for the Army and Navy on the industry and agriculture production, it will be necessary for the high priority requirements to come first. Quick rechanneling of workers released from declining munitions programs will naturally be effective, as will transfers from less essential occupations. Lessening turn-over can give the equivalent of substantial increases, but so far this inand out-migration has continued at high rate. President's Budget Message Budget planning in wartime is always subject to substantial modification by later events because of its close dependence upon the progress of the war. The uncertainty regarding the duration of active hostilities on the several battlefronts makes the receipts and expenditures estimates for the fiscal year 1946 even more tentative than in previous years. The Budget transmitted by the President to the Congress in January is not based upon any explicit assumptions about the end of the war. Like previous SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 Chart 4.—Federal Budget Receipts and Expenditures, Fiscal Years x would be counteracted to some extent by absorption of workers resulting from a cut in overtime work, by increased employment of persons in trades and occupations which have been understaffed during the war, and by the expansion of civilian production utilizing the freed resources. In addition, there would be some voluntary withdrawals of war-induced additions from the labor force. The shrinkage in wage and salary payments, however, would be relatively larger than the contraction in employment, chiefly because of the reduction in overtime pay and the shift to nonwar industries where incomes average less. Should the lower estimate of 60 billlion dollars of war spending prevail, a sizable resumption of civilian production would be possible in many of the areas which have been severely curtailed during the war. Not only would this be possible, it would be necessary to provide for the orderly transfer of workers and for maintaining profitable business operations. The demand for producers' and consumers' durables and for construction will be very large, but how rapidly it can be met will depend upon the shifting of resources. Even with relatively rapid reconversion, however, over-all production volume would be expected to decline significantly because of the anticipated reduction in the length of the work week, the contraction of the labor force, and an inevitable increase in "frictional unemployment." The 70-billion dollar estimate accepted by the President for war expenditures in the coming fiscal period implies some rather significant cutbacks in munitions production. Even a cut of this size would put a substantial premium upon contract termination and reconversion policies effective in sustaining over-all production and employment at adequate levels. The production gap to be filled by increased civilian production would be less than if the cut were 10 billion dollars larger, but BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ! 20 40 — 1942 1943 1945 1944 1946 • EST.- -ACTUAL- D. D. 45-139 Excludes trust accounts and debt transactions, Expenditures include government corporations and credit agencies (net). 2 Total receipts less net appropriation to Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund. Sources : U. S. Treasury Department and The Budget of the United States Government. 1 wartime budgets, it aims to provide for military programs sufficiently large and flexible to meet all demands. Nevertheless, a sizable decline in military expenditures is forecast for the fiscal year 1946. Referring to estimates of war expenditures, under differing assumptions with respect to the progress of the war, ranging from less than 60 to more than 80 billion dollars, the President proposed a 70-billion-dollar total for the purpose of assessing the Government's financial needs in the coming fiscal period. War expenditures in the fiscal year ending June 30, 1945 are estimated at 89 billion dollars. Reductions in War Spending. A falling-off in expenditures is inherent in the nature of the war production program. The President observed that our war construction has now been substantially completed, the Army and Navy and their Air Forces have been supplied with the bulk of their initial equipment, and supply lines to the war fronts have been filled. The production job ahead is essentially one of replenishing equipment and supplies, and of providing the latest in fighting weapons. In addition, we must continue to supply Lend-Lease aid to our Allies and to assist in relieving distress in liberated areas. The 60-80-billion-dollar range cited by the President is significant in that its upper limit is still 9 billion dollars or 10 percent below estimated war spending in the current fiscal year. Furthermore, its mid-point indicates a decline of more than double that amount. Such reductions would be preliminary to much larger cuts after complete cessation of hostilities. War spending at the upper limit of 80 billion dollars in the coming fiscal year would assure income and production close to the record amount in 1944. While the reduction in munitions production would be larger than 10 percent, since military pay and subsistence would not share proportionately in the over-all cut, there would not necessarily be a significant contraction in general business activity and employment. It would permit some reconversion of resources to nonmunitions use. The release of workers from war jobs Table 1.—Federal Receipts, Expenditures and Public Debt, by Fiscal Years l (Billions of dollars) Actual Estimated Item 1940 Net receipts 2 Expenditures, total 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1916 5.4 _._ War activities Interest on public debt Refunds 3 Veterans' pensions and benefits Government corporations and credit agencies (net)4 _. Other Excess of expenditures Public debt at end of year 7.6 12.8 22.3 44.1 45.7 41.3 9.3 13.8 34.2 79.7 95.3 99.7 83.1 1.7 1.0 . 1 .6 6.7 1 1 1 6 28.3 1.3 .1 .6. 75.1 1.8 1 .6 89.7 2.6 .3 .7 89.0 3.8 22 1.3 70.0 4.5 2.7 2.6 .3 5.7 7 4 6 -.4 4.5 -1.5 3.6 -1.2 3.1 2 3.7 3.3 3.9 6.2 21.4 57.4 51.1 54.0 41.8 43.0 49.0 72.4 136.7 201.0 251.8 292.3 1 Excludes trust accounts and debt transactions. Total receipts less net appropriation to Federal old-age and survivors' insurance trust fund. Refunds of customs and taxes, including excess profits tax refund bonds. Net expenditures for the war activities of the Reconstruction Finance Corporation and its subsidiaries are included under "War activities" above. Negative figures indicate excess of receipts. 5 Excess of receipts amounting to $27,000,000. NOTE.—Figures are rounded and will not necessarily add to totals. Source: U. S. Treasury Department and The Budget of the U. S. Government for the Fiscal Year Ending June 30 1946. 2 3 4 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 nevertheless it would call for vigorous action to accelerate reconversion. It is important to note that the reconversion process will not often be simple and automatic, particularly in its early stages. Many of the freed resources will be highly specialized and certain raw materials, equipment, and necessary employee skills may continue in tight supply, despite the munitions cutbacks. Moreover, released workers will not always be located near the areas where expansion in civilian production is possible. Budget Summary. The budget estimates for the fiscal years 1945 and 1946 are contrasted with data for previous years in chart 4 and table 1. Federal expenditures are expected to reach an all-time high of practically 100 billion dollars in the current fiscal period. The drop which is indicated for the fiscal year 1946 reflects the projected decline of 19 billion dollars (under the 70 billion expenditure estimate) in war spending, offset to some extent by estimated increases elsewhere in the budget. The indicated reduction of receipts in that year is largely a consequence of the smaller profits and incomes that will be associated with the anticipated decline in Federal spending. Despite successive increases in tax rates, revenues have never covered as much as half of budget expenditures during any of the war years. The percentage of coverage is estimated at 46 percent in the year ending June 30, 1945, or the same percentage as in the preceding year. With lower war outlays and the continuance of the existing revenue legislation, taxes and other Federal receipts should cover about half of 1946 outlays. Income taxes on individuals and corporations have provided the bulk of the war revenues, accounting for approxi- mately four-fifths of estimated receipts in the current fiscal year. Since these taxes are more responsive to changes in business activity than are other levies, they will become less important relative to total receipts as reductions in war outlays are reflected in lower income and profits—assuming continuance of existing tax rates. This change in the composition of Government receipts is foreshadowed in the estimates for the fiscal year 1946. "Aftermath-of-War" Expenditures. Expenditures for other than war purposes are estimated to increase substantially in the coming months because of the expansion of the "aftermath-of-war" category—veterans' benefits, interest, and tax refunds (chart 5). Interest on the public debt is estimated at 4,500 million dollars in the next fiscal year, assuming continuance of the low interest rates at which the war is being financed. Recommended appropriations for the veterans' programs during the fiscal year 1946 include 1,080 million dollars for pensions, 295 million dollars for the costs of education, readjustment allowances, and loan guarantees, and 1,000 million dollars for losses resulting from the hazards of the war among holders of national service life insurance policies. In addition, 85 million dollars are included in the Public Works program for constructing and reconditioning hospital facilities »for veterans. The Nation's Budget. The Budget Message this year contained an innovation. In connection with the discussion of the problems of demobilization and post-war changes, the President presented a table entitled, "The Government's Budget and the Nation's Budget," showing the income and Chart 5.—Federal Expenditures for Nonwar Activities, Fiscal Years 1 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS I 5 REFUNDS*/ 10 VETERANS' PENSIONS AND BENEFITS INTEREST ON THE PUBLIC DEBT OTHER D.D. 45-140 1945 1946 1942 1943 1944 -« EST. - ACTUAL1 Excludes Government corporations and credit agencies, trust accounts, and debt transactions. 2 Refunds of taxes and customs, including excess profits tax refund bonds. Sources : U. S. Treasury Department and The Budget of the United States Government. 1940 1941 Chart 6.—The G o v e r n m e n t ' s Budget and the Nation's Budget, Calendar Years 1 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 240 200 - 160 - 120 - 40 - 1 Totals of receipts and expenditures are slightly in excess of gross national product because of adjustment items (transfer payments and other specified transactions by governments). For an explanation of these adjustments and a detailed description of the components of the bars, see The Budget of the U. S. Government for the fiscal year ending June 30, 1946, pp. 830-1. 2 Receipts for business equal undistributed profits and reserves. Expenditures represent gross capital formation. 3 Receipts for consumers equal income after personal taxes. Expenditures represent consumption. Source : The Budget of the United States Government. expenditure picture for the economy as a whole in the calendar years 1939 and 1944. The data, adjusted to the more recent gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, are presented in chart 6. The basic information for the Nation's budget is found in the national income and gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce. These estimates make it possible to formulate a picture of receipts and expenditures for the national economy which is analogous to the budgets relied upon by business and government in planning their respective activities. By making available the Nation's budget, the President provided a framework for judging the quantitative aspects of the problem of sustaining consumption and production in the period ahead. The left-hand bars for each year in the chart show the magnitude of the income flow to consumers, business, and government; the right-hand bars depict the corresponding flow of expenditures. The over-all balance in the national accounts is the outgrowth of the dual nature of all financial transactions—expenditures for one economic unit are at the same time receipts for another. Any excess of ex{Conlinued on p. 20) SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 How Can Business Analyze Its Markets? By Louis J. Paradiso FIRMS, both and small, a period ahead BUSINESSface demands will large when effective market once more assert themselves as determinants of sales volume. Then, the business community will require more than ever a basis for evaluating business prospects and for appraising the factors which cause sales and profits to fluctuate. There is no single method or certain technique available for analyzing the markets and their future tendencies. Most approaches to marketing analysis aim to measure by statistical devices the effect of various economic factors on the markets. But along with the statistical and economic results must be brought to bear on the problems the judgment of the businessman, backed by his intimate knowledge of his own field, and by his personal experience with the ways in wrhich the numerous special factors interact upon and affect his operations and results. Importance of General Factors The businessman, however, cannot brush aside the powerful action of the general economic forces which permeate all business activities and which set the tone for all individual business operations. He must be in a position to evaluate the impact of these forces upon his own particular business, on his costs, on his investments, on his profits, so that his decisions may be guided adequately. He must be ready to extend and apply these analyses to his own firm and modify them if necessary on the basis of his individual experience. It is the purpose of this article to describe a method of marketing analysis which the businessman can apply to the operations of his own particular industry or firm. Three examples were selected to illustrate the method because each presents a different problem but together they are representative of three major types of commodities. They are: (1) Sales of retail jewelry stores, (2) paper production in the United States, and (3) demand for West Coast lumber. The businessman will find that he needs little or no technical background to adapt the methods illustrated to his own sphere of operation and with a knowledge of this technique he will have on hand a ready tool for judging very quickly the effect of major economic forces on his sales, profits, costs and other factors pertaining to his business. Guides to Analysis of Market The method which will be described and illustrated is known to technicians as that of correlation analysis. In the NOTE.—Mr. Paradiso is Chief of the Business Statistics Unit, Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce. laymen's language this is simply a procedure for summarizing the experience of the past for the purpose of arriving at a statement of its implications for the future.1 Chart I.—Relation of Manufacturers' Net Profits Before Taxes to Sales 1 20 i 1 1 1 1 I 16 12 - +8 / 4 OS/ +4 0 -4 -x 20 I 40 NOTE- Z."V<f 0 ^ REGRESSION FITTED TO DATA FOR SHOWN !N CHART. 1 i ! 1 60 80 !00 120 MANUFACTURERS' SALES (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 1 140 160 D.D.4S-U6 1 Net profits before taxes represent corporate and noncorporate profits. Source : U. S. Department of Commerce. The businessman is frequently not intested in the past except as it throws light on current and future operations and policies. By analyzing the experience of his firm or industry as it was affected by the economic forces over a period of widely varying business conditions, such as that from 1929 to 1944, he 1 This method of analysis has been used for many decades and has been extensively applied to the study of demand for agricultural products. More recently it has been used as a basis for indicating probable markets at full employment. For applications of the method in this connection see: Markets After the War, Department of Commerce; Tucker, Rufus, "Projections of National Income." Business Record, December 1944-January 1945, National Industrial Conference Board; Mayer, Joseph, Post-war National Income: Its Probable Magnitude, Brookings Institution, Washington, D. C, 1944; National Budgets for Full Employment, National Planning Association, Washington, D. C, 1944, and Fortune Magazine, January 1944. The pioneering study on markets at full employment was published by the National Resources Committee in Patterns of Resource Use, 1938. This study established by means of correlation analysis, 138 demand schedules for 81 industrial segments of the economy and their corresponding manpower requirements, taking into account the productivity trends in each industry. It indicated that in 1938 a consumer income of $88 billion (1936 prices) would be associated with full employment. When this figure is projected to 1946 and translated into the gross national product at 1942 prices, the result is a gross national product of about $165 billion, the estimate published in Markets After the War. will have a more adequate foundation upon which to build and to plan his future operations. The method is illustrated graphically in a very simple fashion in chart 1. The problem in this case is to see how the aggregate sales of manufacturing firms are related to their combined profits before tax deductions. Each point on the chart indicates the level of profits and sales for the specified year. For example, in 1933 sales amounted to 30.6 billion dollars while profits in that year were about 420 million dollars. The point for 1933 on the chart is located by means of these two magnitudes. The other points are similarly located. It will be noticed that for the period 1929-43 as sales increased or decreased, profits also went up or down in a manner so that they tend (for the years before our entry into the war) to lie along a straight line. The line shown in the chart can be obtained in two ways. It can be drawn by inspection in such a way that it represents the line of "best fit" for the points, i. e., the line that best represents the pattern of points. It can also be obtained by a formal statistical procedure, known as the method of least squares.2 Specifically the relationship indicates that when sales change by 10 billion dollars, profits change by 1.7 billion dollars. In other words, the change in profits before taxes constitutes 17 percent of the change in sales of all manufacturing firms. This conclusion applies to the totality of manufacturing firms. The percentage would be more for some firms and less for others. Basic Steps in the Analysis. This example embodies many of the problems inherent in this type of analysis. In general, there are five basic steps to be considered in the study of markets by the use of relationship analysis. 1. The element to be analyzed. The first step is the selection of the element or item to be analyzed. The businessman may be interested in such items as sales, profits, production, prices, costs, and investments. An important consideration is whether the item is to be analyzed as a total or whether a separate analysis should be made of its parts. For example, in the analysis of clothing sales it may prove more fruitful to consider separately women's clothing, men's 2 For those who are interested in the regression or formula for the line obtained by the method of least squares for the years 1929-1941 it is as follows: Profits (billions of dollars) =-6.135+ .171 X sales (billions of dollars). Most elementary text books on statistics describe the method of "least squares," for example, see: Croxton and Cowden, Applied General Statistics, PrenticeHall (1942). March 1945 clothing and children's garments. In most cases this decision can be made on the basis of experience. 2. Selection of related factors. The second step consists in selecting the major factors which directly or indirectly cause changes in the item to be analyzed. This is perhaps the most important consideration of the analysis and requires expert knowledge of the business as well as good judgment. In selecting the major factors the businessman will have to answer many questions. Does industrial activity have any direct or indirect effect on changes in the item to be analyzed? Or, is the more important factor the incomes of consumers? Is it construction activity? Or is it the cash farm income? What part does changes in prices, or wage rates, or labor efficiency play? All of the major factors that influence the fluctuations in the item must be considered and weighed as to their importance in affecting the course of the item under consideration. The businessman knows that there are many factors, sometimes running into the hundreds, that affect his sales or profits or the other elements of his business. Some of these play a major role while others are of minor importance. However, underlying the fluctuations in the items are the broad economic factors which synthesize the effects of the numerous specific factors and which can be used by proxy to represent their combined effects. In general, therefore, one or two, or at most three factors are usually sufficient to explain most of the variations in the item. For example, if the problem is to determine the factors influencing the price of butter, it is a simple matter to list a dozen factors, such as production of butter, its stocks, imports, exports, prices of competing fats, etc., all of which affect the price of butter to a greater or lesser degree. However, the analysis is much more useful if it can be resolved in terms of a few dominant factors which account for most of the fluctuations in the price. The most important consideration in this respect is that the factors finally decided upon must be as nearly causally related to the item as possible and must in any event be logically related. Many spurious analyses have been made and many forecasts have gone sour because this condition was not satisfied. Analyses are often illogical because of the inappropriate choice of factors. For example, a very close correlation has been used by business statisticians between the total volume of freight traffic expressed in ton-miles and the national income in dollars in the past 15 years. That is, whenever the national income increased, freight traffic also rose, and conversely. Yet, despite the close agreement in the fluctuations between these two series, the relation is not a logical one since a physical series has been related to a dollar series. To see that the relation is not logical, let us suppose that the production of the Nation remained exactly the same in volume and composition from one year to the next but that prices of all goods and services increased by a given per SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS centage. As a consequence the national income wrould increase. It would then be concluded from the relationship that the physical volume of freight traffic would also increase, which is contrary to the assumption. A logical relationship would be one between revenues from freight traffic and the national income, or between the volume of freight traffic and the physical volume of national production. 3. Nature of the Relationships.—Having decided on the factors that bear on the problem, the next step consists of determining on the basis of past experience the relation or the connection between the item to be analyzed and the major factors influencing its fluctuations. There are many ways of determining the relations, but the techniques can be classified into two major types—numerical methods and graphical methods. In general, the graphical method is the most satisfactory and, for most businessmen, the easiest to understand. Chart 1 illustrates its application in its simplest form. The method, however, has many advantages and some disadvantages.3 When more than one factor is involved in the relation, considerable experience is required in the proper use of the graphical method. Also there can be a great deal of subjective judgment involved in establishing the relationship. However, no other technique can throw as much light on the nature of the relationship and no marketing analysis should be undertaken without using the graphical approach. The numerical techniques of correlation analysis4 are conditioned in part by the subjective selection of the general formula to be used to express the relationship. For example, one analyst may decide on the use of a straight line while another will select a general curve. Usually, however, the pattern of the points on the chart and a knowledge of the situation will suggest the nature of the relationship. But a clear knowledge of the problem and the industry is most essential in making the final decision. The advantage of the numerical approach is that once the general formula is decided upon any analyst will be able to arrive at the same specific formula 3 The graphic method of correlation analysis most commonly used was originated by Louis H. Bean and published in the Journal of the American Statistical Association, December 1929 and December 1930. Its advantages and disadvantages were discussed in the Quarterly Journal of Economics, Harvard University, May 1939 and February 1940, by J. D. Black, M. Ezekiel and Louis H. Bean and W. Malenbaum. 4 For a clear and comprehensive description of numerical methods of correlation analyses' see M. Ezekiel, Methods of Correlation Analysis, John Wiley and Sons, 1938. For extensive applications of the methods to agricultural commodities see Henry Schultz, Theory and Measurement of Demand, University of Chicago Press (1938). The method used in the analysis published in the Patterns of Resource Use, National Resources Committee, was a combination of numerical and graphical methods; a discussion of the advantages and disadvantages of the two methods is also presented in this study along with a detailed description of the general technique of correlation analysis. from the data by the use of definite mathematical rules. As far as the businessman is concerned, it is not necessary for him to learn any complicated statistical methods. All he needs for most purposes is a simple graph such as that shown in chart 1. If he is interested in deriving a numerical expression of the relationship he can have it done by a technician, or the statistical department of a university or a research agency specializing in such work. 4, Continuity in the Relationships. The next step is the consideration of the continuity in the relationship between the factors and the item being considered. Of special concern to the businessman is the question of whether or not he can use the relation which existed in the past to anticipate the future. Will the same relation continue in the future? No one can give a definite answer to this question, In most cases, where the relation is projected into the future it can be assumed that the continuity will be preserved. Usually a relationship which has held for a long period of years covering depressions and prosperity under different political and social conditions will continue to hold in the future. And an informed estimate based on the past experience through the use of this type of analysis is certainly much better than a guess based on hunches or on a mass of uncorrelated information. Arguments, however, have been set forth against this assumption of continuity. But the general validity of continuity in economic activities is being more widely accepted and certainly underlies all planning done by individuals and corporations. The continuity assumption implies that consumer buying habits do not deviate radically from the pattern of the past, that the income distribution is not materially altered, that businessmen's ways of operating do not undergo sudden and marked changes, that technological innovations are not too abrupt and drastic and that no cataclysmic event (such as a war) occurs to disrupt the general structure and operations of the economy. A simple example will make clear the application of continuity to market analysis. Suppose that on the basis of 20 years' experience a small manufacturer of a special steel product found that his sales conformed with the fluctuations in general industrial activity, so that when the latter increased or decreased by 10 percent his sales went up or down by 15 percent. He would like to use this information as a basis for future policy decisions. But even though he has had 20 years of confirmation of this basic relation he must assume the continuity of the relation in the future. He could not and would not use this fact if he knew, for example, that his customers were going to use substitutes for his product. He obviously would make allowance for this special factor in his calculations. And it is at this very point where the businessman's judgment, experience and intimate knowledge of his field would enable him to make the necessary ad- justments to the results obtained on the basis of past experience. In other words the assumption of continuity does not deny the possibility of discontinuities but is used until there is evidence to the contrary.5 5. The error of forecast.—Finally, account must be taken of the probable error of a forecast which is based on the use of the relationship. The error may arise from two sources. First, estimating an item from a relationship to other factors requires that forecasts be made of these other factors. These forecasts will usually contain errors which will be transmitted to the item that is calculated from them. For example, suppose that a relationship is established between the level of inventories held by a business firm and the volume of production of that firm. It is required to determine the volume of inventories corresponding to a forecast of production. Obviously, if the production forecast is in error, the inventory estimate made from the relation will also be in error. A second source of error arises from the "fit" of the relationship. In the period from which it was determined, the value of the item as calculated from the relation differs from the actual value by an amount which is called the error of estimate. For example, in chart 1, the calculated profits obtained from the line for 1939 is $3.6 billion. This compares with the actual profits in that year of $3.5 billion and represents an error of $0.1 billion or a percentage error of 3 percent when compared with the calculated figure. The average percentage error for the entire period considered is a rough and ready guide to the probable range of error that may be expected in forecasting from a relationship, assuming that it continues to hold in the future. In other words, the likelihood that an error falls outside the range of the average error is fairly small. Thus, in all business forecasting from relationships allowance must be made for these two sources of error and the results, therefore, must be expressed as a range within which the actual values are likely to fall. This method of analysis is for most purposes far superior to the more common procedures that are applied to mark e t i n g problems. The correlation method leads to a more fundamental understanding of the interrelationships in the economy and to a more reliable formulation of these relations. It often brings to light some hitherto unrecognized associations between the item that 5 For an empirical method of testing the continuity of relationships see: Patterns of Resource Use, loc. cit. The method stated briefly is as follows: The relationship was determined for the period not including the three or four most recent years for which the data were available. The continuity of the relationship was then tested for the years which were omitted from the relationship by comparing the values calculated from the formula with the actual values in the subsequent years. The test was positive if the error in these years was within the range of errors obtained in the past period from which the fomula was developed. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Chart 2.—Relation of Jewelry Store Sales to Consumer Income 1.2 1 I 1.0 o -8 " .6 / / ic 4 "ro 8 0 40 NOTE- LINE OF REGRESSION FITTED TO DATA FOR SELECTED YEARS, 1929-44, SHOWN IN CHART. i i 1 ! 60 80 100 120 140 DISPOSABLE INCOME OF INDIVIDUALS (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) D. D. 45-1/5 Source : U. S. Department of Commerce. is being analyzed and the factors to which it is related. As a guide to future trends it serves as a more certain tool of analysis than other techniques. One of the most common of these other methods is that in which ratios are used such as the inventory-sales ratio or income-sales ratio. In many cases such ratios are not meaningful since the true relation may not be one of direct proportionality. Another method frequently used is to forecast an item from an extension of its trend. This method is in most cases very questionable since it involves little understanding of the forces contributing to the short-term fluctuations of the item. With these preliminary remarks in mind let us proceed to illustrate the method to three particular areas of the economy which have evoked considerable interest recently. These examples are typical of the problems which occur in practice. The first is concerned with a consumer durable good whose purchase is greatly affected by changes in consumer incomes, the second with a nondurable good which is widely used, and the third with a durable good used by both consumers and producers. The Case of Jewelry Store Sales In 1944, the retail jewelry trade in the United States became a billion dollar business. When it is considered that sales of jewelry stores were as low as 175 million dollars in 1933 and as recently as 1939 amounted to only 360 million dollars, the billion dollar sales of last year represents a booming business for the trade. It is true that part of the increase of the sales in recent years was accounted for by the Federal excise tax on jewelry purchases, but even if the taxes are excluded from the increase in sales, the war years have been very profitable for the jewelry business. With the favorable events on the military fronts it is natural for jewelers at this time to be wondering about the sales prospects in the post-war period. In March 1945 order to make an intelligent appraisal of the prospects for jewelry store sales it is necessary to determine what are the major economic factors affecting the fluctuations in sales. Every jeweler knows that the most important factor affecting sales for the trade as a whole is the general condition of business. In good times sales and profits are high while in depressed periods they drop to unfavorable levels. Of course, the ability, location and capital of the individual retailer partly determines how the ups and downs of general business affect him personally. However, for the total jewelry trade sales volumes are conditioned by the general level of prosperity. Since this is a problem concerning the demand for a consumer good the most important factor affecting the volume of dollar sales is the income of consumers which in turn is dependent on the course of general business activity. A comparison of the data shown in table on sales of jewelry stores and consumer income for the past 15-year period from 1929 to 1944, indicates that sales went up and down as the incomes increased or decreased. This is clearly brought out in chart 2 which shows the relation between sales of jewelry stores and the disposable income of individuals. The disposable income is the income left to individuals after payment of taxes. The striking fact in this chart is that sales and incomes are intimately related according to a definite pattern. The points tend to fall very closely along a straight line. The line shown in the chart, represents the relationship and was computed by statistical methods. Essentially the same line, 6however, can be drawn in by inspection. The average percentage deviation or error of the actual sales from the corresponding sales as calculated from the straight line for the entire period from 1929 to 1944 is only 5 percent indicating that sales have been almost completely determined by the changes in consumer income. Furthermore, more important 6 The formula representing the line on the chart is given by: Sales of jewelry stores (in millions of dollars) = — 388 +10 X disposable income (in billions of dollars). This implies that whenever consumer incomes change by 10 billion dollars, sales of jewelry stores can be expected to change by 100 million dollars. Table 1.—Sales of Retail Jewelry Stores and Consumer Incomes Year 1929 1933... 1935 1936 . . 1937... 1938.. 1939 . . 1940 1941 . . 1942... 1943 1944 . 1 Sales of jewelry Disposable income of indistores (millions of dollars) viduals i (billions of dollars) 536 175 235 297 347 299 362 426 587 753 964 1,002 79.6 44.5 56.3 65.2 69.2 62.9 67.7 72.9 88.7 110.4 124. 2 137. 5 Represents income payments less tax payments. Source: U. S. Department of Commerce. March 1945 from the point of view of post-war considerations, sales in the war years were not out of line from the pre-war relation. In other words, the tremendous wartime expansion in sales kept pace with expanding incomes in about the same way as would be expected on the basis of the pre-war experience. Another striking point shown by the relation is that sales of jewelry stores are very sensitive to changes in consumer income. For example, from 1933 to 1937 consumer incomes increased by 55 percent, whereas jewelry store sales increased by 100 percent, or almost double the relative increase in income. In general, on the basis of this past relation it can be shown that on the average a change of 10 percent in disposable income was associated with nearly a 20 percent change in sales.7 This is an important conclusion for the post-war business8 of jewelers. It means that when consumer income is high and increasing, jewelry stores will gain tremendously since their sales increase in greater proportion to the rise in income. On the other hand, jewelers are at a disadvantage relative to other retailers when incomes and employment shrink since their sales drop more precipitously than the relative decline in income. Indeed, as shown in a previous study 8 jewelry stores stand at the top of the list of major retail outlets when classified according to the response in sales to a change in consumer income. Jewelers will find many uses for these results. A particular jeweler can compare, his sales with total sales for the trade. If he finds, for example, that his share of total national business has been in the same proportion over the years, then the conclusions stated above would apply to his case. If, on the other hand, he was doing better or worse than the trade as a whole, then he would modify the results accordingly. For the total jewelry business, an important application is the appraisal of post-war prospects. The record of the past provides the basis for gauging the probable range of the post-war volume of jewelry store sales. Since sales have been related to income it is necessary to determine the prospects for income. This, of course, cannot be done precisely but a probable range may serve as a guide. If there is relatively full employment after the war the disposable income of consumers is estimated at approximately 130 billion dollars at the present level of wage and tax rates. Even if this high level is not achieved there is reason to believe that the income would not fall to disastrously low levels. Deferred demands for consumer and producer goods will be great because of wartime shortages and these will be backed up by a substantial volume of individual savings and business savings which can make them effective. Furthermore, our social insurance system, by 7 This result can be obtained by plotting a chart similar to chart 2 except that instead of arithmetic scales, logarithmic scales are used. 8 "Retail Sales and Consumer Incomes", SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, October 1944. Digitized for630255—45 FRASER 2 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS providing unemployment insurance and old-age pensions, will act as a brake on declining incomes. Finally, business and government are laying plans for maintaining a high level of economic activity after the war. This suggests that a business firm can figure limits of, say, from 100 billion dollars to 130 billion for purposes of calculating possibilities, and use its own forecasting to fix the probable total. For jewelers, this range of income can be translated into the corresponding volume of sales on the basis of the relationship shown in chart 2. The estimates for this range are given in the table. Post-War Sales of Jewelry Stores in Rela tion to Consumer Income Estimated sales of jewel ry stores 1 (millions of dollars') i Since the average percentage error of the formula was 5 percent, an allowance for a probable error of about this magnitude up or down must be made in these estimates. At each of these levels of income sales are considerably above the 1939 volume. On the other hand, unless relatively full employment is achieved sales will be substantially below the 1-billion-dollar sales of 1944. Because of probable reduction or elimination of excise taxes and also because lower priced merchandise will be available in larger amounts, the quantity of merchandise represented by these sales will compare favorably or even exceed the quantity distributed by the trade in any of the war years. The conclusion is that jewelers will have good business in the post-war years, provided income is maintained reasonably well. Jewelers should not rely on a boost in sales arising from pentup demands. The volume of the deferred demand will be filled in fairly short order. For example, the demands for other types of durable goods, such as automobiles and refrigerators, will be satisfied in part of the accumulated savings of individuals. But the satisfaction of these demands should have little or no effect on the ability of consumers to purchase the jewelry they would demand at the levels of income which will prevail in the post-war years. It is expected that the usual relation will not be altered in the post-war period as a result of the pressing demand for other types of durable goods. The Case of Paper Production One of the most important wartime deficiencies in supply has developed in paper and paperboard. Despite record production of paper during the war years, the supply has not met combined military and civilian requirements. War demands have been rising at a rapid pace since Pearl Harbor and in 1944 accounted for about two-fifths of the total paper 9 production. At the same time civilian demands rose and these had to be curbed. Producers and consumers of paper are vitally interested in the supply-demand problem not only in the immediate postwar years but also for the longer run. This is so because it involves a natural resource both here and abroad. It is not the purpose of this section to analyze these various aspects of the paper situation since the Department has already published an extensive study on the prospects of the paper and wood pulp industry.9 Rather, this discussion will be confined to describing a method of approach which the businessman can use to determine and evaluate the major factors associated with fluctuations in the output of paper. In practice the businessman is interested in estimating consumption needs which he then adjusts for exports, imports and changes in stocks to arrive at the production estimates. However, the approach in this example is to evaluate the factors that affect total production directly. Actually, individual producers and consumers are less interested in the total than in analyses of the output of specific types of paper such as newsprint, book paper, wrapping paper, tissue paper, and container board. Similar methods, however, can be applied in each of these cases. The basic problem is to determine and test the effect of general economic factors on production and consumption of specific types of paper. For certain types—fine paper, for example—the effect of such specific factors as changes in its price might also be considered. Furthermore, the analysis may be more complex requiring such considerations as technological changes and substitutions of one type of paper for another. But in any event the procedure in these cases would be similar to that which is described below for total paper production. Because paper is widely used throughout all segments of the economy, it seems reasonable to assume that changes in its output depend primarily on fluctuations in general economic activity. This is generally the case. Chart 3 shows the relation between total paper production (including paperboard) and the gross national product stated in terms of constant (i. e. 1940) dollars. The data upon which the chart is based are shown in table 2. The gross national product is a measure of total annual output of goods and services in the United States. It represents the output for business use, for consumer use, and for Government use. When stated in terms of dollars for a period or year such as is indicated in the chart (1940 dollars), it is equivalent to eliminating from the current dollar totals the effect of price variations over the period,10 resulting in a measure of changes in the physical quantity of total production. 9 The World's Paper and Wood Pulp Industry Before and After V-E Day, Industrial Series No. 14, Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce, Department of Commerce. 10 For a further discussion of this point see the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, February 1945, "The Business Situation," pp. 2-4. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 10 Chart 3.—Relation of Paper Production to the Gross National Product 20 1 1 1 I 1 / 18 to o '42 '43 / o (0 *4o/ 14 o •7 l '37 / o 12 - As- Q O '35J •'29 or CL f'30 10 _ '33 8 - 40 k _ LINE OF REGRESSION FITTED TO DATA 1929-41. , NOTE.- - T'32 I \ I 1 60 80 100 120 140 160 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (BILLIONS OF 1940 DOLLARS) 180 D. D. 45-130 1 Paper production includes paperboard, newsprint, wrapping, book, tissues, and all other paper. Sources : Facts for Industry, War Production Board, and U. S. Department of Commerce. The chart clearly shows that from 1929 to 1941, the points representing the level of paper production and gross national product for each year fall within a welldefined pattern—pretty much along the straight line shown. In two years only, 1929 and 1933, is there marked deviation from the straight line—6 percent and 9 percent, respectively. In all other years the points cluster very closely about the line, the average percentage deviation for the entire period being only 2.5 percent. A somewhat different analysis yields a relationship which is even better than this. The bulk of paper is consumed by the nondurable goods industries and the output of paper is much more closely related to the activity of these industries. Indeed, part of the explanation of the large discrepancy in 1933 shown in the chart is that production of nondurable goods industries rose very sharply from 1932 to 1933 whereas the increase in gross national product was relatively small. The relation between total paper production and the Federal Reserve Board's index of nondurable goods production gives a very close "fit" for all of the years and results in an average percentage deviation for the entire period of only 1.5 percent, and in each year the deviation is less than 3.5 percent. However, while this relation is better, it has a disadvantage in certain applica- tions. For marketing analysis a major use of the relationship is to calculate paper production from a predetermined estimate of the factors to which it is related. In order to use the relation to nondurable goods production, therefore, it is necessary to estimate the production prospects for each of the components of the nondurable goods index. These include such industries as food, textiles, leather and products, petroleum, chemicals, and printing and publishing. To estimate with any degree of reliability the prospects for each of these industries requires an investigation of the specific factors of supply and demand in each case. On the other hand, the prospects for the gross national product can be determined from general economic considerations. Moreover, the likelihood of making (or obtaining it elsewhere because many groups make such projections) a more accurate forecast of gross national product is greater than that of forecasting the nondurable goods group from the combined estimates for the individual industries of the group.11 This 11 The nondurable goods index can be estimated by relating it to the index of total industrial production which in turn can be related to the gross national product. Each of these steps, however, involve errors of estimation which makes the direct approach indicated above more desirable. March 1945 problem of forecasting the factors used in a relationship is an important consideration in many applications of this type of relationships. The line of relationship shown in chart 3 indicates that a change of 10 billion dollars in the gross national product is associated with an average change in the production of paper amounting to 1.6 million short tons.12 Another formulation which is useful to keep in mind is that a change of 10 percent in the gross national product would be expected to result in a relative change of the same magnitude—10 percent—in the output of paper.13 Note that the response is much less for paper than for jewelry. This latter result should be of special interest to the producers in the industry. It definitely ties in the activity of the industry as a whole to national activity. If national production falls, past experience indicates that total paper production will fall in the same proportion. Conversely, if the Nation is prosperous the paper industry will enjoy a correspondingly prosperous condition. These remarks apply to the industry as a whole and a particular producer may do better or worse than the industry, but in general, the tone of his activity will be conditioned by the national situation. It may be noted that unlike the jewelry store sales shown in chart 2, the points for the war years 1942, 1943 and 1944 fall considerably below the straight line and suggest the magnitude of the deficiency of output of paper in relation to demand in these years. On the basis of past experience and assuming the existence of the capacity and resources to produce paper, it would have been reasonable to expect the output of total paper in these 3 years to amount to 20 million short tons, 24 millions and 25 millions, respectively. In other words, therefore, a discrepancy of 3 million short tons in 1942, 7 millions in 1943 and 8 millions in 1944 32 The regression equation for the line based on the years 1921-1941 is as follows: Paper production (in millions short tons) =1.58 x gross national product (in billions of 1940 dollars)—1.0. 13 This is obtained from a straight line regression in which the logarithms of the data for paper production and gross national product are used. Table 2.—Paper Production and Gross National Product Paper production l (millions of short tons) Year 1929 1980 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 193G 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 . . __ . . 11.1 10 2 94 8.0 9.2 9.2 10.5 12.0 12.8 11.4 13. 5 14.5 17.3 17. 0 the Gross national product (billions of 1940 dollars) 81.3 71.0 66.4 56.9 59.4 66.8 72.3 82.6 85.6 80.1 89.3 97.1 114.8 132.9 157. 8 166. 5 1 Includes paperboard, newsprint, wrapping paper, book paper, tissue paper, and all other paper. Source: U. S. r Department of Commerce. March 1945 from the actual production would have been indicated. These deficits, however, should not be construed to mean that the demands not met during the war will appear in the form of demand at a later date. Using again the range of the gross national product in 1940 dollars of between 110 and 140 billion dollars for illustrative purposes, paper production would be between 17 million and 22 million short tons. The former figure is almost equal to peak production of the war period whereas the latter is far above. Thus, if the economy operates at a reasonably high level in the postwar years, the demands for paper will be sufficiently large to absorb the existing capacity, and at the full employment volume more capacity would be required. A more extended discussion of the implications of the relation to post-war paper requirements has been given in a recent publication of the Department mentioned above. The Case of West Coast Lumber The war years have been very prosperous ones for the West Coast lumber industry despite many difficulties. The total value of domestic sales of West Coast lumber increased from 126 million dollars in 1939 to 312 million in 1943. However, a substantial part of this increase in sales was due to higher prices, the average price in 1943 being almost twice that of 1939. Analysis of the markets for this industry is somewhat more complex than is the case in the two previous illustrations. Changes in the total shipments of West Coast lumber do not bear too close a relation to general business activity nor to construction activity. It is necessary to revise the procedure employed in the previous examples and analyze the West Coast lumber by uses rather than as a total. Consequently, this illustration will round out the presentation with a modification of the technique. Uses of Lumber. Since 1929 divergent trends have been apparent in the proportion of West Coast lumber that was consumed in building and construction as against the other Uses of lumber. In 1929, shipments for building and construction constituted 59 percent of total shipments and by 1940 this proportion had risen to 82 percent. Thus, shipments of West Coast lumber for industrial uses, including uses for boxes and crates, by fabricating industries and in railroad maintenance showed a sharp downward trend in relation to the total during the thirties. This movement is clearly evident from the data in table 3. Because of these divergent trends, the analysis will be made in two parts, namely, the factors that affect shipments of lumber destined for building and construction and those for industrial uses. Building and Construction Shipments. In general, the physical volume of lumber shipped for use in building and construction depends on the level of the national income adjusted for price changes, that is, the "real" national income. The question might arise at this SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Chart 4.—Relation of West Coast Shipments of Lumber for Construction to National Income 1 1 8 / '40 6 >29 - / 7 W A'37 /'30 A: 'ym'35 '33 A'32 2 9 "34 NOTE.- LINE OF REGRESSION FITTED TO DATA, 1929-41. 0 1 20 1 ! 40 60 80 100 NATIONAL INCOME (BILLIONS OF 1935-39 DOLLARS) D. C: 45-134 1 Excludes shipments for export. The year 1934 is low because of longshoremen strike. Sources: West Coast Lumbermen's Association and U. S. Department of Commerce. point as to why the national income is used in this case instead of the disposable income or the gross national product. Usually the disposable income is much more closely related to the demand for a product which is primarily for consumer use. The gross national product which is a measure of national production at market prices is generally applicable to production of a commodity which is for both consumer and producer use. The national income, which differs from the gross national product by the exclusion from the latter of business taxes, depreciation charges and other reserves, is usually much more closely related to the demand or expenditures made for a product by both producers and consumers. Chart 4 shows the relation and indicates that in the peacetime period 1929 to 1941, there was a close parallel between the fluctuations in shipments and changes in the "real" national income. Stated briefly the relation indicates that on the average a change of 10 billion dollars in the "real" national income 11 (expressed in terms of 1935-39 dollars) was associated with a change of 1,070 millions of board feet. It may be noted that deliveries in 1934 were abnormally low relative to the expectations on the basis of the national income. This is explained by the curtailment in shipments resulting from the 3-months' longshoremen's strike on the West Coast. The graphical analysis brings out vividly the fact that 1934 reflected a special and temporary condition in the industry. Such unusual variations are sometimes obscured by the use of numerical methods alone and this case emphasizes an important advantage of the graphical presentation. In deriving the line of relation shown in the chart, little weight was given to the 1934 observation. For the other years the straight line describes the position of the points very well. The average percentage deviation for the entire period (excluding 1934) is only 3.6 percent, which means that estimates of lumber shipments calculated from the relationship could be expected on the average to deviate from the actual experience by less than 4 percent.14 Chart 5 shows the shipments as calculated from the line of relationship for the years 1929-1941 compared with the actual shipments for the same period, and clearly indicates the reliability of the relation for estimating purposes. Shipments of West Coast lumber for building and construction depends, therefore, on national activity as measured by "real" national income. Indeed, shipments are extremely sensitive to changes in national activity as evidenced by the fact that the peacetime experience since 1929 indicates that a change of 10 percent in the "real" national income was associated with a change of 20 percent in shipments. For estimating the probable volume of shipments of West Coast lumber in the post-war years, this analysis constitutes only a first step. In addition to income, shipments will also be affected in the 14 The equation of the line of relationship determined by the method of least squares is: Shipments for building and construction (millions board feet) = —2033 + 106.8 Xnational income (billions of 1935-39 dollars). Table 3.—West Coast Lumber Domestic Shipments and Nat tonal Production Lumber shipments (million 5 of board feetV Year Total 2 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1 1 2 8, 296 6,410 4,648 3,006 3,709 3,284 4,538 5, 945 6,450 5,307 6. 520 7,281 8,639 For build ins and construction 3 5, 840 4, 211 3.407 2, 264 2,963 2,479 3,689 4, 905 5, 225 4,617 5,652 6 320 7,499 For industrial uses 4 2, 456 2. 200 1, 241 742 746 805 849 1,040 1,225 690 874 ?Sl 1, 140 Real national Industrial income 5 production 6 (billions of (1935-39= 1935-39 dol100) lars) 68.0 57.9 50.9 41.6 45.7 50.5 56.0 65. 2 69. 0 64.1 70.8 77.4 91.5 110 91 75 58 69 75 87 103 113 89 109 125 162 Excluding exports. Source: West Coast Lumbermen's Association. s Obtained from percent distribution of consumption of West Coast. Lumber in West Coast Lumber Fact*, West Coast Lumbermen's Association, p. 18. * Includes boxes and crates, fabricating and railroad consumption. • "Department of Commerce, dollar estimates adjusted for price chances. 5 6 Board of Governors of Federal Reserve System, includes mining and manufacturing. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 12 immediate post-war years by the deferred demands for building and construction, by demands from returning veterans many of whom will be in the market for new houses and by additional demands for housing arising from workers shifting back from war to peacetime activities. Looking beyond the transition period, the direction and rate of construction activity must also be considered and, while the level of the national income is likely to be the dominant factor in demand for West Coast lumber, estimates based on forecasts of the volume of income must be modified upward should a construction boom develop. Here we have an instance where deferred demand is real and will influence post-war trends. Shipments for Industrial Use. As indicated above, the proportion of shipments for boxing and crating, for fabricating industries, and for railroad maintenance and repairs steadily declined in relation to the total shipments since 1939. Chief factors accounting for the downtrend were the use of substitute materials for lumber and increasing industrial purchases of lumber from other areas. These shipments are destined for uses which are directly connected with the volume of industrial activity. The relation between the level of shipments of lumber for industrial uses and industrial activity is shown in the upper section of chart 6. The index of industrial production of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is used to measure changes in manufacturing and mining activity. Two observations are at once obvious from the chart. First, there is evidently a tendency for shipments of lumber for industrial uses to increase as the output of industrial products rise and to decrease with a fall in total production. The line AB indicates this average relation. Chart 5.—West Coast Shipments of Lumber for Construction 1 BILLIONS OF BOARD FEET 8 6 CALCULATED J ' /f 4 2 > 1 - 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1929 '30 '31 '32 '33 '34 '35 '36 '37 "38 '39 '40 '4i 0 0 0. 45-133 1 Excludes shipments for export. The year 1934 is low because of longshoremen strike. 2 See chart 4 for the relationship used to obtain calculated shipments. Sources: West Coast Lumbermen's Association and U. S. Department of Commerce. March 1945 Chart 6.—Relation of West Coast Shipments of Lumber for Industrial Use to Industrial Production 1 1 B RELATION TO INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION ^ ^ •'30 a - - *>3I I 3 9 '32 I 60 40 369 '35 9 38 O >39 •'40 NOTE.- LINE OF REGRESSION "AB" FITTED TO DATA, I929-4L I 1 1 1 80 100 120 140 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (INDEX, 1935-39 = 100) 1 180 160 NET TREND CQ < <S) UJ (/) UJ UJ UL o m NOTE.- LINE OF REGRESSION "CD' FITTED TO DATA, 1929-41. UJ Q 1929 1930 1 I 1 -2 1931 1932 1 1 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1 \ 1938 1939 I 1940 1941 D. 0. 45-138 Excludes shipments for export. Lumber shipments for industrial use include boxing, crating, fabricating, and railroad. The year 1934 is low because of longshoremen strike. Sources : West Coast Lumbermen's Association, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and U. S. Department of Commerce. In numerical terms the tie-up with industrial production may be stated as follows: A change of 10 points in the index of production was reflected in a change of 200 million board feet in lumber shipments, provided all other factors affecting shipments remained the same. However, through the years, as indicated previously, other factors were operating which resulted in lowering the relative position of lumber used for industrial purposes. This brings us to the second observation concerning the pattern of points on the chart, namely that relative to industrial production the shipments showed a declining trend over the period under consideration. For example, the index of industrial production was at about the same level in 1929, 1937, and 1939 and yet lumber shipments for industrial use declined progressively from 2.5 billion board feet in 1929, to 1.2 billion in 1937 and to 0.9 billion in 1939. The net downward trend in shipments—net because it is determined after allowing for the influence of the change in industrial production—is shown in the lower panel of chart 6. The points in this chart are determined very simply by plotting the deviation of the shipments for each year from the corresponding reading for the year from the line AB in the panel above. For example in 1929, the actual shipments were 2.5 billion board feet; the shipments that could have been expected on the basis of the straight line AB in that year would amount to 1.4 billion board feet (the shipments read on the vertical scale from the point on the line corresponding to the index of industrial production of 110 in 1929). Thus, the deviation in 1929 is 2.5 less 1.4 or 1.1 billion board feet, which is the amount shown for the year 1929 in the lower panel of the chart. Readings for other years are determined in a similar manner. The trend line CD is then determined by inspection, or both lines AB and CD can be determined by the use of numerical methods.15 15 The regression formula for the period 1929-41 is given by: Shipments for industrial use (in millions of board feet) = — 812.7 -171.44 (Year—1935) +20.17 X index of industrial production (1935-39=100). To calculate the value for 1929, when the index of industrial production was 110, the procedure is as follows: Shipments=812.7-171.44X (1929-1935) +20.17X110= —812.7 -171.44 X ( - 6 ) +2218.7=-812.7+1028.6 + 2218.7=2.43 billion board feet, this compares with the actual shipments of 2.45 billion board feet in 1929, indicating a close agreement for that year. March 1945 The trend indicates that on the average, shipments tended to decline by almost 200 million board feet per year if all other factors had remained the same. In other words, this loss in shipments could be expected to occur on the average from one year to the next if no change were to occur in the volume of industrial production. A word of caution is necessary in using the extension of the trend CD in future years. Since this trend presumably represents the combined effects of many factors, its extension to post-war years should be made with due consideration given to the various factors other than industrial production that affect it in shipments of lumber for industrial use. The factors that determine the net trend may not operate in the same manner after the war. As a consequence, the trend may flatten out or even reverse itself. Thus, the judgment of those who have an intimate knowledge of the industry is most essential in the proper use of the relationship for post-war projections. Applications of the Method The method illustrated in the foregoing examples has wide applications to practically every aspect of economic activity, by industries, by firms and by regions. It is employed in analyzing stock prices, commodity prices, interest rates and wage rates. It is used to determine conversion factors in industrial operations, to estimate manpower requirements, to determine cost-price relations and in profits analyses. This method is applied in problems of investment, in establishing inventorysales relationships and in the analysis of imports and exports. It is widely resorted to in deriving consumption relationships, measures of demand and price elasticities and in investigations in the field of taxation. It is used in the determination of labor efficiency, raw material requirements and in problems of overhead costs. In fact, this technique is indispensable to all types of marketing analysis whenever the experience of the past can be utilized. However, because the method is widely applicable it emphasizes a necessary requirement in its application, namely, that it must be used in a discriminating and cautious manner. Indeed, since the method is used to obtain results which may serve as a basis for business policy and even national policy, the greatest care must be taken in the way it is applied and particularly in the interpretation of the results. Considerable thought, for example, must be given to the characteristics of the period covered in the analysis, the logical association of the factors and the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS nature and reliability of the relationships. There are many technical problems in the analysis of economic time series which are yet unsolved and even the best of technicians have been misled in the interpretation of such analyses. This technique is an aid to, and not a substitute for, analytical application and judgment. The question of interpreting and applying the results is of especial importance. The analyses are used in many cases for forecasting purposes. However, great caution must be used in projecting a relationship far beyond the range of the actual data since there is no experience to indicate that a particular relationship such as a straight line would continue to be a straight line far beyond the range of actual experience. In other words, the error of a forecast becomes magnified progressively with the distance from the actual events. For example, the current practice is to estimate the probable markets that would correspond to full employment in some future year. All of these estimates must be qualified because they are estimated from data falling far beyond the range of actual experience and represent projections at much higher levels of economic activity than have ever prevailed in peacetime periods. The probable error of such projections, therefore, can be large. Special care must be taken to avoid drawing inferences which are not implied in the analysis. Frequently, conclusions are drawn which may not be applicable to a more general or to a drastically changed condition. For example, analysts have found from a relationship of steel consumption to industrial activity and the level of steel 13 prices that the price elasticity is practically zero. So long as the fluctuations in steel prices do not differ very much from past experience this conclusion is valid. However, no one can say precisely by how much steel consumption would be affected if, for example, steel prices were reduced or increased by two-thirds from the average of the past 20 years, a change which is not within the range of their past fluctuations. These methods can be applied more extensively to marketing analysis by businessmen than has been the case in the past. The benefits to be derived from such studies are real and will pay dividents. Furthermore, it will aid the businessman to recognize, in quantitative aspects, the relation of particular business lines to the economy as a whole. This relationship is definite, and so the individual businessman has a large stake in programs and policies designed to achieve high-level national sales and output. Therefore, this suggests a twofold approach. First, since there is no substitute for individual initiative and effectiveness in determining the results of a business venture, intelligent forehandedness on the part of each businessman requires a thorough knowledge of the general economic forces which influence the demand for his product. Second, with recognition of these general forces will come a sympathetic approach to the difficult problems and, as an individual member of the national community, the American businessman must share the responsibility of solving these problems if high-level sales and production are to be achieved and maintained as a peacetime norm. New or Revised Series Dairy Products: Revisions in 1943 Production Data for Page S-25 [Thousands of pounds] Cheese Month Condensed milk Butter Total American Case goods Bulk goods Evaporated milk Utilization of milk in manufactured dairy products January February March April May June July August September October November December 122,661 120,089 140,218 149, 254 186, 204 200,896 180,952 151,021 125, 366 106,985 93,042 97,100 60, 245 61,211 77, 225 88,185 114,028 121, 741 107, 352 94, 444 83,815 70,989 56, 711 59, 685 44, 716 45, 890 57, 333 66,599 90,795 100,132 87, 333 75, 678 64,670 51,783 39, 415 40, 745 8,009 8,431 9,452 11,021 11, 698 12,429 10, 478 10,094 9,440 9,910 8,393 8,589 21,196 21, 364 27,627 34,921 49,671 56,453 43, 472 34,859 27,790 19,043 15, 538 21, 553 202,144 208, 915 251,464 285, 306 371, 455 381, 363 331,738 275,688 233,200 189,732 155,009 171, 260 3,644 3,610 4,302 4,677 5,900 6,316 5,619 4,736 4,011 3,403 2,891 3,066 Monthly average 139,482 82, 969 63, 757 9,829 31,124 254, 773 4,348 Source: Data are compiled by the U. S. Department of Agriculture, Bureau of Agricultural Economics, and represent final revisions. 14 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 Wartime Changes in Regional Concentration By Elmer C. Bratt INCREASE in employment and T HE WARTIME production has been accompanied by much shifting about on the part of the civilian population. These movements have been dictated by a variety of considerations, but most notably by the need to add workers in the manufacture of war munitions. Nine million, or almost one-fourth of the total number of civilian nonagricultural employees, are now engaged in munitions manufacture. This compares with 3 million employees in factories producing similar or related products before the war, when the output went almost entirely for civilian use. This article deals with the regional readjustment which will accompany industrial readjustment in moving away from war production. The necessity to maximize war production has involved the use of practically all existing facilities in all parts of the country as well as the construction of many new facilities. In many cases new facilities were best located in areas with high industrial development—expanding shipbuilding centers, adapting existing plants to the production of aircraft or aircraft parts, rounding out capacity in steel plants. Some completely new facilities were located in relatively undeveloped industrial areas such as Wichita, Oklahoma City, and Dallas. Local problems of post-war readjustment and reernployment have been created by the growth of industrial areas, particularly because many of them reflect expansion of industries with relatively poor possibilities of conversion to peacetime production. Moving about will be inevitable at the end of the war. The resulting personal problems may not be softened by the knowledge of a waiting job which favored the wartime migration. These facts tend to suggest to many that there may be widespread unemployment after the war in some areas at the same time that there are actual labor shortages elsewhere. Does the wartime migration warrant the conclusion that the mobility or lack of mobility of labor will have an important bearing on the total amount of unemployment for the country as a whole after the war? Or is postwar reemployment a national problem which must be solved, not by moving people about, but in terms of a national output far above the best pre-war year and distributed proportionately over the major geographic areas? NOTE.—Mr. Bratt is a member of the National Economics Unit, Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce. The method used to answer these questions is a study of the change in the distribution of nonagricultural employment from 1939 to May 1944. Agricultural employment is omitted because of its inherent stability and the absence of reliable estimates on the change in such employment by regions. Employment change is superior to population in that it takes account of the influence of relative employment of the population as well as of its movement. No direct measurement of the regional differences in industrial activity is equally representative. Increased concentration as used in this article means an increase in the percentage of the country's nonagricultural employees in a given area. Concentration is measured relative to the country as a whole. Increase in employment produced an increase in concentration when the rate of increase in an area exceeded that of the Nation. The Increase in Concentration The comparative stability of the distribution of total nonagricultural employment during the war is indicated by chart I.1 The States where the 1944 percentages are above 1939 represent the areas of increased concentration. In general, however, the 1944 and 1939 lines closely parallel each other. The 20 States which have increased their proportion of the Nation's nonagricultural employment account for 3.6 percent more of the national total now than in 1939. This increase in concentration is necessarily offset by the other States whose proportion has been reduced by 3.6 percent of the national total. These 20 States now employ 1.4 million more workers than they would have if the geographical distribution had not changed since 1939. Ninety-six percent of the 1.4 million workers are employed in 14 States where the rise in relative 1 The Bureau of Labor Statistics state distribution for total manufacturing and nonagricultural employees is used in this study with these adjustments: (1) Employment in Government-shipbuilding plants and arsenals is subtracted from nonmanufacturing and added to manufacturing to derive a more comparable manufacturing series; (2) the total employees shown by States is blown up proportionately to make the totals comparable with United States totals shown by BLS for manufacturing and nonagricultural employment. The manufacturing distribution resulting from this method was compared with one obtained from Social Security data on covered employment and OldAge and Survivors Insurance data on uncovered employment. The two distributions are very similar. position in each State accounts for more than 25 thousand employees (table I). 2 Since these States represent almost all of the increase in concentration the analysis is restricted to them. The part of the total employment which adds to the concentration in the 14 states is represented by the shaded ends of the bars in chart 2. At the maximum, the 112 thousand employees in the State of Washington in excess of 1939 proportions, are 17 percent of the present employment. The total of the 14 States is 9 percent. Use of the 1939 distribution of nonagricultural employment as a base from which to measure increased wartime concentration does not allow for continuation of pre-war trends, or for the changed conditions produced by the war. Probably the most expanded states will not return to 1939 proportions. If pre-war trends are recognized, the overexpansion in California appears somewhat smaller and that in Ohio somewhat larger than indicated by table 1 and chart 2. Population growth generally has continued pre-war trends. Almost all of the increase in civilian population from April 1940 to November 1943, occurred in 8 of 14 3 States showing increased concentration. All of these 8 States except Connecticut, experienced a more than average population increase from 1930 to 1940. In California, the population increase in the pre-war decade amounted to one and a quarter million persons which is more than the spectacular increase occurring in this State during the war. In interpreting this figure it must be borne in mind that California's civilian population has lost in addition some 600 thousand persons to the armed forces. Manufacturing employment in the 14 States showed above average growth in the pre-war decade. In the 13 States excluding Ohio an increase of 1 percent compares with a decline of 5 percent for the country. California accounted for 2 The six States omitted from the analysis—New Jersey, Oregon, Louisiana, South Carolina, Nevada and Utah—account for an increased concentration of only 60 thousand employees. It amounts to less than 4 percent in all of these States except Nevada. An increased concentration of 7 thousand employees in Nevada amounts to 13 percent of 3the May 1944 employees. The overexpanded States showing population increases are: California, Washington, Maryland, District of Columbia, Virginia, Michigan, Florida, and Connecticut, according to Census reports developed from registrations in connection with War Ration Book Number 4. These States represent 88 percent of the tabulated increase in civilian population for ail States showing such increases. March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Chart 1.—Percentage Distribution of Nonagricultural Employment by States, 1939 and May 1944 1 STATE NEW YORK PENNSYLVANIA ILLINOIS CALIFORNIA OHIO MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN NEW JERSEY TEXAS MISSOURI INDIANA WISCONSIN NORTH CAROLINA CONNECTICUT MINNESOTA VIRGINIA GEORGIA MARYLAND TENNESSEE WASHINGTON IOWA ALABAMA LOUISIANA KENTUCKY WEST VIRGINIA FLORIDA DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA OKLAHOMA SOUTH CAROLINA KANSAS OREGON RHODE ISLAND COLORADO MAINE MISSISSIPPI NEBRASKA ARKANSAS 1 Twelve States, each representing less than 0.5 percent of the U. S. total nonagricultural employment in either period, have been omitted from this chart. Source : U. S. Department of Labor. .3 percent more of the United States total in 1939 and in 1929. Part of the increased concentration shown in table 1 might be considered a continuation of this trend, rather than a wartime abnormality. The pre-war decline in Ohio amounted to .9 percent of total United States manufacturing employment. The projection of a similar decline for Ohio to the postwar period would give Ohio the appearance of a much greater overexpansion than indicated in table 1. The location in Ohio of 10 percent of manufacturing war facilities (other than the essentially nonconvertible shipbuilding and shell-loading plants) indicates, however, that a projection of the pre-war trend is hazardous. For the most part, the areas of war expansion represent a continuation and acceleration of pre-war trends. Chart 2, which compares the wartime distribution with that in 1939, ignores these trends. In general, therefore, the chart tends to overstate rather than understate the increase in concentration. Chart 2 also ignores the members of the armed forces that will return to civilian employment. Assuming that 8.8 million persons are to be demobilized, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has distributed the demobilization in proportion to each State's contribution to the total number of inductions (table 2). Adding the projected demobilization for the 14 States to the May 1944 nonagricultural employees, the difference in the distribution from 1939 is shown in table 2. The result does not vary importantly from the change in nonagricultural employees only, but in some States the proportion going to the armed forces is significantly lower than the percentage of civilian employment so that concentration will be reduced by returning veterans. Allowance for returning veterans in California and Ohio reduces substantially the relative proportion by which the potential labor force in these States exceeds the national average, because they furnished a smaller proportion to the armed forces than of civilian employment. The returning veterans will aggravate the immediate reemployment problem for the whole country because to their large number will be added civilians seeking new employment, especially in the case of those who wish to return to manufacturing industries. They will, however, intensify the problem most in 15 States where no increase in concentration has occurred. Relatively more of the employees added in the 14 States represent abnormal additions to the labor force than in the country as a whole because of the large number of women and under and overage employees working in these areas. While we do not know the timing or extent of their withdrawal, it probably will be more than average in these States. Concentration of Munitions Output War expansion and concentration of employment has resulted from three factors: War production, principally munitions; administration of the war, as typified by the expansion in the District of Columbia area; and training of the armed forces in widely scattered military establishments, but most significantly in the South. The expansion has been so universal and so widely distributed that its influence has been marked in areas which have not kept up with the country as a whole as well as in areas where concentration has increased. The location of establishments to manufacture war munitions most forcefully illustrates the widespread expansion. Almost a third of the increased munitions employment occurred in New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois and Massachusetts, which today employ a smaller proportion of the Nation's workers than in 1939. The munitions industries account for 6 of the 8 million increase in nonagricultural workers since 1939.4 The location of centers of war administration and miiiitary training represent smaller factors in war expansion. While concentration has increased in the District of Columbia area because of the centralization of war administration, this factor has been of less importance elsewhere. In such an important military training center as Arkansas, no increase In the proportionate share of the nonagricultural employment has occurred. Employment in the manufacture of war munitions exceeds 100 thousand in each of the 17 states shown in table 3. Together these States employ 8 of the Nation's 9 million workers in these industries. They produce the major part of the production in each of the munitions categories. The major industrial life of the Nation is represented by these 17 States. As a group their relative position has changed little with the war. They account now as before the war for approximately fourfifths of the manufacturing workers and three-fourths of the nonagricultural workers. While little increase in concentration has occurred in the 17 principal munitions States as a group, the major in4 These industries include employment in the Manufacturing Census industries: 11, rubber; 14, iron and steel; 15, nonferrous metals; 16, electrical machinery; 17, machinery; 18, automobiles; and 19, transportation equipment. Also included in the munitions total are professional and scientific instruments, photographic apparatus and optical goods and a portion of the chemical industry which cannot be distributed by States for 1939 accounting for 125 thousand employees in that year. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 16 Chart 2.—Principal Areas of Increased Industrial Concentration Measured by Changes in Nonagricultural Employment STATE THOUSANDS OF EMPLOYEES 800 1200 1600 2000 400 CALIFORNIA 2800 &%&S^^ MICHIGAN Table 2.—Effect of Demobilization Armed Forces on Concentration £&%&££^^ OHIO 2400 March 1945 ¥&$&$&Z&^ State of Hypothetical Perdemobilization cent of of armed forces* total U.S. nonPeragricent culNumPerintural ber cent of em- crease 2 (thou- total ploysands) U.S. ees, May TEXAS 1944 INDIANA California . . Texas Ohio Washington Michigan Maryland Indiana District of ColumbiaAlabama Kansas Connecticut Georgia Florida Virginia ... MARYLAND VIRGINIA GEORGIA WASHINGTON ALABAMA MONTHLY AVERAGE, 1939 FLORIDA PROPORTIONATE INCREASED TO NATION'S CONCENTRATION INCREASE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA KANSAS DO. 45-99 Source: U. S. Department of Commerce, based upon data of the U. S. Department of Labor. creases in concentration which did occur are represented by a part of these States. This fact is illustrated by table 4 which compares the 1939 and May 1944 concentration of nonagricultural employees. An increase in concentration is shown in 10 of the munitions manufacturing States with California increasing its percentage of the country's employment from 6 to 7. These 10 States account for 3.2 percent of the total 3.6 percent increase in concentration. No change in concentration occurred in 3 of the States while the percentage of employment declined in 4 of them. The 4 States which showed reduced concentration account for over half of the 3.6 percent total with New York a very important factor. Ten of the 14 States appearing in table 1 are also represented in table 4—the first 7 as well as Alabama, Connecticut, and Virginia. The manufacturing of war munitions has played an important part also in the other 4 States of table 1 as shown below: (a) (b) o o Q o3 ^?^ si (c) n co' per •o o o o Rat o Ipi «"'' o io o: col (per ;,— a OS (3 in n State Employees manufacturing munitions, May 1944 (thousands) (d) (e) 197 173 130 154 73 45 50 15 69 39 48 14 14 States in table 1 4,513 2,979 4, 291 Total United S t a t e s - 9,461 6,238 8, 328 105 114 69 75 Kansas Georgia _ _ __ Florida District of Columbia- _ 93 79 66 23 88 68 62 22 None of these four political divisions had significant employment before the war in industries here classified as munitions. Only in the District of Columbia is direct munitions employment now a relatively unimportant factor. Such employment much more than accounts for the advance in relative position in the 13 States other than the District of Columbia. Shipbuilding and aircraft manufacture alone are so important that without the increase in these industries, none of the 13 States would have experienced a Table 1.—Number of Nonagricultural Employees Added by Rise in Relative Position, 1939 to May 1944 State Nonagricultural employees added l (thousands) California _ _ _ __ . Texas Ohio. . . Washington^ . . . .. .. Michigan _. . Maryland Indiana District of Columbia Alabama Kansas ... Connecticut Georgia . Florida Virginia Total, 14 states Total United States 2 373 166 124 112 105 91 73 68 63 47 33 32 30 29 / I 1,346 +1,406 -1,406 Percent of May 1944 employees 14 11 5 17 6 13 7 14 11 11 4 5 6 4 9 +8 1 May 1944 employees minus 1939 proportion of United States total for the state in May 1944. 2 The + and — figures are related respectively to the States showing increases and decreases in concentration. Source: U. S. Department of Commerce based on Department of Labor data. 493 440 458 114 370 132 229 62 194 106 123 220 132 194 5.6 5.0 5.2 1.3 4.2 Total, 14 States Total United States 3 . CONNECTICUT 3,267 8,800 37.1 100.0 1. 5 2.6 .7 2.2 1.2 1.4 2.5 1.5 2.2 7.0 3.9 6.3 1.7 4.7 1.9 2.8 1.3 1.5 11 2.0 1.8 1.3 1.8 +0.7 +. 6 -hi -J-.2 -f. 2 +.2 4- 2 +.1 -u. 3 +1 0 + 2 +.1 +.2 39.1 +3.2 100.0 if +4.0 1 -4.0 1 1 Taken from Monthly Labor Review, September 1944, assuming a total demobilization of 8.8 million distributed in proportion to State's contribution of inductions. 2 May 1944 percent of nonagricultural employees plus demobilized armed forces minus 1939 percent of nonagricultural employees. 3 The + and — figures are related respectively to the States showing increases and decreases in concentration. Source: U. S. Department of Commerce based on U. S. Department of Labor data. rise in relative position. At least 70 percent of the total employees manufacturing munitions are in these two industries in Florida, Washington, California, Kansas, Texas and Georgia, compared with a national average of 39 percent. Only in Ohio, Connecticut and Indiana of the 13 States are the aircraft and shipbuilding 3employees below the national average. The employees in these three States are widely distributed in the munitions industries. The predominant importance of shipbuilding and aircraft in the States overexpanded relative to the country as a whole points to the difficulty they will experience in maintaining their disproportionate expansion immediately at the end of the war. A major part of the shipbuilding and aircraft facilities are new rather than converted. The problems of putting them to peacetime use will involve uncharted conversion rather than reconversion. However, the difficulties of reconverting will by no means be restricted to the relatively overexpanded States. The expansion in manufacturing of munitions has been uniformly large in all of the 17 principal munitions manufacturing States, as indicated by table 3. Of the 8.2 million employees manufacturing munitions in these States, a net of 5.2 million have been added to the employment in these industries since 1939. 5 The major factor is the slight importance of shipbuilding in these States. Aircraft employment is slightly in excess of the national average in Indiana and Connecticut and. slightly below in Ohio. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 Variations Within States State totals tend to blur the problem of reabsorption in an overexpanded center of war production because the major concentration has been in industrial areas which occupy only a small part of the State. An examination of expansion in critical labor market areas shows, however, that with some striking exceptions, their growth has paralleled that of the States. Again they indicate the postwar requirement for generally high employment, though they by no means minimize the need for vast shifting of jobs. Chart 3 shows the major importance of shipbuilding and aircraft in a group of labor market areas expanded by the war. In Los Angeles, for instance, the shipbuilding and aircraft workers added equal the total number of workers in manufacturing before the war. In the San Francisco and Jacksonville areas, the added shipbuilding workers exceed pre-war manufacturing employees. Time will be required to reabsorb many of the added munitions employees in the areas shown in chart 3, although some of the added manufacturing employees will find work in manufacturing industries which do not require reconversion. In fact, a small part of the manufacturing expansion during the war has been in civilian industries. Intensive use of reconverted facilities would in most cases employ more manufacturing workers than in 1940. Although chart 3 dramatizes labor market areas expanded by the war, the problem is brought into better focus when compared to the expansion in the country as a whole. It can be visualized most effectively in two steps. First, change in the position of the States shows the relatively small extent to which net interstate redistribution will be required for an effective use of our manpower. Second, table 5 shows the extent to which the manufacturing employees in selected metropolitan centers have expanded since 1940 relative to State totals.6 Manufacturing industry has been the most expanded activity in these centers and, therefore, the general results shown in table 5 are all the more striking. Nonmanufacturing employment in industrial centers has been limited by the available labor force, so that the relative expansion of total nonagricultural employment since 1940 has been even less. In California and Washington, San Francisco and Seattle have experienced relatively larger expansion than have the States. These areas present very real problems because shipbuilding, which is a major factor in both, will probably not have sufficient orders to utilize all of the present capacity for making ships and will be difficult or impossible to convert to other manufacture. Los Angeles, now as before the war, employs half of California's manufacturing workers. The west coast will, more than any other part of the country, need courageous enterprise in adapting its resources to the production of civilian goods and services. The hope of a rapid readjustment on the west coast rests on the achievement of a higher degree of industrialization than before the war. Texas presents a similar outlook. Houston, Dallas and 6 In the study of metropolitan areas the population census was the only basis for benchmark figures and, therefore, comparison is made with 1940 instead of 1939 used in the State analysis. The increase in manufacturing employment from 1939 to 1940 was not great enough to alter the conclusions. Table 5 is limited to metropolitan areas for which data are available in States analyzed in this article. Alabama is missing from the table because data are available for Birmingham only where the manufacturing employment has increased only 25 percent compared with 80 percent for the State. Including only metropolitan centers in States representing major increases in concentration and/or major munitions production, table 5 omits some striking war expansions. In Portland, Oregon, for instance, manufacturing employment has increased 300 percent, with no significant increases in the rest of the State. Table 3.—Munitions Employment in Major Munitions Producing States, May 1944' [In thousands] State Total munitions Michigan Ohio Pennsylvania- New York California Illinois New Jersey Indiana Massachusetts. Connecticut Wisconsin Maryland Texas Washington Missouri Alabama Virginia.-. Total, 17 States Total United States- 939 934 932 881 741 719 566 432 422 351 256 218 213 188 156 130 107 : 183 , > 401 , Aircraft Shipbuilding Ordnance Machinery Electrical machinery Other munitions industries 450 179 93 181 296 87 107 111 16 78 35 57 76 40 39 10 3 11 15 120 143 337 22 107 20 102 13 23 69 77 128 144 HO 85 105 8 132 55 54 57 91 38 16 27 3 50 15 13 116 162 104 62 30 135 42 31 53 58 86 10 7 4 19 3 1 16 80 113 149 12 125 129 62 110 22 23 21 1 203 389 417 240 59 218 126 153 86 89 51 45 25 14 30 60 22 1,85f> 2,086 1,299 1, 699 1,001 1,230 921 1,005 879 2, 228 2, 517 ' War Manpower Commission classifies the following as munition industries: Aircraft, shipbuilding, iron and steel ordnance, machinery, electrical machinery, nonferrous metals, automobiles, rubber, chemicals in part (2882-2886, 28C9 2897), other transportation equipment, professional and scientific instruments, photographic apparatus and optical goods. 2 Less than 500 employees. Source: War Manpower Commission. 630255—45 3 17 Port Worth all have expanded industrially even more than the state as a whole. Contrasted to an employment of 38 percent of the State's manufacturing employees in 1940, these three metropolitan areas now employ 64 percent. The striking expansion in Wichita accounts for some 50,000 manufacturing employees. Table 4.—Changed Concentration of Nonagricultural Employment in Principal States Producing War Munitions, 1939 to May 1944 State California Texas Ohio Washington Michigan Indiana Maryland Alabama Connecticut Virginia. New Jersey Missouri Wisconsin Illinois Pennsylvania M assach usetts New York Percent of United Change States total non- in peragricultural em- centage of ployees United States total 1939 M a y 1944 6.0 3.4 5.9 1.4 4.5 2.6 1.7 1.3 1.9 1.7 4.1 2.6 2.1 7.5 8.8 4.6 13.6 7.0 3.9 6.3 1.7 4.7 2.8 1.9 1.5 2.0 1.8 4.1 2.6 2.1 7.3 8.5 4.3 12.4 Total, 17 States 73.7 74.9 Total United States 100.0 100.0 +1.0 +.5 +.4 +.3 +.2 +.2 +.2 +.2 +.1 +.1 0 0 0 -.2 -.3 f -.3 -1.2 J+3. 2 t-2.0 (+3.6 \-3. 6 Source: U. S. Department of Commerce based on U. S. Department of Labor data. Metropolitan areas in the Middle West and eastern States parallel the States of which they are a part, with a few important exceptions. Most of the areas in Michigan, Indiana, Wisconsin, and Illinois, have not greatly exceeded the State expansion. Shipbuilding centers represent the maximum relative overexpansion in the East. Norfolk, where manufacturing employment has risen from 17 to 25 percent of the State total stands out, although Boston and Philadelphia present similar but relatively less accentuated shipbuilding expansions. The problem in the Boston and Philadelphia areas may be less difficult because Pennsylvania and Massachusetts now account for a smaller proportion of total employment than before the war, but the number of shipbuilding workers added is much larger than in Norfolk. The shipbuilding centers in Florida— Tampa, Jacksonville, and Miami, together accounting for 66 percent of the State's manufacturing employees compared with 41 percent in 1940—have experienced a large overexpansion. Fundamental readjustments have of course occurred within metropolitan areas. In some cases new plants have been located at the periphery extending the boundaries. New or expanded communities have arisen, such as Midwest City in the Oklahoma City area and Richmond on San Francisco Bay. Commuting from outlying villages has become a common occurrence. The location of new plants has redirected the lines of traffic, reorganized SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 18 Chart 3.—Shipbuilding and Aircraft Portion of Total Manufacturing Employment in Representative Metropolitan Areas, March 1940 and May 1944 1 METROPOLITAN AREA 100 THOUSANDS OF EMPLOYEES 200 300 400 500 600 700 March 1945 proximately three-fourths of the war increase in all nonagricultural employment as shown in table 6. Such a cut-back to pre-war employment in the munitions manufacturing industries, if there were no offsetting expansion of manufacturing for civilian markets, would leave the relationship of total manufacturing employment to the present 22 million nonmanufacturing employees approximately in line with that of 1939. The major decline in employment at the end of.the war will occur in the manufacture of war munitions, while other industries which have been generally underserviced during the war will tend to maintain or increase their employment. Only if the decline in employment in manufacturing munitions at the end of the war greatly reduces the demand for civilian goods and services will employment be reduced in most nonmanufacturing industries or in industries manufacturing civilian goods. Granting the possibilities of expanding both the manufacture of goods for civilian markets and the employment in nonmanufacturing industries, it is difficult to visualize added requirements in any State in the immediate post-war which cannot be met by workers now residing in the State. For instance, the state of New York, which now employs only 12.4 percent of the country's nonagricultural workers in contrast to the 13.6 percent before the war, has an increase of 619 thousand workers manufacturing munitions to absorb. Of these, 143 thousand have been added in the shipbuilding industry and 181 thousand in aircraft. Table 5.—Manufacturing Employment in Selected Metropolitan Centers l Metropolitan Center 1 Shipbuilding a n d a i r c r a f t employment in 16 metropolitan a r e a s was less t h a n 2,000 employees. Sources : U. S. D e p a r t m e n t of Commerce and Labor and War Production Board. and expanded residential centers, and realigned the occupations and modes of living of the inhabitants. With the ending of the war production program, reshuffling within the areas will be of major proportions. Employment in industrial areas would have been relatively high with production at current levels even if the total product were being made for civilians. Because the increased product has gone for war, these industrial centers are burdened with a problem of conversion they would not face in peace. The concentration of conversion problems in industrial centers does not indicate, however, that the geographical location of industry differs significantly from high level peacetime needs. Reemployment Possibilities A major part of the employees added since 1939 are manufacturing munitions. Chart 4 shows the disproportionate expansion of manufacturing as against non-manufacturing for the country as a whole. The ratio of nonmanufacturing to manufacturing employment is much lower than would have occurred if more adequate labor reserves had been available. Overexpansion has occurred principally in the war manufacturing centers. Nonmanufacturing employment has become disproportionately low in those centers. The displacement of the munitions manufacturing employees added since 1939 would redistribute or eliminate ap- California: Los Angeles. _. San Francisco. San Diego Washington: Seattle Tacoma Spokane Texas: Houston Dallas ... Fort W o r t h . . . San Antonio._. Kansas: Kansas City«_ Wichita Missouri: St. Louis Kansas City 2 . Michigan: Detroit Flint Grand Rapids Indiana: Indianapolis... South Bend... Gary Fort Wayne... Ohio: Cleveland..... Cincinnati Youngstown.. Akron Toledo Dayton Canton Columbus Percent of State totals 52 Principal munitiosn product Aircraft, shipbuild- 36 | Shipbuilding. 3 j Aircraft. 33 I Aircraft, shipbuild- 11 | Shipbuilding. 3 j Distributed. 30 Shipbuilding. 21 Aircraft. 13 Do. 3 | 28 | Aircraft. 42 j Do. 67 16 Distributed. Aircraft. 57 4 Aircraft, trucks. Guns, instruments trucks. Distributed. 15 8 4 5 Aircraft. Aircraft, trucks. Aircraft. Electric. 22 12 6 9 5 5 4 Aircraft. Do. Bombs, aircraft. Rubber, aircraft. Trucks. Aircraft. Bearings, fire control. Aircraft. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 Table 5.—Manufacturing Employment in Selected Metropolitan C e n t e r s Continued Percent of State totals Metropolitan Center 19 Chart 4.—Ratio of Nonmanufacturing to Manufacturing Employment, by Quarters PERCENT 300 I Principal munitions product 2 50 Wisconsin: Milwaukee Illinois: Chicago 2 Peoria Maryland: Baltimore Connecticut: Hartford Bridgeport New Haven __. Virginia: Norfolk Richmond New Jersey:2 Newark Jersey City 2 -_. Trenton 2 Camden Elizabeth 2 Pattersons Pennsylvania: 2 Philadelphia -_ Pittsburgh Reading Scranton Erie Massachusetts: Boston Lowell Springfield Worcester New York: New York City .2 Buffalo Rochester Albany. _. Syracuse . Aircraft, machinery. Radio, aircraft. Tractors. 73 Utica 2 Yonkers Georgia: Atlanta Florida: Tampa JacksonvilleMiami - Aircraft, guns. Radio, aircraft. Guns. Shipbuilding. Ships, radio. Aircraft. Aircraft. Ships, aircraft. Ships, electric. Aircraft. Locomotives. Engines. Shipbuilding, Guns. Radios, electric. Machinery. Ships, aircraft. Aircraft. Fire control, photographic. Radio. Guns, ammunition, motors. Guns, ammunition. Aircraft. Shipbuilding. Do. Aircraft, shipbuilding. 1 The proportionate manufacturing employment in March 1940 is taken from reports of the 1940 Population Census, and the May 1944 figure is obtained by using Bureau of Labor Statistics indexes of wage-earner manufacturing employment by metropolitan area related to 1940 Census figures and divided by State totals used in the present study. The areas included in a few of the metropolitan districts in the 1940 Census differ slightly from that included in the 1930 Census, which is the basis of Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates. In no case is the difference great enough to affect the results materially. 2 City only. Sources: U. S. Departments of Commerce and Labor. In New York current nonmanufacturing employment would satisfy peacetime requirements if civilian manufacturing employment did not absorb any of the 619 thousand additional munitions employees. Until civilian manufacturing has taken on a substantial number of the war workers, therefore, New York will not present a major opportunity for workers who wish to migrate from areas experiencing an increase in concentration. Conclusion The regional concentration of industry today is approximately the same as before the war. Some changes have occurred. There has been a trend away from rural areas. Manufacturing is a disproportionate part of the present national output and most industrial areas 200 Ships, aircraft. 100 1929 '30 '31 '32 '33 '34 '35 '36 '37 '38 '39 '40 '41 '42 '43 '44 D. D. 45-101 Source : U. S. Department of Labor. have been correspondingly affected. In general, the proportionate importance of the North East has declined slightly while portions of the South and the Far West have risen. But there has been no major redistribution. All parts of the country never have expanded by uniform proportions with major rises in the national product. With perfectly uniform expansion, nonagricultural employment in the states experiencing increased concentration would have risen 8 percent less than was actually attained (table 1). There is no way to know how closely a peacetime expansion of the same magnitude would have paralleled the redistribution which has occurred, but broadly the pre-war tendencies have been extended. Several aircraft and shipbuilding centers have grown much more than indicated by prewar trends. While concentration has not changed much geographically, in terms of either states or metropolitan areas, there has been a vast movement within those areas to new occupations, new industries, and new places of employment. The necessary post-war readjustments pose serious and difficult readjustments for the individuals concerned, for business and for the communities. In general, however, the problems of post-war reemployment cannot be solved by moving people to other parts of the country where job opportunities await them. Because the expansion has occurred in almost all areas, no parts of the country will act as a vacuum to absorb excess workers from war production centers until the national output of nonwar goods and services substantially exceeds the pre-war level. There is no need to reverse the wartime movement away from agricultural employment. Any major shift in that direction will reflect a lack of job opportunities elsewhere. There is need of a shift from manufacturing to nonmanufacturing occupations, but this shift does not Table 6.—Increase in Employees Manufacturing Munitions Compared With Other Employment Increase in employees 1939 to May 1944 State California-. Texas Ohio Washington Michigan _ Maryland Indiana District of Columbia Alabama Kansas _ ConnecticutGeorgia Florida. . __ • Virginia _ _ _ ___ Total, 14 states Total, United States _ Total non- Nonmanuagricultural facturing _ _. _ ___ Manufacturing em- 1939 m a n u ployment facturing less increase employees Manufacturing Total Munitions tions 861 443 625 228 486 228 297 154 172 127 191 173 130 174 199 204 119 47 39 72 42 131 41 31 9 80 76 92 662 238 506 181 447 157 255 23 131 96 183 94 54 82 640 189 501 173 469 155 249 22 90 88 187 68 62 87 403 228 757 125 609 176 355 15 186 55 280 216 60 159 381 179 752 117 631 174 349 14 145 47 284 190 68 164 4,289 8,328 1,182 1,819 3,109 6, 509 2,980 6,238 3,624 10, 351 3,495 10,080 Source: U. S. Department of Commerce based on War Manpower Commission and U. S. Department of Labor data. 20 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS necessarily involve a move from one region or metropolitan area to another. Expanded opportunities for nonmanufacturing employment everywhere will depend pretty much upon securing a basic output considerably above the prewar level. Some communities will capitalize on potential markets more than others because their reconversion problems are less difficult or simply because they are more enterprising. The wartime migration will not, therefore, be reversed to restore the pre-war distribution. Post-war readjustments will involve a great deal of moving about from one region to another as well as the more local shifts of occupation and residence. The resulting personal problems will be intense, especially if high-level employment is not attained. The need to facilitate the mobility of labor will be of major importance in many war centers. The fact remains, however, that moving about of itself will have a relatively unimportant effect on the total amount of unemployment. If the post-war national output is not much higher than the best pre-war year the supply of labor will be in excess of demand in almost every area. Outmigration from overexpanded centers of war production will spread the unemployment more evenly across the country or move workers to places where they can find subsistence. It will not materially increase the level of effective employment. If the required high national output is achieved there is little doubt that workers will migrate to where there are jobs. Their presence in the areas of increased concentration is ample evidence of their willingness to move if the opportunities for employment are better elsewhere. Crowded, temporary housing and other unsatisfactory living conditions in some of these areas will be an added inducement. The exact composition of the increased national output potentially possible is difficult to visualize today, but it obviously calls for increases in the whole gamut of goods and services desired by consumers—plus the necessary expansion and modernization of the facilities to produce those things. It calls for better housing and community facilities of all sorts. The potential markets are, if anything, greater in those areas which have grown most during the war. These communities have been geared to unprecedented production by making use of many temporary expedients. If the present level of activity were supported by peacetime production, much capital investment would be needed. Expanded residential areas, additional shopping facilities, and increased transportation facilities would be required. If the war plants are not convertible, additional manufacturing facilities would be needed. The large expansion called for should make possible communities more modern and better planned than those whose pre-war facilities are more nearly adequate. Additional personal service, as indicated by its inadequacy during the war, would be called for. All of these things can occur, however, only if civilian industry is found to replace the major part of war industry. Business Situation (Continued from p. 5) penditures over receipts in one sector is automatically compensated by the opposite situation elsewhere in the economy. Between 1939 and 1944 the Nation's Budget more than doubled in size. This growth was analyzed in detail in last month's issue of the Survey as part of the review of national income and production for 1944. As is well known, the motivating force for the movement to high production and consumption and the absorption into active employment of many millions of workers was the Federal expenditures for war purposes. The magnitude of the rise in Government expenditures and the extent of the deficit in the Government's accounts are strikingly shown in the chart. With declining Federal spending in prospect, the maintenance of income and employment at high levels will depend upon how effectively the freed resources are absorbed into other uses. It has already been indicated that declines are inevitable as cut-backs are made in the war production, if for no other reason than because of the elimination of wartime pressure to expand abnormally the labor force and to increase the hours of work. If the bars are to be sustained at a height which signifies adequate sales and employment opportunities, reconversion conditions must be such as to encourage increased spending by economic units other than the Federal Government. The business sector of the economy can be expected to show the largest relative expansion under favorable circumstances, since the necessities of war have restricted its expenditures, and increased outlays for capital equipment must precede the enlarged flow of many types of consumer goods. As indicated above, a decline in war expenditures to 70 billion dollars—the figure adopted in the budget recommendations for fiscal 1946—would entail a significant reduction in income and employment and would permit some reconversion. In analyzing the accompanying chart on the Nation's budget, the dynamics of the situation are more clearly demonstrated by considering the two extremes of the range of estimates of war expenditures cited by the President. Thus, as previously discussed, the top of the range—80 billion dollars— would result in little change from 1944 in the height of the receipts and expenditures bars or in the size of the components. Under the other extreme, the shifts that would take place would be much more extensive, and these are considered below for illustrative purposes. Assuming a decline in Federal war spending to an annual rate of 60 billion dollars, or to approximately two-thirds of the current rate, private gross capital formation, including business construc- March 1945 tion, producers' durables, accumulation of inventories, and the private foreign trade balance, might increase five- or six-fold over the 1944 volume. The contribution of State and local governments might also increase, since many public works have been deferred during the war. Nevertheless, the expansion in these sectors could have only a partial offsetting effect on a reduction in war outlays of one-third, which would imply a larger relative reduction in munitions output. Under the assumed conditions, aggregate consumer spending for goods and services would tend to show little change from 1944 during this particular period. On the one hand, purchases of nondurables will slacken as income payments and disposable income contract with declining Federal spending and war production. On the other hand, production and sale of consumer durables will rise to meet pent-up demands buttressed by accumulated wartime savings. The limit to the production of these goods will be prior claims to resources for the large munitions production that will remain, and the time required to reconvert war plants to civilian output. From an over-all standpoint, therefore, total output will decline, but will be cushioned somewhat by increased production for business and for State and local governments. Referring to the Nation's budget after the war, and looking beyond the immediate reconversion period, the President said: "* * * Manifestly, full employment in peacetime can be assured only when the reduction in war demand is approximately offset by additional peacetime demand from the millions of consumers, businesses, and farmers, and by Federal, State, and local governments. And that means that consumers' expenditures and business investments must increase by about 50 percent, measured in constant prices, above the level of the year 1939, if full employment is to be provided by private enterprise." New or Revised Series! d Dried Egg Production: 1 New Series for Page S-27 [Thousands of pounds] Year 1927..._ 1928 1929 1930.... 1931.... 1932... 1933..., 3934.... 1935 1936 . . 1937 1938.... 1939... 1940 Total 556 218 202 489 ! 553 2, 286 3, 796 4,300 3,000 Month 1941 1942 January... February March. April May 73 680 2,539 3, 518 2,857 2,853 3,299 2.855 3,654 7,227 7,457 8,269 10, 774 14, 567 19, 692 22, 524 22.192 22, 282 23,899 22, 539 21, 689 22, 839 19,508 13,144 June July August September October .. November 1,486 | December 2, 391 6! 002 Total... 45, 280 235, 649 10, 039 7,487 Mo. avg... 3, 773 19, 637 1943 12,000 20, 878 23.885 29. 560 28, 472 23,889 20, 618 16,169 20,053 23,208 22,179 21, 061 261,972 21, 831 i Compiled by the 17. S. Department of Agriculture, Bureau of Agricultural Economics, from reports obtained from plants representing the entire industry. Data include the production of dried whole eggs, albumen, and yolks. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 S-l Monthly Business Statistics The data here are a continuation of the statistics published in the 1942 Supplement to the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. That volume contains monthly data for the years 1938 to 1941, and monthly averages for earlier years back to 1913 insofar as available; it also provides a description of each series and references to sources of monthly figures prior to 1938. Series added or revised since publication of the 1942 Supplement are indicated by an asterisk (*) and a dagger (f), respectively, the accompanying footnote indicating where historical data and a descriptive note may be found. The terms "unadjusted" and "adjusted" used to designate index numbers refer to adjustment of monthly figures for seasonal variation. Data subsequent to January for selected series will be found in the Weekly Supplement to the Survey. 1945 Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January 1944 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- December ber BUSINESS INDEXES INCOME PAYMENTS t Indexes, adjusted: Total income payments -1935-39=100. Salaries and wages do_.. Total nonagricultural income do.-_ Total mil. ofdol. Salaries and wages: Total § .do.... Commodity-producing industries .do Public assistance and other relief 1 do Dividends and interest do Entrepreneurial income and net rents and royalties .mil. of doL. Other income payments. do Total nonagricultural income do 241.3 268.1 238.3 13, 320 227.2 255.7 224.2 12, 541 232.4 261.1 228.7 12,206 231.9 258.8 228.7 12, 979 231.1 258.3 228.4 12, 582 232.1 259.1 229.2 12,387 233.9 261.7 231.1 13, 573 233.2 263.0 232.3 12,928 234.0 263.1 232.3 12, 586 232.5 262.0 231.9 13, 670 235.5 263.4 233.6 13, 684 237.5 264.7 235.3 13,253 ' 239. 0 ' 266. 9 r 236. 9 14,405 9,496 3,945 80 932 9,039 4,050 79 834 9,180 4,044 79 459 9,138 4,009 79 1,161 9,145 3,995 78 811 9,223 4,008 78 494 9,344 4,051 78 1,554 9,284 4,045 78 914 9,304 4,056 78 486 9,375 4,039 78 1,317 9,541 4,066 79 829 9,508 4,010 79 509 ' 9, 653 r 4,002 80 1,827 2,356 456 12,100 2,275 314 11, 324 2,137 351 11,118 2,186 415 11,852 2,127 421 11,496 2,175 417 11, 242 2,189 408 12,396 2,241 411 11, 681 2,300 418 11, 269 2,474 426 12,178 2,801 434 11,877 2,716 441 11,583 2,396 ••449 13,082 129 126 132 135 117 149 121 87 147 127 83 160 133 80 173 127 80 163 131 114 145 i38 131 143 159 180 143 189 238 153 164 178 154 ••136 131 ••139 143 147 140 143 130 153 150 127 167 156 143 165 123 74 161 146 133 156 154 139 165 141 116 180 135 117 150 133 105 154 129 109 144 142 142 142 150 155 148 137 127 ••144 1,641 1,554 1,628 1,536 1,439 1,343 1,528 1,433 1,480 1,402 1,546 1,452 1,558 1,504 1,649 1,602 1,741 1,690 2,007 1,954 2,460 2,427 2,256 2,188 ' 1,747 ' 1,697 234.0 275.0 326.5 240.5 194.5 257.0 289.5 231.0 260.0 278.5 248.0 191.0 281.0 273.0 202.0 276.0 271.5 279.0 201.0 333.5 286.5 215.5 274.0 276.5 272.0 199.5 322.5 283.5 211.0 270.0 282.0 262.0 209.5 306.0 252.0 218.5 276.0 284.0 271.0 219.0 308.0 278.0 226.5 275.0 283.0 270.0 213.5 316.0 260.5 241.0 252.0 264.0 244.0 207.0 266.5 260.5 254.5 281.0 272.0 253.5 202.0 288.5 265.5 294.0 243.5 258.5 233.5 200.0 240.0 287.5 365.5 262.5 308.0 232.5 197.5 235.5 298.5 329.5 267.0 298.0 246.5 191.5 265.0 308.5 ' ' ' ' FARM MARKETINGS AND INCOME Farm marketings, volume:* Indexes, unadjusted: Total farm marketings _ 1935-39=100.. Crops -do Livestock and products -do Indexes, adjusted: Total farm marketings do Crops .do Livestock and products -do. Cash farm income, total, including Government payments* -. mil. of dol. Income from marketings* do... Indexes of cash income from marketings:! Crops and livestock, combined index: Unadjusted ..1935-39=100. Adjusted do___ Crops do... Livestock and products _ do._. Dairy products _do..Meat animals_do... Poultry and eggs _do.-. 255.5 263. 5 295.0 242. 5 192.0 ••255.0 313.0 PRODUCTION INDEXES Industrial Production—Federal Reserve Index 232 ••230 232 234 236 235 236 234 237 240 238 240 Unadjusted, combined indexf 1935-39=100 248 ••248 250 252 248 252 251 249 255 257 259 259 Manufactures! -do.. 341 342 348 345 354 349 343 357 J-342 361 366 363 367 Durable manufactures! -do._ 201 "198 206 204 202 203 202 210 213 196 214 212 208 Iron and steel! do._ 120 '113 130 125 133 127 135 128 125 v 116 122 124 121 Lumber and productsf do_. 141 142 144 143 142 146 139 '143 142 149 150 *139 148 Furnituref _ do_. 109 123 97 127 129 119 123 117 116 107 110 107 p 103 Lumberf -do.. 442 435 ••431 437 434 '428 427 445 452 458 461 P433 r422 Macbineryt _do__ 243 263 229 279 233 245 238 292 285 287 285 Nonferrous metals and products! do_. 234 268 243 247 282 252 246 293 252 283 280 280 Fabricating* do._ '252 244 252 186 273 200 289 299 297 226 205 297 P186 Smelting and refining* -do 191 169 165 ••159 165 167 163 167 164 163 161 161 P160 Stone, clay, and glass products! -do 163 94 90 82 79 102 74 67 68 100 100 70 Cement do 95 125 124 ••120 122 122 122 126 125 121 125 120 Clay products*._-do 121 213 228 202 225 218 227 205 216 213 204 208 Glass containers! do 210 716 704 726 708 730 ••704 734 746 707 695 754 Transportation equipmentf... ....do ••698 223 228 226 232 ••233 238 233 244 229 226 '229 Automobiles! _ do ••228 169 167 168 169 171 173 172 173 '171 171 173 Nondurable manufactures! do... 173 151 143 127 127 115 128 111 168 146 198 159 Alcoholic beverages! -..do... 159 316 310 323 325 344 360 362 309 '313 310 307 Chemicals! do.._ 308 408 411 410 408 406 405 405 395 '396 400 408 Industrial chemicals* ._ do.._ 394 114 103 112 116 112 114 108 115 '113 111 ' 121 Leather and products! _ do... 118 107 111 110 116 113 106 103 112 114 107 118 Leather tanning* _ do_._ 116 117 100 114 116 116 114 112 117 '113 114 122 Shoes _ do— p 116 119 r v Preliminary Revised. ^Formerly designated "Direct and other relief." §The total includes data for distributive and service industries and government which have been discontinued as separate series to avoid disclosure of military pay rolls. •New series. For a description of the indexes of the volume of farm marketings and figures for 1929-42, see pp. 23-32 of the April 1943 Survey; indexes through 1942 were computed by the Department of Commerce in cooperation with the Department of Agriculture; later data are from the latter agency. Data for 1913-41 for the dollar figures on cash farm income are shown on p. 22 of the May 1943 Survey but the annual totals have been revised beginning 1940; revised monthly averages based on the new totals are as follows (millions of dollars): Cash farm income, total including Government payments—1940, 759; 1941, 979; 1942,1,339; 1943,1,660; income from marketings—1940, 695; 1941, 930; 1942,1,281; 1943,1,604; the monthly figures have not as yet been adjusted to the revised totals. Data beginning 1939 for the new series under industrial production are showm on p. 18 of the December 1943 issue. !Revised series. Data on income payments revised beginning January 1939; for figures for 1939-41, see p. 16 of the April 1944 Survey and for annual totals beginning 1942, p. 20 of February 1945 issue; complete revisions are available on request. The indexes of cash income from farm marketings have been completely revised; data beginning 1913 are shown on* p. 28 of the May 1943 Survey. For revisions for the indicated series on industrial production, see table 12 on pp. 18-20 of the December 1943 issue. S-2 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January March 1945 1944 1945 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber BUSINESS INDEXES—Continued PRODUCTION INDEXES—Con. Industrial Production—Continued Unadjusted—Continued. Manufactures—Continued. Nondurable manufactures—Continued. Manufactured food products! 1935-39=100,. Dairy products! do Meat packing _ do Processed fruits and vegetables*... do Paper and products! do __ Paper and pulpf - do Petroleum and coal products! do Coke .- _. - do - . Petroleum refining! do Printing and publishing! _ _..do Rubber products! _ . _. _ do Textiles and products! do Cotton consumption do ._ Rayon deliveries do Wool textile production _. . do ._ Tobacco products... ..do Minerals! . _ do Fuels! do Anthracite! _ do Bituminous coal! - . . . do Crude petroleum do Metals ._ _. _ do Adjusted, combined index! _ . . _ _ do ._ Manufactures ... do Durable manufactures do __ Lumber and products do Lumber _ _ _ _ do _ Nonferrous metals do Stone, clay, and glass products __.do Cement do Clay products*. do Glass containers do Nondurable manufactures _ do Alcoholic beverages do Chemicals do Leather and products . do Leather tanning* _ _ _ _ _ _ do _ Manufactured food products.__ _ do Dairy products _ _ _ do Meat packing _ do Processed fruits and vegetables* do Paper and products do . Paper and pulp . do Petroleum and coal products _ do Petroleum refining do Printing and publishing _ _ do Textiles and products do Tobacco products do Minerals do Metals do P144 P88 P 171 v 104 P102 P237 v 152 145 217 125 P133 v 145 P97 P151 P147 P234 P251 P344 P 129 P123 v 167 v 127 v 176 P318 P 116 v 156 P132 146 v 160 p 105 p J52 126 v 140 Munitions Production Total munitions* 1943=100 Aircraft*.. _ . . _ _. _ do Ships (work done)* do Guns and fire control* do Ammunition* do Combat and motor vehicles* do Communication and electronic equipment* do Other equipment and supplies* do ._ 103 112 84 77 134 85 123 118 145 '83 225 91 136 134 226 174 234 101 242 149 150 186 154 124 133 142 119 161 137 82 243 262 369 133 125 285 168 86 129 213 176 131 364 108 103 154 »126 187 140 136 134 226 234 104 149 125 139 124 L r r '112 '136 112 102 ' 1C0 97 '133 101 143 * 143 183 92 138 134 233 176 242 104 231 151 151 196 153 120 138 143 129 155 139 112 239 256 361 126 118 292 165 78 125 227 172 123 323 116 117 158 »137 198 152 138 134 233 242 101 151 126 140 122 147 »185 180 94 142 137 237 175 246 100 230 147 142 195 152 124 146 146 134 159 142 144 236 253 356 124 115 279 161 76 122 210 169 116 324 112 110 154 215 140 138 135 230 238 102 152 119 142 127 142 *113 187 85 137 134 234 174 243 101 242 151 150 191 155 117 133 141 123 155 138 86 241 259 364 129 119 287 167 83 131 216 175 137 341 112 107 159 »135 202 155 137 134 234 243 100 151 123 139 126 180 145 142 137 237 246 98 147 124 143 120 172 105 141 137 242 172 252 100 228 145 140 196 148 126 146 146 128 158 143 148 235 251 354 127 118 263 168 84 127 230 169 119 319 115 113 153 » 153 173 136 140 136 242 252 100 145 121 142 120 '111 '136 110 '99 109 '83 '123 99 ' 115 '148 114 95 110 '82 '126 106 ' 111 '136 '110 91 114 76 ' 121 Mil '111 '143 ' 112 88 112 73 '122 105 '104 '138 '105 '84 112 76 '124 1C8 143 P94 207 89 139 136 230 176 238 101 244 152 151 187 159 114 136 145 143 162 139 85 244 262 367 131 122 285 168 88 131 212 177 126 359 111 105 158 P128 P!39 153 P225 162 169 132 128 247 172 259 89 227 139 139 193 131 127 143 143 118 151 142 142 230 246 347 124 114 244 165 86 124 222 165 128 314 105 113 153 P151 P139 175 130 133 129 247 259 95 139 122 139 117 169 112 142 137 251 264 102 141 126 142 114 '106 r 132 ' 102 84 ' 116 '75 ' 114 102 '108 '127 '103 87 '121 '82 '115 113 166 159 P155 165 9 178 147 213 141 137 251 171 264 98 231 141 140 189 140 129 147 147 124 154 146 145 232 248 348 127 118 245 162 88 122 204 168 186 314 112 108 147 163 P221 P125 148 236 141 137 258 168 272 100 230 147 148 196 144 131 147 148 129 151 149 138 230 246 342 120 111 238 159 86 116 200 168 156 307 121 120 146 P 147 161 121 142 137 258 272 99 147 124 143 114 '108 '120 '101 §*' '81 '124 '79 / 115 115 155 v 108 175 133 143 138 '268 170 '283 107 '231 149 149 209 143 137 140 148 126 155 148 '89 232 248 341 122 J12 234 160 88 116 208 173 184 '307 116 112 ' 154 '149 156 180 143 139 266 170 281 105 231 146 140 199 150 125 '144 148 133 152 148 123 232 248 344 120 109 233 161 88 115 212 169 166 '307 115 HI ' 156 P152 P94 184 114 134 132 267 167 282 '106 '237 '152 146 215 152 121 '131 '141 109 138 ' 146 68 '232 r249 '343 '122 111 229 '163 90 '116 218 '173 169 '312 '114 115 ' 154 P165 P145 154 139 143 139 266 281 103 146 120 143 112 158 145 143 138 '268 '283 103 149 135 143 '112 158 '146 135 132 267 282 '104 '152 131 137 111 '108 '115 [102 L'84 125 '82 ' 122 '127 '106 ' 109 '99 '79 '125 r 88 -•121 '121 '105 '108 rQ4 '79 '130 95 '116 '117 r MANUFACTURERS' ORDERS, SHIPMENTS, AND INVENTORIES 302 324 314 316 280 299 261 New orders, index, total Jan/1939—100. _ 276 271 293 316 301 461 403 455 365 384 487 429 455 411 Durable goods __ do 436 445 468 429 40S 439 381 416 275 272 415 257 Iron and steel and their products., _ _ _ do . 300 330 366 389 326 316 348 396 339 401 406 389 523 395 Electrical machinery do 398 407 455 501 440 446 439 Other machinery do... 291 361 441 370 319 450 633 592 613 590 577 595 557 611 556 626 621 Other durable goods _ do 589 201 202 204 223 194 23C Nondurable goods . do 215 189 198 '226 201 208 263 264 274 279 271 269 279 Shipments,index, total! _ _ _ avg. month 1939=100 257 268 274 264 273 373 366 376 392 389 382 Durable goods do 372 384 377 383 364 371 289 292 313 309 329 Automobiles and equipment _ do 303 282 295 314 301 299 290 249 243 262 245 253 247 244 Iron and steel and their products do 248 252 234 235 248 263 282 286 267 Nonferrous metals and products. do 275 257 273 273 279 260 272 274 483 492 526 Electrical machinery.. do 521 485 513 508 515 429 483 492 452 396 389 390 Other machinery do 402 392 425 407 427 382 401 408 411 2,412 2,506 2,468 2,310 2,372 2,644 Transportation equipment (exc. autos) _ _ do 2,672 2,561 2,436 2, 542 2,414 2,526 210 210 219 219 207 208 213 206 219 198 221 Other durable goods do 204 203 193 187 193 201 194 Nondurable goods do 193 196 198 182 190 208 207 207 215 211 Chemicals and allied products . do 204 200 199 205 206 218 204 208 206 217 216 203 216 Food and kindred products __ do 208 227 207 214 204 200 200 172 165 178 172 179 172 Paper and allied products _ . do 175 174 179 176 180 162 194 185 187 192 176 178 184 189 206 Products of petroleum and coal* .do 179 192 170 Rubber products . do 295 288 297 342 293 299 290 295 293 316 274 189 Textile-mill products do 184 184 189 192 200 2G2 195 162 185 200 182 Other nondurable goods do 169 165 175 189 189 181 180 147 163 174 172 180 * Revised. * Preliminary. •New series. Indexes of munitions production for 1940-43 are shown on p. 24 of the February 1945 Survey; subsequent revisions in the 1943 data are available on request. !Revised series. For revisions for the indicated unadjusted indexes and all seasonally adjusted indexes shown above for the industrial production series, see table 12 on pp. 18-20 of the December 1943 issue. Seasonal adjustment factors for a number of industries included in the industrial production series shown in the Survey have been fixed at 100 beginning various months from January 1939 to July 1942; data for these industries are shown only in the unadjusted series as the "adjusted" indexes are the same as the unadjusted. The indexes of shipments have been revised beginning 1939 to incorporate corrections in company reports due to renegotiations and other revisions and to take account of changes in the weighting factors; the series "products of petroleum and coal" has been substituted above for "petroleum refining" formerly shown; data for other series are shown on the revised basis beginning in the February 1945 Survey and annual totals back to 1939 are on p. 22 of that issue; complete monthly revisions are available on request. March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey 1945 January S-3 1944 January February March April May SepAugust * tember July June Novem- December ber October BUSINESS INDEXES—Continued MANUFACTURERS' ORDERS, S H I P M E N T S , AND INVENTORIES-Continued Inventories: Index, total avg. month 1939=100.Durable goods _ -do Automobiles and equipment -do Iron and steel and their products -do Nonferrous metals and products* do Electrical machinery do Other machinery do Transportation equipment (except automobiles) avg. month 1939=100.. Other durable goodsf -do Nondurable goods ....-do Chemicals and allied products... do Food and kindred products -_do Paper and allied products do Petroleum refining.. do Rubber products.. ..do Textile-mill products . do Other nondurable goods do Estimated value of manufacturers' inventories* mil. of. dol.- 179.1 212.0 238.2 135.6 155.9 339.5 219.9 177.7 208.6 240.6 131.1 154.8 336.8 222.7 176.7 207.2 244.7 126.8 155.6 338.1 227.2 175.2 204.9 241.5 124.1 154.7 330.3 229.2 173.7 204.0 240.3 125.7 U>3. 6 341.2 226.9 173.3 263.6 234.1 126.7 154.6 338.9 224.9 173.2 201.9 229.9 129.0 152.7 335.5 225.1 173.7 200.9 228.0 128.1 153.0 334.8 218.4 172.4 198.8 229.8 127.5 148.6 327.8 218.9 172.0 197.1 229.6 126.3 145.8 318.6 219.4 170.8 194.6 220.2 124.4 146.7 320.5 216.2 168.1 191.7 209.0 119.5 152.8 322.1 215.9 1,100.1 110.4 150.4 If 8. 2 179.1 131.3 105.3 179.6 129.1 154.0 1,039.6 108.2 150.7 160.3 177.0 133.4 106.0 185.2 125.8 157.1 1,012.6 106.7 150.0 161.4 173.8 136.1 107.5 187.6 123. 5 156.7 991.3 106.5 149.2 163.8 170.8 139.0 108.4 190.6 120.6 155.3 943.7 107.4 147.2 163.6 166.2 138.8 112.0 188.1 118.5 152.0 954.1 106.5 146.9 164.9 170.7 139.8 108.1 182.1 116.1 149.3 910.2 106.2 148.1 164.2 177.7 143.4 108.3 174.7 116.2 147.5 929.3 107.4 149.9 162.5 185.7 144.7 109.0 172.9 115.0 147.9 907.0 105.5 149.4 159.2 187.0 142.7 109.7 174.3 112.5 147.9 895.2 105.9 150.1 156.8 188.3 139.9 110.9 174.3 115.6 149.0 873.8 106. 4 149.9 154.8 184.7 136.2 110.8 176.1 118.3 151.8 836.2 107.4 147.3 157.1 174.5 135.4 108.5 17,805 17, 666 17,562 17,414 17,268 17, 229 17,215 17,266 17,139 17,100 16,973 16,704 93 6 116.3 154.1 BUSINESS POPULATION OPERATING BUSINESSES AND BUSINESS TURN-OVER* (17. <S. Department of Commerce) Operating businesses, total, end of quarter.--thousandsContract construction An Manufacturing do do. . Wholesale trade ... Retail trade 2,840.1 137. 4 227.0 1J5.0 1,330. 5 554.5 475.7 56.5 56.3 45.4 do do do do Service industries All other New businesses, quarterly Discontinued businesses, quarterly Business transfers, quarterly. do-._do INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL FAILURES {Dun and Bradstreet) Grand total number.Commercial service. _ do Construction _- _ _ do.... do Manufacturing and mining do. . Retail trade do Wholesale trade ..thous. of doLLiabilities, grand total .do—. Commercial service Construction .__ . _ . do do.._. Manufacturing and mining do. . Retail trade ... do Wholesale trade - 80 8 10 34 26 2 5,883 2,622 120 13 132 22 96 9 13 19 11 31 50 32 49 10 5 1,708 105 3,108 369 1,460 173 13 28 43 2,854. 6 1 351.8 565.6 61.4 46.9 49.9 148 14 110 9 91 10 77 3 75 8 74 4 75 12 26 131 9 20 37 56 12 9 9 12 11 18 4 23 41 28 32 24 26 30 25 18 21 36 36 34 63 31 51 6 11 7 2,697 102 1,854 224 1,293 903 1,071 305 2,451 291 557 272 3,288 161 3,521 156 513 115 8 3,559 514 1,054 16 5 11 3,819 43 3,008 1,663 1,804 80 482 f 41 2,128 254 893 304 2,032 391 801 303 24 223 107 68 135 150 95 159 86 188 19 235 235 1, 682 1,111 939 1,119 1,024 1,248 1,222 1,142 1,146 1,159 1,460 1,506 1,520 193 197 165 170 350 163 228 192 194 161 168 350 164 230 193 191 156 166 355 162 214 186 209 194 201 192 188 155 162 358 170 206 166 207 196 200 194 187 164 161 357 171 205 196 189 165 157 368 168 195 200 196 167 160 364 168 206 855 183 209 115 249 159 144 123 4,065 155 4 6 9 3,524 57 318 2,676 338 273 1,076 385 BUSINESS INCORPORATIONS New incorporations (4 states) . number. - COMMODITY PRICES P R I C E S RECEIVED BY F A R M E R S f U. S. D e p a r t m e n t of Agriculture: Combined indext Crops Food grain . Feed grain and h a y . Tobacco Cotton " " Fruit . Truck crops Oil-bearing crops Livestock and products M e a t animals 1909-14=100.do--.do.... — do do do "do.... - do... do...do.-.. do.— 201 200 169 163 365 163 205 196 199 170 168 350 162 204 195 196 170 169 348 161 206 262 214 202 203 267 203 193 194 247 205 194 199 196 198 169 171 351 161 215 242 207 194 203 196 200 171 172 352 163 237 194 198 170 173 350 160 232 220 207 191 203 225 208 190 201 231 210 189 200 195 209 190 197 153 211 199 201 188 215 202 200 228 215 202 198 Dairy products do... 202 201 201 199 196 194 192 194 196 198 201 203 203 P o u l t r y and e g g s " " - - . do.... 199 177 168 162 151 153 154 165 171 179 190 207 211 ...-1923=100._ do. - - " do..., - do—.. "do ~-do..-_ 105.7 94.2 112.1 95.8 91.0 114.9 103.9 91.2 111.1 95.1 90.8 110.5 103.4 91.6 109.6 96.0 90.8 110.6 103.4 91.7 109.2 95.3 90.8 111.5 104.1 91.9 110.1 95.3 90.8 112.8 104.4 92.3 110.7 96.3 90.8 113.2 104.4 92.5 110.6 95.1 90.8 113.3 105.0 92.5 111.9 95.1 fi0.9 113.3 105.1 93.0 111.9 95.1 90.9 113.4 105.0 93.2 111.5 95.1 90.9 113.6 105.1 93.6 111.1 95.1 91.0 114.2 105.2 93.9 111.1 95.2 91.0 114.7 '105.7 94.0 '112.3 '95.8 91.0 114.8 COST O F LIVING National Industrial Conference Board: Combined index Clothing " Food Fuel and light -— Housing " Sundries."."—I—" • New series. D a t a for inventories of nonferrous metals and their products were included in the "other durable goods" index as shown in the Survey prior to the M a y 1943 issue; revised figures for the latter series and the index for nonferrous metals beginning December 1938 are available on request. For the estimated value of manufacturers' inventories for 1938-42, see p . 7 of the June 1942 Survey and p . S-2 of the M a y 1943 issue. For earlier figures for the series on operating businesses and business turn-over and a description of the data, see tables on p . 10 of the M a y 1944 Survey and pp. 8-11 of the July 1944 issue and the accompanying text and notes on sources and methods. t T h e indexes of prices received b v farmers are shown on a revised basis beginning in the March 1944 Survey; revised data beginning 1913 will be published in a subsequent Issue D a t a for F e b . 15 1944, are as follows: Total, 199; crops, 197; food grain, 169; feed grain and hay, 164; tobacco, 360; cotton, 161; fruit, 211; truck crops, 223; oil-bearing crops, 215; livestock and products, 201; meat animals, 209; dairy products, 200; poultry and eggs, 183. See note marked " • " in regard to revision of the index of inventories of " o t h e r durable goods" industries. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey 1945 January March 1945 1944 January February March April May June July SepAugust tember October Novem- Decem ber ber COMMODITY PRICES—Continued COST OF LIVING-Continued U. S. Department of Labor: Combined index Clothing Food Fuel, electricity, and ice Housefumishings Rent . .. 1935-39=100do -- - do do do -- - do 127.1 143.0 137.3 109.7 143.6 0) 123.1 123.8 135.2 134.5 110.3 128.7 108.1 118.7 123.8 136.7 134.1 109.9 129.0 108.1 119.1 124.6 137.1 134.6 109.9 132.9 108.1 120.9 125.1 137.4 135.5 109.8 135.0 108.1 121.3 125.4 138.0 135.7 109.6 138.4 108.1 121.7 126.1 138.3 137.4 109.7 138.7 108.2 122.0 126.4 139.4 137.7 109.8 139.3 108.2 122.3 126.5 141.4 137.0 109.8 140.7 108.2 122.4 126.5 141.9 136.4 109.8 141.4 126.6 142.1 136.5 109.9 141.7 122.8 122.9 127.0 142.8 137.4 109.4 143.0 i 108.3 123.1 135.3 135.0 135.1 136.3 137.0 137.5 138.2 138.6 138.9 138.8 139.0 139.6 99.1 103.5 136.1 108.5 133.5 166.7 131.0 102.4 103.8 134.5 108.1 133.5 163.0 130.5 99.9 103.8 134.1 108.0 133.6 162.9 130.6 99.9 104.0 134.6 108.0 133.6 168.8 130.0 99.3 104.3 135.5 108.1 133.5 172.8 130.3 98.6 104.4 135.7 108.4 133.5 174.0 129.8 98.5 104.4 137.4 108.6 133.6 176.9 129.3 98.5 104.6 137.7 108.5 133.6 175.7 129.0 98.5 104.6 137.0 108.6 133.6 169.9 129.0 98.6 104.7 136.4 108.6 133.6 162.9 129.4 98.6 104.7 136.5 108.6 133.6 160.7 129.7 98.7 104.8 137.4 108.6 ' 133. 5 164.2 129.9 124.2 134.7 136.1 109.5 128.3 108.1 118.4 0) 0) RETAIL PRICES U. S. Department of Commerce: 139.7 All commodities, index* 1935-39=100 U. S. Department of Labor indexes: 98.7 Anthracite 1923-25=100 . Bituminous coal _ do .. 104.8 137.3 Food, combined index - 1935-39=100 Cereals and bakery products* _ do... _ 108.7 133.5 Dairy products* do 168.9 Fruits and vegetables* do 130.2 Meats* __ _. _do_. Fairchild's index: Combined index Dec. 31,1930=100.. 113.4 Apparel: 108.2 Infants' .. do 105.4 Men's _ _... _ do 113.5 Women's do 115.6 Home furnishings _ do 112.2 Piece goods . __ ._ «. . do WHOLESALE PRICES U. S. Department of Labor indexes: Combined index (889 series) 1926=100.. P104.9 Economic classes: PIOI.3 Manufactured products . __ _ do 115.1 Raw materials do 94.9 Semimanufactured articles _ . do 126.2 Farm products do 129.3 Grains . do 131.1 Livestock and poultry do p100.1 Commodities other than farm products do 104.7 Foods do 94.7 Cereal products do 110.8 Dairy products ... do 114.4 Fruits and vegetables do 106.4 Meats . do Commodities other than farm products and foods 1926=100.. P 9 9 . 1 Building materials . .. do.. _ 116.8 110.4 Brick and tile do 97.4 Cement . . do 153.8 Lumber... .. do 106.3 Paint and paint materials. _ . . . do 94.9 Chemicals and allied products! do 95.8 Chemicals . do . 106.9 Drugs and pharmaceuticalsf do 81.9 Fertilizer materials _. do 102.0 Oils and fats do 83.3 Fuel and lighting materials.do Electricity do Gas . do 64.3 Petroleum products do 117.5 Hides and leather products._ . do 114.8 Hides and skins... . do Leather do....- 101.3 126.3 Shoes _. do Housefurnishing goods Furnishings do do Furniture «... Metals and metal products Iron andnonferrous MetalSj steel Plumbmg and heating equipment Textile products._ 113.3 113.4 113.4 113.4 113.4 113.4 113.4 1J3.4 113.4 113.4 113.4 113.4 108.2 105.3 113.6 115.5 112.2 108.2 105.3 113.7 115.6 112.2 108.2 105.3 113.7 115.6 112.2 108.2 105.3 113.7 115.6 112.2 108.2 105.3 113.7 115.6 112.2 108.2 105.3 113.7 115.6 112.2 108.2 105.3 113.7 115.6 112.2 108.2 105.3 113.7 115.6 112.2 108.2 105.3 113.7 115.6 112.2 108.2 105.3 113.6 115.6 112.2 108.2 105.3 113.6 115.6 112.2 108.2 105.4 113.5 115.6 112.2 103.3 103.6 103.8 103.9 104.0 104.3 104.1 103.9 104.0 104.1 104.4 v 104.7 100.2 112.2 93.2 121.8 129.5 120.8 99.1 104.9 95.1 110.6 118.4 106.0 100.4 112.8 93.4 122.5 129.3 123.3 99.3 104.5 95.1 110.7 120.7 106.0 100.5 113.4 93.7 123.6 129.5 125.6 99.3 104.6 95.1 110.5 123.3 106.0 100.8 113.2 93.6 123.2 129.6 123.6 99.6 104.9 95.2 110.2 126.5 ioa2 100.9 113.0 93.7 122.9 129.7 122.6 99.7 105.0 95.0 110.3 126.8 106.6 100. § 114.2 93.8 125.0 127.2 123.0 99.6 106.5 94.7 110.3 137.7 106.1 100.9 113.6 93.9 124.1 125.2 123.4 99.6 105.8 94.3 110.3 129.9 105.9 100.9 112.7 94.1 122.6 122.5 125.4 99.7 104.8 94.3 110.5 122.8 105.9 100.9 112.8 94.7 122.7 121.7 127.6 99.7 104.2 94.4 110.7 115.9 106.0 101.0 113.2 94.8 123.4 125.1 127.1 99.8 104.2 94.7 110.7 112.7 106.0 101.1 113.8 94.8 124.4 124.8 127.0 99.9 105.1 94.7 110.7 113.7 106.1 v 101.1 114.6 94.8 125.5 127.5 126.9 v 100.0 105.5 94.7 110.7 116.2 106.2 97.8 113.5 100.2 93.6 147.6 103.5 r 98.0 113.6 100.1 93.6 148.4 103.9 '05.0 107.4 119.7 71.5 30.2 112.7 94.2 73.0 107.6 96.3 r 106. 3 81.3 102.0 82.3 59.4 76.7 63.5 117.2 112.9 101.3 126.4 104,5 107.1 102.0 103.7 97.1 85.9 91.8 97.7 107.0 112.9 71.7 30.3 112.5 93.2 73.0 106.0 96.3 r 106. 4 81.4 102.0 83.1 60.1 77.2 64.0 116.9 111.0 101.3 126.4 104.2 107.1 101.4 103.7 97.1 85.8 91.8 97.7 107.0 113.4 70.5 30.3 112.5 93.4 73.0 106.6 98.4 115.2 100.3 93.9 153.4 104.4 '95.5 96.3 ••112.0 81.4 102.0 83.0 59.9 77.1 64.0 116.9 111.2 101.3 126.3 104.3 107.2 101.4 103.7 97.1 85.8 91.8 97.8 107.0 113.9 70.5 30.3 112.5 93.5 73.0 107.2 98.5 115.7 100.5 96.4 154.0 104.7 '95.5 96.3 ' 112.0 81.4 102.0 83.2 59.0 78.4 64.0 117.0 111.9 101.3 126.3 104.3 107.2 101.4 103.7 97.1 85.8 92.4 97.8 107.0 113.9 70.5 30.3 112.5 93.5 73.0 107.2 98.5 115.9 100.6 96.4 154.0 105.7 ••95.3 96.2 '112.0 79.9 102.0 83.3 59.3 79.3 64.0 116.4 108.4 101.3 126.3 104.3 107.2 101.4 103.7 97.1 85.8 92.4 97.8 107.0 113.9 70.6 30.3 112.5 93.5 73.0 107.2 98.5 115.9 100.7 96.4 154.2 105.5 '95.5 96.2 '112.0 81.1 102.0 83.2 59.5 78.9 64.0 116.2 106.8 101.3 126.3 104.3 107.2 101.4 103.7 97.1 85.7 92.4 98.0 107.0 114.0 70.6 30.3 112.9 93.6 73.0 107.2 98.6 116.0 100.7 96.4 154.4 105.5 '95.5 96.2 '112.0 81.2 102.0 83.2 59 0 76.0 63.9 116.0 105.7 101.3 126.3 104.4 107.4 101.4 103.8 97.1 85.8 92.4 98.4 107.0 115.9 70.6 30.3 112.9 93.6 73.0 107.2 98.6 116.0 101.5 96.9 154.0 105.5 '94.9 96.0 ' 106.9 81.2 102.0 83.0 60.3 76.8 63.8 116.0 106.1 101.3 126.3 104.4 107.4 101.4 103.8 97.2 85.8 92.4 99.2 107.0 118.7 70.8 30.3 112.9 93.6 73.0 107.2 98.7 116.3 104.8 97.5 153.8 106.0 '95.0 96.0 ' 106.9 81.8 102.0 82.9 59.6 76.0 63.8 116.2 107.3 101.3 126.3 104.4 107.4 101.4 103.7 97.1 85.8 92.4 99.4 107.4 118.8 71.5 30.3 112.9 93.6 73.0 107.2 98.8 116.4 105.0 97.7 153.8 106.3 '94.8 95.5 ' 106. 9 81.8 102.0 83.1 60.1 77.3 63.8 116.2 107.1 101.3 126.3 104.4 107.4 101.5 103.7 97.1 85.8 92.4 99.4 107.4 118.8 71.5 30.2 112.9 94.0 73.0 107.2 P98.9 95.0 98.1 114.2 100.3 93.6 150.7 104.4 ••95.0 96.3 ' 106. 4 81.4 102.0 83.0 59.0 76.7 64.0 116.9 111.2 101.3 126.3 104.3 107.2 101.4 103.7 97.1 85.8 91.8 97.8 107.0 113.6 70.5 30.3 112.5 93.5 73.0 107.2 74.6 63.8 117.4 114.0 101.3 126.3 104.4 107.4 101.5 v 103. 8 97.2 85.8 92.4 99.5 107.4 119.2 71.5 30.2 112.9 94.2 73.0 107.3 76.7 78.7 72.7 53.0 77.9 80.5 73.4 54.3 77.6 80.8 74.2 54.6 77.5 80.8 74.5 54.3 77.4 80.3 74.2 54.3 77.4 80.0 73.7 54.8 77.1 79.7 73.6 55.1 77.3 79.3 72.7 55.4 77.4 79.1 72.5 55.1 77.4 79.1 72.9 55.4 77.3 79.1 73.2 54.8 77.1 79.0 73.2 54.3 76.8 78 7 72.7 53.2 104.5 107.5 101.5 do p 104.0 do 97.7 do . . . 85.9 do 92.4 do 99.6 do Clothing do Cotton goods do . . Hosiery and underwear do Rayon _ _ do _ Woolen and worsted goods do Miscellaneous _» . do Automobile tires and tubes. do Paper and pulp do Wholesale prices, actual. (See respective commodities.) 116.4 105. 3 97.5 153.8 106.3 '94.8 95.6 ' 106.9 81.8 102.0 83.1 PURCHASING POWER OF THE DOLLAR As measured b y Wholesale prices Cost of living. _ Retail food prices Prices received by fannersf. 1935-39=100 do do . do_.. » Preliminary. * Revised. December 1944 index based on rents in 20 large cities, assuming no change in cities not surveyed; rents not collected for other months. *New series. For a description of the Department of Commerce index of retail prices of all commodities, see p. 28 of the August 1943 Survey; minor revisions have been made in the figures published prior to the Februaryl945 Survey; 1939-43 revisions are available on request. Data beginning 1923 for the indexes of retail prices of the food subgroups are available on request; the combined index for food, which is the same as the index under cost of living above, includes other food groups not shown separately. t Revised series. The indexes of wholesale prices of chemicals and allied products and drugs and Pharmaceuticals have been revised beginning October 1941 owing to a change in the method of computing the net tax applicable to the quoted price of undenatured ethyl alcohol and a reduction in the weight assigned to this commodity; revised figures for 1941-43 will be published later; the revision has not been incorporated in the all-commodities index, which would be affected only fractionally, or in the indexes for manufactured products, commodities other than farm products, and commodities other than farm products and foods. The index of purchasing power of the dollar based on prices received by armers has been shown on a revised basis beginning in the April 1944 Survey. 1 March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS _ : . . ,. Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may he found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey —. - -„ , , = 1945 January S-5 —* =z October Novem- December ber 1944 January February March April May June July SepAugust tember CONSTRUCTION AND REAL ESTATE CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY* New construction, total mil. of dol._ Private, total _ do Residential (nonfarm) __ . do Nonresidential building, except farm and public utility, total mil. of dolIndustrial . do Farm construction ._ do Public utility do Public construction, total do Residential __ do Military and naval do Nonresidential building, total do Industrial do Highway _ _ do All other do *>282 p 127 *>27 342 123 50 323 123 46 310 125 44 320 127 45 333 130 45 340 138 46 342 141 45 357 142 42 344 141 39 328 136 35 '•311 130 32 '284 ' 126 '30 p 52 24 15 9 40 219 30 75 75 68 20 19 25 16 10 42 200 24 66 73 66 19 18 26 17 12 43 185 21 54 73 63 18 19 26 17 13 43 193 20 60 71 62 22 20 28 18 14 43 203 19 67 68 58 26 23 30 20 15 47 202 17 62 67 57 32 24 31 20 18 47 201 16 67 62 50 34 22 33 20 21 46 215 13 68 75 63 34 25 35 20 19 48 203 9 59 79 64 32 24 37 21 16 48 192 8 '52 78 ••65 31 22 39 23 13 46 ' 181 8 49 '80 '67 25 19 '44 '27 10 42 '158 7 '40 45 24 55 29 38 18 45 21 40 18 40 17 41 19 36 17 40 19 33 16 41 16 34 15 43 14 38 14 43 13 41 13 40 13 39 13 39 13 42 13 40 13 46 13 ' 40 12 r 51 14 10,272 159,238 121,875 37,363 8,577 137,246 108,812 28., 434 9,927 176,383 133,264 43,119 9,877 179,286 132,845 46,441 10,115 144,202 97,958 46,244 8,309 163,866 121,924 41,942 8,830 190, 539 148,191 42,348 8,204 169,341 124,913 44,428 9,105 175, 739 127, 001 48, 738 9,266 144, 845 101, 612 43, 233 8,848 164,850 102, 522 62,328 ' 7, 441 188,481 114,175 74, 306 2,594 11,185 67,908 2,413 11,770 57,, 269 2,546 11,863 79,960 2,616 12, 289 69,491 2,888 8,027 53,897 2,726 10,265 62, 520 3,435 14,508 84,199 2,831 12,127 76,637 3,148 15, 674 87,175 3,099 11,485 68,841 3,271 17,173 93, 604 2,788 19,193 97,933 6,841 8,896 40,997 5,239 5,359 24,, 861 5,914 7,533 35,164 5,886 8,225 37,772 5,499 7,251 34,476 3,942 6,477 30,622 3,854 4,964 25, 813 3,886 4,902 23, 273 4,217 4,444 24,4/0 4,764 6, 298 23, 805 4,481 4,734 23, 288 r 494 26,241 563 23,466 1,059 32,596 095 40,097 1,355 36,137 1,264 38,929 1,203 47,143 1,168 48, 693 1, 371 40, 353 973 34, 462 720 22,686 831 38, 784 343 24,092 362 31, 650 408 28,663 380 31,926 373 19,692 377 31,795 338 33,384 319 20, 738 369 23, 741 430 17,737 -376 25, 272 429 27, 862 P34 P 9 •P 39 v 155 v7 v 43 p 72 p 61 •p 15 p 18 65 17 17 CONTRACT AWARDS, PERMITS, AND DWELLING UNITS PROVIDED Value of contracts awarded (F. R. indexes): Total, unadjusted 1923-25=100.. P38 v 11 Residential, unadjusted do P46 Total, adjusted . . do Residential, adjusted do p 13 Contract awards, 37 States (F. W. Dodge Corp.): 7,210 Total projects _. . _ number 140,949 Total valuation _ . thous. of dol Public ownership do 74,960 65,989 Private ownership.. _ do Nonresidential buildings: 2,227 Projects . . number Floor area thous. of sq. ft.. 11,374 81,614 Valuation _thous. of dol.. Residential buildings: 4,268 Projects _ number.. 3, 703 Floor area thous. of sq. ft.. 19, 536 Valuation thous. of dol_. Public works: Projects number 445 23,836 Valuation thous. of dol Utilities: 270 Projects number Valuation thous. of dol.. 15,963 Indexes of building construction (based on bldg. permits, U.S. Dept.of Labor):f 29.1 Number of new dwelling units provided. 1935-39=100.. Permit valuation: 37.7 Total building construction _ do 21.8 New residential buildings do 35.9 New nonresidential buildings do 78.1 Additions, alterations, and repairs.. . do Estimated number of new dwelling units in nonfarm areas (U. S. Dept. of Labor): Total nonfarm (quarterly)* number 5,046 Urban, totals _ do 4,095 1-family dwellings do 213 2-family dwellings do 738 Multifamily dwellings do Engineering construction: Contract awards (E. N. R.)§ _thous. of dol.- 88,193. 3,393 4,872 23,902 64.5 52,2 71.9 55.3 64.3 67.5 50.3 47.5 38.6 43.7 46.1 '46.4 49.9 48.6 44.7 66.4 43.2 41.9 35.9 65.1 52.6 55.5 39.2 80.7 51.3 43.7 47.5 78.2 62.2 51.4 60.8 90.1 66.3 55.1 64.1 97.5 51.7 42.0 41.9 98.5 48.9 39.7 41.3 88.5 46.4 31.9 39.1 97.6 57.0 32.5 61.4 100.2 51.4 32.9 46.8 104.7 39.8 'r 32. 5 33. 0 '73.6 11,016 9,051 977 988 9,050 7,351 409 1,290 48,925 12, 361 10, 261 1,165 935 9,592 7,423 1,003 1,166 10,923 8,161 956 1,806 48, 278 11, 558 9,139 1,393 1,026 9,180 7,603 860 717 8,238 6,408 655 1,175 38, 608 6,686 5,406 575 705 7,573 5,979 733 861 7,950 6,468 612 870 156,518 117,878 175, 726 145,040 138,857 157, 811 158, 561 211,251 117,919 127,195 129,740 93, 257 1,046 708 96 242 2,424 1,670 325 429 3,317 2,753 238 325 1,863 1,109 334 421 2,607 1,352 672 583 5,743 3,289 1,611 843 3,966 2,736 808 423 2,812 1,046 1,124 642 2,712 962 1,186 564 1,204 456 238 510 2, 644 1,497 713 435 2,342 839 1, 092 r 33,174 ' 8, 045 7, 029 568 448 r HIGHWAY CONSTRUCTION Concrete pavement contract awards:! Total thous. of sq. yd._ Airports do Roads . do Streets and alleys ... . . do 1,070 541 342 187 411 CONSTRUCTION COST INDEXES 231 227 227 221 Aberthaw (industrial building).. . . . ._ .1914=100 American Appraisal Co.: 266 265 263 262 260 260 261 258 259 256 260 256 Average, 30 cities __ . „ 1913=100 267 267 268 268 270 271 267 267 262 264 267 267 Atlanta do 268 269 270 266 266 268 262 262 266 260 266 259 New York _ do 234 234 236 236 236 238 239 239 241 241 234 237 San Francisco _ do 252 252 252 254 254 255 256 252 250 252 252 250 St. Louis do 224.2 224.2 225.0 225.7 223.8 223.8 222.0 223.0 221.0 222.0 223.8 223.8 226 8 Associated General Contractors (all types)...1913=100.. E. H. Boeckh and Associates, Inc.: Apartments, hotels, and office buildings: Brick and concrete: 121.6 118.4 119.0 119.0 121.8 118.0 118.0 114.1 116.2 116.8 116.8 118.0 Atlanta U. S. av., 1926-29=100 121.8 151.9 151.9 153.4 153.1 151.7 145.5 151.4 151.4 145. 3 150.8 145. 2 150.8 153.1 New York . . do 140.8 142.0 142.0 143.2 143.2 137.3 139.6 140.5 140.5 139.6 135.3 136.7 143.2 San Francisco do 138.1 140.0 142.4 134.2 136.7 138.1 135.3 135.3 132.4 135.7 135.7 134.8 142.4 St. Louis _. do ' Revised. p Preliminary. § Data for March, June, August, and November 1944 are for 5 weeks; other months, 4 weeks. {Data published currently and in earlier issues of the Survey cover 4- and 5-week periods, except that December figures include awards through December 31 and January figures begin January 1; beginning 1939 the weekly data are combined on the basis of weeks ended on Saturday within the months unless a week ends on the 1st and 2d of the month when it is included in figures for the preceding month (exceptions were made in the case of weeks ended Apr. 3,1944, and Feb. 3, 1945, which were included in the preceding month). «JThe data for urban dwelling units have been revised for 1942-43; revisions prior to March 1943 are available on request. *New series. Data beginning January 1944 for the series on new construction are revised joint estimates by the U. S. Departments of Commerce and Labor and the v\ ar Production Board; see note marked '•*" on page S-5 of the January 1945 Survey for sources of earlier data. The series on residential (nonfarm) construction has been revised back to January 1939 to exclude additions, alterations, and repairs, and the revision incorporated in the totals (for revised annual data for 1939-43, see p. 22 of February 1945 issue). Except for this revision, data for 1929-43 are correct as published m issues of the Survey referred to in the footnote on p. S-5 of the January 1945 issue; however, additional minor revisions in the 1942 and 1943 data are expected. The quarterly estimates of total nonfarm dwelling units include data for urban dwelling units shown above by months and data for rural nonfarm dwelling units wnich are compiled only quarterly; for .1940 and 1941 data, see p. S-4 of the November 1942 Survey (revised figures for first half of 1942—1st quarter, 138,700; 2d quarter. 166,600); annual estimates for 1920-39 are available on request. tRevised series. Data have been revised for 1940-43; revisions prior to March 1943 are available on request. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 630255—45Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis S-6 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January March 1945 1944 1945 February January March June May April July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber CONSTRUCTION AND REAL ESTATE—Continued CONSTRUCTION COST INDEXES-Continued E. H. Boeckh and Associates, Inc.—Con. Commercial and factory buildings: Brick and concrete: Atlanta U. S. average 1926-29=100.. New York . do.— do . San Francisco do St. Louis Brick and steel: Atlanta do New York do .San Francisco St. Louis Residences: Brick: do.... Atlanta do New York San Francisco do . St Louis Frame: do Atlanta do ._ New York . do_ — San Francisco. St Louis 1913=100.. Engineering News Record (all types). Federal Home Loan Bank Administr ation: Standard 6-room frame house: Combined index _ 1935-39=100.. do . Materials do Labor 121.5 155.9 145 7 144 9 113.8 147.6 139.4 134.0 115.4 147. 7 140.5 135.8 115.7 147.8 140.4 136.0 116.8 154.4 143.1 136.7 116.8 154.4 143.1 136.7 118.4 154.8 143.8 136.9 118.4 154.8 143.8 136.9 118.6 155.0 144.0 137.9 119.3 155. 2 145.0 138.1 119.3 155.2 145.0 138.1 121.4 156.3 145.0 139.6 121.5 155.9 145.7 144.9 122 1 153 3 147 2 143.2 114.8 144.6 137.7 132.3 116.7 144.8 138.9 134.5 117.2 145.1 139.0 134.6 118.2 151.0 142.4 136.8 118.2 151.0 142.4 136. 8 119.1 151.6 143.4 137.1 119.1 151.6 143.4 137.1 119.6 152.0 143.8 137.8 119.8 152,4 146.1 139.4 119.8 152.4 146.1 139.4 122.1 153.6 147.1 141.1 122.1 153.3 147.2 143.2 129.4 157 9 145 3 146 7 116.9 148. 3 134, 6 132.1 120.5 149.0 136.6 135.6 122.3 150.1 136.6 137.7 122.5 152.6 137.5 137.7 122.5 152.6 137.5 137.7 124.1 154.2 140.0 138.6 124.1 154.2 140.0 138.6 126.2 155.7 141.4 140.9 126.5 156.5 143.4 141.8 126. 5 156. 5 143. 4 141.8 129.9 158.6 145.3 144.7 129.4 157.9 145.3 146.7 131 2 159 5 143.4 146 2 303.7 117.0 149.4 131.8 131.0 295.1 121.3 150.3 134.1 135.4 295. 3 123.6 151.6 134.2 137.7 297.7 123.8 153.1 134.7 137.7 298.0 123.8 153.1 134.7 137.7 298.7 125.4 155.1 137.8 138.9 299.9 125.4 155.1 137.8 138.9 300.4 128.1 157.3 139.6 141.8 300.5 128.3 157. 9 141.2 142.3 301.1 128.3 157.9 141.2 142.3 301.1 131.6 160.3 143.4 145.0 302.0 131.2 159.5 143.4 146.2 302.5 134.6 131 7 140.3 130.6 127.8 136.1 131.4 128.8 136.5 131.7 129.1 136.8 132.2 129.7 137.0 132.7 130.3 137.3 133.0 130.8 137.5 133.1 131.0 137.3 133.3 131. 3 137.3 133.7 131.2 138. 5 * 133. 9 ' 131.3 ' 139.1 134.4 131. 5 ' 140.1 ' 134. 5 r 131. 5 ' 140.3 29,998 6,082 56,821 5,385 51,304 5,440 52,334 5,494 60,747 5,544 57,926 5,601 65. 333 5,653 41, 429 5,713 42, 457 33.865 5^845 37,982 5,910 29, 661 5,970 26,960 6,025 354, 578 301,949 309,644 368,240 369, 268 405,095 421, 631 411,136 416,185 422,839 393, 639 360, 227 102, 301 80,978 98,164 116,130 122,643 132,523 140, 709 125, 036 134,455 135, 228 118, 374 111, 138 3,772 77, 395 11,267 1,868 7,999 7,872 55,000 9,976 1,521 6,609 11,195 66,138 11,955 1,960 6,916 9,127 81,846 14,422 2,266 8,469 13,484 85, 568 13, 491 2,679 7,421 7,338 98,872 14,415 2,967 8,931 9,663 103,276 14,963 2,957 9, 850 7,078 93, 232 13, 871 2,841 8,014 7, 5S9 105,050 14,152 3,067 8,816 5,923 101,884 14,495 3,160 8,993 6,095 101, 461 15, 253 2,699 9,720 4,635 90,182 13,265 2,507 7,785 5,244 81, 508 13, 555 2,127 8,704 106 115 114 99 83 72 136 114 95 81 100 131 1,318 1,300 1,279 1,260 1,240 1,199 1,177 1,155 1,133 1,111 1,091 11.7 38,572 13.7 38,280 12.7 39,084 10 0 34,746 10 9 32,815 9 8 30,618 11 2 31,448 10 2 32,173 11 4 33, 847 10 9 48, 694 T REAL ESTATE Fed. Hous. Admn., home mortgage insurance: Gross mortgages accepted for insurance.thous. of doL Premium-paying mortgages (cumulative) mil. of dol. Estimated total nonfarm mortgages recorded ($20,000 and under)* thnns. of dol Estimated new mortgage loans by all savings and loan associations, total thous. of dol Classified according to purpose: Mortgage loans on homes: do... Construction Home purchase do... Refmancing do.._ Repairs and reconditioning ...do... do Loans for all other purposes Loans outstanding of agencies under the Federal Home Loan Bank Administration: Federal Savings and Loan Assns., estimated mortgages outstandingt mil. of dol Fed. Home Loan Banks, outstanding advances to member institutions mil. of dol Home Owners' Loan Corporation balance of loans outstanding ... . mil. of dol. Foreclosures, nonfarm :f 1935-39*= 100 Index, adjusted Fire losses . . . . _ _ thous. of dol 1,927 44,865 5,782 430, 776 138, 674 2 025 1,973 128 1, 220 11 4 10 3 30, 5r»5 1 32,706 2, 058 i DOMESTIC TRADE ADVERTISING Advertising indexes, adjusted :f Printers' Ink, combined index. 1935-39*= 100.. Farm papers do Magazines ...do Newspapers do Outdoor do Radio do Tide, combined index* ._ ...1935-39=100.. Radio advertising: Cost of facilities, total. thous. of doL. Automobiles and accessories do Clothing,. ...do Electrical household equipment do Financial .do Foods, food beverages, confections do Gasoline and oiL. do Housefurnishings, etc do Soap, cleansers, etc ...do Smoking materials do Toilet goods, medical supplies... do All other do Magazine advertising: Cost, total do Automobiles and accessories do Clothing , do Electric household equipment. do.._. 148.0 171. 9 130.3 138.6 141.2 109.7 139.0 247.9 150.0 128.2 131.8 138.0 104.8 147.1 270.7 144.8 125.1 133. 6 130.4 104.3 144.5 252. 5 135.5 122.3 133.4 130.0 98.7 122.7 288.6 135.1 124.7 137. 3 141.8 100. 4 113.2 285. 3 142.6 131.7 1 £3. 4 ]fi0.8 105.1 107. 5 299.9 149.4 137.1 1C6. 3 183.4 105.9 112.8 326.8 161.2 143. 5 lf'0. 2 184.7 112.3 114.0 339.5 176.4 ' 135.6 165.8 160.3 105.1 154. 5 •• 329.2 366.2 128.9 162.1 158. 2 103.1 123.7 ' 275. 8 149. 4 133. 6 159. 4 152. 1 107.9 155.5 ' 280. 6 150.3 127. 0 154. 2 168. 4 98.0 167.2 270.0 145. 3 15,424 774 187 101 177 4,290 662 108 936 1,742 4,274 2,172 14, 704 757 177 81 158 4,072 634 93 934 1,662 4,081 2,054 15,993 782 179 81 172 4,502 675 108 1,008 1,817 4,379 2,291 15,652 811 167 110 178 4, 375 663 136 920 1,628 4,208 ' 2, 456 16,138 819 159 88 153 4,652 640 115 1,017 1,657 4, 573 2. 265 15,128 796 115 89 162 4, 4C& 588 122 944 1, 55f. 4,212 2, 136 15,340 893 119 111 180 4,158 612 164 935 1, 580 4.293 2, 296 15. 543 '784 136 89 167 4,194 628 158 1.133 1,623 4. 563 2.067 15,712 716 151 97 189 4,272 589 161 1,091 1,551 4,419 2,476 17,470 821 150 106 192 4,671 643 155 1,151 1,517 4.746 3,317 16,626 779 161 91 169 4, 575 604 155 1,109 1,511 4,537 2, 936 16,947 772 156 114 213 4, 679 715 178 1, 083 1,569 4,952 2.516 17,748 1,117 691 426 21,079 1,416 1,256 542 j 22,851 i 1,417 I 1,963 I 636 24,894 1,721 1,962 705 24, 280 1, 844 1, 724 713 21, 703 h 773 1. 192 609 20,027 j 19.921 1,831 I 1,694 609 1,382 531 ' 627 25,127 1,859 2. 445 694 27, 247 2,038 2,351 871 24,952 1,906 1,932 832 23,174 1, 573 1, 530 801 nd data for January —r-~ — ~ _._.. b ^ «.,japiled by J. K. Lasser & Co. for "Tide" magazine; the index includes magazine and newspaper advertising, radio (network only prior to July 1941 and network and national spot advertising beginning with that month), farm papers, and outdoor advertising, for which separate indexes are computed by the compiling agency; the newspaper index is based on linage and other component series on advertising costs; data beginning 1936 are available on request. fRevised series. The index of nonfarm foreclosures has been revised for 1940 and 1941; revisions are shown on p. S--6 of the M ay 1943 Purvey. Indexes of advertising from Printers' Ink have been published on a revised basis beginning in the April 1944 Survey: revised data beginning 1914 will he published later. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 S-7 1944 Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey March April May June July August September Octo- Novem- December ber ber DOMESTIC TRADE—Continued ADVERTISING—Continued Magazine advertising—Continued. Cost—Continued. Financial _ __thous. of doL. Foods, food beverages, confections do Gasoline and oil—. _„_ do Housefurnishings, etc do Soap, cleansers, etc do Office furnishings and supplies do Smoking materials do \ Toilet goods, medical supplies .--.do i All other do...... I Linage, total thous. of lines., j Newspaper advertising: Linage, total (52 cities) do.... Classifieddo.. -• -Display, total do. Automotive do. Financial do. General __.do Retail _ do. 3, 572 97,927 24,080 73,837 1,868 2,004 17,124 52,841 385 2,798 244 408 383 221 901 2,999 7,176 3,089 101,892 24, 991 76, 901 1, 571 2,056 17,864 55,410 419 3,420 329 547 675 320 774 3,855 7,527 3,354 452 3,597 408 805 687 357 836 3,930 7,763 3,537 481 3,581 545 1,061 804 426 969 4,219 8,417 3,709 99, 937 117,751 116,471 23, 775 26,377 27,168 76,162 91, 374 89,303 2,040 3,026 1,656 1,638 1,587 1,320 18,973 21, 769 21,713 54, 212 65, 927 476 3,619 593 1,154 697 440 959 4,086 7,973 3,456 417 3,153 498 985 722 313 830 3.863 7,348 2,993 117,776 112,631 27,854 25, 929 89, 922 86, 702 3,527 3,256 1,327 1,497 22,164 21,062 62,904 60,887 365 3,088 528 485 558 254 794 3,658 7,326 3,277 281 2,822 493 585 551 301 667 3,584 6,935 3,541 497 3,855 423 1,417 '750 379 1,050 4,744 8,873 4,088 441 3,691 385 1,059 641 456 1,001 4,588 8,019 3,772 379 3,293 279 1,051 487 436 973 3,977 8,395 3,212 97,130 105,892 112,592 129,177 26, 009 27, 390 25,883 24,139 72, 991 80, 009 86, 583 101, 787 2,283 2,923 2,786 3, 243 1,278 1,758 1,222 1,588 19, 870 25, 599 18, 234 17,881 50,076 58,120 63,151 71,357 128, 243 25, 317 102, 926 3,219 1,560 25,163 72,984 121,751 24,058 97,693 1,949 1,534 20,631 73, 578 86.4 '87.3 87.0 475 3,324 488 1,145 598 526 901 4. 119 8,553 3,992 GOODS IN WAREHOUSES Space occupied in public-merchandise warehouses § percent of total. POSTAL BUSINESS Air mail, pound-mile performance Money orders: Domestic, issued (50 cities): Number Value Domestic, paid (50 cities): NumberValue millions. 7,166 thousands.. thous. of dol— 153,951 __ .thousands.. 15,140 thous. of dol— 208, 793 85.6 86.2 86.7 86.1 7,045 6,587 7,339 7,009 6,140 100,031 6,102 112,171 14, 789 14,536 182, 332 185,538 87.4 8,078 87.5 8,379 8,672 87.9 5,639 5,481 5,938 182, 796 110, 676 111, 672 112,130 5,532 5,297 5,383 110, 964 126, 553 120,021 5,783 129,732 5,879 129,781 6, 639 144,872 19, 792 15,596 329,082 238,989 13,318 175,852 12.964 13,195 11,915 161, 568 179, 272 185,190 13, 639 194,334 14,281 200,810 14,120 197,557 22,440 14, 778 7,662 24,045 16, 327 7,718 152.7 157.9 143. 162.7 174. 5 142.0 163.6 174.4 144.6 162.5 172.7 144.5 24, 499 16,741 7,758 166.7 178.8 145.4 168.2 180.6 146.5 13,715 171,884 CONSUMER EXPENDITURES Estimated expenditures for goods and services:* Total _ , mil. of doll. Goods _ ...do Services (including gifts) do Indexes: Unadjusted, total 1935-39=100.. Goods do Services (including gifts).. do Adjusted, total do Goods do Services (including gifts) do v 26, 646 p 18, 839 »7,807 P181.3 P201.2 v 146. 3 v 170.4 P183.8 P146.8 RETAIL TRADE All retail stores:t 4,883 5,463 5,981 6,214 4, 753 7,445 5,581 5, 513 5,717 5,487 5,856 6,135 5,710 Estimated sales, total mil. of dol— 876 651 628 744 774 838 830 1,004 777 914 848 892 Durable goods stores ....._ do 898 228 182 222 207 231 229 286 247 223 234 273 258 Automotive group do 244 151 128 151 163 214 156 142 160 195 172 Motor vehicles.. do 178 170 167 77 55 72 56 62 78 68 73 81 63 Parts and accessories _ ...do 77 80 77 307 222 333 232 340 272 268 312 296 314 286 Building materials and hardware. ...do 340 336 187 135 193 205 169 150 192 192 160 171 158 Building materials do 217 211 29 25 41 42 25 21 36 31 26 33 Farm implements— do 37 33 90 62 99 94 74 60 77 88 103 Hardware do 88 92 86 240 162 226 209 183 154 282 191 208 214 195 Homefumishings group do 189 236 192 125 184 168 144 116 150 226 156 171 Furniture and housefurnishings do 165 149 188 49 38 41 42 39 39 42 39 43 56 Household appliance and radio .do 43 48 40 101 61 70 70 62 58 52 89 213 75 Jewelry stores _ do 82 70 61 4, 719 4,233 5,338 4,125 4,807 6,441 5,150 5,237 4,710 4,817 Nondurable goods stores . do 4,941 4,878 4,665 424 507 680 406 574 946 605 637 508 567 Apparel group< do 560 487 421 110 173 86 90 117 267 135 128 Men's clothing and furnishings _do 154 128 102 130 93 248 308 207 204 297 406 291 256 Women's apparel and accessories._. do 302 256 240 216 188 100 58 70 57 77 146 85 91 79 Family and other apparel do 72 79 70 61 99 79 59 69 126 83 94 Shoes.. _ do 104 96 75 90 90 79 239 228 212 202 225 328 241 217 Drugstores do 246 233 237 230 235 805 803 711 743 670 844 812 749 Eating and drinking places.-. do 818 840 774 769 778 1,540 1,582 1,429 1, 368 1,493 1,799 1,687 1,494 Food group . do 1,641 1,604 1,579 1,612 1,661 1,162 1,096 1,138 1,047 1, 356 1,193 1,284 1,138 Grocery and combination do 1,209 1,248 1,229 1,197 1,267 378 333 321 389 355 443 403 356 Other food .do. 394 393 382 382 394 207 191 220 187 223 207 Filling stations do. 225 224 201 227 231 235 232 772 669 1,116 1,464 859 690 1,011 834 General merchandise group do. 940 833 884 819 735 405 487 744 929 423 552 Department, including mail order do 593 651 507 508 543 494 416 General, including general merchandise with 96 101 121 143 108 96 food. mil. of dol— 121 112 120 116 118 116 120 Other general merchandise and dry goods 84 74 73 117 87 168 mil. of dol.. 105 94 110 102 94 96 100 94 98 135 112 Variety do 224 122 121 130 119 111 115 114 662 597 602 695 707 836 Other retail stores do 642 648 675 681 635 644 604 170 175 187 195 222 174 Feed and farm supply .do 181 217 188 226 176 196 181 170 148 133 117 150 144 107 122 116 118 Fuel and ice do. 116 117 101 122 99 105 131 123 179 125 107 128 109 Liquors do. 123 112 116 200 175 176 253 212 339 229 203 243 227 Other — do. 220 219 206 r p Preliminary. Revised. § See note marked " § " on p. S-6 of the April 1943 Survey in regard to enlargement of the reporting sample in August 1942. •New series. The series on consumer expenditures, originally published on a monthly basis in the October 1942 Survey (pp. 8-14), are now compiled quarterly only (data are quarterly totals) and have been adjusted to accord with the annual totals shown as a component of the gross national product series (see p. 5 of the February 1945 Survey for 1941-44 dollar totals and p. 13, table 10, of the April 1944 issue for 1939-40 totals); the quarterly data are shown on the revised basis beginning in the February 1945 issue; quarterly data beginning 1939 are available on request. jRevised series. The following unpublished revisions have been made in the data on sales of retail stores as shown in the Survey prior to the February 1945 issue: Dollar sales is— and indexes- all retail stores, total nondurable goods stores, total "other retail stores," and liquor stores, 1940-43: total durable goods stores, all series in the home-furnishings group and feed and farm supply stores, 1941-43; filling stations, 1942-43; general merchandise group and department stores, 1943 (general merchandise group index revised also for 1941-42): indexes only—automotive group, 1942-43; apparel group, November and December 1942; jewelry stores, November and December 1942 and November 1943. Revised 1941-43 data for drug stores are shown on p. 16 of the November 1944 Survey. The unpublished revisions listed and January-May 1943 revisions for other series, also unpublished, are available on request. Revised figures for 1929, 1933, and 1935-42, except as indicated above, are available on pp. 7 and 11-14 of the November 1943 Survey. S-8 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January March 1945 1944 1945 January ary March April May June July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber DOMESTIC TRADE—Continued RETAIL TRADE—Continued All retail stores—Continued. Indexes of sales:! 152. 3 179.4 177.7 153.6 168.0 171.9 169.5 172.7 168. 7 185.3 197.3 Unadjusted, combined index 1935-39=100— 189.7 83.3 113.6 111.6 81.6 93.4 100.0 108.5 101.1 92.5 Durable goods stores do 106.9 111.6 113.1 174.8 200.9 199.3 177.0 192.3 195.3 189.4 196.1 193.5 210.8 215.1 224.7 Nondurable goods stores do 175.0 175. 5 175.0 172.8 177.6 169.9 178.7 178.5 194.0 Adjusted, combined index do_ 177.4 183. 6 191.5 130.8 129. 6 129.7 133.1 129.0 126.2 130.8 130.1 140.7 129. 3 133. 9 139.5 Index eliminating price changes J do 100.6 106.3 98.1 106.0 105.0 100.5 109.6 102.5 111.9 Durable goods stores do. 103. 5 107.4 107.6 51.7 63.8 48.2 59.7 53.3 56.2 57. 7 57.1 54.3 53.3 56.5 53.7 Automotive do. 147.4 145.6 144.7 151.2 141.9 144.3 163.5 164.0 144. 5 138.7 143.2 Building materials and hardware. do. 147.0 146.9 148.5 143.4 153. 8 146.8 144.9 156.0 169.2 151.4 164.5 171.0 175.6 Homefurnishings do 306.0 285.7 327.8 460.7 264.0 310.2 275.1 317.4 321.1 347.3 345.4 345.3 Jewelry do. 199.2 198.0 197.1 201.3 192.5 201.2 197. 5 220.8 203.3 Nondurable goods stores do. 201.5 208.4 218.9 219.9 211.8 220.6 226.6 204.7 216.8 201.0 255.3 233.2 212.9 Apparel ___ _ do 218.7 245.8 186.4 192.8 181.2 192.5 188.0 192.9 195.3 200.3 193.5 Drug.. do. 199.3 207.3 209. 5 312.8 296.2 305.5 301.4 301.5 294.6 299.1 353.6 291.7 304.8 336.1 320.2 Eating and drinking places do. 193.6 199.9 190.6 194.7 190.8 203.3 203.2 212.9 204.7 204.5 208.1 212.1 Food do. 106.8 103.3 110.0 106.3 101.2 104.8 114.9 98.6 98.1 100.7 105.4 Filling stations do 108. 5 165.9 168.4 165.7 172.1 173.4 163.5 186.0 161.5 176.6 General merchandise do 172.6 178.6 190.2 228.0 218.3 224.5 233.9 225.3 218.7 242.5 216.5 223.5 218.8 Other retail stores .do 230.7 246.0 5,959 6,361 6,233 6,381 6,166 6,314 6,075 6,343 6, 521 Estimated inventories, total* mil. of dol. 6,602 6,779 6, 665 1,701 1,910 1,774 1,820 1,849 1,869 1,655 1,874 1,906 1,909 Durable goods stores* do__. 1,914 1,869 4,258 4,451 4,459 4,561 4,317 4,445 4,420 4,469 4,615 Nondurable goods stores* do... 4, 693 4,865 4.796 Chain stores and mail-order houses: 1,048 1,266 1,246 1,252 1,296 1,080 1,214 1,239 1,338 Sales, estimated, total*. _ do__ 1,170 1,392 1,404 18 27 19 21 24 17 27 26 Automotive parts and accessories* do 22 26 27 30 31 49 36 41 45 37 52 46 40 48 Building materials* _ do 54 '48 10 13 12 13 14 9 12 13 Furniture and housefurnishings* _ do 11 14 17 18 121 165 179 185 178 126 134 143 143 180 Apparel group* do... 186 193 16 25 28 27 26 17 16 16 Men's wear*.__ do... 21 26 32 32 66 80 96 91 90 66 70 80 Women's wear* _ do... 76 94 96 ••98 28 46 40 52 48 33 38 35 34 Shoes* do... 45 42 46 51 54 57 53 55 52 55 55 53 Drug* _ do... 56 58 ' 57 39 42 42 41 43 42 42 43 45 Eating and drinking* do... 43 44 42 350 400 381 386 397 376 405 387 Grocery and combination* do... 374 404 399 383 257 320 322 328 340 248 297 332 290 General merchandise group* do... 404 370 429 Department, dry goods, and general merchan^ 124 125 159 174 187 175 145 dise* mil. of dol. 162 174 215 197 228 42 35 59 41 42 Mail-order (catalog sales)* do 51 31 60 68 50 ' 76 84 81 97 105 103 Variety* do. 87 105 113 116 Indexes of sales: 146.2 145.6 162.2 167.4 169. 7 172.4 Unadjusted, combined index* 1935-39=100— 157.1 159.9 162.2 176.4 187.1 '192.8 165.5 171.3 170.4 163.4 168.1 169.9 185. 6 172.2 Adjusted, combined index* do.— 175. 8 172.7 178.0 182.6 121.6 117.9 117.7 119.5 126.7 127.4 141.4 140.5 Automotive parts and accessories* do... 127.3 141.8 153.4 173.6 155.6 170.5 152.8 159.4 166.6 150.6 180.0 190.7 Building materials* do__. 149.4 146.3 159.7 ' 163. 9 115.0 116.2 119.3 120.0 133.0 120.3 133.0 132.4 Furniture and housefurnishings* do... 114.1 127.4 134.0 139.7 227.3 242.1 229.1 212.6 199.9 217.2 266.1 213.5 Apparel group* do... 235.5 223.6 ' 226. 8 ' 242. 2 r 160.7 152.0 204.9 171.2 169.0 190.9 182. 3 162.6 Men's wear*.._ do... 187.1 196.2 " 200. 4 200.0 323.1 336.4 316.8 296.6 272.2 301.4 376.6 283.8 Women's wear* _ _ do... 329.4 326.4 324.0 ' 330. 7 168.1 200.3 152.6 151.1 144.1 145.8 203.2 170.7 Shoes* do... 165.1 132.8 141.7 177.0 177.1 178.0 191.2 182.1 184.7 182.7 181.1 186.7 Drug* do... 186.5 187. 6 190.1 ' 190.4 r 178.3 182.8 176.4 175.2 189.2 184.2 196.8 188.6 Eating and drinking* do... 187.5 182.7 177.9 180.9 167.8 175.1 169.8 169.3 182.1 178.7 Grocery and combination* do... 180.7 182.6 183.4 179.6 186.5 179.4 163. 5 167.8 172.8 160.2 161.7 168.7 190.7 165.2 General merchandise group* do... 178.5 173.1 177.3 188.1 Department, dry goods, and general merchan183.4 183.8 175. 5 170.8 dise* .1935-39= 100188.6 179.1 208.4 184.3 194.0 182.7 192.2 210.6 127.9 140.2 158.4 124.0 116.1 114.3 174.1 Mail-order* do... 126.3 158. *> 163.3 135.6 157.2 155.2 163.5 162.0 165. 5 159.1 171.2 161.7 Variety* do... 155.6 161.8 164. t 175.7 169.6 Department stores: Accounts receivable: 44 41 38 Instalment accounts§ 1941 average=100. 34 40 32 32 33 35 40 82 72 Open accounts!... _ do... 67 70 78 81 90 102 79 Ratio of collections to accounts receivable: 30 31 36 31 33 Instalment accounts! percent. 31 30 34 35 39 39 61 61 64 65 Open accounts! ..do... 63 63 61 64 64 65 67 156 ' 138 142 178 170 172 Sales, unadjusted, total U. S.f _„ 1935-39=100— 163 142 157 196 209 248 228 211 179 194 219 228 199 197 Atlantaf do. 218 257 273 315 162 132 119 115 144 161 110 Boston! do. 144 118 170 184 207 170 147 131 131 139 159 166 151 Chicagof do. 160 185 197 231 179 145 132 133 140 159 167 172 157 Cleveland! do. 191 204 244 228 194 211 177 200 220 227 228 Dallas! do. 203 265 272 314 194 168 191 178 153 160 182 Kansas City! do. 182 177 220 226 263 160 130 154 135 119 122 140 Minneapolisf do. 159 151 184 179 218 142 100 110 124 112 115 New York! —do. 139 137 132 158 173 207 161 117 123 134 122 124 Philadelphia! do. 162 159 143 173 190 231 210 151 176 Richmond! do. 174 152 159 203 193 183 231 248 294 197 154 178 St. Louisf do. 174 149 153 185 183 170 212 221 268 203 185 202 San Francisco do. 196 166 178 197 192 193 226 238 299 181 192 187 Sales, adjusted, total U. S.f do. 200 175 175 185 172 175 183 194 210 233 263 245 263 224 225 Atlanta! do. 225 222 237 247 260 269 164 160 154 Boston! _ _ do. 163 148 148 162 157 151 156 165 177 167 187 180 Chicago! _ _ do. 193 172 162 173 165 163 168 192 201 181 191 182 Cleveland! do. 186 169 166 183 166 166 180 190 '203 228 266 250 Dallas!.. _ ...do. 261 206 241 247 232 245 241 252 264 192 212 204 Kansas City! __. do. 241 207 203 193 181 192 200 215 244 158 165 173 Minneapolis! do. 180 160 176 159 157 151 162 158 189 150 149 151 New York!.. _—do_ 150 ' 136 138 158 140 142 152 149 164 168 170 158 174 '159 157 Philadelphia! do. 173 162 159 170 168 183 211 214 213 238 208 209 Richmond! . do. 212 199 203 214 224 251 197 208 207 212 182 194 195 , 173 189 St. Louis! do. 193 215 235 216 223 I 221 247 208 209 218 I 201 210 San Francisco.. do. 217 228 253 » Preliminary. ' Revised. § Minor revisions in the figures prior to November 1941 are available on request. * New series. Data for 1929, 1933, and 1935-42 for the new chain store series are available on pp. 15 to 17, tables 2, 3, and 4, of the February 1944 Survey except for subsequent revisions as follows: The totals and furniture and house furnishings (dollar figures and indexes) have been revised back to January 1940 and the indexes for all series in the general merchandise group, except mail-order, back to January 1942; indexes for the apparel group and women's wear for November and December 1942; the latter revisions and revisions beginning December 1943 for other series are in the February 1945 Survey; earlier revisions are available on request. January-May 1943 revisions for other series, which have not been published, are also available on request. Data beginning 1939> for the new estimates of retail inventories will be published later. !Revised series. See note marked " ! " on p. S-7 regarding revision of the indexes of retail sales and the source of earlier data. The indexes of department store sales for the United States and the indicated districts have been revised for all years; the revisions reflect primarily enlargement of the samples, adjustment of indexes to 1929 and 1939 census data, where necessary, and a recalculation of seasonal factors; in addition, all series have been computed on a 1935-39 base. The Boston index is anew series from the Federal Reserve Bank. Revised data beginning 1919 or 1923 for the United States and two districts have been published as follows: United States, December 1944 Survey, p, 17; Dallas, February 1944, p. 20* Richmond, June 1944, p. 22. Complete data for other districts will be published later; indexes for Atlanta have been shown on the revised basis beginning in the February 1944 Survey and for other districts beginning in the June 1944 issue (further revisions in July 1943 index for New York—unadjusted, 92; adjusted, 137). March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January S-9 1944 1945 January February March April June May August July September October Novem- December ber DOMESTIC TRADE—Continued RETAIL TRADE—Continued Department stores—Continued. Sales by type of credit:* Cash sales percent of total sales.. Charge account sales do Instalment sales do Stocks, total U. S., end of month:f Unadjusted .-1935-39=100.. Adjusted do_._. Other stores, ratio of collections to accounts receivable, instalment accounts:* Furniture stores.._ percent. Household appliance stores do Jewelry stores do Mail-order and store sales: Total sales, 2 companies thous. of dol. 120,127 45, 633 Montgomery Ward & Co _..do 74, 494 Sears, Roebuck & Co _ do Rural sales of general merchandise: 183.2 Total U. S.t unadjusted 1929-31=100. 174.4 East do 258.9 South do 158.1 Middle West— do... 203.4 Far West do... 240.8 Total U. S., adjusted.. do... 229.5 East. .do... 327.3 South .do... 206.7 Middle West do... 276. 8 Far West _ .-do... 64 32 4 63 33 4 62 34 4 62 34 4 62 34 4 63 34 3 65 31 4 64 32 4 63 33 4 63 33 4 62 34 4 64 32 4 137 154 147 154 151 148 150 145 151 147 150 157 148 165 163 170 167 161 172 154 166 '144 127 '136 20 22 31 20 22 31 23 26 34 23 26 28 25 26 30 24 28 30 23 29 31 24 32 31 24 33 32 26 36 33 24 37 34 23 38 48 95,551 35,810 59,740 97,662 37,516 60,145 132,007 53,383 78,624 123,675 48,247 75,428 131,971 50,160 81,810 123,969 47,105 76,864 138.6 131.1 194.7 119.6 155.9 182.2 172.5 246.1 156.4 212.1 158.0 143.1 256.9 132.9 160.6 195.3 174.9 281.7 167.2 217.0 197.1 200.0 261.5 177.6 193.8 224.5 222.7 289.6 200.5 235.5 172.7 164.0 228.0 151.2 188.4 187.9 172.0 258.8 161.9 211.0 161.4 151.8 205.4 143.0 181.1 175.8 165.0 242.2 151.0 201.4 155.4 141.5 198.4 138.2 194.4 170.6 154.1 246.8 146.4 204.0 133.9 109.7 171.2 120.4 173.6 183.5 154.1 252.2 163.1 211.7 180.3 169.9 224.4 162.5 210.0 220.4 213.1 311.2 197.0 228.1 222.7 210.3 324.5 186.2 250.8 210.7 213.9 294.0 181.6 214.4 246.1 246.6 345.0 212.4 258.3 189.5 191.6 232.8 167.2 215.1 285.0 286.1 294.9 245.0 324.3 219.0 221.9 287.6 186.9 267.4 245.5 213.7 327.1 217.8 296.7 153.5 128.3 217.8 139.6 181.8 3,262 744 2,518 4,052 3,251 776 2,475 4,089 3,625 866 2,759 4,097 3,314 840 2,474 4,121 3,467 870 2,597 4,146 3,486 882 2,604 4,088 3,282 813 2,469 4,043 3,490 893 2,597 3,987 3,437 854 2,583 3,995 3,620 878 2,742 3,999 3,556 861 2, 695 3,987 3,465 802 2,663 4,002 r 111,687 131, 234 153,349 43,888 52,208 63,686 67, 799 79,026 89,662 172, 499 184, 434 196, 291 70, 475 74, 749 76, 468 102,024 109, 684 119,823 WHOLESALE TRADE Service and limited function wholesalers:* Estimated sales, total mil. of dol. Durable goods establishments do... Nondurable goods establishments.. do... All wholesalers, estimated inventories* do... 3,425 807 2,617 3,978 EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES EMPLOYMENT Estimated civilian labor force (Bureau of the Census):* 52,060 52,840 54,220 55,000 54,010 52, 210 51, 250 53,030 52,870 Labor force, total _ .thous.. 50, 960 51,430 61,150 61,360 34,880 34,910 35, 540 35,890 35, 570 34,590 34, 410 34,060 33, 720 33, 650 34,640 34,520 34,480 Male _ do 17,930 18,680 19,110 18,440 17,180 18,440 16,790 16,630 16,880 18, 460 18,150 17, 530 17,310 Female _ do 53, 220 54,000 53,170 52,250 52,240 51, 530 50, 570 60,260 50, 490 51,290 51,960 50,120 50,350 Employment ___do 33, 710 33. 320 33,990 34,010 34, 010 34,440 34,490 35,040 35,410 35,140 34,190 34,100 33,160 Male... _ do 17,470 17, 820 17, 250 18,180 18, 590 18,030 18,060 18,140 16,250 16,850 16,480 16. 960 16,360 Female _ do 8,600 8,570 8,140 8,670 6,650 9,670 6,910 7,500 8,750 6,690 7,090 6,600 9,560 Agricultural _ ___do 43, 580 43, 490 43, 390 43, 480 43,610 43,580 43,790 43,360 43, 660 44,330 44,600 43, 430 43,750 Nonagricultural _ do 680 780 890 840 1,000 870 770 630 840 680 1,080 1,000 Unemployment do Employees in nonagricultural establishments:! Unadjusted (U. S. Department of Labor): 38,689 38,672 38,846 38, 731 38, 744 38,571 38,364 • 38, 340 ' 38, 811 Total. _ .thous.. 37, 852 38,965 38,840 38,725 16,122 16,093 15, 544 16,825 16, 559 16,309 16,013 16,023 16,735 15,843 15, 698 • 15, 600 • 15, 616 Manufacturing do 839 803 852 844 834 816 812 806 858 844 826 Mining _ do 858 686 584 678 683 700 652 '629 '590 715 691 671 Construction do 764 3,768 3,809 3,739 3,744 3,818 3,767 ' 3, 771 ' 3, 770 3,704 3,723 3,803 3.791 3,664 Transportation and public utilities.. do 6,942 6,962 7,012 6,968 6,918 7,146 ' 7, 299 7,617 6,867 6,919 6,994 6,919 6,977 Trade _ do 4,618 4,274 4,236 4,363 4,582 4,340 r 4, 315 4, 292 4,131 4,123 4,488 4,128 4,542 Financial, service, and miscellaneous do 5,830 5,896 6,905 5,932 5,869 5,945 r 5, 914 ' 6,120 5,830 5,871 5,807 Government. _ do 5,958 Adjusted (Federal Reserve): 38,865 38,749 38,766 38,700 38,654 38,400 ' 38,159 • 38, 037 ' 38, 086 38, 325 39,454 39,352 39,123 Total do 16,203 15,943 16,642 16,391 16,013 15,764 • 15, 614 • 15, 522 • 15, 538 16,819 15, 622 16,910 Manufacturing do 843 830 802 862 852 833 807 862 848 822 812 848 808 Mining. do 673 648 786 737 653 635 830 719 677 627 609 '615 Construction do '611 3,768 3,762 3,780 3,753 3, 796 3,780 3,763 3,765 3,735 3,748 ' 3, 771 ' 3, 789 3,720 Transportation and public utilities.__ do 7,059 6,997 7,084 7,192 7,046 6,982 7,012 7,065 '7,077 ' 7,053 ' 7 , 0 2 0 7,096 7,043 Trade. do Estimated wage eaz-ners in manufacturing industries, total (U. S. Department of Labor) • thous.. 13,097 ' 14,338 r 14, 254 ' 14, 056 ' 13,814 • 13, 652 ' 13, 610 ' 13, 544 r 13, 562 " 13,406 • 13,250 ' 13,155 ' 13,184 Durable goods... do 7,780 ' 8, 765 ' 8, 698 ' 8, 570 ' 8, 421 ' 8, 315 ' 8,246 ' 8,144 ' 8,105 ' 7,968 ' 7,854 ' 7, 783 ' 7,798 Iron and steel and their products do 1, 655 ' 1, 736 ' 1, 730 ' 1, 704 ' 1, 680 '1,669 ' 1,672 ' 1, 669 ' 1, 675 ' 1,659 ' 1,646 ' 1,637 ' 1,651 Blast furna ces, steel works, and rolling mills 474 486 491 482 481 482 477 474 475 496 482 thous. 498 '755 '745 '732 '707 '702 769 '747 '736 '726 '716 Electrical machinery do ••767 '765 Machinery, except electrical _ do ' 1, 284 ' 1, 272 ••1,251 ' 1,227 '1,211 '1,210 ' 1,194 ' 1,183 ' 1,169 ' 1,158 ' 1,149 ' 1,159 454 468 446 450 493 476 470 462 461 Machinery and machine-shop products do 450 499 484 79 73 79 77 76 74 80 76 75 Machine tools do 89 86 83 '703 '691 '697 '691 '663 '724 '673 '671 -•766 '753 '739 '710 Automobiles ..do 672 Transportation equipment, except automobiles thous.. 2,095 ' 2,560 ' 2, 533 ' 2,486 ' 2,442 ' 2,401 ' 2,334 ' 2, 275 ' 2,236 ' 2,179 ' 2,139 ' 2,108 ' 2,096 Aircraft and parts (except engines)* do 708 720 1,117 1,047 1,035 1,152 1,092 1,074 1,193 1,179 Shipbuilding and boatbuilding^. do.... 1,237 1,213 1,054 1,250 '415 '432 '423 '405 '397 '416 '395 ••453 '444 ' 426 """393" Nonferrous metals and products do •"458 r Revised. * Preliminary. X Data temporarily discontinued pending revision of series. § Data revised beginning January 1941; see p. 19 of December 1944 Survey. •New series. The new series on department store sales by type of credit have been substituted for the series relating to installment sales of New England stores shown in the Survey through the July 1944 issue; data beginning January 1941 will be published later. Collection ratios for furniture, jewelry, and household appliance stores represent ratio of collections to accounts receivable at beginning of month; data beginning February 1941 are on p. S-8 of the April 1942 Survey; data back to January 1940 are available on request; the amount of instalment accounts outstanding are shown on p. S-16 under consumer credit. Data beginning 1939 for estimates of wholesale sales will be published later; for estimates of wholesalers' inventories for 1938-42, see p. 7 of the June 1942 Survey and p . S-2 of the May 1943 issue. Estimates of civilian labor force, employment, and unemployment are shown on a revised basis beginning in the May 1944 Survey; revisions for 1940-1943 are shown on p. 23 of the February 1945 issue. See note marked "*" on p. S-10 regarding the new series on wage earners in manufacturing industries. fRevised series. The index of department store stocks published on a 1923-25 base through the May 1944 Survey has been recomputed on a 1935-39 base. The estimates of employees in nonagricultural establishments have been revised beginning 1939, by months, to adjust figures to levels indicated by final Unemployment Compensation data through the last quarter of 1942 and to other data collected by government agencies; annual data for 1929-38 have been revised to a comparable basis; monthly averages beginning 1939 and monthly figures for the unadjusted series beginning January 1943 are shown on p. 3 of the June 1944 Survey; all revisions will be published later. S-10 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January March 1945 1944 1945 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES—Continued EMPLOYMENT—Continued Estimated wage earners in mfg. industries—Continued. * Durable goods—Continued. '476 449 '487 '484 '475 '474 '462 Lumber and timber basic products thous.. '484 '471 '459 '480 236 235 232 233 235 234 238 240 234 227 226 Sawmills do '361 "334 '358 '354 '347 '342 '345 '346 Furniture and finished lumber products do '348 '339 '337 '338 107 166 164 156 153 153 159 153 Furniture -do 158 157 157 '343 328 '346 Stone, clay, and glass products --do '348 '339 '335 '329 '325 '338 '337 '335 '327 ' 5, 556 5,317 ' 5, 573 ' 5, 393 ' 5, 337 Nondurable goods do ' 5, 457 ' 5, 364 ' 5, 400 ' 5, 438 ' 5, 396 ' 5, 372 Textile-mill products and other fiber manufactures '1,163 1,082 ' 1,151 r 1,162 thous.. ' 1,128 '1,076 ' 1,072 ' 1,104 ' 1, 088 ' 1, 083 '1,081 ' 1.110 459 461 455 445 Cotton manufactures, except small wares... do 436 434 438 428 424 429 431 91 93 Silk and rayon goods do 94 93 88 88 89 90 90 89 Woolen and worsted manufactures (except dyeing 159 and finishing) ...thous.. 158 158 155 151 146 146 146 147 145 '906 Apparel and other finished textile products..-do '906 '909 '862 '879 '867 '838 835 '856 '861 '854 '858 Men's clothing do 218 217 213 217 214 214 208 211 208 208 206 Women's clothing _ ...do 229 231 213 229 221 217 216 219 218 205 215 '317 '318 '315 '315 '312 Leather and leather products do 310 '313 '308 '309 ' 312 '312 '310 176 176 175 174 Boots and shoes .-do 175 175 172 172 174 174 171 Food and kindred products d o — "I," 016' ' 1, 021 ' 1,013 ' 1, 002 ' 1, 002 ' 1, 005 ' 1,038 r 1, 120 ' 1 , 1 6 3 ' 1,170 ' 1,113 ' 1,074 258 Baking do 259 255 254 256 262 257 259 257 265 258 94 Canning and preserving _ -do 95 100 100 111 220 244 180 134 90 177 168 Slaughtering and meat packing _ do 172 156 155 158 156 151 148 162 149 159 87 84 88 '83 82 Tobacco manufactures do '83 82 82 83 '83 84 83 '321 308 '311 Paper and allied products do '320 '314 '311 '306 '304 '318 '308 '310 '311 149 145 Paper and pulp ... do 148 146 146 145 144 148 145 147 146 331 329 Printing, publishing, and allied industries do '338 338 332 336 '330 325 331 333 '331 333 110 Newspapers and periodicals -do 111 110 110 110 110 109 111 110 110 110 131 Printing, book and job do 137 137 133 135 132 133 ' 135 130 133 135 "629 ' 665 ' 655 '601 Chemicals and allied products do '592 ' 624 '584 '589 593 '601 607 584 ' 123 121 120 Chemicals ..--.do 120 120 120 117 116 115 118 119 125 127 128 Products of petroleum and coal do— 130 127 132 '133 132 ' 132 135 134 83 84 86 Petroleum refining _._ do 87 85 89 91 90 91 91 90 '197 ' 204 '204 Rubber products do '202 ' 195 '193 194 ' 192 ' 192 ' 192 ' 192 ' 193 92 94 Rubber tires and inner tubes do 94 90 89 92 92 91 93 Wage earners, all manufacturing, unadjusted (U. S. 159.9 ' 171.6 ' W8. 6 '174.0 ' 166.7 ' 163.6 '175.0 ' 166.1 ' 165. 3 ' 161.7 Department of Labor)f-.1939=100.' 165.6 ' 160.6 215.5 ' 242. 7 ' 240. 9 ' 237. 3 ' 233. 2 ' 230. 3 ' 217. 5 ' 225. 5 ' 215. 5 Durable goods --. -do ' 228. 4 ' 220. 7 ' 224.5 166.9 ' 175.1 ' 174.5 '171.9 ' 169.4 ' 168. 3 ' 168. 7 Iron and steel and their products do ' 168.3 167.3 165.2 ' 168. 9 166.0 Blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills 128.2 127.6 126.4 1939=100-. 125.0 124.0 123. 8 122.7 121.9 124.0 124.1 122.0 ' 295. 2 ' 296.9 ' 295. 9 Electricai machinery do ' 291. 5 ' 288.4 ' 276.3 ' 287. 7 ' 284.0 ' 272. 9 ' 282. 4 ' 280. 4 ' 243.1 ' 240. 6 ' 236.7 Machinery, except electrical do 218. € ' 232. 2 ' 229.2 ' 229.0 ' 225.9 ' 223.9 ' 221. 2 ' 219. 2 ' 217. 5 239.2 246.4 243. 7 Machinery and machine-shop products do 235.1 232.1 224.3 222.3 231.3 228. 4 220.2 227 7 234. 2 227.1 Machine toolsj. do 242.8 219.4 216.0 214.4 210.2 206.5 207^ 4 204.0 202.2 167.1 ' 187. 3 ' 190.4 '183.7 ' 180.1 Automobiles do ' 176.5 ' 174. 6 ' 171.8 ' 173. 2 '171.8 ' 167. 4 ' 164. 9 Transportation equipment, except automobiles 1939=100- 1,319.9 ' 1,613.1 '1,596.1 1,566. 5 1,538.3 1,512.7 1,470.7 1,433.4 • 1,408. 8 1,373.2 ' 1,347. 8 '1,327.8 1,813. 5 1, 785.4 Aircraft and parts (excluding engines) • do 1, 804.6 1, 786. 2 1, 752. 4 1, 722. 5 1, 703. 2 1, 664. 2 1,612.7 1,577.1 1,551.4 1,522.5 1,511.4 Shipbuilding and boatbuilding§._ do ' 199.6 ' 193. 5 ' 188. 3 171.7 ' 197.6 Nonferrous metals and products --do '185.7 ' 184. 5 ' 181.4 ' 176. 8 '173.6 ' 172.1 ' 180.9 '115.2 ' 113.1 106.7 ' 115.8 ' 114.7 ' 112.9 '114.2 Lumber and timber basic products do ' 113.3 ' 115.1 ' 112.1 ' 109. 8 ' 109. 2 81.8 81.7 80.4 81.2 80.7 Sawmills do 81.7 82.5 81.1 78.9 83.4 78.5 r 109. 9 ' 109. 3 101.7 '107.9 '105.8 ' 104. 3 ' 105.3 ' 105.3 Furniture and finished lumber products do...' 106. 0 ' 103. 4 ' 102. 8 ' 103.1 104.1 104.9 103.1 96.3 Furniture _ do 100.1 97.9 98.3 95.8 95.9 99.0 93.8 r 111.6 '117.9 '116.8 ' 114. 7 ' 1 1 4 . 2 Stone, clay, and glass products do '118.6 ' 115.6 ' 114.2 ' 112.2 ' 110.9 115.0 '111.4 116.1 '117.9 ' 121.3 Nondurable goods _ do ' 119.8 '117.7 ' 116.5 '118.7 ' 117.8 '121.7 ' 117.3 '117.1 ' 119.1 Textile-mill products and other fiber manufactures 94.6 ' 101.6 ' 101.7 ' 96. 6 ' 100. 6 ' 97.1 '95.1 '93.7 1939=100.. '94.1 94.5 '94.7 116.3 112.5 110.0 109.6 Cotton manufactures, except small wares —do 116.0 115.0 110.6 108.9 107.1 108.3 108.0 78.3 76. 3 73.9 Silk and rayon goods _. -do 74.1 77.5 74.8 74.7 73.7 73.6 74.4 78.0 Woolen and worsted manufactures (except dyeing 106.5 103.9 97.7 97.8 106.0 105.8 101.4 98.4 102.0 97.8 97.6 and finishing)... 1939=100.. 105. 8 ' 115.1 ' 114.8 ' 114.7 ' 111.3 ' 109.2 ' 109.8 ' 106.1 ' 108.1 ' 108. 7 ' 108. 4 ' 109. 0 Apparel and other finished textile products.._do 99.5 99.2 97.9 97. 3 95.2 99.0 97.8 96.3 95.2 95.3 94.1 Men's clothing _do 84.2 81.5 78.6 84.2 84.9 79.7 75.5 79.6 80.5 80.1 79.0 Women's clothing do '91.4 '90.9 '89.9 "89." 4 '90.8 '90.3 '88.9 '89.4 '91.7 '88.8 '90.0 '89.9 Leather and leather products do 80.3 80. 3 79.7 80.2 80.7 80.8 79.8 79.7 78.9 78.5 79.0 Boots and shoes do r ' 119.5 117.2 ' 121. 5 ' 118.6 ' 117. 3 ' 117.6 ' 131.1 ' 136.1 ' 137. 0 ' 130. 3 ' 125. 7 Food and kindred products do 112.1 111.8 110.5 111.6 110.8 113.3 110.1 112.0 111.5 112.0 114.8 Baking „ do 70.5 69.9 74.1 74.3 82.2 131.8 67.0 163.4 181. 8 133. 9 99.9 Canning and preserving do 139.6 129.6 128.3 130.9 131.7 122.7 143.0 134.0 129.7 125.0 123.7 Slaughtering and meat packing -do 89.6 '89.4 88.3 ' 89. 4 ' 93. 5 88.6 '94.1 89.5 '88.2 '88.0 '89.2 '90.1 Tobacco manufactures do " 118.3 ' 117.1 • ' 120. 6 ' 117.0 ' 117.2 '121.2 '119.9 '116.8 ' 114.7 ' 115.1 116.1 ' 116.0 Paper and allied products do 106. 2 105. 4 106. 2 108.7 108.0 107.3 106.4 105.7 105.5 106.8 104.7 Paper and pulp.. _._ do 100.9 ' 103. 2 ' 102. 4 '101.2 '100.2 '103.0 '100.7 ' 101.5 ' 101.0 99.2 ' 100. 8 ' 101.4 Printing, publishing, and allied industries do 93.1 92.9 92.6 92.9 93.1 92.7 92.5 92.9 92.1 92.9 93.3 Newspapers and periodicals* do 108.4 108.4 106.7 104.9 103.6 104.6 106.9 103.2 105. 5 105.5 106.4 Printing, book and job* _ do r ' 230. 7 ' 227. 4 ' 216. 6 ' 208. 6 ' 205. 4 ' 202. 7 218.1 202. 5 ' 204.5 ' 205. 6 ' 208. 7 '210.6 Chemicals and allied products do 174.5 175.8 172.5 172.7 172.5 170.9 170.0 168.1 166.6 165. 5 171.8 Chemicals _ do '119.7 ' 118.3 '121.0 '122.7 ' 126. 6 ' 127.2 ' 125.0 125.3 ' 126.1 ' 120.1 ' 124. 2 ' 125.1 Products of petroleum and coal do 115.3 117.0 113.6 116.2 125. 5 120. 0 121.8 124.3 124.6 123.6 124.0 Petroleum refining do_ '168.6 ' 161.2 " 160." 3 r 168. 6 '159.2 ' 159.5 ' 158. 5 ' 159.1 ' 167. 2 ' 162. 8 ' 158.8 ' 159.0 Rubber products do. 166.5 169.3 174.1 173.8 172.9 168.5 170.6 170.6 164.8 165.6 171.4 Rubber tires and inner tubes do. ' 175.9 ' 174. 6 ' 172. 1 ' 169. 4 ' 167.7 ' 166. 7 ' 165.2 ' 164.1 '162.6 ' 161.0 ' 160. 2 Wage earners, all mfg., adjusted (Fed. Res.)f do ' 243. 2 ' 241. 5 ' 237. 7 ' 233.4 ' 225. 3 ' 224.1 ' 228.2 ' 230.3 ' 220. 4 ' 217. 3 ' 215. 4 Durable goods.. ._. do '118.9 ' 122. 9 ' 121.9 ' 117.9 ' 120.4 ' 118.3 ' 118. 3 ' 116.8 ' 117.0 ' 116.6 '116.7 'Nondurable goods do r Revised. § Data revised beginning January 1941; for revisions for 1941-43, see p. 19 of the December 1944 Survey. JFor data for December 1941-July 1942 see note marked "J" on p. S-10 of the November 1943 Survey. • For data for December 1941-February 1943, see note at bottom of p. S-35 of the May 1944 Survey; data temporarily discontinued pending revision of series. •New series. Data beginning 1939 for the new series on wage earners in manufacturing industries will be shown in a later issue; data for the individual industries shown in the Survey beginning with the December 1942 issue, except those for shipbuilding (see note marked "§"), are comparable withfigurespublished currently; the figures for all manufacturing, durable goods, nondurable goods, and the industry groups are shown on a revised basis beginning in this issue and are not comparable with data in earlier issues. tRevised series. The indexes of wage-earner employment and of wage-earner pay rolls (p. S-12) in manufacturing industries have been completely revised; for 1939-41 data for the individual industries, except newspapers and periodicals and printing, book and job, and 1939-40 data for all manufacturing, durable goods, nondurable goods, and the industry groups, see pp. 23-24 of the December 1942 Survey (the 1941 data for shipbuilding published in that issue have been revised; see note marked "§"); for 1941 data for the totals and the industry groups, see p. 28, table 3, of the March 1943 issue. Data beginning 1942 for the totals and the industry groups have recently been revised to adjust the indexes to levels indicated by final 1942 and preliminary 1943 data from the Bureau of Employment Security of the Federal Security Agency; revisions for 1944 are shown above and 1942-43 revisions will be published later. The seasonally adjusted employment indexes are shown on a revised basis beginning in this issue of the Survey; the adjusted indexes are available only for the totals shown. March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January S-ll 1944 1945 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES—Continued EMPLOYMENT—Continued Nonmanufacturing, unadjusted (U. S. Dept. of Labor): Mining:f Anthracite 1939=100. Bituminous coal do Metalliferous...._ do Quarrying and nonmetallic do Crude petroleum and natural gas! do... Public utilities:! Electric light and power do__. Street railways and busses _ do.._ Telegraph . do___ Telephone _do__. Services:f Dyeing and cleaning do Power laundries.. _ do... Year-round hotels— do... Trade: Retail, totalf .do... Food* do... General merchandising! do... Wholesale! do... Water transportation*_ _____ do._> Miscellaneous employment data: Federal and State highways, total}:. _. numberConstruction (Federal and State) do Maintenance (State) __ do___ Federal civilian employees:^ United States _ thousands. District of Columbia _ do__. Railway employees (class I steam railways): Total _ ....thousands. Indexes: Unadjusted!- _ 1935-39=100. Adjusted! _ do___ 83.4 99.8 101.4 83.7 81.1 84.2 99.8 100.5 82.9 81.2 83.5 98.7 98.3 82.8 81.6 82.6 97.1 96.2 84.1 82.0 82.7 96.0 93.6 84.5 82.5 83.0 96.1 91.1 85.8 83.6 77.9 94.7 87.6 86.4 84.1 77.9 95.0 85.5 86.7 84.1 81.5 93.9 82.4 84.3 83.0 80.5 92.3 80.4 83.0 82.7 79.9 91.8 79.2 82.2 82.1 79.2 ' 91.3 ' 78. 5 79.6 82.1 81.9 116.6 83.8 118.8 123.1 127.9 83.6 119.8 125.2 128.2 83.5 119.6 123.9 128.1 83.1 119.2 122.3 128.1 82.8 119.1 121.9 128.2 83.1 119.1 123.1 128.5 83.2 118.8 123.9 129.7 83.2 118.9 122.8 129.6 82.6 118. 6 122.2 128.2 82.1 117.7 122.1 127.1 82.1 117.7 121.7 127.1 82.0 ' 117. 7 121.7 ' 126. 7 111.0 107.2 109.6 111.2 109.9 108.6 114.2 110.5 109.3 117.3 110.3 109.2 120.7 109.5 109.2 124.8 110.1 109.0 126.9 112.4 109.4 122.3 112.1 109.2 118.4 109.0 109.4 118.4 106. 8 109.0 119.8 108.0 109.6 117.1 107.6 110.3 ' 114. 5 107.8 ' 110.5 97.7 97.5 106.8 110.4 95.1 198.9 96.0 106.6 106.5 95.7 205.7 96.9 107. 8 108.6 95.4 211.7 97.7 106.9 110.9 95.1 226.1 96.9 107.3 108.5 94.4 233.5 96.6 106.3 107.7 95.0 238.9 95.5 106.4 104.5 95.1 249.1 94.1 104.6 102.4 95.5 255.3 96.6 106.3 109.2 95.0 258.7 99.7 108.8 116.7 96.0 257.2 103.2 109.0 127.4 96.8 267.7 ' 111.9 110.2 152.2 '97.1 ' 274.5 127,889 136,050 20,353 24,802 84, 005 87,446 150,133 16,103 109,546 156,865 33,528 98,190 159,944 33,828 100, 724 154, 836 31, 392 98, 458 153,913 30, 228 99,742 144,368 22,981 97, 246 126, 312 16,959 85, 559 91.6 78.7 96.1 273.6 124,983 18,556 122,543 122,340 16, 521 15,610 82, 773 83,056 2,820 263 2,828 264 2,866 264 2,941 2,909 2,881 2,878 2,876 264 2,853 264 2,918 256 270 271 265 259 258 257 2,860 255 136.3 141.7 1,384 133.0 138.3 1,414 135.9 139.3 1,428 137.2 140.6 1,440 138.4 140.6 1,453 139.6 140.2 1,476 141.8 139.9 1,471 141.4 138.4 1,477 142.0 139.1 1.454 139.7 136.3 1,438 138.2 133.7 1,435 ' 137.9 ' 136. 7 1,431 137.2 139.4 45.2 45.2 46.6 46.9 45.7 45.3 46.7 47.1 45.8 45.3 46.7 46.9 45.2 45.0 46.5 46.5 45.5 45.3 46.6 46.8 45.9 45.4 46.8 46.8 45.4 44.6 45.7 46.0 45.6 45.2 46.6 46.7 45.6 44.8 46.1 46.6 45.7 45.5 47.1 47.2 45.6 45.3 46.7 46.8 45.8 45.6 47.1 47. S 45.6 46.9 49.4 48.9 50.7 46.9 46.2 46.8 49.1 48.6 50.4 46.3 46.0 46.7 49.1 48.7 51.0 46.3 45.9 46.2 48.8 48.1 50.7 46.4 46.1 46.3 48.7 48.4 50.8 45.5 46.4 46.6 49.1 48.7 51.0 45.9 45.9 45.7 47.5 46.8 50.2 43.7 46.3 46.3 48.3 48.1 50.4 45.1 46.3 46.2 47.9 47.6 49.9 43.5 47.1 '46.3 48.8 48.7 51.2 45.6 46.6 46.3 48.2 48.2 ' 50. 5 45.5 47.0 46.7 48.0 48.7 52.0 45.7 46.7 47.5 45.7 47.0 41.2 43.4 42.6 43.0 46.9 47.4 46.2 47.0 42.9 44.2 43.3 43.2 47.0 47.0 46.6 46.9 43.2 44.5 43.6 43.2 47.1 46.7 47.3 46.6 43.2 43.7 43.2 42.5 47.4 46.8 48.1 46.6 43.3 44.4 43.7 43.2 47.3 47.1 47.4 47.1 44.5 44.6 43.8 43.3 46.8 47.2 47.1 46.0 42.4 43.6 42.4 43.0 47.4 47.1 47.8 46.5 44.7 44.8 44.0 43.0 46.9 46.2 47.6 46.3 43.3 44.0 43.4 43.0 48.1 47.1 49.1 '47.2 "44.7 '45.9 44.7 43.3 47.8 47.1 48.8 47.0 '43.0 '44.3 '44.1 '43.2 48.3 47.5 49.3 47.5 42.3 44.5 44.2 43.5 41.5 41.8 41.9 41.2 41.6 42.0 41.7 41.8 41.8 42.2 42.3 38.2 40.5 45.8 42.1 45.2 38.7 41.2 45.5 41.3 45.6 41.4 45.3 40.9 45.8 37.3 41.1 44.8 39.0 45.5 38.1 41.3 45.8 42.0 46.0 38.2 41.6 45.9 42.3 46.3 37.3 41.2 45.6 42.4 45.7 37.7 41.2 45.0 42.3 46.2 38.1 41.5 44.5 43.4 46.2 '38.2 41.6 44.8 43.3 46.7 38.0 41.2 45.3 '44.1 46.5 37.7 41.5 46.0 45.0 46.6 40.7 45.7 45.6 45.2 40.7 45.7 46.5 45.7 40.8 45.8 46.6 46.6 40.6 45.6 46.3 44.7 40.9 46.0 47.0 45.1 41.3 45.8 46.8 45.2 41.2 45.5 46.9 45.0 41.1 45.6 46.9 45.6 41.4 45.6 46.4 45.7 40.9 ' 45.9 47.9 '45.9 41.3 45.7 46.9 45.7 41.5 38.5 37.6 38.5 38.7 40.4 40.2 40.6 40.0 40.1 40.7 39.7 39.4 44.0 43.9 43.6 44.4 46.5 45.2 44.3 44.0 45.2 41.7 44.6 44.5 45.4 45.5 38.2 43.0 44.0 45.6 44.9 41.9 44.0 44.4 47.4 45.5 40.9 44.0 44.6 47.7 45.6 35.8 39.5 42.9 46.3 45.3 40.8 44.0 44.7 47.9 46.1 39.9 42.0 43.9 46.8 45.9 42.6 44.1 '45.0 48.9 44.9 38.6 ' 42. 6 '43.8 46.8 45.9 41.5 43.1 44.7 44.9 45.4 41.9 49.2 45.5 42.0 42.8 50.3 45.0 42.1 43.0 49.8 45.0 41.6 42.3 49.4 45.9 41.6 43.4 50.6 46.3 42.0 43.8 50.9 46.5 42.2 42.7 50.7 46.5 42.6 43.9 51.0 46.8 42.6 43.7 50.2 46.5 43.0 43.1 50.2 45.8 42.9 43.4 50.8 45.3 '42.3 43.2 51.8 45.4 42.7 44.0 44.1 43.5 43.7 44.0 43.7 43.7 43.7 44.7 43.9 44.3 43.6 44.4 44.1 43.9 43.8 44.3 43.9 43.8 43.7 43.5 43.4 40.2 42.5 41.0 42.6 40.2 42.8 40.0 42.5 39.9 42.8 42.4 43.0 41.7 42.8 41.9 43.1 40.4 42.9 40.4 43.2 39.4 43.0 43.4 43.5 39. S 43.3 LABOR CONDITIONS Average weekly hours per worker in manufacturing: Natl. Indus. Conf. Bd. (25 industries) hours.. U. S. Dept. of Labor, all manufacturing! do Durable goods* do Iron and steel and their products* .do Blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills*... hours.. Electrical machinery* do Machinery, except electrical* do Machinery and machine-shop products*.-do Machine tools* .do Automobiles* _.do Transportation equipment, except automobiles* hours.. Aircraft and parts (excluding engines)*...do Shipbuilding and boatbuilding*.. do_... Nonferrous metals and products* do Lumber and timber basic products* do Furniture and finished lumber products*.-.do___ Stone, clay, and glass products* do Nondurable goods* do__. Textile-mill products and other fiber manufactures* hours. Apparel and other finished textile products* hours. Leather and leather products* _do__. Food and kindred products* do_._ Tobacco manufactures* .do... Paper and allied products* do... Printing and publishing and allied industries* hours . Chemicals and allied products* do__. Products of petroleum and coal* do... Rubber products* do_._ A verage weekly hours per worker in nonmanufacturing industries (U. S. Department of Labor):* Building construction.._ _ hours. Mining: Anthracite do__. Bituminous coal do... Metalliferous do Quarrying and nonmetallic do... Crude petroleum and natural gas do Public utilities: Electric light and power do__. Street railways and busses .do... Telegraph.. do... Telephone do... Services: Dyeing and cleaning do Power laundries do... Trade: Retail... _ do... Wholesale_ do.__ 42.8 4.-5.7 46.9 46.6 ' Revised. tTotal includes State engineering, supervisory, and administrative employees not shown separately. JSee note marked *T' on p. S-ll of the July 1944 Survey regarding changes in the data beginning June 1943. The United States total beginning November 1943 reflects a further change in reporting resulting in an upward adjustment of 24,558 in that month. Data cover only paid employees. The December 1943 total includes about 220,U00 excess temporary Post Office substitutes employed only at Christmas; such employees are not included in the December 1944 figures. •New series. Indexes beginning 1939 for retail food establishments and beginning 1940 for water transportation are shown on p. 31 of the June 1943 Survey. Data beginning March 1942 for all series on average hours, except for the telephone and telegraphindustries, are available in the May 1943 Survey and data back to 1939 will be published later; data back to 1937 for the telephone industry, shown separately beginning in the December 1944 Survey, will also be published later; data for the telegraph industry are available only from June 1943 (for data beginning that month see note on p. S-ll of the January 1945 issue). !Revised series. For data beginning 1939 for the Department of Labor's revised indexes of employment in nonmanufacturing industries (except for the telephone and telegraph industries), see p. 31 of the June 1943 Survey. Separate data for the telephone and the telegraph industries have been computed beginning 1937; complete data will be published later. For revision in the Department of Labor's series on average weekly hours in all manufacturing industries, see note marked " ! " on p. S-13 of the July 1944 Survey. The indexes of railway employees have been shifted to a 1935-39 base and the method of seasonal adjustment revised; earlier data not shown in the May 1943 Survey will be published later. S-12 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January 1945 March 1945 1944 January February March April May June July SepAugust tember October Novem- Decem ber ber EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES—Continued LABOR CONDITIONS—Continued Industrial disputes (strikes and lockouts): Strikes beginning in month: Strikes.. _ number.. Workers involved thousands.. Man-days idle during month .do U. S. Employment Service placement activities: Nonagricultural placements! thousands. _ Unemployment compensation (Social Security Board): Continued claimsO .thousands.. Benefit payments: Beneficiaries, weekly average.— do Amount of payments thous. of dol... Labor turn-over in manufacturing establishments:^ Accession rate monthly rate per 100 employees— Separation rate, total do Discharges -do Lay-offs do Quits do Military -do Miscellaneous do PAY ROLLS Wage-earner pay rolls, all manufacturing, unadjusted (U. S. Department of Labor) t 1939=100.. Durable goods do Iron and steel and their products do Blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills 1939=100Electrical machinery do Machinery, except electrical do Machinery and machine-shop products do Machine toolst -do Automobiles do Transportation equipment, except automobiles 1939=100.. Aircraft and parts (excluding engines) 1 do Shipbuilding and boatbuildingA do Nonferrous metals and products do Lumber and timber basic products do Sawmills do Furniture and finished lumber products do Furniture do Stone, clay, and glass p r o d u c t s . . do Nondurable goods. do Textile-mill products and other fiber manufactures 1939=100Cotton manufactures, exc. small wares do Silk and rayon goods do Woolen and worsted manufactures (except dyeing and finishing) 1939=100.. Apparel and other finished textile products..do M e n ' s clothing .do Women's clothing.. _ do Leather and leather products. do Boots and shoes do Food and kindred products do Baking do. Canning and preserving do. Slaughtering and meat packing do Tobacco manufactures _do._. Paper and allied p r o d u c t s . . do... Paper and pulp do... Printing, publishing, and allied industries do... Newspapers and periodicals*.. do... Printing, book and job*_ do... Chemicals and allied products do... Chemicals ..do... Products of petroleum and coal ...do Petroleum refining do Rubber products do Rubber tires and inner tubes ...do Nonmanufacturing, unadjusted (U. S. D e p t . of Labor): Mining:! Anthracite 1939=100.. Bituminous coal do. Metalliferous doQuarrying and nonmetallic _do. Crude petroleum and natural gas! do. Public utilities:! Electric light and power __do. Street railways and busses do. Telegraph _ _ do. Telephone _. __ ___do. Services:! Dyeing and cleaning do. Power laundries.. do. Year-round hotels do. Trade: Retail, totalf do. Food* do. General merchandising! do. Wholesale! ...do. Water transportation* _ do. 240 44 228 330 110 625 1,087 330 115 470 360 115 415 435 155 580 600 155 680 470 145 485 190 935 390 185 660 440 220 690 375 200 710 973 610 290 1,400 1,093 1,259 1,172 788 745 778 761 1,127 1,034 593 543 565 591 477 514 423 397 407 348 370 417 105 7,299 84 5,277 104 6,156 112 7,351 83 5,471 87 (5,771 78 5,225 66 ' 4,348 72 63 4,246 64 4,350 71 4,918 6.47 6.69 .69 .79 4.60 .53 .08 5.46 6.52 .64 .76 4.56 .49 .07 5.76 7.33 .65 .87 5.00 .73 .08 5.53 6.78 .59 .58 4.90 .64 .07 7.08 .63 .50 5.27 .60 .08 17.6 7.1 .7 .5 5.4 6.3 7.8 .7 .5 6.2 6.1 7.6 .6 .6 6.1 6.0 6.4 .6 .5 5.0 '6. 1 6.0 .6 '.5 ' 4.6 .5 6.3 6.6 .7 .5 5.0 .4 .3 .3 .3 ' 345.1 ' 489.4 ' 320.9 r 344.7 ' 487. 3 '321.2 ' 341. 3 '481.6 ' 316. 5 ' 335. 0 ' 474. 8 ' 310.5 ' 334. 3 ' 470. 9 ' 310. 9 ' 334.6 ' 469. 0 ' 313. 3 ' 326. 8 ' 453. 8 ' 308. 5 ' 330. 3 ' 458.1 '311.5 ' 329.1 ' 453.3 ' 314. 3 ' 330. 3 ' 455. 6 r 313. 2 223.6 ' 521.1 ' 456. 5 454.6 419.8 ' 358. 0 225. 2 ' 524. 2 ' 449. 2 447.4 405.0 ' 347.8 222.2 ' 524.7 ' 443.4 441.1 400.5 ' 342.1 221.2 ' 513. 2 ' 434.4 429.2 383.0 ' 336. 5 221.1 -•512. 2 ' 428.8 420.1 381.3 ' 324.4 224.5 ' 518. 9 ' 434.1 429.1 383.8 ' 325. 3 224.9 ' 505. 2 ' 414. 7 408.6 370.6 226.7 222.7 ' 512.1 ' 507.2 ' 414. 3 ' 417. 5 415.1 410. 3 369.2 366.8 '313. 7 I ' 305. 9 3,221.2 3, 438. 9 3, 599. 4 r 373. 3 ' 196. 2 139.0 ' 189.1 181.3 ' 189.8 ' 204.0 3,213. 9 381.1 3, 629. 6 ' 370. 9 ' 202. 9 146.1 '191.3 184.1 '191.0 ' 205. 3 3,171.9 3,152.7 3,127. 3 3,028.8 2,930. 9 2,933.1 2,883.7 2,916.1 2,905. 9 3, 599. 2 ' 362. 9 ' 204.0 146.7 '191. 5 183.4 ' 191.5 ' 204.1 3,621.1 '351.7 ' 205.8 149.1 ' 186. 0 175.7 ' 189.4 ' 198. 2 3, 645.0 ' 347. 9 ' 208. 4 152.1 ' 187. 7 175.7 ' 189.8 ' 200. 7 3, 497. 7 ' 349.0 ' 215.8 159.3 ' 190. 8 177.9 '191.9 ' 203.2 3, 386. 5 ' 336.6 ' 206. 4 151. 5 ' 187.1 173.9 ' 186. 2 ' 202. 6 3,379.1 ' 338.1 ' 220. 6 164.8 '194.8 181.0 '191.2 ' 205. 2 3, 399. 3 -331.7 ' 209. 8 154.3 ' 189.6 175.0 ' 188.4 ' 207.5 3,468. 7 ' 332. 2 ' 212. 8 156.5 ' 193.1 178.5 ' 192.1 ' 207.8 3,509.6 ' 326. 9 ' 199. 3 143.8 ' 190. 7 177.2 ' 189. 5 ' 207. 0 r 171. 7 199.1 135. 6 ' 174.1 202.2 138.8 ' 173.7 202.2 138.2 ' 109.8 201.3 134.7 '171.0 202.4 136.1 ' 172.3 204.7 135.8 ' 168. 3 206.6 130.7 ' 108.1 203.7 133.7 ' 169. 0 204.4 132.8 '170.4 203.5 138.5 '172.2 206.8 139.4 197.2 r 187. 9 150. 5 141.4 r 149. 9 134.0 '191.5 160. 6 131.8 243. 2 ' 158.1 r 188. 6 173. 2 ' 134. 6 112.3 147.6 ' 395. 7 297.7 ' 196. 7 185. 0 r 291.0 288. 9 199.4 199.6 ' 196. 8 ' 200. 2 163.2 167.3 148. 3 152.9 ' 154.2 ' 155. 8 137.8 139.0 ' 188.1 ' 185. 7 161. 1 | 103. 0 133. 0 120. 8 220. 0 212.3 T ' 154. 7 140. 5 ' 190. 0 ' 190. 5 170.3 170.4 ' 134. 6 ' 135.1 113.0 114.1 147.0 140.5 ' 389.0 ' 372.1 296.1 294.1 '201.4 ' 203. 9 192.2 195. 7 ' 295. 7 ' 297. 0 295.6 299.3 192.5 '181.0 158.2 132.0 ' 154. 9 138.3 ' 185. 1 159. 9 141.2 200.3 ' 142. 7 '187.6 175.1 '133.5 113.8 144.4 ' 358.8 295.0 ' 206. 4 199.6 ' 281. 3 280. 0 192.9 ' 182. 8 166.4 128.1 '156.1 139.8 ' 191.0 103.8 i 143.2 i 210.9 ' 152.8 ' 188. 8 177.2 ' 134. 9 116.1 144.8 ' 358. 7 296. 5 '212.4 205.2 ' 283. 3 283.0 194.8 ' 180. 4 166. 5 134.8 ' 158. 0 142.8 '197.6 160.8 150.7 217.5 ' 157.4 ' 191. 2 179.8 ' 137. 3 117.1 149.5 T 355. 1 290. 5 ' 215.5 207. 5 ' 281.4 278.5 181. 3 '175.6 154.6 125.6 ' 155.8 139. 8 ' 209. 2 168.0 242.8 219.0 ' 157. 0 ' 189.4 178.6 ' 137. 9 117.1 151.9 ' 355. 2 297.6 ' 222. 8 215.6 ' 279.7 280.9 181.1 ' 187. 4 160.6 139. 6 ' 150.0 140.2 '213.1 107. 5 306. 2 210.7 ' 157. 5 M90.6 180.6 ' 137. 8 118.4 149.4 ' 356. 6 295.1 ' 220. 5 214.0 ' 287. 9 294.3 185.1 ' 195.6 166.3 148.4 ' 158.5 143.1 ' 212. 8 108.7 336.4 200.3 ' 163. 0 ' 189.8 180.0 ' 138. 9 119. 6 151.5 ' 360. 8 292.8 ' 220. 8 213.3 '291.4 300.8 188.0 ' 196. 9 169.0 147.4 ' 158. 0 142. 7 r 207.4 171.4 262.3 200.2 ' 165. 7 ' 192. 9 182.6 ' 139. 5 119.3 153.7 ' 364. 5 288. 6 ' 224.4 219.7 ' 290.2 297. 5 189.4 ' 192. 3 169.2 141.1 '157.4 141. 9 ' 203.8 174. 5 188.7 211.4 ' 172. 7 ' 194. 0 182. 0 ' 142. 2 120.8 156.8 ' 306. 2 289.2 '219.2 214.2 ' 289. 9 298.2 137. 7 197.7 125.0 153. 8 130.9 ' 327.1 ' 449. 9 ' 308. 8 225. 3 221.9 ' 503. 7 ' 498. 7 '417.4 ' 409. 0 415.5 i 408.4 372.6 363.2 ' 307.8 ' 304.4 146.0 228.9 157.4 139.6 126.2 190.2 231.0 157.0 139. 7 126.9 157.8 225.0 155. 5 144.9 125.7 142.3 214.2 152.5 150.0 129.5 155.8 215.5 148.5 157.4 127.9 151.8 217.9 145.7 162.2 131.1 130.6 194.4 135.1 160.7 136.5 145.8 215.6 136.6 165.3 132.7 150.1 207.8 130.8 158.2 135.4 159.8 210.2 130.7 r 163. 7 129.6 112.9 161.4 171.9 150.2 112.3 166.7 172.6 152.5 112.5 164.9 171.fi 151.6 112.9 164.9 173.4 152.1 112.9 168. 5 176.1 153.5 114.8 170.4 177.9 153.2 114.6 170.3 179.3 156.8 115.4 171.5 177.9 156.6 115.6 168.9 177.9 159.4 114.3 168.3 174.9 159.0 163. 5 155.0 148.9 165.3 154.4 152.7 173.7 155.2 153.6 179.9 155.7 154.5 194.2 161.3 155.3 195.7 163.6 157.2 187.3 165.1 157.4 178.6 159.8 158.8 185.5 159. 5 159.0 188.0 161.3 ! 161.9 ! 181.9 160. 7 104.6 122.2 132.7 132.1 131.2 448.7 121.4 133.0 128. 3 132. 7 472.6 122.6 134.5 131.2 133.4 490.5 124.3 134.4 134.6 134.0 524.6 124.2 135.2 132.4 133.4 552.6 127.4 139.6 136.6 135.4 571.7 128.3 142.4 136.7 135.9 585. 6 126.8 141.7 132.7 136.3 585.2 128.0 139.2 138.9 136.4 602.6 132.0 I 141.6 147.1 140.4 599.0 134.2 141.9 155.9 140. 0 651.9 I ! I ' 114.2 170. 1 172.1 ! '156.9 I 146.8 145.0 190.7 142.3 672. 9 r Revised. © Small revisions have been made in the data for 1940-43; these are available on request. l Data computed to tenths only beginning June. 0* Rates beginning January 1943 refer to all employees rather than to wage earners only and are therefore not strictly comparable with earlier data. ^ Index is being revised. X See note marked "t" on p. S-10. A Data revised beginning January 1941; for revisions for 1941-43 see p. 19 of the December 1944 Survey. *New series. Data beginning 1939 for the indexes of pay rolls for the newspapers and periodicals and printing, book and job, industries will be shown in a later issue. Indexes of pay rolls beginning 1939 for retail food establishments and beginning 1940 for water transportation are shown on p. 31 of the June 1943 Survey. ! Revised series. The series on placements by the U. S. Employment Service has been revised beginning in the August 1943 Survey to exclude agricultural placements which are now made only in cooperation with the Department of Agriculture extension service; comparable earlier data are available on request. For information regarding the revised indexes of wage-earner payrolls (or weekly wages) in manufacturing industries, see note marked " !" on p. 8-10. For revised data beginning 1939 for the indexes of payrolls in nonmanufacturing industries, see p. 31 of the June 1943 Survey (data for the telephone and telegraph industries have subsequently been revised; revised data beginning 1937 will be shown later). March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January S-13 1944 1945 January February March April May June July SepAugust tember October Novem- Decem ber ber EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES—Continued WAGES Factory average weekly earnings: 49.82 18.41 18.09 ' 49.42 49.30 49.42 49.39 18.46 48.86 Natl. Ind. Con. Bd. (25 industries) dollars.. 47.56 48.98 18.15 47.45 46.24 46.24 45.64 46.02 ' 46.86 45.43 46.94 45.88 45.55 U. S. Dept. of Labor, all manufacturing! do 45.29 45.47 53.69 51.89 52.14 52.18 51.54 ' 53.07 51.07 51.84 Durable goodsf do 51.67 53.18 51.21 51.40 51.84 50.65 51.27 50.41 50.01 50.18 50.07 50.95 50.25 51.48 Iron and steel and their products! do 50.14 50.30 Blast furnaces, steelworks, and rolling 55.33 53.11 52.74 53.12 53.43 54.55 54.32 55.43 55.46 54.58 52.49 53.80 millsf _ dollars.. 49.47 48.55 ' 48.42 47.88 47.22 47.18 46.84 47.28 47.76 Electrical machineryf do '48.54 47.04 47.06 56.02 54.47 54.54 54.72 ' 55.48 54.40 55.06 53.33 54.37 54.15 Machinery, except electrical!-. do 54.69 54.35 54.76 53.10 53.70 51.85 53.28 52.53 53.84 52.94 54.37 53.18 Machinery and machine-shop products!-.do 53.36 52.99 61.09 56.54 58.95 56.80 56.97 '58.05 57.77 57.33 57.18 57.08 Machine tools... do 55.93 55.85 58.45 56.43 58.37 r 57.56 58.19 58.48 56.90 55.98 57.85 58.68 Automobiles!. __do 58.86 58.13 Transportation equipment, except automo59.41 58.43 63.39 59.87 ' 63.11 62.53 58.73 59.66 59.29 60.36 60.80 57.91 biles! dollars.. 55.39 56.42 53.55 54.10 55.71 54.61 54.43 54.73 54.31 53.70 Aircraft and parts (excluding engines).__do 54.05 53.93 68.25 61.46 62.89 64.02 ' 68.70 62.80 62.69 63.96 65.23 67.69 Shipbuilding and boatbuilding .do 59.67 60.83 50.74 ' 49. 68 ' 49.99 48.96 48.83 49.33 48.34 48.69 48.99 48.65 Nonferrous metals and products! do 48.79 48.88 33.62 34.05 34.54 ' 34.00 35.56 33.74 35.78 34.82 '36.11 33.30 Lumber and timber basic products! __do 31.77 33.03 32.26 ' 32. 66 34.72 32.73 35.21 33.91 ' 35. 29 32.26 33.14 33.59 Sawmills. _. ._ do 30.37 31.94 37.43 ' 36. 91 36.26 35.39 36.58 36.51 ' 37.48 35.47 35.23 36.04 Furniture and finished lumber products|_do 34.24 34.97 38.00 ' 37.51 36.71 35.94 37.15 36.83 ' 37.81 36.29 35.93 36.72 Furniture^.. _ _ do 35.09 35.89 40.34 38.45 38.98 ' 40.10 39.19 38.12 39.33 39.52 ' 40.82 38.46 Stone, clay, and glass products!do 37.53 38.00 38.40 37.30 37.05 37.15 37.66 36.56 37.03 36.16 '37.97. '37.87 Nondurable goodsf do 36.03 36.32 Textile-mill products and other fiber 28.88 28.66 28.85 30.55 29.87 29.64 30.10 ' 30.49 29.74 29.51 28.30 manufactures!.dollars.. Cotton manufacturers, except small wares! 27.91 24.98 26.76 27.26 25.26 25.75 26.33 ' 27. 49 27.12 27.37 24.66 26.90 dollars.. 30.41 30.04 28.53 29.13 29.07 28.33 28.27 28.92 30.20 28.89 Silk and rayon goods!. do 27.75 28.29 Woolen and worsted manufactures 36.63 36.04 35.32 34.79 35.51 35.05 35.50 36.00 35.35 35.96 34.95 34.85 (except dyeing and finishing)! dollars.. Apparel and other finished textile products! 31.35 31.74 30.11 30.72 ' 31. 34 29.95 31.83 28.70 29.45 29.28 30.44 28.99 dollars.. 33.01 32.93 32.29 32.28 ' 33.95 30.86 33.54 31.77 30.46 31.65 Men's clothing! ...do 29.77 30.98 38.45 39.82 37.67 35.89 39.12 S5.46 37.77 37.83 34.16 34.39 Women's clothing! _ do 35.28 36.93 34.18 34.02 33.35 32.48 '33.69 33.01 34.06 32.36 33.02 33.16 Leather and leather products! do 31.35 32.06 32.55 32.15 31.43 30.99 31.18 30.43 30.39 31.97 32.29 30.95 Boots and shoes . do 29.50 30.13 39.82 37.67 39.09 38.04 37.87 ' 38. 88 38.52 38.39 37.95 39.08 Food and kindred products! --do 38.43 ' 38.08 39.24 38.93 38.86 38.21 38.42 38.58 38.31 37.42 37.00 38.06 Baking do 36.61 36.91 31.10 29.98 30.84 30.49 29.75 31.67 30.76 30.27 30.56 31.27 Canning and preserving!. do 30.19 30.75 48.16 43.98 45.73 45.87 44.69 43.56 43.70 46.81 44.68 46.41 Slaughtering and meat packing do 46.86 44.76 33.24 31.43 29.82 32.46 30.04 31.53 30.27 27.75 27.00 29.34 Tobacco manufactures! do 28.42 28.00 40.40 39.65 39.17 38.72 40.11 39.10 40.26 38.09 38.20 38.77 Paper and allied products! ..do 37.24 37.84 43.96 43.07 42.83 43.73 42.42 44.24 42.67 41.50 41.59 42.49 Paper and pulp ._ _do 40.24 41.19 Printing, publishing, and allied industries! 45.96 ' 45. 53 44.37 44.12 45.06 44.43 45.60 42.93 43.84 42.82 42.49 42.49 dollars.. 49.85 48.45 48.65 48.88 49.92 47.07 ' 49. 63 49.21 47.06 48.29 Newspapers and periodicals* do 46.33 46.78 44.82 ' 44. 48 42.97 42.70 43.93 42.67 44.26 41.18 41.35 42.09 Printing, book and job*... .do 40.87 40.60 44.07 ' 43.69 43.86 44.00 ' 43. 94 43.79 44.08 43.01 43.91 42.99 Chemicals and allied products! _ do 42.91 42.74 52.64 52.48 51.65 52.15 51.99 51.90 52.22 51.07 51.20 51.42 Chemicals do 50.46 50.57 55.95 ' 55. 61 55.30 56.27 55.27 ' 55. 70 ' 56.99 55.14 54.24 54.36 Products of petroleum and coal! .do 52.99 53.86 58.50 ' 58.66 57.98 59.08 58.00 58.24 '60.37 57.62 57.83 58.27 Petroleum refining.. do 55.80 57.25 52.63 49.30 49.17 50.24 50.99 ' 50.59 ' 50.92 49.53 48.12 Rubber products! do 48.98 48.18 48.95 61.71 56.78 57.01 ' 58.30 58.62 59.33 ' 58. 54 58.38 55.63 57.11 Rubber tires and inner tubes do 55.79 57.21 Factory average hourly earnings: 1.085 1.072 1.079 ' 1.079 1.069 1.080 L.057 1.053 1.070 L062 1.048 Natl. Ind. Con. Bd. (25 industries) ...do 1.046 1.040 1.018 1.017 1.032 ' 1.035 1.031 1.016 L. 003 1.006 L013 L017 U. S. Dept. of Labor, all manufacturing! do 1.002 1.140 1.116 1.129 ' 1.137 1.113 1.132 1.112 L. 110 L112 1.103 Durable goods! ___ do 1.100 1.099 1.095 1.088 1.086 1.091 1.081 1.075 1.101 L.069 L.070 L.077 L.077 Iron and steel and their products! do 1.069 1.179 1.170 1.189 1.163 1.176 1.170 1.198 L.158 L. 160 1.148 L. 150 B last furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills!.do 1.151 1.058 ' 1.049 1.032 1.032 1.026 1.051 L.021 ' 1.046 L.014 L. 010 L. 005 Electrical machinery! Jdo 1.003 1.146 1.121 1.134 1.123 1.137 1.122 1.136 L. 110 L. 107 .115 L. 116 Machinery, except electrical! do 1.107 1.124 1.100 1.105 1.116 1.116 1.103 1.116 L. 089 L.092 L. 095 1.099 Machinery and machine-shop products!.do 1.090 1.175 1.138 ' 1.150 1.131 1.150 1.131 1.144 1.114 L116 L.122 Machine tools. do 1.104 1.107 1.261 1.279 1.280 1.291 1.275 1.287 1.270 1.261 1.262 L.266 Automobiles! do 1.255 1.257 Transportation equipment, except automo1.311 ' 1.321 1.262 1.297 1.301 1.272 1.264 1.261 1.267 1.251 1.247 1.240 biles! dollars.. 1.193 1.185 1.177 1.159 1.161 1.177 1.155 1.143 1.148 1.158 Aircraft and parts (excluding engines)...do 1.138 1.138 1.385 ' 1.409 1.379 1.324 1.339 1.370 1.331 1.319 1.330 1.332 Shipbuilding and boatbuilding.... do 1.306 1.317 1.068 ' 1.058 1.059 1.049 1.047 1.058 1.051 1.044 1.045 1.047 Nonferrous metals and products! do 1.038 1.040 .794 .791 .799 .801 .803 '.807 .796 .771 .788 .798 Lumber and timber basic products! do .771 .770 .779 '.776 .798 .792 .793 .795 .788 .757 .775 .788 Sawmills do .757 .756 .842 '.833 .816 '.833 .813 .829 .812 .797 .805 .812 Furniture and finished lumber products!.-do .789 .792 .862 '.853 '.849 .835 .833 .847 .832 .816 .834 .827 .807 .812 Furniture do .914 .910 .895 .912 .894 .910 .899 .882 .891 .893 Stone, clay, and glass products! do .881 .879 .883 .877 .878 .862 .861 .876 .846 .850 .858 .838 .842 Nondurable goods! do Textile-mill products and other fiber .725 .722 .721 .712 .710 '.723 .711 .710 .701 .686 .690 .682 manufactures! . dollars.. Cotton manufactures, except small .646 .647 .639 .634 .637 .637 .605 .599 .623 .597 wares! dollars.. .708 '.707 .706 .700 .691 .689 .672 .697 .686 .666 .669 Silk and rayon goods! _ .do Woolen and worsted manufactures .852 .849 .849 .849 .842 .845 .840 .841 .831 .833 .837 .827 (except dyeing and finishing)! dollars.. Apparel and other finished textile products! .831 '.824 .832 .832 .784 .772 .807 .785 .789 .770 .778 .750 dollars.. .862 .864 .857 .846 .821 .823 .811 .817 .802 .800 .775 .793 Men's clothing!.... do 1.017 1.001 1.027 1.035 .999 .946 .963 .969 .927 .918 .924 .952 Women's clothingj do .824 .818 .819 .806 .820 .801 .802 .782 .800 .790 .774 .778 Leather and leather products! do .794 '.787 .789 .771 .765 .788 .767 .743 .747 .754 .766 .740 Boots and shoes ...do.,.. ' Revised. t Sample changed in November 1942; data are not strictly comparable with figures prior to that month. § Sample changed in July 1942; data are not strictly comparable with figures prior to that month. . . • New series. Data beginning 1932 for the newspapers and periodicals and printing, book and job, industries will be published later; see November 1943 Survey for data beginning August 1942. ! Revised series. The indicated series on average weekly and hourly earnings have been shown on a revised basis beginning in the March 1943 Survey and data are not comparable with figures shown in earlier issues (see note marked " ! " on p . S-13 of the July 1944 Survey); there were no revisions in the data for industries which do not carry a reference to this note. Data prior to 1942 for all revised series will be published later. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-14 Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Surrey 1944 1945 January March 1945 January February March April June May July August September October Novem- December ber EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES—Continued WAGES—Continued Factory average hourly earnings—Continued. U. S. Dept. of Labor, all mfg.f—Continued. Nondurable goods—Continued. Food and kindred products! dollars__ Baking do___ do.._. Canning and preserving! do.... Slaughtering and meat packing... do Tobacco manufacturest do Paper and allied products! Hn Paper and pulp Printing, publishing, and allied industriest-do Newsnarjers and Deriodicals* fin do Printing book and job* Chemioals and allied Rroductst do do Chemicals do Products of petroleum and coalf do Petroleum refining do__._ Rubber products! _ _ _ rio Rubber tires and inner tubes Nonmanufacturing industries, average hourly earnings (U. S. Department of Labor):* Building construction dollars.. Mining: Anthracite do do Bituminous coal do. Metalliferous do.... Quarrying and nonmetallic do Crude petroleum and natural gas Public utilities: . . do Electric light and power do.... Street railways and busses do Telegraph do.. Telephone Services: do.... Dyeing and cleaning do Power laundries Trade: do Retail do. Wholesale - Miscellaneous wage data: Construction wage rates (E. N. R.):1 dol. per hr Common labor do_ Skilled labor Farm wages without board (quarterly) © dol. Der month .dol. per hr__ Railway wages (average, class I)© Road-building wages, common labor: . do United States average 0.839 .819 .762 .913 675 824 866 1.044 1 217 973 939 1 087 1.162 1 237 1.066 1.224 0.838 .822 .766 .909 678 .829 869 1.044 1 216 .970 935 1 C87 1.159 1 233 1.072 1.240 0.839 .829 .759 .903 679 .834 871 1.049 1 226 973 938 1 094 1.163 1 235 1.086 1.256 0.845 .830 .779 .918 691 .837 875 1.059 1 232 .983 944 1 097 1.174 1 247 1.075 1.234 0.854 .839 .777 .934 .698 .842 .879 1.072 1.248 .994 .954 1.101 1.174 1.242 1.087 1.257 0.851 .841 .770 .924 706 .845 .884 1.075 1 248 1.001 958 1.101 1.181 1 248 1.092 1.254 0.845 .839 .743 .921 .709 .847 .886 1.072 1 253 .997 966 1.114 1.199 1.265 1.094 1.256 1.295 1.297 1.296 1.297 1.310 1.300 1.160 1.195 .993 .827 1.160 1.245 1.179 .992 .828 1.143 1.162 1.174 .999 .833 1.121 1.166 1.182 1.012 .848 1.168 1.159 1.175 1.C05 .849 1.131 1.144 1.182 1.C09 .857 1.138 1.097 .913 .795 .889 1.091 .916 .793 .898 1.092 .922 .796 .904 1.110 .928 .800 .908 1.094 .928 .807 .907 .697 .596 .705 .597 .708 .601 .722 .606 .680 .966 .676 .967 .711 .966 0.891 .869 1.62 .869 1.62 gQ QA 76.06 .936 0.844 .839 .765 .922 715 .847 0.859 .855 .773 .933 .736 .863 .899 r 1.103 L.268 L.036 r .956 1.121 ' L.186 .253 1.107 '1.258 0.866 .855 .786 .935 .738 .867 .904 1.10? 1.268 1.045 .965 1.125 1.194 1.262 1.129 1.293 .080 258 L.001 961 1.106 L. 179 .245 ,102 L.264 i 265 L 030 966 119 L. 202 268 .117 .273 0.857 .849 .790 .930 728 862 901 1.102 1 262 1 037 r 957 1 117 1.190 r 1 257 1.108 1.263 1.302 1.323 1.339 r 1.342 1.349 1.349 1.194 1.199 1.010 .871 1.187 1.179 1.190 1.003 .861 1.130 1.187 I. 213 1.016 .871 1.172 1.197 1.191 ' 1.015 .880 1.156 1.156 r1.173 1.014 -.871 1.146 1.176 1.187 1.019 .884 1.162 1.097 .933 .804 .900 1.118 .935 .805 .903 1.102 .939 .802 .902 1.120 .942 .812 .921 1.127 .945 .809 .928 1.120 .946 .809 '.930 1.126 .95£ .81£ .93E .725 .620 .724 .617 .722 .621 .719 .626 .736 637 '.745 .641 '.747 .641 .743 .64' .690 .984 .697 .979 .701 .986 '.732 .989 ' 730 .981 736 .994 .741 1.008 736 996 .72? 1.005 .870 1.62 .874 1.63 .874 1.63 .877 1.64 .882 1.64 .882 1.64 .883 1.64 .886 1.64 .886 1 64 89C 1 64 .966 .944 81.15 .950 .943 .939 89.54 .947 .938 .955 86.80 .952 .959 .96f .70 .68 .65 .64 .68 .68 .76 .77 .79 .80 .79 .78 74 P80 78 79 79 78 78 78 78 78 78 79 79 8C v 72 v 59 71 57 8 71 57 8 71 57 8 71 57 8 71 57 7 71 57 7 71 58 7 71 58 7 71 58 7 71 58 7 72 58 7 75 55 2,289 1,651 1,274 378 175 2,260 1,630 1,258 372 155 2, 243 1,614 1, 245 369 146 2,214 1,591 1,228 363 143 2,172 1,567 1,211 357 135 2,124 1,544 1,194 351 135 2,105 1,518 1,175 343 176 2,079 l,4G0 1,155 336 207 197 171 3 3 444 462 34 36 233 249 22 21 116 119 39 39 3 3 ' 69, 056 ' 60, 241 29,644 25,297 ' 39, 412 ' 34,944 152 3 475 36 260 21 119 39 2 60, 757 24, 708 36,049 143 3 482 35 269 21 119 39 2 r 76,192 33, 563 ' 42,629 140 3 481 35 269 20 118 38 2 66,062 28,474 37, 688 132 3 469 32 263 20 116 38 2 62, 497 26,165 36,332 132 3 445 30 246 19 112 38 2 63,625 26, 860 36, 765 35, 542 14, 759 237 14, 251 19,362 19,097 36,132 15,272 13 14,901 19,287 19,010 35, 815 15, 325 37 14,915 19,104 18,823 36, 678 16, 201 95 15,806 19,028 18,759 37, 492 17,113 49 16, 653 18,915 18, 647 S84 0.847 .850 .764 .921 724 .858 891 mi PUBLIC ASSISTANCE mil. of dol Total public assistance Old-age assistance, and aid to dependent children and the blind, total mil. of dol do.... Old-age assistance do. . . General relief P 8 FINANCE BANKING Agricultural loans outstanding of agencies supervised by the Farm Credit Administration: Total, excl. joint-stock land b a n k s . . mil. of d o l . . Farm mortgage loans, total ..do Federal land banks do Land Bank Commissioner do Loans to cooperatives, total do Banks for cooperatives, including central bank mil. of d o l . . Agr. Marketing Act revolving fund. .do Short term credit, total do Federal intermediate credit bankscf.. do Production credit associations-.. do Regional agricultural credit corporations...do Emergency crop loans .do Drought relief loans... .do Joint-stock land banks, in liquidation .do Bank debits, total (141 centers)! do New York City do Outside New York City do Federal Reserve banks, condition, end of month: Assets, total .mil. of d o l . . T Reserve bank credit outstanding, total do Bills discounted _ _ .do United States securities do Reserves, total do Gold certificates .do 2,041 1,443 1,119 324 220 2,380 1,729 1,332 397 244 2,355 1,706 1,315 391 227 216 3 378 30 197 11 103 37 1 75, 282 34,990 40, 292 238 4 408 32 201 29 108 40 3 ' 64,990 27,031 ' 37,960 221 4 422 32 215 24 112 39 3 64,061 27, 592 36,469 39,929 19,552 176 19,006 18,666 18, 373 33,978 12,428 22 12, 073 20,101 19, 746 33,448 12, 092 34 11,632 19,866 19, 536 2,319 1,673 1,290 383 202 33,808 12, 571 63 12,115 19,736 19,423 34,870 13,800 118 13, 220 19, 546 19, 265 203 172 3 3 412 382 28 28 221 198 15 18 104 107 37 38 2 2 ' 66, 891 ' 70,397 28, 558 30,016 ' 38,336 ' 40,381 38, 700 18, 325 345 17, 647 18, 802 18,552 39,854 19,357 473 18,388 18,770 18,528 J v Preliminary. ' Revised. Rates are for January 1, 1945. O Weighted averages for 1942-43 revised as follows: 1942, $55.91; 1943, $72.51. © Wage increases which became effective December 1943 (retroactive to February or April 1943) and January 1944 are cot fully reflected in the figures until March 1944. T h e figures do not include accruals of back pay. ^Rates as of February 1: Construction—common labor, 0.891; skilled labor, $1.64. cf Excludes loans to other Farm Credit Administration agencies. * New series. Data on hourly earnings beginning August 1942 for the newspapers and periodicals and printing, book and job, industries and beginning March 1942 for the nonmanufacturing industries, except the telephone and telegraph industries, are available, respectively, in the November 1943 and M a y 1943 issues; figures beginning 1937 for the telephone industry, which are shown on a revised basis beginning in the December 1944 issue, and data back to 1939 for other series, except the telegraph industry, will be published later; data for the telegraph industry are available only from June 1943 (for data beginning that month see p . S-14 of the January 1945 issue). !Revised series. See note marked " ! " on p . S-13 in regard to the series on hourly earnings in manufacturing industries. Bank debits have been revised beginning M a y 1942 to include additional banks in the 141 centers; see p . S-15 of the September 1943 Survey for revised figures beginning that month and note marked " t " on p . S-15 of the July 1944 Survey for monthly averages for 1942 on the new basis. March 1945 Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in. the 1942 Supplement to the Survey SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1944 1945 January S-15 January February March April May June July August September October 38,700 16,017 14,148 990 20,792 51.1 39,854 16,427 14,728 1,179 21,391 49.6 40,269 16,411 14,373 1,773 Novem December ber FINANCE—Continued BANKING—Continued Federal Reserve banks, condition, end of month—Con. Liabilities, total mil. of dol.. Deposits, total _ do Member bank reserve balances . do Excess reserves (estimated) __ do Federal Reserve notes in circulation do Reserve ratio ...percent.. Federal Reserve reporting member banks, condition, Wednesday nearest end of month: Deposits: Demand, adjusted._ mil. of doL. Demand, except interbank: Individuals, partnerships, and corporations-do States and political subdivisions ...do United States Government do Time, except interbank, total do Individuals, partnerships, and corporations.do States and political subdivisions .do Interbank, domestic .do Investments, total do U. S. Government direct obligations, total..-do Bills do Certificates do Bonds do Notes ...do Obligations guaranteed by U. S. Government.do Other securities.._ .do Loans, total do Commercial, industrial, and agricultural§._.do To brokers and dealers in securities _do.._. Other loans for purchasing or carrying securities mil. of dol.. Real estate loans... .do Loans to b a n k s . . „ .do Other loans _ .do Money and interest rates A Bank rates to customers: New York City _ percent.. 7 other northern and eastern cities _ do 11 southern and western cities do Discount rate (N. Y. F. R. Bank) • do Federal land bank loanscf do Federal intermediate credit bank loans.. .do Open market rates, New York City: Prevailing rate: Acceptances, prime, bankers', 90 days do Commercial paper, prime, 4-6 months. do Time loans, 90 days (N. Y. S. E.).._ do Average rate: Call loans, renewal (N. Y. S. E.)_. do U. S. Treasury bills, 3-mo do Average yield, U. S. Treasury notes, 3-5 yrs.: Taxable* ._ do Savings deposits, New York State savings banks: Amount due depositors _. mil. of dol.U. S. Postal Savings: Balance to credit of depositors do Balance on deposit in banks do 39,929 16,165 13,884 982 21,748 49.2 33,978 15,248 12,917 1,112 17,024 62.3 33,448 14,383 12,311 1,162 17,316 62.7 33,808 14,478 11,889 512 17, 559 61.6 34,870 15,090 12,684 773 17,969 59.1 35,542 15,299 13,046 711 18, 532 57.2 36,132 15,386 12,866 1.306 18,899 56.3 35,815 15,022 12,855 1,188 19,127 55.9 36,678 15,206 13,072 846 19,735 54.5 37,492 15,508 13, 548 1,035 20,215 52.9 36,076 31,873 32,327 32,660 34, 649 36,208 33,008 33,597 35,097 35,435 37, 587 38,539 34, 667 36,251 1,859 12,314 7,860 7,697 117 8,856 47,139 43, 657 2,553 9,971 21,937 9,196 600 2,882 12,107 6,350 1,869 32.0C6 1,741 11,462 6,350 6,169 123 8,858 40,746 36,163 3,660 8,691 18, 284 5,528 1,767 2,816 11,431 6,396 1,649 32,609 1,706 12,030 6,403 6,213 131 8,483 41, 755 37,159 3,848 9,043 18, 541 5,727 1,739 2,857 11, 535 6,394 1,667 32,649 1,782 10, 235 6,487 6,306 123 8,036 40,994 37,434 3,247 8,910 18,026 7,251 653 2,907 11,018 6,305 1,482 34,357 2,005 7,196 6,622 6,445 129 7,954 40,418 36,972 2,773 8,968 18,105 7,126 641 2,805 10, 256 6,035 1,253 36,184 2,054 4,934 6,753 6,575 130 8,146 39, 907 36,413 2,299 8,886 18,134 7,094 616 2,878 10,081 5,846 1,192 33,170 1,765 12,589 6,810 6,643 119 8,766 42,872 39, 288 2,942 10,341 18, 743 7,262 629 2,955 12,164 6,027 2,032 33,650 1,777 13,602 6,962 6,798 119 8,691 45, 430 41, 875 3,881 11,057 19, 435 7,502 613 2,942 11,487 6,015 1,446 35, 111 1,756 11,100 7,120 6,952 122 8,515 44,635 41, 075 3,077 11,057 19, 537 7,404 600 2,960 11,065 5,984 1,393 35,499 1,762 9,221 7,299 7,131 122 8,691 43,693 40,140 2, 473 10,757 19, 569 7,341 584 2,969 10,980 6,076 1,523 37,808 1,954 5,804 7,602 7,436 120 9,105 42, 543 39,057 1,774 10, 247 19,762 7,274 599 2,887 11,371 6,247 1,806 38,823 2,039 5,757 7,611 7,450 116 9,688 43,428 39,920 1,768 10,384 20,350 7,418 594 2,914 11,665 6,274 2,118 35,219 1,735 13,870 7,741 7,584 112 9,875 47, 257 43,708 2,864 10,090 21,453 9,301 615 2,934 12,630 6,415 1,969 1,462 1,049 72 1,305 961 1,099 86 1,240 1,061 1,089 102 1,222 880 1,081 55 1,215 629 1,074 62 1,203 589 1,073 55 1,326 1,616 1,073 53 1,363 1,547 1,071 87 1,321 1,255 1,071 54 1,308 957 1,062 32 1,330 851 1,060 81 1,326 836 1,061 64 1,312 1,770 1,054 107 1,315 1.00 4.00 1.50 1.00 4.00 1.50 2.23 2.55 3.18 1.00 4.00 1.50 1.00 4.00 1.50 21, 731 49.0 4.00 1.50 2.18 2.82 3.14 1.00 4.00 1.50 1.00 4.00 1.50 1.00 4.00 1.50 1.93 2.61 P2.62 1.00 4.00 1.50 1.00 4.00 1.50 1.00 4.00 1.50 1.00 4.00 1.50 2.10 2.75 3.12 1.00 4.00 1.50 .44 .75 1.25 .44 .69 1.25 .44 .69 1.25 .44 .69 1.25 .44 .69 1.25 .44 .75 1.25 .44 .75 1.25 .44 .75 1.25 .44 .75 1.25 .44 .75 1.25 .44 .75 1.25 .44 .75 1.25 .44 .75 1.25 1.00 .375 1.00 .374 1.00 .375 1.00 .375 1.00 .375 1.00 .375 1.00 .375 1.00 .375 1.00 .375 1.00 .375 1.00 .375 1.00 .375 1.00 .375 1.66 1.31 1.30 1.32 1.36 1.36 1.35 1.34 1.31 1.30 1.31 1.35 1.34 1.35 7,204 6,221 6,258 6,322 6,383 6,464 6,570 6,623 6,709 6,810 6,897 6,978 7,116 2,401 8 1,833 9 1,867 9 1,906 9 1,947 9 1,994 9 2,034 9 2,084 8 2,140 8 2,198 8 2,257 8 ' 2,305 8 2,337 CONSUMER SHORT-TERM CREDIT ' 5,786 ' 5,412 ' 5,595 ' 5,148 v 5,451 ' 5,029 ' 5,192 ' 5,272 ' 5,037 ' 5, 209 ' 5,148 ' 4, 874 ' 5,057 Total consumer short-term debt, end of month*__do ' 2,080 v 1,994 ' 1,864 ' 1,847 ' 1, 859 '1,882 ' 1,889 ' 1,896 ' 1,912 ' 1,937 ' 1,973 ' 1,846 '1,898 Instalment debt, total* _ _ do '835 J>766 700 707 709 743 773 690 706 707 720 696 745 Sale debt, total* do.... 200 181 210 208 *192 192 204 171 210 167 167 210 169 Automobile dealers* do Department stores and mail-order houses* 184 162 141 148 132 *169 142 138 132 138 147 144 158 mil. of dol. . '269 j>247 236 231 229 235 237 234 233 236 244 253 248 Furniture stores* do 13 v 12 16 15 14 13 13 13 13 18 21 19 24 Household appliance stores* do '69 v 55 45 42 43 44 48 44 43 48 52 51 55 Jewelry stores* do -100 p 91 85 82 82 81 79 79 80 84 89 83 91 All other* _ do r ' 1, 245 v 1, 228 ' 1,159 ' 1,187 ' 1,192 ' 1,194 1,200 ' 1,175 ' 1,183 ' 1,139 ' 1,168 ' 1,157 ' 1,153 Cash loan debt, total* do '357 '325 '342 '344 '345 *357 '335 '339 '343 '319 '303 ' 305 '316 Commercial banks, d e b t * . . . . . do Credit unions: 119 116 117 118 115 119 119 118 118 118 117 121 119 Debt* do 23 16 16 20 22 19 20 19 18 18 26 18 15 Loans made _ do Industrial banking companies: '175 172 172 172 165 172 174 164 169 170 164 161 161 Debt ._. do '37 35 30 35 38 33 35 33 34 34 29 38 27 Loans made _ do Personal finance companies: 388 365 361 363 364 362 365 363 367 378 356 369 360 Debt do 106 72 75 70 68 77 67 73 61 58 94 60 53 Loans made do '118 104 102 103 106 111 115 ' 117 108 *>117 118 112 123 Insured repair and modernization debt* do 88 P g7 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 86 85 84 Miscellaneous debt* ^ do 1,758 1,390 1,330 1,402 1,516 1,664 1,287 1,370 1,346 P 1,515 1,376 1,294 1,218 Charge account sale debt*.do ' 1,220 1,139 1,189 1,241 1,250 1,238 1, 228 1,228 ' 1,231 v 1,210 1,113 1,115 1,146 Single-payment loans, debt*__ do '728 732 '727 716 730 710 724 731 704 *>732 697 701 692 Service debt* do Index of total consumer short-term debt, end of month:* 87 84 87 83 82 83 82 81 79 80 77 78 85 Adjusted 1935-39=100.. 'Revised. » Preliminary. §Includes open market paper. HFor bond yields see 3. S-19. •A rate of 0.50 became effective October 30, 1942, on advances to member banks secured by jovernment obligations maturing'or callable in 1 year or less. cf The temporary rate of 3H percent established by legislation for instalments maturing after July 1,1935, expired July 1,1944; effective that date the banks voluntarily reduced their rates to 4 percent on all loans in the United States, some of which bore a contract rate as high as 6 percent. ningl929are i consumer short-term debt, dollar figures and indexes (revisions beginning November 1943 are in January 1945 issue except for further revisions in data for commercial banks and the totals affected); total sale debt, charge account sale debt, and service debt for 1941 and 1942 as published prior to the July 1943 Survey. All revisions will be published later. The November 1042 Survey includes a description of the data as originally compiled; a detailed explanation of the recent revisions is available in the December 1944 and January 1945 issues of the Federal Reserve Bulletin. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-16 Unless otherwise stated, statistics through*l941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey 1944 1945 December March 1945 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- December ber FINANCE—Continued LIFE INSURANCE Life Insurance Association of America:© Assets, admitted, totalj A-mil. of dol.. Mortgage loans, total do Farm _ do Other do Real-estate holdings do Policy loans and premium notes__ do Bonds and stocks held (book value), total do Govt. (domestic and foreign), total do U. S. Government do Public utility _ do.... Railroad do Other ._ ...do Cash.. _do Other admitted assets do Insurance written:® Policies and certificates, totalf .thous_. Group ..do Industrial! do Ordinaryf do Value, total f -thous. of dol_. Group -. .do Industrial — f do Ordinary! __ .-._ ..do Premium collections, total® ...do Annuities ._ do Group do Industrial _ .do Ordinary _ .do Institute of Life Insurance:* Payments to policyholders and beneficiaries, total _ -thous. of dol._ Death claim payments _ ___do Matured endowments do Disability payments do Annuity payments do Dividends do Surrender values, premium notes, etc do Life Insurance Sales Research Bureau: Insurance written, ordinary, total do New England _..do Middle Atlantic_ .-do East North Central-.do West North Central do South Atlantic do East South Central do West South Central _._ -do Mountain _ do Pacific ___ do 31,101 5,283 627 4,656 1,065 1,830 21,081 12,173 10,555 4,457 2,486 1,965 1,152 690 737, 564 58, 092 204, 556 159,399 70,450 71,948 27,466 49,991 22,608 73,054 31,473 5,256 611 4,645 1,018 1,793 22,252 13,279 11,687 4,497 2,495 1,981 506 648 31,661 5,258 615 4,643 995 1,777 22,234 13,297 11,728 4,481 2,473 1,983 671 726 31,848 5,252 618 4,634 976 1,762 22, 296 13, 365 11, 762 4,476 2,473 1,982 811 751 32,102 5,263 620 4,643 954 1,746 23,055 14,149 12,575 4,464 2,456 1,986 398 686 32, 295 5,261 620 4,641 936 1,733 23, 242 14,346 12,797 4,454 2,452 1,990 457 666 32,454 5,259 617 4,642 921 1,719 23,381 14, 447 12, 904 4,466 2,473 1,995 466 708 32,658 5,258 616 4,642 902 1,707 23,531 14,574 13,054 4,471 2,492 1,994 521 739 32,864 5,249 612 4,637 893 1,693 23,619 14,646 13,172 4,497 2,471 2,005 665 745 33,063 5,239 605 4,634 876 1,678 23,569 14,631 13,165 4,468 2,460 2,010 947 754 652 82 340 230 815,295 190,145 131,091 494,059 314,354 43,387 23,589 63,281 184,097 660 50 362 248 710,746 62,597 131,108 517,041 314,772 28, 761 22,856 63,200 199,955 701 53 382 267 791,695 88,179 137,811 565, 705 350,926 32,649 24,514 71,006 222,757 691 95 346 250 774,292 126,479 124,535 523, 278 272,833 27,106 18,927 53,558 173,242 693 54 376 263 820,098 136, 333 136,127 547, 638 308, 760 29, 633 21, 070 63, 752 194, 305 698 89 340 269 842,991 125,675 125,183 592,133 339,600 35,319 21,680 70,116 212,486 586 42 304 241 722 960 80,' 220 112,395 530, 345 285,072 33,842 19, 258 57, 309 174,663 627 70 313 244 746,819 110, 319 115, 490 521.010 312,031 39, 567 21,330 59. 522 191,612 562 35 300 227 648,376 64,796 111, 226 472,354 306,311 27,139 20,532 69,974 188,666 678 46 367 264 777,793 97,910 134,171 545,712 292, 693 32, 665 20, 833 61,419 177,776 645 44 344 258 776,801 101, 755 124,976 550,070 309, 284 36,898 20, 407 57,036 194, 943 216,012 103, 573 30,833 7,889 17,354 38,079 18,284 573 37 299 236 747,853 64,376 123, 724 559, 753 31, 270 5,262 621 4,641 1,049 1,812 22,108 13,199 11,601 4,459 2,485 1,965 456 583 205,318 98,962 30,496 6,977 13,488 36,034 19,361 238,284 115,183 34,601 7,772 15,499 42,913 22,316 198,176 98,960 29,048 6,879 13,845 31,352 18,092 208, 273 101, 597 31,101 7,746 14, 099 33, 304 20,426 210,972 95,739 29,807 7,626 15,460 41,357 20,983 189,589 91,629 25, 920 6,976 14,429 32, 598 18,037 199, 500 103, 802 26,162 7,068 14.335 29,014 19,119 188,026 90,148 25,591 6,758 14, 791 33,153 17,585 200, 236 101,612 30, 515 7,083 13, 955 29,072 17,999 201,985 101, 740 31,133 6,972 14,942 30,167 17, 031 635,474 50, 735 180,975 138,980 61,705 61,603 22,801 40,565 17,040 61,070 682, 296 53, 445 189,450 149,742 67,181 66,181 23,927 44, 290 19,133 68,947 753,498 56,382 200,503 164,710 72,237 76,290 31,118 52,336 22,003 77,919 676,653 49,426 182,624 150,163 64,158 67,647 27,074 46,144 20, 293 69,124 717, 341 51,019 190, 254 159, 814 70, 093 72, 400 27, 605 48, 777 21, 503 75, 876 771,832 54, 219 196,325 161, 592 76,048 74,900 30,372 54,664 23,274 100,438 696, 046 49, 896 178, 969 150, 976 71,311 70,826 28,082 46, 734 22,595 76,657 701, 705 48, 553 165, 996 157, 726 74, 816 75, 315 28,945 50,456 22,103 77, 795 636,518 44,821 152, 249 143,620 67,355 66,398 27,172 47,761 20,322 66,820 724,840 51,959 187, 461 159, 629 71, 442 76, 669 27, 550 50, 450 22, 230 77,450 726,452 52,499 192, 674 159,734 72,174 74,901 29, 268 50,119 21,356 73,727 .298 .061 .301 .896 .573 .206 4.035 .298 .061 .301 .893 .573 .206 4.035 .298 .061 .301 .900 .573 .206 4.035 .298 .061 .301 .905 .573 .206 4.035 .298 .061 .301 .904 .573 .206 4.035 .298 .061 .301 .902 .573 .206 4.035 .298 .061 .301 .900 .573 .206 4.035 .298 .061 .301 .894 .573 .206 4.035 .298 .061 .301 .897 .573 .206 4.035 .298 .061 .301 .898 .573 .206 4.035 MONETARY STATISTICS Foreign exchange rates: .298 .298 Argentina dol. per paper peso.. .061 .061 Brazil, officialcT dol. percruzeiro.. .301 .301 British India.-. dol. perrupee.. .896 .900 Canada, free rate§ dol. per Canadian dol._ .573 .572 Colombia _ dol. per peso .206 .206 Mexico _ _-.do_4.035 4.035 United Kingdom, official rate§. dol. per £ . . :w Gold: ":i % m " '* 21,918 20, 550 Monetary stock, U. S mil. of dol Net release from earmark^ thous. of dot.. - 5 8 , 1 6 0 -27,594 Production: Reported m o n t h l y , t o t a l ! Africa -.. do do 56, 589 39,472 9,023 21,712 21,429 21,600 21,264 11,486 - 4 8 , 7 1 8 - 7 0 , 5 4 2 - 9 3 , 1 1 0 20,996 21,173 —6,395 —96,627 54,163 37, 349 8,988 3,429 ' 54,775 ' 39,401 8,397 2,431 57,152 39, 547 9,333 2,933 53, 887 38,260 8,568 2,936 57,227 40, 245 8,989 2,881 55,607 39, 593 8,247 2,959 20,688 20,926 20,727 20,825 2,690 - 2 7 , 3 7 8 —22,647 - 3 4 , 669 57, 226 40, 224 8,290 2,779 54, 826 39,074 8,274 3,028 v 54,425 v 39,110 8,051 2,863 P 53, 644 v 38, 525 ' 7, 809 Canadai _ ...do 2,974 United States^ _. ...do.-.. 3,085 Money supply: 25,019 24,425 22,699 23, 292 20,824 21,115 21,552 23,794 22,504 22,160 Currency in circulation _ ...mil. of dol._ 25,290 20,529 Deposits adjusted, all banks, and currency outside 128,600 127,900 127, 500 128,000 136,169 v 139, 200 P139, 000 P138, 900 p 139,300 P142,600 banks, total* mil. of dol-125,300 Deposits, adjusted, total, including U. S. deposits* 109,400 108,400 107,600 107, 500 115,288 P118, 100 *117,300 P116,700 *116, 600 *>119,300 mil. of doL. 106,400 Demand deposits, adjusted, other than TJ. S.* 58,100 59,600 62,100 62,500 60,065 * 61, 500 v 64, 200 v 65,400 •p 69,300 v 72,000 65,100 mil. of dol.33,200 33,700 34,100 34,600 35,717 P 36,300 v 37,000 v37,800 v 38,700 * 39,100 35,300 Time deposits, including postal savings*...do Silver: .448 .448 .448 .448 .448 .448 .448 .448 .448 .448 .448 .448 Price at New York .dol. perfineoz_. Production: 1,192 1,054 1,072 830 1,273 1,367 905 1,205 1,230 1,030 1,160 Canada _ thous. offineoz._ 2,889 3,105 3,119 2,778 3,827 4,005 3,071 3,538 2,291 3,511 United States do.. 2,892 2,215 2,924 5,118 5,154 Stocks, refinery, U. S., end of monty, do.. 0) ' Revised. » Preliminary. $36 companies having 82 percent of the total assets of all United States legal reserve companies. * Discontinued by compilers. A In January 1944 one company was replaced by a larger one and the 1943 data revised accordingly; revisions for January-September 1943 are available on request. < > 9 companies having 81 percent of the total life insurance outstanding in all United States legal reserve companies. # Or increase in earmarked gold (—). g3 cfPrior to Nov. 1,1942. the official designation of the currency was the "milreis." ©Formerly "The Association of Life Insurance Presidents." §The free rate for United Kingdom shown in the 1942 Supplement was discontinued after Feb. 1,1943; the official and free rates (rounded to thousands) were identical from January 1942 to January 1943. The official rate for Canada has been $0,909 since first quoted in March 1940. IData for Mexico, included in the total as published through March 1942, are no longer available. For revised monthly averages for 1941 and 1942 for the total and Canada and for 1942 for United States, see note marked "V* on p. S-17 of the March 1944 Survey. Monthly revisions for 1941 and January-May 1942 are available on request. •New series. The series on payments to policyholders and beneficiaries, compiled by the Institute of Life Insurance, represents total payments in the United States, including payments by Canadian companies; data are based on reports covering 90 to 95 percent of the total and are adjusted to allow for companies not reporting; data beginning September 1941 are available in the November 1942 Survey; earlier data are available on request. The new series on bank deposits and currency outside banks are compiled by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and are partly estimated. Demand deposits adjusted exclude cash items in process of collection. The figures for time deposits include postal savings redeposited in banks and amounts not so deposited. The amount of U. S. deposits can be obtained by subtracting the sum of demand and time deposits from figures for total deposits. Monthly data beginning January 1943 and earlier semiannual and annual data will be published later. fData for value, total and ordinary, revised beginning December 1938. Further revisions beginning January 1941 have been made in all series except group owing to substitution of one company and the inclusion of dividend additions and juvenile policies at ultimate, instead of issue, amounts; this revision increased thefiguresby the following percentages: 1941— Total, 6.3; industrial, 21.6; ordinary, 2.7; 1942—Total, 5.9; industrial, 18.5; ordinary, 3.7. Revisions prior to November 1942 are available on request. March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1945 January 1942 Supplement to the Survey S-17 1944 January February March April June May July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber FINANCE—Continued * PROFITS AND DIVIDENDS (QUARTERLY) • Industrial corporations (Federal Reserve): Net profits, total (629 cos.) mil. of dol.. Iron and steel (47 cos.) do Machinery (69 cos.) do— Automobiles (15 cos.). do Other transportation equip. (68 cos.) do Nonferrous metals and prod. (77 cos.) do Other durable goods (75 cos.) do— Foods, beverages and tobacco (49 cos.) do Oil producing and refining (45 cos.) do Industrial chemicals (30 cos.) do Other nondurable goods (80 cos.) do.... Miscellaneous services (74 cos.) do Profits and dividends (152 cos.):* Net profits.__ do.._. Dividends: Preferred. _ do.... Common. -do Electric utilities, class A and B, net income (Federal Reserve)* mil. of dol.. Railways, class I, net income (I. C. C.) do.... Telephones, net operating income (Federal Communications Commission) mil. of dol._ 452 47 40 52 i 58 29 20 40 49 42 36 39 464 46 40 55 »53 30 22 43 52 43 37 43 478 46 37 56 150 28 22 41 58 51 34 55 222 227 236 20 142 22 149 20 137 135 145.0 123 168.4 111 173.3 58.9 58.2 58.3 164.8 FUBLIC FINANCE (FEDERAL) TJ. S. war program, cumulative totals from June 1940:* Program mil. of dol.. Cash expenditures,. do— U. S. Savings bonds:* Amount outstanding do— Sales, series E, F, and G do.... Redemptipns do— Debt, gross, end of month® do Interest bearing: Public issues do Special issues§ do Noninterest bearing _ do... Obligations fully guaranteed by TJ. S. Gov't: Total amount outstanding (unmatured) do... Expenditures and receipts: Treasuiy expenditures, total do... War activitiest-do... Transfers to trust accountsj do... Interest on debt -do... All othert .do... Treasury receipts, total do... Receipts, net ...do... Customs ...do... Internal revenue, total _ do... Income taxes do Social security taxes do... Net expenditures of Government corporations and credit agencies* mil. of dol. Government corporations and credit agencies:^ Assets, except interagency, total .do. Loans and preferred stock, total do. Loans to financial institutions (incl. preferred stock) mil. of dol. Loans to railroads. do... Home and housing mortgage loans. do.., Farm mortgage and other agricultural loans.do.. All other do.. TJ. S. obligations, direct and guaranteed do.. Business property.__ do_. Property held for sale _ do_. All other assets do.. Liabilities, other than interagency, total do.. Bonds, notes, and debentures: Guaranteed by the TJ. S do.. Other do_Other liabilities, including reserves. do.. Privately owned interests do.. TJ. S. Government interests do.-_ Reconstruction Finance Corporation, loans outstanding, end of month, totalf.mil. of d o l . . Banks and trust cos., incl. receivers do Other financial institutions _ do Railroads, including receivers do Loans to business enterprises, except to aid in national defense... mil. of d o l . . National defense -do Other loans and authorizations do 390,350 252,036 343,102 160,758 341,308 168,566 341,330 176,515 341,767 184,008 341,606 191,926 343, 514 392,377 199,883 207,238 392,453 215,035 392,479 222,140 391,096 229,586 390,389 390,506 236,682 244,516 41,140 1,074 341 232,408 28,901 1,698 188 170,659 31,515 2,782 185 183,107 31,974 32,497 739 709 237 268 184, 715 184,967 32,987 751 279 186,366 34,606 1,842 248 201,003 36,538 2,125 227 208,574 36,884 37,323 692 602 279 283 209,802 209,496 37,645 695 401 210,244 38,308 1,023 382 215,005 213,984 16,688 1,736 154,170 12,873 »3,616 168,541 13,168 1,398 169,842 13,607 1,367 169,715 13,697 1,654 170,753 14,122 1,492 185,256 14,287 1,460 192,156 14,961 1,456 192,827 191,873 15, 461 15,976 1,514 1,645 192,438 16,170 1,636 194,192 212,565 16,583 16,326 2 4,230 1,739 1,496 4,269 4,227 2,258 2,258 1,529 1,516 1,468 1,475 1,480 1,480 1,470 1,470 8,202 7,551 69 191 390 3,587 3,556 36 3,042 2,422 48 7,570 7,138 37 87 308 2,779 2,747 40 2,188 1,727 49 7,862 7,518 5 56 283 2,754 2,503 35 2,464 1,747 373 8,525 7,726 7 449 343 6,676 6,673 42 6,353 5,911 7,859 7,346 40 117 355 3,119 3,087 8,292 7,879 26 52 334 3,256 2,950 38 3,024 2,167 337 8,625 7,567 40 747 271 6,249 6,247 28 5,734 5,241 75 8,110 7,201 451 86 372 2,212 2,163 28 1,985 1,247 56 8,119 7,571 57 77 415 2,859 2,568 23 2,702 1,552 319 7,930 22 581 329 5,927 5,926 25 5,749 5,174 65 8,024 7,479 47 133 365 2,054 2,001 29 1,880 1,240 60 7,828 7,401 18 56 353 2,506 2,240 27 2,300 1,501 293 8,416 7,503 22 560 332 5,418 5,416 29 4,945 4,347 63 -21 165 331 95 29, 508 7r~ 29, 791 7,863 30,263 742 420 1,807 2,766 2,146 1,942 1,645 7,588 10,452 10, 856 721 419 1,791 2,770 2,162 2,099 1,658 7,753 10,418 10, 504 682 416 1,773 2,761 2,177 2,090 1,677 7,829 10,858 8,550 4,277 1,332 5,247 435 18,216 4,226 1,322 4,956 435 18,853 8,631 413 213 8,851 407 224 385 31' 20' 287 69 39 2,935 2,475 39 87 148 193 254 -35 31,083 7,743 31,153 7,656 31,666 7,621 31,097 7,504 32,690 7,370 11^524 9,164 632 406 1,732 2,653 2,233 1,750 I,"" 8,042 12,020 8,722 674 405 1,706 2,591 2,244 1,701 1,702 8,392 12,250 9,364 667 405 1,681 2,532 2,219 1,578 3,742 8,496 9,776 8,663 631 387 1,643 2,474 2,235 1,592 3,747 9,220 10,761 9,131 1,636 3,407 1,368 1,603 15, 776 3,050 4,126 9,167 2,274 1,326 4,950 433 21,280 2,274 1,302 5,589 435 21,484 1,672 1,427 5,623 435 21,996 1,766 1,413 6,185 443 21,858 1,571 1,229 5,863 444 21,990 1,571 1,200 444 23,114 1,565 1,204 6,398 498 21, 771 9,051 390 224 383 9,174 379 221 375 9,330 372 222 372 9,428 357 222 37: 9,473 351 218 371 9,607 342 209 354 9,711 338 208 353 365 230,630 31,959 7,405 652 409 1,754 2,708 2,220 2,161 1,671 40,361 2,002 9,704 335 208 34; 164 9,846 330 207 340 9,865 322 205 312 40 38 3' 36 32 34 31 34 33 31 33 7,072 7,449 7,627 7,749 8,104 7,295 8,265 8,329 7,977 8,089 7,807 724 702 694 722 713 681 674 692 665 690 r Revised. §Special issues to government agencies and trust funds. ® Figures are on the basis of Daily Treasury Statements (unrevised). i Partly estimated. 2 March and November data include prepayments on securities dated Feb. 1 and Dec. 1,1944, respectively, sold in the Fourth and Sixth War Loan drives. •In addition to data shown above, quarterly estimates of profits of all corporations are published in special tables in the Survey as follows: 1940-43 and the first quarter of 1944, p. 6 of the July 1944 issue of the Survey; 1939, June 1943 issue, p. 25; the latter includes also on p. 24, annual data back to 1929 and, on p. 28, a description of the data; it should be noted that these estimates are in line with profits compiled from income tax returns and thus include reserves not allowable as deductions in computing taxes. JFor 1941 revisions see p. S-17 of the November 1942 issue. Data for the agricultural adjustment program, shown separately through the February 1944 issue, and unemployment relief, shown separately through the July 1944 issue, are included in the "all other" item. Debt retirements, which have been comparatively small, are excluded. ^Beginning September 1944 data are reported quarterly and for some items (notably farm mortgage and other agricultural loans, all other loans, business property, property held for sale, all other assets) are not comparable with earlier data owing to changes in Treasury Department regulations governing reports from the agencies and to shifts between classifications. *New series. For data beginning 1929 for profits and dividends of 152 companies, see p. 21, table 10, of the April 1942 Survey. Data for net income after taxes of class A and B electric utilities have been substituted for data for 28 companies; they include affiliated nonelectric operations and cover 95 percent of all electric power operations. Data beginning 1939 are available on request. Data beginning July 1940 for the series on the war program are shown on p. 29 of the June 1943 issue; a comparatively small amount of intercompany duplication in thefiguresfor R. F. C. and its subsidiaries has been eliminated beginning October 1943; see footnote marked "*" on p. S-18 of the April 1944 issue. The series on war savings bonds is from the Treasury Department; amounts outstanding are at current redemption values except series G which is stated at par; this item and redemptions cover all savings bonds series, including pre-war issues; sales represent funds received during the month from sales of series E, F, and G, the series issued since April 1941 (for sales beginning May 1941, see p. S-16 of the October 1942 Survey). The series on expenditures of Government corporations and credit agencies includes net transactions on account of redemptions of their obligations and other net expenditures by the Reconstruction Finance Corporation, the Commodity Credit Corporation, and other lending agencies; transactions 01 these agencies are not included in Treasury direct budget expenditures and receipts shown above; since October 1941 funds for these agencies are provided by Jthe Treasury. tRevised series; see note in the December 1943 Survey regarding changes in the classifications; the figures include payments unallocated, pendinr advices, at end -of month. nding - —"--- -- — j 28 8,370 664 41 6,853 725 S-18 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Surrey January 1945 March 1945 1944 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- December ber FINANCE—Continued SECURITIES ISSUED Securities and Exchange Commissionrf Estimated gross proceeds, total mil. of dol. By types of security: Bonds, notes, and debentures, total do... Corporate -do Preferred stock . do... Common stock.. _ _ do By types of issuers: Corporate, total do._. Industrial do... Public u t i l i t y . . do... RaiL —-• do... Other (real estate and financial) do... Non-corporate, total® do... U. S. Government do... State and municipal do New corporate security issues: Estimated net proceeds, total do Proposed uses of proceeds: New money, total ..do Plant and equipment -do Working capital do Retirement of debt and stock do Funded debt -do Other debt— __do... Preferred stock do Other purposes ...do Proposed uses by major groups: § Industrial, total net proceeds do New money. do Retirement of debt and stock do Public utility, total net proceeds do New money do Retirement of debt and stock do.... Railroad, total net proceeds. do New money.. do Retirement of debt and stock ...do Commercial and Financial Chronicle: Securities issued, by type of security, total (new capital and refunding) thous. of dol_. New capital, total .do_... Domestic, total do.... Corporate do Federal agencies do Municipal, State, etc do.... Foreign _ do— Refunding, total do Domestic, total do— Corporate ..do Federal agencies do Municipal, State, etc .do Foreign do Domestic issues for productive uses (Moody's): Total mil. of dol_. Corporate do— Municipal, State, etc do Bond Buyer: State and municipal issues: Permanent (long term) thous. of dol.. Temporary (short term) .do SECURITY 1,583 1,911 8,541 937 916 1,069 12,109 2,353 1,148 1, 531 229 37 15 1,837 80 70 3 8,533 89 5 2 166 32 6 804 43 96 16 1,045 125 15 9 12,097 151 2,312 152 20 20 214 12 2 1,085 375 54 281 84 66 121 10 1,302 1,074 113 154 83 63 8 <•) 1,757 1,698 59 97 56 31 9 0 8,444 8,381 62 203 30 142 29 3 734 709 25 155 122 28 0 4 761 739 17 148 87 58 2 1 920 751 160 163 60 24 45 34 11,946 11,914 31 192 112 59 21 <•) 2,161 2,125 36 229 68 26 135 0 668 602 65 275 150 95 199 150 146 160 188 35 14 21 240 221 0 19 0 34 23 11 116 54 2 60 1 49 18 31 37 32 4 1 8 48 32 16 150 129 3 18 1 53 24 28 94 55 1 38 3 23 17 6 123 115 23 8 15 135 103 18 13 1 60 36 24 122 109 0 13 6 82 28 54 65 0 65 119 0 119 81 26 55 61 0 61 8 55 40 8 30 0 30 9 9 0 28 14 14 140 6 134 29 29 0 118 49 66 28 0 28 0 0 0 58 17 40 24 0 23 45 4 41 109 34 70 58 5 52 21 21 0 625,461 135, 900 135, 900 42, 741 1,505 91,655 0 489, 560 489, 560 272, 280 195, 460 21,821 0 249,798 r 74,957 ' 62, 247 37,773 0 24,474 12, 710 174,841 167,551 122, 683 ' 30, 705 14,163 7,290 117 27 90 24 21 30 21 29 17 12 115, 726 119,334 59,069 64,802 34,491 69,027 25,740 64,852 1,090 780 800 820 780 790 730 530 560 370 650 370 630 380 600 390 101. 91 99.78 100. 66 72.87 100. 21 101.03 73.39 100.32 101.11 74.45 121.6 120.5 120.4 117.3 121.2 117.0 113.7 68.6 136.6 101.0 113.2 119.8 115.5 104.1 52.8 134.4 100.2 113.6 119.3 115.8 105.7 58.1 135.8 100.1 219,887 210,242 234, 729 418, 587 238,982 274, 420 58,045 79,994 53,486 73,421 70. 425 63,481 58,045 79,994 53,486 73,421 68, 925 42,481 45,456 73,464 32,616 62,616 57, 328 15,373 0 0 0 0 0 4,125 12, 589 10,805 6,530 20,871 22,983 11,597 0 0 0 0 1,500 21,000 146,466 152,196 154,735 365,100 175, 501 203, 995 146, 466 119, 743 149, 235 355,950 170,251 203, 795 77, 535 107,636 184,091 96,146 78, 754 153.917 30,055 24,525 31,460 32,875 27,455 83,025 12,153 25, 795 10,140 138,984 22,423 8,471 32,454 0 5,500 9,150 200 5,250 1,538 1,441 14, 732 39 10 1,410 315 18 13 14,685 107 2 45 438 88 153 191 6 710 692 18 735 191 505 37 2 803 695 108 347 31 262 53 1 1,095 1,023 71 154 18 10 83 42 14, 579 14, 544 34 226 429 722 340 152 57 24 33 166 147 •) 19 3 66 38 27 26 •) 24 134 19 115 27 17 10 396 357 1 38 5 123 9 114 592 566 2 24 7 24 11 13 316 207 54 4 50 96 96 0 1 1 85 10 75 149 5 139 189 10 179 186 113 73 498 8 484 36 2 35 29 16 12 259 . 4 255 52 18 12 5 10 0 10 82 0 82 331,720 478, 271 898, 654 145,073 41, 874 177, 599 145,073 41, 874 177, 599 105, 573 29,208 130,618 0 0 0 12, 666 46,981 39,500 0 0 0 186,647 436, 397 721,055 186,647 436, 397 714.055 140,608 400, 717 610, 535 20,315 30,010 42,370 25,724 5,670 61,150 0 7,000 0 479, 670 39, 270 39, 270 22, 816 10, 090 6,364 0 440, 401 440, 401 335, 894 39, 425 65, 082 0 193, 296 38, 231 38, 231 18, 6S1 0 19, 550 0 i55,065 155,065 114,104 26, 715 14, 246 0 109 33 27 6 19 9 10 53 45 93 55 30 17 13 56 16 40 17 11 6 25 7 18 16,933 166,138 52,845 20,292 37,391 45,354 32,695 122,700 56,733 5,100 23, 441 28,199 112,149 97, 431 7,700 48, 288 19, 366 887 196 619 424 940 940 940 950 940 550 400 660 420 630 410 640 420 670 430 640 430 1,041 209 726 472 100.31 101.10 74.62 100. 62 101. 41 75.29 100. 53 101. 26 76.32 100. 71 101. 40 75.50 100. 74 101.41 76.04 100. 61 101. 29 75.55 100.71 101.38 76.11 100.92 101.60 76.15 101. 35 101.97 76.33 120.5 120.7 120.9 120.9 121.3 121.2 121.2 121.1 120.9 121.4 113.7 119.8 115.9 105.3 60.1 136.0 100.3 114.4 121.0 116.6 105.5 59.0 135.8 100.3 114.7 121.5 116.0 106.5 58.9 135.6 100.2 114.5 121.5 115.9 106.2 61.2 135.5 100.2 114.7 121.1 116.3 106.8 61.3 136.1 100.2 114.8 120.9 116.2 107.3 57.3 136.5 100.4 114.5 120.1 116.5 107.0 55.5 136.2 100.4 115.5 119.9 116.9 109.6 59.1 135.5 100.3 115.9 119.9 116.8 111.1 61.7 135.2 100.3 116. 9 120.7 116.8 113.2 65.8 135.5 100.3 63 57 6 MARKETS B r o k e r s ' Balances (N. Y. S. E. m e m b e r s carrying margin accounts) ^ Customers' debit balances (net) Cash on hand and in b a n k s . . . Money borrowed Customers' free credit balances mil. of dol_. do do— do Bonds Prices: Average price of all listed bonds (N. Y. S. E.) .dollars.. Domestic do Foreign .do Standard and Poor's Corporation: Industrial, utilities, and rails: High grade (15 bonds) dol. per $100 bond.. Medium and lower erade: Composite (50 bonds) do Industrials (10 bonds)... do Public utilities (20 bonds) do.... Railroads (20 bonds) do Defaulted (15 bonds) do..-. Domestic municipals (15 bonds)f do U. S. Treasury bonds (taxable)t --do Revised. • Less than $500,000. ^Includes for certain months small amounts for nonprofit agencies not shown separately. §Small amounts for "other corporate", not shown separately, are included in the total net proceeds, all corporate issues, above. ^Complete reports are now collected semiannually; except for June and December, data are estimates based on reports for a smaller number of firms. fRevised series. For an explanation of changes in the data on security issues compiled by the Securities and Exchange Commission and revised 1941 monthly averages for selected series, see p. S-18 of the April 1943 Survey; there have also been unpublished revisions in the January-July 1943 and January-May 1942figuresand in the July-December 1942 figures for U. S. Government and the totals that include this item (July-December 1942 figures for other items are correct in the August 1943 Survey); all revisions are available on request. The price index for domestic municipals is converted from yields to maturity, assuming a 4 percent coupon with 20 years to maturity; revised data beginning February 1942 are on p. S-19 of the April 1943 Survey; earlier data will be shown in a later issue. Revised data beginning November 1941 for the price series for U. S. Treasury bonds are shown on p. 20 of the September 1944 issue. March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may b« found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January S-19 1944 1945 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber FINANCE—Continued 1 SECURITY MARKETS-Continued Bonds—Continued Sales (Securities and Exchange Commission): Total on all registered exchanges: Market value thous. of dol__ Face value. do On New York Stock Exchange: Market value do Face value _ do Exclusive of stopped sales (N. Y. S. E.), face value, total thous. of dol— U. S. Government do Other than U. S. Government, total...do Domesticdo Foreign do Value, issues listed on N. Y. S. E.: Face value, all issues. mil. of dol._ Domestic. .do Foreign do Market value, all issues do Domestic do Foreign ...do Yields: Bond Buyer: Domestic municipals (20 cities) percent.. Moody's: Domestic corporate do By ratings: Aaa -do Aa do A— do..._ Baa do By groups: Industrials _ do Public utilities _ _ do Railroads.._ _ do Standard and Poor's Corporation: Domestic municipals (15 bonds) do U. S. Treasury bonds: Partially tax-exemptt do Taxablef do 237,830 411,818 211,667 352,987 228, 798 428, 754 185, 281 307,972 144,881 221,137 223,579 384,803 196,771 215,113 334, 298 411,040 169,339 286, 625 341,960 337,114 1,052 336,062 326,658 9,404 354, 781 292 354,489 347,657 6,832 260, 533 472 260,061 249, 255 10,806 133,606 153, 442 206, 364 218,886 191,157 213, 749 400 915 190, 757 212, 834 180,680 204,161 8,673 10,077 111,885 109, 219 2,667 114,020 111,959 2,060 90,742 87,884 2,858 90,544 88, 462 2,083 96,632 93,787 2,845 96,838 94, 750 2,088 95, 409 92, 575 2,834 95, 713 93,604 2,110 95,013 92,181 2,832 95,305 93,192 2,114 170, 406 115,386 100, 214 141, 242 258,532 164, 549 143, 273 197,373 139,318 208,588 194,057 308,571 104.051 90,966 149, 718 131, 764 137, 613 132, 211 331 461 137, 282 131, 750 130,104 124,941 7,178 130, 747 185, 232 129,013 196,075 183,545 293,799 166, 619 247 166, 372 160, 202 6,170 196,864 365 196,499 189,948 6,551 266,532 349 266,183 257,840 8,343 95, 729 101, 559 101, 581 101, 399 101,088 92,929 98,856 98, 704 98, 400 2,700 2,799 2,703 2,694 2, 688 96,235 102, 285 102, 329 102,017 101,801 94,099 100, 244 100, 276 99, 981 99, 756 2,053 2,041 2,137 2,036 2,046 100,450 97,765 2,685 101,378 99,333 2,044 111,116 108, 438 2,678 112, 621 110,577 2,044 166,046 184,358 234, 544 296,029 93, 272 90, 442 2,830 93,849 91,719 2,130 169,220 267,881 158,655 243,004 243, 784 193, 748 436 503 243,348 193, 245 231,087 182, 523 12, 261 10, 722 1.65 1.64 1.59 1.59 1.66 1.64 1.63 1.62 3.08 3.06 3.05 3.04 3.02 3.03 3.02 3.02 2.98 2.74 2.82 3.10 3.70 2.74 2.82 3.09 3.68 2.73 2.81 3.07 3.63 2.73 2.81 3.07 3.59 2.72 2.80 3.05 3.57 2.71 2.79 3.04 3.55 2.72 2.81 3.01 3.55 2.72 2.80 3.01 3.53 2.70 2.76 2.98 3.49 2.83 2.98 3.49 2.83 2.97 3.48 2.83 2.97 3.45 2.81 2.97 3.41 2.79 2.96 3.40 2.79 2.95 3.37 2.79 2.94 3.34 2.72 2.79 3.05 3.56 2.79 2.94 3.35 2.79 2.96 3.32 2.77 2.98 3.29 2.74 2.96 3.25 1.92 1.85 1.84 1.85 1.86 1.87 1.84 1.82 1.83 1.87 1.88 1.87 1.95 2.49 1.93 2.49 1.91 2.48 1.94 2.48 1.94 2.49 1.91 2.49 1.89 2.49 1.90 2.48 1.93 2.47 1.93 2.48 1.90 2.48 1.87 2.48 1.53 1.70 2.97 1.65 1.65 3.11 3.10 3.09 2.69 2.76 2.98 3.46 2.72 2.83 3.11 3.76 2.74 2.83 3.10 3.72 2.73 2.97 3.23 2.83 2.99 3.51 1.81 1.81 2.44 Stocks Cash dividend payments and rates, Moody's: Total annual payments at current rates (600 companies) ..mil. of dol.. ,843.52 1, 740.52 1, 752. 58 1, 761.55 1, 763.92 1, 818. 36 1,818.13 1,817.90 1,819.87 1, 822.01 1,833. 24 1,860.07 1,843.45 941.47 941.47 941.47 941.47 941.47 941.47 941. 47 941.47 941. 47 941.47 941.47 941.47 Number of shares, adjusted millions.. 941.47 Dividend rate per share (weighted average) (600 com1.92 1.93 1.94 1.95 1.87 1.93 1.93 1.86 1.87 1.96 1.85 1.98 panies). dollars.. 1.96 2.81 2.81 2.82 2.82 2.81 2.81 2.82 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.82 2.81 Banks (21 cos.) do. 2.82 1.79 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.89 1.92 1.88 1.88 1.79 1.80 1.90 1.77 1.90 Industrials (492 cos.) _. _do. 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.57 2.67 2.54 2.54 2.57 2.67 Insurance (21 cos.) do, 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.81 1.81 1.80 1.81 1.81 Public utilities (30 cos.) do 2.56 2.56 2.42 2.42 2.42 2.55 2.42 2.42 2.40 2.40 2.57 2.29 2.29 Railroads (36 cos.). do. Dividend payments, by industry groups:* 342.1 124.4 114.4 446.9 133.4 375.0 298.0 774.1 356.1 301.7 285.8 135.3 Total dividend payments mil. of dol— '281.7 141.2 236.2 262.1 61.8 69.9 67.3 126.5 445.0 127.9 94.4 59.4 221.5 Manufacturing do_ '92.1 20.4 3.5 32.8 1.1 1.0 4.7 2.8 68.3 .8 21.8 4.0 1.8 Mining.^ do. 1.3 25.5 17.3 25.9 3.8 16.8 5.1 44.9 16.3 3.7 7.3 22.7 18.4 17.2 Trade do. 23.0 75.7 29.8 25.5 48.3 10.6 66.3 20.5 43.8 7.9 25.1 70.4 71.0 Financedo. 11.9 14.7 37.2 7.9 12.7 2.9 57.7 17.2 1.4 6.7 14.2 16.6 16.8 Railroads do. 31.8 37.0 32.5 31.3 37.8 31.4 52.5 32.1 31.5 40.7 30.8 34.6 Heat, light, and power do. 34.7 14.4 46.5 14.5 .1 46.5 .2 11.4 46.4 .1 45.7 .1 13.6 45.8 Coramunications do. 11.8 6.2 12.1 1.9 4.7 2.1 28.0 10.3 5.4 2.2 3.8 3.7 3.0 Miscellaneous do. Prices: Average price of all listed shares (N. Y. S. E.) 67.4 72.6 65.3 64.3 69.2 73.8 69.8 70.3 64.1 70.2 69.5 69.7 64.1 Dec. 31, 1924=100-. 49.85 55.32 49.26 53.03 57.11 52.60 53.15 53.11 51.85 51.81 48.56 49.99 48.18 Dow-Jones & Co. (65 stocks) dol. per share.. 139. 22 145. 46 148. 37 146. 72 145. 20 147.68 150.35 137.19 153. 95 137. 74 135. 97 146.88 139. 07 Industrials (30 stocks) do. 25.61 22.74 25.80 22.72 23.96 26.53 24.74 25.45 23.47 24.67 22.33 Public utilities (15 stocks) do. 22.80 23.60 41.52 39.36 46.34 39.00 41.85 48.87 41.12 42.11 40.58 39.75 35.41 37.59 39.28 Railroads (20 stocks) _ do 103.03 96.95 106.45 96.06 103. 34 102. 25 100.60 107. 79 102. 71 101.46 94.10 97.02 94. 36 New York Times (50 stocks). _. do 177. 38 179.07 173. 52 163.87 162. 27 164.04 171. 88 173.59 173. 42 171. 24 174. 72 Industrials (25 stocks) do... 161. 48 159. 35 31.33 35.52 29.88 31.73 36.51 31.09 31.89 29.86 31.04 29.97 Railroads (25 stocks) do._. 28.86 30.18 27.25 Standard and Poor's Corporation: 104.7 97.2 102.7 103.5 96.6 95.1 101.5 108.4 100.7 102.7 94.4 104.3 94.6 Combined index (402 stocks) .1935-39=100. 106.4 99.0 104.6 96.5 103.9 104.7 105.6 110.4 96.4 102.6 106.7 95.8 98.2 Industrials (354 stocks) do... 86.5 96.0 87.8 87.7 86.6 88.1 92.7 92.6 94.5 96.1 Capital goods (116 stocks) do 94.3 95.6 99.4 100.9 113.4 103.6 99.0 110.2 98.9 102.3 110.7 113.1 Consumer's goods (191 stocks) ..do 112.0 113. 2 116.3 111.7 87.3 92.4 87.8 86.7 86.9 88.4 89.6 91.4 91.3 Public utilities (28 stocks) do... 92.7 92.1 93.8 92.1 97.3 113.9 99.3 91.0 98.7 96.1 100.8 Railroads (20 stocks) -.1 do 98.7 105.3 103.4 104.9 120.7 102.5 Other issues: 106.2 114.6 107.3 109.4 100.7 100.7 106.7 98.5 103.9 114.4 105.0 Banks, N. Y. C. (19 stocks) do.._ 117.8 116.4 118.0 112.1 113.9 113.3 116.9 112.3 115.5 113.6 120.8 114.2 117.7 Fire and marine insurance (18 stocks) do Sales (Securities and Exchange Commission): Total on all registered exhanges: Market value thous. of dol.. 1,472,624 673,210 668,973 980,399 562,816 686, 237 1,159,179 1,055,963 735, 302 623, 094 749, 411 742,746 11,154,134 31,371 51,026 33, 554 28, 275 26,370 29, 409 59,069 53, 995 38,826 69,879 33, 662 31,409 46, 916 Shares sold thousands. On New York Stock Exchange: 562, 227 564, 775 831, 575 472,164 578,183 997,805 898, 478 610, 477 518, 521 617,187 617,307 977,806 Market value -..-thous. of dol. 1,238,351 38,418 22,139 23, 480 19,682 21, 633 45,854 40, 055 27, 530 20, 284 34,932 25,147 22,509 51,208 Shares sold thousands. Exclusive of odd lot and stopped sales (N. Y. 18,019 31, 260 13,847 17, 228 37, 713 28, 220 20, 753 15,946 j 17,534 27,643 Times) thousands. 17,101 17,811 38,995 * Revised. •New series. Data for 1941 and 1942 for dividend payments are shown on p. 20 of the February 1944 issue. tRevised series. The revised yield series above and the price series on p. S-18 for long-term Treasury bonds consists of all issues not due or callable for 15 years, whereas for the former series the minimum term was 12 years and for taxable bonds included only issues available for purchase by all investors. The revision of the partially tax-exempt yield average extends back to November 1935, when the new and the old averages were identical. The taxable bond series cover the entire period from October 20, 1941, when the 2^'s of the 1967-72 were first issued. The revised price index of Treasury bonds is a straight average of the market prices of the bonds included in the new yield series. Revised data are shown on p. 20 of the September 1944 issue. S-20 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Surrey January March 1945 1944 1945 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber FINANCE—Continued SECURITY MARKETS—Continued Stocks—C ontinued Shares listed, N. Y. S. E.: Market value, all listed shares mil. of dol._ Number of shares listed millionsYields: Common stocks (200), Moody's percent.. Banks (15 stocks) do Industrials (125 stocks) do.... Insurance (10 stocks) ...do Public utilities (25 stocks) do.... Railroads (25 stocks) do Preferred stocks, high-grade (15 stocks), Standard and Poor's Corporation percent.. 56,586 1,496 48,397 1,490 48,494 1,492 49,422 1,492 48,670 1,494 50,964 1,493 53,068 1,493 52,488 1,497 53,077 1,499 52,930 1,481 53,087 1,481 53,592 1,483 4.8 3.6 4.6 3.5 4.7 3.6 4.7 3.5 4.7 3.5 A K 4. 0 3.3 3.6 5.3 3.6 5.3 7.0 6.8 4.8 3.7 4.8 3.8 4.9 3.8 A A. 0 4. R A. 0 4. A 3.7 5.5 6.9 3.8 5.6 7.0 3.7 5.4 6.7 3.7 5.2 6.6 3.7 5.3 6.6 6.7 4.7 3.5 A C 4. 0 3.7 5.3 6.7 4.04 4.03 4.04 3.98 3.94 3.96 3.95 3.95 3.92 4.6 3.3 4.8 3.8 A. 4 4. A. A. f\ 4. 0 3.6 5.2 6.3 3.9 5.5 7.0 4. 0 4.0 5.5 6.7 3.79 4.09 4.06 R 3.7 5.2 4.8 A. O 4. ft FOREIGN TRADE INDEXES Exports of U. S. merchandise: Quantity Value Unit value Imports for consumption: Quantity.. Value Unit value .1923-25=100. ...do. -do. .do., .do.. ..do.. 240 276 291 105 270 289 107 292 309 106 296 318 107 348 379 109 305 339 HI 290 320 110 276 320 116 276 319 116 259 304 117 269 316 117 111 116 95 83 115 95 83 132 112 85 131 111 85 136 117 86 118 101 86 106 90 86 111 93 84 104 87 84 122 103 85 121 101 84 VALUE Exports, including reexports, totalj. Lend-lease* — Canada§ Latin American Republics § Argentina^ Brazil§ — Chile§_ Cuba§ Mexico§ Exports of U. S. merchandiset General imports, totalj Canada§ Latin American Republics§._ Argentina§ BrazilS Chile§ Cuba§ Mexico? Imports for consumption $.__ .thous. of dol. do. _do_ .do. .do. .do., .do. .do.. ..do. ..do. .do. ..do.. ..do.. ..do. .do. .do., -do. .do. .do. 901,407 1,124,235 1,108,001 1,196,966 1,226,108 1,455,397 1,295,336 1,197,188 1,187,725 1,192,680 1,140,008 1,184,849 649,672 923,943 901,884 951,445 986, 717 1,193,139 1,035,397 936,478 927, 576 953,923 901,990 107,407 117,993 120,675 123,170 132, 223 131, 541 130,197 133,138 71,043 82, 516 68,745 82,003 85,589 95.870 97,832 2,661 2,681 2,084 1,945 1,839 2,680 2,338 1,677 16,194 29,028 10, 471 17,327 14, 949 14,088 14.951 26,712 4,748 5,205 2,295 4,656 3,008 4,529 5,206 4,016 14,562 13,301 10,832 14,956 11,387 13,442 13,397 16,022 17,426 21,481 19,670 24,804 24,884 25,638 19, 537 23,763 894,465 1,115,542 1,099,156 1,187,293 1,216,289 1,446,084 1.286,840 1,190,137 1,180,515 1,186,502 1,134,722 1,176,439 333,391 299,855 312,710 358,715 359,364 385,988 330,280 293,184 302,445 280,365 327,187 321,922 95,526 106,084 106,225 124, 797 120,818 102,952 90,873 101, 281 122, 774 119,526 162,695 142,095 157,179 128,360 126, 793 131,315 13,513 17,491 16,602 11,067 13,391 18,415 17, 545 11,942 20.613 18,177 40,364 13,983 33,651 22,810 24,449 21,234 8,679 15, 712 12, 731 13,011 11,980 7,745 18,179 13, 952 26,434 27,269 34,175 27,579 51,015 39,581 33,102 33,010 18,288 17,423 22,913 14,479 22,275 18,040 15, 359 13, 435 355,161 304,290 303,919 357,428 355, 526 372,210 322,061 297,417 278,503 330, 278 323,779 TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATIONS TRANSPORTATION Commodity and Passenger Unadjusted indexes:* 213 219 231 220 222 226 232 224 229 226 225 Combined index, all typesf 1935-39=100.. 230 219 225 226 228 233 237 234 241 236 238 Excluding local transit linest do 200 206 207 206 212 212 208 214 216 216 210 Commodity f do 254 260 265 276 288 272 286 ••270 260 272 287 Passengerf do '373 354 361 366 389 418 424 409 379 383 426 Excluding local transit lines do By types of transportation: 457 442 464 594 544 488 '679 613 670 674 696 Air, combined index „ do '917 651 641 674 662 731 791 797 884 874 910 Commodity do 329 311 326 373 464 421 522 492 529 556 542 Passenger do Intercity motor bus and truck, combined index 225 225 220 220 235 241 235 223 226 236 236 1935-39=100222 216 207 212 199 202 211 221 191 216 '209 For-hire truck do '275 254 257 268 290 292 321 338 339 283 303 Motor bus do 184 172 177 181 181 180 181 172 172 183 179 Local transit linest do 232 240 246 244 273 249 259 239 250 246 261 Oil and gas pipe linest do 241 238 248 247 248 252 254 256 251 248 250 Railroads, combined index do 226 224 216 223 219 227 229 229 223 225 '226 Commodity do 406 417 419 441 465 461 '414 428 417 467 447 Passenger do '72 36 40 42 62 84 88 83 87 Waterborne (domestic), commodityf ...do 83 86 Adjusted indexes:* 219 225 226 228 225 229 224 228 222 '223 Combined index, all typest ...do 223 226 232 233 235 232 Excluding local transit linest do 228 235 230 229 228 237 Commodity do 207 212 212 211 214 212 208 211 205 206 207 Passengertdo '279 257 265 272 281 279 281 272 276 277 277 '394 Excluding local transit lines do 362 376 386 405 400 401 394 384 389 388 By type of transportation: 482 457 470 Air, combined index _ do 483 576 646 '696 537 599 687 650 Commodity . do '917 651 641 674 662 731 884 791 797 874 910 334 336 Passenger _ do 434 '550 370 365 409 489 539 469 502 Intercity motor bus and truck, combined index 235 238 230 226 229 221 231 1935-39=100229 225 226 231 214 227 214 218 For-hire truck _ do 203 206 211 207 207 195 206 '286 274 279 287 301 300 Motor bus do 290 306 308 300 288 'Revised. t See note marked "*". • New series. For data beginning 1929 for the transportation indexes, see pp. 26 and 27, table 5, of the May 1943 Survey (small scattered revisions have been made in the data beginning 1940 for the series marked "f", as published in the Survey prior to the December 1943 issue; revisions are available on request). See p. 22 of the February 1945 Survey for annual totals on lend-lease exports for 1941-44, monthly data prior to December 1943 will be shown later. t For revised data for 1941 and 1942, see p. 22, table 4, of the June 1944 Survey. § Revised security regulations now permit publication of data for Latin American Republics, Canada, and Mexico on a 6-rronth delayed basis; publication of totals for the selected countries formerly shown in the Survey has therefore been resumed beginning in the August 1944 issue; revised figures for 1941 and data for January 1942 to May 1943 will be published later. Other country and commodity data formerly included in the Survey may be published only on a 12-month delayed basis. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 1945 and descriptive notes may be found in the Janu1942 Supplement to the Survey ary S-21 1944 January February March April May July June August September Octo- Novem- December ber ber TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATIONS—Continued TRANSPORTATION—Continued Commodity and Passenger—Continued Adjusted indexes*—Continued. By type of transportation—Continued. Local transit lines 1935-39=100.. Oil and gas pipe lines _ do Railroads _ do Commodity _ do Passenger do Waterbome (domestic), commodity do Express Operations Operating revenue _ _ Operating income Local Transit Lines Fares, average, cash rate Passengers carried § Operating revenues! 171 223 242 221 407 65 179 239 252 228 439 178 241 256 229 460 65 179 244 258 232 451 67 182 257 253 228 447 65 180 256 249 225 434 63 179 260 247 225 421 68 181 269 241 216 434 182 264 242 217 433 71 184 270 239 213 439 73 181 270 231 208 410 70 19,377 108 thous. of doL. do 173 226 253 230 428 19, 282 70 20,168 249 19,888 73 20, 783 79 20,613 78 20, 222 75 20,838 74 21, 692 75 22,092 123 22,826 75 26, 953 93 7.8004 .cents.. thousands.. ,316,500 ,244,445 109,938 thous. of dol.. Class I Steam Railways Freight carlo actings (Fed. Reserve indexes): Combined index, unadjusted_. ...1935-39 = 100-. Coal do.... Coke ..do Forest products... ..do Grains and grain products do Livestock do Merchandise, 1. c. 1 do Ore -do... Miscellaneous .do.._ Combined index, adjusted! do... Coalf do... Coket do... Forest products. _ do... Grains and grain products! do... Livestock! ..do... Merchandise, 1. c. 1 do . Ore!—. --.do... Miscellaneous! _. do... Freight carloadings (A. A. R.):1 Total cars thousands. Coal... do... Coke _do.-_ Forest products .do... Grains and grain products do... Livestock. -do... Merchandise, 1. c. 1 ...do... Ore .do... Miscellaneous ...do... Freight-car surplus and shortage, daily average:* Car surplus _ thousands. Car shortage _ .do... Financial operations: Operating revenues, total thous. of dol. Freight .-dO-__ Passengerdo... Operating expenses _ do... Taxes, joint facility and equip, r e n t s . . . _do.._ Net railway operating income do... Net income}. _ do... Operating results: Freight carried 1 mile mil. of tons. Revenue per ton-mile ...cents. Passengers carried 1 mile .millions. Financial operations, adjusted:! Operating revenues, total mil. of dol. Freight do... Passenger ..do... Railway expenses do... Net railway operating income do... Net income .do..- 132 141 185 128 128 115 63 40 143 143 141 176 142 128 120 66 161 157 3,002 661 56 150 176 63 383 45 1,467 14 9 7.8004 7.8004 7.8004 7.8143 7. 8143 7. 8143 7. 8143 7. 8198 7. 8198 7.8115 .8115 .199,288 ,307,703 1,262,124 ,297,900 ,252,900 1,228,600 1,216,000 1,231,800 1,312,500 1,275,000 1,333,343 104,398 112, 238 110,450 114,290 110,940 109, 500 109,190 109,007 114,836 111,457 119, 633 133 149 191 140 145 108 64 48 138 143 149 180 146 148 135 67 193 147 132 140 187 141 125 103 67 51 142 140 140 185 141 136 131 67 174 149 135 141 186 141 108 107 68 168 144 138 141 190 141 123 120 67 190 146 141 147 188 146 113 106 67 281 145 138 147 190 140 128 118 67 195 144 144 148 191 154 137 100 66 291 147 139 148 194 148 135 124 67 187 143 147 143 188 157 172 102 66 302 151 143 143 194 156 144 124 66 189 150 146 146 178 162 141 115 68 281 151 142 146 185 155 131 121 68 188 149 150 147 181 148 142 151 70 276 158 139 147 182 137 126 114 67 184 146 148 143 178 140 147 184 69 237 156 137 143 182 133 147 120 66 153 143 144 143 181 135 147 170 70 138 155 141 143 181 138 150 135 68 153 149 128 127 175 120 126 124 65 41 142 137 127 166 135 134 128 68 133 151 '875 77 193 268 77 491 '69 ' 1, 752 3,159 729 61 174 208 61 405 55 1,467 3,135 684 59 176 182 58 422 55 1,499 4,069 850 74 217 194 75 537 214 1,910 3,446 711 59 181 160 60 422 318 1,534 3,445 710 60 183 180 55 410 328 1,520 4,361 838 72 236 295 69 505 412 1,934 3,580 710 57 203 203 64 427 324 1,593 4,428 862 69 222 241 100 534 379 2,022 3,599 695 57 173 208 104 435 272 1,654 3,366 W665 56 163 204 93 424 176 1,585 3,699 755 67 181 219 88 499 58 1,833 24 5 740, 672 548,419 140,115 504,013 153,835 82,824 45,324 15 7 735,305 551, 442 135, 881 492,094 158,718 84,493 46,038 19 2 23 24 1 26 1 17 2 12 10 4 11 5 14 797,029 596,953 147, 759 527, 433 177,092 92,504 53, 653 759,534 561,093 146,583 509,004 162,856 87, 674 48,033 804,056 600,069 150,076 526, 767 178,783 98,505 59,020 799, 475 585,128 159, 584 518, 467 181,187 99,822 61, 337 809, 038 593, 829 162,198 525, 057 185, 348 98,633 57, 362 836,183 617,348 162,070 538, 489 196, 329 101,366 60, 346 799, 229 591,104 152, 971 521,264 188,838 89,126 55, 545 818, 737 612,020 146, 369 539,157 182, 234 97,346 59,822 64,704 .907 7,583 63,101 .930 7,275 66,960 .953 7,823 64,450 .931 7,973 68,376 .934 7,979 65, 695 66, 754 . you 8,706 68, 454 .958 8,405 65,065 .967 8,067 67,679 .959 7,790 778.1 578.4 146.7 662.0 116.1 78.5 774.5 575.7 145.9 671.4 103.1 65.9 781.6 577.5 149.9 690.1 91.5 53.4 780.1 574.0 152.1 688.7 91.4 53.9 778.8 573.3 152.2 687.7 91.2 52.6 808.8 599.8 153.7 700.7 108.1 70.6 803.5 601.5 149.2 705.9 97.6 59.0 781.3 579.5 145.0 710.3 71.0 29.7 789.9 581.4 154.0 709.8 80.1 40.1 791.2 584.7 150.0 709.5 81.7 43.3 145 150 185 147 159 121 67 203 149 145 150 185 147 159 121 67 202 149 • 3,802 • 0) QAQ 780,672 585,432 140, 288 524,450 164, 644 91,579 63,506 756,858 555, 810 146, 412 555, 775 131,499 69,584 41,474 63,203 983 7,468 61,107 788.5 587.2 147.1 697.2 91.3 ' 53.5 780.3 586.2 144.1 711.3 69.0 33.3 r Travel Operations on scheduled air lines: 14, 596 13, 942 13.651 13, 555 13,570 9,505 12, 770 9,902 11, 236 11, 674 Miles flown thous. of miles. 9,343 8,508 6,354 6,202 4,536 6,763 6,730 6,149 4,776 4,323 Express carried thous. of l b . . 4,079 5,331 5,756 4,897 Passengers carried number.. 278, 213 254,199 293, 523 318, 560 369,649 389, 017 441, 712 476, 808 464, 536 497,664 455, 726 414,992 217,388 204, 513 Passenger-miles flown .thous. of miles 141,474 125,089 142,834 155, 412 181,038 193,289 211, 704 227,351 225, 472 239,022 Hotels: 3.96 4.04 4.07 4.16 3.77 4.09 3.84 3.77 3.97 3.84 3.89 3.82 Average sale per occupied room dollars. 83 90 88 89 89 88 90 82 88 88 Rooms occupied ..percent of total. 87 88 174 194 192 214 178 193 194 184 198 174 165 Restaurant sales index 1929=100.. 160 167 Foreign travel: 16, 498 16, 297 16, 611 15,136 9,636 10, 205 12, 206 11, 710 7,680 17. S. citizens, arrivals number.. 7,348 6,749 8,283 8,221 8,091 5,346 5,253 7,925 8,307 4,670 5,178 U. S. citizens, departures ...do 844 716 453 619 314 487 458 393 735 302 Emigrants -do 2,125 3,246 2,370 2,209 2,391 2,499 3,199 3,261 2,097 2,251 Immigrants _ do 13,111 9,772 2,309 10, 694 10, 302 10, 094 12,163 13,434 17,875 11, 587 10,195 15, 855 Passports issuedcf -do r Revised, i Less than 500. ©"Includes passports to American seamen. IData for January, April, July, September and December 1944 are for 5 weeks; other months, 4 weeks. §Data cover 186 companies; for 1943 data for 188 companies comparable with 1941 and 1942 figures on p. S-21 of theApril 1943 Survey see p. S-22 of the April 1944 Survey. JRevised data for December 1943, 29,286. Other revisions for 1942-43 are shown in notes on p. S-21 of the November 1944 and subsequent issues of the Survey. tThe indicated seasonally adjusted series for freight carloadings have been shown on a revised basis beginning in the October 1943 Survey, and for financial operations of railroads beginning in the June 1944 issue (see those issues for periods affected); all revisions are available on request. Beginning in April 1944 Survey, revenue data for local transit lines cover all common carrier bus lines except long-distance interstate motor carriers; revised monthly average for 1942, 86,667; 1941, 66,695; 1941-42 monthly data available on request. * New series. For data beginning 1929 for the transportation indexes, see pp. 26 and 27 of the May 1943 Survey (small scattered revisions have been made in the indexes for local transit lines, oil and gas pipe lines and waterborne transportation, beginning 1940 as published in the Survey prior to the December 1943 issue; revisions are available on request). • Data for freight-car surplus and shortage are daily averages for weeks ended within the month. Comparable data for January-September 1943 for surpluses, shown only for the last week of the month prior to the December 1944 issue of the Survey, and for the new series on shortages are shown on p. S-21 of the December 1944 Survey. S-22 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January 1945 March 1945 1944 January February March j April ! May June July August September October Novem- December ber TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATIONS—Continued TRANSPORTATION—Continued Travel—Continued • National parks, visitors Pullman Co.: Revenue passenger-miles Passenger revenues. number. thousands. thous. of dol. 19,170 20,101 26,363 35,809 50,990 90, 304 192, 694 174, 076 114, 622 69, 816 34, 705 21,230 2,360,007 2,242,587 2,570,780 2,475,173 2,301,964 2,344,949 2,321,047 2,339,036 2,406,237 2,414.808 J2,249,f>27 13, 247 13, 403 13,672 12,790 13,381 13,085 12,415 13,828 12, 992 13, 291 12,893 COMMUNICATIONS Telephone carriers:^ Operating revenues thous. of dol._ Station revenues _ do Tolls, message-do Operating expenses.....do Net operating income do Phones in service, end of month .thousands.. Telegraph and cable carriers: § Operating revenues, total thous. of dol._ Telegraph carriers, total do Western Union Telegraph Co., revenues from cable operations thous. of dol.. Cable carriers.. _ .do Operating expenses do Net operating revenues do Net income trans, to earned surplus .do Radiotelegraph carriers, operating revenues .do 162, 260 161,297 159,385 164,169 161, 352 166, 857 Ib5, 244 88, 741 88, 473 86, 430 87, 709 87, 654 90, 405 89, 916 60, 313 63, 852 60, 920 63,110 62,179 61,054 60,313 104, 584 103, 399 105, 021 105, 617 104,973 105, 485 105, 087 19, 972 19, 356 20, 663 19, 987 19, 427 19, 371 18,964 24,183 24, 231 24, 264 24, 303 24, 340 24,147 24,161 158, 967 156, 238 161,807 89,001 88,578 86,976 58, 219 56,970 60,775 104,095 102,066 100,565 19, 765 19,074 20.093 24,045 24,067 24.094 158,691 87,847 58,578 101,615 19,400 24,085 16,762 15,338 16,044 14,742 17, 655 16,111 16,764 15,350 17, 543 16,016 17,072 15,654 16,429 15,091 17, 202 15, 805 16, 515 15,163 16, 943 15,668 16, 218 14, 876 17, 767 16,190 1,066 1,423 12, 526 2,344 887 1,191 1,042 1,302 11,937 2,235 785 1,251 1,125 1, 545 12,797 2,981 1,122 1,295 1,036 1,414 12,515 2,413 769 1,201 1,028 1,527 13, 544 2,097 733 1,346 951 1,418 13,079 1,913 699 1,376 938 1,337 13,407 965 530 1,386 935 1.397 13, 365 1,940 830 1,397 941 1,352 13,093 1, 515 714 1,368 1,041 1,274 13,033 2,029 848 1,552 1,012 1,341 12, 866 1,483 1,691 1, G57 1,085 1,577 13,104 2, 438 1,362 1,766 CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS CHEMICALS* Ammonia, synthetic anhydrous (100% NHs): 42, 927 42, 308 40,071 44, 931 45, 292 49,113 49, 721 43,191 42,963 43,242 50, 833 46,487 Production .short tons. 3,614 3.579 2,764 2,834 4,802 5, 004 5,384 Stocks, end of month.. do... 3,766 2,488 6,120 4 559 2,884 Calcium carbide (100% CaCj): 67,481 64,131 65, 685 63,043 69,324 62,591 65, S06 67, 807 63, 713 Production. .do... ' 66,030 '65 021 ' 68, 794 29, 707 30, 043 29,605 31,706 32, 705 31, 078 30, 382 Stocks, end of month _ do... ' 20,135 '24 847 r 27,108 28, 484 29, 643 Carbon dioxide, liquid, gas, and solid (100% COj):0 70,241 r 83, 487 ' 86, 676 ' 90,060 ' 90,697 ' 84, 963 65, 225 ' 55, 679 '60 687 ' 70, 318 76; 134 58, 747 Production-. thous. of lb_. 9, 397 ' 9,005 Stocks, end of month .do.. ' 9, 437 9,108 8,940 ' 11, 921 r 11,708 ' 16, 546 ' 23,. 488 ' 22, 570 ' 1 5 , 9 9 7 ' 11, 202 Chlorine: ,,339 Production short tons 106, 675 101, 375 108,524 106,835 M 09, 415 104,641 106, 657 104, 074 102, 190 103,517 101,999 r 4,812 6, 414 6,028 4,966 I 5,059 6,572 1,506 Stocks, end of month _ do... 8,398 5, 023 7, 942 9, 053 8, 609 Hydrochloric acid (100% HC1): 31,519 30, 667 32, 325 35, 106 29, 671 30, 940 32,131 34, 454 29,048 28, 591 29, 475 :, 975 Production .do 2,533 3,126 2, 902 3. 590 3, 102 2, 773 Stocks, end of month do !, 522 2, 942 r 2,428 2,601 I 2,575 3, 261 r ' 1,879 1, 899 2, 0S5 2, 114 1,914 ' 1, 998 ' 2,102 Hydrogen, production . mil. of cu. ft.. :, 086 2, 090 '2,061 I '2,068 2, 075 Nitric acid (100% HNOg): 38. 153 , 36,509 38. 471 41,955 39,349 42, 571 37, 621 ,328 Production .short tons.. 38 161 38, 968 39 275 38,974 6. 189 6, 795 5, 905 5, 795 6, 249 ', 380 7,961 | 7,534 8,570 6 887 047 Stocks, end of month,. do 6 555 , 1,582 1, 505 ,497 1, 568 ' 1, 482 I r i t 037 ' 1, 551 1, -"30 Oxygen, production .mil. of cu. ft.. r 1,544 1 552 ' I, 556 ' 1490 Phosphoric acid(50% HiPO*): 57,807 I 59,147 55, 531 57, 324 52, 255 52, 039 52, 487 ' 54. 626 65,484 '65,003 61,887 :. 364 Production short tons.. 14, 764 r 15,112 14, 476 14, 397 11,084 12,892 12,458 13,910 '11, 920 15,067 !'97O 12, 491 Stocks, end of month do Soda ash, ammonia-soda process (98-100% NajCOa): 393, 474 363, 875 399,758 385,085 393, 823 371. 754 373, 921 368, 833 365, 362 379,472 374. 453 308, 588 Production, crude short tons.. 35, 959 32, 209 41, 737 36, 445 29, 639 34,049 37,113 27, 210 38, 260 31,916 Stocks, finished light and dense, end of month., .do Sodium hydroxide (100% NaOH):^ 062 158,215 147, 388 158,974 157,089 158, 286 155, 283 161,546 159,283 155, 239 157,497 158,742 Production do 46, 842 45, 692 50, 646 51, 761 49, 799 59, 388 I 1 57, 479 916 51,353 45,870 53,106 Stocks ,end of month do 50,477 Sodium silicate: • Production _. .short tons. Stocks, end of month do Sodium sulfate, Glauber's salt and crude salt cake: 66,625 63, 629 68, 526 70, 418 68, 109 67, 490 69, 895 65,185 67. 833 62,529 65,178 64,174 Production _. __.short tons._ 79, 800 79, 931 83, 976 83, 735 87, 283 78i 905 72,930 77, 698 71,430 77, 693 70,463 77, 421 Stocks, end of month. ......do Sulfur: 179, 226 186, 568 229,699 271,903 278, 751 280, 545 305,064 306,146 293, 963 312, 060 293, 551 280, 580 Production long tons.. 4,360,018 4,302,437 4,251,744 4,244,827 4,200,031 4,168,394 4,154,349 4,161,012 4,140,976 4,110,395 14,089,022 4,100,320 Stocks, end of month ...do Sulfuric acid (100% H2SO4): 744, 944 814, 871 820, 953 853, 254 788,321 737,107 760,848 743,807 765,922 722, 000 742, 526 767, 413 Production _ short tons.. 204, 393 213, 457 216, 230 253, 479 273,000 292, 719 278,088 287,962 266, 448 232, 213 218,811 202, 785 Stocks, end of month... .do Acetic acid: t 24,973 28,663 26,303 27, 941 27, 174 27,920 26, 531 27, 572 29. 999 28, 747 31, 009 25, 331 Production..., thous. of lb__ 7,621 7,594 10,731 9,156 9,514 11,235 9,113 10, 472 10,324 9,281 Stocks, end of month do 10, 966 8,513 Acetic anhydride: 40, 048 39,113 41,361 41,963 41,648 42,084 42, 327 43, 900 41,686 39,966 38,720 40, 838 Production .do 12,026 10,867 11, 746 11,534 12,108 9,922 12, 295 12,083 12, 380 9,646 10, 245 Stocks, end of month .do 9,958 Acetylene: 471,669 463, 726 483, 545 469, 490 463, 200 452,465 456, 347 453, 640 438,829 482, 408 450,165 450,991 Production.. _ thous. of cu. ft_. 10, 955 11, 790 11, 323 9,966 11, 386 13,170 11,911 11,114 10, 038 11,333 11,397 11,615 Stocks, end of month do Acetyl salicylic acid (aspirin): 819 676 744 691 846 754 830 774 764 738 834 Production thous. of lb_. 961 972 1,012 596 815 749 916 929 819 910 Stocks, end of month. do 980 881 f ' Revised. " * Not comparable with earlier data, see note marked " d \ " ©Revised; not comparable with data shown in previous issues. ^Production figures represent total production of liquid material, including quantities evaporated to solid caustic. Stock figures represent stocks of liquid sodium hydroxide only prior to October 1944; beginning that month they include stocks of both liquid and solid sodium hydroxide. • Data are being revised; the new data will be shown in a later issue """' § Beginning 1943 data have been compiled on the basis of a new accounting system; available comparaDle data for 1942 are shown in footnotes in the September 1943 to April 1944 Surveys; 1942 data on the old basis, comparable with figures for earlier years, are available in the March and April 1943 issues. 1 Data for 3 companies operating outside of United States, included in original reports for 1943 to date are excluded to have all figures cover the same companies. * The new monthly series for sulfur are compiled by the Bureau of Mines and cover total production and producers' stocks of native sulfur (Texas and Louisiana have been the only producing States since 1942 and the production figures are therefore comparable with the quarterly figures formerly shown). The new series for acetic acid, acetic anhydride, acetyl salicylic acid, creosote oil, cresylic acid, ethyl acetate, naphthalene and phthalic anhydride are compiled by the Tariff Commission; the other new chemical series are compiled by the Bureau of the Census. The monthly data for a number of the chemicals are reported quarterly only. For further information on these data, see note marked " • " on p. S-22 of the November 1944 Survey; a more detailed description of the individual series and earlier data will be published later. t Includes synthetic acetic acid and acetic acid produced by direct process from wood and from calcium acetate; statistics of recovered acetic acid are confidential and are not included. SURVEY OF CUREENT BUSINESS dnrch 1945 Jnless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey 1944 1945 January S-23 January February March April May June July SepAugust tember October Novem- Decem ber ber CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS-Continued CHEMICALS —Continued Creosote oil:* Production thous. of galStocks, end of month... do... Cresylic acid, refined:* Production _ • thous. of l b . Stocks, end of month do... Ethyl acetate (85%):* Production do... Stocks, end of month do... Glycerin, refined (100% basis) :• High gravity and yellow distilled: Consumption. do... Production do Stocks, end of month. do... Chemically pure: Consumption ___ do... Production do Stock:, end of month _ do... Methanoi:§ Natural: Production (crude, 80%) thous. of gal. Stocks (crude, 80%). end of month* . do... Synthetic (100%): Production do... Stocks, end of month*.. _ do.__ Naphthalene, refined (79° C and over) :* Production thous. of lb'_ Stocks, end of month do... Phthalic anhydride:* Production _ _do Stocks, end of month ..do Explosives, shipments. do... Rosin, gum: Price, wholesale " H " (Sav.) bulk dol. per 100 lb_ Receipts, net, 3 ports bbl. (500 lb.)_ Stocks, 3 ports, end of month .do Turpentine, gum, spirits of: Price, wholesale (Savannah)f .dol. per galReceipts, net, 3 ports.. .bbl. (50 gal.). Stocks, 3 ports, end of month. do... 14,271 20, 536 14,470 25,681 14,618 27, 241 14, 432 28,478 13,999 28,307 13, 726 26, 361 11, 762 24, 043 12, 443 18,880 11,055 13, 584 M,C81 12, 696 13.484 10,931 14, 234 10,712 2,724 1,982 3,748 2,108 3,737 2,366 3,343 2,155 3,782 2,016 3,257 2,230 3, 553 5,859 3, 432 2,720 3.369 2,242 3,424 2.023 3,279 1,095 3,077 1,694 9,914 5,106 9,016 4,729 10,176 6,030 7,676 5,323 8,214 5,397 8,772 6,571 7,771 6,135 9,074 6,766 7,767 5,222 9,683 5,721 10,266 4,873 9,852 6,241 6,497 7,774 38,005 5,978 7,233 33,947 5,802 7,344 35, 212 6,382 8,137 36,836 6,079 7,636 37,948 5,861 7,694 38, 475 6,488 7,452 6,240 6. 713 37; 590 7,611 8,730 38,517 6,814 8,745 38, 598 6.792 9, 262 39, 443 6,236 10, 834 40, 515 5,982 7,587 39,348 7,712 8,008 36,089 6,164 8,019 37, 967 5,709 9,766 40, 537 7,370 9,079 43,942 6,723 8,015 44, 243 6,922 8,281 44, 549 6,579 7,173 44,497 6,375 5,501 42, 411 7,085 9,823 42, 874 7,470 7,785 40, 026 8,815 8,779 37, 423 9,084 7,684 36,605 7,548 8,800 37, 237 375 190 347 233 363 257 341 310 364 312 341 331 315 286 319 240 334 201 382 264 361 260 356 276 6,007 5,777 5,419 5,208 6,270 5,939 6,320 7,128 6,694 6,768 6,563 6,834 5,838 5,496 4,849 2,344 5,435 1,926 5.671 1.851 6,363 2,388 5,851 2,382 7,268 3,043 7,769 2,783 8,180 2,910 7,579 2,604 7,077 1,786 7,295 1,357 6,351 1,454 6,123 1,972 5,979 1,815 5.907 1.462 6,394 2,535 6,217 2,091 9,205 1,564 35,574 9,676 1,736 36,609 10,345 1,983 36, 282 10,608 1,780 35,461 10, 714 2,404 38,158 9, 664 2,909 38, 564 10, 644 2,954 37,645 10,600 3,244 39,916 10,611 3,154 38, 921 10,792 3,782 38,042 10,426 2,835 36, 276 10,779 1,749 32,863 5.81 4.10 5,740 131,916 4.33 3,957 108,083 4.73 3,927 92,878 4.68 6,151 79,813 4.92 7,919 78,313 5.62 10,326 61,165 5.52 9,876 57,190 5.48 10, 406 53, 202 5.49 9,345 48,609 5.71 7,881 43, 512 5.81 7,755 36,657 5.81 6,346 31, 900 .79 .77 765 93,040 .77 776 91,366 .77 358 86,473 .77 2,052 83,597 .77 7,211 85, 536 .78 4,147 82, 867 .76 3,696 76, 973 .79 3,745 77,131 .79 2,798 68, 675 .79 2,324 68, 222 .79 2,236 67, 320 1, 929 66, 759 1,116 1,165 1,225 694 144 96 147 295 254 477 551 1.650 64,973 1.650 73,693 1.660 75, 727 1.650 56,140 1.650 37,398 1.650 81, 359 1.650 05, 743 1.650 71,981 1. 650 67, 511 1. 650 81,296 1. 650 70,630 1.650 652,924 978,837 691, 992 954, 404 664,256 860, 581 616,901 776,955 685, 762 839,018 620,667 871, 917 567, 783 874, 737 601, 240 861, 236 528, 887 870, 259 604,512 875, 970 604, 416 879, 317 599, 890 887,114 34,124 .79 FERTILIZERS Consumption, Southern States. thous. of short tons.. 1,189 Price, wholesale, nitrate of soda, crude, f. o. b. cars, port warehouses • dol. per 100 l b . . 1.650 Potash deliveries ._ short tons,-1 Superphosphate (bulk):f Production . do... Stocks, end of month ...do... O I L S , FATS AND BYPRODUCTS Animal, includingfishoil: Animal fats: I Consumption, factory thous. of lb 135, 755 123,420 134,029 142, 628 122,161 129,998 113,703 107,053 150, 650 139,595 152,060 137, 546 118,906 Production do 243,439 364, 308 401, 403 346, 406 323,984 349, 799 308, 435 263, 085 254, 417 193, 700 204, 820 268,802 259,130 Stocks, end of month do | 467,490 435, 540 585, 301 740,435 799, 371 867,192 J 903, 454 876,121 810, 479 697,159 598, 309 542,129 533, 508 Greases :j Consumption, factory... . do 73,179 58, 947 54, 440 58, 487 63,343 60, 438 58,034 57,439 60, 440 71, 685 65, 462 63. 987 59, 598 Production do 50, 275 60, 831 63, 481. 57, 781 57, 073 63, 383 59, 138 52,164 43. 921 52, 410 52, 293 49, 777 45. 240 Stocks, end of month. d o . 111,169 98, 827 109, 999 127, 707 135, 940 154, 056 168,949 185,421 167, 454 159, 946 147,824 136,001 123, 245 Fish oils:I Consumption, factory do 31, 347 19,197 16,584 14,793 15,894 16, 371 15,896 16, 282 18,981 16, 976 28, 886 30, 539 24, 700 Production __.do 7,293 12,316 2,006 767 705 1,615 12,928 23, 022 32, 688 24,857 25, 843 14, 696 52. 995 Stocks, end of month... do 214,442 209, 793 195, 257 183,271 170,213 160, 227 156,067 169,906 176,846 196, 646 222, 733 236, 552 228, 228 Vegetable oils, total:t Consumption, crude, factory mill, of l b . . 396 363 356 361 310 314 271 237 287 283 341 371 378 Production, crude-.. do.... 412 415 304 388 286 270 273 311 269 375 413 361 371 Stocks, end of month: Crude do 815 922 937 959 952 857 845 808 791 779 812 784 787 Refined do 397 522 458 495 533 527 493 427 316 359 305 294 353 Coconut or copra oil: Consumption, factory: J Crude. _._ .thous. of l b . . 14, 537 21,756 19,600 21,418 17,383 17,148 13,633 13, 256 15,613 19,064 15, 253 15, 794 14,276 Refined do 8, 756 8,794 7,625 7,326 7,523 6,123 5,369 5,164 6,712 6,654 6,506 6,268 5,827 Production: Crude* do 18,720 12,406 8,587 14, 381 9,461 13,470 17, 652 8,267 8,392 11,807 13,032 0) 0) Refined do 8, 394 7,820 7,063 7,524 6,960 5,830 5,334 4,755 5,953 6,451 6, 740 6,008 5,676 Stocks, end of month X Cruded o . . . . 102,496 116,552 114,199 122, 534 116,996 114,099 119, 269 113,050 100,013 103,297 101. 275 94,152 98, 412 Refined... do 2, 372 3,168 3,348 3,530 3,392 3,260 3,366 3,536 3,293 2,457 2,714 2,996 2,640 Cottonseed: Consumption (crush) thous. of short tons.. 576 332 268 '457 186 134 55 74 100 354 615 523 528 Receipts at mills _ do 244 48 74 24 123 25 34 34 163 908 934 1,321 361 r Stocks at mills, end of month do 1,345 450 669 928 179 119 140 182 735 1,534 1,852 1,676 r Revised. 1 Data included in "total vegetable oils" but not available for publication separately. § See note marked " § " on p. S-23 of the November 1944 Survey. • Price of crude sodium nitrate in 100-pound bags, f. 0. b. cars, Atlantic, Gulf, and Pacific port warehouses. This series has been substituted beginning 1935 for the series shown in the 1942 Supplement; figures for August 1937 to December 1941 are the same as published in the Supplement; for data for 1935-36 and all months of 1937, see note marked"*" on D S-23 of the May 1943 Survey. Prices are quoted per ton and have been converted to price per bag. JData for the indicated series on oils and fats revised for 1941; revisions for fish oils are shown in note marked"!" on p. S-22 of the April 1943 Survey; revision* for all other series were minor and are available on request. Data for 1942 also revised; revisions are available upon request. *New series. m For information regarding the new chemical series see note marked "*" on p. S-22 of this issue and the November 1944 issue. fRevised series. The turpentine price shown beginning with the April 1943 Survey is the bulk price; data shown in earlier issues represent price for turpentine in barrels and can b© converted to a comparable basis with the current data by deducting 6 cents. Superphosphate is reported on a revised basis beginning September 1942, covering all known manufacturers of superphosphate, including Tennessee Valley Authority; the new series include all grades, normal, concentrated, and wet base, converted to a basis of 18 percent available phosphoric acid; see note marked " t " on p. S-23 of the July 1944 Survey regarding data prior to September 1942 published in the Survey. S-24 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January 1945 March 19 1944 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Dece ber bei CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS—Continued OILS, I FATS, AND BYPRODUCTS—Continued Cottonseed cake and meal: Production short tons.. Stocks at mills, end of month do Cottonseed oil, crude: Production... .thous. of lb.. Stocks, end of month _..do Cottonseed oil, refined: Consumption, factoryX do In oleomargarine do Price, wholesale, summer, yellow, prime (N. Y.) dol. per lb_. Production thous. of lb_. Stocks, end of month. ...do— Flaxseed: Duluth: Receipts thous. of bu.. Shipments do Stocks do— Minneapolis: Receipts do.... Shipments do— Stocks ..do.... Oil mills:t Consumption -do— Stocks, end of month .do— Price, wholesale, No. 1 (Minneapolis) dol. per bu_. Production (crop estimate) -thous. of bu_. Linseed cake and meal: Shipments from Minneapolis -thous. of lb-. Linseed oil: Consumption, factoryt do,... Price, wholesale (N. Y.) dol. per lb_. Production!thous. of lb.. Shipments from Minneapolis do Stocks at factory, end of month do— Soybeans: Consumption*. thous. of bu.. Production (crop estimate) do Stocks, end of month _ do— Soybean oil: Consumption, refined} thous. of lb.. Production: Crude*do.... Refined do— Stocks, end of month: Crude ...do.... Refined* do.... Oleomargarine: Consumption (tax-paid withdrawals)! do Price, wholesale, standard, uncolored (Chicago) dol. per Reproductions ...thous. of lb.. Shortenings and compounds: Production .._ do— Stocks, end of month* .do— Vegetable price, wholesale, tierces (Chi.).dol. per lb_. 264, 559 213,931 74, 326 '72,083 179,201 r144,822 159, 993 148,805 155, 392 128,010 69,412 63,830 86,964 58,121 62, 717 49,345 33, 877 37, 741 25, 213 27, 776 44,334 158,014 239, 586 284, 201 30, 353 60, 523 69, 977 73, 674 106, 459 86,639 139,678 113,470 61, 266 90, 969 43, 436 65,050 22, 548 40, 627 17, 964 30,186 90, 485 100,092 15, 497 13, 728 91, 705 11, 482 75, 746 10, 911 29, 762 105, 402 159, 097 190, 543 29, 589 64, 957 94, 089 125, 483 85, 291 73, 598 95,393 105, 766 13, 755 19,629 24,116 23, 318 93, 393 22,153 90,672 19, 080 .140 .143 150,878 '133,303 313,968 -317,136 .140 117,353 339,365 13 22 371 75 26 1,926 180 18 2,088 252 243 2,097 48 195 1,950 121 805 1,266 207 567 905 137 87 1,871 837 342 3,132 894 182 2,771 942 267 2,102 807 129 1,610 614 123 2,306 4,800 3.12 4,764 15, 764 3.06 4,666 12, 755 3.05 5,098 11, 006 3.05 4,122 8,825 3.05 28,440 53, 220 50, 760 55, 500 47,160 105, 361 86, 354 18, 991 .140 .140 .143 .140 .142 .143 .143 105, 250 78,619 66, 363 43, 871 25,138 30, 720 58,351 361, 285 353, 927 333,162 294, 678 241, 270 183, 448 164,802 .143 .143 111,825 146,507 182, 570 220,122 271 606 249 805 572 496 1,393 444 1,443 584 1,311 715 990 152 646 143 466 583 944 147 551 2,540 494 582 4,409 533 1,647 3,519 290 2,651 999 254 2,998 3,870 9,150 3.05 4,496 7,076 3.05 5,123 5,964 3.05 4,540 5,541 3.10 3,661 6,295 3.10 3,327 7,456 3.10 2,842 7,645 3.11 47,880 54,120 45. 600 44, 640 44,640 42, 000 39, 240 46, 560 45, 985 51, 994 44,906 49, 575 48, 952 45, 566 51, 379 49, 447 49, 431 47, 585 .151 .151 .151 .151 .151 .151 .151 .151 .151 .153 . 155 43, 291 90, 880 88, 207 98, 037 79,182 74,137 87, 729 98, 645 87, 783 70,192 63, 379 54, 273 20, 340 25, 800 26,820 38,160 29, 460 24, 360 29, 400 39, 960 45,180 34, 800 29, 640 24, 960 252,366 287,252 305,217 340, 397 361, 382 308,077 335,902 320, 267 322,952 310,686 303,378 274, 832 45,180 12,717 13, 258 14, 749 15, 266 13, 227 12, 506 11,082 11,153 11,261 9,399 47, 765 40, 201 38,119 35, 203 30, 958 27,429 23, 712 19, 250 11,260 5,214 74,718 83,127 88,041 81, 435 93,620 86, 525 72, 852 97, 856 90,827 89,277 111,997 123,888 129,867 112,857 86, 412 95, 780 106, 350 98,822 107,944 107, 265 96, 298. 95, 050 96, 379 97, 220 88,179 108,807 82,862 91, 561 79, 449 101,189 86,197 82, 572 78, 007 81,882 72, 845 51,068 78, 256 111,098 91, 791 77, 807 115, 551 133,418 48, 229 90, 563 101,155 44,769 41,831 146,654 112,478 41,316 35,157 31, 844 .165 55, 234 .165 57,858 .165 44,755 .165 44, 459 132,186 109, 579 118,321 111,320 54, 742 56,855 48, 688 52,421 .165 .165 .165 .165 103,164 61,477 .165 .165 .165 57, 363 151, 091 144, 287 129, 373 134,000 129,077 138, 226 140, 714 131,117 106, 858 91, 502 126,923 105, 252 9,043 11,713 31, 748 "48," 785 89, 259 28,121 .165 40,189 112, 569 100,089 59, 755 65,361 .165 .165 34,353 48,773 .165 34, 720 .165 37, 665 .165 51, 083 .165 57,182 93, 745 130, 292 117,841 63, 921 62, 331 56,802 .165 .165 .165 122,189 50,485 .165 .165 55, 272 133,026 47,627 .165 '93 '39 53,830 PAINT SALES Calcimines, plastic and cold-water paints: Calcimines..thous, of dol.. Plastic paints -do Cold-water paints: In dry form do— In paste form, for interior use .do Paint, varnish, lacquer, and fillers, total do— Classified, total do... Industrial do— Tradedo.... Unclassified. ..do.... 101 28 102 41 113 38 104 42 131 330 43,481 38,858 20,080 18, 778 4,622 161 434 45,655 41,233 20, 236 20,997 4,422 185 462 53,651 48, 581 22, 570 26,011 5,070 196 502 51,064 46,146 20,858 25,288 4,918 119 48 233 590 57, 264 51, 630 22,497 29,133 5,634 124 37 43 38 95 41 85 44 252 538 58, 970 52, 964 23, 617 29, 348 6,006 216 398 51, 704 46,878 21, 305 25,573 4,825 215 459 58, 712 52, 935 24,945 27, 990 5,777 196 378 52,110 46,«741 21,661 25, 080 5, 369 174 329 53.571 48, 071 23, 601 24, 471 5,500 ' 137 '311 48,152 43, 365 21, 378 21,987 ' 4, 787 ELECTRIC POWER AND GAS ELECTRIC POWER 19, 226 19,949 18,613 18, 780 19, 766 18, 702 19,153 18,806 19, 775 Production, totalcT mil. of kw.-hr.. 20, 505 19,066 18, 981 By source: 13, 453 14, 282 12, 760 11,319 13,988 13,454 13,163 11,803 12, 485 12,994 13, 303 14,042 Fuel ...do 7,294 5,642 6,295 5,773 5,699 5,667 7,016 7,263 5,778 6,462 Water power ._. do 5,400 By type of producer: 16, 702 15, 752 16,009 16, 582 15,832 16,318 17, 060 16,003 16, 265 17,384 16,149 16, 014 Privately and municipally owned utilities do 2,908 3,073 2,861 2,771 3,184 2,889 2,889 2,802 2,917 2,870 Other producers _..do 3,120 2,968 Sales to ultimate customers, total (Edison Electric 16,654 16,460 16,920 16,613 16,296 16, 238 16,477 16,767 16,232 16, 230 16,045 Institute) mil. of kw.-hr.. 2,401 2,547 2, 685 2,893 2,688 2,592 2,422 2,483 2,781 2,472 2,403 Residential or domestic do 432 172 242 371 373 255 304 358 177 194 269 Rural (distinct rural rates) do Commercial and industrial: 2,502 2,462 2,413 2,520 2,464 2,471 2,453 2,526 2,547 2,349 2,474 Small light and poweri do 9,319 9,401 9,652 9,509 9,764 9,315 9,420 9,522 9,345 9,511 9,395 Large light and power^ do 167 145 193 207 186 155 160 174 204 214 149 Street and highway lighting do 863 689 791 800 115 853 736 826 727 902 Other public authorities ..do 680 602 561 608 583 593 668 567 552 638 671 565 Railways and railroads do 84 80 82 83 76 85 73 73 80 Interdepartmental. -do 76 Revenue from sales to ultimate customers (Edison 270,931 273, 362 280,028 277,657 275, 337 270, 205 267,136 268, 601 265, 765 271, 444 270, 233 Electric Institute) thous. of dol.. 1 ' Revised. December 1 estimate. ^Unpublished revisions for January-May 1943 are available 911 request. { Revisions have been made in the data for 1941 and 1942 for the indicated series on oils and oil-seeds; revisions are available on request. §1For July 1941-June 1942 revisions, see February 1943 Survey, p. S-23; minor revisions, July-December 1942, are available on request. d For 1943 revisions for total electric power production see p. S-24 of the January 1945 issue; January-October 1943 revisions for the detail are available on request. March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January 1945 S-25 1944 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber ELECTRIC POWER AND GAS—Continued GASf Manufactured gas: Customers, total thousands.. Domestic.do House heating „ do Industrial and commercial -.do Sales to consumers, total ...mil. of cu. ft.. Domestic do House heating do Industrial and commercial do Revenue from sales to consumers, totaL.thous. of dol.. Domestic do House heating do Industrial and commercial do Natural gas: Customers, total thousands.. Domestic __do__ _ Industrial and commercial.— do Sales to consumers, total mil. of cu. ft.. Domestic do Indl., coml., and elec. generation do Revenue from sales to consumers, total..thous. of dol.. Domestic do Indl., coml., and elec. generation .do 10,403 9,592 362 440 46, 873 18,953 12, 784 14, 731 40, 944 23, 773 8,345 8,596 10, 465 9,637 379 439 45,110 19,026 11,452 14, 242 40, 286 23, 505 7,879 10, 431 9,614 356 447 46,114 19,358 10,849 15,534 40, 230 23, 606 7,563 8,832 10, 410 9,580 371 446 44, 029 18,382 9,504 15,803 38, 261 23, 322 5,979 8,736 10, 509 9,669 382 446 39, 705 17, 500 7,224 14, 687 36, 273 23, 619 4,077 8,401 10,500 9,678 366 445 35, 252 18,150 2,988 13,840 34,019 23,755 2,230 10, 564 9,754 351 447 32, 087 17,047 1,775 12, 958 31, 547 22, 667 1,384 7,359 10,614 9,801 353 448 31, 386 16, 221 1,475 13, 460 30,901 21,975 1,211 7,560 8,935 8,873 8,946 8,919 8,290 8,255 8,239 8,300 8,236 8,294 643 632 637 643 634 623 213, 647 208,865 204,136 190, 334 173,635 156,407 58, 215 42, 606 29,379 78, 285 70,856 68,003 131, 288 133,121 131, 306 129,856 127, 411 123,339 70,071 63, 332 52, 645 44,119 78, 529 73,078 36,188 27, 548 20,809 47,987 43,032 41,401 26, 846 24,638 30, 004 29, 396 28,006 22,889 8,973 8,337 633 151,266 24, 689 123,147 41,430 18,154 22, 766 8,955 8,335 618 152, 679 23,041 125, 560 40,030 16, 627 22,950 8,092 8,074 8,637 8,275 8,100 8,240 10, 609 9,787 369 445 32, 580 17, 406 1,472 13, 442 32, 067 22,889 1,361 10, 578 9,743 389 435 36, 430 18, 531 3,350 14, 234 34, 998 24, 095 2,661 8,055 9,043 9,003 8,397 8,377 643 624 155,666 179, 007 23,924 30,094 128,162 145, 640 40, 779 46, 605 16,953 21,038 23, 403 25,153 FOODSTUFFS AND TOBACCO ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES Fermented malt liquor :f Production. _ thous. of bbL Tax-paid withdrawals do.-. Stocks, end of month do... Distilled spirits: Apparent consumption for beverage purposes! thous. of wine gal. Production^ thous. of tax gal. Tax-paid withdrawals! _ _ do... Stocks, end of month!. _ do... Whisky:f Production _ ...do... Tax-paid withdrawals... do... Stocks, end of month do... Rectified spirits and wines, production, total! thous. of proof gal. Whisky ..do... Still wines:! Production thous. of wine gaL Tax-paid withdrawals _ do... Stocks, end of month. _ _do.-Sparkling wines:! Production do... Tax-paid withdrawals _ do... Stocks, end of month do... 6,295 5,527 ' 5,807 ' 5,421 r 7,834 5,652 5,531 7,638 7,422 6,147 8,527 11, 626 12, 683 13,864 763 28, 281 r 1, 022 784 7,112 11,116 r 6, 251 6,378 350, 316 ••393,952 388, 343 381,152 6,783 6,157 8,769 7,227 6,973 8,578 11, 532 12,557 748 733 6,051 7,181 375, 402 368,410 8,131 7,334 8,871 11,909 12, 627 14,644 661 695 15,151 6,901 8,221 9,784 361, 426 353, 900 361,063 7,683 7,127 8,293 7,561 6,733 8,573 6, 697 6,228 8,505 6,174 5,701 8,429 13, 749. 16, 064 9,241 3,775 9,778 10, 830 353, 845 345, 511 16, 466 5,206 11,615 337, 512 2,606 10,925 330,970 11,728 9,579 r 0 0 0 0 5,291 4,510 4,537 3, 932 379, 998 374, 485 367, 597 361,980 6,076 5,614 5,686 ' 5, 325 5,093 4,784 4,578 ' 4, 585 0 5,364 355,259 0 4,933 348,648 0 5,930 341,137 6,008 5,212 5,999 5,044 6,695 6,054 8,181 7,195 5,196 5,512 4,814 6,192 8,219 6,933 6,727 6,606 131, 600 124, 849 116, 460 109,804 25, 858 5, 523 336,092 4,373 7,695 103,054 4,481 7,054 94,313 4,412 6,362 88, 733 6,410 7,176 82, 780 133 106 864 170 86 936 134 85 985 140 122 996 97 120 961 84 132 904 84 168 818 .423 .423 130, 568 171,467 69, 276 69,663 .423 177,905 103,164 .423 .423 153, 722 130,547 138,050 137,907 423 113,354 140,276 423 100, 332 123, 596 423 85, 897 90, 303 .233 233 . 233 .233 .233 121, 066 104, 946 91, 477 81, 502 74, 560 102, 971 88,129 76, 002 65, 797 59, 672 203,785 223,254 230, 332 186, 268 164, 690 167,173 190,804 187,289 164, 615 148,416 .233 63, 719 48, 795 151,414 138, 647 100 86 718 108 105 742 202 121 810 169 120 847 13, 585 765 5,753 5,610 347, 868 340,971 0 6,113 333,144 0 6,335 324, 453 0 5,789 317, 404 8,815 7,306 10, 335 11,516 9,668 11, 568 9,600 41,074 135, 099 7,524 6,640 92, 258 144, 310 56, 478 7,840 156, 018 DAIRY PRODUCTS Butter, creamery: Price, wholesale, 92-score (N. Y.)$ _dol. per lb_. Production (factory)! thous. of lb_. Stocks, cold storage, end of montho" do Cheese: Price, wholesale, American Cheddars (Wisconsin) dol. per lb_. Production, total (factory)! ...thous. of lb.. American whole milk! do Stocks, cold storage, end of monthc? do American whole milk .do Condensed and evaporated milk: Prices, wholesale, U. S. average: Condensed (sweetened) dol. per case.. Evaporated (unsweetened) do Production: Condensed (sweetened): Bulk goods* .thous. of lb.. Case goods! do Evaporated (unsweetened), case goods! do Stocks, manufacturers', case goods, end of month: Condensed (sweetened) thous. of lb.. Evaporated (unsweetened) ..do Fluid milk: Price, dealers', standard grade. dol. per 100 lb.. Production mil. of lb.. Utilization in manufactured dairy products!...do r .423 423 423 .423 98, 455 104,051 105, 843 124,833 38, 656 130, 246 107, 560 82,118 .233 .233 .233 .233 . 233 .233 67, 820 61, 254 63, 047 77, 641 88, 965 116,051 45, 737 58, 222 68, 927 94,713 51,100 42,915 133,511 167, 681 171,956 150,198 154,610 162, 733 124, 222 142, 610 144,812 121,869 125,097 137,244 6.33 4.15 5.84 4.15 5.84 4.15 5.86 4.15 6.22 4.15 6.33 4.15 61, 772 60, 592 46, 210 32,147 23,816 16, 500 16, 400 12, 600 11,650 10,475 412, 315 412, 500 358, 277 312, 000 275,176 18, 337 9,660 246, 652 17, 998 8,811 212, 362 22, 776 8, 620 229, 488 7,404 254, 721 7,125 190, 465 6 725 143, 308 3.25 9, 022 3,473 3.26 r 8, 372 ' 2, 957 8,652 6,134 8,430 12,968 147, 285 150, 333 180, 938 241,012 3.24 r 8,612 r 3,392 .233 62, 529 47, 704 144,553 131,379 6.33 4.15 7,328 6,248 131, 743 r168,186 3.24 8,651 3,295 r 6.33 4.15 35,878 45,083 26,906 9, 435 11,800 13,990 209, 751 266, 552 313,837 r r 6.33 4.15 4.15 23, 948 24, 627 8,810 9, 550 252, 000 192, 047 3.26 8, 892 3, 370 423 • 87, 993 ' 60, 767 6.33 4.15 15,023 307,697 6.33 4.15 6.33 4.15 9,584 10,825 12,811 321, 083 291, 496 272,613 3.24 3.24 3. 24 3. 23 3.23 3.24 3.25 r 9, 765 r 10,240 • 11, 908 r 12, 498 ' 11, 570 ' 10, 322 ' 9, 334 r ' 3, 865 r 4, 042 * 4, 399 i ' 5, 750 I r 5, 956 5,138 4, 390 r r r r 3.26 8, 658 3, 045 Revised. d"See note marked " c ? " on p . S-27. t Reflects all types of wholesale trading for cash or short-term credit. Base ceiling price comparable with data prior to January 1943 shown in the Survey is $0.4654 through June 3 and $0.41% effective June 4, 1943; these are maximum prices delivered market; sales in market proper are at permitted mark-ups over these prices. lAugust and September 1944 and J a n u a r y 1945 production figures include whisky, rum,, gin, and brandy (whisky and gin included for September represent completion of beverage operations authorized during August); the total distilled spirits of all kinds produced for'beverage purposes in January 1945 was 46,308,000 tax gallons (including in addition to the amount shown above 15,148,000 tax gallons of spirits produced b y registered distilleries and 2,879,000 tax gallons produced b y industrial alcohol plants, for beverage purposes) and in August, at least 50,000,000 tax gallons (see February 1945 Survey for further detail for this m o n t h ) . Production figures for other months represent r u m and brandy, the only spirits authorized for beverage purposes since October 1942 except during August 1944 and J a n u a r y 1945. Stock figures exclude data for high-proof and unfinished spirits which are not available for publication. For revised 1941 data see p. S-24 of the February 1943 Survey. t D a t a for manufactured and natural gas have been revised beginning 1929 and are not strictly comparable with figures shown in the October 1944 and earlier issues; all revisions are available on request. Revisions for consumption of distilled spirits for beverage purposes for January 1940-July 1943 are available on request. Revisions in the 1941 and 1942 monthly data for the other alcoholic beverage series not published in issue&of the Survey through March 1944 are shown on p . S-25 of the April 1944 Survey. 1943 revisions for indicated dairy products series are shown on p . 13 of this issue; see note marked "f" on p. S-25 of the February 1945 Survey for sources of 1941-42 revisions, except for the series on utilization of fluid milk in manufactured dairy products which has been revised for 1920-42; these revisions are available on request. * Revised data for 1943 are shown on p. 13 of this issue; see note marked " * " on p. S-25 of the February 1945 Survey regarding earlier data. S-26 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January . March 1945 1944 1945 January February March April May June SepAugust tember July October Novem- Deember ber FOODSTUFFS AND TOBACCO—Continued DAIRY PRODUCTS-Continued Dried skim milk: Price, wholesale, for human consumption, U. S. 0.141 average dol. per lb_. Production, total!--thous. of l b . . 43,475 42, 350 For human consumption! do 38, 716 Stocks, manufacturers', end of month, total do 37, 342 For human consumption __ do 0.140 27,415 26, 225 25,084 24,633 0.140 29,650 28,800 27,480 27,198 0.145 48,850 47,800 40,504 40, 039 0.145 61,650 60,225 55,684 64,870 0.144 0.146 • 81,950 r 82,285 • 78, 775 79, 735 75,492 68,394 72,810 66, 482 0.144 69,850 •67,450 79,258 75, 844 0.142 53.100 51, 300 66,527 63, 594 0. 144 42, 350 ' 41,300 59, 342 56, 660 1 FRUITS AND VEGETABLES Apples: Production (crop estimate) .._thous. of bu__ 182 5,412 993 3,355 3,654 3,913 3.173 463 4,830 862 Shipments, carlot ___no. of carloads.. 0 5,436 2,251 261 8,437 10, 501 0 Stocks, cold storage, end of month thous. of bu_. 25, 370 15,479 908 21, 702 19, 713 7,739 11, 216 17, 547 Citrus fruits, carlot shipments no. of carloads.. 19,812 r 21,428 18,430 12,730 21, 377 Frozen fruits, stocks, cold storage, end of month 129,494 214,460 246,472 298, 059 thous. of l b . . 242, 394 209,824 186,067 161, 643 130,906 116,930 Frozen vegetables, stocks, cold storage, end of month 114,455 138,772 166,355 178, 394 thous. of l b . . 145,260 169, 658 153,820 130, 315 106,176 98,910 Potatoes, white: 3.569 3.960 3.000 2.830 2.794 3.056 4.116 2.625 3.744 Price, wholesale (N. Y.), dol. per 1001b.. 3.355 Production (crop estimate)!... ..thous. of bu.. 24, 779 24, 276 18,847 "20," 538' 21, 683 26, 313 27, 694 15, 517 Shipments, carlot no. of carloads.. 22,147 0.142 36,850 35, 775 49,892 47, 373 0.138 30,850 30,000 39, 283 36,781 0.139 • 37, 575 36.800 39.801 37,873 12, 265 30,358 12, 959 8,316 34, 951 15, 395 124, 212 r 6, 670 ' 32,686 r 23,600 301, 590 291, 2C4 268,407 186,984 182,623 166,910 3.101 2.988 24, 086 20, 939 3.156 379,436 ' 20, 756 GRAINS AND GRAIN PRODUCTS Barley: Prices, wholesale (Minneapolis): No. 3, straight... _ _ dol. per b u . . No. 2, malting do Production (crop estimate)t thous. of b u . . Receipts, principal markets do Stocks, commercial, domestic end of month do Corn: Grindings, wet process ...do Prices, wholesale: No. 3, yellow (Chicago). dol. per b u . . No. 3, white (Chicago) . do Weighted average, 5 markets, all grades do Production (crop estimate)! thous. of b u . . Receipts, principal markets ...do Stocks, domestic, end of month: Commercial _. do On farmst-do Oats: Price, wholesale, No. 3, white (Chicago) _dol. per bu_. Production (crop estimate)!-_. .thous. of b u . . Receipts, principal markets do Stocks, domestic, end of month: C ommercial do On farmsf _ do Rice: Price, wholesale, head, clean (New Orleans) dol. per lb_. Production (crop estimate)! .thous. of bu.. California: Receipts, domestic, rough bags (100 lb.).. Shipments from mills, milled rice do Stocks, rough and cleaned (in terms of cleaned), end of month bags (100 lb.). Southern States (La., Tex., Ark., Term.): Receipts, rough, at mills..._thous. of bbl. (1621b.).. Shipments from mills, milled rice thous. of pockets (100 lb.)--Stocks, domestic, rough and cleaned (in terms of cleaned), end of mo thous. of pockets (100 lb.). Rye: Price, wholesale, No. 2 (Minneapolis) dol. per bu.. Production (crop estimate)! thous. of b u . . Receipts, principal markets do Stocks, commercial, domestic, end of month do Wheat: Disappearance, domestic! .thous. of bu.. Prices, wholesale: No. 1, Dark Northern Spring (Minneapolis) dol. per bu... No. 2, Red Winter (St. Louis) do.... No. 2 Hard Winter (K. C.) do.... Weighted av., 6 inkts., all grades do Production (crop est.), total!. thous. of bu_Spring wheat.. do Winter wheat do Receipts, principal markets. do Stocks, end of month: Canada (Canadian wheat) do United States, domestic, totalf ! do Commercial do Country mills and elevators!do Merchant mills. _ do O n farms!.. r do 1.32 1.37 1.33 1.37 1.35 1.38 1.35 1.38 1.35 1.38 1.35 1.38 1.31 1.35 1.23 1,31 1.12 1.30 1.15 1.31 6, 741 27, 542 8,634 16, 267 7,476 13,910 6,210 11,947 9,079 11,284 8,346 8,948 7,850 6,923 11,134 8,261 22, 921 17, 620 21,515 26,032 17, 612 31, 421 1.20 1.30 1284,426 14, 323 10,095 33,728 30,886 6 11,252 11,824 10,932 10, 358 6,507 9,244 9,449 9,258 10,125 9,411 10, 557 11,200 1.15 1.27 1.01 1.14 1.11 1.13 1.06 () 11 .6 () 11 .3 () 11 .3 1.14 47, 437 42, 287 31, 492 "i5,"888" 15, 200 22,065 14,607 19, 591 17, 729 21, 800 14,110 1,093,083 9,406 7,696 11,819 561,181 12, 392 .77 .73 5,707 4,863 8,340 ~~~7~ 557 7,684 1.24 1.30 1.15 C) .79 .82 ~~7~318 9, 604 13,062 13,805 10,029 5,438 415, 576 6, 347 8,031 .067 .067 .067 .067 .067 (•) "8,~726~ C) 6,547 3 185,293 .067 C) (°) 1.14 1.11 1.14 (•) 1.08 "ll,468 12,311 16,165 10, 296 7,478 3206,621 5,469 23, 669 20, 356 13, 522 4,440 13, 213 17, 328 950,861 17, 377 .067 .067 .067 .067 C) C) 1.16 1.31 11,064 1.14 (•) 1.01 13,228,361 39, 388 31, 291 1.09 1.28 1.02 13, 682 11,698 '2,145,520 .74 .66 '1,166,392 9,280 8,105 ! I 16,674 ! 14,982 j 750,454 .067 () i 70, 237 611, 763 416,632 702, 455 467, 579 738,629 488,173 690, 228 401, 656 414,119 300, 737 464, 543 321, 373 590,470 573,966 264,815 275, 232 143, 465 154, 521 84. 602 57, 482 899,123 156, 354 602,864 300,102 394, 584 316,633 567, 268 387.155 378, 998 424, 684 399, 269 380,196 191,378 102,421 48, 047 44, 313 499,366 610,139 593,109 699 918 575 376 168 74 124 37 442 1,288 4, 073 3, 641 1,313 1,710 1,214 980 1,236 795 509 398 301 220 1,110 1,826 2,331 3,819 2,842 2,511 1,718 1,143 729 458 193 427 1,207 3,608 5, 047 1.23 1.27 1.23 1.24 1.27 1.19 1.12 1.13 1.12 1.03 1.15 1.13 529 11,116 603 20, 382 1,573 20, 509 1,963 21,148 1,573 22, 977 664 20,150 515 18,052 875 15,664 1,155 14. 728 1,090 13, 221 1,176 13,021 2, 195 21, 635 272, 933 1.67 1.76 1.64 1.63 1.67 () 1.65 1.66 1.63 1.65 19, 275 42. 942 52, 395 335, 057 321, 532 317, 615 133,905 123, 284 115,870 256,629 1.54 1. 55 1.51 1.52 1.54 1.58 1.53 1.52 1.61 1.69 1.61 1.56 101, 057 68,894 62, 836 55, 675 317, 434 292, 508 261,092 265,751 267, 628 545,041 .,_ 3 316,055 123,700 I 123,307 '~95~640' 3 82,912 170,786 56,759 ' 3 29, 712 96,388 ! 3 67, 308 s ! 103,742 219,679 ! 266, 402 1.65 1.66 ) 1.64 1.67 1.67 ( 1.63 1.67 1.63 1.61 1.56 1.61 1.61 <• 1 . 5 7 1.52 1.55 61,147 51,341 49, 552 57, 404 () • 4, 707 1.14 i 25,872 639 12, 207 303,333 228,986 1.67 () 1,767 r 1.64 1.74 1.62 1.60 11,078,647 1314, 574 1764,073 28, 629 39, 832 1.64 1.71 1.69 1.60 284.118 323, 297 330, 633 1.091,369 200,736 199, 475 184, 983 166, 705 199,441 | 137,818 I i 532,270 ' i _ ; 327,046 834, 740 152,043 159,867 113,560 392, 423 Revised. i December 1 estimate. ° No quotation. * F o r domestic c o n s u m p t i o n only; excluding grinding- for export* > 3 I n c l u d e s old crop only; n e w corn n o t reported in stock figures u n t i l crop year begins in October a n d now oats a n d w h e a t until t h e crop year begins in J u l y . ^ T h e total includes c o m p a r a t i v e l y small a m o u n t s of w h e a t owned b y t h e C o m m o d i t y Credit Corporation stored ofi farms in its o w n steel a n d wooden bins, n o t included in t h e b r e a k d o w n of stocks. t R e v i s e d series. T h e indicated grain series h a v e been revised as follows: All crop estimates beginning 1929: domestic disappearance of w h e a t a n d stocks of w h e a t in c o u n t r y mills a n d elevators beginning 1934; corn, oat, a n d w h e a t stocks on farms a n d total stocks of U n i t e d States domestic w h e a t beginning 1926. Revised 1941 crop e s t i m a t e s a n d D e c e m b e r 1941 stock figures are on p p . S-25 a n d S-26 of t h e F e b r u a r y 1943 S u r v e y ; revised 1941 q u a r t e r l y or m o n t h l y averages for all series other t h a n crop e s t i m a t e s are given on p p . S-25 a n d S-26 of t h e April 1943 issue, in notes m a r k e d "f". All revisions are available on r e q u e s t . F o r 1941 a n d 1942 revisions for production of dried skim milk, see p . S-25 of t h e M a r c h 1943 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 1944 1945 Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January S-27 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber FOODSTUFFS AND TOBACCO—Continued GRAINS AND GRAIN PRODUCTS—Continued Wheat flour: Grindings of wheats thous. of bu_. Prices, wholesale: Standard patents (Minneapolis) § dol. per bbl_. Winter, straights (Kansas City)§— do.... Production (Census) :^ Flour tbous. of bbL. Operations, percent of capacity Offal _ .thous. of lb_. Stocks held by mills, end of month thous. of bbl_. LIVESTOCK Cattle and calves: Receipts, principal markets thous. of animals Shipments, feeder, to 8 corn belt Statesf.. do Prices, wholesale: Beef steers (Chicago) dol. per 100 lb_. Steers, stocker and feeder (K. C.) __.do Calves, vealers (Chicago) do Hogs: Receipts, principal markets..., thous. of animals.. Prices: Wholesale, average, all grades (Chicago) dol. per 1001b.. Hog-corn ratiof-bu. of corn per 100 lb. of live hogs.. Sheep and lambs: Receipts, principal markets thous. of animals-. Shipments, feeder, to 8 corn belt Statesf do Prices, wholesale: Lambs, average (Chicago) dol. per 100 lb-. Lambs, feeder, good and choice (Omaha) do 52,063 46, 441 46,020 40,972 41,984 41,360 42, 342 46, 671 46, 463 46,485 6.55 6.49 6.55 6.49 6.55 6.42 6.55 6.33 6.55 6.25 6.55 5.98 6.55 5.92 6.57 6.03 6.55 6.26 6.55 6.30 11,429 78.9 901,486 10,209 73.3 799,386 10,126 64.7 793,659 4,141 9,038 61.9 701,802 9,243 61.2 9,095 60.2 713,902 3,423 10, 279 10, 235 9,322 65.2 63.9 70.1 725, 248 798,575 795, 783 3,469 10,192 69.8 807,133 3,570 2,372 113 1,964 92 1,722 71 1,791 73 1,734 84 2,030 106 2,219 105 2,681 236 2,863 367 3, 587 525 2,985 376 2,211 170 14.71 12.40 14.75 14.82 11.60 14.00 14.91 12.95 14.00 15.12 13.06 14.00 15.04 12.76 14.00 2,010 74 15.44 12.84 14.00 16.06 11.65 14.00 16.06 10.93 13.60 16.07 11.50 13.75 15.78 11.34 14.66 15.95 11.50 15.08 15.78 11.96 14.81 14.87 11.49 14.75 3,361 6,278 4,769 4,764 3,932 4,161 3,862 3,231 2,704 2,304 2,743 3,390 3,365 14.66 12.9 13.21 11.3 13.50 11.4 13.94 11.5 13.53 11.3 12.91 11.0 12.66 11.0 13.25 10.9 14.32 11.5 14.42 11.7 14.49 12.2 14.14 12.7 14.19 12.6 2,297 132 2,010 129 1,587 1,571 94 1,465 66 2,455 118 2,704 90 2,563 103 2,765 382 3,732 835 2,801 420 2,134 169 15.02 12.99 15.00 12.50 15.86 13.27 15.84 13.25 15.94 13.09 15.04 12.37 14.55 13.19 13.51 12.71 3,421 770 13.51 12.43 13.84 12.36 13.87 12.49 14.14 12.50 1,672 1,989 1,684 144 1,500 1,746 1,706 135 1,613 1,836 1,650 133 1,609 1,754 1,531 77 1,668 1, 554 1,250 72 1,634 1,572 969 65 1,476 1,426 784 53 1,637 1, 605 646 40 1.643 1,715 617 35 1,589 1,761 '675 593, 516 567,800 593,052 MEATS Total meats (including lard): 1,547 1,757 Consumption, apparent mil. of lb._ 2,021 2,189 Production (inspected slaughter)_. do 1,747 1,618 1,314 698 Stocks, cold storage, end of month ©c? do 152 34 143 Miscellaneous meats©cf do Beef and veal: 609, 533 544, 565 Consumption, apparent thous. of lb__ Price, wholesale, beef, fresh, native steers (Chicago) .200 .200 .200 dol. per r ^ Production (inspected slaughter) thous. of lb.^ 678, 745 630, 711 584,953 114,683 241, 550 279,654 Stocks, beef, cold storage, end of month ©d" do Lamb and mutton: 68, 700 62,027 Consumption, apparent do Production (inspected slaughter) ...do 90, 263 81, 521 64,169 34, 599 32, 251 Stocks, cold storage, end of month©c? do 18,199 Pork (including lard): 1,079,148 940,621 Consumption, apparent do Production (inspected slaughter) _ -do 977, 737 1,476,475 1,372,196 597, 293 645, 730 709,042 .200 .200 .200 .200 609, 671 546, 898 566, 583 556,169 293,971 270,994 243, 508 207,400 72,941 66, 557 21,659 61, 378 58,683 16, 723 69, 365 68, 335 14,479 68,780 69,000 14,616 713, 631 793, 076 725, 715 676,618 .200 .200 .200 .200 .200 575, 794 704, 481 690,170 762, 573 694,348 168,446 161, 486 143, 530 127,119 114,589 73, 479 71, 595 12, 721 73,006 75, 469 15,027 1,005,242 870,425 950,105 942, 901 948,907 852,196 1,312,673 1,140,100 1,200,891 1,128,596 906, 752 791,913 78, 762 80,114 16, 069 87, 694 89, 675 17, 882 .200 658,443 107,171 79,887 79,080 81,062 81,200 18, 874 ' 20,183 683, 753 756. 573 837, 517 833,263 655, 519 752, 481 939,194 1,021,414 Pork: Prices, wholesale: .258 .258 .258 .258 Hams, smoked (Chicago) dol. p e r l b . . .258 .256 .252 .256 .255 Fresh loins, 8-10 lb. average (New York) do .258 Production (inspected slaughter) thous. of lb_- 761,150 1,111,863 1,017,973 970, 921 836,825 Stocks, cold storage, end of month©^-.do_._ 406,412 646,631 792,113 791, 867 784,801 Lard: Consumption, apparent. Prices, wholesale: Prime, contract, in tierces (N. Y.) Refined (Chicago) Production (inspected slaughter) Stocks, cold storage, end of monthcf -do 122, 914 dol. per lb_. () do .146 thous. of lb_. 158,069 __-do 81,923 POULTRY AND EGGS Poultry: Price, wholesale, live fowls (Chicago) dol. per l b . . .Receipts, 5 markets thous. of lb_' Stocks, cold storage, end of monthcf do. Eggs: Dried, production • _do Price, wholesale, fresh firsts (Chicago) X- dol. per doz_. Production millions. Stocks, coTd storage, end of month :<?• Shell .thous. of cases Frozen thous. of l b . . .139 .146 265,873 248,038 98,822 .258 .258 .258 .258 .258 .255 .255 .255 .257 .258 811,276 649, 075 582, 012 503, 292 586,853 803, 357 646,499 478, 224 359, 023 296,815 145, 920 123, 621 182, 625 155,005 .139 .139 .139 .146 .146 .146 259,054 249,020 221,830 361, 508 432, 339 498,235 .250 .255 .250 33,085 30,683 22,999 215, 735 239, 993 220,863 .258 .255 871,665 769,138 .255 .250 18, 728 21,779 168,478 130,044 154, 814 152, 400 21, 565 .350 r 4,484 26, 037 .334 5,346 301 99,693 765 81, 712 2,008 4,453 6,963 98, 597 148, 557 218,032 95, 010 109, 644 125,590 105,039 (a) (a) () () () C) () .146 .146 .138 .140 .138 .146 .143 188, 897 153, 220 111,344 120,115 152, 956 171,924 240, 789 231,877 342, 450 240, 298 168, 251 118, 072 90, 536 ' 98,484 490,281 420, 301 .242 233 .246 .219 .228 .228 .227 .250 46, 753 62, 047 62, 046 60, 236 28,982 38, 578 42, 059 38,688 122, 729 130,817 141, 654 160, 689 187, 959 244, 075 268,128 269, 021 31,981 ' 32, 056 ' 34, 579 r 32,712 ' 31, 272 ' 34,149 .332 .338 .348 .321 .308 .311 4,010 5,437 6,978 6,763 6,704 4,631 15,192 .380 4,146 .258 .258 .258 .258 728,945 785, 370 318, 055 371,393 9,632 292,445 7,653 11,335 9,351 354, 223 388, 547 371,627 r 25,000 ' 23,946 r 16, 835 '10,610 .423 .418 .368 .389 3,387 2,998 3,515 3,278 5,427 2,905 332, 505 279,175 1,045 220,180 165,933 MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PRODUCTS 32, 864 34, 836 37,623 32, 356 31,062 28, 266 23,461 29, 795 34, 860 39, 043 40, 214 37, 399 Candy, sales by manufacturers. ...thous. of dol__ 40,391 Coffee: 1,645 1, 215 1,185 1,123 742 1,247 1,616 731 998 955 1,207 1,204 Clearances from Brazil, total thous. of bags.1,118 1,395 972 996 1,039 563 607 786 1,127 955 893 1,024 846 To United States do 957 .134 .134 .134 .134 .134 .134 .134 .134 .134 .134 .134 .134 Price, wholesale, Santos, No. 4 (N. Y.)___dol. per l b . . 134 1,352 1,450 1,514 1,516 1,233 1,220 966 1,609 1,472 1,778 1,235 1,470 Visible supply, United States.. .thous. of bags.. 1,418 I Pish: 17, 297 11,818 27,422 i 32, 497 47, 879 49, 605 52, 483 46, 585 43,015 35, 891 25, 746 18,119 Landings, fresh fish, principal ports thous. of lb__ Stocks, cold storage, end of month do 78, 813 85,060 69, 857 52,969 I 51, 545 69, 672 88,842 109,841 123, 255 131,584 130, 914 128,223 110,802 r Revised. • No quotation. {Compiled by the U. S. Department of Labor; see note in April 1944 Survey. §Prices since May 1943 have been quoted for sacks of 100 pounds and have been converted to price per barrel to have figures comparable with earlier data. fThe hog-corn ratio has been shown on a revised basis beginning in the March 1943 Survey; revised data beginning 1913 will be published later. The series for feeder shipments of cattle and calves and sheep and lambs have been revised beginning January 1941 to include data for Illinois; revisions are^shown on pp. S-26 and S-27 of the Au£ust_1943 Survey. meats"), and also, beginning September 1944, data for sausage and sausage products and canned meats and meat products which were not reported previously; separate data for these items through November 1944 are given in notes in earlier issues; December 1944 and January 1945 data are as follows (thousands of pounds): Veal—December, 8,116; January, 6,573; sausage and sausage products—December, 15,443; January, 18,959; canned meats and meat products—December, 17,881; January, 16,706. ^Data relate to regular flour only; in addition, data for granular flour have been reported beginning 1943; see note in previous Surveys for data through November 1944. Granular flour data for December 1944: Wheat grindings, 3,231,000 bushels; production, 699,000 barrels; offal, 55,156,000 pounds; percent of capacity, regularand granular flour combined, 74.5. d"Cold storage stocks of dairy products, meats, and poultry and eggs include stocks owned by the D. P. M. A., W. F. A., and other Government agencies, stocks held for the A.rmed FRASER Digitized forForces stored in warehouse space not owned or operated by them, and commercial stocks; stocks held in space owned or leased by the Armed Forces are not included. S-28 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January 1945 March 1945 1944 January February March April May June July August September 2,392 2,181 October Novem- December ber FOODSTUFFS AND TOBACCO—Continued MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PRODUCTS-Con. Sugar: Cuban stocks, raw, end of month § 1,130 thous. of Span, tons... United States, deliveries and supply (raw value):* Deliveries, total ..short tons.. 610,160 568, 077 For domestic consumption do For export - d o — 42, 083 Production, domestic, and receipts: Entries from off-shore areas, total do From Cuba-.. do From Puerto Rico and Hawaii -do Other do Production, domestic cane and beet do Stocks, raw and refined do Price, refined, granulated, New York: Retail _.dol. per l b . . ( a ) .054 Wholesale... do 1,192 539, 352 498,992 40, 360 1,580 2,480 3,097 507,168 586, 629 524,064 459, 811 549, 671 494,788 47, 357 36,958 29,276 3,164 2,945 2,666 1,913 1,027 588, 968 686. 001 760, 031 748, 282 662,419 649, 792 592, 731 544,408 654, 592 743, 815 737, 665 653, 568 640,706 580,186 44,560 31, 409 16, 216 10, 617 8,851 r 9, 086 12, 545 306,150 173,089 95, 764 37,297 73, 455 ,590,451 341,707 219,148 107, 857 14, 702 17, 441 1,436,890 439,292 301,821 137, 216 255 13, 455 1,294,536 493,084 389,108 103,936 40 9,087 1,336,492 673,458 465,193 207,137 1,128 4,001 1,347,503 638,100 418,773 219, 206 121 7,702 .,287,717 .066 .055 .066 .055 .066 .055 .066 .055 .055 .066 .055 437, 600 489, 798 378, 550 455, 075 270,188 273,140 282, 044 376,110 159,821 88, 386 72,172 7,591 8,120 7,850 6,793 49, 873 391, 506 4,377 10,003 972, 577 715, 572 464, 564 642,165 .055 .066 .055 .066 .054 417,485 353, 656 57, 036 6,793 605,515 1,054,005 .064 .054 () .054 TOBACCO Leaf: Production (crop estimate) mil. of lb. Stocks, dealers and manufacturers, total, end of quarter ...mil. of lb.. 1,052 2,702 731 Domestic: 370 360 323 Cigar leaf. do— 275 253 231 Fire-cured and dark air-cured _ .do 1,991 2,317 ' 2, 085 Flue-cured and light air-cured .do 2 2 2 M iscellaneous domestic do Foreign grown: 24 Cigar leaf -do— 65 Cigarette tobacco do Manufactured products: Consumption (tax-paid withdrawals): 17, 425 19,956 21,166 20, 278 22,305 20, 021 19. 771 20, 554 18,778 21,065 Small cigarettes ..-millions.. 20, 077 20,115 Large cigars -thousands.. 379, 420 366,919 388,955 419,291 362, 403 399, 992 384,171 352,131 418, 205 391, 492 411,894 446, 325 27, 519 23,939 21, 339 22,002 20,036 23,968 23, 350 21, 338 26, 971 25, 335 28, 793 30, 729 Mfd. tobacco and snuff thous. of lb_. Prices, wholesale (list price, composite): 6,006 6.006 6.006 6.006 6.006 6.006 6.006 6.006 6.006 6.006 6.006 Cigarettes, f. o. b., destination dol. per 1,000-. 25,073 22, 288 22, 922 20,903 24,862 23,848 22, 853 27,978 26, 364 30, 637 32,168 Production, manufactured tobacco, total.-thous. of lb 340 365 318 319 371 288 311 374 370 349 Fine-cut chewing _do._ 348 5,495 5,217 5,078 4,859 5,406 4,683 4,706 5,496 5,687 4,890 5, 365 Plug do.. 4,323 4,473 4,119 4,196 4,508 4,187 3.682 5,047 4,407 4,720 5,015 Scrap, chewing _ .do-_ 11,018 8,845 9,835 8,380 8,352 10, 720 10, 092 13,290 12, 944 15, 491 16, 973 Smoking do._ 3,649 3,199 3,676 3,923 3,338 3,675 3,122 3,207 3,231 3, 850 3,809 Snuff -do.. 561 531 511 543 514 480 564 566 610 Twist - LEATHER AND PRODUCTS HIDES AND SKINS Livestock slaughter (Federally inspected): Calves . . ..thous. of animals Cattle do Hogs do Sheep and lambs do Prices, wholesale (Chicago): Hides, packers', heavy, native steers dol. per lb_. Calfskins, packers', 8 to 15 lb _ . do LEATHER Production: Calf and kip thous. of skins . Cattle hide . . thous. of hides Goat and kid thous. of skins.. Sheep and lamb . do Prices, wholesale: Sole oak, bends (Boston)f dol. per lb Chrome, calf, B grade, black, composite.dol. per sq. ft_ Stocks of cattle hides and leather, end of month: Total.. . . thous. of equiv. hides. . Leather, in process and finished « . do Hides,raw do . . . 5,299 2,073 468 1,141 7,839 1,933 441 1,043 7,380 1,501 565 1,057 7,165 1,538 555 939 6,290 1,378 541 989 6,643 1,694 594 1,003 6,095 1,823 634 1,079 4,795 1,898 756 1,339 4,145 1,924 753 1,310 3,521 2,003 920 1,451 4,223 2,238 874 1, 336 5,258 2,013 669 1 275 5, 663 1,934 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 .155 .218 955 2,366 2,543 756 1,952 2,929 4,572 829 2,020 2,922 4,997 926 2,208 3,323 4,867 865 2,083 2,676 4,527 952 2,215 3,132 4,564 998 2,233 3,158 4,322 802 2,020 2,711 3,765 1,029 2,240 2,901 4,807 940 2,198 2,735 4,328 1,006 2,208 2,900 4,520 948 2, 274 2,794 4,529 r 879 2, 158 2,465 r 4, 088 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 .440 .529 11,817 7,095 4,722 r 10,406 6,139 r 4, 267 10, 667 6,286 4,381 10,954 6,303 4,651 10,708 6,344 4,364 10,674 6,417 4,257 10, 413 6,390 4,023 10, 668 6,717 3,951 10, 857 6,790 4,067 10,912 6,911 4, 001 11,149 6,933 4, 216 11, 409 7,019 4, 390 37,170 233 5,977 791 25, 885 3,577 38,047 173 5,996 840 26, 440 3,755 42, 212 206 7,059 940 28, 962 3,924 36, 854 203 6,225 1,093 24, 635 3, 564 39, 648 198 7,066 1,459 25,903 4,189 40, 682 222 7,184 1,355 26, 852 4.307 31,774 174 4,732 995 21,687 3,697 41, 464 217 6,073 1,257 27, 435 4,738 38, 786 209 5, 061 1,047 26, 262 4,474 40, 760 256 4, 604 873 27, 861 4,815 1, 576 2,155 2,659 5, 965 9,952 3,790 495 1,615 2,198 2,756 5,994 10,123 4,045 552 1,508 2,478 3,387 6, 516 11,149 4,475 570 1,368 2,200 2,988 5,304 9,211 4,179 518 1,354 2,304 3,024 5,499 9,532 4,383 640 1,405 2, 419 3, 062 5,795 9,863 4,542 528 1,05! 2,025 2, 562 4,463 7,888 3,870 316 1,260 2, 666 3,153 5,373 10, 245 6,162 320 1,323 2,483 2,974 5,078 9,930 5,936 271 1,336 2,728 3,163 5,421 10, 398 6,899 266 560 j,284 r r 1 1 , 643 r 7, 050 4,593 LEATHER MANUFACTURES Boots and shoes: t Production, total— thous. of pairs.. Athletic - do All fabric (satin, canvas, etc.) . _ . . do Part fabric and part leather do High and low cut, leather, total do Government shoes do Civilian shoes: Boys'and youths' . do Infants' do Misses' and children's do Men's . . do Women's do Slippers and moccasins for housewear do All other footwear do r 3 9, 507 240 r 4, 386 762 r 26, 829 r 4, 671 35, 758 ' 227 4,483 612 25, 000 4,386 1, 335 2,676 2, 9K3 5, 316 ' 9, 818 ' 6, 936 353 1,157 2,418 2.862 5,042 9,129 5, 079 363 r r ••Revised. i December 1 estimate. 2 Revised estimate. • Not available. § For data for December 1941-July 1942, see note marked " § " on p. S-28 of the November 1943 Survey. 5 Data for June to December 1943 were revised in the August 1944 Survey; revisions for January-May 1943 are available on request. *The new series on sugar are compiled by the U. S. Department of Agriculture and replace the series on meltings and stocks at 8 ports shown in the Survey through the July 1944 issue; data are compiled from reports by cane sugar refiners, beet sugar processors, importers of direct consumption sugar, and continental cane sugar mills. Data represent both raw and refined sugar in terms of raw sugar. Data beginning 1934 will be published later. t Revised series. The price series for sole oak leather is shown on a revised basis beginning with the October 1942 Survey; revisions beginning July 1933 are available on request. March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January 1945 S-29 1944 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber LUMBER AND MANUFACTURES LUMBER—ALL TYPES National Lumber Manufacturers Assn.if Production, total __.mil. Hardwoods Softwoods Shipments, total Hardwoods ... Softwoods Stocks, gross, end of month, total Hardwoods Softwoods bd. ft.. do do do .do do do do -do 1 4, 237 1 1,182 3, 055 2,188 414 1,774 2,278 422 1,856 3,492 1,150 2,342 2,554 2,278 2,528 2,573 2,791 2,800 481 415 451 453 447 477 2,072 1,863 2,078 2,338 2,353 2,096 2,399 2,658 2,665 2,722 2,743 2,565 469 468 447 458 466 462 1,929 2,189 2,218 2,264 2,103 2,277 1 4,190 J 4, 075 1 4,041 1 4, 085 J 4,126 1 4,176 1,096 1,097 1,098 1,099 1,070 1,050 1 3, 094 1 2,978 1 2, 943 1 2,986 1 3, 076 J 3,106 151,197 79, 429 2,133 375 1,759 2,292 466 1,826 155, 267 169, 210 149, 455 157,061 153, 636 144, 276 77,855 81, 568 68,540 70, 438 71, 625 66,828 763, 928 839, 480 746,102 785, 759 817,392 766, 521 762, 799 847, 519 754,003 789, 832 805,604 774,719 515, 224 516, 806 513, 291 525, 483 542,463 568,019 121, 735 136, 783 124, 168 126, 798 129, 821 98, 762 118,023 137, 669 125, 506 128,157 132,167 94, 767 32, 776 30, 215 30,131 34,187 27,367 30,804 2,999 2,665 2,658 555 596 539 2,403 2,119 2,110 2,825 2,574 2,530 483 490 505 2,343 2,069 2,040 1 4,162 1 4, 324 1 4,409 1,106 1,166 1,197 1 3, 056 1 3,158 1 3, 212 2,072 2,365 481 376 1,884 1, 696 2,346 2,114 435 390 1,911 1,724 1 4, 416 1 4, 336 1,242 1.235 1 3,174 1 3,101 PLYWOOD AND VENEER Hardwood plywood, production:* Cold press thous. of sq. ft., measured by glue line.. Hot press do Hardwood veneer:* Production thous. of sq. ft., surface area.. Shipments and consumption in own plants do Stocks, end of month -do Softwood plywood:* Production thous. of sq. ft., %" equivalentShipments _ do Stocks, end of month... do 764,048 782,082 494,839 121,618 120, 677 32, 244 167,184 154, 292 153,163 147, 505 80, 604 68,671 71, 533 r 71, 762 844,009 758, 512 785, 800 762,116 850, 483 778, 558 808, 669 786,856 589,154 592,612 601,127 603,668 670, 822 710, 670 595, 805 133, 616 124, 989 127,368 132, 274 126.606 126, 717 30,910 30,487 31,351 127,192 127,371 31,080 112,028 114,774 28, 439 133,545 66, 184 FLOORING Maple, beech, and birch: Orders, new _ Orders, unfilled, end of month Production Shipments Stocks, end of month.. Oak: Orders, new Orders, unfilled, end of month Production. Shipments Stocks, end of month M bd. ftdo _do... do... .do _ 4, 625 7,925 3, 525 3, 650 2,900 3,150 7,400 2,950 2,000 2,900 4,900 9,000 3,350 3,400 2,950 3,600 8,850 3, 500 3,800 2,650 3,360 8,800 3,260 3,500 2,350 3,250 7,700 4,000 3,300 3,050 3,650 7,350 3,950 3,950 3,150 3,550 7,825 3,650 3,050 3,725 3,825 7,800 4,075 3,075 4,500 2,725 7,075 3,775 3, 775 4,750 3,9C0 6,500 3,775 4, 375 4,325 4, 675 7,300 3, 375 4. 050 3, 650 3, 650 6, 925 3, 375 3, 650 3,325 _do... -do_._ do.-. do... do.-_ 16, 755 37, 823 16,630 15, 905 5,197 12, 306 23, 399 13, 857 10, 572 7,151 20,162 29. 477 14,022 14,084 7,334 13, 658 27, 263 16, 479 15, 873 6,902 13, 234 23, 940 13, 905 14,816 5,991 16. 282 21, 876 16, 438 17, 491 4,938 13, 010 19,424 15,116 15, 462 4,736 19, 397 25, 687 13,361 13,134 4,963 27,107 32,196 15, 942 18, 281 4,075 17.635 37,169 15, 790 16, 464 4, 095 17, 644 36,843 17,135 17, 970 3,791 17,100 36, 554 17,547 17,389 3,949 15,135 36, 921 15,418 14,716 4, 456 33.810 44.100 33.810 44.100 33.810 44.100 33.810 44.100 33.810 44.100 34. 790 44.100 34. 790 44.100 34. 790 44.100 34.790 44.100 34.300 44.100 33. 810 44.100 33.810 44.100 33.810 44.100 676 936 793 1, 056 710 1,073 806 1,111 717 1,047 809 970 772 936 798 887 690 873 721 876 600 809 716 909 650 649 1,188 37. 636 51. 384 664 651 1,341 37. 636 53. 699 685 693 1,333 39. 234 54. 313 745 768 1,310 41. 394 55. 233 727 760 1,277 41. 394 55. 233 800 818 1,259 41.172 55. 233 764 785 1,238 41.172 55. 233 762 806 1,194 41.172 55.233 806 847 1,153 41.172 55.480 710 704 1,159 374 412 411 435 480 464 512 517 546 530 546 517 484 505 535 471 557 504 41.172 (2) 699 667 1,196 417 420 41.172 (2) 607 616 1,187 394 383 34.42 306 388 915 34.63 284 382 957 34.60 309 388 878 34.60 389 452 815 34.66 428 459 784 34.91 592 533 844 34.77 621 559 906 34.70 586 496 1,006 34.64 656 594 1,031 34. 52 572 520 1,083 41.172 (2) 723 718 1,164 496 475 34.71 555 525 1,113 34.62 414 472 1,057 34.61 368 428 997 735 982 638 623 495 691 1,033 658 639 466 743 1,073 683 659 491 793 1,083 725 764 460 691 1,134 698 780 485 622 1,073 634 668 414 709 1,057 710 703 440 565 1,006 565 585 439 847 1,075 707 689 449 642 1,070 624 621 482 603 983 650 652 478 581 926 615 602 475 600 884 58b 527 470 38, 510 34,653 99, 793 101,121 39, 092 41,161 38, 202 34, 901 59,043 62, 521 31,208 77, 851 40, 747 35,348 63, 521 26, 330 70, 478 37, 265 33.049 66,123 29, 631 70,186 29, 562 28, 871 74,311 SO FT WOODS Douglas fir, prices, wholesale: Dimension, No. 1, common, 2 x 4—16 dol. per M bd. ft.. Flooring, B and better, F. G., 1 x 4, R. L do Southern pine: Orders, newf mil. bd. ft.. Orders, unfilled, end of monthf -do Prices, wholesale, composite: Boards, No. 2 common, 1" x 6" and 8"f dol. p e r M bd. ft.. Flooring, B and better, F. G., 1 x 4f do.... Productionf mil. bd. ft. Shipmentsf .do Stocks, end of monthf do Western pine: Orders, new do Orders, unfilled, end of month do Price, wholesale, Ponderosa, boards, No. 3 common, 1" x 8" -dol. per M bd. ft.. Production! mil. bd. ft.. Shipments!— --do Stocks, end of monthf— do West coast woods: Orders, newf do— Orders, unfilled, end of month do Production f do Shipmen tst do Stocks, end of month .do Redwood, California: Orders, new M bd. ft. Orders, unfilled, end of month do Production do— Shipments .do... Stocks, end of month do... () 34, 539 40, 063 47, 202 32, 442 28, 724 38,162 19, 305 151,022 158, 094 166, 707 161, 208 151, 447 146, 607 111,518 32, 485 33, 129 34, 616 40, 365 37, 653 41, 390 40,181 36, 770 34, 222 36, 636 36, 854 39, 301 37, 818 36, 211 69,018 66, 558 70, 687 68, 759 68,128 66,682 62, 216 386 378 FURNITURE All districts, plant operations percent of normal. Grand Rapids district: Orders: Canceled percent of new ordersNew no. of days' productionUnfilled, end of month. do... Plant operations .percent of normalShipments. no. of days' production. 54 60 58 58 24 56 57 58 57 58 53 1 65 72 50 15 r Revised. 1 Includes Southern pine stocks at concentration yards not included prior to February; these stocks totaled 798 mil. bd. ft. Dec. 31, 1943. 2 Not available. * New series. The plywood and veneer series are from the Bureau of the Census and are practically complete. The unit of measurement for hardwood plywood is the "glue line" or total area of glue spread. The "glue line" measures the surface area of the veneer used in the manufacture of plywood but does not include the core. The hardwood veneer figures are in terms of surface measure with no account taken of thickness. For softwood plywood, all thicknesses are converted to f£-inch equivalent. Data beginning September 1941 for softwood plywood are shown on p. 16 of the September 1944 Survey; data beginning August 1942 and September 1942, respectively, for hardwood plywood and veneer are published on p. 14 of the November 1944 issue. f Revised series. Revised 1937-39 figures for total lumber stocks, hardwood stocks and softwood stocks, and revisions for 1941 and, in some instances, earlier years for the other indicated lumber series are on pp. 27 and 28 of the March 1943 Survey. Further revisions in data published prior to the December 1943 Survey have been made as follows: Total stocks and hardwood and softwood stocks beginning 1940 and all series beginning January 1942 on the basis of 1942 data from the Bureau of the Census. Southern pine unfilled orders and stocks were further revised in the May 1944 issue to include data for concentration yards (revisions carried back to 1929 by adding 798 to stocks and 111 to unfilled orders as previously published). All revisions will be published later (for revised 1942 monthly averages see May 1944 Survey). The 1942 Census included many mills in the Eastern States not previously canvassed; this affects the comparability of the statistics for 1942-43 with those for earlier years for Southern pine and for total lumber, total softwoods, and total hardwoods. U. S. Forest Service estimates of total lumber production for 1939-41, based on census data adjusted for incomplete coverage, together with census totals for 1942-43 and estimated 1944 total, are shown in the table on p. 22 of the February 1945 issue; the monthly figures shown above have not as yet been adjusted to the 1943 census data. Digitized forrevised price series for Southern pine each represent a composite of 9 series; for comparable data beginning August 1942 see note at bottom of p. S-35 of the June 1944 issue. The FRASER SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-30 1945 Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey Januarv I March 1945 1944 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- i December ber METALS AND MANUFACTURES IRON AND S T E E L I r o n a n d Steel Scrap 5,170 2, 952 2,218 5,658 1.652 4, 006 7,207 0 28, 910 24, 357 4,553 7,659 0 21,333 17, 658 3.675 5,185 2,976 2,209 5,340 1,560 3,780 5,245 2,988 2,257 5,369 1,607 3, 762 4, 995 2,864 2,131 5,376 1,613 3,763 4,954 2,864 2,090 5,343 1,592 3,751 5.077 2,931 2,146 5,444 1,670 3,774 5,008 2,890 2,118 5,370 1,715 3, 655 5, 246 3, 099 2,147 5,080 1,635 3, 445 7,273 5.288 17, 892 14, 985 2,907 5,406 3,089 I 2,317 | 5,435 | 1,598 | 3,837 | 7, 558 12,114 21, 474 18, 356 3,117 7,112 11,975 26, 655 23, 289 3,366 7,372 12,909 32, 069 28,237 3,832 7, 342 12, 288 37, 243 32, 727 4,516 6, 950 11,329 41, 943 36. 684 5,259 7,320 10, 595 45. 343 39, 540 5.797 765,423 j 764,369 780, 453 790, 674 763, 459 689, 744 778, 205 744, 954 88,169 09, 820 69, 300 92, 285 70, 555 72, 279 103,692 70, 993 71, 758 106, 626 61, 320 61, 704 r 71,307 74, 297 ' 70,172 49,502 74, 628 72, 821 828, 648 I 757,880 79, 352 93. 855 90, 038 74,812 75, 594 81, 480 74^ 452 j 73,231 j 81,215 5,070 2,999 2,071 4.791 1, 52S 3, 203 6, 4, 44, 39, 5, 5, 025 2, 884 2,141 4, 425 1,453 2, 972 8S3 072 722 249 473 7, 090 0 37, 824 32, 883 4, 941 I i Castings, gray iron, shipments*....short ton3 ,_ Castings, malleable:<j" Orders, new, net .do Production do Shipments do Pig iron: Consumption* , thous. of short t o n s . . Prices, wholesale: Basic (valley furnace). dol. per long t o n . . Composite __do Foundry, No. 2, Neville Island* do Production* thous. of short tons.. Stocks (consumers' and suppliers'), end of month* thous. of short tons.. Boilers, range, galvanized: Orders, new, net number of boilers 112,720 Orders, unfilled, end of month do 170, 350 Production do 54, 550 55, 014 Shipments. do 11,272 Stocks, end of m o n t h . . do Steel, Crude and Semimanufactured Castings, steel, commercial: : Orders, new, total, net . short tons.. Railway specialties .do Production, total ____ do Railway specialties do Steel ingots* and steel for castings: Production thous. of short tons.. Percent of capacity§. Prices, wholesale: Composite, finished steel dol. per lb._ Steel billets, rerolling (Pittsburgh). ..dol. per long ton. Structural steel (Pittsburgh) dol. per lb._ Steel scrap (Chicago) .dol. per long ton.. U. S. Steel Corporation, shipments of finished steel products thous. of short tons. Stee!, Manufactured Products Barrels and drums, steel, heavy types:1 Orders, unfilled, end of month thousands.. Production do Shipments .__. _ .do Stocks, end of month do Boilers, steel, new orders : Area thous. of sq. ft.. Quantity number.. Porcelain enameled products, shipments! thous. of dol.. Spring washers, shipments do Steel products, production for sale:^ Total .thous. of short tons. . Merchant bars do Pipe and t u b e . . . _. do Plates do Rails. _ do Sheets _. do . . . Strip—Cold rolled .do Hot rolled do Structural shapes, heavy. do Tip plate and terneplateQ-do.Wire and wire products do 4,944 2,838 2.106 5,580 1,613 3,967 7.482 0 36,059 30.746 5,313 Consumption, total* ____thous. of short tons._ Home scrap* do Purchased scrap* _do Stocks, consumers', end of month, total* do Home scrap* do Purchased scrap* __do I r o n Ore Lake Superior district: Consumption by furnaces thous. of long tons.. Shipments from upper lake ports do Stocks, end of month, total do.... At furnaces.. do On Lake Erie docks, do Pig Iron a n d I r o n M a n u f a c t u r e s 700, 383 741,534 76. 536 ' 48,149 80, 505 r 79, 029 76,882 77, 528 09, 972 70,187 70, 831 5.202 I 4,996 | 5,378 5,161 5.218 4, 960 5.062 5,159 4,893 5,108 4, 8S7 4,959 23. 50 24.17 24.00 5,276 23.50 24.17 24.00 5,083 23.50 24.17 24.00 5,434 23.50 24.17 24.00 5,243 23. 50 24. 17 24.00 5, 343 23.50 24.17 24. 00 5,057 23. 50 24.17 24.00 5,157 23. 50 24.17 24.00 5,210 23. 50 24.17 24. 00 4,988 23. 50 24.17 24. 00 5,200 23. 50 24. \ 7 2\. 00 4, 904 23. 50 24.17 24. 00 4, 999 1,616 I 1,658 61,214 88. 730 78, 986 71, 859 28,924 167, 739 18,181 159,795 25,826 78, 825 78, 982 80,516 88,573 20, 867 173, 27, 161, 27, 592 244 359 488 1,650 ! 83,359 76, 649 82. 066 85, 692 17, 241 1,663 1,649 1,639 69, 560 68,106 66, 107 69,047 16, 782 57, 966 66, 272 54, 903 59, 800 11,885 61,099 69,632 59,416 57,739 13, 562 68. 009 80, 696 58,154 56, 945 14, 771 176,993 37. 807 161, 783 29,974 181,816 28,147 157.444 30, 309 169, 921 19. 248 131,940 24, 756 171, 309 29, 921 154,911 31, 864 129, 847 14,371 144,458 27,660 1,636 1,658 62,828 67, 593 • 74. 305 • 71, 884 19, 722 I 162,575 1 175,053 36, 202 44,140 174,626 I 155,778 30,760 j 27,822 1,617 51, 76, 54, 55, 13, 288 432 589 552 808 1, 590 1 : 530 1,492 74, 085 83, 637 69, 3S9 66,880 16.317 71,103 91,010 03. 022 03,184 10, 253 70, 249 112. 038 52, 089 50, 006 11,736 116 173 719 949 120, 007 20, 937 146,411 20, 939 138,066 30, 256 144,162 25, 080 146, 16, 150, 28, r 7,178 90 7,587 7,188 7,820 ! 7.58S 7, 697 97 7,229 94 7,493 94 7,493 94 7.230 94 7,616 96 7, 274 94 .0209 34.00 .0210 18.75 . 0265 34.00 .0210 18.75 .0265 34.00 . 0210 18.75 . 0265 34.00 .0210 18.75 .0265 34.00 .0210 18.75 .0265 34.00 .0210 18.75 . 0265 34.00 .0210 18.75 .0265 34.00 .0210 18.75 .0265 34.00 .0210 18.75 .0265 34.00 .0210 18.69 . 0265 34.00 .0210 16.90 . 0205 34. 00 . 0210 17.00 . 0265 34.00 . 0210 IS. 69 1,569 1,731 1,756 1,875 1,757 1,777 1,738 1,755 1,743 1,734 1,775 1,744 1, 768 5,031 2,254 2,233 61 4,532 3,179 1,854 1,907 1, 862 j 1,917 44 52 3.383 1,610 1,610 41 3, 432 1,539 1, 531 49 3,707 1,509 1,518 40 3,649 1,439 1,427 51 5,276 1,611 1,619 43 6,666 1,394 1,390 47 6,824 1. 575 1,565 57 6,742 1,059 1, 605 52 0, 747 1, 5S4 1, 594 41 753 533 2,589 363 1,005 662 2,722 376 779 703 3,046 853 602 2,754 350 1,155 849 2,664 379 1,608 839 2,868 382 1,122 728 2,870 319 1,649 1,070 3,152 361 831 757 3,060 347 904 692 3,302 383 914 099 3,1 55 414 925 538 2,818 5,265 560 484 1,096 196 764 86 119 353 156 349 5,208 530 483 1,074 216 754 86 116 337 194 349 5,616 554 515 1,164 226 831 96 133 357 223 379 5,211 508 496 1,073 197 768 89 115 319 216 347 5,313 533 521 1,042 220 790 97 115 318 231 5,164 512 504 1,010 192 768 97 119 298 256 363 5,082 498 506 969 201 763 88 117 300 246 337 5,159 510 518 858 195 839 95 121 298 238 377 5,157 497 510 936 214 828 97 121 311 204 360 5,184 471 501 957 214 841 98 127 306 205 369 5,161 499 512 900 204 833 100 121 312 202 354 4,965 474 503 819 209 802 103 113 302 234 342 .0358 .0503 .0462 .0445 .0425 .0425 .0425 .0425 .0420 .0362 .0317 .0312 97.3 • 169. 5 • 48.3 215.6 148.8 47.8 206.7 160.4 59.3 232.2 155.6 60.9 "218.4 152.9 59.9 r 221. 3 132.8 55.9 187.9 135.1 ••53.4 199.6 123.3 55.9 223.6 94.9 47.0 211.2 88.9 48.0 208.1 93.7 r 40. 7 105.1 2,417 1,174 3,029 7, 301 r 93 NONFERROUS METALS AND PRODUCTS Aluminum: Price, wholesale, scrap castings (N. Y.)..dol. per lb__ Production:* Primary .mil. of l b . . Secondary recovery do Aluminum fabricated products, shipments* do r 96.8 43.4 199.2 T Revised. 1 Beginning 1943 data cover virtually the entire industry. ©Designated "tin plate" prior to the July 1944 Survey but included terneplate. cf Beginning July 1944 the coverage of the industry is virtually complete; the coverage was about 97-98 percent for September 1942-June 1944 and 93 percent prior thereto. § Beginning July 1944, percent of capacity is calculated on annual capacity as of July 1, 1944, of 94,050,750 tons of open-hearth, Bessemer, and electric steel ingots and steel for castings; earlier 1944 data are based on capacity as of Jan. 1, 1944 (93,648,490 tons), and July-December 1943 data on capacity as of July 1, 1943 (90,877,410 tons). t Of the 99 manufacturers on the reporting list for Jan.l, 1942, 29 have discontinued shipments ot these products for the duration of the war. • Beginning 1944 data represent net shipments (total shipments less shipments to members of the industry for further conversion) instead of net production for sale outside the industry, as formerly. For 1942 data, except for April, see tne October 1942 and July 1943 Surveys; for April data see note at bottom of p. S-31 in the September 1943 issue. * New series. For a description of the series on scrap iron and steel and pig iron consumption and stocks and 1939-40 data, see note marked "*" on p. S-29 of the November 1942 Survey; later data are available on p. S-30 of the April 1942 and subsequent issues. The new series on pig iron production is from the American Iron and Steel Institute and is approximately comparable with data from the Iron Age in the 1942 Supplement (data in the Supplement are in short tons instead of long tons as indicated); see p. S-30 of the May 1943 Survey for further information on this series and data for 1941-42. The new pig iron price, f. o. b. Neville Island, replaces the Pittsburgh price, delivered, shown in the Survey prior to the April 1943 issue. For data beginning January 1942 on aluminum production see p. 24, table 6, of the June 1944 Survey. Data for aluminum fabricated products cover total shipments of castings, forgings, sheet, strip, plate, rods, bar, and other shapes, and are available beginning January 1942; data for gray iron castings are based on reports of foundries accounting for about 98 percent of the total tonnage of the gray iron castings industry for January-November 1943 and 93 percent thereafter. Both series are from the War Production Board. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 1945 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January S-31 1944 January February March April May June July August t'Xr October Novem- Decem ber ber METALS AND MANUFACTURES—Continued NONFERROUS METALS AND PRODUCTS—Con. Bearing metal (white-base antifriction), consumption and shipments, totalj. thous. of lb._ 5,439 Consumed in own plants do..... 1,314 4,125 Shipments do .195 Brass sheets, wholesale price, mill _dol. per lb_. Copper: .1178 Price, wholesale, electrolytic, (N. Y.) dol. p e r l b . Production:^ Mine or smelter (incl. custom intake)..short tons.. 73,640 Refinery do 67, 726 145,904 Deliveries, refined, dornesticd" do 59,715 Stocks, refined, end of monthcf —_ ..do Lead: Ore, domestic, receipts (lead content)^ do Refined: .0650 Price,wholesale, pig,desilverized(N. Y.) _dol. per 1b.. Production, totaled. short tons.. 49,099 45, 463 From domestic orccf do.. 40,887 Shipmentsd" ._ do--. 27, 738 Stocks, end of monthcf do—. Magnesium production:* 7.7 Primary ....mil. oflb 2.5 Secondary recovery do . 5200 Tin, wholesale price, Straits (N. Y.)_dol. per lb._ Zinc, slab: Price, wholesale, prime, Western (St. .0825 Louis) _. dol. per ib._ Productioncf short tons.. 70,492 92,804 Shipmentscf do. 90,300 Domest.iccf .-._ do_ 215,208 Stocks, end of monthcf.. do. 5,269 648 4,621 .195 5,543 1,318 4,225 .195 5,485 964 4,521 .195 5,643 1,353 4, 290 .195 4,774 1,154 3,621 .195 5,283 1,218 4,065 .195 5,336 1,204 4,133 .195 4,588 1,215 3,373 .195 .117S 5,161 1, 229 3,932 .195 5,300 1,129 4,171 .195 4,780 971 3,809 .195 4,302 1,221 3,082 .195 .1178 . 1178 82, 769 82,776 91,047 139,515 118,054 50, 991 51,412 82, 653 89, 068 126,590 49, 358 76,466 87,145 127, 517 58,051 ' 76,799 82, 649 156,800 66, 780 31, 266 31,489 31,395 30,498 . 0650 .0650 38, 436 38,614 35. 934 35,717 40, 884 43, 586 28, 890 23, 911 .0650 42,997 34, 642 42. 303 24, 595 . 0650 42,842 36,112 43,513 23,915 .0650 46,052 40, 264 50,420 19, 536 16.6 2.8 .5200 12.5 2.1 .5200 8.5 1.8 .5200 .0825 67,432 ' 65, 559 '65,519 246,217 .0825 ' 70,035 ' 78, 732 ' 78, 710 237, 520 .1178 .1178 .1178 .1178 . 1178 ^. 1178 .1178 95,400 92,781 101,779 45,800 95,712 87,128 124,800 36,489 101, 247 99,118 156,083 37, 259 92, 530 95, 280 156,233 94, 534 98, 580 165, 887 37,074 89, 070 93, 958 141,139 42, 467 86, 224 93, 650 121,898 48,050 37,738 37,155 38,894 35,951 36, 931 34, 255 29,982 34, 873 .0650 49, 768 47, 672 45, 258 37,590 .0650 48, 302 41, 591 51,367 34,518 .0650 55, 324 47, 294 55. 449 34,379 .0650 50,154 46, 258 44,690 39, 830 . 0650 45. 903 42, 663 48,142 37, 586 .0650 39, 755 34,413 43, 485 33, 847 . 0650 40, 471 33, 434 42,966 31, 344 42.0 2.1 .5200 40.9 2.7 .5200 41.0 3.6 .5200 37.8 2.3 .5200 34.3 2.8 . 5200 29.4 2.1 .5200 30.1 2.0 . 5200 18.5 2.7 .5200 . 0825 84,066 63, 552 60,404 194,024 . 0825 79, 893 62, 716 61, 258 211,201 .0825 86, 037 84,431 83,104 212,807 . 0825 80,405 75, 213 75, 213 217,999 .0825 80. 497 80, 825 r 80, 540 217,671 .0825 73,067 65, 785 65, 488 224, 953 .0825 72, 947 63,193 63,193 234, 707 974 5,379 1,147 431 4,765 943 430 4,124 870 553 3,884 783 3,841 810 378.3 321.6 577.5 456.8 402.6 648.2 498.4 457. 6 642.6 385.7 322.2 610.1 503.9 477.0 598.8 ' 5, 786 13, 092 '6,613 23, 671 ' 4, 471 • 12, 483 ' 5, 080 • 22, 576 r 4, 970 12, 200 ' 5, 253 21,419 25.0 2.8 .5200 . 0825 71. 281 64, 295 64, 158 241,693 .0825 66,891 65,150 64,927 243,434 . 0825 68, 781 67, 871 67, 820 244, 344 .1178 .1178 MACHINERY AND APPARATUS Blowers and fans, new orders thous. of dol Electric overhead cranes: § Orders, new do.. Orders, unfilled, end of month do.. Shipments do-Foundry equipment: New orders, net total. 1937-39=100... 422.4 New equipment _do. 362.2 Repairs _do. 634.7 Fuel equipment and heating apparatus: Oil burners:© Orders, new, net nuniber.. Orders, unfilled, end of month do Shipments _ .do Stocks, end of month _do Mechanical stokers, sales:^ 5,091 Classes 1, 2, and 3 . . . . ..do Classes 4 and 5: Number „ _ _ 228 Horsepower __ 44,322 Unit heaters, new orders ..thous. of do!.. Warm-air furnaces, winter air-conditioning systems, and equipment, new orders thous. of dol.. Machine tools:* Orders, new, net do 58, 958 Orders, unfilled, end of month _ do— — 282, 233 Shipments do 37,498 Pumps and water systems, domestic, shipments: Pitcher, other hand, and windmill pumps units.. Power pumps, horizontal type do Water systems, including pumps d o . —I Pumps, steam, power, centrifugal, and rotary: Orders, new thous. of dol— 3,579 ELECTRICAL 13, 236 ' 5, 308 ' 7, 535 13,145 • 13, 919 ' 5, 315 r 6, 761 27, 344 • 24,991 r r •11,780 13, 370 473 3,837 663 680 3,796 700 522 3,714 598 466.1 426.8 604.8 375.8 327.5 546.4 450.5 416.3 571.4 388.0 336 5 569.7 1,146 4,579 597 526.5 504.0 605.9 ' 7,162 14,443 r 6, 060 17, 802 ' 5, 988 • 13, 835 ' 6, 596 '16.061 ' 9, 029 • 14, 398 ' 8,466 13,110 3,996 5,183 4,768 4,849 406 418 70, 854 74,188 ' 3, 848 362 63,288 380 70,390 4,653 ' 7, 049 ' 12,630 '6,619 20,192 r ' 5, 653 • 13, 341 r 4,942 • 18,996 1 1 1,473 1,417 1,793 2,193 2,515 3,235 3,293 4,368 184 34, 943 192 41, 092 206 43,012 2.867 252 52, 299 279 51, 737 352 57, 007 2,591 370 70, 453 474 83, 689 26, 457 181,538 56,363 33, 419 164, 536 50,127 40,950 153, 563 51,907 55, 247 167, 232 41,370 59,922 185,746 41,819 49, 558 194, 450 41, 471 31,889 191, 295 32, 753 40,466 368 21, 519 32, 632 313 23,046 39, 431 478 30,463 35,897 241 26,726 36, 701 300 25, 299 29, 988 262 28,126 26, 671 409 30,142 3,606 2,812 3,206 3,912 4,815 3,096 3,497 1,484 1,507 1,545 1,297 1,324 1,368 1,485 394 353 414 269 443 394 405 346 393 483 408 383 338 403 388 458 9,209 876 5,627 7,685 662 6,066 9,041 750 6,326 16,011 1,055 5,895 20,608 1,328 5,727 11,156 810 5,861 11, 743 843 4,921 4,872 3,798 6,850 7,986 6,280 5,539 4,825 6,622 4,324 6,560 6,434 5,732 8,101 4,539 7,782 5,940 5,532 7,190 5,417 7,747 6,199 6,378 6,654 9,907 7,904 5,557 5,935 6,994 6,602 8,395 4,442 1,384 4,505 1,290 4,653 1,393 4,181 1,218 3,953 1,240 4,273 1,276 r 8,788 822 4,032 4,761 3,774 518 4,292 795 369.5 301.7 609.4 •15,866 • 22, 441 ' 7,823 • 12, 679 ' 6, 350 397.4 351.7 558.4 12, 326 27,214 7,553 11,221 6,335 33,152 41,079 196, 760 194,125 35,889 35,177 57, 206 213, 675 37, 516 58,706 235,396 36,277 62, 504 260,880 36, 784 32, 050 418 25,561 22, 494 292 23,865 31, 229 354 32,171 29,843 392 29,040 22,838 248 20, 427 4,175 3,635 4,016 2,207 2,242 1,857 1,934 1,741 1,635 352 350 357 266 340 480 12, 781 1,005 5,519 8,094 711 4,936 6,970 688 5,006 9,531 927 4,854 6,152 491 4,779 5,048 6,221 6,385 7,042 7,967 6,005 7,133 6,839 5,803 8,531 5,420 4,899 6,533 6,743 8.173 5,675 5,402 6,372 2,992 5,965 5,210 6,190 9,293 8,811 6,677 7,490 6,010 3,933 9,266 3,773 1,079 4,184 1,174 4,130 1,156 4,416 1,275 4,038 1,170 3,845 1,149 EQUIPMENT Battery shipments (automotive replacement only), number* thousands.. Electrical products:f Insulating materials, sales billed1936= 100-. Motors and generators, new orders do Furnaces, electric, industrial, sales: Unit kilowattsValue thous. of dol— Laminated fiber products, shipments do Motors (1-200 hp): Polyphase induction, billings do Polyphase induction, new orders do Direct current, billings.-do Direct current, new orders do Rigid steel conduit and fittings, shipments, .short t o n s . . Vulcanized fiber: Consumption of fiber paper thous. o f l b . . Shipments thous. of dol.. 10,653 870 I ' Revised. iThe total and the detail cover 59 manufacturers; see March 1944 Survey for comparable data for 1942. cf For data beginning January 1942 for the indicated copper, lead, and zinc series, see p. 24, table 6, of the June 1944 Survey. § Revisions in unfilled orders for April-July 1942 are available on request; data cover 8 companies beginning March 1943. © The 1944 data have been revised to include data for a number of manufacturers who started manufacturing and shipping oil burners after a considerable period of inactivity and now cover 124 manufacturers; because most of the manufacturers added were small or had been inactive, there has been no significant change in the percentage of the industry covered. 1 Of the 101 firms on the reporting list in 1941, 20 have discontinued the manufacture of stokers: some manufacture stokers only occasionally. The manufacture of class 1 stoken was discontinued Sept. 30,1942, by order of the War Production Board; this accounts for the large reduction after that month in figures for classes 1, 2» and 3. *New series. For magnesium production beginning January 1942, see p. 24, table 6, of the June 1944 Survey. The series on automotive replacement battery shipments represents estimated industry totals compiled by Dun and Bradstreet; data beginning 1937 are available on request. For 1940-41 and early 1942 data for machine tool shipments see p. S-30 of the November 1942 Survey; for new and unfilled orders for 1942 and the early months of 1943, see p. S-31 of the August 1944 issue. The data for machine tools cover virtually the entire industry through June 1944; thereafter, reports were no longer requested from 150 small companies which formerly accounted for about 4 percent of total shipments. t Revised series. Indexes for electrical products have been shown on a revised basis beginning in the January 1943 Survey; the index for motors and generators was further revised in the April 1944 Survey (see p. S-31 of that issue). Data beginning 1934 are available on request. S-32 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January March 1945 1944 1945 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Decem ber ber 833, 433 69,071 341.152 138, 404 73, 329 36, 500 125, 443 775, 530 64, 872 316, 288 127, 017 68,167 34, 211 119, 011 844, 288 73,484 339, 840 137, 247 72, 594 37, 356 134, 858 819, 376 72, 190 327, 587 130,481 71, 720 36, 523 135, 584 72.561 4,040 10, 704 12, 378 8, 536 1,886 32, 075 66, 643 4, 734 10, 162 11,717 8,971 2,122 26, 344 PAPER AND PRINTING WOOD PULP Production :f Total, all grades. Bleached sulphate. Unbleached sulphate Bleached sulphite Unbleached sulphite Soda Groundwood _. Stocks, end of month:f Total, all grades. Bleached sulphate Unbleached sulphate Bleached sulphite Unbleached sulphite Soda Groundwood short tons.. -do .do .-do do do _ -do 804, 337 70, 006 303, 375 136, 408 74, 908 37, 388 136, 861 * d o . . . . 75, 994 7,211 -do 9,471 -do 12, 994 do 10,015 .do 2,897 -do 29, 718 do 759,863 60, 719 306,595 116,242 ' 76, 674 r 35, 760 133, 493 r 72, 004 4.578 7,409 ' 13,316 ' 10,652 ' 2, 952 ' 30, 993 795,840 743,904 730,410 784,058 750,633 64, 365 66, 617 69, 222 59, 964 65, 796 61,070 291,239 299, 649 290, 633 319,009 323,855 308,015 117, 368 133, 292 121, 504 131,435 129,165 117, 376 71, 717 75,925 71, 598 76,625 73,124 63,141 34,000 35, 708 33, 233 35, 530 35, 306 30,591 124,287 137, 922 134,402 139,677 125, 599 112, 241 75,891 4,666 7,833 14, 372 10,499 3,270 33,496 78, 374 4,738 9,190 14,822 9,721 2,455 35, 794 81, 879 5,265 7,751 14, 500 9,245 2,066 41,013 91,052 5,084 9,794 16,113 9,183 1,925 46, 347 88, 204 3,966 9, 751 14,131 10,126 2, 027 46,158 82, 281 5,350 8,606 12,849 9,246 2,216 41, 560 64,780 ! 5,276 | 8.717 11,989 8,529 2, 468 24,351 j 734.987 65,811 276, 294 122, 264 r 67, 367 r 35,188 128, 253 66,552 r 66, 844 4, 162 5, 306 8,690 r 10, 645 12,505 12, 360 9, 225 r 8,169 l'945 r 2, 336 25,002 r 25, 580 PAPER AND PAPER PRODUCTS All paper and paperboard mills (U. S. Bureau of the Census):* Paper and paperboard production, total..short tons.. Paper . . ...do Paperboard do Paper, excl. building paper, newsprint, and paperboard (American Paper and Pulp Association):! Orders, new short tons.. Production do Shipments do Fine paper: Orders, new ...do Orders, unfilled, end of month. do Production .do Shipments.. .do Stocks, end of month : -do Printing paper: Orders, new ...do Orders, unfilled, end of month do Production do Shipments do Stocks, end of month... do Wrapping paper: Orders, new _ do Orders, unfilled, end of month ..-do Production do Shipments do Stocks, end of month.. do Book paper, coated: Orders, new ..percent of stand, capacity.. Production do Shipments do Book paper, uncoated: Orders, new do Price, wholesale, " B " grade, English finish, white, f. o. b. mill.. dol. per 100 lb_. Production percent of stand, capacity.. Shipments do Newsprint: Canada: Production .short tons.. Shipments from mills -do Stocks, at mills, end of month do United States: Consumption by publishers ...do Price, rolls (N. Y.) .dol. per short ton.. Production short tons.. Shipments from mills do Stocks, end of month: At mills._.!._ do At publishers -do In transit to publishers do Paperboard (National Paperboard Association) :J Orders, new __do Orders, unfilled, end of month _do Production do Percent of capacity Waste paper, consumption and stocks: § Consumption short tons.. Stocks at mills, end of month do Paper products: Shipping containers, corrugated and solid fiber, ship* ments* mil. sq. ft. surface area.. Folding paper boxes, value:* New orders. 1936=100.. Shipments. do 1,413,365 1,379.311 1,483,085 1,402,095 1,484,667 1,460,686 1,325,711 ,518,922 1,421,869 1,501,175 1,4^4,762 ! 1,328,489 693,006 672,767 722,973 659,976 705, 821 688, 817 619, 392 717,452 677, 538 715,058 699,872 J 655,422 720, 359 706, 544 760,112 742,119 778,846 771, 869 706,319 801,470 744, 331 786,117 764,890 j 673,067 565, 770 558,442 585, 763 517,178 537, 293 547, 065 496,210 564,593 533, 103 569,426 '•532,728 560, 773 544,233 582, 739 530, 222 509,074 553, 709 493,254 ! 580, 177 542, 887 578,547 r !'565, 355 590, 444 563, 609 588, 385 536,878 569, 060 571, 676 490,505 577,933 549, 797 '574,494 579, 259 82, 332 80, 217 86, 972 82, 387 73, 020 79, 322 76, 591 78, 329 86, 106 r 96, 399 ' 78, 501 144,139 140, 395 148,007 148,181 137,287 136,946 148,933 140, 606 139,164 151,863 141,589 78,313 77, 291 88,024 78,020 82, 856 79, 709 69, 941 85, 959 81,931 r 87, 432 ' 86, 083 r 79,427 76,974 89,078 81,211 89, 0?>9 r 87, 733 80,357 84,115 69, 716 ? 83.912 83,840 47,004 46, 723 46, 885 44,010 44, 823 40, 664 45, 098 1 45, 794 42, 955 r 42, 817 ' 41,080 179, 222 135,311 173, 957 177,091 52, 239 172,160 144, 599 173,447 175,089 57,110 170,216 143, 328 169,853 170,077 57, 647 217,849 200, 312 219, 596 218, 618 69, 536 217, 362 225, 567 199,526 201, 738 197,595 199, 886 212, 048 227, 079 199, 825 212, 440 r229, 828 203, 621 67,881 66, 585 63, 584 168, 918 143,171 166,017 166,649 52,533 553, 901 530, 562 541,238 90, 636 138,448 72, 242 72, 455 36,030 141,524 182, 929 158,566 172,243 172,949 I 178,981 126,368 144, 979 138, 797 139,394 I 131,521 j 140,516 144,083 176, 434 164, 909 172,531 \r 172. 559 ! 171,840 "" " 143,743 172, 545 167, 538 172,152 179,356 i 171,169 49, 490 53, 495 51,036 ' 53, 291 53,006 j 52,576 i 211,055 217, 062 207,172 223, 689 217, 972 224, 199 •204,708 208, 279 189,349 188.679 203,499 195,112 194,127 202, 175 ! •184,809 198, 948 221,429 219,158 198,265 228, 416 210, 897 226,251 I '218.306 I 200, 958 214,767 225, 921 192,602 229,867 212,312 219,708 •218,595 !206, 364 r 62, 077 r 70, 288 | 69. 648 | 66, 679 67, 002 * 62, 486 68,127 64,142 171,750 140,808 173,587 i 174,990 j 51,208 158, 537 128, 593 165, 886 167, 297 48, 600 56.7 52.4 57.4 54.9 55.6 57.5 57.0 58.6 58.6 52.1 61.5 57.4 56.0 55.3 57.5 51.3 52.3 54.4 51.9 57.0 56.5 48.8 46.2 47.6 77.9 82.0 84.3 82.2 77.5 73.7 70.1 7.30 76.3 76. 8 7.30 82.9 83.8 7.30 82.6 83.1 7.30 80.7 81.3 7.30 80.1 81.1 7.30 78.1 78.4 7.30 79.5 80.0 7.30 71.1 71.5 53.3 55.7 53.6 57.2 53.4 55.7 7.30 81.3 79.7 7.30 80.7 52.7 I 53.6 I 56. 5 57.7 61.7 56.3 I 7.30 80.3 80.2 7.30 84 2 83*. 0 78.8 52.2 54.2 50.6 81.6 7.30 78.3 264, 766 242, 658 240, 005 252, 092 236, 353 262,467 246, 864 244,406 262, 695 244, 209 258,301 256,762 ! 244,970 232,110 209, 599 227, 387 232,012 256, 543 276,054 268, 213 249, 979 274, 706 252,928 262, 998 259,409 | 230,780 89,227 98, 456 111,074 131,154 110, 964 97, 377 76,028 70, 455 58, 444 49, 725 45, 028 42,381 56,571 185,193 194, 690 182, 487 201, 708 201,136 197,427 191,077 174,866 182, 432 189, 612 218, 137 211,572 I 205,952 58.00 58.00 58. 00 58.00 58.00 58.00 58.00 58.00 58.00 58.00 58.00 58.00 i 58.00 60, 381 60, 354 53, 852 61, 201 54, 636 60,909 61,106 59, 875 60, 631 61, 529 61, 994 62,546 ! 61,169 54,033 61, 471 56,103 62, 319 CO, 648 59,946 61,217 60,120 61,102 61, 069 62, 537 61,697 61,295 7, 618 10, 244 10, 063 9,793 8,326 7,303 6,916 7,374 7,177 7,483 6,717 6,634 272, 897 303, 244 292, 289 278, 202 268, 648 275, 80'J 300,070 325, 365 342,122 345,049 332, 393 325, 112 50,160 47, 359 45, 559 37,182 46,933 50,036 46, 388 44,336 46, 642 51, 997 46, 575 49, 256 7,357 296, 784 45, 496 733, 751 642, 386 650, 711 649, 058 634, 593 695, 585 635,256 645,895 683, 881 605, 367 704, 746 651,974 565, 064 597,011 621, 875 607, 537 601, 880 599,322 544,454 570,626 549,114 482, 896 486, 882 484,811 652, 913 613, 429 614, 340 659, 555 626,877 697,674 673, 808 608, 458 708, 973 654,104 680, 288 672,212 91 95 96 90 85 93 96 95 95 610,859 471,289 596,214 85 393,004 360,602 j369,978 164, 576 113,199 112,633 353,103 186, 383 403,646 375, 794 411,870 389, 217 344,457 406.115 112, 520 122, 534 122, 779 129,777 157, 290 164, 211 398, 559 487,039 174, 556 186, 949 187, 697 4,131 4,011 4,305 3,872 4,078 3,968 3,756 4,316 4,105 4,271 4,078 322.4 272.5 244.4 253.5 259.7 251.4 275.8 271.6 247. 6 248.4 258.4 262.4 241.2 260.3 201.2 228.4 256.4 267.6 223.3 261.1 261.2 276.1 266. 0 281.0 257.2 487 398 89 570 497 73 545 436 109 496 392 104 721 588 133 610 524 538 432 106 562 462 100 461 397 64 656 544 112 491 428 63 669 555 114 651 552 99 PRINTING Book publication, total New books. New editions no. of editions. ...do... do 'Revised. JFor revisions for 1942 and the early months of 1943, see note for paperboard at bottom of p. S-35 of the July 1944 Survey. {Computed by carrying forward March 1943 figures on the basis of percentage changes in data for 59 identical companies reporting to the National Paperboard Association. t Revised series. Revised wood pulp production data beginning 1940 and sulphite stocks for all months of 1943 are shown on page 20 of December 1944 Survey; revised 1942 stock figures for all series are on pp. 30 and S-31 of the June 1943 issue. The data exclude defibrated, exploded, and asplund fiber. The paper series from the American Paper and Pulp Association have been revised to coyer industry totals and are not comparable with data shown in the Survey prior to the August 1944 issue; earlier data will be published later. •New series. The new paper series from the Bureau of the Census cover production of all mills including producers of building paper and building boards; for comparable 1942 monthly averages and data for the early months of 1943, see p. S-32 of the August 1944 issue. For data beginning 1934 for shipping containers and a description of the series, see p. 20 of the September 1944 Survey. The indexes for folding paper boxes are from the Folding Paper Box Association, based on reports of members accounting for around 50 percent of the industry totals; earlier data will be published later. March 1945 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise staled, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may he found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January 1945 S-33 1944 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- December ber PETROLEUM AND COAL PRODUCTS COAL Anthracite: Prices, composite, chestnut: Retail _ dol. per short ton. Wholesale do Production .thous. of short tons. Stocks, end of month: In producers' storage yards do._. In selected retail dealers' yards.No. of days'supply. Bituminous: Industrial consumption and retail deliveries, total thous. of short tons. Industrial consumption, total do... Beehive coke ovens. do... Byproduct coke ovens. do... Cement mills do Coal-gas retorts. do.._ Electric power utilities.. do... Railways (class I ) . . . _ do-.. Steel and rolling mills do... Other industrial do... Retail deliveries do... Other consumption, coal mine fuel. ...do... Prices, composite: Retail (35 cities) dol. per short ton. Wholesale: Mine run _do--Prepared sizes do Production! thous. of short tons. Stocks, industrial and retail dealers, end of month, total thous. of short tons. Industrial, total _do._. Byproduct coke ovens do... Cement mills do... Coal-gas retorts _ do... Electric power utilities ..do... Railways (class I) .do-.. Steel and rolling mills do,.. Other industrial. _ do Retail dealers, total _ do... 13.87 11.430 4,241 13.92 11.421 5,028 14.38 11. 723 5,879 14.04 11. 481 5,576 14.04 11. 527 5,202 13.96 11. 574 5,848 13.85 11. 435 5,623 13.84 11.419 4,962 13.84 11.419 5,623 13.84 11.419 5,443 13. 85 11.419 5,603 13.86 11.424 5,088 13.86 11.430 4,570 322 11 259 11 254 10 318 334 11 353 15 348 15 378 18 413 22 442 20 462 22 492 25 445 19 59,284 42,982 714 7,933 296 145 7,327 12,011 1,078 13,478 16, 302 239 55, 989 42, 610 1,069 8,022 311 144 7,251 12,054 1,020 12,739 13,379 260 53,004 40,347 1,011 7,583 268 140 6,690 11,484 993 12,178 12,657 255 47,411 37, 753 962 7,925 254 133 5,632 11, 204 879 10, 764 9,658 231 44, 260 36, 746 1,006 8,134 293 126 5,847 10,834 829 9,677 7,514 257 43,072 35, 295 958 7,778 311 112 6,167 10,230 778 8,961 7,777 248 43,171 35, 254 944 7,967 316 117 6,414 10, 248 780 8,468 7,917 228 46, 585 36,958 896 7,978 358 115 7,046 10,445 831 9,289 9,627 252 45, 710 35, 967 805 7,606 336 121 6, 657 10,095 807 9,540 9,743 233 49, 516 39, 003 822 7,985 364 128 6, 754 10, 940 8b7 11,143 10, 513 235 49, 684 39,644 759 7,748 360 129 6,824 10,714 908 12,202 10,040 229 55,186 41,813 '632 r 7, 984 352 138 r 7,066 11,758 1,022 12,861 13, 373 204 10.33 10.19 10.22 10.22 10.24 10.27 10.28 10.29 10.31 10.31 10.31 10.32 10.33 5.237 5. 513 52,200 5.235 5.457 53, 975 5.240 5.461 52,740 5.242 5.497 54, 330 5.248 5.503 49,600 5.244 5.508 55, 220 5.239 5.510 53, 395 5.238 5.512 48, 930 5,239 5.514 54, 220 5.237 5.509 50,010 5.237 5. 509 51, 500 5.237 5. 516 50, 215 5.237 5. 516 44, 735 49, 740 46,403 5,692 494 214 14, 377 11,311 666 13,649 3,337 53,628 48, 260 6,162 544 249 13,871 9,245 753 17,436 5,368 52, 720 47,169 6,383 479 229 13, 915 9,584 765 15, 814 5, 551 51,835 46,884 6,281 465 208 13, 996 9,893 765 15, 276 4,951 50, 513 46,874 5,930 475 193 14, 802 10, 250 758 14, 466 3,639 55, 293 50, 591 5,892 472 205 15, 713 11, 737 761 15,811 4,702 59, 680 54, 259 6,152 491 206 16, 457 13, 329 785 16,839 5,421 61,413 55, 537 5,711 508 216 16, 965 13, 797 811 17, 529 5,876 63,909 58, 233 5,928 537 239 17,505 14, 633 775 18, 616 5,676 64,905 59,150 6,174 550 250 17, 773 14, 773 791 18,839 5,755 55, 074 59, 256 6, 397 592 243 17, 962 14, 691 796 18, 575 5,818 64,020 58, 330 6,737 582 261 17, 671 14,427 783 17, 869 5,690 57, 204 ' 52,470 ••6,112 538 243 16, 305 •12,918 '701 15,653 4,734 7.000 7.000 7.000 7.000 7.000 7.000 7.000 7.000 7.000 7.000 7.000 7.000 7.000 r 5, 627 116 644 5,345 138 667 5,677 144 614 5,558 137 644 5,706 145 614 5,457 135 605 5,627 158 574 5,633 158 516 5,377 155 527 5,635 181 850 ••640 '208 179 713 561 152 166 624 513 111 173 535 150 166 762 569 193 141 791 554 237 127 921 589 332 130 596 390 116 995 565 430 116 1,040 586 454 137 54,417 41, 709 1,046 8,124 264 142 6,539 12,043 1,020 12,531 12, 708 253 COKE Price, beehive, Connellsville (furnace) dol. per short ton.. Production: Beehive ..thous. of short tons.. Byproduct do. Petroleum coke... do. Stocks, end of month: Byproduct plants, total do. At furnace plants.. do. At merchant plants do. Petroleum coke do. 457 5,576 913 609 304 i, 468 164 ,198 688 509 162 419 5,603 172 1,149 655 494 187 PETROLEUM AND PRODUCTS Crude petroleum: Consumption (runs to stills)f thous. of bbl__ 131,161 126, 993 137, 902 132, 330 139, 537 139,937 143, 434 143,047 140,453 143, 720 140,045 145,125 Price (Kansas-Okla.) at wells dol. per bbl.. 1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 Productionf .thous. of bbl 135, 767 128,901 136, 752 133, 593 141,293 137,251 141, 287 145,296 142,989 146,938 142,404 145, 282 Refinery operations .pet. of capacity 92 91 90 91 92 96 95 94 95 95 95 94 Stocks, end of month: Refmablein U. S.f _ thous. of bbl.. 241, 245 241, 718 236, 530 234, 694 235,176 229,631 223, 503 223,901 222,868 223. 500 222, 759 220, 862 At refineries do. 47, 686 47, 933 48, 911 51, 625 50,407 50,190 48, 895 50,150 48,919 50, 323 49,039 48, 576 At tank farms and in pipe lines. ..do. 179, 979 180,417 174,415 169, 574 171, 467 166,227 160,938 160,162 160,216 159,447 159,582 158,181 Onleasest do. 13,204 13, 495 13,302 13,214 13, 580 13,368 13,670 13, 730 14,138 14,105 13, 589 13,733 Heavy in California_ .do 6,553 6,766 6,852 6,254 6,473 6,469 6,487 6,186 6,291 6,482 6,107 6,118 Wells completed! number.. 912 1,056 884 1.033 953 1,098 1,357 1,194 1,154 1,099 1,200 1,177 Refined petroleum products: Gas and fuel oils: Consumption: Electric power plantsf thous. of b b L . 2,489 1,915 1,491 2,144 1,490 1,516 1,746 ' 1,825 1,505 1,650 1,530 1,640 2,012 Railways (class I) do 7,976 8,574 8,489 7,956 8,095 5,496 7,970 7,750 7, 579 8,284 8,314 Price, fuel oil (Pennsylvania). -dol. per gal.. .066 .066 .065 .066 .066 .066 .066 .066 .066 Production: Gas oil and distillate fuel oil. thous. of bbl 19, 344 18, 454 19, 863 19, 604 21, 215 20,028 21,316 19,110 20,593 21, 697 18,870 19,058 Residual fuel oil .do.. 38, 519 36, 493 39, 738 37, 281 38,026 37,902 38, 332 37, 291 37,903 39, 322 39,370 41, 278 Stocks, end of month: Gas oil and distillate fuel oil do_. 36, 890 33, 561 29, 926 30,152 32,484 35, 242 38, 335 40,712 43. 687 47, 352 45, 584 38, 333 Residual fuel oil do.. 46, 270 45,070 45, 427 44,137 44, 682 46, 649 50, 589 53, 506 57,849 57, 420 55, 643 50, 383 Motor fuel: Prices, gasoline: Wholesale, refinery (Okla.) dol. per gal.. .059 .060 .060 .060 .060 .060 .060 .059 .060 .059 .059 .059 .059 Wholesale, tank wagon (N. Y.) .do .161 .161 .161 .161 .161 .161 .161 .161 .161 .161 .161 .161 .161 Retail, service stations, 50 cities do .146 .146 .146 .146 .146 .146 .146 .146 .146 .146 .146 .146 .146 Production, totalf thous. of bbl__ 58, 383 56,288 60,145 58, 384 61,191 63, 480 64,064 63, 674 65, 514 68, 842 66, 394 61,719 Straight run gasoline.. do. 20, 679 19,857 21,148 21,185 22,352 22, 510 22, 748 22, 655 23,827 24, 421 24,019 24,081 Cracked gasoline do. 30, 896 29, 888 31, 905 30,492 31, 510 31, 959 33,062 33, 769 32, 283 33,190 33,055 34,020 Natural gasoline and allied products if do. 8,021 7,765 8,250 8,028 8,477 8,767 8,387 8,792 8,648 9,090 9,024 9,788 Used at refineriesf do 5, 382 4,624 5,377 5,012 5,198 6,165 6,084 5,429 5,799 6,020 6,109 6,008 Retail distributions mil. of gal.. 1,787 1,787 2,010 2,163 1,979 2,235 2,305 2,264 2,194 2,223 r Revised. § These data, based in general on returns made in accordance with gasoline tax or inspection laws, are designed to reflect total consumption of gasoline in the United States. It is stated by the compilers that since the beginning of the war some gasoline has moved on government bill-of-lading and, as such, by-passes State inspection and is not included; on the other hand, some government purchases intrastate that finally find their way abroad are included. For revisions for 1941-42 see p. S-33 of the August 1943 Survey and p. S-34 of the July 1944 issue, respectively. ^Includes production of natural gasoline, cycle products, and liquefied petroleum gases at natural gasoline plants and, since the beginning of 1942, benzol. Sales of liquefied petroleum gases for fuel purposes and transfers of cycle products are excluded from these figures before combining the data with production of straight run and cracked gasoline to obtain total motor fuel production. Separate figures through November 1944 for the items excluded are given in notes in previous issues of the Survey; December 1944 data are as follows: Sales of liquefied petroleum gases for fuel, 1,359,000 barrels; transfers of cycle products, 139,000 barrels. tRevised series. Production of bituminous coal revised beginning June 1939; see note marked "f" on p. S-32 of the April 1943 Survey. Data for the indicated series on petroleum products revised for 1941 and 1942; for 1941 revisions, see notes marked "f" on p. S-33 of the March and April 1943 issues, and for revised 1942 monthly averages, see note marked "f" on p. 33 of the July 1944 issue; 1942 monthly revisions not shown in the December 1943 Survey are available on request. S-34 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey January March 1945 1944 1945 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- Dccem ber ber PETROLEUM AND COAL PRODUCTS—Continued PETROLEUM AND PRODUCTS—Continued Refined petroleum products—Continued. Motor fuel—Continued. Stocks, gasoline, end of month: Finished gasoline, total -thous. of b b L . At refineries do Unfinished gasoline do Natural gasoline. do Kerosene: Price, wholesale, water white, 47°, refinery (Pennsylvania) -dol. per galProduction thous. of bbl_. Stocks, refinery, end of month .do Lubricants: Price, wholesale, cylinder, refinery (Pennsylvania) dol. per gaLProduction thous. of bbLStocks, refinery, end of month do Asphalt: Production short tons__ Stocks, refinery, end of month do Wax: Production thous. oflb.Stocks, refinery, end of month _ do Asphalt prepared roofing, shipments: $ Total thous. of squares.. Grit surfaces do Ready roofing do Shingles, all types do 70,490 49,768 10,819 4,296 72,909 52,925 11,843 4,245 75, 275 52,513 11,825 4,242 76,638 51,830 11,735 4,213 74, 519 49,047 12,193 4,436 70,246 45, 468 11,738 4,477 68, 921 43,639 11,581 4,425 66, 542 41, 752 11, 924 4,211 64, 914 40, 608 12, 072 4,141 65,886 42.145 12, 388 4,160 68,107 43, 527 12,467 4,334 .074 .070 7,071 5,231 .073 6,413 4,382 .074 6,960 4,078 .074 6,489 4,142 .074 6, 710 4,969 .074 6,246 5,949 .074 6,277 6,665 .074 6,358 7,583 .074 6,339 7,985 .074 6,515 7,847 .074 6,505 6,977 .160 .160 3,379 8,006 .160 3,158 7,942 .160 3,488 8,011 .160 3,273 8,068 .160 3,337 7,771 .160 3,453 7,590 .160 3,364 7,426 .160 3,356 7,169 .160 3, 458 7,364 .160 3,672 7,452 .160 3,587 7,562 422,900 631,300 398,200 717,900 455,400 795,300 455,500 598,900 852, 200 889,500 690,700 844,600 71,120 80,640 65,800 80,080 79,800 84,560 76,440 94,080 65, 520 93,800 60,480 91, 560 63, 560 93,800 64,120 96, 040 62,160 94, 920 67, 480 63, 560 94,920 3,962 1,231 1,440 1,290 4,144 1,256 1,637 1,249 4,311 1,320 1,632 1,357 3,741 1,099 1,298 1,343 3,938 1,233 1,269 1,537 3,787 1,193 1,136 i,556 3,451 1,068 1,075 1,397 4, 015 1, 238 1,250 1,630 3,813 1,232 1,043 1,641 3,991 1, 260 1,113 1,724 3,918 1,253 1,229 1,540 711,600 800, 200 750, 400 677, 600 553, 600 735, 600 590.000 495,100 465, 800 534,400 STONE, CLAY, AND GLASS PRODUCTS ABRASIVE PRODUCTS Coated abrasive paper and cloth, shipments reams__ 117,087 124,976 129,751 134,908 144,198 6,379 31 4,873 21,369 5,746 6,322 30 5,047 24,428 6,329 5,686 29 5,055 25,073 6,603 6,139 29 6,225 24,995 6,567 6,463 32 7,373 24,080 6,687 142, 604 123,538 114, 484 7,906 40 9,350 21,008 6,172 8,516 41 9,283 20, 233 5,577 128, 464 117,325 128,272 | 122,485 PORTLAND CEMENT Production .thous. of bbl__ Percent of capacity _ Shipments thous. of bbl_Stocks, finished, end of month..._ _do Stocks, clinker, end of month do CLAY PRODUCTS Brick, unglazed: Price, wholesale, common, composite, f. o. b. plant dol. per thous_. Production* thous. of standard brick.. Shipments* do Stocks end of month*— do 15,248 7,181 35 8,784 22, 455 6,378 8,739 9,003 44 44 10, 758 10,121 18, 482 • 17,144 5,287 5,096 9,194 45 10, 263 16, 019 4,862 8,304 42 7,380 16,993 4,856 14. 5Sfi 14. 830 14,997 14,095 14.159 14.109 13. 879 13. 939 14.008 139, 300 139,288 155. 065 157,357 157,870 176, 585 164, 682 185,573 ' 174,069 183, 078 206,368 !r 183, 506 142, 468 151,128 181, 649 179,104 177,815 198, 845 424, 546 408, 096 379, 011 355, 727 335, 347 312,176 293, 616 272,569 !r 261,743 780 291 671 427 13. 840 133,891 129, 821 429, 315 8,203 117.6 8,032 603 2,469 449 616 612 2,054 797 242 190 4,319 7,771 115.9 7,538 546 2,137 497 712 631 1,801 692 243 278 4,426 8,842 122.1 8,325 623 2,285 628 844 749 1,777 781 255 384 4,779 8,582 127.9 8,393 546 2,236 720 935 725 1,837 735 211 448 4,793 8,866 127.1 8,766 552 2,415 679 982 785 1,806 915 239 394 4,710 8,966 128.5 8,431 594 2,106 679 1,061 695 2,008 728 251 309 4,947 8,075 120.4 7,784 624 1,909 657 871 738 1,785 708 251 241 5,082 8,692 120.0 8,514 809 2,179 611 811 891 1,963 700 271 278 5,097 7,737 115. 4 7, 522 894 1,873 497 661 904 1,640 642 251 159 5,164 8,601 123.3 8,187 774 2,287 536 749 947 1,908 697 247 41 5,394 7,967 118.8 7.787 529 2,310 508 874 908 1,732 652 242 32 5,346 5,298 5,136 6,233 4,728 4,171 6,793 5,862 5,756 6,990 5,912 5, 851 7,600 4,679 5, 254 7,063 5,120 5,434 6,752 7,027 6,591 7,077 6,561 6, 290 7,148 5, 860 5,024 7,286 4,697 4,481 7,376 1,525 7,746 1,522 7,980 2,164 8,702 5, 512 4,854 7,603 2,005 8,079 2,311 9,391 2,014 9,265 2,301 8,246 3, 202 9, 746 2,820 9,046 3,353 9,105 2,271 7,619 13. 143, 136, 426, GLASS PRODUCTS Glass containers:f Production thous. of gross.. Percent of capacity .._ Shipments, total thous. of gross.Narrow neck, food do Wide mouth, food .do Pressure and nonpressure do Beer bottles do Liquor ware do Medicine and toilet do General purpose do Milk bottles -do Home canning _ do Stocks, end of month. _..do Other glassware, machine-made: Tumblers: Production thous. of doz.. Shipments do Stocks do Table, kitchen, and householdware, shipments thous. of doz__ Plate glass, polished, production^ thous. of sq. ft__ Window glass, produetiond* thous. of boxes Percent of capacity d1 8,915 GYPSUM AND PRODUCTS Gypsum, production: Crude _. Short tons._ Calcined do Gypsum products sold or used: Uncalcined ...do Calcined: For building uses: Base-coat plasters . do Keene's cement ...do All other building plasters. do-_. Lath thous. of sq. ft.-! Tile do._ Wallboard© do... Industrial plasters short tons 919,692 629,470 980,401 593,985 917, 395 588, 878 246,712 260,867 !48,199 121,778 2,439 52,046 160,176 3,292 431,6S4 44,433 142,655 2,932 65, 2S2 152,748 3, 553 361,418 47,566 i 129,173 3, 671 53. 568 165, 030 4, 105 338, 527 53, 571 115, 507 3,379 48,491 146,133 3,929 364, 575 54,94j r Revised, § Coverage of reports changed beginning September 1943. D a t a shown above are computed on percentage changes as indicated b y new data. ^According to the compilers, data represent approximately the entire industry. cf Collection of data temporarily discontinued. ©Includes laminated board reported as component board; this is a new product not produced prior to September 1942. t Revised series. See note marked " t " on p . 34 of the July 1944 and M a y 1944 issues of the Survey regarding changes in the coverage of the data on glass containers and comparable figures for 1940-42. FRASER*New series. D a t a are compiled by the Bureau of the Census and cover all known manufacturers 'data beginning September 1942 are shown on p . 24 of the February 1945 issue. Digitized for SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS March 1945 Unless otherwise stated* statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey 1944 1945 January S-35 January February- March April May June July August Septem- October Novem- Decem ber ber ber • TEXTILE PRODUCTS I CLOTHING Hosiery: Production _ thous. of dozen pairs.. Shipments _ .do Stocks, end of month do 12,301 12,075 17, 520 12,202 12,144 17,453 13, 458 13,590 17,197 11,650 11, 761 16,961 12, 763 12,657 16,942 12,126 11,974 16,970 10,052 9,982 17,040 12, 767 12, 966 16,840 11, 466 11, 764 16, 542 11, 697 12,118 16,122 818,724 .202 811,062 .199 903,538 .200 775,617 .202 832,812 .198 805,823 .202 723,402 .203 841,490 .202 793,086 .210 795, 379 .213 .202 .208 .211 .210 .210 .215 .216 .214 .214 .216 48 576 3,985 8,282 11, 977 12,003 15, 496 10, 432 10, 901 15, 028 COTTON Cotton (exclusive of linters): Consumption bales.. 849,945 .202 Prices received by farmers! dol. per lb._ Prices, wholesale, middling lWf, average,10 markets .217 dol. per lb._ Production: Ginnings§ thous. of running bales 11,118 Crop estimate, equivalent 500-lb. bales thous. of bales.. Stocks, domestic cotton in the United States, end of month:$ Warehouses thous. of bales.; 12,941 Mills . . . d o j 2,244 Cotton linters: j 129 Consumption do j 170 Production _.do j Stocks, end of month do 440 10, 933 » 11,129 836, 760, 740 .209 10, 10, 538 .216 11, 429 2 12, 359 12,046 2,328 11, 468 2,292 10,840 2,233 10,205 2,165 9,515 2,054 1,931 8,221 1,820 7,872 1,602 9,703 1,672 11,926 1,927 1,122 1,162 13, 343 2, 269 99 137 859 107 100 845 116 82 111 56 746 123 40 661 122 21 545 133 23 454 125 29 357 121 100 328 126 152 342 122 180 373 120 156 414 21.32 .209 .092 .110 20.57 .192 .087 .108 19.98 .192 .087 .108 19.72 .193 .087 .108 19.78 .199 .087 .108 19.81 .199 .087 .108 19.28 .199 .087 .108 19.81 .206 .092 .108 20.35 .209 .092 .108 21.30 .209 .092 .114 21.12 .209 .092 .114 21.31 .209 .092 .114 21.41 .209 .092 .114 22, 261 9, 950 431 119.7 22, 216 9,719 417 124.0 22, 513 9,659 414 123.2 22, 570 10,637 456 123.9 22, 412 9,316 400 124.9 22, 385 10,058 431 119.0 22, 380 9,711 417 118.5 22, 291 8,603 369 115.4 22, 241 9,952 428 116.3 22, 280 9,381 404 122.3 22, 228 9,487 410 117.4 22, 257 9,707 420 120.6 22, 220 8, 763 379 118.5 .451 .568 .414 .515 .414 .515 .414 .515 .414 .515 .414 .515 .414 .515 .414 .515 .414 .515 .451 .568 .451 .568 .451 .568 .451 .568 49.8 13.7 41.5 13.9 43.3 13.6 45.6 14.9 43.2 11.3 45.4 14.6 44.0 14.3 41.3 13.6 44.8 14.4 44.8 13.0 47.8 14.6 48.3 13.9 49.0 13.6 .550 .250 .550 .240 .550 .240 .550 .240 .550 .250 .550 .250 .550 .250 .550 .250 .550 .250 .550 .250 .550 .250 . 550 .250 .550 .250 6.7 2.7 7.6 2.1 7.5 2.1 8.1 1.7 7.8 1.8 8.3 2.5 2.6 8.8 3.0 3.2 3.0 8.4 2.7 8.6 2.7 6.1 2.7 COTTON MANUFACTURES Cotton cloth: Cotton broad woven goods over 12 in. in width, production, quarterly* mil. of linear yards Prices, wholesale: Mill margins ..cents per 1b... Denims, 28-inch._. _. dol. per yd.. Print cloth, G4 x 56d" _ do Sheeting unbleached, 4 x 4© _ ...do Spindle activity: Active spindles thousands. Active spindle hours, total. mil. of hr__. Average per spindle in place hours.. Operations percent of capacity.. Cotton yarn, wholesale prices: Southern, 22/1, cones, carded, white, for knitting(mill)t dol. per lb_. Southern, 40s, single, carded (mill) do RAYON Consumption: Yarn mil. of lb.. Staple fiber .do Prices, wholesale: Yarn, viscose, 150 denier, first quality, minimum filament dol. per lb_. Staple fiber, viscose, \\h denier do Stocks, producers', end of month: Yarn mil. of lb.. Staple fiber do 2,539 2,301 2,418 WOOL Consumption (scoured basis) A 46,228 Apparel class. thous. of lb_. 46, 908 59,315 42, 396 46,892 38, 752 51,890 46,928 45,316 52,170 45,752 Carpet class do 3,128 4,435 3,016 3,824 4,315 4,008 3,516 4,192 2,916 3,795 3,700 Machinery activity (weekly average) :1 Looms: Woolen and worsted:* Broad.. -thous. of active hours.. 2,587 2,647 2,613 2,512 2,381 2,503 2,327 2,080 2, 322 2,287 2,426 Narrow do 64 69 62 63 60 63 54 63 59 59 63 Carpet and rug:* Broad do 60 61 54 53 43 50 58 50 50 50 45 Narrow do 40 37 36 35 34 35 31 35 37 38 29 Spinning spindles: 125, 674 125, 512 123, 552 121,302 120, 333 113,128 Woolen.. do 99, 780 115,256 110, 238 117,659 114,120 xr 115,020 114,099 114,101 111,032 111, 253 103,880 * orsted do 89,154 95,724 100. 396 103,819 101, 450 206 V, orsted combs.. do 206 202 207 172 191 195 188 191 196 Prices, wholesale: 1.190 1.190 Raw, territory, 64s, 70s, 80s, fine, scoured*..dol. per lb.. 1.190 1.190 1.190 1.190 1.190 1.190 1.190 1. 190 1.190 1.190 1.190 .545 Raw, bright fleece, 56s, greasy* do .545 .545 .545 .545 .545 .545 .545 .545 .545 .545 .545 .545 Australian (Sydney), 64-70s, scoured, in bond (Boston) dol. per lb__ .765 .750 .765 .765 .765 .765 .765 .765 .754 .765 .765 .765 .765 Women's dress goods, French serge, 54" (at mill) 1.559 1.559 1.559 dol. per y d . . 1.559 1.559 1.559 1.559 1.559 1.559 1.559 1.559 1.559 Worsted yarn, f6»'s, crossbred stock (Boston) 1.800 1.900 1.800 1.800 dol. per ll 1.800 1.900 1.800 1.900 1.900 1.900 1.800 1.900 1.900 Stocks, scoured basis, end of quarter:! Total thous. of lb 279, 263 339, 369 373, 666 Wool finer than 40s, total _.do. 731, 537 287, 276 Domestic do. 115, 225 164, 283 314, 824 Foreign do. 116,312 122, 993 ! 189,277 Wool 40s and below and carpet do. 47, 726 52,093 i 125, 547 -II 58,842 r Revised. i Total ginnings of 1943 crop. 2 December 1 estimate of 1944 crop. §Total ginnings to end of month indicated. v Preliminary. « Not available. cf Production of 64 x 60 for which prices through June 1943 were shown in the Survey has been discontinued. ©Price of 56 x 56 sheeting. JFor revised figures for cotton stocks for August 1941-March 1942, see p. S-34 of the May 1943 Survey. The total stocks of American cotton in the United States on July 31, 1944, including stocks on farms and in transit, were 10,626,000 bales, and stocks of foreign cotton in the United States were 118,000 bales. IData for March, June, and September 1944 are for 5 weeks; other months, 4 weeks. • Data exclude carpet and rug looms operating on blankets and cotton fabrics and, through October 1943, woolen and worsted looms operating entirely on cotton yarns (no separate data for the latter have been collected since October 1943); for weekly averages for 1942 and 1943, including such looms, see note maiked " • " on p. S-35 of the May 1944 Survey. fRevised series. For monthly 1941 data for the yarn price series see p. S-35 of the November 1942 issue (1941 monthly average, $0,355). The farm price series has been revised for August 1937-July 1942; for revisions see note marked "f" on p, S-35 of the June 1944 Survey. Wool stocks have been published on a revised basis beginning 1942 (see p. S-35 of the May 1943 Survey); data include wool held by the Commodity Credit Corporation but exclude foreign wool held by the Defense Supplies Corporation. •New series. The series on cotton goods production is from the Bureau of the Census and covers practically total production of cotton broad woven goods (except tire fabrics) containing by weight 51 percent or more cotton; for data for first half of 1943 see p. S-35 of the August 1944 Survey; earlier data will be shown later. The new wool prices are compiled by the Department of Agriculture; they replace similar, but not identical, series formerly shown in the Survey, compiled from the Boston Commercial Bulletin which discontinued quotations after 1943; earlier data are shown on p. 24 of the February 1945 Survey. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-36 Unless otherwise stated, statistics through 1941 and descriptive notes may be found in the 1942 Supplement to the Survey 1945 January March 1945 1944 January February March April May June July August September October Novem- .Decem ber ber TEXTILE PRODUCTS—Continued WOOL MANUFACTURES Woolen and worsted woven goods (except woven felts):* Production, quarterly, total..-thous. of linear yards.. Apparel fabrics do Mien's wear do Women's and children's wear do General use and other fabrics. _ - - _ .. do Blankets . do Other nonapparel fabrics _ _ _ _ do MISCELLANEOUS PRODUCTS 139,744 119,219 60,928 46, 263 12,028 IS,987 1,538 Fur, sales by dealers.._ ... thous. of dol.. Pyroxylin-coated textiles (cotton fabrics): Orders, unfilled end of month _ _ thous. lin. yd Pyroxylin spread thous. of lb Shipments, billed - thous. linear yd- 135,589 113, 281 £6,675 43,879 12,727 20, 440 1,868 123,808 101,911 49,991 39,826 12,094 19,397 2,500 7,385 6,079 5,190 3,822 2,381 3,016 2,620 1,796 1,606 v 2, 281 p 2, 591 12, 285 4,716 5,919 11,816 4,456 6,545 12,156 5,277 6,328 12,516 4,896 5,735 12, 773 4,828 5, 517 12,987 4,900 5,111 13,027 3,915 4,591 12,478 4,232 5,145 12, 594 4,118 5,117 12, 739 4,939 5,904 14,266 4,477 5,514 p 2, 534 TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT MOTOR VEHICLES Trucks and tractors, production, total* Civilian Military Light: Military Medium: Civilian..., Military Heavy: CivilianMilitary... 58,596 2,528 56,068 21, 479 55,671 2,766 52,905 21,095 56, 359 4,628 51,731 21,081 55,719 8,151 47,568 19,481 56,920 9,298 47, 622 19, 338 61,186 11, 926 49, 260 20, 830 61, 540 11, 243 50, 297 20, 269 68, 545 12,511 56,034 23, 441 65,042 12, 277 52, 765 21,367 64,129 13,075 51, 054 18, 534 69, 013 14, 677 54,336 19, 765 do... do... 1,985 12,806 1,798 9,940 3,317 8,303 6,245 6,649 7,310 7,007 9,319 6,625 8,582 6,031 10,034 6,300 9,432 6,144 10,153 6,503 f 9, 565 [ 5,326 do... ...do... 543 21,783 968 21,870 1,311 22, 347 1,906 21, 438 1,988 21, 277 2,607 21,805 2,661 23,997 10,248 5,746 2,263 26,847 2,243 25,098 3,643 26, 376 4,524 28,068 r 4,100 2,425 351 351 5,361 2,092 445 445 7,962 1,999 166 166 7,316 713 16 16 7,034 1,501 0 0 6,090 1,698 0 0 6,151 2,197 0 0 4,837 2,662 0 0 4,130 2,807 0 0 4,741 3,517 0 0 4,595 3,244 i 5 4,395 3,098 li 12 1,752 42 2.4 32,211 20,780 11, 431 1,752 43 2.5 31,844 20, 669 11,175 1,753 43 2.5 35, 581 24, 241 11,340 1,754 48 2.8 43, 321 32, 677 10, 644 1,753 53 3.1 42, 244 32,859 9,385 1,754 51 3.0 41, 236 33,166 8,070 1,755 54 3.1 37, 985 30, 955 7,030 1,756 52 3.0 34, 064 28,070 5,994 1,758 51 3.0 30,153 25, 285 4,868 1, 759 50 2.9 28, 385 23, 885 4,500 1,762 51 2.9 28,910 25,154 3,756 1,764 51 3.0 34, 417 29, 675 4,742 2,137 5.4 303 252 51 2,127 5.4 264 218 46 2,092 5.3 243 204 39 2,167 5.5 228 191 37 2,182 5.5 203 168 35 2,120 5.4 179 146 2,190 5.5 172 139 2,194 5.6 150 118 32 2,187 5.5 124 2, 254 5.7 102 77 25 2,300 5.8 90 65 25 2,161 5.5 66 356 321 35 39 494 450 44 442 419 23 421 375 46 367 321 46 307 271 36 431 413 18 361 341 20 443 435 28 336 303 33 RAILWAY EQUIPMENT American Railway Car Institute: Shipments: Freight cars, total. number. Domestic -do— Passenger cars, total-.do... Domestic do Association of American Railroads: Freight cars, end of month: Number owned thousandsUndergoing or awaiting classified repairs.. .do... Percent of total on line Orders, unfilled carsEquipment manufacturers do... Railroad shops _ .do..Locomotives, steam, end of month: Undergoing or awaiting classified repairs, number. Percent of total online Orders unfilled numberEquipment manufacturers do Railroad shops do... IINDUSTRIAL ELECTRIC TRUCKS AND TRACTORS Shipments, total Domestic Exports - - r number. do... do... do.-_ - 1,767 51 3.0 34,579 29, 386 5,193 r 70, 682 15, 653 55, 029 20, 433 6, 088 29, 270 • 2,333 5.9 80 32 48 number. do... do... [IS CANADIAN STATISTICS Physical volume of business, adjusted: Combined indext 1935-39=100.. Industrial production, combined indexf do Construction! do Electric power _ do Manufacturing!do Forestry! do Mining! do Distribution, combined index!do Agricultural marketings, adjusted:! Combined index do Grain do Livestock do Commodity prices: Cost of living _ do Wholesale prices 1926=100.. Railways: Carloadings thous. of cars.. Revenue freight carried 1 mile. mil. of tons.. Passengers carried 1 mile mil. of passengers.. 247.0 275.4 69.6 156.3 303.5 114.2 249.7 188.0 247.8 282.7 201.8 154.7 300.5 125.3 262.6 175.4 239.5 270.0 140.2 153.1 291.3 115.3 247.5 176.2 241.8 272.3 109.2 165.0 297.3 119.3 238.8 178.6 266.8 111.8 160.2 292.2 121.1 225.5 180.8 232.2 262.1 98.8 154.8 287.6 112.8 225. 4 170.3 233.1 263.5 91.6 156.4 291.5 121.9 214.5 170.1 231.0 260.4 104.1 153.4 284.5 116.4 205.5 170.3 228.0 259.7 113.4 152.4 285. 8 128.5 208.9 162.4 227.9 255.4 92.7 148.5 284.7 124.6 191.7 171.1 245.5 277.3 107.3 118.6 102.8 241.6 279.5 113.5 153.8 304.5 124.6 255.5 163.1 237.2 257.3 149.9 220.3 244.2 116.4 305.5 352.7 100.7 217.6 238.8 125.3 270.4 307.8 108.3 361.7 420.6 106.0 101.7 94.8 132.0 81.5 76.9 101.6 110.7 111.1 133.4 135.0 126.7 119.0 102.5 118.9 102.7 119.0 103.0 119.1 102.9 119.2 102.5 119.0 102.5 119.0 102.5 118.9 102.3 118.8 102.3 118.6 102.4 118.9 102.4 281 5,349 280 5,024 448 312 5,534 506 284 5,342 544 318 5,769 535 315 5,457 638 297 5,640 714 317 5,520 702 317 5,563 591 330 5, 815 532 327 5,597 487 r Revised. ^Preliminary. !Revised series. The revision of the Canadian index of physical volume of business is due mainly to changes in the weighting and in the list of components, so as to present a picture of the expansion in industries engaged in war production. Revised data were first shown on p. S-36 of the December 1942 Survey; subsequently the construction index was further revised in the March 1943 Survey and the mining index was revised in the April 1944 issue. The revisions affected principally indexes for the period beginning January 1940; the agricultural marketings index and the distribution index were revised back to 1919 and minor revisions were also made in data prior to 1940 for other series. All series are available on request. •New series. The new series on woolen and worsted goods are compiled by the Bureau of the Census from reports of manufacturers who account for 98 percent or more of total production; the statistics include estimates for a few manufacturers from whom reports were not received; yardage is reported on an equivalent 54-inch linear yard except bJankets which are on a 72-inch linear yard. Data on trucks and tractors are from the War Production Board and cover the entire industry. Jeeps, military ambulances, and wheel drive personnel carriers are included but not half-tracks, full-tracks, or armored cars. Light trucks are defined as those up to 9,000 pounds gross weight, mediums, 9,000 up to 16,000 pounds, and heavy, 16,000 pounds and over. There were some differences in the definitions employed in collecting these statistics and the trucks statistics formerly shown in the Survey; it should also be noted that the latter were "factory sales." Earlier data for all new series will be published later. O. S . GOVERNMENT PRINTING O F F I C E : 1 9 4 5 MONTHLY BUSINESS STATISTICS, Pages S1-S36 Abrasive paper b«XfeU.- 1,2,25 ;*iS.£^fij s — 23 32 4 0 *'i "iw. ill" 12,14^ 33 11,12,13,35 iii— 34 s II , 12,13, 17 ^ « ; ^ . . 14,15 % I t , 12,14, 33 30 ^TfT- fe^M*™^?^-^ 23,24 11^^4,25,26 15 Pages marked S Debt, United States Government 17 Department stores, sales, stocks, collections-8, 9 Deposits, bank 15,16 Disputes, industrial 12 Dividend payments and rates 1,19 Earnings, weekly and hourly 13,14 Eggs and chickens 1,3,4,27 Electrical equipment.. 2,3,6,31 Electric power production, sales, revenues 24 Employment estimated .. 9,10 Employment indexes: Factory, by industries . 10 Nonmanufacturing industries 11 Employment, security operations 12 Emigration and immigration 21 Engineering construction 5 Exchange rates, foreign 16 Expenditures, United States Government 17 Explosives 23 Exports 20 Factory, employment, pay rolls, hours, wages. 9, 10,11,12,13,14 Failures, industrial and commercial 3 Fairchild's retail price index 4 Farm wages 14 Farm prices, index 3,4 Fats and oils 4,23,24 Federal G overnment, finance 17 Federal Reserve banks, condition of 14,15 Federal Reserve reporting member banks 15 Fertilizers _ 4, 23 Fire losses 6 Fish oils and fish 23, 27 Flaxseed 24 Flooring 29 Flour, wheat. 27 Food products 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, 11,12,13, 14, 17, 25, 26, 27, 28 Footwear 2, 4, 7, 8,10,12,13, 28 Foreclosures, real estate 6 Foundry equipment 31 Freight cars (equipment) 36 Freight carloadings, cars, indexes 21 Freight-car surplus 21 Fruits and vegetables 2,3,4,26 Fuel equipment and heating apparatus 31 Fuels _ 2,3,4,33 Furniture 1, 4,10,11,12,13, 29 Gas, customers, sales, revenues . 25 Gas and fuel oils . 33 Gasoline 33,34 Glass and glassware (see also Stone, clay, etc.). 1, 2,34 Glycerine 23 Gold .16 Goods in warehouses 7 Grains _ 3, 26 Gypsum , 34 Hides and skins 4, 28 Highways 5,11 Hogs 27 Home-loan banks, loans outstanding 6 Home mortgages . 6 Hosiery _ _ 4,35 Hotels ._ 11,12, 21 Hours per week 11 Housefurnishings 4, 6, 7,8 Housing 3,4, 5 Immigration and emigration 21 Imports .20 Income payments 1 Income-tax receipts 17 Incorporations, business, new 3 Industrial production indexes 1, 2 Instalment loans 15 Instalment sales, department stores 8 Insurance, life 16 Interest and money rates 15 Inventories, manufacturers'and trade 3,8 Iron and steel, crude, manufactures 2, 3,4,9,10,11,12,13,17,30 Kerosene 34 Labor force. 9 Labor disputes, turn-over 12 Lamb and mutton 27 Lard 27 Lead 31 Leather 1, 2, 4,10,11,12,13, 28 Linseed oil, cake, and meal 24 Livestock _ 1,3,27 Loans, real-estate, agricultural, bank, brokers' (see also Consumer credit) 6,14,15,17 Locomotives 36 Looms, woolen, activity 35 Lubricants 34 Lumber 1, 2,4,10,11,12,13, 29 Machine activity, cotton, wool 35 Machine tools 9,10,11,12,13, 31 Machinery 1, 2,3,9,10,11,12,13,17,31 Magazine advertising 6, 7 Manufacturers' orders, shipments, inventories. 2, 3 Manufacturing production indexes 1,2 Meats and meat packing.. 1, 2, 3, 4,10,12,13,14, 27 Metals 1, 2, 3, 4, 9,10,11,12,13,17,30,31 Methanol _ 23 Milk 25,26 Minerals 2, 9,11,12,14 Money supply „ 16 Motor fuel . 33,34 Motor vehicles 7,36 Pages marked S Motors, electrical 31 Munitions production 2 Newspaper advertising 6, 7 Newsprint _ _ 32 New York Stock Exchange 18,19, 20 Oats 26 Oils and fats 4, 23, 24 Oleomargarine 24 Operating businesses and business turn-over.. 3 Orders, new, manufacturers' 2 Paint and paint materials 4, 24 Paper and pulp 2, 3,4,10,11,12, 13,14, 32 Paper products 32 Passports issued 21 Pay rolls, manufacturing and nonmanufacturing industries 12 Petroleum and products. 2, 3, 4,10,11,12,13,14,17,33,34 Pig iron _ 30 Plywood and veneer 29 Porcelain enameled products 30 Pork _ _ 27 Postal business 7 Postal savings 15 Poultry and eggs 1,3, 27 Prices (see also Individual commodities): Retail indexes 4 Wholesale indexes 4 Printing 2,10,11,12,13,14,32 Profits, corporation 17 Public assistance 14 Public utilities 4, 5,11,12,14,17,18,19, 20 Pullman Company 22 Pumps 31 Purchasing ppwer of the dollar 4 Radio advertising .. 6 Railways, operations, equipment, financial statistics, employment, wages 11, 12,14,17,18,19, 20, 21, 22,36 Railways, street (see Street railways, etc.). Rayon * _. 2,4,10,12,13,35 Receipts, United States Government 17 Reconstruction Finance Corporation, loans 17 Rents (housing), index 3,4 Retail trade: All retail stores, sales... 7,8 Chain stores 8 Department stores 8, 9 Mailorder. 7,8,9 Rural, general merchandise 9 Rice 26 Roofing, asphalt 34 Rubber products 2, 3,4,10, 11,12,13,14 Savings deposits 15 Sheep and lambs 27 Shipbuilding _ 2, 9,10,11,12,13 Shipments, manufacturers' 2 Shoes 1,4, 7, 8,10,12,13, 28 Shortenings 24 Silver 16 Skins 28 Slaughtering and meat packing._ 2,10,12,13,14, 27 24 Soybeans and soybean oil 35 Spindle activity, cotton, wool Steel and iron (see Iron and steel). 30 Steel, scrap Stocks, department stores (see also Manufacturers' inventories) 9 Stocks, issues, prices, sales, yields 19, 20 Stone, clay, and glass products. 1, 2,10,11,12,13, 34 Street railways and busses 11,12, 14 Sugar -. 28 Sulphur _ 22 Sulfuric acid 22 Superphosphate 23 Telephone, telegraph, cable, and radio-telegraph carriers 11,12,14,17, 22 Textiles 2,3,4,10,11,12,13,35,36 Tile _ 34 Tin... --. 31 Tobacco 2,10, 11,12,13,14, 28 Tools, machine 9,10,11,12,13,31 Trade, retail and wholesale 7, 8, 9,11,12,14 Transit lines, local 20,21 Transportation, commodity and passenger 20, 21 Transportation equipment 1, 2,3,9,10,11,12,13,17,36 Travel 21, 22 Trucks and tractors 36 Unemployment 9 United States Government bonds _ . 17,18,19 United States Government, finance 17 United States Steel Corporation 30 Utilities 4, 5, 9,11,12,14,17,18,19, 20 Variety stores 7, 8 Vegetable oils .. 23 Vegetables and fruits 2,3,4,26 Wages, factory and miscellaneous - - 13,14 War program, production and expenditures 2,17 War Savings Bonds 17 Warehouses, space occupied 7 Water transportation, employment, pay rolls. 11,12 Wheat and wheat flour_ _ . » . . . . - 26, 27 Wholesale price indexes. 4 Wholesale trade.. ™'-"-_ 9 Wood pulp . I T . —- — . - . — — . 4,32 Wool and wool manufactures. 2,4,10,12,13,35,36 Zinc 31 Domestic Commer written for BUSINESSMEN.. © Here is an authoritative monthly periodical in the language of the American businessman. of the principal organs of the Department of for disseminating information deemed of i maintaining a vigorous and dynamic free enterprise i © Domestic Commerce gives the reader an under$|^p|tg; and of the progress and changing conditions of induj business of the United States. Its writers are o this and other Government agencies, and specialist various subjects covered. # Particular attention is given to developments in of post-war planning. A sample copy will be sent you upon request to the B of Foreign and Domestic Commerce9 Washington 25, • 0 0 per year . . . from the Superintendent of Docu U- S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE • WASHINGTON 1 . C. tOTlRRMEMT PR 1 1